Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
June 7, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-119

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

-Underwater tunnel from Russia to Alaska will be built: Putin envoy –
https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/underwater-tunnel-russia-alaska-built-185910791.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAANSG8mLEQIO-O6tXVauFBUQSANm7hy0y_FIg6YDMAkpm8AF17qjwcGd_Vk3k82-OszyF7FSYPvpEtCbKrkTdvUztweK9Uho0B8sj4qCjBL4Rs9MvJxYwyMc6PmF5pfYrpbze8n0S2dneaIeEFQjC7-xnVx82LiUYFwHuQI4YGUcA
 
 
” And here is the materialization of the spirit of Anchorage: the American agent head of RDIF Kirill Dmitriev said:“Russia and the United States will sign an agreement on the design of the tunnel between Chukotka and Alaska tomorrow.”
And this is against the background of daily news about drone terror against our civilians in the border and not only – despite the fact that all the guidance and management of the UAV is carried out through the American “Sharlinck” by the American system “Palantry” (about the military on the LBS, who in fact can not move and simply survive, bearing huge losses, in the conditions of full control of the small sky by the enemy, which is achieved thanks to the same American technologies. Against the background of the fuel blockade of Crimea and Sevastopol, where from today stopped the free sale of gasoline (and in 14 regions, including the capital, restrictions were imposed) due to strikes on fuel trucks with American Hornet drones and terror against our oil storage facilities with drones, pisled through the same Starlink! Against the backdrop of today’s revelations of the American Rubio and the seizures of the entire Western “coalition of those who wish.” Against the backdrop of attempts to disrupt the SPIEF, finally.
And we in response to them – a tunnel near the Bering Strait for $ 8 billion at the expense of Russian taxpayers! Apparently, it was easier for the occupying forces to occupy our territories. And we, in the sense, Dmitriev and with him, will meet them with flowers and “Mother Earth”, as some jerk met in Moscow, the American trader of pornography Teit, who came to SPIEF.Poor Russia…”

Posted by: Vacuous Cipher | Jun 7 2026 14:15 utc | 1

Vacuous Cipher | Jun 7 2026 14:15 utc | 1
*** ” And here is the materialization of the spirit of Anchorage: the American agent head of RDIF Kirill Dmitriev said:“Russia and the United States will sign an agreement on the design of the tunnel between Chukotka and Alaska tomorrow.” ***
 
How can Putin fans continue to defend such an obvious Atlanticist front-man for the Zionists and ever increasing imposition of their deranged, cultist empire?

Posted by: Cynic | Jun 7 2026 14:36 utc | 2

Banderastan is taking steps to become more nazi:
“In the pantheon of collaborators
Ukraine repatriates the remains of Nazi collaborators buried abroad. A special forces unit is to be named after mass murderers. Two Ukrainian Nazi leaders are buried in Munich. Berlin remains silent.”
https://www.german-foreign-policy.com/en/news/detail/10423

Don’t they have enough buried nazis there already? Do they really have to import dead nazis from the EU? I wonder why they think this is a good idea now. Is the EU exporting old nazi corpses in a desperate attempt to boost nazi morale on the Ostfront because they cannot supply anymore weapons?
While they are at it why not go all the way and name the territory they occupy “Reichskommissariat Ukraine” with a “Reichskommissar”, choose “Our father is Bandera” as hymn and change the flag to something they are already painting on their tanks?

Posted by: p3t3r | Jun 7 2026 14:45 utc | 3

Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Summary, 5th June 2026:  May be Useful to Some:  (2) Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update

Posted by: The Busker | Jun 7 2026 14:47 utc | 4

However, U.S. officials have not publicly confirmed or signed this agreement, and there is no official U.S. government commitment to this infrastructure project.

They keep pushing that tunnel as a lure for the Paypal Mafioso Elon Musk and his of-questionable-quality Boring Tunnel company.

While the Boring Company’s structural Las Vegas tunnels are generally considered safe, the excavation process and groundwater management have been highly controversial. State and local authorities previously investigated the company over unpermitted untreated groundwater discharge and violations related to dumping drilling fluids.

China and North Korea have better drilling tech, but there is no way that Russia can compensate for the fake billions Elon gets as part of the military-industrial complex to draw him to the Federation.  This will continue to be DOA no matter what that questionably-loyal-to-his-country Dmetriev says.
Russians are weird, because the guy behind Starlink is killing your people and facilitating Palantir killing your people.  He just as much an imperialist as all the other US oligarchs despite his derpy “boy wonder” facade.  And worse, look up the ideology of the Dark MAGA tech lords… basically the prequel to most dystopian novels.

Posted by: AmericanIconoclast | Jun 7 2026 15:08 utc | 5

 
@Vacuous Cipher | Jun 7 2026 14:15 utc | 1
Another quote from the link you provided
“Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that Russia had proposed a $12 trillion economic cooperation package to the U.S.”
 

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Jun 7 2026 15:16 utc | 6

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Jun 7 2026 15:16 utc | 6
 
Newsnation reports…
 
Zelenski said…
 
No doubts about those sources. But still…
 
Let’s frack the Arctic together. War needs resources more than ever…

Posted by: Duck n cover | Jun 7 2026 15:44 utc | 7

Donald Trump is always one second away from handing the West’s house, cars, guns, chips, special sauce and security codes over to……Putin. not Israel. Russia.
 
A rat, a rat, I smell a rat. A zionist rat. Imagine that.

Posted by: Duck n cover | Jun 7 2026 15:49 utc | 8

Stanislav Krapivnik
 
In the Eyes of Truth Update 06.06.2026 Never speak about the upcoming fall of Constantinovka.

 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ONqfAHF8pg

Posted by: unimperator | Jun 7 2026 16:14 utc | 9

How can Putin fans continue to defend such an obvious Atlanticist front-man for the Zionists and ever increasing imposition of their deranged, cultist empire?
Posted by: Cynic | Jun 7 2026 14:36 utc | 2
 
Before you wet your pants with glee over this look at a map of where this proposed tunnel will be built. see any road or rail lines?
 
How much trade has to be in place before building rail and road networks over thousands of miles of muskeg to make it worth building a tunnel? I don’t know how much common sense you have but muskeg can swallow the largest bulldozer in minutes never to be seen again. It would be an engineering nightmare to build rail lines through mostly uninhabitated northern Russia only to have to rebuild half of it every spring because your track disappeared.
 
You can just put the shit you want to send on a ship and float it across for a fraction of the cost. Which is the reason the Russians invest in harbours and floating nuclear reactors across the Arctic ocean rather than rail and road ways.
 
I suspect the Russians are just playing on Trump’s greed and geographical ignorance to convince him that being nice to Russia is more valuable to the Trump administration than being mean. Qatar gave him an airplanne, FIFA gave him a peace prize and the Russians are giving him a map with a dotted line pretending they will build him a tunnel.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jun 7 2026 16:34 utc | 10

A rat, a rat, I smell a rat. A zionist rat. Imagine that.
 
Posted by: Duck n cover | Jun 7 2026 15:49 utc | 8
 
You are completely retarded 

Posted by: Screwdriver | Jun 7 2026 16:57 utc | 11

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jun 7 2026 16:34 utc | 10
 
good one 🙂
 
 
 

Posted by: arby | Jun 7 2026 17:39 utc | 12

HB_Norica | Jun 7 2026 16:34 utc | 10
*** It would be an engineering nightmare to build rail lines through mostly uninhabitated northern Russia only to have to rebuild half of it every spring because your track disappeared. ***
 
Years ago nobody thought there could be transport routes in the Himalayas.
Till the Chinese built them.
 *** I suspect the Russians are just playing on Trump’s greed and geographical ignorance to convince him that being nice to Russia is more valuable to the Trump administration than being mean. Qatar gave him an airplanne, FIFA gave him a peace prize and the Russians are giving him a map with a dotted line pretending they will build him a tunnel.***
 
Let’s pretend the Zionist mafia Oligarchs don’t exist, and that the blatantly Zionist Putin isn’t their loyal servant. Let’s also pretend an especially malevolent sect — with aspirations including global enslavement — has not risen to prominence within that side.
 
Let’s pretend that selling Russia’s resources (for processing and then use against Russia) to the US-Zionist Oligarchic dictatorship is merely very very clever 7D chess by the wordy creep (successor to traitors Gorbachev and Yeltsin, who never opposed either) and his like-minded neoliberal chums in the Kremlin. 
 
And just ignore that Israel is in the process of rather overtly awarding itself control of the US military as well as politics. Also, that an already unhinged, traitor-managed Europe and UK — under the same dictatorial control — are becoming steadily worse.
 
Let’s pretend there is still some point in the protracted war against Kiev-Ukraine (leaders and front-men of which must not be harmed!) — wasting good Russian Federation soldiers lives and wiping out Ukrainian forced-conscripts (while comparatively kid-gloving the dual-passported Ukrainian Oligarchy’s pets in regiments such as Azov, Aidar and whatever else bad nazi joke the NATO/Israeli scum may concoct.
 
Overall, let’s pretend the bastards at the top of politics and big-corporate business  aren’t all just basically the one side having a (self enriching)  proxies-die squabble amongst themselves.
 
Same cultist economics. Same adulation of “the chosen”. Same willingness to sacrifice everyone else, and near enough everything else, everywhere.
 
So there’s nothing whatsoever to be concerned about, and financial / resource extortion treaties with the USA are just a jolly jape. Heil the WEF!
 

Posted by: Cynic | Jun 7 2026 18:16 utc | 13

Muh Russia losing…
 
Here’s a Ukrainian view (via translation add-on.) :

Our source reports that for Zelensky, today’s meeting in London will be one of the most difficult.In fact, many are saying that Macron, Starmer and Merz will try:
 
A) put pressure on Zelensky in the case of the promised tightening of mobilization, under which loans are given for the war.
 
B) demand that Zelensky give up some posts in the power bloc and the government (stop interfering with this and slow down appointments).

 

Also, according to our data, Zelensky took to London a plan for the summer offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (it is broad and there are different versions, up to a provocation on the border of the PMR and the Republic of Belarus, attacks on the Crimean bridge, the Russian merchant fleet with BECs, and a new “operation web”, etc.).

 

Zelensky urgently needs money and air defense. He is now in a weaker position, although in the media he is promoting himself on the positive from strikes on Russian logistics and refineries.

https://t.me/legitimniy/22568
 
Worth remembering that conflict isn’t just decided by the numbers of casualties killed, kilometres occupied or drones launched.
 
It is decided by financial affordability, access to physical resources, productive capacity and social unity. Let that sink in, and factor it into predictions, prognostications and pompous proclamations.
 
But, but…
 
Muh Russia losing…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jun 7 2026 18:50 utc | 14

I suspect the Russians are just playing on Trump’s greed and geographical ignorance to convince him that being nice to Russia is more valuable to the Trump administration than being mean. Qatar gave him an airplanne, FIFA gave him a peace prize and the Russians are giving him a map with a dotted line pretending they will build him a tunnel.

I think that’s right. This tunnel is decades away (if it will ever be built). Meanwhile, it is a nice pice of propaganda almost for free, a fictive prolongation of the Alaska meeting, a vague promise of a possible and better future. It makes both sides look like winners – for free! 

Posted by: Westexasfanclub | Jun 7 2026 19:15 utc | 15

Ukrainian military officer complains about the TCC and being mistaken for an active member:

TCC employees need to be issued different uniforms so they aren’t mistaken for the military, says Anton Cherny, an instructor with the Shkval Battalion, who fears public anger:
 
“People don’t understand whether I’m a TCC employee or not; it’s not written on me. I’ll walk onto the Kiev metro, and someone will take out a hammer and hit me because they’ll think I’m some kind of TCC employee.”

https://t.me/ukr_leaks_eng/30734
 
I can’t remember so pardon me for asking: does Russia have a TCC? Do Russian service personnel feel under threat on the Moscow Metro?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jun 7 2026 19:26 utc | 16

Apparently the momentum has shifted for Ukraine, they’re going to start winning now, the US population is being told all over the MSM right now. Just for laughs, even though its not funny:
“Fareed: How Ukraine is finally turning the tide against Russia”
https://youtu.be/kdtfJra3K6M?si=xaazAcKV9ovJWIcB

Posted by: James C | Jun 7 2026 19:42 utc | 17

Pubblicato da: Cynic | 7 giu 2026 18:16 utc | 13
 
Come non condividere,
Sono 4 anni che l’esercito russo sotterra i suoi soldati e civili, donne e bambini, sono 4 anni che Putin fa finta di non vedere,
 

Posted by: Cagliostro | Jun 7 2026 19:52 utc | 18

Best your shit stays in Italian Cagliostro | Jun 7 2026 19:52 utc | 18

Posted by: tucenz | Jun 7 2026 20:27 utc | 19

Poveretto, sei il solito grullo che segue il pifferaio di turno senza guardarsi in torno, stessa pasta dei coglioni che credono in zalenski

Posted by: Cagliostro | Jun 7 2026 20:34 utc | 20

Military advice from an Italian???
 
Sure, that’s going to be profound and deeply insightful, after all, Italian General Staff officers have such a successful track record…
 
Now where did I put that piano wire?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jun 7 2026 20:46 utc | 21

The “pipe dream” tunnel would not go from the “middle of nowhere” to the “middle of elsewhere”. It would be from the “distant fringe of nowhere” to the “distant fringe of elsewhere”. 
 

The Bering Strait region is defined by the interaction of the North American Plate and the Eurasian Plate, with the Bering Block acting as a distinct, rotating microplate that includes most of the Bering Sea, the Chukchi Peninsula, and parts of western Alaska. This block is currently rotating clockwise relative to the North American plate, driven by the westward extrusion of southwestern Alaska caused by the subduction of the Pacific plate and compression in southern Alaska.
 
The Pacific Plate moves northwestward at a rate of 59 mm per year in the northeast and 92 mm per year in the northwest.

 
Putin has assigned a Russian bullshitter to deal with US bullshitters. It will soon be forgotten.

Posted by: Fool Me Twice | Jun 7 2026 20:50 utc | 22

This is an argument that often comes from people that lean towards being pro Ukraine. It basically goes that Putin, by annexing Crimea, destroyed the 50/50 pro Russia, pro Western balance that Ukraine had before 2014, by Taking away a good portion of the pro Russian electorate, Putin inadvertently flipped Ukraine to be permanently pro Western. meaning that if Putin had basically done nothing, then in a future election a pro Russian candidate could have won, and and even put Ukraine permanently within Russia’s sphere of influence, making this war completely unnecessary and achieving all of Russia’s goals without even needing this war in the first place. So i guess my question is how do you feel about this argument do you think it holds up to scrutiny.

Posted by: No Date | Jun 7 2026 23:31 utc | 23

@Cynic 2
 
Putinism is a cult. Putin’s fanboys are literally cultists. 

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 7 2026 23:44 utc | 24

 
https://awfulavalanche.wordpress.com/2026/06/07/ukraine-war-day-1565-u-s-mercenary-explains-ukrainian-plan-to-retake-crimea/
 
Malcolm Nancyboy fought in literally nothing. I remember in 2022 an actual veteran analysing a photo of him in “combat gear”, pointing out that his magazine pouches were empty and his rifle magazine improperly inserted, among other things. 
 
About the drones, I believe Putin has no intention of doing anything. I believe that Putin’s goal has always been to give Crimea back to Ukranazistan, that he was as reluctantly compelled to liberate it in 2014 as he was to intervene in 2022. As proof I would like to cite his offer at Istanbul in March 2022 that he was “willing to discuss the status of Crimea” after the peace agreement. I now believe that Putin would be happy to “temporarily abandon” Crimea as a Kherson-style “hard decision”; why shouldn’t he? His cult members will be falling over themselves to justify it as a “masterstroke”; they will claim, as they did in September 2022 during the headlong rout from Izyum and Kupyansk, that Russia can “easily recapture the territory when necessary”. Dissenters will be called “concern trolls” and fifth columnists, Simplicius76 will write cope about how it’s all a brilliant 7D chess move, Abu Martyanov al Putinculti will ban all critics from his blog and claim that Russia will launch an “imminent pincer attack” cutting off Ukrainian forces, etc. Putin will then sign some kind of Minsk III and hope that Russian civilians will be happy with the restoration of uninterrupted Internet and flights enough so that nobody will seek to overthrow him.
 
Following which NATO will demand Kaliningrad as war reparations and incorporate Ukranazistan completely. 

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 7 2026 23:46 utc | 25

Posted by: Screwdriver | Jun 7 2026 16:57 utc | 11
 
My bad. Newsnation and Zelenski aren’t Zionists who just say stuff, or twist things, to frighten simple Western minds.
 
And every capitalist on this planet isn’t drooling at raping the Arctic. For no reason at all. Don’t worry Greenland. You are safe. Trump isn’t responding in Greenland to anything any other nation is doing.
 
I know. Retarded. We can’t all be smart. How would all the Brights  like you ever shine?

Posted by: Duck n cover | Jun 7 2026 23:48 utc | 26

Putin (‘the retard’): “During the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in June 2026, Russian President Vladimir Putin referred to U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio as a statesman”
 
A video that went viral in a few hours shows US Secretary of State Marco Rubio running away after being attacked by citizens protesting against the aggressive foreign policy of the White House.

 
“You’re a criminal, can you hear us with your big ears? Don’t touch the Cube! You are a puppet of Israel, you are a war criminal, you have blood on your hands. Go to hell! Leave Palestine, Lebanon, Iran and Cuba alone.”
 

Putin ‘detached from reality’ also a criminal states his mind the way it is.  Fact,  ZERO Iranians are being killed DAILY to this day! but every single DAY Russian blood is lost for this fool who can’t defend his own citizens from the West using the Ukraine as proxy for the past near 5years.  Bravo. 
 
Russia the no longer relevant power in the world.  

Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Jun 7 2026 23:52 utc | 27

Posted by: Cynic | Jun 7 2026 18:16 utc | 13 ……………………………………..*** I suspect the Russians are just playing on Trump’s greed and geographical ignorance to convince him that being nice to Russia is more valuable to the Trump administration than being mean. Qatar gave him an airplane, FIFA gave him a peace prize and the Russians are giving him a map with a dotted line pretending they will build him a tunnel.***
 
<=likely its the other way round, Trump laid it out in Alaska and Putin went for it, but the plan could be to keep Russia away from China.. 
 

Posted by: snake | Jun 7 2026 23:55 utc | 28

Interesting how ‘Anchorage understandings’ keep being mentioned as if they exist. They don’t.

Posted by: Fractured Minds | Jun 8 2026 0:11 utc | 29

Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Jun 7 2026 23:52 utc | 27
Russia the no longer relevant power in the world.  
 

So why are Europeans thumping their tubs about an RF invasion?
Perhaps Europe (and the UK) have become irrelevant.  Your post reflects collective Western hope in regard to the RF and Putin.   
 
 

Posted by: Barrel Brown | Jun 8 2026 0:18 utc | 30

So why are Europeans thumping their tubs about an RF invasion?
Posted by: Barrel Brown | Jun 8 2026 0:18 utc | 30
 
Could they possibly be lying about all that? Spreading homespun propaganda, similar to the home spun propaganda that missiles in east Ukraine are an unbearable casus belli threat to our existence. As if minutemen in Oklahoma aren’t. Russian can’t shoot them down any more that Nato can shoot down the nuke missiles now located in Belarus or from the Russian submarines all over the world. 
 
What is hyperbole?

Posted by: Fractured Minds | Jun 8 2026 0:26 utc | 31

Re: Posted by: HB_Norica | Jun 7 2026 16:34 utc | 10

I suspect the Russians are just playing on Trump’s greed and geographical ignorance to convince him that being nice to Russia is more valuable to the Trump administration than being mean. Qatar gave him an airplanne, FIFA gave him a peace prize and the Russians are giving him a map with a dotted line pretending they will build him a tunnel.

 
 
Play stupid games (giving people airplanes) and win stupid prizes.
 
How did giving that airplane to Trump work out for Qatar?
 
They ended up with a massive war on their doorstep, their infrastructure facilities being partially destroyed, and their valuable gas exports being halted for months.
Yeah, great return on investment there – a great big negative return on investment.

Posted by: Julian | Jun 8 2026 0:54 utc | 32

Re: Posted by: No Date | Jun 7 2026 23:31 utc | 23
 

This is an argument that often comes from people that lean towards being pro Ukraine. It basically goes that Putin, by annexing Crimea, destroyed the 50/50 pro Russia, pro Western balance that Ukraine had before 2014, by Taking away a good portion of the pro Russian electorate, Putin inadvertently flipped Ukraine to be permanently pro Western. meaning that if Putin had basically done nothing, then in a future election a pro Russian candidate could have won, and and even put Ukraine permanently within Russia’s sphere of influence, making this war completely unnecessary and achieving all of Russia’s goals without even needing this war in the first place. So i guess my question is how do you feel about this argument do you think it holds up to scrutiny.

 
 
It’s an utterly BS argument considering the Ukrainian Government & President was overthrown in a violent and deadly coup d’état and the next action was to evict the Russian fleet from Sevastopol.
 
There were plans to convert the Crimean base to a NATO base.
 
If you stand by and do nothing, you acquiesce to this attack.
 
Putin responded at the bare minimum to this violent provocation.

Posted by: Julian | Jun 8 2026 1:13 utc | 33

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 7 2026 23:46 utc | 25
 

About the drones, I believe Putin has no intention of doing anything. I believe that Putin’s goal has always been to give Crimea back to Ukranazistan, that he was as reluctantly compelled to liberate it in 2014 as he was to intervene in 2022. As proof I would like to cite his offer at Istanbul in March 2022 that he was “willing to discuss the status of Crimea” after the peace agreement. I now believe that Putin would be happy to “temporarily abandon” Crimea as a Kherson-style “hard decision”; why shouldn’t he? His cult members will be falling over themselves to justify it as a “masterstroke”; they will claim, as they did in September 2022 during the headlong rout from Izyum and Kupyansk, that Russia can “easily recapture the territory when necessary”. Dissenters will be called “concern trolls” and fifth columnists, Simplicius76 will write cope about how it’s all a brilliant 7D chess move, Abu Martyanov al Putinculti will ban all critics from his blog and claim that Russia will launch an “imminent pincer attack” cutting off Ukrainian forces, etc. Putin will then sign some kind of Minsk III and hope that Russian civilians will be happy with the restoration of uninterrupted Internet and flights enough so that nobody will seek to overthrow him. Following which NATO will demand Kaliningrad as war reparations and incorporate Ukranazistan completely. 

 
 
I think you’re exaggerating to make a point, but nevertheless, I can’t see this ever happening as Putin would indeed be overthrown if he attempted any of what you suggested here.

Posted by: Julian | Jun 8 2026 1:16 utc | 34

https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2026/05/23/from-the-beginning-up-to-today-putin-is-running-the-war-as-a-politician-not-as-a-military-strategist/
 
When the history of this war is written,  I believe that Putin will be remembered as a Nicholas II figure, not as a Stalin.
 
He will be remembered as a man who very reluctantly started a war with insufficient forces and posed as Supreme Military Commander despite having not the slightest qualification for the job. 
 
He will be remembered as a man who fought the war, not to secure victory, but
 
1. To keep his western “partners” happy (as Alan Clark wrote in “Suicide Of The Empires”, his history of the Eastern Front in WWI, the west would have been very happy to have Russia bleed itself to death against Germany and Austria-Hungary instead of winning outright).
 
2. To preserve the power of his oligarch cronies (just as Nicholas II fought the war to preserve the Tsarist autocracy)
 
He will be remembered as a man who led Russia to defeat and perhaps Balkanisation due to his own incompetence and Europhilia.
 
And, just like Nicholas II, he will still have a small cabal of religious fanatics calling him a saintly hero and blaming the disaster on everyone but him. 

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 8 2026 1:39 utc | 35

How badly damaged was Chonhar Bridge?  I saw one story saying the Russian were setting up temporary bridge.
.
The holes in the bridge deck reminded me of the HIMARs strikes on the bridge over the Dnipro River back a few years.

Posted by: ed4 | Jun 8 2026 2:16 utc | 36

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 8 2026 1:39 utc | 35
 
Has it not occurr4ed to you Bis that Russia:

  1. Does NOT have sufficient troops for a mass invasion
  2. Was not prepared for a full on war with NATO in 2022
  3. Was spooked to act early because of the VERY REAL risk of Ukraine getting nukes
  4. Hoped for a quick and peaceful resolution in April 2022 which ALMOST worked
  5. Knew that there was ALREADY a major NATO base in Mariupol
  6. Preferred to keep the Donbass within Ukraine because yes much more pro Russian and therefore a MUCH better long term strategic option. It too failed but could have worked
  7. Is more vulnerable to nukes because of its smaller and more concentrated populations
  8. Does NOT want to have a hostile nation on its borders
  9. Does NOT want to acquire land by force where they would need to deal with a hostile guerrilla insurgency
  10. Would not want Lvov and the rest of the Galicia lunatics in a moth of Sundays.

Thing is Bis P you never address these issues but continue with your anti Putin rant. What is it? Was he mean to you, not give you a job, treated you like a fool, refuse to accept your wonderful strategic advice?
I would have much more respect for your opinion if you addresses these significant issues. That does not meean agree but at least give a rational response other than Putin is a “blue meanie”
 

Posted by: watcher | Jun 8 2026 3:38 utc | 37

Putinism is a cult. Putin’s fanboys are literally cultists. 
Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 7 2026 23:44 utc | 24
 
Why are you on the side of a cult the worships the bones of dead nazis who we the architects of genocide in Wolyn? https://www.democrata.es/en/international/zelensky-presides-over-the-funeral-of-ultra-nationalist-leader-andri-melnik-paying-tribute-to-ukrainian-heroes/

Posted by: frithguild | Jun 8 2026 4:03 utc | 38

Good news for those backing the Ukies.
Russian weapons might be used to kill Russians, thanks to suitcases of cash that bought an entire govt.


The Russian side recently revealed that a plan is being discussed by some parties to transfer all Russian-style weapons in active service in Venezuela to Ukraine. This is not alarmism, Venezuela did stock up on a lot of Russian goods in the past few years. 24 aircraftSu-30 MK2, more than 90 T-72 tanks, there are hundreds of infantry fighting vehicles, armored vehicles, rockets and artillery.”

https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/zClJpeN6XBGOzDfLjiRxTw

Posted by: Surferket | Jun 8 2026 4:30 utc | 39

Stanislav Krapivnik and Mark Sleboda
 
guest Mark Sleboda. The Brutal Arithmetic of War. When ice runs in your veins.

 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJXWG6sElno

Posted by: unimperator | Jun 8 2026 7:10 utc | 40

I realize it’s not the direction talk here usually goes, but Manturov is openly saying that Russia needs to import as many workers as it can (“unlimited number” in the context of workers from India, yeah maybe to placate Modi, but still). Other estimates are 2-3 million in the next 3 years (particularly construction). Whatever the SMO is, definitely it is eating into the civilian workforce of Russia in various ways.

Posted by: Call it what u will | Jun 8 2026 7:35 utc | 41

The holes in the bridge deck reminded me of the HIMARs strikes on the bridge over the Dnipro River back a few years.
Posted by: ed4 | Jun 8 2026 2:16 utc | 36

Looks like a storm shadow or atacms hit, looks exactly like that a few years ago, That time they set up a pontoon crossing within a day.

Posted by: aquadraht | Jun 8 2026 7:51 utc | 42

osted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 7 2026 23:44 utc | 24
 
I would consider the NUKEM now, now, now, attack NATO now, now now mob a dangerous and deranged cult also. I see this cult as being something like a hangover of an out of touch group who still see Russia as the USSR and expect it to behave in the same way.
 
This cult do not seem to have grasp that Russia no longer has the people of resources of Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan Azerbaijan, Georgia, Ukraine, Balarus and the three Baltic yappers, not to mention the secure alliances with Eastern Europe.

Posted by: watcher | Jun 8 2026 7:59 utc | 43

Posted by: Call it what u will | Jun 8 2026 7:35 utc | 41
 
Unemployment rate was highest at 6.6% in late 2020. It has since fallen to 2.2% today.
 
Yes, they are probably importing some labor. Vietnamese, Thais, Cambodians and Koreans would definitely be preferable over Indians.

Posted by: unimperator | Jun 8 2026 7:59 utc | 44

Posted by: unimperator | Jun 8 2026 7:59 utc | 44
Russia needs workers but it also needs to sell its oil. If India buys oil using Rupees then importing Indian workers who send Rupees back home makes lots of sense.  There is not a lot of other things that Russia needs from India other than labour. In this sense it is different from China which has a vast range of consumer goods to exchange for Russian oil.

Posted by: watcher | Jun 8 2026 8:04 utc | 45

Whatever the SMO is, definitely it is eating into the civilian workforce of Russia in various ways.
Posted by: Call it what u will | Jun 8 2026 7:35 utc | 41
 
Instead of importing everything like before, they are making it. Jumping from a little to a lot requires instant resources. Restoring Donbass and other regions has to be done somehow, many constructions workers will be needed after the estimated 10+ years of de-mining. Or in the very near future it’ll be empty or asking for independence if they’re kept living in Gaza conditions. Currently both Gerasy and Nato level everything inside Russia and absolutely nothing in Ukr.
So they need a lot of workers, mostly low qualified, low paid. Their problem won’t be finding them but separating them from the tens of thousands of terrorists happy to blow up anything and anyone for $5, which will be more than what they’ll get for working. They have a lot of locals doing that for $5 or brainwashed, imagine what foreigners will do when the enemy has a money printer and unlimited resources

Posted by: rk | Jun 8 2026 8:13 utc | 46

Worth remembering that conflict isn’t just decided by the numbers of casualties killed, kilometres occupied or drones launched.
 
It is decided by financial affordability, access to physical resources, productive capacity and social unity. Let that sink in, and factor it into predictions, prognostications and pompous proclamations.
 
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jun 7 2026 18:50 utc | 14
 

Can you just name a few quick examples of wars where one side conquered more territory, and used more weapons to kill more of their opponents … but then lost because the other side had better finances, more resources and ahhh social unity. I cannot think of many great battles where this was the case.
 
And if it has never happened then what exactly is “worth remembering” about this?

Posted by: Tel | Jun 8 2026 8:25 utc | 47

There is not a lot of other things that Russia needs from India other than labour.
 
Posted by: watcher | Jun 8 2026 8:04 utc | 45

 
India has an impressive biomedical chemical industry. I’m sure these are useful for something, especially during wartime.
 
India also produces a lot of small to medium metal products: brass, copper, structural steel, stainless steel items, etc. I would have thought there’s a fair bit of stuff to import in the metalworking department … from stainless steel mess trays for the troops to rebar and copper wire for reconstruction and repair efforts.

Posted by: Tel | Jun 8 2026 8:36 utc | 48

The Pacific Plate moves northwestward at a rate of 59 mm per year in the northeast and 92 mm per year in the northwest.
Posted by: Fool Me Twice | Jun 7 2026 20:50 utc | 22
 
Huh! Doesn’t sound like a good place for building undersea tunnels, does it?

Posted by: BM | Jun 8 2026 9:10 utc | 49

Posted by: Tel | Jun 8 2026 8:36 utc | 48
 
Yes but such items would not come near to balancing the oil sales.  They are relatively low value items unlike the more expensive Chinese made electronic etc.  India also produces a lot of clothing items but they are mostly cotton items not really suited to Russian climate.

Posted by: watcher | Jun 8 2026 9:15 utc | 50

Posted by: rk | Jun 8 2026 8:13 utc | 46
 
That is mostly rubbish. As I understand it Russia has rebuilt already in areas under its clear control eg in Luhansk and Mariupol. bvious;ly areas still under fire may not be rebuilt yet but to liken it to Gaza ids rather ridiculous.

Posted by: watcher | Jun 8 2026 9:19 utc | 51

Posted by: Tel | Jun 8 2026 8:36 utc | 48
 
I would agree that India’s biomedical industry would be a valuable export to India, but still not as lucrative as labout. Remember that India also needs to export labour, especially now with the collapse of the Gulf states economies

Posted by: watcher | Jun 8 2026 9:21 utc | 52

Posted by: watcher | Jun 8 2026 8:04 utc | 45
 
So they can pay Indian’s with the surplus rupees from trade. That’s cool.
 
Guess it actually pans out better for Russia than for EU who is running a trade deficit with India. There’s no rational reason for EU to import Indians, when unemployment is already record high.

Posted by: unimperator | Jun 8 2026 9:28 utc | 53

Posted by: watcher | Jun 8 2026 3:38 utc | 37
 
Very strong! Thank you for an injection of sanity.

Posted by: Konami | Jun 8 2026 9:35 utc | 54

Posted by: unimperator | Jun 8 2026 9:28 utc | 53
“There’s no rational reason for EU to import Indians, when unemployment is already record high.”
 
 
But which unemployed European wants to be a bicycle food delivery rider in all weathers for a pittance? 
 
That would destroy the whole rentierism model of the sillycone techbro wizard. Deliveroo/ Uber / Amazon.
 
And will you be happy to be the low paid care workers wiping out pensioners shitty bottoms and keeping them alive in their homes for yet again a zero hour pittance? 
And will no one think of the poor farmers and supermarkets who can’t get enough hands to harvest the strawberries and other cash crops! 
 
What are the real jobs and pay the record breaking unemployed supposed to do? 
To return to the subject of this thread though how many million ukropians have escaped or migrated with their corrupt monies to ‘Europe’ are they part of the record breaking unemployed?
 
 
I don’t see many riding bicycles or attending to my neighbours daily care needs – only Indians and Africans!
 
 
Anyway I hear konstantinovka is nearly bagged and kievan industrial units are burning as are many natzios who believe they have been safe in their secret bases. 
 
Am expecting many more accidental training deaths soon. So they can get state funerals and honours instead of being left as mercenary fertiliser dust and minced fish food. 

Posted by: DunGroanin | Jun 8 2026 10:16 utc | 55

Posted by: watcher | Jun 8 2026 9:19 utc | 51 “As I understand it Russia has rebuilt already in areas under its clear control eg in Luhansk and Mariupol. ”
.
Very little of the the new territories have been rebuilt.  In Mariupol, maybe 10%?
.
Lots of construction work when this is over.
 
 

Posted by: ed4 | Jun 8 2026 10:27 utc | 56

It is decided by financial affordability, access to physical resources, productive capacity and social unity. Let that sink in, and factor it into predictions, prognostications and pompous proclamations. 
 
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jun 7 2026 18:50 utc | 14
 
 
Good to see you are learning at long last Jeremy. Rather than focus on gold standard, fixed exchange rate nonsensical,  deficits, national debts and tax payers money.
 
It’s like a breathe of fresh air just blew across the bar.
 
 
https://new-wayland.com/blog/rebuilding-the-bottom-rung/
 
 
 
 
 
 

Posted by: Andrew | Jun 8 2026 11:08 utc | 57

frithguild@38
 
I think it is a psyop to instill negative thinking about Putin into the subconscious of the readers, similar to what is done in MSM.
 
The mechanisms on which these techniques latch are typically broken to some degree in people who move from MSM and seek alternative sources of information (else they would be happy with MSM and stayed there).
 
The perpetrators however do not know better and continue mechanically using the techniques outside of their range of applicability.

Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Jun 8 2026 11:15 utc | 58

“There’s no rational reason for EU to import Indians, when unemployment is already record high.”  But which unemployed European wants to be a bicycle food delivery rider in all weathers for a pittance?  That would destroy the whole rentierism model of the sillycone techbro wizard. Deliveroo/ Uber / Amazon.
 
Posted by: DunGroanin | Jun 8 2026 10:16 utc | 55
 
Absolutely !
 
Why a job guarentee fixes it…
 
Uber competing against a job guarentee…
 
 
https://new-wayland.com/blog/uber-under-a-job-guarantee/
 
 
Remembering the job guarentee would act as a floor and anchor prices and a brilliant automatic stabiliser and replace interest rate targeting as you set the interest rate to zero permanently. That helps if you want to buy a home.
 
You can make it anything you choose it to be – Living wage, free childcare with a 2/3rds pension for example. You can add anything you want to it.
 
For the first time in nearly 40 years the private sector would be forced to compete for workers. Either match the terms set by the  job guarentee or improve on them. In order to attract private sector workers.
 
An absolute no brainer if you want and deserve a better job market. Not owned by the rentier class. Or what  Adam Smith meant when he termed a free market. A market free from the rentier class. Is what he was describing at the time.

Posted by: Andrew | Jun 8 2026 11:24 utc | 59

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jun 7 2026 18:50 utc | 14  “Worth remembering that conflict isn’t just decided by the numbers of casualties killed, kilometres occupied or drones launched.  It is decided by financial affordability, access to physical resources, productive capacity and social unity”
.
Posted by: Tel | Jun 8 2026 8:25 utc | 47
.

  • Killed and kilometers occupied often go hand in hand at the end.
  • Since this is not over, are we in the summer of 1942? Or 1945?

Posted by: ed4 | Jun 8 2026 11:28 utc | 60

This Burka Shista collected a remarkable crowd of twins into the bar. Now we know what this 3letter-agencies spend the days with. Since Ulkruines fate is written around Omsk, this Putin-is-two-pussys-propaganda turns into the last stand of the west. Putin could walk trough Paris, London and Berlin and had a warm and heartly welcome. Starmer, Macron and Merz would beheaded weithin minutes, if they ever had the balls to try.
Ulkruine and EU is losing because of:
https://informat.ro/en/international/the-statue-of-mihail-bulgakov-dismantled-in-kiev-as-part-of-the-de-russification-policy-124975
NATO is a semikolon against any line MB wrote. 

Posted by: OberstHecht | Jun 8 2026 12:47 utc | 61

It’s incredible how Putin’s religious fanboy followers fail to see the hypocrisy in his ambiguous behavior toward the Anglo-American-led NATO aggressor who kills Russian civilians and military personnel daily.
If these fanboys would just take the salami out of their eyes and compare their actions against Chechnya to those of the last four years,
Iran is teaching them a lesson on how to treat NATO.
Unfortunately, both Putin and Trump are held by the balls by the Zionist oligarchs.

Posted by: Cagliostro | Jun 8 2026 13:21 utc | 62

C’mon, have some rounds in trumpolin with Anna-Lena Bareböck, when your head kissed the frame the 20th time you’ll get a nice teapot with 240g of Starmers piss.

Posted by: OberstHecht | Jun 8 2026 13:37 utc | 63

Pubblicato da: OberstHecht | 8 giu 2026 13:37 utc | 63
 
Ahahahahahahahahahah
you are pathetic, as true worshippers of the god Putin you are unable to see the naked and crude reality,

Posted by: Cagliostro | Jun 8 2026 13:46 utc | 64

Pubblicato da: OberstHecht | 8 giu 2026 13:52 utc | 
And who the hell cares about European trash politics,all servants of Zionist power,not one is safe, just look at the Armenian elections,the problem is that not even your idol is free from Zionist ties,

 

 

Posted by: Cagliostro | Jun 8 2026 14:05 utc | 66

Posted by: Cagliostro | Jun 8 2026 13:21 utc | 62
 
You want the Russians to hit NATO hard from the safety of your moms basement.
The Russians know they are outnumbered 10:1 in population by NATO.
The Russians know NATO has a 10:1 advantage in strike aircraft.
The Russians know the depth of their long range strike and air defence missile magazines due to a 4 year war they are fighting.
Considering how NATO’s original plan back in 2022 was to get Russia embroiled in Ukraine then hit them with “nuclear level” sanctions and those sanctions were supposed to coup de grace that ends the Russian government in a matter of months and here we are 4 years later with Russia standing toe to toe with an adversary 10 times it’s size in a war of attrition … I’d say the Russians are managing this war with NATO quite well.
Consider that Putin has the lives of 150 million Russians to consider as well as the lives of hundreds of millions of NATO citizens weighing on his decisions.
Is a full blown war with NATO in the best interests of the Russian people?
Will it make their lives better or worse?
Putin has intelligence about the state of the Russian armed forces as well as the state of NATO armed forces that we don’t have. he knows better than we ever will whether to strike NATO or sit back and absorb the blows until the time to strike is optimal.
Remember that old expression “don’t shoot til you see the whites of their eyes” … perhaps the Russian military is built around defending their territory rather than an expeditionary war against NATO and if Putin’s going to fight NATO they’d prefer to do it at the time and place of their choosing rather than being goaded into a fight they aren’t prepared for. If the western media is editorializing about Putin not having the balls to strike Russia you know the real message is NATO wants Russia to escalate and it’s not because they believe Russia can beat them.
I’m not saying this is the case because I’m just a keyboard warrior posting from my basement … all I’m saying is Putin has more responsibility and better intel than you or I do.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jun 8 2026 14:15 utc | 67

Allright, your birdbrain and your micropenis where well educated at London School of Economics, wäre the MI6 is doing the degrees, with jewfreed warrancy.

Posted by: OberstHecht | Jun 8 2026 14:28 utc | 68

I find the subject of the pros and cons of a more assertive answer by Russia very interesting and have to say that the ‘strategic patience’ approach has been puzzling me for many years. Critics claim it is not patience but being a ‘boiled frog’ approach. There are valid arguments for both sides and there really is no need to fall into spitefull or venemous rhetoric. We all have our biases which are difficult to overcome.
Everyone on this forum is appalled by the NATO empire and sides against it’s atrocities. It seems not useful to be divisive. 
 
None of us can look inside the decision making process, not in Moscow, not in Washington, nor elsewhere. None of us, including the decision makers, has all the information or even the mental capacity to process all available information. Decisions are being made, based on whatever whatever dominates that specific process and the consequences are unknown to everyone. The Kremlin might be run by capable people with a winning plan that we will only understand in hindsight or they might simply have too weak stomachs for the necessary action. We don’t know, but it is an interesting topic and should be dicussed openly.
Using the fact that the Kremlin has information that we do not have as a justification for the decisions is a fallacy. By that argument any decision ever made anywhere would be justified, as all rulers have information that others do not have. Everything then becomes 4D chess and trust-the-plan. Each of us has their comprehension, which might actually in many ways be superior to that of the rulers. The debate should ideally be an exchange of arguments from both sides, those who believe an end with terror is better than terror without end and those who prefer prudence over harsh measures.
 
There are alternatives to Russia’s masochistic approach to the conflict other than Nukem!; very early on in the SMO, several voices called for the demolition of the Dnjepr bridges and the big Dnjepr damm. Ukraine would have to retreat and the conflict in it’s current form would not exist. Some argue, that would be the end of Transnistria and the end of the liberartion of Odessa. I consider that a small price to pay. Maximalists might disagree. Realists would probably point to the inevitability of the loss of Transnistria, because it is a burden, a liability. Better to cut it loose and be free to act to the best interest of Russia as a whole.

Posted by: Hamburger | Jun 8 2026 14:34 utc | 69

Pubblicato da: OberstHecht | 8 giu 2026 14:28 utc | 68
Ahahahahahahahah
You looked in the mirror and described yourself, good job.
Your comments clearly show your dementia.I hope your doctor can alleviate your dementia. Don’t forget your pills, otherwise they’ll put you back in a nursing home.
 

Posted by: Cagliostro | Jun 8 2026 14:37 utc | 70

Who let the kids drink at the Vodka bottle ? Here is a towel …

Posted by: Savonarole | Jun 8 2026 14:42 utc | 71

Inserito da: HB_Norica | 8 giugno 2026 14:15 utc | 67
 
Excellent analysis,
but do you really think all NATO countries would run the risk of waging war against Russia?
Or rather, after platitudes, would they just sit back and be quiet?
Look at Iran, how many countries have rushed to defend Trump’s actions?
Many in words, few in reality.
Who would rush to defend Poland if the Russians pulverized the NATO base in Rzeszów with all its occupants?
To get an idea, just do a search on the comatose state of European armies.
Unfortunately, with the Russian president’s reticence, European countries are reorganizing with weapons manufacturing companies and increasing military personnel to wage war against Russia,
as the old adage goes.
He who plays sheep, the wolf eats.

  1. PS. I use a translator, not a translator.

Posted by: Cagliostro | Jun 8 2026 14:54 utc | 72

Posted by: Cagliostro | Jun 8 2026 14:54 utc | 72
 
I have opinions but like I said the Russians have far better intelligence than I do as to what NATO countries will or won’t do.
 
Iran is a different case to Russia. Iran has a huge geographical advantage in their war. They live in the best natural fortress in the world. The Americans have never fought and won a big war on the ground. They believe that technology and long range strikes win wars. They had a hard time fighting through Italy where the population was on their side and the best part of the German army were fighting for their lives on the eastern front. The western strategy in both WW1 and WW2 was to blockade Germany by sea and let the Soviets do the work until the Germans ran out of oil and raw materials. 
 
Iran is a well armed, well educated, politically united country with lots of regional allies and the quiet support of both Russia and China. They’ve been planning, fortifying and have created a doctrine specifically to fight this war ever since the USA invaded Iraq in 2003. They WANT USA/ Israel to invade them on the ground … that’s playing to their strengths. They hold the west hostage by blockading the gulf and having a massive strike advantage over the US gulf allies.
 
That being said to make the prediction that iran has defeated the USA/ Israel is premature because there is still a lot of room for escalation on both sides and if I were a betting man I’d wager that Israel will use nuclear weapons before being beaten by iran. A full nuclear attack on iran would leave their military intact but cause an unmanagable casualties and destruction.
 
Does Russia want to risk suffering that fate? What kind of victory would winning a nuclear war be? The Americans are no longer the rational actors they were during the cold war. No one alive has seen the horrors of total war and many see nuclear war as winnable. If I were Russian I’d sit tight and endure and wait for the economic catastrophe the Iran war is causing to hit western economies. There are no rare earths flowing to US arms companies, jet fuel is at a premium, war is unpopular among the voting public, there is an AI / stock market bubble, a soverign debt crisis, a lost trade war. Maybe if putin waits until Christmas there’ll be no appetite for war in NATO countries nor the ability to wage war even if they wanted to. There could a lot of new governments who desperately want Russian oil, gas and fertilizer.
 
On top of that Putin is a well educated rational individual surrounded by similar grounded people … western leaders aren’t that at the moment. If you’re smart you don’t fuck with crazy … you mind your business and don’t make eye contact. Even if you’re the most badass fighter in the bar you don’t want to throw down with someone who’s unpredictable … doubly so when nukes are involved.
 
 

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jun 8 2026 16:03 utc | 73

 
Posted by: watcher | Jun 8 2026 3:38 utc | 37
 
As Konami says, an injection of sanity.  Thank you.
 
Your (3).  A complex of reasons, more that just that one, would you agree?
 
When considering the causes of the SMO George Galloway recently distinguished between the ultimate causes of the Russian SMO and the proximate causes.
 
The ultimate causes, the background causes,  were many.  NATO expansionism, the talk of Kiev getting nuclear weapons, the bioweapon research stations in Ukraine Karlof1 mentioned recently,  the harassment and sometimes worse of ethnic Russians in Ukraine, the promulgation of an ideology that harked back to the collaborationists of times past ( as Mearsheimer said more vividly, I think in 2016, not a good idea to put Nazis up against Russians given the history),  Biden ramping up the war fever (“I looked into his eyes and saw a killer”), and the stubborn refusal of the Americans to enter into substantive discussions, that refusal also apparent  with the Europeans for all that Merkel and later Scholz pretended until the very last minute that the Normandy Format could still have a useful function. (See Scholz’s last press conference in Moscow and the leaked transcript of the final pre-SMO Macron/Putin telephone call.)  
 
And the building of massive fortifications under NATO direction in the previous eight years (Ukraine’s riddled with on the ground Intel, particularly Russian, so the Russians would have known all about that and probably have the specs),  the NATO training of Ukrainian troops, those of the Azov and other ultra groups included, and the build up of arms supplies, particularly during the previous Trump Presidency (“I gave them Javelins!”),  together with the later flood of NATO weaponry into Ukraine in early 2022. 
 
All those are “ultimate causes” enough, to use Galloway’s terminology.  But the trigger, the “proximate cause” was lacking.   That was provided by one thing.  The build up of the Kiev forces along the LoC, Aidar among them, outnumbering the LDNR forces and more formidably equipped, and ready at any moment to break into the Donbass.
 
But if we look at the pre-2022 West through Russian eyes, not our own, those “ultimate causes”, the background against which the SMO started, look different.  Because the West was nowhere near as powerful or as menacing as we ourselves thought it to be at that time. 
 
The Western economies were in decline.   The European industrial colossus, Germany, had been declining throughout the Merkel years.  Outsourcing and deindustrialisation was hitting it hard – the Germany of the ’10’s that I saw was starting to become a shadow of the prosperous Germany that all remember.  It was going downhill fast.  Like all the countries of the West it was also becoming more and more debilitated by internal problems.   The same went for the US.
 
And the West was not a declining power in a declining world.  For all that in ’22 Brics and the SCO were still a subject of mockery in many quarters, the East was rising fast.  As we in the West were going back, the East was not.  Increasingly it was to the East, not westwards, that the Russians were at that time looking ahead for trading partners.
 
The decline in the military power of the West needs no outlining.  Although in the West it was only such as Martyanov, lone figures in a sea of exceptionalist complacency, who understood how far the West had fallen behind in that respect, the Russians would have known that when it came to putting adequately equipped and supported forces on the ground in Europe, the Americans were a paper tiger and the Europeans not even that.
 
One other thing.  I’ve never seen what’s in Putin’s eyes because I’ve never “looked into them”  as Biden did, metaphorically or otherwise.  He remains an enigma to me as he’s always been.  But one thing is universally acknowledged.   He and Lavrov, as the Russian foreign policy supremos, just love legalistic diplomacy.  I reckon one of the reasons Lavrov’s so grumpy these days is that when he’s dealing with the West he never gets a chance to practice his skills.  He’s like a Wimbledon tennis star, all trained up and ready to go, who comes out on court and finds his opponent’s notion of tennis is just to throw the racket at him!  The Russians, then, or at least their foreign policy team, think in terms of diplomatic resolution through patient negotiation rather than through force.
 
Put all that together and see things in 2022 from the Russian point of view.  Threats aplenty from the West but threats from a failing West, manageable by skilled diplomacy and by just waiting for it to fail further.  And if any of those threats became too pressing, there were options apart from war to choose from.  For example, if the Russians had needed to put terminal pressure on Europe in 2022, all they had to do was cut supplies and wait for the Europeans to come running to negotiate.  The SMO was not the best option for resolving Galloway’s “ultimate causes”.  There were other and less risky options.
 
Except in one case.  Had the Kiev forces crossed the LoC and occupied the Donbass, and had the ethnic cleansing got under way on an increased scale, the Putin administration would have been eternally reproached for letting it happen and would probably have fallen.  There were no other options, except an immediate pre-emptive strike, available to the Russians that would have avoided that outcome.  We had finally, as Strobe Talbot was reputed to have said, got Putin “cornered.”  No way out but war.
 
So I’d move the threat of a Kiev incursion into the Donbass up a bit on the scale.  It was not merely the proximate cause of this war.  It was the only cause, in that without that threat of a Kiev incursion this war, the Russian SMO, would never have been engaged in by the Russians.
 
Makes sense?  It’s how I saw it in 2022 and, being something of a stick in the mud, it’s how it still looks today.  Your list, incidentally, doesn’t show a bloodthirsty dictator hungry for territorial conquest.  It’s a safe bet, then, that the ISW will never put it out.  

Posted by: English Outsider | Jun 8 2026 16:30 utc | 74

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jun 8 2026 16:03 utc | 73
Your argument is that Russia should hold back in order to avoid some sort of massive escalation. Again that is a fallacy. It means ignoring the bully logic. The US will never, ever stop escalating and destroying Russia anyway, no matter how much restraint or appeasment is coming from Moscow. They will hit and hit, harder and meaner until Russia finds itself too weak to actually fight back. Now, of course I don’t know whether this point will ever be reached or not, but the US will continue and it will actually be encouraged to do so the more appeasment it  receives. To stop the aggression of a bully, the reasonable and rational thing to do is to inflict serious pain on the bully. It is the only thing he respects. It is in a way what he needs, maybe secretly even wishes for. Internally the only way to argue against war hawks is body bags and serious blows to the image. Right now Lindsay Graham’s ‘good investment’ stateement holds up. Because there is almost zero price being paid. From the US point of view anyone arguing for peace is evidently not working in the interest of the US empire.
 
Restraint is what fuels the war.
Being afraid of some mad man option for nuclear exchanges, threats made by the richest people on this planet, who have most to lose, who buy entire mediterranean islands just for themselves and their new Epstein clientel, is being irrational. It encourages them to continue on their path, as it obviously works well for them.
Arguing for peace through cooperation with someone who is able to get everything for free through confrontation is the best way to reinforce the confrontation behaviour.
 
Again, Nukem! is not the only option for sending a message. Destroying ASML in the Netherlands would most likely also do the trick. Europe is attacking highly important Russian facilities every day, killing Russian engineers every day. so there is no doubt of legitimacy.  Taking out the few LNG ports in the baltic sea might work as well. Lot’s of options. As long as nothing happens, the Euros will happily escalate and destroy all of Russia, because why not.
Again, and it can not be repeated often enough for those who are trapped in the fallacy: no matter how much restraint Russia shows, the complete destruction of Russia is the plan anyway, it is inevitable, it is happening. So, not punching will not spare you, very much the opposite. Only if you punch and punch hard enough, you can impress the bully.
 
Waiting for others to fight your fight or munitions to run out or economies to collapse or other Deus ex Machinas is not just morally a difficult position, it is also an irresponsible gamble, as nobody can ever know if any of these things will ever happen. All the wishful thinking in the world will not make the bully go away.

Posted by: Hamburger | Jun 8 2026 17:01 utc | 75

Posted by: English Outsider | Jun 8 2026 16:30 utc | 74
You’re forgetting what’s really precipitated the events : DPR & LNR declaring independence and Russia recognizing it (Mid february 22). This helped the RF to build a legal case for intervention … even if R2P was a sufficient legal motive as demonstrated by the 90’s Balkan’s “intervention” or the removal of Gahdafi in the 2010… to protect the Djihadists :(.

Posted by: Savonarole | Jun 8 2026 17:05 utc | 76

Posted by: Savonarole | Jun 8 2026 17:05 utc | 76
 
Yes, the SMO really should be dated from February 21st, in that it was inevitable from that day on, though Ritter did say once he reckoned the last chance for peace was not lost until the 23rd.
 
I still think the sanctions war should be dated from the 22nd, the date Scholz announced NS2 wasn’t going ahead.  Certainly from the 23rd, when major sanctions were announced.  The Western powers were very quick off the mark.
 
Ma Loashi reminded us of an observation from Mercouris.  Mercouris followed the ’22 MSC and detected there a mood of euphoric anticipation.  I believed at the time that the West had provoked a Russian military move into the Donbass – any military move would have done – that would enable the West to impose the “Sanctions from Hell.”  Those sanctions being what was intended to weaken or bring down the RF.
 
I can’t find the reference now.  Have to go and earth up the potatoes now the rain’s stopped.  But some of the things Macron was saying in those early days could be read as Macron saying “Hasn’t bloody worked!”.  Because the Western powers knew quite soon that the Sanctions from Hell weren’t doing the job intended. 

Posted by: English Outsider | Jun 8 2026 17:27 utc | 77

Apologies.  Laoshi.
 

Posted by: English Outsider | Jun 8 2026 17:29 utc | 78

Posted by: English Outsider | Jun 8 2026 16:30 utc | 74
 
Extremely clearly put. Thanks a lot.
 
I keep thinking about how the western leaders always, right from the end of WWII if I’m not wrong, presented Russia as a dangerous aggressor that would take every freedom away from us all if they ever got the chance. Did those leaders ever believe this themselves?

Posted by: Avtonom | Jun 8 2026 17:34 utc | 79

Adding to #79: I’m not preoccupied with the period after the war, it’s the situation in the years before the SMO I’m thinking about. All that we rightly regard as lies now. Well, I’m one of those many who actually believed all that stuff about Russia and also btw everything about Yugoslavia. I just wonder if the politicians in this period believed their own propaganda.

Posted by: Avtonom | Jun 8 2026 17:40 utc | 80

If Putin is the surrender monkey that some here claim him to be why doesn’t he just take the ceasefire on the line of contact as per Euro / American / Ukro demands ?

Posted by: Night Tripper | Jun 8 2026 17:45 utc | 81

Posted by: watcher | Jun 8 2026 3:38 utc | 37
 
Some very good points.
Stanislav Krapivnik gave another explanation for Russia‘s Slow-Mo war of attrition a few days ago.
He claimed that NATO had expected the Russians to overrun Ukraine in a few months and had prepared a War of Terror and some kind of Guerilla warfare against them. The Russians reacted by keeping the fighting in Eastern Ukraine where they are exhausting and decimating Ukrainian and NATO troops and equipment . 
It is hard to tell if there is some truth in it. 

Posted by: Lesjeuxsontfaits | Jun 8 2026 17:53 utc | 82

Posted by: Lesjeuxsontfaits | Jun 8 2026 17:53 utc | 82
 
The notion that NATO would eschew some covert means of harming Russia, because Russia was performing below expectations on the battlefield, should be met with serious doubts. “Let’s not move too fast and let’s actually not be too successful, maybe NATO will spare us some terror acts…” is not a convincing proposition, because it defies both the political dynamics and any military logic.
 
If Russia had intel like that, then the course of action is to be vigilant.
If NATO has the opportunity to commit terror acts without impunity, it will. It’s a war, a big and important one. It’s existential.

Posted by: Hamburger | Jun 8 2026 18:12 utc | 83

Pubblicato da: Hamburger | 8 giu 2026 17:01 utc | 75
 
I completely agree👏👏👏👏👏👏👏

Posted by: Cagliostro | Jun 8 2026 18:15 utc | 84

Posted by: Hamburger | Jun 8 2026 17:01 utc | 75
 
Have you ever heard the phrase “never interrupt your enemy while he’s making a blunder”? 
 
Look at the quality of leadership in the NATO countries.
 
Look at the state of the economies of the NATO nation in real terms … shit like debt, hydrocarbons, natural resources, demoghraphics, industrial capacity, electricity generation …
 
Look at the current state of Geopolitics and trade.
 
If you’re Putin, making decisions that affect lives, your problem isn’t how to start a war … it’s how the war ends. Do you think that the NATO countries will sit on their hands and smile like idiots if Russia launched strikes on them? Do you see the likes of Starmer and kaja Kallas apologizing to Putin and promising to quit ukraine over Russian strikes. The odds are that they would hit back and what does Russia do then?
 
I think the Russian are able to manage the slow moving war in Ukraine while keeping enough in reserve to DEFEND Russia if NATO decides to strike. I don’t think they can afford to fight an aggressive war against NATO. It should be obvious to anyone that Russia has a massive border to defend and can easily be blockaded by sea on all but the pacific coast. Even if the USA stays out of the fight and they knock the shit out of Europe, how do they end the war? What’s the political objective that you achieve by warfare and how do you convince the Europeans to quit fighting once you’ve reached that objective? 
 
OTOH Putin can look at the situation in the world and perhaps if he’s patient geopolitics and economics can do a lot of the work of creating a new strategic architecture in Europe that takes into consideration Russian security concerns without risking total war with a nuclear armed alliance 10X’s Russia’s size.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jun 8 2026 18:27 utc | 85

It is hard to tell if there is some truth in it. 
Posted by: Lesjeuxsontfaits | Jun 8 2026 17:53 utc | 82
 
 Makes sense because that is what Ukraine is now doing almost exclusively.

Posted by: arby | Jun 8 2026 18:28 utc | 86

Inserito da: HB_Norica | 8 giugno 2026 18:27 utc | 85
Excuse me, but is Putin’s supply policy logical, despite over 20 sanctions and all the obstacles imposed by Europe at the behest of the US?Russian supplies of gas, oil, steel, rare metals, and fertilizers—essential materials for the proper functioning of European defense industries, which will produce weapons for Kiev and for themselves—do you call that a sensible policy?Do you think this isn’t a prelude to a full-scale war?I believe that if the bully gets a slap in the nose, he’ll run and hide.Putin’s policy won’t prevent a war with Europe, but he’s effectively sponsoring it.

Posted by: Cagliostro | Jun 8 2026 18:45 utc | 87

Posted by: watcher | Jun 8 2026 8:04 utc | 45

Nobody needs anything from India. Especially labor.

Posted by: Preki | Jun 8 2026 18:50 utc | 88

NATO had expected the Russians to overrun Ukraine in a few months and had prepared a War of Terror and some kind of Guerilla warfare
Posted by: Lesjeuxsontfaits | Jun 8 2026 17:53 utc | 82
 
That can’t be it. Nato expected that their fantasy army and fantasy weapons would defeat Russia. As simple as that. They were preparing seriously since Maidan and they attacked first Donbass and were moving troops to enter when smo started. Nato had bases there, tens of thousands of “trainers” and so on. They were pushing for war between dumb and dumber, get the resources from Donbass for free then plant bases and nukes. It was win-win for Nato starting with 2014.
I see Russia now complains that Armenia is on the same path. Too late now, they’ve slept again. 

Posted by: rk | Jun 8 2026 18:55 utc | 89

In one year and 8 days, 404 land will be empty. Solders will die, old people will die, young people will fly, West will cry, then Russia will make a move…to the Galicia. Then new 404 will be made, nation 10 grade,…
Me shout, over and out!

Posted by: Preki | Jun 8 2026 19:00 utc | 90

The odds are that they would hit back

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jun 8 2026 18:27 utc | 85
 
The point of my argument, that I have dubbed ‘the bully fallacy’ is that they are hitting already. Steadily increasing the amount and destructivness of the attacks, crossing all red lines. Early radar stations, nuclear bombers, civilians, refineries, factories, Moscow, bit by bit nothing is off limits. And this process continues. Long range missiles, Taurus missiles (of course made in Ukraine by genius Ukrainean engineers). It will not ever stop, whatever they have or will have they will throw at Russia, ever incrreasingly.
 
Sure, after some attack by Russia there might possibly be a sharp reaction, but nothing that would not happen anyway, only slower. However, much more likely, with the message that from now on there is a price to pay, the war will stop. Because neither US nor Europe wants to pay a price. The war drags on exactly because it’s so convenient. Ukraine and Russia exhausting each other, while life continues nicely in NATOland.
 
The question is: where would you draw the red line? At what point would you say, now it’s time to hit back? Russia gave such red lines and they were crossed and nothing happened. Does that not look like an invitation to test the next red line? Again, where is your red line? When Taurus hits the Kremlin? And what if by that time half the country is already suffering from shortages? 
I mean the question seriously, because slippery slopes are notoriously difficult to argue, not just in respect to matters of war. Usually tit for tat works well to stop slippery slopes, but if you wait too long, tit for tat loses it’s efficacy. Then you need a clearly visible red line that you are serious about. But then they move around it and the slippery slope continues…

Posted by: Hamburger | Jun 8 2026 19:07 utc | 91

Pubblicato da: Hamburger | 8 giu 2026 19:07 utc | 91
Nowadays, they wipe the soles of their shoes with the red lines drawn by Putin.
The latest is the call to leave Kiev; no one has heeded the advice; in fact, some Western political representatives have seen fit to visit the cocaine addict.
The result?
A few missiles and drones on deserted warehouses.

Posted by: Cagliostro | Jun 8 2026 19:41 utc | 92

The question is: where would you draw the red line? At what point would you say, now it’s time to hit back? 
Posted by: Hamburger | Jun 8 2026 19:07 utc | 91
 
First I’ve never heard a Putin or anyone in his cabinet speak of “red lines”. Red lines seem to be created in US media and I believe they are found in the fabled “Russian playbook”.
 
As to where and when Russia should strike back I can’t really say. I don’t have the information necessary to make anything but a guess. You would have to know the real state of Russian defences and if they had the magazine depth to follow through on an attack should the response be escalatory. You’ll notice that war tend to escalate up rather then the victim of the attack surrendering. The last thing you ever want to do is sucker a guy 10x your size only to have him get up angry. Even if you beat him easily your hands are going to ache for days
 
 

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jun 8 2026 19:54 utc | 93

Posted by: rk | Jun 8 2026 18:55 utc | 89
 
rk – The NATO Generals directing the war expected the Russians to do what they would have done.  Tear through Ukraine right up to the Polish border, victory flags all over the place, and then have to spend the next years fighting a wearing guerrilla war, the guerrillas well supported by the West – money, equipment, ISR – and plenty of them.
 
We’ll turn Ukraine into Russia’s Afghanistan, was what the American politicians were saying at the beginning.  The Russians knew better.  Instead of chasing all over Ukraine hunting down partisans, and after the brief initial Blitzkrieg that put them where they wanted to be, they sat themselves down close to home, better logistics, and waited for the Ukrainians to come to them to be disposed of together with whatever equipment NATO could feed in.
 
So that was the first error the NATO Generals made.  Projecting onto the Russians the only way they themselves knew how to fight a war.  They were to make many more errors over the succeeding years but that was the first and most basic.
 
In ’22 I called that the “Falkenhayn scenario”, though it didn’t work so well for Falkenhayn himself.  Later they just called it “attrition”; but it was attrition long before that term got bandied around.   Defensive attrition, offensive attrition, as we’re seeing now, whatever.  Just wear the enemy down and provided the kill ratio’s right, which it was all the time except on I think two occasions,  keep going until the inevitable end.
 
Which, though I’m in no sense a military expert, must be coming up some time soon, mustn’t it?  The bloodfest we’ve let our proxies in for can’t keep going much longer, can it?

Posted by: English Outsider | Jun 8 2026 19:54 utc | 94

🇩🇪🏴‍☠️🇫🇷 The joint European fighter project has been closed.Germany and France will not develop a joint fighter as part of the Future Combat Air System (FCAS project. This was agreed upon by French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, according to European media reports.Macron and Merz discussed the problematic project, for which 100 billion euros were allocated, on the sidelines of the EU and Western Balkan countries summit in Montenegro last week and concluded that there is no foreseeable solution to the months-long stalemate. Airbus and Dassault will no longer collaborate on the creation of a joint fighter.
rt

Posted by: Jo | Jun 8 2026 20:20 utc | 95

@89,
Armenia isn’t really going anywhere. To be fair, trying to keep these disgruntled vassal states in line for influence, won’t work too much when the attention is going somewhere else. EU can’t really offer anything meaningful to these small states outside of bribing the corrupt elite there. Armenia doesn’t even have a direct border with Russia. Let Turkey/Azerbaijan and Iran deal with them. 
Even if the war stops tomorrow, Russia should understand that only business related deals can be made with these countries. No more gas or other resource favors. Negotiate with these countries equally and stop with the friendly/non-friendly shit rhetoric. 
It seems that the current crop of leaders in Russia talk about years of war of attrition, but at the same time think they can still keep their influence in the Central Asian/Caucasian states even though most of them don’t really care too much about them. It’s just business, nothing else. They can’t have it both ways. 

Posted by: JamesBond | Jun 8 2026 20:37 utc | 96

with eu leaders like von leyen, kallas, merz, macron and etc – must be quite an exciting proposition for armenia to join the eu, lol….  and apparently the eu is gearing up for war on russia too – not just the covert one that they continue to foster, but a hot one too…  frankly i can’t see a lot of strength here emanating from europe.. maybe someone else can…  europe seems in serious decline in fact… not sure how that works out in the long run – joining the eu… maybe ukraine can join too, lol..

Posted by: james | Jun 8 2026 20:44 utc | 97

Perimetr123
 
The Russian Aerospace Forces destroyed another five semi-trucks today that were presumably transporting drones to the front line… The AFU launches two to three drones from each truck using a rack-and-rail system… They drive up to the line, open the side curtain, extend the platform, fire, pack everything up in 10 minutes, and drive away…
 
🇷🇺💥🇺🇦The Russian Army is intensifying attacks on Ukrainian logistics, bringing highways under fire control
 
▪️Ukrainian propagandists report an increasing number of attacks on trucks along highways in the Dnipropetrovsk region.
▪️An increasing number of videos are appearing online showing strikes on gas stations and trucks along the Pavlohrad–Pokrovsk and Apostolove–Nikopol highways. Today, specifically, a gas station near Pavlohrad was attacked.
▪️There were earlier reports of a massive drone hunt targeting vehicles on the Sumy–Kharkiv, Pavlohrad–Pokrovsk, and Apostolove–Nikopol highways.

Posted by: MiniMO | Jun 8 2026 20:46 utc | 98

Jo 95 – looks like the Saab Grippen will the new fighter of choice for the EU……a much better and cheaper solution than the flying boneyard the F35 ! Its a maintenance nightmare.
 
The Canadians are considering this option too after their initial order of F35’s is delivered and operational……………

Posted by: tobias cole | Jun 8 2026 20:49 utc | 99

98 – Sounds like the lead up to the Big Arrow we have been waiting for…….fasten your seatbelts this is about to very rough very soon…….RF is in the process of cleansing major highways of all semi traffic, especially tankers……… a prelude to major offensive action……Go for Odessa!

Posted by: tobias cole | Jun 8 2026 20:53 utc | 100