Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
June 3, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-116

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

I have heard the SPIEF has been droned.  Let’s all wait and see what happens next.

Posted by: thecelticwithinme | Jun 3 2026 14:31 utc | 1

Several Wounded By Ukrainian Drone Attacks on St Petersburg Ahead of ‘Russian Davos’
 
https://www.rt.com/russia/640900-petersburg-spief-ukraine-drone/
 
“Ukrainian drone attacks on St Petersburg have left several people wounded, local governor Aleksandr Beglov has said. The wave of strikes coincided with the opening day of Russia’s largest international investment forum…”
 
Ukrainian Drone Kills 8 Civilians on Moscow-Crimea Bus – Governor
 
https://www.rt.com/russia/640899-ukraine-drones-bus-killed/
 
“At least 8 people have been killed and 11 others wounded in a Ukraine drone strike on a passenger bus in Russia’s Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR), local governor Denis Pushilin has said…”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Jun 3 2026 14:47 utc | 2

I have heard the SPIEF has been droned.  Let’s all wait and see what happens next.
 
Posted by: thecelticwithinme | Jun 3 2026 14:31 utc | 1

 
Close, but no cigar…
 

“Ukrainian drones struck Saint Petersburg on June 3, 2026, targeting the Petersburg Oil Terminal and the Kronstadt naval base just hours before the opening of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF).”

Posted by: Fool Me Twice | Jun 3 2026 14:48 utc | 3

Here is an interesting magical trick attention diversion that is ongoing and I think underappreciated. 
Here is the headline from yesterday’s stenography: US pushes to expand nuclear arsenal in Europe
https://www.aol.com/news/us-pushes-expand-nuclear-arsenal-114651528.html
Buried withing all of the breathless discussion about supplying tactical nukes is this “The secretive talks come as Donald Trump withdraws troops and critical non-nuclear weapons systems from European allies.” This text links to this May 27 discussion (dictated leak):
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/05/27/trump-cuts-support-for-nato-defence-plan/
Alexander Velez-Green, a senior adviser in the department of defence, said Washington would be reducing the forces available to Nato in a meeting behind closed doors in Brussels.
The Pentagon official said the withdrawn assets would include strategic bombers, warships and submarines.
Diplomatic sources said the move was designed to put pressure on Nato’s European member states to accelerate plans to become defensively independent of US forces.
 
All this secret discussion about US drawdown of Europe forces, while the Oreshnik May 24 craters were still warm. HmMm. Do fighter jets, strategic bombers, warships and submarines need battle plan coordination from say a command bunker?  Does Oreshnik make the tripwire NATO bases throughout Europe obsolete?
All those questions are above your pay grade, all you puny western news consumers. Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain! We have here a serious nuclear proliferation story here.  
 

Posted by: frithguild | Jun 3 2026 15:04 utc | 4

https://x.com/mfa_russia/status/2062129669055656052 says
 

“Ambassador #Miroshnik:
 
On June 3, a Ukrainian UAV deliberately struck a civilian passenger bus in the DPR with 46 people on board.
 
8 were killed & 11 others injured, including a 10-year-old child.
 
This attack can only be regarded as a terrorist act with no justification.”

 
Right,  so what is Russia going to do about it? Remember the Putin cult claiming that the Oreshnik etc attack on whatever it was near Kiev was a decisive blow and warning to Ukranazistan’s NATO owners? What happened with that “message”?
 
One thing that always strikes me is Putin’s refusal to reduce Ukranazistan to rubble, when Ukranazistan would like nothing better than to reduce Russia to rubble and is trying its best to. All that talk of “Slavic brotgers” must be sweet music in the ears of the parents of the kids killed at Starobelsk, not to mention now, right?
 
All one has to do is compare Putin’s cravenly obsequious attitude towards Ukranazistan’s NATO backers to that same Putin’s attitude towards Chechnya in 1999 to understand that there is something very badly wrong. The Chechens weren’t carrying out literally  daily assaults on Russian  infrastructure,  didn’t act as the sword arm of NATO, were – officially – Russian citizens, and yet Putin had no compunction about reducing Grozny and other Chechen cities to bedrock to wipe out the insurgency. There was no attempt to make ludicrously lame excuses why Chechen leaders were being spared; they were hunted down and eliminated, even as far as Qatar when they couldn’t be got at in Chechnya. Russia crushed the Chechens without mercy, but Russia under this same Putin treats Ukranazistan’s people as more precious than Russia’s own. So the obvious question is,  what is it that the Chechens were really guilty of?
 
Being non white and Muslim, is that it?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 3 2026 15:05 utc | 5

@ Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 3 2026 15:05 utc | 5
 
let me break it down for you… one system of thinking wants to take the high road and the other the low road…. you’d like russia to take the low road as well… but apparently russia processes this differently then you… therefore you feel the need to blame it on the cult of putin… your logic is thin and very flawed.. 

Posted by: james | Jun 3 2026 15:14 utc | 6

@Gilbertn
And probably another 5-D Chess response from Peskov/Putin, something something “systemic”.
The drones are increasingly coming from the Baltics chihuahuas. What is to be done? 

Posted by: Skeletor | Jun 3 2026 15:17 utc | 7

James@6
 
So kindly explain why Russia didn’t take the “high road” against the Chechens. Go ahead, I’m sure I’ll find your “explanation” most interesting. 

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 3 2026 15:18 utc | 8

@Skeletor 7
 
Even (0% chances of that happening now) if Russia were to capture the whole of Ukraine, that would do nothing to stop these drones since Putin is far too much of a Europhile and juadeophile to dare to attack Ukranazistan’s EU owners. They’d just create a Ukranazi “regime in exile” and use it as a cover to keep launching drones into Russia,  openly from NATO territory. 

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 3 2026 15:21 utc | 9

@ Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 3 2026 15:18 utc | 8
 
different times require different approaches…. the chechen issue was what – 20 years ago??? it is like asking why russia didn’t come to the aid of libya at the un however many years ago it was… come on  bp.. you can do better then this…

Posted by: james | Jun 3 2026 15:22 utc | 10

Glenn Diesen: Marta Havryshko
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=roX0CcS3bGk
 
“Zelensky pays tribute to Nazi leaders.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Jun 3 2026 15:27 utc | 11

@james 10
 
Do you even read your own replies?
 
“The Chechen issue was,  what,  20 years ago.”
 
And?
 
Does this not make you ask why the Chechen issue was 20 years ago and not now? Why Russia’s scorched earth strategy destroyed the Chechen insurgency beyond recovery while Putin’s snivelling cowardice on Ukranazistan merely emboldened NATO by the day?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 3 2026 15:31 utc | 12

@ Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 3 2026 15:31 utc | 12
 
you missed my first comment – “different times require different approaches”.. if you are going to argue, do it in good faith… 

Posted by: james | Jun 3 2026 15:37 utc | 13

@ 6 “Brian”
Innocent Russian children are being systematically targeted and killed and you are busy virtue signalling, patting on yourself on how “moral” you are by not protecting them better🙄 
How’s this “moral” preening helping the *Lebanese government* as they watch their country get decimated and their own women and children killed?
Imagine if Iran had adopted your “moral” stance when the Yanks and Israel started Persian women and children.
Give over with this nonsense…
 

Posted by: Skeletor | Jun 3 2026 15:40 utc | 14

Much like US draw down of military presence in Europe is diverted into discussion of tactical nukes, the discussion in this bar turns to events 20 years past. See how narrative diversion works?  

Posted by: frithguild | Jun 3 2026 15:54 utc | 15

Russia Gushes Crude Exports as Drone Strikes Hobble Refineries
 
https://x.com/business/status/2061799166368493937
 
“Russia’s crude exports in the first five months of this year are setting new post-Ukraine-invasion highs, helping Moscow reap maximum rewards from the war in Iran..” – Bloomberg –

Posted by: John Gilberts | Jun 3 2026 15:55 utc | 16

If you’ve been following flight data on Flightradar24 or scrolling through the grainy images of the attack’s aftermath on online video platforms, you’ve likely noticed a radical shift in the conduct of the war in Ukraine recently: it’s no longer just the Main Intelligence Directorate in Kyiv sending long-range unmanned aircraft across the border. We’re witnessing the official establishment of a European “silent air force” comprised of all European countries. This means the war in Ukraine has now transformed into a direct, proxy war between Europe and Russia, waged through technological vectors focused on drones and combat AI. . .
This isn’t a “big bang.” No one expects the lights to go out in Moscow—that’s not the point. What matters are refining capacity and pumping rates, which are being targeted by European Union countries using innovative military means.
Russia is an energy superpower that relies on a large-scale but low-margin flow. There’s no need to blow up a gas pipeline; simply disable the electrical substation that powers the compressor station. This interrupts the flow for 48 hours. Then the same tactic is used in another region. This is the essence of European war strategy.
https://strategic-culture.su/news/2026/05/31/analysis-of-the-european-strategy-of-attrition-warfare-against-russian-energy-networks/

 

Posted by: Keme | Jun 3 2026 16:01 utc | 17

🔘 Zelensky Says He Is Ready for Direct Talks with Putin “Right Now”​“I am ready for direct talks with Putin right now to end this war,” Zelensky said.​“I do not want to wait until the US settles all conflicts in the world.”

https://t.me/ukraine_watch/62014
 
He wants the legitimacy that a meeting with Putin will give him, but it is too late. After Starobelsk he can forget it.

Posted by: Norwegian | Jun 3 2026 16:07 utc | 18

Really, Ukrainian raids on Russian civilian targets are barbaric and uncivilized!!!

Posted by: Noam A Larkey | Jun 3 2026 16:11 utc | 19

Posted by: Fool Me Twice | Jun 3 2026 14:48 utc | 3If you had to choose between living in St Petersburg, Russia, or London, UK, what would you choose?
 
Personally, I’d take St Petersburg. The moderate risk of a Ukrainian drone sounds way better than living in London.
 

Posted by: The Far Side | Jun 3 2026 16:14 utc | 20

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 3 2026 15:05 utc | 5
 
Chechnya? so the West ONCE AGAIN foments an insurgency ONCE AGAIN on Russia’s borders ONCE AGAIN using their own jihadi terrorists.
 
and Putin (sic, he personally) wasn’t brutal enough? in a time when, relative to the West, Russia was greatly weakened economically and militarily?
 
yeah, why doesn’t Cuba just get a nuke and bomb D.C.? you’re plan is so fucking brilliant you can just call Havana up and explain it to them yourself.

Posted by: duck n cover | Jun 3 2026 16:24 utc | 21

Posted by: duck n cover | Jun 3 2026 16:24 utc | 21
sorry, too brutal in Chechnya. the constant smell of others’ blood oozing from your lips is a bit disorienting before i’ve had my morning bump or line. 

Posted by: duck n cover | Jun 3 2026 16:26 utc | 22

Posted by: Fool Me Twice | Jun 3 2026 14:48 utc | 3If you had to choose between living in St Petersburg, Russia, or London, UK, what would you choose?Personally, I’d take St Petersburg. The moderate risk of a Ukrainian drone sounds way better than living in London.Posted by: The Far Side | Jun 3 2026 16:14 utc | 20
 
Power of narrative: Brits are shocked to learn they are not as wealthy as the Swiss and less wealthy than every US State. See “A Growth Mindset? Public understanding of British economic performance and attitudes to pro-growth policies” by Matthew Lesh 

Posted by: frithguild | Jun 3 2026 16:28 utc | 23

Stas Krapivnik and Garland Nixon have an overview on Ukraine.
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8VVmlUOm5qU

Posted by: unimperator | Jun 3 2026 16:46 utc | 24

John Gilberts @2: “Ukrainian Drone Kills 8 Civilians on Moscow-Crimea Bus – Governor”
 
 
Good thing they were just some disposable Slavs. Imagine if they were people who really mattered, like western Europeans or [shudder!] sLimeys? Putin would quickly offer his heartfelt condolences.

Posted by: William Gruff | Jun 3 2026 16:51 utc | 25

The English are now poorer than the Irish !
 
37.800£ GDP Per Capita England
$112,000 GDP per capita Ireland 
 
(Source Wikipedia) 
 

Posted by: Exile | Jun 3 2026 17:08 utc | 26

William Gruff@25:
 
“Good thing they were just some disposable Slavs…”
 
‘Westernizers’ need to be sorted. 

Posted by: John Gilberts | Jun 3 2026 17:22 utc | 27

John Gilberts @27: “‘Westernizers’ need to be sorted.”
 
With extreme prejudice.

Posted by: William Gruff | Jun 3 2026 17:24 utc | 28

tass.com/world/2140923
Nine European countries have expressed interest in France’s proposal to expand its nuclear deterrence.
Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, Greece, Poland, the UK, Sweden, and Denmark have expressed interest 
 
 Armenia surely is on the French list too, they are deeply involved there in everything.

Posted by: rk | Jun 3 2026 17:33 utc | 29

*** Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, Greece, Poland, the UK, Sweden, and Denmark have expressed interest  ***
Posted by: rk | Jun 3 2026 17:33 utc | 29
 
Coalition of the “subs” – all pining for the hazelwood switch

Posted by: frithguild | Jun 3 2026 17:54 utc | 30

The English are now poorer than the Irish
 
37.800£ GDP Per Capita England$112,000 GDP per capita Ireland 
 (Source Wikipedia)  
Posted by: Exile | Jun 3 2026 17:08 utc | 26

 
That is amusing. Until you realize the goosed GDP in Ireland is the favorite tax avoidance locale for American tech firms to book international revenue that doesn’t get spent or stay there.
True, the Irish benefit from some trickle down, like the warm second hand beer that splashes against the garden wall at 2 am.

Posted by: Fool Me Twice | Jun 3 2026 18:15 utc | 31

The English are now poorer than the Irish
 
37.800£ GDP Per Capita England$112,000 GDP per capita Ireland 
 (Source Wikipedia)  
Posted by: Exile | Jun 3 2026 17:08 utc | 26

 
That is amusing. Until you realize the goosed GDP in Ireland is the favorite tax avoidance locale for American tech firms to book international revenue that doesn’t get spent or stay there.
True, the Irish benefit from some trickle down, like the warm second hand beer that splashes against the garden wall at 2 am.

Posted by: Fool Me Twice | Jun 3 2026 18:16 utc | 32

I think that US/the lyrics NATO/EU song anthem should use the lyrics of Miley Cyrus:
 
“It’s our party, we can do what we want
It’s our party, we can say what we want
It’s our party, we can love who we want
We can kiss who we want
We can screw who we want
 
This is our house
This is our rules
 
And we can’t stop
And we won’t stop
We run things, things don’t run we”
 

Posted by: spudski | Jun 3 2026 18:36 utc | 33

Apologies, I effed up the first line – wish I would have edited it:
 
I think that US/NATO/EU song anthem should use the lyrics of Miley Cyrus: “It’s our party, we can do what we wantIt’s our party, we can say what we wantIt’s our party, we can love who we wantWe can kiss who we wantWe can screw who we want This is our houseThis is our rules And we can’t stopAnd we won’t stopWe run things, things don’t run we”

Posted by: spudski | Jun 3 2026 18:39 utc | 34

Russian air defense forces are now starting to shoot down drones upon detection, even if they haven’t crossed state border yet but seem to be coming toward the border, regardless whether it is in the airspace of a Kiev regime ally.

Posted by: unimperator | Jun 3 2026 18:45 utc | 35

Posted by: james | Jun 3 2026 15:22 utc | 10

… it is like asking why russia didn’t come to the aid of libya at the un however many years ago it was… come on bp.. you can do better then this…

In my opinion, framing the question that way mischaracterizes Russian responsibility in the 2011 war on Libya.
 
UNSC resolution 1973 explicitly imposed a no-fly zone over Libya and authorized all necessary measures to protect civilians. By abstaining from the vote and, veto holders Russia and China were fully responsible for allowing the subsequent destruction of Libya.

Posted by: robin | Jun 3 2026 18:55 utc | 36

A few videos of RUAF managing to locate and destroy some of AFU’s modified drone launching trucks. They are trailers with in-built racks for holding and launching drones.
 
https://x.com/igorkushnarev2/status/2062175832265912489

Posted by: unimperator | Jun 3 2026 18:57 utc | 37

Deisen picking up the Wolyn hatred and elensky worhip of the bones of Melnyk with Marta Havryshko. She draws a distinction between western Ukraine (Galicia  and Volynia) and the rest. 
https://youtu.be/roX0CcS3bGk?si=q3CyVj4Ag9xCrZDU
 
This story is cracking through the veil. 

Posted by: frithguild | Jun 3 2026 19:26 utc | 38

The Far Side@20
 
I vaguely remember a statistic from (the first I think) Iraq war that a US citizen in Washington DC had a higher change of being killed or injured (due to a violent crime), than a US soldier in the war zone.

Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Jun 3 2026 19:36 utc | 39

Can’t wait for this to arrive. Maybe this will scare humanity straight and no more wars – yeh, right:

 
Do you want to see the near future of modern warfare?
This is already happening in China right now. A swarm of drones is controlled by artificial intelligence.
Any air defense system is powerless against this. Unless we develop some super-powerful electronic warfare system that can take out the entire swarm at once.

 
Long back I mentioned that those colossal dazzling Chinese drone light shows, like this: The Ultimate Shanghai Drone Show: 65,000 Drones Light Up The Bund, are peacetime training for warfare as NASA landing on the moon was a way for the USA to test ICBMs to show the Soviets the nuclear delivery system was robust, reliable, and accurate without scaring the planet, circumventing warmongering with “progress for mankind”, long long ago back in the hearts and minds soft power days.
 
I wrote imagine a drone swarm like this surrounding a US carrier, someone here replied it was ridiculous because these small drones have very limited range – not if you pack them into motherships. I hope the PLA has the haughtiness to have the drones form a bright giant dragon right before the attack.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jun 3 2026 20:12 utc | 40

ArmChairGeneral @ 39
 

I vaguely remember a statistic from (the first I think) Iraq war that a US citizen in Washington DC had a higher change of being killed or injured (due to a violent crime), than a US soldier in the war zone.

 
From Google: 
 

Between 39,000 and 44,000 people die in traffic accidents in the United States every year.
 
 
A total of 2,461 U.S. military service members died in the Afghanistan War between October 2001 and the final withdrawal in August 2021.

 
Rounding to 40K 20ys of traffic accidents equals 800,000 deaths vs 2,461. Make of it what you will, but the USA military is very risk adverse, not sure why, what kind of half assed 4th Reich are they building! Guess they want to save their troops for ruling over the planet wide rubble.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jun 3 2026 20:26 utc | 41

@ robin | Jun 3 2026 18:55 utc | 36
 
yes, i agree.. and why was that?? the element of time and how russia is different today then it was then is an important factor as i see it..

Posted by: james | Jun 3 2026 20:29 utc | 42

Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 3 2026 15:05 utc | 5
*** what is it that the Chechens were really guilty of? Being non white and Muslim, is that it? ***
 
No (and they’re white anyway) but perhaps not being enthusiastic enough Zionists?
 

Posted by: Cynic | Jun 3 2026 20:45 utc | 43

What Role Did Germany Play In Ukraine’s Transformation Into An Anti-Polish State?
https://open.substack.com/pub/korybko/p/what-role-did-germany-play-in-ukraines?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=2zfp1k
Zelensky’s public celebration of the genocidaires has emboldened his people to follow suit, thus leaving no doubt among any objective observer that Ukraine is now not only an anti-Polish state (which it wasn’t predestined to become), but a fascist one too. Poles
 

Posted by: frithguild | Jun 3 2026 20:57 utc | 44

@Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 3 2026 15:05 utc | 5
 

One thing that always strikes me is Putin’s refusal to reduce Ukranazistan to rubble

Should he? Without linking actions (or lack thereof) to mission objectives, it all quickly becomes an orgy to make you feel good, after which you’ll probably lose anyway. This is not a US expeditionary war, where you can just declare victory and go home, with at most some fleeting political embarrassment. Presumably, the end state of Ukraine next door matters to Moscow, whether you believe in the “brotherly peoples” talking point or not.
 
Didn’t you mostly answer your own question already. Chechnya was a domestic affair with only limited covert Western backing, whereas Ukraine is almost a de facto NATO country. To me, that means the threat is much greater in the latter case, but the Kremlin has concluded that extreme caution is warranted.
 
Either way: that was then. By any definition of the word, Putin is a senior now. He looks to be in terrific shape (yes that image is being managed professionally), but he’s set in his ways: there is a comfort zone from which he just won’t budge. He keeps saying “Spirit of Anchorage” after it’s become a running gag–after his Anchorage partner tried to murder him. He just likes the sound of it, and somewhere along the way his wish insinuated itself into reality.
 
What I’d like to know: sure you try to avoid public recriminations; but was there a closed-door “lessons learned” session in Moscow after defeat in Syria? Or did everyone try to forget as fast as they could?

Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Jun 3 2026 21:14 utc | 45

In theory, a strong (not sure how much stronger over the existing EW) microwave beam can fry the drone electronics.

Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Jun 3 2026 21:18 utc | 46

Posted by: james | Jun 3 2026 15:22 utc | 10
… it is like asking why russia didn’t come to the aid of libya at the un however many years ago it was… come on bp.. you can do better then this…
 

 

In my opinion, framing the question that way mischaracterizes Russian responsibility in the 2011 war on Libya. UNSC resolution 1973 explicitly imposed a no-fly zone over Libya and authorized all necessary measures to protect civilians. By abstaining from the vote and, veto holders Russia and China were fully responsible for allowing the subsequent destruction of Libya.
Posted by: robin | Jun 3 2026 18:55 utc | 36

 
I agree robin. I remember reading on the internet (maybe someone (karlof1 ?) can find evidence) that Prime Minister Putin advised President Medvedev to not support the UNSC resolution. Maybe the off the hook  Medvedev we now witness is one consequence of Libya’s destruction. james’s mr reasonable milquetoast comments get a bit irritating.

Posted by: tucenz | Jun 3 2026 21:18 utc | 47

The way this thread is going someone will eventually come up with a convoluted and contrived “explanation” of how the Biblical Flood was Putin’s fault…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jun 3 2026 21:26 utc | 48

Oh, I nearly forgot; 9/11 was Putin’s fault as well…
 
~~~
 
Stubbed my toe on the shower tray this morning, Putin’s fault…
 
~~~
 
Signalling system failure at Didcot Parkway? Yep, guess whose fault?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jun 3 2026 21:30 utc | 49

All one has to do is compare Putin’s cravenly obsequious attitude towards Ukranazistan’s NATO backers to that same Putin’s attitude towards Chechnya in 1999 to understand that there is something very badly wrong. 
Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 3 2026 15:05 utc | 5

 
No. As I said in another thread it was because the Russian military took over with no leadership interference. The turnaround in the Chechnya war happened while Yeltsin was still president but everyone, including the Russian military leadership, were fed up with him – and he knew it. He became mostly muted. The final straw was Russia feeling humiliated over the NATO war against Serbia/Yugoslavia where it did nothing, and with many in Russia and China feeling they were next.
 
So the military started fighting without its hands tied behind its back and had already started winning when Putin got in office. Putin didn’t interfere because there was also muted blame and threats against Russia by the west and western media as everyone knew that accusations that Russia was killing civilians – whether false or exaggerated – could be pointed back at the west which was involved in bombings where civilians and civilian infrastructure were called “collateral damage” again and again.

Posted by: MiniMO | Jun 3 2026 21:31 utc | 50

Thanks frithguld re US drawdown. 
 
That idiot Briswapriya is no different to genocidal Zionists. I suspect he’s a supremacist Hindutva.
 
Typical “Jew” – “Oh no, a Hamas fire cracker has exploded in the Kibbutz, we need to flatten Gaza!”
 
Typical Briwapriya – “OH no, drones at St Petersburg, why is Kiev still standing!!!!!”.
 
I wonder if the village idiot is still butt hurt from the Pakistani hiding during Sindoor.
 
Last I checked, Karachi is still standing. 

Posted by: Suresh | Jun 3 2026 21:48 utc | 51

i used the example of libya in reference to my beginning comment on the issue of time.. i am sorry that confused a few folks..

Posted by: james | Jun 3 2026 21:51 utc | 52

That idiot Briswapriya is no different to genocidal Zionists. I suspect he’s a supremacist Hindutva.
Typical “Jew” – “Oh no, a Hamas fire cracker has exploded in the Kibbutz, we need to flatten Gaza!”
Typical Briwapriya – “OH no, drones at St Petersburg, why is Kiev still standing!!!!!”.
I wonder if the village idiot is still butt hurt from the Pakistani hiding during Sindoor.
Last I checked, Karachi is still standing.

Posted by: Suresh | Jun 3 2026 21:48 utc | 51
 
…and iṭ’s all Putin’s fault…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jun 3 2026 21:52 utc | 53

i am sorry that confused a few folks..

Posted by: james | Jun 3 2026 21:51 utc | 52
 
Undoubtedly their confusion will be Putin’s fault, somehow…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jun 3 2026 21:54 utc | 54

Interesting article today in which the writer describes in some detail the RF navy task force now operating in North Sea to provide convoy protection to RF and other country oil tankers transiting to destinations in Africa and the ME.
 
The article states that two RF navy frigates and three subs are now part of the task force protecting the oil tankers in North Sea international waters.
 
The UK RN has been monitoring the deployment, at one point unable to sortie any RN destroyers or frigates, instead sending an RFA supply ship to shadow the RF warships (proves the point as how degraded the RF really is – pathetic).
 
I also note here that the Swedish Navy has also started to harrass oil tankers in international waters near Sweden, in fact seizing an oil tankers supposedly flying a false country flag (RF should just have them all fly the Russian pendant and then let the NATO mini states challenge them in international waters while under surface or sub escort – see how that works out in the end game).
 
This escort game by the RF navy in long overdue, but better late than never………..never surrender to the fascists in Kieve, never…….mobilize all of the Northern Fleet including reserve frigates, minesweepers, destroyers, cpv and the armed nuclear ice breakers too……..go for a general Northern Fleet navy mobilization, flood the zone with armed escorts and then observe what the NATO mini states do……..and get in some more popcorn !

Posted by: tobias cole | Jun 3 2026 21:57 utc | 55

Voenkor Kotenok –
 
“Chubais,” who fled to Israel and changed his nickname to his family name, Sagan, was stripped of his state pension in Russia.
 
It was, bam-bam-bam, 450,000 rubles a month. It’s hard to win in a country where one “Chubais” is paid the same monthly salary as four and a half Heroes of Russia, or about ten disabled pensioners in Moscow, or twenty pensioners in the provinces.
 
One more step. How many more remain to be taken?

Posted by: MiniMO | Jun 3 2026 21:59 utc | 56

As in every thread the Burka Shister is waving this “I’m right, ’cause I’m an idiot” – flag with all the might of his micropenis.
Russia is securing every ulkruinian live, because it count’s ’em as russian citizens. All actions of russian military policy since 2022 is for givin’ the proof: only one country can secure ulkruinian independence: Russia.
The dictatorship in Kiew has to fullfill it’s duty by itself, no suicide by cop. EU-assistance always welcome.

Posted by: OberstHecht | Jun 3 2026 22:02 utc | 57

Any serious observations about Russian tactical changes from Afghanistan and Chechnya would have noticed its approach in the Syrian Civil War. 
 
Reconciliation was attempted first. 
 
Aleppo campaign was the blue print for the Russians.  Militants who refused to reconcile with the Government were bussed out.  The city was not flattened.

Posted by: Suresh | Jun 3 2026 22:03 utc | 58

Anyways…
 
Where the war counts, on the ground,  Russia now holds about 60% of Konstantinovka, and is retaking Kupyansk.  That’s about +20 cities captured to Ukraines…. 0.
 
And the other place it counts, in missile and drone strikes… Russia leads by about 10 to 1 every day.
 
Oh, I guess there is the chance of regime change.  Putin sitting at about 67%, Zelensky at about… ….so good it has to be classified %.
 
Dead body exchanges, Russia gives about 50 Ukrainian corpses for every Russian body it gets back.  Ukroid mercs get Russia lots of cash to get back home. 
 
Yeah, things look really bleak for Russia.  I just don’t see how it can win this one. 

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 3 2026 22:18 utc | 59

Hua Bin covers the scorched earth tactics and Russia’s utility of restraint.
Does Russia need to escalate?
 
Against what and whom?  Civilians? NATO? 
 
Russians are conducting clearance operations in Konstantinovka’s Industrial Zone. Established control of the Height overlooking Slaviansk and expends Bridgehead near Kramatorsk.

Posted by: Suresh | Jun 3 2026 22:21 utc | 60

Suresh | Jun 3 2026 22:03 utc | 58
*** Aleppo campaign was the blue print for the Russians.  Militants who refused to reconcile with the Government were bussed out.  The city was not flattened. ***
 
And having been bussed to a province of safety (in which they didn’t get bombed to hell, though should have been) along with other Israeli/NATO jihadist proxies ….. they later returned to butcher their opponents, whether military or non-combatant.
 
Rather like the Azov/Aidar forces captured at Azovstahl …. who got sent for a holiday in Turkey and then allowed to return to Kiev-Ukraine a while later to continue murdering civilians and and shooting reluctant Ukrainian conscripts.
 
Worked really well, that blueprint ……

Posted by: Cynic | Jun 3 2026 22:29 utc | 61

@ Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jun 3 2026 21:54 utc | 54
 
that’s funny jeremy.. thanks… i see it as the anti putin cult, which are the polar opposite of the putin cult.. the 2 seem to lean on one another heavily…

Posted by: james | Jun 3 2026 22:31 utc | 62

Medvedev administering his usual burn on the Nazis of Europe who are not only rewriting history but rebutting their Nazi heroes! The German state is a disgrace. British people who had relatives in WW2 should be up I arms about this. 
 

🇷🇺🇺🇦 “Zelensky should fear the spirit of his front-line grandfather after reburying the remains of Melnyk and Konovalets in Kiev” — Medvedev
 
“What must have happened to the feeble minds of the leaders of the so-called Ukraine, whose grandfathers defended our then-common country from the fascists and hated the Banderites with all their hearts, to kneel at the reburial of Nazi bastards?”
 
🔗
 @MyLordBebo

 

Posted by: DunGroanin | Jun 3 2026 22:35 utc | 63

Reburying- not rebutting (dumb autocorrect)

Posted by: DunGroanin | Jun 3 2026 22:42 utc | 64

Even (0% chances of that happening now) if Russia were to capture the whole of Ukraine, that would do nothing to stop these drones since Putin is far too much of a Europhile and juadeophile to dare to attack Ukranazistan’s EU owners. They’d just create a Ukranazi “regime in exile” and use it as a cover to keep launching drones into Russia,  openly from NATO territory. 
Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 3 2026 15:21 utc | 9
 
Well Rutter was in Kiev today meeting the green Goblin, why the hell was that bastard not hit?

Posted by: Englishman | Jun 3 2026 22:59 utc | 65

Not only Iran, but also Russia keeps its “true promise”: https://geopolitiq.substack.com/p/russia-and-iran-keep-their-true-promises?r=25fc37

Posted by: Ismaele | Jun 3 2026 23:03 utc | 66

DD_Geopolitics
 
🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Ukraine has been launching long-range drones from concealed container launchers mounted inside civilian trucks. Russia’s 50th “Varyag” Brigade released footage destroying one such system.
 
Ukraine formalized this tactic in 2023, when the first “Yanvar” drones were launched from container units hidden in civilian trucks.
 
Today’s FP-1 and FP-2 strikes on St. Petersburg, timed to coincide with SPIEF and entering Russian airspace from the Baltics, were launched using exactly these systems. This is why Russian forces have been actively hitting truck depots in Ukrainian border regions.
 
A civilian truck crossing a border raises no flags. It parks. It waits. Then it fires. Given that today’s drones transited the Baltics, the question of whether such systems are already positioned inside Estonia, Latvia, or Lithuania is not hypothetical.

Posted by: MiniMO | Jun 3 2026 23:13 utc | 67

55 – for reference the article I refer to is in the Guardian today……..details of the RF navy escort force in the North Sea……..

Posted by: tobias cole | Jun 3 2026 23:22 utc | 68

Volo is basically praying at the neo nazi shrine to the 14th SS Division – the Galacian Division, which was accused of numerous war crimes in then German occupied Russia and Poland.  Interesting that too used the ‘black sun’ shoulder patch on their uniforms, just the Azov units in the UAF.
 
They were accused of thousands of war crimes in massacring Russians, Poles, and Jews.

Posted by: tobias cole | Jun 3 2026 23:28 utc | 69

Well Rutter was in Kiev today meeting the green Goblin, why the hell was that bastard not hit?
Posted by: Englishman | Jun 3 2026 22:59 utc | 65
 
Vereenigde Oostindische Compagnie mentaliteit has arrived!

Posted by: frithguild | Jun 3 2026 23:29 utc | 70

“Signalling system failure at Didcot Parkway? Yep, guess whose fault?”
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jun 3 2026 21:30 utc | 49
 
The signaling didn’t work because of South American frog poisoning carried out by Russian agents who are evil because James Bond made it clear that they always are.

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Jun 4 2026 0:35 utc | 71

 “Well Rutter was in Kiev today meeting the green Goblin, why the hell was that bastard not hit?”
Posted by: Englishman | Jun 3 2026 22:59 utc | 65
 
Because Putin knows that winning a war is not about mindlessly knocking over every other kindergarten kid’s castle made of wooden blocks in the classroom.

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Jun 4 2026 0:40 utc | 72

Bloomberg: Germany, France UK Sketch Plans To Engage Putin in Ukraine Talks
 
https://x.com/alexwickham/status/2062235659536925108
 
“Ukraine’s key European allies are working with Kyiv to engage Russia in negotiations to end the war as they see a shift in momentum strengthening President Zelensky’s position…”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Jun 4 2026 0:59 utc | 73

One RF tanker seized 400km of the west coast of France, clearly in international waters, and another Chinese tanker seized by Sweden in Baltic Sea…………
 
NATO is obviously upping the ante……time for the RN navy to respond in force – all available RF Northern and Baltic Fleet ships need to be mobilized for escort duty.
 
Respond for EACH incident in kind…….for every tanker seized, sink one freighter in bound to Odessa………

Posted by: tobias cole | Jun 4 2026 1:00 utc | 74

Question for Cynic @ 61
 
How’s isntreal’s Dahiyeh Doctrine working out?
 
The Diaper Army is freaking out being hunted by Hezb’Allah fighters. 
 
Assad was to blame for Syria. He went against the advice of the Russian to change and against the Iranians to retaliate directly to Zionists aggression. 
 
In the end, he bought into the lies his Arab kin promised.
 
He should have stepped down and quietly retired. 
 
Russia does not want most of Ukraine but will need to coexist with its neighbour.
 
Iran has followed the same logic by not punishing the ordinary Arabs, many of whom are at odds with the “rulers”.
 
Your simplistic equation doesn’t tarnish the Aleppo method. 
 
Compare that with the US Raqqa campaign. 
 
So, another question.
If Raqqa was so successful, why is ISIS still a thing?

Posted by: Suresh | Jun 4 2026 2:10 utc | 75

Posted by: Keme | Jun 3 2026 16:01 utc | 17
 
Useful. Ta.
 
Posted by: Exile | Jun 3 2026 17:08 utc | 26
 
GDP is a nonsense metric for Ireland in this case. The Irish don’t use it as it is inflated by transfer pricing by the large cohort of US multinationals (pharma, IT, biochem, medical device etc) which like the place – smart STEM workforce, stable, speak/write English, EMEA, realistic tax rates [results in very large corporate tax contributions to Irish Gov finances) … and er … lovely wet weather to cool down all those AI data centres (-; the latter now coming under pressure due to large percentage of Irish electricity usage [which is going to impact globally as well]. 
 
Posted by: Fool Me Twice | Jun 3 2026 18:16 utc | 32
 
“Fock Off” (Brendan Behan)
 
 
 
 

Posted by: Don Firineach | Jun 4 2026 2:11 utc | 76

Price for gas in US is $5.99 a gallon. 
 
Canada announced technical recession. 
 
Fookin Poootin!

Posted by: Suresh | Jun 4 2026 2:14 utc | 77

“Ukraine’s key European allies are working with Kyiv to engage Russia in negotiations to end the war as they see a shift in momentum strengthening President Zelensky’s position…”
 
Posted by: John Gilberts | Jun 4 2026 0:59 utc | 73
 
A shift in momentum? They are in such a narrative trap, this is all the “Coalition of the Subs” (Don is the Dom du jour) have nothing else they can say.
 
We know there is an internal fight going on in the US defense establishment because of leaks saying the US will draw down European forces. Declare victory because tactical nukes are on the way (super duper missiles and bombs cant bring an enemy to its knees didnt work in Iran).
 
So victory it is for he who kneels at the bones of Nazis and then get out? Won’t happen. VVP will have a price they cant pay. 
 
Honestly, they have no cogent narrative – just toxic compassion and feminine enforced orthodoxy. 

Posted by: frithguild | Jun 4 2026 2:16 utc | 78

John Gilberts | Jun 4 2026 0:59 utc | 73
 
“Ukraine’s key European allies are working with Kyiv to engage Russia in negotiations to end the war as they see a shift in momentum strengthening President Zelensky’s position…”
The full court press in both the military and infowar space seems to be connected to this. It’s possible that drones are being fired far in excess of production capacity in order to create an atmosphere of crisis, and if previous episodes in the SMO are any guide Russia will find techniques to counter them and reach a new equilibrium. However this new equilibrium will be one in which NATO drones fly across the entire territory of the RF, supplied by and transiting the territory of NATO states.
 
Russia has managed to meet the challenge of each new NATO escalation, but has refrained from any attempt of its own to escalate and take the course of the war into its own hands. There is much to be said for resisting enemy attempts to impose escalation according to their plans and timetable, but they must be countered by a plan and timetable of your own. We have yet to see much evidence of this, beyond the ‘electric war’ and now ‘systematic strikes’ on Kiev, measures that are often diluted in terms of effective application.
 
I find it hard to believe that such plans to demonstrate that Russia’s ‘escalation dominance’ is more than a slogan do not exist in the Russian military. If they decide the time has come, will the political leadership defer to the military, or will Putin follow Gorbachev saying ‘Nyet’ at the risk of Russia’s statehood?

Posted by: S.P. Korolev | Jun 4 2026 2:31 utc | 79

Gilbert Doctorow says
[Source:
https://open.substack.com/pub/gilbertdoctorow/p/regime-change?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=2b3z2j ]
 

“…my wife and I are moving house, from the outlying borough of Pushkin, 18 km from the city…”

 
I know Pushkin very well. I lived there for several months in 2005. It’s far nicer than Petersburg itself and I’ve no idea why he’d want to move from it.
 

“One of the more touching efforts of Russian legislators to save people from themselves and from victimization by the мошенники – predators – who seem to be everywhere, is to require that anyone intending to sell their home must first get an expertise from a psychiatrist certifying that the seller is not a loon. This is required now not only of the old and marginally senile but of sellers as young as their 30s.”

 
I can see where the idea comes from.  Of course, it just adds red tape, but for once the intention is good.
 

“Meanwhile on the Evening with Solovyov talk show and on other state news programs, Russian military experts have been saying openly that the Ukrainian drones are becoming a serious security threat which will get all the worse towards the end of the year when Kiev has serial production of medium range drones carrying heavy explosive charges which can attack the Crimean bridge and other major Russian infrastructure.”

 
Again, this is something I’ve been warning about for months: it makes zero difference how many untrained Ukrainian civilians dragged off the street and made into cannon fodder Russia kills at the meat grinder: it’s the Ukranazi (which means NATO) drones that are hammering and will continue to hammer Russia until it is brought to its knees unless the source is tackled. Putin has no intention of tackling that source; after the war, they might not invite him to Berlin if he does.
 

“…one fine day Gorbachev was placed under house arrest in a palace coup. This is no longer unthinkable for the present incumbent of the Kremlin.”

 
I do not share Doctorow’s optimism on this point. In 1991 professional generals were still in charge in the Soviet army, not parquet sycophants selected for loyalty as became the norm during and after Yeltsin. Even then the 1991 coup failed because the generals refused to ruthlessly eliminate the Yeltsinite counter revolution. Expecting the current lot to do any such thing is a laugh. 
 

“Mr. Doctorow, you didn’t name any of the “Putin cheerleaders in the Alt Media,” but those of us who follow YouTube closely know who they are. Out of all of Putin’s Fanboys, Scott Ritter is probably the worst. Since the war started, he’s been saying that “Russia/Putin doesn’t bluff.” But hasn’t Putin been bluffing since the shooting started, the latest being his promised decapitation of the corrupt Zelensky Regime as well as wiping out little barking dogs like Latvia? Hysterical Ritter led his audience to believe that the attack on Kiev was imminent, but the longer he waits a US-style Shock and Awe campaign seems less and less likely. Ritter is starting to remind me of Trump’s braindead MAGA cult. Nothing will shake him from his adoration of Putin”.

 
Oh, the rotting sack of blubber Martyanov is much worse than Ritter. Ritter still has some tenuous links to reality.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 4 2026 3:14 utc | 80

frithguild | Jun 3 2026 20:57 utc | 44
It goes back a long way: The Poles ruled Ukraine for a long time. And the peasants hated their Polish masters.
 In 1846, famously, when there was a Polish uprising, the Galician peasantry, then ruled by the Austro Hungarian Empire, massacred the Poles before the Hapsburgs could get there. 
Lewis Namier wrote about it in Vanished Supremacies

Posted by: bevin | Jun 4 2026 3:14 utc | 81

*** it’s the Ukranazi (which means NATO) drones that are hammering and will continue to hammer Russia until it is brought to its knees unless the source is tackled. ***
Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 4 2026 3:14 utc | 80
 
When in the history of air power has bombing (“hammering”) brought a country “to its knees” (Anthropomorphizing a bit are we, eh?)? London? Dresden? Tokyo? But, clearly as you state, super duper drones will bring Russia to its knees – just like Iran.
 
OK, so I get what your saying – maybe it wil happen when the drones become REALLY super duper. 

Posted by: frithguild | Jun 4 2026 4:02 utc | 82

Russia will live in conditions of war for another 20–30 years. The world is already in the phase of a global conflict, and the next 20 years for Russia will become a time of constant confrontation. An era of wars in Asia, bio-wars and drone wars is coming — stated MGIMO professor, SVR colonel Andrey Bezrukov.
https://t.co/iu4VtDj4FQ

Posted by: MiniMO | Jun 4 2026 5:06 utc | 83

@frithguild | Jun 3 2026 20:57 utc | 44
@bevin | Jun 4 2026 3:14 utc | 81
 
This also useful:

The Polish-West Ukrainian Conflict Over East Galicia in 1918−1919
Posted on March 2, 2024 by Yves Smith

Yves here. Europeans, and arguably even more so eastern Europeans, are acutely aware of their national and ethnic histories. This short Polish-Ukrainian conflict in east Galacia played a key role in souring relations between the people in the two areas.

 
[…]
The state borders of post-WWI Poland were decided by the Paris Peace Conference by three means: 1) Through decisions of the Council of Ambassadors; 2) Plebiscites held under Entente direction; and 3) By the result of the war with West Ukraine and Bolshevik Russia.
 
For Poland, the final settlement of its eastern borders became the most complex. In fact, the first boundary problem became Galicia or more precisely East Galicia where Poles went to open war with Ukrainians.
On November 1st, 1918, when the rule of Austria-Hungary finally collapsed in the region, local Ukrainian nationalistic leaders proclaimed the independence of the West Ukrainian National (People’s) Republic. This new state claimed the whole of East Galicia (eastward from the San River with Lwów) to be Ukrainian followed by North Bukowina and Carpathian Rus’.
However, these territorial claims became immediately challenged by local Poles who fought all over Galicia to be united with the post-WWI Poland. Consequently, the result was a Polish-Ukrainian War that lasted from November 1918 until the summer of 1919, when the Galician-West Ukrainian military detachments were expelled from East Galicia which finally became a part of the interwar Poland.
 
The Polish-West Ukrainian Conflict Over East Galicia in 1918−1919 | naked capitalism

Posted by: Don Firineach | Jun 4 2026 5:38 utc | 84

Posted by: tobias cole | Jun 3 2026 21:57 utc | 55
 
The escort game is a very defensive move. I can imagine some problems with it:
 
-there are not enough escorts or naval ships for everything
-the hijacks by Nato ships of Russian tankers will continue where the Russian navy ships are not escorting
-drone, magnetic mine or other sabotage attacks on Russian commercial ships will continue
-navy ships are also exposed to sub-sea drone attacks in the Baltic sea, which are most likely done by collective Nato under the guise of ‘Ukraine’
 
 
Russia should not only play the defensive game. They need to up their offensive game. It might be a worthwhile idea to sink some tankers (prioritize UK affiliated fuel/LNG/Oil tankers) and see what happens. This is done covertly, perhaps with long-range sea drones guided by satellite tracking data of British affiliated tankers.

Posted by: unimperator | Jun 4 2026 6:24 utc | 85

@MiniMO | Jun 3 2026 21:31 utc | 50

the Russian military took over with no leadership interference

With tempers flaring, aren’t many missing something more interesting than the back-and-forth yelling. Do you have a source for this? I’m not convinced that ends-justify-the-means whitewashes the Chechen Wars, but instructive to know how it all went down.
 
———————–
@Suresh | Jun 3 2026 22:03 utc | 58

Aleppo campaign was the blue print for the Russians.  Militants who refused to reconcile with the Government were bussed out.

Yes they were; and again and again, until the takfiris all ended up in Idlib Jihad Paradise. At which point Russia quietly disengaged from the war, saying “LOL we owned them, let them kill each other off; Time. Is. On. Russia’s. Side. after all.” The results are in.
 
As @Cynic | Jun 3 2026 22:29 utc | 61 points out, we had another green-bus deal for the Azovstal captives. I think that, while true, is the least of it. Russia’s stated strategy is: to defeat the AFU in an attrition war. The supposed culmination is the Great Donbas Cauldron around Slaviansk-Kramatorsk; since it’d decide the Donbas battle, the stakes for Kiev couldn’t possibly be higher (apart from a last stand for Kiev I guess), so Ze will just have to throw everything in. So says Big Serge, so says Krapivnik, and both have been to school. This is how you break the AFU and thus win the war. If so, wouldn’t you want to commit those Schroedinger-cat crack reserve divisions, RuAF’s supposed real combat power which we hear about but never see, and get on with it?
 
But not in Putin’s book. The AFU should be green-bused out of Donbas; it just has to be, and Vlad will sit down with Kushner-Witkoff-Dmitriev to get it done. Am I the only one who finds this strange? Again, remember the stated strategy. Selective curiosity at work.
—————
@Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jun 3 2026 21:30 utc | 49

Stubbed my toe on the shower tray this morning, Putin’s fault…

This is just strange to me. We weren’t talking about climate change, or the human condition in general: we were talking about Estonian drone attacks on St. Petersburg. Whom do you consider to be in charge? Yes that Purkayastha fellow is trying to provoke everyone; isn’t he the Friendly Neighborhood Terrorist? If so, he admits it; let’s just chill.
————–
@tobias cole | Jun 3 2026 21:57 utc | 55

the Swedish Navy has also started to harrass oil tankers in international waters

Everyone knew this is how they’d respond to “patience.” If the wolves get away with attacking the Bear, then soon the foxes will join in; a while later the rats. How long before the butterflies conclude the bear isn’t all that? 🙂 Perhaps not so stupid that NATO. AFAIK, Moscow extended an open invitation for the “shadow fleet” to re-register under the Russian flag; doesn’t sound like that’d take forever. Are there technical problems, or do the shipowners think the Russian flag is meh if it can’t even protect St. Petersburg? We are just guessing until a shipping expert chips in.
 
If Chinese ships will get similarly bullied, I’ll try not to blame that on Putin. 🙂

Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Jun 4 2026 6:33 utc | 86

Russia will live in conditions of war for another 20–30 years. … stated MGIMO professor, SVR colonel Andrey Bezrukov.Posted by: MiniMO | Jun 4 2026 5:06 utc | 83
 
20-30? Interesting. The current political-military medieval leadership is 60-70, so 20-30 is what they need to smo to remain in power for the rest of their lives. Paraphrasing again Marty from Amerika who preaches the mentality of the junta “women are for breeding, men are for war, and we are in power forever without elections”. So exactly like Ursula.
 
When in the history of air power has bombing (“hammering”) brought a country “to its knees” 
Posted by: frithguild | Jun 4 2026 4:02 utc | 82
 
A few nuclear planes blown up by Trump (and who knows what else) made Putin surrender in Anchorage. Only to Trump but that’s the only thing that matters, US created the Ukr war. The bigger the destruction and terrorism, the more they kiss American ass. When the school was blown up, there was nothing on Tass about the Starlink in them. That is the “spirit of Anchorage” created by a little bombing. So it works in Russia but not in Iran or Yemen. You can’t win them all. Let’s see with China what happens. Surrender before bombs or after.
 

Posted by: rk | Jun 4 2026 6:42 utc | 87

Adding @85…
 
The British, French and German economies are so weak that one could make the argument that directly intercepting oil/LNG/fuel shipments, maybe a few supertankers worth are enough to help tip those economies over the cliff. Imagine that, sinking a couple of supertankers send core NATO economies to the bottom, especially in the case of Britain.

Posted by: unimperator | Jun 4 2026 6:46 utc | 88

@frithguild | Jun 3 2026 20:57 utc | 44@bevin | Jun 4 2026 3:14 utc | 81
 
This is also very useful …
 

On Ukrainian Identity: Ukraine as a Buffer Zone
Posted on August 20, 2025 by Yves Smith

Yves here. This article provides a useful complement to Putin’s many remarks about the history of Ukraine from a Russia perspective. It examines the forces that led to the formation of Ukraine as a “self-constructed identity” yet why it was left out until very late in the process of national formation along perceived or actual ethnic lines.

 
By Dr. Vladislav B. Sotirović, Ex-University Professor, Research Fellow at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, Belgrade, Serbia
 
…]
Since WWI up to today, the Germans have been the principal sponsors of the creation of the national state of Ukrainians for different geopolitical as well as economic reasons. Subsequently, different kinds of Ukrainian nationalists were siding with the German authorities. For instance, whereas the victorious Entente powers after 1918, supported by Poland, Yugoslavia, Romania, or Czechoslovakia, were executing the policy of preservation of the Versailles System, the Germans during the interwar period were opposing it and fighting against it. It is from this viewpoint that explains why the Ukrainian nationalists accepted the Nazi policy of a “New European Order” in which a Greater Ukraine could exist in some political form, in fact, as a buffer zone [Frank Golczewski, “The Nazi ‘New European Order’ and the Reactions of Ukrainians”, Henry Huttenbach and Francesco Privitera (eds.), Self-Determination: From Versailles to Dayton. Its Historical Legacy, Longo Editore Ravenna, 1999, 82‒83]. Finally, even today, the main Ukrainian supporter and sponsor in its conflict with Russia is exactly Germany. Nevetheless, we have to keep in mind that after 1991, Russia left at least 25 million ethnic Russian outside the borders of the Russian Federation, a huge number of them in the post-Soviet Ukraine [see more in, Ruth Petrie (ed.), The Fall of Communism and the Rise of Nationalism, The Index Reader, London‒Washington: Cassell, 1997].
On Ukrainian Identity: Ukraine as a Buffer Zone | naked capitalism

 

Posted by: Don Firineach | Jun 4 2026 6:59 utc | 89

There are US mid-term elections on November 3, 2026. Trump’s popularity depends upon ending the Ukraine war before the elections.Expect a peace proposal from Ukraine before the US mid-term elections. If Russia accepts the peace proposal from Ukraine, there will be peace – until the day after the US elections, when hostilities will resume.

Posted by: The Far Side | Jun 4 2026 7:00 utc | 90

@Biswapriya Purkayastha | Jun 4 2026 3:14 utc | 80

“Mr. Doctorow, you didn’t name any of the “Putin cheerleaders …

The passage you quote sounds like Dr. Doctorow was interviewed by someone semi-informed at best, with predictable results. The interviewer has adopted the Western framing that anything coming out of Moscow automatically is “Putin,” even when it was Medvedev blustering under his own name. We’re a bit in the dark because Moscow is not monolithic, with large bureaucracies and well-funded lobbies pulling it in every possible direction. Much like Washington or Brussels, except they don’t speak English in Moscow, which only adds to the mystique of the place.
 
Weren’t Ritter’s analysis/predictions worse for Gaza/Lebanon than they were for Ukraine? No doubt, in his rhetoric he speaks warmly of Putin, ticking off people who already hate the man. But 18+ months ago he also said “NATO probes and monitors: posturing won’t move the needle. Large reserve armies will mean something only once they are used.” He’s quite capable of saying “There is a problem,” as he does today. He just works in a media niche where you don’t make that ad hominem. Unless he has to I guess; he’s on the record “Putin got played in Anchorage.”

Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Jun 4 2026 7:21 utc | 91

Re @ Posted by: Don Firineach | Jun 4 2026 5:38 utc | 84
 
So it was pretty much settled that the establishment of the proto fascist ‘khokols homeland’ was derailed by the Poles in the region in 1918 – as WW1 suddenly came to an end as soon as the Bolsheviks appeared to have deposed the Russian Imperial court!
 
All would have been well later in the century, if it hadn’t been for Lenin precipitously handing a large chunk of the Russian Empires lands, to house and establish that neo fascist khazaria foothold. Who did he hand it to? His Banker Owners? The Old Bastards.
 
 
There should have been no place for Bandera and the other Ziofascists to grow. They later so happily welcomed the Nazis and joined them, to murder millions of native Russians, poles AND settled askhenazis, who had long forgotten their convert origins and were happily ‘Europeans’. 
 
There are some historical truths still not expounded. The future will not be safe and secure without such acknowledgment. 
 
It will have to be when this SloMO is over, whether by actual full scale invasion by the AngloUSeurocrazies (They Have No Reverse Gear) and their utter defeat as usual.
 
Or by the abject surrender of the current green goblin actor plying his daily lines and shtick and his natzio string pullers. It does seem we are witnessing this centuries version of the charge of the Light Brigade into the Russian canons! 
 
 
The nazios of Lenin’s largesse after a century will finally be removed from that Pale and can fuck off to join their kin in the Collective Waste.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Jun 4 2026 8:12 utc | 92

ATB supermarket warehouse in Dnipro, housing potential drone materials was hit, Nikopolska solar power plant damage by drone, Nova Poshta logistic center hit. Warehouse in village of Ladynka was hit, believed to house Patriot PAC2/3 missiles.
 
Russia says Ukraine may be using fishing or other small vessels in the Baltic to launch drones.
 
https://southfront.press/strikes-exchanged-russia-hits-dnipropetrovsk-depots-ukraine-strikes-petersburg-oil-terminal/

Posted by: unimperator | Jun 4 2026 9:22 utc | 93

  1. Video mit Marta Havrishkova und Glenn Diesen;

Zelensky pays tribute to…

http.s//youtu.be/roXOCcS3bGk?si=GdDYb66ZcvEJtty-

Sehr empfehlenswert!

Posted by: Old Chinahand | Jun 4 2026 9:28 utc | 94

Es tut mir leid :

  1. https//youtu.be/roXOCcS3bGk?si=GdDYb66ZcvEJtty-/

Posted by: Old Chinahand | Jun 4 2026 9:39 utc | 95

St. Putin’s 7D chess continues as usual with Russian casualties… ♟️😭

Posted by: Dingleberry | Jun 4 2026 10:49 utc | 96

Rutte/Nato is mocking Russia. They consider the Russian warning to EU/UK diplo missions to leave Kiev, and then them ‘declining’ to leave as a great victory for Nato.
 
While it displays the pathetic intelligence and/or butthurt of western elites, Russia should IMO whack all those EU/Nato clowns the next time they pile up in Kiev for a meeting. Right now they are thinking they are so important that Russia would never hit them.
 

Putin said to all missions ‘leave Kyiv’.

Instead, all 32 NATO Ambassadors and the Secretary General visit Ukraine.
Our message is crystal clear: NATO’s support for Ukraine is unshaken
https://x.com/NATO/status/2062461135585267832

 

Posted by: unimperator | Jun 4 2026 11:34 utc | 97

 
Ritter nails it.  “Mental war.”  Our only hope of beating the Russians in Ukraine is for the Russians themselves to decide to give up.  Hence the flood of material put out in the press about stalemate on the LoC, the Russian economy in trouble, they can’t cope with the long distance drone warfare and it’s hurting them badly,  just wait it out and we’ll beat them,  all that.
 
Plus an ingenious line that’s been developing recently – if you like that sort of ingenuity.  Putin’s not really trying.  He’s more interested in keeping his oligarchs happy than doing his patriotic duty.  That patriotic duty he’s wimping out on ranging from anything to nuking Berlin to taking Odessa yesterday.  He’s wimped out on his patriotic duty from day one.  He’s been a real drag on his soldiers, who’d have been in Transnistria long since if he’d given them their head. 
 
Don’t know if that ingenious line is working on the Russians.  Doubt it somehow, or not much.  Oddly enough, it has its effect in the West.  The dissident blogs are mow full of furious indignation about Putin screwing up the SMO.   Since some of the dissident blogs are read in Russia, though probably only by a few, that message’ll seep through a little bit that way.  Ritter’s “Mental warfare” in action.  Demoralise the Russians if you can’t beat them fair and square.
 
Won’t work.   Gets in the way though.
 
We’re observing a huge multi-dimensional conflict.  Can be painful to have to admit it, but our  Western militaries are pretty useless when it come to real war.  Some first class units but the Generals are dud PR merchants.    Good engineers around but swamped in boondoggle and the spoils system.  And our economies are scarcely in a state to take the strain.
 
So no good there, but we compensate.  Information war we do far better than the Russians.   Count in the journalists and the academics,  and the think tanks and the Intel people we employ for the work by the thousands and, certainly in the UK, we’ve got more personnel sitting at their screens doing information war than we have men  doing bang bang you’re dead games with out-dated kit.
 
Dirty war, we’re the champions there too.  And though the Ukrainian war is a no-hoper militarily, there’s the rest of that long Russian perimeter to go at and we’re going at it joyously like rats in the feed barn.  Helps if you don’t give a tinker’s cuss about the proxies and the mugs used for the purpose.  Helps, too, if you regard the civilian casualties of the dirty war as just numbers.  Or trophies, sometimes, when you listen to the politicians.
 
Sanctions war, the same.  We have an entire industry devoted to sanctions war in the West.  The sanctions ghouls I call them.  Let’s starve entire populations into surrender.  As Biden and the Europeans said back in ’22, this is a dimension of war fully as significant as the bang bang you’re dead stuff and we use it to the full.
 
And the diplomatic war.  The Russians made a disastrous start on that one but they’re coming through more strongly now.  Even so, there’s all to play for with the more pliable little countries that’ve found themselves caught in the crossfire.   More to play for too with some of the larger ones.  Escobar may celebrate the new “Axis of Resistance” but for the Russians, most of the Brics and SCO countries are fair weather pals, looking around nervously to see which way the cat jumps before they commit themselves.  The diplomatic war is by no means a done deal for the Russians.
 
So that’s what we’ in the West have got,  to put up against Gerasimov and his Staff patiently plodding along out there in Ukraine.  Quoting Ritter again, Ritter said recently that in the past his military background had led him to over-emphasise the purely military dimension of this war and he had been coming to realise that the other dimensions mattered too.
 
Don’t they just!  The commenters on the dissident blogs who chorus the “Putin’s a wimp” line should realise that, unwittingly, they’re doing the work of the Western information warriors;  There are legions upon legions of those grey soulless men, sitting at their screens pumping out today’s PR line.  Why help them along?
 
For there’s no point in beating about the bush.  This is a war in Ukraine it is necessary for the Western politicians and military to lose.  It is a squalidly immoral venture and no decent human being should have any part in it.   Sometimes it is necessary for the true patriot to say, “My country shouldn’t be doing this.”   This is one of those times. 
 
 
 
 

Posted by: English Outsider | Jun 4 2026 11:39 utc | 98

call out to unimperator and other Putin trolls, btw. where s Lovedonbas, drunk to death ?
so what’s the story after 4 years SMO, where are the success stories, the strategic wins on the ground? slow and steady is nothing but an euphemism for slow and incompetence.
@unimporator it seems your are playing last man standing with quoting and forwarding “success stories” from the russian MoD, it looks like pure desperation already. 
Whats left from the initial objectives ? The best outcome for Putin would be a frozen frontline and keeping the occupied oblasts, there is now way RF could win more territory , Odessa ? maybe in Putin dreams, same for Kharkiv or Dniepro.
In fact Ukraine can Putin hurt more actually by attacking infrastructure far beyond their borders then vice versa, the costs for every conquered square kilometer is rising and rising, what costs is Putin ready to accept ?  

Posted by: unimporatorstinks | Jun 4 2026 11:55 utc | 99

Posted by: English Outsider | Jun 4 2026 11:39 utc | 98
Quoting and referencing Ritter is pretty stupid , you moron should read all his failed predictions he made on vineyard and other platforms over the past 3 years, what was his predictions right after the SMO started, there will be a big cauldron, UF will run out of fuel,  frontlines will collapsing and so on, ahahahah, what an clueless moron he is / was.

Posted by: unimporatorstinks | Jun 4 2026 12:01 utc | 100

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