Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
April 5, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-069

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

The Great Performative War will continue as usual since real action is not allowed. 

Posted by: Maverick | Apr 5 2026 14:23 utc | 1

Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Summary, 3rd April 2026:  May be Useful for Some:  The Iran War Summary: Week Five – by Dr. Rob Campbell

Posted by: The Busker | Apr 5 2026 14:47 utc | 2

Sorry Folks – I posted the Iran Summary by mistake: Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update

Posted by: The Busker | Apr 5 2026 14:49 utc | 3

https://x.com/Zlatti_71/status/2040290657961410595?s=20
 
Meanwhile in Ukranazistan: a Russian amphibious assault on the Dnieper on an Ukranazi occupied island dodges multiple drones on the way. The assault was successful and the Ukranazis withdrew.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Apr 5 2026 15:00 utc | 4

Only Strength Matters
In the current situation, Russia needs to act much more firmly. The enemy does not understand nuance, hints, or the refined language of diplomacy.
 
In the current situation, Russia needs to act much more firmly. The enemy does not understand nuance, hints, or the refined language of diplomacy. They consistently read our politeness as weakness. That is how they see it—nothing more. And they are preparing for a full-scale, frontal war against us, one they will launch when they believe they are ready.
The US and Israel are currently focused on their war with Iran and Shiite forces in the Middle East. But the EU, Britain, and the Democrats in the United States are oriented specifically towards a conflict with us. If we behave in ways they interpret as weakness, there will be no chance of avoiding war. Only strength matters. This is a moment for strength: direct, credible, visible, and unmistakable.
It is also essential to disabuse them of the notion that they will choose when to start the war while we simply wait and comply.

 

Alexander Dugin

Apr 05, 2026
Only Strength Matters – Alexander Dugin

 

Posted by: Don Firineach | Apr 5 2026 15:09 utc | 5

Yesterday I failed to mention AFU casualties in the 1.100s , today 1.200s
 
https://tass.com/defense/2112063
 
 
still no Marat 

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 5 2026 15:09 utc | 6

Serbia Thwarts Plot To Bomb Russia-Hungary Gas Pipeline – Vucic
 
https://www.rt.com/news/637355-serbia-thwarts-plot-bomb-hungary-pipeline/
 
“The Serbian authorities have discovered explosives of ‘devastating power’ planted near a key gas pipeline transporting Russian energy to Hungary, President Aleksandar Vucic has announced, adding that he has briefed Viktor Orban on the matter…”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Apr 5 2026 15:50 utc | 7

It’s all too coordinated for my liking
oil prices spiking with the west ‘unable’ to take action to reopen the straits while russia fails to make any gains on the ground.
The back room deals are disgraceful 

Posted by: Night Tripper | Apr 5 2026 15:51 utc | 8

The Russian government is methodical and goal oriented.
Steadily advancing towards defined goals, apparently with not only a plan, but various contingency plans that seem to be updated to address potential concerns.
 
Compare the the US and Israeli regimes that have no clear goals except to maintain power, and resultant perks for their supporters.
 
Does anybody think Ukraine has any exit strategy other than unconditional surrender?
 
 

Posted by: Polli | Apr 5 2026 16:09 utc | 9

Dead thread again.  Reply to Jan Sobieski.  Russian demand for lifting of Western sanctions.
 
………………………………
 
Posted by: Jan Sobieski | Apr 5 2026 12:23 utc | 136
 
 Jan – yes.  Sanctions relief was never a Russian war aim.  In fact there’s a whole heap of Russian farmers and businessmen grateful for those sanctions.  And the Russians are re-jigging their trading patterns, partly because the world trading centre of gravity has been shifting east for quite a while anyway, partly because they’re after more reliable trading partners. Not long back Putin reassured the Russian industrialists that the new pattern of trade is there to stay, whether sanctions are lifted or not.
 
 Nevertheless lifting of sanctions is explicitly called for in the key Russian restatement of their aims  on June 14th last year:-
 
 “Certainly, the rights, freedoms, and interests of Russian-speaking citizens in Ukraine must be fully protected. The new territorial realities, including the status of Crimea, Sevastopol, Donetsk and Lugansk people’s republics, Kherson, and Zaporozhye regions as parts of the Russian Federation, should be acknowledged. These foundational principles need to be formalised through fundamental international agreements in the future. Naturally, this entails the removal of all Western sanctions against Russia as well.
 
 http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/74285
 
 I liked that throw-away “naturally”.   As if.
 
 Lavrov reaffirming the condition later in his Newsweek interview:-
 
 “On 14 June, President Vladimir Putin listed prerequisites for the settlement as follows: complete AFU withdrawal from the DPR [Donetsk People’s Republic], LPR [Luhansk People’s Republic], Zaporozhye and Kherson Oblasts; recognition of territorial realities as enshrined in the Russian Constitution; neutral, non-bloc, non-nuclear status for Ukraine; its demilitarization and denazification; securing the rights, freedoms and interests of Russian-speaking citizens; and removal of all sanctions against Russia.”
 
 https://www.newsweek.com/exclusive-russias-lavrov-warns-dangerous-consequences-us-ukraine-1964468
 
 What the Russians seemed to be after at than time was not so much the removal of direct sanctions.  Those are now a benefit as much as a nuisance.   But the secondary sanctions are still a real nuisance in as far as they sometimes inhibit normal trade with the Brics countries or with prospective Brics countries.  And implicit in the demand for removal of sanctions is that the Russians want their confiscated or withheld money and assets back.
 
 But what also seemed to be apparent at the time was that these Russian demands for sanctions relief were not realistic.  Not a hope in hell of getting those demands met.  Even were an American President prepared to accept those June 14th demands, Congress would balk.  So would the European politicians.  It’d mean unacceptable loss of face.  Even the least aware European voter would ask, “Why have we fought so long, and bankrupted ourselves in the process, only to end up with a peace settlement far inferior to the peace settlement we could have got at the very start?”  That’s not  a question any European politician is going to want to answer.
 
 So why are the Russians setting conditions the West can’t meet? 
 
 I believe they have always left the door open for a peace settlement, just in case.  No point in closing out any possible options.  And showing willingness for peace is important.  Not important as far as the West is concerned.  The Russians have well and truly lost in the information war in the West and that’s not going to change.  But it was very important as far as the rest of the world is concerned.  In 2022 the Russians started off as the bad guys in the eyes of very many non-Western countries.  The change since then has been astounding, and was even before Gaza and Iran .   To most non-Western countries it’s now us who are the bad guys, especially to the Africans.
 
 So the Russians were right to always leave the door open.  But they must have know, even as far back as the early Belarus negotiations that preceded Istanbul, that a peace settlement was never on the cards.  The forces against a peace settlement, both within Ukraine itself and in the West, were simply too strong.  It was apparent from the start that this war was only ever going to end in unconditional surrender and the terms of that surrender would inevitably be set by the Russians.  The demand for full sanctions relief, a demand the West could never meet, simply underlined that.
 

Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 5 2026 16:59 utc | 10

Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 5 2026 16:59 utc | 10
 
“Nevertheless lifting of sanctions is explicitly called for in the key Russian restatement of their aims  on June 14th last year:-”
 
Thank you for this important clarification and your thoughtful comments.

Posted by: Jan Sobieski | Apr 5 2026 17:19 utc | 11

Ukraine? Again?
Spare me the drivel!
Imho Ukrainians are not only dumber-than-rocks, they’re also more consistent liars than the Genocide Jews.
Delusions of Grandeur doesn’t begin to explain, or excuse, their idiocy.
Racial supremisism is an embarrassingly pointless and trivial star to wish upon – and die for.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Apr 5 2026 17:49 utc | 12

@Jenn | Apr 5 2026 18:34 utc | 166
Gilbert Doctorow, John Helmer, Paul Craig Roberts, Alexander Dugin
.
all have compatible opinions about what Russia ought to do.
Meanwhile Russias oil not being sanctioned for a while enables Russia to collect some welcome profits. And Russia may be preparing for coming industrial economic growth offering opportunities for investments. 
Russias patience and calm annoys many. But maybe not the investors who prefer stability.
This is not meant to belittle any of the mentioned opinionmakers. It is just an effort to offer another viewpoint.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Apr 5 2026 19:14 utc | 13

500k without power in Donetsk .  Massive Ukrainian drone/missile attack on Crimea.  Happy Easter! /s

Posted by: bored | Apr 5 2026 19:42 utc | 14

Im a dutch man with russian wife.
 
i drove and flew a dozen times to Russia.
 
I feel no resentment against orthodox populations. whether it is Christian, shiite, maga or common sense.
 
I do prepare for bad times…

Posted by: Matties | Apr 5 2026 20:24 utc | 15

The west decomposing like this. Martyanov.
 
there are, hopefully, enough people, looking into future, to smother this.
 
Then again, Hitler defended Berlin, the cost was the children. And he did it.

Posted by: Matties | Apr 5 2026 20:42 utc | 16

The Busker @ 2, 3:
 
Thanks for your recent Iran and Ukraine war reports.
 
I had seen elsewhere online that a fragment – or maybe a bomblet from a cluster munitions bomb fired from Iran – had hit a sewage pipe in Bnei Brak, on the outskirts of Tel Aviv, causing sewage to flood streets and underground bunkers in the area. So this leaves many Israelis in that part of Tel Aviv with nowhere to go in case of another missile raid.
 
BTW, when Netanyahu acknowledged that the Eastern Mediterranean region was going to supersede the Persian Gulf as a major transport hub for delivering oil and gas to the West, he was more likely to have in mind the proposed overland pipeline and rail link from Qatar to Haifa that MoA regular James has referred and linked to in some of his recent postings to the past few MoA comments forums. My main beef with the articles James linked to is that whoever wrote those articles (they’re on a Substack blog) seems unaware that Iran has been causing considerable damage to Haifa’s port facilities. Huge amounts (in the billions if not trillions) would have to be invested in the port’s reconstruction – and that’s only if that entire northern Israel / southern Lebanon region returns to political stability, which won’t happen until Israel gives up the idea of annexing the Litani river and its surrounding valley region.
 
As always, Netanyahu only thinks of what ultimately will benefit him and keep his psycho wife Sara off his back.
 
 

Posted by: Refinnejenna | Apr 5 2026 21:19 utc | 17

Fresh marat
 
https://maratkhairullin.substack.com/p/brief-frontline-report-april-5th
 
 
 
Sumy and orhekov might be middle term wins

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 5 2026 22:52 utc | 18

And someone was busy at Tass for 20 minuutes
 

21:16 Military operation in Ukraine

Russian forces advance near Grishino — DPR head

21:09

Russian forces advancing toward Konstantinovka — DPR head

21:08

Russian forces thwart Ukrainian attempt to counterattack near Svyatogorsk — DPR head

21:06

Russian forces take up new positions near liberated Aleksandrovka — DPR head

 
 
Not very typical at this hour

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 5 2026 23:24 utc | 19

Im a dutch man with russian wife.

Posted by: Matties | Apr 5 2026 23:32 utc | 20

I know what I am and in bed I m a man and so is Lola.
Bridges still standing, why? Is this a chum deal war or what?

Posted by: steve | Apr 6 2026 1:24 utc | 21

I did some analysis of the Russian speed of advance in first quarter of the year.  The last three months have been similar, but a little lower, than the pace we saw in 2025.
 

Period
kmsq/day

1Q24 delta
2.2

1Q25 delta
7.2

1Q25 delta
5.9

 
For context, the best month remains NOV2024, where we saw 23.5 kmsq/day. 
 
 In general, 1Q is slow because of weather, so we can’t judge the spring/summer campaign yet.  
 
P.s.  And yes, the source is Deep State.  But it shouldn’t matter looking at year to year or for long periods of time.  Even if there is conservatism, it would not matter since we are looking at a difference and subtracting a baseline.  (I.e. 31MARYY versus 31DECYY before).  I.e.  if he’s grudging in MAR, he’d also be grudging in DEC.  And it evens out, when you subtract.  Same would apply if we looked at a pro Russian source (the hype would get subtracted and you just see the difference over the period.)  Also DS is really the only one where you can pull the numbers out, look at old maps etc.  The people like DPA or AMK who report advances are basically uncheckable in retrospect and just useful for the YT and Twitter day to day buzz.
 
Details (first three numbers of each calc are in thousands):
 

31-Dec-23
108.516

31-Mar-24
108.713

1Q24 delta
0.197

days
91

kmsq/day
2.2

 
 

31-Dec-24
111.829

31-Mar-25
112.479

1Q25 delta
0.650

days
90

kmsq/day
7.2

 
 

31-Dec-25
116.165

31-Mar-26
116.696

1Q25 delta
0.531

days
90

kmsq/day
5.9

Posted by: Anonymous | Apr 6 2026 1:54 utc | 22

Ukrainian entitlement knows no bounds. They stuck a cargo ship carrying grains. And i says this once again. The Russias deserve what they tolerate, get cucked cowards.

Posted by: QTTRFN | Apr 6 2026 2:09 utc | 23

To the Putin/Russia bad mouth folks here I would encourage you to expand your global perspective.
 
Humanity is engaged in a civilization war about  public/private finance and the God Of Mammon cult was pushing the Ukraine proxy effort to conquer Russia so they could move on to challenging China that has finance as a public utility.
Since the Ukraine effort is not going like they want they have launched the penultimate Occupied Palestine proxy war which they are now losing as well, partly because both China and Russia are supporting Iran and other local axis of resistance efforts.
 
Russia, China and Iran are supportive of diplomacy in spite of the God Of Mammon cult being disingenuous about such efforts.  I expect China, Russia and Iran to continue to proceed in a moral manner even after conquering the God Of Mammon cult and prosecuting the war criminals leading the God Of Mammon cult….the Anchorage lies are just another page in the book of charges that will be brought forward when this civilization war is won by the axis of resistance against the God Of Mammon cult and its Epstein Class supporters….are you complicit or will just say you are following orders?
 
Got human morals?

 

 

 

Posted by: psychohistorian | Apr 6 2026 2:11 utc | 24

French media report that Ukraine extended its influence in the North Africa, establishing its marine presence in Libya to limit Russian oil exports via its shadow fleet.
 
Should Ukraine also do the same in the Eastern Baltic countries, limiting Russian oil exports further to cut Russia’s ability to wage aggressive wars?
 
What Russia’s approach should be to limit the damage and to avoid losing even more influence?

Posted by: Jan 16th | Apr 6 2026 2:41 utc | 25

Russians say Ukrainians are making serious threats and will likely deliver on them:
 
 
I won’t analyze now what is propaganda and what is close to reality, but I will highlight the main thing: Banderovites are preparing a massive missile strike on Moscow, which was unthinkable back in 22-23. Now this threat is more than real. There are essentially three factors: 1. Support from the collective West, primarily Britain and the EU, in the development of missile technology. 2. Increased military-technical capabilities. 3. The main one is impunity for strikes on Russia.
 
I have no doubt that the combination of all three factors could push Kiev to strike Moscow this summer. They might try launching test balloons earlier, for example, on May 9th, when Russia celebrates Victory Day with pomp and circumstance.

Posted by: MiniMO | Apr 6 2026 4:07 utc | 26

Posted by: MiniMO | Apr 6 2026 4:07 utc | 26
You mean like the massive strikes they were doing in Luhansk and Donetsk for 8 years? I am sure those destroyed residential buildings and refinery tanks will really change the mind of Russian government! 
Also putting EU and development in the same sentence is kind of funny.
 

Posted by: 667 | Apr 6 2026 6:26 utc | 27

” …I have no doubt that the combination of all three factors could push Kiev to strike Moscow this summer.”
 
Posted by: MiniMO | Apr 6 2026 4:07 utc | 26
 
Except, as I think you’re pointing out, it’s not really “Kiev” doing the striking in such cases.  Never has been since 2014.  That applies not only to missile, artillery and now drone strikes.  We have confirmation from Western sources (NYT,WAPO) that assassination and sabotage missions are also carried out with Western assistance, often by units – and from bases – set up by the West for just this sort of work from 2014 on.
 
Add to that the fact that Western senior officers have been in charge operationally and often tactically of the Ukrainian war effort, and we can’t really talk of “Kiev” as the main protagonist in this war against Russia at all.  Ukraine is merely a useful base from which attacks can be launched and the Ukrainian armed forces merely the bulk of the manpower we happen to use.
 
It’s good manpower too.  Lots of it, courageous and resourceful, and, although I’m no military expert, seemingly able to take far more punishment that most Western troops could take.
 
In this connection, one of the reasons I follow “b” closely is that he understands the use we’ve made of those Ukrainians from the start.  “b” calls it a “crime” and so it is.  We’ve put those fine troops through far more than we’d ever put our own through.  I attempted to summarise how I see that in my first comment here – https://canadiandimension.com/articles/view/squaring-an-impossible-circle-of-peace-and-insecurity-in-ukraine –  and I do believe that if we in the West ever come to our senses we’ll see the enormity of what we’ve done to the Ukrainians.  We’ve used them as a foreign policy tool and in the process have effectively destroyed their country and have led to I think now millions of them getting killed or maimed.
 
So to talk of  “Kiev” fighting Russia is incorrect.  It’s us doing the fighting, but using the Ukrainians as our attack dog instead of our own soldiers.   We in the West don’t know that, or most of us don’t.  But the Russians do.   At present they’re trying to keep the military conflict restricted to the Ukrainian theatre.  They don’t want to extend military action to Europe itself although, as you’re saying, the attacks on them are in truth coming out of Europe or out of the West generally. 
 
If they find those attacks too troublesome then there’s nothing to prevent  them putting a stop to those attacks at source.  That’s the risk we in Europe are currently facing.  Our politicians are set on continuing to poke the Bear.  It’ll be us though, not the politicians, who’ll take the brunt of it if the Bear comes out fighting.

Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 6 2026 11:39 utc | 28

  This is a big blow, not an accident, or mechanical failure. Assassination.
2x SU-30s also went down around the same time if I recur.  No matter, another a day in the SMO.
 
The commander of the 45th Army of the Air Force and Air Defense of the Northern Fleet of the Russian Navy was killed in the An-26 crash in Crimea.
 
Today’s operational meeting in the Murmansk Region administration began with a minute of silence in honor of the servicemen of the Northern fleet, whose deaths occurred a week ago in an accident involving a military aircraft. The crash of this An-26 killed, among others, the commander of the 45th Army of the Air Force and Defense Northern Fleet of the Russian Navy, Lieutenant General Alexander Otroshchenk
 
 

Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Apr 6 2026 12:13 utc | 29

French media report that Ukraine extended its influence in the North Africa, establishing its marine presence in Libya to limit Russian oil exports via its shadow fleet. Should Ukraine also do the same in the Eastern Baltic countries, limiting Russian oil exports further to cut Russia’s ability to wage aggressive wars? What Russia’s approach should be to limit the damage and to avoid losing even more influence?
Posted by: Jan 16th | Apr 6 2026 2:41 utc | 25

 
It’s not really Ukraine, it’s British naval drones with the AFU badge slapped on them in the Mediterranean sea or other places.
 
Ukraine is just a wall of meat and a stamp on Nato attacks on Russia.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 6 2026 12:18 utc | 30

Still a 1.200’s AFU casualties day
 
https://tass.com/politics/2112371

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 6 2026 14:30 utc | 31

@ English Outsider, §28:
Couldn´t agree with you more, EO.
They´ll only wake up when a trio of oreshniks fry GCHQ, MI6 and Chatham House.

Posted by: John Marks | Apr 6 2026 15:01 utc | 32

*** We in the West don’t know that, or most of us don’t. But the Russians do. At present they’re trying to keep the military conflict restricted to the Ukrainian theatre. ***
Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 6 2026 11:39 utc | 28
 
It seems to me that one strain of Russian thought is to keep Germany from ever wanting to ramp up and move east again – a fantasy that transfixes elements deep within the blob. Thus the slow Russian tempo and minimizing civilian casualties. After all Galicians and Prussians are birds of a feather. 

Posted by: frithguild | Apr 6 2026 15:51 utc | 33

Galicians and Prussians are birds of a feather.

 
Not at all. The Galicians are fighting a crazy insurgency against their neighbors. The Prussian take on statecraft is more what Marion Gräfin Dönhoff said, the late Grande Dame of the newspaper Die Zeit, in reflection of her career which began after she wrote a letter to the allied forces in post-war Germany informing them they were doing some things wrong: “I found myself carrying responsibility for Germany.”

Posted by: persiflo | Apr 6 2026 16:25 utc | 34

Not at all. *** “I found myself carrying responsibility for Germany.”
Posted by: persiflo | Apr 6 2026 16:25 utc | 34
 
You’re probably right. Every Prussian has mandatory education about Nazism, thus the carrying responsibility. Galicians, on the other hand, have been tickled by CIA into danceing with demons since 1945. Could have been different if anshluss took a different path I suppose. 

Posted by: frithguild | Apr 6 2026 18:07 utc | 35

Oh boy… if true, whats going on?  lots of hits in the juggler.  
 

BREAKING: Ukrainian suicide drones have struck the Russian frigate Admiral Makarov in the port of Novorossiysk.
 
Ukraine’s General Staff confirms damage to the Makarov and sister ship Admiral Essen during a major drone swarm attack on the naval base.
 
The Admiral Makarov is one of Russia’s key Black Sea Fleet vessels capable of launching Kalibr cruise missiles against Ukrainian targets.

Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Apr 6 2026 20:19 utc | 36

The enemy, having knocked out air defense and missile defense systems in Crimea, is switching to our missile systems and MLRS. Its UAV and unmanned aerial vehicle activity in the Black Sea region continues unabated, with both Sevastopol and Novorossiysk under attack. And there’s also a hunt for lone civilian (!) ships in the Black Sea and the Sea of ​​Azov. The Black Sea Fleet is regularly attacked in harbors, and from this it can be concluded that, unfortunately, the initiative in the waters is not ours.
 
The enemy is counterattacking on several land fronts, including in the western sector of the Zaporizhzhia sector, where our forces, encircled near the village of Primorskoye, shared the fate of pockets of defense in Kupyansk, which, as reported to the President, was retaken twice.
 
 
 
The enemy is attempting to recapture previously lost positions and settlements. And these processes are “out of the spotlight” of the Russian media, because the disclosure of such facts, under the current system of information distribution and control, could easily be perceived as an attempt to discredit the Russian Armed Forces. But this doesn’t make matters any easier for the front and the state as a whole.

Posted by: MiniMO | Apr 6 2026 20:35 utc | 37

Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Apr 6 2026 20:19 utc | 36
 
Russia’s becoming a sitting duck in the Black Sea.

Posted by: MiniMO | Apr 6 2026 20:38 utc | 38

Zelenskyy announced that he was proposing an “energy truce” with Russia during Easter.Journalists recall that in the spring of 2025, Russiaalready introduced such a moratorium on March 18 for a period of 30 days following negotiations between Moscow and Washington.Lavrov later said that Russiahad complied with the ban, while its facilities continued to be attacked.

 
You reap what you sow… or something like that.

Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Apr 6 2026 21:09 utc | 39

[sigh]
 
Come back from an Easter weekend break to the same old, same old.
>Muh stalemate
>Muh sitting ducks
>Muh Putin traitor
 
When will all you clowns get it into your heads that Ukraine needs funding, urgently, desperately; by the end of June it runs out, apart from what its own central bank can loan in hryvnias. Not much use when the corruption beneficiaries want US$ or €uros.
 
Yeah, about that €90 billion…
 
Oh, by the way, another two TCC press-gangers got stabbed today.
 
Oh, another by the way, several regions suffered yet more unscheduled power outages today as a result of continuing Russian attacks; the key word there is unscheduled, what kind of victorious and heroically successful nation even has scheduled power outages?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 6 2026 21:20 utc | 40

Just to keep up with the latest blah blah blah…  
 

Moscow warned the Baltic states that it would open airspace for Ukrainian drones A response from Russia will follow, said Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova.
 
Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia received a special warning from Russia in response to its decision to open its airspace to Ukrainian drones attacking Russian ports in the Baltic. According to Zakharova, if the Baltic states are wise enough, they will heed the warning, but if they continue their policy, a response will follow. The Foreign Ministry spokesperson did not specify what that response would be.

 

Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Apr 6 2026 21:20 utc | 41

And now there’s this:

The Ground Forces told what threatens attacks on TCC employees

If the attacks on the TCC and SP military continue, they may simply refuse to serve
 

According to RegioNews in a comment to Censor.NET , this was stated by the head of the communications department of the Command of the Ground Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Andriy Podik.
 
In his opinion, the state and society should think first of all about protection from the enemy.
 
“There must be an understanding that the mobilization we carry out is much more correct and less intense than forced mobilization in the temporarily occupied territories. Instead, we have attacks on military personnel, this only worsens the situation. People are picking up edged weapons, there was a case when they tried to blow up the military serving in the TCC and SP, tomorrow there will be something else,” Podik notes.
 
According to him, if the situation does not change, then military personnel may simply not want to continue to serve in the TCC.

https://regionews.ua/ukr/news/ukraine/1775479507-u-suhoputnih-viyskah-rozpovili-chim-zagrozhuyut-napadi-na-pratsivnikiv-ttsk (via translation add-on.)
 
So what happens next? All of you that pontificate from the lofty heights of a supposedly intelligent overview mainly gleaned from the Western MSM and Russian 5th and 6th column doomers? What happens when you disregard the detail, the minutiae going on, regardless of what you think should be happening according to your infallible “Shock and Awe” instruction manuals?
 
>But, but, muh stalemate…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 6 2026 21:34 utc | 42

[Columbo voice on]
 
“Just one more thing, ma’am, what happens to Ukraine’s key agricultural sector that’s now faced with diesel costs doubling and a 30% shortfall in fertiliser availability?”
 
[Columbo voice off]

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 6 2026 22:05 utc | 43

[Columbo voice on] “Just one more thing, ma’am, what happens to Ukraine’s key agricultural sector that’s now faced with diesel costs doubling and a 30% shortfall in fertiliser availability?” [Columbo voice off]
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 6 2026 22:05 utc | 43
 
It’s the women that held the sector, maybe they’ll risk planting, but a big question on how well the harvests will come out (and doubt about how many will remain unharvested in the fields, but then again rest of europe faces increased diesel and fertilizer prices)
 
I’d say their biggest risk would be RF closing the black sea, maritime shipping is cheap, trucks aren’t… after an expensive crop that could kill a lot of farms and be a critical piece falling….

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 7 2026 0:26 utc | 44

I don’t take Russian claims of Ukrainians killed (or the converse) seriously.  First, there’s an obvious incentive to lie.  It’s not just the PR game of it, but that there is a long (LONG) history of tactical elements overestimating their impact.  In WW2, it was more than 2x, the difference  between crew reports and later verification of enemy aircraft downed.  Everyone likes to claim a kill. 
 
They can’t tell if a guy that looks finished by a drone got patched up.  Or the converse.  And you sure can’t tell how many got killed from airstrikes or shelling.  Heck, a lot of times the combatants don’t even know their own losses.  Especially given the well reported tendancy (of both sides) for commanders to lie about losses to minimize how bad they look AND sometimes even to pocket the pay of lost soldiers.
 
The best neutral report, by HL, said about 1:1 R/UKR losses.  (Slightly more UKR losses, like 1.2 to 1.)  I’ve heard the converse from a UKR officer talking to Rob Lee and being very analytical and matter of fact.  Said it was 1: 1.1.  In either case, that’s spitting distance of 1:1 and nobody can tell exactly.  So…I just buy 1:1.  This would also make sense given the very slow movement of the front.  Nobody is pulling a D-Day here.
 
See History Legends analysis:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LoiP5Rfpmpw

Posted by: Anonymous | Apr 7 2026 0:54 utc | 45

Rutte @ 44:  “How does Russian speed of advance compares to the speed of advance of the American/Israel forces in Iran?
 
That is a silly comparison, because the objectives are totally different.  In Russia’s case, it aims (among other things) to take control of the entire area of the Donbas.  The speed with which Russia is accomplishing that (or lack of speed) is a valid metric.
 
The US aim in Iran is to destroy Iran’s capabilities (1) to manufacture long range missiles capable of threatening the US, and (2) to manufacture nuclear warheads to put on those missiles.  The US has zero interest in taking any land in Iran, and thus the “speed of advance” is meaningless.  Now, it is possible that Sunni Arabs who have been bombed by Iran and had their commerce disrupted may decide they need to control the north side of Hormuz in the future.  But that will be up to people like the Saudis and the Emiratis to decide.
 
It is arguable that what Russia has been planning for the Ukraine is analogous to the Western Front in WW I — a multi-year war of largely static attrition, followed by a short period of rapid movement once the Ukrainian war machine collapses.  Time will tell!

Posted by: Gavin Longmuir | Apr 7 2026 1:33 utc | 46

Anonymous | Apr 7 2026 0:54 utc | 46
 
Desperate propaganda there. Yes, the side kidnapping men off the streets is maintaining a 1:1 ratio against a volunteer army. And the Ukies are totally credible sources, they never lie… 
 
Russian numbers add up to around 400K enemy casualties per year, or 1.6M over the war. I actually find this believable – not all are KIA. There’s absolutely zero chance Russia has taken 1.6M losses. But the side chucking guys into vans? Well that side has a huge motivation to lie and cover up. It also happens to be a totalitarian society, much moreso than Russia. I don’t believe Russia could lie about such losses in a similar fashion. 
 
 

Posted by: Moonraker | Apr 7 2026 3:46 utc | 47

Gavin Longmuir | Apr 7 2026 1:33 utc | 46
 
“a multi-year war of largely static attrition, followed by a short period of rapid movement once the Ukrainian war machine collapses”
 
Certainly the German Army was fighting strongly right up to the time when it wasn’t. In March 1918 the Germans advanced nearly 40 miles against the British. But by August they were retreating. Still in French and Belgian territory right up to the surrender.

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Apr 7 2026 10:15 utc | 48

Desai with Glazev April 7 One very informative hour …
 
Understanding Russia’s Wartime Economy with Dr. Sergey Glazyev

Posted by: Don Firineach | Apr 7 2026 12:09 utc | 49

Ukraine: The Internal Front is Collapsing

https://news-pravda.com/ukraine/2026/04/07/2218445.html
 
Including the following statistics:

But the main thing is the trend:
 
2022—5 incidents.
 
2023 — 38.
 
2024 — 118.
 
2025 — 341.
 
Since the beginning of 2026, it’s already over 100.
 
This isn’t a statistic — it’s a diagnosis.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 7 2026 12:48 utc | 50

Yet 48 – Yes the Great German offensive of ’18 collapsed for one main reason – lack of consistent supply trains to replenish the troops in the field.
 
The generally efficient German supply system failed to provide proper and continuous food, fuel and ammo resources to the advancing German armies.  The supply issue was a catastrophic failure.
 
In addition there were some really foolish tactical decision made to assault allied strongpoints instead of just by passing these concentrations and moving on quickly to Paris, a mistake that was not repeated in May 1940.

Posted by: tobias cole | Apr 7 2026 13:07 utc | 51

1.270 AFU casualties
 
https://tass.com/politics/2112959
 
For KIA (and permanent losses in general) I’d say close to 1:3, If I had to guess I’d say KIA RF 250k for 750k AFU.
 
As many (and then some) permanently maimed WIA
 
Factors for that ratio:
 

  • Drone parity but huge artillery missiles (in military use, not targeting civilians) and FAB advantage.
  • Contract soldiers and decent recruit time/training/equipment
  • Proper LOC forces rotation
  • Low quality AFU forces bigger density at LOC, more targets

 
Factors against
 

  • supposed better ISR
  • supposed better comms and killchain
  • magic unicorns

 
Anyway you dice it a million slavs killed (and as many maimed) seems a solid floor. A roof is anyone’s guess…
 
 

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 7 2026 13:19 utc | 52

“Desai with Glazev April 7 One very informative hour …”
 
 Understanding Russia’s Wartime Economy with Dr. Sergey Glazyev
 
Posted by: Don Firineach | Apr 7 2026 12:09 utc | 49
 
A most interesting comparison might be drawn at around 30 mins. (Set to that time, to steal your video.)
 
Though the mechanism was very different indeed, that channelling  of investment into what Glaziev (correctly) terms the real economy mirrors the similar process that in part accounted for the depth and solidity of the German economy for so long.  We forget that for a very long time the German economy  (including the economies of the countries peripheral to Germany) was the only truly successful economy in the West.  That in spite of the fact that they were doing crazy things – outsourcing, importing cheap labour, buying sales via Target 2 etc. – that were eventually to catch up with them in the Merkel era.
 
That impressively solid performance of those earlier times was in marked contrast to the UK.  The UK had long since given up on the real economy and was focusing on asset stripping and living off the financial sector.  Also, like the French,  vainly attempting to hold on to the spoils of its colonial past and getting itself into a real mess as it did so.   That famous German  “ordo-liberalism” gets a lot of stick, in some respects rightly so, but it was at least superior to the dead end neo-liberalism that’s done for us and the Americans. 
 
Off the subject here, I’m afraid, but that short section of the Glaziev interview does give us a lead on how we in the West could be looking to rebuild – if we ever manage to escape from the toxic combination of interest group dominance and ideological tunnel vision that has brought us to our present pass.
 
The relevant section linked to here:-
 
https://youtu.be/R5gMHdyNSgo?t=1828

Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 7 2026 13:57 utc | 53

LUGANSK, April 7. /TASS/. Vladimir Zelensky is flagrantly crossing the “red lines” of international humanitarian law by targeting educational institutions in Russian regions. Rodion Miroshnik, the Ambassador-at-Large of the Russian Foreign Ministry, expressed this concern to TASS following the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ strike on a school in the village of Velykaya Znamenka, the Zaporozhye Region.
 
Oh dear…. More red lines crossed.

Posted by: Trubind1 | Apr 7 2026 14:34 utc | 54

Not news but I have concluded that a current war map of Ukraine is utterly impossible to find. I don’t trust the BBC whatsoever so I don’t bother with that outlet. Can someone please provide a link if there is one showing day to day or even month to month changes in the front line configurations. 

Posted by: Badgerman | Apr 7 2026 14:56 utc | 55

55 Badgerman:  I recommend Deep State.  
 
1.  It has by far the best interface, usability.  And has an easy to follow display (do turn off all the little widgets, using the menu, if they are shown).
 
2.  You can go back (easily) and look at different days in the past.  Many  maps don’t have this feature.  Or if they do, it’s not as easy in terms of the calendar (like forced to scroll).
 
3.  DS gets a lot of hate here, but has been proved out a few times when the “first, first” brigade  (Ayden, AMK, Suriyak) was too quick to credit an advance.  He’s actually a bit conservative with both sides.  “Fun with flags” DRG stunts don’t mark control.  Suriyak has a very bad history of crediting advance throughout a month and then doing an end of month reversal (not tied to a counterattack, just to correct his optimism).
 
4.  Also, when you scan out to the size of the front, or look at periods of time (month or longer), the whole kerfuffle (about Creamy crediting a DRG geolocation and DS not) gets lost in the noise.  If DS is behind, he has to catch up eventually and vice versa for the hypers.  But when you do a comparison over a time period, it doesn’t matter since the baseline is subtracted and you just look at progress over time.
 
5.  DPA does funky stuff with the double maps and has said several times that his daily estimates have some double counting because of that feature.  Also, he just does on video kmsq compilations.  You can’t pull different dates, periods.
 

Posted by: Anonymous | Apr 7 2026 16:20 utc | 56

This wasn’t in the Western planning:

The price of Russian oil has risen to the highest in 13 years

Russian Urals oil is now trading at its highest price in 13 years.
 
This is reported by Bloomberg.
 
On April 2, the price of Russia’s flagship Urals crude oil in the Russian port of Primorsk, the largest oil export terminal on the country’s Baltic coast, reached $116 per barrel.
 
This price does not take into account shipping costs. At the same time, this is the highest figure since February 2013.
 
Also, the figure is almost double the average cost of $59 per barrel, which was envisaged by the Russian budget for 2026.

https://epravda.com.ua/svit/cina-na-rosiysku-naftu-vstanovila-rekord-za-13-rokiv-skilki-koshtuye-urals-820169/ (via translation add-on.)
 
For Russia, a pleasant side-effect of taking a measured and methodical approach to the pace of the SMO, and the result of not steaming in, “Shock And Awe” style, as many here and elsewhere so desperately wanted to see.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 7 2026 16:43 utc | 57

*** interest group dominance and ideological tunnel vision that has brought us to our present pass. ***
Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 7 2026 13:57 utc | 53
 
I remember a debate maybe 45 years ago with my father who said, “We need to get the money out of politics!” My retort was, “Then get politics out of money.”
 
The root organizing principle for governments is maintenance of immunity for consequences of acts making nongovernment actors liable. “Interest group dominance” cannot be separated from this root principal because it is a feature, not a bug. Who will be immune and for what are the only questions that underly formation of policy. The only spectrum for government policy is from “rights” to “immunity.” All argument, slogans, pleasing language, etc. is diversionary from making “interest group” government capture apparent.  
 
After all, nothing says democracy better than lobbing bombs at people and stuff in places that your government doesn’t occupy. It wouldn’t happen if the cost of the violation of rights made it so there was nothing to gain. That’s the beauty of democracy. Rights can be voted out of existence or even just eroded away without a fight.    

Posted by: frithguild | Apr 7 2026 16:50 utc | 58

Daily Mirror reports something bad. A Russian Colonel says they need to nuke Ukraine because it’s gone on too long
Now, you could say that maybe he’s trying to help Iran by suggesting that if Israel/US use nukes on Iran, then Russia gets to nuke Ukraine,
OTOH, you could argue that Russia is going too slow in Ukraine and experiencing a near stalemate (as he seems to feel).  We keep hearing about a collapse that never comes and they still don’t have all of Donbas – much less the other claimed areas.  Russia should bomb every TCC office or force in the nation.

Posted by: Eighthman | Apr 7 2026 17:17 utc | 59

*** We keep hearing about a collapse that never comes and they still don’t have all of Donbas – much less the other claimed areas.  Russia should bomb every TCC office or force in the nation.
Posted by: Eighthman | Apr 7 2026 17:17 utc | 59
 
Notice that the riposte that “the rest of Europe is next” has fallen out of the propaganda lexicon. Germany remains in slumber, so I guess those washing machine bombs aren’t as loud as the American ones. 
 
Maybe this slow tempo is because Russia is “too weak” to execute a real invasion (Yawn). Or maybe because of silicon based overwatch and unmanned assets that the last “real invasion” was Normandy, when battleships still sailed the seas (Bismarck, Scharnhorst, Hood and a few others not so much). 
 
After all, with those oh so effective bombs being lobbed about (Unlike Russian washing machine missiles in Ukraine), Kharg Island doesn’t look like Iwo Jima very much (Poor Lindsay), the Ford is out of action because of (ehem) a clothes drier vent issue and a bunch of helicopters are crashed in the Iranian desert (1979 ring a bell here?). So let’s fire a bunch of cross dressing Generals, so we can have a real invasion (Pistol) Pete Hegseth.   

Posted by: frithguild | Apr 7 2026 17:50 utc | 60

OTOH, you could argue that Russia is going too slow in Ukraine and experiencing a near stalemate (as he seems to feel). We keep hearing about a collapse that never comes and they still don’t have all of Donbas – much less the other claimed areas. Russia should bomb every TCC office or force in the nation.

Posted by: Eighthman | Apr 7 2026 17:17 utc | 59
 
Just to cheer you up here’s some excerpts of honest-to-goodness Ukrainian “doomsterism” from regular columnist and blogger Yuriy Kasyanov:

We have accumulated a lot of homework, the failure to solve which can really lead the country to disaster

Zelenskyy says that Russia wants to completely occupy us (also news to me), and there will be fewer and fewer missiles for Patriot due to the war with Iran

Budanov says that difficult relations with Western partners await us, because no one needs a strong Ukraine.
 
In addition, 90 billion euros of aid remain blocked, IMF loans are also in question due to non-fulfillment of conditions, and a hole is rapidly forming in the budget.
 
We can confidently say that there is no good news.
 
Because war is weapons, money and people.
 
People are also not all right – mobilization problems have turned into tragedies when we pay with human lives in the rear for bad laws and illegal practices.

~~~

[…] it cannot solve urgent problems at home – adopt the necessary laws, make mobilization fairer, legal and effective, close the sky at least from Shaheds, build a reliable defense with a priority on the retention of personnel, and equate corruption during the war with treason.

~~~

It is worth mentioning, as an example, South Vietnam, which fell on April 30, 1975 as a result of the fact that the United States was “tired” of supporting a pseudo-democratic regime, the symbols of which were corruption, social tension, and the inability to introduce much-needed changes.

~~~

However, there are almost no wise or at least intelligent patriots left. Because exemplary patriotism was pulled over by corruption and permissiveness. And true patriots were sent to war.
 
Patriotism became the privilege of the authorities.
 
Prospects are bad.

~~~
 
https://regionews.ua/ukr/blog/yuriy-kasyanov/1775494566-u-nas-nakopichilosya-kupa-domashnih-zavdan-nevirishennya-yakih-mozhe-diysno-privesti-krayinu-do-katastrofi (via translation add-on.)
 
This is not the entire piece, just extracts of some of the point he’s making. He is not a happy chappie…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 7 2026 18:15 utc | 61

*** Patriotism became the privilege of the authorities. ***
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 7 2026 18:15 utc | 61
 
Less than a drop in the great, blue motion of the sunlit sea. But it seems that some of the drops sparkle, Pelly. Some of them do sparkle! Run, boy! Run, boy!

Posted by: frithguild | Apr 7 2026 18:33 utc | 62

Jeremy R-l @ 57:  “This wasn’t in the Western planning:  The price of Russian oil has risen to the highest in 13 years …”
 
How do we know this was not in Western planning?  Clearly, President Trump has been trying to resolve the situation in the Ukraine, but the big obstacles are the war-mongering Euros and the bought-and-paid-for US Senate.  In the meantime, since troubles never come in ones, Iran is working towards ICBMs which could (probably would) be used against the Great Satan.  China and Russia are also highly concerned about IRGC/theocracy nukes, since they both have some internal & external Islam-related issues — but they are constrained by the BRICS phantasm.
 
Solution:  US destroys Iran’s nuke capabilities, knowing that Russia & China will do nothing serious to help Iran because they too want those capabilities destroyed.  Iran breaches “International Law” by blocking navigation in the Hormuz Strait, as everyone know they would — sending up the price of Russian oil and aiding Russia in its long war against the Ukraine/Euros.  The Euros refuse to help contain Iran, as everyone knew those spineless impotents would.  That breaks the Euro hold on the US Senate and makes it possible for the US to economize on NATO.  Plus it aids Russia, since even the Euros begin to realize that they are on their own with their belligerence against Russia — which will weaken Euro support for Zelensky.
 
It is a messy process, but the result will be a better world for everyone — including the long-suffering citizens of the Ukraine and Iran, and even those worthless Euros.  The only question is how much of this was pre-arranged between the US, Russia, and China.

Posted by: Gavin Longmuir | Apr 7 2026 22:44 utc | 63

Posted by: Anonymous | Apr 7 2026 0:54 utc | 45
 
dead body exchange says 1 : 1 ridiculous.

Posted by: UWDude | Apr 8 2026 0:51 utc | 64

Oh dear…. More red lines crossed.
 
Posted by: Trubind1 | Apr 7 2026 14:34 utc | 54
 
no quote using the term ..  and the story is about nobody of significance.
 
But please, tell us next what the underdeputy of political studies in Vladivostovok said, I am sure he speaks for Putin as well.
 
 

Posted by: UWDude | Apr 8 2026 0:56 utc | 65

Russia isn’t supplying its forces well if they have to beg for supplies from civilians.
 
 
 
Dear friends, our soldiers have reached out to us for support!
A unit on the front lines has contacted the People’s Support Fund for Participants of the Second Military District, asking for help in meeting their needs. They need everything from building materials to fortify their positions to medicine, clothing, and even the most basic household items.
 
At the front, every morning brings new challenges and new needs. Some lack insulation, others urgently need medicine, and in others, the guys are simply freezing without extra clothing. We’re helping, but we can’t do it without your participation.
 
Every donation is not just support, but a real difference in the lives of our soldiers. Thank you to everyone who’s there!

Posted by: MiniMO | Apr 8 2026 2:10 utc | 66

ive seen this things signal signatures for at least 2 years but it appears to be fully deployed and announced.
Spirit 030.
The new terminal is now portable and uses 30-cm diameter antennas, rather than the 90-120 centimeter diameter found on older systems, making it more difficult to detect.The Spirit-030 terminal is a Russian development in mobile satellite communications. It is a domestically produced version of the American Starlink system, adapted for Russian technology. Communication is provided via geostationary satellites of the Russian constellation. The system is slated to operate in the centimeter C/Ku bands, but its narrow-beam parabolic antenna array places strict demands on the azimuth and elevation pointing parameters of the antenna, some other information indicates it uses phased arrays T/R elements. Some reports indicate the terminal weighs 5–7 kg, has an antenna with a diameter of 30 cm and provides speeds of up to 50 Mbps for reception and 10 Mbps for transmission. It operates in the Ku-band , compatible with major Russian and Chinese satellites, such as Express and Yamal. As the system’s data transfer terminals can transmit encrypted files with target coordinates, large text files describing the tactical situation in a given theater of operations, and also provide secure voice communications likely even video data. The Spirit-030 represents tactical shift by Russian Armed Forces toward low-profile, tactical SATCOM:Similar concept to portable satellite internet terminals used by modern militaries. Trades raw bandwidth for stealth, mobility, and survivability. Indicates Russia is trying to replicate LEO-like battlefield connectivity using its existing GEO satellite network. Not perfect but than starlink.

Posted by: NJH | Apr 8 2026 2:26 utc | 67

Malinovsky.  An amateur’s look at him here. Not referenced because Malinovsky’s various exploits spill out of google in an instant.
 
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/10/ukraine-open-thread-2025-228.html#comment-1198401
 
A professional’s brief reference to him just a little in from the start here.  Set to around 30 mins and lasts about ten:-
 
https://youtu.be/EAQjYxCtgds?t=1815
 
Andrei Martyanov went through Russian officer training and has kept in touch with his old colleagues, many since promoted and some active in the SMO.  You couldn’t get a better guide to Russian military thinking.  At the same time, he’s lectured at US defence establishments and published in US military journals so has an insight into how they think as well.  So that brief but authoritative reference to Malinovsky gets one thinking about the current Russian approach to the SMO. 
 
And thinking about it, does one need to go further than Malinovsky to unravel how the Russians approach today’s war?  The devastating Blitzkrieg attack at the very start.  The merciless pounding before ever letting infantry get close.  The economy with manpower.   The ability to work with disparate forces and weld them as one.   That way of handling enemy strong points.  It’s all there in Malinovsky’s CV, as it were, and it’s all there today, detail after detail, in what one can see of the SMO.  
 
But it’s worth referencing that section of Andrei Martyanov’s video for other reasons.  There’s a general feeling of impatience about this war in Ukraine.  It’s a war that was lost as soon as started so why’s it dragging on?  Why aren’t the Russians, master of the field in all respects, not simply charging in to put an end to the misery?   Why so slow?
 
I’d say to those who feel that way, listen to Martyanov’s brief exposition in the ten minutes of clip linked to.  Brief, but says it all.

Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 8 2026 14:22 utc | 68

Seems NATO has designed the perfect weapon to strike the rear.  The fact they continue to blame ‘the Ukraine’ is beyond delusion.

 
The “Martian-2” attack wing is the most dangerous threat to our rear logistics️
 
Our friends from one unit handed us a nearly complete “Martian-2” UAV for study (the exact name is questionable; some call it a “Hornet”).
 
This drone is actively terrorizing our rear areas, including cases of our vehicles being hit at distances >50 km from the LBS (Mariupol Highway). It’s primarily active in the Pokrovskoe direction (Selidovo/Ocheretino), but it can be found everywhere, including in the Belgorod direction.
 
We will gradually post a detailed report on the disassembly of all the parts of this drone on our channel, but for now we’ll post a very preliminary description (there may be errors at this stage).
 
– The drone is very well assembled, evident even in the cables used in aviation. Overall, this suggests either that the drone was assembled in the West, or that the enemy has significantly improved the quality of drone production.
 
– The drone is equipped with two daytime cameras (head-up and down) and possibly a very effective target acquisition system; the down-facing camera is capable of auto-lock-on.
 
Despite the daytime cameras, attacks by this drone have been recorded at dusk, suggesting that it could also be used with twilight or thermal cameras.
 
The drone’s priority target is our equipment and vehicles, but in some cases, it has switched and attacked our infantry (so mobile task forces and air defense forces could be a priority target for this drone).
 
– Nets on logistics routes are ineffective in protecting against this drone.
 
– We’ll discuss the warhead and initiation separately, but typically it’s a cumulative-fragmentation warhead weighing about 1.5 kg. It has an almost 100% success rate, so intact specimens are very rare; usually, only the “tails” remain.
 
– In most cases, the drone flies at low altitudes (around 200 m) along our transport routes, then locks on to the target and strikes. The drone approaches the target very quietly, so usually not everyone has time to react.
 
– Regarding communication and frequencies, this drone’s communication modules were previously in one of the TG channels. We’d like to add that the range can be very wide; in addition to 2000 or 3000 GHz, it can also range from 1700-1900 and 160-180 / 450-480.
 
Communications are via digital modems, which are invisible to standard drone detectors. Furthermore, the drone likely supports a MESH system, meaning it’s connected to other similar drones in a single network.
 
The drone is equipped with a simple GNSS antenna, but whether it’s used for the entire flight or just for targeting a takeoff point is still unclear.
 
From this preliminary data, we can conclude that this is an extremely dangerous UAV – it’s difficult to hear, undetectable by detectors, flies deep into our rear, and is resistant to electronic warfare. Furthermore, since it’s a wing, shooting it down with small arms fire is extremely difficult (unless you hit the pilot, warhead, or battery). The best countermeasure is an FPV interceptor/tree.
 

Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Apr 8 2026 14:28 utc | 69

Slow 1.100s AFU casualties day
 
https://tass.com/politics/2113771
 
Fresh marat
 
https://maratkhairullin.substack.com/p/brief-frontline-report-april-7th

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 8 2026 17:05 utc | 70

@English Outsider | Apr 7 2026 13:57 utc | 53
 
Glad you found useful comparison – especially on ‘real economy’, ‘real production’ – worth noting the Mittelstand. This was an integrated system with a number of inter-linked pillars- skills and education system; trade union system (lay-offs kept to a minimum during downturns – part time etc, holding onto skilled labour etc, gov support); structure of industry – export oriented, innovation and R&D; available energy [which many are now waking up to notwithstanding fact that Germany agreed to deindustrialise due to US pressure and sabotage, eliminate nuclear, and place rabid russophic Greens in Gov [I’m not anti-Green]); and ‘prudent ordoliberal’ finance where you may have come across Herr Prof. Sinn during financial crisis. 
All is now very changed – militarism and weapons manufacturing and war with RF the future – madness. I was on a guided tour of VW in Wolfsburg years ago – v. impressive.
 
I won’t comment on  the UK – can’t remember what Koestler said about The English Working Class in the 60s – not sure such a ‘class’ exists these days
 
Glazev still believes RF system & Central Bank and Oligarchs too close to neo-liberal – he is much closer in thinking to China on use of, and control of, financial system for ‘real production’. He is also very involved in design of alternative methods of financial transactions for BRICS. A heterodox in same stable as Hudson, Keen etc
 
I value your comments here. So does Roberts.

Posted by: Don Firineach | Apr 8 2026 23:14 utc | 71