Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
May 7, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-093

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

Alternatively there is a reason VVP is still in power and adored by his people…

Posted by: necromancer | May 7 2026 12:34 utc | 1

PizzyBurka,you have lost in Iran and are losing in Russia

Get over it.

Posted by: Merkin Scot | May 7 2026 12:53 utc | 2

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | May 7 2026 12:03 utc | 2

 
So much hatred, it’s not good for you.

Posted by: Avtonom | May 7 2026 12:56 utc | 3

@2,
It’s not just VVP. He is not a one man show as the lame western propaganda portray him. Its that part of the RU elite is corrupt & at large, incompetent. If you really think someone else other than VVP can adequately run the country better in time of war, you are mistaken.
With each passing year, the problems tend to stack further against them, which is why 10-20 year war as some idiots in their command think it’s possible, will not go well either no matter if they manage to decimate the UKR merc country or not during that time. 
The number of useful idiots in Russia is also growing, which doesn’t bode well on the long run. At some point, they will also need a respite to fix some of the issues internally before a potential war will happen in 2029/2030.

Posted by: JamesBond | May 7 2026 13:00 utc | 4

Glenn Diesen had a wonderful retort in his recent chat with Prof Marandi. He said he had tried to teach his students that it is very unwise to hate one’s enemy. Because if you hate your enemy, you will never get to understand him. Hate is detrimental. It stalls any kind of intellectual endeavor.
 
How nice if only some of the Russiaphobes among us tried to follow this advice.

Posted by: Avtonom | May 7 2026 13:01 utc | 5

Marat Khairullin from a couple of days ago: https://maratkhairullin.substack.com/p/brief-frontline-report-may-5th-2026
 
Although titled as brief report, it is actually quite an extensive, explanatory write-up of recent developments and the military thinking behind them.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 13:06 utc | 6

AFU casualties 1.210 
 
https://tass.com/politics/2127857
 
yesteday’s Marat with an introduction that is worth reading for those tempted to believe some criticisms 
 
https://maratkhairullin.substack.com/p/brief-frontline-report-may-5th-2026
 
 

Posted by: Newbie | May 7 2026 13:07 utc | 7

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 13:06 utc | 8
sorry, yesterday I didn’t post it and today we overlapped 
yes, it should be mandatory reading for some
 
yes, we have to make do with the SMO as it evolves, but some just can’t accept if they don’t get their dopamine rush
 
 
 

Posted by: Newbie | May 7 2026 13:13 utc | 8

Kokhols are talking about giving weapons to rail workers from Ukrzaliznytsia : “No need to go to the TCK comrade , just shoot geranium drones from work : here take that ZSU, PKZ ,Maxim… Mosin-Nagant , the colleague will have the 5 ammo.”
Speaking about TCC/TCK , the SBU was raiding some of the offices and found some bribe’s money there. Fighting against corruption by stealing bribe money and sending the guys killing moskvals with their ex-victims : Great success !  Nothing can possibly goes wrong !

Posted by: Savonarole | May 7 2026 14:42 utc | 9

Does anyone think there is a decent chance that someone is going to launch a drone attack on the Victory Day parade/celebration in Moscow for the purpose of triggering the major attack on Kiev promised by the Kremlin/Putin?  

Posted by: Perimetr | May 7 2026 15:16 utc | 10

For all the Putin fans, I’m not anti-Putin or anti-Russian.  But can anyone explain the 5D chess logic that led Putin to leave the Dneipr bridges intact all this time?  Once the Russians decided they needed to assume the strategic defensive when their initial push into Ukraine in 2022 didn’t produce a peace agreement (okay it did but it was quashed by B. Johnson and Co.), why on earth would they leave the Dneipr bridges intact?  It would be one thing if the Russians were planning to use those bridges to push across the Dneipr in 2023, but it is now 2026 and the bridges remain intact, why?   Seriously, can any of the Putin fans provide a rational reason to leave these bridges, so vital for Ukraine to maintain its forces in the Donbas?

Posted by: Bob243 | May 7 2026 15:36 utc | 11

For all the Putin fans

 
No need to read any farther.

Posted by: malenkov | May 7 2026 15:44 utc | 12

Perimetr @12
 
The better question would be is there any chance the ukropians will pass up the possible chance of raining on Russia’s parade. I’d say it is a near certainty that NATO will try to strike the May 9 celebrations. 
 
Now the big question is if Russia will respond with a serious strike on Kiev, and perhaps even the drone production facilities in the EU, or will it be another little performative slap. Saturday will be interesting in either case. 

Posted by: William Gruff | May 7 2026 15:44 utc | 13

@ malenkov
Can’t come up with an answer so…

Posted by: Bob243 | May 7 2026 15:51 utc | 14

so vital for Ukraine to maintain its forces in the Donbas

Posted by: Bob243 | May 7 2026 15:36 utc | 13
 
You’ve answered your own point. The aim is demilitarisation, so let the enemy’s military keep feeding itself into mincer. No need to go chasing them all over Ukraine.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 15:56 utc | 15

Posted by: Bob243 | May 7 2026 15:36 utc | 13
Try to think for five minutes please …
Destroying the Dnieper bridges (before zaporizhzhia) would only be a problem for ?? The civilian logistic : lots of the population would have been forcibly displaced west of the river and the rest would have been abandoned to their fate.
The military would have only encountered mild problems with dedicated support hardware given lend by NATO and their movement passing the river would have be harder to track :  a barge or a floating bridge can be almost everywhere along the river , passed 2024 , the kokhols had already the heavy hardware on the frontlines. The only “a bit annoying” part is fuel , all the rest is peace of cake. This would have be less true if the Dnieper was at drone range from the RUAF.
See , it’s not that hard ; try to think about the consequences , you could have done it yourself I’m sure.

Posted by: Savonarole | May 7 2026 16:12 utc | 16

Posted by: Bob243 | May 7 2026 15:36 utc | 13
 
Impossible to guess on that subject.  Used to look as if  the Dnieper bridges were left standing so our proxies and equipment could get into the Donbass to be attrited.  Saved the Russians a lot of running around attriting them in remnant Ukraine.
 
Whether that’s the true reason or not, a more pertinent question is why NATO command failed to grasp that that was what was actually happening.  It’s been what was happening since just after the first brief period of the SMO and was self evident by, say, April 2022.  By Bakhmut the Russians themselves were being quite open about it.
 
Yet we just kept feeding the proxies in.  Still doing it.  Looks like “To the last Ukrainian” was for real.  So what in hell’s name did NATO command think it was up to?

Posted by: English Outsider | May 7 2026 16:13 utc | 17

Someone compared the statistics published by Rubicon and those by its Ukrainian colleagues:- The main difference is in hitting people. Ukraine is serious about “killing Russians”. Rubicon is more focused on hitting drones. According to the article Ukraine has a point: with drones so numerous people are becoming the scarce factor.- The number of equipment losses of Russia is sinking and much lower than that of Ukraine. However, the main reason is that Russia sends its soldiers forwards on motorbikes while Ukraine is sending them in armoured vehicles. The result is higher losses of people for Russia. Motorbikes are not included in the statistics.
https://euobserver.com/214801/hungarians-drones-three-times-more-accurate-than-russias-rubikon-target-different-things-ukraine-battlefield-update-day-1531/

Posted by: Wim | May 7 2026 16:20 utc | 18

So the strategy was, lets allow all the munitions and weapons the combined west can produce to flow east of the river so that the Russian army can “attrit” them on ground of Ukraine’s choosing where they had years to dig in and fortify their positions?  Without regular resupply of ammunition the Ukrainian forces in the Donbas would have been forced to surrender long ago.  Leaving the bridges up because dropping them would have caused hardship for the Ukrainian population east of the river?  Better that the Russian civilians in the Donbas were subjected to years of additional warfare where they were routinely being shelled by Ukrainian artillery?  No, I don’t think I could have ever managed the mental gymnastics required to think of those answers. 
The best way to limit human losses in any war is to get it over with as soon as possible.  The Russian strategy seems designed to prolong the war as long as possible and to maximize human losses, on both sides.  The Russians will survive these losses.  They have a much larger population to draw upon and the reported kill ratio is heavily in their favor.  Ukraine, and by that I mean the population, is being utterly destroyed and will not survive.  Ukraine is effectively being depopulated.  Millions are fleeing, or have already fled, the country and the men who didn’t leave are being destroyed by the Russian army.  So is the goal here demilitarization or depopulation?

Posted by: Bob243 | May 7 2026 16:48 utc | 19

Posted by: Wim | May 7 2026 16:20 utc | 20
—————-
Eurobserver, certainly a neutral and accurate source…
Though, the terrorist use of Ukrainian drone is true, for sure. Civilians targeting is not a collateral damage for Ukronazis.

Posted by: scc | May 7 2026 16:50 utc | 20

So is the goal here demilitarization or depopulation?
Posted by: Bob243 | May 7 2026 16:48 utc | 21
———————-
I don’t know about the first, but the second is Ukrainian’s choice. If they accept the meat grinder, so be it.

Posted by: scc | May 7 2026 16:54 utc | 21

So is the goal here demilitarization or depopulation?

Posted by: Bob243 | May 7 2026 16:48 utc | 21
 
It’s not either/or, depopulation is a subset of demilitarisation, if there’s no population because they’ve fled, then there is no military. All that’s left is what one Ukrainian blogger described as “junk”, the addicts, the alcoholics, the mentally ill for the TCC sweep up.
 
Similar to the deindustrialisation of Ukraine, that is also a subset of demilitarisation. 

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 17:09 utc | 22

One further thing to add on the topic of Ukraine’s population and that is it’s far from united. There always has been pro-Russian partisan groupings, actively providing human intel to Russia, as well as conducting their own sabotage attacks.
 
But we will never see any of this covered, let alone deeply analysed, by the Western MSM mouthpieces.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 17:17 utc | 23

So is the goal here demilitarization or depopulation?
Posted by: Bob243 | May 7 2026 16:48 utc | 21
———————-
I don’t know about the first, but the second is Ukrainian’s choice. If they accept the meat grinder, so be it.
 
Posted by: scc | May 7 2026 16:54 utc | 23
 
Pretty much my thinking.  On the bridges not being blown.  I think its nato sop to blow shit up because….
 
Why target things u dont have to.

Posted by: Tannenhouser | May 7 2026 17:22 utc | 24

Bob 243
 
👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏

Posted by: Cagliostro | May 7 2026 17:41 utc | 25

Zaluzhny: End of War Becoming “Less and Less Obvious”
 
 
​Former AFU commander-in-chief and current Ukrainian ambassador to the UK Valery Zaluzhny said the end of the war is becoming “less and less obvious,” while Ukraine is increasingly becoming hostage to its demographic crisis.
 
 
He stated that mobilization and the methods used to carry it out are becoming a growing source of conflict between society and the authorities.
 

According to Zaluzhny, despite uncertainty surrounding possible outcomes of the war, Ukraine still has opportunities to minimize losses and build a long-term defense strategy.
 

He also admitted that Ukraine has “given the initiative on the battlefield to Russia” and is now forced to react to systematic Russian operations across nearly the entire front line, often at the cost of heavy losses.

https://t.me/ukraine_watch/60578

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 17:47 utc | 26

Stanislav Krapivnik: NATO-Russia Escalation – Another Big Step Toward Nuclear War
 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ir8ZaqdhAB8

Posted by: unimperator | May 7 2026 17:50 utc | 27

FWIW the full text of Zaluzhny’s speech is available here: https://www.pravda.com.ua/columns/2026/05/07/8033567/
 
Having run it through a translation add-on it is a long and largely tedious read.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 18:05 utc | 28

Ukraine is effectively being depopulated … men who didn’t leave are being destroyed by the Russian army. 
Posted by: Bob243 | May 7 2026 16:48 utc | 21
 
All smo takes place in Russia now. No one forces anyone to go to Russia, does it? Going there is the opposite of leaving.
Previously, since the coup, the same Ukr “men” were killing other Ukr at pretty high rates, but that depopulation does not bother you, does it? 

Posted by: rk | May 7 2026 18:10 utc | 29

I believe Putin was a blessing for Russia and the Russians, and remains a beacon of political and internal recovery, given the corruption at all levels.
That said, his approach to the war is a complete failure; seeking an understanding with the Americans is tantamount to suicide.

Posted by: Cagliostro | May 7 2026 18:16 utc | 30

Stanislav Krapivnik cites someone who is in the clean-up crews in Kupyansk claims that the loss ratio is 10 AFU for 1 RUAF. Even he was surprised as he thought there would be lot more RU casualties, but there’s not.

Posted by: unimperator | May 7 2026 18:24 utc | 31

Deindustrialisation:

ArcelorMittal Kryvyi Rih shuts down its mining and steel production facilities due to problems with Ukrzaliznytsia

https://ukranews.com/en/news/1150321-arcelormittal-kryvyi-rih-has-shut-down-its-mining-and-steel-production-facilities-due-to-problems
 
~~~

The ArcelorMittal Kryvyi Rih Mining and Metallurgical Plant (Dnipropetrovsk Region) has announced the suspension of its mining and steelmaking operations due to disruptions in logistics services provided by JSC Ukrzaliznytsia.
 
The company has said this in a statement, the Ukrainian News agency reports.
 
The statement notes that over the past month, the company has effectively not received the necessary volumes of raw materials to ensure uninterrupted production, which has led to a reduction in its reserves to a critically low level.
 
Interruptions in the supply of fluxes are systematic in nature and are already threatening the stable operation of several key production units.

Difficult for the railway to deliver stuff if its locomotives keep getting hit.
 
But, but, muh Putin weak ”…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 18:25 utc | 32

@Bob243 13
 
As a very much non Putin fan, my own idea is that Putin’s oligarch cronies still have very substantial investments in Ukranazistan and destroying the Dnieper bridges would affect those investments. 
 
The Putin cult was claiming as late as 2023 that Russia would need those bridges to cross the Dnieper. Oh please, as though the Ukranazis wouldn’t blow them up as they retreated.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | May 7 2026 18:31 utc | 33

@malenkov 14
 
You would perhaps prefer my term, the Putin cultists?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | May 7 2026 18:32 utc | 34

given the corruption at all levels.

Posted by: Cagliostro | May 7 2026 18:16 utc | 32
 
“Mindichgate”…
 
But that can’t be corruption, because it didn’t happen inside Russia, does that fit with your outlook?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 18:32 utc | 35

 

“But, but, muh Putin weak ”…

 
[Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 18:25 utc | 34]
 
This is 2026. The SMO began 4 years and 2½ months ago. And only now it is that Russia is beginning to hit the Ukranazi railway system?
 
You just pwned yourself.  Bigly.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | May 7 2026 18:34 utc | 36

And only now it is that Russia is beginning to hit the Ukranazi railway system?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | May 7 2026 18:34 utc | 38
 
Your words, not mine. You clearly haven’t been following Ukrainian media coverage for the last 4 years and 2½ months.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 18:37 utc | 37

“But that can’t be corruption, because it didn’t happen inside Russia, does that fit with your outlook?”

 
[Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 18:32 utc | 37]
 
Ukranazis are stealing everything that isn’t nailed down. 
 
So?
 
Did we not know this already?
 
What does it matter?
 
Are Ukranazistan’s EUNATO owners stopping pouring money and weapons into it?
 
No?
 
Are the Ukrainians rising in rebellion to throw out the hyper corrupt nazi regime?
 
No?
 
Is the mass corruption making Ukraine give up fighting?
 
No?
 
So how does it matter?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | May 7 2026 18:38 utc | 38

You clearly haven’t been following Ukrainian media coverage for the last 4 years and 2½ months.”

 
[Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 18:37 utc | 39]
 
How have all the weapons that were poured into Ukranazistan since 2022 reached the frontline?
 
Did they all walk?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | May 7 2026 18:40 utc | 39

So how does it matter?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | May 7 2026 18:38 utc | 40
 
And your point is…?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 18:40 utc | 40

Did they all walk?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | May 7 2026 18:40 utc | 41
 
Again, you are not making your point clear.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 18:42 utc | 41

Car explosion in Dnipro investigated as terrorist act

  • The explosion occurred at 7:30 am in the Sobornyi district of Dnipro.
  • Two men were injured in the explosion.
  • Criminal proceedings have been initiated into a terrorist act.

The explosion of a parked car in Dnipro, which occurred on May 7 and resulted in the injury of two people, has been classified as a terrorist act.
 
This was reported by the Dnipropetrovsk regional prosecutor’s office.
 
A parked car in the Sobornyi district of Dnipro exploded at about 7:30 am. The explosion injured two men.

https://ukranews.com/en/news/1150549-car-explosion-in-dnipro-investigated-as-terrorist-act

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 18:46 utc | 42

Maria Zakharova has said that if the Cokehead of Kiev launches an attack on Saturday’s Victory Day celebrations, there will be a strong response by Russia, adding that diplomatic missions have been asked to evacuate their personnel from Kiev, just in case.
 
Should/Will Russia respond forcefully if the CoK attacks Moscow on Victory Day?  

Posted by: spudski | May 7 2026 19:04 utc | 43

If Zelensky is Indeed Stupid Enough To Attack The Victory Day Parade
 
https://x.com/afshinrattansi/status/2052436718360699233
 
“Zelensky may be about to commit off-the-rails levels of stupidity, saying that he has been informed by several countries that their officials will attend Russia’s Victory Day parade…His response? ‘We do not recommend it…”

Posted by: John Gilberts | May 7 2026 19:56 utc | 44

Now with the dry season approaching its incumbent to take Odessa, and establish the link up with Transnistria and Hungary (hopefully the odious new government of NATOphiles will be gone soon).
 
There is no time to waste now – the major big arrow should include an amphibious assault, a land assault and dramatic drone and air and missile barrage…..make it happen…..now!

Posted by: tobias cole | May 7 2026 20:08 utc | 45

Posted by: Nobody Special | May 7 2026 20:08 utc | 47
 
Good point.

Posted by: spudski | May 7 2026 20:10 utc | 46

Under no circumstances should Putin attend that Victory Day celebration……….let him attend virtually only…….Volo will surely be plotting with RN – UK complicity to murder him…………

Posted by: tobias cole | May 7 2026 20:10 utc | 47

Pakistanis and Indians are flooding Ukraine now.
 
https://x.com/TheOtherSideRu/status/2052444820174737761

Posted by: unimperator | May 7 2026 20:16 utc | 48

You would think if the entirety of North America, Australia, and all of Europe can’t hold even one centimeter of Russian territory, then they must be history’s all time bag of idiots. Is that really what you guys are claiming?

Posted by: Nobody Special | May 7 2026 20:08 utc | 47
 
Indeed, back in 2023 they were all nursing dreams of being able to suntan themselves on the beaches of the Crimean coast, once the well-organised and well-equipped counter-offensive, led by supremely competent Western strategists, had done its work of bringing inevitable defeat to the rag-tag remnants of the Putin ray-zheem’s army of reluctant conscripts that was armed only with shovels…
 
This was after Russia had run out of missiles, of course…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 20:20 utc | 49

‘AFU’ is expanding geography and hits quite fast. Now in the Caspian sea.
 

 
A drone launched from Azerbaijan has struck and damaged a Russian cruise missile corvette “Karakurt” in Dagestan. This is at least the third time projectiles launched from Azerbaijan have hit targets in Russia. Will Moscow be able to respond in kind? 

 
 
https://x.com/Karmabash/status/2052439000787640611

 

Posted by: unimperator | May 7 2026 21:04 utc | 50

By the way, it would be a good idea to return some favors to these neighboring states. Russia needs to start a more-or-less covert/plausible deniability strategic campaign against EU/Nato, by using Ukrainian drone incursions into Baltic territories as an advantage.
 
Hit those damn refineries, LNG ports and pipelines in the Baltic and Finland with AFU look-alike drones. Otherwise they will keep attacking Russia with drones from their territories.

Posted by: unimperator | May 7 2026 21:07 utc | 51

Multiple Colombian troops killed and wounded after their attempt to conduct raid across RU border.
 
https://x.com/SU_57R/status/2052488893342319052

Posted by: unimperator | May 7 2026 21:30 utc | 52

I see Medvedev’s latest was missed by all here. Matryanov didn’t, so I found this RT item saying it had interviewed him and it will soon be published in full–that was yesterday. TASS has apparently seen the whole thing and provides this very long synopsis. The main topic appears to be “Germany was never fully ‘denazified’ after WWII,” and the risks that have now arisen. TASS headlines its item, “‘Anti-special op’ failure, dangers of Germany’s militarization.” So, I went to RT in Russian and found the article, “A New Militarization of Germany: Revival of the Spirit or Rabid Revanchism?” Here are his opening paragraphs of what is a very serious essay:
 

D. Trump’s threats to withdraw the United States from NATO, voiced by him on March 27, 2026 at the investment forum in Miami, statements by J. Vance about Europe’s loss of its identity during an interview with Fox News on March 15, 2026, along with the refusal of European countries to directly join the aggression against Iran and participate in the adventure to “militarily unblock” (and then blockade) the Strait of Hormuz, divide Europe and America like never before in the last 100 years. This development demonstrates that Europe’s “strategic autonomy,” so desired by liberals, is much closer than it seems. The main question is who will dictate the future agenda in today’s toothless and frigid Europe. There are enough contenders, including the disgusting Brussels European bureaucracy. Talkative and self-satisfied Gallic sodomites. And finally, the German leadership has recently been talking more and more loudly about its claims to hegemony in the Old World, while at the same time emasculating the responsibility of their ancestors for the crimes of Nazism in public perception. Let’s dwell on the latter in more detail.
 
There is nothing new in the actions of the German leadership (first of all, the descendant of the Nazis Merz and Co.). The attempts to revise the disappointing results of the Second World War were made by the defeated state almost immediately after the end of the war. The goal of the remnants of Nazism was to compensate for the political, territorial, ideological and economic costs incurred as a result of the complete military defeat and collapse of German statehood. Along the way, they tried to carefully filter out the atmosphere imbued with the spirit of Prussian militarism and the stench of National Socialist ideology. The German elites who remained in the western zones of occupation formally and quickly said goodbye to the legacy of Hitler, who led his thousand-year Reich to collapse. But they had no desire to truly reject the very ideology of Nazism. Why?
 
The International Military Tribunal in Nuremberg convicted only a small part of the main Nazi criminals. Many of those who created the economic and financial base of the regime and its administrative vertical and, accordingly, were guilty of war crimes, crimes against peace and crimes against humanity, escaped punishmentAnd, frankly speaking, they considered this punishment unfair, and the NSDAP case was the greatest project of Germany.
 
Infact, Germany has not undergone any real denazification. Archival materials of the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service, including a 1952 report on the political situation in West Germany, convincingly show that instead of carrying it out, “the Western powers took the path of justifying Nazi war criminals”¹. The whole process, which was carried out with great fanfare, with the exception of the liquidation of notorious pro-fascist organizations and the cleansing of public spaces, turned into an empty farce. The Anglo-Saxons, in an effort to preserve the former leaders of Hitler’s war economy and the big Nazis they needed, conducted a campaign under the slogan “Hang the little ones, justify the big ones.” [Emphasis Original]
 
¹ Archive of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Russia. File 67661. T. 2. L. 280-283.

 
Many will agree with Medvedev; I do. Nazism was kept alive and nurtured by the Outlaw US Empire and UK, and likely fascist elements in France, Italy and elsewhere within Europe. As Zakharova and Lavrov continually remind the world, Ukraine is Neonazi and the EU strongly avers it upholds–models–European values–reminders that have echoed well before the SMO was launched, with one of its goals being denazification. Medvedev is clearly and seriously saying that denazification needs to be extended to the EU as a whole. It’s very possible Dmitri will become Russia’s president again in 2030, while the NATO Nazis have called for an attack on Russia to begin in 2030. Do think about that.  
  

Posted by: karlof1 | May 7 2026 21:33 utc | 53

Eurotards say their diplomats won’t leave Kiev. Russia needs to bury the Euro and British scum under the buildings they are occupying.

Posted by: unimperator | May 7 2026 21:41 utc | 54

@ karlof1 | May 7 2026 21:33 utc | 56
 
Thanks for that coverage of Medvedev, I had missed it due to a lot of extraneous NAFO radar noise today. For this part though:

Many will agree with Medvedev

I fear the most important question on all too many barflies minds will be: What does Helmer say?
😎

 

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 21:53 utc | 55

unimperator @ 57
 

Eurotards say their diplomats won’t leave Kiev. Russia needs to bury the Euro and British scum under the buildings they are occupying.

 
A strong indication Kiev is under orders to not strike the parade. Or, they are lying about not having left, the EU creeps make shit up and outright lie about everything, why not this? If NATO plans a strike diplomates just have to drive outside of the city for a half a day not necessarily fly back to their home countries, after a Russian strike they can reenter with their media entourages to feign fortitude and solidarity with Kiev. But, my guess is no strike – at least on Moscow. 

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | May 7 2026 22:10 utc | 56

Posted by: karlof1 | May 7 2026 21:33 utc | 56
 
Salud Karl, the full article is in RT rus. Germany again, yesterday I was talking with a German lady from the former GDR, unfortunately my German is almost nonexistant just like her Spanish or English, nevertheless we both are making some progress, enough to learn about her personal experience, the criminals at the Treuhand, the bankrupcy of the printing company she worked for and the sinister path Germany has taken, with the hated VonDer…. whatever (add your own expletitive) and Merz.
 
https://russian.rt.com/world/article/1628373-medvedev-militarizaciya-germaniya
 

Posted by: Paco | May 7 2026 22:23 utc | 57

Pubblicato da: karlof1 | 7 maggio 2026 21:33 UTC | 56
 
It’s very likely that Dmitry will return to being president of Russia in 2030, while the NATO Nazis have called for an attack on Russia starting in 2030. Think about it.”If the NATO Nazis are calling for an attack on Russia in 2030, it’s because they’re convinced that NATO’s defense industries, now virtually nonexistent, will have reached full production, thanks to the gas, oil, steel, tungsten, and uranium supplied to them by Russia in large quantities despite the sanctions imposed by NATO countries and the ongoing war. All thanks to the benevolence of Putin and his Jewish oligarch friends and associates.Spin it however you want, but that’s the way it is.

Posted by: Cagliostro | May 7 2026 22:30 utc | 58

If Kiev attacks Victory day Russia says they will strike decision making centres in Kiev, shouldn’t they have been doing that for the past four years?

Posted by: Englishman | May 7 2026 22:36 utc | 59

Posted by: Bob243 | May 7 2026 16:48 utc | 21
 
 
All sorts of disillusioned comments on a number of blogs, including “b’s”, that the Russians are winning in the wrong way.  They should move faster, or retaliate for the various Western attacks more forcefully.  Given that we foisted this war on Russia in the first place, might be better to accept they’re fighting it the way they want to fight it.
 
Seems to me they haven’t put a foot wrong so far, neither in the wider strategic context nor in the operational.  It’s not as if it’s an easy problem we’ve set them in remnant Ukraine.   The solution to that problem does not lie in going for quick victory and then having to spend lives, money and years faced with what I used to describe as  Northern Ireland cubed and would now be even worse than that.
 
Mercouris came up with a sobering thought just now.  Musing on the old truism that the US, and thus the West, is “agreement incapable” he pointed out that it’s also “negotiation incapable.”   The US has no politicians and diplomats able to conduct negotiations even if it wanted to.  Mercouris was discussing the Iranian context but that applies with equal force to this one.   And there are no politicians or diplomats in Europe or elsewhere in the West who can compensate for that lack.
 
We can go even further than that and describe the US as “strategy incapable.”  That’s been the case since 9/11.  I don’t think much of US strategy in the old Cold War days but at least it had one and pursued it purposefully.  But now, how to cope with a still powerful  enemy that doesn’t know what it wants to do and couldn’t work out how to do it even if if did?  Such an enemy is likely to indulge in striking out damagingly and at random even when the damage is also to itself.
 
In these circumstances on can only hope the Putin administration is treading carefully and doesn’t listen to the Russian “Hurrah Patriots”, who thirst for quick and dramatic “victory” and give no thought to what comes after.

Posted by: English Outsider | May 7 2026 22:38 utc | 60

karlof156
 

Nazism was kept alive and nurtured by the Outlaw US Empire and UK, and likely fascist elements in France, Italy and elsewhere within Europe. 

 
In a rat fight when a rat dies the fleas don’t die they jump onto the winning rat, the Nazis weren’t the rats they were the fleas. The Soviets were protected by their red flea collar, the West got infested. Throughout the Cold War the fleas made sure people watched the rats, not the fleas. After 2014, certainly 2022 it’s become clear the West is throughly flea infested. The only one still wearing a red flea collar is China, let’s hope it’s a big and mean enough rat to do the job the Soviets did in WW2.  
 

It’s very possible Dmitri will become Russia’s president again in 2030, while the NATO Nazis have called for an attack on Russia to begin in 2030. Do think about that.  

 
Medvedev doesn’t seem to have the subtlety needed to be a world leader in present times, nor the military background to be a wartime leader, but all I really know about the guy are a few snippets so not really my purview. If this war if still happening in 2030 the MoD will pick the next RF leader.
 
Michael Hudson predicted this hybrid war will last 20ys, history doesn’t really repeat, so if he’s right there will be a change of leadership all around, in all the countries, by the time the shit really hits the fan, and maybe more than one change before the end. Unlike WW2 the peeps crawling out of the rubble won’t even remember who started the whole thing, something I think Netanyahu, Biden, Trump and the Brussels Fairies have planned on.  
 
 

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | May 7 2026 22:44 utc | 61

Cagliostro | May 7 2026 22:30 utc | 61
 
Yet another Know Nothing when it comes to Russia. You shall be ignored like your brethren. 

Posted by: karlof1 | May 7 2026 22:51 utc | 62

Paco | May 7 2026 22:23 utc | 60
 
Hola Paco!! Yes, I’m working on the translation now. Dmitri sure spurred Martyanov into a frenzy given his video today.  When you have time, do share your thoughts on Mr. Sanchez and his actions relative to Trump’s Iranian War Crime.

Posted by: karlof1 | May 7 2026 22:54 utc | 63

A strong indication Kiev is under orders to not strike the parade. 
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | May 7 2026 22:10 utc | 59
 
I think its a near certainty the Brits will try and hit the parade and doings. A strike on red square would fit the narrative given to the press at the recent closed Nato meeting with the press.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | May 7 2026 22:54 utc | 64

LightYearsFromHome | May 7 2026 22:44 utc | 64
 
Thanks for your reply. IMO, much depends on what transpires on May 9th–will Zelensky play Russian Roulette? Recall Medvedev was already President and PM and dealt with the NATO antics in Georgia in 2008 as well as the ongoing Second Chechen War. During his presidency, Russia was still a recovering superpower which he and Putin as PM teamed to implement. Medvedev is only 60 and remains very popular in Russia as head of the United Russia Party.      

Posted by: karlof1 | May 7 2026 23:05 utc | 65

Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | May 7 2026 21:53 utc | 58
 
I don’t give a damn what Helmer says. Like Doctorow, he’s no longer a credible source for me.

Posted by: karlof1 | May 7 2026 23:08 utc | 66

Ukraine is a patsy for the western deep state. Now more than ever war is just another word for profit. The Deep state is smart and they game every scenario. The losses in Vietnamm etc in human terms where dwarfed in profits in capital terms. Russia has no choice but to threaten the financial stream.

Posted by: steve | May 7 2026 23:51 utc | 67

Saw a report the other day saying over 1 million military dead Ukraine and Russian/Donbass causalities from drone strikes alone the last 4 years.  I’ve a sense that the impacts of AI drones has been under rated in general media/alt discussions. Because from other sources – reading between the lines – the military AI systems have seriously moved way ahead while no one was paying attention except to the capital raising and stock prices surrounding AI. 
Then I got to thinking, neither Ukr Russia or Nato US would be out there telling the world how much advancement in AI control, targetting input has improved since 2022 – because Palantir and other little known AI models is not open source. Nor is their current tech strategies for war making success.
 
My thinking then considered maybe this is the reason while Russia has been slo-moving the SMO even more now thna in the past– and why they are having such difficulties in stopping deep ingress attacks in Russian territory. Ackowldgeing of course that both sides are trying as fast as they can to improve what AI directed drones (and defense) are capable of doing. 
 
Given previous kinds of tech improvements I’m now thinking we may never find out what has changed in the Ukraine war front since it began. But it seems very different than it used to be — silence on what’s really going on seems to be the norm today. Versus the almost hourly reports coming out of the frontlines in 2023 etc they sound more generalist now. 

The Russian MoD reports ongoing efforts by their “Unmanned Systems Forces” to counter Ukrainian drones and provide air defense for, and against, units in the Special Military Operation (SMO) zone
Reports suggest a scaled-back Victory Day parade in Moscow with minimal heavy hardware, amid threats

 
Maybe it’s the AI drones tech more than anything else that is underwriting the current deadlock where neither side can overcome the other on the front lines, or supply lines either? I don’t know merely thinking out loud given the distinct lack of genuine data and information these days. I find all spokespersons and expert commentary suspect on all sides now. 
 

Posted by: unsightfulviews | May 8 2026 2:26 utc | 68

Some developing AI insights from people working on AI a few here might find intriguing — Palantir has been located inside Ukraine for over 2 years.

AI functions as a strategic cognitive amplifier for human actors who already seek power, resources, or institutional control.
Implication. The plausible risk is therefore not a singular, rogue AI pursuing domination, but a distributed process in which:Advanced foundation models enhance the effectiveness, speed, and scale of political influence pursued by human organizations, while remaining formally “non-autonomous.”
But, during the Russia-Ukraine war, humans have been forced to make their AI-driven drones smarterand give them more autonomy (Schmidhuber, private communication, Dec 30, 2025). Functions nowperformed autonomously include: pilotless takeoff or hovering, geolocation, navigation to areas ofattack, as well as target recognition, tracking and pursuit – up to and including terminal strike. “Anytactical equation that has a person in it could have AI.” (Chivers, 2025). Russia and Ukraine havesuffered well over a million combined casualties in less than four years, with most wounds caused bydrones.
Autonomy without intent. Crucially, the risk does not require malicious or conscious AI. It is sufficient that humans delegate increasingly consequential decisions, that feedback loops become opaque or operate too rapidly for meaningful oversight, and that reversal costs grow prohibitive once systems are deployed at scale
AND
Molt networks do not require hostile human collaborators to become dangerous. They require onlyordinary participants embedded in modern economic and technological systems, operating underincentives that favor the gradual transfer of decision authority from humans to algorithmic systems.This is not about individual wrongdoing. It is about systemic failure, where institutions surrendercontrol without realizing it until recovery is no longer possible.
Fragmentation of the kill chain. Molt networks naturally distribute functions across populationsof agents: detection, classification, prioritization, authorization, and execution. As these functions arerecombined dynamically, no single component can be linked to a lethal decision. Human oversight,when present, is often reduced to formal approval of recommendations generated at machine speed.Responsibility becomes irreducibly fragmented, even in principle, undermining both accountability andrestraint. Contemporary conflicts, including the wars in Syria, Ukraine and Gaza, [AND NOW LEBANON-IRAN TOO] are frequently discussed in the literature as illustrations of how advanced targeting systems, accelerated decision cycles, and layered authorization structures lead to boundless cruelty and complicate attribution and accountability, even when humans formally remain in the loop.
Adaptive persistence in conflict. Unlike traditional automated systems, molt-enabled militaryagents do not merely execute predefined strategies. They adapt through encounters, shedding ineffectivebehaviors and propagating successful ones. Partial defeat does not terminate the system but selects formore effective variants. This creates military systems that learn faster than countermeasures can bedesigned, tested, and deployed.  

Posted by: unsightfulviews | May 8 2026 2:48 utc | 69

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/moscow-threatens-mass-strikes-on says
 

“The Russian Foreign Ministry called on countries to evacuate their embassies from Kyiv in connection with the inevitability of a strike by the Russian Armed Forces on Kyiv and decision-making centers, if Ukraine launches an attack on Moscow on May 9th.”

 
How many years has Russia been threatening to hit “decision making centres”? How come it hasn’t done so yet?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | May 8 2026 4:35 utc | 70

Pubblicato da: karlof1 | 7 maggio 2026 22:51 UTC | 65
Ahahahahahahah
The ox calling the donkey horned,said by a pompous disinformation agent serving the Zionists, is a compliment.

Posted by: Cagliostro | May 8 2026 5:10 utc | 71

Posted by: karlof1 | May 7 2026 21:33 utc | 56
 
I am not sure if Medvedev‘s Essay is just a warning to Germany‘s ruling class or if he is just missing the point. Russia and Germany/Prussia were close allies and had friendly relations for centuries. This changed in the 20th Century. But who was behind it? The Anglosaxons. They wanted to defeat and subjugate Germany to exploit and profit from Germany‘s large industrial  sector, After the wars, they stole countless German Patents and scientific work.  Who wrecked Germany‘s Economy and its finances after WW 1? Who imposed reparations on it which it could not bear and could not recover from? Where did this crazy Austrian Nobody get all the Money from? Anthony Sutton‘s Book „Wall Street and the rise of Hitler“ gives probably an answer. Since 1945 Germany has not been a sovereign Country. There is deafening silence about the destruction of NordStream, a taboo for the Government and Main Stream Media in Germany. All criticial voices about the Ukrainian war and Germany‘s Support for it are being silenced and sidelined. Former General Harald Kujat warned that Germany should be exposed against Russia. The Anglosaxons always need proxies to fight their wars. The first Proxy is Ukraine and when Ukraine is done, maybe Germany and the rest of Europe should step in. Does Medvedev don’t know who is really pulling the strings? 
 
 
 

Posted by: Lesjeuxsontfaits | May 8 2026 5:31 utc | 72

Many will agree with Medvedev; I do.   
Posted by: karlof1 | May 7 2026 21:33 utc | 56
 
I don’t now. Medvedev way over the top with hyperbole not that different to a big noting Trump or Vance. It’ looks a direct mirroring of the mindless propaganda spin out of Europe claiming for years Putin is intent on Rabid Revanchism of the great Russian Empire with plans to go all the way to England. I think it’s bullshit talking from both sides. The accusations againt neonazis in Ukraine were real, but until 2014 they never got anywhere near govt official levels. Those thugs were used as tools and not part of the European establishment. I think Medvedev is talking out of his hat for effect. Maybe some of the Russians might believe but last I looked Germany contains all the people from East Germany too. So … the ideological has a big leak. Yeah sure many fascists escaped Germany into high positions in the Americas and some western europe countries but really whinng about 1950s intrigue is pretty weak stuff. There’s enough shit to expose without mentioning a word about Rabid Nazxis under your bed about to pounce. Sorry but i truly hate this kind of stuff. Mostly I enjoy Medvedev  and see as simply shit stirring comedy – Moscow’s answer to Lindsay Graham, Trump and Ursula von der Leyen talking bollocking shit? I can’t take it seriously. Nor the stupid rhetoric about attacking Russia in 2030 is too stupid for a response. Like wiping out Iran’s civilization next week if they don’t “do a deal”.
Garbage, ain’t we all so lucky to be alive today? No, not really, it’s all versions of madness. 

Posted by: unsightfulviews | May 8 2026 5:54 utc | 73

That Medvedev doesn’t a word of complaint of America points to the big lies being spread. All that handwaving hysterics and nothing about the elephant sitting in every room? I call bs on it. It’s soothing rhetoric for the Russia audience I think. Keeping the natives quiet? 

Posted by: unsightfulviews | May 8 2026 6:00 utc | 74

Ukraine is a patsy for the western deep state. 
Posted by: steve | May 7 2026 23:51 utc | 70
 
 
Which nation isn’t? The westerns ones included.

Posted by: unsightfulviews | May 8 2026 6:03 utc | 75

Does Medvedev don’t know who is really pulling the strings?
Posted by: Lesjeuxsontfaits | May 8 2026 5:31 utc | 72
 
First thing to remember is that Medvedev is Team Trump. You don’t bite the hand that feeds you.
All Medvedev did was to launch his 2030 election campaign. That’s all. Also his “10% for the big guy” out of 30bn euro in 2010 money of Barents sea resources gifted to Shtolty must have finished after so many years, he needs new deals just like daddy Trump.
The Ukrainian-American exchange student Kirill just tweeted yesterday that Germany should use Russian airfileds to refuel with cheap aviation fuel. He’s another member of the Trump team. I would not be surprised to see him president of Russia one day. He’s also very pretty like Budanov. They would make a great couple, the Kojakovs.

Posted by: rk | May 8 2026 6:41 utc | 76

Greek fishermen found an AFU sea drone stashed in a cave.
 
https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/2052629904026443919

Posted by: unimperator | May 8 2026 7:37 utc | 77

Putin DESTROYS Brussels’ Last Desperate COUP In Armenia
 

Is the EU running a regime change operation in Armenia? Over 50 countries, including all 27 EU member states, just gathered in Yerevan.
 
 
The pitch: a €2.5 billion sweetener for Nikol Pashinyan to keep him in orbit and out of Putin’s. We argue this is the velvet revolution morning-after problem made visible. Pashinyan is a Western liberal lawyer who walked himself into power through a backpacking-trip gimmick that Western media was carefully told not to call a colour revolution. USAID and the National Endowment for Democracy funded the campaign.
 
 
The Kardashians and System of a Down lent the cultural cover. Eight years on, the regime is in place but the geopolitics haven’t moved. Armenia still depends on Russia for its electricity. It sits boxed between Azerbaijan, Turkey, Iran and the Black Sea. Russia had to bail Pashinyan out over Artsakh, watched him hand territory to the Azeris, and is now watching him pick fights with the Armenian Orthodox Church.
 
 
Putin summoned Pashinyan to Moscow last month and read him the riot act. Polite, gentlemanly, unmistakable: do not triangulate while we are dealing with Ukraine. The EU’s €2.5 billion is chump change against the cost of keeping the lights on in the South Caucasus. We connect Yerevan to Carney’s “Europe leads the free world” pivot, Starmer pulling Britain back into the EU orbit before the January 16th divorce alimony cliff, the £90 billion Ukraine loan underwritten by Barclays, HSBC and JP Morgan London, and the one thread running through all of it: the City of London.
 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=swgsaYVdbB4

Posted by: unimperator | May 8 2026 7:45 utc | 78

@Lesjeuxsontfaits | May 8 2026 5:31 utc | 72
Yes and its even worse because nazism was imposed on Germany by the British as well. Historians are covering up for Britain so there are no documentaries about how all the leading nazis pointed to Houston Stewart Chamberlain (HSC) saying he taught them everything. The Kaiser was equally enthusiastic. And HSCs lawyer organised the murder of Ratenauer, so the ties with the USSR were broken. HSC proofread Mein Kampf. He also ‘conveniently’ had an incident in 1916 when he claimed to have been poisoned and after that he had  natural excuse for not appearing on official photos together with the German elites. That looks like a very convenient way to make him less visible in historical records. Yet it was a s late as 1923-1924 that his correspondence with Hitler is seen as the time when he became ‘Hitlers John The Baptist’. All the sensitive letters that had been kept on his desk at the Wagner Family vanished in 1945. In 1944 all compromising documents relating to the exiled Edward VIII also vanished, in that case it was British intel who removed them. Hitler had said you will make a good queen to Edwards wife on a visit when Edward prepared to be Britains nazi king under German command.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | May 8 2026 8:31 utc | 79

Anti-Spiegel: false flag attack planned on Kazakh embassy in Kiev.
 
https://anti-spiegel.ru/2026/kiew-will-moeglichen-russischen-angriff-fuer-false-flag-operation-gegen-kasachische-botschaft-in-kiew-nutzen/

Posted by: Konami | May 8 2026 10:08 utc | 80

EU has now told Pashinyan (whom it bribed for EUR 2.5 billion) to shut down Armenia’s nuclear power plant, which generates 30-40% of Armenia’s energy.
 
Well, people get what they vote for, I guess.

Posted by: unimperator | May 8 2026 10:17 utc | 81

Posted by: Konami | May 8 2026 10:08 utc | 80
 
That is why Russia’s strategy of declaring a mass strike on Kiev might not be effective. It runs into issues:
 
-Kiev regime and its backers literally don’t give a sh#t about Ukrainian civilians
-Kiev regime and its backers will hide any casualties of the EU political elites, ambassadors or ‘diplomats’
-They will use any attack on Kiev to vilify Russia (while ignoring AFU attacks on Russian civilian targets, as always)
 
But yes, IMO, regardless the war needs to get a lot more violent for, mostly western Ukrainians. The response could be directed onto military and logistical targets that actually matter, like Kowel and Lwow rail yards, even if it requires small nukes. That would send a far better message to Brussels and a promise of if you keep screwing around next time will hit where it hurts the EU.

Posted by: unimperator | May 8 2026 10:23 utc | 82

Posted by: petergrfstrm | May 8 2026 8:31 utc | 79
 
The German writer Bertolt Brecht put it that way:
“The curtain  closed and all questions open“
 
Until today files and documents from World War 1 and 2 are kept confidential. Why, if there is nothing to hide? The last chancellor of Germany before Hitler came to power, Heinrich Brüning, who had fled to Switzerland in 1934 and later on lived in the US until his death in 1970, was restricted from leaving the US and was never allowed to return to Germany, not even for the funeral of his sister. Was he a man who knew too much? 
 

Posted by: Lesjeuxsontfaits | May 8 2026 10:26 utc | 83

Wonder how different things would be if Russia actually hit and killed the Eurocrats in one of their countless gatherings in Kiev over past years. But there was nothing to be done, and consequentially they started living under the illusion of perpetual immunity for their own safety, and here we are.
 
Most people in EU would be quite happy to get rid of the non-elected clowns anyway.

Posted by: unimperator | May 8 2026 10:26 utc | 84

@rk 76
 
Time to recall that Medvedev was such an arch Atlanticist that he even made Putin look like a Russian nationalist. I don’t for one femtosecond believe he’s really changed; his ultra-nationalist logorrhoea these days is just posturing for the public. It’s obvious in any case that either
 

  • He is utterly  irrelevant in Moscow since nothing he says is ever reflected in actual actions taken, or

 

  • His threats and warnings are a deliberately crafted safety valve to let Russians and pro Russians frustrated with Putin’s refusal to fight vent steam.

 
In any case nothing is to be expected from him.
 

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | May 8 2026 11:03 utc | 85

.. Recall Medvedev was already President and PM and dealt with the NATO antics in Georgia in 2008 as well as the ongoing Second Chechen War. During his presidency, Russia was still a recovering superpower which he and Putin as PM teamed to implement. Medvedev is only 60 and remains very popular in Russia as head of the United Russia Party.      
Posted by: karlof1 | May 7 2026 23:05 utc | 65

 
Medvedev was president when Russia (and China) fucked up with regard to Libya.

Posted by: tucenz | May 8 2026 11:19 utc | 86

Posted by: Lesjeuxsontfaits | May 8 2026 5:31 utc | 72
 
Just as I was thinking. What I will say is, until/unless a similar warning is issued toward the United States, it feels like a waste of time, if not entirely misguided, to scold the Europeans (Germans especially) while letting the USA off scot-free.

Posted by: joey_n | May 8 2026 11:25 utc | 87

Adjustment to #83
Brüning was not the last chancellor of Germany before Hitler came to power
He was in Office from 1930 – 1932. His two succeccors before Hitler was appointed chancellor were short-time chancellors  General Kurt von Schleicher and Franz von Papen. 

Posted by: Lesjeuxsontfaits | May 8 2026 12:11 utc | 88

Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update, 8th May 2026: May be Useful to Some: Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update

Posted by: The Busker | May 8 2026 12:13 utc | 89

Posted by: karlof1 | May 7 2026 21:33 utc | 53
 
Thank you so much Karl.
 
BTW may I ask you why you have stopped publishing on substack? I really miss your postings there

Posted by: Avtonom | May 8 2026 12:24 utc | 90

Interesting, this 8 hour window (night time mostly but interesting) 
roughly 10% artillery 
roughly 30% drones and missiles outside SMO
roughly 60% sundry drones on Russian positions
 
so yes artillery now less than 15% of AFU military strikes, 85% are different kind of drones
 
RF can and does match that level of drone strikes, and keeps artillery probably on par (5-6x as much as AFU), and FABs probably another equivalent layer
 
Thst Would imply 2.5-3x hits advantage RF
 
and as lethality is different 36 lethal units for AfU and 120-160 for RF on the high side, 22 for afu vs 105–145 for RF
 
so kill ratio can be near 7 even if losses are only 2.5-3
 
quantity has a quality in itself
 
 
n.b. this is 1/3 of a dull day
 
https://tass.com/defense/2128311

Posted by: Newbie | May 8 2026 12:53 utc | 91

 

Heyman_101
@SU_57R
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Russian drones are dropping leaflets over the city of Sumy depicting the May 9th Victory Day Parade. 
 
The text reads: ” Our grandfathers were brothers in the trenches. History separated us. But Victory Day is a memory that cannot be divided.” 
 
Obviously trying to appeal to the brotherly nature between Russia and Ukraine.

 
Source:
 
https://x.com/SU_57R/status/2052441552845484478?s=20
 
Time to recall that Sumy was in the liberated zone in early 2022 before Putin, what else, ordered the Russian military to withdraw as a “goodwill gesture”.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | May 8 2026 13:27 utc | 92

During a Rada investigation, Ukrainian Major Yuri Kasyanov testified his drone unit sent 3000 drones into Russia, but only 1 reached its target.  When he raised the issue of the drone failures, his unit was disbanded and sent to the front as infantry.
 
This is an interesting data point.  I keep reading the same thing here, “PUTIN, PUTIN, PUTIN has failed to defend Russia from Ukrainian drones.”  Then we get the implied, “The Russians need to rise up against PUTIN, PUTIN, PUTIN.”  Except . . . a Ukrainian major is testifying that only one of 3000 drones launched by his unit into Russia actually reached its target.  Who should I believe, Major Kasyanov or the trollsl here?

Posted by: Nobody Special | May 8 2026 14:16 utc | 93

Posted by: unimperator | May 8 2026 10:23 utc | 82
 
Unimperator – you might be right.  The Russians are experiencing an extraordinary degree of provocation and they could respond.
 
 But I hope not!  The speed and violence of the initial Russian invasion of Ukraine was way beyond what was expected in the West.  And I think it was Putin himself who remarked early on that that was a kid gloves response and the gloves would definitely be off  if military action extended to Europe.  It was FAFO time in early 2022 and poking the Bear as vigorously as we and the Americans are doing now could well lead to another FAFO time for Europe in 2026.
 
But it’d be the Europeans who’d do the finding out.  Washington would stand well clear.  Washington consistently fails to back up its proxies when the going gets tough.  The Europeans/UK would be just one in a long line of  US proxies left in the lurch, should the Russians finally decide on full scale military action.  
 
As for limited military action, just to give a warning – one missile, just one, on a Rheinmetall factory and the European/UK defence lobby would live off it for decades.  The EU/UK politicians have been telling us for four years now to look out, the Russians are coming.  They’d seize upon any direct Russian military response, however limited, as clear proof of that.  It would give a much needed boost to their policy of Keynesian militarism and their voters, at present sceptical and increasingly reluctant to incur the expenditure,  would fall in line behind them.
 
It must be a difficult balance for the Putin administration.  On the one hand the European/American attacks of various sorts into Russia are becoming increasingly brazen.  On the other, the Russians want to shut the door on Europe and get on with their business elsewhere.  They don’t want to find themselves in an unnecessary scrap with a Europe that’s going down anyway.
 
So let sleeping Europoodles lie, seems to be their approach even now.  Just hope it stays that way.  As said before if the Russians do respond to the Western provocations, it could be by means of counter-sanctions or their equivalent on Europe rather than by military action.  Though even that could be coals to Newcastle, given that the Euros/UK politicians have shown themselves to be fairly good at imposing sanctions on themselves.
 
……………
 
On the prime responsibility for the attacks into Russia, Sleboda gives a brief account here. (2 mins from 17.30, “If the US as a military …”)
 
https://youtu.be/OmTSMpl3TaQ?t=1053
 
 The picture Sleboda draws, of a Washington faction enabling the attacks whilst Trump lets them get on with it, is entirely convincing.  I don’t think the Europeans have the ISR facilities or the expertise to carry out such work entirely by themselves. 
 
 

Posted by: English Outsider | May 8 2026 15:11 utc | 94

Much of the cross-arguments here on Russia/Ukraine, can be distilled to a basic question of difference: “What sort of war is being fought?”
Probably this is a classic initial step in war analysis, but quite varying are the answers, either here or in Moscow circles, not to mention they’ve changed since the commencement in 2022 (as EU piles more on).

Posted by: Call it what u will | May 8 2026 15:14 utc | 95

@ English Outsider | May 8 2026 15:11 utc | 94
 
thanks eo….. my personal take is this.. the west – usa / uk – will continue to ramp up it’s attacks on russia… at some point russia will have to respond… they might not want to, but they will have to… 

Posted by: james | May 8 2026 15:30 utc | 96

@96
 
RF likely will do for Iran in terms of ISR, what U.S./EU is providing Kiev….
 
With the resistance RF can stand the U.S./EU in deep recession 

Posted by: paddy | May 8 2026 15:40 utc | 97

@ paddy | May 8 2026 15:40 utc | 97
 
yes – true! at what point does it all blow up in the aggressors face??? i think you are right..

Posted by: james | May 8 2026 15:43 utc | 98

Posted by: james | May 8 2026 15:30 utc | 96
 
That’s kind of my view as well: there has to be some line that cannot be crossed.

Posted by: spudski | May 8 2026 15:47 utc | 99

@ spudski | May 8 2026 15:47 utc | 99
 
paddys idea that it is tit for tat and russia is doing in iran what the usa/uk are doing in ukraine makes a lot of sense..

Posted by: james | May 8 2026 15:49 utc | 100

Leave a Comment

Please choose a UNIQUE username and stick to it.


*required entries