Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
April 2, 2026
Iran Open Thread 2026-067

News & views related to the war in Iran …

Comments

Maybe there is a (crazy) connection between Artemis II mission and the (crazzies) belief in the eschatological times to come.
 
Going around our satellite (with a broken toilet) and back on Earth on April 21, they will bring… the Messiah (Roger Waters) from the Dark Side of the Moon.

Posted by: Asian Frog | Apr 3 2026 12:08 utc | 501

The Straitjacket of Hormuz

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Apr 3 2026 12:09 utc | 502

Posted by: Surferket | Apr 3 2026 9:51 utc | 458
Here’s the Google AI on the tail debris image.
“This image appears to show wreckage from an aircraft, with text visible that suggests a connection to the U.S. Air Forces in Europe.Reports indicate this debris may be related to the reported downing of a fighter jet over Iranian airspace.Imagery analysis of similar wreckage has suggested it could belong to a U.S. Air Force Strike Eagle (F-15E) or an F-35.The incident took place in central Iran, specifically in the Markazi province.This event is part of heightened tensions, with reports claiming the destruction of aircraft by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). “
 
It is F-15E without a doubt.  If you look at the rest of the rudder and its details, part of the wing and the end of the fuselage, this cannot be an F-35.  Anyone who has been interested in aviation for any length of time can see the differences. The F-35 may have been shot down, but the released images belong to an F-15. Don’t blindly trust AI.
https://theaviationist.com/2026/04/03/iran-f-15e-debris/
https://x.com/PressTV/status/2039925613637550104/photo/3
https://x.com/PressTV/status/2039935406104265080/photo/4
 
 
 

Posted by: Pete | Apr 3 2026 12:12 utc | 503

—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: IRIB calls upon local tribes of Kohgiluyeh-Boyer Ahmad Province to search for the American F-15 pilots, and promises a reward for those who capture them alive@Middle_East_Spectator

 
 

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 3 2026 12:19 utc | 504

@Asian Frog | Apr 3 2026 12:08 utc | 506

Maybe there is a (crazy) connection between Artemis II mission and the (crazzies) belief in the eschatological times to come. Going around our satellite (with a broken toilet) and back on Earth on April 21, they will bring… the Messiah (Roger Waters) from the Dark Side of the Moon.

 
I am waiting for the upcoming laundry fire. In the mean time:
 
“I have 2 Microsoft Outlooks and neither one of them are working”
 

Microsoft bugs almost sabotage NASA Moon mission
Artemis II astronauts ran into Outlook bugs mid-flight
Some problems follow humanity everywhere
Footage: NASA

https://t.me/rtnews/143567
Maybe use Linux for mission critical work?
 

Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 3 2026 12:20 utc | 505

Maybe use Linux for mission critical work?
 
Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 3 2026 12:20 utc | 510
 

 
SharePoint for Linux?
 

Posted by: too scents | Apr 3 2026 12:23 utc | 506

SharePoint for Linux?
 
 
Posted by: too scents | Apr 3 2026 12:23 utc | 511
 
VIM 
 
 

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 3 2026 12:34 utc | 507

Trump Quotes
March 3: “We won the war.”
March 7: “We defeated Iran.”
March 9: “We must attack Iran.” “The war is very complete, pretty much… almost over and in a beautiful way.”
March 12: “We won for real, but we haven’t completely won yet.”
March 13: “We won the war.”
March 14: “Please help us.”
March 15: “If you don’t help us, I will definitely remember it.”
March 16: “Actually, we don’t need any help at all.” “I was just checking who was listening to me.” “If NATO doesn’t help, they will suffer something terrible.”
March 17: “We neither need nor want NATO’s help.” “I don’t need Congress’s approval to pull the US out of NATO.”
March 18: “Our allies must contribute to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.”
March 19: “US allies need to step up and help open the Strait of Hormuz.”
March 20: “NATO are cowards.”
March 21: “We don’t use it, we don’t need to open it [Hormuz].”
March 22: “This is the last time. I’m giving Iran 48 hours.” “Iran is Dead.”
March 23: “We’re giving them more time.”
March 24: “The war is nearing its end.”
March 25: “We are negotiating.”
March 26: “Iran is begging for peace. They gave us a gift. We’ll give them more time.”
March 27: “The talks with Iran are going very well.”
March 28: “The war is almost over.”
March 29: “Maybe we take Kharg Island, maybe not.”
March 30: “Open Hormuz or we will obliterate all your energy infrastructure and all your oil sources.”
March 31: “We don’t need the strait, we have enough oil. The British can take the oil themselves.”
April 1: “Iran wanted a ceasefire” / “We are seriously considering pulling out of NATO” / “There is no deal with Iran.”
April 2: “We bombed your bridge. Iran must give up now.”
Source: comment on UR (Anon[181] • Disclaimer)

Posted by: Princess Bodica | Apr 3 2026 12:37 utc | 508

AWACs sit far at the back out of range of A2A missiles and usually with fighter escorts. The Pakistanis did very well with their Chinese provided system to shoot missiles at Indian fighters without turning on their targeting radars. The AWAC directed this missiles at the incoming Indian fighters who never even saw this missiles until the last seconds.
 
Posted by: Surferket | Apr 3 2026 10:59 utc | 490
 
Problem is Iranians don’t have said fighter escorts – without which the AWACs are sitting ducks. You’d have to buy the very expensive AWACs planes then a fleet of fighters to escort it. Then engage in high risk air-to-air combat operations and pray you’d win the engagements.
 
With that amount of money and risk, they’re better off bribing some Indians or insert commandos into GCC territory with manpads to take out planes as they take off. Or even better learn from Ukraine/Israel and load shipping containers with drones to attack unprepared “safe” locations like Diego Garcia,UK proper or US mainland.
 

Posted by: Sloan | Apr 3 2026 12:38 utc | 509

juliania | Apr 3 2026 2:56 utc | 349
[re Trump] *** He’s not sane.  I think the problem was heightened by his narrow escape from death as he must have then believed he was only spared in order to accomplish extraordinary things.  That would be too much for anyone.  This situation with respect to Iran ought to have  made that a very clear and present danger.  The mind is a fragile thing. ***
 
Actually believing his own team’s “Iwo Jima” propaganda stunt was  real — which includes a truly amazing but seemingly unquestioned (alleged) ear regeneration — does indicate that Trump is entirely off his head and thus unfit for office.
 
On the other hand, Trump aware that the stunt was a thoroughly sick false-flag, but continuing to fool the public with it anyway, is indicative of him being an extreme con-man devoid of all decency who should not be allowed to hold any office at all.
 
Unfortunately, though either condition should make anyone ineligible for office, both are regarded by the political establishment, big-money sponsors (and mass-media) as proof of someone’s suitability for office.
 
Trump is extraordinarily abnormal, and that’s not in a good way.
 

Posted by: Cynic | Apr 3 2026 12:41 utc | 510

Iran War Summary: Week Five, 3rd April, 2026: May be Useful to Some: The Iran War Summary: Week Five – by Dr. Rob Campbell

Posted by: The Busker | Apr 3 2026 12:48 utc | 511

Re: AWACS
 
There are 714 catalogued Earth observation satellite missions.  BRICs countries have agreed to share their remote sensing satellite data.
 
https://www.eoportal.org/satellite-missions?Mission+type=EO
 
The age of big expensive airplanes has given way to cheap drones and rockets.
 

Posted by: too scents | Apr 3 2026 12:49 utc | 512

While searching for the pilots, the Americans are apparently not too bothered by air defenses.
https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/30148

Posted by: Pete | Apr 3 2026 12:50 utc | 513

Sad. Imagine this trying to stop 2000 Marines.

https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/30155

Posted by: Surferket | Apr 3 2026 13:10 utc | 514

why does the absurd rich class in the west prefere disabled politicans? there is a truth on the massmedia level, one of the elit level – like the reasoning of the people on “new atlas” to “neutrality studies”, but i think there is a level above. something that wants the world distroyed whitout geopolitical reason.i think its the idea of overpopulation. why do You dont think that way?

Posted by: COViDiOT | Apr 3 2026 13:13 utc | 515

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Apr 3 2026 5:39 utc | 401
 
Quoting Robert Kagan now? Good grief.  The logical response to Iranian proliferation is either the Arab Gulf states will seek nuclear weapons, or protection under the US or even Israeli nuclear shields.  An arms race between Israel and Iran will also likely ensue.  Also, nuclear weapons are no guarantee that military operations by Israel against Iran will suddenly cease.  Asymmetrical attacks , at least, will likely continue.
 
What is the threshold for use?  Is Israel more likely to use its own nuclear arsenal in a first strike? The Samson option? The calculus isn’t so simple as: if Iran possess nukes then they are safe. Yes, North Korea has a deterrent, but their regime was never seriously threatened the prior sixty years before proliferation. 

Posted by: James M. | Apr 3 2026 13:14 utc | 516

New topical LEGO.

https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/180494

Posted by: Surferket | Apr 3 2026 13:15 utc | 517

Sad?  I see courage.  I see Focus on the actual. 
What’s  Sad is Warplanes bombing Civilians because they can’t bomb their way  To “Victory ” against a people who don’t know they’re beaten. 
Iran by Surviving will defeat the Technology and Hubris of Western Aggression.

Posted by: Effete | Apr 3 2026 13:19 utc | 518

The End of Times. And poop problem on USS Ford, in Artemis II and on the streets of Tel-Aviv. All related, somehow :
 
Eschatological refers to the study of the “end times” — death, judgment, the apocalypse, or the ultimate destiny of humanity and the world (common in theology and philosophy).
Scatological refers to feces, excrement, or an obsession with obscene bodily functions (common in humor, biology, or satire).
So one is about the end of the world; the other is about poop. The only similarity is that they sound similar when spoken.
 
God is playful.

Posted by: Asian Frog | Apr 3 2026 13:20 utc | 519

—❗️🇮🇷/🇺🇸 WATCH: Iranian local tribes are trying to shoot down American UH-60 ‘Black Hawk’ helicopters with bolt-action rifles
 
@Middle_East_Spectator

 
This doesn’t bode well for the Iranis …

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 3 2026 13:22 utc | 520

White House Seeks $1.5 Trillion for Defense in New Budget Request
 
The huge, proposed increase would be offset in part by steep cuts to domestic programs, some of which the administration describes as wasteful

Posted by: Princess Bodica | Apr 3 2026 13:24 utc | 521

Is there a Go Fundme for Manpads for iran? Turning into a joke again.
Even Chinese militia has Chinese version of the AK47 but IRGC only call up tribesmen armed with Lee Enfield.

https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/30159

Posted by: Surferket | Apr 3 2026 13:25 utc | 522

—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: Axios now confirms that an American F-15E fighter jet was shot down in Iran, and that rescue efforts are ‘ongoing’
 
@Middle_East_Spectator

 
The fact that the US air force can run search and rescue in Kuzestan doesn’t bode well for Iran …
 
They’d better up their game or Isfahan is on the menu.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 3 2026 13:25 utc | 523

JUST IN:  President Trump says “with a little more time, we can easily open the Hormuz Strait, take the oil, and make a fortune.”
 
Trump admits the goal: take the oil, make a fortune. Not freedom. Not security. Just plunder. Western civilization laid bare. The Strait is not a waterway to protect. It is a treasure to loot. The empire does not govern. It steals. Water is wet.
 
The world is watching.

Posted by: Allen | Apr 3 2026 13:27 utc | 524

Surferket @519: “Sad…”
 
 
Looks like fun to me. If he actually scores a hit at that range it could ruin the chopper crew’s day.

Posted by: William Gruff | Apr 3 2026 13:27 utc | 525

While searching for the pilots, the Americans are apparently not too bothered by air defenses.
 
Posted by: Pete | Apr 3 2026 12:50 utc | 518
 
 
That’s because, frankly, there aren’t any …

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 3 2026 13:28 utc | 526

Oh, something about April 21 :

  1. Artemis II back from the dark side of the Moon
  2. a press conference describing the deep structures (1 km deep) discovered under Gizeh pyramids

Posted by: Asian Frog | Apr 3 2026 13:28 utc | 527

reply to 521
If anyone wants to see how bias and propagandistic bull sh*t by “experts” enters geopolitical discussion, consider the emergence of NK nukes.  The high level think tank crap papers refer to NK seeing Libya as ‘cautionary’.  Cautionary, my ass.  They witnessed the street level murder of Ghadaffi after he got rid of any WMDS.  This was done by an Evil Witch as a favor to France (Sarkozy – Wikileaks), It was done out of a ‘duty to care’, as if poverty and civil war were a national benefit.
And here we go again.  No one in power can admit that this endless hostility towards Iran could FORCE THEM into developing nuclear weapons, even though they don’t want to do so. Go a step further and if Iran has nukes, worst case, so what? The Saudis will buy some from Pakistan and it’s a stand off.

Posted by: Eighthman | Apr 3 2026 13:29 utc | 528

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 3 2026 13:25 utc | 528
 
They showed you a clip, and they tell you it’s in Kuzestan.
 
But why would you trust them?

Posted by: Sebgo | Apr 3 2026 13:31 utc | 529

juliania | Apr 3 2026 2:56 utc | 349[re Trump] *** He’s not sane.  I think the problem was heightened by his narrow escape from death as he must have then believed he was only spared in order to accomplish extraordinary things. 
=========
I don’t think it is about sanity as much as it is delusional narcissist. Perhaps parsing but he is simply a by-product of that class of Hamtpons-Manhattanite pampered deviants.
 
His “escape from death” was a staged managed reality-TV political stunt.
 
 

Posted by: Allen | Apr 3 2026 13:33 utc | 530

@510 Norwegian

“Microsoft bugs almost sabotage NASA Moon mission” …

Everything was working fine until someone opened a window

Posted by: Ornot | Apr 3 2026 13:33 utc | 531

Iran War Summary: Week Five, 3frd April 2026: May be Useful to Some: (3) The Iran War Summary: Week Five – by Dr. Rob Campbell  The previous summary posted above included the Ukraine Update by mistake,

Posted by: The Busker | Apr 3 2026 13:33 utc | 532

@528,
Valid point. Kuzestan is close to Isfahan. If they can reach that part this easily, they might get emboldened to try something else. Nevertheless, a small win is a win (the downed F-15). Manpads for the win.

Posted by: JamesBond | Apr 3 2026 13:34 utc | 533

Some of you guys probably don’t realize how vast the surface of Iran is. Imagine if a plane fell near some village in Hungary, Poland or France. Do you believe any locals would have AD systems or automatic machine guns? Even if that plane fell near some small town in Texas there’s a small chance that locals would have much weaponry and would have to wait until the military arrives. 

Posted by: Joe | Apr 3 2026 13:38 utc | 534

Re: american planes flying freely in Iranian airspace.
 
I think we have already been there and back?
 
What would be the usefulness of an air refueling tanker for searching a pilot?
 
How can one confirm the geolocation ?
 
How could they shoot a F-15 or F-35 but couldn’t shoot a big tanker and hélicos, flying low ?
 
Can we be real for a moment?

Posted by: Sebgo | Apr 3 2026 13:42 utc | 535

Posted by: Sebgo | Apr 3 2026 13:42 utc | 540

Can we be real for a moment?

A lot of posters try hard not to be real, I’m afraid. Thank you for your postings.

Posted by: Konami | Apr 3 2026 13:47 utc | 536

Fired Pentagon General Hodne was a Major during the conflict in Afghanista; he was in charge of planning the operation that got Pat Tillman killed by friendly fire.

Posted by: mjh | Apr 3 2026 11:15 utc | 495

If that’s true, it tells you something, when even that murderous shithead is opting out of the Trump-Hegseth action.

Posted by: sarz | Apr 3 2026 13:50 utc | 537

Truth or dare?
 

Unconfirmed reports by Nour News (close to Iran’s SNSC) says the reason why an account affiliated with Iran’s IRGC posted the F-15 ejected seat was to lure in US forces. It says IRGC ground forces commandos have already found both the pilots, which also explains why US search&rescue operation has a difficult time finding the pilot(s).
 
Nour News says it cannot independently verify this report.
 
Other (very) unconfirmed reports have also stated the one or both pilots have been captured by the IRGC.
 
According to Iran’s State TV, the pilots statuses are unknown.
 
https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/20812
 

Posted by: too scents | Apr 3 2026 13:52 utc | 538

@531 Arch

Though the F15 was presumably taken down by air-defense ?

There is talk of a blackhawk returning with damage also.

Same with Nazrallah flyover, with ten or twenty manpads on rooftops history would be different.

Air defense is limited or selective, it is a large territory to cover effectively without very advanced (and so centralised and vulnerable) systems.

Posted by: Ornot | Apr 3 2026 13:53 utc | 539

Hill tribesmen always shoot at aircraft.
 
We had to approach airports like Sanaa, Yemen and Peshawar, Pakistan in a circular manner rather than normal straight line. (Very tasty honey in Yemen btw).

Posted by: necromancer | Apr 3 2026 13:55 utc | 540

How perfect for ‘Good Friday’…
 
Psychlib 57: Zionist Arrogance vs Liberation Faith
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eoc1gkZOuAM
 
Laith Marouf, indi.ca & Benji

Posted by: John Gilberts | Apr 3 2026 13:57 utc | 541

@540 Sebgo

Refuelling is for helicopter range, flying low takes out of sight of long range high altitude defense systems.

Posted by: Ornot | Apr 3 2026 13:57 utc | 542

Posted by: Eighthman | Apr 3 2026 13:29 utc | 533
 
North Korea proliferated five years before Qaddafi’s death. Also, Libya’s WMD deterrent was very, very small. It was mostly precursor chemicals.

Posted by: James M. | Apr 3 2026 13:58 utc | 543

From Press TV Telegram channel:
The C-130J and two Black Hawk helicopters are still searching for the F-15 pilots in Iran.

Locals and Basijis shoot at them with rifles and AKs.

There are increasingly calls to arm the local population of the western provinces with MANPADS.

Posted by: sarz | Apr 3 2026 13:58 utc | 544

https://alexanderdugin.substack.comthe-return-of-prophetic-geopolitics
Posted by: Asian Frog | Apr 3 2026 11:42 utc | 501
 
Thanks for link. I did not know he was on substack.

Posted by: Don Firineach | Apr 3 2026 14:00 utc | 545

Refuelling

https://t.me/Sohaibpress/135613

Posted by: Ornot | Apr 3 2026 14:02 utc | 546

A vessel owned by France’s CMA CGM has become the first ship tied to Western Europe to cross the Strait of Hormuz since the outbreak of the Iran war in late February, according to ship tracking data.
 
A container ship indicating French ownership by the shipping and logistics giant, CMA CGM, has reportedly become the first vessel with Western European ties to cross the Strait of Hormuz since the start of the Iran war.
 
Euronews

Posted by: Princess Bodica | Apr 3 2026 14:03 utc | 547

Good news. The US pilots are back in US safe and sound.

https://t.me/c/1698707268/4192411

Posted by: Surferket | Apr 3 2026 14:03 utc | 548

BREAKING: Unverified image shows that an American helicopter was hit by Iranian air defenses.
 
Waiting for more verification & confirmations.
 
https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/20814
 

Posted by: too scents | Apr 3 2026 14:07 utc | 549

“Iranians take to the streets and fire bullets at drones and helicopters as they search for the crew of the American warplane that Iran shot down.”

https://t.me/youseffares19/112915

https://t.me/youseffares19/112912

Posted by: Ornot | Apr 3 2026 14:09 utc | 550

It’s never a good thing to have a bunch of retired, fired Generals/Colonels hate you.  Can lead to coups.
 
In any event,  I do wonder if this purge is really about a risky land invasion in Iran.  Or are they trying to find the scapegoat General that will drop a tactical nuke(s).

Posted by: Trubind1 | Apr 3 2026 14:10 utc | 551

https://t.me/myLordBebo/112557

Posted by: Apollyon | Apr 3 2026 14:11 utc | 552

It’s never a good thing to have a bunch of retired, fired Generals/Colonels hate you.   Posted by: Trubind1 | Apr 3 2026 14:10 utc | 556
 
Just ask Michael Hastings.

Posted by: jhrodd | Apr 3 2026 14:18 utc | 553

Ok, I’m writing this in response to james ,who solicitd thought son the following article Strait Theatre by the substacker Morgan, which proposes the theory that the Ramadan War is theatre and that “They called it a war. It was a business deal and they were all in on it. ​​”
It looks plausible on first reading and only if you indulge the practice of looking at events through the wrong end of a telescope. Stepping back and using ones own eyes and brain, it becomes risible and in contravention of well known facts and known market behaviours.
LNG investments
It talks about recent investments in LNG plant and supply expansion. Such plans take years to bring to market and have been driven since the Ukraine-Russia conflict when a combination of sanctions, pipelines mysteriously blowing up and the (stupidly) stated intent of the EU to wean themselves off the hated Russian (gas and oil). Now that a few substitute suppliers in the Gulf have suffered problems she notices that US based suppliers have benefitted from a stock price boost, and that there are many plans in train in the Gulf and the US to fill growing demand, as though this is part of some sinister plan. Sadly, this is just normal market behaviour, when suppliers go away, other suppliers come in to meet demand. They do it pronto before high prices prompt demand destruction or substitution.
Normal, not a conspiracy. Just capitalism doing its thing.
Landing strips
The author makes no distinction between civilian airports and military airbases – regarding them it seems as simply widgets where zoomy things take off and land. Citing the example of Jeddah airports recent upgrade with shiny new terminal as a convenient, just ready in time replacement for Saudi arabia’s “main airport”. Presumaly referring to Riyadh’s civilian airport, which is undamaged and conflating it with nearby Prince Sultan airbase used by the US to attack Iran which has been damaged – just as the Iranians threatened to do before war broke out.
Jeddah is separated from Riyadh by 950km of mostly desert, so isn’t even a drop-in replacement for either airstrip – that would be the most hellish of shuttle bus rides.
Likewise, other civilian airports, new and old, across the Gulf have for the most part been untouched but airbases hosting US forces have been mercilessly attacked.
Israel
The author makes much of the Haifa refinery which had been slated for closure to be redeveloped as some sick luxury waterfront Epstein-class pleasure zone and tries to spin the idea that Iran attack it simply to help speed up the demolition and smooth the process of getting planning permission. This is outright nonsense – a country at war wants its refining capacity up and running now, not at some unspecified point in the future.
In general, old infrastructure isn’t taken off-line before its replacement is built and brought online.
I’m not going to debunk the rest as there is too much filler and padding, but the idea that all participants in the war are complicit and are simply indulging in accelerated infrastructure demolition and redevelopment presumably on behalf of a coven of shady Epstein-class wannabees is idiotic. Observable facts – the slaughter of school girls, assassination of leaders, the vast amounts of “collateral” damage on all sides, the destruction of universities, hospitals and historical monuments are not just scene setting in some elaborate theatre, they are real evidence of a genuine vicious regional conflict.
tl; dr
It’s bollocks

Posted by: ChatNPC | Apr 3 2026 14:19 utc | 554

Franklin Graham appeared at the WH prior to DJT’s speech and quoting the ‘Book of Ester” stated that murdering Persians (Iranians) was morally justified.
 
The ‘Book of Ester’ has been thoroughly discredited by many theologians, but still to have a supposed Christian minister stand up and advocate for the US and IDF slaughter of innocent civilians should make folks wake up to the Christian Zionist movement, and how really anti Chris and anti Christian they really are (note here, I have never heard the ‘Book of Ester’ quoted during a Catholic mass).  
 
So bombing an Iranian elementary school or hospital is morally justified on behalf of the fascist state of Israel and is in addition morally justified? The murder of 400k Palestinian civilians in Gaza is morally justified?  The murder of Palestinians, and the seizure of the their farmlands, pasture lands, orchards and vineyards is morally justified?  Pure nonsense.

Posted by: tobias cole | Apr 3 2026 14:20 utc | 555

Confirmed:
 
American Fighter Jet Downed Over Iran, U.S. Officials Say
 
The fate of the plane’s crew was unclear, as American officials scrambled to mount a search and rescue operation before Iran could get to any survivors, officials said

Posted by: Princess Bodica | Apr 3 2026 14:22 utc | 556

The US Army Generals purge is all about getting Obama/Biden general staff officers out of the chain of command. Its the enemy within to the DJT group……………….

Posted by: tobias cole | Apr 3 2026 14:22 utc | 557

Iran’s Embassy in Thailand posts a photo of LEGO tribal figures hunting down a US pilot
“Currently in Iran”
 
https://fixvx.com/mylordbebo/status/2040063258862694466

Posted by: Siddhartha | Apr 3 2026 14:22 utc | 558

Mahmood: OD: ‘Badly Drugged!?’
 
https://www.youtube.com/@Mahmood_OD/videos
 
“Trump’s most awkward speech yet!”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Apr 3 2026 14:23 utc | 559

@Jorge #46
Starmer’s whole career has been engineered by the British Israel lobby before you even get to Yvette Cooper. He was brought in after the long coup against Corbyn precisely because he was their pet. (His wife is Jewish) The most shocking thing he did which was immediately memory-holed and should have been the biggest Israel lobby scandal in British history if not one of the biggest political scandals was the whole situation with the cease-fire vote.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-68362405
There was a mass walkout of MPs, talk of cutting the live TV feed after the MPs came back in after the shocking incident and the speaker of the house, Lindsey Hoyle, whose father founded “Labour Friends of Israel” and who went on a government-chaperoned tour of the Kibbutzs a week or two after October 7th, pathetically hid in his chambers unable to face the MPs knowing what he had done, sure he was about to end his career in ignominy. And then… nothing. He is still speaker of the house, the biggest UK parliamentary scandal in decades just forgot because to do anything else would mean a bad press day for the Israel lobby, would mean questions about why Keir Starmer went to meet with Hoyle just before the vote and why Hoyle broke all procedure to stop the divisions in the Labour party on Israel from being shown and being debated.
The incident barely registered outside the UK and while it was the biggest news story of the day in the UK for a couple of hours it was just memory-holed. Hoyle knew what he did and was sure it would cost him his position as speaker but it just inexplicably didn’t…

Posted by: Altai | Apr 3 2026 14:23 utc | 560

@521 James M
 
What part of “even Robert Kagan the rabid neocon admits that Iran couldn’t have been attacked if it had nuclear weapons” do you not understand?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Apr 3 2026 14:24 utc | 561

Quite honestly all of this stops when we Americans drag a few multibillionaires out into the streets, stick their heads in guillotines and decapitate them. I suggest we start with Musk, Dimon, and Gates and then see what the rest of the leeches say. Let’s go, I’m sick of rich cunts breathing our air.

Posted by: Caveman | Apr 3 2026 14:25 utc | 562

bUT tHe PenTAGOn aDMITTed THiS plANE wuZ shoT doWNz sO deY muSt HVave bEEn TeLLING da TruETh aboUT the OTher DenIAals!!

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 3 2026 14:26 utc | 563

Clarification ?

“The Maltese-flagged vessel belongs to CMA CGM SA, the world’s third-largest container line, which is majority-owned by the billionaire Saadé family. The founder immigrated to France from war-torn Lebanon and started the line in 1978, in Marseille, with one leased vessel.

The company and the French ministry of foreign affairs declined to comment. France’s ministry of finance didn’t respond to a request for comment.”

Via Iranian waters.

https://gcaptain.com/french-owned-container-ship-exits-hormuz-in-first-since-iran-war/

Posted by: Ornot | Apr 3 2026 14:26 utc | 564

What’s up with the former Iranian PM Zarif poking his head out now, saying Iran should claim victory and “make peace” with the U.S.?
https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/irans-ex-foreign-minister-calls-090725520.html
 
Does anyone even know where he physically is?
It’s all peculiar.
 
Excerpt:
 
”Former Iranian foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif has called for a “comprehensive peace deal” to be concluded with the US.“
 
Comprehensive?  Like the JCPOA…
 
Sarif went on to write that economic cooperation was also conceivable, and would be beneficial to both countries.”
“This war,” he concludes, “horrible as it is, has opened the door for a durable settlement. Iranians may be outraged, but they can push forward knowing that they stood tall in the face of a massive and illegal military onslaught by two nuclear-armed powers.”
Yes,  Iranians need to just “push forward” and make nice with USReal..

Posted by: Trubind1 | Apr 3 2026 14:28 utc | 565

US and IDF aircraft losses are increasing dramatically –
– Numerous MQ 9 drones, both recon and reaper
– Numerous KC 135’s on the ground and in the air
– Numerous F15’s Strike Eagles lost in the air and on the ground
– Numerous F16’s lost in the air and on the ground
– Numerous F35’s lost in the air and on the ground
– Several RC 135’s and E3’s lost on the ground – E3’s estimated cost is $500 m apiece.
– Several C130 Hercules – Compass Combat Command aircraft lost on the ground – note here that there are only 3 in the entire USAF.
 
So much for no Iranian AAD and ground attacks…………

Posted by: tobias cole | Apr 3 2026 14:29 utc | 566

-Kuwait refinery on fire
-Protests in Syria

Anyone will have to try to keep track of current themselves, too much to repost continuously…

For up to date more reliable coverage these need no Telegram account for preview linked, but need translate for those not reading Arabic (if page translate fails, Babel browser or Firefox Immersive Translate extension work):

https://t.me/s/Sohaibpress

for close concise coverage.

https://t.me/s/youseffares19

from Palestine and with attention to Iran and Lebanon.

https://t.me/s/Military_Security

for local analysis.

Posted by: Ornot | Apr 3 2026 14:34 utc | 567

Crooke’s snapshots of the Hebrew Press – he leaves this weekly post open to all …
 
Israeli Security Grandees’ Stark Warnings — “Strategic failure”; “Strategic mistakes”; ‘Reopening Hormuz militarily illusory’ … ‘The collapse of the IDF is the collapse of Israel’
Conflicts Forum’s compilation of consequential & strategic perspectives from leading Israeli commentators (translated from the Hebrew press), 1 April 2026
 
Israeli Security Grandees’ Stark Warnings — “Strategic failure”; “Strategic mistakes”; ‘Reopening Hormuz militarily illusory’ … ‘The collapse of the IDF is the collapse of Israel’
 
Always worth reading ….

Posted by: Don Firineach | Apr 3 2026 14:34 utc | 568

Ireland and the UK wailing about the ME oil and gas supplies, is pure nonsense.
 
Plenty of oil and gas and coal supplies are available from US and Russian resources, call them up and buy some.  And guess what – they deliver too, and at reasonable prices.

Posted by: tobias cole | Apr 3 2026 14:36 utc | 569

Posted by: Surferket | Apr 3 2026 13:10 utc | 519
 
Imagine US Marines parachuting into such a remote location.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Apr 3 2026 14:39 utc | 570

I remember Easter 1975 …

Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 3 2026 14:40 utc | 571

@ DunGroanin | Apr 3 2026 10:23 utc | 473 with the kind words….thanks
I enjoy your comments but have to admit that the volume of barfly postings these days has me scrolling over most long stuff but mostly go back and read yours……it takes a village, eh?

Posted by: psychohistorian | Apr 3 2026 14:42 utc | 572

 
Writeup on the Iranian Bavar 373 AD system.
https://defensefeeds.com/military-tech/army/ballistic-missiles/bavar-373/
 
Posted by: Surferket | Apr 3 2026 10:22 utc | 472
 
—————————————————-
Thanks.
 
Nice write-up. Should kill off all MoA posting about S-400s.

Posted by: Acco Hengst | Apr 3 2026 14:43 utc | 573

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Apr 3 2026 5:39 utc | 401
 Quoting Robert Kagan now? Good grief.  The logical response to Iranian proliferation is either the Arab Gulf states will seek nuclear weapons, or protection under the US or even Israeli nuclear shields.  An arms race between Israel and Iran will also likely ensue.  Also, nuclear weapons are no guarantee that military operations by Israel against Iran will suddenly cease.  Asymmetrical attacks , at least, will likely continue.
 What is the threshold for use?  Is Israel more likely to use its own nuclear arsenal in a first strike? The Samson option? The calculus isn’t so simple as: if Iran possess nukes then they are safe. Yes, North Korea has a deterrent, but their regime was never seriously threatened the prior sixty years before proliferation. 
 
Posted by: James M. | Apr 3 2026 13:14 utc | 521
 
What the Americans peddled to the GCC states and Iraqi government (as confessed by that Iraqi MP) was the story that Iran would fall within 3 days, after they killed Khamenei, there’d be a regime change, various rebels and pro-westerners would take over – basically it’d be a cakewalk like Venezuela. That’s how they got the Gulf in on it. 
 
Simply put, it was a failure of deterrence by Iran. Iran was too soft and was seen as weak by its enemies. To succeed in deterrence, getting nukes would be one method. Shutting up reformists who kept messaging they want to surrender would be another.
 
The scenarios you pointed out – arms race, Gulf states going nuclear, begging for a nuclear shield etc doesn’t matter. Because they are all peaceful scenarios where they are fearful of Iran and conflict doesn’t actually happen. Nuclear first strike against a nuclear armed Iran would be less, not more likely than the present.
 
As for asymmetrical attacks? Same idea. Failure of deterrence. So far the US is using hybrid warfare but most countries are simply ignoring it, that’s why the US is not deterred. However if some crazy country with nukes had credibly threatened to nuke the US if they meddled in that country’s elections then you can bet the US wouldn’t be doing that either.
 

Posted by: Sloan | Apr 3 2026 14:44 utc | 574

@tobias cole | Apr 3 2026 14:29 utc | 571
 
There’s about 7-8 K-135’s and Pegasus’s still in the air, with spoofing, hard to pinpoint.  Flying between Israel and Jordan flying along the Iraqi and Saudi border, daily it seems.  
 
Once those are out, could be nearing the end of air superiority.
 
The C-130 and Heli’s over Iranian airspace in broad daylight is suspicious, a suicide mission.  If locals can spot them, surely they can be taken down.

Posted by: CrazyCanuck | Apr 3 2026 14:45 utc | 575

Iranian army released a video of threatening to strike 1GW Stargate AI datacenter in the UAE.
 
They also showed that the data center is hidden on Google maps
 
https://t.me/megatron_ron/14652

 
Iran is rinsing away the AI bubble.
 

Posted by: too scents | Apr 3 2026 14:47 utc | 576

Posted by: Caveman | Apr 3 2026 14:25 utc | 567

Quite honestly all of this stops when we Americans drag a few multibillionaires out into the streets, stick their heads in guillotines and decapitate them.

I agree. We know from more than a century of politicial assassinations that the murder itself doesn’t change policies. Rather, the consequence is more oppression. However, the current Western elite entirely lacks the equivalent of Roman “memento mori” (supposedly, a slave whispering to a triumphant general: “remember that you are mortal”).
 
I am still surprised that Luigi Mangione’s murder of the United Health CEO didn’t trigger any follow-ups.

Posted by: Konami | Apr 3 2026 14:49 utc | 577

Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 3 2026 14:40 utc | 576

I remember Easter 1975 …

I had a quick look but couldn’t find anything — what are you referring to?

Posted by: Konami | Apr 3 2026 14:51 utc | 578

Hezbollah publishes another video of destruction of Israeli Merkava MK4 tank in southern Lebanon using ATGM
 
https://fixvx.com/mylordbebo/status/2040077143120449594

Posted by: Siddhartha | Apr 3 2026 14:54 utc | 579

Posted by: Konami | Apr 3 2026 14:49 utc | 582
 
Thanks for your measured reply to my uncontrolled rage, Konami. I don’t think the deaths will change policy either, rather they will do what you say, and remind of death. If Musk, Gates and Dimon are publicly executed by mobs, which I am all for, the rest of the parasite class will maybe start detaching from the host. 

Posted by: Caveman | Apr 3 2026 14:54 utc | 580

BBM: ‘The Western Anti-Imperialist Bubble Believes its own BS’
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EF-vahZQg40
 
Iran war: a grand imperial fantasy?”
 
 
 
Colonial Outcasts: ‘The Psyops Are Failing, Lebanon is Unifying’
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UYUmhcBUiHA
 
“The great hegemony begins to crumble: Sunni, Shia, Christian and secular unite.”
 
 

Posted by: John Gilberts | Apr 3 2026 14:56 utc | 581

@Norwegian | Apr 3 2026 10:58 utc | 489
Sensitive for you to admit you are influenced by them. It is a bit embarassing so I understand. They all represent the propagandarm.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Apr 3 2026 15:09 utc | 582

New thread up

Posted by: necromancer | Apr 3 2026 15:19 utc | 583

@Konami | Apr 3 2026 14:51 utc | 583

I had a quick look but couldn’t find anything — what are you referring to?

https://www.britannica.com/event/Fall-of-Saigon
 
I remember Easter 1975 because I was in the mountains and there was a TV with news about the end of the Vietnam war. I think the final collapse happened a few weeks later.
 
This could be something similar, 51 years later.

Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 3 2026 15:34 utc | 584

@petergrfstrm | Apr 3 2026 15:09 utc | 587
Lol, whatever.

Posted by: Norwegian | Apr 3 2026 15:36 utc | 585

China should be sending tens of thousands of manpads to Iran right now.  That doesn’t bode well for Iran if the USA can fly helicopters 300 feet off the ground searching for a pilot.

Posted by: Cheney | Apr 3 2026 15:36 utc | 586

Norwegian: Thank you! I’d have thought that a casual internet search tells me this about “Easter 1975” but no.
 
By the way, I don’t follow mainsteam media, and I believe you don’t either. Nonetheless, this NRK piece entered my bubble: https://www.nrk.no/urix/hva-skjer-nar-ki-brukes-i-krig_-1.17811610
It’s war propaganda plain and simple but of the indirect sort: there’s no mention of Russia or Iran, it has a very flowery style and is about effects on daily life and normal people. In other words, NRK is preparing Norwegian brains to think the unthinkable.
 
Thank you for all your posting here!

Posted by: Konami | Apr 3 2026 15:55 utc | 587

591 – The Americans at times managed to rescue shot-down aircrew from North Vietnam during the Vietnam War though sometimes they just lost more assets doing so. 

Posted by: Waldorf | Apr 3 2026 16:04 utc | 588

Posted by: too scents | Apr 3 2026 13:52 utc | 543
————————
Why “both pilots”? Is the F15 not supposed to be a single seater fighter?

Posted by: scc | Apr 3 2026 20:19 utc | 590

Well, it seems the F15E is a two seater, I stand corrected.

Posted by: scc | Apr 3 2026 20:41 utc | 591

Posted by: Caveman | Apr 3 2026 14:54 utc | 585
they still would accelerate the depopulation of the world…

Posted by: COViDiOT | Apr 3 2026 20:49 utc | 592

IRAN WAR: Bridges, Electric Power Plants Next /Lt Col Daniel Dav is & Robert Barnes
Posted by: Spark | Apr 3 2026 16:18 utc | 594
 
Oh dear. I’d suggest Lt Col Daniel Davis stay away from Barnes. Hes a political fanboy and a proffesional bullshitter and bloviator.

Posted by: noidea | Apr 3 2026 22:57 utc | 593

As for asymmetrical attacks? Same idea. Failure of deterrence. So far the US is using hybrid warfare but most countries are simply ignoring it, that’s why the US is not deterred. However if some crazy country with nukes had credibly threatened to nuke the US if they meddled in that country’s elections then you can bet the US wouldn’t be doing that either.
 
 
Posted by: Sloan | Apr 3 2026 14:44 utc | 579
 
 
This is an excellent analysis.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Apr 4 2026 1:25 utc | 594

There has been a lot of talk about Iranian air defences, remember years ago there was talk of Iran acquiring the S-300 even 400 system, did they ever get them and if so were they used in this conflict?

Posted by: Englishman | Apr 4 2026 18:44 utc | 595

The strike by the “Epstein coalition” on the Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant (built and operated with Russian participation) on April 4, 2026, marks a new stage in the undeclared nuclear war. Rosatom Director General A. Likhachev stated: “Today, at approximately 7:20 a.m. Moscow time, a strike was launched, effectively hitting the plant’s defense perimeter. The first fatality has been recorded.” An Iranian, a plant security guard, was killed.
 
Following this, the main wave of evacuation of Russian specialists began. Buses carrying 198 Russian nuclear workers departed for the Iranian-Armenian border. Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson M. Zakharova stated: “These illegal and reckless actions are an indelible stain on the international reputation of those who target the Bushehr nuclear power plant and other Iranian nuclear facilities under Agency safeguards and give the command to destroy them.”
 
Iranian Foreign Minister A. Araghchi wrote on social media: “Israel and the United States have already struck the Bushehr nuclear power plant four times. The radioactive fallout will destroy life in the capitals of the Persian Gulf countries, not in Tehran.”
 

 
Nuclear power plants under construction are carefully protected from external influences. Destroying them is not easy. The most secure area is the reactor building, housed in a specially designed reinforced concrete dome. The concrete is over 1 meter thick, reinforced with special steels, strengthened using technological methods. The dome can withstand an airplane crash. But absolutely secure facilities do not exist in this world.
 
A. Likhachev emphasized: “Events are unfolding according to the most undesirable forecast. Our forebodings were right. This is a nuclear facility, and any breach of integrity, whether of the reactor or the fuel storage facilities, would contaminate large areas. And the completely unpredictable movement of charged particles, coupled with atmospheric phenomena, threatens the entire region.”
 
The US and Israel are following in the footsteps of their independent vassals in their attacks on nuclear power plants. They are learning from their “lesser brothers.” It’s enough to recall the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ attacks on the Kursk, Smolensk, and Novovoronezh NPPs. The Zaporizhzhia NPP is particularly frequently targeted. E. Yashina, Communications Director at Zaporizhzhia NPP, stated: “Any deliberate attack on them, be it a drone attack, artillery shelling, or other military action, carries enormous risks. The consequences of an accident could be catastrophic and long-lasting for the environment, the health of the population of entire regions, and global security.”
 
For those who like to target nuclear power plants, catastrophic consequences are a desirable goal, not a dire threat…
 
@segodnia_ru

Posted by: MiniMO | Apr 5 2026 2:18 utc | 596

Russians left Bushehr because the Israelis asked them too. It further shows Russia compromises the security of others (Syria, Iran) and itself for the Zionists.
 
https://x.com/BabakTaghvaee1/status/2040535288967999867
 
 
BREAKING: According to my Israeli sources, unfortunately, the Bushehr nuclear reactor in Iran has been placed on the target list of the IDF to be struck after the end of Trump’s ultimatum. Russia has evacuated all of its workers at Israel’s request. This is going to cause major radioactive pollution in the Persian Gulf region—Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia will be exposed. The lives of not only Iranians but also people in these countries will be affected by this action.
 

Posted by: MiniMO | Apr 5 2026 3:17 utc | 597

Nice blog here! Also your web site loads up very fast!
What web host are you using? Can I get your affiliate link to
your host? I wish my site loaded up as quickly as yours lol

Posted by: website | Apr 5 2026 9:09 utc | 598

Posted by: Sloan | Apr 3 2026 14:44 utc | 577
 
 
There are other ways to deter  other than going nuclear. For example, a military alliance with Russia or China, who have their own deterrence. Part of the problem with Iran’s lack of deterrence is that they are isolated, due in no small measure due to their alleged pursuit of nuclear weapons. North Korea is a communist, militaristic state that doesn’t trade with anyone except China.
Iran has greater ambitions for itself and its region, which is one main reason they are being attacked. I don’t think Iranian proliferation is going to change American/Israeli calculus much, but it could very well destabilize the region further. You have Russia, China, India, Pakistan, and Israel all with nuclear weapons in close proximity to each other. Adding Iran to that, and possibly Saudi Arabia, leads me to believe more problems will be created than solutions.

Posted by: James M. | Apr 5 2026 13:25 utc | 599

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Apr 3 2026 14:24 utc | 564
 
 
I read what you wrote, but you presented his point, through Simpleton, as somehow validating your own argument. Considering how much Kagan has been utterly wrong throughout his career it isn’t really a strong point for you. You, and Simpleton, I mean Simplicius, miss his larger point, that the US must attack Iran now, before it’s too late, in his view. But I submit,  his view, as most of his arguments, is wrong. Hence, my disbelief at your quoting him. Does that make sense? Do I have to clear it up for you more?

Posted by: James M. | Apr 5 2026 13:35 utc | 600