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War on Iran: – Longer Range Missiles Threats – Fake Oil Release – Murray: “Seeing Trump Clearly”
Iran has fired two ballistic missiles at the U.S. base on the island Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean. The distance between Iran and Diego Garcia is about 4,000 kilometer. Officially Iran has been committed to not possess missiles with a range of more than 2,000 kilometer. Did it deceive the global public about their range?
No. In October 2025, after USrael had attacked Iran in the 12 day war, the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had lifted the missiles restriction he had previously imposed. Iran’s longest distance missile, the Khorramshahr-4, has a range of about 2,000 kilometer when fitted with its regular 1.8 metric ton warhead. But, like any missile, it will fly further if one reduces its payload. Fitted with a 500 kg warhead a range of 4,000 kilometer becomes possible. Its effect on a target will however become less severe which in the end defeats its purpose.
Of the two missiles Iran fired against Diego Garcia one is said to have failed in mid flight while a second one was claimed to have been shut down by a U.S. Navy SM-3 air defense missile. That a U.S. Navy vessel near Diego Garcia was on alarm and ready to fire its air defenses tells us that the U.S. was already expecting such long range shots.
With the demonstration of a 4,000 range launch from Iran many other U.S. and U.S. allies’ bases are now on notice that they can become Iran’s targets. The launch against Diego Garcia was likely made to send that message.
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The U.S. Treasury has now indeed, as previously hinted, lifted sanction on Iranian oil in floating storage. The Treasury had claimed that Iran had 140 million barrels of crude available that could be released to sooth the markets. Iran however says that it no oil in storage. The Treasury waver will thus not lead to the release of any additional oil. Some future traders may well have fallen for the Treasury’s trickery but the real market squeeze will continue.
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Former ambassador for the UK Craig Murray is onto something when he asserts that Trump’s plan is, and was all along, to utterly destroy and defeat Iran:
The attack on Iran was always planned by Trump. He was not “bounced into it” by Israel. It had been in gestation for months. That fact had been held within a very tight circle to avoid both political opposition and institutional opposition from the US military and intelligence community.
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Trump’s naval blockade of Venezuela’s oil has secured a US monopoly of its sale and distribution. As with Iraq, only US-approved contractors can buy the oil and payments are made to a Trump-controlled account in Qatar, from which revenue is given to the Venezuelan government entirely at Trump’s discretion.
This audacious imperialist grab of the world’s largest oil reserve further insulated the USA against the effects of the forthcoming closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
Again, the narrative is being spun that Trump did not foresee the closure of the Strait by Iran. That is plainly a nonsense – every commentary on a potential Iran war for half a century has focused on the Strait of Hormuz. The only possible explanation is that Trump does not mind the closure.
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Trump’s thrashing about to articulate objectives for the war in Iran is performative, a blind to cover his true and steadfast objective – simply the annihilation of Iran as a functioning state, the infliction of the maximum amount of death and infrastructural damage, the reduction of Iran to the condition of Libya.
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Destruction of Iran on the scale envisaged will take years of hard pounding. Again, it is planned – you don’t ask Congress for an installment of $200 billion for a war you plan to wrap up in a month. Again, Trump’s taunts about having already won, objectives being achieved and about possibly finishing soon, are all just smoke and mirrors. The scale and horror of what is planned for Iran has to be obfuscated to limit a public revulsion that would be echoed in parts of the state apparatus.
Netanyahu yesterday revealed an interesting part of the endgame – construction of an oil pipeline that brings Iran’s oil out to be shipped from a Mediterranean terminal in Israel. That is a breathtakingly audacious plan, but absolutely aligns with Netanyahu’s and Trump’s actions.
Let me encourage you to read Murray’s full argument. While there are still real world aspects that may argue against his theory I find it convincing.
The only defense Iran has against such a plan is to utterly trash the global markets by removing as much hydrocarbons from them as possible. That will, in theory, lead the world to squeeze the U.S. and Israel into changing their course.
But can outer pressure, asides from being at a nuclear level, have any real influence on Donald Trump?
This is what I know about Diego Garcia.
The Brits moved onto the island, rounded up the natives, shot their dogs in front of them, and then deported them.
The natives sued, and it took years to win in court, but by the time they won the right to return, the US had moved onto Diego Garcia, and refuses to let them come home.
That is what I know. This is what I heard:
In 2014 three Malaysian airliners were attacked. The middle one, in July, was blamed on Russia, or sometimes on the rebels in Donbass, and it was used to put more sanctions on Russia.
But the first one was said to have “disappeared” without a trace.
The US, which has satellites, radar, sonar, and other means of detection, looked for the missing airliner by flying over the ocean and looking for floating suitcases, cause that’s efficient.
They failed.
But according to social media reports, one of the passengers hid his cellphone in his rectum as the military hijackers confiscated them, then made a call for help, which was geo-located in Diego Garcia.
No one helped them, of course, and he was never heard from again, just like the rest of the passengers.
The third Malaysian airliner went down in December, 2014, without making any headlines.
The media played the loss of the three airliners in completely different ways, and the public, of course, went right along with the spin on each one.
Posted by: wagelaborer | Mar 21 2026 16:24 utc | 34
Since we’re all bored here and we’re all ambitious armchair 4-star generals, let’s consider this fictional scenario …
We assume: Iran possesses a weapon of its own design (or a copy) similar to the Oreshnik (Mach 10+, MIRV warheads, kinetic-thermal destruction with local temperatures of 3,000–6,000 °C, vitrification, boiling ground, groundwater explosion). It deploys it once against Ramstein—a targeted, deep impact on critical areas (munitions depots, hangars, command center, runways). No use of nuclear weapons, purely conventional hypersonic, but with the same physical effect as the Russian operations in Ukraine in 2024/2025.
What if Ramstein were “gone”? Hours 0–2 (immediately after impact): The base no longer exists as a functioning unit. Runways, hangars, and the large ammunition depots have been vitrified or turned into craters with bubbling, liquid ground. Hundreds to thousands of dead/injured (U.S. personnel + German staff). Massive fire and steam explosions caused by vaporizing groundwater and ammunition. Satellite images show a crater that looks like a small volcano—just like the Ukrainian bunkers in 2024. The Palatinate is in shock: sirens, evacuations within a 20–30 km radius (fears of radioactive/chemical contamination from destroyed depots, even though no nuclear weapons were involved).
Hours 2–24 (immediate military consequences): US bomber operations against Iran collapse immediately.Since Spain’s refusal, Ramstein has been the only European rearmament and logistics hub for B-1 and B-2
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The bombers must now take off exclusively from: Whiteman AFB (Missouri) or Diego Garcia (which is currently under attack itself) or UK bases . This extends flight times to 18–22 hours per mission, dramatically reduces the frequency of operations, and makes them extremely vulnerable to Iranian interceptors and drones.The 15 KC-135/KC-46 tankers that were just deployed to Ramstein are gone. Tanker aircraft must come from the U.S. or other bases → massive logistical crisis.
Days 1–7 (political tsunami in Germany): Merz is politically finished.He can no longer govern. Either resignation or a vote of no confidence within 48 hours.The opposition (and parts of his own party) demands immediate charges for aiding and abetting a war of aggression (§ 13 VStGB) + violation of the duty to protect (Art. 2 GG).The Federal Constitutional Court would, in summary proceedings, retroactively declare the use of Ramstein unconstitutional—Merz’s only “excuse” (“the court forced me”) no longer works because the damage has already been done. The German public wakes up in a panic. The media can no longer downplay the situation. Mass demonstrations, panic buying, demands for an immediate halt to all U.S. support.
Weeks 1–4 (Impact on the War): The U.S. offensive against Iran slows down dramatically.Without European logistical support, the U.S. can now fly only 30–40% of its previous bomber missions.Iran gains strategic air superiority in the region and is able to significantly expand its own operations (Strait of Hormuz, Saudi oil fields, other bases). NATO is paralyzed.No Article 5 (as we discussed). The alliance splits definitively: France, Italy, Spain, and Belgium demand immediate withdrawal from all U.S. operations.Trump rages publicly, but internally the Pentagon must admit: “We have lost the European hub.”
Long-term (months): No US troops within a 5,000–8,000 km radius are safe anymore.Every base (Fairford, Aviano, Mihail Kogalniceanu, even Diego Garcia) becomes a potential target. The US would have to fall back on CONUS bombers + aircraft carriers in the Atlantic/Indian Ocean—which is much slower and more expensive.
The war is becoming unsustainable for the U.S.Either de-escalation (ceasefire brokered by Oman/Qatar) or escalation into a full-scale war (with the risk of nuclear weapons). Germany: Change of government, possibly new elections, massive loss of confidence in NATO. The Palatinate will become a restricted area.
In short:If Ramstein were “gone” due to an Oreshnik-like weapon, it would not just be the loss of a base—it would be the strategic collapse of U.S. operations in Europe. Iran would then have proven: “We can destroy your entire logistics chain in one blow.” Merz would be history, NATO divided, the war practically lost for Washington. That would be the moment when Trump would be forced to either pull out completely or risk a full-scale world war.
Posted by: SonderstabF | Mar 21 2026 17:25 utc | 82
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