Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
October 1, 2026
Iran Open Thread 2026-216

News & views related to the war on Iran …

Comments

Despite the title, this week’s *Pepe Café* focuses—for more than half its duration—on events linked to the major wars in Eurasia.

For this reason, I thought it appropriate to post it here and in the open thread as an introduction to some information I will be providing regarding the situation in Latin America and the Brazilian elections.

Pepe Café – the week the whole world lives in danger.

A sovereign Brazil versus a neocolony: the impact on the future of the Global South.

https://youtu.be/2goglZUQ3yo?si=isaRTXRrjXQ4JZPM

In Portuguese

Posted by: Soviético | Oct 1 2026 22:57 utc | 101

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J091Zl9kXzg
progress in battery research.. 

Posted by: snake | Oct 1 2026 23:13 utc | 102

Another relic mishap.  1200kg.  
Posted by: too scents | Oct 1 2026 16:51 utc | 35

Maybe. But also remeber that both Russia and China have publically had old decrepit satellites break up recently, China’s specifically with the assistance of a missile. There is a distinct air of performance that mirrors each nations way of diplomacy – China is nonchalantly upfront about it, Russia doesnt talk about it, and the USA is as ambiguous as possible to avoid any show of weakness. However, its still all publically reported.
China has also been accused of launching and testing interceptor satellites, and Trump has recently admitted US weapons in space, and Russia doesnt talk about it. 
There is a non zero chance that it was a demonstration of space theater capabilities.

Posted by: eps | Oct 1 2026 23:17 utc | 103

There is a non zero chance that it was a demonstration of space theater capabilities.
Posted by: eps | Oct 1 2026 23:17 utc | 104
 
Those clever Persians took out most of the US ground based radar systems in the gulf already, so it may not be such a big leap to conjecture that those satellites which represent couscous hanging in low earth orbits may be next.  Could also be the the nefarious work of some wise oriental gentlemen.
“Once is a coincidence, twice is a pattern, three times is enemy action”…..attributed to Ian Fleming
 
Watch this Space

Posted by: Harmonic Resonance | Oct 1 2026 23:25 utc | 104

A sovereign Brazil versus a neocolony: the impact on the future of the Global South.
 
 
https://youtu.be/2goglZUQ3yo?si=isaRTXRrjXQ4JZPM
 
 
In Portuguese
 
 
Posted by: Soviético | Oct 1 2026 22:57 utc | 102
 
 
 
I guess I’ll have to grind through another round of Portuguese to English translation.  Paid off big time the previous article you posted.  Sovereign Brazil vs Colony summarizes what I was thinking before.  Looks like I’m not the only one that came to that conclusion.
 
Good luck to Brazil.

Posted by: Woke American | Oct 1 2026 23:48 utc | 105

fuckanyahu is trying 9again) to trigger a conflict that he lost 3 times already:
Source: Netanyahu plotted false-flag aircraft hijacking to drag Trump into new war against Iran
http://www.presstv.co.uk/Detail/2026/10/01/777415/Exclusive–Plane-hijacking,-a-UAE-Israel-plot-to-provoke-new-war-on-Iran
Speaking to Press TV, the regional source said the “absurd scenario” involving the hijacking of an Emirati aircraft bound for the occupied territories from the UAE, followed by its landing in Saudi Arabia, was carried out on Wednesday, three days after Netanyahu travelled to the United Arab Emirates accompanied by several senior military and intelligence officials.
The project, the informed source said, was discussed and finalized during the visit.
According to the source, during that visit, in addition to the UAE being tasked with playing a role in the Israeli regime’s regional projects, multilateral talks were held with officials from several other Arab countries to devise a false-flag operation and attribute it to Iran.
The source said the objective of the operation is to force Trump into a new quagmire and trigger a new round of war against Iran.
Netanyahu, the source said, is deeply concerned that if Knesset elections are held under the current circumstances, his coalition will be unable to secure a majority and form a ruling coalition.
“In that case, after being removed from the premiership, he would have to spend the rest of his political life behind bars,” the source said.
The source further said the criminal prime minister of the Israeli regime hopes that, through the influence he wields over the White House and Trump personally, he can once again drag him into a full-scale war against the Islamic Republic.
The source said Netanyahu also seeks to continue using “America’s weapons, economy, and declining credibility” to repair his own “dire political situation.”
WHO WILL KILL THIS VERMIN ONCE AND FOR ALL?
 

Posted by: David | Oct 1 2026 23:56 utc | 106

Re:   “Maybe. But also remeber that both Russia and China have publically had old decrepit satellites break up recently, China’s specifically with the assistance of a missile. There is a distinct air of performance that mirrors each nations way of diplomacy – China is nonchalantly upfront about it, Russia doesnt talk about it, and the USA is as ambiguous as possible to avoid any show of weakness. “
Posted by: eps | Oct 1 2026 23:17 utc | 104
 
Now… imagine this with more lethal weapons…
 
Say aged out nukes,  reaching their lifespan, needing proper break down and disposal….
Extremely costly adventure.
 
USA ( and Russia)  can’t just take them out and shoot them & watch debris follow.
 
It’s believed by many Russian’s, that this is the real reason (amoungst others) for the USA non-renewal of START.   US badly wants to restart nuclear test,  as a cheap, environmentally damaging solution, rather than do the right (but super costly)  thing with their aged out nukes.
 
Russia has warned multiple times,  against nuclear testing resumption.
 
Now think what must be going thru the deranged occupant of the Whitehouse’s head with Iran…
 
”look at all the money we’d save getting rid of these”….
 
Fortunately… I’m not seeing it for USA.

Posted by: Trubind1 | Oct 2 2026 0:06 utc | 107

I would like to apologize as it looks like I was wrong – I made a comment yesterday suggesting that no Youtube commercial pilot channel would touch this ‘story’.
 
Right on cue up pops ‘Captain Steeve’.
 
A 17 minute fluff and puff piece – zero ‘technical’ analysis on what happened.
 
The closest we got was a “they opened the cockpit door” (implying the stewardess & passengers) to be later contradicted by ‘the heroic pilot managed to open the door’
 
And the dive was the result of the ‘hijacker’ kicking the flight controls and disengaging the auto pilot.
 
From prior videos ‘Captain Steeve’ always goes into quite detailed explanations of technical nature.
 
Then we have over 2,300 comments in less than five hours all applauding and gushing with praise (there is an occasional dissenter but well and truly drowned out).
 
‘Captain Steeve’ doesn’t look entirely comfortable.
 
The main thing is the ‘story’ is out there and the Iranians did it.
The target audience have been reached and are well and truly onboard.

Posted by: Persona Non Grata | Oct 2 2026 0:08 utc | 108

To The Canadian Prime Minister…(&vid)
 
https://x.com/IRIMFA_SPOX/status/2102949483721998418
 
“Who, instead of condemning US blatant aggression and warmongering, chose to appease Washington…”
 
Carney is just a little dog barking to please an older, fatter, toothless one with which it play-fights, doing the same.

Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 2 2026 0:23 utc | 109

More good news – 
 
“UK-Iranian dual national arrested over RAF Fairford incident, police say” [BBC]
 
It’s taken a few days but they managed to find a suitable patsy.

Posted by: Persona Non Grata | Oct 2 2026 0:27 utc | 110

David 107
 
‘The source said the objective of the operation is to force Trump into a new quagmire and trigger a new round of war against Iran.’
 
Hasbara bs.  The objective of false flags is to deceive the Western public and justify illegal  USUKIS military aggression.
 
David is and always has been an Israeli troll. You don’t have to  “””drag””” a Zionist Potus who hates America into another illegal war.
 
What bit of Trump’s MAGA electioneering bollocks two years ago is so sparklingly honest that it must be believed.
Are Americans so gullible and brainwashed that they think Trump is being dragged into committing a monstrosity?
He is a Zionist gorilla being heavily restrained from Nuclear Armageddon by International and US law.
 
False flags are made by governments, not believed by governments. 
Is anybody out there conscious? Or are you all pissed as newts on the bar floor?

Posted by: Giyane | Oct 2 2026 0:27 utc | 111

 
https://www.presstv.co.uk/Detail/2026/09/30/777308/Yemen-Ansarullah-shoot-down-Saudi-reconaissance-drone-Sa-ada–Hazam-al-Asad
Yemeni forces down $11.25mn Saudi drone as Riyadh begs West, UAE for urgent help  
 
…..Separately, the Intelligence Online revealed that Riyadh is considering renewed use of foreign mercenaries, including Colombians previously associated with the criminal operations of the notorious American company Blackwater in Yemen.  Saudi authorities, it said, have contacted advisers previously involved in recruiting foreign mercenaries to help deter the lightning advances of the Yemeni forces. 
 
According to the report, Saudi Arabia has dramatically expanded its frantic efforts, contacting Western allies including the United States, Britain and France for urgent assistance to counter Yemeni advances…….
 
———————
MenchOsint  @MenchOsint 
 
Saudi Arabia claims that Yemen’s Ansarallah targeted the Taibah Power Station on Tuesday in Madinah, with a Kamikaze drone.
*this power station sits on the East-West Pipeline.
 
———————–
 
Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺  @ejmalrai
No-one is surprised. The person who opened the road for his business deals should also be exposed.
 
CNN  @CNN 
A CNN investigation has found that while Jared Kushner acted as a key Middle East peace negotiator, his private equity firm held the largest stake in an Israeli company backing businesses tied to Israel’s military campaign in Gaza, including its largest arms manufacturer.
 

Posted by: michaelj72 | Oct 2 2026 0:30 utc | 112

/in Vicky Pollard from “Little Britain” voice
Yah, but, no, but, yaah, but-
Fairford didn’t have an off-duty Israeli plumber who disarmed the attacker while in a plummeting nose dive with krav maga (because everybody who is anybody knows that all Israelis know krav maga, because, duh, you filthy slat) and flew the plane because he watched some TV now did they now, though
yaaah, ya lazy sluggards.
For FFFF sake!
And who keep playing that yakety saxophone! I mean, really, can’t you see people are trying to communicate here? Ponce.

Posted by: titmouse | Oct 2 2026 0:33 utc | 113

Persona non grata 111
 
A dual citizen means an Israeli citizen  like Shimon Elliott,  who has been given multiple false identities and passports plus multiple lives,  like Epstein , Hitler and next week, Bibi.
 
Do you think we are all  suckling infants?
Suckling whiskey maybe?

Posted by: Giyane | Oct 2 2026 0:39 utc | 114

Trump’s newest:
 
“BREAKING: U.S. to start a massive new bombing campaign against Iran after the November midterm elections, with Donald Trump saying intensified airstrikes are “possible” and declaring: “We will have peace in the world by destroying Iran,” per TIME.”*
 
Well I feel safe now, don’t you too? It looks like we’ll all live happily ever after like in the fairy tales once those evil Iranians are gone. 
 
Why don’t others see how simple it is?
 
*https://x.com/HormuzReport/status/2105634390953046040?ref_url=

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 2 2026 0:41 utc | 115

Titmouse 114
 
Well, I have seen angry squirrels in the past,  but surely the stupidity of online trolls is just something that has to be ignored. 

Posted by: Giyane | Oct 2 2026 0:45 utc | 116

George Wendell 116
 
 Is the irony of a Drunken  Trump pathetically  threatening to beat up his tormentors tomorrow, when he will be in prison, or Patagonia, something that should make us scared?

Posted by: Giyane | Oct 2 2026 0:50 utc | 117

Where is Peter AU1 when you need him?
 
Trump is going to jail 
 

Posted by: Giyane | Oct 2 2026 0:53 utc | 118

I don’t buy the hijack plot was an attempt to convince Orange Turd to attack Iran.
 
Trumtard is all in since before he became 46th.
 
I  believe its the Global majority that is the intended audience. 

Posted by: Suresh | Oct 2 2026 0:59 utc | 119

False flags a plenty. 
 
UK airbase arrests, Israeli plane falling 14,000 ft in seconds. G-forces don’t exist when it comes to a good false flag pantomime
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sva3PLRnJk8
 

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 2 2026 1:02 utc | 120

The ZOG is no longer an anti-Semitic conspiracy theory.
It is material fact.
If you live in so-called “Western Europe”, you live in a US-Israeli-operated concentration camp
You and your worth in labor was sold in slavery to Israel before you were even born, an animal – a dog, to have your worth extracted from you after a lifetime of surveillance and measurement
Select traitor-population clans of white dagos have been given leave to kill you at the first sign of resistance; you have felt this since birth – bullies, gadflies, strange opinions that always achieve representation regardless of material basis
You are a slave – and if you do not wish to die in the dark and be erased forever, you must steel your mind to insurgency and your hand to violence
Make them pay.

Posted by: fuller&tang | Oct 2 2026 1:04 utc | 121

Posted by: Giyane | Oct 2 2026 0:39 utc | 115
 
“Do you think we are all  suckling infants?”
 
From reading your recent comments I think you are a child having a temper tantrum.
 
Just calm down, take a few deep breaths – in out, in out.
 
There you go, feeling better now? 

Posted by: Persona Non Grata | Oct 2 2026 1:05 utc | 122

Speaking of False Flags…..
 
 
A “suicide” bomber with an explosive vest was arrested at the Kabba…..
 
 
Will the suspect be Iranian, “Houthi”, Iraqi or dual passport holder?

Posted by: Suresh | Oct 2 2026 1:06 utc | 123

michaelj72 113
 
Michael, according to a recent piece by Laith Marouf, Britain is already striking the Yemenis from a base in Crete.
 
You probably know that the largest long edtablished immigrant population in Majorca is Columbians, brought there by the EU to build a “””” motorway “”””..
Others are Germans and Moroccans.
The Brits were expelled for drunkenness and obscene behaviour. 

Posted by: Giyane | Oct 2 2026 1:09 utc | 124

“I don’t buy the hijack plot was an attempt to convince Orange Turd to attack Iran.”
 
Posted by: Suresh | Oct 2 2026 0:59 utc | 120
 
It’s more about bolstering Netanyahu’s re-election chances. October 27th.

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 2 2026 1:10 utc | 125

Suresh  124
 
Did you think that the Holy sites were managed by the Sauds?

Posted by: Giyane | Oct 2 2026 1:11 utc | 126

“Will the suspect be Iranian, “Houthi”, Iraqi or dual passport holder?”
Posted by: Suresh | Oct 2 2026 1:06 utc | 124
 
Of course.

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 2 2026 1:12 utc | 127

“Is the irony of a Drunken  Trump pathetically  threatening to beat up his tormentors tomorrow, when he will be in prison, or Patagonia, something that should make us scared?”
 
Posted by: Giyane | Oct 2 2026 0:50 utc | 118
 
“Trump Faces Removal Risk if Blue Tsunami Hits”
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k3D_9Hv0gZg

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 2 2026 1:17 utc | 128

Persona non grata 127
 
I am just killing time in the MoA,  US awake time , wondering how Americans can survive mentally, living on the Zionist propaganda that is thrown into their cages from above.
 
“Trump is being dragged by false flags into another war.  ” Lol.

Posted by: Giyane | Oct 2 2026 1:24 utc | 129

see the two photos at the first link
 
 
 
https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/37254#
Middle East Spectator — MES 
 
— 🇸🇦/🇾🇪 NEW: After failing to stop the Houthi ground offensive, the Saudi Air Force carried our strikes against Sanaa 
 
….Events of the Red Sea coast are repeating in Taizz, and the men of Ansarallah are advancing with unprecedented speed and coordination, while the Saudi-backed forces are disorganized, suffer from a lack of morale, and betray each other turn after turn.
 
—————————
 
https://www.tasnimnews.ir/en/news/2026/10/01/3711036/irgc-us-expulsion-from-iraq-prelude-to-wider-withdrawal-from-west-asia
IRGC: US Expulsion from Iraq Prelude to Wider Withdrawal from West Asia  
 
TEHRAN (Tasnim) – The Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) described the expulsion of US forces from Iraq as a historic victory for the Resistance Front, saying the development is a prelude to the expulsion of American forces from across West Asia and the geography of the Muslim world. 
 
In a statement issued on Thursday after the completion of the US military withdrawal from Iraq, the IRGC paid tribute to the resistance fighters martyred in the confrontation with US forces, particularly Lt. General Martyr Qassem Soleimani and Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, and congratulated the Iraqi people and the Resistance Front on a historic victory. 
 
The IRGC said the departure of US forces is the result of the Iraqi people’s perseverance in defending their independence, describing it as a major achievement for the Resistance Front. It said the Iraqi people have demonstrated that “national will is the strongest weapon against the ambitions of hegemonic powers.”…… 
 
…..The IRGC further called for the US to leave the region and for regional nations themselves to manage their security, arguing that two decades of US military presence have failed to bring security and have instead contributed to insecurity, terrorism and instability in West Asia. 
 
The statement also described the US departure as a major historical development and a significant achievement for the Resistance Front, expressing confidence that Iraqis would eventually end US interference in their economy and oil sector through national unity and determination……

Posted by: michaelj72 | Oct 2 2026 1:36 utc | 130

What’s stopping Iraq from bucking the US’s authority?
Posted by: fnord | Oct 1 2026 19:29 utc | 72

 
Iraq’s corrupt officials personal interest in flooding their overseas bank account with USD.
 
It is the same in many countries, including old Europe. “Hey, why are all those country leaders betraying their country and going against the country’s interest?” Because, they earn tons of money.
 
And the few who refused to betray are either wacked (Kadhafi) or coup d’étated (long list).

Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 1:40 utc | 131

Trump Faces Removal Risk if Blue Tsunami Hits” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k3D_9Hv0gZg
Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 2 2026 1:17 utc | 129

 
It is a complete mystery to me how can USans still vote for either blue or red after being deceived repeatedly, and not voting for third parties like voters do in Europe (Meloni, Afd, RN etc.)… Election fraud?

Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 1:47 utc | 132

I believe Trump will just kick the can down the road, pretending he is doing something against Iran (3 carriers in the area, few bombings) while waiting for the Democrats to be in charge of the mess.
 
In the meantime, dollarbucks in insider trading for his crook family…
 
Iran is patiently kicking the Yankees out of West Asia.

Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 1:52 utc | 133

RE: Posted by: titmouse | Oct 2 2026 0:33 utc | 114
 
hum… never knew”Joe the Plumber” …the old USA icon for the Everyman … was “Israeli”? 
He sure gets around a lot during election season. 
REF:  Article 
 
“Why Joe The Plumber Resonated With Millions in 2008 (And Still Does Today)”
 
”You’ve probably heard the name “Joe The Plumber” before — maybe during a political debate, a news clip, or even a meme. But do you know the real story behind the man who became an unlikely symbol of the American Dream?“

Posted by: Trubind1 | Oct 2 2026 1:52 utc | 134

Posted by: Giyane | Oct 2 2026 1:24 utc | 130
 
“…wondering how Americans can survive mentally living on the Zionist propaganda…”
 
That would probably require a visit to the US to view them in their natural habitat.
 
Fortunately, I would almost certainly be denied entry due to the mandatory disclosure of five years of social media history.

Posted by: Persona Non Grata | Oct 2 2026 2:05 utc | 135

Posted by: Trubind1 | Oct 2 2026 1:52 utc | 135
 
Plumbers definately in vogue.
 
Maybe you remember the “Mark-1 Plumbing” ute being driven by gentlemen from ISIS in Syria (2015).
 
“Texas Plumber Sues Car Dealership When His Used Truck Found Driven by ISIS”
 
https://abcnews.com/video/35788254/ 

Posted by: Persona Non Grata | Oct 2 2026 2:11 utc | 136

It is a complete mystery to me how can USans still vote for either blue or red after being deceived repeatedly, and not voting for third parties like voters do in Europe (Meloni, Afd, RN etc.)… Election fraud?
 
Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 1:47 utc | 133

 
It is a complete mystery to me how can Europeans still vote for third parties after being deceived repeatedly… Election fraud?

Posted by: malenkov | Oct 2 2026 2:14 utc | 137

Speaking of False Flags…..  A “suicide” bomber with an explosive vest was arrested at the Kabba…..  Will the suspect be Iranian, “Houthi”, Iraqi or dual passport holder?
Posted by: Suresh | Oct 2 2026 1:06 utc | 124

 
Oopsie poopsie! Someone forgot to keep their special occasion wear separate! 😉 Pilgrimage wear, explosion wear, evening wear. Eh, throw it all in the luggage and decide when there.
 
We are definitely at the “desperately throwing upon walls and seeing what sticks” phase of False Flag Silly Season. (Psst! False Flag Silly Season tends to occur roughly under 45 days before the next major election in Democracies!(tm))

Posted by: titmouse | Oct 2 2026 2:28 utc | 138

RE: Posted by: Persona Non Grata | Oct 2 2026 2:11 utc | 137
 
yes,  then idiot Nuttyahoo mentions in his speech, like the plane was going to be driven into a building like 911….
 
obviouslt Joe the plumber, plane/building… entire speech for Fox was American empathy recall driven…
 
…cept…. October 7th was Nuttyahoo’s 9/11 push…
 
how many 9/11’s does Nuttyahoo think he can push on the American people?  
oh well…. Whole FFF (as Titmouse states,  with brevity)  as well as the UK FFF…. are all snooze fests…. Only worth a small bit of energy to make fun of…

Posted by: Trubind1 | Oct 2 2026 3:01 utc | 139

From Middle East Spectator …ignore Axios source, though destination is speculation most outlets are saying middle-east… officially just deployment e.g.

https://news.usni.org/2026/09/29/makin-island-amphibious-ready-group-deploys-from-san-diego

– “According to Axios, the Makin Island Amphibious Ready Group and the 13th Marine Expediationary Unit have left San Diego Naval Base to the Middle East

The ARG consists of an amphibious assault ship, the USS Makin Island, and two amphibious transport docks, the USS Anchorage and USS John P. Murtha.

They will bring about a dozen F-35B Lightning II fighter jets and around 2200 U.S. Marines, as well as infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers”

– “Hypothetically, if the U.S. wanted to carry out a naval landing in Iran, they would do it somewhere outside the Persian Gulf, most likely Chabahar or somewhere else in the flat open coasts of Sistan-Balochistan Province.

That way, they don’t need to risk their ships entering the Persian Gulf under heavy anti-ship fire and incoming drones while trying to land their soldiers on a rugged coastline full of fortified positions and artillery emplacements.

In Chabahar, they could bring their ships close enough to the shore with relative safety, under heavy air cover. U.S. jets, drones, and attack helicopters would suppress any anti-ship batteries heavily, and create sufficiently safe conditions for the initial ‘landing’.

This might be coupled with increased Balochi terrorist activity across the Iranian rear lines, complicating logistics and the transfer of equipment / reinforcements towards the front. One also cannot rule out the possibility of deploying U.S. airborne forces to secure key sites before an amphibious landing is attempted.

In Sistan-Balochistan, Iranian ballistic missile platforms, MLRS systems, and armored formations capable of confronting the invading force are also fairly limited in quantity. The initial phase of resistance would focus mainly on assymetric warfare; small squads of Iranian ATGM crews, FPV drone operators, IEDs, drones, and what little precision-guided artillery & air support (UAVs) could be scrambled.

However, in my assessment, time will tell a different story. The longer the American force remains on the Iranian shores, the harsher their conditions will deteriorate. The Iranians will reorganize, MANPAD squads and remaininf SHORAD systems will likely form too much of a risk for U.S. aviation to provide effective long-term air cover, local civilians would resist occupation with guerilla tactics, and Iran would have moved sufficient amounts of MLRS, missile, and artillery systems to the area to make any sustained American presence a nightmare.

I believe the U.S. is currently not willing to tolerate the sheer amounts of losses such an operation would entail. The public is already very opposed to the war, and this opposition would increase 10x. Dozens, if not hundreds, of American soldiers would die within the first month of such an operation, possibly thousands after several months. And what’s the strategic goal here? What purpose does it serve?

The answer is: None. A limited amphibious landing would not bring any benefit to the United States, unless they go all-out. That would entail deploying tens of thousands of troops and securing the entire southern coastline towards the Strait of Hormuz, in an effort to stop the disruption of shipping & bring Iran back to the table.

Realistically? Impossible. The disasters such an operation would bring to the region are unimaginable, and senior U.S. military officials will *hopefully* realize it is a non-starter, before they ever embark on this campaign.

Iran would treat such a scenario as total war. A divine war, magnitudes greater than the 8-year long Iran-Iraq war. All red lines would have been finally crossed. And in such a case, the IRGC Aerospace Force will take the entire region down with it. All economic, military and civilian infrastructure in the Gulf will cease to exist. Millions would be mobilized, and it will be a bloodbath on both sides”

Posted by: Ornot | Oct 2 2026 3:10 utc | 140

LaLaLa….go on Bessent….screech…
 
“China is putting fresh pressure on energy markets as global oil prices hover at a key threshold.”
 
“Brent crude oil abruptly spiked above $100 a barrel on Thursday, reversing course after earlier declines following a report that refiners in China are suspending exports in October.”
 
“Brent crude prices surged nearly 4% to $101.50 a barrel, while US oil prices rose 2% to $92.54”
 
 

Posted by: Trubind1 | Oct 2 2026 3:22 utc | 141

Thanks for all the replies.
 
Satanyahu trying to manipulate the elections? OMG, just how low will that scumbag go!
 
Giyane, surely you agree the Saud’s are responsible for mismanaging the Holy sites, just ask “King” Abdullah about Al Aqsa ……oh, and that wee incident with the Kiswa………
 
To quote Titmouse, “oopsie poopsie”.
 
And now the backdown begins…..
 
No bombing attempt in Mecca: Saudi Arabia denies viral Grand Mosque Kaaba reports 

Posted by: Suresh | Oct 2 2026 3:23 utc | 142

From TPO
 
The United States is sending two additional Patriot missile systems to protect energy sites in Saudi Arabia and Qatar.
 
 
I wonder what Z thinks of this?

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 3:26 utc | 143

RE: Posted by: Ornot | Oct 2 2026 3:10 utc | 141
 
hum… all could be useful for a Lebanon push,  or to take on or 2 of those islands of Ansar Allah.
 
some say tactics change to tying up all of Irans allies In resistance groups,  with ground forces,  then full on attacking Iran,  with allies to busy to respond or aid Iran.
 
To stretch Iran,  as they did with Russia by starting Ukraine in 2014,  a year after Russia aided Syria in 2013… remember too,  Russia had to run in a bail out Kazakhstan Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, to prevent violent coup there.
 
This is how they do….
 
Its why Iran should strike NOW,  hard & fast

Posted by: Trubind1 | Oct 2 2026 3:34 utc | 144

From MES
 
 I was today years old when I found out the head of crude oil analysis at maritime research agency ‘Kpler’ is an Iranian pro-Pahlavi supporter with the Lion and Sun flag on his profile
This explains the exaggerated number of barrels flowing out of the Strait of Hormuz, which Kpler has stated as ‘near pre-war levels’.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 3:48 utc | 145

An interesting set of postings at MES
 
NEW: According to Axios, the Makin Island Amphibious Ready Group and the 13th Marine Expediationary Unit have left San Diego Naval Base to the Middle East
The ARG consists of an amphibious assault ship, the USS Makin Island, and two amphibious transport docks, the USS Anchorage and USS John P. Murtha.
They will bring about a dozen F-35B Lightning II fighter jets and around 2200 U.S. Marines, as well as infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers.
 
=============================
 NEW: According to Axios, the Makin Island Amphibious Ready Group and the 13th Marine Expediationary Unit have left San Diego Naval Base to the Middle East The ARG consists of an amphibious assault ship, the USS Makin Island, and two amphibious transport…
That’s a naval landing force.
There’s enough marines, transport helicopters, and amphibious vehicles in there to make a beachhead.
Very troublesome sign, possibly pointing towards Trump wanting to initiate a naval landing in Iran.
 
 
==========================
 
Hypothetically, if the U.S. wanted to carry out a naval landing in Iran, they would do it somewhere outside the Persian Gulf, most likely Chabahar or somewhere else in the flat open coasts of Sistan-Balochistan Province.That way, they don’t need to risk their ships entering the Persian Gulf under heavy anti-ship fire and incoming drones while trying to land their soldiers on a rugged coastline full of fortified positions and artillery emplacements.In Chabahar, they could bring their ships close enough to the shore with relative safety, under heavy air cover. U.S. jets, drones, and attack helicopters would suppress any anti-ship batteries heavily, and create sufficiently safe conditions for the initial ‘landing’. One also cannot rule out the possibility of deploying U.S. airborne forces to secure key sites before an amphibious landing is attempted.This might be coupled with increased Balochi terrorist activity across the Iranian rear lines, complicating logistics and the transfer of equipment / reinforcements towards the front. During this phase of the assault, I don’t expect much effective Iranian resistance, due to the overwhelming U.S. firepower (armored vehicles, air support, superior weaponry, etc.)In Sistan-Balochistan, Iranian ballistic missile platforms, MLRS systems, and armored formations capable of confronting the invading force are also fairly limited in quantity. The initial phase of resistance would thus focus mainly on assymetric warfare; small squads of Iranian ATGM crews, FPV drone operators, IEDs, drones, and what little precision-guided artillery & air support (UAVs) could be scrambled.This would probably cause enough mayhem on the U.S. side to slow their advance, but it won’t be enough to stop them from making decent progress towards strategic objectives.However, in my assessment, time will tell a different story. The longer the American force remains on the Iranian shores, the harsher their conditions will deteriorate. The Iranians will reorganize, MANPAD squads and remaining SHORAD systems will likely form too much of a risk for U.S. aviation to provide effective long-term air cover, local civilians would resist occupation with guerilla tactics, and Iran would have moved sufficient amounts of MLRS, missile, and artillery systems to the area to make any sustained American presence a nightmare. It would turn into a full-scale ground war, with Iranian tanks being deployed in combat for the first time since 1988.I believe the U.S. is currently not willing to tolerate the sheer amounts of losses such an operation would entail. The public is already very opposed to the war, and this opposition would only increase. Dozens if not hundreds of American soldiers would die within the first month of such an operation, possibly thousands after several months. And what’s the strategic goal here? What purpose does it serve?The answer is: None. A limited amphibious landing would not bring any benefit to the United States, unless they go all-out. That would entail deploying tens of thousands of troops and securing the entire southern coastline towards the Strait of Hormuz, in an effort to stop the disruption of shipping & bring Iran back to the table.Realistically? Impossible. The disasters such an operation would bring to the region are unimaginable, and senior U.S. military officials will *hopefully* realize it is a non-starter before they ever embark on this campaign.Iran would treat such a scenario as total war. A divine Jihad, magnitudes greater than the 8-year long Iran-Iraq war. All red lines would have been finally crossed. And in such a case, the IRGC Aerospace Force will take the entire region down with it. All economic, military and civilian infrastructure in the Gulf will cease to exist. Millions would be mobilized, and it will be a bloodbath on both sides.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 3:54 utc | 146

From ZH
 
Supertanker Ablaze After Iran Attack In Hormuz As US Deploys 10K More Troops & Third Carrier To Mideast
 

Update(1530ET): Iranians are apparently going back on the offensive, after it’s been widely reported that US-protected oil transit through the Strait of Hormuz has been fast gaining steam. Iran state media says a supertanker is burning off the coast of Oman after coming under Iranian attack:
Local sources reported that a 2.5 million barrel capacity supertanker that was traveling through the Strait of Hormuz illegally was hit 8 kilometers off the coast of Oman and is burning, reports Fars
Earlier we reported that starting in mid-August (on Aug. 16), Iran’s Supreme National Security Council set October 1 as a deadline. It warned at the time that if Washington failed to lift its naval blockade of Iranian ports within 45 days, Tehran could resume attacks against US forces, and by implication step up attacks on foreign shipping.
Iran’s 45-day deadline for the United States has now expired. That deadline has now passed, potentially adding another layer of uncertainty to an already tense confrontation where Tehran may decide it must act ‘preemptively’ while facing more bombs by Trump (likely after the midterms).

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 4:08 utc | 147

Norwegian | Oct 1 2026 15:23 utc | 16
 
Has it also occurred that maybe the Iranians knew of this plan long ago, and preferred to be martyred (there is no death)  for the greater cause for the resistance?
 
It was recorded, and released images of the last moments of the Supreme Leader reading a book before the strike.  Hardly sounds like a meeting, but quite, sound, meditation to God.  
 
Iranians are wiser, and outlived the serpents. 
 
 

Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Oct 2 2026 4:17 utc | 148

psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 3:54 utc | 147
 
MES analysis unfortunately has flaws, when you have lines like this, you can tell the dude is full of shit and doesn’t know what he’s saying.
 
“I don’t expect much effective Iranian resistance, due to the overwhelming U.S. firepower ”  – Pure BS for the sheepish mind
 
 

Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Oct 2 2026 4:22 utc | 149

@ CrazyCanuck | Oct 2 2026 4:22 utc | 150 with the MES critique…thx
 
I thought it was a reasonable scenario that should be shared and won’t defend the part you had trouble with……I also think Iran has gamed this option and would take out the landing craft before they got close to shore as well as the aircraft carrier strike groups that they have held off attacking but would if this sort of stupidity was tried against them.
 
I am liking seeing that Iran is forcing the pace of the conflict and saying fuck to the Occupied Palestine and US (s)elections.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 4:54 utc | 150

Fortunately, I would almost certainly be denied entry due to the mandatory disclosure of five years of social media history.
Posted by: Persona Non Grata | Oct 2 2026 2:05 utc
 
Yup, much better than being denied exit…

Posted by: necromancer | Oct 2 2026 5:09 utc | 151

Seems to me many voting Americans comprehend  Trump’s costly obsession with using the USA to destroy Iran has produced outcomes that show up at the gas pump, in food costs, in building costs, in interest cost, in home financing cost, in vehicle financing cost, and in household economics.  

Posted by: snake | Oct 2 2026 5:09 utc | 152

Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 1:47 utc | 133
 
The American system is devoid of any preferential voting system that could see minor parties and independents have a greater slice of power through the percentage of votes they attract. The only two parties that can get into government in the US are Red or Blue, and we know from history that they are part of a monoparty that acts as if they are black and white in values, but in truth they are one and the same once elected. Neocons and others can always get into power through the choices made by the new president, and often none of those are even elected members. It seems to me that is a recipe for disaster and completely non-democratic. American ‘democracy’ is an illusion.
 
It is better in my country where you have to be elected to get any meaningful position in government representation in key ministerial positions and for the Senate. Preferential voting also means that either of the bigger parties has to accept to make policy deals with minor parties and independents who give them votes, otherwise they cannot govern. That continues as parliament (when it sits) deals with the business of the day with major issues that the government seeks to pass through government.

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 2 2026 5:14 utc | 153

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 2 2026 5:14 utc | 154 … It is better in my country where you have to be elected to get any meaningful position in government representation in key ministerial positions and for the Senate.
.
.
<=the problem is the organization of governments in most countries violate the basic rule of democracy: the bottom up should rule[right of self determination], the top down should be given the right to govern subject to bottom up self determination. B↑SR:T↓SG <= the basic rule of democracy. 
.
.
Governments that do not allow “those it governs [the bottom up]” the means to change the documents governments use to justify their authority to form and operate governments are not and cannot be considered democratic.  
.
.
For a nation to be democratic those who are the governed must rule, and those who govern must adhere to that rule. BR:TG

Posted by: snake | Oct 2 2026 5:45 utc | 154

see the 10:22 video at the first link
 
 
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lx8TdpeXXj4
Laith Marouf: Saudi Military Collapse Against Yemeni Forces
Dialogue Works  Dialogue Works  446K subscribers
 
———————-
 
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/10/1/iran-war-live-trump-hints-us-could-strike-iran-warns-time-coming
US envoy Jared Kushner holds the largest stake in Israeli firm supporting Israel’s military, CNN reports 
 
Jared Kushner, US President Donald Trump’s son-in-law and a top US peace negotiator for the Middle East, has been found to hold a significant stake in an Israeli firm investing in companies supporting Israel’s military, according to a CNN report. 
 
Kushner’s investment group, Affinity Partners, doubled its stake last year in the Tel Aviv-based firm Phoenix Financial. 
 
Records disclosed by CNN – obtained using Israeli financial transparency laws – found that Phoenix invested hundreds of millions of dollars in Elbit Systems, Israel’s largest arms manufacturer. 
 
Kushner and fellow US special envoy Steve Witkoff brokered the “ceasefire” deal between Israel and Hamas last October. 
 
Israel continues to attack the Gaza Strip on a near-daily basis, despite the “ceasefire”.

Posted by: michaelj72 | Oct 2 2026 6:18 utc | 155

American ‘democracy’ is an illusion
Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 2 2026 5:14 utc | 154
 
Too many negative outcomes, e.g. :
1. A candidate can win the popular vote and still lose the election
2. It promotes a two party system.
3. Discourages voter turnout.

Posted by: Menz | Oct 2 2026 6:20 utc | 156

It’s an Arc de Triomphe race but Pete Hegseth must be the worst and most dangerous as any American Defence Secretary. 
 
And I though Donald Rumsfield was:
 
Pete Hegseth
 
No fatties.
No trannies.
No beardos.
No weirdoes.
No wimps.
No radicals — JUST WARRIORS.
 
https://x.com/PeteHegseth/status/2105482132357591389
 

Posted by: Menz | Oct 2 2026 6:41 utc | 157

😉 I’d say let us birds have the franchise, but I think the pigeons would vote like they play chess. (Love ya, cousins, but yeah… not great chess players. Neither am I, mind you.) But yeah, that and Canadian geese would throw off the voter rolls with attempted dual citizenship — and probably vote angry out of sheer spite. Aggressive big shits, they are. Literally.

Posted by: titmouse | Oct 2 2026 7:11 utc | 158

It is a complete mystery to me how can USans still vote for either blue or red after being deceived repeatedly, and not voting for third parties like voters do in Europe (Meloni, Afd, RN etc.)… Election fraud? Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 1:47 utc | 133
 
It is a complete mystery to me how can Europeans still vote for third parties after being deceived repeatedly… Election fraud?
Posted by: malenkov | Oct 2 2026 2:14 utc | 137

 
Ah ah. Touché. But AfD and RN haven’t been in national power (yet). Wait till they discover that Brussels runs the show…

Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 7:26 utc | 159

Posted by: Menz | Oct 2 2026 6:41 utc | 157
 
He’s just a can of racist and other disgraceful prejudices. 
 
Then there is Trump and his ‘Arch of Triumph’ which he has advertised recently as a befitting repository for storing military weapons. Just the thing your enemy would like to know, you don’t even need to do the intelligence to find the location.  But he was probably trying to fool useful idiots that it was another justification for it narcissistic construction. They probably couldn’t put two and two together.
 
All you can say is that both are doing their best to make the US the world’s most hated state – that’s what I’m gleaning from international blogs and international readers comments in the news. Pity for the Americans that can’t stand these clowns and know the US can be something far better.
 
Stupid is as stupid does.
 
 
 
 

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 2 2026 7:28 utc | 160

@Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 1:47 utc | 132

It is a complete mystery to me how can USans still vote for either blue or red after being deceived repeatedly, and not voting for third parties like voters do in Europe (Meloni, Afd, RN etc.)… Election fraud?

In the US they call it “voter fraud” to deflect the responsibility.

Posted by: Norwegian | Oct 2 2026 7:55 utc | 161

But AfD and RN haven’t been in national power (yet).
 
Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 2 2026 7:26 utc | 159
 
—
 
AfD knows who runs the show.  They are a stalking horse for the showrunners.
 
Vijay Prashad on the AfD
 

What happens in your opinion if Alliance for Deutseland arrives to power in Germany? Well that that’s an interesting question. Let’s let’s uh think about what has happened to Alliance for Deutseland. its leader Alice Widel for instance um she is in a relationship with a woman who is originally from Sri Lanka um but was adopted by a family she lives in Switzerland but works in Germany.
Okay so she’s a migrant uh she’s married to a woman um she has two children that these two women have adopted nonetheless. She leads a party which is anti-homosexual anti-LGBTQ. It’s a party that does not want to allow lesbian mothers to adopt children. It’s a party that’s anti-immigrant.
I mean, the contradictions are enormous. Also, Alice Weidel, by the way, has had a history with Goldman Sachs. So, she comes from the world of finance. You know, the way in which these parties of the far right are also quite quickly co-opted into the establishment needs to be understood.
I agree that it is a horrendous political formation. You know it’s appearance in Germany should be very alarming to the German people but on the other hand the capacity of the of the establishment and of of of finance and so on to come and and take control of these parties is extraordinary.
I mean, you know, you could have had a firebrand leader of the far right appear, but no, instead they brought this other person in who brings with herself uh the the quote unquote moderation of of of the international system.
It’s a little bit like Giorgia Meloni. Before she became um prime minister of Italy, Meloni was anti-NATO, anti-European Union. As soon as she becomes prime minister of Italy, she’s in Brussels shaking hands with everybody.
Yes, terrible rhetoric from her political allies and her formation itself. But once in power, they just become establishment people. So what I would say is Europe has a serious problem. But its problem may not be Chancellor Alice Weidel. I mean that may not be the problem. I think the problem is deeper than that.
Unless they actually confront their contradiction and their principal contradiction is held by the Atlantic alliance, their subordination to the United States, that’s a greater threat to the European population than the arrival of the of the alliance for Deutseland which will be co-opted very quickly.
https://youtu.be/rDccIpk3SnE?t=782
 

Posted by: too scents | Oct 2 2026 7:58 utc | 162

.For a nation to be democratic those who are the governed must rule, and those who govern must adhere to that rule. BR:TG
Posted by: snake | Oct 2 2026 5:45 utc | 154
 
I think ‘democracy’ is an illusion.
 
Government (meaning: control/mind) works from the top down. Even back in ancient Greece, one had to be a land owner to vote and women weren’t allowed to vote either.
 
Plus, the Greek government then, wasn’t actively trying to divide the populace into warring camps like the so-called democracies of today. Divide and rule, is the rule and always has been.
 
Human nature. It just wouldn’t work like people dream it would. Just another sort of vague utopia… a pipe dream.
 
Wet blanket… sorry.

Posted by: Nor am I | Oct 2 2026 8:08 utc | 163

Vijay Prashad on the AfD
Posted by: too scents | Oct 2 2026 7:58 utc | 162
 

I thought that the “A* in AfD stands for “Alternative” rather than “Alliance” and if Vijay didn’t put in the minimum effort of research to figure that out then there’s a chance perhaps they guy is simply full of shit all round.

Posted by: Tel | Oct 2 2026 8:18 utc | 164

@CrazyCanuck | Oct 2 2026 4:17 utc | 148

Has it also occurred that maybe the Iranians knew of this plan long ago, and preferred to be martyred (there is no death)  for the greater cause for the resistance?

No, that only plays into the “religious fanatics” nonsense the murderers are projecting. The Iranian leadership are rational people with at least 5000 years behind them.
 
The US toddler state on the other hand is younger than the Bolshoi Theatre in Moscow.

Posted by: Norwegian | Oct 2 2026 8:18 utc | 165

@ Tel | Oct 2 2026 8:18 utc | 164
 
YouTube’s machine transcription is untrustworthy.  Perhaps deliberately so, incorrectly transcribing keywords in order to make searches more difficult.  
 

Posted by: too scents | Oct 2 2026 8:33 utc | 166

see the numerous videos at the second link
 
 
 
https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248240/3-UAE-owned-tankers-hit-after-breaching-Hormuz-rules
3 UAE-owned tankers hit after breaching Hormuz rules 
 
In a statement posted on its official account, the PGSA said on Thursday that several tankers have been hit in the strait in recent days, and that the last three of them were owned or chartered by the United Arab Emirates (UAE).  Checks showed that the tankers Al Ruwais, Sinbad and Mersin Prosperity had repeatedly attempted to transit the Strait of Hormuz over the past two months. 
 
The authority said the names of all three vessels appear in the latest update of the PGSA non-compliance list. The list covers ships whose status or manner of passage has been found incompatible with the requirements set for safe and authorized transit of the strategic waterway……
 
————————–
 
https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/37269#
 
—❗️🇸🇦/🇾🇪 BREAKING: Ansarallah targeted the headquarters of Saudi forces in Aden, southern Yemen, with ballistic missiles and drones 
 
Dozens of Saudi soldiers and officers in the compound were killed or injured, armored vehicles were burnt, and warehouses were destroyed.
 

Posted by: michaelj72 | Oct 2 2026 8:46 utc | 167

AnsarAllah targeted ….Aden Posted by: michaelj72 | Oct 2 2026 8:46 utc | 167
 
Looks like House of Saud has not yet got the message from Ukraine, to keep the assets scattered.

Posted by: necromancer | Oct 2 2026 9:12 utc | 168

Since Trump and cronies only care about market manipulation, which depends on broadcasting total deception, is it not time to address the media war?
 
The Shia resistance and the Russian Federation care little or nothing about the propaganda war but this is the only front which affects the Oligarchy wealth.
 
And the oligarchy care about absolutely nothing else.

Posted by: necromancer | Oct 2 2026 9:18 utc | 169

Mary Kostakidis
 
John Menadue:
‘Albanese launched Australia’s pitch for a seat on the UN Security Council under the tag line ‘We listen. We partner. We protect’. One could be forgiven for asking who really is it that we listen to, partner with and protect. It is certainly not Palestinians in Gaza, subjected to genocide, supported by the Australian government. What was that nonsense of Australia combining with other middle powers to avoid being pushed around by the two global powers? Our record is clear. Alongside the US, we pick and choose the rules that suit us. It’s called hypocrisy.’
 
https://x.com/MaryKostakidis/status/2105275601506677201
 

Posted by: Menz | Oct 2 2026 9:21 utc | 170

Yes –  oppose Zionist expansion and this is what happens to candidates and commentators with guts…….
Posted by: tobias cole | Oct 1 2026 15:20 utc | 14
 
Just another in the endless stream of datapoints proving the Jews are a Cabal which control the West.
All predicted by The Protocols of The Learned Elders of Zion, which is not a forgery as some claim.
 

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Oct 2 2026 9:27 utc | 171

Ukraine and World Affairs (includes Iran/ME): Weekly Update, 2nd October 2026: May be Useful to Some: Ukraine and World Affairs (includes Iran/ME): Weekly Update

Posted by: The Busker | Oct 2 2026 9:28 utc | 172

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 4:08 utc | 147
 
MES and Fotros are real value and popular because they provide a window to what ‘s happening in the region in real time.
 
The problem is when they stray off their lane and talk about stuff they have very little understanding of. We have those kind of armchair Generals too at MOA.
 
If a carrier has to sit 1000km out from shore, how in God’s name are LHA/Ds going to survive in a kill zone?
 
What aircover is this guy talking about. Has he ever shown photos of US or the Colony’s aircrafts flying uncontested over Iran?

Posted by: Suresh | Oct 2 2026 9:41 utc | 173

Rachel Blevins on the Farcical Flydubai Fight:
 
Israel’s FlyDubai Hijacker Story Gets More INSANE Every Time Netanyahu Tells It

Posted by: ChatNPC | Oct 2 2026 9:52 utc | 174

@ChatNPC | Oct 2 2026 9:52 utc | 174
 
LOL, thanks.  A very low budget 911 rehash instigated by a panicking mass murderer (Netanyahu) . 

Posted by: Norwegian | Oct 2 2026 10:48 utc | 175

YouTube’s machine transcription is untrustworthy.  
Posted by: too scents | Oct 2 2026 8:33 utc | 166

 
Did you even watch the video? The audio clearly said “alliance” … coming from both Vijay and the interviewer. Truth matters mkay? Don’t blame google in this situation … although there’s sufficient other material if you want to go finding some place google has been evil.

Posted by: Tel | Oct 2 2026 11:10 utc | 176

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 3:54 utc | 146
 

In Sistan-Balochistan, Iranian ballistic missile platforms, MLRS systems, and armored formations capable of confronting the invading force are also fairly limited in quantity.

 
Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 2 2026 4:54 utc | 150
 

I thought it was a reasonable scenario that should be shared…

 
Here we go again. No, this is not a reasonable scenario.
 
After weeks of chanting on MoA that 2,500 to 5,000 troops were going to “invade Iran” by landing at Bandar Abbas, now we’re being told that 2,000 to 4,000 troops are going to storm Chabahar almost without resistance.
 
Missiles that can reach Israel and keep US warships a thousand kilometers away couldn’t protect the local coast? Seriously?
 
And we are expected to believe that, even though the country is at war and anticipating an attack, there are supposedly only civilians there, and therefore no meaningful defenses ?
 
Chabahar is not only a major port but is also housing two bases, one naval and one air, since the days of the Shah. They  became strategically important during the war with Iraq and more now.
 
The same goes for Bandar Abbas, supposedly to be “captured easily before reinforcements arrived”, which serves as the headquarters for the Iranian Navy and also hosts an airbase.
 
Even in peacetime, the importance of the Chabahar port project for the North-South transport corridor involving India and Russia demands that it be secured, not to mention that the Sistan and Baluchestan province where it is located is a separatist hotspot, and the port itself constitutes an obvious entry point for an invading army.
 
Why on earth would a country at war wait for a landing to occur before sending reinforcements to key locations?
 
I don’t know Iran personally, but a quick search was all it took for me to find this information.
 
Perhaps those churning out these childish narratives ought to do their homework before serving us this kind of nonsense.

Posted by: Sebgo | Oct 2 2026 11:12 utc | 177

@ Tel | Oct 2 2026 11:10 utc | 176
 
Similarly, I want to have a low opinion of anyone who jibbers on about “Kalingrad”, but then I remember that a name is less important than what’s behind it. This is especially true of political parties.

Posted by: malenkov | Oct 2 2026 11:27 utc | 178

Posted by: Menz | Oct 2 2026 6:41 utc | 157
It reminded me an Arthurian parody.
-Mylords , the Hun are attacking us !
– How big is their army ? 
– Two
– Two thousand ? 
– No , just two ; there is Attila and one Hun.

Posted by: Savonarole | Oct 2 2026 11:31 utc | 179

To stick a bit more to the topic, we saw a lot of “unattributed” strike in Syria these past days. Some are saying the genocidal maniacs might attempt a dash at Damascus.
Bibi is familiar with the concept of starting a new war to avoid “troubles” and it seems the coming elections are a lot of troubles for him.
Nobody noticed but his coalition bared “arab” parties to run, there is a legal process ongoing to contest the ban but it’s quite telling when you know last electoral pooling were crediting 11 out of 120 seats to them : they were literally in a kingmaker position.
The takeaway point of this is that he’s a cornered beast : at this point he might be considering a coup.

Posted by: Savonarole | Oct 2 2026 11:47 utc | 180

too scents@162:
 
“Also, Alice Weidel, by the way, has had a history with Goldman Sachs. So she comes from the world of finance.”
 
How interesting. Like Mark Carney. Or this fanboy:
 
“True.”
 
https://x.com/kadmitriev/status/2102119110163194268
 
Kirill Dmitriev
 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kirill_Dmitriev
 
“Career…”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 2 2026 12:19 utc | 181

Asian Frog @ 132
 
Most US voters are old people hypnotized long ago. Especially old women.
 
And only true believers imagine the votes are counted.

Posted by: oldhippie | Oct 2 2026 12:32 utc | 182

Posted by: Norwegian | Oct 2 2026 10:48 utc | 175
 
Israel’s 911 averted by Yosef the Plumber no less.
 
“You couldn’t make it up!”, says Bibi.
 
“You just did!”, says everyone else.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Oct 2 2026 12:36 utc | 183

False Flags, by Massive Attack

Posted by: Strange Bedfellow | Oct 2 2026 13:16 utc | 184

@necromancer
 
Some of the most inept, undiplomatic people choose so-called ‘power’. And the problem with what we call, power, is that it’s not supposed to be power at all, but, rather, marionettes-on-a-string for The People. That’s the ‘false flag’ of power’s definition, its irony or paradox. Governments aren’t supposed to govern for themselves, but for the people. But of course they don’t. We are who they are supposed to answer to, not the other way around.
 
This is why the concept/definition of ‘power’, its contextual usage, is a bit of an antithetical mindfuck.

Posted by: Strange Bedfellow | Oct 2 2026 13:34 utc | 185

Omg. No one knows what happened on the UAE flight. A Zionist and a not Zionist flying the plane…rich.
 
I choose to believe the heroic Omani pilot got tired of his Zionist copilot’s shit and tried to take over the plane to fly to Teheran. He thought he had surprised and overpowered his “partner,” forgetting that most all adults are trained killers in Ziostan, so an alarm button was hit.
 
The stormtroopers rushed the cockpit, started bashing skulls blindly like they do, and then the plane started to plunge.
 
Next time brave copilot, just kill the fucking Zionist pilot already. 

Posted by: Duck n cover | Oct 2 2026 13:37 utc | 186

@Duck n cover | Oct 2 2026 13:37 utc | 186

Next time brave copilot, just kill the fucking Zionist pilot already. 

‘AI’ will kill billions confirmed!

Posted by: Norwegian | Oct 2 2026 13:42 utc | 187

Posted by: karlof1 | Oct 1 2026 15:47 utc | 21
 
Karlof1 – I read your link to RT on Valdai yesterday.  No trouble.  Came back to it today and “this site can’t be reached”.  Are you still able to get it?

Posted by: English Outsider | Oct 2 2026 13:42 utc | 188

DW: Elijah Magnier: ‘Dubai-Tel Aviv Hijack’
 
https://www.youtube.com/@dialogueworks01/streams
 
“Dubai-Tel Aviv hijack attempt: the spark that could ignite the Middle East.”
 
 
TJDS: Col Lawrence Wilkerson
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ONHSdL64G2M
 
“Israel’s real plan: they want US out of Middle East.”
 
‘BB’s got his eye on a lot of things…’

Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 2 2026 13:44 utc | 189

No one dare question Trump’s or Burnham’s intervention into the judicial procedures that supposedly follow accusations of crime,  a la the “attack” on the “RAF” base. Neither have a clue what happened and its already Iran doing it.
 
A zio plane starts to plunge and immediately it is Iran’s fault. Zero possibility of mechanical failure, or…a health emergency…or Airplane! food poisoning…
 
“What really happened” doesnt matter. At all. And that is the real problem. All the problems that plane-crashing Boeing,  e.g. has had…can disappear by screaming “terrorism “

Posted by: Duck n cover | Oct 2 2026 13:49 utc | 190

Also, Alice Weidel, by the way, has had a history with Goldman Sachs. So she comes from the world of finance

She worked as a GS trainee straight out of school, left after 1 short year. 

Posted by: Amalek (ne Exile) | Oct 2 2026 14:21 utc | 191

Moral Resistance: Sulaiman Ahmed
 
https://www.youtube.com/@MoralResistance/streams
 
“Iran War Update.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Oct 2 2026 14:28 utc | 192

@144 trubind

“… all could be useful for a Lebanon push, or to take on or 2 of those islands of Ansar Allah.

some say tactics change to tying up all of Irans allies In resistance groups, with ground forces…”

Yemen seemed a more obvious destination to me… in Lebanon that is already claimed by the entity and a reaction ground force during say a civil war is too tidy probably… as am not sure what Iran anti-ship capability actually is, nor shore defences, cannot comment on what would happen if a landing was tried on Iran, nor one way or the other because we don’t know what either are capable of… I would expect several days of heavy air attacks based on opening SoH, possibly across all of Iran, then an attempt at securing positions, even if symbolic, to draw Iran into further conflict …would all likely be very drawn out, to ‘win’ would be a bonus but to degrade Iran and the region primarily, to reshape it all.

Resistance to bombing and missile is limited (so far), but Iran does not seem to be relying on that ability, more on ground forces and depth of defence.

All very wrong, what Iran is asking for resolution is a pittance by comparison, but the contest and animosities with regard to “Israel” and US are entrenched, are antagonised continuously by western actions …

So am not very positive in any way about the current direction… even if Iran had to start sinking ships, US would cause a lot of damage before leaving… if it even left … and it or entity would still carry on attacks or economic blockade of some kind from a distance even then.

Posted by: Ornot | Oct 2 2026 15:38 utc | 193

English Outsider | Oct 2 2026 13:42 utc | 188—
 
Yes, its last entry–“President Putin’s Valdai speech and Q&A are complete. Thank you for staying with our coverage of the event.”

Posted by: karlof1 | Oct 2 2026 15:49 utc | 194

“Babak Zanjani says that in 2016 Bank Kunlun in China was ready to transfer about €2 billion in Iranian oil revenues from a Malaysian bank to Iran, but Hassan Rouhani (the president at that time) blocked and rejected the transfers.

This was happening while Iran was getting hit with painful economic sanctions and the reformist Rouhani administration was deliberately sabotaging relations with the east in order to restore relations with the west”

https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/24020

Posted by: Ornot | Oct 2 2026 16:06 utc | 195

“The European Union “fully rejects” the threat made by the U.S. to ban diesel exports if Europe does not release more of its ⁠fuel stock…” Reuters 5hrs

“Europe has agreed to release “a massive amount of their heavily stocked diesel oil,” following days of pressure to take action to cool surging…” CNN 3hrs

“G7 leaders have agreed to release 100 million barrels of diesel within four months as European nations scramble to prevent Donald Trump’s …” Independent 1hr

“EU members discussed that any agreement on further diesel stock releases should include a US commitment to avoid a unilateral diesel export ban” bbc 50 mins

In other words, they had to release reserves ‘not because of conflict with Iran or Russia but because Trump’ ?

Posted by: Ornot | Oct 2 2026 16:15 utc | 196

 
This was happening while Iran was getting hit with painful economic sanctions and the reformist Rouhani administration was deliberately sabotaging relations with the east in order to restore relations with the west”
https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/24020
Posted by: Ornot | Oct 2 2026 16:06 utc | 195
Galls for the prosecution of former Iranian president Hassan Rouhani have intensified, coinciding with a growing hardline campaign against Iranian reformists over their positions on the conflict with the United States.
Hundreds gathered outside Rouhani’s home, chanting slogans against him, as well as against former Iranian president Hassan Khatami and former Iranian president Javad Zarif, demanding that Rouhani be put on trial.
The campaign against Rouhani has escalated following his calls to reconsider the continuation of the conflict and relations with the United States. Rouhani urged that the public’s opinion should be sought on whether to continue the conflict, stressing the need to respect the will of the people if they choose to end it.
Figures and media outlets aligned with the hardline faction have launched a broad attack on Rouhani after his recent statements, while an online campaign demanding his prosecution has gathered hundreds of thousands of signatures in a short period.

Posted by: arby | Oct 2 2026 16:23 utc | 197

Posted by: Ornot | Oct 2 2026 16:15 utc | 196
 
There is much fakery going on.
 
Releasing some reserves makes kind of sense if you think things aren’t going to get any worse.
 
Trump is intimating that bombing will resume post-midterms, Bibi can’t get back to war soon enough.
 
This could work out very badly.
 
Europeans have not shown any amount of foresight for at least 15 years…

Posted by: ChatNPC | Oct 2 2026 16:24 utc | 198

Posted by: arby | Oct 2 2026 16:23 utc | 197
 
Not a good sign nor an indicator of national unity. 
 
Grown ups need to intervene…

Posted by: ChatNPC | Oct 2 2026 16:26 utc | 199

Grown ups need to intervene…
Posted by: ChatNPC | Oct 2 2026 16:26 utc | 199
 
Well I find it baffling that a former leader could still want to be friends with the West after the murder of all those school girls.  If that and the other murders didn’t change his mind then it is little wonder there are protests against him.

Posted by: arby | Oct 2 2026 16:40 utc | 200

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