Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
July 16, 2026
Another Anti-Western Coup In Kiev

Today, in addition to another barrage of Russia missiles, Kiev was also struck by a power struggle between the mafia like ‘family’ around acting president Vladimir Zelensky and the western financed ‘grant structures’ around the unconstitutional anti-corruption authorities.

Six month ago Zelensky installed the 35-year old Mykhailo Fedorov as Minister of Defense. Last night, under the guise of a larger cabinet reform, he fired him.

Fedorov is a tech savvy ‘silicon valley’ guy who knows how to promote himself. His job was to reform the draft system and the recruitment offices known for snatching people off the street to feed them as cannon fodder into the assault brigades of the Soviet-trained Commander in Chief General Alexander Syrsky (‘the best general the Russians have’).

Fedorov set out to modernize the Ukrainian army by hyping drone warfare and more effective procurement. This however led to resistance from two important constituencies.

The regular military despised Fedorov for his lack of knowledge about military affairs. Fedorov bought fancy ‘cyber’ weapons and long-range drones while the soldiers said their needs were elsewhere.

Those of the Zelensky ‘family’ who were making billions from military procurements were aghast when Fedorov started to cut into their business:

[A]s Power Point slides were shown to the testosterone-filled room, the generals griped about missile and ammunition procurement. The focus of their criticism, Mykhailo Fedorov, the 35-year-old tech-savvy defence minister who is known—and occasionally mocked—for his Silicon Valley style presentations, responded in kind. If it wasn’t for his emergency drone-purchasing decisions at the beginning of the year, which required borrowing money earmarked for salaries, there would be no Crimean operation to speak of. A witness to the proceedings describes “two different co-ordinate systems” in a clinch: “No common language, even if holding back from direct conflict.”

His first six months in the job were characterised by hyperactivity and a pugnacity that put many noses out of joint. From the start, he ordered an audit of the defence ministry and army brigades that uncovered overspending of 300bn-hyrivna ($6.6bn). He subjected ministry officials to lie detectors; those who refused or failed were dismissed. And he moved some procurement to an open-tender system, which he says cut the cost of 155mm artillery shells by 16% almost immediately. At the same time his deep differences with the more traditionalist military leaders, especially its commander-in-chief, Oleksandr Syrsky, have rarely been far from view. It is widely known the minister angled for the general’s removal, but failed to win the president’s approval or find another way of doing it.

Meanwhile the core job Fedorov was hired to do, the reform of the recruiting system, has made zero progress. Public attacks on recruitment officers and news of draftees dying during the drafting process appear nearly daily.

Fedorov had gained some prominence with western journalist and ‘grant structures’ aligned with EU and U.S. non-government organizations. As soon as it was known that he would be fired they called for demonstrations. This morning a few dozen people turned out for another ‘cardboard Maidan’.

Immediately recruitment officers appeared to check who of those protesters were eligible for military service.

Fedorov has made the big mistake to think that the war should be about winning against Russia. But, as former Commander in Chief Valleri Zalazhny just recently again warned, its is not Russia which is losing the war.

For the higher military and the civilian structures around Zelenski the only purpose of the war has long been their personal enrichment.

Fedorov did not conform with their attitude.

He will be replaced by the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs Ihor Klymenko, a former police general with a military background known to be loyal to Zelenski.

The colorless Prime Minister Yuliia Svyrydenko will be replaced by Serhii Koretskyi, the current CEO of Naftogaz, Ukraine’s state-owned oil and gas company. Koretski had made Naftogaz ‘profitable’ by hiding enormous losses (in Russian) in one of its subsidiaries.

Comments

Note: Kiev‘s General Staff is entirely NATO trained and Schooled.

Posted by: Exile | Jul 16 2026 9:39 utc | 1

Fedorov is a tech savvy ‘silicon valley’ guy who knows how to promote himself. His job was to reform the draft system and the recruitment offices known for snatching people off the street to feed them as cannon fodder into the assault brigades of the Soviet-trained Commander in Chief General Alexander Syrsky (‘the best general the Russians have’).
 
Posted by b on July 16, 2026 at 09:10 UTC | Permalink
 

 
I’m pretty sure Federov’s job was to increase Silicon Valley’s footprint in Kiev and to insure money flowed towards the PayPal Mafia.
 
Zelensky placed him to gain a bigger slice of pie and removed him for the same reason.
 

Posted by: too scents | Jul 16 2026 9:48 utc | 2

“It’s a scam.” 
That is my short answer when asked about the Ukraine War.
b wrote:

For the higher military and the civilian structures around Zelenski the only purpose of the war has long been their personal enrichment.

For the MICC, the Military Industrial CONGRESSIONAL Complex, the only purpose of the war has long been their personal enrichment.  
 
What more needs to be said?  
 
Oh, occasionally I will say, “the creation of the war is 110% the fault of the Brits and Americans.”

Posted by: Otto Penn | Jul 16 2026 9:57 utc | 3

Another coup? What difference does it make? Not only here I’ve read that Zelensky has two weeks left to live because of the corruption scandal months ago etc., yet he is still in his place with the rest of his cronies. This is merely a show for domestic (ukrainian) consumption and about people falling in and out of favour of those who control project ukraine. The project ukraine continues, the corruption and money laundering by the US and EU elites continues with no sign of stopping. There is certainly no one “mad” in the west over what Zelensky is doing, he is their irreplacable useful idiot, even though the political entertainment industry is trying to convince us otherwise with their shows like “Zelensky bad at white house” and fireworks in Monaco. They won’t kill him off anytime soon now that they’ve built up his cult of personality with him being the freedom fighter against the evil Russia inspiring all of the EU to spend even more $ on american weapons and brainwashing of the general population. Chances are, he’ll live way into his seventies in comfort in the west, surrounded by his family before dying of old age like the rest of the western war criminals including Bush, Clinton, Albright who needn’t to worry about any retribution from the people they murdered.

Posted by: pinche | Jul 16 2026 10:17 utc | 4

I’m pretty sure Federov’s job was to increase Silicon Valley’s footprint in Kiev and to insure money flowed towards the PayPal Mafia. Zelensky placed him to gain a bigger slice of pie and removed him for the same reason. 
Posted by: too scents | Jul 16 2026 9:48 utc | 2
 
maybe you have a point, B assumed an serious and competent behavior your alternative just replaces the motivation for something more congenial to those in power in Ukraine , greed ,and approach , ruthlessness 
 
 

Posted by: Newbie | Jul 16 2026 10:20 utc | 5

Clearly Putin’s moles in Kiev/UKR are behind this somehow.

Posted by: Call it what u will | Jul 16 2026 10:59 utc | 6

 “the creation of the war is 110% the fault of the Brits and Americans.”
 
Posted by: Otto Penn | Jul 16 2026 9:57 utc | 3
 
Otto Penn – most of the authoritative dissident voices looking at the war in Ukraine are American, ex-Intel, ex-military, diplomatic, a few academic.  They do have contacts in Europe and know a good deal about the European scene but they treat that scene as secondary.  For them, the real action’s in Washington and always has been.
 
On the face of it that looks to be correct.  In terms of military, financial and diplomatic power Europe is indeed very much an also ran.   And it’s now looking more and more like an enthusiastic proxy, no more.  Heading for the fate of all proxies, to be used or sacrificed as occasion demands.
 
That wasn’t so at the start.  The Europeans were playing their own hand, hoping to leverage American military and financial power to achieve their own objectives.  That was so well before the Maidan and remained so right up until 2022.  It’s still the case, even though the limitations of that American power have now been cruelly exposed. 
 
With the Americans revealed as a busted flush the Europeans are left bare-assed in the wind.  It’s difficult to see a way out for them.  But that’s now.  If we’re looking at the reasons for  the “creation of this war”  and ignore or downplay the crucial part played by the Europeans from the start, I don’t believe an accurate assessment of those reasons is possible.

Posted by: English Outsider | Jul 16 2026 11:03 utc | 7

Fedorvov has been America’s point man in Ukraine for awhile now
https://time.com/6691662/ai-ukraine-war-palantir/

Posted by: Feck | Jul 16 2026 11:07 utc | 8

This is not a coup. This is 404 normal.
Gehlenskyi is reacting to the recent riots involving the TCK by dismissing the guy in charge. Two effects are pursued ; dropping the pressure on the state apparatus by giving blood to the masses and whitewashing Gehlenskyi and his cronies from that part.
They will find a new guy, who will do the same job as the old guy and will also be handed his pink slip and an exit card when needed.
Politics 101.

Posted by: Savonarole | Jul 16 2026 11:20 utc | 9

Ukraine may be corrupt as hell but ZH would say it is still fighting just like CentCom on the other new thread
 
Ukraine Intensifies Attacks On Russian Tankers In The Black Sea
 

After striking 116 vessels linked to Russia’s shadow fleet in the Sea of Azov in recent weeks, Ukraine’s military is turning its sights on ships in the Black Sea, hitting in drone attacks as many as 20 vessels overnight on Wednesday.

 
More pin pricks?

Posted by: psychohistorian | Jul 16 2026 11:20 utc | 10

“The regular military despised Fedorov for his lack of knowledge about military affairs. Fedorov bought fancy ‘cyber’ weapons and long-range drones while the soldiers said their needs were elsewhere.”

 
To be fair Ukraine/NATO seem to be using long range drones effectively. 
 

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jul 16 2026 11:39 utc | 11

I don’t care what his name is, no self respecting Army officer or Police Chief would have remained in his post after the 2014 Coup.

Posted by: Englishman | Jul 16 2026 11:48 utc | 12

Posted by: psychohistorian | Jul 16 2026 11:20 utc | 10
 
psychohistorian – in another section of “b’s” site, unimperator links to Sleboda’s take on the “pinpricks” that are now, as you indicate, becoming rather more that that.
 
“Russia DECIMATES Ukraine’s Drone, Missile Production – Kiev CAN’T Shoot ANYTHING Down | Mark Sleboda”
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t0QxfknMyhE
 
Thing is, the Russians have a whole menu of response options at their disposal, all exhaustively discussed here over the past few weeks, and we’re just waiting to see which one they pick.  I don’t think the men in Wiesbaden or Brussels have counters to any of them.  Looks like dirty war’s about all they’ve got.

Posted by: English Outsider | Jul 16 2026 11:58 utc | 13

It would be fair to say that in Ukraine the Constitution is largely forgotten now … which also implies their original referendum of independence from the USSR has become null and void, since that requires constitutional rule.

Posted by: Tel | Jul 16 2026 12:19 utc | 14

To be fair Ukraine/NATO seem to be using long range drones effectively.      Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jul 16 2026 11:39 utc | 
Reminiscing about the good old days of Napoleon and Adolf. “I can see Moscow from my blanket in the mud.”
     Investing in long range nuisance weapons as your homefront is crumbling? Difficult choices but Russia is well aware of the V1 and V2 Wonder Weapons which were stopped by destroying production facilities and launch sites.

Posted by: kupkee | Jul 16 2026 12:24 utc | 15

Someone tell Zelenski about Saigon 1963.

Posted by: paddy | Jul 16 2026 12:25 utc | 16

@14
 
“Ukraine the Constitution is largely forgotten now”
 
In DC the US Constitution is largely forgotten.

Posted by: paddy | Jul 16 2026 12:27 utc | 17

Just from the other thread the analyses by Vatfor think tank, and journalist Alexander Kots:
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/07/eu-taxpayers-are-financing-chinese-drones-for-war-in-ukraine.html/comment-page-2#comment-1385053
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/07/eu-taxpayers-are-financing-chinese-drones-for-war-in-ukraine.html/comment-page-2#comment-1385060
Both perspectives are interesting, and even both may be true. Vatfor argues that Fjodorov’s campaign sparked more damage for Ukrainian than Russian logistics, so he summoned a demon better left alone.
Kots emphasizes the role of the West, analogous to Zelensky’s attempt to neutrallize SAP/NABU.
Barflie paddy remarks:

Someone tell Zelenski about Diem…..
Posted by: paddy | Jul 16 2026 12:24 utc | 158

Indeed.
 

Posted by: aquadraht | Jul 16 2026 12:34 utc | 18

Who gives a damn??
 
it’s shifting deckchairs on the sinking titanic. 
The techbros safe in sillycone valley and their Epsteinclass owners and issuers of fiat moneys directly to the dynastic Shapeshifting Vampyres Ball Shitheads… they are the villains. 
 
their days are numbered. They will be hunted down and have stakes pushed through their hearts. They will have no graves and no trace of them – their dynasties will not be left standing to sprout evil in the future. 

Posted by: DunGroanin | Jul 16 2026 13:05 utc | 19

Silicon Valley Federov deposed. Then there is Lindsay Graham. 

Posted by: frithguild | Jul 16 2026 13:06 utc | 20

The RT (Russian news agency) is finally shot down in the US. The EU has already criminalized the agency, and the more factually truthful information are shared from the RT, the more vicious is the persecution. 
 
“The Court of Justice of the European Union ruled that even independent, donation-funded bloggers who mirror or share these media entities fall under the bloc’s restrictive measures.
 
People who violate EU broadcasting sanctions by disseminating banned Russian state media face criminal prosecution, prison time, and heavy financial penalties.”
 
Another sign of the “democracy on the march” in the kleptocratic EU. 
 
How is this different from fascism?
“The EU has harmonized sanctions enforcement, making deliberate violations a severe criminal offense across all member states:

  • Imprisonment: Under the EU Sanctions Directive, intentional violations carry minimum mandatory maximum sentences. For example, in the specific German case regarding the Traugott Ickeroth website, the defendants face a prison sentence of three months to five years under Germany’s Foreign Trade Act.
  • Personal Fines: Courts can issue severe criminal and administrative fines against individuals in addition to jail time.
  • Asset Forfeiture: Authorities are empowered to seize any proceeds, donations, or equipment used to commit the offense.
  • Professional Bans: Convicted individuals can be disqualified from holding certain business or management positions in the future.” 

Posted by: Anna | Jul 16 2026 13:17 utc | 21

Posted by: Anna | Jul 16 2026 13:17 utc | 21
Unter Adolf wurde man für Wehrkraftzersetzung gehängt 
Under Adolf (Hitler), people were hanged for undermining military morale.

Posted by: Plexiglas | Jul 16 2026 14:02 utc | 22

Mercifully, when Paris burns to the ground, no one will give a fart out of a rat’s ass what this Nazi court has decreed. 
 
Hundreds of millions in the West have ZERO reason not to burn their own cities down. There’s nothing a court of law can do about that.
 
Maybe promoting war with Russia will stop the firefighters themselves from deliberately starting fires?
 
The city ablaze on a hill cannot be hid.

Posted by: Duck n cover | Jul 16 2026 14:09 utc | 23

Backgrounder ( from a Regime perspective ) on Traugott Ickeroth.  Use machine translate…..
 
https://www.psiram.com/de/index.php/Traugott_Ickeroth

Posted by: Exile | Jul 16 2026 14:18 utc | 24

‘events in ukraine’ substack author has been sort of saying this for some time – federov is not likely to last… thanks for the additional insights and overview b..

Posted by: james | Jul 16 2026 14:56 utc | 25

@ Anna | Jul 16 2026 13:17 utc | 21
 
anna – it is definitely fascism… 

Posted by: james | Jul 16 2026 15:01 utc | 26

After striking 116 vessels linked to Russia’s shadow fleet in the Sea of Azov in recent weeks, Ukraine’s military is turning its sights on ships in the Black Sea, hitting in drone attacks as many as 20 vessels overnight on Wednesday.

More pin pricks?
 
Posted by: psychohistorian | Jul 16 2026 11:20 utc | 10

 
No, more “Ghost of Kyiv” and “heroes of Snake Island” or “35,000 Russian soldiers killed per month” nonsense.
 
“The big lie’ strategy is alive and well in Ukraine. No serious person believes a word of it now.

Posted by: Fool Me Twice | Jul 16 2026 15:32 utc | 27

Seems not everybody is happy about the layoff of the minister and some protests are occurring about the new guy.
It seems that naming the chief of the police which helped the TCC when people where resisting forced conscription was not a genius move after all. 
Lavrov predicted this conflict to end on a battlefield , maybe the said battlefield would be the streets of Kiev with kokhols fighting banderists …  Who knows ? Another CIA/MI6 coup to push Zalujny in place or Gehlenskyi ? (It’s a band-aid on a wooden leg at this point anyway.)

Posted by: Savonarole | Jul 16 2026 15:47 utc | 28

Posted by: Anna | Jul 16 2026 13:17 utc | 21Unter Adolf wurde man für Wehrkraftzersetzung gehängt Under Adolf (Hitler), people were hanged for undermining military morale.
Posted by: Plexiglas | Jul 16 2026 14:02 utc | 22

What do you want to tell us, Volksgenosse “Plexiglas”?
 
It took 6.5 years of Nazi dictatorship til the “Wehrkraftzersetzung” was introduced August 26, 1939. So far, EU dictatorship “only” imposes existence threatening sanctions on critics like Jacques Baud, Hüseyin Dogru and others, with even Dogru’s mother`s bank account arrrested (like Nazi “Sippenhaft”), so far no death panalty, but complete exclusion of due process, where the arbitrariness is even more radical then during the Nazi rule. 
 
And EU is not yet at war with Russia.

Posted by: aquadraht | Jul 16 2026 16:21 utc | 29

Plexiglas’ is closer, @aquadraht #29 — https://norberthaering.de/propaganda-zensur/eugh-rtdeutsch/

In its ruling of July 2, 2026, the ECJ concludes that “operator” status does not depend on whether an underlying activity is of a commercial nature. Purely private, non-commercial dissemination [of EU-wide banned content, i.e. from RT] is also punishable.  [own partial translation of original above]

Posted by: Nervous German | Jul 16 2026 16:48 utc | 30

English Outsider@7,
 
My read was always that the Europeans wanted to sideline the US in Ukraine, and the US smacked their fingers and clamped down on project EU hard. Russia was largely seen as a non-entity in the whole affair; a narrative specter. US taking charge of Ukraine to lock Europeans out, use them as junior partners, created the point of no return for the chaos, but EU set the ball rolling. Brits were loyal globalists and disinterested in affair until US got involved. In short, two competing projects for Ukraine running in parallel, typical EU imperialist market grab and typical US “controlled” chaos prep, and the latter won out, Europe got dismantled and completely folded like a cheap suit.

Posted by: Skiffer | Jul 16 2026 16:54 utc | 31

@ Anna | Jul 16 2026 13:17 utc | 21 anna – it is definitely fascism… 
Posted by: james | Jul 16 2026 15:01 utc | 26

I agree. Mind that fascism is not necessarily already Nazism, and does not necessarily mass extermination in holocaust style.
 
Much of Ukrainian dictatorship, in its conduct towards Russia and Russians, comes at least close to Nazi rule before the holocaust, under some respects, it is even more radical, when it comes to destruction of Russian culture and suppression of Russian language. The Nazis hadn’t something similar. While they exterminated Russian “Untermenschen” by millions, they still had Gogol, Dostoyevsky etc. in print.
 
Quite similar to Kiev regime, their core ideology was anticommunism, the racism and antisemitism a co-factor radicalised by it. Kievs hysterical Russia hatred is something especially perverse, other fascist rules like in Italy did not have that, or any analogue.
 
EU seems to adopt that kind of perversion.

Posted by: aquadraht | Jul 16 2026 16:57 utc | 32

Adding to 31, I’m not even sure it’s fair to characterize it as “US” in these instances, since the entities involved represent an idea rather than loyalty to any nation. Same group of representatives have since been fully transplanted to European institutions, although they were always present there to a great extent, now that the scary word “national interest” has been uttered in the US, even if actions towards it so far have been mostly erratic and, generously speaking, extremely lateral.

Posted by: Skiffer | Jul 16 2026 17:01 utc | 33

Posted by: Fool Me Twice | Jul 16 2026 15:32 utc | 27
 
Yes, lies from the authors of pickle jar story. What msm says is not only for their own braindead population but mostly for the Ukr population. They live in a bubble since VickyFuckEu started it. Controled media, controlled internet, everything. That’s why the heavy censorship installed by Ursula, so that nothing stops Lemmings the game. Stronger in Eu but Cnn is also serving trash with great talent and youtube recently is suggesting unusual amounts of videos with titles like “Rus army destroyed” and +500k views in a few hours.

Posted by: rk | Jul 16 2026 17:16 utc | 34

“Ihor Klymenko, a former police general with a military background known to be loyal to Zelenski.”
Well, there is loyal and an ukrainian word, listed in dictionaries as the translation of ‘loyal’. Let’s say Klymenko dagger wasn’t used prematurely yet. 

Posted by: Cetzer | Jul 16 2026 17:30 utc | 35

Yawn, these actions are pointless more deckchairs being moved around while nothing of worth is being done.  The only news worth hearing is when Zelenski is found dead and the Nazis state collapse, everything else is whitenoise.

Posted by: Kadath | Jul 16 2026 17:58 utc | 36

“[A]cting president Vladimir Zelensky” — very good!

Posted by: Cherrycoke | Jul 16 2026 18:01 utc | 37

The early edition of DW News, which we get in Oz, featured a very long interview with DW’s favourite Kings College military wonk, Marina Miron.
 
According to her, the fact that the disputes surrounding this policy-shift have become public will unleash divisions within Ukrainian society which will be difficult, if not impossible, to repair in the near future.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Jul 16 2026 18:05 utc | 38

Yawn, these actions are pointless more deckchairs being moved around while nothing of worth is being done. The only news worth hearing is when Zelenski is found dead and the Nazis state collapse, everything else is whitenoise.
Posted by: Kadath | Jul 16 2026 17:58 utc | 36
 
No, you mean when Putin is found dead and his oligarchic state collapses…

Posted by: Mango-Kapak | Jul 16 2026 19:48 utc | 39

Posted by: Mango-Kapak | Jul 16 2026 19:48 utc | 39

Lol, a Nazi with wet dreams. Not really funny, rather boring.

Posted by: aquadraht | Jul 16 2026 20:08 utc | 40

“When policy is paralysed, punt the personnel”.
 
This whole junta reshuffle arises because of Western policy paralysis, a paralysis, a dysfunction, that leads them to continue to repeat what hasn’t worked so far. Remember, despite the public proclamations, Western factions are far from united about what to do next, now that “Project Ukraine Battering Ram” has unravelled. Factional infighting and jockeying for position behind each faction’s  preferred candidate is leading to these peculiar machinations.
 
Fedorov was a US favoured asset, the shuttling back and forth of various European war-wallahs to Kiev during the last few days put the knife in, but that doesn’t resolve the overall policy paralysis.
 
For some strange reason, I keep having flashbacks to Spike Milligan’s 1970s Q-series, with it’s “BBC Economy Sketches”, in which the punchline generally involved the cast shuffling slowly off the set while intoning in unison “What are we going to do now?, What are we going to do now?, What are we going to do now?”…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 16 2026 20:12 utc | 41

IMO, this news is also about an Anti-Western Coup in the technology realm: The other AI superpower: How Russia and China are building an alternative to Silicon Valley — RT World News. Many Barflies are following the developments in the AI world yet this development likely flew under their radar: “From healthcare to education, a new model of technological development aims to put everyday users – not monopolies – first.” And that’s a very welcome direction. The article’s introductory paragraphs:
 

Artificial intelligence is no longer simply a technological race. It is becoming a question of how the world chooses to govern one of the most transformative innovations of the modern era, who benefits from it, and whether its advantages remain concentrated in the hands of a few companies or are shared more broadly.
 
This week in Shanghai, Russia and China signed an agreement to establish the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization, and it marks an important step in answering those questions. Russia and China were among the principal founding participants, joining nearly 30 countries in creating a new intergovernmental body dedicated to international AI cooperation and governance. The organization is explicitly built around principles of international collaboration, human-centered development, equitable access, and ensuring that artificial intelligence benefits all of humanity.
 
For Russia and China, the initiative reflects a shared understanding that the future of AI should not be dictated by technological monopolies or geopolitical exclusivity. Instead, both countries argue that AI should remain accessible, practical and focused on improving people’s daily lives. [My Emphasis]

 
IMO, it was clear that this sort of organization and its goals would be established given the many recent discussions in various fora over the last 18 months. The great danger posed by the Western AI approach has become very clear, thus the motivation to counter it through collective action. A Yandex search using World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization provides a good listing of news reports. The rhetoric used by Bloomberg in its short item gives away its bias on the issue.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jul 16 2026 20:29 utc | 42

R2R: John Helmer: ‘Deeper into Russia’
 
https://www.youtube.com/@reason2resist/videos
 
“What will it take for Russia to end the NATO proxy war?”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Jul 16 2026 20:35 utc | 43

The Verkhovna Rada has cancelled the vote on a new Ukrainian defense minister to replace the dismissed Fedorov. Interior Minister Igor Klimenko was slated to be appointed to this post, but he declined the offer to become head of the defense department, said parliament member Maria Mezentseva.

an earlier post

Posted by: Oui | Jul 16 2026 20:42 utc | 44

Yep, it’s all John Helmer’s fault…
 
Well, why not? It makes as much sense to blame Helmer as to blame anyone else…
 
Blame unattributed “Sources inside the Kremlin” maybe? Just one of those things, but lately a lot of posters have taken to posting unattributed source material as their own comments; maybe they learnt from Helmer, say something repeatedly, with some self-proclaimed self-importance and pseudo gravitas, and everybody will swoon over the depth of the intellect on display.
 
“Bullsh¡t baffles brains” until the Molotov cocktails start flying; Ukraine is closer to this point than many in the West understand, and it is about time Helmer applied his analysis to this. His singular focus on his view of the situation in Russia risks misleading his readers/viewers. How will he explain away civic collapse in Ukraine? Is this prospect something his “Sources in Moscow” are even informing him about?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 16 2026 20:53 utc | 45

The Verkhovna Rada has cancelled the vote on a new Ukrainian defense minister to replace the dismissed Fedorov.

Posted by: Oui | Jul 16 2026 20:42 utc | 44
 
Something is brewing up. I haven’t had time to check timelines, but do we know if the Rada decision was taken before or after Sir Sneer Smarmer’s visit and speech in Kiev?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 16 2026 21:03 utc | 46

When the going gets weird, the weird reshuffle administrative positions:

The President replaced the head of the Kyiv City Military Administration: Timur Tkachenko leaves office

On July 16, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy dismissed Tymur Tkachenko from the post of head of the Kyiv City Military Administration

The corresponding decree No. 615/2026 was published on the website of the head of state, RegioNews reports.

The document states: “In accordance with Article 4 of the Law of Ukraine “On the Legal Regime of Martial Law”, to dismiss Timur Tkachenko from the post of head of the Kyiv City Military Administration.”

In addition, Volodymyr Zelenskyy dismissed Mykola Kalashnyk from the post of head of the Kyiv Regional State Administration and appointed an interim acting director.

The corresponding decree No. 613/2026 of July 16 was published on the website of the head of state.
 

“To dismiss Kalashnyk Mykola Vladimirovich from the post of head of the Kyiv Regional State Administration in accordance with the application submitted by him,” the document says.
 

According to Decree No. 616/2026 , the President temporarily assigned the duties of the head of the Kyiv Regional State Administration to Ruslan Oliynyk.

https://regionews.ua/ukr/news/politics/1784231141-prezident-zminiv-kerivnika-kmva-timur-tkachenko-zalishae-posadu (via translation add-on.)
 
So kicking someone out of office who was part of Zelensky’s pressure campaign against Kiev mayor Vitaliy Klitschko achieves what, exactly?
 
When the going gets weird, the weird create even more enemies for themselves.
 
Paranoia is not policy.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 16 2026 21:28 utc | 47

Perhaps Fedorov and Palantir Technologies were fighting their own war on Russia … AI Autonomy 😂

Posted by: Oui | Jul 16 2026 22:28 utc | 49

Ukraine the Constitution is largely forgotten now”
In DC the US Constitution is largely forgotten.
 
Posted by: paddy | Jul 16 2026 12:27 utc | 17

 
^ This. 
 
{and in Oz, we’re enduring a ‘Royal Commission’ into “anti” “semitism”.  …..
So what’s remaining of whatever there was of an autonomous Australia (if such a thing did actually ever exist) is about to be bye-bye gonski, once the [pre-written] “recommendations” are handed down; and the paid and owned mocksloppers then screech for their immediate implementation….} 

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jul 17 2026 0:36 utc | 50

@ JRS   20:53 utc | 45
 
As you yourself mused some posts back, who pays Helmer?
 
His source of income had long been a pet curiosity of mine, since I first encountered his quaint, blog-that-time-forgot  around the time of the Maidan.
 
Q:  Who is this Australian who has scribbled away in Moscow for 30 years?
 
Our james posted a resume quite some time back,  which prompted more follow-up questions to the rather artfully ambiguous answers it offered.
 
He’s a real life Forest Gump, with cameos in the most intriguing intersections of history.  {emits faint odour of intel agent}
 
And a relative of Sir Zelman Cowan!  Now *that*  was another “reveal”,  and a catalyst for even more curiosity.
 
People are of course free to allocate their clicks and narrative consumption to the content creators of their choice.
 
But until I know with whose coin Helmer is paid,  anything he scribbles or splutters is of little value, IMVHO.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jul 17 2026 1:08 utc | 51

I’m old enough and Australian enough to know of the artist and author Norman Lindsay and his most famous children’s book, “The Magic Pudding”.  I have a copy. Here’s a synopsis:The story follows a grumpy, gravy voiced walking talking pudding who can never be eaten up no matter how much people slice him, and the characters who protect him from pudding thieves.“Eat away, chew away, much, bolt and guzzle. Never leave the table till you’re full up to the muzzle”.Albert the pudding bears an uncanny resemblance to Zelensky. But it’s Project Ukraine the better fits the Magic Pudding metaphor. So many greedy individuals hungry for their slice. Fedorov has a presentable – or is that bankable- look, and it seems he represents CIA-“USA” interests, unlike EU darling Zelensky. But hey- the pudding is inexhaustible and you can will whatever flavour you want.Daily events have become somewhat mindbending. Things appear out of rational control. I’m waiting for the ever-so-sagacious Mr Rutte to adjudicate on the situation. We are in need of comedic relief.

Posted by: Australian lady | Jul 17 2026 1:51 utc | 52

WATCH LIVE: Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks at world AI conference

Posted by: Don Firineach | Jul 17 2026 2:09 utc | 53

zmei_kt
 
 
Media reports indicate that Greece has blocked the 21st package of anti-Russian sanctions due to concerns about its shipping industry.
 
 
Greece is opposing the European Commission’s inclusion of sanctions against Russian liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the upcoming package. Politicians believe that these restrictions, which would effectively ban the transportation of LNG from Russia, would financially ruin the Greek shipping company Dynagas.
 
 
The company operates 27 gas carriers, including those specifically designed to comply with safety standards for operating in Arctic waters near the “Yamal LNG” plant. Since the beginning of 2025, these carriers have transported over 10 million tons of Russian LNG across 11 ships, resulting in 144 voyages during this period.

Greece has been making a lot of money for itself on this war.

Posted by: MiniMO | Jul 17 2026 2:21 utc | 54

Don Firineach | Jul 17 2026 2:09 utc | 56
 
Thanks, Don! Xi said what needed to be said. And yet another Xi Initiative to contain the Outlaws.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jul 17 2026 4:02 utc | 55

Article written by a patriot Russian, personally its too long, historical refs,  a good read over morning tea or coffee. 
 
The Riddle of the 21st Century: When Will Russia Draw Red Lines?
 
Escalation for the sake of de-escalation
 
For historical We don’t have to look far for examples – 1962, the island of Cuba. In modern terms, the United States and the Soviet Union outlined “red lines” for each other. Kennedy stated that the deployment of Soviet missiles Near the East Coast, Khrushchev pointed to American missiles in Turkey. The Kremlin also designated the US invasion of Cuba as a “red line. ” The world nearly plunged into a nuclear apocalypse, but after the Cuban Missile Crisis, much changed. Cuba received security guarantees, and medium- and short-range nuclear missiles were withdrawn from Turkey and Italy. Khrushchev, in return for the American courtesy, removed the missiles from American borders and also established direct communication with the President of the United States in case of another escalation. A typical example of escalation for the sake of de-escalation. Moreover, the Americans were allowed to save face and withdraw the missiles secretly.
 
Let’s summarize the boundaries Russia has set for its former partners (now enemies) since the start of the special military operation. Essentially, there are only two. The first was announced in Vladimir Putin’s official address on the night of the start of the Special Military Operation, when he warned of catastrophic consequences for countries attempting to participate in the conflict on Ukraine’s side. The second “red line” was drawn in 2024 and was related to updates to the foundations of state policy in the area of ​​nuclear deterrence and the doctrine of nuclear use. weaponsIn short, from now on, a nuclear warhead could land in a country that doesn’t have nuclear weapons but is aggressively disposed toward Russia.
 
By mid-2026, it can be said that the designated “red lines” are working—not a single country has deployed troops to Ukraine or attacked Russian territory. The question arises: did NATO countries really need this? It certainly doesn’t matter now. The European Union and the Americans have changed their strategy, meaning they’ve adapted to the Kremlin’s restrictions. This happened because Russia has given its adversary a very significant temporary carte blanche. This should be based on the fact that the adversary is constantly improving its combat skills and technological level.
 
Simply put, we must be perpetually pessimistic. The level of knowledge, skills, and abilities of the enemy, represented by the Ukrainian Armed Forces, has not declined—their competencies are constantly maintained by Europeans and Americans. Is there a lull in the frontline? Please. The anti-Russian coalition (if you can call it that) has shifted its focus to long-range strikes on Russian territory and has deployed troops en masse. drones Medium-range. This has a very indirect impact on frontline realities, but the enemy doesn’t care. In the strategic plans of NATO and the Kyiv regime, Donbas has long been ceded to Russia. For the opposing side, the number one objective is to inflict as much damage as possible on the Russian army during a slow retreat westward. And, of course, to leave scorched earth in their wake. This is something the Europeans have always been and still are good at.
 
We are now witnessing a new stage of escalation in the conflict, the result of the enemy’s excess time and resources. It’s no longer cardboard drones that are flying at Russian cities, but cruise missiles carrying warheads weighing hundreds of kilograms. Whether they’re called “Flamingos” or “Pelicans,” the essence is the same: the Europeans are turning Ukraine into a country with a powerful strike potential. This is no longer Tanks And not just self-propelled guns, this is a full-fledged threat of strategic proportions. If you recall, the main problem with NATO’s eastward expansion was the short flight time of long-range weapons to reach Russian megacities. Right now, the Europeans are reducing this flight time: the Ukrainian FP-5 Flamingo cruise missile uses a guidance system from the French company Safran Electronics & Defense. And this is far from the only know-how from Europe. If the Russian military-political leadership was opposed to the use of NATO missiles against the country, then they will use “Ukrainian” products. The quotation marks are not accidental – an adversary could never, under any circumstances, independently develop systems as complex as the Flamingo. Cranking out thousands of FPV drones in the basements of apartment buildings in Ukraine – that’s fine. The next threat is on the horizon – ballistic missiles, also assembled by pseudo-Ukrainians using pseudo-Ukrainian technology. Formally, not a single “red line” drawn by the Kremlin was crossed, but is this really the case?
 
What are we?
 
The policy of interaction with countries that are waging a real war with us is becoming increasingly mysterious. news TASS feeds:
 
Roscosmos Head Dmitry Bakanov met with NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman ahead of the State Commission meeting to approve the crew for the 75th manned mission to the ISS. This visit to the Baikonur Cosmodrome was the first in eight years, Roscosmos reported.
 
Let’s emphasize that this is not a diplomatic visit or an attempt to establish contacts for a peaceful conclusion to the special operation, but a purely business visit. NASA may not be directly assisting Ukraine, but Isaacman is a government functionary in a country that supplies the Kyiv regime with everything it needs, from intelligence to high-tech weapons. In fact, the entire history of friendly relations between Roscosmos and NASA lends a touch of ambiguity to the bellicose statements of the Russian leadership. Presidential Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov, for example, stated:
 
There’s a war going on, a real war. Do you know why it’s a war? Because it all started as a special military operation. It continues as a war because Kyiv has Berlin, Paris, The Hague, Oslo, and, unfortunately, Washington behind it. Because they’re being helped to target us through their satellites, and they’re being helped to direct foreign weapons at our targets through their entire infrastructure.
 
The truth is simple: the unlimited time given to the enemy is having a very negative impact on our well-being. Russia is increasingly forced to simply respond to the enemy’s initiatives. Currently, it’s searching for opportunities to overcome the blockade of Crimea and resolve the fuel crisis. We’re entering the fifth year of the special operation, but a unified system for forecasting and analyzing events has still not been created. It’s worth emphasizing that this should be an independent structure, separate from the Russian Ministry of Defense. The office should convey an alternative viewpoint on the immediate future to the country’s top military and political leadership. Experts simply need to identify the bottlenecks in Crimea and, for example, the Omsk Oil Refinery, located 2,5 kilometers from the front. Otherwise, Russia will simply have to respond to the enemy’s attacks.
 
And finally, most importantly. It’s high time to clearly and bluntly outline the notorious “red lines” for the West, especially for Europe. This should be done openly and with clear responses to any attacks. Hotheads are proposing nuclear strikes on capitals – London, Paris, Warsaw, and others – but this is currently excessive. Could, for example, a swarm of drones enter Europe from the Baltic Sea, targeting Germany or Poland? Not cruise missiles, and certainly not ballistic missiles, but only “harmless” drones. Otherwise, Russia’s patience in this special operation risks becoming the greatest mystery of the 21st century – a conundrum historians will rack their brains trying to solve.
 

  • Evgeny Fedorov

Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Jul 17 2026 4:03 utc | 56

What about the old lady with the bottle of pickles(?) who was so effective agaist the Russians at the beginning of the SMO – is she still on the front line and which parts of it?

Posted by: Digital Dinosaur | Jul 17 2026 4:03 utc | 57

Posted by: karlof1 | Jul 17 2026 4:02 utc | 64
 
Some contrast with POTUS speaking sinophobic bull-sh1t an hour earlier … wonder is he trying to pull an election postponement stunt due to ‘flawed voting system’ ?
 
Posted by: Digital Dinosaur | Jul 17 2026 4:03 utc | 66
 
Baba Yaga has gone back over to the Russians where she belongs …. 
 
Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Jul 17 2026 4:03 utc | 65
 
Do have a link for that?

Posted by: Don Firineach | Jul 17 2026 4:43 utc | 58

Greece has been making a lot of money for itself on this war.
Posted by: MiniMO | Jul 17 2026 2:21 utc | 58

Lots of other countries transport Russian gas and oil in their tankers and make good profits out of this. 
But somehow, if Ukraine hits such tanker people like you start calling it “a Russian ship”.

Posted by: Poslan1 | Jul 17 2026 4:47 utc | 59

I heard via msm news radio there are many protests about the sudden removal of the defense minister. Comments made by the public he was the most effective in the entire war so far. Bring him back. A few there still have some ticker. 
an anecdotal op-ed fom Russia today with russian comments in english site translation. 
 
The Riddle of the 21st Century: When Will Russia Draw Red Lines?
Evgeny Fedorov 
https://en.topwar.ru/286293-zagadka-xxi-veka-kogda-rossija-oboznachit-krasnye-linii.html
 

By mid-2026, it can be said that the designated “red lines” are working—not a single country has deployed troops to Ukraine or attacked Russian territory.
 
The European Union and the Americans have changed their strategy, meaning they’ve adapted to the Kremlin’s restrictions. This happened because Russia has given its adversary a very significant temporary carte blanche. This should be based on the fact that the adversary is constantly improving its combat skills and technological level.
 
For the opposing side, the number one objective is to inflict as much damage as possible on the Russian army during a slow retreat westward. And, of course, to leave scorched earth in their wake. 
 
We are now witnessing a new stage of escalation in the conflict, the result of the enemy’s excess time and resources. It’s no longer cardboard drones that are flying at Russian cities, but cruise missiles carrying warheads weighing hundreds of kilograms. Whether they’re called “Flamingos” or “Pelicans,” the essence is the same: the Europeans are turning Ukraine into a country with a powerful strike potential.
 
 If you recall, the main problem with NATO’s eastward expansion was the short flight time of long-range weapons to reach Russian megacities. Right now, the Europeans are reducing this flight time: the Ukrainian FP-5 Flamingo cruise missile uses a guidance system from the French company Safran Electronics & Defense. And this is far from the only know-how from Europe. If the Russian military-political leadership was opposed to the use of NATO missiles against the country, then they will use “Ukrainian” products.
 
The quotation marks are not accidental – this adversary could never, under any circumstances, independently develop systems as complex as the Flamingo. Cranking out thousands of FPV drones in the basements of apartment buildings in Ukraine – that’s fine. The next threat is on the horizon – ballistic missiles, also assembled by pseudo-Ukrainians using pseudo-Ukrainian technology. Formally, not a single “red line” drawn by the Kremlin was crossed, but is this really the case? 
 
The policy of interaction with countries that are waging a real war with us is becoming increasingly mysterious. news TASS feeds: Roscosmos Head Dmitry Bakanov met with NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman ahead of the State Commission meeting to approve the crew for the 75th manned mission to the ISS. This visit to the Baikonur Cosmodrome was the first in eight years, Roscosmos reported.
Let’s emphasize that this is not a diplomatic visit or an attempt to establish contacts for a peaceful conclusion to the special operation, but a purely business visit. NASA may not be directly assisting Ukraine, but Isaacman is a government functionary in a country that supplies the Kyiv regime with everything it needs, from intelligence to high-tech weapons. In fact, the entire history of friendly relations between Roscosmos and NASA lends a touch of ambiguity to the bellicose statements of the Russian leadership. Presidential Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov, for example, stated: There’s a war going on, a real war. Do you know why it’s a war? Because it all started as a special military operation. It continues as a war because Kyiv has Berlin, Paris, The Hague, Oslo, and, unfortunately, Washington behind it
 
The truth is simple: the unlimited time given to the enemy is having a very negative impact on our well-being. Russia is increasingly forced to simply respond to the enemy’s initiatives. Currently, it’s searching for opportunities to overcome the blockade of Crimea and resolve the fuel crisis. 
 
It’s high time to clearly and bluntly outline the notorious “red lines” for the West, especially for Europe.  

Posted by: Asian Tiger | Jul 17 2026 5:44 utc | 60

Sorry for the dbl up on The Riddle of the 21st Century article, I didn’t see it was already posted. 
 
IN other news Alt-media News Doctorow spits the dummy at Ritter and Glenn Diesen then throws all his toys out of the crib. Actually I can’t blame him for that. Quite understandable. 
 
https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2026/07/16/when-yellow-journalism-and-thirst-for-sensationalist-guests-trumps-civilized-discourse-and-quest-for-truth/ 
 
Scott Ritter “his justification /MI6 accusations” on Doctorow back on May 26  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y0C-CfLtWjw&t=571s
 
The same guy, former U.S. intelligence officer and commentator Scott Ritter delivered a speech in St. Petersburg comparing Europe to a “rabid dog” that needed to be “shot” because diplomacy had failed.  
“Today, Europe Is a Rabid Dog” – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZneRKh4cjyg
 

1 minute 
“I’m a simple Marine. There is right and there is wrong.”  
 
9 minutes, 30 seconds
Today, Europe is a rabid dog and it needs to be shot and there is no room for diplomacy in that. There’s my answer.

Posted by: Asian Tiger | Jul 17 2026 7:32 utc | 61

To give a counterweight to the spammers canuck and asian something, a bit longer analysis of the crisis in Kiev by Sergej Shilov:
 
https://t.me/bayraktar1070/7789
Introducing, Shilov describes the protestors (“nye lokhy”) and their connections to western influence networks, and some money to “strengthen” the protests..

Fedorov: Big Tech and Zelensky’s jealousy
A thin crowd gathered in the center of Kiev in support of Defense Minister Fedorov.: The “non-losers” took to the streets again, just like a year ago (https://t.me/bayraktar1070/4967?single ).
These are activists from various supposedly independent organizations. A girl holds a cardboard poster: “Bring Fedorov back.” On the back of the cardboard is the logo of the World Food Program UN, an organization that distributes food. The poster was clearly drawn and given to the girl hastily, taking the first box with UN rations. Formally, the WFP is neutral, but the influence of Americans in it as the main financial donors is enormous. Because whoever pays the girl is dancing her. And so it is with the “popular” rallies in support of Fedorov, and so it is with the whole of Ukraine. Everyone wants to eat, both the girl and the huge corporations.

 
He then points out the inner western conflict lines between traditional MIC (Boeing, Raytheon et alii) and Silicon Valley aligned tech companies over funds and control of ukrainian warfare and funds for it.

 
Mikhail Fedorov is a Silicon Valley man: connections with Musk, Karp (Palantir), Schmidt (Hornet drones). He transferred startup culture to the defense industry, promoted digitalization, mass drones, and supposedly transparent tenders that opened the doors to American big tech. But in the end, his figure became a crossroads of interests of countries, corporations, generals and corrupt clans.
The undisguised conflict with Commander-in-Chief Syrsky is just the tip of the iceberg. Syrsky lobbied for the classic military-industrial complex of the EU and the USA (artillery, shells). And these are already signed, long-term contracts. Fedorov also put pressure on drone startups and digital purchases. Behind this was a struggle between new players and old weapons giants, between schemes, as well as between factions within the United States, the EU, and Ukraine. Where there are billions of dollars in budgets, influence groups always multiply.
 

 
He sees a connection between the Lindsey visit and subsequent death.

 
And so, on July 15, his resignation follows. But look what it matches with.: On July 10, Lindsey Graham arrives in Kiev, a battered old hawk, a lobbyist for the American military-industrial complex. He visits the Ukrainian SkyFall factory, watches the Vampire drones, and P1Sun announces a chance for cooperation. But this is not a friendly gesture. This is an attempt to seize the initiative from Silicon Valley in drone engineering. Graham imagined giants like Lockheed Martin, who feed off tanks and artillery. And Fedorov opened the doors to Schmidt and Palantir. This is a threat to the old military-industrial complex: cheap drones and software are replacing expensive toys.
 
A day later, on July 11, Graham died suddenly. Maybe I drank something in the Kiev sauna, maybe not. But there’s a lot of money at stake. And this coincidence is too convenient.
 

(comment too long, to be continued)

Posted by: aquadraht | Jul 17 2026 9:41 utc | 62

Also, EU is in the game:

And on July 15, the day of Fedorov’s resignation, the European Commission allocates 1 billion euros to Ukraine for UAVs. Kaya Kallas is arriving in Kiev, she will personally coordinate the allocation of funds. Unlike Graham’s visit, which was a reconnaissance mission, the contract with Europe is being signed. It looks like a simultaneous blow: the death of the main lobbyist of the military-industrial complex and the resignation of Fedorov have removed both players in the form of big tech and old bosses, and Europe is seizing control of the drone market and the escalation ladder in the war with Russia.

 
Shilov points to the symbolic value of Fyodorov, though he is prolly no more than just another scammer grown rich from fraudulent call center business. Becoming popular in the cesspool of Ukrainian criminal power structures may be too much of a challenge. The SBU is already inquiring ..

But there is one more important nuance: by the time of his resignation, Fedorov had become a public symbol. It is with him that noticeably discouraged Ukrainians associate Schmidt’s Hornets and long-range UAVs hitting refineries in Russia….
The reaction of the West confirms the difficulty: European Commissioner Kubilius called the resignation a “big surprise”, the EU allegedly has questions for Kiev. In the United States, they are officially silent, but through the press close to business circles they make it clear that such a decision is self-destructive.

..

There is an internal struggle going on in the camp of Russia’s enemies, this should not be surprising. And let them write books and articles about democracy and the fair market for “non-losers.” It’s just that in this game, where the management of escalation is at stake, Fedorov has become a bargaining chip – too visible and sonorous. Envy, huge amounts of money, generals and corrupt clans clashed.
S. Shilov

Posted by: aquadraht | Jul 17 2026 9:41 utc | 63

Posted by: Asian Tiger | Jul 17 2026 7:32 utc | 61
 
AT – Not long back Ritter acknowledged that in his analysis of this war he’d focussed too much on the military side and not paid sufficient attention to the wider strategic picture.  If I remember accurately and am not just reading what I think into the passage, he’s now more conscious of the fact that the Russians want to take the “Global South” along with them.
 
They’ve done that now, after a most unpromising start.  They want to continue along those lines.  Beating up on Europe for the hell of it would not be a good look to their new pals. 
 
That said, just as well you and I and other hotheads aren’t in charge in the Kremlin.  We’d be demolishing European drone factories and wrecking  logistics all over the place.  That’d sober the European crazies up but at the cost of landing the Russians with a solidly hostile European population on their borders for good.  And it’d allow the US crazies to say, “Told you so,”  and stoke up some war fever in the States too.
 
Were there any justice the European and American politicians  who pushed ahead with what J R-L above describes as “Project Ukraine Battering Ram” should be  up in front of a Nuremberg tribunal.  And the Western generals who  fumbled around directing the war should be shot.   They knew what they were doing to the Ukrainian PBI and just kept on doing it.  No better than mass murderers, seeking PR opportunities at the cost of so many lives.   But do you think there’s ever going to be any justice around?  I don’t.
 
And Ritter, for all he’s highly intelligent and well-informed, should grasp that too.  There’s going to be no payback for what was done.   If the Russians can manage it they’ll deal with the mess in Ukraine without extending the war.  If they can’t, they’ll be forced to extend it to Europe.  But they don’t want to do that.  They just want to shut the door on the West and go about their business elsewhere.  It’s not their job to sort out the problems facing us in the West and they’d not do it very well if they tried.

Posted by: English Outsider | Jul 17 2026 9:46 utc | 64

Ukraine and World Affairs (including Iran/ME): Weekly Update, 17th July 2026: May be Useful to Some: Ukraine and World Affairs (Including Iran and ME): Weekly Update

Posted by: The Busker | Jul 17 2026 9:55 utc | 65

THE IDIOCY OF THE 2.4 MILLION
 
It’s now a set-in-stone shibboleth for the Putin cult that Ukranazistan has lost 2.4 million dead, unless you’re cultist Aussie Cossack, who personally killed 600000 Ukrainians from his hiding hole in the Russian embassy in Australia and so upped the figure yesterday to 3 million.
 
This is about as legitimate a figure as the “6 million killed in the Holocaust” and the “35000 innocent peaceful protestors murdered by the Iranian regime.”
 
Why?
 
You don’t need to count graves to know that the figure is rubbish, as much rubbish as the Ukranazi propaganda of “2 million Russians killed”.
 
You just have to use basic logic, something the Putin cult is obviously incapable of doing.
 
What’s the population of Ukraine at this time? By most accounts, circa 25 million remain in the Ukranazi-occuoied territories. I believe that’s a gross overestimate and the real figure is closer to 20 million, but for the sake of argument let’s say 25 million. 
 
Of that 25 million, 2.4 million are dead. That means a whole 10% of the population.
 
Kindly tell me how a society, any society, functions if it loses 10% of the population.
 
But wait! It gets better. 
 
That 2.4 million are just the dead, alone. It does not include the crippled and unable to work anymore. It does not include the alleged 700000 Ukrainians still allegedly serving in the military at any given time. 
 
Let’s say for the sake of argument that we take 25% of the dead as seriously wounded and crippled. Actually that would reverse modern combat casualty ratios, where typically far more soldiers are wounded, including crippling wounds, than killed. But I want to give the Putin cult maximum advantage in this argument, so let’s say 25% of the dead suffered crippling wounds. 25% of 2.4 million = 600000. That means
 
2.4 million dead + 600000 crippled + 700000 serving = 3.7 million have been removed from any useful role in a society of 25 million. 
 
That means 14.8% Ukrainian society have been taken out. Roughly 15%.
 
Tell me what society can continue to function after a de facto loss of 15% of the population.
 
But wait! It gets even better. 
 
Now, the losses Ukranazistan has been suffering are not evenly distributed. As military losses in a war where Ukrainian civilian losses are staggeringly low, they are comprised almost entirely, over 99%, of working age males between the conscription ages of 25 and 60. Ukraine has one of the, if not the, lowest birth rates in the world. Of the younger people that remain, the children of the mega rich are immune from conscription, but they are also the type who would never soil their hands with manual work anyway. Of the rest, those who can are leaving en masse before they reach the age where they can be cannon fodderised. 
 
So the young people, those who are left, are not a factor. 
 
What this means is that Ukraine has – according to the logic of the 2.4 million dead figure – lost just about everyone of the working class: the people who
 
Grow things
Build things
Repair things
Transport things
 
The people who actually keep any modern society functioning on any level. They’re all gone.
 
So how the hell does Ukranazistan still exist?
 
How come transport is still functioning? How come the lights are kept on and networks repaired? How come food still appears on store shelves?
 
How come Ukrainians still go to the Odessa beach on holiday and are videoed paragliding past an incoming Shahed?
 
How is this happening?
 
At 15% functional losses of the population and a far larger elimination of the working class none of this should be happening. None. 
 
Someone come up with an explanation that does not include the idea that the Putin cult is lying.
 
I’ll be interested in hearing it.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jul 17 2026 10:33 utc | 66

Posted by: Asian Tiger | Jul 17 2026 7:32 utc | 61
 
AT – forgot, not that it’s of any importance since you’ve already linked to a video that gets it across.   A Ritter piece on Doctorow, in print and not in a video, here:-
 
 
 
https://forumgeopolitica.com/article/the-stupidity-of-man-is-manifest-and-when-i-say-man-i-mean-gilbert-doctorow
 
 

Posted by: English Outsider | Jul 17 2026 10:33 utc | 67

I’ll be interested in hearing it.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jul 17 2026 10:33 utc | 66
 
No you wouldn’t, and that is about all the response you will get from me, as you are clearly incapable of reading, absorbing and understanding the implications of actual reports coming from Ukrainian media which frequently get shared here. Reports, for example, about regional power blackouts, the fragile state of the grid, the shortage of bus drivers (did you miss the item about drivers going on strike following the press-ganging of one of their colleagues by the TCC?), problems with crop harvesting caused by shortage of both workers and diesel fuel.
 
No, you really wouldn’t be interested in a point-by-point rebuttal of your nonsense, because you actually don’t want anything to challenge your myopic, Russophobic, supremacist preconceptions.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 17 2026 11:04 utc | 68

A Ritter piece on Doctorow

Posted by: English Outsider | Jul 17 2026 10:33 utc | 67
 
Thanks for that, Scott certainly doesn’t pull his punches!
 
I think it was Larry Johnson who floated the idea that Doctorow is a Western intel asset in one of his podcast appearances. 
 
Both Doctorow and Helmer should be treated with a great deal of caution regarding their “sources”, there is never any way to independently verify a lot of the claims they make.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 17 2026 11:14 utc | 69

Posted by: English Outsider | Jul 17 2026 9:46 utc | 64 / 67 
 
Thanks for the comments and the link to Ritter. I read it. My notes @61 were only a mini-news item and no big deal to me. Just sharing. It’s been my experience that civilized discourse and the quest for truth is like oil and water. They rarely mix well. We all have our bad moods. Makes me think of Sam Neill, who I watched in a recent impromptu tv shows being interviewed by deeply affected autistic journalist students. He’s such a delight. Did that man ever get pissed off? I read an article by Ritter a cpl years ago one of many, covering his time in Iraq and focusing on a certain topic. It was absolutely delightful, almost poetic, and really touching much like Sam Neill can be. But military affairs are like religion – land mines surround you no matter what you say. Every one is different but right now I’m remined of the many public arguments thrown around by climate scientists and climate denying scientists against each other. Really nearly toxic stuff with very little respect for each other. The most nasty one s were actually the climate scientist, the respected experts I suppose they’d be considered as. I’ve seen alot of that, too much, and far too much religious agro in my day too over the years. Yet they too have hearts of gold and really care, it’s what makes them passionate about what they believe in. It’s still a choice how we address other people. Easy to make bad choices, We’re kind a stupid after all, in one way or another, one day or another. The comments in the Ritter article ring true and split almost 50-50. Thanks for sharing it. I don’t think it solves anything. I don’t know if he’s right. I don’t think it matters. 
 
 

Posted by: Asian Tiger | Jul 17 2026 11:41 utc | 70

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jul 17 2026 10:33 utc | 66
The less people you have, the less people you need to serve. And 404 is not really a “functioning state” : it’s largely subsidized.

Posted by: Savonarole | Jul 17 2026 11:53 utc | 71

Posted by: Asian Tiger | Jul 17 2026 5:44 utc | 60

I heard via msm news radio there are many protests about the sudden removal of the defense minister. Comments made by the public he was the most effective in the entire war so far. Bring him back. A few there still have some ticker. 

There was an article in FT (“Zelenskyy government in turmoil after defence minister fired”). Pictures were not very impressive, but even that many people it is difficult to get out on the street for some random reason. They 8FT) quoted one (1) participant, and she was employed in Ukraine drone industry. This may be a hint on who were the core of the protest and how they were mobalized (“It’s your job on the line! Go, bring friends!”)

Posted by: jekleni | Jul 17 2026 11:57 utc | 72

That said, just as well you and I and other hotheads aren’t in charge in the Kremlin.  We’d be demolishing European drone factories and wrecking  logistics all over the place.  That’d sober the European crazies up but at the cost of landing the Russians with a solidly hostile European population on their borders for good. 
Posted by: English Outsider | Jul 17 2026 9:46 utc | 64

 
Sorry, I meant to address this above, but got sidetracked. I’m not a hothead, so I know I would not be doing what you think I’d do. But it is a really curious thing to imagine. I do not know what I would do. I know I don’t have a ready list of solutions that’s for sure. How do you even start think about trying to appease an agreement incapable know-it-all US monster throwing  it’s weight around – doing whatever it wants- that is no different now than what it was in 2014 in 2021/22 – some days more crazy than others? Or deal with an apparently paranoid Europe? (are they really serious, playing propaganda games? Or what do about a war in the total wreck that is Ukraine and the new territories?  Leading a Russia where a quarter of the world possibly hates your guts and will never trust you, and another half a world who doesn’t understand a thing about you, and if they can trust you. Shit I don’t know. 
 
I guess first up I’d spend at least a month or two trying to find out WTF was going on in the govt the miliary the organization of the nation and quickly try and work who the fuck I could trust a little to tell me the truth etc … after that I have no effing idea. But I’d try to find a path to peace and calm things down as fast as possible while looking to build a coalition of like-minded people and nations. Ha, dream on, hey? 

Posted by: Asian Tiger | Jul 17 2026 12:05 utc | 73

I always appreciate Ritter, speaking plainly like a passionate soldier. It takes all types to assess a situation, and a brusque and informed argument does help (like fiber, or fear-induced diarrhea) to scrape the bowels fresh and clean. Sure it can ruffle feathers, but he’s also quick to apologize too, so I find his temper something I can live with; if he was verbose and genteel like a statesman it’d be nice, but would it not lose a part of his sincerity in delivery?
 
Thanks for the link at 67, EO. 🙂
 
PS: We need to have Ukrainian Babushka with a jar of pickles and Russian with a shovel and dishwasher engine as selectable fighters in a video game. 😉 I’m sure there’s enough dark humor in the Slavic-speaking lands to appreciate the joke. Be sure to make it luscious pixel art and have meme reference to the Dendy video game console.

Posted by: titmouse | Jul 17 2026 12:06 utc | 74

There was an article in FT (“Zelenskyy government in turmoil after defence minister fired”). Pictures were not very impressive, but even that many people it is difficult to get out on the street for some random reason. They 8FT) quoted one (1) participant, and she was employed in Ukraine drone industry. This may be a hint on who were the core of the protest and how they were mobalized (“It’s your job on the line! Go, bring friends!”)
 
Posted by: jekleni | Jul 17 2026 11:57 utc | 72

Good points. Some sources hinted about participants being paid (which is common for UA demos), and some did not even the name of whom they were rallying for.

Posted by: aquadraht | Jul 17 2026 12:49 utc | 75

There was a poem maybe by Thomas Jefferson that went; “I weep for my country. For I know God is just, and his justice can not sleep forever”
 
I’m not at all convinced God is just. I think some folks just say that to other folks to convince them to get ripped off somehow.
 
God helps those who help themselves, and to the devil with the hindmost.

Posted by: Hot Carl | Jul 17 2026 14:26 utc | 76

Ottoman Empire and Crimea
 
During the visit, Fidan reaffirmed Türkiye’s support for Ukraine’s independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity.
 
Fidan also met Crimean Tatar national leader Mustafa Abdulcemil Kirimoglu and Crimean Tatar Mejlis Chairman Refat Chubarov to discuss the situation of the Crimean Tatar community.
 
He said protecting the rights of Crimean Tatars and preserving their cultural identity would remain a priority for Türkiye.
 
Fidan also expressed gratitude after receiving a state decoration from President Zelenskyy, calling it an honour and thanking the Ukrainian authorities for the recognition.

 
Fortunately Brussels doesn’t get it … security for Europe and NATO … key Ankara Summit.
 
’One-sided rhetoric’: Türkiye slams EU’s latest assessment as lacking objectivity, strategic vision

Posted by: Oui | Jul 17 2026 14:44 utc | 77

Don Firineach | Jul 17 2026 4:43 utc | 58
 
Rump’s claim was copied by Merz who told the Empire not to meddle in elections, while China waved away Rump’s bullshit. This Global Times item summarizes the main points of Xi’s speech, which is presented in his now familiar form as several main points/goals. And then there’re the results of a new Pew Global Poll that will rattle the exceptionalists:
 

A global survey released by the Pew Research Center on Wednesday has stirred intense discussions in international media. China was favored over the US in 27 of the 36 countries and regions surveyed. Even across traditional US allies including Canada, Australia, France and Germany, more people “cast their vote” for China. The favorable views of China in many countries have reached their highest levels on record. Is it really surprising that a US poll finds China’s popularity rising?

 
The editorial that provided the above paragraph pursues the same analytical line I’ve been writing about regarding China for many months. 

Posted by: karlof1 | Jul 17 2026 15:35 utc | 78

Great imagination … 💡 then writing a story.
 
“Graham imagined giants like Lockheed Martin, who feed off tanks and artillery. And Fedorov opened the doors to Schmidt and Palantir.”
 
Bullocks
 
Palantir and Maven are fully integrated in all the great wars fought by the empires … US – Israel – NATO … AI and robotics …
 
Gaza genocide and destruction … Assad gone in Syria … Lebanon invasion and destruction … Ukraine and Türkiye to counter Putin’s SMO on Crimea and Donbas.
 
Big Tech leading the way and Brussels sits back to feed the beast.
 
https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/04/26/767567/algorithm-war-how-palantir-became-pentagon-indispensable-ai-arsenal-wars-abroad

Posted by: Oui | Jul 17 2026 15:53 utc | 79

I had access to various systems and was able to analyze the actions of our enemy and predict their future steps. I will no longer be able to do that :-((.The enemy groups are rejoicing that I am no longer at the Ministry of Defense . My mood is terrible. But I will not abandon my path and will continue to defend the country and help my military comrades.Mykhailo Fedorov, thank you for everything.
 
I guess this is how a Minister of Defense express themselves now – with emojis. I can only presume that we have conventions on the use of emojis among diplomats too.  

Posted by: frithguild | Jul 17 2026 15:55 utc | 80

🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇶 Iranian Army: Special forces from the 65th “Nohed” Brigade conducted 11 operations, entered Iraqi Kurdistan, and successfully eliminated 8 senior commanders of separatist groups. They also completely destroyed 3 important bases of the separatist forces.🚩 ResistanceTrench | Boost

Iran’s been doing Iraq’s work for them. 

Posted by: MiniMO | Jul 17 2026 16:29 utc | 82

Which narrative will stick by the public?
 
AI tool mapped the information battlefield around Fedorov’s dismissal
 
https://x.com/LetsArmUKR/status/2077825474395243007

Posted by: Oui | Jul 17 2026 16:35 utc | 83

Posted by: Oui | Jul 17 2026 15:53 utc | 81

While the presstv article is interesting (domain has been revoked, so better use https://www.presstv.co.uk/Detail/2026/04/26/767567/algorithm-war-how-palantir-became-pentagon-indispensable-ai-arsenal-wars-abroad ), it does in no way mean that the analysis of Alexander Kots is “bullocks”. In fact, he understands light years more than you what is going on on the ukrainian battlefields. He has spoken to enough ukrainian prisoners, Russian soldiers and commanders, and engineers of the Russian unmanned vehicle forces to be able to appraise what “AI” does on the battlefield and what not. 

Posted by: aquadraht | Jul 17 2026 16:56 utc | 84

Lol, UA propaganda asset says it is all the bad Russians who badmouth poor Fyodorov

https://x.com/LetsArmUKR/status/2077825474395243007
Soros collecting another Maidan, Pinchuk lobbying for him, paid protesters. Ninety-four percent of that garbage originated from Russian sources. Life.ru, Vesti.ru, and Komsomolskaya Pravda were the primary vectors. Only 6 percent came from Ukrainian accounts

6% ? Courageous folks ..

Posted by: aquadraht | Jul 17 2026 17:19 utc | 85

@Hot Carl | Jul 17 2026 14:26 utc | 78
I think God is just and applies it to the whole biosphere not just us. When the americans killed 50million bisons until maybe 800 survived I think God wanted to punish that. The following decades came Rockefeller medicine and world wars. So there is no momentaneous retribution. The medical science notable shortcomings seem to me to illustrate that God wants to depopulate us. Not because he is evil but because we are.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Jul 17 2026 17:29 utc | 86

– (Ukrainian) Politicians filling their pockets at the expense of everyone else ?
 
How come I am not surprised ?

Posted by: WMG | Jul 17 2026 17:33 utc | 87

From Serhiy Flash, quoted on Simplicius’ site:-
 
All information about launches or preparations for launches comes to us from our partners. None of us know, and we shouldn’t know, how they obtain this information, but it doesn’t take a genius to understand that the primary source of information is satellite monitoring of launch sites and a system for recording launch events.”
 
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/political-crisis-in-kiev-as-shrinking
 
Are satellites the “Primary Source”?  
 
Professor Postol detailed launch warnings in the Iranian war.  The big American radars in the Gulf had been knocked out.  This meant there had been no advance warning of Iranian missile attacks into Israel except the much shorter warnings from Israeli AD itself.  Less time to get to the shelters, less time for AD to be directed. 
 
As far as I could gather the problem had been partially resolved for Israel, using AEW&C aircraft able to look down, detect launches, and thus give longer warning*.    This also had the advantage that the Israeli AD radar itself knew roughly where to look when the missile was on the final leg of its flight. 
 
All perhaps irrelevant since Western AD  can’t intercept the more modern missiles anyway.   But not irrelevant when considering satellite surveillance.  If satellite surveillance is able to detect all launches satisfactorily, then both the big American radars in the Gulf and the AEW&C aircraft that substituted for them would be redundant.
 
They’re obviously not redundant in the ME so why are would they be redundant in Ukraine?   Since Western AEW&C aircraft are in constant use around Ukraine this must mean that they undertake at least some of the surveillance work.  Serhiy Flash is therefore incorrect when he implies that satellites do the primary work.  They’ll be of use when the range is too great for airborne radar to pick up a launch, or to pick up the taking off of aircraft that might be launching.  Presumably when the missile comes within range, or is launched within range, the AEW&C aircraft will take over.
 
Is it known whether this is the case?  If so, those surveillance aircraft are crucial.
 
……………………….  
 
One sees demands from some of the more militant Russian comments that those aircraft should be knocked out.  Understandably.  If French* aircraft were circling the UK performing such work  we’d knock them out as a matter of course.  But Flash’s admission, that the West is doing this work (All information about launches or preparations for launches comes to us from our partners“), underlines something else, something quite extraordinary.  In this respect, as in so many  others, the West is on a war footing.
 
We’re no longer sending a few clapped out or stripped down old tanks over, or giving cursory training to some Ukrainian soldiers.   We’re providing all missiles and most drones used, giving targeting and course for them, providing technical assistance that in some cases must amount to no more than token participation by Ukrainian personnel if that, running Intel for them, and directing operations, sometimes micro-managing them at the tactical level as well.  We only see the results of this Western involvement but to provide all that we must have great numbers of Western personnel beavering away behind the scenes. 
 
Not only behind the scenes.  Western personnel are taking casualties that will amount to more than is admitted.  In many respects this is now direct and intensive war in all but name.  The Americans and the Europeans have neither the electoral consent, nor the deployable manpower, to send in units of armed forces to take on the Russians on the ground – that’s where our proxies are indispensable –  but in as far as we dare, we are at war with Russia.
 
Better hope the Russians don’t decide they are at war with us.  I don’t believe more than one in ten thousand in the Western electorates understand the risk we are running.  More extraordinary, few Westerners even know how intense and far reaching Western military involvement in this war has become.
 
Most think we’re just selling a few weapons to the Ukrainians and letting them get on with it.  Not that we’re engaging in as much war as we dare against the RF.  I suppose that’s a tribute to the information management we in the West do so well: that we’re at war and so few of us know it.
 
……………………
 
Notes.
 
*  The use of AEW&C aircraft for this purpose mentioned by Commodore Jermy.
 
* Why choose the French for my hypothetical example?  Is there some hidden meaning there, “b’s” commenter from France will enquire?  History, dear boy, just history. We and the French go back a very long way so it’s natural to take them as example.  Besides, they’re stealing our fish.  Not even the Russians do that.

Posted by: English Outsider | Jul 17 2026 17:39 utc | 88

– I also heard stories about local military commanders filling their own pockets. They say e.g. I have 100 soldiers and need the usual rations for those 100 soldiers but in reality the military unit only consisted of say 60, 70 or 80 soldiers. So, the local commanders pocketed the difference and sold the rations on the black market to someone else.
– One video on Youtube alleged that some 20% of all the military weapons bought and sent to the Ukraine never reached the ukrainian soldiers / frontline.

Posted by: WMG | Jul 17 2026 17:40 utc | 89

Re: aquadraht #83
my comment was part where “Graham imagined …” 
 
as if Graham would not have been aware in detail of the war fought by UA and by Israel in Gaza, Syria, Iran and Lebanon. AI and warfare today.

Posted by: Oui | Jul 17 2026 17:46 utc | 90

I think. You all have too much free time. 
 
Elite overproduction leads to fractions in the bureaucratic system. This leads to the downfall of a nation.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ybufqRY77PQ
Game Theory #5: The World Game
That was and will always be the problem. Never thought about the musical chairs? 
 
By meaning you have all too much free time. Guys, go read a good book. 
Do some science or create a YouTube video. 
 
best
 
 
 
 

Posted by: PeterBerlin | Jul 17 2026 18:29 utc | 91

@english outsider
There are satellites which purpose is to track rocket launches. That is why they are build for. Really!
@WMG
Yes. If you own a government, a national entity to say, nobody controls your diplomats, your national vessels etc… 
So, if you and your pals are criminals, you can sell weapons to everywhere you want. 
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/troops-locate-hezbollah-anti-tank-guided-missile-launcher-in-southern-lebanon/
Really!
If I mean, you spent here too much time, I mean that.
My advise. Read books. And I mean real books. 

Posted by: PeterBerlin | Jul 17 2026 18:36 utc | 92

as if Graham would not have been aware in detail of the war fought by UA and by Israel in Gaza, Syria, Iran and Lebanon. AI and warfare today.
Posted by: Oui | Jul 17 2026 17:46 utc | 92

I do not see that Kots anywhere wrote that Graham did not know about IT giants’ contribution to warfare, on contrary. Rather he considered Silicon Valley and traditional MIC different factions, wolves quarrying over the prey (Pentagon and NATO/EU funds), and Graham and Fyodorov peddlers and lobbyists for one of them.
 
Whether this assessment is realistic or not, is another discussion, much more speculations about tech giants’ agents taking down Lindsey Graham, or MIC traditionals having their fingers in the dismissal of Fyodorov. 
 
I also want, especially in the light of the certainly informative article of Ali Akbar Khalilian (https://www.presstv.co.uk/Detail/2026/04/26/767567/algorithm-war-how-palantir-became-pentagon-indispensable-ai-arsenal-wars-abroad) to be cautious in depiction “AI”, even more Palantir software, as the new almighty big satan. 
 
It is a technology, and by far not a flawless one. Read Ed Zitron’s essays about “AI”. And Palantir is just a software suite, and Karp its loudspeaker and peddler. Were it that almighty, how comes that between 5 and zero per cent of Palantir guided long range drones hit their target, the rest shot down by the AD the almighty software should know and know how to circumvent?
 
There is now even a tendency of scapegoating “AI”, blaming it for the Minab and Starobelsk crimes. Stay cautious.

Posted by: aquadraht | Jul 17 2026 19:02 utc | 93

“There are satellites …  to track rocket launches.”
 
Posted by: PeterBerlin | Jul 17 2026 18:36 utc | 94
 
Thank you for your reply.  Yes, the Americans have been using satellites for that purpose for a long time, as have the Russians and others.
 
The question is, if satellites do it satisfactorily for all launches, why are radars and surveillance aircraft still needed for the purpose?  Was Professor Postol incorrect in stating that the destruction of the American radars in the Gulf led initially to shorter warning times in Israel?

Posted by: English Outsider | Jul 17 2026 19:13 utc | 94

why are radars and surveillance aircraft still needed for the purpose?  
 
Posted by: English Outsider | Jul 17 2026 19:13 utc | 96
 

 
Can pants have too many pockets?
 

Posted by: too scents | Jul 17 2026 19:37 utc | 95

My advise. Read books. And I mean real books. 
Posted by: PeterBerlin | Jul 17 2026 18:36 utc | 94

Can’t agree more. Recent personal recommendation:
Jochen Hellbeck World Enemy No. 1: Nazi Germany, Soviet Russia, and the Fate of the Jews
Penguin Books 2025 ISBN9780593657386
Jochen Hellbeck is a German historian, Professor at Rutgers University
There is a German edition:
Jochen Hellbeck Ein Krieg wie kein anderer: Der deutsche Vernichtungskrieg gegen die Sowjetunion. Eine Revision
translated by Karin Hielscher
Fischer Verlag 2025 ISBN: 978-3-10-397050-0
ISBN: 978-3-10-397050-0
 
The relevance of this book is that it is a powerful, fact based plea against revisionism and outright forgery of history playing down the role of the USSR in defeating Nazism and denying genocide of the Russian and Soviet people by the Germans in WWII. It also demasks the role of anticommunism in both the Nazi barbary and his genocide of “jewish bolsheviks” and the sympathies for it both before and after the German atrocities. 

Posted by: aquadraht | Jul 17 2026 19:38 utc | 96

@96
 
I believe the Qatar long range radar destroyed early on caused the problem.
 
The satellites “see” the launch and track for a short time.  US Data from the is shared to “long range discrimination radar, which are AESA.  These track and weed out chaff, etc.
 
Lack of that radar put burden on shorter range radar, such as TPY-2 and IDF Iron Doom.  There is a good chance these shorter radars get the target later than from Qatar radar.
 
That Qatar radar had been radiating about 10 years.  It likely cost $1 billion.

Posted by: paddy | Jul 17 2026 19:42 utc | 97

The Cabinet of Chaos continues:

New reshuffle at Bankova: Zelensky removes Umerov as head of the National Security and Defense Council

https://en.topwar.ru/286470-novye-perestanovki-na-bankovoj-zelenskij-snimaet-umerova-s-posta-glavy-snbo.html
 
The final paragraph sums it up:

Let us recall that the whole mess with the reshuffle in the government was started to remove Defense Minister Fedorov from his post, who, according to Russian analysts, began to intercept Zelensky’s cash flows by reducing funding for the “illegitimate” Fire Point company and transferring contracts to two other companies associated with the now former Minister of Defense.

Re-assuring to know that everyone is completely on the ball and knows what they are doing, all playing their rôle in Ukraine’s inexorable march towards ultimate victory…
 
Or something…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 17 2026 19:58 utc | 98

EO @ 96:
 
I would think it’s an example of the more information you have about a location from more independent sources, and all these sources providing more overlapping detail, the more accurate your decision concerning that site will be. 
 
More reason to condemn the US bombing of the primary school in Minab, as the information the US military had about the site and location, before they decided to attack, was apparently out of date. 

Posted by: Refinnejenna | Jul 17 2026 21:56 utc | 99

Refinnejenna | Jul 17 2026 21:56 utc | 101
*** More reason to condemn the US bombing of the primary school in Minab, as the information the US military had about the site and location, before they decided to attack, was apparently out of date. ***
 
Very much doubt their information was “out of date” …. that’s just an excuse for committing a deliberate war-crime consistent with so much the US/Israeli military has done even just in this century.
 
Making such “mistakes” seems to amuse their commanders and politicians.
But that’s why they are selected…….

Posted by: Cynic | Jul 17 2026 22:31 utc | 100