Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
October 1, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-215

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

Remarkable. Putin at Valdai. Lots to digest.
Like 2008’s comments.
Except an attentive audience.
Cheers.

Posted by: Ledovik1 | Oct 1 2026 16:07 utc | 1

Good stuff from VVP: why should the waste be allowed to constantly escalate with impunity:
 

Vladimir Putin warns it’s impossible to rule out weapons of mass destruction being used as he called for the need to prevent such a scenario.

 

He says the escalation “pushes us to the edge of the abyss”.
 
“Right now, leading countries in the world have at their disposal armaments that can wipe away all life, or at least push the path to catastrophic consequences,” he warns. 
 

“Can we be certain that these weapons will never be used? Unfortunately, we cannot be sure.”

Posted by: Night Tripper | Oct 1 2026 16:31 utc | 2

The Ukronazis are toast. 
Thanks and goodnight, ladies and germs!

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Oct 1 2026 17:04 utc | 3

Russia and China preach restraint and international cooperation.
The US, EU, NATO continually openly talk of war and weapons and publicly discredit the countries urging peace.
Yup, we are the baddies.

Posted by: Occam | Oct 1 2026 17:18 utc | 4

Is the World on the Brink of Nuclear War?
 
https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2026/10/01/xppu-o01.html
 
“Is the world on the brink of nuclear war? The question arises directly from the events of the past several days, as the US-NATO war against Russia in Ukraine escalates into an open confrontation between nuclear-armed powers.
 
Russia declared this week that it is ready to use nuclear weapons if NATO moves to blockade Kaliningrad, the Russian territory on the Baltic between Poland and Lithuania. The warning was issued through Russian embassies in Belgium, Britain and Ireland on September 28 and 29, and in a diplomatic note to NATO.
 
Stating that NATO was preparing an ‘air and naval blockade’ of Kaliningrad, the Russian embassy in Ireland stated, ‘There should be no mistake – Russia would be ready to use all its arsenal, including nuclear weapons, to defend its territory if NATO countries try to isolate Kaliningrad region from the rest of the country.’
 
The European powers are proceeding on the assumption that Moscow is bluffing. At the Euronews Defense & Space Summit in Brussels on Wednesday, NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte declared, ‘I don’t take this seriously…Everybody knows that [Putin] can never win against NATO.’
 
The logic is one of relentless escalation. The European powers have tied their policy to a Ukrainian victory. ‘Putin needs to feel that war is coming to Russia itself,’ EU Defense Commissioner Andricius Kubilius declared Wednesday.
 
Ukraine’s military position, meanwhile, is deteriorating. In July it intercepted just 29 of 195 Russian ballistic missiles, and it enters the winter without the air defenses it needs to protect its power-grid. Each further setback will be met by further escalation: The introduction of ground forces, or the opening of  new fronts, including Kaliningrad.
 
The stakes for Moscow could hardly be higher. Kaliningrad is to the Baltic what Crimea is to the Black Sea. It is the headquarters of the Baltic Fleet and the base of Russia’s nuclear-capable Iskander missiles. Since Finland and Sweden joined NATO, it has been surrounded by the alliance on land and sea. Given the risks, it is staggering that there are no calls for negotiations and no talk of a settlement. The only debate in the European capitals is over how far and how fast to escalate.
 
There is a vast chasm between the scale of the danger and the public’s awareness of it. Millions sense that something is deeply wrong but cannot believe their governments would gamble with nuclear war. To the extent the danger is presented at all in the media, it appears as the inexplicable menace of the Russians, Putin’s ‘nuclear rhetoric’ and ‘hybrid warfare.’ It is never presented as a response to what NATO powers are doing…”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 1 2026 17:25 utc | 5

Kind of reminds of Barbara Tuchman’s ‘Guns of August’ and how Europe (and eventually the US too) stumbled into a European War, that spread world wide.
 
Careless statements by EU and NATO leaders do not assist in the matter.
 
As I have stated before, the rapid decline of Ukronazi forces will trigger panicky reactions from the EU/NATO/WEF group (especially with hundreds of billions of dollars in loans to the Kieve regime from London and NYC bankers hanging in the balance).  An attack on Kaliningrad to open a ‘new’ front and take pressure off the exhausted Ukronazis is not out of the question
 
Does this sound familiar?  France and the UK were in the hole for billions in loans to Manhattan bankers prior to the US entry into WWI, and the Brits manipulated the US media via bribery into becoming the Brits propaganda arm (see Professor Peterson’s outstanding book of research ‘Propaganda for War’, written in 1935 which exposes Brit’s nefarious efforts).  France and the UK were shot in 1917, almost totally out of eligible manpower and contemplating drafting 16 year olds, short of munitions, spent out in many ways.  Again a summer repeat!

Posted by: tobias cole | Oct 1 2026 19:08 utc | 6

Rutte declared, ‘I don’t take this seriously…Everybody knows that [Putin] can never win against NATO
Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 1 2026 17:25 utc | 5
 
Well… the Communist party in Russia thinks Nato is 10x better: t.me/Slavyangrad/179685
“this is a war of attrition, and those with higher potential will win. The financial and economic potential of those who declared war on us, the Russian world, is 10 times higher”
 
Putin at Valdai. Lots to digest.
Posted by: Ledovik1 | Oct 1 2026 16:07 utc | 1
 
Actually nothing new:
Trump is love and peace: tass.com/politics/2196211
He won’t say who put sanctions or more nukes in Europe than ever before: tass.com/economy/2196253
Only Eu is evil: tass.com/politics/2196273
Iran should give him their uranium: tass.com/politics/2196199
In Brics everyone is equal:  tass.com/politics/2196277
But in relation to others he did not explain what Brics is. The spirits of Anchorage know the answer.

Posted by: rk | Oct 1 2026 19:09 utc | 7

“Russia declared this week that it is ready to use nuclear weapons if NATO moves to blockade Kaliningrad”
Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 1 2026 17:25 utc | 5
Question to anyone: how is Kaliningrand different to the recently acquired territories to Russia: Crimea,Donetsk,Luhansk? Why does Russia threatens the blockade of Kalinigrand with nuclear response but accepts ukraine’s attacks to the new territorries AND INSIDE RUSSIA ALSO with such complaicency?
 
I don’t want to see anyone using nuclear weapons, that’s why I am for a firm (non nuckear) response from the idiots in the kremlin to put an end to the NATO provocations.Unless of course they are driving NATO to such behaviour as to nuke it. If this was the case then why dint they nuke it when they attacked civilians or the strategic assets inside Russia with NATI weapons and ISR.
 
TLDR,i insist: the idiots in the kremlin, Capitalism lust drives them mad.

Posted by: andy74 | Oct 1 2026 19:12 utc | 8

US freezes out several NATO allies from key talks on bloc’s future — reportThe UK, France and the Baltic states didn’t receive an invitation to a NATO meeting in Poland scheduled for next month, where a working group is set to discuss the organization’s development, US media report.With no explanation for the move, the excluded countries were left in the dark, fearing that this new approach could split the alliance down the middle.

“We’re doing everything that is being asked of us… We’re trying to understand what the criteria is and what the purpose of these meetings are,” an official of an excluded country bemoaned.

Subscribe @NewResistance Reports indicate that approximately half of Ukraine’s F-16 fleet is currently grounded. According to a Western source cited by the Wall Street Journal, more than half of these aircraft are in a state of “maintenance limbo.” At the current operational rate, Kiev may exhaust its remaining aircraft by the end of the year.Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands, and Norway have pledged approximately 110 aircraft; however, delivery rates are not keeping pace with attrition. Furthermore, Ukrainian pilots are conserving missile usage as NATO-supplied munitions become scarce.Russia has maintained that Western arms shipments to Ukraine impede conflict resolution and directly involve NATO member states in the fighting.Subscribe @NewResistance 

Posted by: Jo | Oct 1 2026 19:26 utc | 9

Posted by: andy74 | Oct 1 2026 19:12 utc | 8
 
Stanislav Krapivnik claims Russia is building 20 Oreshniks per month and building a large stockpile of them. And that it wouldn’t need to go nuclear. It could theoretically use Oreshniks to hit Nato’s critical bases across EU.
 
However, nuclear weapons are useful as they guarantee critical bunkers get destroyed. Russia has a large list of Nato assets across EU, most likely there are a lot of deep bunker targets too.
 
They are drawing a line between attacks coming through Ukraine and attacks coming from states other than Ukraine. Potentially Baltics, Poland and Finland. The clearest threat is to Kaliningrad. This threat has been repeatedly vocally voiced by Nato leaders, and their intention to attack it.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 1 2026 19:29 utc | 10

UA is a meaningful territory for RF, nuking it would be inflicting self damage. A capital of a NATO member is not. 

Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Oct 1 2026 19:33 utc | 11

Question to anyone: how is Kaliningrand different to the recently acquired territories to Russia: Crimea,Donetsk,Luhansk? 
Posted by: andy74 | Oct 1 2026 19:12 utc | 8
 
It’s partly symbolic and partly strategic.
 
Kaliningrad was the Prussian bastion of Konigsburg prior to the end of WW2. It was a site of significant cultural and religious importance to Prussians and sight of the last stand of the German army group north. The Russians paid a very high price taking the fortress city in April 1945 and because of it’s signifigance to the Prussians and it’s strategic location on the Baltic the Russians kept it as a prize.  
 
During WW2 the Germans blockaded St. Petersburg by stringing submarine nets across the Gulf of Finland. Holding Kaliningrad helps insure St. Petersburg and the Baltic fleet can’t be blockaded in a future war.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 1 2026 19:38 utc | 12

  • The forever asking…but apparently some ZEU are saying you will get what is already scheduled..

Brussels irritated by Kiev’s new aid requestsKiev is seeking an additional €69 billion for 2027 (€40 billion for military, €29 billion for state functioning), causing frustration in the EU. A European diplomat told Le Monde: “It feels like we are watering a desert.” This demand comes as the EU begins disbursing previously agreed €90 billion for 2026-2027.Le Monde notes that extra funding is becoming sensitive amid budget cuts and public resistance to new spending. EU members are also debating the 2028-2034 budget, which allocates another €100 billion for Ukraine.No decision has been made yet; the issue will be discussed at the finance ministers’ meeting on October 9 or the European Council in mid-October.@Slavyangrad

Posted by: Jo | Oct 1 2026 20:05 utc | 13

Kremlin: Dmitriev Briefs Putin on Talks With US Reps
 
https://www.azerinews.az/region/264832.html
 
“Kremlin Press Secretary Peskov confirmed on Thursday that Russian President Vladimir Putin receives regular updates on Special Envoy for Foreign Investment and Economic Cooperation Kirill Dmitriev’s negotiations with diplomatic representatives from the United States.
 
Commenting on Dmitriev’s most recent meetings with US President Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner and Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff in New York, Peskov described it as a very positive process’. He added that ‘working-level contacts with American representatives are continuing…”
 
Kirill Dmitriev
 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kirill_Dmitriev
 
 
Beware the oligarchs. All of them. Everywhere.

Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 1 2026 20:06 utc | 14

Brussels irritated by Kiev’s new aid requestsKiev is seeking an additional €69 billion for 2027 (€40 billion for military, €29 billion for state functioning), causing frustration in the EU. A European diplomat told Le Monde: “It feels like we are watering a desert.” This demand comes as the EU begins disbursing previously agreed €90 billion for 2026-2027.Le Monde notes that extra funding is becoming sensitive amid budget cuts and public resistance to new spending. EU members are also debating the 2028-2034 budget, which allocates another €100 billion for Ukraine.No decision has been made yet; the issue will be discussed at the finance ministers’ meeting on October 9 or the European Council in mid-October.@Slavyangrad

Posted by: Jo | Oct 1 2026 20:06 utc | 15

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 1 2026 19:29 utc | 10

The clearest threat is to Kaliningrad. This threat has been repeatedly vocally voiced by Nato leaders, and their intention to attack it.

I agree that at least some important EU/NATO elites are willing to open another front, when/as Ukraine goes out, and I agree that Kaliningrad currently seems the best bet. But their “attack” is probably executed as a blockade. That way they can fake indignation after Russia’s reaction. This will affect EUropeans and the effect on the homefront is perhaps even more important to Brussels/NATO than the battle itself.
 
There have been recent-ish noises by Finnish and Lithuanian politicians, trying to calm the excitement somewhat. To no visible effect but I started wondering: these are potential frontline countries. Is someone trying to get their country out of the first line? For example, the Bulgarian PM repeatedly makes statements in this direction. Somebody’s got to be sacrificed, in troops and in territory.

Posted by: Konami | Oct 1 2026 20:38 utc | 16

Brussels irritated by Kiev’s new aid requestsKiev is seeking an additional €69 billion for 2027 (€40 billion for military, €29 billion for state functioning), causing frustration in the EU. A European diplomat told Le Monde: “It feels like we are watering a desert.” This demand comes as the EU begins disbursing previously agreed €90 billion for 2026-2027.Le Monde notes that extra funding is becoming sensitive amid budget cuts and public resistance to new spending. EU members are also debating the 2028-2034 budget, which allocates another €100 billion for Ukraine.No decision has been made yet; the issue will be discussed at the finance ministers’ meeting on October 9 or the European Council in mid-October.@Slavyangrad
 
Posted by: Jo | Oct 1 2026 20:05 utc | 13

 
 
Hehehe. Suck it up buttercup, you chose the exotic commitment to a black hole, there’s no exit now.
 
Enjoy the black hole together with a massive Euro bond crisis, diesel, fertilizer and agricultural output shortages and higher food/energy inflation.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 1 2026 20:51 utc | 17

Hehehe. Suck it up buttercup, you chose the exotic commitment to a black hole, there’s no exit now.
 
Posted by: unimperator | Oct 1 2026 20:51 utc | 17
 
 
 
My thought exactly.  Brussels is IRRITATED???  How could they not have expected this expense a year ago?

Posted by: Woke American | Oct 1 2026 21:16 utc | 18

I agree that at least some important EU/NATO elites are willing to open another front, when/as Ukraine goes out, and I agree that Kaliningrad currently seems the best bet. But their “attack” is probably executed as a blockade. That way they can fake indignation after Russia’s reaction. This will affect EUropeans and the effect on the homefront is perhaps even more important to Brussels/NATO than the battle itself.
 
Posted by: Konami | Oct 1 2026 20:38 utc | 16
 
 
 
I think that the Russian reaction will be strong enough that this indignation will not be a big issue.  Dealing with all the damage will overtake that in a big way.    The US or Europe or both are very desperate to make such dramatic escalatory threats in such a frivolous manner.

Posted by: Woke American | Oct 1 2026 21:20 utc | 19

Ahenobarbus | Oct 1 2026 17:04 utc | 3
While the economy, power generation, industrial capacity and export capacity of Ukraine may be toast, they have a lot of drones, supplied by Europe, and are still fighting on the ground. It could be that by the end of winter their powers of resistance are gone, but I’ve been reading predictions of forthcoming collapse for three years now…

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Oct 1 2026 21:26 utc | 20

Posted by: Woke American | Oct 1 2026 21:20 utc | 19
 
Baltics will be toast, quite literally. Although I doubt Russia will nuke them, it will burn them to the ground in other ways.
 
That’s probably why they’re already practicing moving the population out of the Baltic into Poland.
 
If Russia can avoid war, they will basically inherit the Baltics for free in 5 years or so. This is purely due to demographic decay and potential collapse of EU/Nato within a few years. Even if Nato doesn’t collapse there’s still a high chance it will retreat out of the Baltics.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 1 2026 21:30 utc | 21

unimperator: Moscov has good reason not to want the Baltics wholesale. Just like they only want the properly Russian parts from Ukraine, with ballots to boot. The proportion of Russians in the Baltic states differs, and is <10% in Lithuania. Getting them out of NATO would be a massive achievement on its own.

Posted by: Konami | Oct 1 2026 21:45 utc | 22

Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 1 2026 17:25 utc | 5

There is a vast chasm between the scale of the danger and the [European] public’s awareness of it. Millions sense that something is deeply wrong but cannot believe their governments would gamble with nuclear war.

Nothing short of broad, direct action to wake regular Europeans from their slumber.  Probably the best way – short of nuclear war – to “reach” senior decision-makers in the West would be to take down ALL bridges across the Elbe, Rhine and Danube in one fell swoop. 
 
Cut off from its Western neighbors and its Eastern neighbors, Germany would overnight see its place in Europe and in the World in very different terms, while its rearmament and general industry would suffer a collective setback of at least 1-2 years.   

Posted by: Pacific Observer | Oct 1 2026 22:39 utc | 23

CORRECTION: 
 
Cut off from its Western neighbors and part of its own territory, Germany and its Eastern neighbors would overnight see their place in Europe and in the World in very different terms, while their arms makers and general industry would suffer a collective setback of at least 1-2 years.

Posted by: Pacific Observer | Oct 1 2026 22:44 utc | 24

I am listening to Daniel Davis Deep Dive with John Mearsheimer and John has come up with a new word for Ceasefire….now it is Armistice
 
An armistice is a formal agreement between warring parties to stop fighting, though it does not legally end a war.
 
John Mearsheimer says that the Ukraine situation will end in an ugly victory for Russia and calls that an armistice.
 
I don’t agree and think it will end in a surrender by Ukraine/NATO

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 0:20 utc | 25

Posted by: andy74 | Oct 1 2026 19:12 utc | 8
 
Question to anyone: how is Kaliningrand different to the recently acquired territories to Russia: Crimea,Donetsk,Luhansk? Why does Russia threatens the blockade of Kalinigrand with nuclear response but accepts ukraine’s attacks to the new territorries AND INSIDE RUSSIA ALSO with such complaicency?
 My first guess is that Kaliningrand is not connected to Russia by land and so any defensive measures that Russia would implement would have to be by air or sea. The unknown question is would Russia be willing to give up their Baltic Sea base if NATO was serious about harming Russia?

Posted by: Paranaense | Oct 2 2026 0:40 utc | 26

… would Russia be willing to give up their Baltic Sea base if NATO was serious about harming Russia?
Posted by: Paranaense | Oct 2 2026 0:40 utc | 26
 
What is this nonsense? There is no “if”. It is a certainty that NATO is serious about “harming Russia” if destroying Russia and taking all its stuff is harmful to Russia. It has been a certainty for 80 years(but we found out only about 1993 when NATO accelerated its expansion right up to Russia.

Posted by: acementhead | Oct 2 2026 0:53 utc | 27

Unimperator@1929:  Strike the NATO bases?  Henry David Thoreau commented that one should not merely clip off the branches of a problem.  It is much better to grub it out from the roots.  So why go after the order-takers in the EU/NATO gangster paradigm.  Wouldn’t it be better to zap the EU administrative headquarters in Brussels.  Those administrative bureaucraps are not exactly the roots…however as we do not quite know the identities behind that institution…the HQ in the rule from the top down hit by a non-nuclear Oreshnik might just impact the entire rotten system.
 
Ditto with the mangy old Lion of imperialist colonialism.  Go for City of London with the same weaponry.  Britain is under the thumb of the ownership located in the Square mile.
 
However, I am not certain that the blood-money racket, the shareholders of the WarDefense Industry…not just in the command infrastructure of EU/NATO, but certainly in the U$$A, the designated military thugs for highest finance…and perhaps in Russia and China as well.  After all, in this materialistic and reductionist clown show…business is business and the combination of profits and control over the serfs is the bottom line for the coupon-clipper demographic.

Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 1:05 utc | 28

Posted by: acementhead | Oct 2 2026 0:53 utc | 27
 
OK, so I guess the question is how far is Europe willing to push before they back down. Which comes back to the issue of whether they believe Putin or not.

Posted by: Paranaense | Oct 2 2026 1:07 utc | 29

Psychohistorian@020:  Mearsheimer has always struck me as a semi-classical liberal…not a balls to the walls type, in part motivated by a deep desire to not be deplatformed.  Calling for an armistice is simply silly.

Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 1:12 utc | 30

In response to
”
Calling for an armistice is simply silly.
Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 1:12 utc | 30
”
 
I agree and thanks.
 
I also agree with your call to take out the City Of London square mile of oligarchs but I don’t see that as Russia’s focus.  Russia, IMO, has not taken the China approach entirely yet of insuring that no oligarch can get powerful enough to influence/control public policy….which I think is what is necessary and why I keep calling for ending global private finance.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 1:50 utc | 31

(guy onstage) Lukuyanov’s comments afterwards, in an interview over at Smoothie’s blog…
 
” …and that’s what new.”
 
Translation can be rather flat. It can be hard to get the complete sense of an idea being presented.
Speaking Russians helps with nuance that does not come through in the drone quality sound of interpreters. 
 
Consider Putin’s identifying a significant change in European “unthoughtful commentary” combined with “emerging realities”. I suspect that he’s trying not to burn down Europe. If they are stupid about it, he probably will. But he also talks about not burning anything down, if there’s a way not to.
 
Interesting for him to admit to earlier misjudgements but also give an absolutely clear explanation of his thought process and approach. He then carries that forward to current realities and is clear what has changed. 
 
Watching EU news later this evening, it’s all “See, scary, scary Russia is threatening nukes!” over Kalinigrad, but no mention of the ship- boarding, sabotage, weopon supply etc.  As if they’re completely uninvolved and only helping an ally.
 
Cheers.

Posted by: Ledovik1 | Oct 2 2026 1:54 utc | 32

Christoforou had an interesting observation about the Kalinigrand episode and Rutte’s comments.  Shortly after Rutte says his idiotic ‘NATO is so much stronger than Russia, they could never beat us’ the Lithuanian PM standing beside him says this: 

Is there any proof, real proof intelligence services are providing, something on the table, that Russia is getting ready for something?  And there is actually none. 

Rutte makes the bluster, and the Lithuanian PM walks it back.  More histrionics from the Europeans.   As for NATO vs Russia, IMO NATO without the US would get its arse handed to it in short order, and it’s an open question if Trump’s regime would come to the aid of the Eurotards.  I’m guessing not.  Europe should be careful it doesn’t get what it is asking for. I have to question whether the people of Europe would rush to sign up for a war  if Russia was to attack.  

Posted by: Mike R | Oct 2 2026 2:37 utc | 33

I agree that at least some important EU/NATO elites are willing to open another front, when/as Ukraine goes out, and I agree that Kaliningrad currently seems the best bet. But their “attack” is probably executed as a blockade. That way they can fake indignation after Russia’s reaction. 
Posted by: Konami | Oct 1 2026 20:38 utc | 16

 
Did you not just witness what Russia did to Odessa and all the other Ukrainian Black Sea ports when Ukraine tried to effectively blockade Russia’s Black Sea ports earlier this year?
They turned Ukraine into a landlocked rump of a state and then went on to cutting off road access to Romania. 
Kaliningrad’s a strategic site for Russians. It’s there to keep St. Petersburg from getting blockaded. A million people died from starvation, exposure and disease during the WW2 siege of St. Petersburg and a blockade of the Gulf of Finland was part of that siege.
If NATO seriously tries to blockade Kaliningrad I’m pretty sure Russia will go kinetic.
Russia has the most experienced army in the world right now. They have an army of 1.5 million that’s been fighting for 4.5 years … every unit is going to have battle hardened officers, NCO’s and specialists … they are going to be either shocked nor in awe of NATO.
I know Russia takes flak for letting the west escalate however Russians knows how to fight and win wars … don’t mistake Russia’s reluctance to respond to provocation as fear or cowardice … it’s the strategy of choosing the time and the place to do battle. Russia started the Ukraine war with the Wagner PMC as the only real formations with real war experience. Today their army is 50% larger than it was in 2022 and everyone is experienced. In 2022 I really didn’t think Russia was a superior military to NATO but in 2026 I think NATO would come away from a fight with Russia bloodied with their tails between their legs.
 

Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 3:04 utc | 34

Posted by: Paranaense | Oct 2 2026 0:40 utc | 26
 
There was no direct conflict between Russia and NATO before the Ukrainian war. Therefore the Donbas have been carefully melted and brought to a boil. The situation in Kaliningrad would be the equivalent of throwing an ice cube into a vat of already boiling hot oil. Besides, I would much rather not live in a world where the Russian government already used tactical nukes. Hopefully, I wouldn’t be alive to see the consequences anyway. 

Posted by: New Fly | Oct 2 2026 3:04 utc | 35

Russia has the most experienced army in the world right now. They have an army of 1.5 million that’s been fighting for 4.5 years …  
Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 3:04 utc | 34
 
Yet they can’t kick out the Ukrainian forces from the Donbas after all this time, so they can’t be that good.

Posted by: MiniMO | Oct 2 2026 4:40 utc | 36

unimperator: Moscov has good reason not to want the Baltics wholesale. Just like they only want the properly Russian parts from Ukraine, with ballots to boot. The proportion of Russians in the Baltic states differs, and is <10% in Lithuania. Getting them out of NATO would be a massive achievement on its own.
Posted by: Konami | Oct 1 2026 21:45 utc | 22

 
That would be the best case – Nato gets kicked out of Nato.
 
The dual passport resident ‘leaders’ of these states are showing such level of fear and hysteria right now, that they might be seeing it as a very real possibility. So the plan is to sacrifice the Baltics before that can come into fruition.
 
If they avoid war for 5 years (tough call), you will see the EU collapse and Nato probably withdrawing Baltics, as it has no more funding sources out of an utterly impoverished/bankrupt base. 
 
This is why there is an extremely strong incentive among the globalist puppets to start war sooner rather than later, like after 5 years. They will keep doing provocations or direct attacks on Russia without any regard for the countries they claim to be representing.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 5:33 utc | 37

@37
‘Nato kicked out of Nato’…
meant
‘Nato kicked out of Baltics’.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 5:34 utc | 38

After replacing competent leaders with easily controllable idiots for the last 40 years the west seem to have decision making issues. Same goes for countries who participate in western “future leaders” programs.
Hopefully DEI & feminism brought the same problem to production and innovation creating a competency crisis. 
Of course they will try to blockade Kaliningrad and of course they will keep being stupid about anything and anyone until everyone in the west or connected with it falls into irrelevancy.   
SMO makes EU stupider by forcing decisions they cannot make, Russia has to keep it up for as long as possible. 
 
 
 
 

Posted by: 667 | Oct 2 2026 6:56 utc | 39

The question I have that remains unanswered is this:
Putin keeps calling for the lifting of sanctions, but which sanctions is he talking about—
sanctions imposed by hostile states?
Is it a matter of vital necessity for him that these sanctions be removed?
Can he not survive economically without trade with the US and the EU?
In my humble opinion, his stubborn insistence on supplying these administrations with oil, gas, steel, and whatever else they need is baffling; why endure sanctions when he is the one who ought to be sanctioning enemy states?
Another anomaly is his constant kowtowing to that gang of Zionist swindlers linked to Trump through his Anglo-Russian Zionist crony—even though it is obvious to everyone that Trump is completely unreliable and any agreement reached today will be forgotten and reneged upon tomorrow.
Questions—endless questions that receive no clarifying answers.

 

 

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 7:03 utc | 40

Posted by: Jo | Oct 1 2026 19:26 utc | 9
 
Re: NATO meeting in Poland.
Just a thought I had. Most of the attendees are from the states that could potentially enact a blockade of access to the Baltic Sea corridor. Forgive my speculation/imaginings, but it just seemed to stand out.
 
Posted by: unimperator | Oct 1 2026 19:29 utc | 10
 
Re: Kaliningrad
Again with my speculations. You had me wondering if NATO exercises, spy flights, and bluster over Kaliningrad could be a distraction for other nefarious goings on…perhaps in the direction of Transnistria, as an example.
 
It could also be possible that they don’t want the Baltics in a meeting discussing their soon to be noble blood sacrifice on the altar of Western finance.
 

Posted by: Jon_in_AU | Oct 2 2026 7:25 utc | 41

Unimp.  at 10 and Jon 41… yup. The Baltics usual phobias and hysteria could be used to be played for a good “sacrifice”  upon by those of devious thought.
They are sometimes exuberant in their rants and might be giving away too much,or exposing weakness. 
Might be signs of a further hardening of determination if is possible.
Nb, Prince Harry went to some Gala ball for Ukraine charities last night…and the UK military guy recently  was killed at a new weapons testing session and it exploded.

Posted by: Jo | Oct 2 2026 7:48 utc | 42

Psychohistorian@150:  Totally agree that private control over finance is the one single economic and political evil on this planet.

Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 7:50 utc | 43

NewFly@304:  Symbologically, the Kaliningrad enclave is Mama Bear’s cub.  Would they?  Looks to me like a warning shot in front of the bow of the idiots.
 
 Lesson:  Don’t mess with Mama Bear.
 
 Even the Goldilox foxes in City of London and Wall $treet are far more astute than their hired, bought and paid for prostiticians throughout the Collective Wa$te. The Zillionaires perch atop the dung-heap.  They have a good thing going as they dominate and control Western finance and hold ownership over the WarDefense industries.  Though some of their stooges are kinda naive and inane, the Moneymongers own the best minds that dirty huge money can buy.  They can handle their own rogue elephants and donkeys…a covey of asses.

Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 8:11 utc | 44

MiniMo@330:  Still strumming on that out of tune harp, I see.  Do you have any original thoughts in your noggin?

Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 8:13 utc | 45

Unimperator@544:  NATO kicked outta NATO does have a certain sense.  They are a collective of braying asses kicking each other in their collective kiesters.  They shot their wad when the Berlin Wall fell.  No “raison d’ etre” ever since.  It’s one crazy-assed clown show.
 
Oswald Spengler forecast “The Decline of the West” even long before I was born.  However, stoopid people never heed the warnings of their own prophets.

Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 8:20 utc | 46

Cagliostro@703:  Crazy like a fox, Russia.  Supplying the Collective Wa$te engenders a heightening level of dependance amongst their would-be foes.  Seems like the Euros are pissing into a gale.

Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 8:24 utc | 47

It seems the DCs in 404 are now on the target list … IBXs next ?

Posted by: Savonarole | Oct 2 2026 8:29 utc | 48

Jon_in-AU@725: Consider the logistical nightmare the Euros would encounter if they even tried to mess around with Transnistria.  Russia knocked out a critical bridge by which the Ukies had been supplying Odessa.  They can also take out the tunnels coming through Romania.

Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 8:29 utc | 49

Pubblicato da: Aristodemos | 2 ottobre 2026 8:24Exactly—the Euro-Atlanticists are pissing into the wind, and I don’t understand why Putin provides them with windbreaks.
If, after the initial sanctions in ’22, Putin had imposed an embargo on all supplies and blocked transit through his territories, Europe and NATO wouldn’t have survived; they would have ceased to exist—and no Europe, no NATO, no weapons, no war. UTC | 47

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 8:36 utc | 50

Posted by: MiniMO | Oct 2 2026 4:40 utc | 36
 
“Russia has the most experienced army in the world right now. “Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 3:04 utc | 34 
“Yet they can’t kick out the Ukrainian forces from the Donbas after all this time, so they can’t be that good.”
 
Can you give a couple of examples of armies that would be more efficient at the task than the Russians?

Posted by: Jan Sobieski | Oct 2 2026 8:38 utc | 51

2 ottobre 2026 8:38 UTC | 51
Iran

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 8:45 utc | 52

Finaly a clarifying answer to my endless question, if Cagliostro was born yesterday and with a crackpipe in his mouth.
 
Meanwhile, jam is spreading all over Kiev, courtesy of BKC and their attacks on three key bridges.
 

As a result of strikes by the Russian Armed Forces, operations at three bridges in Kiev—the South Bridge, the Paton Bridge, and the Metro Bridge—have been fully or partially suspended. There is still considerable work to be done to put them completely out of commission, but the very first day of strikes has already yielded wonderful results.
 
https://t.me/boris_rozhin/228086
 
Massive traffic jams have hit Kiev due to the temporary closure of three bridges.The “Cocaine Führer” stated that the bridges were hit several times overnight.
 
https://t.me/boris_rozhin/228088

Posted by: pinche | Oct 2 2026 9:04 utc | 53

Can you give a couple of examples of armies that would be more efficient at the task than the Russians?
 
Posted by: Jan Sobieski | Oct 2 2026 8:38 utc | 51
 

The Americans in Afghanistan were astoundingly efficient at ripping the taxpayers … that was the question wasn’t it?!?

Posted by: Tel | Oct 2 2026 9:07 utc | 54

Inserito da: pizzico | 2 ottobre 2026 9:04 utc | 53
 
1,679 days—quite a speed record, congratulations.

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 9:09 utc | 55

Ukraine and World Affairs (includes Iran/ME): Weekly Update, 2nd October 2026: May be Useful to Some: Ukraine and World Affairs (includes Iran/ME): Weekly Update

Posted by: The Busker | Oct 2 2026 9:29 utc | 56

Monsieur Cagliostreau is back, with his existential doubts unresolved personally by VPP, go to Valday and ask directly, or better yet, give your solutions to someone that has defeated the whole west with less than a tenth of the resources facing him. VVP gives a lesson, and the monsieur il commendatore appears with his existencial doubts. Curious to say the least.

Posted by: Paco | Oct 2 2026 9:29 utc | 57

Stating that NATO was preparing an ‘air and naval blockade’ of Kaliningrad, the Russian embassy in Ireland stated, (…)

 
Yup, after the Teutonics, Napoleon and his Grande Armée, Hitler and his Boss uniforms, here we are again with some euromorons going against Russia. What could go wrong, really…
 
A certain victory, hey! And limited damages in Riga and the other one, what’s the name again, Vilnius!
 
And, as both sides will be winning, neither side will be tempted to use WMDs! Can’t fix stupid, can we.

Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 9:38 utc | 58

Posted by: pinche | Oct 2 2026 9:04 utc | 53
 
When it comes to bridges, it’s a game of degredation. Even missiles not needed, but pummeling them with enough drones will eventually get them to the point where they can’t be repaired.
 
That’s why it’s a long game for bridges. They get hit, repaired, hit again, repaired again, hit again – it get’s continuously more difficult to repair them into a usable point. 
 
Same applies bridges in Kiev, and bridges W/NW of Odessa coming through the swamps and wetlands from Romania.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 9:41 utc | 59

Russia has the most experienced army in the world right now. They have an army of 1.5 million that’s been fighting for 4.5 years …  Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 3:04 utc | 34 Yet they can’t kick out the Ukrainian forces from the Donbas after all this time, so they can’t be that good.
Posted by: MiniMO | Oct 2 2026 4:40 utc | 36
 
 
 
It is hard to believe that people who deny reality like you still exist, right here.
 
How many times do people like you need to be told why this SMO hasn’t been a destructive campaign so far—the kind of destructive campaigns the US has waged (and hasn’t actually won since 1945)?Let me spell it out slowly: a war—regardless of the provocation that triggers it, and whether it involves the US or not—would play out completely differently from the conflict in Ukraine, which really should have remained a regional affair.
 
A NATO war without direct US involvement—involving “only” Western Europe—would be over in hours, or perhaps days, because every Western nation is immediately dependent on logistics and reserves that they simply *do not have*—neither in terms of materiel nor trained personnel, let alone troops experienced with drones.
 
If the US gets involved, you can expect it to last a matter of hours; that should be obvious to everyone.Whether a Trump would risk Boston, Miami, or New York for the sake of the Baltics, Warsaw, or Berlin remains to be seen; if he doesn’t see a business opportunity in it, he likely wouldn’t. Plus, the US public—faced with the sight of the first mushroom cloud over the Pacific and relying on outdated nuclear technology—would certainly make their voices heard.
 
I live in Western Europe; I hear opinions on the war with Russia and conscription, and I listen to veterans from the Bundeswehr and even the Foreign Legion… they all agree on one thing: given the current state of NATO armies, there is no chance against this battle-hardened army.
 
And I do NOT derive these opinions and facts from a milk-glass crystal ball like the one…
 
 

Posted by: genesiss | Oct 2 2026 9:49 utc | 60

Pubblicato da: Paco | 2 ottobre 2026 9:29 UTC | 57
Expecting answers is a waste of time; all you do is show boundless admiration—bordering on idolatry—for an individual who, like all politicians, has plenty of skeletons in his closet. Not least among them is his shady Zionist associate Kirill—a man based in London and educated at Western universities.
Go right ahead and worship the golden calf,
while I sit on the riverbank and watch the carcasses float by.

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 9:51 utc | 61

I also agree with your call to take out the City Of London square mile (…)
Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 1:50 utc | 31

 
Before going after the heart of London, Russia could have a safe look at Jersey island, British but just off the French coast. There is parked a “huge” amount of offshore money from rich dudes from all levels from many countries.
 
Bringing trouble there would be good, and it would bring trouble within NATO : why is this French-speaking island British on the first place?
 
If Russia wants NATO off her back, she has to lighten up the old continental rivalries. Why is Alsace-Lorraine French? It could be returned to Germany to pay off Target2 debts…
 
Once frontiers within NATO countries are opened for discussion, Russia will have a century of peace.

Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 9:53 utc | 62

they all agree on one thing: given the current state of NATO armies, there is no chance against this battle-hardened army.
Posted by: genesiss | Oct 2 2026 9:49 utc | 60

 
Eurotards armies will do good for 3 days (battle hardened or not). After 3 days, they will run out of ammo!

Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 9:57 utc | 63

Posted by: genesiss | Oct 2 2026 9:49 utc | 60
 
When talking about war with west, you need to also think what context it is.
 
The most likely direction here is utilization of Baltics and Poland to blockade Kaliningrad.
 
That would mean plainly seizing Russian ships in the Baltic (this has already occurred in a limited sense on tankers – not directly related to Kaliningrad-mainland Russia traffic).
 
Rail traffic through Lithuania has been halted before – now open again, but bureaucratical obstacles are thrown to disrupt it as much as possible.  Kaliningrad relies on naval and aerial imports from mainland.
 
Truck traffic between mainland and Kaliningrad – halted/not open.
 
My guess is non of these are enough to ‘block’ Kaliningrad from operating normally. Hence the next step is physical blockade – seizing ships heading to Kaliningrad. Blocking all – even partial rail traffic to Kaliningrad. Preventing aerial traffic would require directly shooting down Russian planes.
 
What is still possible/more likely than direct military invasion of Kaliningrad: Ukrainian and British agents launching drones into Kaliningrad from Baltic/Lithuania/Poland, in order to produce the trigger for war. Given that Ukraine definitely has a drone military base in Lithuania, it’s completely possible this happens.
 
Most likely there is an internal conflict in EU/Nato about attacking Kaliningrad directly, and heavy opposition. But on the top level you see in the media you see Nato leaders directly talking about attacking Kaliningrad.
 
Russia’s obvious next choice is to start its own blockade of Baltic states and Polish ports. Seizing ships, accidents/explosions on ships headed to these ports, etc.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 10:00 utc | 64

Norica at 34
Putin says they lost c 100 mercantile ships when Ukraine recently extended consolidated their t campaigns in Black Sea. Hmm

Posted by: Jo | Oct 2 2026 10:27 utc | 65

A Polish level of stupidity?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1bpZwe4zDN4

25 Sept 2026 
Poland’s Foreign Minister delivers a blunt message to Russia and directly responds to Sergey Lavrov’s claims about Ukraine. He challenges Moscow’s narrative on the 2014 events in Kyiv, the Russian language in Ukraine and Russia’s accusations against the Ukrainian government. The Polish FM also points to Russia’s attacks on Ukrainian civilians and infrastructure, alleged incidents involving European airspace and wider security concerns. He then compares the economic strength of Ukraine, Poland, Europe and NATO with Russia before delivering his final message to Lavrov: “Tell your boss enough is enough.”

Posted by: tucenz | Oct 2 2026 10:38 utc | 66

Yet they can’t kick out the Ukrainian forces from the Donbas after all this time, so they can’t be that good. Posted by:
MiniMO | Oct 2 2026 4:40 utc | 36

 
1. The Donbas is a maze of mines, factories and mills rebuilt by the Soviets after WW2 to fight and win a nuclear war. Every mill includes a bunker or bomb shelter built to withstand a nuclear blast and many have multiple exit and communication tunnels. Even the railroad lines have fighting positions and shelters built under them. 
 
 
2. The western objective of the Ukraine coup of 2014 was to get Russia fighting in the civil war. We the taxpayers of NATO countries spent $$$billions fortifying the Donbas, We reinforced buildings with concrete and steel, built communicating trenches and tunnels, installed sensors and cameras. There is no way to manuever or assault anything in the Donbas without taking massive casualties so everything has to be taken apart piece by piece with standoff weapons before Russians can take ground.
 
 
3. Fortifications aside both the Soviets and the Germans went around the Donbas rather than fight through it during WW2 because the Donbas is a maze of mines, factories and mills that would cost massive casualties to storm. In order to bypass and cut off the Donbas from supply you have to hold Kharkov which is why the city was fought over so desperately during WW2. The Russians don’t have that luxury in 2026.
 
4. Warfare has changed. You can’t move anyone or anything on the battlefield due to drones, cameras, sensors and night vision and it’s the same for both sides in the war however as the defender in prepared positions the Ukrainians have a decided advantage.
 
5. This isn’t like WW1 or WW2 where 2 infantry armies sit in front line positions within sight of each other plotting break throughs into the soft underbelly of the enemy. The line of contact isn’t a line any more but a diffuse 20-30 km diffuse belt of contested no mans land under intense surveillance and patrolled by drones. To take a position you have to find the enemy positions and destroy them  before infiltrating in squads of 3 – 4 soldiers.
 
6. War isn’t a sport where you decide who is winning by the number of square feet liberated. War is achieving your political objectives through force of arms. The Russian objectives are to demilitarize Ukraine, denazify Ukraine, liberate the four oblasts and forcibly create a new security architecture in Europe. No one has put an order in which these objectives have to be met or the time table for achieving them … when you hears about the lack of Russian progress in Ukraine it’s based on western assumptions not Russia’s timetable.
 
The Ukrainians are literally Russian family. Ukrainains born before 1991 had the same passports as Russians. They’ve intermarried for centuries, The Russians don’t want to destroy or cause hardship to the Ukrainian people if they don’t have to however after 4 and a half years of warfare it looks like the Russians have lost patience and are just now beginning to bring the full force of the Russian military to bear on Ukraine and are finally doing what the USA has done in every war they fought. That is destroy the lives of the civilian population from the air first … then worry about the army.
 
7. As much as I want peace I can’t wait to watch the USA mount an infantry led invasion of Iran. Give that a couple of months then we’ll revisit just how poorly the Russians progress compares to a NATO army. 

Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 11:05 utc | 67

@ HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 11:05 utc | 67
 
Please copy this comment of yours and paste it as a response the next time one of the trolls — and quite possibly the same troll — posts the same stupid comment as the one you responded to.

Posted by: malenkov | Oct 2 2026 11:21 utc | 68

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 9:51 utc | 61
 
Salut commendatore, 70% approval rate among Russians, that is what matters, according to Levada no friend of VVP,  compare that with your pal Merz or the degenerate Macarron -he fired his chef cause he does not like cheese-.
 
Worrying so much about sanctions you say, nobody would give a macarron about sanctions if they would be straight and clear, you do not want to do businees with me, fine I won’t, but the lords of the galaxy that you so secretly admire think that their rules are universal, nobody has to make business with whomever the boss orders, cause he’s the boss, just ask the Cubans, but that is finished dear Monsieur, the almighty dollar is not that mighty anymore, diesel over six bucks a gallon and going up, international trade using it less and less, central banks asking for their gold, that is part of what Putin has accomplished, to hit where it hurts.
 
So if you’re ready to go fight for NATO or the mighty dollar, help yourself, I think not many souther Europeans give a damn about yankees and nazis anymore. Salut.

Posted by: Paco | Oct 2 2026 11:33 utc | 69

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 7:03 utc | 40 …Putin keeps calling for the lifting of sanctions, but which sanctions is he talking about— sanctions imposed by hostile states?  Is it a matter of vital necessity for him that these sanctions be removed?Can he not survive economically without trade with the US and the EU?In my humble opinion, his stubborn insistence on supplying these administrations with oil, gas, steel, and whatever else they need is baffling; why endure sanctions when he is the one who ought to be sanctioning enemy states?Another anomaly is his constant kowtowing to that gang of Zionist swindlers linked to Trump through his Anglo-Russian Zionist crony—even though it is obvious to everyone that Trump is completely unreliable and any agreement reached today will be forgotten and reneged upon tomorrow.Questions—endless questions that receive no clarifying answers.
 
 
Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 7:03 utc | 40

Posted by: snake | Oct 2 2026 11:50 utc | 70

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 7:03 utc | 40 …Putin keeps calling for the lifting of sanctions, but which sanctions is he talking about— sanctions imposed by hostile states?  Is it a matter of vital necessity for him that these sanctions be removed?Can he not survive economically without trade with the US and the EU?In my humble opinion, his stubborn insistence on supplying these administrations with oil, gas, steel, and whatever else they need is baffling; why endure sanctions when he is the one who ought to be sanctioning enemy states?Another anomaly is his constant kowtowing to that gang of Zionist swindlers linked to Trump through his Anglo-Russian Zionist crony—even though it is obvious to everyone that Trump is completely unreliable and any agreement reached today will be forgotten and reneged upon tomorrow.Questions—endless questions that receive no clarifying answers.  I think the Russian Oligarchs in Israel are controlling Putin’s every move and are responsible for most of Putin’s failures. </p>
 
 

Posted by: snake | Oct 2 2026 11:54 utc | 71

Cagliostro@40
 
That would not collapse the EU, but it would have it to switch to the directly US or US controlled sources, which is one of the milestones in the larger scheme of things.
Integrated and prosperous Eurasia is the greatest threat to the US hegemony.

Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Oct 2 2026 12:08 utc | 72

Looks like EU is folding to Trump’s demand of releasing its own diesel reserves. Or face no more US import of oil or diesel.
 
Macron wants to release 100 million barrels (50Mb crude, 50Mb diesel). Germany is reluctant to release any reserves due to future supplier scarcity.
 
Yet another sign of the sinking ship.
 
One would assume the Euro will keep falling on this news against the dollar.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 12:27 utc | 73

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 10:00 utc | 64

Russia’s obvious next choice is to start its own blockade of Baltic states and Polish ports. Seizing ships, accidents/explosions on ships headed to these ports, etc.

Yes! The angry soul in me is looking for Russia’s blockade of the Danish Straits. It’d affect all Baltic Sea states, in particular Sweden and Finland. It also probably won’t happen but a man can dream…

Posted by: Konami | Oct 2 2026 12:29 utc | 74

Pubblicato da: ArmChairGeneral | 2 ottobre 2026 12:08 UTC | 72
The US lacks the capacity to meet Europe’s energy and steel needs; furthermore, they are completely unreliable as suppliers—especially now, given the Gulf crisis. If Russia were to block all supplies from Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan—including Algerian supplies (where it manages extraction) and part of the Libyan supply—Europe would have to go back to using cow dung for cooking.

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 12:29 utc | 75

Just In…(& vid)
 
https://x.com/kadmitriev/status/2105766113070203051
 
“President Putin appreciates President Trump’s peacemaking on Ukraine and First Lady Melania Trump’s humanitarian efforts.”
 
Beware the oligarchs. All of them. Everywhere.

Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 2 2026 12:30 utc | 76

Enjoyed RT’s Simonyan’s response to a question by a (Swiss?) interviewer several weeks back…
Essentially,
“When would you respond militarily?”
” Yesterday…  No, the make that the day before yesterday!”
 
Clearly, folks in Russia are impatient for a stronger response.
And they are waiting. For now. 
I think Putin’s recent comments explained “why”.
 
Cheers.
 
 

Posted by: Ledovik1 | Oct 2 2026 12:33 utc | 77

Pubblicato da: Paco | 2 ottobre 2026 11:33 UTC | 69
 
I must regretfully note that you haven’t understood a thing and don’t understand a thing;
unfortunately for you, your limited IQ prevents you from grasping things, even though you can read and write;
therefore, I won’t waste time replying to someone who has a pumpkin for a head—useful only for keeping your ears apart and holding up your hat.
Adios, hermano.

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 12:36 utc | 78

Please copy this comment of yours and paste it as a response the next time one of the trolls — and quite possibly the same troll — posts the same stupid comment as the one you responded to.
Posted by: malenkov | Oct 2 2026 11:21 utc | 68

 
Mark Rutte stated that the Russian army is losing over 40,000 casualties a month and Zelensky has said then Russian economy is in shambles.
 
Then the Russians announce that the Russian military has expanded to 1.55 million from 1.1 million at the start of the war and they haven’t had to mobilize which means this is a volunteer army not a conscripted army.
 
They increased their military by half a million men while fighting the most resource intensive war in 80 years … that’s the size of the UK, German and polish military combined. 
 
This isn’t just the number of warm bodies they can put in uniform … to form new military units you need a fully staffed HQ, vehicles, weapons and people who know how to do their job.  There are salaries to pay, soldiers to feed and doctors to keep them healthy. 
 
What I don’t get is how anyone with more than two brain cells rattling around in their skull can hear information like that and conclude that Russia is losing this war, taking massive casualties and performing badly. How the hell can anyone believe  Russians are dying or being maimed at the rate of 40,000 / mo?? … that’s 480,000 / yr. … and still be able to raise an army of half a million VOLUNTEERS.
 
I don’t understand how people so bad with numbers can run a household based on their wages let alone analyze a war and come to a logical conclusion as to who is winning. These people are the useful idiots every propagandist hopes to reach in their dreams.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 12:42 utc | 79

This comes from Dr Campbell’s weekly summary,  work that I’d guess most of the people here don’t bother to read just as, I note, most of ’em don’t bother to read the articles “b’s” putting out.  Reading’s not really a thing here, nor thinking far as I can see.   
 
OK, there are a good few serious commenters here and and most valuable they are.  I learn a lot from them.  Why I come to the comment section.  But for the majority, the site seems to have become their padded cell of choice.  Were the Russians to nuke London you’d hear  hearty cheers from most  and cries of “Go on, do Berlin next Mr Putin please.”
 
Anyway, Dr Campbell quotes an inmate of a somewhat larger padded cell, the one the European politicians and military have taken up residence in.  Some Austrian politician.  “We are smart. Let us stop belittling ourselves… We are not dwarfs. There is a dwarf who behaves like a giant – this is Russia.” 
 
I suppose there’s just a bit of truth there.  There are only a hundred and fifty million Russians.  Tiny population in global terms.  And the country’s only just come back from the dead.  It still has a way to go before it’s fully recovered from the its near terminal condition of the ’90’s.   And this convalescent “dwarf” is confronted by a billion.  Should be no contest, as the Austrian would have us believe.
 
Except that the billion are living in dreamland.  Trump, as Biden before him, Rutte, Merz, all talk as if they had overwhelming military and economic power at their disposal if they cared to use it
 
But Trump doesn’t have an army.   Not in terms of this contest.  He’s got some legacy antique weaponry, a General Staff that doesn’t know how to use even  that effectively, and nukes neither he nor Biden before him could use against Russia because the Russians have nukes as well.  He has, it’s true, a vast economy.  Which he and his predecessors have been busy wrecking long as I can remember and none can say how long before it crumbles. 
 
And the Europeans are worse off.  All they have is dirty war and talk.  In both of which they are giants indeed except that neither answers here.  What  we’re doing right now is watching our Western politicians rattling around in their padded cell while the Russians calmly dismantle our current proxies without breaking sweat.  That’s all.

Posted by: English Outsider | Oct 2 2026 12:44 utc | 80

Stanislav Krapivnik
 

guest Alex Christoforou. Oh, Please Sign Minsk 3!

 
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2KhGoIT6IFw

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 13:03 utc | 81

When it comes to bridges, it’s a game of degredation. Even missiles not needed, but pummeling them with enough drones will eventually get them to the point where they can’t be repaired. That’s why it’s a long game for bridges. They get hit, repaired, hit again, repaired again, hit again – it get’s continuously more difficult to repair them into a usable point.  Same applies bridges in Kiev, and bridges W/NW of Odessa coming through the swamps and wetlands from Romania.
Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 9:41 utc | 59

Has Russia’s improvement in drones and the supporting technology brought this conflict to a turning point?  Bridges are very hard to bring down, but damaging the road bed will stop traffic until it is repaired.  Now Russia has the capability to send in another batch of drones after the bridge is repaired and make it impassable again.  It can do this repeatedly, at low expense.  Same for rail lines and power transmission lines.  No need to completely destroy a power station.  It’s the worst kind of attrition, when people will question the point of repairing something when it will just get destroyed again.  I’m expecting a mass migration of people from Kiev into Europe before winter.

Posted by: Mike R | Oct 2 2026 13:07 utc | 82

I’m expecting a mass migration of people from Kiev into Europe before winter.
Posted by: Mike R | Oct 2 2026 13:07 utc | 82
 
UKRAINIANS CONTEMPLATE LEAVING FOR OTHER COUNTRIES TO ESCAPE SEVERE WINTER (AND UNLIKELY TO BE WELCOMED)
 
https://www.theinteldrop.org/2026/09/25/ukrainians-contemplate-leaving-for-other-countries-to-escape-severe-winter-and-unlikely-to-be-welcomed/
 

Posted by: Kentuckian | Oct 2 2026 13:13 utc | 83

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 9:51 utc | 61
Xi and Putin are in power because of their partnership with the West.
 
Not because of their opposition.
 
The delusional think these capitalist pigs have some kind of future planned that is not exactly a blueprint of Trump’s and Musk’s, but which is a more benign and efficient AI-driven tyranny, within a competing capitalist clown show called BRICS. 
 
And thanks to the genius of Russia’s oligarchy seeking partnership with the mafia West, Nazis are bombing Moscow.
 
Who would trust these zionist assholes with Russia’s future? People who believe the crap that comes out of the blowholes of politicians who talk more better than Barak Obama.
 
But we are not in the future. Please come up with a better war strategy that does not get Russia and the world involved in a nuclear war. FFS,  at least the Russians have enough lust for life to not drive the planet directly to self destruction. 
 
It is forbidden in the West to acknowledge the unspeakable brutality the West has committed against Russia since 1914. Russia isn’t going to save the world but Russia isn’t in the driver’s seat of global conflict.

Posted by: Duck n cover | Oct 2 2026 13:18 utc | 84

Pubblicato da: John Gilberts | 2 ottobre 2026 12:30 UTC | 76

Your post confirms Putin’s ambiguity, given that Trump comes across as one of those fairground figures—kept upright by a blast of air—that flail about erratically (like an “Inflatable Tube Man”).

They are dynamic advertising inflatables.

 

 

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 13:31 utc | 85

Watch as German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte were loudly booed in Münster at the NATO Peace Prize ceremony.
 
video ==> https://t.me/presstv/209195
 

Posted by: too scents | Oct 2 2026 13:48 utc | 86

Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Oct 2 2026 12:08 utc | 72

Integrated and prosperous Eurasia is the greatest threat to the US hegemony.

Integrated and prosperous Eurasia is going to happen even without West Europe as part of it.

Posted by: Sekava Seppo | Oct 2 2026 14:17 utc | 87

Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 11:05 utc | 67
 
I wouldn’t mind it if this was reposted once a week or two.  Just as a reminder of what battle is like in Ukraine.  I would read it every time.
 
Thank you for this post.

Posted by: Woke American | Oct 2 2026 14:51 utc | 88

Asilan Frog@953:  Island of Jersey.  Of course.  The Brits also maintains colony status on a Caribbean island which is a hotbed of money-laundering and safes for the sons of riches.  Good take once again.

Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 15:04 utc | 89

Integrated and prosperous Eurasia is going to happen even without West Europe as part of it.
 
 
Posted by: Sekava Seppo | Oct 2 2026 14:17 utc | 87
 
 
 
I think the order of events is:  Asia becomes prosperous and free of US financial meddling while Europe suffers economically.  Only then does Europe completely break from the US and look east.
 
According to House of El in multiple videos, Europe is already making moves to become a little bit independent of the US.  Some of these moves require multi-year investments and activities.
 
If Europe gets involved in a missile and drone stand off with Russia, then Europe will need lots and lots of outside money for rebuilding.  If too many European nuclear power plants get quickly shut down due to external forces, then big chunks of Europe could become unlivable for quite a few centuries.  All bets are off for Europe if they really do go down the road of kinetic war against Russia.  And since over 100k US / NATO / Ukrainian drones have already been sent into Russia, including massive attacks on Moscow – it’s safe to say that Russia will be sending one heck of a lot of firepower into Western Europe should kinetic war happen.

Posted by: Woke American | Oct 2 2026 15:08 utc | 90

https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-putin-kaliningrad-polymarket-clash-odds
 
But how do the markets respond? Isn’t that what really matters?
 
All of humanity gets to gamble on nukular war, just not on Polymarket? Business ethics, people, business ethics in action.
 
The future is now. The future is crypto. 

Posted by: Duck n cover | Oct 2 2026 15:23 utc | 91

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 12:36 utc | 78
 
Caglioscrotte, now you get into the insulting ring, anything but brother of a bass turd like you, stronzo mal parido por perra sifílitica, and do not say goodbye, everyone of your appearances here will be confronted since you are a slimy piece of a turdy troll. See you around.

Posted by: Paco | Oct 2 2026 15:33 utc | 92

Posted by: English Outsider | Oct 2 2026 12:44 utc | 80
 

I suppose there’s just a bit of truth there.  There are only a hundred and fifty million Russians.  Tiny population in global terms.  And the country’s only just come back from the dead.

 
The absurdity lies not so much in what is being said as in who is saying it. An Austrian really shouldn’t say something like that.
 
Even though Russia is the largest country in the world, there are seven countries with larger populations and three with a higher GDP (PPP).
 
It is understandable for a Chinese, Indian, or American person to call another country, even Russia, a “dwarf.”
 
But for an Austrian to call Russia a dwarf is truly, truly ridiculous.
 
Russia is 199 times the size of Austria and has 17 times its population. In terms of purchasing power parity, Russia’s GDP is 10.5 times that of Austria.
 
Maybe the choice of words was not the better one. 

Posted by: Sebgo | Oct 2 2026 15:49 utc | 93

@ Sebgo | Oct 2 2026 15:49 utc | 93
 
The President of Austria is a typical European, born of Estonian and aristocratic Russian parents (themselves originally Dutch) in Nazi Vienna and an Estonian citizen until adolescence.

Posted by: malenkov | Oct 2 2026 16:07 utc | 94

With EU’s recently articulated threat to Kaliningrad/St. Petersburg, I wonder if EU hopes to goad Russia into attacking a NATO country, so that NATO (with USA) can stand on the high moral ground and claim that Russia is attacking them?
Seems like a lot of theatrics for something they’ve had plenty of opportunities and time to setup; couldn’t EU just lie, like it did with the WMD in Iraq, or some other false flag operation? Ukraine has been trying to pull NATO in direct conflict with Russia for years, but EU didn’t bite. Besides, if EU really wanted to engage Russia directly, they could just send troops to Ukraine.So, I don’t get what EU is hoping to get out of this Kaliningrad verbal gymanstics. Pretend it is still relevant?

Posted by: Spiridon | Oct 2 2026 16:08 utc | 95

 
Finally the Russians have began hitting the bridges that cross the Dnieper river in Kiev, along with data centers, and utility infrastructure. Looks like they are at last, fed up with the UkraNazis and NATO spooks. I hope this hellish Slavic genocidal war ends soon with complete Russian victory.

Posted by: Kalashnikov | Oct 2 2026 16:13 utc | 96

Pubblicato da: Paco | 2 ottobre 2026 15:33 UTC | 92
Ahahahahahahahah
Il burro con la 🎃 Instead of his head, he scorched his backside—
hit and sunk;
it’s incredible how jackasses hate being defined as what they are.
Hasta leugo burro

Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 16:14 utc | 97

Beware the oligarchs. All of them. Everywhere.
Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 1 2026 20:06 utc | 14
 
 
duuurr… oligarchs control everything.  every country is an oligarchy because john Helmer gilberts docotorw says so.   Russia is an oligarchy because John Helmer Gilberts Doctorow called it one.  
 
Tell me, If Russia is an oligarchy, does that mean they told Putin to invade Ukraine?
 
In which case… GOOD FOR THEM.
 
Are the “oligarchs” the ones ramping up weapons production in Russia, keeping it above that of NATO combined?
 
GOOD FOR THEM.
 
Or were the oligarchs powerless to stop Russia from invading Ukraine and only got their power back the next day.
 
Your little attempt to end all your posts with that tag line is a leading statement which immediately supposes that Russia is an oligarchy.
 
I DONT FUCKING THINK SO.
 
Putin (eat the name demon), whipped them into shape as soon as the likes of Helmer and all his econo-rapists were driven from Russia in the early 2000s, those who thought they knew better and that their money would rule Russia get the Khordovsky treatment, or better the Maganov and Staravoyt treatment….
 
 
…but maybe those were your GOOD oligarchs, right?
 
What about Nemtsov?  HE was fighting for the good guys I suppose.  Just a pious saint,tryign to get rid of the “oligarchy” and replace it with a pure democracy for the people?  
 
Yeah….
 
that’s it!
 
And lets not forget Prigozhin, the hero non-oligarch, who thought he can march to moscow and end the “oligarchy”, yes, pure hearted  Prigozhin, all he wanted was less oligarchy and better for the Russian people, and dastardly Putin cut him down.
 
So it’s pretty clear, there are rich people in Russia who think they control Russia, and its pretty clear, SOMEBODY says, “No you dont.  You dont even control your breathing anymore”.
 
 

Posted by: UWDude | Oct 2 2026 16:54 utc | 98

Posted by: Kalashnikov | Oct 2 2026 16:13 utc | 96
 
Yeah, and it isnt doing much except disrupting the commute for some people for a few days.

Posted by: UWDude | Oct 2 2026 16:56 utc | 99

South Korean president, Jae Myung Lee, accused Ukraine of “praying for the outbreak of war on the Korean Peninsula”
 
The background is that Ukraine apparently violated a confidentiality agreement on the repatriation of two North Korean soldiers it had captured, who were handed over to South Korea.
 
According to Lee, it was Ukraine that asked for the transfer to stay secret, and Seoul agreed – then Kiev went ahead and revealed the transfer unilaterally. When South Korea called them out on this, Ukraine straight up denied the agreement existed, essentially saying that Lee was a liar. And, when asked to apologize, Ukraine bizarrely warned about an imminent DPRK-ROK clash resulting in this public callout by the ROK president.
 
Jae Myung Lee threatened Kiev with “additional measures” if the Ukrainian side doesn’t retract its statements and issues a public apology
 
 
https://x.com/Jaemyung_Lee/status/2105834441973375354?s=20

Posted by: UWDude | Oct 2 2026 17:02 utc | 100

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