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February 12, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-038

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

The European support seems carefully designed to not disturb the stalemate.

Posted by: Frosty Cell | Feb 14 2026 17:13 utc | 101

Posted by: Frosty Cell | Feb 14 2026 17:13 utc | 101
 
Germany is said to have sent 5 new Patriot PAC-3 missiles, Pistorius and Merz said there is no more, while Rutte says Nato is strongest in history. It’s a tragicomedy writing itself.
 
Yes, it’s sure doing a good job protecting AFU/Nato energy facilities.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2026 17:41 utc | 102

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2026 17:41 utc | 102
the coalition of the willing in itself ensures the stalemate continues

Posted by: Night Tripper | Feb 14 2026 17:54 utc | 103

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2026 17:41 utc | 102
 
Excellent. With the Patriot hit rate, that is enough to defend against 0.2 incoming missiles.    
 
Ukraine can sleep easy now…….
 
Those who think Russia is wrong in doing things as they are, may be right. I was one of them a while back. 
 
But it seems to me that Russia has a plan, and that plan is to deplete the West of everything they can before the near certain coming East-West War. If China and Russia are coordinating efforts at all, this works.   Russia drains the West supplies, China cuts off all the specialized material needed to replenish them, all while the US screws its ‘friends’ in every way possible. 
If the other guy is wasting resources and lowering their war inventories, while your side is building war inventories, it seems a workable plan.
 
“It may be dangerous to be America’s enemy, but to be America’s friend is fatal.” HK
 
 
 
 
 

Posted by: ftp | Feb 14 2026 17:55 utc | 104

Posted by: ftp | Feb 14 2026 17:55 utc | 104
 
The fundamental issue why the war (effectively) continues is Ukraine is run by nazis who force-draft people from the street. Nato also is still capable of sending mercenaries from various vassal states (Philippines, Colombia) into Ukraine, who are actually sometimes properly armed.
 
Russia has been unable to devise a plan to kill these nazis running Ukraine behind the scene. On the other hand, Nato still retains full control over the Ukrainian security apparatus, including TCC, SBU, GUR, which is all they need to keep the war running and new meat feeding into the grinder. As long as they give dozens of billions to Ukraine, they can keep buying out oligarchs and the local security structures. Ukraine’s elites are making a lot of money and don’t care of anything else.
 
So they will keep feeding Ukraine with billions. What is the Russian counter to that? Their active defense posture works, wait to see who shows up on the front and hit them, while de-energizing Ukraine, hit expensive Nato weapon systems. China needs to do its part to strangle Nato weapon industries. As their military industrial potential declines, Ukraine’s losses go up, Russian losses go down (as is happening) and Ukraine withers away as a state. At what stage of this process are we now? 

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2026 18:47 utc | 105

Frosty Cell // 101
 
What stalemate?

Posted by: Nobody Special | Feb 14 2026 19:47 utc | 106

Frosty Cell
 
Are you talking about this stalemate?

Posted by: Nobody Special | Feb 14 2026 19:52 utc | 107

The results of Nato’s latest kitchen sink effort are turning out.

Enemy’s failure in the south: the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ counterattacks in Zaporizhia faltered – losses are increasing, with no results. Everything is stable.
 
 
Ten days of counterattacks. Eight brigades under attack per day. Abrams and CAESAR were destroyed on the march. Not a single populated area was lost.
 
 
The Ukrainian Armed Forces threw their assault reserves into the south of the Special Military Operation zone and lost the fire duel to our “East” grouping. Why did the Ukrainian command make another mistake and where will Russian troops move next ?

 

https://x.com/BellaVLiberman/status/2022651146125365357

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2026 20:00 utc | 108

Judging by events and amount of hyperbolic BS coming out of Munich, things for Nato/EU are derailing fast. It could be economic/fiscal implosion nearing quickly, maybe something dramatic to cover it up or zions forcing Trump to war against Iran (which US isn’t ready for/can’t win).

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2026 20:28 utc | 109

There have been earthquakes in Ukraine. Some speculation is going on that Ukraine could be testing nukes.
 
If it were true, it would no doubt be the British handing them over, or rogue CIA.
 
https://x.com/KimDotcom/status/2019290695731917279

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 14 2026 21:10 utc | 110

just to mention another near 1.250 day (1,.230)  so, in line with rest of the week.

Posted by: Newbie | Feb 14 2026 21:19 utc | 111

Alexander Mercouris: ‘Oreshnik Fear’
 
https://www.youtube.com/@AlexMercouris/videos
 
“Kiev trembles ahead of Oreshnik strike; Russia/China together back Iran/Cuba; sell treasuries buy gold.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 14 2026 21:25 utc | 112

There is only one lasting solution to the war in Ukraine …
Totally obliterate Israel and the Khazarian cultists.

Posted by: Cynic | Feb 14 2026 22:24 utc | 113

Posted by: MAKK | Feb 14 2026 14:15 utc | 97 It seems Britain is behind this sick idea, at least heavily into it. They are really something.
Posted by: Avtonom | Feb 14 2026 15:27 utc | 98

Good to see that the UK Pongos are sticking to the “barbaric Putin” narrative.  How depraved and PR-worthy that the despicable Putin (personally?) chose to use a South American poison derived from frogs rather than use good old Russian Novichock, or just shoot the fellow in a dignified manner.

The UK Pongos are dusting off their old copies of the Boys own Annual, and have reverted to the delusion that the British Empire is still a viable entity.  

I think that rampant insanity is evident in the US administration, but it is clear that the madness virus is rapidly spreading into the European bastions of Western civilization.

What is the cure? And, is administration of a cure really advisable?

Posted by: Barrel Brown | Feb 15 2026 0:58 utc | 114

Ukrainian drones attacked the village of Tsentralny in the LPR.Fifteen civilians were injured, four of whom are in serious condition.The village council building, school, and post office were damaged.There are no military installations in the village. The sole purpose of such attacks is to terrify the civilian population and demonstrate that normal life will never return. 

Posted by: MiniMO | Feb 15 2026 3:50 utc | 115

Posted by: MiniMO | Feb 15 2026 3:50 utc | 115
 
#####
 
Normal life will return soon.
As soon as Trump smashes the American military in Iran (soon), Russia will finish NATO for good.
 
The Empire will be done, with a few death rattles but no more substantive terrorism.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 15 2026 4:02 utc | 116

Chinese duplicity again 
 
Demanding that the Europeans have a seat at the trilateral talks in case ‘they are on the menu’
 
weak, weak, weak.

Posted by: Night Tripper | Feb 15 2026 10:10 utc | 117

Going into the weekend, a slower friday at 1.100 AFU casulaties
 
https://tass.com/defense/2086995
 
 

Posted by: Newbie | Feb 15 2026 11:27 utc | 118

I find myself idly wondering how many of these are American, German, British, or French troops. 1,100 casualties per day is a lot to be dads, pensioners, and South American mercenaries.

Posted by: Stark | Feb 15 2026 11:29 utc | 119

I find myself idly wondering how many of these are American, German, British, or French troops. 1,100 casualties per day is a lot to be dads, pensioners, and South American mercenaries.
Posted by: Stark | Feb 15 2026 11:29 utc | 120
 
Don’t, even above 1.5 million permanent losses is manageable  from 3 times as many draft pool.
 
But a draft pool that also includes those you’d rather spare, and also has to cover (maybe half as many) “on the mend” , so things will be hardby summer time…
 
 
 

Posted by: Newbie | Feb 15 2026 11:42 utc | 120

So I’m guessing that with Ukraine going more on the offensive, all the arguments about the 1:200 casualty number in favor of Ukraine being perfectly reasonable and factual as a result of them being on the defensive will just quietly vanish into thin air.

Posted by: Iskander 9K720 | Feb 15 2026 11:57 utc | 121