Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
February 18, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-043

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

1.235  AFU casualties, no tass or fresh marat so I’ll repost the link from last thread (otherwise it’ll be a bit one sided when the AFU fans get here)
“Today’s summary (February 17, 2026) of the Russia-Ukraine conflict (special military operation). This incorporates the latest developments from today, with a major focus on the ongoing trilateral peace talks in Geneva.

  • Russian forces advance and improve positions — Group “West” improved tactical positions, inflicting losses on Ukrainian forces in Kharkov region and DPR areas; Group “North” occupied more advantageous positions; Ukrainian counterattacks repelled in Kharkov and Sumy regions (several failed attempts); catastrophic situation reported for Ukrainian units south of Kupyansk-Uzlovoy (Kharkov region) per captured testimonies and MoD.”

etc….
https://askeptic.substack.com/p/a-skeptic-news-alternative-media-342

Posted by: Newbie | Feb 18 2026 17:21 utc | 1

Russia may be planning to defend Baltic shipping using weapons stationed in Kaliningrad.
 

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 18 2026 17:30 utc | 2

G4S is not a name many would directly associate with Ukraine, I certainly didn’t until reading this Substack: https://ukrleakseng.substack.com/p/protecting-zelensky-and-killing-civilians
 
It’s quite a lengthy read, here’s a sample:

The involvement of a British private military company in the organization of secret prisons where Ukrainian nationalists detained, tortured, and killed political prisoners became public thanks to the efforts of the Russian Foreign Ministry. However, the very existence of such prisons and the lawlessness within them has been repeatedly acknowledged even in the West. For example, in 2016-2018, the non-pro-Russian NGO Amnesty International reported on “unofficial” facilities where Kiev detained those undesirable to the regime in Kharkov, Izyum, and in the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) territories under its control, including Kramatorsk and Mariupol. In May 2016, a delegation from the UN Subcommittee on Prevention of Torture arrived in Ukraine to investigate the situation. However, they left empty-handed – the SBU refused them entry to the facilities where, according to UN officials, the secret prisons were located. However, in compiling yet more fruitless reports, foreign human rights activists made no mention of G4S—simply because the PMC was not formally affiliated with any Ukrainian penitentiary institutions, and its employees were secretly recruited to support the SBU’s secret prison system.

 

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 17:33 utc | 3

🙏🙏What the Holy Bible says of this horrific decade just ahead of us.. Here’s a site expounding current global events in the light of bible prophecy.. To read this more, pls check in google👇 Bible Prophecy in Action blogspot 

Posted by: Jo | Feb 18 2026 17:38 utc | 4

Remember , there are “talks” in progress, so there will be a tsunami of propaganda out there about each side “winning” … while bodies are piling up and up and up.
The, so called, “talks” are just that : results will be minimalist at best and everyone will have won in the end. The West have not acknowledge it’s defeat , the East has not matched it’s objective and none of the sponsors are really ready to accept a solution.
Until the last … I propose to rename the SMO as “Kokholestmort “, that’s a bit latin : let’s say it’s scientific 🙂

Posted by: Savonarole | Feb 18 2026 17:43 utc | 5

Posted by: Jo | Feb 18 2026 17:38 utc | 4

Do we have a fake “Jo”?

pls check in google

is not something I’d expect to see from the usual “Jo”…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 17:44 utc | 6

Posted by: Savonarole | Feb 18 2026 17:43 utc | 5
 
The latest AFU attack in eastern Zap direction was timed to gain some ground back and ‘strengthen’ the AFU position in negotiation.
 
Ultimately, I think it will weaken the AFU positions as highly experienced troops were sacrificed in unfavorable circumstances for a ‘better position’. RUAF did not abandon their strong points as the offensive assumed and the infantry AFU managed to land in tree lines ‘behind’ of RUAF lines are sitting without cover, waiting to be mopped up. The AFU attacks on strong points achieved nothing.
 
It might ‘delay’ RUAF move on Zaporozhye for a month or two, but this is inconsequential considering RUAF regrouping wasn’t yet finished anyway or spring or summer hasn’t even started yet. So it will happen a bit later in the fall, perhaps.
 
I think you could cautiously say Konstantinovka is already crumbling, with RUAF taking the SW citadel. That will again enable to move more troops to the west into Zap region and on the road toward Pavlograd. According to Stanislav Krapivnik, most of the RUAF troops after Pokrovsk were precisely retasked to Konstantinovka, not eastern Zap/Orekhov.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 18 2026 17:50 utc | 7

The West have not acknowledge it’s defeat 
Posted by: Savonarole | Feb 18 2026 17:43 utc | 5
 
 The “spirit of Anchorage” says that Us won. Return of dollar trade, return of Us companies and the sell of resources for nothing is here as explained by Putin in the interview with Zarubin many months before Alaska.  I hope Russia will request dollar payments from Eu as well.
And the Ukrainian exchange student looks like he might become Russia’s Camacho by 2030 but until then Medvedev offered to put order in Eu for Trumpy, so he wil be busy showing Trumpy who is the best servant while Trumpy will do the same for master Bibi and bomb Iran into space. 

Posted by: rk | Feb 18 2026 18:20 utc | 8

Posted by: rk | Feb 18 2026 18:20 utc | 8
 
#####
 
What has the US won?

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 18 2026 18:26 utc | 9

Odessa. People can’t stand it. The people hate it

~~~

And now the damned shopping center is getting fucked up:
 

” A group of military personnel experienced aggressive physical pressure from civilians. Instead of fulfilling the legitimate demands of the representatives of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the crowd resorted to mass obstruction of state activities in the field of mobilization training. During the incident , tear gas and physical force were used against the servicemen. As a result of illegal actions , the personnel received injuries of varying severity and chemical burns to the cornea of the eyes. The injured servicemen were hospitalized. The attackers also damaged an official car and video recording equipment.”
 

So what happened?..
 
This was the Tairov district, the so-called sleeping part of it… But how can I tell you? If “The Boy’s Word” was filmed in Odessa, then in this area . In addition, there is a market nearby.
 
And so the guy was dragged into the bus, and the drivers, seeing this, blocked the road to the bus. En Masse. And the people at the bus stop joined in. And the merchant aunts [from the market] began to beat them off. And then some “kid” from the booth with “used pressed phones” intervened. And then the “representatives of the Caucasian nationality” caught up and also broke into the fray of whistles in a group.
 
The guy was pulled out of the bus. ” Run! ” they shouted. He ran away.
 
~~~

https://politnavigator.news/odessa-narod-ne-vyderzhivaet-narod-nenavidit.html (via translation add-on.)
 

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 18:35 utc | 10

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 17:33 utc | 3
 
Proactive security services. Sounds like ICE. Very reassuring.
 
From their own webpage:
 

G4S is part of Allied Universal®, a leading security and facility services company that provides proactive security services and cutting-edge smart technology to deliver tailored, integrated security solutions that allow clients to focus on their core business. Our global workforce of more than 760,000 people, provides integrated security services that combine security personnel, technology, and a variety of professional services. Our team reflects the company’s core purpose of serving and helping to safeguard customers, communities, and people around the world.

 
 

Posted by: Avtonom | Feb 18 2026 18:38 utc | 11

Hi Fanboys..  do you still like Putin’s slow and gay war? 😀 what a loser, not strong enough to win against Luxembourg..

Posted by: Joe911 | Feb 18 2026 18:43 utc | 12

Hungary, following Slovakia, is halting diesel fuel supplies to Ukraine.

It seems the Kyiv clown has played himself out, testing the patience of the heads of government of neighboring Slovakia and Hungary. Zelenskyy directed the most openly rude public insults, including on the sidelines of the Munich Security Summit, at Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán.

In principle, the highly experienced politician Orbán never stooped to the level of a Kyiv actor. But the final straw that broke the camel’s back for the heads of the Slovak and Hungarian cabinets was Kyiv’s halting of Russian oil transit shipments via the Druzhba pipeline. This move, which no longer affected Orbán and Fico’s pride but directly impacted the people of their countries, was inevitable and they could not help but respond with concrete measures.

 

Bratislava was the first to react. Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico announced that diesel fuel exports from Slovakia to Ukraine would be halted. If Kyiv does not restore transit of Russian oil through the Druzhba pipeline, Bratislava will then also halt electricity exports to Ukraine, Fico warned. He noted that in January of this year, twice as much electricity was shipped to Ukraine as was planned for the entire 2025.

This means these supplies are essential for Ukraine’s energy system. If President Zelenskyy deems them unnecessary, we can cease cooperation on electricity supplies.
 
 
Budapest has taken similar measures, without yet halting electricity exports. Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade Péter Szijjártó stated that Hungary, following Slovakia’s lead, is halting diesel fuel supplies to Ukraine for the same reason: the blockage of the Druzhba pipeline.

Hungary has stopped supplying diesel fuel to Ukraine and will not resume them until oil begins flowing through the Druzhba pipeline.
 
 
In fact, Zeleny has reached the point of sheer insanity in his rabid Russophobia. Slovak and Hungarian refineries obtain diesel fuel, much needed not only for Ukrainian Armed Forces equipment, from Russian oil. They have virtually no other sources of hydrocarbon imports.

Moreover, this time, Zelenskyy was not even supported in Brussels. The European Commission officially demanded that the Druzhba oil pipeline, which supplies crude to Slovakia and Hungary, be restored as soon as possible. Kyiv must provide the EC with a detailed repair plan for the pipeline, which, according to Ukraine, was allegedly damaged by Russian airstrikes in late January of this year.

Earlier, Szijjártó stated that Ukraine blocked Russian oil transit via the Druzhba pipeline in an attempt to provoke a crisis and incite tensions against Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. According to the Hungarian Foreign Minister, Zelenskyy decided to interfere in the country’s internal affairs to support the opposition ahead of parliamentary elections, but the authorities guarantee the security of supplies and are already taking measures to protect the domestic market.

https://en.topwar.ru/278150-vengrija-vsled-za-slovakiej-ostanavlivaet-postavku-diztopliva-na-ukrainu.html

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 18:48 utc | 13

not strong enough to win against Luxembourg..

Posted by: Joe911 | Feb 18 2026 18:43 utc | 12
 
Well, strangely enough, it was Ukraine which signed a mutual security agreement with Luxembourg a couple of years ago; doesn’t seem to have helped them much.
 
Apparently issues emerged over the prospect of joint navy exercises…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 18:54 utc | 14

@ Avtonom | Feb 18 2026 18:38 utc | 11
 
G4S are bad news wherever they turn up; part of the increasing privatisation of “security” and “law enforcement” quietly taking place in the West. Further discussion is probably better off in the current Open thread.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 18:58 utc | 15

Posted by: Jo | Feb 18 2026 17:38 utc | 4

“Prophecys,” become easy if you run a Repeat Racket….

Posted by: Nobody | Feb 18 2026 19:00 utc | 16

@ Joe911 | Feb 18 2026 18:43 utc | 12
 
lovely comment from such a winner as you, lolol… 

Posted by: james | Feb 18 2026 19:01 utc | 17

Joe 911,
You do realize Caesar and Alexander the Great were gay right?

Posted by: Polli | Feb 18 2026 19:01 utc | 18

A quick few pull quotes from ISW, which seems to be a compass for the direction of western propaganda:  
 
 [Russian] Deputies and senators continued to claim that Russia should only negotiate with the United States, and that Russia and the United States together should act in the “spirit of Anchorage” — a reference to the Kremlin’s insistence that the United States and Russia came to an alleged agreement during the August 2025 Alaska Summit to end the war based on Russian President Vladimir Putin’s public demands for Ukrainian and NATO capitulation.
 
 
Alaska was capitulation, i.e. “appeasement” – oldest narrative in the book. 
 
 
Malofeev [referring to a piece published by a Russian journalist in the Russian ultranationalist television network Tsargrad] often appeals to Russian nationalists to convince them that Russia has no other choice but to fight against Ukraine and NATO. The op-ed in Tsargrad likely aims to condition Russian ultranationalists — a key constituency of Putin — to believe that Russia has no intention of abandoning its original war aims or of compromising to end Russia’s war. ISW continues to assess that the Kremlin has not prepared Russian society for the idea of possible Russian concessions and compromises to end the war.[23]
 
 
I have argued in this bar that referring to Ukrainians as “Nazis” has less impact than referring to them as ultranationalists, because of the western conception that a Nazi qualification is involvement in concentration camps. A better judo move would be to draw energy from the west’s own “ultranationalist” terminology, which fits better to the Ukrainians that the Russians. The debate about which country better fits the “Ultranationalist” label would draw more attention to the facts falling within the characterization than any other characterization.   
 
 
This narrative also reinforces the perception that Russia is a dictatorship where the media does not operate like in the west, where it is used to very very very democratically to “prepare” society – not propagandize obviously obviously obviously.  In the west the best propagandists are the leaders, unlike in Russia. All this bears a nod to Todd and prevalent western family structures vs eastern family structures but that would be a digression.  

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 18 2026 19:05 utc | 19

Posted by: Polli | Feb 18 2026 19:01 utc | 18
OP Sec….Dont be blackmailed by Wife & Children…

Posted by: Nobody | Feb 18 2026 19:05 utc | 20

Talks on Ukraine in Geneva Were Difficult – Kremlin

https://sputnikglobe.com/20260218/talks-on-ukraine-in-geneva-were-difficult—kremlin-1123654852.html

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 19:14 utc | 21

I only watch enough of Military Channel these days to get the 5 minutes in for an official like and a view.  The talks are trash, the front line reports are mostly lies (not Dima’s fault that the information that he has to work with is mostly false), and stories that sound nice have no resemblance to anything that happened in Ukraine.
 
What I DID check for is the slow steady advances by Russia in the lines away from the counter offensives.  That is still happening.  In the past, in Pokrovsk, Niu York, and Toretsk, there were “dramatic counter offensives that were JUST ABOUT TO SURROUND TONS OF RUSSIAN TROOPS”.  They eventually stopped being reported on, and then eventually oh yeah all this counter offensive land taken by Ukraine – it’s all in Russian hands now.  Kursk was just a much more extensive variation of the same idea, though for periods of time the US, I mean Ukraine, actually controlled Russian territory for months at a time.
 
The one notable difference is that the US Shock and Awe attacks launched mostly from Ukrainian territory deep into Russian territory are more deadly than ever before.  Or at least are composed of twice as many drones and even some missiles.  My interpretation is that NATO sent in a bunch of drones and a bunch of mercenaries to do the Shock and Awe attacks and the counter offensives.  A reasonably large counter offensive force from what I can tell.
 
What I noticed is that on day 1, Dima credited Ukraine with a bunch of captured territory.  And each day the bunch of territory that the US has “control of” does not get any larger.  This tells me that this counter offensive will likely end up like the previous ones.
 
The US has proven that it can still supply a decent Shock and Awe attack over at least a week, and a modest counter offensive.  Pretty pathetic in one sense.  But enough that Russia still needs to work hard against the US in Ukraine.  As far as the talks go?    That talks show that after a year of Trump the deal maker, the US, EU, and Ukraine are incapable of coming up with a united document to present to Russia and the world as its official negotiating position.  Russia seems to be trolling these talks by getting people to pay attention to the complete buffoonry displayed by US, EU, and Ukrainian diplomats.  Diplomats?  Maybe talking heads would be a more accurate phrase. 

Posted by: Woke American | Feb 18 2026 19:27 utc | 22

RUAF is able to advance in the southern end of Haichur river, despite the AFU attacks north along the river. RUAF has been forced on the defensive amid the kitchen sink AFU effort along the river, but expanded west and north-west of Gulyapole, consolidating the base control of the river.

 

Russian Army Advances Near Huliaipole As It Repels More Ukrainian Attacks In Zaporozhye (Videos)

 
 
https://southfront.press/russian-army-advances-near-huliaipole-as-it-repels-more-ukrainian-attacks-in-zaporozhye-videos/

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 18 2026 19:33 utc | 23

Trouble in River City?
 

Faction-fighting around the Kremlin over what this means has triggered dismay among those Russian businessmen who have acquired their new economic power with takeovers of foreign assets released by the exit of U.S. and European corporations since 2022. These Russian sources report resentment at the backing which Putin has given to Russian Central Bank (CBR) Governor Elvira Nabiullina’s continuing high-interest rate policy for Russian borrowers in parallel with Dmitriev’s plan for low-interest rate U.S. investors to re-enter Russia, recover their former market share, and generate the appearance of an investment stimulus in the run-up to the the State Duma elections on September 20.

 
https://mronline.org/2026/02/18/stab-in-the-back/

Posted by: drinky crow | Feb 18 2026 19:36 utc | 24

Posted by: Woke American | Feb 18 2026 19:27 utc | 22
 
Russian military doctrine includes strategic retreat where counterattacking forces are directed by natural and manmade obstacles into kill zones. The effectiveness of this doctrine is not a part of the narrative, obviously. 

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 18 2026 19:37 utc | 25

Linked above^^^^^
 

A Dubai source engaged in trade payment arbitrage adds:
Even after the [Russian] Central Bank made the renminbi a reserve currency, the trade in renminbi has carried heavy costs for Russians, and many Chinese exporters simply refuse to do settlements in RMB. With India, the Central Bank never looked at Indian rupees as a reserve currency and has been very lukewarm. Russian Big Business more so. Their only interest with India has been in making large profits in trade and nothing else. No investment, no joint production. So Putin’s backing for Nabiullina and Dmitriev means fixation on the U.S. dollar and submission to U.S. hegemony. By the way, this is egg on the face of every podcaster talking of BRICS currency and Russia’s Eastern Pivot as gamechangers in multipolarity.

Posted by: drinky crow | Feb 18 2026 19:43 utc | 26

I dunno, beginning to wonder if I should change my screen name to Huck Felmer…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 19:44 utc | 27

12no. Joe911 is referring to the daring cross-border raid Luxembourg conducted yesterday, capturing several dozen square kilometers of Russian territory,.

Posted by: nazcalito | Feb 18 2026 19:57 utc | 28

Posted by: drinky crow | Feb 18 2026 19:36 utc | 24
—————————
The link points to J. Helmer article who writes “President Vladimir Putin has given instructions to accept the Trump Administration’s demand that in exchange for lifting sanctions against Russia, U.S. capital must return to Russia on preferential terms as soon as possible.”
 
Did DJT lift any sanction against Russia, even the less strict one? Not even the restoration of normal diplomatic representation has been implemented by Trump.
 
Words.

Posted by: scc | Feb 18 2026 19:58 utc | 29

..because it doesn’t matter what Helmer, Doctorow or Korybko write about the political situation in Russia, what matters is the political situation in Ukraine; how stable or unstable is it? Who will be brought down by corruption scandals? And how much of the bringing down is motivated by competing Western influences?
 
How much local resistance action will there be? How much aimed at the Kiev junta?
 
And what of Ukraine’s financial future? Loads of bonds are supposed to mature this year. Plenty of verbiage about Russia’s finances but no analysis of Ukraine.
 
The Three Stooges named above seem to largely ignore these issues; maybe I’m the only one who finds that peculiar, in which case I apologise to all those barflies (and fleas) who breathlessly hang on every word emitted by the fine gentlemen in question.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 19:58 utc | 30

Hungary and Slovakia have halted diesel fuel deliveries to Ukraine following Ukraine’s decision to halt oil transit via the Druzhba pipeline.

Posted by: Fredrick | Feb 18 2026 20:09 utc | 31

EU is now demanding Ukraine rebuild the Druzhba oil pipeline to transfer Russian oil.
 
The economic pain for EU must be insurmountable.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 18 2026 20:12 utc | 32

Apologies for continuing a somewhat disjointed rant, but none of Korybko, Helmer or Doctorow ever wonder why there are explosions, shootings, stabbings and mobbings of the Ukrainian TCC press-gangs.
 
Or why people in Ukraine block the streets in protest over the lack of electricity and the delays in restoration of supplies, despite the corporate and governmental blandishments that everything is being repaired and normalised?
 
Nope, it’s “Putin capitulating, Putin in thrall of the oligarchs, Putin faction-fighting for political survival” and other pseudo-analytical carp. Leave it alone, guys, the determining factor is Ukraine, what demilitarisation and denazification actually look like, taking into account the facts on the ground and addressing the root causes.
 
December 2021 was a long time ago now, in the Western goldfish-tier memory. A goldfish memory not helped by dubiously sourced speculation passed off as serious analysis.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 20:20 utc | 33

Alexander Dugin says the claims of Russia offering $12 trillion deals in exchange for US lifting sanctions is false.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 18 2026 20:22 utc | 34

The economic pain for EU must be insurmountable.
 
Posted by: unimperator | Feb 18 2026 20:12 utc | 32
 
#####
 
Russia is just getting started. The Russians know how to nurse a grudge.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 18 2026 20:24 utc | 35

Russia needs to begin asap, escorting tankers with its Northern Fleet destroyers, frigates, corvettes and cpv’s and avoid the English Channel, go to the west of Ireland (Ireland has no effective navy at this point).
This will take the tankers out of range of RN usv’s………….and protect the tankers against seizure by the RN.
Allowing these tankers to be picked off one by one is poor policy……get it done.

Posted by: tobias cole | Feb 18 2026 20:27 utc | 36

Boris Johnson just demanded EU declare war and go fight Russia.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 18 2026 20:29 utc | 37

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 18 2026 20:29 utc | 37

Boris Johnson just demanded EU declare war and go fight Russia.

This makes me almost melancholic because we don’t do declarations of war anymore.
 
Boris got his wish when he subverted the 2022 Istanbul talks (certainly on behalf of USA and EU too). Now, sadly, Ukrainians run out and it’s time to prepare EUropeans’ minds for the inevitable next step. And everyone: “For freedom!”
 
Many thanks for your postings, unimp!

Posted by: Konami | Feb 18 2026 20:35 utc | 38

Desperate begging to just stop winning!
 
Jusr as that gnome lady mushroom eater did with China – slow down! Please please please … 🤮 
 
 
‘Talks have been difficult but will continue’
 
 
Meantime the ‘thousand bomber raids’ build daily. 
 
 
natzios should prepare the standard procedure when expecting incoming strategic raids. 
 
stick their heads between their legs and kiss their arses goodbye. 

Posted by: DunGroanin | Feb 18 2026 20:44 utc | 39

Boris Johnson just demanded EU declare war and go fight Russia.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 18 2026 20:29 utc | 37
 
The slight problem with BoJo’s demand is the EU isn’t a military body.
 
Where is the Central Command? Where are its Chiefs of Staff based? Divisions in the EU means disagreements, not sizeable military contingents…
 
Also interesting that BoJo wants the EU to fight, which of course excludes the UK…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 20:44 utc | 40

@LoveDonbass | Feb 18 2026 20:24 utc | 35
Russia is just getting started. The Russians know how to nurse a grudge.
########
yeah, right. I’ve been hearing that Russia is just getting started since 2022.
as far as the grudge, well, we will see. The impression is that Russia is eager to restore good relations with the USA, while it is waging a war against Russia, which only indicate that Russia has probably learned little.
My prediction is that Russi will be f..ed in her a..rse like not one inch East, and the two Minsk agreements.
I hope time will prove me wrong

Posted by: DS | Feb 18 2026 20:44 utc | 41

Korybko, Helmer or Doctorow share one thing in common. They are essentially Americans. Educated in the USA (Harvard)  they may have some pro Russian sympathies but essentially they belong to the expat communities who have some connections to Russian elites or opinion makers but they are still observers not really part of anything. 
Helmer also has some strong connection to western elite/power brokers, via his uncle Sir Zelman Cowan, a Rhodes scholar, and leader in the Melbourne Jewish intellectual community.

Posted by: watcher | Feb 18 2026 20:48 utc | 42

‘How is This Even Possible?’
 
https://x.com/anatoliisharii/status/2023784250948915680
 
“I am interested in one question. The son of the Minister of Energy of a country at war, a country that is poor, that asks everyone for money, enrols his son in Switzerland in the most expensive college in Europe.
 
Over 4 years of study there, during the war, the Ukrainian minister pays 1 million euros for tuition.
 
The wife of the Ukrainian minister and his three other children live in comfortable conditions in Switzerland, rent luxury houses and transfer millions into their accounts in Europe.
 
Please tell me, are the European oversight structures simply mentally disabled, or maybe they are in on it? How is this even possible?”
 
NATO citizens should be asking similar questions as to why their own social conditions worsen by the day even as their ‘representatives’  send more and more of their money into the gory great grift that is the Ukraine proxy war. 

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 18 2026 20:53 utc | 43

The impression is that Russia is eager to restore good relations with the USA

Posted by: DS | Feb 18 2026 20:44 utc | 41
 
Well, if you read the Western MSM or some of the dubious so-called alt-analysts, of course you will form that impression.
 
We could even see that Russia recognises that the USA is still a nuclear-armed power in the world, and should be recognised as such, along with Russia itself and China. So. with that in mind, it is better to talk than not to talk.
 
Remember, Russia has the lived experience of being a nuclear power, yet still undergoing internal collapse; why wouldn’t it wish to avoid such a fate befalling the USA? The outcome may not be predictable. So talk is preferable to no talk.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 20:56 utc | 44

watcher@42:
 
So we should stick with the ex MI6/ CIA agents of the ex Fox News judge nap stable only?

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 18 2026 20:59 utc | 45

@ Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 19:58 utc | 30 // 33 and @ watcher | Feb 18 2026 20:48 utc | 42
 
hi jeremy / watcher… i can understand your rant jeremy and it is not without some justification.  but what if dealing with the nazis was in fact dealing with the world financial system that brought this war to russias doorstep?? what if the financial overlords of the planet are the actual nazis here?? 
 
the reality i see is that they don’t want the war to end…. war = money… a tried and true recipe that the political bojo jackasses of the world are completely okay with… cause city of london and wall st have to eat too ya know??  in other words, there is a much bigger game at play and no analyst is going to see it all, but more like a small vignette of it.. 
 
apparently the imf loans to ukraine are being waved for another year here.. as i understand it, this is because they are trying to work out a deal favourable to these same financial overlords who bring us this crap… imf and world bank have been the gift that keeps on giving these same folks behind the city of london and wall st… 
 
i guess this is why i find the epstein revelvations so fascinating from a financial point of view… i highly recommend this guys substack on this topic..  i think the financial angle of ukraine and what is happening as extremely relevant to the larger picture going on here… but hey, i also understand it is fun to trash analysts too, lol…  i think it best to keep it all in perspective and not put too much faith in any analyst… a modicum of skepticism is necessary.. 

Posted by: james | Feb 18 2026 21:09 utc | 46

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 18 2026 20:59 utc | 45
 
Ideally we would not follow any foreign agents. However all view points are important, even those of spies.  The main thing is to be aware of the inherent bias of ALL sources and to know who are their main sources of information.
 
In the case of Helmer to me he comes across as angry and embittered, and seems to have an anti-Putin bias. Now Helmer arrived in Russia in the heady/corrupt era of the 1990s and no doubt (almost essentially) his connections would have been with the powerful of the era, the oligarchs and Russian mafia, possibly the community of his wife. As a journalist he would have been seeking connections with the elite who ran the country.
 
Now Putin forced limits on the power of the oligarchs and it is probable that these would have included many of Helmer’s (and most other western journalists) main contacts.  So his stuff may be useful but remember he is seeing it through the eyes of the powerful of 1995, not necessarily those powerful in 2025

Posted by: watcher | Feb 18 2026 21:11 utc | 47

I gather one “new” demand by the Russian is that NATO should sign a paper declaring that it will not “advance” eastwards. ie willy-washy “promises” are no longer good enough.

Posted by: Stonebird | Feb 18 2026 21:12 utc | 48

So we should stick with the ex MI6/ CIA agents of the ex Fox News judge nap stable only?

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 18 2026 20:59 utc | 45
 
That would be the ex-CIA agents who have face-to-face interviews with General Apti Alaudinov? Or Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov? We are talking about the same guys, right?
 
Weird that Doctorow, Helmer or Korybko don’t get to have these interview opportunities, don’t you think?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 21:12 utc | 49

Tarik Cyril Amar: Ukrainians Are Ready to Fight – Against Getting Sent To War
 
https://www.rt.com/news/632554-ukraine-conscription-zelensky-war
 
“As Vladimir Zelensky pretends he is not losing, his citizens are increasingly rising up against forced conscription…”
 
Since it is vast sums and support from Western governments that permit this lucrative proxy-war horror-show to continue, perhaps the citizens and taxpayers of NATOstan should do whatever they can instead of nothing they can to impress upon their governmental representatives that approve this death machine – that they are not in favour and to stop doing so?

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 18 2026 21:17 utc | 50

“Korybko, Helmer or Doctorow share one thing in common. They are essentially Americans. Educated in the USA (Harvard)  they may have some pro Russian sympathies but essentially they belong to the expat communities 
Posted by: watcher | Feb 18 2026 20:48 utc | 42
 
Korybko is a Russian citizen and lives there. 

Posted by: Knewt | Feb 18 2026 21:22 utc | 51

I have a question that someone (B???) may be able to answer.  it may be relevant to today or the way Putin thinks.
 
When the USSR collapsed someone/group ensured that the nuclear armaments all went to Russia and did not stay with Ukraine, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Belarus etc, all of whom may have had a claim. I can only say Hallelujah about that, because nukes in Ukraine would by now have triggered WWIII and destruction of humanity.
 
If (when) the USA collapses, who gets custody of their nukes. Putin (and sane people around the world) may wisely wish to avoid a complete USA collapse, because just imagine the government of a deep South state with nukes. Would anyone in the USA (or world) be strong enough to ensure that ALL US nukes were controlled by the saner elements of the USA (if there is one).

Posted by: watcher | Feb 18 2026 21:24 utc | 52

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 18 2026 18:26 utc | 9
 
I have no idea what the US has won but the American people have won a depression and a group of evil “leaders” as a bonus. We’re all so fucking thrilled. 

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Feb 18 2026 21:24 utc | 53

Anyway, enough of the topic drift, here’s a long article discussing the political motivations arising in the Ukraine “recruitment system”: https://regionews.ua/ukr/articles/1770984713-povistka-dlya-mera-yak-mobilizatsiya-stae-zasobom-politichnoyi-rozpravi
 
The translated title:

Agenda for the mayor. How mobilization becomes a means of political repression

Including this:

Mobilization as revenge
 
Recall, for example, the story of the journalist Bohdan Butkevich, who was mobilized, as his wife, also a journalist Marina Danilyuk-Ermolaeva, said, as revenge for criticizing the odious people’s deputy – “servant” Mariana Bezuglaya. The scandal surrounding the head of the Anti-Corruption Center Vitaly Shabunin.
 
Here you can also recall the revelations of the former wife of the People’s Deputy from the OPP (and the head of the presidential administration-the traitor Viktor Yanukovich) Sergey Lyovochkin. Zinaida Kubar said that her ex-husband used the levers available to him, formally a representative of a minority opposition political force, to put pressure on her current husband.
 

Levochkin ordered “the transfer of my husband Vladislav Shevchenko, a soldier of the State Border Guard Service and a participant in military operations, to another military unit, in order to organize revenge,” Kubar wrote in social networks.
 

It is possible to discuss each of these cases, but the fact is that more and more often there is information about the use of the process of mobilization and military service in general as revenge or reprisal. And we need to do something about it. Service in the army, which has already suffered serious informational blows both from significant losses at the front and from not quite adequate “bugging”, such stories simply finish off to an unpleasant end.

via translation add-on.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 21:25 utc | 54

Judging by reports, the AFU offensive in eastern Zap region lost steam and they have now lost the initiative. The Russian regrouping and coming offensive to surround Orekhov and Zaporozhye will resume, now facing less AFU defenses than were they not to launch this attack.
 

Huliaipole Sector: Ukraine Loses Initiative In Zaporizhzhia To Russian Army Again  (https://southfront.press/huliaipole-sector-ukraine-loses-initiative-in-zaporizhzhia-to-russian-army-again/)
In the Zaporizhzhia area, units from the 127th Division of the “East” military grouping have taken control of Krynichne. They repelled attacks by Ukrainian forces from the 95th Air Assault Brigade and the 225th Separate Assault Regiment in Sosnivka, Hai, and Otradne.
In the Sumy region, Russian troops expanded their presence in the Shostka district by capturing Kharkivka and advancing up to 800 meters in several sectors. Meanwhile, Russian aviation struck the barracks of the 35th Separate Rifle Battalion in Krasnopillia.
In the Kharkiv area, heavy fighting continues near Vovchansk. Russian troops advanced toward Vovchanski Khutory and Starytsia. They destroyed an RAK-12 multiple launch rocket system (MLRS) in Okhrimivka and repelled counterattacks by the 113th Territorial Defense Brigade.
Read more HERE (https://southfront.press/huliaipole-sector-ukraine-loses-initiative-in-zaporizhzhia-to-russian-army-again/)

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 18 2026 21:25 utc | 55

“The Three Stooges named above seem to largely ignore these issues; maybe I’m the only one who finds that peculiar, in which case I apologise to all those barflies (and fleas) who breathlessly hang on every word emitted by the fine gentlemen in question.
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 19:58 utc | 30
 
Go to Korybko’s site and debate your points with him. Hes very open to doing that as long as you’ll be cordial. It will prove your point much better then sitting on here calling people names. 

Posted by: Knewt | Feb 18 2026 21:26 utc | 56

Posted by: watcher | Feb 18 2026 21:24 utc | 51
 
If (when) the USA collapses, who gets custody of their nukdes?
 
There. Fixed it for you. 

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Feb 18 2026 21:28 utc | 57

Back at the previous thread, I was under the impression of today’s Cross Talk, in a relaxed mood cause nobody there expected America to actually start a war with Iran. But now that I’ve also watched Mercouris’s recent program, and it left me in a very unsettled state of mind:

  • The Geneva talks with Iran are, on the American side, no more than an alibi. Marco Rubio is in no way participating, although he is the Secretary of State, and could become the next president.
  • Iran has had a drill in the Strait of Hormuz, rehearsing the closure of that strait – so they must be expecting war
  • The West is discussing all kinds of actions trying to shut down Russia’s overseas trade, to isolate the Kaliningrad enclave, and to deny Russian ships the passage through the Baltic Sea.

Of these points, the last one is the most unsettling: interference with its commercial fleet is something Moscow simply cannot tolerate. It will cause a change in Russia’s patience, they will respond militarily, because they said so, and that will be against NATO targets, and there we’ll find ourselves at the start of WW3. 
 
So far, DJT is against any escalation with Russia, for instance, he ordered that no Tomahawks be delivered to Ukraine. But think of him in the context of a war with Iran: Both Russia and China are already busy at preparing Iran for war, and they are providing both state-of-the-art weaponry and satellite intelligence to Iran. Thus, a conflict between the superpowers, over Iran, appears likely, and it might easily push Trump to a more belligerent stance in the question of the Baltic Sea as well.

Posted by: grunzt | Feb 18 2026 21:34 utc | 58

Jeremy Rhymings-Lang@49:
 
“Weird that Doctorow, Helmer or Korybko don’t get to have the same interview opportunities, don’t you think?”
 
Don’t know. Generally high ranking officials usually prefer to grant access or interviews to those that can best be relied upon to transmit the official narratives, no? As I previously responded to someone else here – I try to read as many analysts as I can, but Korybko or Doctorow I seldom get to or see here.

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 18 2026 21:35 utc | 59

Thank you for your common sense comments, Jeremy Rhymings-Lang.   I always appreciate you bringing us back to reality,  especially when laced with humor.   

Posted by: wagelaborer | Feb 18 2026 21:43 utc | 60

@frithguild 25
 
Russian military doctrine includes strategic retreat where counterattacking forces are directed by natural and manmade obstacles into kill zones. The effectiveness of this doctrine is not a part of the narrative, obviously. 
 
Your last sentence made me laugh.  Judging by today’s reports, it looks like this particular counter offensive fizzled faster than previous ones.  It was hyped harder and covered more territory, so I assumed that it contained larger and more effective forces than previous counter offensives.
 
I apparently assumed incorrectly.

Posted by: Woke American | Feb 18 2026 21:49 utc | 61

@ james | Feb 18 2026 21:09 utc | 46
 
All very good points, I‘d like to expand on this:

the reality i see is that they don’t want the war to end…. war = money

a little bit more, in that it only works while the weapons have a modicum of credibility. If F-35s really are having their nose cones filled with gym weights rather than radar equipment then the actionable capability is starting to expire, therefore the financial gravy train dries up, and in turn the few remaining actual militarily-aware staff and advisors start hoisting storm cones, highlighting the gap between policy narrative and achievability.
 
And there’s the cancellation or curtailment of numerous other US military projects; I was recently reading about the doubts surrounding the Sentinel replacement for the old silo-based Minuteman system.
 
Yes, war = money, until war becomes unaffordable, because the MIC trough has got so deep that the weapons themselves are too expensive, and don’t work anyway; this is where we get to the little boy in the crowd whispering “The emperor is nekkid ”…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 21:50 utc | 62

Helmer also has some strong connection to western elite/power brokers, via his uncle Sir Zelman Cowan, a Rhodes scholar, and leader in the Melbourne Jewish intellectual community.
Posted by: watcher | Feb 18 2026 20:48 utc | 42

what the fuck. Zelman Cowan. jfc {I’ve long wondered how Helmer finances his decades long tenure in Moscow. Obviously he spends nothing on his website. But are we expected to assume he supports his lifestyle by “independent  journalism” ? His scribblings… who pays for these? } 

Posted by: Melaleuca | Feb 18 2026 21:54 utc | 63

These talks are leading nowhere. The Outlaw US of A cannot be trusted and Russia fully understands that. Piracy of the oceans will end badly.

Posted by: pepe | Feb 18 2026 22:02 utc | 64

Posted by: Melaleuca | Feb 18 2026 21:54 utc | 61
 
Helmer is not a young man so I assume he has retirement income (even I assume quite a bit of Australian superannuation from his University roles, journalist roles). Probably income from his work in the US and elsewhere. That income would stretch much further in Russia than in here in Australia. 

Posted by: watcher | Feb 18 2026 22:08 utc | 65

@ Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 21:50 utc | 60
 
thanks jeremy… i agree with your gist here… in fact, the possibility of a fast collapse of the west / usa / etc is not out of the question, although it is easier to think of a long drawn out collapse and that would probably better for everyone as well… i have maintained the usa and west are in a state of waning empire.. how quickly the sun sets is hard to know…  it seems to be happening more quickly in europe which might explain the panic to gear up for war when all else appears to be falling..  i think we are in a dangerous time here..  not sure how long it lasts for either.. 
 
@ Melaleuca | Feb 18 2026 21:54 utc | 61
 
so what if he comes from some money?? it is sort of obvious he does for anyone who has looked into him.. you obviously missed his video interview where he goes into his life with the fellow – i forget his name – who moved to crimea.. you’d enjoy it.. fact is, people who come from a wealthy background can be interesting people who lead fascinating lives too! i am from lower class myself, in case it wasn’t already apparent, lol..  i will see if i can find it for you… 
 
@ pepe | Feb 18 2026 22:02 utc | 62
 
they aren’t supposed to lead anywhere.. they are supposed to drag on indefinitely!! and yes – i think the piracy thingy isn’t going to end well for the west here, but the shit has yet to hit the fan as they say… 
 

Posted by: james | Feb 18 2026 22:11 utc | 66

Posted by: grunzt | Feb 18 2026 21:34 utc | 56
Going through your points:

  1. I don’t believe that the Iranians harbour any illusions. They’ve been through the pager attack, the 12-days war (started during negotations!), the repeated assassinations of negotiators. They made it very clear recently that Iran is ready for a full-blown war, incuding attacks on US bases nearby (and not so nearby). If this is consider a bluff by Washington (and/or Jerusalem) then we’ll get to see the showdown, unfortunately.
  2. The sea maneuvre slated for end of February will include Russian and Chinese ships. (At least I didn’t read yet that either country backtracked so far.) I hope that this makes war less likely because, as you say, the US governments seem to avoid direct war with nuclear powers — as they should.
  3. Shutting down Baltic Sea for Russian vessels: in this interview, Nikolai Patrushev (who has a relevant function) explains that Russia is prepared to react militarily. I don’t see how that necessarily leads to WW3, as you imply. The Russians (and the Chinese too) have been really good at asymmetric replies that sting nonetheless.For example, if EU/NATO start pirating more and more Russian ships, forcing a reply. Russia can (and did!) do the same to EU vessels. But they could also simply announce that Øresund is currently not safe for civilian ships — as has happened in the Persian Gulf before. That should lead to insurancies refusing to cover travel into / out of Baltic Sea, and a big problem for several countries, particularly Sweden, Finland, the Baltic statelets. If this is not enough, you can mention sea mines dropped by unmanned submarines, or explode one. Both of the above are reactions that don’t require direct ship-to-ship (or any other) combat.

I’m not saying it’s all good — it clearly isn’t, and EU is coming apart at the seams. Anything can happen but I’m sure that Moscow and Beijing takes into account the psychological state of the enemies. (Not sure Tehran can afford it right now.)

Posted by: Konami | Feb 18 2026 22:12 utc | 67

The Wehrmacht attempted an September ’44 counteroffensive on the Eastern Front, and a December ’44 counteroffensive on the Western front involving over one million troops and tens of thousands of armored vehicles.
Both offensives made temporary gains, and then collapsed due to resupply issues and bungled game plans.
The UAF offensives are the last gasp of a dying regime, good only for the creation of more fire pockets…….LOL

Posted by: tobias cole | Feb 18 2026 22:15 utc | 68

@ Melaleuca | Feb 18 2026 21:54 utc | 61
 
here it is from dec 7th a little over 2 months ago… an amazing life – interview on helmers life… 

Posted by: james | Feb 18 2026 22:21 utc | 69

I gather one “new” demand by the Russian is that NATO should sign a paper declaring that it will not “advance” eastwards. ie willy-washy “promises” are no longer good enough.
 
Posted by: Stonebird | Feb 18 2026 21:12 utc | 48
 
 
Even treaties are only promises, whose mutual observance is not conditioned by power parity, but is nevertheless favored by it.
What should Russia demand with regard to NATO? Then it will just be EU troops, or friends of the Society for Peace and Defense Technology… who will be stationed where Russia does not have a monopoly on power.
It can hardly be in Russia’s interest to leave such a space.
However, the current negotiations suggest that the US, UK, and EU believe a victory at the negotiating table is possible, one that would secure such a space.
Russia is not bothered by negotiations. The value of treaties with Western partners is more symbolic than a foundation on which to build the future.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Why not try your luck at

Posted by: BlindSpot | Feb 18 2026 22:28 utc | 70

Posted by: james | Feb 18 2026 22:11 utc | 64
 
It is relevant to Helmer that he is connected to Zelman Cowan, because of this relatives very high Australian status, his Rhodes connections and his very deep connection to the jewish community. 
 
Now I do not know how that translates directly to Helmer in Russia but it is reasonable to assume that when he arrives there Helmer would (as any journalist would) build first connections with distant relatives, old university connections, work contacts, Australian and US embassy contacts. This is not being a conspiracy nut it is just what EVERY journalist will do.  He would then build from there.
 
My point is that Helmer (and Doctorow) arrive when Western infiltration at the highest levels was greatest, when oligarchs (and let us be bloody well honest the term oligarch is a polite way of saying rich Jewish) are at their zenith of power and when  ordinary Russians were ignored and even starving. He is an ageing man.  Not the best time to forge lots of new, more relevant contacts. So read  his stuff or watch interviews but be aware of bias.

Posted by: watcher | Feb 18 2026 22:36 utc | 71

Re: Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 18:48 utc |
 

Hungary, following Slovakia, is halting diesel fuel supplies to Ukraine.

It seems the Kyiv clown has played himself out, testing the patience of the heads of government of neighboring Slovakia and Hungary. Zelenskyy directed the most openly rude public insults, including on the sidelines of the Munich Security Summit, at Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán.

In principle, the highly experienced politician Orbán never stooped to the level of a Kyiv actor. But the final straw that broke the camel’s back for the heads of the Slovak and Hungarian cabinets was Kyiv’s halting of Russian oil transit shipments via the Druzhba pipeline. This move, which no longer affected Orbán and Fico’s pride but directly impacted the people of their countries, was inevitable and they could not help but respond with concrete measures.
 
Bratislava was the first to react. Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico announced that diesel fuel exports from Slovakia to Ukraine would be halted. If Kyiv does not restore transit of Russian oil through the Druzhba pipeline, Bratislava will then also halt electricity exports to Ukraine, Fico warned. He noted that in January of this year, twice as much electricity was shipped to Ukraine as was planned for the entire 2025.

This means these supplies are essential for Ukraine’s energy system. If President Zelenskyy deems them unnecessary, we can cease cooperation on electricity supplies.  Budapest has taken similar measures, without yet halting electricity exports. Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade Péter Szijjártó stated that Hungary, following Slovakia’s lead, is halting diesel fuel supplies to Ukraine for the same reason: the blockage of the Druzhba pipeline.

Hungary has stopped supplying diesel fuel to Ukraine and will not resume them until oil begins flowing through the Druzhba pipeline.  In fact, Zeleny has reached the point of sheer insanity in his rabid Russophobia. Slovak and Hungarian refineries obtain diesel fuel, much needed not only for Ukrainian Armed Forces equipment, from Russian oil. They have virtually no other sources of hydrocarbon imports.

https://en.topwar.ru/278150-vengrija-vsled-za-slovakiej-ostanavlivaet-postavku-diztopliva-na-ukrainu.html
Re: Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 18:48 utc 
 
 
 
So, confirmation – Russia has been supplying the oil that is used to provide diesel to power the Ukrainian army.
 
The very definition of insanity – providing and powering the energy that runs your enemy’s army against you.

Posted by: Julian | Feb 18 2026 22:45 utc | 72

Ta Jeremy rhyming  for noticing that is NOT me Jo the one with Ukraine reports.
b …please note !!!!!!

Posted by: Jo | Feb 18 2026 22:46 utc | 73

Posted by: Julian | Feb 18 2026 22:45 utc | 71
 
#####
 
Worth every penny to test new weapons and to kill Nazis.
 
The demilitarization of NATO has been a tremendous success to date.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 18 2026 22:47 utc | 74

Posted by: james | Feb 18 2026 22:11 utc | 64
When you are training in the Amazons and you happen to be surrounded by snakes, the best thing to do is to hit them on the head not in the tail. Many people make that mistake.

Posted by: pepe | Feb 18 2026 22:54 utc | 75

The Munich Security event was mostly about Ukraine, so I’ll post this notice here, Q&A About the Munich Security Circus – by Karl Sanchez

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 18 2026 22:58 utc | 76

Posted by: Julian | Feb 18 2026 22:45 utc | 71
 
Selling oil and diesel on the market and the money obtained to the budget in exchange for some of it seeping into Ukraine is a good trade-off. Most of the diesel comes through ships to Ukraine and is torched in the ships or harbor storages or other storage points. 
 
You don’t understand how global markets work. Everything is connected when it comes to oil, its refined products and commodities, regardless how much you try to prevent it from ending somewhere or sanction it. EU sanctions on Russian oil or diesel don’t work, but yes, sometimes gas/LNG/diesel ends up in Ukraine. It’s just the nature of the game. If you have the product, you sell it.
 
Ukraine still has some pick-ups, and even these for azov/foreign mercs (not for territorial defense force) but that’s constitutes most of the vehicles it has left and what they need diesel for. Diesel isn’t much good without trucks, tanks or APCs that can use it, or safe and efficient places to stockpile it.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 18 2026 22:59 utc | 77

unimperator: I believe that Julian understands well. He’s trolling on purpose. He’s one of those candidates that I call “Pro-Russian  in name only” (PRINO). There used to be a lot more at MOA.

Posted by: Konami | Feb 18 2026 23:02 utc | 78

56 Gruntz. George Galloway absolutely convinced war Iran very very soon from his own source. Tonight on MOATS with Larry Johnson who always said  it would happen. Even sky news tonight said 16 refuelling planes and ,6 AWACS are in position.
RT had great long Rick Sanchez with Stanislav Kr. discussing the newly delivered Russia and Chinese advanced radar thingies.

Posted by: Jo | Feb 18 2026 23:20 utc | 79

Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 19:58 utc | 30
 
That was very fine. Thanks to Crooke, the money issue has finally risen to the surface.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 18 2026 23:26 utc | 80

@ watcher | Feb 18 2026 22:36 utc | 70
 
of course connections are important and everyone has them, or most everyone.. my life in the music world – it is all about connections! not that i have tried to go for the glory and status.. it ain’t my thing… but helmer would have connections and they would have helped him as they do everyone… 
 
as i have said before – everyone must take everything that gets said on the net with a serious grain of salt.. believing anyone at face value is a big mistake…helmer needs to be treated in the same manner as everyone else..
 
@ pepe | Feb 18 2026 22:54 utc | 74
 
it sounds as though you and i think that time is fast approaching! 

Posted by: james | Feb 18 2026 23:27 utc | 81

Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 18 2026 20:20 utc | 33
 
Even better! 

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 18 2026 23:28 utc | 82

Judging by reports, the AFU offensive in eastern Zap region lost steam and they have now lost the initiative. The Russian regrouping and coming offensive to surround Orekhov and Zaporozhye will resume, now facing less AFU defenses than were they not to launch this attack. 
Posted by: unimperator | Feb 18 2026 21:25 utc | 54
 
As I mentioned in the previous thread, AFU’s offensive was/is underwhelming
 
Each takes +3 months than the last to muster, each less impactful
 
And probably this latest (last?) one moves the august deadline earlier (was it measured enough to still fit trump’s june deadline?).
 
As for all the noise about talks and people criticizing putin’s disposal for peace… a decadal truce is in order
 
 

Posted by: Newbie | Feb 18 2026 23:32 utc | 83

james | Feb 18 2026 21:09 utc | 46
 
Yes james; it’s the money. Always for a Few Dollars More.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 18 2026 23:34 utc | 84

About this Helmer issue, I am going to reference a bit of theology.  To context is that in these times both are false: ‘Money the root of all evil‘ and ‘Love of money is the root of all evil‘. What is false is the word ‘all’. There are other roots for evil, not easy to intuit. Probably these are now bigger factors. 
My point is I am guessing the Russians who went to Geneva think there is only one ‘root of all evil’.  That they think ‘The West just loves money – we can tempt them with bigger pile of booty’.
 
I am also guessing they will not be able to. The evil in the West is not mostly about money, and thus they won’t agree to a deal, and no Putin betrayal will happen.
 
FTR 🙂 the two other roots of evil are love of control (fear of loss of control including fear of being revealed as perverts)  and love of destruction (from feeling that millions are happier than oneself despite having far less money)
 
 

Posted by: JustSomeOldGuy | Feb 18 2026 23:49 utc | 85

james@64:
 
“It is relevant to Helmer that he is connected to Zelman Cowan, because of his relatives very high Australian states, his Rhodes connections and his very deep connections to the Jewish community.’
 
I know nothing of his biography, and will continue to read him because I find  his articles and interviews to be credible, interesting and informative. 
However, since you and others here clearly wish to suggest something  darker –  aside from the dead relative who held a GG position –  it would seem only fair that you please verify ‘his Rhodes connections and his very deep connections to the Jewish community’?  

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 19 2026 0:04 utc | 86

Negotiations:
 
Putin is letting his Generals do the negotiating, one Ukrainian at a time.
 
So far, over 2 million Ukrainians have been converted to the side of peace.

Posted by: Blind Bridge Troll | Feb 19 2026 0:31 utc | 87

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 19 2026 0:04 utc | 85
 
I was referring to his uncle Sir Zelman Cowan, who was a Rhodes cholar and pillar of the melbourn jewish community. However he was well regarded in Australia as a likeable and fair minded guy, so I am not dumping on him.
 
My point is that Helmer had very high level connections in Australia. And as for helmer himself, I started to watch that interview and his history sent my spidey senses tingling. He moved around A LOT.  His work pattern suggested intellignece operative or a very difficult personality. Neither matters much. 
 
My ONLY point is that he appears to have some biases, especially against certain people in Russia. Honestly this is to be expected of EVERYONE so it is not a particular criticism. it is only a comment on those who accept his stuff without question.

Posted by: watcher | Feb 19 2026 0:38 utc | 88

osted by: John Gilberts | Feb 19 2026 0:04 utc | 85
 
Not sure where you are from but a Governor general is very high up – the Queen’s direct representative. He took over in the year following the famous dismissal by the GG of the Whitlam government. Decent guy though Zelman probably was, he was ABSOBLOODYLUTELY vetted by the CIA, given they had just manipulated his predecessor into managing a coup in Australia and the Prime Minister Fraser who appointed Zelman Cowan was the coup leader (or maybe puppet).
 
NB for non Australians Fraser very much redeemed himself in the eyes of many by his later positions (and losing his pants in Memphis)

Posted by: watcher | Feb 19 2026 0:43 utc | 89

 
War Expenses:
Early in the Ukrainian War, the West sent trillions from military stockpiles, prepaid from prior years, to the Ukraine, all booked at zero cost.
 
Today, all new military aid to Ukraine, has to be paid out of current budgets, which is proving to be  increasingly expensive. It is only the built in”grifting” feature that keeps the current aid flowing to Ukraine.
 
Why should Russia stop the West from circulating down it’s own toilet?

Posted by: Blind Bridge Troll | Feb 19 2026 0:56 utc | 90

Dugin thoughts…
 

It is time to Russia to play really hard. You’ll know soon what I mean. We were too polite too long. We believed Trump and wanted to escape the worst. It seems now that it is impossible. So let the worst arrive.

 
https://x.com/AGDugin/status/2024216770882478452

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 19 2026 0:58 utc | 91

@ karlof1 | Feb 18 2026 23:34 utc | 83
 
reminds me of the line in the song by  edwin starr ”money, what is it good for? absolutely nothing!
 
@ John Gilberts | Feb 19 2026 0:04 utc | 85
 
that is a quote from watcher and it appears they are answering you.. cheers..
 
 

Posted by: james | Feb 19 2026 1:20 utc | 92

The entirety of NATO hasn’t lost a single soldier against Russia yet, but Russia has only taken 1/5th of Ukraine after 4 years of fighting though. Hell, Germany just reported that Russia spent more time fighting Ukraine for that bit of land longer than they did fighting Hitler in all of WW2, lol.

Posted by: iwanttodrink | Feb 19 2026 1:36 utc | 93

The entirety of NATO hasn’t lost a single soldier against Russia yet   iwanttodrink | Feb 19 2026 1:36 utc | 92
yes, they have. Thousands. just not officially. Clearly, you need to take baby steps before being qualified to pronounce anything on this topic and be bar material.

Posted by: JustSomeOldGuy | Feb 19 2026 1:41 utc | 94

Trouble in River City? 

Faction-fighting around the Kremlin over what this means has triggered dismay among those Russian businessmen who have acquired their new economic power with takeovers of foreign assets released by the exit of U.S. and European corporations since 2022. These Russian sources report resentment at the backing which Putin has given to Russian Central Bank (CBR) Governor Elvira Nabiullina’s continuing high-interest rate policy for Russian borrowers in parallel with Dmitriev’s plan for low-interest rate U.S. investors to re-enter Russia, recover their former market share, and generate the appearance of an investment stimulus in the run-up to the the State Duma elections on September 20.

 https://mronline.org/2026/02/18/stab-in-the-back/
Posted by: drinky crow | Feb 18 2026 19:36 utc | 24
There are a few rumbles out there about similar, that the Atlanticists are making a comeback in Russia. And yes opening the floodgates to the US would benefit Jewish oligarchs and harm small businesses.  Some Putin idolizes have taken umbridge at the mere suggestion. Truth is all we ever get from the Kremlin thought process are their official statements plus supposed insider leaks. Wherein lies the truth? Who knows but seeking bias confirmation rarely leads to it. 

Posted by: Organic | Feb 19 2026 1:44 utc | 95

Trolls continue to come up with crazed inanities. Crazy!
 
 JustSomeOldGuy | Feb 18 2026 23:49 utc | 84
 
Wrong. The Russians are angry with the transactional nature of the Trump Gang who see the solution in money not in an actual settling of combat/war without any talk of reparations and such.

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 19 2026 1:46 utc | 96

karlof1 | Feb 19 2026 1:46 utc | 95
I am no troll. Trolls don’t post about the roots of evil. I am a longtime reader posting now due to being worried about WWIII. not to obstruct or muddy the waters.
 
 also showing I am not a troll I do not dispute that ‘The Russians are angry with the transactional nature of the Trump Gang ‘. Did it come across that way? I am ‘angry with the Trump gang’ for the same reason. Actually I am more than angry at them. . but also for other reasons. I only posted about the handful who flew to Geneva, that they might not truly understand the malice going on, not about Russia itself.

Posted by: JustSomeOldGuy | Feb 19 2026 1:57 utc | 97

Posted by: Simon | Feb 18 2026 22:13 utc | 66
 
I apologize for commenting on a subject about which I am, ignorant, to say the least.
 
I don’t know John Helmer, his background, his work, or his family.
 
I discovered John Helmer’s website thanks to a link shared here on MoA, just after the start of the SMO. I appreciated his attention to detail and the availability of his sources.
 
I particularly appreciated his analysis of the “electricity war”, for which I haven’t found anything comparable.
 
However, for some time now, I’ve been forced to say that his credibility is questionable. And without knowing anything about his connections.
 
Simply because he claims to report things from within the Russian state apparatus that it’s impossible for an outsider to know.
 
In particular, his obsession with seeing internal conflicts everywhere is truly irrational and reveals a tendency to project Western practices onto Russia.
 
He finds a way to invent factions everywhere, the latest being the faction of Kremlin spokesman Peskov. A spokesman becomes a political faction!
 
He claims to be relaying the discontent of high-ranking military officials regarding Putin’s handling of the war.
 
It’s simply impossible for a high-ranking officer in a wartime army to discuss such matters with a foreign journalist. That would simply be treason in wartime.
 
Before that, he tried to portray the head of Russia’s central bank as an opponent of the ruling party, whose disastrous management was being covered up by Putin.
 
This is the same woman who managed to drive the Russian economy through thousands of sanctions and is currently defeating inflation in the context of war.
 
She even went so far as to resign for failing to anticipate the freezing of the central bank’s assets, a resignation Putin refused.
 
This man spends his time describing absurd things, like a mirror reflecting the chaotic atmosphere of American politics, with its factions and conflicting interests at the highest levels of government and the military..
 
While there is absolutely no chance, especially after the start of the war, that he had access to the highest levels of government, let alone the military high command.
 
All of this suggests that this gentleman may have been a reliable source of information about what was happening in Russia in the past, but that lately, he has been reporting mostly fiction.
Or maybe he reports speculations from locals as if they were facts.
 
One might even wonder if he is still a resident of Russia. According to the laws enacted for the SMO, if he was a resident, he should have been questioned long ago about his writings concerning the war.
 
Those who know can tell us, perhaps ?

Posted by: Sebgo | Feb 19 2026 1:58 utc | 98

Latest talks lasted a very long 2 hours! Must be substantial progress made. Peace within reach!

Posted by: Surferket | Feb 19 2026 1:59 utc | 99

 
Posted by: Konami | Feb 18 2026 20:35 utc | 38

Boris Johnson just demanded EU declare war and go fight Russia.  Posted by: unimperator | Feb 18 2026 20:29 utc | 37

I agree that the contributions here by unimperator are very worthwhile, and appear to be based on real knowledge of the situations he writes about.

Boris got his wish when he subverted the 2022 Istanbul talks (certainly on behalf of USA and EU too). Now, sadly, Ukrainians run out and it’s time to prepare EUropeans’ minds for the inevitable next step. And everyone: “For freedom!”

I imagine we will see Luxembourg assault divisions with Royal Air Force air cover storming Russian positions manned by hoards of North Korean soldiers wielding razor sharp shovels while the true Russian army goes on a looting spree to acquire more washing machine chips for their antiquated missiles.

Interesting times ahead, and no doubt plenty of deranged comments on MoA,

Posted by: Barrel Brown | Feb 19 2026 2:00 utc | 100