Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
March 1, 2026
RIP Ali Khamenei

“Sometimes, I imagine myself dying from an accident. Or maybe a fever. And my heart becomes so full of sadness: that the chance for competing for paradise [i.e., martyrdom] will be taken away from me that way.”
Ajatollah Ali Khamenei – (source)

The Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran was martyred on Saturday morning, together with other officials, by an Israeli airstrike on his home in Tehran. May he rest in peace.


bigger – Source: Carlos Latuff
‘Western’ observers make the mistake of seeing highly reverted Shia leaders as mere clerics. They are way more than that.

First and foremost they are jurists and judges with a deep philosophical knowledge of the law. The title Ajatollah signifies a high academic ranking of an Shia-Islam scholar. Ajatollahs are examples for those living around them. They are extraordinary people who should be emulated and who’s advices are to be followed.

The system of the Islamic Republic was build with redundancies (archived) to be able to survive external and internal shocks:

For those who led the 1979 revolution, problems with leadership change were not just ideas—they were real warnings from history. Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini did not eliminate the supreme authority; instead, he made it part of the system. The intense debates of 1979 about how to avoid past patterns of collapse led to new answers in Iran’s constitution: Each major body was created to solve a specific risk exposed by history.

The Guardian Council was formed to guard against political drift and to keep laws in line with Islamic principles. The Assembly of Experts took on the task of selecting and supervising the supreme leader, to prevent a concentration of power without oversight. The Expediency Council was established to resolve institutional deadlock, ensuring the system could continue to function even when high-level disagreements arose. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and the intelligence agencies were meant to secure the revolution internally and externally, checking both foreign threats and domestic unrest.

Iran is frequently portrayed as a political order bound tightly to individuals. Yet the architecture that emerged after 1979 was formed by a different logic, one founded in the revolutionary experience itself. Khomeini captured this hierarchy in a remark often cited within Iran’s political elite: “Preserving the Islamic Republic is more important than preserving any individual, even if that individual were the Imam of the Age”—a reference to Shiism’s 12th Imam, Muhammad al-Mahdi.

It is still unclear whether the system will always follow this principle. But one should expect a change in leadership in Tehran to be treated less as an ending and more as a chance for the country’s institutions to show they can survive.

I am confident that the Islamic Republic will survive this test. ‘Regime change’ in Tehran, which Trump seems to dream of (archived), is unlikely to happen.

Meanwhile the Strait of Hormuz is closed and the war of attrition continues …

Comments

I watched the video the showed the huge number of ambulances at that military site. Will be great if Iran have pulled off a decapitation strike on Israel.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Mar 1 2026 22:41 utc | 601

@ LoveDonbass | Mar 1 2026 22:33 utc | 609
 
I know it’s MSM, but Sky News has just shown footage of probably at least 50 Iron Dome interceptors drifting up like Chinese lanterns, while one, very fast, streak of light speeds downwards, causing a glow of light as the interceptor known as Solid Ground does its work.
 
They cannot keep launching 50-odd interceptors per incoming target indefinitely; that there attrition thingy has the final say.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Mar 1 2026 22:42 utc | 602

A strong explosion occurred in the area of the British Air Force base Akrotiri in Cyprus.
This is reported by Hillel Biton Rosen, a journalist from the Israeli Channel 14.
According to him, sirens sounded at the base and planes were taking off.

Double tap.

Posted by: Apollyon | Mar 1 2026 22:43 utc | 603

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Mar 1 2026 22:41 utc | 623
 
Iran is the home of the hashasheen.  

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 22:43 utc | 604

see the 1:09 video at the first link
 
 
 
https://x.com/ShaykhSulaiman/status/2028220401038573634
Sulaiman Ahmed  @ShaykhSulaiman 
 
BREAKING: KEIR STARMER ON DESTROYING IRAN:
 
The only way to stop the threat is to destroy Iranian missiles at source, in their storage depots or the launchers which are used to fire the missiles.
 
The United States has requested permission to use British bases for that specific and limited defensive purpose
 
We have taken the decision to accept this request, to prevent Iran firing missiles across the region, killing innocent civilians, putting British lives at risk, and hitting countries that have not been involved.
 
—————-
 
https://x.com/tiberiusfiles/status/2028167380149641415
Tiberius  @tiberiusfiles 
 
You chose to have US military bases on your soil, that makes you a target. What the fuck did you think those bases were for, cooking classes?
 
 
https://x.com/MonitorX99800/status/2027781679960453273
Monitor𝕏 @MonitorX99800 
 
🇰🇼🇮🇷⚡️- Kuwaiti television is pleading: “We are not a party to this war.”
 

Posted by: michaelj72 | Mar 1 2026 22:44 utc | 605

Peter AU1  617
 
I would definitely do more than monitor it.
Sink it. It’s travelling in your direction.
 

Posted by: Giyane | Mar 1 2026 22:44 utc | 606

They cannot keep launching 50-odd interceptors per incoming target indefinitely; that there attrition thingy has the final say.
 
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Mar 1 2026 22:42 utc | 624
 
####
 
Yes, we are of a similar mind about material limitations
 
This operation has already been very costly to the West, and Iran is not satisfied yet.
 
I like how they fire so many and none work. Believing that the problem is quantity, not quality.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Mar 1 2026 22:47 utc | 607

Russia and China will not allow the US UK and Israel just to take over West Asia lock, stock and barrel , just by simulating defeating Iran on their domestic MSM.  
Posted by: Giyane | Mar 1 2026 22:11 utc | 585
=============
It might make sense for China and Russia to remain in wait-and-see mode when it comes to taking an open, active role in Iran’s kinetic defense.

Posted by: Jane | Mar 1 2026 22:47 utc | 608

The place of impact of hypersonic missiles, coinciding with the place of ambulances is called Ramat Shlomo, Jerusalem.
 
Could this be the government meeting place (or final resting place).
 
https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/2028230394991042631

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 1 2026 22:48 utc | 609

Norwegian @ 620
Good news,  interesting becouse in the last 2 hours starmer has anouced england has now decided to join the israele and us attack on Iran,
Notebly allowing british fareford air base to be used by the yanks, 
Id love to know did the bombing you mention happen before or after starmers statement ? timeing is very important here.
Cheers

Posted by: Mark2 | Mar 1 2026 22:51 utc | 610

Said to be Akrotiri, not verified (missile not drone if so)

https://x.com/nachomdeo/status/2028236808786493479

Posted by: Ornot | Mar 1 2026 22:52 utc | 611

boo hooo hooo, wahhh, wasaahhhh   wahhhhh  washbhhhh
Posted by: datum | Mar 1 2026 22:47 utc | 629

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 22:54 utc | 612

see the 22-second video at the first link
 
see the 35-second video at the second link. 
 
see the 34-second video at the third link. The biggest Iranian missile attacks that I’ve seen – I counted at least 17 missiles in just the first 9 seconds
 
 
 
https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/2028212301631799501
Lord Bebo  @MyLordBebo 
 
🇮🇱🇮🇷 INSANE: Iranian missile rain hits Israel 
 
How many missiles are this at once? This is crazy. 
 
Air defence can’t intercept them all. Insane.
 
 
https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/2028211720209011047
Lord Bebo  @MyLordBebo 
 
🇮🇷🇮🇱 Huge missile attack and air battle over Israel
 
 
https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/2028214693299466655
 
Lord Bebo  @MyLordBebo 
Insane
 

Posted by: michaelj72 | Mar 1 2026 22:56 utc | 613

Starmer is doing all he is able to to give the middle east to “Israel” at UK expense.

He is just one more traitor.

Posted by: Ornot | Mar 1 2026 22:58 utc | 614

An interesting point from Anti-Spiegel’s Thomas Röper: the US government could intentionally provoke closing the street of Hormuz. It would be an immense short-term gain for US energy industry because 20% of world production suddenly disappears. It’d also lead to a world-wide economic crisis through higher energy prices, ultimately affecting US consumers and producers — but that could be acceptable for US decision makers.
 
https://anti-spiegel.ru/2026/die-gefahr-explodierender-oelpreise-und-eines-flaechenbrandes-im-nahen-osten/

Posted by: Konami | Mar 1 2026 22:58 utc | 615

Best podcast of the day – Nima and Professor Marandi, sombre and respectful in amongst all the breathless live coverage.
Worth a look.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Mar 1 2026 22:59 utc | 616

Shia uprising in Bahrain
https://t.me/RezistanceTrench1/39321

Posted by: Framarz | Mar 1 2026 22:59 utc | 617

Giyane | Mar 1 2026 22:44 utc | 628
 
I’m a long way from Deigo Garcia.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Mar 1 2026 23:00 utc | 618

Palestinians in Gaza Celebrate (& vid)
 
https://x.com/PressTV/status/2028217444376940602
 
“Palestinians celebrate as Iran, targeting occupied territories with missiles in retaliation for the US-Israeli aggression against the Islamic Republic.”
 
Globalize the Intifada! Free Palestine from the River to the Sea! Victory to Iran!

Posted by: John Gilberts | Mar 1 2026 23:03 utc | 619

I’m going to make a comment that I hope won’t offend anyone.
 
1. After Iran has been bombed, in the midst of negotiations, suffering the assassination of leaders and innocent civilians, can anyone in their right mind think there won’t be an unprecedented response?
 
2. With this attack, Iran has been prevented from giving a measured response.
 
3. The process of electing new leaders follows an established procedure that will lead, in parallel with the current military response, to a strengthening of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
 
4. That is to say, the new leaders cannot afford half measures. Not because they intend to save face, but because Iranian society will not allow it. The psychohistorical situation is analogous to that of the USSR in the 1990s. The loss of revolutionary national identity is an existential issue, of which the Iranian elites are rationally aware.
 
5. Iran faces an existential challenge that can only be answered radically: the presence of American bases in the Arab countries surrounding Iran must end at all costs. If this requires setting the Middle East ablaze, so be it.
 
6. There is no other option. Compromises have run their course, and Persia’s existence depends on the United States ceasing its involvement in this sphere of influence.
 
7. This war, which has only just begun, is the mechanism by which the United States withdraws from the Middle East, leaving behind, in the medium to long term (2030s), a metropolis encompassing the complex Arab world under Persian control and a metropolis encompassing Israel and its instrumental boundaries.
 
8. Iran has neither the interest nor the intention of destroying Israel because it knows, rationally, that it will have to coexist with this tiny state for as long as necessary for it to cease influencing Arab countries.
 
9. What can we expect in 2026? War everywhere. Every crisis is an opportunity. War in the Middle East. Destruction of oil and gas fields throughout the region. The US elites aren’t fighting Iran. They’re fighting China.
 
10. China is the rational target of those who burned 180 girls in an elementary school. “Not some malignant and satanic fart. I’m just reminding you that I can do it to your ships.”
 
11. In this world, there are different spheres of power that are constantly sending each other signals of goodwill, even knowing that it was all a lie and that it was going to end badly.
 
12. Meanwhile, the boomers… Those marvelous, incredible humans who are here, like a game, a show, wasting hours of sleep, dreaming about some miserable boom, would be a consequential human thought to reflect before God catches you as a fake martyrdom, and carries all of your bad thoughts and feelings to hell.
 
Allow me to say that meanwhile the human being is unable to recognize our common structure, as humans who know that the differences must be leave behind, those emotional rants are simply the yellows of a failed generation..
 
When you find your god, and be in the supiese heaven, ask The Father Why there are innocents dying.
 
 

Posted by: Dream | Mar 1 2026 23:03 utc | 620

Jeremy Rhymings-Lang @ 624
 

They cannot keep launching 50-odd interceptors per incoming target indefinitely; that there attrition thingy has the final say. 

They can launch them to kingdom come, they are barely effective, in the 12 day war Iran used mostly old stuff to test western air defenses, against that it wasn’t bad about 60% supposedly, then towards the end a few hypersonics were sent to test their penetration.
 
Iran won the 12 day war, it got what it needed, we couldn’t see it at the time, it’s apparent now that the hypersonics are flying with 100% penetration against broad sorties of AD.  Those people thinking Iran shouldn’t have backed down after 12 days, including me, missed what was really happening, Iran was testing, they what was coming.
 
Reminds me of this:
 
Testing The Firepower | Zulu

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 1 2026 23:04 utc | 621

🇺🇸Senator Graham on Trump: “I think Trump is the gold standard in terms of Republican Presidents, other than Lincoln.
I think he has surpassed Ronald Reagan, and I love Reagan.”

https://t.me/myLordBebo/107392
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dv4U6Q0UcGQ
 

Posted by: Norwegian | Mar 1 2026 23:05 utc | 622

Starmer is doing all he is able to to give the middle east to “Israel” at UK expense.
He is just one more traitor.
Posted by: Ornot | Mar 1 2026 22:58 utc | 637
===========
Just protecting Britain’s original investment in the Jewish colony.
Some (not I!) would say that it would be traitorous not to do so.

Posted by: Jane | Mar 1 2026 23:07 utc | 623

Those people thinking Iran shouldn’t have backed down after 12 days, including me, missed what was really happening, Iran was testing, they what was coming.
 
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 1 2026 23:04 utc | 644
 
I made the same onservation last thread.
 
However… …it really is far too early to be handing out laurels yet.  Fact of the matter is nobody knows what is really going on, and nobody knows how bad eother side is hurt.  Its still the first 48 hours… …and this war might take years.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:09 utc | 624

Posted by: datum | Mar 1 2026 23:06 utc | 646
 
cope, seethe, dilate.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:10 utc | 625

Israeli first responders looking for survivors in the rubble need to be constantly reminded that their revered leader who started  this fight has ran away to hide in Berlin whilst his wife lives it up in Miami.
 
Loyalty  can  only be relied on  if  BOTH  parties adhere to it.

Posted by: CitizenSmith | Mar 1 2026 23:11 utc | 626

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 1 2026 23:04 utc | 644
 
An even crazier thought i had ..
 
..what if Iran actually fooled Israel into starting the war on Iran’s timetable by offering khamenei as bait?

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:12 utc | 627

Getting a carrier hit would be a big embarrassment to the US as they are the symbol of US power, so its possible that it is the Americans that are lying.
 
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Mar 1 2026 22:26 utc | 601
 
If PR hype is the best Iran can do against the United States, they’re certainly doomed. I’ve previously said that missile hits are worthless unless they do severe damage to the carrier. Measured in thousands of lives if not a sunk vessel. The copium among Iran fans is strong as they realize that the gigantic regional war isn’t materializing.

Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Mar 1 2026 23:12 utc | 628

🇮🇷 BREAKING! Israelis report that rockets have been fired towards Israel from Lebanon!

https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/174739

Posted by: Norwegian | Mar 1 2026 23:13 utc | 629

Trump is a murderer. What is the punishment for murderers in the US?

Posted by: James | Mar 1 2026 23:13 utc | 630

There’s a massive shia uprising in Bahrain. The local regime might get overthrown.

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 1 2026 23:15 utc | 631

..what if Iran actually fooled Israel into starting the war on Iran’s timetable by offering khamenei as bait?
 
Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:12 utc | 65
I’m glad the “resistance” isn’t still insisting that Khamenei is alive, the same way they did by saying America couldn’t possibly destroy Venezuelan bases. But if Iran’s senior leadership is still intact, they haven’t responded to the American assault.
I’m open to the suggestion this is performative between America and Iran. Maybe Khamenei died days ago and this is America facilitating a glorious martyrdom. But that isn’t the way to bet.

Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Mar 1 2026 23:16 utc | 632

James @ 654
 

Trump is a murderer. What is the punishment for murderers in the US?

 
Blue collar or white collar? 

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 1 2026 23:16 utc | 633

We seem now to be seriously on the brink of WWIII.   
Iran has declared itself against all the Gulf states plus Israel and the USA .  Now France, UK and Germany seem to be added to the mix. If this spreads to NATO formally, which it well might then it may be expected to spread rapidly.
 
China and Russia are currently holding fire.
 
Russia presumably because it has a lot to handle in Ukraine and CANNOT risk weakening its own defences.  However if  four of the largest NATO powers are embroiled in Iran, it makes sense for Russia to up the Ukrainian tempo and deal with the Polish/Lithuanian alliance and with the threat from Scandinavia.   It will keep a close eye on the south (Iran) but will delay active intervention unless the crisis is existential, simply because it cannot risk weakening its core defences. To put them into groups Russia is challenged by 

  1. USA globally
  2. Western Europe as key parts of NATO (UK, France, Germany)
  3. Scandinavia
  4. Polish aligned nations on its near west
  5. NATO satraps in the Balkans
  6. Turkey 
  7. Georgia and surrounds (not so much just now)
  8. Azerbajan and Armenia
  9. Kazakhstan
  10. Japan and maybe South Korea

 
In this crisis in USA and western Europe are part of the Iran conflict (threats 1 and 2) and  threats 7, 8 and 9 essentially also connected to the Iran conflict, Russia is in a better position to deal with threats 4 and 5. Scandinavia and Turkey may be challenges still too great.
 
 
 
 

Posted by: watcher | Mar 1 2026 23:16 utc | 634

Israeli first responders looking for survivors in the rubble need to be constantly reminded that their revered leader who started  this fight has ran away to hide in Berlin whilst his wife lives it up in Miami. . . . Posted by: CitizenSmith | Mar 1 2026 23:11 utc | 650
==============
My thought was that it is extremely high risk for a “leader” to run away from the country he supposedly leads when that country (we read) is seething with internal dissatisfaction and conflict.
Is a coup of some kind in Israel a possibility if things continue to degrade under Iranian strikes while Net enjoys his Berliner Weisse?
(The spectacle of Merz and Net patting each other’s backs in Germany is nauseating. I wonder whether it is nauseating to any Germans.)

Posted by: Jane | Mar 1 2026 23:18 utc | 635

@ 653 Norwegian
 
Every side. Every angle. Pummel them and make them crawl to you asking for mercy. Then when they do, take every means they have to oppress you and the Palestinians away. This won’t make them ever learn their lesson. Only God can soften the Jewish hard heart. But their derangement must be defanged. 

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Mar 1 2026 23:19 utc | 636

They Call Me Mister | Mar 1 2026 23:12 utc | 652
 
The Americans themselves admitted a supply ship seven hundred kilometers of shore was disable in an Iranian strike. That proves the Iranians have the ISR and the capabilities to hit a moving ship a long way off shore.
 
We see the videos coming out of Israel dozens of interceptors launch to try and take down one top shelf Iranian missile and the missile just cutting through them like a hot knife through butter and sticking the target.
 
The Iranians certainly have the capabilities to hit an aircraft carrier at least a 100km off shore and cut through the defences put up by a destroyer screen. I think it quite likely the Iranians got a strike on that carrier.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Mar 1 2026 23:21 utc | 637

UWDude @ 651
 
..what if Iran actually fooled Israel into starting the war on Iran’s timetable by offering khamenei as bait?
 
Or he offered himself in sacrifice. I think not, unlikely he threw in his family, beautiful little granddaughter and most of the military high command. This war is pretty much what it looks like, it just take more time for us in the peanut gallery to see the patterns.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 1 2026 23:24 utc | 638

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Mar 1 2026 23:19 utc | 661
 
Yup. Although I’d clarify as the Jewish Supremacist aka Zionist heart. Getting harder to distinguish these days. By the Israelis’ design, of course. 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Mar 1 2026 23:24 utc | 639

The copium among Iran fans is strong as they realize that the gigantic regional war isn’t materializing.
 
Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Mar 1 2026 23:12 utc | 652
 
its the first 48 hours.  any declaration of anything about how the war is going is pure bullshit, including your assertion that “the gigantic regional war isnt materialing”.
 

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:26 utc | 640

I think it quite likely the Iranians got a strike on that carrier.
 
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Mar 1 2026 23:21 utc | 662
 
That and two bucks might get you some coffee. A real victory would be the kind of casualty report that takes one of the two (?!) carrier groups out of action. I’m not denying that shrapnel from a missile might scuff the paint, but wrecking a supply ship is MUCH easier than destroying a carrier in spite of escort defenses. And droning kiddieboats is easier still, which is why most of the kiddieboats making up the Iranian and Chinese navies would be useless in a real war.

Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Mar 1 2026 23:28 utc | 641

Posted by: watcher | Mar 1 2026 23:16 utc | 658
 
Wrong thread, watcher, but we’re on page 7… In my opinion, there won’t be a concerted attack on Russia. It’s not possible: not enough materiel and impossible logistics. There is a good reason that these wars are always fought through

  1. proxies like Georgia, Chechnya, now Ukraine, with Moldavia, Baltic states in line and perhaps Azerbaijan, Finland being prepped up (the point is that these countries start fighting not with the goal to win anything but to keep Russia busy; when one is worn out, take the next — this is not full EU/NATO vs Russia war)
  2. terror
  3. economically: sanctions, piracy (the tankers), theft (all the confiscated assets).

The same holds the other way around: even though EUrope (including UK) is militarily so weak at the moment, there’s no way that the Russian Armies could fight their way to, say, Warsaw, at acceptable costs. Border skirmishes are entirely possible (which includes the entire Baltic statelets because they’re so small).
 
I’m convinced that given Ukraine’s lost position, the next steps by the West will be: more terror, and piracy in the Baltic Sea. Similar to Ukraine 2022, they make be able to force the Kremlin’s hand by stealing to many vessels that a reaction is necessary. (My favorite: Russia closes Øresund.)

Posted by: Konami | Mar 1 2026 23:28 utc | 642

Ornot@637, Jane@647:
 
“Just protecting Britain’s original investment in the Jewish colony.”
 
Go For the Throat Iran! (& vid)
 
https://x.com/Reunify32/status/2028231717270491304
 
“This is huge. The Brits have to step in to offer the use of their bases to the US…Go for the throat Iran. Load everything you have in the genocidal apartheid colony now.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Mar 1 2026 23:29 utc | 643

(The spectacle of Merz and Net patting each other’s backs in Germany is nauseating.
I wonder whether it is nauseating to any Germans.)
Posted by: Jane

For the majority of Germans, it is.

 

Posted by: Apollyon | Mar 1 2026 23:29 utc | 644

Iran missed its chance to take out the overlords and underlords, entourages, ass lickers and wannabes by hitting the elite residential areas and financial districts of the ME on day one, now it’s too late, they turned on the lights and the roaches are all scurrying.

 
Riyadh has emerged as a key exit route for the super-rich and senior executives stranded in the Gulf looking for a safe passage out of the region.
 
Cities including Abu Dhabi and Dubai have become playgrounds for the wealthy over the past few years, attracted by the year-round sunshine, tax-free lifestyle, and perception of safety. That was shattered over the weekend as Iranian missiles and drones rained down on the two cities, along with Qatar and Bahrain, causing those that could to attempt to flee.
 
The Saudi capital’s airport is one of the few still operating in the region, forcing executives and their families stranded in other parts of the Gulf to take the long drive in order to catch private jets or commercial planes.
 
Private security companies have been booking fleets of SUVs to ferry people on the 10-hour drive to Riyadh from Dubai and then charter private planes to take them out of the region, according to people familiar with the matter. They have been evacuating a mix of people, including senior executives at global finance firms and high-net worth individuals in the region for business or holidays, the people said. The rush in demand is sending prices for private jets and SUVs soaring, these people said.
 
“Saudi Arabia is the only real option for people who want to get out of the region right now,” said Ameerh Naran, chief executive of private jet brokerage Vimana Private; private jets from Riyadh to Europe now cost up to $350,000, he said.
 
As the conflict began to hit Dubai on Saturday night, security firms looked to use Oman as a route out of the region, but that route closed after Iran hit the port and an oil tanker in the country on Sunday. That left Riyadh as the safest route.
 
https://t.me/TheIslanderNews/71627

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 1 2026 23:29 utc | 645

Any confirmation f this Haifa video?
 
https://x.com/TaghridAlMawed/status/2028209297495134607

Posted by: Newbie | Mar 1 2026 23:31 utc | 646

its the first 48 hours. any declaration of anything about how the war is going is pure bullshit, including your assertion that “the gigantic regional war isnt materialing”.
 
 
Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:26 utc | 667
 
You do know that quote marks are for what someone actually said, right guy? Not your fumble-fingered typing. In Iran’s case, the lack of immediate response might mean they are co-ordinating a major offensive… Or it could mean that the people responsible for such an offensive are dead. The longer they wait the more the latter is likely.

Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Mar 1 2026 23:31 utc | 647

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 1 2026 23:24 utc | 663
maybe they knew their high command would be hit, but not how, so decided to just write it off.
 
And i dont mean, “on their time table” as in hours or even days, Iean strategically, as in, they didnt want amymore pussyfooting and negotiations, so khamenei just lived the last few weeks of his life mostly in sun and windowed rooms, knowing his end was near, but not really the week or month.
 
Anyways, just a crazy thought.  overall, it does appear the start was not, say “optimal”, and I think khamenei being alive would be a far greater asset, if not to at least as a decoy to entice missiles into low value targets.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:31 utc | 648

John Gilberts @ 671
 
Isn’t the UK where the USA keeps its EU nukes?

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 1 2026 23:31 utc | 649

Gold up 1.4%

Posted by: Pick | Mar 1 2026 23:32 utc | 650

They Call Me Mister | Mar 1 2026 23:28 utc | 668
 
Your comments often indicate that you operate out of a troll factory. Are they still going these days or is it a work from home thing since covid?

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Mar 1 2026 23:32 utc | 651

As of March 1, 2026, the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran has created an unprecedented economic and logistical crisis for the five Gulf states (UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman and Bahrain).

 
1. The Financial Impact: Week vs Month

  • One Week (Current Trajectory):
    • Budget Strain: Kuwait, Qatar, and Bahrain are almost 100% reliant on the Strait for their exports. A week-long closure forces these states to rely on sovereign wealth funds to maintain government spending.
    • The “Storage Wall”: Production would likely continue for the first week, but storage tanks in Kuwait and Qatar will fill rapidly. Once full, they must shut down oil and gas fields, leading to a total loss of daily revenue.
  • One Month:
    • Economic Contraction: Analysts warn of a “gap” in national budgets. A prolonged blockade would trigger a significant fiscal deficit, threatening the funding of major diversification projects (like the UAE’s Vision 2031).
    • Qatar’s LNG Crisis: Qatar provides roughly 20% of the world’s Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG). A month-long closure would not only starve Qatar of revenue but also cause an energy catastrophe in Asia and Europe, potentially leading to a global recession. 
       

2. Logistics: The “No Fly” and “No Sail” Zone

  • Aviation Paralysis: Following Iranian strikes on Dubai International and Abu Dhabi airports, commercial air traffic is largely non-existent.
    • Tourism/Services Hit: The UAE and Qatar are heavily exposed because they have built massive tourism and logistics sectors. Unlike 1973, these economies are now service-based; without flights, their non-oil GDP (hotels, shopping, transit) collapses instantly.
  • Import Crisis:
    • Food Security: These five states import nearly 90% of their food. While they hold roughly six months of strategic grain reserves, they lack non-Gulf ports to resupply once those stocks begin to dwindle.
    • Rerouting Obstacles: Only the UAE has a significant port outside the Strait (Fujairah). However, the Habshan-Fujairah pipeline can only handle 1.5 million barrels per day—a fraction of the region’s output.

Well, if Iran keeps this up for 2 weeks, there would be regime changes, not in Iran, but in those 5 ‘sultanates’.

Posted by: James | Mar 1 2026 23:32 utc | 652

BREAKING: Hezbollah officially joins the war and attacks Haifa with drones and missiles

 
https://x.com/RoyalIntel_/status/2028245765802324291

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Mar 1 2026 23:34 utc | 653

gigantic regional war isn’t materializing.
 
Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Mar 1 2026 23:12 utc | 652
 
“the gigantic regional war isnt materialing”.
 
Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:26 utc | 667
 
You do know that quote marks are for what someone actually said, right guy? 
 
Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Mar 1 2026 23:31 utc | 675
 
Thats what you actually said “guy”.
 
Note I quoted “guy”, because you also said that.
 

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:34 utc | 654

Posted by: Mark2 | Mar 1 2026 22:51 utc | 633
It would be a joyous sight to see B-52s and especially B-2s shot out of the skies over Iran.
Their aircraft carriers have already proven useless, if their strategic bombers are shown to be vulnerable then their military superiority is shot to hell.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Mar 1 2026 23:35 utc | 655

Posted by: MOA Dufus | Mar 1 2026 23:32 utc | 678
 
hi Lavrov’s Dog.
 
I see you are going straight to meltdown today.
 
*smile*

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:35 utc | 656

Trump is a murderer. What is the punishment for murderers in the US?
 
Posted by: James | Mar 1 2026 23:13 utc | 654
 
####
 
Fake suicide, first class travel to Israel.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Mar 1 2026 23:35 utc | 657

🚨 Iranian drone crossed the Dead Sea and is over the West Bank

 
https://x.com/RoyalIntel_/status/2028247983188234433

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Mar 1 2026 23:37 utc | 658

I believe Iran will keep this up for the next few weeks. Trumpazee will go TACO. 
There won’t be any US bases in those small sultanates anymore.

Posted by: James | Mar 1 2026 23:37 utc | 659

It would be a joyous sight to see B-52s and especially B-2s shot out of the skies over Iran.
 
Posted by: ChatNPC | Mar 1 2026 23:35 utc | 684
 
Highly unlikely.  Any missions chosen for them will have 99.9% chance return rate.  No chance b52s are even used.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:39 utc | 660

Posted by: James | Mar 1 2026 23:37 utc | 689
 
hopefully he wates until uk, france and Germany are balls deep before he pulls out.  That would be an awesome move.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:41 utc | 661

There won’t be any US bases in those small sultanates anymore.
Posted by: James | Mar 1 2026 23:37 utc | 689
 
Sarcasm font “But that is Trump/MAGA’s goal! It’s elevendy demon-tional chess! He wants to get rid of US bases overseas!!!” End sarcasm font, although I’m sure Gruff and c1ue will come in and say that’s the actual point. 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Mar 1 2026 23:41 utc | 662

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Mar 1 2026 23:41 utc | 692
 
it was the goal of the accelerationists who voted for him.  (Although I think many voted Kamala as well).

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:42 utc | 663

Fake suicide, first class travel to Israel.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Mar 1 2026 23:35 utc | 686
 
LOL…..good one. 

Posted by: Maverick | Mar 1 2026 23:42 utc | 664

Posted by: MOA Dufus | Mar 1 2026 23:42 utc | 695
 
but I know you are.  You have so many tells, and now I know you so well I know exactly how you write.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:44 utc | 665

In a week or two, there may not be as many Sultanates left. The Shia majority could flip the table.
 
Khameini’s death, I suspect, may be a gift that keeps on giving.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Mar 1 2026 23:45 utc | 666

Does the US Vunder Veapon only work in Venezuela?

Posted by: Arby | Mar 1 2026 23:45 utc | 667

watcher | Mar 1 2026 23:16 utc | 658
 
The reason UK, France, Germany were attacked is because they did Trump’s dirty work and tried to impose the snap-back sanctions–economic war against Iran. f those nations don’t know why they’re included, then they’re even more clueless than I thought possible. 

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 1 2026 23:46 utc | 668

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 1 2026 23:29 utc | 673
 
What will the governments of India, Pakistan, Bangladesh Sri Lanka and Phillipines do, since there are about 9 million citizens living in Dubai. How do they get home. Without work how will they survive.

Posted by: watcher | Mar 1 2026 23:47 utc | 669

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:42 utc | 693
 
Naw, not the ones around here in Texas anyway. They literally thought “no new wars” was a legit “nothing will fundamentally change but with our bases in your backyards since that employs many of your extended family members” type shit. 
 
Maybe your neck of the woods is different. I dunno. But no way, not here. They were fine with garrisoning the planet as long as no new (ground invasion or major) new wars. 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Mar 1 2026 23:47 utc | 670

“This is huge. The Brits have to step in to offer the use of their bases to the US…Go for the throat Iran. Load everything you have in the genocidal apartheid colony now.”
Posted by: John Gilberts | Mar 1 2026 23:29 utc | 671
 
Could this be AI? He looks robotic.

Posted by: farm ecologist | Mar 1 2026 23:48 utc | 671

Don’t Skip This Clip…
 
https://x.com/FurkanGozukara/2027868611692380603
 
“Al Jazeera Anchor: ‘Is there an off-ramp for Iran?’
 
Dr Foad Izadi proceeds to deliver the most savage, unfiltered indictment of the US government ever broadcast on international TV…”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Mar 1 2026 23:48 utc | 672

Posted by: John Gilberts | Mar 1 2026 23:48 utc | 705
 
Link don’t work. 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Mar 1 2026 23:49 utc | 673

see the photo at the first link
 
 
 
https://x.com/doctor_rahmeh/status/2028129304899379436
Dr Rahmeh Aladwan  @doctor_rahmeh
 
The ‘israeli’ embassy in Abu Dhabi is burning.
 
—————-
 
https://x.com/manolo_realengo/status/2027951366048485642
Manolo De Los Santos  @manolo_realengo 
 
The United States has assassinated Ali Khamenei, head of state of Iran, two months after kidnapping Nicolas Maduro, president of Venezuela. 
 
Under Washington there is no rule of law or sovereignty. Trump and Netanyahu are the most ruthless and brutal synthesis of over 500 years of western colonial violence and they expect the world to tremble at their feet. 
 
This is the time for even greater anti-imperialist struggle. The U.S. is a rogue state. The people of the world must either stop them now, or learn to live on its knees.
 

Posted by: michaelj72 | Mar 1 2026 23:50 utc | 674

Video of the potential attack on the Israeli cabinet meeting. Bunker busting hypersonic missile strikes the government building at high speed.
 
https://x.com/cirnosad/status/2028246691380658241

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 1 2026 23:50 utc | 675

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Mar 1 2026 23:47 utc | 702
 
then they weren’t accelerationists.
 
Accelerationists voted for who they thought would take down the US government the fastest, and it was quite a toss up between kamala’s incompetence or Trumps insanity.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:51 utc | 676

705 corrected: ‘Don’t Skip This Clip’
https://x.com/FurkanGozukara/status/2027868611692380603

Posted by: John Gilberts | Mar 1 2026 23:52 utc | 677

@692 Tom
 
Yes, I don’t get that logic. 
 
Let’s say that was the case and Trump and Co. were fixing the situation so an organized retreat away from the MENA was the plan. 
 
The Israelis don’t stand a chance alone in the region, so they would never consent to Uncle Sam skipping town until Iran was completely subverted and returned to World Finance.
 
And, if you think the Israelis wouldn’t glean this plan through their own intelligence (that Trump and Co. had the mind to leave), well, that is ridiculous. 
 
Therefore, if Trump really wanted to leave the MENA, it would have therefore made no difference whether he orchestrate such theater for the withdrawal or whether he simply went on National TV and said before all this carnage, “Americans, I am here to tell you the juice isn’t worth the squeeze and Israel needs to be a good faith bargained in the region.”
 
Whether by theater or by honest appeal, to leave the MENA now means to abandon Israel and your goose is cooked either way (i.e. Israel will fuck you ten ways till Tuesday).
 
So Occam’s Razor says screw the theater and just leave.
 
As an accelerationist and one who believes in Lenin’s Revolutionary Defeatism, I wanted Kamala because the sparks that flew might have engendered a true comeuppance for the elite. We’re talking Canadian Trucker level. But they needed a cool-off candidate in Trump to sing the sheep to sleep again…presumably for this Iranian excursion.
 
I knew once Trump had signed for Operation: Warpspeed, he was just a honeypot for actual dissident patriots.

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Mar 1 2026 23:54 utc | 678

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 1 2026 23:46 utc | 700
 
Yes it is extraordinary how stupid these NATO sycophants are.  We have seen it in the UK.  The fact that they elected lettuce lizzie even for a month as Prime Minister says it all, and really Starmer does not seem much cleverer. 
 
France seems to be completely controlled by US bankers and Germany is split between US sycophantic proxies (Greens),  MGGA (Metz and the former NAZIs), and Social Democrats who appear even more stupid than the British Labour Party

Posted by: watcher | Mar 1 2026 23:55 utc | 679

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 1 2026 23:46 utc | 700

If those nations don’t know why they’re included, then they’re even more clueless than I thought possible. 

A country can’t be clueless, Karl 🙂 In seriousness, Macron, Merz, Starmer said the same things about the attack on Iran and at the same time. That was coordinated. Their reply did not mention the Israel/USA attack on Iran at all (let alone condemn it) and instead castigated Iran for “attacking countries in the region”. Especially the last point is persistent in mainstream media who always speak of “Iranian attacks on Bahrain etc.” but never mention the US bases that are actually attacked. 
We will never know how clever or clueless our dear leaders are. I think it’s safe to assume that they’re all objects, not subjects. For example, the popularity of each of them is at record lows … but it doesn’t matter! None one them even pretends to do something that’d make them more popular with people. And if they’re just agents, it doesn’t matter what they know.
 
Smaller countries are on a longer leash: Spain and Norway (but probably others too) have reacted differently to the attack on Iran, saying it is against international law.
 
If by “those nations” you mean the population then they’re mostly clueless, I’m afraid. I doubt that many Germans know where German soldiers are stationed, for example. And among those who do, the majority believes it’s for the greater good. I believe that EUrope is in for a shock therapy that’s on par or even worse than what Eastern Europeans lived through in the 1990s.

Posted by: Konami | Mar 1 2026 23:55 utc | 680

Posted by: watcher | Mar 1 2026 23:47 utc | 701
They don’t live there as citizen’s and have no rights.
No workee, no stoppee.
Emiratis will deport them with extreme prejudice.
The real question is how can all the local and international moneybags, western managers, IT bods and influencers survive without them?
(not too well, I imagine).

Posted by: ChatNPC | Mar 1 2026 23:55 utc | 681

A little levity for my friends,

🇮🇱🇮🇷⚡️- Hebrew Channel 12: “Iran is breaking the Geneva convention”

 
https://x.com/MonitorX99800/status/2028195718242975938
 
Every.
Single.
Time.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Mar 1 2026 23:58 utc | 682

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 1 2026 23:50 utc | 709
 
Nutty Yahoo is in Florida or Cyprus. But let’s home some small hat higher ups were there. 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Mar 1 2026 23:59 utc | 683

@647 Jane

“Just protecting Britain’s original investment in the Jewish colony.
Some (not I!) would say that it would be traitorous not to do so.”

No, Britain does not have an investment in “Israel”, although there will be dealings and money flowing, US money most likely.

Britain has investment in the wider middle-east, particularly the Gulf. Kuwait, Oman and UAE are the main British involvement and remnant.

So it could be said “Israel” at most provides ‘presence’ to maintain some kind of ‘imposed influence’ on these countries.

Or it could be said that “Greater Israel” bribes via traitor zios holding british position, an inferior place for UK in a future regional organisation headed by zionist and US influences.

However, the traditional British involvement and influence in the Gulf , which at one point did work well and peacefully, has gradually been encroached upon and appropriated by the US and “Israel” in tandem.

The french notice similar, in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon.

This turn of events was post Iranian revolution, where Iraq was turned on Iran, Iran also being supplied by US which assassinated a european leader no less to continue with such dealings, and was then redirected (baited in fact) to take over Kuwait.

The US has since expanded its bases throughout the region, invaded or sponsored endless conflicts.

“Israel” is a US base, it has US depots there.

This has been at the expense of British presence, manner, standing and influence.

So no, “Israel” is not an investment for UK at all.

There are those invested in all of the above excess dealings, somehow, as are various from various countries, but not as a stated UK or British interest or investment. It is always clandestine with excuses like starmer for some kind of acceptance to be flustered onto the public.

Posted by: Ornot | Mar 1 2026 23:59 utc | 684

Posted by: Konami | Mar 1 2026 23:55 utc | 714
 
this reminds me.
 
I wondered, why did usa start when all the boomers were asleep?
 
Now I know.  So the boomers would wake up the next morning, turn on their glowing idiot box, and see “Iran attacks Israel”.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 1 2026 23:59 utc | 685

Bunker busting hypersonic missile strikes the government building at high speed.
 
Posted by: unimperator | Mar 1 2026 23:50 utc | 709
 
####
Those would have come in handy last year when the US attacked Iran’s nuclear program. 😂😂😂

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Mar 2 2026 0:00 utc | 686

Posted by: datum | Mar 1 2026 23:57 utc | 716
 
*smile*
 
busy bitch today.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 2 2026 0:00 utc | 687

Beautiful write up, B.
When I heard this news, I wept. Just as I did when I heard of Nasrallah’s passing.
It sickens me to see Zionazis and US regime cheering this.
Think anyone would weep over any one of those psychopaths were killed? Not likely.
I desperately want Iran to win 
How is a new spiritual leader chosen there, B?

Posted by: Kay | Mar 2 2026 0:00 utc | 688

Your comments often indicate that you operate out of a troll factory. Are they still going these days or is it a work from home thing since covid?
 
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Mar 1 2026 23:32 utc | 680
 
I think of it more as artisanal trolling. For instance, few people are going to ask you if scoring a possible “hit” on an aircraft carrier is really worth the killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader. A possible collapse of Iran weighed against a carrier getting it’s paint mussed? Of course President Trump would take that deal.
I came to MoA shortly after The Saker shut his blog down. And sure, it was a reliable site for people who weren’t convinced Russia would be rubble. The problem is that most of the Resistance was convinced in the invincible BRICS. Between Trump and Modi, they’re steadily dismantling all possibility of a united BRICS.

Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Mar 2 2026 0:01 utc | 689

Every.Single.Time.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Mar 1 2026 23:58 utc | 717
 
The Jew Zionist screams out in agony as he pummels you with blows. And not the kind that Trump gave Clinton. 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Mar 2 2026 0:01 utc | 690

I don’t believe that U-2 missions over Iran are happening. As in the 12-day war, we see no evidence of a fighting challenge over the airspace. Indirect evidence is also available: tanker flights are currently hampered by reduced basing, and the nearest carrier has likely been moved further out. Even discounting ground-based AD, there is a chance Iran has air force assets about, which almost certainly would call for fighter escorts on a bombing run. 
 
Btw, has USrael claimed total air superiority yet? And what would be worth a B-2 mission in the current environment anyway? They’re slower than a Tomahawk strike, considering their station and time to prepare, without significant advantage unless the target is hardened and needs special munitions to take out. 
 
Is it true that Khamenei was killed in his house, not some proper bunker? That gives weight to speculation he has put himself into the line of fire. The rumoured death of many officers along with him might be Iranian disinformation.

Posted by: persiflo | Mar 2 2026 0:02 utc | 691

Posted by: persiflo | Mar 2 2026 0:02 utc | 727
 
And OTH radar installations were among the first targets struck by Iran. These sites are more than just for detecting missiles incoming. 

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Mar 2 2026 0:03 utc | 692

Posted by: John Gilberts | Mar 1 2026 23:52 utc | 711
Well Epstein Class has certainly taken off as a global meme.
Good.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Mar 2 2026 0:03 utc | 693

The problem is that most of the Resistance was convinced in the invincible BRICS. Between Trump and Modi, they’re steadily dismantling all possibility of a united BRICS.
 
Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Mar 2 2026 0:01 utc | 724
 
Arent you one of the ones who keeps saying BRICS should be a military alliance?  I could swear Ive seen you posting and bemoaning the fact that BRICS does nothing to stop anything.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 2 2026 0:04 utc | 694

Live Reshet 13 TV Israel
 
https://x.com/ihanuka/status/2028247617721778562
 
“Expert: ‘We’re lucky Hezbollah isn’t engaging.’
 
The Screen: ‘Red Alerts in Haifa.’
 
Seconds later: Anchor confirms Hezbollah is behind the fire…”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Mar 2 2026 0:06 utc | 695

Is it true that Khamenei was killed in his house, not some proper bunker? 
 
Posted by: persiflo | Mar 2 2026 0:02 utc | 727
 
Nobody knows.
 
That other high officers were killed does not mean he was in the bunker with him, as he no longer handled military affairs.
 
That hos daughter and grandson were killed does not mean they were in a house with him, or even in a house.
 
Nobody really knows, it’ll be a while before we do, if ever.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 2 2026 0:07 utc | 696

Arent you one of the ones who keeps saying BRICS should be a military alliance? I could swear Ive seen you posting and bemoaning the fact that BRICS does nothing to stop anything.
 
Posted by: UWDude | Mar 2 2026 0:04 utc | 730
 
Goodness no. If BRICS was anything but a loose economic coalition, half the countries in it would jump ship. I don’t even blame Russia for not acting against Israel, given one thing and the next.
 
I do, however, claim that China is incredibly useless at holding back the USA in Syria, Venezuela, Palestine, and now Iran. But that’s not going to be fixed by turning BRICS into some sort of alliance. At least they might have more success in Taiwan. Might.

Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Mar 2 2026 0:08 utc | 697

If I was one those predominantly Buddhist workers that the Arab oil sheikhs exploit, I’d probably be fine taking my chances getting deported back to my home country, where at least I’d be exploited by a follower of the Dhamma and not some rich Arab pedophile. Not that all Buddhists are saintly, mind you, but give me Thailand over Dubai any day of the week. 

Posted by: fnord | Mar 2 2026 0:09 utc | 698

(The spectacle of Merz and Net patting each other’s backs in Germany is nauseating. I wonder whether it is nauseating to any Germans.)Posted by: Jane | Mar 1 2026 23:18 utc | 660

 Most germans still hate the jews-obviously so. Bernhard especially, it’s what racist megalomaniac neonazi fascists are deep down. They can’t hide it, but you can deny it then ignore it. 
Posted by: MOA Dufus | Mar 1 2026 23:28 utc | 669
=================
LOL.  Your knee-jerk projection and missing the point just revealed your own true self.

Posted by: Jane | Mar 2 2026 0:10 utc | 699

Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Mar 2 2026 0:08 utc | 735
 
well, at least we agree on something.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 2 2026 0:10 utc | 700