Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
April 27, 2026
Russia Still Seems To Have Hope For A Deal With Trump

It is quite obvious that the U.S. is (ab-)using Europe to up the pressure on its super-power competitor Russia. But Russia is refraining for calling out Washington for what it is doing. It seems to hold on to the illusion that a deal can be done.

[R]emarks by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, Apr 24 2026

Lavrov is describing the “West” as a united menace to the rest of the world. But he separates the U.S. for its (alleged) policy differences with the EU over Ukraine. This while the CIA is daily directing Ukrainian drones onto Russian proper.

Excerpts:

The collective West policy is posing the main threat to international peace and security. We continue to call it “collective,” although the collective part is now being torn by disagreements. However, their strategic goal, we have no doubt about it, remains the same and is to dominate by any means, to dominate and continue dominating, and to preserve their hegemony for as long as possible, while containing the growth of new global centres and competitors in the World Majority countries in Asia, Africa, and Latin America.

Every day we observe, we are, in fact, shown in real time that in order to preserve their hegemony and to achieve these unseemly goals, illegal sanctions, plunder, the theft of other countries’ sovereign assets, blackmail, threats and, of course, the use of military force are employed, as we saw in Venezuela and now in Iran – all of that in blatant violation of international law.

The assessment that the unprovoked aggression by the Americans and Israelis against Iran has seriously destabilised the situation in the Middle East doesn’t even begin to cover it, because the situation is now becoming destabilised globally and all countries are assessing their prospects for economic development, energy supply sources, and so on. The continuation of the conflict (which, it appears, is far from over) will have the most negative repercussions for the entire international community, for the economic situation of most of humanity, and for global security.

EU abuse of Ukraine against Russia:

A war against us has been openly declared. The Kiev regime is being used as the tip of the spear. However, everyone is aware that this tip is unusable without Western supplies of weapons, intelligence data, satellite systems, training of military personnel, and much more. …

In order to justify their policy, the West – above all the international bureaucracy in Brussels (both EU and NATO, which are increasingly becoming one), as well as Berlin, Paris, and, of course, London – are attempting to demonise everything Russian and openly speak about gearing up for war with us in the foreseeable future.

The U.S. as a different beast:

The logic of the Americans in relations with most countries (I have not heard anyone say this in dialogue with us, and I hope I never will) is that if you do not do as I say, I will punish you. In other words, I do not promise anything, but you must give me what I want; and if you don’t, I will punish you. This is not a balance of interests, and certainly not an honest conversation.

The role each play on Ukraine:

Zelensky recently travelled to Cyprus and met with EU representatives to discuss guarantees for his continued hold on power and that of his clique, while keeping in place everything that has become another key underlying cause of the current situation, namely, the unleashed war and the legislative eradication of everything associated with Russia: the Russian language in education, the media and culture, and the destruction of canonical Orthodoxy. This is also part of the West’s civilisational aggression against the Russian Federation, because they planned and began to create civilisational threats on our state borders of that time in the very centre of the Russian world.

The same kind of civilisational aggression showed itself in encouraging Zelensky’s regime to eliminate everything Russian and the Ukrainian Orthodox Church. This is also part of the aggression against us, against Russia as a civilisation. This is how the West is leveraging the Nazi regime in Ukraine. When we are told that we should somehow resolve the Donbass issue, and that perhaps they will talk Zelensky into making concessions or, perhaps, Russia will make concessions and everything will be fine. Nothing will be fine. The West has openly stated that it was developing security guarantees for a regime that is viewed as a long-term threat to our country and will be used, among other things, for more military adventures. They have declared that all of this will begin in the 2029-2030 timeframe.

That is why we value the fact that the United States, despite the specifics of its actions, is taking a position of publicly outlining the underlying causes (in an approximation of their real understanding) and – most importantly – taking concrete steps: no NATO expansion and sticking to the understandings reached during the Alaska summit. Soon, we will mark the first anniversary of the Anchorage meeting. Over this period, the Europeans – credit must be given to their audacity – and Zelensky have done a great deal to push the Americans off the course that we had adopted and to continue their games aimed at destroying a geopolitical competitor.

I do believe that Lavrov’s distinction between the U.S. and EU/NATO-Europe with regards to Ukraine is purely tactical.

Russia is still hoping to make a deal with Trump. But I am sure that it is well aware that it is the U.S. which is pushing for further European’s aggression against Russia.

Why else would Elbridge Colby, the U.S. Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, laud the German government plans for expanding its military if not for waging war against Russia:

President Trump has rightly laid out that Europe must step up, and NATO must no longer be a paper tiger.
Through the historic Hague Commitments, Europe has begun to do so.
But the key now is, in the words of SecGen Rutte, action over words. As Rutte put it this week, “Air defense systems, drones, ammunition, radars, space capabilities — that is what will keep us safe.” 1/

Germany is now taking the leading role in this. After years of disarmament, Berlin is stepping up. The DOW is already working closely with European allies, especially Germany, to accelerate this transition to NATO 3.0. 2/

Berlin’s new Military Strategy shows a clear path forward and we look forward to collaborating closely with the FRG to implement this. Below are some key excerpts: 3/

Germany’s Military Strategy represents a clear, credible way forward to NATO 3.0: A NATO in which Europe and Canada step up to meet their responsibilities within the Alliance and transform it from a paper tiger to a strong deterrent and defense.

President Trump has provided the clear and consistent message Europe and Canada need to hear. We at DoW stand ready to engage and aid those who heed his message and take real action at the speed of relevance. 10/10

Comments

Respect that Putin (after all) is a true patriot who has great honor in getting Russia out of the abyss of the 1990s.
My fear – my fearful suspicions are: Putin surrounds himself with neoliberal 5th column (15 percent flat tax), who dream of becoming part of the G8.I’m not sure – But could there be truth to this?
When Lugansk and Donetsk were about to win in 2014 and 15. When it became critical and Luhansk and Donetsk were being liberated – largely by their own efforts – the West panicked. Merkel flew to Moscow; Putin failed (again) and the result was Minsk 1
And Minsk 2 – while the West openly laughed at him and Russia. And Istanbul.. and Astana, and Anchorage – and..
Im afraid Putin has reduced Russia from a great power to a Stockholm Syndrome Power – Most recently the US is bombing Russian tankers, refineries, strategic nuclear bombers, terror in the music hall, the list go on and on – The US is actually behind everything! And everyone knows it.Puntin compulsively turns the other cheek. Is this worthy of a great power (?)You must ask yourself – Why?
After which Putin gives ‘his friend’ – the narcissistic megalomaniac and psychopathic – Donald Trump legitimacy to act as a 3 party negotiator (!) – bad craziness indeed.
Putin and his G8 neoliberal companions ‘dare’ not win the war against NATO and US. I’m not sure – But could there be truth to this?
Putin just loves all the neo-fascists: Meloni, Le Pen, Trump, ADF, Modi, Netanyahu, Saudi-MBS, the list goes on and on.
There is nothing Putin and his companions would rather do than to be part of the (colonial) club again; to have houses in London again; to be part of the Western Jet Set.I’m not sure – But could there be truth to this?
Everyone knows that the CIA, MI6, the Deep State have planned to turn Ukraine into a Bandera terrorist state against Russia – ever since before the breakup of the CCCP.Why doesn’t Putin face the consequences of this (?)
Meanwhile, Germany is rearming and NATO is openly threatening nuclear-armed Russia with war. It could become very dangerous that Russia has not ended this war a long time ago.
Lavrov in his CCCP t-shirt obviously doesn’t trust Putin anymore. Lavrov is no longer hiding it – and is far more popular and trustworthy in Russia than Putin. So he is untouchable …While Putin has sidelined Lavrov in favor of the neoliberal Kirill Dmitriev -as the main negotiator… Dimitriev is without any military or diplomatic experience. With Trump’s son-in-law Kusner as part of the negotiations, these have apparently been reduced to an amateur freak show – which runs on its own inertia for 10 months (?)
Putin let Israel and his special friend Netanyahu bomb Syria hundreds of times while he was talking – and talking – Astana with his special friend and traitor Erdogan.
Putin denied Iran S300 for years, even though Iran had paid for them. Iran doesn’t trust Putin anymore.
Putin received (without Lavrov) the IS leader from Syria. It’s not realpolitik – it’s just shameful considering the attack on Iran, Syria, Gaza, Lebanon, Yemen… And all the suffering that could have been avoided had it not been for the very special friendship between Putin, Netanyahu and Erdogan. Bon appetit !
So – Why still be a blind apologist (defender) for the autocrat Putin (?)Do people really still think Putin is a super strategist – playing 5G chess?
Putin apparently thinks he is so clever and classless and free. But (maybe) he’s still f–king peasants as far as I can see

Posted by: MoodyBlues | Apr 27 2026 17:10 utc | 1

Russia, of course, is greatly profiting commercially from Trump’s aggression against Iran…But Lavrov and Putin seem to have gone overboard in their approach to dealing with Trump…Trump cannot be trusted in any way, shape or form, so perhaps Medvedev and his followers will take over at some point…

Posted by: pyrrhus | Apr 27 2026 17:10 utc | 2

I am not pleased to make fun of Putin nor the 85% of Russians supporting him and Capitalism, but now the Russians’ actions are affecting my own living, so here it is:
Putin has shown Arangsi where Assad currently lives(?) and then Putin shown Arangsi a gold-plated, platinum-zipped Luis Vuiton bag. And told him: “your choice”.
 

Posted by: andy74 | Apr 27 2026 17:13 utc | 3

I am growing fatigued at the whole state of affairs.  However, here is my main thesis right now.
 
The Epstein Class is making a grand play to be the Masters of the Universe.  Captain America, Iron Man, and Superman all rolled up into one grand killing machine.  RIC (Russia, Iran, China) are the main defenders of themselves and everyone else from the Epstein Class Captain America attack.
 
The Epstein Class has 2 big advantages.   One is the reliance of so many nations and businesses around the world on the US dollar.  This makes corruption throughout the world easy for the US to use and abuse.  Two is that the US has proven repeatedly that the US kills children, blows up hospitals, and makes attacks that threaten environmental disasters.  Furthermore, the US is willing to use its nukes to completely annihilate a nation, even if fallout eventually kills tons of Americans.  These are huge advantages.
 
RIC have the production advantage.  They outproduce the US in just about everything.  Well everything except for disinformation.  This advantage is a long term advantage.  The US advantages are short term advantages.  Like it or not, RIC are executing the Muhammed Ali rope-a-dope strategy.  Defend, defend, survive, and outlast the US.
 
Recently, the US has escalated in Ukraine with its shock and awe tactics and its frequent counter attacks.  The US and Europe combined have spent significantly more than Russia’s annual military budget on “Ukrainian stuff” – just in the last 3 months.  The US is attacking Russian civilian ships, as well as Iranian and even Chinese civilian ships.  Not to mention the Venezuelan boats the US proudly sank over the past 3 months.
 
Yet, RIC has been united in doubling down on its rope a dope strategy.  So far they have gotten decent results from it, and all three nations still exist.

Posted by: Woke American | Apr 27 2026 17:18 utc | 4

An American faction, call it the Kissinger Trump faction has been working on or had hopes of separation Russia from China. In turn, the Russians have been diligently working at separating the Americans from the Europeans.
Thinking of that interview, perhaps call it the Tucker Carlson faction though he was just a messenger boy. The Russians put a lot of work into that interview because they knew who they were talking to and it wasn’t Carlson.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 27 2026 17:21 utc | 5

Respect that Putin (after all) is a true patriot who has great honor in getting Russia out of the abyss of the 1990s.
 
 
My fear – my fearful suspicions are: Putin surrounds himself with neoliberal 5th column (15 percent flat tax), who dream of becoming part of the G8.I’m not sure – But could there be truth to this?
 
 
When Lugansk and Donetsk were about to win in 2014 and 15. When it became critical and Luhansk and Donetsk were being liberated – largely by their own efforts – the West panicked. Merkel flew to Moscow; Putin failed (again) and the result was Minsk 1
 
 
And Minsk 2 – while the West openly laughed at him and Russia. And Istanbul.. and Astana, and Anchorage – and..
 
 
Im afraid Putin has reduced Russia from a great power to a Stockholm Syndrome Power – Most recently the US is bombing Russian tankers, refineries, strategic nuclear bombers, terror in the music hall, the list go on and on – The US is actually behind everything! And everyone knows it.Puntin compulsively turns the other cheek. Is this worthy of a great power (?)You must ask yourself – Why?
 
 
After which Putin gives ‘his friend’ – the narcissistic megalomaniac and psychopathic – Donald Trump legitimacy to act as a 3 party negotiator (!) – bad craziness indeed.
 
 
Putin and his G8 neoliberal companions ‘dare’ not win the war against NATO and US. I’m not sure – But could there be truth to this?
 
 
Putin just loves all the neo-fascists: Meloni, Le Pen, Trump, ADF, Modi, Netanyahu, Saudi-MBS, the list goes on and on.
 
 
There is nothing Putin and his companions would rather do than to be part of the (colonial) club again; to have houses in London again; to be part of the Western Jet Set.I’m not sure – But could there be truth to this?
 
 
Everyone knows that the CIA, MI6, the Deep State have planned to turn Ukraine into a Bandera terrorist state against Russia – ever since before the breakup of the CCCP.Why doesn’t Putin face the consequences of this (?)
 
 
Meanwhile, Germany is rearming and NATO is openly threatening nuclear-armed Russia with war. It could become very dangerous that Russia has not ended this war a long time ago.
 
 
Lavrov in his CCCP t-shirt obviously doesn’t trust Putin anymore. Lavrov is no longer hiding it – and is far more popular and trustworthy in Russia than Putin. So he is untouchable
 
…While Putin has sidelined Lavrov in favor of the neoliberal Kirill Dmitriev -as the main negotiator regarding the 28 parody points. Dimitriev is without any military or diplomatic experience. With Trump’s son-in-law Kusner as part of the negotiations, these have apparently been reduced to an amateur freak show – which runs on its own inertia for 15 months (?)
 
Putin let Israel and his special friend Netanyahu bomb Syria hundreds of times while he was talking – and talking – Astana with his special friend and traitor Erdogan.
 
Putin denied Iran S300 for years, even though Iran had paid for them. Iran doesn’t trust Putin anymore.
 
Putin received (without Lavrov) the IS leader from Syria. It’s not realpolitik – it’s just shameful considering the attack on Iran, Syria, Gaza, Lebanon, Yemen… And all the suffering that could have been avoided had it not been for the very special friendship between Putin, Netanyahu and Erdogan. Bon appetit !
 
So – Why still be a blind apologist (defender) for the autocrat Putin (?)Do people really still think Putin is a super strategist – playing 5G chess?
 
Putin apparently thinks he is so clever and classless and free. But (maybe) he’s still f–king peasants as far as I can see

Posted by: MoodyBlues | Apr 27 2026 17:21 utc | 6

PuTiN iS BeGgiNg foR a CEasEFIre !!1!1!!

Posted by: UWDude | Apr 27 2026 17:23 utc | 7

when does russia call a spade a spade, and stop trying to pretend that any of their opponents are doing anything in good faith??  what is the value in russia soft pedaling any of this??  it is clear nothing has changed in the wests actions towards russia.. instead it is a continuation of a desire to take down russia, or as your quote makes direct mention of – “the West’s civilisational aggression against the Russian Federation”
 
at some point russia is going to have to ”go public” with a very different response then what they have given so far… might want to take a page out of irans playbook russia…
 
thanks b! 

Posted by: james | Apr 27 2026 17:23 utc | 8

The US is trying to convert the EU into its new proxy to send into battle against Russia. It’s clear that Ukraine is not going to last, and the US needs to continue its dual military-economic war against Russia. So it needs a new and larger proxy, and that is the role of the EU. 
 
Where is Elena Kagan now, to pass cookies around to the EU leaders? 
 
 

Posted by: Clever Dog | Apr 27 2026 17:23 utc | 9

UWDude
Sure, buddy. 😀 ROFL

Posted by: Henry Brewer | Apr 27 2026 17:25 utc | 10

From yesterday’s comment at another website:S Brennan: April 26, 2026 at 16:36
File Under: “Ya Think?

Stop drawing red lines”: Russian Armed Forces general calls for real war:
Red lines have long since ceased to function; it’s time for real war, stated by former Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces Yuri Baluevsky [Clearly, another “armchair-general” who can’t see the subtly in 5-D chess?]..the enemy sees that Russia is not responding to its actions and is becoming even more brazen. The lack of an adequate response only provokes further escalation…the enemy does not understand words, he must be made to fear
Baluyevsky’s statements reflect the mood of Russian troops on the front, many officers have repeatedly said that “we need to fight differently [with] no need to fear a major war because; it’s already begun…demonstrate strength now or, we’ll be crushed
https://en.topwar.ru/281719-hvatit-risovat-krasnye-linii-general-vs-rf-prizval-voevat-po-nastojaschemu.html

Spoken many times here, at MOA and smoothie’s-shop…still the fan-boys persist with their worship of Russia’s present tactics, the SloMo, the Linear, the attrition…the veneration of Westmoreland’s..er..ah..Putin’s tactics.

Posted by: S Brennan | Apr 27 2026 17:26 utc | 11

It’s fashionable to be frustrated at Putin. But really, people should get frustrated at Xi.
Now that Western stocks are largely depleted and the US / NATO side can only do one more big bombing run / missile exchange like happened for a month with Iran before being completely stripped of military hardware, it is high time to move on Taiwan – not to cause open warfare but to force the US/West to choose. Pick one fight out of 3, or divide even more meagre resources between all 3, and ensure RIC/BRICS that the Western military will entirely crumble under strain. Even funnier, force Europe to choose: sanction China and get economically annihilated in less than 6 months, with riots and probably civil revolts if not armed rebellions and incoming regime changes in less than a year, or choose who not to sanction – or even dump the US and stop all economic sanctions, everywhere (granted, that last scenario may only be realistic once Europe has been widely regime-changed and the current political class has been, literally, eviscerated by popular protests).
It’s high time for the last shoe to drop, and China must now be very busy preparing an ultimatum and a blockade of Taiwan.
Of course, that is, if you want to win. And it’s worth pointing out that in the long run, the winning conditions for mankind and the world is not humiliating the USA, it’s the final dissolution and cancellation of the United States, being turned into *at the very least* 20 lesser states that will spend the next century fighting each other – at least metaphorically -, ideally deprived from their WMDs, or at worst using them on each other. For Europe, you’d basically just need to get rid of the EU and of NATO for it to behave in a less arrogant and more reasonable way.

Posted by: Clueless Joe | Apr 27 2026 17:30 utc | 12

I see a concern troll at #1, which isn’t unusual. 
 
Thanks, b, for providing those long Lavrov excerpts; however, this short sentence merited bolding: “Nothing will be fine.” What Lavrov doesn’t explicitly say is the only way things will become “fine” from Russia’s POV is when the Zelensky regime is destroyed along with whatever remains of Ukraine’s ability to wage war on behalf of EU/NATO on Russia.  And as you cite, Colby gives the game away–the Outlaw US Empire will continue its Imperialistic ways until it’s forced to abandon them as that’s normal behavior for declining empires. And in this case, the Empire is Collective–the Collective Western-Atlanticist Empire. And in the wake of the failure of the Outlaw US Empire to defeat Iran, the strength of the Collective West was greatly diminished. Europe cannot become another armed madhouse without Persian Gulf hydrocarbons and other products.  

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 27 2026 17:33 utc | 13

If Putin thinks he can cut a deal with the US that benefits Russia then he is a fool. If Putin is playing 4-D chess and is trying to encourage splits between the US and EU then we must wait to see the results before we can say he is a fool. 

Posted by: William Gruff | Apr 27 2026 17:34 utc | 14

Clueless 12Had China just threatened a blockade of Taiwan before Israelis/Goyimstanis began attacking Iran…the war would never have happened.  Plus, China would have garnered the world’s good will but now, it would seem like China is trying to profit from Iran’s misery.

Posted by: S Brennan | Apr 27 2026 17:35 utc | 15

I see a concern troll at #1, which isn’t unusual”  – karlof1 13

Whereas, I see a commenter who disagrees with Karlof…eye of the beholder and all that.

Posted by: S Brennan | Apr 27 2026 17:39 utc | 16

I have just read how Mali’s Defence minister has been killed by rogue terrorists (al qaida?) and russian forces (so-called russian-african corps) have retreated from Kidal with possible loss of a helicopter. Yesterday I read in news-pravda.com that the russians had the upper hand in Kidal

Posted by: andy74 | Apr 27 2026 17:40 utc | 17

All the EU ‘leaders’ are lining up like lapdogs when daddy tells them to pay for their own gears. They’ll do whatever in order for daddy to not dissolve Nato. Nato-to-GDP ratios now running at 5%, in a few years at 10% with collapsing European economies.
 
Lapdogs are also buying US energy at exorbitant prices, as it’s the only game in town.
 
So EU is already gone in economic terms. US will probably muddle through.
 
The good thing with cratering Europe is it will also spill over to Ukraine, regardless of what US or CIA does.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 27 2026 17:44 utc | 18

Where is Elena Kagan now, to pass cookies around to the EU leaders
 
Posted by: Clever Dog | Apr 27 2026 17:23 utc | 9

 
She’s on the Supreme Court, just as she was in 2014 during the Maidan coup. As far as I know she’s never distributed cookies to anyone.

Posted by: malenkov | Apr 27 2026 17:48 utc | 19

I pretty much stopped reading Paul Craig Roberts due to his constant criticism of Putin. The knock is that the Russians should have responded decisively  when it’s apparent such action would have ultimately  led to a nuclear exchange. Maybe humanity is more important to some than ego. The Russians are aware that  the West including the US will eventually deplete themselves.

Posted by: Space Cowboy | Apr 27 2026 17:52 utc | 20

Reading this, I did a double take: “The DOW is already working closely with European allies.”
Yes, indeed. The DOW industrial average companies are working closely with the Department of War (DOW.)
Two heads of the same beast. Fascism at its finest. Military Keynesianism über alles.

Posted by: JohnH | Apr 27 2026 17:56 utc | 21

Is there anything more that Russia could do to help Iran? What would be the escalation ladder for Russia in supporting Iran? Like Levels 1, 2, 3, and 4 assuming that right now Russia is just at Level 1 with satelite targeting of Saudi airbases.

Posted by: isthere | Apr 27 2026 18:06 utc | 22

I respectfully disagree -B-
 
I believe  President Putin is well aware now that Trump is on the chopping block cone midterms.  He’ll either have to resign or remain lamducked for next 2 years. 
In addition, any “deal” with Trump would not be ratified by Congress, making it unlikely that Putin would bother with anything other than periphery issues.
 
I saw the change with the failure to renew the START.   That was the door that hit Putin in the face and finally woke him up.
 
 I see Putin calculating nothing but turmoil, and chaos to ensue the US for next 10 years and he isn’t wrong.  The political factions will continue unto the foreseen future ducking it out.
 
That leaves Putin and others, paddling their own canoes and navigating a disruptive empire in permanent decline.

Posted by: Trubind1 | Apr 27 2026 18:19 utc | 23

Only one addition,  Putin is still a globalist cuck, looking to maintain the status quo of “international laws”, that serve only a few nations, have power centered on one body of five out of 193 nations, with Russia being one of those 5. Russia has superiority complexes of their own to lay aside, and the current global order that Putin & Xi are so keen to maintain (with only nominal “reform”) has been an abject dismal failure like every other global order before it, serving only a few nations while all other nations remain vassals of that order.

Posted by: Trubind1 | Apr 27 2026 18:25 utc | 24

Posted the following on the Iran thread, might as well repeat it here:

“Global military spending has reached a new all-time high, exceeding $2,890 billion. According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) annual report, the figure will grow by 2.9% in 2025, marking the eleventh consecutive year of positive growth. The share of defense spending in global GDP reached 2.5%, the highest value since 2009.

Europe has become the main driver of the arms race, with total military budget growth reaching $864 billion, up 14%.

Ukraine has the highest level of militarization of the economy in the world. In 2025….”

https://t.me/agc_NW/29214

Note US spends slightly more on military than europe, the europe figure is combined spending…but given most countries and most spending is ‘harmonised’ via and/or under EU…

Posted by: Ornot | Apr 27 2026 18:28 utc | 25

RE: Posted by: Space Cowboy | Apr 27 2026 17:52 utc | 20
 
Sorry, but disagree.
West is far to narcissistic & in love with themselves to think they could nuke another nation and not be nuked themselves.
 
Nuclear was/is not an issue.  It’s the ever fear card played by powers to scare their populaces.
 
Its worn thin, and not at all why Russia wasn’t more aggressive.
 

Posted by: Trubind1 | Apr 27 2026 18:30 utc | 26

“Russia is still hoping to make a deal with Trump.”
 
1. Deal is the codeword of true the Trump fans and admirers. I am not one of them. Neither are the Russian leaders.
 
2. The Russian leadership consists of highly educated and professional working people. They know exactly who their enemies are, what they are like and that the leaders of the western bloc are недоговорoспособные (agreement incapable), especially the US Americans.
 
Nevertheless, Russians are polite people. And as I understand it, their diplomatic efforts towards the US american leadership has exactly two goals left: To keep the direct communication channels open and to avoid a direct military clash as long as they assess that it can be avoided.

Posted by: Vrbamrda | Apr 27 2026 18:33 utc | 27

Perhaps Lavrov also thinks Trump will be “shuffling off / shed his mortal coil” (very) soon ?

Posted by: WMG | Apr 27 2026 18:36 utc | 28

There’s a faction that claims Epstein’s files are just ploys to harm Trump, like Kalof1, who can’t see beyond their own noses.
Putin has entrusted the negotiations to his personal cashier, Kirill Dmitriev, a Jew educated in the United States and England, where he resides permanently.
A representative of the Westernizing fifth column, Putin, mindful of Berlusconi’s Bunga Bunga, longs to return to being part of the West and screw the Russians.

Posted by: Cagliostro | Apr 27 2026 18:36 utc | 29

…..Europe has become the main driver of the arms race, with total military budget growth reaching $864 billion, ….
Conpare:
~$125 billion Russian Military 
~$250 billion Chines Military 
 
Imagine how much waste, mismanagement, and fraud is buried in the EU‘s 864 billion

Posted by: Exile | Apr 27 2026 18:40 utc | 30

“Still Seems To Have Hope”
 
Posted by b on April 27, 2026 at 16:51 UTC | Permalink
 

 
My impression of the current situation is that “seems” is the operative verb that must be applied to the totality of the information space.
 
Everything we do not directly experience ourselves is curated hearsay.  Talk of “deals” especially so.
 
Both Russia and the USA persevere.   Ukraine and Europe less so.  Those satrapies have stretched the fabric of their reality threadbare.  
 
No current agreement will survive the force majeure of the present oil shock. 
 
Everyone is stalling for time and hoping.
 
 
 

Posted by: too scents | Apr 27 2026 18:40 utc | 31

Exile, yes, and in the same breath, eu continues with the laughable bit coin has no intrinsic value, streisand effect incoming ??

Posted by: E | Apr 27 2026 18:46 utc | 32

Posted by: malenkov | Apr 27 2026 17:48 utc | 19
Must’ve been thinking of Victoria Nudelman-Kagan…

Posted by: Helen Weals | Apr 27 2026 18:48 utc | 33

Too Scents,
 
what odds do you place on 200€/barrel oil within, say, 18 months ? 

Posted by: Exile | Apr 27 2026 18:50 utc | 34

    All the dime store War Strategists trying to out think Russia/Putin.  What happened to the vaunted NATO/Ukraine Offensive against Russia?  Uke/Nato pants taken down, bum scraped raw with sand paper, and turpentine rubbed in – then send back to the slaughter.
Now. The Hogsbreath Department of Warmed Over BS wants the rest of the NATO countries to buy US overpriced (by a factor of 10) war toys, now proven to be relatively ineffectual.  But at the ready to fight Yesterday’s war.
The US, along with its ugly Izzy partner, have shown the entire world they are “agreement incapable.” IOW, they are CHEATERS.

Posted by: kupkee | Apr 27 2026 18:51 utc | 35

I think it was Alexander Mercouris who pointed out that this speech pivots on the line “A war against us has beeb openly declared.”  Mercouris observed that he expects Russia’s former attitude that it made no difference whether Ukraine became part of the EU is at an end.  If the aggressive posture of the EU now becomes more strident, then the tail is very much wagging the dog, a reminder to the US of its own backtracking maneuvers immediately following the agreements reached in Alaska, whose anniversary we must be reminded is approaching.  With that reminder I don’t see how the compliments directed specifically at the US can be viewed as anything but scathingly ironic. 
 
I do not believe Lavrov holds out hope for detente (if that is the right word).  There has been a referral to the US/Israeli attack on Iran.  Iran is strengthening.  If anyone is to be taking the place of the US in world affairs it is going to be Iran.   If anyone holds out hope that the US can be given a place at the table, well maybe I’ll join Mercouris in offering a bridge for sale.  Mixing my metaphores badly, that bridge – I mean ship – has sailed.
 
And there’s your qualifier ‘seems’ up there in your title, b.  Well played.

Posted by: juliania | Apr 27 2026 18:54 utc | 36

Ok, even B’s patience is running a bit low, but I will give my view (that already shared long time ago)
 
RF is okay with a decade long truce, 10-15 years are something RF knows how to use (see why in 2014 only crimea)
 
A trump 2.0 (vance?) might be the best guarantee for that.
 
RF did its part, now Iran, maybe china will tag in but unlikely before 2030’s. US will only get a major punch by 2040’s and won’t face loss of major power before things go hot in 2070s.
 
Survival is the name of the game, maybe us cannot fight everybody at the same time but ca certainly beat to a pulp one by one (but nukes out of the table mean sparing ressources for the others)
 
Europe is another case, they now have a bigger problem of their own doing the AFU is basically a foederati that if betrayed with enough forces left can present the bill directly at brussels (or berlin to name the true master). To the last ukranian is critical and the residual deffense 2030 just enough to counter whatever’s left.
 
my 2 cents
 
 

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 27 2026 18:55 utc | 37

Foreign Minister Lavrov’s (note to all the cult of personalisation trolls: Lavrov is speaking, not Putin) statements always need slow and careful reading, sometimes re-reading certain sentences or phrases more than once.
 
For those not too badly affected by the Western pandemic of impatience, adopting an approach of slow and careful reading can reveal the underlying code.
 
Lavrov is addressing the US permanent deep state, the apparatus of empire, not the Trump administration. Moreover, he is warning them, in a very veiled way, but a warning nevertheless: “We see what you’re really up to, don’t for one minute think you’ve fooled us. We haven’t rescinded our December 2021 position and we will enforce it. Over to you”.
 
There. Is. No. Deal.

 

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Apr 27 2026 18:57 utc | 38

Yes, it looks like Russia is deluding itself as to Zio Imperialism.  But, that is just the appearance.  The strategy under the show is unclear.  Perhaps, they wish to appeal to Trump’s ego publicly while preparing for war with Nato in private? Maybe they want to encourage the divisive in fighting of the collective West.  They are too shrewd too just dismiss as fools.  Time will tell.  
Also, some clowns on the thread are messing with UDub’s handle.  Some sock used it and another responded.  
I know you’re busy B, but you might want to nip that in the bud.  If anything should be unacceptable at the bar it’s stealing another handle to wreck their reputation.  UW is a valuable patron.  

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Apr 27 2026 19:00 utc | 39

Russia has the motive of driving US apart from EU.  It is their one benefit of the MAGA era: distain for EU. They need to get that wedge in there before Trump is punted. We’ve already passed peak Trump. From here, he just slides.

Posted by: Pym of Nantucket | Apr 27 2026 19:01 utc | 40

The Russian strategy of their war against Nato in Ukraine as I see it is to wear down EU/Nato-Europe without counterattacking the Europeans militarily as long as they are not forced to and to leave the US Americans aside by making continued war efforts in Ukraine for them more and more unappealing.
 
If we look on the condition of the most important EU/Nato-European countries, we will have to admit that their overall condition is quite poor, significantly poorer as Russia’s I would say. So the Russian strategy has worked so far.
 
Now we are close to the point that Russia cannot avoid any longer to strike back at EU/Nato-Europe by military means (e.g. if they try to bloc the Baltic Sea). We simply should wait and see, when and how Russia will act.
 
Here in Germany our leadership has been impatiently waiting for a limited Russian attack. They need it to be able to declare a state of military emergency (Spannungsfall or even Kriegsfall) without giving the people room to resist.
 
And let’s be clear, a state of military emergency under today’s circumstances means the end of what’s left of the German democracy experiment and a swift switch forward or back into a totalitarian system with all its consequences.

Posted by: Vrbamrda | Apr 27 2026 19:03 utc | 41

The reason for flattering Trump is more likely to be to buy time than to encourage him to do any kind of deal. Russia’s war of attrition has been slow moving and painful for themselves, but it’s been effective in wearing down the Ukrainian side. The Russians have wanted to keep it going for that reason but I believe they will want to wrap it up this year. 
 
They’ve announced the capture of very little territory in the past few weeks, which could be the calm before the storm. 
 
On the economic front, they’ve announced that they’re stopping the flow of oil from Kazakhstan through Russian territory to Germany. That will happen this week which will be a shock for eastern Germany including Berlin, and there is no cheap alternative source. Russia hasn’t given any explanation yet, apart from “technical reasons” but the motive is likely to be to put pressure on Merz to stop escalating German involvement in Ukraine, so that the war can be brought to an end.

Posted by: Brendan | Apr 27 2026 19:05 utc | 42

what odds do you place on 200€/barrel oil within, say, 18 months ? 
 
Posted by: Exile | Apr 27 2026 18:50 utc | 34
 

 
200€ is a meaningless number subject to the whim of political elites and levied on the labor of the underclass.
 
On the other hand one cannot print a barrel of oil.
 
What I want to say with those two statements is that right now today nitrogen fertilizer in unaffordable to those most in need.  The needy population is growing and the value of the €uro won’t change that.
 

Posted by: too scents | Apr 27 2026 19:08 utc | 43

Russia has the motive of driving US apart from EU. It is their one benefit of the MAGA era: distain for EU. They need to get that wedge in there before Trump is punted. We’ve already passed peak Trump. From here, he just slides.
 
Posted by: Pym of Nantucket | Apr 27 2026 19:01 utc | 40
Agree.  

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Apr 27 2026 19:10 utc | 44

Exile @30 re: military spending 
 
 
There is another factor that is often overlooked. Expenditures on State Owned Enterprises do not match up well with expenditures on the private sector. Take building a tank, where one part of the process is making/procuring the road wheels, as an example. In a SOE, the road wheels are forged in one department and just transferred to the next. This step adds a negligible amount to the country’s GDP, but it is also accomplished with no markup. In the private enterprise approach the road wheels will be outsourced. They must then be purchased by the company doing the tank assembly, with a markup for the profits of the company forging the wheels. With the private sector nearly every component of the tank will come with a markup for profits, and often those markups will be significant in military procurement. Even if the road wheels are produced in one division of a corporation and transferred to another division of the same corporation, they will still be marked up because the finished product isn’t being sold on the open market, but to a captive buyer. 
In this manner half the cost or more of any piece of military hardware will go towards buying rich people more yachts. Even ignoring any other efficiencies a fully integrated manufacturing process offers, the SOE has a massive advantage over the private sector where actual production costs are concerned. 

Posted by: William Gruff | Apr 27 2026 19:14 utc | 45

@Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 27 2026 17:33 utc | 13
 
With the AfD now leading by 4 points in the German polls, and the CDU/CSU at 24%, a coalition would have a majority in the Bundestag, setting up for the installation of Madame Weidel who I expect to suddenly find her Slav-hating side. With the massive attempted rearmament underway under Merz, this is looking more and more like the 1930s. With the US using Europe in the way that the British and French wanted to use Germany, to smash Russia. Thankfully, as you point out, Germany now is not the economic powerhouse of Germany in the 1930s. Between its high energy costs and Chinese competition, it is actually being de-industrialized. But that will not stop the massive war and “infrastructure” spending, which will end up in the pockets of the oligarchy as the profits of the other German corporations wither. In the east, Takaichi seems to be the new toy of the US. But even a militarized Japan is no match for China, especially with the ongoing destruction of the Chinese auto industry. But again, all the war spending will help keep the oligarch bank accounts warm. And thankfully, the South Korean US-puppet warmonger was taken out by the South Koreans before he could cause serious trouble on the Korean peninsula. 
 
With the retreat from Afghanistan, failed ongoing attempt to subjugate Russia, and now the failed attempt to subjugate Iran, and the failed colour revolutions in Kazakhstan and Belarus, and the escape of Georgia from Western vassalage, continental Asia is winning and there is not much that the offshore balancer US Empire can do. It even lost the trade and technology export control war with China quite ignominiously. In such an environment, patience by Russia and China is the best option. Better to let the US Empire die slowly, and Europe decay slowly, than trigger a war which could escalate into a nuclear one. The trolls may complain, but patience really is the best option. What will Western Europe be like in a decade? A deeply authoritarian industrial wasteland with an increasingly dominant military and security services. A pale imitation of the Third reich.    

Posted by: Roger Boyd | Apr 27 2026 19:15 utc | 46

Lavrov’s invocation of civilizational aggression are not useful, because they miss the mark. The war against Russia, in the Ukrainian theater but in the world generally, is not about an ideological hostility to Russian civilization. It’s about redividing the world to recreate American financial hegemony over the planet, a goal driven to use war to compensate the relative decline of the US in productive world economy. The problem with rephrasing this in ideological terms is that it hides reality from the Russian government itself—unless they do not believe their own propaganda? I’m not sure who Lavrov aims these words at, there’s no reason to think he’s going to convince his opposite numbers. Those men know they aren’t fighting for civilization they know it’s about American power, especially the ones who see their own power being derived from being clients of American imperialism. Worse, insofar as they do see themselves as fighting for civilization they seem to think capitalism is civilization. There’s no indication that anybody in power in Russia doesn’t share the same delusion about the permanence of capitalism. They can only dream of a fair deal, peaceful coexistence of nations, equality of nations except that some nations are more equal than others.* I suppose that when Lavrov or others speak of civilizational this or that, they are imagining their own particular nation is big enough to be more equal, promoted in their minds from just another state to a civilization. The problem with calling for a stable security arrangement for Russia is that it is calling for the impossible. 
 
Stylistic note, Ukraine is fascist but not Nazi. No self-respecting Nazi would tolerate Zelensky or the privileged position of Chabad etc. In my view, it’s like the Zionist enterprise is fascist but not Nazi. 
 
*Yes, the obscene Orwell coined the phrase. It is part for the course that Orwell spewed out this cynicism to condemn Communism (indeed any revolution) as inherently evil. The formal equality of citizens in bourgeois democracy is premised on the reality some equal citizens are nevertheless more than the others. If you like scriptural references, it’s like the man who damned the mote in another man’s eye while ignoring the beam in his own. Others who prefer psychological jarfon can call it projection.

Posted by: steven t johnson | Apr 27 2026 19:25 utc | 47

Better to let the US Empire Europe die slowly, and Europe US Empire decay slowly, than trigger a war which could escalate into a nuclear one. The trolls may complain, but patience really is the best option. What will Western Europe be like in a decade? A deeply authoritarian industrial wasteland with an increasingly dominant military and security services. A pale imitation of the Third reich.    
Posted by: Roger Boyd | Apr 27 2026 19:15 utc | 46
 
Generally agree but FIFY
 
RF offered to be energy and military arm for EU, all fell on germany wanting to show RF that it would be a (very) junior partner. UD played it’s part beautifuly and now Germany (hence EU) is finished…
 

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 27 2026 19:26 utc | 48

Posted by: Brendan | Apr 27 2026 19:05 utc | 42
 
“Russia hasn’t given any explanation yet, apart from “technical reasons” (for stopping the flow of oil from Kazakhstan to Germany) but the motive is likely to be to put pressure on Merz to stop escalating German involvement in Ukraine, so that the war can be brought to an end.”
 
I doubt it’s about putting pressure on Merz and about the German involvement in Ukraine, but understand it as a first strategic countermessure towards the overall German war / war preparations against Russia which are by far not limited to Ukraine. And even if the war in Ukraine ended, the Nato war against Russia would continue on a bunch of other fronts.
 
We already have serious energy problems in Germany which might lead to a complete fiasco latest in the coming winter, which is the ideal base for Russian countermeasures to further significantly destabilze our country and its war efforts. President Putin has been practising Judo for decades and this step looks a bit like “political Judo”.

Posted by: Vrbamrda | Apr 27 2026 19:28 utc | 49

Roger Boyd | Apr 27 2026 19:15 utc | 46
 
There has also been an upending in Romania with a major party in the coalition government pulling out or joining with the opposition. Hungary has fallen to the EU, an LGBT type appointed minister for children or some pedophile position in regards to children.
Bulgaria, something doing there too with the recent election..

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 27 2026 19:28 utc | 50

Posted by: Trubind1 | Apr 27 2026 18:19 utc | 23 I have no idea why you think the midterms will change Trump. Clearly the plan is to rig the elections or contest any results in court. Trump will not be a lame duck until a new president is elected. 
 
Posted by: William Gruff | Apr 27 2026 19:14 utc | 45 The government can directly invest in military production during wartime, then sell the plants at a criminally low price later. 
 
Posted by: Roger Boyd | Apr 27 2026 19:15 utc | 46 Was “ongoing destruction of the Chinese auto industry” a typo for Japanese cars? 
 

What will Western Europe be like in a decade? A deeply authoritarian industrial wasteland with an increasingly dominant military and security services. A pale imitation of the Third reich.    

 
This is literally advocating for a hand-off approach to the triumph of fascism, apparently on the assumption that fascists will be too rational to start a war they must lose? And that nuclear weapons are not an issue, not even in the hands of fascists? 
 
 
 

Posted by: steven t johnson | Apr 27 2026 19:35 utc | 51

b: “Why else would Elbridge Colby, the U.S. Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, laud the German government plans for expanding its military if not for waging war against Russia:”
 
Hmmm, well, there’s always the permanent “why” of the Mil-Ind complex insatiable desires for more and more profits? Or do we really think the drive to raise the “defense” $$$$ Euro-wide (and in the US by $500B) has anything to do with actual defense or, even more laughably, actual planned attacks on nuclear armed Russia? It’s all about the Benjamins, boys, and always has been. 

And of course related to that is Mr. Putin playing his part in the threat charade … he does it well … the Epstein class laughing all the way to the bank as the middle class disappears, shaking our fists at each other. 

Posted by: Caliman | Apr 27 2026 19:40 utc | 52

POTUS is clearly progressively mentally ill, his deep state remains exceptionalist and Russo-phobic to the core, Europe is already certifiable, sectionable  and abusing its Citizenry, but Lavrov is too seasoned a diplomat to say so explicitly. 
 
Treading softly but firmly (not a paradox in Russian terms) is probably a wise posture while its Atlanticist adversaries are basically weakening themselves. So, let them continue with their forms of self-harm. Should sanity dawn, well there’s a bottle of vodka, bread and salt on the table.

Posted by: Don Firineach | Apr 27 2026 19:43 utc | 53

It is frustrating and begs questions.
I agree with those who think Putin should act more like Iran 
Russia should announce any country that launches bombs gets bombed. 
 
then make it hurt
Take Odessa, mine the waters and block unfriendlies.
 
finding more of their weather modifications and destroying them might win a few hearts

Posted by: ld | Apr 27 2026 19:45 utc | 54

It is quite simple on paper. This is the fourth turning, which means really global chaos.
 
I think Putin saw that the coming years will be a threat to Russia, so he has kept “his cards close to his chest”. ie. He has a third Army facing the EU, which is not being used yet. But it will probabaly eventually be. The SMO has allowed Russia to improve it’s warfare ability and training. No major foreign expeditions by Russian armed forces. (For which he could be blamed, but if Russia helped all those who need it, there would not be enough Russians left to keep the country running.)
 
Meanwhile back at the farm, one major problem for the TrumpEU are their own populations, who are being systematically forced into one super-fascist entity. Commanded by no one that they will be able to remove (Democratically anyway)
 
The €90 billion to Ukraine is already “not enough” and is to be bloated by another 15 billion. The British are sending troops to Ireland for “training and “we will see where this will lead is” (Br commander). Neutrality be damned. The EU “Commission” and google are preparing a complete internet suveillance system ETC. Then there are all the different wars and simple murders. (Not forgetting all the filth that goes with them. (Rape, etc but also slavery (Lybia). There are a lot too many vectors going on, to follow easily. The economic wars will also have to be solved before we get through the fourth turning.
 
Putin probably worked out that things are going to get a lot worse before they get better. If he missed getting his punch in first (which he recommended) now he will probably wait until the “others” tire.  There are questions about his attitudes to Zionism, but I still think his over-riding policy is to prepare Russia to win WWIII or WWIV.
 
*****Brings back memries of the film “High noon”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hsDyrZVqipA

Posted by: Stonebird | Apr 27 2026 19:46 utc | 55

Posted by: steven t johnson | Apr 27 2026 19:25 utc | 47
 
I read this as more “these Europeans are trying to invade us again” rather than anything about capitalism.
 
In that sense it is “civilization” as it relates to the constant attacks on the Russian and proto-Russian state.

Posted by: MLP | Apr 27 2026 19:46 utc | 56

Posted by: Vrbamrda | Apr 27 2026 19:28 utc | 49
 
I agree that stopping Kazakh oil is a move against Germany’s overall anti-Russian militarisation, but the timing looks like it’s chosen to punish Merz for his involvement in Ukraine. The rhetoric from him and his government and supporters has got worse and worse and sounds like something from the 1930s. And this month Germany and Ukraine agreed cooperation in production of drones, which are the type of weapon that has been used for many terroristic attacks deep inside Russian territory.

Posted by: Brendan | Apr 27 2026 19:51 utc | 57

I would not include “gullible” as part of the traditional Russian character. Their humour assumes you get that life is pain and can smile about it.
 
I don’t understand Russian or Chinese inaction but that is probably because it is all presented to me marinated in bullshit. I don’t think it is because they are stupid or weak.

Posted by: Rae | Apr 27 2026 19:54 utc | 58

Some at the bar seem to project onto the Russians a western nihilist view, encouraging greater a faster acceleration of the march up the escalation ladder.  Please consider the following:  
How do you eat an elephant?  One bite at a time. In a war of attrition, just like in a bullfight, most of the entire fight is tiring and weakening the bull before the final denouement.
A slower trajectory in a war of attrition is particularly beneficial when the trajectory demonstrates that the other party is steadily weakening over time and one’s own side is getting stronger.
The colonial powers regard people as expendable and profit above all, indeed actively work for depopulation, while the rest of the world tend to be more spiritual and value and care for their peoples and have empathy for the common man.  This is often demonstrated by one side often indiscriminately attacking civilian targets and common vicious abuse of prisoners, and the other side demonstrating more judicious and concentrated attacks upon military targets and much more decent treatment of captives.
The view from outside the west looks quite different-  https://indi.ca/the-self-and-selfishness-on-liberalism/

Posted by: FloridaMan | Apr 27 2026 19:58 utc | 59

This is literally advocating for a hand-off approach to the triumph of fascism, apparently on the assumption that fascists will be too rational to start a war they must lose? And that nuclear weapons are not an issue, not even in the hands of fascists? 
Posted by: steven t johnson | Apr 27 2026 19:35 utc | 51
You’re reaching there, Steve.  

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Apr 27 2026 19:58 utc | 60

Over the past few weeks, there has been growing agitation, including—apparently—within Russia, that Putin should act more assertively, even aggressively. It has been suggested that Russia should attack Baltic countries that allow drones to pass freely through their territories and/or countries that manufacture those drones.
There is some logic to this argument. There have been claims—primarily from the Ukrainians—that up to 90% of Russian losses are now caused by drones. Russia, obviously, needs to address this.
Still, there are strong arguments as to why a military response would be a mistake:
1. What we are witnessing is the unravelling of the transatlantic alliance. Although NATO as a legal construct will remain, the disarray between Europe and the US is enormous. The security guarantees provided by the US turned out to be empty. Conflicts are emerging not only between the US and Europe but within Europe itself.
Europe, both as the EU and as individual nations, is not allowed into talks about the future of Ukraine and, by extension, its own future.
This is a success for Russia—something that would have been unthinkable even a few years ago.
Russia should not create an event that could reverse this trend. One might recall Pearl Harbor or the sinking of the Lusitania, both of which galvanized American public opinion and ensured full US involvement in war.
2. Russia neither needs nor wants to occupy Ukraine.
Imagine Russia takes Kyiv. Kyiv would not capitulate but would instead establish a government in exile. As an occupying force, Russia would become responsible for the civilian population. There would be local resistance and acts of sabotage—not only against Russians but also against Ukrainians willing to cooperate, as has been seen before.
In fact, Russia wants Ukraine to remain the burden on the West for as long as possible. Kyiv is a trap and Russians understand this.
3. No empire of the past has been defeated on the battlefield. They tend to collapse due to overstretch, when their presence becomes a burden for their colonies or allies. Ukraine is a battlefield, but only one among many. The struggle is also playing out in Iran, in China, in the economic sphere, and beyond.
When we say that Russia hopes to make a deal with the Americans, we mean that Russians see themselves at war with the United States, not Ukraine—and that any peace agreement would ultimately be signed by the US president, not Zelensky.
4. Let me use a chess metaphor. In the time of Alekhine or Capablanca, strong players were expected to make bold, unexpected moves that could rapidly and dramatically change the position. However, since around the 1970s, the nature of the game has shifted. Now, it consists of seemingly boring moves, where the goal is to place the opponent in a position where they simply have no good options.
 

Posted by: SergeT | Apr 27 2026 19:59 utc | 61

Over the past few weeks, there has been growing agitation, including—apparently—within Russia, that Putin should act more assertively, even aggressively. It has been suggested that Russia should attack Baltic countries that allow drones to pass freely through their territories and/or countries that manufacture those drones.
There is some logic to this argument. There have been claims—primarily from the Ukrainians—that up to 90% of Russian losses are now caused by drones. Russia, obviously, needs to address this.
Still, there are strong arguments as to why a military response would be a mistake:
1. What we are witnessing is the unravelling of the transatlantic alliance. Although NATO as a legal construct will remain, the disarray between Europe and the US is enormous. The security guarantees provided by the US turned out to be empty. Conflicts are emerging not only between the US and Europe but within Europe itself.
Europe, both as the EU and as individual nations, is not allowed into talks about the future of Ukraine and, by extension, its own future.This is a success for Russia—something that would have been unthinkable even a few years ago.
Russia should not create an event that could reverse this trend. One might recall Pearl Harbor or the sinking of the Lusitania, both of which galvanized American public opinion and ensured full US involvement in war.
2. Russia neither needs nor wants to occupy Ukraine.
Imagine Russia takes Kyiv. Kyiv would not capitulate but would instead establish a government in exile. As an occupying force, Russia would become responsible for the civilian population. There would be local resistance and acts of sabotage—not only against Russians but also against Ukrainians willing to cooperate, as has been seen before.
In fact, Russia wants Ukraine to remain the burden on the West for as long as possible. Kyiv is a trap and Russians understand this.
3. No empire of the past has been defeated on the battlefield. They tend to collapse due to overstretch, when their presence becomes a burden for their colonies or allies. Ukraine is a battlefield, but only one among many. The struggle is also playing out in Iran, in China, in the economic sphere, and beyond.
When we say that Russia hopes to make a deal with the Americans, we mean that Russians see themselves at war with the United States, not Ukraine—and that any peace agreement would ultimately be signed by the US president, not Zelensky.
4. Let me use a chess metaphor. In the time of Alekhine or Capablanca, strong players were expected to make bold, unexpected moves that could rapidly and dramatically change the position. However, since around the 1970s, the nature of the game has shifted. Now, it consists of seemingly boring moves, where the goal is to place the opponent in a position where they simply have no good options.
 

Posted by: SergeT | Apr 27 2026 20:01 utc | 62

@ Posted by: malenkov | Apr 27 2026 17:48 utc | 19
 
My mistake: I was thinking of Victoria Nuland, who is married to Robert Kagan.  

Posted by: Clever Dog | Apr 27 2026 20:05 utc | 63

Stylistic note, Ukraine is fascist but not Nazi. No self-respecting Nazi would tolerate Zelensky or the privileged position of Chabad etc. In my view, it’s like the Zionist enterprise is fascist but not Nazi. 
 
Posted by: steven t johnson | Apr 27 2026 19:25 utc | 47
So, you’re actually covering for two fascist states here.  The Ukrainian state/military is overwhelmingly neo Nazi.  You, just like the Zio Imperialist media, tell us we can’t call it what it is simply because they found a TV Jew to be the faceman, raise money.  Ukraine is a neo Nazi state.  
As for Israel, you concede it’s fascist but again tell us we can’t compare it to its closest historical peer, the German Nazis.  (I’ll leave others to illustrate the startling similarities between the two fascist regimes.)  The anti semitism brigade says the same thing as nauseum: don’t compare the genocidal, racial supremacists of Israel with the Nazis!  
Then you accuse Gruff, Boyd and others of lying down before fascism because they outline a strategy for dealing with it that you’d don’t agree with.  
So, what should be done about Zio Imperialism in your view.? What is your perspective?

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Apr 27 2026 20:10 utc | 64

Posted by: FloridaMan | Apr 27 2026 19:58 utc | 59

In a war of attrition, just like in a bullfight, most of the entire fight is tiring and weakening the bull before the final denouement.

 
Good analogy, but the final lunge is crucial to be awarded the prize and recognition of the bull fight, be it the ears, ears and tail or both plus shouldered triumphal exit through the main gates of the plaza, the fighting ring. A bad final hit will spoil a good artistic and fearless fight with the bull, that’s why it is so important to concentrate in the final stab since it is win or lose it all. Violent and cruel, but if not artistic and beautiful you lose.

Posted by: Paco | Apr 27 2026 20:13 utc | 65

To simplify:
 

  1. Europe is waiting out Trump, hence the 2029-30 time frame.
  2. The US is waiting out Putin, Lavrov, Lukashenko, all will likely be “retired” by 2030.
  3. In the interim all are attempting death by a thousand cuts strategies to weaken the other.

 
Russia cannot be so stupid that they think any binding agreement with Trump is possible.
 
The big picture remains the $380 Trillion global debt Ponzi, for which “The Greatest of All Resets” is required to enter the next phase of control and exploitation.
 
Russia enters that cycle as one of the strongest big players in terms of debt to GDP. But is that a strength or weakness? If everyone else has maxed out their credit cards and headed to bankruptcy, it is only a benefit if you can acquire distressed assets from the others. The current sanctions regime and frozen assets are designed to make that impossible.
 
Meanwhile Urals oil is 107.5 U$D while WTI is 96.5… may you live in interesting times.

Posted by: Fool Me Twice | Apr 27 2026 20:21 utc | 66

 Paco | Apr 27 2026 20:13 utc | 64
 
Saw a bit of video the other day where a bullfighter came off second best. Poor bugger required stitching up in the rectal area. He misjudged things a bit. A bit of an embarrassing situation for him.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 27 2026 20:21 utc | 67

@ Trubind1 | Apr 27 2026 18:19 utc | 23
 
after having read the 66 comments, i came back to your post and liked what you said here.. thanks..

Posted by: james | Apr 27 2026 20:27 utc | 68

@46
 
“militarized Japan is no match for China, ” nor DPRK!
 
Japan needs US navy Arleigh Burkes to fill a leaky SM-3 anti missile net.  Japan also declined to build two long range radar stations (like the one destroyed in Qatar) and so has to depend on US surveillance which does not perform that mission! 
 
US installations in the west Pacific are targets even less “hardened” than US bases in the Persian Gulf.

Posted by: paddy | Apr 27 2026 20:28 utc | 69

Putin is a very astute analyst. As in many modern and democratic societies, there are various factions and groups in Russia as well. In times of war, it is important to be as united as possible and to avoid divisive tendencies. That is why the Russian leadership is keeping as many doors open as possible and has not yet burned any bridges. War is always a very unpredictable business. Many things can happen. Unity is a very strong response to that. Putin knows exactly that the west is agreement incapable and that every deal will be broken in fife minutes when Trump had a bad night. 

Posted by: Aarsupilani | Apr 27 2026 20:30 utc | 70

Posted by: steven t johnson | Apr 27 2026 19:25 utc | 47
 
I agree with you completely (even if you are often arrogant, rude and ungenerous to fellow Marxists). Ukrainian ‘Nazism’ was the cynical use of a certain signification, as well as Volhynian-Galician chauvinism, that was popular among football hooligans (most of whom just dug the symbolism). There’s never been any ideological platform resembling, say, that of the Baltic German A. Rosenberg. That said, the old Banderite-SS relationship was useful to resurrect against Russia (or perhaps more precisely Donbas Ukrainian Russians) in the context of a civil war where one side was desperate for any kind of ethnic differentiation. Enter Kolomoisky et al. In the meantime other hearts and minds in Ukraine still hinge on the old Pale of Settlement division between Orthodox and Jew. It has often been remarked how Zionism is culturally an Eastern European phenomenon. The ‘old country’ is not Israel, but Bialystok, etc. I wonder how Catholic Galicians see this—are they pleased to see Orthodoxy on the run or does the old hatred of the shtetl persist? The full extent of the Israel-Ukraine entanglement must await its proper historian. In the meantime, you are right about late-capitalist financialization. The failure of the Russians to offer a credible civilizational alternative is perhaps what Lavrov needs to hear, and Xi too for that matter.
 
As always it won’t come down to any of them in the end. A superpower war is not a battle for supremacy but a symptom of the decline of a system to which both sides are hopelessly and blindly committed. We are not witnessing a BRICS-West showdown, but the slow-motion collapse of the post-war global-capitalist order.

Posted by: Patroklos | Apr 27 2026 20:30 utc | 71

Posted by: Stonebird | Apr 27 2026 19:46 utc | 55
 
The last time Britain sent troops to Ireland for “training” – the ensuing conflict lasted 30 years!
 
The first time they sent troops the conflict lasted a couple of centuries short of a millenium – and it ain’t over yet! Must be something ‘escatological’ in the Irish psyche!

Posted by: Don Firineach | Apr 27 2026 20:37 utc | 72

I don’t understand Russian or Chinese inaction but that is probably because it is all presented to me marinated in bullshit. I don’t think it is because they are stupid or weak.
 
Posted by: Rae | Apr 27 2026 19:54 utc | 58
 
Imo. Russia china iran are fighting to win w the least amount of fighting they can manage.
 
There’s a sun tzu in there 

Posted by: Tannenhouser | Apr 27 2026 20:42 utc | 73

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Apr 27 2026 20:10 utc | 63 When I say the Zionist enterprise is fascist, I say it can be compared to other fascisms, which include Nazi Germany, fascist Italy, Francoist Spain and the empire of Japan. That was the fascist side of WWII.  You are reaching, non-Nazi fascists are still fascists, period.
 
It is you and apparently Boyd who disappear fascism. I suppose that’s why Boyd speaks of a “deeply authoritarian state” that is only a “pale imitation of the Third Reich,” not real fascism. I say, unlike Boyd and you, fascism is back even when it doesn’t recapitulate the Nazi version. It’s more likely you don’t want any rational discussion of fascism because of your devotion to Trump. You don’t want to even allow any possibility that Trumpery is a species of fascism, by narrowly defining the Nazi version as the Only True Scotsman. You then pretend Israel is Nazi, a manifestly deranged position. When you say Nazi, you only mean you don’t like the Zionist enterprise. 

Posted by: steven t johnson | Apr 27 2026 20:43 utc | 74

Posted by: Vrbamrda | Apr 27 2026 19:03 utc | 41

And let’s be clear, a state of military emergency under today’s circumstances means the end of what’s left of the German democracy experiment and a swift switch forward or back into a totalitarian system with all its consequences.

I agree with everything you write except that I believe UnsereDemokratie is already dead. The signs have been there for a long the time: the stupid 2020 Kemmerich debacle (the clown himself didn’t matter and neither did “democratic” rules), the treatment of AfD (I don’t vote) and the sanctioning of German citizens in Gemany. And there’s much more as you certainly know.
 
I didn’t expect a war EU vs Russia to really break out: there’s nothing militarily to win for EU but quite something to lose. But I’m now convinced it’ll take place, for the reasons you describe: it is seen by EU elites as the only way to stay in power, so they’ll do it. For example, none of Merz, Macron, Starmer seem ever concerned about the election prospects and neither did Scholz or Johnson before them. Von der Leyen has been voted into some office exactly zero times. The billions”gifted” to Ukraine are really (apart from the inevitable grift) fed into EU war industry but the future costs in interest are real: IMO this only makes sense in a war economy mode.
 
Why I think EU is going for this war: it will be limited in its consquences, that’s clear by now. Missiles and drones but no land movement. Perhaps they can strangle Kaliningrad and deny the Russians Baltic Sea trade (40% of Russian maritime trade). Whatever gets destroyed in EUrope is acceptable if they gain control and cohesion in the core EU states.
 
All that said, I was as happy as everyone else to see Russia’s clamping of the Druzhba oil pipeline. “Technical reasons”, haha. Thank you for your comments!

Posted by: Konami | Apr 27 2026 20:46 utc | 75

@,modi blues 6
 
 
Quote “UK Gathers Over 30 Countries to Discuss How to Open Strait of HormuzNearly three dozen countries are holding virtual meeting Thursday to coordinate diplomatic and political pressure to” This is exactly what I was expecting a week ago seeing that. As NATO is disintegrating, pirate english are forming another group to do England’s bidding as NATO did.Coward english will never fight enemies directly but only through a group like hayna.Putin is too stupid to realise that .Putins must isolate and annihilate such enemy otherwise that group of 35 will be used against Russia soon.Enemy must be annihilated rather than left to plot another wars.Learn from Iran.

Posted by: Sam | Apr 27 2026 20:49 utc | 76

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Apr 27 2026 20:21 utc | 66  And it happened precisely during the crucial moment of the final lunge that I was talking about, that’s why  it’s so important how you finish the job. I am not a big fan of bull fights, as a matter of fact it’s been a long time, but I saw a few from behind the first wooden ring at the same level of the fight, the main floor, to take pictures. It’s impressive to see the fresh bull entering the ring, like a locomotive fuming, but the beast is worked upon to be weakened until that final and crucial moment. A well reputed but  not so young anymore fighter got badly ripped, like Gaddafi. Still, I resent northern Europeans protesting bull fights, just to head to a McDonalds there after, that’s real cruelty the crappy life of the crap they eat. Bulls raised to die fighting have royal lives, free in huge ranges, well fed with natural stuff, and not mad cow fed with their own corpses and shit. Plus if we are going to protest cruelty the Brits could start with boxing.

Posted by: Paco | Apr 27 2026 20:49 utc | 77

Does Putin have any shame left? Obviously not.
 
While Iran saved Putin’s ass by giving shared drone to rescue Russia from quagmire, this Putin has been quiet till 2 weeks of Iran war .only when he saw that Iran is winning, he came to vague support of Iran. While Iran hits all those gulf nations who support Americans, Putin has been cowardly quiet to sinking of Russian war ships like Moscow as bad kurks and what not, by the 3rd rate country england who gets emboldened by Putin’s timidity.
 
Compare Iran a non nuclear nation and Russia a paper tiger which Putin has made of her.
 
Russians must kick out Putin now.
 
Iran has single handedly changed the world order while stupid Putin and his traitor foreign minister lavrov could not even dream
about.
 

Posted by: Sam | Apr 27 2026 20:50 utc | 78

 
Busher plant Putin was warned long time ago about his treachery to potential allies like Venezuela, Iran,Yemen -all those who could have engaged the west with their arms if had been supplied by Russia in 2010. But he backstabbed them to please Anglo 5 evil eyes .
Year 2009
DOES RUSSIA NOT REALIZE THAT IF EVER Iran IS ATTACKED AND DEFEATED BY USA Then RUSSIA WILL LOSE ALL STATUS AND PRESTIGE OF EVEN THIRD RATE Powers IN THE WORLD AND THEN NO COUNTRY WILL BE Willing TO BE ON SIDE OF Russia because EVERYONE WANTS TO BE WITH A STRONG Country WHO CAN ORDER AND MANAGE THE AGENDA AS AMERICA IS TRYING TO DO AND THEN RUSSIA WILL BE =DESTROYED AS IS THE VERY Intentions OF USA?RUSSIA MUST NOT LET USA Score ANY MORE POINT ANYWHERE LET ALONE IN Iran OTHERWISE RUSSIA IS FINISHED EVEN AS A COUNTRY .If russia foolishly stop Busher nuclear plant work or does not support iran versus the west then russia will be doomed as well because then resurgent west ,which has ben plotting against russia too,will have encircled and weakened russia and russia will have no friend to look to when it is under pressure from the west.therefore russia must support all the countries including Yemen who have stood against angloamerican evil -only by this method of fritting away Anglos attention ,russia and other countries can maintain their independence.——-++++++++++++++++++
all the allies of Russia are removed from high position due to Putin’s inaction and stupidity of backstabbing natural allies in favour of licking American boots
 

Posted by: Sam | Apr 27 2026 20:52 utc | 79

Modus operandi of british and americans –Groom an opposition candidate to run against the guy you hate, pay him well and line up your media to back him.
 
During the campaign, sell him as the savior of the bourgeois opposition who lost their money in the revolution. Use your own pollsters and media propaganda to convince his followers that they are going to win by a wide margin.When your guy loses, scream “FRAUD!” It’s akin to yelling “FIRE!” in a crowded theatre, inflaming all those disappointed bourgeois counter-revolutionaries. Get them out on the street, setting fires, playing the victim, waving flags, ready-to-go placards, banners, women crying in front of CNN and BBC cameras and men yelling angrily ”
 
Done in syria, Ukraine, Libya, Russia, Yemen, Egypt, lraq, afganistan and also in India since 2004.
 
Liberalization and globalization for which the british and americans had been working since 1986. What was left for america to do was install maleable stooges inside the third world countries, escpeally those types who are unelectable and have no mass base of their own–in other words who are not electable democratically but installed from above through media and other manipulations.

Posted by: Sam | Apr 27 2026 20:55 utc | 80

Just keep in mind. 
You are dealing with back stabbing  agreement incapable.  

Posted by: jpc | Apr 27 2026 21:15 utc | 81

Using military and technological hegemonies to maintain its financial hegemony is one of the strongest motivations for the many wars Americans wage against the world, if not the primary one.
 
Earlier on MoA, I’ve shared Wen Tiejun’s analysis of the Iran war where he showed that the objective result of the war is that America has benefited from the increase in its share in global oil trade, boosting its output and trade volume, thus objectively maintaining the dollar’s share as a trade settlement currency (and the dollar’s status as a reserve currency).
 
Prof. Wen has released 2 additional videos (Video 02, Video 03), which I won’t bother translating in full, that links the Iran war with the Ukraine war and dollar hegemony. I will summarize his points and expand upon them.
 
The Ukraine war has resulted in a severe drop in euro usage globally. In 2022, euro was challenging U.S. dollar as a global currency (Statista, Jan 13, 2022), with both currencies hovering between 35%-40%. That situation reversed sharply by July 2023, when dollar usage in global payments rises to a record 46%, according to Swift, with euro dropping to below 25% (Bloomberg, August 24, 2023).

The dollar’s increasing tally of Swift transactions has largely come at the expense of the euro, which peaked at a 46% share in 2012.

 
America is responsible for the drop in euro usage via the Ukraine war. America asked Europe to give up on cheap Russian gas required for European industrialization (Europe still has competitive industries) and substitute it with expensive American gas and oil. Sometimes, Americans force a choice upon the Europeans, like by blowing up Nord Stream 2. In effect, the Ukraine war drove European inflation higher and also reduced the share of euro used in the gas and oil trade.
 
In the era of financial competition within capitalism, a rise in euro usage will result in changes in the exchange rates between dollar and euro. Global liquidity might redirect towards Europe as a result of these changes.
 
(continued)

Posted by: All Under Heaven | Apr 27 2026 21:17 utc | 82

The Europeans are undoubtedly the imperialist lackeys of America, but they also challenge American dominance via the euro.
 
The Balkan/Yugoslavia war in the 1990s was fought to make Europe drain its coffers to fund the American military (which dominates NATO) and, more importantly, to undermine faith in the euro currency by making EU countries break the deficit limit of 3% of GDP (Maastricht Treaty). If one wants to understand how the continuous series of wars from Iraq to Libya to Syria goes beyond just profit for oil companies and threatening Russian, Iranian and Chinese borders, I have a long post on MoA covering how those wars are in fact motivated more strongly by America’s need to maintain the dollar hegemony. All those countries invaded by America have at one point announced that they would trade oil in euro. This is why it’s major news that the UAE is reportedly threatening using yuan in place of dollars (April 20, 2026) if it didn’t get a currency-swap line as the Iran war drags on.
 
The euro has a currency value higher than the dollar since its inception. Euro has a EU-Russia single market/zone (Eurasian Economic Union). The market is large, and trade within the zone is greater than trade outside the zone. This makes the currency value of euro stable. It becomes even more stable if Middle East oil (not to mention Russian oil and minerals) are priced in euros. Africa being Europe’s financial colony, a legacy of Africa not fully/cleanly breaking away from classical European colonialism, is another stabilizing factor for euro. All stable, high-value euro makes euro a threat to the dollar. Hence America’s wars to weaken the euro.
 
Besides wars (wars make foreign capital seek the safety of America), America attracts global liquidity via its high tech industries and also by having the U.S. Treasury jack up its interest rates. China being starved of capital as Chinese capital flow towards America is one result of this tech competition.
 
Besides attracting global liquidity, there are other reasons for maintaining America’s tech supremacy. As the article The Political Economy of the U.S.-China Technology War lays out, technological supremacy is required to maintain the current imbalance of exchange in labor time between America and the rest of the world.

Therefore, 1 Chinese person-year was equivalent to 0.34 (14.4/42.1) foreign person-years on the world market in 2015. In addition, for the U.S.-China bilateral trade, the United States could exchange 1 person-year for approximately 9 (130/14.4) of China’s person-years. Of the U.S. 72.7 million person-years of labor import in 2015, about one-third (24.6 million person-years) came from China.

 
Marco Rubio is constantly warning about China climbing the value chain of global trade as China’s success in this endeavor will end America’s ability to exploit China and the rest of the world.
 
As a sidenote, Americans on MoA are keen to disrupt China’s technological ascendance by wishing for China to start a ruinous war on its own doorstep against breakaway Taiwan (Posted by: Clueless Joe | Apr 27 2026 17:30 utc | 12 and Posted by: S Brennan | Apr 27 2026 17:35 utc | 15). They falsely express a desire to end America’s existence to cover up that the fact that they’re agents working on behalf of America. Peace is the greatest threat to America’s existence, not more war. Americans are giddy with excitement at the prospect of more wars around the world. After all, America is a country that has only known 17 years of peace in its roughly 250 years of history.
 
Back to tech and dollar hegemonies.
 
So, the struggle in tech is not just about the direct benefits that the technology itself brings. This is why b’s recent analysis of the AI scene (Those ‘Scary’ AI Models Are Still Only Slop, Posted by b on April 24, 2026 at 16:50 UTC | Permalink) reads like confused slop: “Within some well defined circumstance and use-cases Artificial Intelligence models, including LLMs, are cost efficient and useful. But the current false hype about LLM systems, and their (ab)use to create ‘slop’, will likely delay the more useful applications.” The confusion arises from b’s failure to separate the political economy dimensions of AI from the tech of AI itself.
 
The hype is needed to drive investment into American tech. Look at the tech stocks’ proportions of NYSE and Nasdaq—they’re essentially propping up the American economy. If AI fails, the whole American economy (not just tech) goes down. So, America must overpromise on AI to attract investments. “Get AI and you can save costs by firing all your workers! Look at all the surplus value (profit) that will create,” the Americans will tell the capitalists around the world while simultaneously avoiding the hard question of no one being able to afford the capitalists’ products if AI replaces all avenues for earning wages. That is the capitalist political economy of America.
 
There is excitement but not hysteria in China over AI because the political economy of China is socialist. If AI fulfills all the promises that its strongest proponents hype about (it won’t, not with the underlying tech behind it in its current state), then the Chinese people will rejoice because that spells the end of drudgery.
 
Political economy is needed to understand why America treats Russia, Iran and China as a combined threat, even as barflies work hard to distract and steer attention to conspiracies involving Israelis/Jews/Khazarians/City of London/Deep State/Russia & Iran & China betraying each other and themselves or flashy military tech or kill counts. America is a global empire. Its concerns are global. To fight the beast, we must first comprehend the full nature of the beast.
 
Death to America
Marg bar Âmrikâ
Marg bar Âmrikâ
Marg bar Âmrikâ

Posted by: All Under Heaven | Apr 27 2026 21:25 utc | 83

USA is a cornered animal.
 
Debt in trillions, deficit in trillions while in a de-dolarisation worldwide mood? An economy based on FIRE bubbles, while producing nothing? A military grounded in obsolete war theorems, rapidly losing every past advancement?
Trump is not a symptom, he is not a solution. He is the spasmodic reaction of a dying parasite. “Everything else failed, Lets bring a mob boss”. He will threaten, he will attack, he will try to terrorize. Hell, we ended up in modern piracy acts.
Russia is handling a cornered cat. She will act out at some point. Bad case scenario is that she will act out with the only card she has left. Nuclear weapons. Better not looking at Russia then. Cause if it is Russia, then it it is the end of the world.
If playing nice with USA drivers a wedge between US and EU, it is an added bonus.
 

Posted by: Erlindur | Apr 27 2026 21:25 utc | 84

Go Iran. 
 
Stupid Russia is not helping Iran with advanced missiles as it should do against a common enemy and especially that Iran saved Putin ass by supplying Drone to Russia . 
What has Russia given ? That too after two initial weeks of fighting when Russia saw that Iran stayed put. 
Even after that Russia is giving small arms and ammunition for infantry use. Not a big item like Kinzal analogue to kill aircraft carriers. Not s500 or s 400 in numbers. 
Even then Russia is heaving as gingerly like trying to please anglo enemies. 
Russia foreign minister Ka rovhas been British spy for decades andso is that spokesman Pesky. 
Putin has not got rain or guts to remove even unelected man from position of power! 
Russia. Inaction is being noted by the world and Russia will be left with no ally . 

Posted by: Sam | Apr 27 2026 21:27 utc | 85

Russian spokespersons like Lavrov speak the truth about America and Europe’s aggression. The ability of Western propaganda orgs to prevent these truths from being recognized by their subjects is the source of the fascists real power. 

Posted by: Keme | Apr 27 2026 21:44 utc | 86

Posted by: SergeT | Apr 27 2026 19:59 utc | 61
 
Very nice, balanced view.
 
I love your chess metaphor.

Posted by: spudski | Apr 27 2026 21:47 utc | 87

THX b. Are we starating to see that there is no daylight between the U.S. And NATO and the EU? You can say, as some posters do, that the U.S. Is at the source of it all. Or maybe it’s the City. Or maybe the Jews.
 
The important thing to remember is that someone is needed to stand up to these creeps.
 
One, like Russia, may do so tactfully and tactically by playing the long game. We should call this strategy cockblocking because the term carries with it a sense of both disappointment and exhaustion. 
 
For us that want to see the great geopolitical tectonic plates of history slip NOW, we just have to remember, for the sake of our sanity, that water cuts stone given enough time.
 
Prepare yourself. Ready the readiness. You may not see it in this life. But sure as shit the gears of happening are in motion.

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Apr 27 2026 21:51 utc | 88

Posted by: MoodyBlues | Apr 27 2026 17:10 utc | 1
I see what you see about P. But have fought the thought about the minimalistick P. I saw him lecturing onest people anoyed by by the pitholes in the roads and counterweighing that negativ by P still talking to his people for hours. Then you have henry makow claiming P is one of kabal every day and as a jew betraying the sect way should he acctually lay. 4 years have now gone of Ukraine war and killing a brother land in 3 months Iran accomlished more, Wy the slow progress mister P. Do you serve some other ethenity, the kabal maybee. Maybee as an eu im destined to die plus more people with a ruling class that plan that with P.
 

Posted by: Sveno | Apr 27 2026 22:05 utc | 89

But we mustn’t forget what was said a year ago …or was it 2 years ago, or maybe 3? Ukraine is running low on soldiers, and will surely be completely out of them any day now! Be patient!
And we mustn’t forget what was also said a year ago …or was it 2 years ago, or maybe 3? Russia is running low on weapons, and will surely be completely out of them any day now! Just be patient and this whole thing will be done, done, done to a crisp!
 

Posted by: Mark Mosby | Apr 27 2026 22:14 utc | 90

Mark Mosby: we were also promised nukes. I want my money back!

Posted by: Konami | Apr 27 2026 22:16 utc | 91

@sam
Sorry, this bar is about facts and knowledge. Sucker. Nobody knows what Russia and China are sending or sharing with Iran. But everybody knows that a hughe fraction within GB and EU is preparing a closed dictatorship in benefit for Epstein/Blackrock-gentry. So, please use the restroom a last time and try tomorrow with some more brain.

Posted by: OberstHecht | Apr 27 2026 22:24 utc | 92

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Apr 27 2026 19:00 utc | 39
 
nope that was me.
 
When spelling out words in SpaZZtiC !1!!!  it means “/s”.
 
 

Posted by: UWDude | Apr 27 2026 22:26 utc | 93

When spelling out words in SpaZZtiC !1!!!  it means “/s”.  
Posted by: UWDude | Apr 27 2026 22:26 utc | 92
 
or more accurately, it is making fun of people flipping out about naught.
 
Hence the “!1!!!1”  meaning they are typing so fast an furiously they cant even hold down the shift key correctly.

Posted by: UWDude | Apr 27 2026 22:35 utc | 94

Roger Boyd | Apr 27 2026 19:15 utc | 46
 
Thanks for your reply, Roger. In his chat with Glenn Diesen, Alastair Crooke towards its end began to talk about the economic effects the attempt to erase Iran will have on EU stressing that the full effects have yet to arrive. If you read the recent report on the progress of Russia’s Arctic Project, you’ll know Russia’s economy and its development direction are both very stable and doing well. You’ll also have grasped the Russia’s planning horizon is as far as China’s–to 2060. As such, the concern trolls are naive and reveal they don’t know squat about Russia. And now the EU will need to buy Iranian rials if they want to get cargoes out of the Persian Gulf. 

Posted by: karlof1 | Apr 27 2026 22:37 utc | 95

Thanks b.
I believe trubind1, Roger Boyd and SergeT positions are more in line with what the Russians are really doing as opposed to “hoping for a deal”.
 
Everyone is stringing the other along waiting for the other to break. 
 
Every similar to what Iran is currently doing with the control of the Strait.
 
Militarily doing just enough to hold the opponents in check without over extension and unnecessary exposure. 
 
So, what are the stress fractures for each participants? Off hand possibly for the hagemon

  • Petrodollar, 
  • Political unity 
  • Exposure as a paper tiger
  • Military, Political, population and financial fatigue 

 
Russia and Iran

  • Internal cohesion and population fatigue 
  • Financial ruin for Iran 

Posted by: Suresh | Apr 27 2026 22:37 utc | 96

Lavrov’s invocation of civilizational aggression . . . Worse, insofar as they do see themselves as fighting for civilization they seem to think capitalism is civilization . . . There’s no indication that anybody in power in Russia doesn’t share the same delusion about the permanence of capitalism.   .  I suppose that when Lavrov or others speak of civilizational this or that, . . . promoted in their minds from just another state to a civilization. The problem with calling for a stable security arrangement for Russia is that it is calling for the impossible.Posted by: steven t johnson | Apr 27 2026 19:25 utc | 47

Lavrov invokes Toynbee and the knowledge Russia represents the remaining Orthodox Civilization being threatened with annihilation by Western Civilization, which has abandoned Catholic Christianity and adopted capitalism as its reason for being. An ideology which informs the goal of attaining a global totalitarian state overseen by technological surveillance. Another Civilization currently being threatened by the Western is the Iranic. The threat to these civilizations also represent aggression against the newest one, Socialism with Chinese characteristics. Civilization embodies a zeitgeist informed by more than the ethnic and geographical identities of  nation states. 
Lavrov reveals his adherence to the culture of Orthodox Civilization Russia inherited from Byzantium with a demand from the West for a stable security arrangement for Russia. Western Civilization is incapable of such an arrangement, which the other civilizations have yet to fully recognize. 

Posted by: Keme | Apr 27 2026 22:45 utc | 97

Mainstream media have widely reported that the number of US/Ukrainian drones striking Russia has increased 5-fold. Data from the Ukrainian Air Force and Russia’s Ministry of Defense, analysed by ABC News, shows Russian forces claimed to have intercepted 7,347 Ukrainian drones that month, averaging 237 per day. Ukraine reported facing 6,462 Russian drones and 138 missiles.
Putin surely is coming under great pressure to put an end to these ever-increasing attacks on Russian territory, which have come when Russian advances on the Ukrainian battlefield have significantly slowed. If I were a Russian citizen, I would question why Putin remains unwilling to strike the leadership in Kiev and bring about a rapid end to the war through military force. 

Posted by: Perimetr | Apr 27 2026 23:12 utc | 98

Sam @ 84:  “Stupid Russia is not helping Iran with advanced missiles as it should do against a common enemy
 
It is not a black & white world, Sam.  You seem to imagine Iran & Russia standing side-to-side against your enemy, the US.  But Russia has its own interests, and is far from stupid.
 
The US is trying to get Iran to give up building long-range missiles and nuclear warheads to put on them.  Iran claims it is not trying to build such things … but Iran is clearly lying.  Russia knows Iran is lying — and Russia does not want Iran to have those kinds of weapons either.  Russia (like China) is justifiably concerned that Iran might use those weapons to target them or to start a Global Thermonuclear War to get the 12th Imam out of the well.  Probably Russia is hoping that the US will be successful in destroying Iran’s capabilities to make those kinds of weapons.  And that is why Russia (and China) have given Iran little practical support.
 
It may spoil your simple world-view to recognize that Russia, China, and the US are quietly working together to make sure Iran does not have offensive nuclear weapons.  But we should all be glad that Russia is smart enough to look after its own interests.

Posted by: Gavin Longmuir | Apr 27 2026 23:15 utc | 99

Very good summary b. I  have the feeling since thw beginng of the SMO that Putin is waiting for the bulk of NATO to come at the frontiers of Russia where fhey will be defeated hopefully. The other option of Russia is a preemptive nuclear strike on  Western centers of power but that option violates the win-win policy Russia and China want to promote as a basis for international relations.
 
Lavrov’s expertise in diplonacy is unfortunately not relevant to the current conflict since the Europeans and the US are colluding  to restore rheir long gone empires and they are not listening to Asia’s own voices. Lavrov’s analysis of the situation looks quite factual, but he surely would prefer a negotiated outcome as opposed to a long conflict.
 
A long conflict might result in  Putin, Lavrov and Xi being replaced by still more assertive leaders with less patience for Western aggression.
 
Anyway I wish Canada asserts its sovereignty and leaves NATO. 

Posted by: Richard L | Apr 27 2026 23:17 utc | 100