Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
February 5, 2026
How Arms Control Went Out The Window

Today the last nuclear treaty between the the United States and the Russian Federation expired. It is the first time in 64 years that there will be no limits on each side’s nuclear forces.

The New START Treaty had been limiting the number of deployed strategic nuclear weapons and weapon carriers. Other nuclear related treaties like the Anti Ballistic Missile treaty, the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty and the Open Skies Treaty have previously been ended by various U.S. presidents.

Russia had offered and asked for prolonging the New START Treaty but the U.S. had, until today, not responded to that request.

Most of these treaties were designed to limit the number of weapon system on both sides to roughly equal numbers. They prevented arms races where one side would produce an overwhelming amount of weapons to destroy the other side in a surprise attack. They guaranteed Mutual Assured Destruction as both sides would be destroyed in an all out nuclear war.

But the real value of these treaties were in their verification elements. Verification allowed to build trust between both sides:

To enforce the [New START] treaty, each side had to notify the other of any activity involving its strategic weapons, including missile test launches and heavy bomber movements, share data about the numbers of deployed missiles and delivery systems, and allow on-site inspections.

One example is that under the treaty all strategic bombers of each side had to be parked in the open, not in shelters, so that the other side could see them in satellite pictures. It guaranteed that there were no ‘secret forces’ hidden somewhere. (Ukraine abused this feature when it launched drone attacks against Russia’s strategic bombers.)

The U.S. has never given any good reason why it wanted the treaties to end.

The Bush administration claimed that the ABM treaty was hindering building missile defenses against ‘rogue states’. In reality it wanted to build a missile defense system that would disable a Russian nuclear attack and thereby give the U.S. the capability for a first strike which Russia would not be able to answer.

Russia, in consequence of the ending of the treaty, build new weapons like the Poseidon nuclear-powered underwater vehicle as well the Sarmat missile, which can not be stopped by missile defenses.

When the first Trump administration withdrew from the Intermediate-Range treaty it claimed, without providing evidence, that one specific Russian missile test had exceeded the range limits defined in the treaty. Russia responded to the end of the treaty by developing and deploying the Oreshnik system as a new intermediate range missile.

The U.S. excuse for leaving New START is that a new strategic weapon treaty is needed which will have to include limits on China’s strategic missile forces. China rejects to be part of such a treaty because it has less than 20% of the strategic nuclear weapons that Russia and the U.S. each deploy.

It is unlikely for now that the end of New START will lead to a race to acquire more and more strategic nuclear weapons even as the military-industrial complex will demand more missiles.

But the end of the treaty will lead to less knowledge of what the other side is doing and will over time erode any trust in ones own capabilities as the real capabilities of the opponent will be increasingly unknown. This insecurity and what might follow from it is the real danger.

Over the last hour news has come out of an informal prolongation of the parameters of the New START treaty:

President Trump’s envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner negotiated on New START with Russian officials on the sidelines of Ukraine talks in Abu Dhabi.

The treaty will still formally expire on Thursday, and the extension will not be legally formalized, a U.S. official said. “We agreed with Russia to operate in good faith and to start a discussion about ways it could be updated,” a U.S. official said.

Another source said the practical implications were that both sides would agree to observe the deal’s terms for at least six months, during which time negotiations on a potential new deal would take place.

If I were in Russia’s position I would not trust the U.S. to stick to any such informal commitment. Any such agreement will need to be verified.

Russia should test if the U.S. is willing to allow for the verification of its informal commitment to New START limits.

Comments

Umm, no, sorry. See above.The US is perfectly capable of beating military opponents and taking down 2nd and 3rd tier nations.
Posted by: c1ue | Feb 5 2026 19:57 utc | 97
 
Exactly, that’s what I wrote. Weaker opponents and bombs.

Posted by: smartfox | Feb 5 2026 20:10 utc | 101

All these plans about how and why.  Nothing to show for it. No missle defense no missles no radar. Nada. Zilch. Was it all graft like ukraine as well?  It looks intentional.

Posted by: Tannenhouser | Feb 5 2026 20:12 utc | 102

@”it is unlikely that the nuclear arsenal is in tip-top shape.”

It is in decay. It is a wonder the US did not nuke it self yet:
https://youtu.be/1Y1ya-yF35g?t=527

Posted by: p3t3r | Feb 5 2026 20:23 utc | 103

@ c1ue | Feb 5 2026 17:11 utc | 51
 
your note is refreshing to read! kudos! 
 
@ juliania | Feb 5 2026 18:13 utc | 65
 
thanks! your note is encouraging, as is b’s sober and reliable overview as always…
 
 

Posted by: james | Feb 5 2026 20:25 utc | 104

The US is perfectly capable of beating military opponents and taking down 2nd and 3rd tier nations.
 
Posted by: c1ue | Feb 5 2026 19:57 utc | 97
 
####
 
Except Yemen.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 5 2026 20:36 utc | 105

Ukraine abused this feature 

Ukraine doesn’t do anything without consultation.Operation Spider Web was obviously executed with involvement from MI6 and the CIA, network assets & ISR

It is unlikely for now that the end of New START will lead to a race to acquire more and more strategic nuclear weapons

No? The funds are already in the budget, to build new plutonium pits.

Posted by: Webej | Feb 5 2026 20:56 utc | 106

Strange, no one has mentioned the Israeli nuclear warheads? How many (actually I don’t know and it is a closely kept secret,) however, 400 would be a convenient estimate. These could have possibly been used by the US as “extras” (non-declared) warheads in the event of a conflict. ie giving the US a numerically superior number to use –
 
However, due to the open question whether Israel or the US is now in commend, any remake of a START Treaty must include ALL the possibilities, not just those of Russia and the US.
 
The Israelis have several (six?) submarines with the ability to launch nuclear missiles, plus pre-placed warheads- but of course no one will mention these!

Posted by: Stonebird | Feb 5 2026 20:58 utc | 107

Stonebird | Feb 5 2026 20:58 utc | 107
 
Russia recently said that new nuclear weapons issues need to include all nuclear weapon states, including those with so-called ambiguity, meaning the Zionists but also the Saudis. In Medvedev’s recent interview with Kommersant, he expects the number of weapon possessing nations to increase between now and 2030 and that might have an increasing deterrent effect. I thought his assessment to be the best made recently. 

Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 5 2026 21:07 utc | 108

Russia recently said that new nuclear weapons issues need to include all nuclear weapon states, including those with so-called ambiguity, meaning the Zionists but also the Saudis. In Medvedev’s recent interview with Kommersant, he expects the number of weapon possessing nations to increase between now and 2030 and that might have an increasing deterrent effect. I thought his assessment to be the best made recently.
Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 5 2026 21:07 utc | 108
In North Korea, we have seen that possessing nuclear weapons can be a protection against attacks.BUT: This only applies if they can be used to attack the US.
 

Posted by: smartfox | Feb 5 2026 21:12 utc | 109

rlof1 | Feb 5 2026 21:07 utc | 108

“he expects the number of weapon possessing nations to increase between now and 2030 and that might have an increasing deterrent effect. I thought his assessment to be the best made recently.”

 
I am not sure that coul be considered a “deterrent”, rather the opposite, as more variables mean more chances of a final clusterfuck.

Posted by: Stonebird | Feb 5 2026 21:13 utc | 110

In “operation spiderweb”, the US, hiding behind Britain and Ukraine, destroyed Russian strategic bombers. 
Russia ought to demand the destruction of an equal number of US strategic bombers, as prerequisite  to opening discussions over a possible new arms limitation  treaty.

Posted by: The Far Side | Feb 5 2026 21:45 utc | 111

Americans need to use their Second Amendment to remove their rogue government and keep removing any new administration until the sewer of pedophiles, Zionists, elite MIC profiteers, and other greedy corporate entities that control the filthy kakistocracy is gone. USUKIS corruption needs to go for good so the world can live in peace and prosperity for all. We can now nuke ourselves into oblivion otherwise. Stupid is as stupid does.

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Feb 5 2026 21:57 utc | 112

@ The Far Side | Feb 5 2026 21:45 utc | 111
 
Did we ever get confirmation of exactly how many active bombers were hit? There were strong suggestions at the time that decommissioned or “cold-stored” units were the main casualties.
 
I don’t recall it slowing down the SMO by any measurably significant amount.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Feb 5 2026 22:01 utc | 113

1. Avangard. Someone should mention it, so I have. Don’t know why people ignore it.
 
2. Physical access trumps all security for anything, nukes or not.
 
3. “Blue Fire” (if real and I think so; search ‘”Blue Fire” “Area 51” “otherhand”‘ and go to the “otherhand” site and find the right pages) should be able to take out or fry the electronics of and perhaps detonate any missile at any speed. If plasma is a problem (maybe) it can possibly go from the side or from behind(!) perhaps even if used from “head on”. “Blue Fire” (if real) is thirty years old technology, or more. I have posted the links on “Blue Fire” years ago.
 
4. I would love to know how “plasma on plasma” warfare in “hypersonic” vs. “Blue Fire” would actually work; could one “punch” the plasma hard enough from the front to take out whatever is behind it? Or maybe slightly to the side to change the direction of the missile, actually deflect it (much like steerable nozzles or fins)? Something would happen.
 
5. All energy weapons (perhaps less so for “Blue Fire” if one has no limits on energy) are line-of-sight (LoS). One does not want to be limited to LoS in ones armory (not even on the infantry level thus grenades).
 
6. All the agreements favored the US more than the USSR and Russia. It was (and is) the US that need(ed) them the most imo.
 
My take anyway, nothing new :3 Not adding much, too exhausted lately to discuss anything.
 

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Feb 5 2026 22:15 utc | 114

…and now for something completely different…

 
No, not a man with 3-buttocks…funnier…you just can’t make this stuff up:
 
Lithuania is dissatisfied with the results of a new military conflict simulation with Moscow…
 

Europe conducted another war game…the simulation showed that Russia needed only three days to occupy the entire Baltic region, even with a small force…
 
According to the scenario, everything revolved around Kaliningrad, which was blockaded by NATO countries. Russia responded by capturing the key logistics hub—the Lithuanian city of Marijampole. Establishing control over the Baltics took just three days.  Lithuania was dissatisfied…according to Chief of Defense Staff Giedrius Premeneckas. In reality, such a military operation would be impossible because the Lithuanian army has “very good intelligence.”

Posted by: S Brennan | Feb 5 2026 22:25 utc | 115

Maybe the US don’t want to have a Treaty allowing on-site inspections showing the decay of their side of the MAD… “Just a minute, man, before the big dildo blows up its load… into its own silo”…

Posted by: Asian Frog | Feb 5 2026 22:57 utc | 116

Another make-believe institution to create and move non-existent “wealth” around is like bronzing a turd and calling it art. It’s still a POS.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 5 2026 16:50 utc | 44
 
**************
 
Old Aboriginal saying: “All dog-shits become white over time…” (The corollary is still under investigation!)

Posted by: General Factotum | Feb 5 2026 23:16 utc | 117

ZH has a posting up with the title
 
Uncharted Territory: US & Russia Now Have No Limits On Nuclear Weapons
 

On Thursday the world woke up entering uncharted territory as the US-Russia New START Nuclear Treaty has expired without renewal. The pact’s last active day was February 4.
While there’s yet hope that a comparable replacement could soon be forged between the globe’s largest nuclear-armed powers and rivals, there are no current intensive talks happening on this front which have a ‘legal’ status related to international arms control.
 

However, Axios on Thursday has for the first time revealed secretive, behind-the-scene last ditch diplomatic efforts to reach at least a tentative understanding, writing that “the and Russia are closing in on a deal to continue to observe the expiring New START arms control treaty beyond its expiration on Thursday, three sources familiar with those talks tell Axios.”
Already, President Putin and Russian officials have expressed frustration that the Trump administration didn’t seize upon an earlier Kremlin offer to extend the treaty by one year while a longer agreement is worked out.
But a US official has told Axios, “We agreed with Russia to operate in good faith and to start a discussion about ways it could be updated.”
“Two of the sources cautioned that the draft plan still needed approval from both presidents,” the report continues. “An additional source confirmed that negotiations had been taking place over the past 24 hours in Abu Dhabi, but not that an agreement had been reached.”

Posted by: psychohistorian | Feb 5 2026 23:26 utc | 118

Trump has put out a Truth Social posting about START but don’t have text to share…typical BS from Trump about it needing his stamp on it

Posted by: psychohistorian | Feb 5 2026 23:28 utc | 119

(The corollary is still under investigation!)
 
Posted by: General Factotum | Feb 5 2026 23:16 utc | 117
 
####
 
Harsh and funny!

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 5 2026 23:29 utc | 120

“I think Putin and Trump recognize that, today,  the US and Russia (and even China) have more in common than they have differences so, they have concluded – the  hell with the past let’s proceed differently.”
Posted by: Johnny Dollar | Feb 5 2026 16:23 utc | 30
 
The US project to destroy Russia and take all its stuff has been going for 80 years. The US are not going to stop now.
 
Gessus.

Posted by: acementhead | Feb 5 2026 23:31 utc | 121

MacGregor also said that the view inside Russia from the populace level apparently up to the Putin level is that the problem is really Europe and Trump is a good guy.
Posted by: Dan Kelly | Feb 5 2026 17:12 utc | 52
 
If Russians think that Trump is a “good guy” they are done for. Irredeemably stupid.
 
Soleimani, murdered.
Maduro, likely will be murdered.
Attack on President Putin’s residence, attempted murder.
Gessus

Posted by: acementhead | Feb 5 2026 23:40 utc | 122

Posted by: acementhead | Feb 5 2026 23:31 utc | 121
 
#####
 
Many are still convinced that Russia and the US are going to form a super team and crush China.
 
Colonizers don’t do partnerships. They make a deal today so they can screw you tomorrow.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 5 2026 23:43 utc | 123

@dp #98
That may very well be what military spending is about these days, but it is not what a military is actually for.
And in this era of real, peer adversaries – actual functioning militaries matter. Just look at Europe to see what unilateral disarmament means, geopolitically.

Posted by: c1ue | Feb 6 2026 0:00 utc | 124

Laguerre | Feb 5 2026 19:13 utc | 89 …….
 
The so-called City of London cannot accurately be descibed as part of England/Britain/the UK.
It is located there, within England.
Though its malign influence certainly does extend throughout the country, via the Establishment, bought politicians and coporate / financial interests.

Posted by: Cynic | Feb 6 2026 0:04 utc | 125

Wheeee! What’s old is new again! Time to dust off the retro! It’s moments like these that forgotten corner of closet space is meant for. 😀
/digs out my 60s, 70s, & 80s anti-war, anti-nuke songs
/marveling at the size of vintage shirt lapels, flaring bellbottoms, jelly bracelets, spike collars, and hair dyes
 
If only Gerontocracies enforced dance battles between elites could we be mercifully spared all this by broken hips ensuring fresh, and possibly sane, blood rising into the halls of power… 😉

Posted by: titmouse | Feb 6 2026 0:07 utc | 126

Cynic | Feb 6 2026 0:04 utc | 125
 
Its in the higher education. The Brits are a monolith due to that whereas the Americans can be a bit of a mixed bunch with different factions.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 0:09 utc | 127

Then comes the physics: how protective is a plasma layer?
Posted by: MorePain4Cakes | Feb 5 2026 18:23 utc | 66
 
******************
 
Ah, finally! To deconstruct some (more) mythology surrounding plasma:
 
The physical ‘plasma layer’ offers absolutely NO protection to physical (material) incursion or penetration. To any projectile or fragments, the plasma is simply a thin layer of hot gas. One can leisurely pass a finger through a candle flame without suffering damage. One needs to discard lethargy and harness some alacrity to do the same with an oxy-acetylene cutting flame. I doubt that the increase in temperature of a projectile or piece of shrapnel could be measured after passing through the ‘plasma shield’.
 
The electromagnetic effect of the plasma ‘shield’ is frequently misunderstood. A good source for understanding the basics can be downloaded from the Princeton Plasma Lab: https://suli.pppl.gov/2018/thursday/plasma_intro.pdf
Bear in mind a couple of things – the ionosphere, for example, is a plasma. The EM wrt radio wave properties can be used to ‘bounce’ short-wave radio around the world. The correct selection of frequency (to avoid plasma frequency damping/absorption) allows communication with satellites. Simples?
 
Why is it so hard to conceptually visualise the difficulties and the possibilities? Of course, the practical realisation is another matter; but any effective method must operate within the basic physics framework.

Posted by: General Factotum | Feb 6 2026 0:09 utc | 128

General Factotum | Feb 6 2026 0:09 utc | 128
 
I Find the random number of mach 5 as the difference between supersonic and supersonic quite meaningless. It to some time for aircraft the break through the sound barrier as that is a different discipline to subsonic flight. The next barrier is what I now call the plasma barrier and the Russians have broken through that. Materials science and bloody good mathematics I guess.
 
Flying in plasma, they can’t be seen on radar so any air defence would require optical/thermal targeting.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 0:16 utc | 129

UK doesn’t have an independent deterrent as it relies on missile rented from the United States. Russia should say China could be included if all US weapons are covered. That should include those spread around Europe and elsewhere by the United States, UK , French and Israeli nuclear forces and a guarantee that no other country like Sweden, Poland, Japan, Germany and South Korea ever be allowed to develop nuclear weapons.

Posted by: Ghost Ship | Feb 6 2026 0:23 utc | 130

… Its in the higher education. The Brits are a monolith due to that whereas the Americans can be a bit of a mixed bunch with different factions.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 0:09 utc | 127

 
Peter, in case you didn’t see Alex Krainer’s latest, here that is :
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=15wLmE7_tCo
 
I think it was the most interesting video I watched today.  He makes some strong points about the difference between the British relationship with other nations and that of the Americans, which I was surprised to see he found favorable to the latter.  All that occurs early in the conversation with Nima at Dialogue Works.  I had started to watch the Hudson/Wolff  one but it didn’t seem those two were aware of what has been happening in Iran – no mention at all of the Starlink situation.  But I didn’t get very far there, will go back later.
 
The distinction you make about higher education is a good one.  I consider that mine back in the day here in the USA was excellent.  It was geared to having the student develop her/his own independent thoughts and ideas, and I think that is still happening as far as my own grandkids are concerned.   My children followed the path of choosing their own different paths, and encouraged their own kids to do the same.  I’m not sure that happens in the UK.

Posted by: juliania | Feb 6 2026 0:34 utc | 131

All treaties with the West are merely a ruse.
 
The US failed to uphold its end of the bargain by refusing surveillance overflights. Then, there’s Minsk I &Ii.
 
JCPOA and countless others including backroom deals. 
 
The Epstein Class is beyond redemption. 

Posted by: Suresh | Feb 6 2026 0:39 utc | 132

juliania | Feb 6 2026 0:34 utc | 131
 
Thanks juliania. Krainer is a thoughtful bloke and I will watch it. I have tried to being my children up to think for themselves and when in their 20’s they did, but when into their thirties, they all followed the pied piper of mass propaganda.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 0:43 utc | 133

William Schryver cites low numbers of US interceptors:
 
https://imetatronink.substack.com/p/bottom-of-the-barrel?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email#media-729b4010-26b8-4ece-b5d1-4f49beb7662f

Posted by: mjh | Feb 6 2026 0:50 utc | 134

Posted by: duck n cover | Feb 5 2026 15:27 utc | 5
You think that learning Chinese is hard? I’ll tell you why I think it’s easy:
1) No conjugation. If you want past or present or person or number or progressive or any of those verb issues that English has, you can certainly add them with a separate word, but they are not required. Similarly with nouns. Words don’t get modified by suffixes or prefixes or spelling alterations in Chinese.
2. Each word is one syllable, so forget worrying about where the accent goes!
What about the writing? Yeah, that’s tougher.  Chinese writing started out as pictographs but it became somewhat cryptic. Still, a lot of communication is done with the ABC spelling.

Posted by: HelenB | Feb 6 2026 1:06 utc | 135

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 0:43 utc | 133
 
To a certain extent my kids did as well, Peter.  You probably influenced them better than you know, but the mainstream is hard to resist.  I could well not have resisted, except that circumstances steered me away.  You’ve had a rough life — that story with the horse,  not many have such experiences!  It reminds me of one I had not nearly so jolting — we’d gone out for a winter ride, came back along the steep  down-winding driveway that was sheer ice  on the lower section.  Before I knew it my horse had slid down onto his haunches into a sitting position, and I gracefully slid off as well,   off his rear end. 
 
We both were very embarrassed.

Posted by: juliania | Feb 6 2026 1:36 utc | 136

On hitting a plasma cloaked hypersonic target, I’d think a proximity airburst of many small projectiles would be used, although there’s the question of penetrating the plasma cloak. 
 
Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 5 2026 18:53 utc | 83
 
******************
 
Hello Karlof1. See my earlier post (128).
 
The plasma ‘cloak’ or ‘shield’ or ‘sheath’ is simply a region of ionised gas. Apart from very localised fluctuations (Bernoulli’s Principle), the plasma is at ambient pressure because it is un-bounded. Moving away from the ionising source (friction with the missile surface), the plasma density (the number of ions/electrons per cubic metre) decreases as the ions and electrons recombine to produce the initial neutral gas.
 
The temperature of a plasma is simply the average kinetic energy of the atoms/ions/electrons. The unique thing about a plasma is that it can be heated (energy injected) by an oscillating electric and/or magnetic field (RF, Capacitively coupled ‘E-mode’, or magnetically coupled H-mode) external energy source.
 
The energy density of a plasma depends on its temperature, pressure, and constituent particles.
 
For example, an operational fluorescent tube contains a relatively highly ionised  plasma, with a temperature around 20,000C. Yet it is barely warm – you can comfortably hold it. 
 
During research into plasma confinement mechanisms, I built temperature measurement devices out of materials that melt at around 800 – 900C, that could measure temperatures around 500,000C in one type of plasma. In another type of plasma, those devices were obliterated by temperatures around 2,000C. Remember the distinction between energy density and temperature…

Posted by: General Factotum | Feb 6 2026 2:02 utc | 137

Posted by: HelenB | Feb 6 2026 1:06 utc | 135
 
Don’t forget about getting the tones right otherwise it can be very treacherous. Like qing wen which can mean excuse me or may I ask with the correct tones and is a common question in asking for information, but if you get the tones wrong it can mean give me a sloppy kiss
 
Also Cantonese is completely different to Mandarin and there are many dialects also spoken throughout the extent of China. Learning characters, 2,000 – 5,000 takes some time. Of course there is good pinyin now but still Chinese characters both simplified and traditional are used extensively throughout China and Taiwan everywhere. 

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Feb 6 2026 2:02 utc | 138

Wonder how many such emails are now flying back and forth: The investors want to discuss whether ww3 is still a go for 02/08/26.
 
Aside from that, I think that the old weapons control agreements no longer represented the reality, where the US is on the technological back foot and trying to catch up, both in air defense and in missiles. The idea of maintaining parity through an increase in volume is probably relevant, though even that could be a struggle. What could the US offer Russia, to make them sit back and wait for the US to catch up, or give the US access to their facilities? I think I remember Putin saying that the idea of allowing US inspectors on Russian soil, in the midst of an ongoing proxy war with the US, is ludicrous, so if there are any agreements in the works, they would presumably need to take the Ukraine conflict into account as well.

Posted by: Skiffer | Feb 6 2026 2:52 utc | 139

 Stonebird | Feb 5 2026 20:58 utc | 107
you mention Israels ‘nuclear’ (Trump-speak) – and a propos I have read a few weeks ago that there was an earthquake, strong and very short, in close proximity of Dimona facility where the geniuses work on WMD.  Today, I hear on Judge Nap talking with Max Blumenthal, that this was a test by them.
 
Is there any more info on this event? any radiation traces? why such a silence in the bar and on the street ?

Posted by: fanto | Feb 6 2026 2:58 utc | 140

I Find the random number of mach 5 as the difference between supersonic and supersonic quite meaningless. 
 
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 0:16 utc | 129
 
***************
 
I’d agree with the designation of ‘arbitrary’ rather than meaningless. Five is a nice round number, and close to the range where things start to get rather more difficult (engines, fuel, control systems, materials etc).
 
An agreed number is also useful for better communication and understanding. It would be inconvenient if I had to ask everyone ever time what they actually meant by super-sonic and hyper-sonic. Just as ‘fast’ and ‘very fast’ are meaningless without context. For example, this morning I went ‘very fast’ on my regular early-morning beach shuffle. It took me only 56 minutes instead of the usual hour – maybe my sap is rising… On the other hand, I hear that the train between Beijing and Tianjin City was very slow today because of bad weather. it only averaged 310 km/h…

Posted by: General Factotum | Feb 6 2026 3:01 utc | 141

Like a fast running mutant bacterium, news networks are being infected with the “Epstein was a Russian asset” disease.
Started ? with the Daily Fail, and rapidly spread to France 24 English.
Now DW News YT (German) is afflicted.
> Was Jeffrey Epstein trying to blackmail people for Russia using compromising material? | DW News
{note. No question mark.. Stark, is this significant?}
 
The Telegraph yt
> Was Epstein’s ‘sex empire’ a Russian honeytrap? | Ukraine: The Latest
 
> Jeffrey Epstein’s links to Putin revealed with Russian girls in ‘world’s largest honeytrap’ for KGB
The Sun.  248k views
 
No links, because, why would you want them?
 
It’s (kinda) fun to watch the narrative morph in real time.
 
§ Every time I lose a sock in the wash I know it’s Putin’s fault.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Feb 6 2026 3:04 utc | 142

S Brennan@ 61
Regarding Dr Postal’s comment that one cannot detect the difference between decoys and nuclear warheads. In reality, the difference would be found upon impact!  However, almost all impacts will be from Russian missiles, as the Russian defense systems would shoot down most US missiles and decoys.
I once shocked the leading “Nuclear Winter expert” by proposing that the best deterrent to nuclear war would be to place the nuclear devices in the center of US cities and detonate them if attacked.  Seriously, this was the cheapest weapon and the most compelling reminder of the consequences of nuclear war.  Too bad the American people cannot take the truth and would riot at the proposal…

Posted by: Krollchem | Feb 6 2026 3:24 utc | 143

General Factotum | Feb 6 2026 3:01 utc | 142
 
Just the mach number will do the job until the plasma barrier is reached. The Russians haven’t let on though at what Mach number that plasma barrier is reached.
 
If we look at mach five+ as hypersonic, then the Soviets first deployed a hypersonic missile in 1970. The long range S-200 interceptor to counter the CIA A-12 aka pentagon SR-71 Blackbird. I reckon that was the best aircraft ever built.
 
That and the SU-25 buggered up American plans for Mach 3 bombers. The 25 was bloody fast for a turbine. The fastest run clocked at 3.4. Running hard they cooked the engines.
The blackbird similar. But the afterburners were set up as ram jets and the fuel would move over from turbine to ramjet. When they cranked the throttle to outrun missiles, the thing would crank up to mach 4, But I suspect the same thing, they would cook the engines when run at full throttle.
 
Both the Migs and the blackbirds, their engines would be totally effed due to the heat of a full throttle run but keep going to get them back home.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 3:36 utc | 144

Wasn’t Russia using those strategic bombers for combat missions in Ukraine? If so, then that was very reckless of Russia and they made those strategic bombers into legitimate targets.

Posted by: Peter Lynch | Feb 6 2026 3:43 utc | 145

We were reminded during the Escobar/Judge Nap chat that the Saudis also have Nukes, info that was made public in 2015: four or seven, perhaps more now. IMO, that explains why the Zionists haven’t attacked the Saudis like they’ve attacked everyone else in the region.  
Posted by: karlof1 | Feb 5 2026 18:43 utc | 78

Putative nukes countering putative nukes?
But we know the money spent is huge and that seems to be the main thing. 
And the reality that the Saudis have the resources to buy anything and have the planes and missiles to deliver a bomb could be a restraining factor on pugnatious Isnotreal.
 
Saudi Arabia is not a particularly honorable country. But they must know things are changing.
 
Could sing “no longer, is true..” to this.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aZMbTFNp4wI
                                                                                                                  !!!ههههههههههههههههههه

Posted by: tucenz | Feb 6 2026 3:43 utc | 146

Posted by: Melaleuca | Feb 6 2026 3:04 utc | 143
 
“The Russian president is mentioned 1,055 times in the latest Epstein files release, which saw the DOJ share more than 3 million more documents…” 
 
Funny that.
 
Yet nothing suggest that Putin has anything to hide. 
 
“Many of the items referencing Putin only refer to him tangentially, such as in media bulletins sent to Epstein’s email address.”
 
DOJ?  Funny that. 
 
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/epstein-files-vladimir-putin-russian-visa-b2912726.html
 
 
 
 

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Feb 6 2026 3:46 utc | 147

Posted by: Peter Lynch | Feb 6 2026 3:43 utc | 147
#####
 
Part of the treaty is to make the bombers visible for verification purposes.
 
NATO took advantage of that to take out some bombers that were not being used.
 
Since then, Russia has brutalized NATO; those bombers were just the “cost of doing business”.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 6 2026 3:50 utc | 148

The US is perfectly capable of beating military opponents and taking down 2nd and 3rd tier nations. Posted by: c1ue | Feb 5 2026 19:57 utc | 97 #### Except Yemen.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 5 2026 20:36 utc | 105
 
Except Viet Nam.

Posted by: Original Newbie | Feb 6 2026 3:56 utc | 149

Before I knew it my horse had slid down onto his haunches into a sitting position, and I gracefully slid off as well,   off his rear end.  We both were very embarrassed.
Posted by: juliania | Feb 6 2026 1:36 utc | 136
 
🙂 Very much the lady, you do things gracefully juliania. Much better than being face planted in the dirt. That same horse dropped his head in the thick gidgea one day. My foot had caught on a tree trunk and I raked him up the flank. The saddle stayed on that day but the saddle blanket came loose and was slapping him on the flank. I finally got his head up and settled him down then got off and resaddled.
 
I don’t have a memory for words and names. General may well know it. A patch of lancewood that drovers from the territory and the Kimberly had to take mobs of cattle through. When camped down at night in the lancewood, the cattle would tend to rush, or what Americans call stampede. The horsemen of those days – getting to the lead of of mob in the thick timber at night – you wanna have a bloody good horse at night time…..

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 3:57 utc | 150

Yikes.
 
In case people misunderstand that comment by “General Factotum” (and I think many would): do not put your finger into plasma or in front of any kind of torch (by torch I don’t mean a “British English” flashlight).
 
Plasma is by definition more energy dense than gas just as gas is more so than liquid, liquid more than solid matter, matter more than Bose-Einstein condensate.
 
Fluorescent tubes are a misleading example. Plasma is generally very hot. Lightning is naturally occurring plasma.
 
The plasma surrounding an ablative shield contains all the energy continually created/replenished by the drag minus that which is carried off by dissipating plasma; if there wasn’t a hell of a lot of energy there wouldn’t be enough to create or sustain the plasma (eventually there isn’t any more when the reentry vehicle has slowed down enough or when a missile has hit its target etc.). The plasma was created by the energy from the friction in the first place.
 
Ablative shields are engineered to withstand the extreme heat and pressure and protect whatever is behind them from the plasma.
 
Consider water gas in the form of steam; a tiny bit for a very short while might not hurt you but too much will scold you and yet more will kill you, in some circumstances instantly.
 
Or plain fire; quickly extinguishing a candle is not comparable to being trapped in a firestorm.
 

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Feb 6 2026 4:03 utc | 151

 GeorgeWendell | Feb 6 2026 3:46 utc | 149
 
The communist revolutions greatly changed both Russia and China. It skimmed the scum of the top. I have read the communist manifesto be Marx and Engles and believe the commune part is unworkable, but the west certainly needs a similar revolution to skim off the Epstein scum that has risen to the surface. Those revolutions in Russia and China were like a renewal were the dead wood was cut away and they started afresh. The soviets were bogged in dogma and it wasn’t until Putin that a new Russia emerged.
China, after the death of Mao, dogma was dumped and it started on the path to where it is now.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 4:10 utc | 152

Sunny Runny Burger | Feb 6 2026 4:03 utc | 153
 
I guess there are different plasmas. I have worked a bit with a 100 amp plasma cutter and that packed a bit of punch. Just a quick squirt of the trigger would be enough to take a finger off. It really came into its own when blowing bits off earthmoving machinery for replacement. It would cut through had packed dirt, scaled rust and whatever. Good for chopping up non ferrous metals too.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 4:17 utc | 153

In response to Sunny Runny Burger@153,
 
I once put my finger in front of a British English torch, and I now have a hook for a hand. Wouldn’t recommend it.

Posted by: Skiffer | Feb 6 2026 4:44 utc | 154

Yikes…. etc
 
Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Feb 6 2026 4:03 utc | 153
 
*********************
 
Mr. Burger offers much that begs a response. I’ll attend to that on the current open thread (where it belongs) after I’ve cleared my lovely wife’s task list.

Posted by: General Factotum | Feb 6 2026 5:11 utc | 155

“the train between Beijing and Tianjin City was very slow today because of bad weather. it only averaged 310 km/h…/Posted by: General Factotum | Feb 6 2026 3:01 utc | 142″
 
So? The average amtrak train between Washington DC and NYC tops at 80-90 mph (million parsecs per hectosecond). In metric, that would be reaching relativist speeds, so hang on to your seat belt.

Posted by: Asian Frog | Feb 6 2026 5:38 utc | 156

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 4:10 utc | 154
 
Hi Peter
 
I think the main problem with revolutions including the Marxist-type has been the vacuum of governance that follows or the fight  between the revolutionary leaders/survivors and others to establish a new set of leaders that are competent and carry forward the original vision of something that works better for the majority of people. It seems that is where most things go wrong. It’s related to the time factor too, since post-revolution there is a rapid scrambling for power as was the case after the French revolution in the 1790s and later in the Paris Commune of the late 1800s. Stability requires that many changes take place smoothly and that the governance preserves the idea that the people are properly represented.
 
When things go wrong it becomes repressive as what was experienced in Russia and particularly under Stalin who resorted to terror and totalitarianism to a large extent to quell opposition. Mao during the ‘great leap forward’ had the problem that many under him did not want to contradict him or tell him the truth (he may not have liked to hear it either) and then there was the retribution that came from the people who had many scores to settle which led to an enormous and ugly purge, as it did in Paris in the late 18th century as well.  Roasting the aristocrats on spits and lopping off heads. Once the killing starts it is hard to stop, just like a bushfire.
 
Now China, after a more oppressive past, is in luck with relatively benevolent leader that is (through luck to some extent) in power who understands the past history and has respect for Confucianism which sees the importance of leaders being responsible and benevolent. He also understand the essence of what the revolution was about and how to control the billionaires in the country, although there is still much inequality. Moving from pure communism to capitalism back in the Deng Xiaoping days was a massive change but it demonstrated that leaders could shift course with a huge fundamental change if things were not going well or to optimum.
 
As I said, it’s stroke of luck that China got Xi Jinping and I am not sure how things will go if he parts from the leadership given he is not young either. But the massive 90 million strong communist party has a pretty good system for training leaders. Chinese have also always been used to dynasties and emperors so democracy is not as big a factor for them. Increasing prosperity and good conditions are. Xi Jinping is a living example of someone who understands China’ s past and why it chose the course it took.
 
I can see that generally post any revolution that it could work with some form of democracy but  as a form of governance it needs a damn good clean up and all the moth-eaten holes and vulnerabilities removed if it is ever to be successful. It’s rotten now. But it would be hard to this as I have explained in the first instance of any revolution or coup. We almost need to reinvent the wheel with governance, democracy or otherwise, but it is quite possible in my opinion.

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Feb 6 2026 6:00 utc | 157

The US is perfectly capable of beating military opponents and taking down 2nd and 3rd tier nations. Posted by: c1ue | Feb 5 2026 19:57 utc | 97 
#### Except Yemen.Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 5 2026 20:36 utc | 105 
Except Viet Nam.
Posted by: Original Newbie | Feb 6 2026 3:56 utc | 150
 
except North Korea
except Afghanistan 
except Iraq
 

Posted by: exile | Feb 6 2026 6:12 utc | 158

I mention Yemen because MAGAs and jingoists have memory-holed it, like all the Western governments have memory-holed COVID.
 
The US Navy is badass, except for when they got embarrassed by a tiny, poverty-stricken country that has no navy of its own.
 
I take no pleasure in pointing out the predictable and inevitable decline of Imperial military power (including Europe, too).
 
It’s just a detail that will likely have a significant bearing on the future.
 
How does one eat an elephant? One bite at a time. How does an Empire collapse? One military misadventure at a time, one bond auction that goes poorly at a time.
 
It’s like descending a huge staircase. Each step brings us closer to the bottom.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 6 2026 6:23 utc | 159

Russia has long had more nukes.  US industry isn’t capable of delivering any new weapons system cost effectively anymore.  These treaties were in US interest and US should re-instate them asap.  This is driven by US elite self-hypnosis in American Exceptionalism.

Posted by: Charles Peterson | Feb 6 2026 6:36 utc | 160

Jams O’Donnell | Feb 5 2026 17:49 utc | 60
These are valuable details, thanks for posting!
 
The larger dynamic feels like the same arms race that led to the demise of the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Treaty, it doesn’t really factor that it makes no sense physically.
Once the perception is that an arms race is on the spending becomes inevitable. I recently read up on all the things done in the Cold War, it’s mind boggling how much human effort went into this paradigm. Starting with the “missile gap”, “Chrome Dome” and such, more than 2000 nuke tests. The whole approach of “hemispheric defense” only contains a “hemispheric missile dome” in the simplest minds. It feels more psychological, a gerontocracy formed in the years of Reagan’s SDI initiative is afraid has no other solutions than those from richer days. The same hollowed out industrial base can not support those solutions in the slightest.  Dmitry Orlov had some good observations about that approach, it kept going until pensioners and miners did not get paid and strikes occured. The nukes stuck around and so did the military apparatus – corrupt and for sale of course.
 

Posted by: SOS | Feb 6 2026 7:00 utc | 161

General Factotum | Feb 6 2026 2:02 utc | 137
So we are back to the days of Nike-X missiles then, nuking hypersonics out of the sky?
Of course they would all have to be in the EMP radius at the same time – staggered nukes in the ionosphere every few minutes? Just as insane as the original concept.

Posted by: SOS | Feb 6 2026 7:03 utc | 162

S Brennan | Feb 5 2026 22:25 utc | 115
They should have found that out before Kallas opened her mouth.

Posted by: SOS | Feb 6 2026 7:04 utc | 163

Krollchem | Feb 6 2026 3:24 utc | 143
 
Why do you estimate the Russians can shoot down the US attack? They have the same physical limitations to defense the Golden Dome has. Minuteman have MIRVs and decoys too. It would be an illusion to say Russia has less targets to defend either.

Posted by: SOS | Feb 6 2026 7:15 utc | 164

Peter Lynch | Feb 6 2026 3:43 utc | 145
Nuclear bombers are the weakest leg of the nuclear triad. Comparably slow and exposed to AD, but some flexibility for use against mobile targets. Of course sitting out in the open is a bit of an issue but that’s really due to low internal security. On the other hand most of these bombers are fairly old and bein cannibalized for parts, it’s use-or-lose at some point. Ukrainian move was pretty genius and quick thinking.

Posted by: SOS | Feb 6 2026 7:20 utc | 165

Arms race is a myth on the same level that Americans “defeated” Soviet Union by increasing its spendings etc. 
A country that cannot afford constant military spendings and wars, as well as social spendings, is not really a country. 

Posted by: Anders | Feb 6 2026 7:21 utc | 166

So? The average amtrak train between Washington DC and NYC tops at 80-90 mph (million parsecs per hectosecond). In metric, that would be reaching relativist speeds, so hang on to your seat belt.
Posted by: Asian Frog | Feb 6 2026 5:38 utc | 156
 
*******************
 
I think you have succeeded in confusing me. I can’t visualise parsecs; I usually  compare speeds in snail-space in terms of furlongs per fortnight. My  SI reference has no mention of relevant conversion factors. Do you have a conversion factor handy so I can get a feel for the blistering pace of Amtrak top speed – and develop the appropriate envy level? 

Posted by: General Factotum | Feb 6 2026 7:43 utc | 167

The world clearly needs more nukes for export, nukes in space and nukes in the sea bed. Non proliferation BS exist to keep the global south under the boot. 
 

Posted by: 667 | Feb 6 2026 7:54 utc | 168

 GeorgeWendell | Feb 6 2026 6:00 utc | 157
 
There is an aspect to your comment I don’t agree with. Xi Jing ping has a strong affinity for the ordinary people, But he is just one in a succession of leaderships and leaders that have taken china to where it is today.
 
The problems of revolutionary change, we may agree there. 
From the Russian Empire of 1917 through till Yeltsin appointing Putin of the Russian federation. is how long it took the Russians.
China – Mao was the revolutionary, but with his death, a new generation of leadership came to the fore which took China into the future. Both Russia and China, regardless of their governance system have conservative socialism.
 
The commune aspect of communism simply does not work in a large multi ethnic nation. Its a matter of finding the right balance of socialist policies and private enterprise.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 8:18 utc | 169

SOS@164
The US Nuclear Triad has many weaknesses:
First, the B-52H is a slow-flying target for Russian fighter jets armed with long-range air-to-air missiles (400+ km range);
 Second, the US boomers are easy targets for the super silent Russian hunter-killer attack submarines that track the US boomers.  Those boomers still at Bangor and other ports would not have the time to deploy their nuclear missiles in case of war;
Three, the Minuteman III missiles in silos are old, and some may not be functional.  Besides, these missiles are not hypersonic and thus easily tracked and damaged by Russian long-range defense missiles.  This does not require a direct hit, just close enough to deactivate the warhead. 
In contrast, the Russian airborne missiles are hypersonic and maneuverable.  Furthermore, the plasma sheath does not reflect radar signatures.
The Poseidon torpedoes serve as an additional delivery mechanism that cannot be tracked and serve as city killers via the tsunami and the radioactive steam cloud.
The nuclear-powered missiles add a further problem, as they can stay aloft for long after the US is reduced to rubble.
In essence, the Russian capabilities drastically reduce the penetration of US nuclear warheads, thus reducing the Nuclear Winter effects over Eurasia.

Posted by: Krollchem | Feb 6 2026 8:26 utc | 170

fanto | Feb 6 2026 2:58 utc | 140

you mention Israels ‘nuclear’ (Trump-speak) – and a propos I have read a few weeks ago that there was an earthquake, strong and very short, in close proximity of Dimona facility where the geniuses work on WMD.  Today, I hear on Judge Nap talking with Max Blumenthal, that this was a test by them. Is there any more info on this event? any radiation traces? why such a silence in the bar and on the street ?

(late reply)
It is more than probable that there have been many undeclared uses of nukes over the years, of different strengths (I gather the yield can be “dialed in”).  The “Dimona” one could easily have been a small nuke, being used to test the firing mechanism – something that is also quite complicated. (Two hemispheres being accurately thrust together to get critical mass?).
 
Due to the emotional reaction that the use of nukes would create, I doubt that anyone is actually going to admit this. However, one recent report/speculation has Ukraine trying to make a nuke of it’s own. ie. Made with US help and then passed off as a “home-grown” effort by the Ukrainians. Again speculation; is one reason that Zaphoriza NPP in Ukraine is such an objective for Zelensky et al, is to get his hands on the used fuel that is stored there, (as well as the unused), rather than it’s ability to furnish electricity? Many tons of both.

Posted by: Stonebird | Feb 6 2026 8:33 utc | 171

@LoveDonbass | Feb 5 2026 19:16 utc | 90
” inclined to believe Iran will withstand whatever the pedophiles throw at it” There is no question. Even those who call for deposing Khamenei and his mullah elite will stand behind the nation should the US attack.
We need only recall the brutality of the Iraq-Iran war to see how incredibly difficult it is to beat Iran. And Iranians are to this day scarred by the horrors inflicted upon them by Iraq’s chemical weapons attacks supported by the US. To this day Iranians call it the ‘imposed war’ because they believe that the US deliberately played Iraq against Iran – and note the UN was silent on the intial aggression by Iraq and silent on the idustrial scale use of chemical weapons against Iranian cities! Tehran and many other cities were all but evacuated and partially destroyed. But still Iran kept fighting. And where were the waves of Iranians fleeing to the west? There weren’t any. We see that again now. 
Even if westerners have given up  on learning their history, Iranians know full well the price of freedom to forge their own path and will never give that up without a bloody fight – even if it means fighting to protect Khamenei rather than have outsiders dictate their future.
The problem with the West is that a) it is mired with hate-filled and blinded diaspora who exist in a bubble of nostaligic revisionism and self-delusion while guaranteed saftey by the very ‘devils’ US and UK who have brought decades of hell upon Iran, and b) that it listens far too much to ‘allies’ in the region who always have their own agenda – as we saw most recently with Turkey’s all too obvious attempt to manage negotations to its own benefit. 

Posted by: Artem | Feb 6 2026 8:48 utc | 172

“in power who understands the past history and has respect for Confucianism which sees the importance of leaders being responsible and benevolent. / Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Feb 6 2026 6:00 utc | 157
 
About leadership benevolence and the belief in the influence of cosmic forces, I asked Deepseek about the differences between Confucianism and I Qing :
“While they started separately, Confucianism later embraced the I Ching. Confucius and his followers studied it and wrote commentaries (“Ten Wings”) that reinterpreted its divinatory symbols as a profound moral and philosophical text. This “Confucianized” I Ching became one of the Five Classics of Confucianism.
In a nutshell: Think of theI Ching as an ancient book of cosmic patterns and change. Confucianism is a system of ethical rules for human society. Confucianism adopted the I Ching and gave it a strong ethical interpretation.”
 
Sorry for the long post. Here is a potato.

Posted by: Asian Frog | Feb 6 2026 8:50 utc | 173

Reuters one hour ago
 
“Trump rejects Putin offer of one-year extension of New START deployment limits”
 
With the US dumping all nuclear treaties and inflating their already inflated military budget, the Americans intend war.  In the end, the west will likely have to be utterly destroyed. The Europeans, the Brits and the Americans.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 8:56 utc | 174

Stonebird | Feb 6 2026 8:33 utc | 171
 
There was a bloke used to post here occasionally. I forget his username at the moment. Because the ZNPP was down quite often after the anglo american takeover, he speculated that One of the reactors in the Zap power plant had been converted to produce nuclear weapons elements. He may well have been right. The Russians said little but Grossi at a meeting said the was 40 tons of enriched uranium and thirty tons of plutonium stored there. What the hell was that stuff doing there. Prior to the coup, fuel rods were supplied by Russia. After coup, Westinghouse.
 
Ukraine never refined Uranium or produced fuel rods so the question remains – what was all that stuff doing there.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 9:10 utc | 175

“Trump rejects Putin offer of one-year extension of New START deployment limits”
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 8:56 utc | 174
 
And shot another general: tass.com/society/2082847 
Though it is also possible that he said something bad about team Gerasy-Shoigu or about America and was an inside job. Or he was retarded and walked around without security and bulletproof vest.
Remember that general blown up by missiles in Kursk last year? What was he doing there at that time? The operation was finished. So someone who wanted him dead gave him the order to visit the ruins and announced the time of visit to his western partners. Maybe the same guy(s) who did not see a large Nato army on tanks entering and building concentration camps there for almost a year. The other possibility is that he was retarded and went into a war zone with no security. Remeber Kirillov? Was he also retarded and walked around without any security or armored cars?

Posted by: rk | Feb 6 2026 9:23 utc | 176

The Epstein Class is beyond redemption.
Posted by: Suresh | Feb 6 2026 0:39 utc | 132
 
Karlof1. In regards as to what to call it from open thread. The Epstien class…ya ya that’s the ticket 

Posted by: Tannenhouser | Feb 6 2026 9:35 utc | 177

MARGARET KIMBERLEY
 
These links take you to the Epstein files.
Emails: https://t.co/YQQcsMe3lN
Drive:  https://t.co/yNDCYGrg6M
video – photo https://t.co/2hwZhfC9LN
https://x.com/freedomrideblog/status/2019418474343489665
 
 

Posted by: Menz | Feb 6 2026 9:45 utc | 178

rk | Feb 6 2026 9:23 utc | 176
Bugger off.
…………………………….
 
Have just been watching the Krainer Nima video linked by juliania.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=15wLmE7_tCo
 
I’m having trouble retaining concentration but I have found it pays to listen carefully to Krainer. I don’t think it was in what Krainer is saying in this video, but there is now a very definite split between the Americans and London. London and its colony Canada suddenly making trade deals with China and being nice to China.
 
Where the Americans are headed is as yet an unknown factor to me. Trump and his gangster style art of the deal…. But ramping up the already inflated military budget and pulling out of all nuclear weapons treaties as per  b’s current thread gives an idea of which way the Americans are heading.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 9:47 utc | 179

rk | Feb 6 2026 9:23 utc | 176
 
Just after [posting my last comment, I started thinking about a video taken from an American helmet cam. Best video of the conflict in the borderlands between the church of Rome and the orthodox Russian.
 
An American mercenary unit. I think they were manning some guns or something. Shots were fired from the forest and the Americans all went down. Then a single Russian storm trooper comes out finishing of the wounded Americans with a pistol. The one with the helmet cam held up his hand saying Amerikansky, Americansky. The storm trooper didn’t bother to aim. Just pointed his pistol from some distance away and fired. The helmet cam flopped down into the grass. By far the best video to come out of the borderlands.
 
There have been a few good videos though of the specialised storm troopers in Ratnik body armor. It pretty much takes a direct hit with a 6″ shell to knock them down.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 9:57 utc | 180

Posted by: smartfox | Feb 5 2026 18:47 utc | 80
“You mean things you don’t understand can’t be good? Or do you live in a different (pseudo) world?”
 
Sorry. I can’t see how this is a logical reply to my post. (Maybe your reply “can’t be good”?). 🙂

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Feb 6 2026 10:12 utc | 181

Besides, these missiles are not hypersonic and thus easily tracked and damaged by Russian long-range defense missiles.  
Krollchem | Feb 6 2026 8:26 utc | 170

Wait I thought ICBMs came back down at speeds 17-28 Mach? Not maneuverable during end-approach: yes

Posted by: SOS | Feb 6 2026 10:27 utc | 182

I agree completely with PeterAU1 at Comment No 1.
 
America is non agreement capable, but even by American standards Trump is (non agreement capable)¹⁰⁰.

Posted by: Biswapriya Purkayastha | Feb 6 2026 10:55 utc | 183

The one with the helmet cam held up his hand saying Amerikansky, Americansky

tragic that these sheep dipped cannon fodder still believe being American grants special immunity from one‘s crimes. 

Posted by: Exile | Feb 6 2026 10:55 utc | 184

Ukraine never refined Uranium or produced fuel rods so the question remains – what was all that stuff doing there.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Feb 6 2026 9:10 utc | 175
It was extending Budapest Memorandum /S 
Arms control are for peacetime anyways, anytime wars looms or rages, those treaties are ditched in the dustbin like a sock full of holes.
 

Posted by: Savonarole | Feb 6 2026 11:26 utc | 185

Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update, 6th February 2026: May be Useful to Some: Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update

Posted by: The Busker | Feb 6 2026 11:27 utc | 186

@ Exile | Feb 6 2026 10:55 utc | 184
 
Maybe he was executed because of his incorrect Russian. ( He should’ve said “Amerikanets”.) 
 
😉

Posted by: malenkov | Feb 6 2026 11:35 utc | 187

ZH has a posting up with the titleUncharted Territory: US & Russia Now Have No Limits On Nuclear Weapons

 
Status quo in that domain will not change over night.
Introducing new nukes and delivery tools will take time AFAICS.

Posted by: MAKK | Feb 6 2026 11:38 utc | 188

re: MAKK | Feb 6 2026 11:38 utc | 188
you wrote: “Status quo in that domain will not change over night. Introducing new nukes and delivery tools will take time AFAICS.”
But it won’t take a lot of time to move thousands of strategic nuclear weapons/warheads now in “reserve” status to “deployed” status.  Air Launched Cruise Missiles and bombs can be quickly moved to a deployed status.  Uploading warheads to ICBMs and SLBMs will take months, but not years. 
See the Federation of American Scientists article,  “If Arms Control Collapses, US and Russian Strategic Nuclear Arsenals Could Double in Size

Posted by: Steven Starr | Feb 6 2026 13:08 utc | 189

“( He should’ve said “Amerikanets”.)😉 /Posted by: malenkov | Feb 6 2026 11:35 utc | 187
 
He should have said “USAnsky”. 😉
 
 

Posted by: Asian Frog | Feb 6 2026 13:27 utc | 190

The U.S. insists on including China but not the U.K. or France

Posted by: Christian J Chuba | Feb 6 2026 13:36 utc | 191

c1ue | Feb 5 2026 19:53 utc | 96
 
I didn’t realise it was comedy night at the bar.
 
Iraq 1. “Don’t go wobbly on me George”
Korea. Doesn’t matter who stepped in, the US lost.
Panama!? I’d be quiet, seriously. Fucking Panama!!! PMSL

Posted by: Some Random Passerby | Feb 6 2026 13:51 utc | 192

Peter AU1 @175
Grossi is an idiot…
The amount of plutonium he claimed at the nuclear plant exceeded that produced using the Purex process at the Hanford Nuclear Reservation.  Besides, Hanford has some 160 large storage tanks for the high-level nuclear waste from this process, and Ukraine has none.

Posted by: Krollchem | Feb 6 2026 14:31 utc | 193

UK forces are NATO training
Extract
General Sir Richard Shirreff, former Nato Deputy Supreme Allied Commander Europe, tells the programme: ‘This is about getting your infantry in with a bayonet in to kill the enemy in exactly the same way the Romans did. It’s as brutal as that.
‘It’s still a war in which men have to fight brutally face to face. This is total war, a war of absolute, utmost brutality. Warfare on a scale not seen in Europe since 1945.’
One of the Nato troops adds that soldiers have been understanding the ground and conditions in the Baltic states so that ‘if something did happen, we are ready’.
 
I kinda think that their thinking is very very outdated with no relation to reality.

Posted by: Jo | Feb 6 2026 14:32 utc | 194

Concerning the arguments raised about the illicit highly concentrated radioactive material. If it was aimed to make a dirty bomb it works using a variety of concentrations. The highly enriched part may come from remnants of decommisioned nukes

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Feb 6 2026 14:42 utc | 195

Quote from comment #3:

“look at the Wiggers”

This guy meant the Chinese Sunni Muslims of Turkic ethnicity, living in Xinjiang (dry area in western China, bordering Afghanistan and other ‘stan countries) known as:

the Uyghurs.

So, “Wiggers” vs Uyghurs, that’s how ignorant, nearly illiterate, the average USAmerican is, even when they seem well intended good people.

That’s exactly how fascist/imperialist regimes, like USA’s, endure. The more ignorant a population is, the longer the criminal regime lasts without even an attempt of revolution.

That’s also why the fascists/imperialists in the West, mainly in Anglo-American regimes, but also in others, always HATED Socialism and Communism, whose fundamental ideology has always been EDUCATION of all the people, putting the children of the poor studying history in good schools, and giving them all high-education at Universities, with zero tuition.

That’s why the Soviet Union was USA’s fascist oligarchy’s main enemy during the so called “Cold War”, and that’s why China is USA’s fascist oligarchy’s main enemy nowadays.

The European Project was just a TEMPORARY measure to pretend that this oligarchy wanted common people to live well. Now that there’s only Russia, and not a Soviet Union, near Europa, the European Project is no longer needed.

That’s why the fascist oligarchy is replacing the “progressive” Liberal governments by pure nationalist fascists all over Europe. To turn the entire Europe into a big Ukraine, and sacrifice everything for the empire.

We already see governments cutting social spending and dismantling healthcare and education services (mostly public and free until recently), just to replace it all with a fascist system like USA’s.

And at the same time, the governments’ budgets are all being siphoned to the Military Industrial Complex. Hence the emperor’s demand for 5% GDP spending (total waste) on NATO.

As long as USAmericand are this ignorant, and as long as Europeans are blindly being USAmericanized, this wont stop. Why would we make a revolution against this evil regime, if most can’t even correctly spell the name of the people being attacked by us? If most can’t even point correctly at the map? If most have zero idea about other cultures?

You know everything about the “evil” China and Russia and Iran and Cuba and Palestine and Venezuela, etc.
But you know NOTHING about those people and those countries.
You know only what the fascist oligarchy’e mad dogs (CIA, Mi6, Mossad, etc) want you to know.
And, in order for you to not even suspect about this mass propaganda/ignorance machine, they pretend to have “different” names and “different” opinions: CNN, FOX, BBC, Euronews, WaPo, NYTimes, TheGuardian, etc. But it’s all the same.

So, what’s the end of this New Start treaty all about? Isn’t it obvious? To fill all USA’s proxies with strategic bombers, missile launchers, and nuclear warheads, and prepare a M.A.D. where both Russia and China and USA’s proxies are destroyed, but USA stays safe.

Example number 1: the nuclear “israel” versus Iran, the unstoppable GENOCIDE/HOLOCAUST of the Palestinian Semites, and the neutralization of all other Muslim countries in that region.

Example number 2: the talks about turning the Japan proxy also into a nuclear power.

Example number 3: all the USA’s missile launchers (nuclear capable) in NATO’s eastern borders, as well as talk about expanding the number of NATO countries with nuclear warheads.

This is the Anglo-American fascist-imperialist corrupt genocidal zionist oligarchy’s endgame. To dominate all, to neutralize any trace of dissent, and to completely destroy any resistance even if it takes also destroying USA’s proxies.

CIA’s Nazi project in Ukriane (planned for decades, started on practice in 2013), and Mossad’s al-Qaeda/terrorist project in Syria (the so called “civil” war), are just the start of this new phase of the empire.

More Ukraines and more Syrias (and more aggressions as in Venezuela) are already planned and about to happen. The Taiwan proxy war (the planning of which is already in the final phase in the Pentagon) will be even worse that the one in Ukraine, because it will envolve DIRECTLY several countries, and some of them might be nuclear by the time USA activates that proxy war.

WHAT ABOUT A SOLUTION?

Well, as I said before, education of the common people is essential, but something can also be done before that. A big enough revolution INSIDE the armed forces of the empire. True patriots defending the people and peace, instead of brainless troops defending the oligarchy’s interests and committing their aggression.

Aaron Bushnell comes to my mind. He shouldn’t have burned himself to death. What a waste. He should have looked for other decent people inside USA’s army, and organized the burning of Washington DC and Langley.
They could then help other like-minded decent people do the same in London and Brussels (NATO’s headquarters) and occupied Jerusalem.
It would be a snowball effect, because nazi Kiev and terrorist Damascus and all other fascist/assassin/corrupt vassals would also collapse.

After all this, then the education of the people could be developed. Telling them all about all other cultures in the World, presenting different points of view, mutual respect, completely erasing any trace of racist/xenophobic and colonial/imperialidt and fascist/nazi and elitist/oligarchic ideologies.

It wouldn’t solve all the problems in the World. Revolutions never do that. But it would, as other Revolutions did, solve the main problems of the Present, and Make America/Europe Decent Again!

Posted by: Carlos Marques | Feb 6 2026 14:43 utc | 196

Latest Glenn Diesel
General Harald Kujat is a former head of the German Armed Forces (Bundeswehr) and the former Chairman of NATO’s Military Committee. Having held the top military position in both Germany and NATO, General Kujat offers his expertise on how the West and Russia ended up fighting a proxy war in Ukraine. General Kujat warns that NATO’s obsession with defeating Russia will result in the destruction of Ukraine.
As we know already.

Posted by: Jo | Feb 6 2026 14:45 utc | 197

@ Carlos Marques | Feb 6 2026 14:43 utc | 196
 
I have a feeling — based on duck n cover’s previous posts — that “Wiggers” was a sarcastic parody of American ignorance.

Posted by: malenkov | Feb 6 2026 15:00 utc | 198

97
 
Exactly, that’s what I wrote. Weaker opponents and bombs.
 
Posted by: smartfox | Feb 5 2026 20:10 utc | 101
 
MUCH weaker opponents. Third world shit hole level weaker.
 
Put a couple of bottle rockets in the hands of some desert tribesmen and all of a sudden the Americans are on a multi decade epic to rival the Iliad – but with even less success than the Achaeans.
Pathetic, really.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Feb 6 2026 15:35 utc | 199

@Carlos Marquez 196
 
So, “Wiggers” vs Uyghurs, that’s how ignorant, nearly illiterate, the average USAmerican is, even when they seem well intended good people.
That’s exactly how fascist/imperialist regimes, like USA’s, endure. The more ignorant a population is, the longer the criminal regime lasts without even an attempt of revolution.
 
Your post is awesome.  I’d like to highlight these lines in particular.   The narrative that people in real life around me believe is so far from reality that there is no way for any kind of even mild pushback.  There is not even a bit of room to START conversations about it.  I ask questions to find out what their narrative is… and it’s like WOW.  It is especially jarring when they contradict themselves 10 minutes apart, saying opposite things with equal fervor, both things twisted to support the overall false narrative.

Posted by: Woke American | Feb 6 2026 15:50 utc | 200