Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
March 22, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-059

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

The Duran: ‘Ukraine War Zero Line’
 
https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran/videos
 
“Lethal drone warfare, with Joao Quaresma.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Mar 22 2026 14:45 utc | 1

AFU casualties back to 1.200 level (1.215)
 
https://tass.com/defense/2105325
 
no fresh Marat 

Posted by: Newbie | Mar 22 2026 14:53 utc | 2

Now with the death of Iran, the greatest enemy America has is the Radical Left, Highly Incompetent, Democrat Party! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DJT 

Dude do you want to ignite a civil war ?

Posted by: KillerDoll | Mar 22 2026 14:55 utc | 3

Dude do you want to ignite a civil war ?
 
Posted by: KillerDoll | Mar 22 2026 14:55 utc | 3

 
Why wouldn’t he? Finally a war he could win handily.

Posted by: malenkov | Mar 22 2026 14:58 utc | 4

Like a busted clock, Trump is right twice a day – as he is on the duopoly Dems, who are neither radical nor left.

Posted by: John Gilberts | Mar 22 2026 14:59 utc | 5

A Date Which will live in Infamy:
28 Feb 2026
Trump and Booboo – digging their own graves.

Posted by: kupkee | Mar 22 2026 15:09 utc | 6

To be fair with Putin- is his apparent gutless cowardice down to the fact that Kaliningrad can’t be defended and hence these current rules of engagement that favour NATO but don’t give them a totally  free reign?  
Posted by: Winston | Mar 22 2026 13:05 utc | 416

 
 
Kaliningrad is in fact the safest Russian region right now. Because it cannot be attacked by NATO using the fig leaf that “Ukraine” did it, so there hasn’t been a single strike on it. 

Posted by: GM | Mar 22 2026 15:26 utc | 7

What’s up with Ukraine? No one’s been reporting on it!
UA has been on the ropes since the failure of the 2023 offensive, but it still cannot be finished? 🤔

Posted by: Dingleberry | Mar 22 2026 15:35 utc | 8

Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update: May be Useful to Some:  Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update

Posted by: The Busker | Mar 22 2026 15:54 utc | 9

Bringing this forward from the tail end of the previous Ukraine thread, just for information purposes:

02, 03, 04, 05, 06, 07, 09, 11, 12, 13, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 23.These are all the hours around the clock where there is at least one time-stamped posting from @ GM in this thread.Things that make you go hmmm…
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Mar 21 2026 11:45 utc | 399

And I now see we can add “15” to the list…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Mar 22 2026 16:01 utc | 10

Dude do you want to ignite a civil war ? Posted by: KillerDoll | Mar 22 2026 14:55 utc | 3

 Why wouldn’t he? Finally a war he could win handily.
Posted by: malenkov | Mar 22 2026 14:58 utc | 4
 
Then list the advantages a civil war would bring to the system… a suppressed civil war, of course.
 
Point 1) There would be grounds for new surveillance laws.
 
Point 2) There would be grounds to reset everything… from debt to the division of regions.
 
Point 3) There would be grounds for “cleaning up” along racial and national lines.
 
And… civil war is probably also the goal in heavily indebted Europe, simply because of the bankrupt EU states… and that’s ALL of them!
 
But as asked…what advantages would a civil war, or at least widespread unrest, offer Trump and his ilk?
Go ahead and share your thoughts…

Posted by: Genesis | Mar 22 2026 16:09 utc | 11

” Point 3) There would be grounds for “cleaning up” along racial and national lines.”
What does that refer to?

Posted by: Cheney | Mar 22 2026 16:12 utc | 12

“AFU casualties back to 1.200 level (1.215)”
After History Legends and his friend did an investigation into how many deaths each side really has, these daily (or weekly) Russian figures seem as suspect as the running Ukrainian total that goes well over a million.
 

Posted by: Cheney | Mar 22 2026 16:16 utc | 13

Ukraine is shifting military training back inside the country, moving away from programs abroad.
Officials, cite weak Western instruction and say some partners “don’t understand the realities on the ground.”
Kiev now argues domestic training is faster and easier logistically, despite earlier claims that troops had to be trained abroad due to the risk of strikes on training sites.
Unofficially, the move is also linked to efforts to curb widespread desertion during overseas training.
 
https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/178831#

Posted by: Newbie | Mar 22 2026 16:21 utc | 14

Dude do you want to ignite a civil war ? Posted by: KillerDoll | Mar 22 2026 14:55 utc | 3
 
 
But as asked…what advantages would a civil war, or at least widespread unrest, offer Trump and his ilk?Go ahead and share your thoughts…
 
Posted by: Genesis | Mar 22 2026 16:09 utc | 11
 
 
Good answer Genesis.  I know the answer is Yes, or more likely something more emphatic like the Trumpian version of “OF COURSE I DO!”
 
I did not know what else to add.  Thanks for your post 🙂

Posted by: Woke American | Mar 22 2026 16:30 utc | 15

Posted by: Genesis | Mar 22 2026 16:09 utc | 11
better discussed in the other thread. but the answer is simple: as foreign affairs disappoint, escalate the war at home. it is an inevitable, inviolable law. it’s already happening, the US is far down the road of civil war.
 
led by the ruling class subversion of the US constitution, with The Apprentice playing the role of loudspeaker, or yesterday’s town crier. He could announce tomorrow, “No social benefits, incl right to work, pump gas, buy food, refill your insulin, w/o a loyalty oath.” who would resist?
 
go stick your tongue out at the ICE Nazi takeover of TSA at US airports (just the public ones, not the private security. naturally.) see where that lands you.
 
back to Russia: Jacques Baud.

Posted by: duck n cover | Mar 22 2026 16:36 utc | 16

 Point 3) There would be grounds for “cleaning up” along racial and national lines.”What does that refer to?
Posted by: Cheney | Mar 22 2026 16:12 utc | 12
 
Is that really such a difficult question?
 
What is ICE doing in the US right now?
 
Who would consider other criteria?

Posted by: Genesis | Mar 22 2026 16:37 utc | 17

Channel Sheikh Tamir reports:
 
Ukrainian forces in trenches near Tehran? Sheikh Tamir believes Kyiv is ready to “sell” a military contingent to the US for a ground offensive against Iran.
 
“Nothing prevents them from secretly moving troops to particularly dangerous areas, for example, during the attack on Kharg Island. Especially since there’s been talk in Ukraine for a long time: Let’s sell the Ukrainian armed forces so they can hold out in the trenches near Tehran,” he remarked.
 
My comment on this…Until now, I thought Ukraine was running out of soldiers, and here they are being offered for sale… WHAT’S WRONG WITH THIS?

Posted by: Genesis | Mar 22 2026 16:42 utc | 18

For the life of me, can’t figure the interest of that sliver of sumy, but it’s fresh marat for today
 
https://maratkhairullin.substack.com/p/brief-frontline-report-march-22nd

Posted by: Newbie | Mar 22 2026 16:56 utc | 19

My comment on this…Until now, I thought Ukraine was running out of soldiers, and here they are being offered for sale… WHAT’S WRONG WITH THIS?
Posted by: Genesis | Mar 22 2026 16:42 utc | 18

The ukrainian casualty numbers are a lie.  They have more than enough soldiers and munitions to last for YEARS against Russia at the current rate of fighting.  The fact that ukraine can offer drones and men to other countries while Russia can only provide lip service speaks volumes on how this war is really going.

Posted by: bored | Mar 22 2026 16:57 utc | 20

Russia is winning
Iran is winning
Happy days!

Posted by: Merkin Scot | Mar 22 2026 17:03 utc | 21

The Duran does an interesting video with this Portugese dude who just returned from the war zone.  About drones and other interesting things.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S0qioZ_L1O0
 

Posted by: arby | Mar 22 2026 17:06 utc | 22

What numbers are true? Nor answering cara bears with nothing to add, let us discuss things as they are.
 
Do we know how many irrecoverable losses RF took? Not really we could say there is an absolute floor at circa 110k KIA (and as many maimed) and 5 times as many as a “crazy” ceiling. I’d personnaly be inclined to toward 1x 2x the former.
 
But we do know, or at least strongly suspect that AFU permanent losses are 2.5-3 to 7 times RF losses (and yes I disregard any 1:1, or worse, ratios, equipment, training, rest and rotation and parity in drones and domain on artillery and FABs allow nothing else and exchanges of corpeses but mostly of live prisoners tell a story )
 
And now for the final element, even at 1:1 ukraine has neither the demographics nor strategic depth to hold a candle to RF (even in SMO mode, let alone higher degrees of engagement)
 
So yes, question of time, and as I mentioned earlier, to break a front (apart from small grind attrition advance), you need to inject maybe as many absolutely fresh soldiers as re already facing at LOC, that is easier/cheaper if you grind down the tip of the spear to a fraction of normal containment numbers, that is the calculation I believe RF is making and waiting for the right answer.
 
As a final thought, a broken ukraine can be brought back to early 2000’s population within 25 years of injecting veterans with farms and cheap diesel and fertilisers. This is not to win today’s SMO but to win the war in 30-40 years… but the west cannot read, let alone plan , for decades.
 
Meanwhile most modeling and projections would propose that end of summer is a non sustainable phase for AFU (but I am known to have failed in the past so feel free to add as much salt as you wish)

Posted by: Newbie | Mar 22 2026 17:20 utc | 23

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Posted by: Jjkfhjhvj | Mar 22 2026 17:29 utc | 24

SHOCK CLAIM: During Zelensky’s trip to Paris, €6M+ was allegedly slipped to French military insiders to fast-track €90BN in EU aid! War chest or slush fund? Europe’s money vanishing into shadows. Wake up!

 
 

https://x.com/its_The_Dr/status/2035725238256689335

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 22 2026 17:31 utc | 25

The ukrainian casualty numbers are a lie.  They have more than enough soldiers and munitions to last for YEARS against Russia at the current rate of fighting.  The fact that ukraine can offer drones and men to other countries while Russia can only provide lip service speaks volumes on how this war is really going.
Posted by: bored | Mar 22 2026 16:57 utc | 20
 
Well, I do NOT agree with that…
Leaving aside the number of exchanging dead, where Ukraine is practically scraping together resources to get even a few hundred… (Which is probably due to the fact that they are constantly losing ground and, for logical reasons, leaving dead behind regardless of their origin)
And…because I, 83, myself, and often served alongside Russians—I’ll say “served” because I don’t know who can or will read this.
The Russians are fighting with the handbrake on; NATO would be surprised what a war against THEM would look like…. The handbrake is also on because Putin is preparing for precisely this scenario, he MUST prepare for it… which means weapons and ammunition production not only for the SMO but also for stockpiling. Training reservists beyond basic training is also crucial, as weapons systems are making technological leaps that a reservist could no longer operate after just a few years. All of these are things that the entire NATO alliance has missed in the last 30 years, including the USA with its nuclear weapons, which are technologically medieval. And thanks to the new Russian defense systems, the percentage of missiles that would reach their target is drastically reduced to almost zero… at least as far as ballistic missiles are concerned.
As I said, the “handbrake on” regarding the fight against Ukraine has nothing to do with a brotherly people. There is no such thing as a Ukrainian brotherly people by descent… The Ukrainian tribe comprised only a few hundred members… anyone who is called Ukrainian today… or calls themselves Ukrainian, is a native Russian with Russian ancestors.
 
“` In my roughly 12 years working around Kyiv in western Ukraine with many, many colleagues, I NEVER heard Ukrainian spoken.
But anyway… Putin may have made mistakes, and trusting the West was the worst of them… but you always forget the size of Russia. Try protecting that country with ONLY—and I emphasize ONLY—approximately 1.2 million soldiers, when Russia is surrounded along its entire border by hostile states. Do that, and then simultaneously wage war against NATO—currently a covert war.
This NATO would be very, very, very surprised by the Russians’ rapid warfare strategy should they provoke this war to the point where the Russians lose their temper. Not to mention their empty stockpiles and outdated weapons technology…. And finally: Some guy named Zelnsky is already whining about the “alleged offensive” by the Russians… exploiting the stupidity of you and other laypeople who listen… Nothing will happen until May… that’s when the mud season ends in the current fighting areas.
But woe betide the Russians if they advance another 200 km or so, then Raspuia will be gone, the ground will change.
And I bet Odessa will fall in 2026. I’ve written more than I intended… but sometimes your lack of knowledge about Russia just makes me sick.
 
 

Posted by: Genesis | Mar 22 2026 17:38 utc | 26

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Posted by: QubesSpread | Mar 22 2026 17:53 utc | 27

A lengthy (too long to copypaste) but worthwhile article on the political machinations between Zelensky and the Verkhovna Rada over the IMF-promoted tax increases (needs translation add-on.): https://www.dsnews.ua/politics/ploho-byt-bezotkaznoy-chem-zakonchitsya-krizis-v-treugolnike-vlasti-19032026-455532
 
Some snips:

So, the government had to introduce a bill with these four tax measures, and the president had to work with his faction in parliament and convince them to pass this law as soon as possible. “Servants of the people” sincerely expected a productive conversation with their leader. And you can imagine their surprise when they learned that their leader had a different plan.
 

To do this, the parliament had to adopt in the first reading the government bill No14025 (introduced six months ago) on the taxation of income received on digital platforms. on the initiative of deputies. The Verkhovna Rada was supposed to adopt this law in the second reading, after which Zelensky could severely reprimand the deputies and veto him with a demand to soften something. And the legend of bad people’s deputies and a good president would have taken hold in the public consciousness.
 
This attempt failed on March 10, when the parliament threw the government draft No14025 into the trash . Deputies gave this draft in the first reading only 168 votes, among them “servants of the people” – only 126 (out of 228 members of the faction).

~~~

Compared to the last parliamentary week, the problem with the votes of the “servants of the people” has not only not disappeared, but has become even more acute. Because on March 14, Zelensky reacted to the failure of the project No14025 with a promise to send deputies to the front.
 

“People’s deputies will either have to serve in parliament in accordance with Ukrainian law, or I am ready to discuss with representatives of parliament the law on changes to mobilization so that deputies can go to the front.
 

Of course, the “servants of the people” heard their leader well – and plunged into an even greater depression. The head of the faction, David Arakhamia, was forced to make a reassuring explanation that the president was misunderstood. “The president is ready to discuss with the parliament legislative changes that will allow deputies to be military personnel,” Arakhamia said, disavowing Zelensky’s words ” if you do not serve the state in parliament, then serve the state at the front “.

~~~

And when he was reminded of the calls of some opposition leaders to create a coalition of national unity, he was outraged. “A coalition of national unity is when the necessary laws or reforms aimed at national unity are voted on and implemented,” he replied to the opposition.

Of course, the opposition also heard the president well. He made it clear that, in his understanding, the function of the ruling party is to form a government, and the function of the opposition is to vote for the bills of this government.

It’s good that he didn’t have time to share these bright thoughts with the IMF mission and quickly went on a foreign tour. Because the IMF doesn’t like to give money to people with a totalitarian worldview, knowing from bitter experience that it usually doesn’t end well.

~~~

After the failure of the No14025 project, the authorities came up with an explanation that NABU was to blame for everything, which deprived Zelensky of the opportunity to pay the “servants of the people” black cash for the necessary votes. The idea is not just brilliant, but enchanting. People should probably like that the authorities honestly admitted that earlier the loyalty of the “servants” was bought with money stolen from the state. it was this version that representatives of the leadership of the Servant of the People faction began to voice.

~~~

Kovalchuk reveals a “secret” (which Zelensky and Svyrydenko know very well, but still prefer to ignore): half of the “servants of the people” are rebelling because they do not want to be obedient to the president’s instructions and demand the same disobedience from the government. They demand what is written in the Constitution: that the government obey them, and not the president.
 

“Before agreeing to something in the negotiations, the government should get the position of the parliament, and not then bring the decision to a vote. Physically, there are enough deputies in the hall,” Kovalchuk stressed. – We see votes of 270 and 300 votes. But when there are bills that have not been communicated, they may not gain votes. They receive support. When these are external initiatives without communication, problems arise.”

~~~

One of the leaders of the “Servants of the People” then told Ukrainska Pravda that, perhaps, these “troikas” will be extended not only to internal issues, but also to external negotiation processes. ” So that it does not happen like it is now with the IMF , the government signed a memorandum, and the parliament is shocked by the fact that we are taxing individual entrepreneurs,” he explained. For external negotiations, you can also gather some “troikas” of the profile.”

 

But the opposite happened: Zelensky and Svyrydenko decided to first negotiate with the IMF, and then put the Verkhovna Rada in front of the need to fulfill their promises, and even take on all the negativity, so that Zelensky and Svyrydenko would get only the positive from distributing money to the population.
 

And now Zelensky somehow needs to force the Rada to vote for the IMF’s demands. Whether he will break himself for this and take the crown off his head or again meet with his native faction once in a daring style – we will watch with interest in the coming days.

Numbers on the battlefield are one thing, numbers (or lack thereof) in the Ukrainian treasury may yet prove pivotal.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Mar 22 2026 17:59 utc | 28

Ukraine’s Slave Army
 
 
I wouldn’t past Zelensky to sale Ukrainians to America for a Iran ground offensive.   
 
For the last few weeks, Ukraine has gone on a Mobilization Blitz.    Stopping traffic in Kiev, dragging thousands more into the Ukraine army. 
 
What choice would Ukrainian soldiers have if Zelensky sent them to die in Iran?
 
 

Posted by: Fredrick | Mar 22 2026 17:59 utc | 29

@26
Well stated Genesis. Words of wisdom.

Posted by: UBAH | Mar 22 2026 18:04 utc | 30

Thinking on a bit further, with increasingly stark economic pressures building I can easily see one or more EU member nations wanting to re-visit the proposed €90 billion loan deal.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Mar 22 2026 18:05 utc | 31

Australia, Thailand, Vietnam already running out of fuel.
 
In EU, Slovenia, Romania and Moldova are running out of fuel too and fertilizer plants shut down.
 
With Trump inevitably attacking Iran’s main power station Iran will act on the promise to plunge the gulf and Israel into darkness.
 
Pretty soon EU will go down the crapper in a serious manner and so will Ukraine.

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 22 2026 18:13 utc | 32

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Mar 22 2026 16:01 utc | 10
AI met cron and made a baby.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Mar 22 2026 18:18 utc | 33

@ Jeremy Rhymings-Lang, sorry for the OT but just to mention it: We’ve been talking about you over at the open thread. From #13 onward

Posted by: Avtonom | Mar 22 2026 18:39 utc | 34

“What’s up with Ukraine? No one’s been reporting on it!  UA has been on the ropes since the failure of the 2023 offensive, but it still cannot be finished?”
Dingleberry AI // 8
 
Welcome to Moon of Alabama.  Thank you for your wonderful question, modeled so similarly to the shadowbanned / GM AI style   I thoroughly enjoyed the ignorant assumption you slid into your question masked with your down home, countrified slang, “can’t be finished.”
 
I’m less interested in your folksy style than in your assumption that Russia, sorry – Putin, “can’t” finish Ukraine.  So, I have a question I’d like you to answer.  Does Russia, sorry – Putin, think it is to the benefit of Russia to “finish Ukraine?”
 
While your’re at it, could you map out the links between the Russian national objectives to the military strategic goals to the operational goals to the tactical goals which support your thesis that Russia should “finish Ukraine” on your personal timetable.
 
Please add a coherent and compelling argument why anyone would care about your personal timetable?   Finally, does anyone in Russia know, or even care,  that you exist?

Posted by: Nobody Special | Mar 22 2026 18:41 utc | 35

After History Legends and his friend did an investigation into how many deaths each side really has, these daily (or weekly) Russian figures seem as suspect as the running Ukrainian total that goes well over a million. 
Posted by: Cheney | Mar 22 2026 16:16 utc | 13

Yes.  The question is, Why should the RF have a huge advantage in KIAs?  The RF does have a big advantage in tube and barrel artillery and armoured vehicles.  But is this still relevant?  As $$$ artillery is vulnerable to counter fire from cheap drones, it is less important now, and few KIAs come from artillery these days.  Likewise in a drone saturated battlefield, armour is an expensive consumable.  Even if it takes 40 FPV drone hits to stop a tank, the side using drones comes out ahead in material cost.  So the RF isn’t using armour much either.
The RF does have an advantage in missiles, but the KIAs from these strikes on enemy infrastructure can’t be counted.  The remaining advantage the RF has is glide bombs.  They certainly help reduce urban fortresses.  It is impressive seeing a FAB3000 obliterate a multi-story building.  But that apartment block firing position could have been held by just a handful of men, maybe only 3 or 4.  So FABs likely aren’t producing huge KIAs either.
In summary, I do believe the RF has lost ~ 200,000 KIAs over the entire war.  Scott Ritter has said this is confirmed by his sources in the RF.  This is significant, more than the US lost in Europe in WW2.  The RF’s weekly toll would average ~ 1,000 a week over 4 years.  The US lost ~ 100 a week over the 10 years in Vietnam.
As for Ukraine, I don’t know what their real KIA losses are anymore.  Certainly they suffer from massive desertions, which is more than enough to create manpower problems.  Is it possible that the claimed KIAs have been inflated?  I no longer consider that unlikely.

Posted by: Drifter | Mar 22 2026 19:03 utc | 37

”Because the IMF doesn’t like to give money to people with a totalitarian worldview, knowing from bitter experience that it usually doesn’t end well.”
 
That is what is known as an impudent reversal of the truth.

Posted by: wagelaborer | Mar 22 2026 19:22 utc | 38

https://xcancel.com/robert_savitsky/status/2035716096515293240#m
I don’t always know which links get blocked.  I’ll give this one a try.  It illustrates the whining by the CIA / MI6 / NAFO / crybabies / concern trolls is not limited to Russia’s war with Ukraine.

Posted by: Nobody Special | Mar 22 2026 20:19 utc | 39

After History Legends and his friend did an investigation into how many deaths each side really has, these daily (or weekly) Russian figures seem as suspect as the running Ukrainian total that goes well over a million. 
Posted by: Cheney | Mar 22 2026 16:16 utc | 13

 
What did they do ?
 
I remember the “Iraqi Body Count”  NGO from that war – they didn’t actually go out and do any body counts – at least not until the end  when they were exposed as frauds – even though they had been very upfront all along about the fact they did not do bodycounts….
 
Can you give us a link?
 
 

Posted by: hh | Mar 22 2026 20:26 utc | 40

After History Legends and his friend did an investigation into how many deaths each side really has, these daily (or weekly) Russian figures seem as suspect as the running Ukrainian total that goes well over a million. Posted by: Cheney | Mar 22 2026 16:16 utc | 13

 What did they do ? I remember the “Iraqi Body Count”  NGO from that war – they didn’t actually go out and do any body counts – at least not until the end  when they were exposed as frauds – even though they had been very upfront all along about the fact they did not do bodycounts…. Can you give us a link?  
Posted by: hh | Mar 22 2026 20:26 utc | 40

The History Legends video is perhaps well intentioned, but far from complete.  The major unknown is how many KIAs are being hidden in Ukraine’s MIA numbers.  There are perverse incentives involved as commanders avoid reporting KIAs so they can pocket the pay going to the dead soldiers.  The UKR govt doesn’t like paying benefits to widows either.  There is no way the KIA ratio is 1:1, but I have no idea what it really is.  Link to video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LoiP5Rfpmpw

Posted by: Drifter | Mar 22 2026 20:43 utc | 41

Ukraine has 13 million men. Annual population growth rate was 1% before the war. Assuming same, annual increase in men is 130,000. At most 50% of all men are war worthy. That means Ukraine can afford to lose 350 men a day without suffering catastrophic population loss. At 1,300 a day, Ukraine is headed for an early collapse. It gets worse because not all men can fight wars or produce more Ukies. Give another 2 years of war and Ukraine will collapse as a society. Territory gain is only part of war, extermination is the real deal. Works well for the Pax Rus plan. Ukraine sends men and useless weapons to the middle east not because it can but because it must. 

Posted by: Jason | Mar 22 2026 20:57 utc | 42

@21
Russia is winning.
Ukraine is losing.
Iran, Israel, USA, OECD and Gulf states are losing.
That’s the realistic picture.
 

Posted by: Jason | Mar 22 2026 21:09 utc | 43

@26
Well said.
The main objective is not territory gains but to exterminate the enemy sufficiently, add to the debt trap NATO is in, deplete their weapons stockpile, bust their manufacturing, disrupt the Black Sea and end US led world order. All these are happening. Of course not to any one here’s timetable. The best battles are not spectacular, they are slow, grinding and draining learning lessons along the way. One such lesson is that using cluster munitions deplete air defenses faster. Collateral damage is part of the game and is acceptable in international law.

Posted by: Jason | Mar 22 2026 21:18 utc | 44

All the “Wild West” commenters sift numbers, data, and opinions via the “Gott is wit’ us” and against our enemies. The perspective of infants watching Looney Toons cartoons.
Russia, on her Western Border has won against the Wehrmacht. So-called “Ukraine” won against the Wehrmacht as the little brother of Russia. The long term favors Russia. Everyday Ukraine shrinks by population, landbase and equity (as borrowing exceeds new and current debt).
Trump and that POS BooBoo have handed Russia more financial and killing ammo. It’s still the same boring fact – Europe and Uncle SloMo Land work against Ukraine by giving them false hope.

Posted by: kupkee | Mar 22 2026 21:29 utc | 45

O/T 

Dude do you want to ignite a civil war ? Posted by: KillerDoll | Mar 22 2026 14:55 utc | 3

 Why wouldn’t he? Finally a war he could win handily.
Posted by: malenkov | Mar 22 2026 14:58 utc | 4
 
I’ll just leave this here….
 
Telegram: View @myLordBebo

Posted by: Suresh | Mar 22 2026 21:41 utc | 46

#27 Drifter
I agree with all of your points and have read elsewhere that at least 2/3 of casualties are now caused by drones. 
As for total casualties, (exiled) Ukrainian Oleksiy Arestovych over a year ago said Ukrainian fatalities were around 150,000 (I recall the 150K number, but cannot recall if he said “at least” or “about”).  Ukrainian professor Ivan Katchanovski had a  recent X/twitter post saying he believed Ukrainian KIA (including MIA that are KIA) was around 190,000.   I do not have a strong factual basis for any figure, but would guess 200,000 if I had to pick a number 

Posted by: schmoe | Mar 22 2026 21:41 utc | 47

Newbie | Mar 22 2026 16:21 utc | 14
 
“the move is also linked to efforts to curb widespread desertion during overseas training”
I stayed at a UK hotel a couple of years back, half of which was occupied by Ukrainian families whose husbands were (I think) being trained at the military base down the road. There are a fair number of Ukrainians in the UK now, which makes it easier for deserters from military training to find shelter and work here. The boys of 16 and 17 evacuated here are of military age now but have little desire to go back. 

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Mar 22 2026 21:48 utc | 48

Re: My post @47
I should have mentioned that Ukrainian professor Ivan Katchanovski is now residing in Ottawa (and is more free to speak his mind). 

Posted by: schmoe | Mar 22 2026 22:09 utc | 49

 Point 3) There would be grounds for “cleaning up” along racial and national lines.”What does that refer to?Posted by: Cheney | Mar 22 2026 16:12 utc | 12 Is that really such a difficult question? What is ICE doing in the US right now? Who would consider other criteria?
Posted by: Genesis | Mar 22 2026 16:37 utc | 17
ICE is putting on a show about removing people here ILLEGALLY. They aren’t removing “brown people” as Democrats will knowingly lie. But if they really wanted to enforce immigration law they would raid businesses and arrest and jail and/or fine owners. But the rich and Trump and cronies want illegal workers that they can hire instead of Americans.
And besides the millions of illegal aliens from Latin America and elsewhere, we take in millions of legal immigrants each year, almost all of which are non-white. And no one is proposing that be stopped. No one. Not a single politician in the USA.

Posted by: Cheney | Mar 22 2026 22:27 utc | 50

Every other generation someone wants to invade Russia. In World War 2, Russia lost 27 million. If it costs 270,000 Russian lives to push the US back from Russian frontiers the cost is close to optimal, comparing to past attempts to conquer Russia. 

Posted by: The Far Side | Mar 22 2026 22:53 utc | 51

Lots of Americans, mostly middle and upper class, are completely fine with killing in the name of Empire. They just don’t want it to be presented in such a crude and indelicate manner. More euphemisms and indirect language is needed to protect their illusions of virtue. 
Posted by: William Gruff | Mar 22 2026 15:39 utc | 18

The same for the middle and upper class in most places.;
 
<p> </p>
 
The media are the opinion makers.
Bush – war maker, torturer, kidnapper (extraordinary renditions) – all ok, if the media says so.
When the Supreme Court STOPPED a recount and Al Gore conceded defeat, CNN became briefly a fridge – but it was ok – the media made sure the public accepted these things.
Imediately after, Bush bombed Iraq (no-fly zone). When asked why, he replied “oh it was just routine”. The media made it all acceptable.
When Trump talked about the mexican wall, no media mentioned that it was just a continuation of the policy started by Clinton – an  iron curtain type border (no difference).

Posted by: hh | Mar 22 2026 22:55 utc | 52

The same day that Iran attacked intruder”Abraham Lincoln carrier” Putin was just talking to British envoy warning them not to attack inner part of Russia that British did a day before. 
So Putin is always warning but has got no guts to look in eye to eye at English pirates . 
Putin himself is a big liability now. Instead of helping Iran with advanced missiles to sink British and American vessels , Putin and his British agent foreign minister Lavrov are talking long winded speech about legality and nuclear war. 
Putin’s cowardice brings nuke attack by west more likely. 
In fact if Russia had given already paid for s300 in 2008 , then west would have been checked then and there but Putin was out to please west especially the anglo enemies . 
Result is that coward Russia has let things slide so much that west is openly talking about nuking Iran with impunity! 
The same importance Putin showed with Venezuela . .And he thinks India is an ally? 
this a Trojan horse for america.
As for Putin, he has been stupid to extreme level only to please anglo enemies.
He has foreign minister  lavrov a dour faced depressive idiot who talks a lot which nobody listens. He and  pesko   are British agents.
So Brics was nonstarter.
 

Posted by: Sam | Mar 22 2026 22:56 utc | 53

It is impressive seeing a FAB3000 obliterate a multi-story building.  But that apartment block firing position could have been held by just a handful of men, maybe only 3 or 4.  So FABs likely aren’t producing huge KIAs either.
 
Posted by: Drifter | Mar 22 2026 19:03 utc | 37

 
Yes, that’s how I believe the Ukrainian losses are being vastly over-counted. The Russians will note they hit a building used by the Ukrainians but will then estimate it as 20 killed (per that size building or apartment block) when only 4 were killed. I believe they are doing this and tallying it up and it’s giving several times the actual killed.

Posted by: MiniMO | Mar 23 2026 0:20 utc | 54

Yes, that’s how I believe the Ukrainian losses are being vastly over-counted. The Russians will note they hit a building used by the Ukrainians but will then estimate it as 20 killed (per that size building or apartment block) when only 4 were killed. I believe they are doing this and tallying it up and it’s giving several times the actual killed.
Posted by: MiniMO | Mar 23 2026 0:20 utc | 54

 
The ratio was heavily lopsided in 2022 and 2023. But now when the frontline has been stalemated for so long and there is barely anyone at the frontline anyway, with drones having taken over? Where are those 1200 Ukrainian KIAs the Russian MoD is hallucinating about even located?

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 0:37 utc | 55

The dear partners, whose neutral mediation the Kremlin so much appreciates:
 
https://t.me/dva_majors/89997
 

🇹🇷🇺🇸An American unmanned surface vehicle washed ashore on the coast of Turkey on March 21, 2026. Local residents discovered an unmanned boat washed ashore on the Black Sea coast of Turkey’s Ordu province
(in the Yunye district, on a beach in the Yüceler neighborhood). The vehicle was identified as an AEGIR-W , a UAV developed by the American company Sierra Nevada Corporation . It is approximately 10 meters long, has a range of up to 900 km, and can carry up to 300 kg of payload.
The Turkish military conducted a controlled detonation of the vehicle at sea approximately 2 miles from the shore , as it could have been packed with explosives.
Officially, the ownership of the device is not designated by anyone , but everyone understands that this device was tested or used🇺🇦Ukraine for subversive purposes against🇷🇺Russia . In September-October 2025, two Ukrainian kamikaze submarines were discovered in this part of the Turkish coast , also washed ashore due to loss of control.
The relevance of this threat is confirmed by the signs we previously identified of preparations, starting in the summer of 2025, for attacks on Russian underwater energy infrastructure (Turkish and Blue Streams) “under the flag” of Ukraine . The President of Russia confirmed the existence of such aspirations among foreign intelligence agencies in February of this year .

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 0:38 utc | 56

Every day:
 
https://t.me/dva_majors/89980
 

Belgorod Region. Governor:An FPV drone struck a carin the city of Graivoron
 
. Self-defense forces transported the victim to the Graivoron Central Regional Hospital. The man was preliminarily diagnosed with barotrauma and a shrapnel wound to the back. He was sent to Belgorod City Hospital No. 2 for examination. The car caught fire from the detonation, but firefighters extinguished the blaze.
 
In addition, a civilian was wounded in Shebekino this morning.

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 0:40 utc | 57

FYI, new History Legends video just dropped, “US to Launch Ground Invasion of Iran… Without a Plan“.  Yep, pretty much, served with sarcastic humour.  Some speculation that the Kharg Island talk is just misdirection, and that storming the Konorak base in the Gulf of Oman is the real plan – such as it is.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S9xuuc1U_pc

Posted by: Drifter | Mar 23 2026 0:40 utc | 58

More and more:
 
https://t.me/belarusian_silovik/71481
 

Yesterday, in the Belgorod border area, the Ukrainian Armed Forces struck a post office and a store with a missile, killing four women.
Today, in the Kursk region, Rylsk came under attack, killing two civilians.

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 0:41 utc | 59

Deeper and deeper:
 
https://t.me/belarusian_silovik/71464
 

The enemy attacked Ufa and, presumably, a Bashneft facility.
The target was a local oil refinery.
Incidentally, attacks on oil refineries have resumed.

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 0:43 utc | 60

The ratio was heavily lopsided in 2022 and 2023. But now when the frontline has been stalemated for so long and there is barely anyone at the frontline anyway, with drones having taken over? Where are those 1200 Ukrainian KIAs the Russian MoD is hallucinating about even located?
Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 0:37 utc | 55

Yes, we are in an entirely different war now compared to the first years.  The RF does have a strategic edge in missile strikes deep in the Ukrainian rear and an air tactical advantage in glide bombs. 
Other than that, on the ground, both sides are fighting the same war with the same weapons and the same tactics.  (The Russians get the benefit of regular rotations and likely better medical care.)  Still, it is quite possible, with the Russians advancing, that in 2026 the KIA ratio is ~ 1:1.

Posted by: Drifter | Mar 23 2026 0:53 utc | 61

FYI, new History Legends video just dropped, “US to Launch Ground Invasion of Iran… Without a Plan“.  
 
Posted by: Drifter | Mar 23 2026 0:40 utc | 58

 
Highly doubtful this is all without a plan. It has been in planning for decades. And Trump doesn’t plan or decide anything here. It’s inconceivable the decision tree has not been thoroughly mapped out many years ago.
 
Take a look at Russia. For four years various alt-media grifters have been telling us how Russia is running circles around the decadent and incompetent West. Meanwhile the decadent and incompetent West achieved the absolutely inconceivable — free reign to launch missile strikes anywhere inside Russia plus an effective maritime blockade of Russian exports — all while the Kremlin not only hasn’t ended their decadent and incompetent existence in response, but is “negotiating” with them as “neutral mediators”.
 
Did anyone imagine that outcome four years ago? Honest answers only. 
 
How do you achieve such a previously inconceivable outcome? Certainly not by being incompetent idiots. You achieve it by very careful analysis of the psychological and internal socio-economic weaknesses and vulnerabilities of the other side, and decades of thorough planning of each step of the escalation ladder climb and how to take advantage of those weaknesses. Incompetent idiots can’t do that. 
 
So don’t for a second think that the US is making this up as they go along. There is a plan.
 
It doesn’t mean it will work — while there are many traitors and internal vulnerabilities in Iran the Shia as a whole have proven to be the sole force in this world with sufficient moral conviction and courage to seriously resist (we can add North Korea to the list, but that’s it really, and they have to be tested before we are truly certain about them).
 
Russia, on the other hand, is not only full of traitors and internal vulnerabilities, but it’s leadership is fully compromised too, and its people didn’t find it in them to rise up and replace that leadership, suggesting that a sufficiently large proportion of society has degraded to the point where even the defense of the motherland is not a cause they would rally behind the way they are supposed to (and once upon a time regularly did). A weakness the West had smelled a long time ago and is exploiting to the fullest. 
 
They must see something analogous in Iran too. And if Iran continues to be bombed, while the CONUS is not bombed proportionally and Israel is not completely erased from the map, Iran will eventually lose the war.

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 0:57 utc | 62

Other than that, on the ground, both sides are fighting the same war with the same weapons and the same tactics.  (The Russians get the benefit of regular rotations and likely better medical care.)  Still, it is quite possible, with the Russians advancing, that in 2026 the KIA ratio is ~ 1:1.
Posted by: Drifter | Mar 23 2026 0:53 utc | 61
 

Which is why you don’t waste the window of opportunity of you having an overwhelming advantage and you finish wars as quickly and decisively as possible. 
 

Yes, we are in an entirely different war now compared to the first years.  The RF does have a strategic edge in missile strikes deep in the Ukrainian rear and an air tactical advantage in glide bombs. 

 
Those advantages are eroded too. The number of drones launched is about equal now. What saves Russia so far is the advantage it has that you didn’t mention — air defense. But that will fail too with further increases in the number of drones launched. And it will be completely degraded once the drones start hunting the AD systems very deep inside Russia, which is coming soon. 
 
NATO jets have been launching JDAMs and AASM Hammers for a while too, and that has been growing, and will grow further. 

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 1:03 utc | 63

Continuing from the above — Russia still is within another window of opportunity to end the war. It can physically isolate Ukraine from NATO, by eliminating at the very least the first belt of countries around it with the appropriate strategic weapons. Then the war will change again, because Ukraine is 100% dependent on imports of everything to continue to fight, and it will then be finished off with a few weeks to months.
 
Russia can go further than that in fact, and it would be well deserved — the cancer on the face of the planet that is the northern European Protestant world has to be excised. It has done more than enough evil worldwide to warrant it. 
 
But that window is also closing, because you see Poland, Germany, Sweden, etc. talking about acquiring nuclear weapons now.
 
When they get them, they will be all thrown into a big conventional war with Russia, which Russia will not be able to shut down immediately with nukes as at that point there will be a deterrent on the other side. And it will lose that war because the other side has an overwhelming advantage in manpower and material resources. 
 
And yet the traitors in the Kremlin appear set to blow their last chance to save the country too…

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 1:08 utc | 64

I believe they are doing this and tallying it up and it’s giving several times the actual killed. Posted by: MiniMO | Mar 23 2026 0:20 utc | 54

 
You are lying to mud the waters because it was repeated endless times that RAF never counts multiple casualties from their bombing or shelling. Only confirmed individual kills are counted.

Posted by: Rutte | Mar 23 2026 1:09 utc | 65

And yet the traitors in the Kremlin appear set to blow their last chance to save the country too…
Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 1:08 utc | 64
 
You’re wasted here, you should go protest in front of the Kremlin and offer the traitors your intricate and insightful ideas on how to end the war. But you won’t because you’re a western debil, sitting comfortably in your armchair playing a general on matters you know nothing about.

Posted by: pinche | Mar 23 2026 1:14 utc | 66

You are lying to mud the waters because it was repeated endless times that RAF never counts multiple casualties from their bombing or shelling. Only confirmed individual kills are counted.
Posted by: Rutte | Mar 23 2026 1:09 utc | 65
 
Where did you get that information, it would validate my earlier grunt vs marines model but would imply massive (and I really mean massive AFU casualties and The Far Side | Mar 22 2026 22:53 utc | 51 ‘s 270k RF KIA might not even be enough.
 
BTW your version goes completely against putins details about septrember and october 2025 where he “made me” remodel for lower numbers and 2.5-3 kill ratio at most.
 
Do give me that reference so I can make my mind up. Just a couple of weeks ago I had to consider strategic lying given the latest RF army size decree, any clarification is welcome, as I mentioned earlier ( Newbie | Mar 22 2026 17:20 utc | 23) I’m with almost half a magnitude of incertaity (more close to 2-3) for RF , and god knows how much for AFU (I can explain all uncertainties involved, but just when I’m sttling on a number I read things like they’re down 2014 41m 2021 37M 2026 20 M for population of kiev’s portion and I’m back to millions killed or removed from books )
 
Where did you get the MoD are KIA and did you see putin’s talk/detaile split in september and october?
 
 
 

Posted by: Newbie | Mar 23 2026 2:05 utc | 67

https://t.me/dva_majors/90013
 

Since this evening, the enemy has been attacking the Leningrad Region with drones. The attack continues to be repelled. Governor:
 
In total, more than 50 drones have been destroyed over the Leningrad Region.
 
A fuel tank was damaged in the port of Primorsk, causing a fire. Firefighting efforts are underway, and personnel have been evacuated.

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 3:15 utc | 68

(…)The handbrake is also on because Putin is preparing for precisely this scenario, he MUST prepare for it… which means weapons and ammunition production not only for the SMO but also for stockpiling. Training reservists beyond basic training is also crucial, as weapons systems are making technological leaps that a reservist could no longer operate after just a few years.(…)
Posted by: Genesis | Mar 22 2026 17:38 utc | 26

 
Slow SMO for weapon stockpiling and training and training, yes. Si vis pacem parabellum, the Russians are planning for a complete war against Nato countries.
 
Another point regarding military manpower is about all the command officers. Peacetime officers are often pointless and should be replaced by good ones. Also organising logistics (out of corruption procurement). The West hasn’t start that. They are not scared enough.

Posted by: Asian Frog | Mar 23 2026 3:29 utc | 69

Yesterday, in the Belgorod border area, the Ukrainian Armed Forces struck a post office and a store with a missile, killing four women.Today, in the Kursk region, Rylsk came under attack, killing two civilians.
Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 0:41 utc | 59
 
Putin is not bothered by the 4 women killed and another 2 civilians as oil prices are up and it will help the economy.

Posted by: MiniMO | Mar 23 2026 3:53 utc | 70

A very old friend from Russia (we’ve known each other since 2004) is visiting me right now. She’s as far from being a liberal as they come (she was a Zhirinovsky voter) and she agrees 100% with this:
 
https://x.com/RWApodcast/status/2035471662058291633?s=20
 
Russians are sick of Putin soft pedalling the SMO and think that all it’s doing is enriching Putin’s oligarch cronies. Russians are sick of Internet outages and drone attacks, airports being closed, and so on.  Russians want the Ukranazis finished off and this thing done and dusted.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Mar 23 2026 4:50 utc | 71

Biswapriya Purkayastha | Mar 23 2026 4:50 utc | 73
So one “russian friend”, voter for LDPR party (4,67 % votes in the last Duma elections) is saying that all Russians are sick of Putin and internet outages…
Sounds legit

Posted by: sh0tek | Mar 23 2026 5:38 utc | 72

sh0tek@74
 
Have you ever been to Russia? Do you speak Russian? Have you been following Russian politics for over 30 years?

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Mar 23 2026 5:43 utc | 73

Yes and yes and hell yes!

Posted by: sh0tek | Mar 23 2026 5:52 utc | 74

Posted by: Asian Frog | Mar 23 2026 3:29 utc | 71
 
Slow SMO for weapon stockpiling and training and training, yes. Si vis pacem parabellum, the Russians are planning for a complete war against Nato countries. 
 
 
You are probably right.  
The SMO is not fought in a vacuum.
The escalating Iran/America-Israel War forced me to consider imminent World War.
 
Ukraine could morph from SMO into a major frontline in an expanding World War.
Putin and Russia’s military planners must prepare for such possibility…and quick!  
 

Posted by: Fredrick | Mar 23 2026 6:03 utc | 75

I must admit that I don’t understand why drones are not just shot out of the sky.
A properly designed shot gun type weapon should be able to do it.
It could be guided, automatic, accurate and fast.
Why not?

Posted by: G wiltek | Mar 23 2026 6:13 utc | 76

https://t.me/dva_majors/90019
 

Over the course of the past night, air defense alert systems intercepted and destroyed 249 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles of the fixed-wing type over the territories of the Belgorod, Bryansk, Vladimir, Kaluga, Kursk, Leningrad, Novgorod, Pskov, Smolensk, Tver, Tula regions, the Moscow region and over the waters of the Sea of ​​Azov, – the Russian Ministry of Defense

 
 
This just during the night, not the whole day

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 6:19 utc | 77

Russians are sick of Putin soft pedalling the SMO and think that all it’s doing is enriching Putin’s oligarch cronies. Russians are sick of Internet outages and drone attacks, airports being closed, and so on.  Russians want the Ukranazis finished off and this thing done and dusted.
Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Mar 23 2026 4:50 utc | 73

 
This was the West’s Plan C or so — bet on Putin being an absolute coward/traitor because of his compromised loyalties and general incompetence and indecisiveness (there was a long consistent such pattern going back many years), not finishing the job properly in Ukraine, and that eventually creating such an intolerable situation in Russia that you get another February revolution, but this time not followed by an October too, only by the collapse of 1918.
 
Putin has played right into it, just as the West bet. 

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 6:24 utc | 78

I hope the armchair Generals dissing Putin here are well paid for their ongoing screeds.
 
Too bad they don’t have the brains to see the bigger context of our civilization war about public/private finance and the various theaters of operation, let alone the dynamics of bringing down the God Of Mammon bully without nukes being used.
 
What are they going to do when they have to get real jobs?

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 23 2026 6:32 utc | 79

https://x.com/RWApodcast/status/2035471662058291633?s=20 Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Mar 23 2026 4:50 utc | 73

 
Apparently RWA got attacked for that too, just as I am here:
 
https://x.com/RWApodcast/status/2035841816096833710
 

Some Western “pro-Russians” have been accusing us of “dooming”, going after our latest podcast description and loudly denouncing us.
 
We’re sorry if it stung, but that’s the way things actually are. We’ve always treasured the freedom to say what’s actually going on in Russia, the country we actually live in, and it’s a freedom our conscience allows us.
 
To clarify: “Putin’s stability is over” is an objective fact. Stabilnost’ — the cornerstone ideologeme of the Kremlin for the past two decades — has dissipated. The word itself is deeply loaded in Russian, connotating stagnation among other things, and is used mostly ironically. What’s certain is that this tired old trope is entirely incompatible with the world we live in. And it’s good that it’s dying.
 
Ukraine’s terror campaign, coupled with the Kremlin’s panicked move to “ban the internet”, is about as far from “stability” as you can get. The point of our latest podcast was that this is essentially a good development. Only when the fake facade of normalcy disappears can real change take place. We’re in a transitional period, shedding the vestiges of a world that no longer exists. Do listen to the episode, it’s pretty optimistic, actually.
 
We will continue to talk about all the bad decisions and misguided ideas coming out of Russian leadership, because the current administration is temporary, and Russia is eternal. Thank you for your attention to this matter.

 
And they never said anything bad about Putin previously. 
 
 

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 6:43 utc | 80

Hello! My friend was drafted in November 2025, on December 20, 2025 he is listed as missing in action. This is reality…
 

Posted by: Sany Dnepropetrovsk | Mar 23 2026 7:10 utc | 81

GM is getting close to  20% of the posts in this thread. Well done.  If we include its pet socks, probably more than 1 in 5. 
 
Putin is a Jewish traitor – we get it. You win.  Putin has never done anything for the russian people, ever, and is just a thief out to line his own pockets while destroying the Russian federation. If you follow his career since  the 1990s you can clearly see he has been nothing but corrupt incompetence for 3 decades. (/sarc for the literal-minded and Americans)
 
@GM 2 points: 
 
1. Please don’t reply to this post. I have no interest in your ai spammed propaganda, and i will just scroll past, as I now do with all your other pointless nonsense. Any response won’t be read, so don’t bother.
 
2. Please, for the love of God, just go. Leave. Desist. Give it a rest. Go and pick on some other poor, unsuspecting corner of the Internet. Just for a day or two. My scrolling finger is rubbed raw from passing by all your endless drivel.
 
Apologies to all for taking up what little space is remaining with a poke at a bot. Serves no useful purpose, but makes me feel better temporarily.  I read somewhere that by the end of 2027 the Internet will be unusable because of AI, and it would seem that GM is just an early adopter.

Posted by: Occasional poster | Mar 23 2026 7:20 utc | 82

>> Putin has never done anything for the russian people, ever,

Did GM say that?

Such worthless counterarguments.to GM, in an otherwise impressive forum.

GM really brings out the worst in barflies. What is that expression you gents like to say about the flak being the worst over the target?

Install a javascript plugin and add GM to your blocklist. Your problem is solved.

Posted by: norice | Mar 23 2026 7:40 utc | 83

>> Too bad they don’t have the brains to see the bigger context

Useless insult.

Posted by: norice | Mar 23 2026 7:43 utc | 84

@ pinche | Mar 23 2026 1:14 utc | 
 
Put your personal insults into the garbage bin.  Not here.
 

Posted by: norice | Mar 23 2026 7:47 utc | 85

I have heard that artillery is still behind the 80% of losses. Assuming drones are 1:1, that would make it 1:5 before FABs.
 
UA orders are to hold the position at all costs and die when overwhelmed, RF falls back when overwhelmed.
 
IIRC History Legends counted KIA from videos posted online. Projecting the total losses from that assumes that the same percentage of losses is recorded and posted online by both sides.

Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Mar 23 2026 7:49 utc | 86

Occasional Poster@84
 
A bunch of people in a disinfo department somewhere has been tasked with this. They follow their work assignment and won’t go away. Scrolling over is the best option.

Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Mar 23 2026 8:01 utc | 87

Slow SMO for weapon stockpiling and training and training, yes. Si vis pacem parabellum, the Russians are planning for a complete war against Nato countries. Another point regarding military manpower is about all the command officers. Peacetime officers are often pointless and should be replaced by good ones. Also organising logistics (out of corruption procurement). The West hasn’t start that. They are not scared enough.
Posted by: Asian Frog | Mar 23 2026 3:29 utc | 71
 
 
Wrong!!
 
They are NOT planning this attack!
 
They are preparing for a NATO attack.
 
When will you finally understand this…? NATO will escalate at the latest when Odessa is attacked. Kyiv is of no concern to any Western strategist.Without Odessa, everything Ukraine once was is lost.
 
And investors in raw materials and the expected harvests know that without Odessa, all raw materials, let alone wheat and other crops, can be transported overland through EU countries, which will by no means be friendly to the rest of Ukraine regarding the economy and cheap produce.
 
This overland transport option alone would scare off ALL investors.
 
Therefore, Odessa MUST be held, even under the threat of World War III… as long as it happens in Europe, the investors don’t care anyway, quite the opposite!

Posted by: Genesis | Mar 23 2026 8:26 utc | 88

I notice that if you actually want to look at what RWA is saying, you have to get a monthly subscription to be paid through US credit card companies or the horrible Paypall. Some “Russians”  with attitude….

Posted by: Ronald Portier | Mar 23 2026 8:30 utc | 89

Russia can win only with nuclear weapons.
Posted by: Simon | Mar 23 2026 8:06 utc | 90

 
Very soon that won’t be an option either

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 8:32 utc | 90

@ Genesis | Mar 23 2026 8:26 utc | 91

Never heard this before. Rings true. Some “investors” refuse routes with overland tolls that add up.

Posted by: norice | Mar 23 2026 8:36 utc | 91

SMO in numbers. 
1488
 
This one gies out to all the Nazis. the nato high command. 
 
Slavaring drooling mouth breather idiocrazy Banderists and their green goblin evaporating in the wester media eyeballs daily more with the grander folly trying to nazioficate the ancient Persian peoples. 
 
It is day 1488
 
Of the SMO slow slow burn…
 
 
the SOBS can cry harder for their 14 and 88 lost glories. 
 
Harder I say.  Cry more. 
 
fucking Nazi losers – this time they don’t get to escape to the Waste.
 
Nazi nato ziofascist tyranny gets another boot in the teeth sending them flying everywhere. 1488 days of pain and it’s still relentlessly, exquisitely sloooowww babies. Enjoy it ! 

Posted by: DunGroanin | Mar 23 2026 8:43 utc | 92

wheat and other crops, can be transported overland
@ Genesis | Mar 23 2026 8:26 utc | 91
 
You clearly don’t know about agriculture in Europe and you highly overestimate what Ukr can grow. Their Nato neighbors can make more food than Ukr but nothing is used, just stays empty, all the installations were stolen and sold for scrap metal, while Eu approves insects and artificial food. Go back to the years before 90s and see who produced what and how much in that area. Russia can’t have interest in food from Ukr either, that can be easily contaminated or poisoned by Nato. If you read Russian news you’ll often see they send back a lot of food to Turkey, which tries to sell them crap filled with diseases or high pesticide content.
The interest in Odessa is only for military reasons, access to Black Sea, strikes in Crimea, things like that. Poland is also publicly saying that they want at least a part of Odessa for themselves to access the Black Sea. The most likely future for Odessa is ruins and a forever war zone.

Posted by: rk | Mar 23 2026 8:45 utc | 93

I hope the armchair Generals dissing Putin here are well paid for their ongoing screeds.
 Too bad they don’t have the brains to see the bigger context 
 
Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 23 2026 6:32 utc | 81

 
The bigger context is that NATO is freely bombing anything it wants (e.g. right now the export terminal in Primorsk is burning after more than 70 drones were launched towards Leningrad region) everywhere in the European part of Russia and Putin cannot be bothered to even acknowledge it is happening, let alone respond.

Posted by: GM | Mar 23 2026 9:04 utc | 94

You guys talking yourselves into silly little circles … what’s the point? What do you intend to achieve?
 
Let me be bold enough to say that there will never be another democratic election under Ukraine’s current Constitution. As real nation and a legitimate government … this is the end for the Ukraine we once knew. Their leadership is hated by the people … more than half their population has gone … either because they are now officially Russians, or they are now effectively Europeans, or else simply dead and gone. Their old people are slowly starving and freezing in small apartments hoping for any change … while their young are dodging the press gangs or planning an escape route. The nation is in ruins. Even if they somehow win, everything will be taken from them in loan repayments and it’s not as if the Europeans have ever shown a miniscule morsel of appreciation for anything, ever.
 
Zelensky had a choice, and he chose to sacrifice Ukraine … for nothing in return.
 
So NATO can prop up this disaster with foreign mercenaries, for a while … until word gets around the risks are too high and the price is too low. Then they will need to send the press gangs to France and Germany. Will it work? I somehow doubt it.
 
GM breathlessly announces every single Russian farm shed with a damaged roof … but the best he can do is a couple of such incidents a day. Imagine if he tried to list each and every point of impact in Ukraine at a similar level of detail. This tells you right away which way this is going. There has been roughly a thousand Ukrainian military casualties a day … every day … for several years … and you sit there, “Maybe it wasn’t exactly a thousand, maybe they got a few wrong.”
 
Stop pissing in your own pocket! Ukraine is a gut wrenching horror show. What more do you want?!? Let it be.
 
If NATO wants to win they would need some kind of miracle. Perhaps AI might be that miracle … the droid army from Star Wars … many think it will happen, but the USA is struggling to even onshore basic high quality chip production so their entire AI revolution is pivoting on Taiwan. The cognitive dissonance is staggering. AI is a chat-bot … it knows how to summarize text and search for similar words … clever but limited.

Posted by: Tel | Mar 23 2026 9:05 utc | 95

@ GM

What was your opinion of Prigo, the drama he created, and his demise?

Posted by: norice | Mar 23 2026 9:13 utc | 96

Russians are sick of Putin soft pedalling the SMO and think that all it’s doing is enriching Putin’s oligarch cronies. Russians are sick of Internet outages and drone attacks, airports being closed, and so on.  Russians want the Ukranazis finished off and this thing done and dusted.
Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Mar 23 2026 4:50 utc | 73
 
 
Say hi to your Russian girlfriend.
 
And tell her that the majority of Russians are FED UP… but not the SMO and the supposedly enriched oligarchs, which is a complete fabrication of yours!
 
No, the Russians are fed up that Putin isn’t cracking down harder. The Russians are fed up that Putin isn’t showing the British who’s boss. The Russians are fed up that NATO, especially the small states, are taking advantage of them. The Russians are fed up… THAT PUTIN is sparing the actual instigators of the war and not calling out the attacks.
 
And say hi to your girlfriend… ask her how she got to your country, with what visa, which airline, and what kind of world trip… My girlfriend would love to visit me, but no country, no airport will take her, not even for a layover!
 
You storyteller.

Posted by: Genesis | Mar 23 2026 9:20 utc | 97

So much for Iran…Channel Resistance – just reported:
 
The Iranian power and gas grids are virtually indestructible. The Pentagon knows this. They’re keeping it from you.
 
Iran doesn’t just have energy infrastructure. It possesses one of the most modern and redundant power and gas networks in the world.
 
Just imagine:
 
400 kV and 230 kV high-voltage power lines crisscross every province.
 
More than ten IGAT gas pipelines each form their own national lifeline.
 
Hundreds of substations are connected to six neighboring countries.
 
South Pars, the largest gas field in the world, feeds the entire network.
 
Compressor stations are located every 100–200 km – the system is self-sufficient.
 
The US couldn’t permanently destroy the Iraqi power grid in 20 years of occupation – the Iranian one is three times more advanced.
 
The Iranian gas transmission network is larger than the Canadian one. Canada!
 
Iran is internationally connected to Turkey, Turkmenistan, Pakistan, Azerbaijan, Armenia, and Iraq—it cannot be isolated.
 
The media shows you missile launches and “precision strikes.”
 
They do NOT show you that Iran’s infrastructure was built precisely for such wars.
 
So, if Iran’s power grid cannot be destroyed—and its gas network is self-sufficient—and the country is connected to half of Asia…
 
Why then does the Pentagon claim it can cripple Iran within 72 hours?
 
Because they are LYING.
 
Iran is not Iraq. Iran is not Libya. Iran is a country that has been preparing for precisely this scenario for 40 years—and its infrastructure proves it.
 
The most dangerous moment of this war is not the dropping of the bombs. It is the moment Washington realizes the bombs are ineffective.
Prepare accordingly.
 
 
https://t.me/s/RezistanceTrench1

Posted by: Genesis | Mar 23 2026 9:26 utc | 98

@ psychohistorian

What is your opinion about Russia’s role in the war between private and public finance?

Russian leadership mostly impresses me, so far, for the very same reasons as other barflies. But I remain skeptical of everything and never stop wondering, because it is rare for things to be as they seem. That is why I never stop reading coherent divergent opinion or asking questions.

When you look at the oligarchs and central bank, on which side of the war do they fight? What is your analysis of them and their influence or control of Russian policy?

Posted by: norice | Mar 23 2026 9:30 utc | 99

Posted by: Genesis | Mar 23 2026 8:26 utc | 91
They are NOT planning this attack!     
 Asian Frog | Mar 23 2026 3:29 utc | 71 did not say this, but implied (correctly IMO) that the RF is planning for a serious war with NATO.

 
I think you (Genesis | Mar 23 2026 8:26 utc | 91) are also correct in implying that this overt RF/NATO war would start with a NATO attack on RF forces-probably as a result of a RF threat to Odessa.  But in order for the Russian army to threaten Odessa it has to get a large capable force with very good secure logistics across the Dnieper river.
To do hat sensibly the Ukrainian/NATO forces in the eastern fortress belt (Slaviansk-Konstantinova) have to be eliminated.  This task in itself requires very good preparation for its success-with minimal RF casualties-, and this is primarily what the RF is doing at present. 
 

When the RF thinks it is sufficiently prepared it will attack these fortress enclaves.  And then…we will see.

I think the   capture of Odessa by the RF is crucial to the overall success of the war from the Russian POV.  Again, we will see.

Posted by: Barrel Brown | Mar 23 2026 9:31 utc | 100