Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
June 17, 2026
War On Iran: Trump Under Fire For Not Yet Published MoU

Several versions of the Memorandum of Understanding between the U.S. and Iran are circling through the media. They ain’t the final ones.

Yesterday I quoted from a draft version published by the Iranian Mehr News Agency. It was known that this version was not the final one.

Since then Bloomberg, via Time, has published another version. CNN has a slightly different one.

None of these are the finally version the parties had agreed upon.

Late Sunday the final version had been expanded from the draft as Trump had to make additional concessions. These had become necessary to prevent Iran from massively retaliating against Israel for its early Sunday attack on Beirut.

The new concessions included, Iranian sources said, a full retreat of Israel from sovereign Lebanon stipulated in paragraph 1 of the MoU. They also conceded to Iran to control the Strait of Hormuz. The currently published versions in western media do not include such a clauses.

Iran explicitly denies the accuracy of the currently published versions:

Source Refutes Bloomberg’s Alleged Text of MoU as InaccurateTasnim

TEHRAN (Tasnim) – An informed source told Tasnim that the text published by Bloomberg regarding the memorandum of understanding between Iran and the US is not accurate.

“As previously announced, the memorandum consists of 14 clauses, and the subjects covered by those 14 clauses have been discussed repeatedly in the media. However, the details presented by Bloomberg regarding each clause are, in many significant respects, incomplete,” the source said.

“For instance, the first clause and the clause concerning the Strait of Hormuz, as presented by Bloomberg, are clearly inaccurate and omit several important key terms,” the source explained.

The source further noted that, based on the agreement between the parties, the text of the MoU will be published after it is signed on Friday, June 19.

There is speculation why false versions are put into circulation:

Mohammad Ali Shabani @mashabani – 13:54 UTC · Jun 17, 2026

Yesterday, the Israel Lobby began circulating what appears to be a previous draft of the Iran-US MoU. Today, major US outlets have magically gotten their hands on a basically identical document. The leaked draft does not contain apparent last-minute changes, such as a reference to the need for “ensuring” Lebanon’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.

Both Iran and the US have said that nothing will be released until after their official signing ceremony in Switzerland on Friday.

Israel is clearly distraught by the MoU in general, and its initial clause in particular because Israeli forces will likely have to leave Lebanon under a final deal.

The purpose of the seemingly fake leak appears to be to increase pressure on Trump to renege.

There is pressure on Trump from the Zionist lobby as well as from hardline Republicans to step back from the MoU. AIPAC financed Democrats are also condemning the deal. They are attacking the president from the right for not winning while their voters believe that Trump should be attacked for starting the war.

Both parties are also criticizing the lifting of sanctions on Iranian oil sales.

But what please is the purpose of sanctions in the first place if they can not be lifted in exchange for concession from the sanctioned party? Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz. Its condition for reopening it is the lifting of sanctions.

Trump will be hard pressed by both parties in Congress to cancel the MoU. His critics however fail to point to better alternatives. Strategic oil reserves are running dry, tankers are still held up in Hormuz, and even if things go well it will take many months for oil prices to come down to more normal levels. (Things would by the way be much worse if China had not rapidly decreased its imports of oil.)

The continuing lack of oil on the market is giving Iran an huge advantage in upcoming negotiations.

Comments

unless israel signs onto this – it is a no go.. the msm will carry israels propaganda regardless… lies, and omissions are standard fare….. too bad about trump.. he had a lot of high hopes but netanyahu and his far right nazis have the upper hand…
 
thanks b…

Posted by: james | Jun 17 2026 17:50 utc | 1

 
It isn’t whether Israel sabotages any peace agreement it is how and when.  
 
 
Let us all be reminded that it began on Feb 28th with an act of dishonor and treachery.
Israel has no honor so you know who gets the Orange Medal of Dishonor.
 
Israel attacked on Feb 28, 2026 because there had been a major breakthrough in nuclear talks between the US and Iran on Feb 26th.
[Ali Khamenai was assassinated on Feb 28, 2026]
According to Oman’s foreign minister Badr Al Busaidi, the mediator of the talks:
—————————————–
https://x.com/badralbusaidi/status/2027089708392579576
1:33 PM · Feb 26, 2026
Badr Albusaidi – بدر البوسعيدي
@badralbusaidi

We have finished the day after significant progress in the negotiation between the United States and Iran. We will resume soon after consultation in the respective capitals. Discussions on a technical level will take place next week in Vienna. I am grateful to all concerned for their efforts: the negotiators, the IAEA, and our hosts the Swiss government.

——————————————-
And the mediator of the talks, Oman’s foreign minister Badr Al Busaidi, had much more to say the next day, Feb 27th, on CBS’ program, Face The Nation.
Read the whole thing.

MINISTER ALBUSAIDI: Because if the ultimate objective is to ensure forever that Iran cannot have a nuclear bomb, I think we have cracked that problem through these negotiations by agreeing a very important breakthrough that has never been achieved any time before. And I think if we can capture that and build on it, I think a deal is within our reach.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/full-transcript-omani-foreign-minister-badr-albusaidi/
archived:https://archive.ph/6PrEV
Imminent Peace is a threat to Israelis and Greater Israel.

Posted by: Otto Penn | Jun 17 2026 17:54 utc | 2

Note – Iran has NOT closed the Straits of Hormuz. Hormuz transit, within Iranian and Omani territorial waters,  remains open for neutral and friendly cargos.
Point of Fact: Trump (& Netenyahu) have blockaded passage of ships to/from the Persian Gulf. 

Posted by: Exile | Jun 17 2026 17:55 utc | 3

John Helmet has an interesting assessment on the broader picture than just the MOU.  Essentially he is using extortion to entich himself, his family and the holders of US equities. 
 
 
AKA… follow the money. 
 
https://johnhelmer.net/the-iran-memorandum-of-understanding-is-a-stickup-trump-will-try-to-repeat-with-russia/

Posted by: Fool Me Twice | Jun 17 2026 18:03 utc | 4

Not sure if this has been shared yet, but I thought Oliver Hua (Hua Bin) had quite a good take on this, comparing this to the prolonged “negotiations” to reach an armistice in the US war on Korea:
https://huabinoliver.substack.com/p/lessons-for-iran-from-the-koreanExcerpt:“The armistice negotiations were extraordinarily prolonged, lasting two years and seventeen days, or roughly 747 days, from July 10, 1951, to July 27, 1953.
Premier Zhou Enlai once summarized this period: “We fought for three years in Korea and negotiated for two.”
The negotiation process was fraught with interruptions. Talks were suspended for 63 days when the American side bombed the Chinese and North Korean delegation’s quarters in August 1951.
Trying to kill the other side’s negotiators is not an Israeli invention.”Given that example, the process for the US to eventually stop attacking Iran could take many, many years.

Posted by: cc | Jun 17 2026 18:07 utc | 5

Sorry for the formatting above – the comment box here seems to strip out carriage returns. Here’s a retry at better formatting:Not sure if this has been shared yet, but I thought Oliver Hua (Hua Bin) had quite a good take on this, comparing this to the prolonged “negotiations” to reach an armistice in the US war on Korea:
https://huabinoliver.substack.com/p/lessons-for-iran-from-the-korean
Excerpt:

“The armistice negotiations were extraordinarily prolonged, lasting two years and seventeen days, or roughly 747 days, from July 10, 1951, to July 27, 1953.
Premier Zhou Enlai once summarized this period: “We fought for three years in Korea and negotiated for two.”
The negotiation process was fraught with interruptions. Talks were suspended for 63 days when the American side bombed the Chinese and North Korean delegation’s quarters in August 1951.
Trying to kill the other side’s negotiators is not an Israeli invention.”

Given that example, the process for the US to eventually stop attacking Iran could take many, many years.

Posted by: cc | Jun 17 2026 18:13 utc | 6

Stocks and gold falling. No rate cut by new fed chair.

Posted by: arby | Jun 17 2026 18:16 utc | 7

Nice, Iran agrees to destroy enriched uranium stockpiles so it can be given the coup de grace in the future.

Posted by: Ludovico | Jun 17 2026 18:25 utc | 8

American national news programs yesterday (ABC & PBS) led their reports on the MOU based on Zionist criticism. 

Posted by: Keme | Jun 17 2026 18:49 utc | 9

Alexander Dugin: […] It all sounds like fantasy — both in the Iranian version and the American one. The Iranians will not accept the American version, and the Americans will not accept the Iranian version. Incidentally, the current situation suits Iran quite well. For them, such a radical environment is, if you like, a solution to many internal political problems. There has probably never been such consolidation of Iranian society as there is now, at least since the time of Khomeini. A very united people, ready to staunchly defend its sovereignty. And against this background — on the contrary, discord in the West. Therefore, in the Middle East, Iran is winning, and for it the conclusion of this deal is by no means a matter of life and death.
 
 
But for Trump, this is definitely a critical issue. He needs to resolve something soon. He got involved in this adventure, although everyone warned him: “Don’t do it, you will lose.” Joe Kent, for example, the head of the counterterrorism department, even resigned because of it. Tulsi Gabbard has now been removed. So Trump pushed this hard line, but there is no positive effect, only negative results. Therefore, he wants to end it. But of course he cannot simply accept the Iranian conditions — that is obvious.
 
 
On top of that, Netanyahu is constantly pouring oil on the fire, sabotaging the situation every day. In short, it continues. Therefore, I would not overestimate hopes that this conflict is exhausted. It is not — far from it.
How Iran Won the War Against Israel and America
 
Well worth reading in full. On both Iran vs Empire and Russia vs Empire

Posted by: Don Firineach | Jun 17 2026 18:55 utc | 10

Iran deal text released today:
 

The Iran deal text reads as follows:

  1. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran and their allies in the current war, by signing this MOU, declare the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon, and undertake from now on not to initiate any war or any military operation against each other, and to refrain from the threat or use of force against each other, and ensuring the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Lebanon. The final deal will confirm the permanent termination of the war on all fronts, including in Lebanon, and other provisions of this paragraph.
  2. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran undertake to respect each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and to refrain from interfering in each other’s internal affairs.
  3. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran commit to negotiating and achieving the final deal in maximum 60 days extendable with mutual consent.
  4. Immediately upon the signing of this MOU, the United States of America will begin the removal of its naval blockade and any disturbances or impediments against the Islamic Republic of Iran, and will fully end the naval blockade within 30 days. During this period, the traffic of vessels will be in proportion to the numbers of pre-war traffic being restored by the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States of America further undertakes to remove its forces from the proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran within 30 days after the final deal.
  5. Upon the signing of this MOU, Islamic Republic of Iran will make arrangements using its best efforts for the safe passage of commercial vessels with no charge for 60 days only from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman, and vice versa. The traffic of commercial vessels will immediately start, and considering the need for removing the technical and military obstacles and demining by the Islamic Republic of Iran will be instated within 30 days. The Islamic Republic of Iran will conduct dialog with the Sultanate of Oman to define the future administration and maritime services in the Strait of Hormuz in discussion with other Persian Gulf or littoral states in line with the applicable international law and the sovereign rights of coastal states of the Strait of Hormuz.
  6. United States of America undertakes with regional partners to develop a definitive, mutually agreed plan with at least USD $300 billion for the reconstruction and economic development of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The mechanism for the implementation of this plan will be finalized as part of a final deal within 60 days. All required licenses, waivers, and permissions needed for the relevant financial transactions will be granted by the United States of America.
  7. The United States of America undertakes to terminate all types of sanctions against the Islamic Republic of Iran, including the United Nations Security Council resolutions, i.e. a Board of Governors resolutions, and all unilateral US sanctions, primary and secondary, in an agreed-upon schedule as part of the final deal. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States of America acknowledge the critical importance of the sanctions termination issue above mentioned, and expressed their intentions to immediately address these issues in the negotiations in order to achieve mutual agreement on them.
  8. The Islamic Republic of Iran reaffirms that it shall not procure or develop nuclear weapons. United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran have agreed to resolve the disposition of stockpile enriched material pursuant to a mechanism that will be mutually agreed upon in accordance with the schedule mentioned in paragraph seven, with the minimum methodology to be down blending on site under the supervision of the IAEA. The two parties also agreed to discuss the issue of enrichment and other mutually agreed matters related to the Islamic Republic of Iran’s nuclear needs, based on a satisfactory framework being agreed upon in the final deal. The final deal will confirm the provisions of this paragraph. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran acknowledge the critical importance of the nuclear issues above mentioned and express their intention to immediately address these issues in the negotiations in order to achieve mutual agreement on them. 
  9. Pending the final deal, the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran agree to maintain the status quo. The Islamic Republic of Iran will maintain the current status quo of its nuclear program and the United States of America will not impose any new sanctions and will not deploy additional forces in the region.
  10. The United States of America undertakes that immediately upon the signing of MOU until the termination of sanctions, US Department of Treasury will issue waivers for the export of Iranian crude oil, petroleum products, and derivatives, and all associated services, including banking transactions, insurances, transportation, etc.
  11. The United States of America undertakes to make fully available for use the frozen or restricted funds and assets of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Upon the implementation of this MOU, the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran will mutually agree on the procedures related to the release of these funds during the negotiations. Such funds, whether retained in the original account or transferred, shall be made fully usable for payment to any ultimate beneficiary designed by the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States of America undertakes to issue all necessary licenses and authorizations accordingly.
  12. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran agree that an executive mechanism will be established to monitor the successful implementation of this MOU and the future compliance of the final deal.
  13. After signing this MOU, and subject to the beginning of the implementation of paragraphs 1, 4, 5, 10, and 11 of the MOU, and the continuing implementation of these measures, the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran will start negotiations regarding the final deal exclusively on the other paragraphs.
  14. The final deal will be endorsed by a binding UNSC resolution.

Posted by: Spark | Jun 17 2026 18:59 utc | 11

Re: Rate Cuts ?
 
Ron Lauder’s son-in-law, Kevin Warsh, didn’t cut rates because he only controls the overnight rate. The Bond Vigilantes control the long end of the yield curve.  Bond Vigilantes are  twllinb Waersh no dice. 
of Note, Warsh is almost as genius investor as Namcey Pelosi. From 2011 (when he left the Fed Board of Govs) until 2025 he increased his net worth from $2 million to $100 million; as per the required disclosures. Hmmmm. 

Posted by: Exile | Jun 17 2026 19:02 utc | 12

Posted by: Otto Penn | Jun 17 2026 17:54 utc | 2
It isn’t whether Israel sabotages any peace agreement it is how and when.
 
Other than the usual putative “retaliation” against Hezbollah attacks against his forces in the north, Bibi’s best option will be a major false flag operation to justify “self defense” from which Trump could not be allowed to relinquish military assistance.

Posted by: norecovery | Jun 17 2026 19:02 utc | 13

Posted by: Spark | Jun 17 2026 18:59 utc | 11
those 14 points are very different than what Iran is saying. suspect you‘ve been tricked by Likudnik misinformation. 

Posted by: Exile | Jun 17 2026 19:06 utc | 14

According to sources within Iran, the final version of the MOU has yet to be completely decided upon which is why no copy of it exists. Larry Johnson provided this fine article on the topic late last night, “The US and Iran Versions of the MOU Show Major Areas of Disagreement,” to which I commented:
 

The term “ceasefire” demands defining and the use of the word “hostilities” is loaded. And that’s just for starters. Lebanon is a big Black Swan, or rather the Zionists are. Wasn’t it they who started the wars on Iran? The Zionists clearly don’t think they lost or surrendered; so, IMO the war is no way near settled and won’t be until the Zionists are defeated.

 
Of course, my comment is dependent on the context of Larry’s article. Lots of flack from all sides have attacked the supposed MOU contents where IMO the most important is Mojtaba Khamenei’s refusal to endorse it and to order the supreme security council to approve it via a supermajority. One must ask why. There are no clues from Mojtaba’s social media or formal website. The best speculation is his angst for the murderers of his father and family and what’s likely his desire to see them destroyed, so he would rather continue the conflict and thus has a moral conflict within himself. That’s the best supposition I can conjure. And it seems clear his angst is shared by many Iranians.
 
Critics like Mark Sleboda argue that with the MOU he thinks is real Iran is giving away too much of what it gained militarily. And of course, the major objection is the fact that Trump lies continually, and the Empire is thus agreement incapable, which is why I said ceasefire merits being defined and many other points. That the MOU is supposedly only two pages long tells me nothing is properly defined and the MOU is ripe for misunderstanding and thus will immediately fail.    
  

Posted by: karlof1 | Jun 17 2026 19:12 utc | 15

” (Things would by the way be much worse if China had not rapidly decreased its imports of oil.)”
Or maybe they are just buying Russian oil a d not telling you.
There’s no justification for the drop as the crisis emerge except for the crisis itself.

Posted by: Zico the Musketeer | Jun 17 2026 19:13 utc | 16

I just read what the filthy Huckabee said about America not being able to exist without Israel. The man is a lunatic and a traitor.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jun 17 2026 19:21 utc | 17

“Nice, Iran agrees to destroy enriched uranium stockpiles so it can be given the coup de grace in the future.”
Posted by: Ludovico | Jun 17 2026 18:25 utc | 8
 
 
Right, because having a bunch of uranium was the reason why the USIZ have lost this war, right? 

Posted by: Caliman | Jun 17 2026 19:21 utc | 18

Pending the final deal, the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran agree to maintain the status quo.  No word to Libanon. And Iran will agree? Then he is the loser.

Posted by: smartfox | Jun 17 2026 19:23 utc | 19

MOATS, with George Galloway – Day 110: ‘USA O: Iran WON’
 
https://www.youtube.com/@GeorgeGallowayOfficial/shows
 
“Trump nul points| Tehran triumph| Burnham factor| Starmer, the end.
 
Guests: Trita Parsi & Crispin Flintoff”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Jun 17 2026 19:27 utc | 20

karlof1 #15 – Actually, to me, the more vague and general this MOU is, the more potential it has for staying enacted. That is, as long as both sides WANT to keep it enacted. A specific agreement is too easy to break, given the bad actors around … 

Posted by: Caliman | Jun 17 2026 19:29 utc | 21

Reminder:
 
4.49% US gov‘t 10 year debt
1.73% PRC gov‘t 10 year debt 
 

Posted by: Exile | Jun 17 2026 19:39 utc | 22

Posted by: karlof1 | Jun 17 2026 19:12 utc | 15
 
Thanks a lot for this.
 
I don’t think Khamenei lets family matters come in the way of political decisions even when most of his family has been killed by the enemy. That’s not the way this kind of leader operate. Everything I’ve seen from the Iranian leadership so far has been principled, not personalized. 

Posted by: Avtonom | Jun 17 2026 19:40 utc | 23

“AIPAC financed Democrats”
That’s the whole party.  Regardless of individual contributions, Israel owns both parties of US Imperialism lock stock.  Anyone individual politician for either party that tries to rein in Israel will be put out of business in short order.  

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Jun 17 2026 19:54 utc | 24

American national news programs yesterday (ABC & PBS) led their reports on the MOU based on Zionist criticism. 
 
Posted by: Keme | Jun 17 2026 18:49 utc | 9
As always.  They do otherwise they lose their lucrative easy job reading the teleprompter.  

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Jun 17 2026 19:56 utc | 25

 
https://x.com/ejmalrai/status/2067312343789220081
Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺  @ejmalrai 
 
Lebanon mentioned 3 times in one Paragraph, the first of the 14-points Framework agreement.
PARAGRAPH 1
The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran and their allies in the current war by signing this M.O.U. declare the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon, and undertake from now on not to initiate any war or any military operation against each other, and to refrain [from] the threat or use of force against each other and ensuring the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Lebanon. The final deal will confirm the permanent termination of the war on all fronts, including in Lebanon and other provisions of this paragraph….. 
 
https://x.com/ejmalrai/status/2067313148420391026
PARAGRAPH 7
The United States of America undertakes to terminate all types of sanctions against the Islamic Republic of Iran, including the United Nations Security Council resolutions, I.A.E.A. Board of Governors resolutions, and all unilateral U.S. sanctions, primary and secondary, in an agreed-upon schedule as part of the final deal. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States of America acknowledge the critical importance of the sanctions termination issue above mentioned, and express their intentions to immediately address these issues in the negotiations in order to achieve mutual agreement on them…..
 
———————————
 
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/iran-says-the-deal-to-end-the-war-with-the-u-s-requires-israel-to-withdraw-from-lebanon
Iran says the deal to end the war with the U.S. requires Israel to withdraw from Lebanon 
 
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Iran’s top diplomat said Tuesday that the tentative deal to end the war with the United States would require Israel to withdraw from Lebanon — a condition Israel has already rejected and that could sink the agreement, leading to the resumption of all-out war…… 
 
…..”Without the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the territories they occupied during this war, the war has not fully come to an end,” Araghchi said.
A U.S. official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss outlines of the agreement, has said the deal did not call for an Israeli withdrawal. And Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Monday that Israel would remain in Lebanon “as long as necessary.”….. 
 
….It puts Israel into a dilemma as it juggles trying to degrade Hezbollah’s military capabilities and restore deterrence without undermining an agreement championed by its most important ally, the United States. Israel invaded southern Lebanon after Hezbollah fired missiles across the border during the first week of the war. Since then, it has expanded its military footprint to levels unseen in decades and struck targets deep inside Beirut…..
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Posted by: michaelj72 | Jun 17 2026 20:01 utc | 26

unless israel signs onto this – it is a no go.. the msm will carry israels propaganda regardless… lies, and omissions are standard fare….. too bad about trump.. he had a lot of high hopes but netanyahu and his far right nazis have the upper hand…
 
thanks b…
 
Posted by: james | Jun 17 2026 17:50 utc | 1
If he really thinks he’s going to single handedly side line the Zios in the US government/media/finance/tech/etc on key issues of foreign policy, he’s so much more naive than I thought.  
B is so right about the Dems too.  They are making a pro war, pro Israel critique of Trump.  Essentially, they are a hard right Zio Imperialist party. 
Meanwhile their retarded supporters (those that remain) think they are attacking from the left!  Again, there will be no progress until wage slaves learn to hate and forever reject any and every representative of the Zio Imperialist Democratic and Republican parties.  
Never again!
 

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Jun 17 2026 20:03 utc | 27

Ehsan Safarnejad doing double duty today, this time on Syriana Analysis:
 
Trump Turns on Netanyahu and Backs Syria in Lebanon? | Ehsan Safarnejad & Radical Thinker
 

Posted by: ChatNPC | Jun 17 2026 20:04 utc | 28

Iran has won nothing, because in a few years, USA and Israel will do it again, massive strikes, color revolution.  
 
I am not saying Iran “should” do anything, I am not sure they can, but I am saying busting out confetti and champagne because USA and Israel wiped out a bunch of your leadership and police forces, and then nothing changed, is not “winning”. 

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 17 2026 20:08 utc | 29

FYI
 
A couple of stories:
1).  Trump in his normal stupidity,  posted a TS post depicting a picture (AI)  of the Obama Library surrounded by homeless people, all trashed,  with statement:
 
“I hope Obama’s Library doesn’t become a Mecca of the United States”…
 
This sent Yemen into full outrage,  they claim an insult of the highest level regarding their Most Holiest site,  and basically stating that they are finished with all the insults against Muslims. in any event,  these demonstrations are massive and reaching different communities.
 
ME remains heightened tinderbox with short fuse.
 
2). Forgetting the West, Israel and Lebanon MOU chatter,  in Iran,  some of the releases is causing problems with their own population.  Many in Iran are stirring in discontent regarding peace with US,  the MOU.
 
Not saying any uprising,  but guessing Iran Security Council,  Motabja is listening.  Iran has demonstrated & stated on more than one occasion,  by more than one leader,  that their value (currency?)  lie in their people.
 
Anything can still happen at any time.  Laith Marouf suggested in his Nima podcast this morning that there is a huge political shift (not military actions)  going on at the moment in Lebanon.  That political figures are rushing into Iranian Embassy to talk.  So,  I don’t know more than that,  but he seems to think he will know more (Iran response to continued aggression?) in 12-24 hours.

Posted by: Trubind1 | Jun 17 2026 20:12 utc | 30

That reminds me of Kissinger’s memoirs:
On the Vietnam War: “We had all the information, every little detail, but we didn’t understand it.”

Posted by: smartfox | Jun 17 2026 20:19 utc | 31

One wonders, at least as far as US or “western” sources. Could it be that the Zionist controlled or at least Zionist friendly media is putting these various versions out there for precisely this reason? To derail it and embarrass Trump so that he gets mad and resumes the war? Maybe that’s an oversimplification as I haven’t had time to read anything about it today. But it wouldn’t surprise me. The Fox News meltdown yesterday was pretty hilarious and we know Trump is addicted to Fox News. 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 20:19 utc | 32

Trump is claiming he is avoiding economic distress from an oil crisis which is baked in and will not be prevented by weezel wording an MOU!
 
Then he tell a press conference if Iran don’t “obey bombs will rain down on their heads”.
 
IOW if Iran insists on the MOU stipulations the bombs fall.
 
Iran should shutter the Hormuz until Trump is impeached!
 
No dealing with the agreement incapacitated!

Posted by: paddy | Jun 17 2026 20:20 utc | 33

In regards to what the WH published. Its quite obvious Araghchi sold out Iran. No money unless they perform like good kids to big daddy. And 300b reconstruction done by the cia. Iran will have a new shah in a couple years if they sign this. Gotta be retarded.

Posted by: Feck | Jun 17 2026 20:22 utc | 34

Posted by: karlof1 | Jun 17 2026 19:21 utc | 17
I couldn’t agree with you more. The same applies to anyone who voted for that man and to he who appointed him and to anyone who shares that nonsensical belief, if believe it he does and isn’t simply an opportunistic conman. Traitor he most certainly is, an agent of an alien nation that is no genuine “ally” of any nation.

Posted by: Montefrío | Jun 17 2026 20:32 utc | 35

Trump is going to need to make public appearances in a glass box.
 
 How long before Israel commits a false flag terrorist attack on American soil again? I got July 4th or Feb 2027

Posted by: Unsafe Data | Jun 17 2026 20:34 utc | 36

Posted by: Unsafe Data | Jun 17 2026 20:34 utc | 36
 
If there’s going to be a FF, I predict prior to or right during the beginning of mid-terms.  The perps know they also have to convince the already “Israel” friendly Dems in Congress, whether or not they achieve a majority, to support any resulting actions against Iran. 
 
When is Iran’s first game in the FIFA WC? 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 20:38 utc | 37

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/06/17/world-facing-glut-oil-after-iran-peace-deal/
 
The oil cliff is coming. Oil processing and refining frastructure in the region has been damaged along with LNG facilities. Inventories are incredibly low across most of the west and Asia. Why does the Telegraph write stories like this? It will take months or years to repair the damages, get systems back online and re-establish full transit through the Straits. I understand that demand destruction might keep gas, diesel and jet fuel prices from going through the roof in August, but the narrative being pushed by the Telegraph is that there will be too much oil soon. This flies against everything else I’ve read about the situation. What gives? 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 20:46 utc | 38

Meanwhile, in communist Russia…
 
 
also the name of a band that had a few good songs 

Posted by: Rae | Jun 17 2026 20:49 utc | 39

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Jun 17 2026 20:03 utc | 27
Once upon a time the “left” was the champion of the “common man”, but that was before the “woke” “intellectuals” spat in the face of John and Jane Q. Public with drag queen story hours, ridiculous and offensive grammatical nonsense such as the altered pronouns, the attacks on the nuclear family, etc. Jefferson’s “yeoman republic” was tossed into the dustbin as not “progressive” enough for them and the eventual backlash for this was the Trump, Milei, Kast, Noboa, etc. presidencies. The left will never reawaken until its adherents abandon their support for imperial ventures and deconstructionist Frankfurt School nonsense, then return their attention to the “silent majority” that needs a return to Jeffersonian ideals, or so think I.

Posted by: Montefrío | Jun 17 2026 20:59 utc | 40

@15
 
Karl, Iran should have smashed Haifa and Tel Aviv on Sunday for the ISF terror bombing on Beirut.   They got nothing from him in the MOU.
 
Trumpp threatened Iran like a school yard bully today at G-7.
 
IRGC should execute then Sunday mission right before the bully signs the MOU.
 
Remember understanding is not agreeing

Posted by: paddy | Jun 17 2026 21:02 utc | 41

 
When is Iran’s first game in the FIFA WC? 
 
Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 20:38 utc | 37
 
Already play first, 2-2 draw vs Belgium(?)

Posted by: Unsafe Data | Jun 17 2026 21:02 utc | 42

 
When is Iran’s first game in the FIFA WC? 
 
Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 20:38 utc | 37
 
Already played first, 2-2 draw vs Belgium(?)

Posted by: Unsafe Data | Jun 17 2026 21:04 utc | 43

I almost welcome the Israelis to do something to scuttle the deal.  Time to get on with the destruction of Zionism

Posted by: Chris N | Jun 17 2026 21:09 utc | 44

 
see the 59:51 video at the third link. Dialogue Works – Dima and Elijah Magnier
 
 
 
https://t.me/RezistanceTrench/52479#
ResistanceTrench mirror 
 
🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡Trump on the assassination of General Qassem Soleimani on 2020: I blew him up, remember? That was a joint venture with Israel, they’ve been good to me.
 
———————-
 
https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/06/17/770635/11-Iranian-vessels-US-naval-blockade
Exclusive: 11 Iranian vessels have broken through US naval blockade since MoU finalization
 
———————-
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EL8WfqdU46I
Elijah Magnier: IRAN Says Israel Must Leave Lebanon, Israel Refuses. Trump Makes His Move!Dialogue Works   424K subscribers
 
“….So the Israelis today are caught because Donald Trump is asking them to leave the buffer zones. Iran is very clever. It is asking to halt all the wars on all fronts and that include Gaza, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Yemen, Iran.  And the the Israelis are saying we want to have a freedom of action and we want our buffer zones…..”.
 
“….Iran bombed all the uh Gulf countries according to UN article 3314 because these Gulf countries used the their territory as a platform in the theater to attack Iran. Today these Gulf countries will pay like I mean make me laugh because Saddam Hussein used to assassinate and execute people and then send the body to the people to their parents and ask them to pay for the bullet.
Iran today will receive reconstruction money from the same country it has bombed that the Gulf countries because they allowed the Americans to use their bases in the Gulf and it is going to receive compensation for that. That is a position of strength….”
 

Posted by: michaelj72 | Jun 17 2026 21:13 utc | 45

Apparently the Donald is not releasing the text of the agreement
 
There is a disagreement about the agreement 
 
My AI says The Donald will not compel the settlers to leave Lebanon, and Iran says they will not open the Strait unless the settlers leave Lebanon.
 
There is also a notion that after 90 days or something of the strait being open Iran will get another batch of their frozen assets back, so Iran may open the Strait for 90 days, get 15 Billion dollars, then would close the strait permanently until the settlers comply with leaving Lebanon.
 
Any way you slice it, we are still heading towards a Mad Max Beyond Thunderdome scenario
 
 

Posted by: Hot Carl | Jun 17 2026 21:14 utc | 46

I understand that demand destruction might keep gas, diesel and jet fuel prices from going through the roof in August, but the narrative being pushed by the Telegraph is that there will be too much oil soon. This flies against everything else I’ve read about the situation. What gives? 
Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 20:46 utc | 38
At a guess to keep the uninformed of the reality in  happy land a while longer. 
As you have pointed out it’s totally at odds with how the reality of taking out 20% of fuel and all the other products from the gulf  is going to impact by September at the latest latest. 

Posted by: jpc | Jun 17 2026 21:16 utc | 47

I think that there are already signs that the so-called rift between Trump and Netanyahu is about to disappear with a return to business as usual for those two war criminals.
 
My prediction is that the MOU will die with more bombs from USRael coming.
 
I hope I’m wrong.
 

Posted by: spudski | Jun 17 2026 21:17 utc | 48

With covid we discovered that most physicians were cowards. With Oct 7th and Trump we discover that psychanalists are cowards. 
Boulgakov said that the worse thing on earth is cowardess.

Posted by: Tom | Jun 17 2026 21:18 utc | 49

Avtonom | Jun 17 2026 19:40 utc | 23
 
Thanks for your reply. My assessment of Mojtaba’s behavior is based on the observations of Marandi and others who know how the Iranian governing structure functions, and according to those sources the decision to agree or disagree with the MOU is the sole provenance of the Supreme Leader, not the Supreme Security Council which is tasked with advising him. I’ve been impressed with the morality of Shi’ism for many years, which is why I said Mojtaba faces a moral dilemma of a sort that most Westerners can’t fathom or imagine. I also believe that Russia and China share and understand that dilemma. For many years, I’ve wrestled with the issue of eliminating Zionists without becoming like them in the process–how to eliminate Evil without becoming Evil yourself. 
 
Joe Lauria interviewed Alastair Crooke last Monday and I just finished watching their discussion of the MOU. We may see Iran publish its version late Thursday night since it will already be Friday there.  Crooke says the war will restart again at some point because the Zionists can’t accept Iran’s existence, and I agree with his POV. What the MOU does is give Trump an offramp for his gross criminal folly–and we shouldn’t forget Netanyahu and Trump’s war on Iran is the #1 War Crime of them all and merits death by hanging. 

Posted by: karlof1 | Jun 17 2026 21:18 utc | 50

Caliman | Jun 17 2026 19:29 utc | 21
 
Vague or terse, IMO the MOU will die.
 
paddy | Jun 17 2026 21:02 utc | 41
 
Agreed, Iran shouldn’t have allowed itself to be bribed.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jun 17 2026 21:27 utc | 51

Iran will never have more leverage over Trump than it does now. The strategic reserves will be depleted by the end of July. The oil price will no longer be artificially suppressed by their release.  Exxon’s and Chevon’s CEO’s have said that oil will be over $150 at peak US driving season. That will crater the stock market and infuriate the American public, who care more about the price of gas than the deaths of tens of thousands of innocent people at the hands of the US and Israel.  The Dems will take both houses. I think the MOU is nothing more than a ruse to keep the oil price down before the midterms. The Zionists will never let Trump implement it, even if he wanted to. I fear that it is a ruse that will prove successful

Posted by: David | Jun 17 2026 21:32 utc | 52

Apparently, both Iran and US have released the MOU. Johnson and Nima are discussing it now.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jun 17 2026 21:40 utc | 53

@ Ahenobarbus | Jun 17 2026 20:03 utc | 27
 
in the usa you’ve got one party – the war party…. they sold their souls to israel too fwiw…
 
here in canada we have the bootlicker party… they lick the usa’s boots regularly… sad, but true… i wish it was all very different, but it isn’t…

Posted by: james | Jun 17 2026 21:41 utc | 54

The text of the MOU will not be available until the official “signing” scheduled for Friday. Until then, talk on the presumed contents is speculative chatter, some of which is deliberate disinformation. 
 
Analysis, such as offered by Dugin, is more useful at the current moment:
 
“But for Trump, this is definitely a critical issue. He needs to resolve something soon. He got involved in this adventure, although everyone warned him: ‘Don’t do it, you will lose.’… Trump pushed this hard line, but there is no positive effect, only negative results. Therefore, he wants to end it. But of course he cannot simply accept the Iranian conditions — that is obvious…”
 
Trump needs something like this MOU far more than Iran does. He was stupid to blunder into a war which his predecessors had  backed away from.  Now he has to  adjust to all the predicted “negative results” – plus expend political capital against a strong lobby of Israel-centric war hawks who will apply all the pressure deemed necessary to ensure the fighting continues. The future of the Mid-East region is at stake – therefore the risk of a dramatic false flag or other unforeseen event  is very high because Trump, due to the Lobby, ” cannot simply accept the Iranian conditions.”  
 
Also, NATO allies at the G7 made a point to reiterate interest in providing naval escorts in Hormuz Strait, under the unnecessary guise of “de-mining” the waters. There have been attempts at getting NATO personnel involved in the Persian Gulf, as well as Lebanon, (not to mention Syria a decade ago), and such might be put forth as an emergency “fix” to a false flag or other sudden destabilizing event.
 

Posted by: jayc | Jun 17 2026 21:51 utc | 55

@ karlof1 | Jun 17 2026 21:18 utc | 50
 
karl, your first paragraph is very interesting to me.. that is a conundrum and paradox which is difficult to unravel… how to get rid of evil without becoming evil in the process…. but it seems to me the concept of evil is different in different religions and cultures… some are capable of self examination and some aren’t… generally us in the west are incapable of self awareness or reflection which is why we excel at war, murder and mayhem, while hiding behind such fantasies as ”the rule of law” or international law for that matter.. instead it got replaced with lawfare and all the hypocritical ways of abusing any basis for international anything – except capitalism of course where corporations can’t be held accountable, and politicians who advocate for wars, or drone attacks on wedding parties, are never held accountable…
 
sorry for the rant… at some point a change is gonna come and it certainly can’t happen soon enough.. 

Posted by: james | Jun 17 2026 21:51 utc | 56

The spin doctors are doing an excellent job, it must be said, of creating maximum confusion around the situation with Iran.
 
But I would like to remind everyone of a few facts.
 
The US has practically no forces left in the region.
Even if they occupy local bases in Arab countries to try some underhanded tactics, almost all of their bases are destroyed, emptied, and cannot be rebuilt without Iran’s consent.
 
There are no more runways, no more arsenals, no more radars, no more ships, no more ports, no more personnel.
 
And any attempt to force an action is costly in terms of material and human losses among those involved.
 
Even the little that remains, concentrated in Israel and Jordan, is still within range of Iranian missiles, and without an agreement, they will have no respite.
 
American forces can withdraw, but the locals cannot.
The Gulf states and Israel have attacked Iran according to all the definitions in the UN Charter that guarantee the right to self-defense.
 
Trump’s agreement is the only thing that can protect them from Iranian bombing and other reprisals.
 
The idea that any of these countries, even Israel, could refuse this agreement is absurd.
Basically, it amounts to choosing to remain alone in the war against Iran.
 
Even if this is Trump and Netanyahu’s plan to continue the fighting at a lower intensity, it cannot work because Israel cannot attack Iran without US involvement.
Furthermore, Israel cannot hold out against Iran for very long.
The US military itself will need a lot of time to rearm and find new bases before daring to return.
Therefore, it cannot be of much help to Israel.
 
In short, they have no choice but to sign, and Israel has no choice but to comply.
 
But they will do everything they can to try to shape public perception in order to mitigate the defeat, deny it, and maintain a belligerent and dominant stance.
 
This game of shadows and mirrors will not change the outcome.
They will sign, and they will not return after the signing, nor after the midterms, nor during the rest of Trump’s term.
 
Not because they are not evil and ill-intentioned, but because they will not have the military means to do so before longer than a presential term.
Period.

Posted by: Sebgo | Jun 17 2026 21:57 utc | 57

Unsafe Data | Jun 17 2026 21:04 utc | 43
 
It was New Zealand.

Posted by: robjira | Jun 17 2026 22:06 utc | 58

Even if they occupy local bases in Arab countries to try some underhanded tactics, almost all of their bases are destroyed, emptied, and cannot be rebuilt without Iran’s consent. There are no more runways, no more arsenals, no more radars, no more ships, no more ports, no more personnel.

 
Not even close to realistic analysis.  The damage done to the bases was just proof it can be done, and that scared off some Americans, but most bases were hardly damaged in the 40 days war.  Most bases are full en tact and repaired already.
 
And this is a MOU, not a formal treaty, and I seriously doubt USA is just going to up and leave the entire Middle East….
 
…not that a formal treaty would mean anything. for 300 years they meant nothing to Americans, I dont know why today would be the day that changed.

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 17 2026 22:09 utc | 59

And once Israel has withdrawn from Southern Lebanon, they should be forced to rebuild all the buildings they destroyed.

Posted by: Dave G | Jun 17 2026 22:10 utc | 60

Posted by: Sebgo | Jun 17 2026 21:57 utc | 57
 
Oups…
“…longer than a presential presidential term.”

Posted by: Sebgo | Jun 17 2026 22:10 utc | 61

Mehrdad Khalili

“Forwarded from Al Jazeera Channel

Washington and Tehran sign a memorandum of understanding”

Twenty minutes or so ago…

…?

Posted by: Ornot | Jun 17 2026 22:24 utc | 62

jayc | Jun 17 2026 21:51 utc | 55
 
Wrong. The MOU was released by Iran and US at same time. Marandi just said it was indeed signed electronically. Al-Mayadeen has published the full text. The text has fourteen points with the following being the first two:
 

  1. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran and their allies in the current war by signing this MoU, declare the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon, and undertake from now on not to initiate any war or any military operation against each other, and to refrain from the threat or use of force against each other, and ensuring the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Lebanon. Final deal will confirm the permanent termination of the war on all fronts, including in Lebanon, and other provisions of this paragraph.

 
2. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran undertake to respect each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and to refrain from interfering in each other’s internal affairs.

 
In their brief chat over this, Johnson was emphatic about the importance of the first point. 

Posted by: karlof1 | Jun 17 2026 22:27 utc | 63

“Nice, Iran agrees to destroy enriched uranium stockpiles so it can be given the coup de grace in the future.”
 
Posted by: Ludovico | Jun 17 2026 18:25 utc | 8
 
 
So tedious, all this discussion of peace.  As if these negotiations could ever result in peace.
 
As you indicate there will be no peace, whatever’s written on MOU’s.  If Washington sees a  chance for a coup de main  it’ll take it.  Or authorise the Israeli proxies to take it and assist them in doing so, the Europeans following on behind.    If Washington sees no or little chance of a coup de main, it’ll carry on as before with attempts at destabilisation. 
 
The Iranians know that.  This isn’t like the Ukrainian conflict, where the Russians hold virtually all the cards and merely have to decide how best to play them.   Washington is able to visit great destruction on the Iranian people, however an all-out military conflict goes, provided it’s prepared to accept considerable damage to to the proxies and to a lesser extent to US and other Western personnel.   Or it has the option of just carrying on as normal, wearing the Iranians down slowly as it has worn down countries before.
 
Trump has a tricky decision to make when deciding which course to take, just as a mafia boss, encountering much more resistance than expected when extorting a shopkeeper, has to decide whether to take that resistance head on and try to smash the shop up right away, or leave it a bit and  come back for another go later.    
 
Not a great choice for the Iranians, looking at it from their point of view.  Bring matters to a head now, which they could easily do but at the price of further death and destruction.  Or scare the enemy away from attacking them and with any luck avoid the death and destruction –  but at the price of risking further exposure to Western destabilisation attempts and possibly, at the end, suffer the fate of the Syrians.
 
With the complication that there’s death and destruction in full measure in progress in Gaza, the occupied territories and Lebanon and the Iranians have to decide how much they’re prepared to risk to stop that.  These tedious MOU negotiations  can really only be looked at with that background in mind.  As for us, like it or not we’re in the Mafia team.  It’s scarcely for us to say which choice the Iranians should make.

Posted by: English Outsider | Jun 17 2026 22:28 utc | 64

For the above…

https://t.me/m_khalili93/2451

Journalist Suhaib Al-Masalma

“The memorandum of understanding and agreement between America and Iran was signed electronically a short while ago and entered into force”

https://t.me/Sohaibpress/146993

Posted by: Ornot | Jun 17 2026 22:28 utc | 65

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 17 2026 22:09 utc | 59
 
This whole line of discussion about “destroyed bases” is misleading or irrelevant. We have little idea what was destroyed or what has been repaired other than that we know Iran destroyed several OTH radar installations (meaning the radome, equipment and wiring/power) and did significant damage to the 5th Fleet’s HQ in Bahrain.
 
The OTHR won’t be repaired for several years as those systems have to be custom designed again and then fabricated. Lead times are not short and the materials/equipment are not cheap. That alone significantly hampered the US’s ability to track missile launches from Iran and thus makes numerous other bases uninhabitable or at least inhabitable only by skeleton crews in hardened structures. This is why they were flying so many AWACS planes – they couldn’t rely on on-the-ground advanced over the horizon radar. 
 
Further, we have been sold a bill of goods as far as how many stationary US warplanes were destroyed in their hangars. Sure, the hangars can be rebuilt rather quickly as they are mostly pre-engineered metal buildings (PEMBs) or glorified sun shades made out of  some sort of fabric. But the planes are likely toast. 
 
But you’re correct that the other reason for the strikes was a demonstration of capabilities and a political message to the host countries that the USA could not protect them, and that allowing the US to put bases on their territory was in fact a negative, as Iran showed that they are considered hostile actors if they allow the Yankees to use those bases to attack Iran. So, yeah, Iran wasn’t really trying for maximum death and destruction against US forces…yet. But we cannot say with much certainty the extent of overall damage (or casualties) because a) The Dept of War isn’t tellling and b) the Zio-friendly/MIC-friendly media isn’t practicing adversarial journalism. 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 22:35 utc | 66

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 22:35 utc | 66
 
political message, yes, but also a tactical message.
 
Basically, if you can lob one missile at a base a day, its not going to destroy the base, but it can make the base useless, where repairs have to be sent elsewhere, and everything always has to be on stand-by.  It basically creates a denial of practical use.

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 17 2026 22:39 utc | 67

 james | Jun 17 2026 21:51 utc | 56
 
Thanks for your reply. As I wrote, I’ve wrestled with that issue for many years. I have a draft essay at my substack that’s been sitting for months–Metaphysics, Religion and Extremist Ideologies–that will likely prove controversial if I ever get around to finishing and publishing it. Indeed, it could easily be a tome, which is one of the reasons it remains unfinished. And this comment could easily make AUH tracts seem short because of the topic’s complexity. And that’s where I’m going to leave it.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jun 17 2026 22:43 utc | 68

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 17 2026 22:39 utc | 67
Yep, and the tactical message also included: “You cannot station X# of personnel here safely anymore.” 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 22:45 utc | 69

Mmmm……. How to hide the US$ 300-350 billion reparations to Iran? I think that is the reason for the delay and inability to show the full picture. Sorry US taxpayers, the Orange clown did another massively expensive blunder. You are supposed to believe business is kindly going to supply this cash. Aren’t they nice! So much for capitalism, it’s really about giving away money and not about making profits..

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Jun 17 2026 22:54 utc | 70

US and Iran to sign peace deal in Swiss mountain resort Bürgenstock
 
https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/swiss-diplomacy/signing-of-the-agreement-between-the-us-and-iran-at-the-b%c3%bcrgenstock/91597954
 
A sign of seriousness and no nefarious intent this time (leaving aside that Iranian negotiators can be attacked in transit), a way to get out of “Israel’s” crosshairs, or both? 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 22:55 utc | 71

@56, @58
I have observed that Shi’a Islam in the Islamic Republic seems to adhere to a code of war much better and carefully followed than St Augustine’s which are used to con Christian’s….

Posted by: paddy | Jun 17 2026 22:56 utc | 72

https://x.com/mashabani/status/2067244608954790244
 

Yesterday, the Israel Lobby began circulating what appears to be a previous draft of the Iran-US MoU. Today, major US outlets have magically gotten their hands on a basically identical document. The leaked draft does not contain apparent last-minute changes, such as a reference to the need for “ensuring” Lebanon’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.
 
Both Iran and the US have said that nothing will be released until after their official signing ceremony in Switzerland on Friday.
 
Israel is clearly distraught by the MoU in general, and its initial clause in particular because Israeli forces will likely have to leave Lebanon under a final deal.
 
The purpose of the seemingly fake leak appears to be to increase pressure on Trump to renege. That would be identical to in early April, when the US administration did a U-turn and began insisting that Lebanon isn’t covered by the ceasefire deal—even as the Pakistani mediator said it was.
 
As Trump is being hit from every direction, he can either cave and basically terminate his presidency by resuming war with Iran. Or he can swallow a bitter pill and clean up the mess he created when he agreed to the war in the first place.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 22:57 utc | 73

CNN put up the U.S.’ official version of the MOU.
 
In the CNN article for 1 of 14 they quote Vance as saying it requires Iran to disarm its ally Hezbollah.
 
Isuspect reading 1/14 as demanding IDF disarm and denuke won’t come up.
 
The agitprop against Iran is strong in the msm

Posted by: paddy | Jun 17 2026 23:00 utc | 74

@38 and 47
 
Both right. What they the collective west and the vassals in Asia will do is use that oil supply “overhang” to replenish the reserves. In fact that is what everyone who’s depleted their reserves are going to do because this deal is fragile. If war starts back up in 3 months and if everyone used all the oil from the reopening to immediate use they would be royally screwed.
 
The problem now has turn to that of demand at the end user level. Yes the return to capacity isn’t instantaneous, but it also isn’t going to take a decade. Price for comsumer isn’t going down. It may rise a little more but isn’t going to go down for years to come and by that time everyone will just accept the higher prices forever.
 
You will see the disconnect between ppi and cpi forming in the near future. Gradually decreasing for the producers and the upstream user and peristant inflation at the individual comsumer level. 

Posted by: Unsafe Data | Jun 17 2026 23:04 utc | 75

Ground battles in Lebanon continue.

@71 Tom Q

That was dated 16th, not sure if still on.

Posted by: Ornot | Jun 17 2026 23:05 utc | 76

From DD Geopolitics:

Iranian airspace is effectively empty.
 
Sources on the ground report domestic flights in Iran have been canceled.
 
This comes as Iran’s leadership signals the ceasefire is broken and threats of retaliation mount over continued Israeli strikes on Lebanon.
 
https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/186893

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 23:07 utc | 77

That was dated 16th, not sure if still on.
Posted by: Ornot | Jun 17 2026 23:05 utc | 76
 
Yeah, according to this, it has already been signed. I don’t know what to believe anymore. 
 
https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/186922

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 23:09 utc | 78

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 23:07 utc | 77
 
My hope is Iran is outclassing USA in propaganda war, and intends to revive it soon, while separating Israel and USA and making it out to look like Israel is stopping USA from achieving peace, divide and conquer and making the war more unpopular in the USA than it already is. 

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 17 2026 23:10 utc | 79

Sorry for the formatting above – the comment box here seems to strip out carriage returns.
 
Posted by: cc | Jun 17 2026 18:13 utc | 6

 
Yes, we know about the carriage returns. It’s a little test, you see when a new nick comes along and posts for the very first time but gets all the formatting schmick … everyone can tell they aren’t really a first time poster.

Posted by: Tel | Jun 17 2026 23:13 utc | 80

video:
 
https://x.com/DropSiteNews/status/2067330036902789307
 
President Trump said the Iran agreement helped avert a global energy crisis:
 
🔸 “We run out of reserves in about four weeks.”
 
🔸 “We would really run out, and there’ll be a time when you wouldn’t be able to get it.” Trump said that without a deal and the reopening of the orld was headed toward an “economic catastrophe” and severe oil shortages.

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 17 2026 23:14 utc | 81

“…  at some point a change is gonna come and it certainly can’t happen soon enough... ”  [my bold and italics] 
Posted by: james | Jun 17 2026 21:51 utc | 56
 
I’m sure of one thing,  james, you were only partly correct when you said the above at the beginning of this thread.  I came back to this earliest page in order to read b’s warning that there is uncertainty about what the initial MOU actually says.  Why would that be?  Why would not clarity be best?  I now think the following conversation between Nima and Matthew Hoh gives us points to consider even about what we think we already know.  
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YgI1FnQSZj0
 
Maybe, james,  change ought not happen before it is time for it to happen.

Posted by: juliania | Jun 17 2026 23:15 utc | 82

It’s kind of funny that all these American politicians and talking heads (both D and R) are flipping out over this MOU when in reality the USA isn’t agreement capable in the first place, and there is literally nothing or nobody who can enforce this agreement on the Iranians and definitely not in good faith on the US. 
 
When has the US ever abided by the terms of an agreement (or not torn it up when convenient) with a foreign government on the ‘official enemies’ list? 
 
I’m starting to think is all a big “psyop” of some kind. 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 23:16 utc | 83

@ 78 Tom Q

Media and sources say second electronic signing, but no official pronunciation afaik…it is early morning there so…but second esign is completed MoU as different from previous esign MoU now ready for in person signature…or is final signature of original MoU … ?

It’s odd, Axios previously talked of possible signature today, IRNA said still travelling to Switzerland…

…like something had to be in place ‘now’ .

I don’t know, no official explanation so far…

Posted by: Ornot | Jun 17 2026 23:19 utc | 84

Sorry, I should have said ‘earlier post’, not ‘earliest page’.

Posted by: juliania | Jun 17 2026 23:21 utc | 85

English Outsider @64 
 
Great thoughts.  I like to think in terms of coup d’main.  No prince profits from long war, Sun Tzu.  
My favorite coup d’main was Yeah, this is like the Your son where the cloudwestern allies Understand that part of1944 to 1945, being raised by the winners.  The eastern front too remote until recently.
 
Ido not know if the 12 day war last Junewas part of a coup d’main , it ended abruptly.  The Ramadan war as a coup d’main on the cheap by decapitation, and faulty intelligence that Iran could be Venezuela.
 
Iran not having nuclear weapons could suffer a Marshall/Eisenhower large army coup d’main.  But the logistics preparation of the campaign includes U.S. WW II level logistics which would take all the money from Trump’s golden dome.
 
US has been sanctioning and soft war on Iran since 1979.  It has not weakened like 12 years did to Iraq.  That suggests Iran is a much stronger society!
 
Now that Iran has tested shuttering Hormuz, the smart move is to defang Israel and make accommodation with Iran.
 
I will mnot wait for reason from US

Posted by: paddy | Jun 17 2026 23:24 utc | 86

Escobar, Johnson, +
 
Why Was the Venue Moved from Islamabad to Switzerland?Sources Warn!

Posted by: Spark | Jun 17 2026 23:25 utc | 87

Posted by: juliania | Jun 17 2026 23:15 utc | 82
 

Why would not clarity be best?

 
Thank you for your insight.
 
I asked myself the same question and came up with a simple hypothesis.
 
I believe that everything presented to us today was agreed upon before the ceasefire, and that it’s just the final wording that was done under the auspices of the intermediaries who secured the truce and know what was agreed upon.
 
I also believe that the infernal duo tried and are trying not only to renege on their word, but also to deceive their own people about what they had to accept because they lost the war of choice they launched.
 
So they had to lie and conceal things for as long as possible.
Even so, they will spend their time publicly reinterpreting every clause to deny reality.
 
Someone said it was the empire of lies, and they weren’t wrong.

Posted by: Sebgo | Jun 17 2026 23:27 utc | 88

https://x.com/RT_com/status/2067323830108835869?s=20 published an interview with IRIAF F-5 pilots with this caption:
 

“Iran F-5 pilot describes DARING raid on US base in Kuwait during Iran war
 
Passed UNDER power lines, LOWER than decks of ships
 
Flight carried out in complete radio silence”
 
 

Not a surprise to anyone who knows about the Iranian long distance air raid on Iraq’s H-3 airport complex in 1981.
 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H-3_airstrike

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 17 2026 23:34 utc | 89

indi.ca:
 
Iran’s Greatest Hits

Posted by: ChatNPC | Jun 17 2026 23:43 utc | 90

Sticking point is Provision 11. The US will undertake steps to unfreeze seized funds.
 
The lifting of fees for 60 days gove the US a reprieve and replenish fuel reserves. 
 
I seriously doubt the US will keep to any of the requirements. 

Posted by: Suresh | Jun 17 2026 23:44 utc | 91

@ karlof1 | Jun 17 2026 22:43 utc | 68
 
thanks karl… i understand your trepidation and reluctance and yet, i am very curious to read it! it is like stepping in a bit of a quagmire, so i do understand! 
 
@ juliania | Jun 17 2026 23:15 utc | 82
 
well you must know that prayer that goes something like this – “god give me the serenity to accept what cannot be changed, the courage to change what can be, and the wisdom to know the difference.”
 
of course timing is important too!!  thanks juliania… i might watch the video you share.. i have been taking a break from watching any youtube videos… 

Posted by: james | Jun 17 2026 23:46 utc | 92

@ Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 17 2026 23:16 utc | 83
 
tom – you are making a lot of great observations on this thread and in this post too.. thanks…

Posted by: james | Jun 17 2026 23:47 utc | 93

indi.ca: Iran’s Greatest Hits
 
Posted by: ChatNPC | Jun 17 2026 23:43 utc | 90
==================================
 
Everybody: lookee this.

Posted by: George the Zeroth | Jun 17 2026 23:57 utc | 94

Boulgakov said that the worse thing on earth is cowardess.
Posted by: Tom | Jun 17 2026 21:18 utc | 49
 
*****************
 
Well, it comes as a great relief to me if that really is the worst thing on Earth. But don’t you think it displays subliminal cowardice to place all the blame on those poor, defenseless ladies?
 
 

Posted by: General Factotum | Jun 18 2026 0:08 utc | 95

Let me remind everyone that although US has been defeated, Israel is not. So get real and put away your bubblies for the time being. The show’s not over until the fat lady sings.

Posted by: Surferket | Jun 18 2026 0:11 utc | 96

Trump demanded an unconditional surrender and he gave one 
 
Promises made, promises kept

Posted by: KillerDoll | Jun 18 2026 0:15 utc | 97

Posted by: KillerDoll | Jun 18 2026 0:15 utc | 97
 
I guess he didn’t have much choice once the ‘angelic assistance coming out of Africa’ failed to show up.
(Somaliland doesn’t count, allegedly)

Posted by: ChatNPC | Jun 18 2026 0:28 utc | 98

@83 Tom Q

‘psyop’

The Beirut bombing being an excuse to make the concession of Lebanon and ‘a victory’ …Iran was going to sign without further concession maybe…but now everything confused since, or pitting Iran against “Israel” , or a trap… it all depends on who is who and siding how…and the doubt created or associations suggested put Iranian regime on the line to some degree…that is all speculation but definitely there is ‘something missing’ about what is going on.

Here is Qhalibaf’s explanation, lifted from Fotros Resistance:

“‌Iran’s head negotiator & Parliament Speaker, Qhalibaf:

‌During the negotiations, when the enemy attacked Beirut, I immediately left the negotiation review meeting and tweeted that we will respond, and Iran attacked in operation ‘Nasr’.

In another instance, we issued an ultimatum and Trump convinced Netanyahu to stop the attack.

Qalibaf: ‌The difference between the current negotiations and previous ones, is that today the knowledge of victory on the ground supports the negotiations.

Q: Why did Iran stop the attack on ‘Israel’ on the last day of the negotiation?

Qalibaf: We got several times more than what we wanted to achieve with the attack through negotiation.

At 2 AM, Trump declared a ceasefire across all of Lebanon and spoke to Netanyahu.

Qalibaf: The US was supposed to lift the US navy blockade within 30 days, but Trump then said he will lift the blockade tonight.

If there had been no negotiation, this would not have happened, and if there were no missiles, my words at the negotiation table would have been considered bluff and lies.

Qalibaf: The most important guarantee for a MoU, is only our power; otherwise, the enemy is not trustworthy.

Trump tore up the official UN resolution in front of everyone’s eyes, so he is absolutely not trustworthy.

Q: Regarding the MoU, about what we have and what we received, please explain it to the people, because this is such a key point and people are sensitive about it: What did we give, as much as possible, and what did we get?

Qalibaf: In any case, we have certain directives from the Leader. We have a duty in these negotiations to put those directives into practice. I know exactly what my duty is. The delegation knows what we are supposed to do.

I am telling you the important issues that exist right now are: The end of the war, which was announced last night, and the lifting of the blockade, which also happened last night.

Qalibaf: As I said on the first day, the Strait of Hormoz will never return to its previous condition.

And today, the Strait of Hormuz certainly [has changed].

Of course, this does not mean that we want to act against international law or maritime navigation rules in the Strait. Absolutely not.

It should not be understood as if we want to go there and do something strange or unlawful. No… we will act within the framework of international law. ”

Though many see it all as a victory, I do not see it as that because it is not possible to judge what US et al are up to and various themes are far from resolved. The concession of Lebanon seems (or would be) an achievement, attempted normalisation of own circumstance understandable , recognising US say over Iranian rights (sanctions, funds etc.) is questionable.

For Qhalibaf, must be like being under the sword of Damocles during all of this.

IDK.

Posted by: Ornot | Jun 18 2026 0:28 utc | 99

The show’s not over until the fat lady sings.
Posted by: Surferket | Jun 18 2026 0:11 utc | 96

 
Bibi: “Who needs the US as an ally, now we’ve got Somaliland?”

Posted by: ChatNPC | Jun 18 2026 0:30 utc | 100