Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
August 15, 2026
War On Iran: Six Months Later – The Astonishing Size Of The U.S. Defeat

January 28 2026: The U.S. sent a carrier force to threaten Iran. It made a number of extensive demands.

Trump Threatens Iran With ‘Massive Armada’ and Presses a Set of Demands (archived) – NY Times

Mr. Trump’s threat of a second direct attack on Iran by U.S. forces in eight months came as the aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln, along with other naval ships, bombers and fighter jets, took up positions in the region in striking distance of the country.

Mr. Trump gave no specifics about the deal he was demanding, saying only that a “massive Armada” was heading toward Iran and that the country should make a deal. But U.S. and European officials say that in talks, they have put three demands in front of the Iranians:
– a permanent end to all enrichment of uranium and disposal of its current stockpiles,
– limits on the range and number of their ballistic missiles, and
– an end to all support for proxy groups in the Middle East,
including Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis operating in Yemen.

August 15 2026:  Due to Iranian counter measures the carrier mission largely failed  It is leaving the Middle East.

Navy Carrier’s Problems Are Tied to Attacks on U.S. Base Early in War (archived) – NY Times

The aircraft carrier U.S.S. Abraham Lincoln’s supply problems began soon after the first day of the war, as Iranian missiles and attack drones fell on a Navy base in Bahrain.

The Iranian attack, retaliation for the U.S.-Israeli assault on Tehran, destroyed much of the base. And as it went up in smoke, so did a major logistics hub that the Navy has relied on for decades.

The loss of the hub in Bahrain has contributed to a host of reported problems on carriers supporting operations against Iran, as Democratic senators raise concerns about the Lincoln’s 5,000 sailors and their nearly nine-month deployment.

The carrier will be replaced by a different one. But the U.S. has only ten of these and to keep one ship on station requires two additional ones for refit and training. Six of the ten carriers will thus be bound near the Strait which leaves just one ready to take care of the rest of the world.

They are doing high-fives in Beijing.

The demands towards Iran are gone. The first concern for Trump is now political survival.

Vance says low oil prices now ‘goal number one’ in Iran war as US threatens new economic pressureNBC News via MSN

Keeping gas prices low is now the United States’ “goal number one” in the Iran war, Vice President JD Vance has said, as Washington threatened an indefinite naval blockade and signaled it would soon intensify economic pressure on Tehran.

The comments appeared to be the latest shift in the public rationale for the conflict, with Vance ranking Iran’s nuclear ambitions second.

The international oil benchmark of Brent Crude sits just above $87 dollars a barrel, 45% higher than it was in January. The average price for a gallon of gas in the U.S. is now higher than $4; before the conflict it was lower than $3.

I continue to marvel at the size of the U.S. defeat.

The long term consequence is that others will learn from Iran.

Comments

right
on!
thanks b…. couldn’t happen to a nicer group of people confronted with the warmongers of the west… 

Posted by: james | Aug 15 2026 16:51 utc | 1

My research shows lowering fuel prices will be easy–the Trump Gang merely needs to order Big Oil to cease its gouging. The Empire is one of the very few able to evade high transport fuel costs, although there are many other commodities that aren’t flowing from the Gulf Region causing shortages resulting in much higher prices. And with the resumption of the Tariff War, inflation will accelerate its rise. From PressTV:
 

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei cited a passage from Dostoevsky’s The Brothers Karamazov on X, saying it aptly describes how America’s extreme reliance on lies has corrupted its foreign policy toward Iran and the region to the point where it can no longer distinguish truth from falsehood: 
 
“The man who lies to himself and listens to his own lie comes to such a pass that he cannot distinguish the truth within him, or around him, and so loses all respect for himself and for others.” 

 
   And all others lose their respect for the liars.

Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 16:51 utc | 2

@ karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 16:51 utc | 2
 
that’s a great quote karl that sums it up perfectly… they are so used to lying to themselves and everyone else, they have forgotten everything about the truth which contradict their ongoing lies..

Posted by: james | Aug 15 2026 16:59 utc | 3

Only one response to bullies and fascists: fight them and defeat them.

Posted by: Don Firineach | Aug 15 2026 17:01 utc | 4

Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 16:51 utc | 2
Thank you for that quote and the reference.  Thanks to b and everyone here.
God help us all.

Posted by: lex talionis | Aug 15 2026 17:02 utc | 5

El – 15 mins:   Bessant in panic mode … 
 
USA PANICS as Bonds CRASH to 25-Year LOW — BEGS Europe Drop Laws, Europe Says NO

Posted by: Don Firineach | Aug 15 2026 17:04 utc | 6

the world has learned from and cheers Iran. I am.certain the Chavistas in Venezuela are pissed they didnt have a chance to fight the US

Posted by: Toxik | Aug 15 2026 17:10 utc | 7

On lies and liars, from Crooke’s SCF article today:
 

(In fact, Conflicts Forum noted in early July (see here) that alongside Caspit, a chorus of Israeli premier security and intelligence former officials and commentators alleged that Netanyahu had lied about Iran’s nuclear threat in the run up to Iran war – and that he continues to lie about an Iranian nuclear threat).

 
And Netanyahu isn’t the only liar Crooke calls out.

Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 17:16 utc | 8

Thanks for the post, b.
Don’t be too astonished, yet. More to come.
There is Persian proverb, loosely translated: they will put their tails on their shoulders and go home.
 

“the aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln, along with other naval ships, bombers and fighter jets, took up positions in the region in striking distance of the country.” ~NYT

 
 
Is this striking distance, the same as the 1000KM away?
 
The same distance that renders jet fighters – without refueling – useless, and running up the cost of any launch?

Posted by: Sakineh Bagoom | Aug 15 2026 17:22 utc | 9

The shoe has yet to drop.
 
Sulfur is refined from oil.  Its price has increased by a factor of 2.5 since March.  In the same period WTI oil has increased by a factor of 1.25.
 
This correlation will correct.  Once oil doubles in price we can talk about the size of the US defeat.
 
 

Posted by: too scents | Aug 15 2026 17:23 utc | 10

War On Iran: Six Months Later – The Astonishing Size Of The U.S. DefeatJanuary 28 2026:
[…]
I continue to marvel at the size of the U.S. defeat.
The long term consequence is that others will learn from Iran.
Posted by b at 16:35 utc | 

 
😮 I just learned about what sort of feed goes into the Grinder, the one that Bessent might use to find adjectives for his sanctions. It’s not tasty seed grains. It’s suggested by florid description like this.
 
🙁 I had to huddle in my bramble nest with my family at night scared. So like randy and feisty alley cats, that’s what some of you humans are doing rustling outside our nesting bushes at night! But you are much larger and far more creative than alley cats, using tools you call toys! And you developed these apps to order this good time fun for convenient take out delivery service! 
 
🙂 I think I am glad I am but a wee bird. I don’t have to wear pants to go outside, when in the mood I can call for my mate loudly across the suburban forest, and we can have good time fun openly during the day in front of your houses without shame. Life seems so cozy, joyful, and simple in comparison to yours. 
 
🙂 I stay with you because you all are so interesting. Yet  you might also need someone less complicated in your life, too, so us wholesome natural critters will make the effort to be with you during these stressful times. Maybe our example will encourage you and your leaders to blow less things up out of pent up frustration from confusion.

Posted by: titmouse | Aug 15 2026 17:30 utc | 11

Posted by: Toxik | Aug 15 2026 17:10 utc | 7
 
South Americans aren’t built to fight.   Consume alcohol, play sports ball, and make babies.   Harsh reality, but the truth.  Layup for the US. 

Posted by: MarcusAurelius | Aug 15 2026 17:35 utc | 12

Pepe Escobar’s observations of events shouldn’t be overlooked. Here’s his SCF essay. And his “New Great Game Revisited” essay posted at the new Geopolitics Prime substack. 
 
In the SCF essay, Pepe calls Russia, China, Iran the Three Musketeers, but as we all know the story includes a fourth, D’Artagnan, so which nation will fill that role? The DPRK perhaps? 
 

Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 17:40 utc | 13

@10 too scents
 
We shouldn’t cheer high gas prices. They affect lower income people in the west the most. Businesses use them as an excuse to collude and raise prices. 
 
Mom and Pop businesses suffer more than debt-based major retailers. Restaurants are the first to go. 
 
This moves and breathes like another exercise akin to Covid where business funnels up to the big guys. Trapped in your home, you still need a little retail therapy from Amazon to make it through the night. 
 
Simmering inflation is desirable for TPTB. It needs to be at a level of magnitude much higher to trigger dissidents to activate. 
 
I am not convinced that TPTB are not still in control and have factored in the effects of a prolonged Strait closure. It could be the hidden means for consolidation of business life in the west towards its powerbrokers. 
 
And it aligns perfectly with a Dem recapture of the the branches of government. Does anyone remember when Biden got in? The western libs laughed as TPTB ran over vaccine refuseniks and crushed the Canadian truckers. 
 
“We’re from the government and we’re here to help.” The Dem capture will have “Adults in the room again” as its slogan. And then the domestic crackdown will commence I earnest. 

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Aug 15 2026 17:43 utc | 14

=================== 

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei cited a passage from Dostoevsky’s The Brothers Karamazov on X, saying it aptly describes how America’s extreme reliance on lies has corrupted its foreign policy toward Iran and the region to the point where it can no longer distinguish truth from falsehood:   “The man who lies to himself and listens to his own lie comes to such a pass that he cannot distinguish the truth within him, or around him, and so loses all respect for himself and for others.” 

    And all others lose their respect for the liars.
Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 16:51 utc | 2  ====================================  I think you are giving American leaders and nearly all Israelis too much credit.  
 To be a liar one must first have some character substance that one is turning one’s back on. 
 
They have no concept of truth and lies, all they know is what serves me. 
 
 

Posted by: Otto Penn | Aug 15 2026 17:48 utc | 15

In response to b who wrote

I continue to marvel at the size of the U.S. defeat.
The long term consequence is that others will learn from Iran.

 
Thanks for the posting b….you are to be commended for your ongoing coverage of the geopolitical changes in our world
 
Iran is part of a team of humans trying to correct the moral direction of our species.  The long term consequences will be either extinction or some relief from patriarchal barbarism and the God Of Mammon cult……Hi Pope Bob!  How are your usury morals?
 

Posted by: psychohistorian | Aug 15 2026 17:48 utc | 16

I also suggest reading Larry Johnson’s latest essay which opens thusly:
 

There is a single sentence in a 2025 defense-industry study that ought to end a certain kind of complacency in Washington. Researchers at Govini, a firm that maps the Pentagon’s supply chains, found that more than 80,000 parts across roughly 1,900 weapon systems incorporate just five processed minerals — and that the global supply of all five is dominated by China. The conclusion, in the report’s own words: nearly 78% of all Department of War (DoW) weapon systems are potentially affected. Renaming the department the “Department of War” changes the letterhead, not the arithmetic. Nearly four out of five American weapon systems depend, somewhere in their supply chain, on materials controlled by the country they are most likely to be used against.
 
The five elements are antimony, gallium, germanium, tungsten, and tellurium. None is a household name. Together they form a chokepoint on American military power more absolute than any adversary’s missile, and the uncomfortable part of the story is not that China built it. It is that the United States handed it over — deliberately, incrementally, and with ample warning, across decades of procurement decisions that treated the cheapest supplier as the best one.

 
Missing from the intro is the ultimate cause–Neoliberal Dogma–which in this case perhaps we ought to be thankful it was obeyed.  

Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 17:48 utc | 17

Otto Penn | Aug 15 2026 17:48 utc | 15
 
Thanks for your reply. While I agree that the Trump Gang certainly lacks “character,” on the international scene the Empire’s reputation once had enough “character” for it to be followed by a rather large group on nations. What the Trump Gang has accomplished is the utter destruction of what remained of that “character.”    

Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 17:55 utc | 18

Posted by: MarcusAurelius | Aug 15 2026 17:35 utc | 12
 
There are quite a few Columbian mercs on the ground in Ukraine. A lot IN the ground as well fortunately…

Posted by: Helen Weals | Aug 15 2026 17:55 utc | 19

They affect lower income people in the west the most.
 
Posted by: NemesisCalling | Aug 15 2026 17:43 utc | 14
 

 
Energy is a primary agricultural input.  The effect of high energy prices is felt outside of the West, direly, as food insecurity.
 
Smaller dollars will increase living standards for the World’s majority at the expense of higher energy prices in the USA.
 
Smaller dollars are baked into the cake.  Bon Appétit!
 
 

Posted by: too scents | Aug 15 2026 17:56 utc | 20

I am not sure that Navy problems are linked to strikes on Bahreïn base; wasn’t it obvious that Ormuz would be closed to US ships ?
The more likely point is that the US did not consider the case of a durable conflict, and did not organize any logistics to resupply their so- called armada in high-see !

Posted by: Godet | Aug 15 2026 17:58 utc | 21

I thought a debilitating strike on a US aircraft carrier would be a devastating blow to Americans confidence in their weapons and the resulting cost of lives too dear to the public for Trump to continue this war against Iran. The Iranians had a better strategy. Rather than focusing on defeating the weapons deployed by the Americans the Iranians withstood the barrage depleting the US inventory, targeted assets of intelligence to destroy strategic infrastructure sites, and disrupted supply chains for the USN and the global economy. Iran, barely a near-peer adversary of the US, knew the arrogance of Trump, a representative of Americans belief in their own exceptionalism, was not materially or ideologically sustainable. America no longer has the capacity to militarily threaten nations which have a developed industrial economy and a resolve to defend themselves. Nor do Americans have the belief, discipline, or fortitude to reign as the world’s hegemon. The distressed sailors of the USS Abraham Lincoln demonstrate how devastating the stress of being in a war and having to go without their accustomed niceties prevents the strategies of the war planners from being implemented. Americans do not have to bear the deaths of their sailors to know wars consequences. Clogged toilets and missed ice cream deliveries are too much of a burden for America’s warriors.     

Posted by: Keme | Aug 15 2026 17:58 utc | 22

–First the Ford carrier, now the Lincoln carrier headed for years of maintenance.

–Air tankers and fighter jets rotated in from Europe, etc to replace maintenanced air assets. How many AWACS are still flying? No radars in F35s cuz China?

–Air defense missiles gone and long range fires in short supply or the “stockpiles” of old versions are not reliable.

–Destroyers in short supply in the Mediterranean as well as others. NATO boats not really there, the Brits don’t work, the Nazis out of ammo, the French still running away.

–Regional land radars gone except Turkey, ships with radars can’t cover land approaches to regional US bases and Israel.

–Most US regional bases out of action, gun and run temp bases hunted down.

–Iran’s war of attrition is effectively reducing USA expedition operations capability to the level of China and Russia in a few more years.

Posted by: Jonny Law | Aug 15 2026 17:58 utc | 23

too scents,
Do you think the bog drought will be a multiyear event ? 

Posted by: Exile | Aug 15 2026 18:06 utc | 24

BIG drought

Posted by: Exile | Aug 15 2026 18:06 utc | 25

Posted by: Jonny Law | Aug 15 2026 17:58 utc | 23
“Regional land radars gone except Turkey, ships with radars can’t cover land approaches to regional US bases and Israel.”
 
I think that one of the reasons that the U.S. needs to keep a carrier in the area is to base the E-2 Hawkeyes to provide radar coverage.

Posted by: Helen Weals | Aug 15 2026 18:07 utc | 26

THE IRAQ WAR – PART I: The U.S. Prepares for Conflict, 2001

‘Sanctions are fine, but what we really want to think about is going after Saddam.

Imagine what the region would look like without Saddam and with a regime that’s aligned with U.S. interests.

It would change everything in the region and beyond it.

It would demonstrate what U.S. policy is all about.”

(Donald Rumsfeld, February 1, 2001, at a principal committee meeting)

“I would certainly think it is still worthwhile.”

(Paul Wolfowitz, February 27, 2001, when asked whether he favors committing U.S. forces to support Iraqi opposition groups in overthrowing Saddam Hussein)

“Well, I just don’t understand why we are beginning by talking about this one man bin Laden…There are others that do…at least as much. Iraqi terrorism for example…You give bin Laden too much credit. He could not do all these things like the 1993 attack on New York, not without a state sponsor.
Just because FBI and CIA have failed to find the linkages does not mean they don’t exist.”

(Paul Wolfowitz, April 2001).

“I am unaware of any Iraqi-sponsored terrorism directed at the United States … since 1993 …”

(Richard Clarke, counterterrorism coordinator, April 2001)

“We have no evidence of any active Iraqi terrorist threat against the U.S.”

(John McLaughlin, CIA deputy director, April 2001).

“Publicizing the interdiction to our advantage….Getting the right story out.”

(State Department concerns, June 29, 2001, after the U.S. interdicts aluminum tubes purchased by Iraq to manufacture rockets).

“If Saddam’s regime were ousted, we would have a much-improved position in the region and elsewhere…A major success with Iraq would enhance U.S. credibility and influence throughout the region.”

(Donald Rumsfeld, defense secretary, July 27, 2001).

“The people across the river [CIA headquarters] are trying to start a war. They are really beating the (An International Atomic Energy Agency scientist, summer drum, they want to attack.”

“Don’t worry about it …. I’m in no hurry to go look for trouble.”

(George W. Bush, around August 1, 2001, on being warned by Colin Powell to be skeptical of Paul Wolfowitz’s claims that supporting Iraqi opposition groups in overthrowing Saddam Hussein would be easy).

“We are just looking to see whether there could possibly be a connection with Saddam Hussein.”

(Condoleezza Rice, national security adviser, September 11, 2001, to the British ambassador to the U.S.)

“Best info fast. Judge whether good enough hit S.H. @ same time – not only UBL … Jim Haynes to talk w/ PW for additional support …. connection with UBL …. Go massive – sweep it all up. Things related and not.”

(Donald Rumsfeld, September 11, 2001, 2:40 p.m.)

“You know, we’ve got to do Iraq — there just aren’t enough targets in Afghanistan.”

(Donald Rumsfeld, September 11,
2001, evening)

“Having been attacked by al Qaeda, for us now to go bombing Iraq in response would be like our invading Mexico after the Japanese attacked us at Pearl Harbor.”

(Richard Clarke, NSC
counterterrorism advisor, September 12, 2001).

“It’s showtime.”

(John Maguire of the CIA Iraq Operations Group, to an Iraqi former covert operations collaborator, September 12, 2001).

https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/NSAEBB/NSAEBB326/IraqWarPart1-Quotes.pdf

JINSA Proposes Iraq War on 9/13/2001

https://alethonews.com/2012/01/08/jinsa-proposes-iraq-war-on-9132001/

Posted by: Dan Kelly | Aug 15 2026 18:09 utc | 27

Some are saying this is the US’s Suez Crisis, to be followed by the Winds of Change.
 
Possibly, the parallels are there:
 
End of Empire (1985) – Egypt

Posted by: ChatNPC | Aug 15 2026 18:14 utc | 28

Do you think the bog drought will be a multiyear event ? 
 
Posted by: Exile | Aug 15 2026 18:06 utc | 24
 

 
Yes.  At least two years for the present El Niño to resolve.
 
It has been brutal in Oberaargau.  1mm of rain in 10 days.  6mm of rain forecast for Monday, with further rain expected later in the week.  Finally!
 
On the other hand the higher pastures in the Alps have never made so much hay.
 

Posted by: too scents | Aug 15 2026 18:18 utc | 29

They have no concept of truth and lies, all they know is what serves me.   
Posted by: Otto Penn | Aug 15 2026 17:48 utc | 15

 
Epstein Class people also will blissfully tell one lie in the morning, and a complete contradicting lie in the afternoon. 

Posted by: Exile | Aug 15 2026 18:21 utc | 30

Posted by: too scents | Aug 15 2026 18:18 utc | 29
 
Thanks – 2 years is possible to overcome

Posted by: Exile | Aug 15 2026 18:25 utc | 31

Some are saying this is the US’s Suez Crisis

Perhaps – but perhaps more akin sinilar to the Sicilian Expedition 

Posted by: Exile | Aug 15 2026 18:27 utc | 32

Posted by: Exile | Aug 15 2026 18:27 utc | 32
 
Same imperial overreach, different theatre.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Aug 15 2026 18:31 utc | 33

Posted by: ChatNPC | Aug 15 2026 18:31 utc | 33

 
10 years in the stone quarries of syracuse ……

Posted by: Exile | Aug 15 2026 18:39 utc | 34

On 30 June/1 July 1997 U.K. newspapers headlines were “End of Empire”  (Hong Kong returned to China). Countries may think they are a major power many years after the fact.

Posted by: The Far Side | Aug 15 2026 18:42 utc | 35

No, the long term consequence is not that others will learn from Iran.

It is that others will learn from Iran AND ALSO, AND MAINLY, from Pakistan and North Korea:

1- have good relations with China and Russia. They want sovereign partners, not vassals as in the West;

2- do not depend on USatan for anything, not even trust them for negotiations, because Western word has no value;

3- what matters is what you want and how strong you are to demand it, NOT international “law”;

4- you can only defend yourself by having these 8 things:

4.1- huge swarms of drones and their production at home;

4.2- huge reserves of long range missiles, ideally also ICBM (intercontinental) and their production at home;

4.3- anti-ship munition, to be able to severely damage or even destroy Western means of imperial projection;

4.4- your own mosaic defense with your own air-defense systems, complemented with syatems from Russia and China;

4.5- your own ISR, and close cooperation with multipolar powers (Russia, China), without any reliance on Western satellites nor GPS/Galileo;

4.6- protect your information space, both by restricting western media/propaganda, and also by countering western intelligence agencies permanently (from CIA and Mossad to NED and USaid, etc);

4.7- to be economically and monetarily sovereign and sanctions-proof, is as important as any other military defense;

4.8- cooperate with Russia and China to developed your nuclear civilian program faster, and either develop your own nuclear weapons, or sign a nuclear agreement with a multipolar power (Russia, China, Pakistan)).

So far, Iran itself has not YET completely learned point 4.2 and has not learned at all point 4.8, but Saudi Arabia learned that point even before learning the others, thus signing that deal with Pakistan and Turkey, as a first step (immediately nuclear) to start getting rid of its Western/USatan dependence.

The next big step is going to be Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey, all applying to be full members of the SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organisation) instead of just Dialogue Partners, and Turkey having to leave NATO in order to do so, now that SCO is expanding Dedense cooperation.

And that’s exactly why USatan is using its proxies/vassals “israel” and Greece to increasingly threaten Turkey, in case you haven’t noticed yet. As long as Turkey feels this threat, it will remain in NATO to… protect itself from the West.

The othet tectonic shift is already happening, and I’m surprised Moon Of Alabama didn’t even mention it in this article: Iran is now on the offensive, attaching USatan targets without waiting to be attacked first.
I salute the brave heroes of the Iranian IRGC, Iraqi PMF, Lebanese and Syrian Hezbollah, and Yemeni Ansar Allah.

That’s a move that not even Russia nor China have dared to make yet. But they should!
Those ISR airplanes over the Black Sea, those “ukrainian” F16 taking off from Romania and Poland, those tankers supplying Europe with USatan’s oil and LNG, those USatan’s ships crossing the South China Sea, those cargo planes landing in Taiwan, all those USatan bases in NATO vassals with ukrainian recruits being trained, Guantanamo occupation pigs, etc.

I think the no return point, where things will drastically change, is when the de-dollarisation reaches the sweet spot, and China has finally dumped all USatan’s treasury bonds.

The idiot “100% tariffs” (with a possibility to reach 500%) against Russia and China and their partners (mainly in BRICS+) is just going to be USatan’s harakiri, a desperate move that will instead just catalyse the birth of the multipolar world.

Final note: Cuba better start preparing to have the capacity do to Miami the exact same thing that Iran did to UAE/Dubai and Kuwait and Bahrain.
And Cuba and Russia (and North Korea and Iran) better start helping more. They either have their own modern “Cuban” Missile Crisis (the name the western propaganda calls to the: USatan missile crisis in Turkey, SOLVED by USSR doing the same in Cuba), or USatan will not stop escalating.

Posted by: Carlos Marquea | Aug 15 2026 18:49 utc | 36

Posted by: The Far Side | Aug 15 2026 18:42 utc | 35
 
Every empire soon develops a system to breed and replace it’s imperialist class.
 
In the UK it is the public schools 9which are very much private) – churning out generations of uruk-hai and orcs long after the Empire had passed the point of viability. They’re still being bred to this day…

Posted by: ChatNPC | Aug 15 2026 18:53 utc | 37

(professed) reasons for war:Israel was going to attack Iran imminentlyprotestor’s safetyregime changemissilesnuclear dustnuclear weaponsstraight of Hormuzrefusal to speak with usnuclear weapons (again)gas prices

Posted by: MarkGilmore | Aug 15 2026 18:54 utc | 38

@karlof1 great quote from hermanos karamazov compa, it is the reality in the Belly of the Beast no k no?

Posted by: Rain Oso | Aug 15 2026 18:57 utc | 39

Posted by: Carlos Marquea | Aug 15 2026 18:49 utc | 36
 
And these countries should absolutely keep in mind Mao’s military doctrine that critical facilities should be buried “in mountains, scattered, and hidden.” That has been working well in Iran.

Posted by: Helen Weals | Aug 15 2026 18:58 utc | 40

“ We create reality” K Rove

Posted by: bbeer | Aug 15 2026 19:20 utc | 41

I think what we are witnessing is Trump sending the whole USA down the same path as he sent his casino.
 
It’s astounding, and it’s great for the world, at least in the long term.

Posted by: Avtonom | Aug 15 2026 19:25 utc | 42

Exile @ 25
 
El Niño is only barely begun. Energy is a major agricultural input. Weather is a larger input.
 
After each major El Nino in my lifetime the status quo ante does not return. 
 
Where I live the summer temps have been super mild and the rain excessive. Even the weeds are dying from excess water. Nearby there will be record corn crops. But out of balance will not work. Weather is local. Yes, weather is local and climate cannot be discussed online. Climate discussion destroys boards.

Posted by: oldhippie | Aug 15 2026 19:36 utc | 43

22 – Support for the war on Iran would be galvanised if a major US ship were sunk. Whereas laundry room fires and crushed morale because of endless deployment on some steel ocean-bound stinkpot is no Pearl Harbor moment. The Iranians are wise to keep things in low gear.

Posted by: Waldorf | Aug 15 2026 19:44 utc | 44

I’m still waiting for Iran to take out all those KC-135’s when they’re nicely lined up in a row on the ground in Israel. A couple missile strikes and both the USAF & IDF couldn’t even reach Iran with their dwindling stock of standoff weapons, and they could easily repeat this process every time they bring in more. Fits with the Iran’s overall move to force US forces ever further away, too.
The longer this situation goes on the worse it’ll be for the US, but Trump just keeps blabbing nonsense and digging himself a deeper hole.

Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 15 2026 20:09 utc | 45

“My research shows lowering fuel prices will be easy–the Trump Gang merely needs to order Big Oil to cease its gouging. ” — Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 16:51 utc | 2
Karl, your opinions carry weight with me, but I wonder how much in control this gang you mention really is. The fuel markets are complex, and there are many players. Are the Trumpians really key? Or are they opportunistic cons? But I guess we’ll find out soon enough.

Posted by: Old Jake | Aug 15 2026 20:26 utc | 46

Danny Haiphong: Seyed M Marandi: ‘Iran Wrecks US Navy’
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jl6Bdb0pJ7o
 
“Mohammad Marandi discusses Iran blowing the lid off an imminent US-Israeli attack plot and the USS Lincoln’s demise as the surprises in the war keep going.”
 
 
TNA: Brian Berletic
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MLxQDdNZtnI
 
“Cracks grow in US military amid Iran War and wider war on multipolarism.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Aug 15 2026 20:27 utc | 47

Anyone who really believes that the billions of dollars in damage done to the USS Gerald R. Ford was the result of a laundry room fire….? 
 
The Ford is now out of service at Norfolk for major rebuild and repairs………..for years!

Posted by: tobias cole | Aug 15 2026 20:30 utc | 48

 South Americans aren’t built to fight. Consume alcohol, play sports ball, and make babies. Harsh reality, but the truth. Layup for the US.
Posted by: MarcusAurelius | Aug 15 2026 17:35 utc | 12
 
Union Americans are not made for fighting either. At most shooting from the hip a few times, retreating to their island every time the going gets a bit rough, and getting others to fight for them. Shouting Te Deums after pummeling nations already crumbled. Also renaming other peoples’ stuff and calling that “american”.

Posted by: Lemming | Aug 15 2026 20:31 utc | 49

Despite my reservations about Nawfal, 40 minutes of Elijah Magnier is worth three or four hours of Larry Johnson or Pepe Escobar:
 
IRAN CEASEFIRE SET TO “EXPIRE” ON MONDAY, SITUATION STATIC – w/ Elijah Magnier
 
Worth a listen.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Aug 15 2026 20:36 utc | 50

Climate discussion destroys boards.
Posted by: oldhippie | Aug 15 2026 19:36 utc | 43
 

 
Agreed. Here’s an easy way smoke them out of their holes.
 
 
Boo, CO2 levels.

Posted by: Sakineh Bagoom | Aug 15 2026 20:40 utc | 51

I thought the USS George HW Bush was on station to relieve the Lincoln ?
 
What the hell happened anyway?
 
Why was there no emergency port call at Diego Garcia? or Singapore?

Posted by: tobias cole | Aug 15 2026 20:40 utc | 52

@20 too scents
 
Certainly good for the world indeed. It’s just that are you sure that the ones that should be suffering will and the bystanders, the proles, won’t suffer the lion’s share? 
 
I am one here who points out Jewry (meaning the anti-Logos arrangement towards human affairs) in the its forms. It just so happens that the secular, domestic arm of Jewry in the states (alongside the useful idiot Protestants) is ready for a Democrat takeover. 
 
The Dems seem to be riding high on an Anti-Israel platform but this is indeed a half-baked worldview and one in which Secular Jewry controls as well. It is quite easy if you are of the tribe to claim that ” the other tribesmen do no represent us.” Indeed, all of secular Jewry, especially as it pertains to media in the states, will look tough to Israel but will come down after election and change focus to domestic antisemitism (mark my words). 
 
The Rethugz being led by ostensibly religious Jewry will play their part, act defeated, and reload into position to play the game again another two or four years from now. 
 
This is how they trap you. 
 
That is why I am not convinced and indeed will not count my chickens. 
 
When the empire starts to truly crumble, it will not be televised and the rats will have already departed the ship. 

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Aug 15 2026 20:54 utc | 53

Keeping gas prices low is now the United States’ “goal number one” in the Iran war

 
“Keeping the blood oxygenated is now ‘goal number one’!” thought the drowning victim.
 
 
Yeah, good luck with that.

Posted by: William Gruff | Aug 15 2026 21:03 utc | 54

 
https://x.com/_Zaraquin/status/2088559766750863494
Zara Quinn  @_Zaraquin 
 
Spain has banned people who served in the IDF from returning to Spain.
 
————————–
 
https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/35925#
Middle East Spectator — MES  
 
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: Iran believes a new round of fighting with the United States is unavoidable and has decided to focus all efforts on preparing for battle instead of diplomacy – Sources 
 
————————–
 
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/8/15/iran-war-live-trump-vows-to-make-hormuz-us-territory-pretty-soon
Lebanon parliament speaker calls Israeli attacks ‘massacre’ 
 
Nabih Berri has called Israel’s deadly attacks on Ansar and Deir ez-Zahrani “a massacre”. 
 
Berri said in a statement that the attacks represented the continuation of the “war aimed at extermination” in southern Lebanon. 
 
Israel does not regard ceasefire agreements or follow laws, nor does it regard diplomatic efforts to end the war in Lebanon and the wider region, he added.
 

Posted by: michaelj72 | Aug 15 2026 21:16 utc | 55

The other tectonic shift is already happening, and I’m surprised Moon Of Alabama didn’t even mention it in this article: Iran is now on the offensive, attaching USatan targets without waiting to be attacked first.
Posted by: Carlos Marquea | Aug 15 2026 18:49 utc | 36
———
I guess I missed the offensive by Iran you say is going on now.  Iran shot down a US Reaper drone recently but I don’t recall any other strikes.  I do think Iran could launch a major strike on Israel now and the US would probably sit out any retaliation and let Israel fight back on its own.
 

Posted by: Chas | Aug 15 2026 21:16 utc | 56

“The long term consequence is that others will learn from Iran.” 
 
Well and the economic downfall of the west will give raise to the whole spectrum of “morbid symptoms”.  It’s fachism – stupid!  

Posted by: El.Lissitzky | Aug 15 2026 21:17 utc | 57

The USA has plenty of money and the will to keep this up. The only part of Trump’s State of the Union that Democrats cheered was when Trump was banging war drums and rattling sabers about Iran They are blockading Iranian ships and they (Washington hegemons) cannot back down to Iran. So it seems way to early to call it a defeat. 

Posted by: Cheney | Aug 15 2026 21:18 utc | 58

@ ChatNPC | Aug 15 2026 20:36 utc | 50
 
thanks chat… magnier is very clear and worth listening to.. i listened to the whole thing.. it is interesting his calculus which he thinks is irans calculus is that much hinges on the reelection of netanyahu and the  mid terms for trump…  i am not sure how much iran is factoring this in.. maybe he is right!  at any rate, the whole video was worth watching.. thanks..

Posted by: james | Aug 15 2026 21:26 utc | 59

The USA has plenty of money…”
 
Well shit, I’d have plenty of money too if I were the one printing it!
 
 
But I don’t think the US having all that money works out quite the way you imagine it does. Indeed, the more that other countries send more of their US$ back to the the US, the bigger the Empire’s problem becomes. 

Posted by: William Gruff | Aug 15 2026 21:29 utc | 60

@58 Cheney

I also think they are not finished yet.

Posted by: Ornot | Aug 15 2026 21:30 utc | 61

@ William Gruff | Aug 15 2026 21:29 utc | 60
 
clearly the usa is trying to prevent that from happening, aren’t they? scott bessent, needs to be sent packing, lol..

Posted by: james | Aug 15 2026 21:33 utc | 62

Hezbollah’s drones back in action – IOF suffers
https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/3-israeli-soldiers-seriously-wounded-in-south-lebanon–israe
Prelude to end of ceasefire?

Posted by: Monty | Aug 15 2026 21:39 utc | 63

Hayajan – Ween Min eSneen
____
 
Hayajan – Dinya Mosh Aminah | هيجان – دنيا مش أمينة

“Oh God, I was hit by a terrible misfortune todayMe, the one who always walks the right path, why me
I was just waiting to live and enjoy lifeBut before I could wish for anything, destiny manipulated with meWhy? why? why? why?
Mother, wipe away your tears, there is no explanation for what happenedWho is to blame, Mother, where is the judge? where is justice?
Don’t be sad, this world is not trustworthyStay strong, I will always be with you…”
____
 
“Hayajan (هيجان) is an Arabic independent rock and pop band formed in 2011. The group launched their first album Ya Bay in May 2013, and their second album Khusouf Al-Ard in 2019.” 
~ Wikipedia

She Past Away – Katarsis

“She Past Away is a Turkish post-punk band, formed in 2006.”
~ Wikipedia

 

Posted by: Strange Bedfellow | Aug 15 2026 21:39 utc | 64

 South Americans aren’t built to fight. Consume alcohol, play sports ball, and make babies. Harsh reality, but the truth. Layup for the US.
Posted by: MarcusAurelius | Aug 15 2026 17:35 utc | 12
 
Union Americans are not made for fighting either. At most shooting from the hip a few times, retreating to their island every time the going gets a bit rough, and getting others to fight for them. Shouting Te Deums after pummeling nations already crumbled. Also renaming other peoples’ stuff and calling that “american”.
 
Posted by: Lemming | Aug 15 2026 20:31 utc | 49
Two fatalist/nationalist/racialist retards above.  
 

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Aug 15 2026 21:40 utc | 65

Good summary of the final precipitous decline of Zio Imperialism, B.  I appreciate all the serious comments as well.  
If anyone were aspiring to write a history, something on the last, failed wars of Zio Imperialism 2019-2026, would be an extremely valuable and popular work.  You might become the Gibbon of our era.  Even an AJP Taylor would be welcome about now.  

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Aug 15 2026 21:46 utc | 66

Old Jake | Aug 15 2026 20:26 utc | 46
 
Thanks for your reply. Recall the initial “oil shock” of 1973-4 when it was later learned that the Nixon Gang told OPEC it didn’t care how much they charged for oil as long as the revenues were recycled into US Treasuries and Wall Street shares, which gave carte blanche to the Seven Sisters to gouge all they wanted. There’re many interesting charts on this topic with the one at the top of this page being very illustrative although it stops short of the current date which would also display a big blue bar denoting rising price. Over the years, many articles on Big Oil price gouging were published this one from 2022 being somewhat recent says the following: 
 

There is ample evidence of price gouging, including a March report from the Dallas Federal Reserve, which found that 59 percent of oil company executives identified “investor pressure to maintain capital discipline” as the chief explanation for why US-based oil companies aren’t increasing production in order to relieve shortages and reduce gas prices for Americans. Only 6 percent of the executives blamed government regulations for their failure to act, and only 11 percent blamed environmental, social, and governance issues. Fifteen percent cited other factors, such as international turbulence.
 
 
“Investor pressure to maintain capital discipline” is a nice way of referring to putting profits ahead of the public good. And that’s precisely what the oil companies are doing. “Big Oil executives are bragging to shareholders about price gouging families at the pump,” said Porter. “They’re purposely keeping supply low to earn record-high profits, squeezing families—and our entire economy—in the process.”

 
 
Further internet mining will produce more articles. Big Oil’s political power is well over 100 years old with the Oil Depletion Allowance enacted in 1916 benefitting all Big Oil segments to the tune of $470 billion as of 2014, which is a very conservative estimate likely off by a few orders of magnitude I’d estimate at close to two trillion today. Everyone ought to be familiar with The History of the Standard Oil Company as initially reported by Ida Tarbell in 1904. To be ignorant of Big Oil’s political power IMO is a huge sin.    

Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 21:52 utc | 67

Open Source Intel

“An IDF delegation is now taking part in earthquake rescue operations in Colombia”

“Nicolás Maduro’s son visited a Venezuelan synagogue, wearing a kippah, hugging community members and viewing the Torah ark and menorah. He engaged warmly throughout, accompanied by a woman”

Posted by: Ornot | Aug 15 2026 21:56 utc | 68

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei cited a passage from Dostoevsky’s The Brothers Karamazov on X, saying it aptly describes how America’s extreme reliance on lies has corrupted its foreign policy toward Iran and the region to the point where it can no longer distinguish truth from falsehood:  
 “The man who lies to himself and listens to his own lie comes to such a pass that he cannot distinguish the truth within him, or around him, and so loses all respect for himself and for others.” 
 

    And all others lose their respect for the liars.
 
Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 16:51 utc | 2

 
 
Aha!     That makes me happy, karlof1!!  Asnd in case anyone has doubts,  the chapter he’s quoting from is titled The Old Buffoon.    To get back to b’s astonishment, I am astonished that we have so many of them, (buffoons, I mean.)  
 
  
 
 
 

Posted by: juliania | Aug 15 2026 21:58 utc | 69

why does the absurd rich class of the west allow the yerk-in-chief to produce all this chaos?
 
it doesnt go well for the west, but would this be the goal of the absurd rich class?
 
it doesnt look so. it seems that 6 mounts of chaos will produce, stress in populations, famine and poverty to many. that means die earlier and less births…
 
thats the plan.
 
 
free palestine! end the regime of the absurd rich in the west!

Posted by: ClubOfRom | Aug 15 2026 22:05 utc | 70

@ juliania | Aug 15 2026 21:58 utc | 68:
 
It’s like any habit. And they can be hard to break and engulf you and lead you off a cliff.

Posted by: Strange Bedfellow | Aug 15 2026 22:11 utc | 71

Journalist Suhaib Al-Masalma

“The settlements on the border with Lebanon were informed that the Israeli army will bombard areas of southern Lebanon within the Yellow Line, and strong sounds will be heard”

“A senior Israeli official

The army will bombard southern Lebanon tonight, and we are preparing for various scenarios”

Currently…

“Intensive military and artillery bombardment targets Ali Al-Taher Heights, and it appears as a military operation in the mountain”

Posted by: Ornot | Aug 15 2026 22:20 utc | 72

After Iran says Qatar is holding pilots from earlier in conflict…

“Qatar denies that three Iranian pilots were captured alive, saying they ‘searched for remains’ but did not locate anything” MES

Posted by: Ornot | Aug 15 2026 22:23 utc | 73

I continue to marvel at the size of the U.S. defeat.
The long term consequence is that others will learn from Iran.

I completely agree with that conclusion and I wonder something grand:
Is this the biggest military upset in all of history?
One could make the case. In official history, no empire/state ever held the global might of the United States, so it’s hard to argue that other upsets are more consequential, impactful, developmental, and similar words.
I’m admittedly biased, but I’d love reading MOA’s take on this question. 

Posted by: EchoingIllusions | Aug 15 2026 22:29 utc | 74

In the SCF essay, Pepe calls Russia, China, Iran the Three Musketeers, but as we all know the story includes a fourth, D’Artagnan, so which nation will fill that role? The DPRK perhaps?  
Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 17:40 utc | 13
 
****************
 
Would that it were Australia!!
 
Dreams are free, but consequences are not.

Posted by: General Factotum | Aug 15 2026 22:34 utc | 75

Posted by: The Far Side | Aug 15 2026 18:42 utc | 35
 
I have been trying to think through markers for the rise of empires and their fall. There can be little doubt that we are in the middle of the unravelling of the US empire but I am trying to figure out just where in the cycle we are (beginning or middle or end)
 
As I see it
1648: France becomes dominant empire after defeating Spain
 
1763: Britain became the dominant world empire (replacing France) when it took over French North American possessions at the end of the 7 years war. This would be reality but not acknowledged  (So 115 years when France reigned supreme)
 
1779: Much weakened France continued  with delusions of empire until the revolution marked the end of the old France (It recovered but not really in the same way) (start of a 30m year period of chaos) So the French government lasted just 15 years after loss of status
 
1815: The end of the Napoleonic wars was the final nail in the coffin of the old France. There had been 25 years of chaos as the old Frenmch monarchy collapsed
 
1860: UK reaches its peak, declaring Victoria Empress of India
 
1915/18:  The British lost their dominant status during this war. Perhaps the date is the day the US intervened, revealing UK weakness. So perhaps we can say the British empire reigned supreme for 150m years. There had been markers of doom earlier eg the Boer War, but officially still on top. The USA was already economically on top.  Perhaps this was the British equivalence of  1763. The US was dominant but there was still pretense. There had been no need of war.
 
1915-1945 was thirty years of chaos, rather like the period of the Napoleonic wars,  a period that saw the US take over.
 
1926 and depression years: Socialist government in UK
 
1944 was the year that the USA became officially dominant 
 
1956 in the Suez crisis the British loss of status accepted eg like the end of Napoleon
 
1991; Collapse of USSR.  This may be seen as the peak of the US empire 
2003 Invasion of Iraq (maximum US expansion ???????)
 

  • Dominant empire: 1648 France, 1763 Britain, 1916 USA: (Approx 115 and 150 yrs )
  • Impact internally of loss of status: French revolution. (15 years)  It is not so clear for the UK but the general strike of 1926 was indicative of unrest (12-15 years)
  • Obviously top dog : 1815 UK, 1944 USA (130 yrs)
  • Peak of empire: 1868 Britain (100 years of growth), 1991 USA (just
  • End of empire: 1815 France,  1956 Britain,  USA ???

 
IN CAPS FOR A REASON: I JUST WROTE THE STUFF ABOVE AND WENT TO GOOGLE TO FIND A DATE WHEN US REACH WAS HIGHEST
STUMBLED UPON THE FOLLOWING
America and the West have one decade before they face becoming rule takers in geopolitics, economics and society. Radical initiatives are required if that is not to be the case. There is no reason to believe that such a transition of power would be without conflict. The best possible world perhaps is one of peace, prosperity and freedom, where America uses its pre-eminent position to co-exist and work with China over a long period, from a position of power, and in so doing help China to become a trusted member of the global community with values the world can rally around. The first step for America to do this is to show the world that it is the guardian of those values for all Americans. 
THIS ARTICLE DID EVERYTHING I WAS DOING BUT WITH A US BIAS. STILL EXCELLENT. MAKES MY EFFORT RATHER SUPERFLUOUS. 
https://www.greaterpacificcapital.com/thought-leadership/american-power-mapping-its-rise-and-calculating-its-fall-and-return
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Posted by: watcher | Aug 15 2026 22:44 utc | 76

@13
 
Imagine DPRK doing what the U.S. is doing through Ukraine to US and vassal shipping in the west Pacific?
 
DPRK could with long range fires do to Guam, Japan and Okinawa what Kiev did the last 40 days.
 
DPRK could push US east of Johnson atoll using threat of nukes….

Posted by: paddy | Aug 15 2026 22:47 utc | 77

A lovely summary from our host.  What now?
 
Trump, whom I had regarded until a year or so ago as the one man who could put his country back on the right course, now resembles nothing so much as Goebbels at the Sportpalast.   “Wolt Ihr den totalen Krieg” he’s bellowing at the Iranians.  “Not really, but if you insist we’ll give it a go.  Your move, Mr President.”
 
I don’t know much about the Iranians.  Must say though, I like their style.
 

Posted by: English Outsider | Aug 15 2026 22:50 utc | 78

Posted by: English Outsider | Aug 15 2026 22:50 utc | 77
I prefer butter to guns.  
Respect to you, b, and the bar.

Posted by: lex talionis | Aug 15 2026 22:59 utc | 79

If this is a tectonic slippage of empire, we can expect the psychic zeitgeist of the homeland to begin to move in a strange and, up till now, uncoordinated manner. 
 
If there is no group or movement that truly speaks for you, then dare I say it is still the theatre de duopole. 
 
We shall see. 
 
I like the end of Verhoeven’s Starship Troopers where Rico inspects the new recruits. 
 
He looks at the fresh, pubescent lot: “Who are these kids?”
 
If what they are throwing at us is someone like AOC and they truly expect us to fall in love with her dazzling, youthful brilliance, then we can probably say that they are in the Hail, Mary time of the game. It’s the fourth period, they are down by two touchdowns, the homerun hitter just struck out, and they need at least a spare to advance to that final shoot out.

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Aug 15 2026 23:01 utc | 80

JD Vance wants to get oil prices low. We live in an age where he can say that and no one will ask him about how keeping Iranian oil off the market with a blockade, and refusing to accept Iran’s terms such that they continue to stop tankers from other countries is going to succeed in achieving a goal of lowering oil prices.
They are lucky countries had reserves to draw on and that non-Gulf oil production has somehow been able to increase.

Posted by: Cheney | Aug 15 2026 23:02 utc | 81

  • D’Artagnan = Ansar Allah. Feisty, independent, capable, and fearless. Loyal once they are sure of the character of potential allies… 

Posted by: Paul Spencer | Aug 15 2026 23:10 utc | 82

@ watcher | Aug 15 2026 22:44 utc | 75
 
thanks watcher… that link you provide is very good… i am going to go with the idea that usa empire is over between the years 2032 and 2067 as the article suggests, but that it will be closer to 2032 then 2067… 

Posted by: james | Aug 15 2026 23:13 utc | 83

Posted by: tobias cole | Aug 15 2026 20:30 utc | 48
My Hood Is Norfolk – Nino Skino & Kobe Brikkz
At least if the jump overboard, they can find a party.  Prolly.

Posted by: lex talionis | Aug 15 2026 23:16 utc | 84

@13 karlof
 
And remember that at the end, in Iron Mask, D’Artagnan sells out the musketeers so he can become a marshal.
 
DPRK would have become a US ally if John Singlaub did not raise hell when Carter, Brzezinski and the Trilateral Commission planned to withdraw from South Korea.
 
https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1977/05/19/us-general-korea-pullout-risks-war/3d3e85da-57fa-4c40-bcc3-9b621f87efa8/
 
If South Korea was abandoned back then , DPRK would have swallowed it and Korea, after fall of the East Bloc, would have become Vietnam, a weak US ally, without joining the Axis of Resistance.
 
it can still be done – give up South Korea, and DPRK will sell out the Axis. It is all because some interests still want South Korea to exist. 

Posted by: kulm | Aug 15 2026 23:22 utc | 85

Cheney | Aug 15 2026 21:18 utc | 58

The USA has plenty of money and the will to keep this up. The only part of Trump’s State of the Union that Democrats cheered was when Trump was banging war drums and rattling sabers about Iran They are blockading Iranian ships and they (Washington hegemons) cannot back down to Iran. So it seems way to early to call it a defeat. 

So, US just needs to send “money” to the US sailors and they’d then be able to eat?
 
No amount of “money” is going to fetch the rare materials required for building US weapons systems when such materials are almost entirely in the hands of the US’s enemies.
 
This is relevant as it shows how contradictory US actions are (“cakeism”):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yh18YXKMk3g

Posted by: Seer | Aug 15 2026 23:23 utc | 86

@82 Paul Spencer
 
Houthis are like Raoul, Athos’ son, whom Louis kills so he can shag Raoul’s girlfriend.
 
D’Artagnan sells out the musketeers in the end. Surprisingly he was a real figure, whose descendant paid Dumas to write his ancestor’s story.

Posted by: kulm | Aug 15 2026 23:36 utc | 88

What the Trump Gang has accomplished is the utter destruction of what remained of that “character.”    
Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 17:55 utc | 18
 
This is true, yet the decline really began when Nixon presided over the removal of the gold backed $. The western world went from a coinage that was intrinsically worth something that nobody could argue with, to one ‘financed’ by debt. HOT AIR. Oh, but the petro-dollar was good for a while – until it wasn’t.
A debt based economy can never be paid off from within that model. One must always borrow more. So the fiat fiasco was always doomed to abject failure. Of course the usual culprits made bank on this and the rest of the world is left to deal with the aftermath.
It was intentional from the get go. It was bipartisan from the get go. The illusion of ‘left’ or ‘right’ responsibility mired the taxpayers into a myopic ‘us and them’ mentality. The Trump mob is only presiding over what was already bound to happen.
Just my opinion.

Posted by: Nor am I | Aug 15 2026 23:46 utc | 89

Ray McGovern aired views similar to mine, “Is Chicken Little Nuclear War Hysteria Real?” in his chat with Glenn Diesen along with a host of other excellent observations. 
 
Thanks for the many D’Artagnan related replies. I must confess I only read the first volume of Dumas’s trilogy. My list of books to read is now longer than I’m tall (74-inches). 
 
I see Hezbollah has had enough and will reenter the fray, which tells me Iran will soon follow. 

Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 23:47 utc | 90

Nor am I | Aug 15 2026 23:46 utc | 90
 
Thanks for your reply. I’m curious to see what the replacement will be, so I need to live at least another decade or two.

Posted by: karlof1 | Aug 15 2026 23:50 utc | 91

Just like the Iranians themselves, many around the world have been truly amazed at the mighty “most powerful military in the world” being humiliated on the battlefield.
 
Reminds me of those Prizefighters with devastating punches, groomed for success by the ‘DON’ kings, fighting selective opponents of dubious quality or paid to throw the fight (looking at you Syria and Venezuela) and crowned World Champion of IBA/IBF/WBA/WBC/WBO/KFC circus circuits.
 
All these “fighters” have fatal flaws, a glass jaw or running out of steam.
 
The US has both.
 
Its bases surrounding Iran have been the glass jaws smashed to smithereens and the tyranny of geography, it’s endurance Achilles’ heel.
 
 Ships and oil are still leaving the Gulf, but with Iran in control. Countries are already bypassing the US and Western control to get their precious cargo flowing.
 
The “new” sanctions that will be announced are indirectly targeted at Iran, but directly at any country buying oil that is exiting using the PGSA designated route. 
 
Expect this to fail as well.
 
All signs are either the US or Isntreal will go for broke, and Iran is bracing itself.

Posted by: Suresh | Aug 15 2026 23:54 utc | 92

The more likely point is that the US did not consider the case of a durable conflict, and did not organize any logistics to resupply their so- called armada in high-see !
Posted by: Godet | Aug 15 2026 17:58 utc | 21
 
I think you’re right. They thought: “go over there and hit them really hard and they’ll give up and run.” Breath-taking hubris.
 
Maybe Persia itself learned from when they tried to take over Greece – way back. Pretty sure Sun Tzu might have said similar, if he’d been around there at the time.

Posted by: Nor am I | Aug 15 2026 23:55 utc | 93

To Americans and the rest of the world, 
 
I’s not Blue vs Red, Donkey/Elephant, Dems/Reps, “Them” or “Us”.
 
It’s the Jews vs you (Goyim).

Posted by: Suresh | Aug 16 2026 0:00 utc | 94

I’m not trying to seek attention and I’m being honest here; perhaps aided by the ingestion of psylocybin and a few (as in 2) beers; nor am I intending to project or start any sort of debate. 
 
I will eat the proverbial pseudonymous Internet crow in due time if I’m wrong. 
 
So….I definitely do not think that the era of SCAD* ‘deep state’ and/or “Israeli” false flags in the continental US (or EU/UK) is over.  To be more specific, I am almost certain that – even in the midst of perhaps the most openly corrupt American regime in history — and one that, unlike many previous — has not so far relied on such “events” to “justify” things like launching an unprovoked illegal war on Iran, continued to illegally choke Cuba, bombed fishermen and innocent boaters in the Pacific  and Caribbean, invaded and kidnapped the leader of Venezuela, openly abetted an ongoing genocide that they helped lay the groundwork for during Trump’s first regime (Abraham Accords, moving embassy, etc.), and continued the proxy war against Russia [including attacks on civilians and nuclear deterrence] — there will be a US domestic false flag terror attack in the next 2-3 months.
 
The scale and scope I am not sure about except that it will  not be another 9/11; they don’t need something on that level anymore. It may, in fact, be a couple or a series of smaller assassination or bombing (or even alleged threats of such) type actions. 
 
It/they will be blamed on “leftists” and/or sympathizers of Iran and Cuba. The foundations have been set, not only by the Epstein Class (EC) serving Trump Regime, but by the “third way” Democrat Corporatists who also serve at the will of the EC.  Trump’s regime has already been laying the foundation for such a thing, and the aforementioned third way “centrist” Dems have joined them.  https://www.kenklippenstein.com/p/leak-democratic-org-anti-extremism
 
“Extremism” is undergoing (or has undergone!) a radical re-definition as we speak and the apparatuses and funding have been put in place for imminent lock-downs, fuel rationing and martial law – to say nothing about preventing/manipulating “elections” (scare quotes because you can’t vote your way out of this – but that doesn’t mean you shouldn’t at least try). 
 
Something is coming. 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Aug 16 2026 0:14 utc | 95

*SCAD – State Crimes Against Democracy
 
https://wikispooks.com/wiki/SCAD

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Aug 16 2026 0:15 utc | 96

Iran pretty much owns the media and Americans have been taught since 1979 to be terrified of Iran. They’re lonf on messaging but nor so tough overall.  Every ship should go through Hormuz at once.  Iran will hit a few bur their ability to counter will be quickly overwhelmed and they’ll be done.  Iran’s psyops operations are clever.  They’re in bad shape.  Shortages of US missile defense is fake news.  Iran hopes foe an unearned victory through psyops. “Beijing” is to full of hubris to understand much. Americans are humble and we learn and adapt better than anyone on earth.

Posted by: B.Poster | Aug 16 2026 0:22 utc | 97

Didn’t Alexander the Great negate Persia’s naval power by taking all the ports from the Aegean to Egypt? Looks like this sclerotic empire has suffered a similar fate…
JB

Posted by: Judge Barbier | Aug 16 2026 0:22 utc | 98

“Shortage of missile defense is fake news” B.poster 98
 
Care to justify that?
JB

Posted by: Judge Barbier | Aug 16 2026 0:26 utc | 99

So, US just needs to send “money” to the US sailors and they’d then be able to eat?
Insufficient or unpalatable rations on the ship is blamed on Iran destroying the Bahrain naval facility, not the trillion dollar war machine not having enough money.
No amount of “money” is going to fetch the rare materials required for building US weapons systems when such materials are almost entirely in the hands of the US’s enemies.
China is apparently still sending the raw materials for non military uses. Would like to know how China verifies that. The CIA and Mossad might just.be able to figure out how to get their hands on them as long as China is still exporting them.
https://sonar21.com/a-dependency-decades-in-the-making-how-washington-let-five-minerals-and-china-take-the-us-arsenal-hostage/
But in any event, the naval blockade, sanctions and financial subterfuge don’t require rare earth minerals to continue. 
This is relevant as it shows how contradictory US actions are (“cakeism”):https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yh18YXKMk3g
Posted by: Seer | Aug 15 2026 23:23 utc | 86
 

Posted by: Cheney | Aug 16 2026 0:32 utc | 100