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War On Iran: – Iran Needs Escalation To Avoid The Ceasefire Trap
A typical U.S. tactic against a strategic target is to ‘boil the frog’ by slowly increasing the temperature of the water it is sitting it. The conflict in Ukraine is an good example for this. Hits against Russia, directed by the CIA, are escalated bit by bit while Russia is reluctant to more severe deterrence measures.
The current war on Iran is another example. The U.S. is insisting on a ceasefire while trying to erode Iran’s leverage with economic strangulation.
Iran’s major weapon, the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, will need another month or two to fully unfold its intended effect on the U.S. and global economy. Meanwhile the U.S. is trying to tire Iran with fake diplomacy, economic measures (its blockade) and pinpoint strikes.
But Iran is well aware of this tactic. It has decided to avoid this ceasefire trap by continuous escalation:
The United States and Israel are using this [ceasefire] period to reshape realities on the ground, weaken Iran’s leverage, and arrive at a negotiating table where Tehran’s position has already been quietly eroded. This perception is strengthening those within the Islamic Republic who argue that diplomatic restraint, under current conditions, carries its own strategic costs.
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The delay in finalizing the memorandum of understanding is increasingly interpreted as purposive rather than procedural and as a U.S. attempt to use the passage of time as a strategic instrument. The concern is that each week of ceasefire, with American military and economic pressure continuing unabated and Iranian restraint producing no reciprocal concessions, represents a net erosion of the position Tehran believes it secured during the forty days of active fighting.
Iran has decided to respond to this ‘boiling-the-frog’ tactic by increasing the cost for even the slightest U.S. attack. It is no longer responding in kind. Each U.S. strike is answered by hitting back stronger and against more targets. As Rob Campbell provides of the skirmish of June 2:
Late at night, the Americans hit an Iranian oil tanker and the Iranians retaliated with an attack on an USraeli vessel. The Americans also targeted the control tower on Qeshm Island and the Iranians responded with attacks on US Kuwaiti bases at Ali Al- Salem and Arifjan and the Fifth Fleet base. Bahrain also came under attack and it airspace closed to all traffic. It is claimed that 136 Shahed drones were seen above Kuwait while heavy damage was inflicted on Kuwait’s only international airport which has been closed.
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Satellite images indicate damage to a hanger which housed drones and aircraft at Ali al-Salem airbase in Kuwait
The Iranians also attacked the Kurdish Separatist group at their HG in Erbil (Iraqi Kurdistan).
Iran has warned the Americans that they will respond to future attacks with increased intensity. which they appear to be doing.
The increased intensity is designed to avoid the trap:
As economic pressure mounts, Israel continues its campaign against Hezbollah, and Washington works to reduce the strategic significance of Hormuz before any deal is concluded, more voices within the Islamic Republic are arriving at the conclusion that leverage must be actively defended before it can be usefully negotiated.
Iran wants an agreement with the U.S. but is also expecting and prepared for a new round of war. For political reason President Trump is, for now, trying to avoid both, an agreement with Iran and renewed fighting. He continues to ignore Iran’s escalation. But he will have to respond (archived) if it ends up killing U.S. soldiers:
President Trump has told aides privately that he would consider ending the ceasefire with Iran if Tehran kills American troops, U.S. officials said, insisting that the weekslong pause in airstrikes remains intact despite a steady stream of violent skirmishes.
The president’s reluctance to reignite the war suggests he might be willing to withstand smaller flare-ups for weeks—or even months—to avoid a broader conflict in the Middle East.
Trump is following the advice of Israeli lobbyists who are urging him (archived) to wait for now and to hit Iran later:
Mark Dubowitz of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies has argued that Trump should use the cease-fire to get the American economy back on track, and then only later, in the fall, to “start to think about returning to major military operations but not doing it before the midterms, when the knock-on effects could be very difficult for him politically.”
Iran is well aware of Trump’s current dilemma. It is in its interest to keep the conflict hot and going rather than to let it cool down now only to flare up later. The increase of severity of its (retaliatory) strikes against U.S. assets will thus continue:
Iran’s navy has said that it fired warning missiles and drones at US warships in the Gulf of Oman on Friday.
It accused the American navy of harassing maritime traffic and seizing commercial vessels and oil tankers, according to Iranian state media.
So far Iran had only hit at U.S. ground assets in the Gulf region. Those attacks have caused sever damage but only few casualties. Until now Iran had avoided strikes on warships as such attacks tend to cause dead and wounded in higher numbers.
But to keep Trump engaged will require more serious measures. Iran needs to increase its leverage before time starts to erode it.
The ‘warning missiles’ against U.S. warships are an escalation. But they are not sufficient to move Trump.
In a day or a two one one of the ‘warning’ missiles will likely (have to) reach its target.
Who do the USatan/ISISrael think they are?
Iran has to completely stop negotiations. The USatan/ISISrael entity has no legitimacy to demand anything from any other sovereign country.
Iran should:
1) keep striking ISISrael everyday, until ISISrael gets out of the occupied territories of Palestine, Lebanon, and Syria;
2) keep striking all USatan military bases in the region, until USatan accepts to stop the occupation of the region;
3) publicly announce the end of Khamenei (senior) fatwah, and the start of its own nuclear weapons development, as North Korea did.
In the meantime, both Russian and Chinese nuclear warheads (perhaps also Pakistani) shoud be “loaned” to give Iran an immediate deterrent;
4) refuse all negotiations with the USatan/ISISrael entity, until all this is achieved, and all sanctions are PERMANENTLY lifted, and all assets returned;
5) keep striking all USatan/NAziTO warships in the region, until there are expensive ships on the bottom of the ocean, and there are mass casualties in USatan navy.
Activate the Ansar Allah in Yemen for this purpose;
6) for each day that USatan/ISISrael strike civilian targets in Iran, Lebanon, Iraq, Palestine, etc, Iran should publish videos of equivalent destruction and civilian casualties in USatan territory, and keep repeating that karma and justice might arrive late, but always arrives;
7) either the Gulf islamic monarchic absolute brutal dictatorships forbid USatan/ISISrael and completely stop aggression going through their territories (lamd, air, sea), or Iran will start assassination bombardments against that “leadership” scum, until there’s regime change in the whole region and they all become anti-zionist and anti-imperialist Republics, as the majority of that population is!
8) announce that if UAE/Dubai doesn’t change course, it won’t just be sporadically bombarded, it will be annihilated, in the exact same way that they asked their owners (USatan and ISISrael) to do against Iran.
In the meantime, demand (through diplomatic channels, not publicly) that UAE/Dubai is expelled from the BRICS+ or at least suspended;
9) for each day the USatan keeps trying to block the Hormuz Straight, Iran will send undercover agents to commit drone strikes in USatan naval ports in the Atlantic and the Pacific, in the same style that Ukrainian Nazis did inside Russia: a simple civilian truck transporting drones and explosives that can be bought/assembled locally, without the need to cross the border;
10) once Iran finishes developing its nuclear warheads and secretly also develops ICBMs capable of reaching USatan territory (as North Korea did), Iran should use 2 of those unclear capable ICBMs (without a warhead) to do a kinetic strikes, 1 inside USatan and 1 inside USrael, against nuclear facilities, as is the legal right of Iran under the UN Charter: reciprocal strikes against the aggressor;
11) demand that USatan publicly apologizes for all the crimes against Iran and against all other countries in the region, and because words are empty, do this with a significant act: deliver USatan criminal politians (ex: Marco Rubio) to be face trial and be sentenced in Iran;
12) demand similar thing from ISISrael, in this case, the delivery of genocidal nazi terrorist lunatic Netanyahu to the ICC in the Netherlands;
13) refuse any talks, refuse any ceasefire, and say that there is only peace when USatan/ISISrael entity fully accepts all the demands in this ultimatum, including one final step: delivering all the remaining heirs of the Iranian corrupt fascist assassin brutal dictatorial monarchy, Reza Pahlavi and the sons and grandsons (younger scum), to be arrested and sentenced to either death (the usual in any regime for the crime of trason) in Iran, thus putting a complete end to any deranged monarchic claims;
14) bonus, not USatan/ISISrael dependent: a UN blue helmets mission (with European soldiers that do NOT respond to NATO) and also Asian and African soldiers in all 1947 Palestinian territories, all led by IRGC/Hezbollah/Palestinian commanders, to make sure that the lunatic unhinged genocidal zionists never dare to invade any other centimeter of Palestinian land;
This shows Iranian compromise, since they are not demanding 100% of pre-1947 Palestine. Only the 50% that were disgustingly divided in the 1947 random map designed by Anglo-USAmerican zionist colonialist imperialist pigs.
That’s a huge compromise, and shows that Iran is well intended and lawful in this ultimatum;
PS: do you like having hospitals and schools and police stations and fire departments and pharmacies and universities and monuments/historical buildings and bridges and power stations in New York, Miami, London, Paris, etc? Well, karma says that all of that should face the same destiny as your targets/victims in Iran, Iraq, Afghanistan, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, Palestine, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, etc.
Fortunately for you, pigs, the Global South is by far more decent than the so called Collective West of the “freedom” and “democracy” and “values” and “human rights”…
Let’s never forget that USatan/ISISrael made a decade long war in Syria, with sanctions to provoke famine, in order to change the regime, open the air space for strikes against Iranian schools and hospitals, and put just another dictator in Damascus, no longer a secular republican, but the terrorist islamic extremist leader of al-Qaeda (first al-Nusra, later HTS) in Syria.
My example of an ultimatum is written not with hate, but with justice in mind. Those on the side of imperialism, colonialism (in particular zionism), ethnic cleansing, fascism, nazism, terrorism, globalised corruption (corporate/billionaire lobby and foreign interference), permanent threats (hegemonic hubris), sanctions to provoke famine, bloody coups, proxy wars, and permanent warmongering and war crimes against humanity, as GENOCIDE, should face justice or at least karma (since there is no rule of law in the collective west).
And as the global south rises, led by example by China and friends, that karma is nearer than ever, one way or another.
So, being a citizen living in the collective West, I would prefer that we do all that we can to improve our karma, and to bring those western criminal/monster “elites” to justice.
That’s all.
Posted by: Carlos Marques | Jun 5 2026 20:07 utc | 74
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