News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
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October 1, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-215
News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
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Remarkable. Putin at Valdai. Lots to digest. Posted by: Ledovik1 | Oct 1 2026 16:07 utc | 1 Good stuff from VVP: why should the waste be allowed to constantly escalate with impunity: Vladimir Putin warns it’s impossible to rule out weapons of mass destruction being used as he called for the need to prevent such a scenario.
He says the escalation “pushes us to the edge of the abyss”.
Posted by: Night Tripper | Oct 1 2026 16:31 utc | 2 The Ukronazis are toast. Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Oct 1 2026 17:04 utc | 3 Russia and China preach restraint and international cooperation. Posted by: Occam | Oct 1 2026 17:18 utc | 4 Is the World on the Brink of Nuclear War? Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 1 2026 17:25 utc | 5 Kind of reminds of Barbara Tuchman’s ‘Guns of August’ and how Europe (and eventually the US too) stumbled into a European War, that spread world wide. Posted by: tobias cole | Oct 1 2026 19:08 utc | 6 Rutte declared, ‘I don’t take this seriously…Everybody knows that [Putin] can never win against NATO Posted by: rk | Oct 1 2026 19:09 utc | 7 “Russia declared this week that it is ready to use nuclear weapons if NATO moves to blockade Kaliningrad” Posted by: andy74 | Oct 1 2026 19:12 utc | 8 US freezes out several NATO allies from key talks on bloc’s future — reportThe UK, France and the Baltic states didn’t receive an invitation to a NATO meeting in Poland scheduled for next month, where a working group is set to discuss the organization’s development, US media report.With no explanation for the move, the excluded countries were left in the dark, fearing that this new approach could split the alliance down the middle.
Subscribe @NewResistance Reports indicate that approximately half of Ukraine’s F-16 fleet is currently grounded. According to a Western source cited by the Wall Street Journal, more than half of these aircraft are in a state of “maintenance limbo.” At the current operational rate, Kiev may exhaust its remaining aircraft by the end of the year.Belgium, Denmark, the Netherlands, and Norway have pledged approximately 110 aircraft; however, delivery rates are not keeping pace with attrition. Furthermore, Ukrainian pilots are conserving missile usage as NATO-supplied munitions become scarce.Russia has maintained that Western arms shipments to Ukraine impede conflict resolution and directly involve NATO member states in the fighting.Subscribe @NewResistance Posted by: Jo | Oct 1 2026 19:26 utc | 9 Posted by: andy74 | Oct 1 2026 19:12 utc | 8 Posted by: unimperator | Oct 1 2026 19:29 utc | 10 UA is a meaningful territory for RF, nuking it would be inflicting self damage. A capital of a NATO member is not. Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Oct 1 2026 19:33 utc | 11 Question to anyone: how is Kaliningrand different to the recently acquired territories to Russia: Crimea,Donetsk,Luhansk? Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 1 2026 19:38 utc | 12
Brussels irritated by Kiev’s new aid requestsKiev is seeking an additional €69 billion for 2027 (€40 billion for military, €29 billion for state functioning), causing frustration in the EU. A European diplomat told Le Monde: “It feels like we are watering a desert.” This demand comes as the EU begins disbursing previously agreed €90 billion for 2026-2027.Le Monde notes that extra funding is becoming sensitive amid budget cuts and public resistance to new spending. EU members are also debating the 2028-2034 budget, which allocates another €100 billion for Ukraine.No decision has been made yet; the issue will be discussed at the finance ministers’ meeting on October 9 or the European Council in mid-October.@Slavyangrad Posted by: Jo | Oct 1 2026 20:05 utc | 13 Kremlin: Dmitriev Briefs Putin on Talks With US Reps Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 1 2026 20:06 utc | 14 Brussels irritated by Kiev’s new aid requestsKiev is seeking an additional €69 billion for 2027 (€40 billion for military, €29 billion for state functioning), causing frustration in the EU. A European diplomat told Le Monde: “It feels like we are watering a desert.” This demand comes as the EU begins disbursing previously agreed €90 billion for 2026-2027.Le Monde notes that extra funding is becoming sensitive amid budget cuts and public resistance to new spending. EU members are also debating the 2028-2034 budget, which allocates another €100 billion for Ukraine.No decision has been made yet; the issue will be discussed at the finance ministers’ meeting on October 9 or the European Council in mid-October.@Slavyangrad Posted by: Jo | Oct 1 2026 20:06 utc | 15 Posted by: unimperator | Oct 1 2026 19:29 utc | 10
I agree that at least some important EU/NATO elites are willing to open another front, when/as Ukraine goes out, and I agree that Kaliningrad currently seems the best bet. But their “attack” is probably executed as a blockade. That way they can fake indignation after Russia’s reaction. This will affect EUropeans and the effect on the homefront is perhaps even more important to Brussels/NATO than the battle itself. Posted by: Konami | Oct 1 2026 20:38 utc | 16
Posted by: unimperator | Oct 1 2026 20:51 utc | 17 Hehehe. Suck it up buttercup, you chose the exotic commitment to a black hole, there’s no exit now. Posted by: Woke American | Oct 1 2026 21:16 utc | 18 I agree that at least some important EU/NATO elites are willing to open another front, when/as Ukraine goes out, and I agree that Kaliningrad currently seems the best bet. But their “attack” is probably executed as a blockade. That way they can fake indignation after Russia’s reaction. This will affect EUropeans and the effect on the homefront is perhaps even more important to Brussels/NATO than the battle itself. Posted by: Woke American | Oct 1 2026 21:20 utc | 19 Ahenobarbus | Oct 1 2026 17:04 utc | 3 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Oct 1 2026 21:26 utc | 20 Posted by: Woke American | Oct 1 2026 21:20 utc | 19 Posted by: unimperator | Oct 1 2026 21:30 utc | 21 unimperator: Moscov has good reason not to want the Baltics wholesale. Just like they only want the properly Russian parts from Ukraine, with ballots to boot. The proportion of Russians in the Baltic states differs, and is <10% in Lithuania. Getting them out of NATO would be a massive achievement on its own. Posted by: Konami | Oct 1 2026 21:45 utc | 22 Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 1 2026 17:25 utc | 5
Nothing short of broad, direct action to wake regular Europeans from their slumber. Probably the best way – short of nuclear war – to “reach” senior decision-makers in the West would be to take down ALL bridges across the Elbe, Rhine and Danube in one fell swoop. Posted by: Pacific Observer | Oct 1 2026 22:39 utc | 23 CORRECTION: Posted by: Pacific Observer | Oct 1 2026 22:44 utc | 24 I am listening to Daniel Davis Deep Dive with John Mearsheimer and John has come up with a new word for Ceasefire….now it is Armistice Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 0:20 utc | 25 Posted by: andy74 | Oct 1 2026 19:12 utc | 8 Posted by: Paranaense | Oct 2 2026 0:40 utc | 26 … would Russia be willing to give up their Baltic Sea base if NATO was serious about harming Russia? Posted by: acementhead | Oct 2 2026 0:53 utc | 27 Unimperator@1929: Strike the NATO bases? Henry David Thoreau commented that one should not merely clip off the branches of a problem. It is much better to grub it out from the roots. So why go after the order-takers in the EU/NATO gangster paradigm. Wouldn’t it be better to zap the EU administrative headquarters in Brussels. Those administrative bureaucraps are not exactly the roots…however as we do not quite know the identities behind that institution…the HQ in the rule from the top down hit by a non-nuclear Oreshnik might just impact the entire rotten system. Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 1:05 utc | 28 Posted by: acementhead | Oct 2 2026 0:53 utc | 27 Posted by: Paranaense | Oct 2 2026 1:07 utc | 29 Psychohistorian@020: Mearsheimer has always struck me as a semi-classical liberal…not a balls to the walls type, in part motivated by a deep desire to not be deplatformed. Calling for an armistice is simply silly. Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 1:12 utc | 30 In response to Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 1:50 utc | 31 (guy onstage) Lukuyanov’s comments afterwards, in an interview over at Smoothie’s blog… Posted by: Ledovik1 | Oct 2 2026 1:54 utc | 32 Christoforou had an interesting observation about the Kalinigrand episode and Rutte’s comments. Shortly after Rutte says his idiotic ‘NATO is so much stronger than Russia, they could never beat us’ the Lithuanian PM standing beside him says this:
Rutte makes the bluster, and the Lithuanian PM walks it back. More histrionics from the Europeans. As for NATO vs Russia, IMO NATO without the US would get its arse handed to it in short order, and it’s an open question if Trump’s regime would come to the aid of the Eurotards. I’m guessing not. Europe should be careful it doesn’t get what it is asking for. I have to question whether the people of Europe would rush to sign up for a war if Russia was to attack. Posted by: Mike R | Oct 2 2026 2:37 utc | 33
Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 3:04 utc | 34 Posted by: Paranaense | Oct 2 2026 0:40 utc | 26 Posted by: New Fly | Oct 2 2026 3:04 utc | 35 Russia has the most experienced army in the world right now. They have an army of 1.5 million that’s been fighting for 4.5 years … Posted by: MiniMO | Oct 2 2026 4:40 utc | 36
Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 5:33 utc | 37 @37 Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 5:34 utc | 38 After replacing competent leaders with easily controllable idiots for the last 40 years the west seem to have decision making issues. Same goes for countries who participate in western “future leaders” programs. Posted by: 667 | Oct 2 2026 6:56 utc | 39 The question I have that remains unanswered is this:
Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 7:03 utc | 40 Posted by: Jo | Oct 1 2026 19:26 utc | 9 Posted by: Jon_in_AU | Oct 2 2026 7:25 utc | 41 Unimp. at 10 and Jon 41… yup. The Baltics usual phobias and hysteria could be used to be played for a good “sacrifice” upon by those of devious thought. Posted by: Jo | Oct 2 2026 7:48 utc | 42 Psychohistorian@150: Totally agree that private control over finance is the one single economic and political evil on this planet. Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 7:50 utc | 43 NewFly@304: Symbologically, the Kaliningrad enclave is Mama Bear’s cub. Would they? Looks to me like a warning shot in front of the bow of the idiots. Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 8:11 utc | 44 MiniMo@330: Still strumming on that out of tune harp, I see. Do you have any original thoughts in your noggin? Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 8:13 utc | 45 Unimperator@544: NATO kicked outta NATO does have a certain sense. They are a collective of braying asses kicking each other in their collective kiesters. They shot their wad when the Berlin Wall fell. No “raison d’ etre” ever since. It’s one crazy-assed clown show. Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 8:20 utc | 46 Cagliostro@703: Crazy like a fox, Russia. Supplying the Collective Wa$te engenders a heightening level of dependance amongst their would-be foes. Seems like the Euros are pissing into a gale. Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 8:24 utc | 47 It seems the DCs in 404 are now on the target list … IBXs next ? Posted by: Savonarole | Oct 2 2026 8:29 utc | 48 Jon_in-AU@725: Consider the logistical nightmare the Euros would encounter if they even tried to mess around with Transnistria. Russia knocked out a critical bridge by which the Ukies had been supplying Odessa. They can also take out the tunnels coming through Romania. Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 8:29 utc | 49 Pubblicato da: Aristodemos | 2 ottobre 2026 8:24Exactly—the Euro-Atlanticists are pissing into the wind, and I don’t understand why Putin provides them with windbreaks. Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 8:36 utc | 50 Posted by: MiniMO | Oct 2 2026 4:40 utc | 36 Posted by: Jan Sobieski | Oct 2 2026 8:38 utc | 51 Finaly a clarifying answer to my endless question, if Cagliostro was born yesterday and with a crackpipe in his mouth.
Posted by: pinche | Oct 2 2026 9:04 utc | 53
The Americans in Afghanistan were astoundingly efficient at ripping the taxpayers … that was the question wasn’t it?!? Posted by: Tel | Oct 2 2026 9:07 utc | 54 Inserito da: pizzico | 2 ottobre 2026 9:04 utc | 53 Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 9:09 utc | 55 Ukraine and World Affairs (includes Iran/ME): Weekly Update, 2nd October 2026: May be Useful to Some: Ukraine and World Affairs (includes Iran/ME): Weekly Update Posted by: The Busker | Oct 2 2026 9:29 utc | 56 Monsieur Cagliostreau is back, with his existential doubts unresolved personally by VPP, go to Valday and ask directly, or better yet, give your solutions to someone that has defeated the whole west with less than a tenth of the resources facing him. VVP gives a lesson, and the monsieur il commendatore appears with his existencial doubts. Curious to say the least. Posted by: Paco | Oct 2 2026 9:29 utc | 57
Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 9:38 utc | 58 Posted by: pinche | Oct 2 2026 9:04 utc | 53 Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 9:41 utc | 59 Russia has the most experienced army in the world right now. They have an army of 1.5 million that’s been fighting for 4.5 years … Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 3:04 utc | 34 Yet they can’t kick out the Ukrainian forces from the Donbas after all this time, so they can’t be that good. Posted by: genesiss | Oct 2 2026 9:49 utc | 60 Pubblicato da: Paco | 2 ottobre 2026 9:29 UTC | 57 Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 9:51 utc | 61
Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 9:53 utc | 62
Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 9:57 utc | 63 Posted by: genesiss | Oct 2 2026 9:49 utc | 60 Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 10:00 utc | 64 Norica at 34 Posted by: Jo | Oct 2 2026 10:27 utc | 65 A Polish level of stupidity?
Posted by: tucenz | Oct 2 2026 10:38 utc | 66
Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 11:05 utc | 67 @ HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 11:05 utc | 67 Posted by: malenkov | Oct 2 2026 11:21 utc | 68 Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 9:51 utc | 61 Posted by: Paco | Oct 2 2026 11:33 utc | 69 Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 7:03 utc | 40 …Putin keeps calling for the lifting of sanctions, but which sanctions is he talking about— sanctions imposed by hostile states? Is it a matter of vital necessity for him that these sanctions be removed?Can he not survive economically without trade with the US and the EU?In my humble opinion, his stubborn insistence on supplying these administrations with oil, gas, steel, and whatever else they need is baffling; why endure sanctions when he is the one who ought to be sanctioning enemy states?Another anomaly is his constant kowtowing to that gang of Zionist swindlers linked to Trump through his Anglo-Russian Zionist crony—even though it is obvious to everyone that Trump is completely unreliable and any agreement reached today will be forgotten and reneged upon tomorrow.Questions—endless questions that receive no clarifying answers. Posted by: snake | Oct 2 2026 11:50 utc | 70 Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 7:03 utc | 40 …Putin keeps calling for the lifting of sanctions, but which sanctions is he talking about— sanctions imposed by hostile states? Is it a matter of vital necessity for him that these sanctions be removed?Can he not survive economically without trade with the US and the EU?In my humble opinion, his stubborn insistence on supplying these administrations with oil, gas, steel, and whatever else they need is baffling; why endure sanctions when he is the one who ought to be sanctioning enemy states?Another anomaly is his constant kowtowing to that gang of Zionist swindlers linked to Trump through his Anglo-Russian Zionist crony—even though it is obvious to everyone that Trump is completely unreliable and any agreement reached today will be forgotten and reneged upon tomorrow.Questions—endless questions that receive no clarifying answers. I think the Russian Oligarchs in Israel are controlling Putin’s every move and are responsible for most of Putin’s failures. </p> Posted by: snake | Oct 2 2026 11:54 utc | 71 Cagliostro@40 Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Oct 2 2026 12:08 utc | 72 Looks like EU is folding to Trump’s demand of releasing its own diesel reserves. Or face no more US import of oil or diesel. Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 12:27 utc | 73 Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 10:00 utc | 64
Yes! The angry soul in me is looking for Russia’s blockade of the Danish Straits. It’d affect all Baltic Sea states, in particular Sweden and Finland. It also probably won’t happen but a man can dream… Posted by: Konami | Oct 2 2026 12:29 utc | 74
Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 12:29 utc | 75 Just In…(& vid) Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 2 2026 12:30 utc | 76 Enjoyed RT’s Simonyan’s response to a question by a (Swiss?) interviewer several weeks back… Posted by: Ledovik1 | Oct 2 2026 12:33 utc | 77 Pubblicato da: Paco | 2 ottobre 2026 11:33 UTC | 69 Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 12:36 utc | 78
Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 12:42 utc | 79 This comes from Dr Campbell’s weekly summary, work that I’d guess most of the people here don’t bother to read just as, I note, most of ’em don’t bother to read the articles “b’s” putting out. Reading’s not really a thing here, nor thinking far as I can see. Posted by: English Outsider | Oct 2 2026 12:44 utc | 80 Stanislav Krapivnik guest Alex Christoforou. Oh, Please Sign Minsk 3! Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2026 13:03 utc | 81
Has Russia’s improvement in drones and the supporting technology brought this conflict to a turning point? Bridges are very hard to bring down, but damaging the road bed will stop traffic until it is repaired. Now Russia has the capability to send in another batch of drones after the bridge is repaired and make it impassable again. It can do this repeatedly, at low expense. Same for rail lines and power transmission lines. No need to completely destroy a power station. It’s the worst kind of attrition, when people will question the point of repairing something when it will just get destroyed again. I’m expecting a mass migration of people from Kiev into Europe before winter. Posted by: Mike R | Oct 2 2026 13:07 utc | 82 I’m expecting a mass migration of people from Kiev into Europe before winter. Posted by: Kentuckian | Oct 2 2026 13:13 utc | 83 Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 9:51 utc | 61 Posted by: Duck n cover | Oct 2 2026 13:18 utc | 84 Pubblicato da: John Gilberts | 2 ottobre 2026 12:30 UTC | 76 Your post confirms Putin’s ambiguity, given that Trump comes across as one of those fairground figures—kept upright by a blast of air—that flail about erratically (like an “Inflatable Tube Man”). They are dynamic advertising inflatables.
Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 13:31 utc | 85
Posted by: too scents | Oct 2 2026 13:48 utc | 86 Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Oct 2 2026 12:08 utc | 72
Integrated and prosperous Eurasia is going to happen even without West Europe as part of it. Posted by: Sekava Seppo | Oct 2 2026 14:17 utc | 87 Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 2 2026 11:05 utc | 67 Posted by: Woke American | Oct 2 2026 14:51 utc | 88 Asilan Frog@953: Island of Jersey. Of course. The Brits also maintains colony status on a Caribbean island which is a hotbed of money-laundering and safes for the sons of riches. Good take once again. Posted by: Aristodemos | Oct 2 2026 15:04 utc | 89 Integrated and prosperous Eurasia is going to happen even without West Europe as part of it. Posted by: Woke American | Oct 2 2026 15:08 utc | 90 https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-putin-kaliningrad-polymarket-clash-odds Posted by: Duck n cover | Oct 2 2026 15:23 utc | 91 Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 12:36 utc | 78 Posted by: Paco | Oct 2 2026 15:33 utc | 92 Posted by: English Outsider | Oct 2 2026 12:44 utc | 80
Posted by: Sebgo | Oct 2 2026 15:49 utc | 93 @ Sebgo | Oct 2 2026 15:49 utc | 93 Posted by: malenkov | Oct 2 2026 16:07 utc | 94 With EU’s recently articulated threat to Kaliningrad/St. Petersburg, I wonder if EU hopes to goad Russia into attacking a NATO country, so that NATO (with USA) can stand on the high moral ground and claim that Russia is attacking them? Posted by: Spiridon | Oct 2 2026 16:08 utc | 95 Posted by: Kalashnikov | Oct 2 2026 16:13 utc | 96 Pubblicato da: Paco | 2 ottobre 2026 15:33 UTC | 92 Posted by: Cagliostro | Oct 2 2026 16:14 utc | 97 Beware the oligarchs. All of them. Everywhere. Posted by: UWDude | Oct 2 2026 16:54 utc | 98 Posted by: Kalashnikov | Oct 2 2026 16:13 utc | 96 Posted by: UWDude | Oct 2 2026 16:56 utc | 99 South Korean president, Jae Myung Lee, accused Ukraine of “praying for the outbreak of war on the Korean Peninsula” Posted by: UWDude | Oct 2 2026 17:02 utc | 100 Leave a Comment |
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