Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
February 18, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-043

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

watcher@87:
 
“His work pattern suggested intelligence operative…”
 
Just finished a bit of research on it. Evidently the nazis thought the same:
 
Trudeau Revives Feeding Frenzy Based on Russian Disinformation
 
https://newpathway.ca/trudeau-revives-feeding-frenzy-based-russian-disinformation/
 
“Chomiak’s ghost was first resurrected by a well-known KGB agent, John Helmer, who fled his native United States in the 1980s before he was exposed by former KGB Major Yuri Shvets. Helmer now works as a ‘journalist’ in Putin’s Moscow…”
 
ps I don’t accept anyone’s stuff without question. Even yours 😉
 
John Helmer
 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Helmer_(journalist)

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 19 2026 2:00 utc | 101

*** The effectiveness of this doctrine is not a part of the narrative, obviously. 
Posted by: frithguild | Feb 18 2026 19:37 utc | 25
last sentence made me laugh.  Judging by today’s reports, it looks like this particular counter offensive fizzled faster than previous ones.  ***
Posted by: Woke American | Feb 18 2026 21:49 utc | 59
 
Truth is stranger than fiction and fiction is stranger than narrative. What sane western “news” outlet would report a Ukranian counteroffensive being ground into human hamburger in a Russian fire bag? They would lose their “sources” for stories after all. They love storytime. 

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 19 2026 2:02 utc | 102

When you are training in the Amazons and you happen to be surrounded by snakes, the best thing to do is to hit them on the head not in the tail. Many people make that mistake.
Posted by: pepe | Feb 18 2026 22:54 utc | 74
 
As we all here know, Russian doctrine is to use blowdarts with frog poison. 

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 19 2026 2:09 utc | 103

Karlof – As I typed it I knew using the phrase ‘any Putin betrayal’  or whatever it was exactly that I typed, might trigger.
 
For years I have held the opinion that Putin has been amazing, a Charlemagne, and that without him the world might be already lost. added: But not perfect. It’s just that my tendency is to go abstract and whenever I type a phrase like  ‘any Putin betreayal’ for me it always is a theoreticval construct.

Posted by: JustSomeOldGuy | Feb 19 2026 2:11 utc | 104

This whole mess is a huge embarrassment- what started as a blitzkrieg to Kyiv has developed into a protracted quagmire that’s threatening to undermine Russia’s entire economy.
But sure, please tell how this is all fantastic for Russian civilians and the future of their children?

Posted by: minarima | Feb 19 2026 2:14 utc | 105

John
Note i used the term intelligence operative but did not say which agency.
 
However helmer is an australian. He went to very very elite scool in melbourne but everyone does there so not so strange. 
 
I suspect that all he is old bitter and out of touch and fills in the gaps with guesses.

Posted by: Watcher | Feb 19 2026 2:16 utc | 106

JustSomeOldGuy | Feb 19 2026 1:57 utc | 96
 
Sorry for the confusion! My troll comment was directed at the new troll, not you who I addressed directly. My comment was an explainer regarding Russia’s negotiating position. The situation was outlined very well by Crooke here. IMO, the Zionists want war and they’re going to get what they deserve. How far that will expand is unknown.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 19 2026 2:30 utc | 107

Some marat news
 
https://maratkhairullin.substack.com/p/brief-frontline-report-february-18th

Posted by: Newbie | Feb 19 2026 2:39 utc | 108

Re: Posted by: Watcher | Feb 19 2026 2:16 utc | 105
 

However helmer is an australian. He went to very very elite school in Melbs but everyone does there so not so strange.  I suspect that all he is old bitter and out of touch and fills in the gaps with guesses.

 
 
How does “everyone” in a given place go to am “elite school” – that’s logically simply not at all possible.
 
 What are you on about?

Posted by: Julian | Feb 19 2026 2:40 utc | 109

Wrong. The Russians are angry with the transactional nature of the Trump Gang who see the solution in money not in an actual settling of combat/war without any talk of reparations and such.
Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 19 2026 1:46 utc | 95
 
Could this anger result in the emergence of a hardline leadership in Russia?

Posted by: Michael J | Feb 19 2026 2:40 utc | 110

Watcher@105:
 
“I suspect that all he is old bitter and out of touch and fills in the gaps with guesses.”
 
I don’t get that impression at all but to each their own. And I suspect your description might well describe more than a few others around these parts too eh? 😉
 
Cheers.

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 19 2026 2:50 utc | 111

Re: Posted by: unimperator | Feb 18 2026 22:59 utc | 76

You don’t understand how global markets work. Everything is connected when it comes to oil, its refined products and commodities, regardless how much you try to prevent it from ending somewhere or sanction it. EU sanctions on Russian oil or diesel don’t work, but yes, sometimes gas/LNG/diesel ends up in Ukraine. It’s just the nature of the game. If you have the product, you sell it. Ukraine still has some pick-ups, and even these for azov/foreign mercs (not for territorial defense force) but that’s constitutes most of the vehicles it has left and what they need diesel for. Diesel isn’t much good without trucks, tanks or APCs that can use it, or safe and efficient places to stockpile it.

 
 
Oh, I very much do understand how global markets work.
 
Why did Japan feel the need to attack Pearl Harbor? Why couldn’t they just source their energy needs from the global markets or somewhere else at the time?
 
If Russia cuts off Ukrainian access to the Black Sea – via a blockade of Odessa & Nikolaev for instance, and Hungary & Slovakia stop exporting energy including fuel to run the army – where does Ukraine get any energy to run the army from?
 
 So you claim – Ukraine will get energy from “global markets” – and how then does it get to Ukraine?
 
 Presumably through Romania & Poland.
 
Do you know how few entry points there are from Romania to Ukraine – especially on the Black Sea Coast? They’re easy for Russia to cut off – which leaves Northern Romania  & Poland – and suddenly we’re talking about only a handful of choke points to shut Ukraine down.
 
 Russian strategy in this conflict is insane.

Posted by: Julian | Feb 19 2026 2:50 utc | 112

Oh dear Julian. It is an expression.
 
 
Reality is that going to one of the elite private schools was much more common in Melbourne than in Sydney. It was in Helmers youth anyway.  
 

Posted by: Watcher | Feb 19 2026 2:56 utc | 113

Re: Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 19 2026 2:00 utc | 100

“Chomiak’s ghost was first resurrected by a well-known KGB agent, John Helmer, who fled his native United States in the 1980s before he was exposed by former KGB Major Yuri Shvets. Helmer now works as a ‘journalist’ in Putin’s Moscow…” ps I don’t accept anyone’s stuff without question. Even yours  John Helmer https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Helmer_(journalist)

 
 
Helmer is not American.

Posted by: Julian | Feb 19 2026 2:59 utc | 114

Julian@113
 Canucklhead dumbfuk Ukronazis. People who don’t like people make shit up.

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 19 2026 3:18 utc | 115

Michael J | Feb 19 2026 2:40 utc | 109
 
Thanks for your reply. IMO, having dealt with Team Biden and seeing Team Trump revert to “Bidenism” (Lavrov’s term), but still willing to talk; I don’t see the line changing from what was laid out in June 2024. The key is what was proffered in December 2021, an overall security package for Eurasia that details the lines as Crooke explained in the article I linked. IMO, that’s still very far away.  

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 19 2026 3:40 utc | 116

@113

Oh dear Watcher, its an expression. Its where he lived

Posted by: Yarpos | Feb 19 2026 4:05 utc | 117

Odessa. People can’t stand it. The people hate it

~~~

And now the damned shopping center is getting fucked up: 

” A group of military personnel experienced aggressive physical pressure from civiliansInstead of fulfilling the legitimate demands of the representatives of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the crowd resorted to mass obstruction of state activities in the field of mobilization training. During the incident tear gas and physical force were used against the servicemen. As a result of illegal actions the personnel received injuries of varying severity and chemical burns to the cornea of the eyes. The injured servicemen were hospitalized. The attackers also damaged an official car and video recording equipment.” ————————————————-
It’s not the “shopping centre”. 
ТЦК [in full: ТЦК и СП] stands for Территориальный центр комплектования и социальной поддержкиTerritorial Recruitment and Social Support Centre, in other words,  the military registration organization run by the Ukraine Ministry of Defence that implements the forced mobilization of the population.
Automatic translators mistakenly translate ТЦК  as “shopping centre”, as ТЦ stands for Торговый центр — “shopping centre” or shopping mall”.

 

Posted by: Moscow Exile | Feb 19 2026 4:24 utc | 118

Savonarole #2, 17:43
Interestingly the SMO never was officially given any generic name (to my knowledge).
With similarities to any surgical operation we could speak of a ‘Natziosectomy’ in progress (proverbial shovels replacing scalpels in the procedural ablation. Also cryo ablation with frozen pipes in the process). 
In summary some kind of ‘transgender sex change’ operation from all cardinal angles conducted without any anesthetics further to some lack of ‘funny gaz’ from the Northern streaming side.
In a theatrical French fashion rebranded as the (sooner missing) “Khokhol-jambe-de-bois”. To Say nothing of the… ‘Marionnette’ (in charge !).

Posted by: Circum Ceasium | Feb 19 2026 4:27 utc | 119

Must read by A. Crooke. 
https://sovereignista.com/2026/02/16/alastair-crooke-trump-kabuki-theatre-in-ukraine-nothing-of-substance-gets-resolved/

Essentially, this is the Trump-New York real-estate experience transferred to a real-life conflict – in which ‘blood’ usually represents the true currency invested in a conflict. This approach underlines the West’s degradation into a nihilism that views sacrifices made by men and women in support of their country as a trifle to be bought out.

Posted by: Tom | Feb 19 2026 4:39 utc | 120

I suspect the eugenist dreams are also at stake in acquiring the bellies of Ukrainian women. Since day one the UEUKEU do not give a damn about Ukr men.

Posted by: Tom | Feb 19 2026 4:41 utc | 121

To The Last Ukrainian:
 
From a Russian perspective, this war needs to last another 8 to 10 years before any lasting peace exit even remotely appears. 
Ukraine needs to be complete eliminated along with any European war making capabilities. 
There must be no gorilla warfare possibilities to follow.
 
 There remains at least another 4 to 5 million able bodied military aged men left in the Ukraine that still need to be killed off, “to the last Ukrainian”. 
 
Europe must be totally exhausted from war.
That means Europe directly at war with Russia.
That means Europe must suffer huge numbers of casualties.
 
Only then can there be any hope of a lasting peace.
Right now, nobody in Europe is even remotely tired of war.
 
Think 1945.
This time Russian troops stay in Europe.
 
I hope I am wrong, but I doubt it.
 
 

Posted by: Blind Bridge Troll | Feb 19 2026 4:49 utc | 122

A coup d’état took place in a village in the Kyiv region 
 
Local deputies removed the military administration in the village of Chabany in the Kyiv region. The military complained to the police and the Ukrainian prosecutor’s office.
 
What caused the uprising of the villagers is not reported, but it is known that the main replenishment channel for the Armed Forces of Ukraine was small villages, where the TCC arranges raids. There is no data on what is happening in the village now.Source

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Feb 19 2026 5:38 utc | 123

Posted by: Blind Bridge Troll | Feb 19 2026 4:49 utc | 121
excellent post and one that I fully agree with. We have a decade or more of this in front of us. Ukraine itself has to be reduced to a pulp with fighting age citizens  reduced to effectively nothing.
Western Europe may have to suffer as well as it has been far too insulated from this up to now

Posted by: Night Tripper | Feb 19 2026 6:24 utc | 124

So tasty and worth reposting…
 
Behold. The festering carcass of American rot shoved into an ill-fitting suit: the sleaze of a conman, the cowardice of a draft dodger, the gluttony of a parasite, the racism of a Klansman, the sexism of a back-alley creep, the ignorance of a bar-stool drunk, and the greed of a hedge-fund ghoul – all spray-painted orange and paraded like a prize hog at a county fair. Not a president. Not even a man. Just the diseased distillation of everything this country swears it isn’t but has always been – arrogance dressed up as exceptionalism, stupidity passed off as common sense, cruelty sold as toughness, greed exalted as ambition, and corruption worshipped like gospel. It is America’s shadow made flesh, a rotting pumpkin idol proving that when a nation kneels before money, power, and spite, it doesn’t just lose its soul – it sh*ts out this bloated obscenity and calls it a leader.”
 
~some guy on substack

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Feb 19 2026 6:26 utc | 125

“an overall security package for Eurasia // Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 19 2026 3:40 utc | 115″
 
An Eurasian security scheme would be a disaster for the MIC that benefits from war and obscene military spending, and for the Banksters who put the population into slavery through overspending and Debt.
 
I don’t see this happening until there is citizens uprising everywhere in the West. However, seeing what humanoid robots can already do (see the 2026 Chinese New Year TV show with kungfu robots), the uprising of humans against machines protecting the Epstein Class will be a massacre.

Posted by: Asian Frog | Feb 19 2026 6:55 utc | 126

“what if the financial overlords of the planet are the actual nazis here??”
@james | Feb 18 2026 21:09 utc | 46
The financisers were and are tied to the anglosaxons who created both zionism and nazism just because  the anglosaxon empire needs to control the bankers.
The financiers if they were not tied to the anglosaxon empire would be able to invest independent of what the anglosaxon imperialists wanted. ~Market economy. The reason this is usually not brought up is that the anglosaxons rule opinionmaking in the world.
If such conditions of market economy existed global growth might ensue but since the earth is already overcrowded that would be bad for the rest of the biosphere so next best for the biosphere may be the kind of nazi-rule you discuss. The evil of nazis against humans may mean less evil against wild life.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 7:13 utc | 127

@Watcher | Feb 19 2026 2:16 utc | 107
Are you saying John Helmer is wrong about the situation among Russias elites? His quotes dont seem to be something he made up and there ought to be differences among the military compared with the Russian oligarchy’s business circles. Putin has to navigate between those two.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 7:18 utc | 128

“Why did Japan feel the need to attack Pearl Harbor? Why couldn’t they just source their energy needs from the global markets or somewhere else at the time?”
Posted by: Julian | Feb 19 2026 2:50 utc | 113
 
How’d that work out for Japan? Asking for a friend. Also, markets were not as interconnected 80 years ago; imperialism ring any bells?
 
 

Posted by: James M. | Feb 19 2026 7:19 utc | 129

Ukraine needs to be complete eliminated along with any European war making capabilities. There must be no gorilla warfare possibilities to follow.
Posted by: Blind Bridge Troll | Feb 19 2026 4:49 utc | 123
 
Not possible for that to happen. Not with the amount of force the Russians are currently bringing to bear. If Russia escalates, Europe will likely reciprocate. They are both caught in their own security dilemma. It is one reason I believe Russian goals are still relatively modest – Donbass recognized as Russian, land bridge to Crimea secured, and no NATO membership for Ukraine. That’s the best deal they can get.

Posted by: James M. | Feb 19 2026 7:35 utc | 130

@James M. | Feb 19 2026 7:19 utc | 130
Britain withheld from the US the critical japanese telegrams they had decrypted, because Churchill wanted the Japanese attack on the US. An australian crypto expert revealed Britains betrayal. Britain hoped to save its empire by getting the US embroiled in a much longer war. Hoping it would last to 1955. So Britain adviced the US not to fight the Japanese on the Islands but to back down in Australia and wait for the Japanes. Britains police like they were called. But they were more than Britains police force. They were an irrational cult of the kind the British cultivated in Germany. After spending some 40 years in Japan Basil Hall Chamberlain left never to return and wrote about the strange religion that had emerged in Japan. That may have been on the same time his report about Britains successful parallell to what the brother Houston Stewart Chamberlain had achieved in Germany. It is not clear to me if Basil Hall did something in Japan like Houston did in Germany but there were other British agents of influence in Japan like Ernest Mason Satow and  the British, after they got rid of Bismarck in Germany managed to make the Germans help organise Japanese ‘preussian’ discipline.
Previously Japan was allowed to absorb technological knowhow and other influences from the US since at that time Britain needed the Japanese for fighting Russia.
Britains comprehensive geopolitical maoeuvres are usually unmentioned by historians.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 7:37 utc | 131

 How’d that work out for Japan? Asking for a friend. Also, markets were not as interconnected 80 years ago; imperialism ring any bells?  
Posted by: James M. | Feb 19 2026 7:19 utc | 130

 
 
Indeed – so why would it work out any better for Ukraine?

Posted by: Julian | Feb 19 2026 7:45 utc | 132

Are you saying John Helmer is wrong about the situation among Russias elites? His quotes dont seem to be something he made up and there ought to be differences among the military compared with the Russian oligarchy’s business circles. Putin has to navigate between those two.
 
Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 7:18 utc | 129
 
This guy suggesting President Putin having health issues and Chinese and NKorean doctors attending him.  After so many rumours about his health can it be believed?. What is of intrest. Is the Kremlin hardliners trying to remove him via health emergency route?
 
https://youtu.be/tSKZclvdD00?si=piO1PA0onlKsg5f3

Posted by: Michael J | Feb 19 2026 7:53 utc | 133

@Michael J | Feb 19 2026 7:53 utc | 134
Are you surprised that Putin may have health issues?Who wouldnt in his situation? Likewise that the oligarchy might want him replaced would be no sensation to me. Would Helmer be more credible if he left out such ideas? I dont see why any of this would decrease Helmers credibility.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 8:09 utc | 134

Posted by: James M. | Feb 19 2026 7:35 utc | 131
what kind of ‘retaliation’ could europe do if it’s energy grids were hit by mass drone attacks to cause severe power outages in its capital cities?
Russians may tolerate that, but Europeans?

Posted by: Night Tripper | Feb 19 2026 8:17 utc | 135

Witkoff in Geneva congratulating Trump and himself for, “bringing both sides of this war together” … but seems to me it might be more helpful if they figured out a way to keep both sides apart for a while.
 
Oh well … no sign of any negotiation breakthrough … which surprised exactly no one.

Posted by: Tel | Feb 19 2026 8:21 utc | 136

<Pro Russia in name only > Really ?  Russia and China have their own national interests that ain’t “ours”. Here in the west there are no national interests, only the struggle to maintain perpetual growth for the leech class. Ukraine will not “collapse” because this is not the target of the SMO. NATO expansion will continue to become more agonizing with each day, material and strategies will be destroyed, obliterated economies will spend more on military trash,  regimes will be weakened and totalitarian EU goals will be exposed. As about the US i don’t think that external enemies can bridge the societal gap or cover the deeds of persons with peculiar sexual interests because everyone who covers them is them by association. 
 
 

Posted by: 667 | Feb 19 2026 8:22 utc | 137

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 8:09 utc | 135
 
About Kremlin hardliners. After studying Revelation 18 almost all Bible scholars have come to the conclusion Mystery Babylon is US. All other countries mentioned by name in Revelation but nearly 2000 years ago no such country hence a mystery. Also it is the country buying up or importing from whole world and the merchants of the world and shippers who grew rich trading with her lamenting at her destruction in one hour which we now know nuclear. Also one of the reason for her judgment is, she bewitched the whole world by her sorcery(original Greek word meaning Pharmakia). Also mentioned the business men of Babylon were men of renown. 
 
At present only Russia has the firepower to do it. President Putin does not come across as the man who will order that. Hence the hardliners in Kremlin become relevant. Also worth mentioning Babylon is taken out in her prime and not after some economic crash.
 
Revelation 18 King James version gives more details. 

Posted by: Michael J | Feb 19 2026 8:37 utc | 138

@Michael J | Feb 19 2026 8:37 utc | 139
Britain virtually created the US to be like that. The patriots were cleansed from Freemasonry by Lord Palmerston between 1826-1840 while in parallell to that process it appears the Skull and Bones emerged as a 2nd anglophile network. Both practising something similar whether you name it Hegelian or Balance of Power Politics. So it appears to me that the British oligarchy managed to transform the US to its liking already that early. And things only got worse in the 20th century with Cecil Rhodes organisation called Pilgrim Society after his death (but that is usually unmentioned by historians). Apart from Carroll Quigley Only outsiders to that angloamerican anglophile elite spilled the beans like the congressman Torkelson in the 1940s or Lillian Scott Troy in 1912 and a  series of articles in Chicago Tribune in 1951. Otherwise the americans have been inattentaive to how they were subverted from within. Not by the communists since that was likewise the work of anglophile circles.
About associations to Babylon.
The Davenport Hotel in the US has a model of the Venetian Doge Palace as part of the hotel. The Davenport family in Britain apparently became part of the oligarchy(?) around the time of the Norman invasion, At that time also another two strands of the oligarchy, the ancestors of Edward Bulwer Lytton also turned up. Lytton later played a role as ‘the archpriest of occultism’ and had an impact on the background of nazism. I am not aware of the US having had entirely independent contributers to such things, Like Lord Halifax said in 1946 to Keynes about the americans: They come with their money bags but we have all the Brains

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 9:01 utc | 139

In the Eyes of Truth Update 18.02.2026 The EU Super League of Injustice and Tyranny: quest to empire

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ePPXfZlpS-c

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 19 2026 9:19 utc | 140

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 9:01 utc | 140
 
Thank you very much for highlighting this historical connections to the bar. Excellent 

Posted by: Michael J | Feb 19 2026 9:54 utc | 141

Duh
 
Major General Wolf-Jürgen Stahl, president of Germany‘s Federal Academy for Security Policy, also lashed out at Donald Trump for being an ‘egomaniac, narcissistic, erratic dealmaker with authoritarian leanings’.
He claimed Germany was already under attack by Russia but expects it to wage a much stronger war of aggression against Nato in Europe.
Speaking at the German-British Society, he said: ‘When I see how Putin has acted up to now, and the way that he is in my assessment on a mission against the West, then there is no question of whether he will use military means. If he gets the opportunity, he will use them.’
He expressed concern at how European leaders would react if Russia were to invade Nato territory and said the country’s liberal democratic order is under threat.
He said: ‘People will immediately say “Er, we don’t need to fight at all. We have to resolve it diplomatically. We can’t resolve it militarily”. 
‘I don’t know what discussions, what currents might be unleashed here in Germany. I do have a certain concern about that.’
He added: ‘If Nato territory is occupied by Russian soldiers, then Nato has to say: “How do we chuck them out so that the territory is restored to Nato, not just de jure but de facto?”’
Poland’s president Karol Nawrocki said the country should start developing nuclear weapons of its own
He said he was a ‘great supporter of Poland joining the nuclear project’, which he wants to underpin the country’s security strategy.
The nuclear 
path, with respect for all international regulations, is the path we should take.
‘We must work towards this goal so that we can begin the work. We are a country right on the border of an armed conflict. The aggressive, imperial attitude of Russia towards Poland is well known.’
And German chancellor Friedrich Merz said while Germany would not develop its own nuclear deterrent, it could ‘theoretically’ carry British or French warheads.
Stahl said: ‘It’s scarcely conceivable, how the Poles are suddenly discussing getting their own nuclear deterrent. That’s not in the Americans’ interests.’ 
 

Posted by: Jo | Feb 19 2026 10:02 utc | 142

And German chancellor Friedrich Merz said while Germany would not develop its own nuclear deterrent, it could ‘theoretically’ carry British or French warheads.Stahl said: ‘It’s scarcely conceivable, how the Poles are suddenly discussing getting their own nuclear deterrent. That’s not in the Americans’ interests.’  
Posted by: Jo | Feb 19 2026 10:02 utc | 143
 
Sooner than later. 
This bullshit will be called out.
Talk is cheap. 
But not necessarily consequence free.

Posted by: jpc | Feb 19 2026 10:11 utc | 143

I wonder how much that German General knows about Britains influence over Germany before. I wouldnt be surprised if he is oblivious of it and constitutes Britains useful fool. Being played yet again. Or am I wrong and the Germans already understand that risk? Lets hope they do understand it. Because Germany is a vulnerable as ever. And I suspect that all the apparent allies probably dont mind Germany to get most of the damage from the clash the anglosaxons are preparing for Europe.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 10:19 utc | 144

Posted by: jpc | Feb 19 2026 10:11 utc | 144
 
The opinion of Dr. Vladimir Brovkin regarding EU nuclear weapons.
 
EU, Poland, Germany or France will never catch up to Russia in terms of nuclear delivery systems considering the stagnation in Europe vs. development and advances in Russia. Furthermore, developing new delivery vehicles and weapons takes a very long time (it is a project of decades) and is very expensive, which, considering the current and developing economic situation in the EU, will be further out of reach every year.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 19 2026 10:21 utc | 145

Re: Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 10:19 utc | 145
 

I wonder how much that German General knows about Britains influence over Germany before. I wouldnt be surprised if he is oblivious of it and constitutes Britains useful fool. Being played yet again. Or am I wrong and the Germans already understand that risk? Lets hope they do understand it. Because Germany is a vulnerable as ever. And I suspect that all the apparent allies probably dont mind Germany to get most of the damage from the clash the anglosaxons are preparing for Europe.

 
You know Germany is bigger and more economically developed and powerful than the UK right?
 
You makie it sound like the Germans are fools.

Posted by: Julian | Feb 19 2026 10:43 utc | 146

Posted by: Circum Ceasium | Feb 19 2026 4:27 utc | 120
I was also thinking about “WarShovel 2020” with the “death korp of Kyiv” fighting the “Orks” (those are natural born warriors), some of 404’s Oligarchs would make fantastic Rogue Traders, the TCK as the new Komissars would fit well : “If you don’t serve on the front-line, you will serve on the firing-line ! “, and the GUR as “Ordo assasinorium”. Plus there are already a lot of stories about Gehlenskyi on his “golden throne” :p
But the Banderist are more into chaos with “Khorn Group” and other heretical names so it won’t match the Impirium very well

Posted by: Savonarole | Feb 19 2026 10:52 utc | 147

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 10:19 utc | 145

I suspect that all the apparent allies probably dont mind Germany to get most of the damage from the clash the anglosaxons are preparing for Europe.

I agree. For a while now it looks as if Germany is becoming the most convenient EU country to throw under the bus (I am discounting the Baltic statelets or Moldavia here because they’re so small … these are also bus fodder).

  1. Germany’s loss in industrial power is (mostly) good for the competition.
  2. Popular anti-German sentiment is strong in Poland and currently building up in France. (Many French are worried about the “strongest European army” noises out of Germany.)
  3. Taking Germany down/out solves the EU predominance questions, at least for now.
  4. Germany has violated the 2+4 treaties and is going to violate it further. (This means that Russia can argue legally and others can shrug it off.)

Current German elites seem happy to be part of such a plan. This shouldn’t be surprising: they’ve been trained to do so.

Posted by: Konami | Feb 19 2026 10:59 utc | 148

It looks to me that Putin and Lavrov are into the good-cop, bad-cop routine. To lure the West and to keep the Oligarchs’ happy, Putin is the good guy while Lavrov is the bad guy. For the patriotic Russians inside the country, Lavrov is the good guy and Putin (well, through Peskov, Dimitri et al) the bad guy. Deep double game, KGB style, Le Carre style!
Why is Russia not sending a few tankers of oil to Cuba? I thought there was no blockade of Cuba: only a threat of secondary sanctions. Russia is already sanctioned out of this planet, so … The good cop is in the good books of the West, and so .. The bad cop explained everything to the Cuban foreign minister: this inaction lulls the West into thinking that Russia is weak, and it  also raises the heat on the “cruel, heartless” Trump and Rubio, facing criticism from ordinary folk.

Posted by: India-Guy | Feb 19 2026 10:59 utc | 149

@Julian | Feb 19 2026 10:43 utc | 147
They were totally manipulated before and despite what the British did to them they still were a part of the anglogerman society or what its name was. I hope they are more aware now but I dont know it.
Historians still havent come clean and told the truth. Official history completely hides it.
I am not familiar with any open debate about it in Germany. Are you, Julian? They were not stupid before WWI either but were still totally played. 

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 10:59 utc | 150

Andrew Korybko substack
Extract
 
Accordingly, the greatest significance of the Washington Post’s recent article isn’t that it implies that Poland is a paper tiger (the argument of which was discussed here with regard to its embarrassingly underdeveloped military-industrial complex), but the potential domestic political ramifications. If the one-fifth of Poles who already want change grows to one-third partially in response to this, then they’d break their country’s ruling duopoly and revolutionize parliamentary politics after next fall’s elections.”
 
Article is re Poland building conventional biggest army in Europe at 4.7% GDP, but leaders are questioning that kind of relevancy cos now it is “all about drones”.
Perhaps applies to proposals for an EU army too?

Posted by: Jo | Feb 19 2026 11:05 utc | 151

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 19 2026 10:21 utc | 146
——————–
This statement is not about nuclear weapons only IMHO.
Before EU could produce tanks, missiles, shells and planes in a sufficient number to feed Ukraine, a decade will be necessary too. Providing that all the commitments are implemented and do not stay on the paperwork (like the 100 Rafales for Ukraine). And when stating that even the US isn’t able to produce Patriot complexes and interceptors en masse, despite a trillion USD defense offense budget, I don’t see the EU doing better unless the whole of it enter a war economy. 

Posted by: scc | Feb 19 2026 11:23 utc | 152

One small point of order if I may, and apologies to the bar if this is somewhat off topic; the anglo-saxons aren’t preparing anything right now, unless it is the taking back our own land from the dark forces that have ruled it for a thousand years.
The anglo-saxons were defeated in 1066 by hired muscle working for international capital, and our lands have been used as a base for their machinations ever since; while our people, as well as our celtic neighbours, have been fully subjugated and enslaved.
That the rest of the world sees the deeds of this cabal as being the fault of the anglo-saxons suits the cabal very well. They hide behind us, and should things ever go wrong for them they will seek for the world to blame us, while they scuttle away.
Please don’t fall into that trap. Thank you.

Posted by: Last man in Osgiliath | Feb 19 2026 12:36 utc | 153

Hi Fanboys..  do you still like Putin’s slow and gay war
Posted by: Joe911 | Feb 18 2026 18:43 utc | 12
 
Better to move slow and win than dump $trillions into a war that kills millions of civilians, destroys the country only to get run out of the country 20 years later . Unlike the USA the Russians have a strategy beyond just blowing shit up and killing civilians.
 
 

Posted by: HB_Norica | Feb 19 2026 13:32 utc | 154

“Like Lord Halifax said in 1946 to Keynes about the americans: They come with their money bags but we {the British} have all the Brains. // Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 9:01 utc | 140
 
Considering the current economic, ethnic, educational, military situation of the UK, I find it difficult to not laugh at that. Brains? The only world class British achievement of the last 50 years is… music and Indian cuisine. And it does not come from Oxford, Cambridge or Eton.
 
There is more brain in Bangalore or Shenzhen than in the whole of Britain. An arrogant nose and upper-lip is not considered as a “brain”.
 
Ex-prince Andrew had his “brains” between the legs. Hopefully, he will prove to his cellmate how accomodating is his sphincter brain.

Posted by: Asian Frog | Feb 19 2026 13:59 utc | 155

“That the rest of the world sees the deeds of this cabal as being the fault of the anglo-saxons suits the cabal very well. / Posted by: Last man in Osgiliath | Feb 19 2026 12:36 utc | 153″
 
I find your view interesting, and there is maybe some similar dichotomy in France, with the upper class sometimes calling the lower class “Gauls” (Celts, before the Franks taking over). Could be similar with the Normands taking over Britain in 1066, and reducing the Anglo-Saxons to lower classes. And this same view could exist till today…
 
However, seen from outside, “Anglo-Saxons” is the easy way to call the group made of UK (anglos mixed with Normands), US, OZ, NZ, Canada. Lavrov uses the word.

Posted by: Asian Frog | Feb 19 2026 14:10 utc | 156

Unlike the USA the Russians have a strategy beyond just blowing shit up Posted by: HB_Norica | Feb 19 2026 13:32 utc | 156
 
They do blow a lot of shit up but only in Russia; they level villages, towns and anything else as long as it’s inside borders, new or old. They dropped Fabs in Kursk and Donbass more than in Ukr.
Even if smo stops today, de-mining will take 10-20 years with NK’s help, the damage is long term but in Ukr is zero if you consider the population count and their future in working in US owned mines. Russia also paid Nato all the costs in the form of stolen money and properties, they were attacked using their own weapons, using the satellites they launched, and will give a lot of resources for free to  Trumpy in the “spirit of Anchorage” while he keeps dropping batches of 100 tons of weapons for Ukr thru Poland. Russians take the diy spirit to levels unseen before.
The little energy attacks now, mostly for propaganda reasons, happen when their effects are zero because the Ukr population is small and they have no industry. Any blackout is fixed in less than 24h, no one gives a shit, the freezer doesn’t even defrost and since it’s winter the food can stay outside just as well. They did not touch energy at the start of smo when it would have made a difference, but they lose refineries and whatever gets blown up weekly in Russia when those are actually used. 

Posted by: rk | Feb 19 2026 14:28 utc | 157

@Asian Frog | Feb 19 2026 13:59 utc | 156
You totally fail to realise how much the British have managed to play the rest of the world and in addition got away with it having all of academia subservient to it.
Mone is anwhere close. They are unique. This doesnt mean they have superhigh IQ. It is also about determination and training. Presumably private school training. Carroll Quigley compared them with the US where mammy took care of them while the British private schools made them much tougher and used to adapt to an hierarchical order.
Maybe someone can describe that in better words but that is one aspect. Another aspect was that the first son inherited the family while the next in turn would have to find other ways like joining a colonial career
 
@Last man in Osgiliath | Feb 19 2026 12:36 utc | 153
Anglosaxon is the term used by the angloamerican establishment that Ceccil Rhodes defined. In his plans the anglosaxon race was the finest and it was to populate all inhabitable parts of the world. He gave it 200 years to be fulfilled so that meant til the year 2100 The angloamericans refer to themselves by that term. It means the anglosaxon cultural setting. People with afroamerican parents and parents from other parts of the commonwealth may fit the definition and that is how I use it.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 14:35 utc | 158


“However, seeing what humanoid robots can already do (see the 2026 Chinese New Year TV show with kungfu robots), the uprising of humans against machines protecting the Epstein Class will be a massacre.”
 
Posted by: Asian Frog | Feb 19 2026 6:55 utc | 127
 
Sorry burst your robotics bubble, but the reality is that in 2027 the science of Robotics has barely progressed beyond where it was in the 1960s. 
 
Robots still can’t execute rapid movements without overbalancing when they complete the first move. The Chinese clip is based on frame by frame computer graphics – not solid 3-dimensional machines.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Feb 19 2026 14:37 utc | 159

The Chinese clip is based on frame by frame computer graphics – not solid 3-dimensional machines.
Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Feb 19 2026 14:37 utc | 160
 
######
 
Are you unaware of what is happening in the world?
 
The reason, IMO, why the Chinese had humans in the performance with the robots (last year and this year) was to make obvious that it was live and real-time.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 19 2026 14:42 utc | 160

@Jo | Feb 19 2026 11:05 utc | 151
Poland collaborating with Britain played an important role in fighting Russia in more than one way. From 1923 they helped Japan to decrypt Russias messages so the Japanese knew Russias plans. Therefore Poland was part of an early version of the Trillaterals. Trotsky was part of it also according the researche by Grover Furr et al.
Since Basil Hall Chamberlain was in Geneva and had a mastery of Japanese he was in all likeliness important in that struggle with Japan as a proxy of the British Empire

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 14:45 utc | 161

Posted by: rk | Feb 19 2026 14:28 utc | 158
 
Poor thing! The pain from this embarrassment of NATO will last a long time.

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Feb 19 2026 14:51 utc | 162

China is harming Russia in this war just as much as the US. Most of the Russian casualties are being inflicted by drones that China has been supplying to Ukraine since the beginning of the war. If it weren’t for China, this war would have ended long ago.

Posted by: Nastya | Feb 19 2026 14:59 utc | 163

Posted by: Nastya | Feb 19 2026 14:59 utc | 164

Rubbish. Don’t spread your anti China bullshit. Both Russia and Ukraine are buying components from private manufacturers to make their own motherboards.

Posted by: Surferket | Feb 19 2026 15:14 utc | 164

Nato air ambulances periodically collect their bodies from Ukraine after Russian air strikes on mercenary barracks and accumulations. So again, yesterday.
 
https://mpsh.ru/35798-letajuschij-morg-nato-jekstrenno-vyvozit-tela-i-ranennyh-naemnikov-iz-polshi-posle-udarov-rossii.html

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 19 2026 15:14 utc | 165

“You totally fail to realise how much the British have managed to play the rest of the world and in addition got away with it having all of academia subservient to it. / Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 14:35 utc | 159
 
Getting a Gold Medal in screwing others is being first in the wrong competition. The Spanish were the first in getting gold out of the New World and what did they give them? Bad habits. The Brits (the colonial Westerners in general) think they are smart in getting away with playing the rest of the world out of their resources (and educated locals), but what are they really getting out of it, in the long term? Bad habits, bad karma, cutting corners, relying on finance and ponzi to hide the decrepitude.
 
Confucian ethics. Education. Improving yourself. Search for harmony and progress. Looking for win-win cooperation. Building bridges, belts and roads. That’s why Asia has a future while the West is circling the drain. The Brits can continue to “play everyone” arrogantly, then go back to their shithole with shitty food and shitty weather.

Posted by: Asian Frog | Feb 19 2026 15:17 utc | 166

“Are you unaware of what is happening in the world? The reason, IMO, why the Chinese had humans in the performance with the robots (last year and this year) was to make obvious that it was live and real-time.”
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 19 2026 14:42 utc | 161
 
Nobody has mastered the science of building bipedal robots capable of restoring balance after a mis-step.
Four-legged robots can maintain stability because they are programmed to move one leg at a time, and always have 3 feet on the ground, and are thus never temporarily off-balance.
 
The Black Mirror episode called Metalhead accurately depicts the programmed movements of a typical 4-legged robot.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Feb 19 2026 15:20 utc | 167

Julian | Feb 19 2026 10:43 utc | 146
(responding to petergrfstrm)  *** You makie it sound like the Germans are fools. ***
 
The Germans are not fools.
They are Yankee vassal, zombified imbeciles licking Zionist arse.
Come to think on it, much like Britain.

Posted by: Cynic | Feb 19 2026 15:27 utc | 168

@Asian Frog | Feb 19 2026 15:17 utc | 167
I agree about China having the better culture but Britain has a long time been dedicated to depopulation and if God exists and cares for his creation it may be the case rhat Britains ideas are welcomed by God compared with ideas that nurture human development and prosperity since that wears down the biosphere.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 15:27 utc | 169

Anglosaxon is the term used by the angloamerican establishment
Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 14:35 utc | 159
 
Yes, precisely my point, if you think about it. 

Posted by: Last man in Osgiliath | Feb 19 2026 15:34 utc | 170

Joe 911,You do realize Caesar and Alexander the Great were gay right?
 
Posted by: Polli | Feb 18 2026 19:01 utc | 18

 
Historians opposed to Caesar referred to him — after his death of course — as the husband of every wife, and the wife of every husband, in Roman society. If true, that would make him not gay but bisexual.

Posted by: malenkov | Feb 19 2026 15:41 utc | 171

By the way, strategic-culture is blocked in EU – Germany meanwhile.

Posted by: OberstHecht | Feb 19 2026 15:42 utc | 172

 Michael J | Feb 19 2026 7:53 utc | 133
Putin is very healthy as he took in the ASI exhibition prior to the meeting of its board yesterday. Putin is extremely fit for his age and gets a daily workout just walking the Kremlin’s halls, something Trump would collapse at attempting.
 
Asian Frog | Feb 19 2026 15:17 utc | 167
 
Thanks for your contributions. I’m sure you and others will enjoy this bit of Q&A conducted with Maria Zakharova outside of her weekly briefing yesterday:
 

 

Question: On February 15, on the sidelines of the Munich Security Conference, and then on February 16 in Budapest, US Secretary of State Maigo Rubio said that the United States is acting as a kind of mediator and “is in a unique position, being the only nation in the world that was able to bring representatives of Russia and Ukraine to the negotiating table.” At the same time, he stressed that the United States continues to supply weapons to Kyiv and maintains sanctions against Russia. How would you comment on this?
 
 

Maria Zakharova: The US position is indeed unique. On the one hand, Donald Trump’s team inherited the Ukrainian conflict from the Biden administration, which still receives American support in the form of arms supplies to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. On the other hand, the current US leadership, as we can see, is making efforts to find ways out of the crisis around Ukraine, inspired by Washington itself more than 10 years ago.
 
 
As for our contacts with Kiev, we should be objective: many countries have offered their assistance in organising such meetings. Several rounds of negotiations took place in February-March 2022 on the territory of the Gomel and Brest regions of Belarus, where the first elements of future agreements on the settlement of the conflict were prepared. Contacts were continued via video link, and then in Turkey. During the next round of Russian-Ukrainian negotiations held in Istanbul on March 29, 2022, the heads of delegations of the two countries reached a common understanding on the draft Agreement on the settlement of the Ukrainian crisis. We are grateful to our Belarusian and Turkish colleagues for their assistance in organizing these meetings.
 
 
The further fate of the negotiation process is well known to everyone. The prospect of a cessation of hostilities and a peaceful resolution of the conflict ran counter to the plans of the Anglo-Saxon masters of Ukraine. Therefore, the then British Prime Minister Boris Johnson was urgently sent to Kiev, who banned the Zelensky regime from further dialogue with Moscow and demanded that it continue to fight with our country “to the last Ukrainian.”
 
 
Nevertheless, guided by the preference for a political and diplomatic way to achieve the goals of the special military operation, at the initiative of President of Russia Vladimir Putin, we managed to achieve the resumption of direct talks with Kiev in Istanbul in May 2025, which were interrupted at the behest of the Westerners. Their three rounds took place on May 16, June 2 and July 23 last year. They made it possible to reach important agreements on the exchange of prisoners of war, detained civilians and the repatriation of the bodies of dead servicemen. In addition, we handed over to the Ukrainian side a memorandum with our proposals for a settlement, initiated the creation of a bilateral center for monitoring and controlling the ceasefire, working groups on military, political and humanitarian issues. We were ready to constructively consider Kiev’s idea of raising the level of delegations. Unfortunately, all these proposals remained unanswered. And in November 2025, the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry announced the termination of negotiations, allegedly due to the lack of “tangible progress.”
 
 
In this context, it is at least incorrect to say that only the United States managed to “bring Russia and Ukraine to the negotiating table.” And the terminology itself is hardly appropriate from the point of view of diplomacy.
 
 
At the same time, we are grateful to the American side for its sincere desire to contribute to the search for peaceful solutions to the conflict. Since the current occupant of the White House took office, several telephone contacts have taken place between our countries at the highest level. Special Presidential Envoy Stephen Witkoff, who was always received by President Vladimir Putin, has visited Russia several times. As a result, Washington began not only to hear us, but also to better understand our position. All this made it possible to hold a meeting of the leaders of Russia and the United States in Alaska on August 15, 2025. During it, mutual understanding was reached on the key principles of resolving the crisis, in line with which we seek to build this process. It is important that Washington generally adheres to the same approach.
 
 
Following telephone conversations between Presidents Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump on December 28 and 29, 2025, we supported the idea of the Americans to create a working group on security issues with the participation of representatives of Russia, the United States and Ukraine. To date, it has held three meetings in Abu Dhabi on January 23-24 and February 4-5, as well as in Geneva on February 17-18. We will judge the effectiveness of American mediation, as they say, by deeds.
 
 
If Donald Trump’s team manages to bring back the Kiev regime, which is being defeated on the battlefield, from heaven to earth, and persuade them to seriously engage in resolving the crisis through negotiations, rather than through bellicose propaganda, we will only welcome this.

 
 

We agree that the ambivalence in the US position that you have noticed does raise questions. If someone sincerely intends to mediate a settlement, then one of the parties to the conflict should stop supplying militarily. Then opportunities will open up for genuine and effective diplomacy, which the Russian Foreign Ministry has consistently advocated. [My Emphasis]

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 19 2026 16:11 utc | 174

@Last man in Osgiliath:
Your request is reasonable and I´d also like to use another name for the British “upper class” golbalists/-apologists causing evil around the world since too many centuries. Could you please suggest some possibilities? May be glob Brits (globbrits) or britglobs s.th. like that could suit? 
 
Agreeing to wagelaborer (more often than this time) when writing about Jeremy Rhyming-Slang:
“Thank you for your common sense comments, Jeremy Rhymings-Lang. I always appreciate you bringing us back to reality, especially when laced with humor.”
BTW: I hope JRS will pardon my little jokes some weeks ago concerning his family name.
 
Thanks to all barflies also who are adding worthy thoughts and news, I´m glad you´re still around. 
 

Posted by: Blue Angel | Feb 19 2026 16:28 utc | 175

Ooops! I did it again but it´s *not* meant as an insult. Sorry!

Posted by: Blue Angel | Feb 19 2026 16:29 utc | 176

Blue Angel | Feb 19 2026 16:28 utc | 176
*** I´d also like to use another name for the British “upper class” golbalists/-apologists causing evil around the world since too many centuries. Could you please suggest some possibilities? May be glob Brits (globbrits) or britglobs s.th. like that could suit? ***
 
Slimeys?  Norkhazars?  Anglonormanix?  YankoFags?  Normaniacs?  UKunts?  Anglo-Bullwogs?  Englifarians? 

Posted by: Cynic | Feb 19 2026 16:45 utc | 177

forgot …. UKleptos

Posted by: Cynic | Feb 19 2026 16:48 utc | 178

Elites don’t have a nationality. (KC# doesnn’t have a passport)
That’s why they’re called globalists.
The aristocracy have always been globalists… (ever heard of “empire”)
Check out the aristocracy – btw Bill Gates is Sir Bill Gates..
Class awareness will also reveal that that the aristocracy includes the military, MI6, police and so on.
Checking out the CV’s of royal families will reveal that they have not only excellent military training (Sandhurst etc.) but also command experience.
Land is wealth, money is liquidity. Back to basics is coming your way.

Posted by: hh | Feb 19 2026 17:06 utc | 179

Nobody has mastered the science of building bipedal robots capable of restoring balance after a mis-step.
Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Feb 19 2026 15:20 utc | 168
 
?????
 
It was one of the early challenges overcome. The creators pushed , kicked, tripped, placed obstacles, used low friction flooring……. 
 
Somewhere in my library I have a science show on humanoid robotic progress from around 2010 showing them dealing adequately with all of these challenges.
 
Odd claim.
 

Posted by: ftp | Feb 19 2026 17:16 utc | 180

There is more brain in Bangalore  than in the whole of Britain.
 
Posted by: Asian Frog | Feb 19 2026 13:59 utc | 156
 
There is more Bangalore  than brain in the whole of Britain.
 
Meanwhile 1.265 AFU casualties (regular work day number)
 
More details here https://tass.com/politics/2089175

Posted by: Newbie | Feb 19 2026 17:23 utc | 181

@Cynic: Last man in Osgiliath now has some suggestions to chose but may be he could add some own too.
 
@hh: Of course globalists are anywheres but sometimes it could be usefull to know which of their fractions is meant or where it´s headquarter is based. 

Posted by: Blue Angel | Feb 19 2026 17:59 utc | 182

Sweden announced the allocation of its 21st military aid package to Kyiv, totaling $1.42 billion .Of this, $ 475 million will go toward the purchase of Tridon Mk2 mobile air defense systems (pictured), designed to counter low-flying drones; $618 million will go toward the production of long-range missiles and UAVs in Ukraine; and $331 million will go toward the purchase of grenade launchers, artillery shells , and spare parts, as well as the training of Ukrainian militants.

Posted by: MiniMO | Feb 19 2026 20:32 utc | 183

🇺🇸🇺🇦🌐The US is demanding that Ukraine not be allowed to attend the NATO summit, which will take place in Ankara in the summer. This was reported by Politico, citing sources.

Posted by: Jo | Feb 19 2026 20:53 utc | 184

@ karlof1 | Feb 18 2026 23:26 utc | 80
 
Belated thanks for the link to Alistair Crooke at SCF. As he usually does, AC gets to the core of things in a highly readable manner and highlights the inexorable, almost hydraulic pressure that bond and debt finance exert upon the Empire, particularly acute and urgent in the case of Ukraine.
 
By hook or by crook (or Crooke!) Russia will get its December 2021 document in place, at least the bones of it, de facto if not de jure, the Empire cannot stop this from happening, as not just President Putin but other Russian government figures have repeatedly made clear; what can’t be achieved by negotiation will be achieved on the ground.
 
The Empire can’t afford to lose, but the Empire doesn’t have the resources to win; a double-bind that will make itself felt in the Persian Gulf as well.
 
 

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 19 2026 21:58 utc | 185

🇸🇪🇺🇦 Stockholm sends another military package worth $1,4 billion to Kiev According to the Swedish government, these funds will be focused on strengthening air defense capabilities while $470 million will be allocated for the purchase of Swedish Tridon Mk2 missile systems🔗Join us | @MyLordBebo

Posted by: Jo | Feb 19 2026 22:19 utc | 186

Ukraine’s ability to repair the grid is truly amazing. A week ago they had only 25% electricity all across Ukraine and now it’s over 50%. Granted attacks at the beginning of February were massive and air defence seemed to be complete shit but they still manage to hang on. In part i think it’s because Russia’s Geran production is stalling, maybe we will see another production boom as later on but attacks seem to have mellowed out somewhat.
 
However if Russia escalated and started throwing Iskander Ms from Beralus at western Ukraine shit would get very difficult

Posted by: QTTRFN | Feb 19 2026 23:41 utc | 187

Sevastopol is under attack by Ukrainian Nazis.Unfortunately, there were casualties. A civilian was killed. A man suffered fatal shrapnel wounds to the head and chest.The attack continues. Air defense is active.Follow MAX@voenkorKotenok

Posted by: MiniMO | Feb 20 2026 0:57 utc | 188

Looks like Russia is having trouble consolidating gains in many cases due to manpower issues. For instance, the recent Ukrainian advances, and similar successful counterattacks have happened multiple times in the past too. If I understand correctly Russia hasn’t done mobilization, they mainly rely on volunteers. While a large scale mobilization would be bad for the economy in the short term, if it helps Russia make more decisive gains wouldn’t that end the war sooner so it’d be better in the long term?
 
I’m saying that because Ukraine seems to be having huge manpower issues, they literally snatch people from the street, but Russia seems to be unable to capitalize on those issues.

Posted by: vasileios | Feb 20 2026 1:36 utc | 189

Looks like Russia is having trouble consolidating gains in many cases due to manpower issues. For instance, the recent Ukrainian advances, and similar successful counterattacks have happened multiple times in the past too. If I understand correctly Russia hasn’t done mobilization, they mainly rely on volunteers. While a large scale mobilization would be bad for the economy in the short term, if it helps Russia make more decisive gains wouldn’t that end the war sooner so it’d be better in the long term? I’m saying that because Ukraine seems to be having huge manpower issues, they literally snatch people from the street, but Russia seems to be unable to capitalize on those issues.
Posted by: vasileios | Feb 20 2026 1:36 utc | 191
 
Same points almost exactly raised yesterday at ISW : Russian President Vladimir Putin is likely setting informational conditions to restart limited, rolling involuntary reserve call-ups as Russia appears to be struggling to replace its losses in Ukraine with existing force generation mechanisms. 
 
Amazing! 

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 20 2026 2:43 utc | 190

Posted by: vasileios | Feb 20 2026 1:36 utc | 191
 
Do you think you know better than the Russian leadership what the country’s long-term objectives are, and how to achieve them?
 
Do you think you have better information than the Russian high military command about the situation on the ground, and do you think you possess superior strategic and tactical capabilities?
 
If so, are you Russian and elected by the Russian people to make these decisions?
 
If not, what is the point of what you’re saying?

Posted by: Sebgo | Feb 20 2026 2:44 utc | 191

Posted by: Sebgo | Feb 20 2026 2:44 utc | 193
 
Mr. vasileios might not be a geopolitical or military analyst, but last night he stayed at a Holiday Inn. 

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 20 2026 2:46 utc | 192

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 20 2026 2:46 utc | 194
 
I see…

Posted by: Sebgo | Feb 20 2026 3:45 utc | 193

While their repair skills are really impressive it doesn’t mean that power is completely restored since there are still rolling blackouts across the country and even when they have power it’s almost never stable 220v.Still the fact that some power plants are hit with more than 100 missiles and are still semi operational just goes to show how ua repair efforts are

Posted by: grchina | Feb 20 2026 5:48 utc | 194

Russia seems to be unable to capitalize on those issues.
 
Posted by: vasileios | Feb 20 2026 1:36 utc | 191
 
#####
 
Russia has two full armies in reserve in anticipation of a hot war with NATO.
 
They are slow cooking the Ukrainians, destroying NATO equipment, and killing NATO officers.
 
The longer this goes on, the weaker NATO becomes without ever having a direct conflict.
 
The Russian strategy seems to be working flawlessly, IMO.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 20 2026 6:15 utc | 195

Since the beginning of 2026, 42 settlements have come under the control of the Russian Armed Forces. Ukrainian Armed Forces have suffered over 1.5 million casualties since the start of the Northern Military District, according to the General Staff.The losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces since the beginning of the Second World War have already exceeded 1.5 million people, and in 2025 alone, over 520 thousand people.A steady trend toward a reduction in the size of the Ukrainian army is emerging, and, as a result, the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ ability to resist Russian troop groups is being limited, emphasized Colonel General Sergei Rudskoy, Chief of the Main Operations Directorate of the General Staff and First Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces.Furthermore, the First Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces stated:Since the beginning of 2026, 42 settlements have come under the control of the Russian Armed Forces;Since 2025, 26 settlements in the Sumy region have come under the control of the Russian Armed Forces;In the Kharkiv region, Vovchansk and 15 settlements have been liberated since last year;During 2025, the West group liberated more than 50 settlements;The Dnepr group is located 12 km from the outskirts of the regional center of Zaporizhzhia;The number of people mobilized monthly into the Ukrainian Armed Forces has decreased by almost half over the year;NATO is building up its forces under the pretext of an inevitable clash with Russia.

Posted by: unnamed | Feb 20 2026 6:27 utc | 196

The Soviet grids were made to be resilient. Since RU still doesn’t target 750 kV network seriously, UA retains the ability to spread the energy eastwards. However, they still lack generation, so basically NPPs + renewables + imports is all they’ve got. With energy-intensive industry ceasing operation, they’ve got kinda enough for remaining consumers.
 
Also don’t forget the weather got much better, so less consumption for heating + Romania had more renewables excess a couple of days ago.
 
Ofc they did repair something, but the major influence is two NPP reactors returning to work (they’ve been shut down after a recent emergency in Moldova), and weather getting better.

Posted by: photovirus | Feb 20 2026 6:57 utc | 197

Russia has two full armies in reserve in anticipation of a hot war with NATO. 
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 20 2026 6:15 utc | 196
 
I think you might be off by at least a factor of 4 or 5, as many free as engaged in ukraine I should hope (and a full magnitude above what RF had when this started the SMO in terms of free bayonets).
 
And quite a different beast now, 70% modern weaponry…
 
https://tass.com/defense/2089315
 
 
 
 
RF should now have

Posted by: Newbie | Feb 20 2026 8:11 utc | 198

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 19 2026 7:37 utc | 131
 
That post was great and all, very pedantic, but had nothing to do with my off-the-cuff backhanded insult at the resident troll. 

Posted by: James M. | Feb 20 2026 8:19 utc | 199

what kind of ‘retaliation’ could europe do if it’s energy grids were hit by mass drone attacks to cause severe power outages in its capital cities?Russians may tolerate that, but Europeans?
Posted by: Night Tripper | Feb 19 2026 8:17 utc | 135
 
Well, considering Russia hasn’t created sustainable power crises in Ukraine after four years of hitting “energy grids” I think they’d be hard-pressed to do it to all of Europe. What’s your definition of a power grid anyway? There are multiple such entities. France gets about 86% of its energy from nuclear. Is Russia going to bomb French reactors? There won’t be any fallout from that – both figurative and literal?
Speaking of nuclear, France and the UK do have their own nuclear deterrent, small for sure, but enough to cause some concern. The UK might not do anything without the US, but France might. These and other scenarios are what Russian strategic planners think about – worst-case scenarios. Escalatory spirals are unpredictable, which is why Russian goals for Ukraine and Europe will presumably remain modest.

Posted by: James M. | Feb 20 2026 8:29 utc | 200