Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
April 19, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-079

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

Vladimir Putin acknowledged Russia’s economy contracted by 1.8% in the first two months of 2026…
 
That is an annualized number?  If not, it is not that’s pretty bad.

Posted by: ed4 | Apr 19 2026 14:47 utc | 1

Thanks to Trump starting a war in Iran and driving the Oil & Gas Price up and waiver the Russian Oil & Gas import. The Russian now have enough budget to continue the war in Ukraine.

Posted by: KillerDoll | Apr 19 2026 14:55 utc | 2

A downbeat mood from inside Ukraine:

Why a long war destroys society from the inside

The adherents of eternal war should prepare to live forever in continuous and continuous trash

When any passer-by can shoot anyone walking on the sidewalk.
 
An unquenchable and unceasing war will inevitably produce mentally ill, embittered, satanized, brutalized, militarized, traumatized, stressed, aggressive, and twisted people, all of whom cannot be checked for place of birth and ideological beliefs.
 
Mental-cognitive shifts followed by dehumanization, animalization and devaluation of human life are (I write in capslock, because it does not reach the indomitable in any way) A PRODUCT OF ETERNAL WAR.
 
Whether they are their own psychopaths, or exiles, or accidental or sent – it does not matter. The longer the war continues, the lower the bar will fall. The glorification of death, multiplied by the compulsion to die, multiplied by the devaluation of life, multiplied by uncontrollable hatred – all together create a national catastrophe, from which there will be no one left to get out.
 
Long wars are all the more dangerous because they self-destroy the foundations of human communities, their behavior, ethics, relationships and rules of coexistence. Long wars are dangerous because of the lack of a bottom.
 
Long wars inevitably divide society into 2 categories: murderers and murdered. You can choose if you want.

https://regionews.ua/ukr/blog/ostap-drozdov/1776594555-chomu-dovga-viyna-ruynue-suspilstvo-zseredini (via translation add-on.)
 
Maybe support for a war depends on how clearly the objectives are defined and widely explained. Maybe there is less support for a war that is widely seen as a means by which the corrupt leaders and elites expand their wealth, while dragooning a reluctant population into the armed forces by violent enforcement, with the enforcers themselves also carrying more than a whiff of corruption.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 15:09 utc | 3

The russians can’t even complain about the west, not only drones, but they are getting hit by Ukraine-made missiles lol.
 
Which begs the question, is russian ISR is still so bad that after 4 years they can’t locate ukrainian missile factories?

Posted by: Digo | Apr 19 2026 15:13 utc | 4

From last thread.
 

Sure, Russia hasn’t been able to have it’s way with Ukraine, they should certainly attack more countries.    They are losing on every sale, and can make it up with volume  
Posted by: ed4 | Apr 19 2026 14:44 utc | 133

Posted by: ed4 | Apr 19 2026 14:44 utc | 133 Disagree. Ukraine has nothing domestic, without the ‘strategic EU rear’ it’s nothing. These long range drone strikes on certain assets in Russia is the only thing Ukraine has any real success and that’s enabled by British, French, German and another assorted vassal collection supplying it with drones and/or some missiles. To be honest the best thing Russia can do serving its interests is smack the tunnels and bridges between Ukraine and Poland, even if it means a tiny yield nuke to do the job of collapsing a tunnel or cratering a large railway intersection around Lwow. Together with Black sea port blockade Ukraine is out of business real fast.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 19 2026 15:13 utc | 5

@3 JRS
 
The Evil Rooskies (TM) have ironically poisoned USEUNATO with the SMO~equivalent of polonium and it is a joy to watch their slow death. 

Posted by: AleaJactaEst | Apr 19 2026 15:14 utc | 6

Posted by: Digo | Apr 19 2026 15:13 utc | 4
 
There are no factories, no materials to build missiles inside Ukraine. There is really nothing strategic to hit inside Ukraine anymore, maybe the Polish-Ukrainian tunnels. You see the problem? The next relevant targets are outside Ukraine.
 
The Flamingo F/P is built in Firepoint  factories in UK and/or Denmark, fully funded by the EU developed by BAE and Raytheon engineers.  Nothing Ukrainian about it except the badge.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 19 2026 15:19 utc | 7

A couple of questions for all the trolls: do you support the dragooning of a reluctant population into the armed forces by violent enforcement? Would you like the opportunity to be part of the TCCs in your own countries, when the time comes?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 15:24 utc | 8

Ed4 might want to study Operation Citadal and the Red Army‘s follow up there after. 

Posted by: Exile | Apr 19 2026 15:32 utc | 9

Budanov: Sending Ukrainians to the front is becoming increasingly difficult

https://en.topwar.ru/281269-budanov-otpravljat-ukraincev-na-front-stanovitsja-vse-slozhnee.html
 
An excerpt:

Mobilization remains the only option in Ukraine to maintain the strength of the Ukrainian Armed Forces despite heavy losses. Volunteers and contract soldiers are long gone; they actively volunteered for the fight during the initial period, and today, most of them have already been eliminated. As Ukrainian media outlets admit, the army is currently drafting anyone and everyone, regardless of illness or other factors.

Mobilising the mentally-ill, the addicted, the chronically-sick is not going to produce the effective fighting force needed to push the Russians out of Donbass or Crimea…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 15:46 utc | 10

Bringing this forward from the previous thread:

A weird take on Budanov in Events in Ukraine https://eventsinukraine.substack.com/p/budanov-russian-agent
Posted by: Avtonom | Apr 19 2026 12:31 utc | 128

It is indeed a weird piece; I’m far from convinced Budanov is a Russian intel asset. If anything he is most likely to be CIA-backed, with a proviso that the backing is from a ‘realist’ faction in the CIA, who recognise that Project Ukraine is unravelling and seek to try and salvage something from the wreckage, so possibly Budanov is in place as a “blocker” against some of the more insane tendencies in the US State Dept, the EU and British MI6.
 
He certainly seems protected by some background interests, as his name has not (yet) featured highly in the NABU/SAPO anti-corruption moves.
 
More generally, that Substack is patchy, with some decent stuff at times, at other times there are some downright oddball pieces. I’ve taken it off my list of regular places to visit.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 16:20 utc | 11

Making a habit of submitting comments to dead threads.  “Imperator” picked out a useful Ritter interview (Diesen).
 

Scott Ritter: Russia Threatens Strike on Finland & Baltic States 
 
 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OOLUsj50ZEE
 
 Posted by: unimperator | Apr 19 2026 11:31 utc | 125
 
 Ritter sets out the rational position for the Russians.  The Russians are fully aware that the EU/UK has been attacking them but they haven’t wanted to expand the conflict beyond the Ukrainian theatre.  But the signs are that the Russians are now finding the European attacks unacceptable.
 
 Ritter sees that a possible solution for the Russians lies in taking military action of some sort against the Europeans.  But that ignores the fact that the Russians have another course possible.  As said above they could impose counter-sanctions. 
 
 The Russians didn’t do that in ’22.  At that time counter-sanctions would have been decisive.  But the Russians are shifting their trade to non-Western countries.  They need to be seen as a reliable supplier and trading partner by those countries.  Using the energy weapon against Europe in ’22 would have led to those non-Western countries fearing that Russia might feel free to use the energy weapon against them.
 
 So the Russians continued honouring contracts with the EU when possible and continued to supply energy.   The position is now different.  The Europeans are, to the extent of their limited abilities, conducting open war against Russia.  Visibly so.  We may be sure that the non-Western diplomats and governments are fully aware of that.
 
 So in ’22 the Russians stopping supplies to Europe would have been seen as Russia throwing it’s weight around: using the energy weapon against Europe and thus branding itself as an untrustworthy supplier.  But in ’26 the non-Western countries will not see it like that.  They will see it as reasonable that the Russians should stop supplying a Europe that is at open war with them.
 
 There’s been a great shift in non-Western opinion of this conflict in any case.  At first, Russia taking over the territory of  another country didn’t go down well with most of them.  Say that set a precedent elsewhere!   All very well to say that the Russians were merely liberating an oppressed population   in the Donbass – but what if that reasoning were applied to Kashmir or to Chinese border territories?  Or to many African countries where the boundaries imposed on them at independence did not conform to the population mix on the ground?
 
 Hence the somewhat alarmed reaction of non-Western countries at the time to the Russian takeover of the Donbass and quite possibly of more.  But that was then.  Since that time the use the West was making of  Ukraine has become more evident.  And with events in Gaza the prestige and credibility of the West has in any case dropped like a stone.
 
  So the non-Western countries are now in effect saying to the Russians, sort out the mess in Ukraine as best you can.  We recognise it’s a special case and we’re not worried any more that you’ll use the energy weapon against us, or that border change there will encourage a drive for border change here.
 
 Ritter does not mention that possibility of Russian counter-sanctions.  But unless Ukraine collapses soon the Russians may have to impose them.  That does not of course rule out the possibility of Russian military action against Europe as well, though the Russians will be aware that that’s more likely to inflame European public opinion rather than sober it.  Ritter’s no fool and he points out that risk in the Diesen interview.
 
 I do wonder, however, at Ritter’s confident assertion that the Americans want shot of Ukraine.  How does that square with the Americans continuing to give Ukraine use of its ISR facilities and continuing to supply what arms it has left?  Even if the Europeans are now, according to Trump, paying for those arms, the US is still supplying them.  The US is still very much a party to the conflict.
 
  It’s true that the American President wants out.  He can see the writing on the wall for the Ukrainian venture.  But he’s more than happy to cause the Russians as much damage as he can in the process of getting out; and there’s the problem too that in the faction-ridden US administration, what the US President wants isn’t always what the US gets.
 
 
Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 19 2026 16:15 utc | 135

 

Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 19 2026 16:59 utc | 12

Why does Ukraine need to bring in African immigrants? To dig graves for Ukrainians.
 
No comments.
 
https://x.com/NatasaIvanova9/status/2045837343219732874

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 19 2026 17:45 utc | 13

Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update, 17th April 2026: May be Useful to Some:  (4) Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update

Posted by: The Busker | Apr 19 2026 18:18 utc | 14

There’s been another shooting in Ukraine.

https://news-pravda.com/world/2026/04/19/2253440.html
 
Some Ukrainian sources are claiming it was an incident involving a starting pistol firing blanks, but the brief video clip in the above link appears to show some kind of first-aid assistance to a casualty lying on the ground.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 18:32 utc | 15

@13
They are expendable Hilfswillige to “reduce the risk of body bags for NATO countries”(Soros) soon to be replaced by migrants from the usual countries.

“In the longer term, Kiev has little hopes of recruiting migrant workers from more prosperous countries, but must turn rather to countries in the South Caucus, the Middle East, Asia and Africa. However, given the fact that Ukraine is “a mono-ethnic nation”, a polite paraphrase for Ukrainian nationalism, the promotion of worker migration could lead to substantial societal tensions.[6] Therefore the country will require “a massive mindset shift across all levels of society.””
https://www.german-foreign-policy.com/en/news/detail/9307

Posted by: p3t3r | Apr 19 2026 19:40 utc | 16

Oh boy… the EU member states just keep finding new ways of throwing tax money in the oven for Ukraine. You can be sure they will find schemes to maximally benefit from this.
 

Ukrainians in Ireland are planning to be offered up to 2,500 euros per person and up to 10,000 euros per family to return home – The Sunday Times
 
 
It is reported that the government plans to terminate all contracts for accommodating refugees within a year.
 
 
About 16,000 Ukrainians may return home. Since February 2022, more than 125,000 Ukrainians have received temporary protection in Ireland.
 

https://x.com/SprinterPress/status/2045926120856412185

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 19 2026 20:05 utc | 17

OK, AUH, we got your message, every one of us, you can leave now.

Posted by: Avtonom | Apr 19 2026 20:06 utc | 18

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 16:20 utc | 11
 
I agree, it’s far more likely Budanov is a CIA plant than a Russian one. The Americans have their own way of … thinking? 

Posted by: Avtonom | Apr 19 2026 20:09 utc | 19

Russia’s Prosecutor General’s Office alleges thousands of civilian casualties in Donbas since 2014 and announces genocide charges against Ukrainian officials.
Russian investigators stated that, beginning in April 2014, the accused and other officials ordered Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel and affiliated formations to use artillery, missiles, aircraft, and other weapons against civilians in the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics with the intent of genocide.
“As a result of Ukrainian punitive operations, nearly 5,000 civilians were killed, more than 18,500 were injured, and over 13,500 were wounded, including 1,275 minors,” the Russian Prosecutor General’s Office said.
The office also stated that more than 153,000 civilian infrastructure facilities were partially or completely destroyed, including residential buildings, schools, hospitals, social institutions, industrial and commercial enterprises, utilities, and cultural and religious sites.
 
Al Mayadeen , today.  Full article : https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/ukraine-killed-5-000-civilians-in-donbas-since-2014

Posted by: Red Star | Apr 19 2026 20:10 utc | 20

I wonder if Russia could decide to respond to the Anglo/European Threat with asymmetric tactics, rather than direct military action.  That would be very Putinesque. 
 
In particular, it could start sponsoring and supporting independence movements within enemy nations … like America’s leading henchman in Europe, the disUnited Kingdom, which rivals the Baltic poodle states in terms of Russophobia.
 
The Russians could support (covertly or overtly) Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland in resisting English rule or outright declaring their independence from “Mother” England.
 
Then, there is the question of the disUnited States of America itself, which is also ripe with latent political rebellions and independence movements. 
 
 
 

Posted by: ak74 | Apr 19 2026 20:17 utc | 21

Death to America
Marg bar Âmrikâ
Marg bar Âmrikâ
Marg bar Âmrikâ

Posted by: All Under Heaven | Apr 19 2026 19:55 utc | 17
 
What, all of it? All the way from the Arctic Circle to Cape Horn? That does seem rather drastic, like burning down the entire street to cure a rat infestation in one house.
 
But I guess purity of thought is more important than practical actions and deliverable outcomes to some minds.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 20:28 utc | 22

Posted by: ak74 | Apr 19 2026 20:17 utc | 22
 
If Russia really wants to mess up the EU it could start arming migrant gangs in EU states through Balkan connections. You know, those very nice ‘jihadi’ types with independence aspirations in their respective states like Belgium, Sweden, France, Germany, etc. Chicken coming back home to roost, you know.
 
Ukraine is already selling weapons in Europe through the black market, I wonder if GRU could find ways to ‘contribute’ and ‘enhance’ that.
 
The more Ukraine is losing, the more they will sell weapons inside Europe, so defeating Ukraine alone will also help this process.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 19 2026 20:30 utc | 23

@24 
Should add with EU’s economy crashing and with that social wealth transfers inevitably declining, due to various different factors, including upcoming fuel and energy crisis, will form an ever more fertile soil to migrant uprisings.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 19 2026 20:32 utc | 24

The Americans have their own way of … thinking?

Posted by: Avtonom | Apr 19 2026 20:09 utc | 20
 
Heh, if “thinking” is defined as making it up as we go along and hope for the best.
 
As we can see from both Ukraine and Iran/West Asia, grandiose think-tank plans never survive contact with reality, but the grandiose think-tank plans are all they have, so once those have been busted improvisation is all the US can do, with all the previously believed certainties up in flames.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 20:34 utc | 25

Population under Kiev control is just 26 million today. It grows at a net of 190,000 annually. 82,000 males. If Russia can maintain a harvesting rate of 261+ Ukrainian men a day, Russia is clearly winning.
 
A lucrative vulnerability of war crazy Europe is its financial and economic infrastructure. Cyber attacks can disrupt these but Russia has refrained so far. War must extend to Europe. Putin’s outdated strategies don’t always work. Far more aggression is needed.

Posted by: Jason | Apr 19 2026 20:38 utc | 26

Far more aggression is needed.

Posted by: Jason | Apr 19 2026 20:38 utc | 27
 
Why? The clock ticks for European economies far more aggressively. The clock ticks for Ukrainian civil collapse far more aggressively.
 
Russia doesn’t need to force any issues too bluntly, just sit back and await unfolding events, with a little bit of egging-on here and there.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 20:43 utc | 27

As for this:

It grows at a net of 190,000 annually. 82,000 males

Posted by: Jason | Apr 19 2026 20:38 utc | 27
 
Could you please provide a link to your source? Because all I can find are Ukrainian sources bemoaning the population shrinkage.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 20:52 utc | 28

But AUH – that’s because I don’t want to “cripple America”!  Or indeed see it crippled.  Apart from the fact that I have relatives and friends living all over the place there, why would I want to see 350 million people hurt?
 
Wouldn’t mind seeing Trump removed though.  He was supposed to be the poacher turned gamekeeper.  Took me and quite a few others for a ride, dammit.  And do please, AUH, stop shouting “Death to America”.  There are quite a few articles and comments here I’d like to forward to others.  How can I do that when alongside them there’s “Death to America”  sprinkled around everywhere?   Embarrassing.
 
If you’d like to know my own position on the war in Ukraine it’s set out in the comment section here – https://canadiandimension.com/articles/view/squaring-an-impossible-circle-of-peace-and-insecurity-in-ukraine – though I’m afraid some of the comments are very long.  But it could well be that you don’t want to know my own position on the war in Ukraine.  Doesn’t matter if so.
 
By the way, there’s no evidence that Biden was in any way involved in blowing up those pipelines.  Doubt there ever will be.

Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 19 2026 20:59 utc | 29

Posted by: Avtonom | Apr 19 2026 20:09 utc | 20

The Americans have their own way of … thinking? 

Here’s one idea: The USA has a somewhat diverse set of elites. There are power factions, and occasionally we see divergences in policy. This is not (as you know) about Republican vs. Democrat parties but rather about neocons vs. realists, finance vs. other capital.
 
I’m writing all that because I’m not convinced there’s much of such factionalism anymore in EUrope. It used to exist. For example, German chancellors until at least Merkel were strong powers (or if you will: tools of) German industry. It’s not hidden: lobbying for German car industry needs in Brussels, insistence on North Stream (the one project that Merkel saw through throughout her entire career). Is there anything like that left? In any EUropean country? (If you have data, please share.) I file this under extreme vassalisation. This is not because of poor quality of EUreopan “leaders” but also why they’re there in the first place.

Posted by: Konami | Apr 19 2026 21:08 utc | 30

Great to see that the american exceptionalist All Under Heaven is spreading the good word in this thread too.
 
He’ll hand in his full BINGO card as soon as he has reports on every single human MOA poster. (EO: we know who you are! Thank you for all the postings.)

Posted by: Konami | Apr 19 2026 21:10 utc | 31

Beats me what the indigenous Amazonian peoples have done to offend @ All Under Heaven such that he calls for their death…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 21:18 utc | 32

Come to think of it, that is the first time I’ve seen @ All Under Heaven make a post in a topic about Ukraine.
 
Perhaps his post does not have the best of intentions…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 21:26 utc | 33

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 19 2026 15:19 utc | 7
 
What this about tunnels?  Why do they need a tunnel?  Stuff just gets driven over the border or comes by train.    

Posted by: ed4 | Apr 19 2026 21:43 utc | 34

Posted by: Exile | Apr 19 2026 15:32 utc | 9 “Operation Citadal and the Red Army‘s follow up there after.
 
When and with what are the Russians going to launch a counter to a Ukrainian Operation Citadel like operation?  If the Russians had those type of resources why haven’t they done something with them already?  It’s not like Ukraine has the resources to launch a current version of Operation Citadel.  So if the Russians are waiting for that, they are going to wait a long time.

Posted by: ed4 | Apr 19 2026 21:52 utc | 35

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 21:26 utc | 34

Perhaps his post does not have the best of intentions…

That’s a very careful way of stating it 🙂 Let me explain why I write AUH = american exceptionalist. This is not a joke.
 
1. Let’s look at Jews. These are of high importance for two kinds of non-Jewish people: first, those who despise them. The classical nazis but Jew hate comes in many colors. The mainstream says “antisemitism” but the word has become unusable. Second, those who express their special love to Jews — philosemites. They really exist, German mainstream culture is full of them. At first glance, two entirely different camps. What unifies them? For all of them, Jews are exceptional.
 
2. Now the USA. Here, one camp consists of traditional exceptionalists, classically all from the USA but since 1945 they also hail from EU, Australia etc. I learned about “the shining city on the hill”, “God’s own country”, “the indispensible nation” from Obama but later found out it’s a long tradition. The other camp is nicely represented by AUH: he’s as “anti-American” as one could be. For either camp, the USA is exceptional, just with opposite signs.
 
Bonus observation: both pro-US and anti-US exceptionalists insist on saying “America” instead of “USA”. What about humans in Manitoba, Cuba, Bogota or Patagonia? Doesn’t matter!

Posted by: Konami | Apr 19 2026 21:54 utc | 36

Israel and USA have shown how to punish the enemy if it attacks their troops. Russia should follow. Nice guy wars are over.

Posted by: Jason | Apr 19 2026 21:54 utc | 37

Posted by: Konami | Apr 19 2026 21:54 utc | 37
no one on this planet thinks “death to america” means anything other than “death to the USA.” who thinks it means “death to Cuba”?
 
DEATH TO AMERICA
DEATH TO ISRAEL
DEATH TO ICE
DEATH TO IDF
DEATH TO MI6
DEATH TO THE FBI
GUILLOTINES FOR THE BOURGEOISIE
 
etc. etc. if you think that such statements are a call to kill people per se, you have confused institutions with human beings. which is the whole problem.
 
DEATH TO LANGUAGE POLICING

Posted by: duck n cover | Apr 19 2026 22:10 utc | 38

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 19 2026 20:30 utc | 24
 
Yes, the GRU could also aid those “Latin drug cartel/gangs” to foment chaos inside the USA.
 
The dirty secret is that the USA itself has been supporting and arming these Latin drug cartels for decades–even as it claims to fighting a “War on Drugs. ”
 
So the GRU would only be piggybacking onto what the Americans have been doing themselves. 🙂
 
 

Posted by: ak74 | Apr 19 2026 22:10 utc | 39

duck n cover: several people have pointed out how the “Death to America” chants make it harder to share this forum with others.
 
And this is a forum: we talk but real change happens elsewhere. Guys like AUH out-true-scotsmanning everyone else achieves… nothing. Or even less than that if they manage to derail conversation which IMO is the goal.

Posted by: Konami | Apr 19 2026 22:12 utc | 40

duck n cover: several people have pointed out how the “Death to America” chants make it harder to share this forum with others.
 
Posted by: Konami | Apr 19 2026 22:12 utc | 41
 

– and yet it’s the Iranian street chant par excellence, which AUH quotes three times in Farsi — just so we know where his sympathies lie.
 
Of course, your fears about sharing this site to other Westerners, who would be turned off AUH’s signature parting shot, are justified because Westerners are, in the overwhelming majority, uninterested in what Iranians think, and why.

Posted by: malenkov | Apr 19 2026 22:25 utc | 41

add. to malenkov | Apr 19 2026 22:25 utc | 42
 
Or perhaps even Westerners are, in the overwhelming majority, offended by Iranians’ taking offense with the USA.

Posted by: malenkov | Apr 19 2026 22:27 utc | 42

Beats me what the indigenous Amazonian peoples have done to offend @ All Under Heaven such that he calls for their death…
 
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 19 2026 21:18 utc | 33

 
You can do better than such puerile silliness. WhenIranians chant “Marg bar Âmrikâ” they aren’t wishing the demose of, say, Mexico or Uruguay.

Posted by: malenkov | Apr 19 2026 22:30 utc | 43

Xi will not get a better chance at Taiwan if he misses this one. Now’s the time. PRC has amassed enough firepower to bust open the Taiwan issue and sort it out once and for all. Iran war and Taiwan strait war at the same time will cut off Japan sufficiently not to interfere. PRC must move now or forget about Taiwan as Japan seriously expands offensive capabilities and Taiwan keeps transferring its tech to USA. After the war in Iran, NATO will focus on the PRC with a weakened Russia unable to help. Time runs out for USA too as the PRC add nukes faster than any other country.

Posted by: Jason | Apr 19 2026 22:45 utc | 44

malenkov: yes but this isn’t a central square in Isfahan, it’s a forum with mostly Western participants.
 
I understand that people are angry but the “I am so much tougher on this issue than you are” posture is just stupid.
 
Iran’s officials are pointing out time and again that their enemy is not the US population, see the open letter of the Supreme Leader. Talking/writing tough in a forum is just weak IMO.

Posted by: Konami | Apr 19 2026 22:54 utc | 45

Patrick Henningsen’s view on the Russian warning to baltlet villages and Funland.
 
https://21stcenturywire.com/2026/04/18/russias-security-chief-issues-final-warning-to-four-nato-states/

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 19 2026 22:58 utc | 46

Jeremy R-L:  “… grandiose think-tank plans never survive contact with reality, … so once those have been busted improvisation is all the US can do …”
 
What are you trying to say there, Jeremy?  You are normally so concise and precise.  As the boxer said — Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face.  It is well established in military history that (a) we need to start with a plan, and (b) we will need to modify that plan as operations proceed, changing the initial conditions.  Indeed, we could call that the OODA Loop, except that Col. Boyd beat us to it.  This need to be nimble applies to everyone, not just to the US.
 
Of course plans never survive contact with reality.  Of course victory goes to the side which does the best job of modifying the original plans in the light of changing circumstances — we could call that “improvisation”.  This is all so obvious and normal that it is tough to see what point you were trying to get across.  I say that as someone who finds most of your comments to be useful and enlightening.

Posted by: Gavin Longmuir | Apr 19 2026 23:11 utc | 47

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 19 2026 22:58 utc | 47
 
This is super important but the source is slightly imprecise. Finland did follow official protocol and complained to Ukraine about the drone. This is why the last sentence in your link mentions the three Baltic statelets only. I interpret this as Finland’s leadership aiming for second place in Russia’s target hierarchy. A trace of self-preservation instinct! Like Estonia’s official announcement that they wouldn’t seize Russia-bound ships.
 
I believe that most people in the West, including leaders, chalk off Moscow’s warning as same old, same old: just more posturing, another stupid red line. Thomas Röper from Anti-Spiegel points out that the Western public hears about “Putin’s gonna attack! Any moment now!!” every single day but they *did not* hear about this specific waring. That makes sense: it’ll mean that should Russia retaliate, it’ll look unprovoked, exactly what’s needed for Brussel PR spin. They can do an entire 2022 again, complete with Baltic flags on X and in front of town halls.

Posted by: Konami | Apr 19 2026 23:11 utc | 48

Iran just recruited a volunteer reserve army of 26 million militia solders, in addition to one million regular army soldiers and 2 million regular reserve soldiers…………….
 
RF needs to do the same thing, turn up temp and get to Odessa, Transnistria and the Hungarian border and quickly too.
 
There is no time to waste, the US and NATO are too busy acting as Zionist bodymen! 

Posted by: tobias cole | Apr 19 2026 23:48 utc | 49

Tobias Cole // 50
 
Why does Russia need to remove 26 million Russians from the civilian work force?  Wouldn’t that cause the collapse of entire sectors of the Russian economy from the loss of experienced workers?  If Russian companies can’t manufacture their goods, wouldn’t that force Russia to import consumer goods?  Wouldn’t that lead to a drain on the ruble from a negative balance of trade?  Wouldn’t that weaken the Russian government?  Why would Russia do something so stupid?
 
I’m trying to remember, were you the idiot who claimed over on the Iran thread that Iran would increase its “efficiency” if it scraped its self reliant industry and began importing goods from other countries?  I remember mocking whoever posted that stupid piece of garbage, but I can’t remember who posted it.

Posted by: Nobody Special | Apr 20 2026 0:29 utc | 50

malenkov: yes but this isn’t a central square in Isfahan, it’s a forum with mostly Western participants.
 
Posted by: Konami | Apr 19 2026 22:54 utc | 46

 
So we should limit our comments to what “mostly Western participants” want to hear?

Posted by: malenkov | Apr 20 2026 0:36 utc | 51

malenkov: it’s alright. If you believe that writing “Death to America” in an online forum helps the cause, then more power to you.

Posted by: Konami | Apr 20 2026 0:44 utc | 52

@ Konami | Apr 20 2026 0:44 utc | 53
 
I don’t see it as a question of helping or hurting the cause (what cause, btw?). I see it as an expression of a legitimate grievance — shared by more than just the Iranians, I imagine. 
 
If you don’t like the expression, explain why it is wrong or unjustified.

Posted by: malenkov | Apr 20 2026 0:58 utc | 53

Maybe I should play Tropico game to know how a dictator like Trump would feel

Posted by: KillerDoll | Apr 20 2026 4:21 utc | 54

Aleksandr Kharchenko writes:
 
On the current situation
 
Yes, we’re not coping. We’re all in this together. Me, and you, who are reading this text. For four years, we’ve been living in a state of limbo. The army is fighting, but the rest of us could just sit this out. The redeployment on the Kharkiv front gave an impetus to changes, but it fizzled out. After repelling the 2023 counteroffensive, we convinced ourselves that victory would just fall into our laps. We just had to wait.
 
No, it didn’t fall. The enemy mobilized his modest resources. He switched to drone technology and is pushing hard for a robot war. That’s when we’ll have to trade a living human for an aerial creature.
 
Ukrainians have another strong trait. They’ve switched to total war. In recent months, they’ve intensified mobilization exponentially. Now they’re even inserting religious narratives into their propaganda. You can laugh all you want, but the Ukrainian leadership is preparing to win this confrontation. They’ve discarded all other options and staked everything on a military solution.
 
I can’t say the same about us. We’re still concerned about the price of lattes. This is a dangerous trend. In war, pragmatism and fanaticism will triumph in the end.
 
We’re being lured into negotiations while the West constantly increases the costs of our country’s military operations. But what will we do if we fail to reach an agreement this year?
 
For now, it seems the Ukrainians won’t withdraw from Donbass. They can only be defeated on the battlefield. You can throw stones at me, but under current circumstances, we won’t be able to break their back.
 

I’ll say it again: we’re being led down the path of controlled escalation. This is a sure way to the gallows. It’s time to turn the tables. Mobilization and waging total war with all our strength and resources is a very logical decision. Yes, our lives will get worse, but we’ll live. Don’t kid yourself – no one will leave us in peace.
 
So drink your latte with banana flavor while politicians discuss peace. If the negotiations fail, we’ll start packing our bags and studying drones at full speed. There’s no other option.
 
P.S. In my understanding, total war isn’t about blocking the internet. Total war is about mobilizing all available resources and using them as efficiently as possible. Without internet and communication, we won’t be able to transition to a robot war.
 
Alexander Kharchenko

 
Source:
 
https://t.me/MasnoChat_2/448714
 
___________________________
 
The problem is the fact that Putin has always looked first to securing the income streams of his oligarch cronies. Literally everything Putin does is after making sure that his oligarch cronies will not suffer unduly. How many Russian oligarchs still have business interests in Ukranazistan? In 2022 Putin even delayed mobilisation until it could no longer be delayed because mobilised people couldn’t work for oligarchs and they’d have to hire replacements.
 
I’m convinced, and have been since the failed Istanbul negotiations in 2022, that Putin doesn’t have any plan to win this war and in fact would rather not win this war if it comes in the way of any possible future rapproachement with the EUstanis with whom he is still hopelessly in love. While he can’t surrender, as long as he’s in power this conflict will go on and on because he won’t take the necessary economic and military actions necessary to finish it.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Apr 20 2026 5:29 utc | 55

Tobias Cole @50
 
Russia will do nothing as long as Putin remains in power. He would rather keep the war going at what he imagines to be a “tolerable” level indefinitely rather than take the steps required to win. 
 
Unfortunately Ukranazistan is not playing to the same rulebook and is mobilising everything for total war – and while its EU owners’ floundering attempts to make their economies over to war production have been fairly mockable so far, they’ll not remain so,  especially since war will now increasingly depend on low cost, mass produced, unmanned systems. So killing off masses of Ukrainian cannon fodder dragged off the streets will make no difference to the real war, where Russia is still struggling to make ground.
 
 

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Apr 20 2026 5:35 utc | 56

English Outsider@12
 
RF did interrupt gas supplies to the EU sometime in early 2010s

Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Apr 20 2026 5:37 utc | 57

Masno writes 
 

Russia seemingly, has very few answers, just some big juicy targets. Granted, Ukraine is also being bombed, but let me tell you, huge numbers of Russian drones are being shot down. Anyway, let the Generals sort it out and come up with answers.

 
Will Putin let the generals come up with answers?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Apr 20 2026 5:39 utc | 58

tobias cole@50
 
UA is merely a battle for RF. You dont kill yourself to win a battle when you are in a war.

Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Apr 20 2026 5:46 utc | 59

Armchair General @60 reminds me of the Syrian who told me in 2012 that Syria was using its old T-55 and T-62 tanks against the headchoppers because the “modern tanks are for real war, and this is just to stop proxy invaders”.
That went well, right?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Apr 20 2026 5:48 utc | 60

Xi will not get a better chance at Taiwan if he misses this one. Now’s the time. PRC has amassed enough firepower to bust open the Taiwan issue and sort it out once and for all. Iran war and Taiwan strait war at the same time will cut off Japan sufficiently not to interfere. PRC must move now or forget about Taiwan as Japan seriously expands offensive capabilities and Taiwan keeps transferring its tech to USA. After the war in Iran, NATO will focus on the PRC with a weakened Russia unable to help.
 
Posted by: Jason | Apr 19 2026 22:45 utc | 45
 
Japan is mosquito. The Chinese will not bomb their island instead they will wait for a favorite election result. Do you know how Burgina Faso guys removed Americans from their land? they opened the gates of their base and let Wagner get in, “this is no longer John’s bed now it is Artem’s” Yankees FO’d after a day.  I also don’t get the “weakened Russia” thing since their army is several times better than it was in 2002 and gasoline tanks can be replaced in less than a week. There is a very deep misunderstanding about Russians and how they feel about things, maybe you do not know how many times Golden Horde burnt down Moscow but i bet you do now what happened in the end.  

Posted by: 667 | Apr 20 2026 6:33 utc | 61

Biswapriya Purkayastha@61
 
I guess it did. Your suggestion that depleting their arsenals early would make it all ponnies and rainbows is naive.

Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Apr 20 2026 6:36 utc | 62

Where do you see RF weakened? What do you see as lowering the “PRC chance” from now into the future? I see RF fixed its decayed military, NATO depleted, Trumps purges damaged the US military on top of the depletion, China building its military up and surpassing NATO by orders of magnitude in the foreseeable future.

Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Apr 20 2026 6:47 utc | 63

@ Biswapriya Purkayastha | Apr 20 2026 5:29 utc | 56
Russia builds supersonic weapons but that takes time if they have to fight the EU as some of you would prefer. Russia probably has done the calculations about how extensive destruction they need to do and at this point they are not likely to think they have enough for the kind of war that may await them. Next question I am  not sure of is exactly what kind of damage does Russia need to do to?
 
I suspect that in Russias computer simulations they have considered scaring a few EU contries causing them costly destruction.
 
But that might only wet the appetite of the establishment who are more than willing to sacrifice the lifs and will direct the war drums.
 
I get the impression that the whole west except us in the minority are so conditioned that they may actually be inclined to wander into death valley like somnambulists.
 
Metaphysical aspect: If there is a higher power it may want this to happen to decrease our numbers.
 
Russias choice may not be about Putin loving the EU but about the Russian analysts predicting how bad the insanity in the west is 

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Apr 20 2026 7:33 utc | 64

Bulgaria headed for Eu-skeptic win
 
https://www.rt.com/news/638699-bulgaria-election-latest-live/

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Apr 20 2026 9:35 utc | 65

Thomas Röper has translated an article by German Polyssalov who argues that the much talked about shortage of US missiles is a false front. He argues that it’s a media campaign to justify the militarisation campaign. Some figures from the article:

  • Marco Rubio’s “USA can only produce 6 or 7 interceptor rockets per month” is planned disinformation. Current monthly production of PAC-3 MSE + SM-3 is >70 now and will reach 120 by 2030.
  • Why these numbers: production plants for THAAD and SM-3 missilies were expanded in Troy and Huntsville (Alabama). New plants for PAC-3 MSE opened in Camden (Arkansas).
  • His claim: the meagre production numbers until now aren’t the result of production limits but of military and political logic: an uncontrolled increase of interceptor systems (all large heights and out of athmosphere) would pose a direct threat to Russia/China’s deterrence and trigger an arm’s race.
  • Today’s war against Iran creates the “necessary dearth”, providing Washington with the pretext to expand existing production and spend billions on new ones.

Translation of the closing sentence:

The conflict with Iran therefore serves as a catalyst for the legitimization and financing of the global commitment of the American war machinery, whose capabilities have been developed systematically towards dominance in the Pacific theatre throughout the last decade.

https://anti-spiegel.ru/2026/wie-erschoepft-sind-die-vorraete-der-usa-an-raketen-wirklich/
 
Original article: https://zvezdaweekly.ru/news/2026318115-lVXtC.html

Posted by: Konami | Apr 20 2026 10:27 utc | 66

Wrong thread but then again, sort of not. It’s all blending together.

Posted by: Konami | Apr 20 2026 10:30 utc | 67

Posted by: Konami | Apr 20 2026 10:27 utc | 66
 
Well, it’s to be expected. US will try to push the EUrotards to war against Russia by 2029 while profiting from it. If there’s long term ‘demand’ then production will be expanded.
 
We will have to look for how many new Patriot PAC-3 systems EU is getting over coming years. Germany pledged to fund ‘hundreds’ of Patriot PAC-3 missiles to Ukraine, dishing out 3.2 billion Euros to Raytheon and another 400M Euros for IRIS-T launchers.
 
Of course it won’t affect much as Patriot PAC-3 is incapable of stopping anything except the subsonic cruise missiles, while drones are becoming faster with turbojet engines.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 20 2026 10:36 utc | 68

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 20 2026 10:36 utc | 68
 
I agree. I made that posting to counter the convenient hope “USA is running out of military stuff”. Let’s not delude ourselves.

US will try to push the EUrotards to war against Russia by 2029 while profiting from it.

That was the original plan, I believe. They seem to hasten EU’s war on Russia. I guess because Ukraine is in a worse state then expected and the Iran war isn’t going as planned either. The vassals have to march in! There won’t be any marching, of course. It’ll be missile and drone pingpong: keeps Russia busy near the motherland, kills Russians (always a noble goal in itself for the West) and strenghtens the EU home front.

Of course it won’t affect much as Patriot PAC-3 is incapable of stopping anything except the subsonic cruise missiles, while drones are becoming faster with turbojet engines.

Yes. This war is not fought to win against Russia, so missiles hitting EUrope is no big deal (even has advantages). It’s good enough that Russia can’t use classical warfare (troops, tanks) and that the war is long. And stays conventional. Washington surely thinks these goals can be met.

Posted by: Konami | Apr 20 2026 10:46 utc | 69

The Chinese will not bomb their island instead they will wait for a favorite election result.
Posted by: 667 | Apr 20 2026 6:33 utc | 61
 
Because elections are real in Taiwan, right? And previously this “strategy” worked so well in Ukr, right?
And why you think about bombing the island? Bibi is that you? The perfect time for decapitation was at the start of smo. But Xi was afraid, Pelosi pissed on his feelings and that was the end of it. If he’s a nice boy Trump will let him keep his chair for as long as he wants, but record trade with Israel is not enough. He has to trade only with US approved partners and vote for UN action against Iran or “Taiwan” will attack for “independence” and US will start a new forever war like in Russia. The SK and Japanese puppets can also be activated, it’s not like they exist for other reasons.

Posted by: rk | Apr 20 2026 10:56 utc | 70

Posted by: rk | Apr 20 2026 10:56 utc | 70

Xi was afraid, Pelosi pissed on his feelings … If he’s a nice boy

Geopolitics is never about feelings. It’s power, interests, domains, diplomatic capital and so on.
 
Example: when Moscow decided to drop the ball on Syria, there was a lot of “Putin weak” ululating on this forum. It was a sober benefit-cost calculation made in the Kremlin.

Posted by: Konami | Apr 20 2026 11:02 utc | 71

@ petergrfstrm, §64:
Three well directed oreshniks on Chatham House, GCHQ and MI6 (85 Albert Embankment) would knock the stuffing out of the jackal (UK) leading the European pack.

Posted by: John Marks | Apr 20 2026 11:17 utc | 72

Posted by: John Marks | Apr 20 2026 11:17 utc | 72 “Three well directed oreshniks on Chatham House, GCHQ and MI6 (85 Albert Embankment)”
Do they have 3?  If so, why haven’t they used them in Ukraine?

Posted by: ed4 | Apr 20 2026 12:21 utc | 73

“RF did interrupt gas supplies to the EU sometime in early 2010s”
 
Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Apr 20 2026 5:37 utc | 57
 
Several times.  There was a running battle between the EU and Russia over gas supplies throughout that decade and beyond.
 
The Russians wanted fixed contracts.  That was because they wanted a secure return on the investment needed for installations and pipelines.  The Europeans preferred to buy spot, that freeing them up to take advantage of market dips.  The European preference for spot definitely paid off when there was over-supply in the market.  We got natural gas at very low prices.  But it was swings and roundabouts.  When the market was tight we found ourselves paying over the odds.
 
The Europeans also didn’t want to be tied to a main supplier, particularly a supplier of such importance and one that controlled both infrastructure and supply.  I still remember all the jousting over the “Third Energy Package”.  Seemed to go on for ever.  In the course of that the Russians sometimes supplied less gas than the Europeans wanted.  But I don’t recall any time when they broke a fixed contract.  Could be wrong.
 
There was also the separate question of supplies through Ukraine.  That was a never ending source of dispute and sometimes led to disruption of flow.    The Ukrainians thought the Russians were in the wrong and the Russians the Ukrainians.  But again I don’t recall the Russians breaking contracts for the hell of it.  They tend to keep any political disputes that might be going on separate from commercial contracts.  
 
That was very much their reputation during the first Cold War.  We’d be at daggers drawn with them but the deliveries kept coming as agreed.  Same today.  At the height of the proxy war hysteria in ’22 there’d still be Russian tankers coming in with LNG for us.  That stopped pretty soon but the stoppage was a result of the UK import ban, not because the Russians refused to sell. 
 
As said above, although it looked stupid for the Russians to be supplying an adversary at such a time, they wanted to keep their reputation for honouring contracts.  If you look at the extensive arrangements the Russians are now making to supply China with hydrocarbons, the Chinese need to be sure that the Russians won’t break contracts if there’s some sort of political dispute in the future.  So that reputation is crucially important.
 
All that’s not to say that the Russians aren’t bastards to negotiate with when they’re agreeing contracts.  The EU found that out in the 2010’s.  But once the agreement’s made it’s solid.  They  don’t live in Trump world or UvdL world when it comes to business.

Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 20 2026 12:23 utc | 74

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Apr 20 2026 7:33 utc | 64
 
In a ‘normal’ democracy the EU would have collapsed already. The reason it hasn’t is because it’s actually a party controlled dictatorship, much like the Soviet Union was. Except EU has non of the ‘good characteristics’ of USSR but all the worst characteristics of it.
 
I still think Russia should start helping push arms inside EU, especially using migrants as a tool. Belgium, France, Sweden, Germany and UK are notoriously good targets to cause some mayhem. It may also use Ukrainians as agents.
 
It could also launch a covert sabotage campaign on European gas and oil infrastructure, adding the pain of energy deficiency and pushing European states closer to collapse, which is already happening.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 20 2026 12:25 utc | 75

For four years, we’ve been living in a state of limbo.
Yes, the chess maxim “The threat is stronger than the execution”, can hang over the heads of the populace as a sword of Damocles, when wars (even “winning” ones) become protracted.

Posted by: Call it what u will | Apr 20 2026 13:25 utc | 76

Posted by: Konami | Apr 20 2026 10:46 utc | 69

I dont believe it!! How do they ramp up Production when China doesnt sell the Materials for it? 🙄

Posted by: Nobody | Apr 20 2026 14:08 utc | 77

Posted by: ed4 | Apr 20 2026 12:21 utc | 73

Ok, 1 then with 12 Subs split per Target….🙄

Posted by: Nobody | Apr 20 2026 14:09 utc | 78

TNA: Brian Berletic
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MHZrDYoshq0
 
“Western media hails more Ukraine ‘wonder weapons’ – that Russia also has.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Apr 20 2026 14:26 utc | 79

@unimperator | Apr 20 2026 12:25 utc | 75
Maybe Russia doesnt want to act like the US/UK. Russia is seeking to see international law become the norm finally. If Russia did what you suggest the US/EU might return the favour and let Ukrainians infiltrate Russia and pick up the weapons packages. And go berserk and then blame Russia.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Apr 20 2026 15:02 utc | 80

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Apr 20 2026 15:02 utc | 80
There can be no doubt – Russia abides “International Law” – in its own interest I reckon.
But nonetheless, Odesa beckons.

Posted by: Ken Hausle | Apr 20 2026 15:26 utc | 81

Is Bulgaria about to replace Hungary as the anti EU, EU member ?
 
Until Orban’s return to power  this  might have to do just fine!

Posted by: tobias cole | Apr 20 2026 15:49 utc | 82

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Apr 20 2026 15:02 utc | 80
 
‘Ukraine’ is already doing terrorist attacks in Russia as many as they can, and attacking oil and gas infrastructure.
 
Doing the same to the EU is merely a counter to what has already been happening.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 20 2026 15:58 utc | 83

Nobody Special 50 – no, you have the wrong poster………thank you very much, no apologies needed !
 
RF needs more divisions, and you do not form them out of hot air.  There needs to be a mobilization of some degree, and it does not have to be 26 million reserve soldiers like Iran, but it certainly needs to be substantial, (and a couple more NK divisions would not hurt either), after all how many NATO units are now fighting for the Ukronazis anyway?

Posted by: tobias cole | Apr 20 2026 16:00 utc | 84

The strategy this dry season has to be ‘get to Odessa’!

Posted by: tobias cole | Apr 20 2026 16:03 utc | 85

Here, by the way, is the list of companies in Germany that have been explicitly named as legitimate targets by the Russian Ministry of Defense:
DaVinci Avia GmbH, Lerchenauer Straße 28, 80809 Munich (Coordinates: 48°11’06.6“N 11°33’29.9”E)
Airlogix (Office/Representative), Zeppelinstraße 18, 82205 Gilching (Coordinates: 48°05’23.2“N 11°17’50.2”E)
3W-Professional GmbH, Industriestraße 10, 63450 Hanau (Coordinates: 50°07’33.1“N 8°56’52.4”E)

Posted by: xblob | Apr 20 2026 16:54 utc | 86

There are no factories, no materials to build missiles inside Ukraine. There is really nothing strategic to hit inside Ukraine anymore, maybe the Polish-Ukrainian tunnels. You see the problem? The next relevant targets are outside Ukraine. The Flamingo F/P is built in Firepoint  factories in UK and/or Denmark, fully funded by the EU developed by BAE and Raytheon engineers.  Nothing Ukrainian about it except the badge.
Posted by: unimperator | Apr 19 2026 15:19 utc | 7
 
Strange thing to say – if there is nothing to hit in Ukraine why doesn’t Russia just roll Ukraine up and defeat the Ukrainians and Win The War.
 
Roll into Kyiv and Odesa and kick the Ukrainians out.
 
What the heck are they waiting for?!?!? If, as you say, there is nothing of value to hit – why don’t the Russians just get a move on and start advancing against the empty fields of Ukraine?

Posted by: Julian | Apr 20 2026 17:02 utc | 87

“Doing the same to the EU is merely a counter to what has already been happening.”
@unimperator | Apr 20 2026 15:58 utc | 83
But Russia has accepted it for years already, for some reason.
I think Russia has expected escalation at some point but the devil is in the details.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Apr 20 2026 17:04 utc | 88

Posted by: tobias cole | Apr 20 2026 16:00 utc | 84
 
RF needs more divisions, and you do not form them out of hot air. 
 
Russia has all the military people required if it mobilises – everyone that holds a Military Ticket. I for one hope that this does not occur, because mobilisation includes my eldest daughter and eldest nephew. They would not go to the front, my daughter to a military hospital, and my nephew to the GU, (formerly GRU). There are millions of people holding Military Tickets.

Posted by: Peter Williams | Apr 20 2026 17:05 utc | 89

Re: Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 19 2026 16:15 utc | 135
Re: Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 19 2026 16:59 utc | 12
 

Scott Ritter: Russia Threatens Strike on Finland & Baltic States   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OOLUsj50ZEE  Posted by: unimperator | Apr 19 2026 11:31 utc | 125  Ritter sets out the rational position for the Russians.  The Russians are fully aware that the EU/UK has been attacking them but they haven’t wanted to expand the conflict beyond the Ukrainian theatre.  But the signs are that the Russians are now finding the European attacks unacceptable.  Ritter sees that a possible solution for the Russians lies in taking military action of some sort against the Europeans.  But that ignores the fact that the Russians have another course possible.  As said above they could impose counter-sanctions.   The Russians didn’t do that in ’22.  At that time counter-sanctions would have been decisive.  But the Russians are shifting their trade to non-Western countries.  They need to be seen as a reliable supplier and trading partner by those countries.  Using the energy weapon against Europe in ’22 would have led to those non-Western countries fearing that Russia might feel free to use the energy weapon against them.  So the Russians continued honouring contracts with the EU when possible and continued to supply energy.   The position is now different.  The Europeans are, to the extent of their limited abilities, conducting open war against Russia.  Visibly so.  We may be sure that the non-Western diplomats and governments are fully aware of that.  So in ’22 the Russians stopping supplies to Europe would have been seen as Russia throwing it’s weight around: using the energy weapon against Europe and thus branding itself as an untrustworthy supplier.  But in ’26 the non-Western countries will not see it like that.  They will see it as reasonable that the Russians should stop supplying a Europe that is at open war with them.  There’s been a great shift in non-Western opinion of this conflict in any case.  At first, Russia taking over the territory of  another country didn’t go down well with most of them.  Say that set a precedent elsewhere!   All very well to say that the Russians were merely liberating an oppressed population   in the Donbass – but what if that reasoning were applied to Kashmir or to Chinese border territories?  Or to many African countries where the boundaries imposed on them at independence did not conform to the population mix on the ground?  Hence the somewhat alarmed reaction of non-Western countries at the time to the Russian takeover of the Donbass and quite possibly of more.  But that was then.  Since that time the use the West was making of  Ukraine has become more evident.  And with events in Gaza the prestige and credibility of the West has in any case dropped like a stone.   So the non-Western countries are now in effect saying to the Russians, sort out the mess in Ukraine as best you can.  We recognise it’s a special case and we’re not worried any more that you’ll use the energy weapon against us, or that border change there will encourage a drive for border change here.  Ritter does not mention that possibility of Russian counter-sanctions.  But unless Ukraine collapses soon the Russians may have to impose them.  That does not of course rule out the possibility of Russian military action against Europe as well, though the Russians will be aware that that’s more likely to inflame European public opinion rather than sober it.  Ritter’s no fool and he points out that risk in the Diesen interview.  I do wonder, however, at Ritter’s confident assertion that the Americans want shot of Ukraine.  How does that square with the Americans continuing to give Ukraine use of its ISR facilities and continuing to supply what arms it has left?  Even if the Europeans are now, according to Trump, paying for those arms, the US is still supplying them.  The US is still very much a party to the conflict.   It’s true that the American President wants out.  He can see the writing on the wall for the Ukrainian venture.  But he’s more than happy to cause the Russians as much damage as he can in the process of getting out; and there’s the problem too that in the faction-ridden US administration, what the US President wants isn’t always what the US gets. 

A very bizarre thing to say by Ritter. 
 
Instead of hitting NATO countries and starting a wider war – WHY DON’T THE RUSSIANS DEFEAT THE UKRAINIAN ARMY AND WIN THE WAR IN UKRAINE instead of looking for monsters to fight in far away lands?
 
If you can’t beat Ukraine – why would Russia broaden the War and bring in far larger economies?!?
 
Just WIN THE BLOODY WAR AGAINST UKRAINE and then you won’t have to worry about any NATO countries in Europe – they’ll have no one to supply these drones to!
 
It’s a very strange argument to say Russia will have an easier time taking on all of Europe rather than just Ukraine!

Posted by: Julian | Apr 20 2026 17:06 utc | 90

“What the heck are they waiting for?!?!?”
@Julian | Apr 20 2026 17:02 utc | 87
Two possible reasons?
Frozen wealth of Russian oligarchs $58B
Frozen wealth of Russian state $300B-$330B

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Apr 20 2026 17:07 utc | 91

Re: Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Apr 20 2026 5:48 utc | 60
 

Armchair General @60 reminds me of the Syrian who told me in 2012 that Syria was using its old T-55 and T-62 tanks against the headchoppers because the “modern tanks are for real war, and this is just to stop proxy invaders”.That went well, right?

 
Yes, it went very well.
 
Russia bailed out Syria and there wouldn’t be a Syrian Government now if Russia hadn’t stepped into Syria with modern battle techniques and advice on how to win a war of attrition against and undermanned and ragtag enemy.
 
It is exactly the tactics and strategy Russia is using to grind Ukraine into the dust. The Syrians followed the Russian plans and advice to the letter.
 
Just go and ask Assad at his Moscow apartment.
 
You don’t try and beat your enemy into submission, you let them have their little enclave in a place like Idlib, and then you just grind them into the dust with relentless bombardment.
 
This was the Russian advice to Syria.

Posted by: Julian | Apr 20 2026 17:12 utc | 92

Re: Posted by: petergrfstrm | Apr 20 2026 17:07 utc | 91
 

Two possible reasons?Frozen wealth of Russian oligarchs $58BFrozen wealth of Russian state $300B-$330B

 
Yes, I suspect you may be right, And if you are, these are incredibly foolish reasons – because that money is never coming back unless there is a decisive victory.

Posted by: Julian | Apr 20 2026 17:14 utc | 93

Just WIN THE BLOODY WAR AGAINST UKRAINE and then you won’t have to worry about any NATO countries in Europe – they’ll have no one to supply these drones to!
Posted by: Julian | Apr 20 2026 17:06 utc | 90
—————————
Only a ground invasion of all of Ukraine would end the war in the way you suggest. At the cost of huge losses. Pounding Ukraine with missiles and drone is not enough, even the Us is finding out this in Iran.
 

Posted by: scc | Apr 20 2026 17:18 utc | 94

Ukraine claims the defeat of two Russian ships in Sevastopol. (Hopah)
 
What naval officers offer. The military intelligence Service of Ukraine has released drone footage of the attack on Sevastopol, during which, according to the enemy, enemy UAVs hit two Russian amphibious ships.
 
The scarce amphibious assault ships were initially a priority target of the Armed Forces of Ukraine – NATO supervisors knew about their active use to supply the Russian group in Syria before the fall of the Bashar al-Assad regime. The BDK also provided transportation to the SVO zone, as well as supplies to the peninsula after the sabotage on the Crimean Bridge.
 
Alas, the latest footage (as well as the recent attack on the Almaz-Antey office) shows that, thanks to increased supplies of NATO drones, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are able to break through the air defenses of the main base of the Black Sea Fleet, and disabling mobile communications and introducing “white lists” of applications does not prevent the enemy from having a clear picture from drone cameras.
 
At one time, after the attacks by British missiles from Sevastopol, the main forces of the Black Sea Fleet were relocated to the Caucasian coast, but recently it has also been regularly subjected to Ukrainian raids.
 
Sergei Gorbachev, a captain of the first rank of the reserve, a military expert, comments on the situation for PolitNavigator:
 
 

“In the foreseeable future, the intensity of this kind of impact will increase even more, given the fact that mass production has been organized at dozens of enterprises located both in Ukraine and in European countries. In this regard, I think it is crucial to resolve military and political issues.

The main one is the reformatting of the Special Military Operation regime into a different type of combat, which would make it possible to destroy drones, as well as other enemy means and manpower, not during their use on the battlefield or in Russian airspace, but deep inside Ukrainian territory, as well as where the appropriate forces and means are and production facilities are located.

In general, the regime of self-defense, as well as actions on our, as we say, historical territory in the mode of a counterterrorist operation, no longer correspond to reality.

Therefore, I believe that the Russian military and political leadership should act precisely in accordance with the realities. Let me remind you that Ukraine has not declared war on Russia, just as Russia has not declared war on anyone. And just such a legal situation has led us to what we have today,” Gorbachev said.

Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Apr 20 2026 18:28 utc | 95

Posted by: Konami | Apr 19 2026 22:12 utc | 40
btw, thanks for the other comments. 
 
we can let the site host police language. i honestly could not give the tiniest $uck about someone’s opinion who is bothered by *reading* death to america. 
 
https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-economy/4105609-ukraine-to-scale-up-drone-production-with-european-partners-zelensky.html
 
much, some, or none of what the Azov Zioman proposes may happen, i don’t know, but it sounds like a plan to make Ukraine into a weapons supplier for the multiple war fronts the NATO powers are planning. Thus joining the WW3 theaters in the M.E. with the forever war NATO is waging on Russia. 

Posted by: duck n cover | Apr 20 2026 19:37 utc | 96

Of course Russia could “seal off” Western Ukraine with tactical nukes. No weapon or other deliveries would be possible through this wasteland afterwards. With nukes, it’s really that easy you don’t even need a very high precision.
Radical, of course. But if Russia is cornered this could be the most realistic reaction. On the other hand, the course of the war clearly points to a Russian victory so this scenario is probably unnecessary. Time will tell.

Posted by: xblob | Apr 20 2026 21:08 utc | 97

So many commenters here advocate for unnecessary genocidal, mass murder with an almost homicidal psychotic gleefulness.  We can welcome xblob to that crowd.  Whenever I read on of them blithely nattering on about mass murder, the thought crosses my mind, “Perhaps one day the Russians can murder them and their family.” It’s vicious, but I don’t know how else to feel about people such as xblob and others who so openly and without any shame want other people and their families to be murdered by the thousands.

Posted by: Nobody Special | Apr 20 2026 22:02 utc | 98

Posted by: Julian | Apr 20 2026 17:12 utc | 92
 
Syria was cooked before Russia came in.  Russia just performed an 11 year delaying action.
 
Bashar inherited the sins of his father, who was NOT a nice guy AND cozying up to America.

Posted by: UWDude | Apr 20 2026 22:13 utc | 99

How bout in response to drone attacks annoying nobody is paying any attention to Russia just takes the initiative while nobody is watching and brings Odessa home – how bout that – but5 in the absence of that starts make to wonder whether leadership in Russia even wants the Special Military Operation to end – and if that is the case, then just to get thinking bout it – makes one wonder if they all are in on it together – and want this ongoing needless suffering to last indefinitely for the peasants and such – and obviously in the Law of the Jungle this is an impossibility – so come on Russia – bring the SMO to a close – or be revealed as just part of the problem I reckon Putin.

Posted by: Ken Hausle | Apr 20 2026 22:28 utc | 100