Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
January 25, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-023

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

It was mentioned in the old thread but Simplicius has a very good summary on the current energy situation in Ukraine, here:
 
https://substack.com/@simplicius76

Posted by: Avtonom | Jan 25 2026 13:12 utc | 1

We’ve now seen the template for how concerted drone strikes can empty a capital city. The production levels in Russia are now such that a similar campaign  can be run against Poland and Germany.
we’ve also seen what western response would be – nothing – particularly if civilians or soldiers aren’t directly targeted.

Posted by: Night Tripper | Jan 25 2026 14:01 utc | 2

Posted by: Avtonom | Jan 25 2026 13:12 utc | 1
now it’s wait and see, most people discuss eviction from Kiev, but impact on remote work /revenues and local assembly lines… might criple them

Posted by: Newbie | Jan 25 2026 14:05 utc | 3

Are the people really leaving Kyiev?
There are no visible huge groups ot columns of  refugees in EU on the roads?

Posted by: Simon | Jan 25 2026 14:18 utc | 4

Posted by: Simon | Jan 25 2026 14:18 utc | 4
so Klitschko, mayor of the city, who has encouraged people to leave and confirmed 600,000 have recently left0, is making it all up? For what?

Posted by: Night Tripper | Jan 25 2026 14:22 utc | 5

Posted by: Simon | Jan 25 2026 14:18 utc | 4
Railroads west of Kiev don’t work, there might not be locomotives dedicated for civ transport. Are there busses? Probably not. Private cars would be the only way to leave. Considering how the Kiev regime functions, they might prevent anyone from leaving to retain fodder.

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 25 2026 14:31 utc | 6

Posted by: Newbie | Jan 25 2026 14:05 utc | 3

 
Yeah and also perhaps not everybody has a grandmother who lives in a village or has a dacha.
 
If I understand S correctly, the 3 nuclear power plants provide perhaps 3/4 of all electricity, which means the despair everywhere so far is probably exaggerated.
 
We must remember that the Russian attacks on energy infrastructure are a response to the Ukr attacks on them. Ukr won’t stop, so Russia won’t either. They will probably take out the NPPs too, however of course indirectly.

Posted by: Avtonom | Jan 25 2026 14:31 utc | 7

Simon & Night Tripper, @ 4 & 5
 
I’ve wondered about that too. But if Western media does not feature it, same story as does a tree that falls in the woods make a sound if no one hears it. And TV production, which has been a huge part of this entire conflict (Zelensky’s ministers are his former TV production team) may be in trouble from lack of power, lack of communications, lack of personnel. The same people who would make the video and edit it for Western consumption are the ones getting rich and getting out of town while the getting is good.
 
Simplicius is way understating the potential hazard of attacking NPPs. The spent fuel pools will require power input for years. Very significant power. And how the hell are they staffing? Can only hope Russia knows a lot of detail about these power plants and is making good choices. And has some ability to step in if it all goes south. Even if they airlifted engineers and rescue workers to Rivne I would expect the Nazis to attack them before accepting help.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Posted by: oldhippie | Jan 25 2026 14:39 utc | 8

Night Tripper @2
” a similar campaign  can be run against Poland and Germany. we’ve also seen what western response would be – nothing “
I think not. 
 

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jan 25 2026 14:43 utc | 9

 oldhippie | Jan 25 2026 14:39 utc | 8
“Even if they airlifted engineers and rescue workers to Rivne I would expect the Nazis to attack them before accepting help.”
 
Agreed – then it’s “Russia deliberate nuclear strike”.
“Can only hope Russia knows a lot of detail about these power plants and is making good choices. “
Absolutely. We don’t want Fukushima-plus.

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jan 25 2026 14:47 utc | 10

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jan 25 2026 14:43 utc | 9
Really ? Respond with what exactly? They don’t have the production levels required to sustained any form of sustained campaign in kind 

Posted by: Night Tripper | Jan 25 2026 14:52 utc | 11

Progress on the front seems to be restricted by heavy snow and heavy frosts, advances are in hundreds of metres not in km. 
Sobering advert for the 106th Airborne Division:
 
https://t.me/llordofwar/557175
Open vacancies:🔹 General Practitioner (male, up to 35 years old)🔹 Surgeon (male, up to 35 years old)🔹 Traumatologist (male, up to 35 years old)🔹 Anesthesiologist-Resuscitator (male, up to 35 years old)🔹 Neurologist (male, up to 35 years old)🔹 Psychiatrist (male, up to 35 years old)🔹 Therapist (Pulmonologist, Infectious Disease Specialist, Dermatovenerologist) (male, up to 35 years old)🔹 Clinical Laboratory Diagnostics Specialist (male, up to 35 years old)🔹 X-ray Technician (male/female, up to 35 years old)🔹 Nurses of various specialties (male/female, up to 35 years old)🔹 Laboratory Assistant (male/female, up to 35 years old)🔹 Mid-level medical personnel: paramedic, male anesthetist, surgical nurse (male, up to 35 years old)
I do remember ambitious medics in the 1970s UK all headed for Belfast, where the ongoing troubles made it the UK’s premier trauma centre.  

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jan 25 2026 14:54 utc | 12

Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update, 23rd January 2026: May be Useful to Some: Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update

Posted by: The Busker | Jan 25 2026 14:58 utc | 13

Posted by: Night Tripper | Jan 25 2026 14:52 utc | 11
 
By the way, if RUAF achieves separating AFU NPPs from the power grid, it will also have indirect (or direct) effect on the EU. One of the original EU plans was to use Ukrainian NPPs to electrify the EU grid. Now that plan has blown up as well, we see high electricity prices in EU market despite industrial demand already lowering over the years. So EU is struggling to sustain even very basic retail electricity demand, or sufficient gas level. 
 
If EU can’t help itself, how does anyone expect it can help Ukraine with any energy related matters?

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 25 2026 15:04 utc | 14

Night Tripper | Jan 25 2026 14:52 utc | 11
 
Zapping Polish and German power generation would be a major escalation with unpredictable outcomes imho. It would also play into the “Putin wants western Europe” narrative. 
Surely Germany have done quite enough damage to themselves, dropping nuclear power and Russian gas? 

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jan 25 2026 15:05 utc | 15

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jan 25 2026 14:54 utc | 12

 
Another way to look at it is they take their people seriously and want to give them their best.

Posted by: Avtonom | Jan 25 2026 15:06 utc | 16

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jan 25 2026 15:05 utc | 15
I think the new European security architecture that Russia is so keen on suggests they do indeed have a interest on the functioning of western Europe on their terms.
 
If that requires  non-nuclear coercive measures then so be it. 

Posted by: Night Tripper | Jan 25 2026 15:14 utc | 17

Posted by: Avtonom | Jan 25 2026 13:12 utc | 1
Yes, good line of reasoning by Simplicus, and pretty thorough as well. Though it does leave room for speculation. Imo, Russia has been treading lighter than it actually preferred to because of the weight the concerns of India and China have with them. But now that the precedent of continually degrading Ukrainian energy infrastructure has been firmly established I see it as likely that Russia will proceed a bit faster in taking that to its logical conclusion unless Ukraine, with the permission of the EU, capitulates to Russia’s list of demands.

Posted by: Babel-17 | Jan 25 2026 15:20 utc | 18

Posted by: Simon | Jan 25 2026 14:18 utc | 4Posted by: Night Tripper | Jan 25 2026 14:22 utc | 5″so Klitschko, mayor of the city, who has encouraged people to leave and confirmed 600,000 have recently left0, is making it all up? For what?”
He has incentive to exaggerate the losses to civilian population in order to increase international pressure on Russia to stop their campaign. It is very similar to how Israeli operations in Gaza are depicted as “genocide”, when if you actually look at the number of Palestinians, you’ll see it is growing very nicely [1], which is quite a weird result for a genocide. Kiev is being “emptied” in the same weird fashion.
[1] https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/state-of-palestine-population/

Posted by: chudon | Jan 25 2026 15:23 utc | 19

Russia won’t strike NPP’s but recently they’ve stepped up attacks on transformer stations. If they collappse the transmission system it’ll force the Ukrainians to shut down reactors.
 
I don’t think the risk for the Russians is creating a nuclear catastrophy … it’s creating a humanitarian catastrophy. The objective of the Russian military operation is to “liberate” Russian speakers and get a new security architecture in Europe. You don’t achieve that by cutting off the power and depriving Russian speaking Ukrainians of light, heat, water and refrigeration. This is “we had to destroy the village in order to save it” thinking and it won’t help the Russians achiever their objectives.
 
Threatening to cut off lights, heat, water and refrigeration unless the regime quits fighting however puts the onus on the regime avoid humanitarian catastrophe. If the Russians wanted to conquer Ukraine they could have targetted electrical nodes, water and heat from day one of the operation they didn’t do it because their beef is with the regime not the Ukrainian people.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jan 25 2026 15:36 utc | 20

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jan 25 2026 15:36 utc | 20
the ‘Ukrainian people’ have constantly thrown their lot in with regime and are continuing to do so. In the centre and the west and Kiev particularly. Which is where the aggression clearly stems from.

Posted by: Night Tripper | Jan 25 2026 15:45 utc | 21

People only migrate when there is absolutely no alternative.
 
Kiev is a long distance from the EU border.
 
If there were significant migrants, the Poles would be howling.
 
I don’t think it matters if 3 people migrated or 30,000. Clearly the infrastructure damage has compromised Kiev and Russia can do it again anywhere they want.
 
People who obsess over numbers don’t understand psychological effects or asymmetry. Look at the ICE murders in Minnesota. That’s not 30 minutes on the front line in Donbass but the effect has been massive.
 
It’s not how many migrate but who migrates.
 
The point is not to occupy Kiev, NAFO bros are obsessed with this dumb idea.
 
Russia does not want to conquer Ukraine, like they don’t want to conquer Greenland. They already have more territory than they can populate and administer.
 
Russia wants to impose its political will on Ukraine.
 
To do that, NATO must be broken and Ukraine pacified.
 
Some of Ukraine may get broken during the process.
 
Putin was ready to avoid all of this after 3 days but the Ukrainians went full retard. Never go full retard.
 
Millions of dead and lost kms of territory later…

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 25 2026 15:47 utc | 22

Posted by: chudon | Jan 25 2026 15:23 utc | 19
 
How is the weather on your planet? israel is definitely committing genocide and ukraine is in pretty bad shape. You don’t seem to be in touch with reality. 

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Jan 25 2026 15:49 utc | 23

NORDSTREAM 2 
 
After much conjecture by many people about its many possible saboteurs, I have come to the conclusion that it was in fact a Ukrainian operation but was completely cleared by Biden such that when he said “we will stop it”  he knew that it was going to be stopped, but it was not by the direct hand of the American navy as Hersch’s false narrative indicated. It seems now to be a hybrid operation between US thinking and planning and partial involvement with the strange European teams which have been partly arrested. Of course the Americans have gained muchly by its destruction. The thing I just can’t understand is how Germany accepted the whole thing, just can’t understand it.
 
It begs the question of just how authentic Hersch’s information was and whether he was at least partially fed as a media patsy for the purposes of deflecting attention away from the real Ukrainian and European perpetrators. This thesis all seems 100% typically Joe Biden, the evil evil manipulator of everything to do with the Ukraine war since 2022. He was a total cunt. I hope he dies a painful death. 
 
Of course I hope that eventually Germany and Russia may, may just restore their energy supply lines however I don’t think it really matters much to Russia now in that they have pivoted east and have solidified a whole new energy export future. So in a way Germany doesn’t really matter to them.

Posted by: Indulis Kradzins | Jan 25 2026 15:56 utc | 24

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Jan 25 2026 15:49 utc | 23
Ukraine is in bad shape, and it is losing the war badly. I was just commenting about the recent comments by Klitschko and others, that 600 000 people left Kiev. That’s a huge number and we should have been able to see some proofs – if it were real. Since we don’t, I believe it is the Kiev regime exaggarating the situation in order to increase int’l pressure on Russia. In his piece today, linked above by Avtonom, Simplicious touches this point when when talking about the power grid:

“Ukrainian officials had stated that virtually all Ukraine’s remaining power is generated by the nuclear plants. If there’s actual truth to that—i.e. if the statements weren’t just exaggerated fear-mongering to frighten the West into sending more aid”

It is the same logic about the supposed flight of people from Kiev in my opinion.

Posted by: chudon | Jan 25 2026 15:57 utc | 25

Posted by: Indulis Kradzins | Jan 25 2026 15:56 utc | 24
 
An afterthought. It has been crystal clear for years that Germany, since Merkel, utterly utterly utterly hates and fears Russia and wishes every calamity upon it. Nordstrom’s demise may just have been seen as a weapon of a war where Germany considered the endpoint to be a lesser pain than their own losses. But it’s now crystal clear that Germany in fact lost out far far more than Russia has from the sabotage. I think that might explain it, in that Germany thought they could weather onwards without Nordstrom 2.

Posted by: Indulis Kradzins | Jan 25 2026 16:02 utc | 26

Posted by: chudon | Jan 25 2026 15:57 utc | 25
 
I’m not sure where they went, either. I think they are trying to put up tents for people in some areas. Maybe they sent them to the front. Maybe they went west toward Lvov but the power situation isn’t great there, either. I do know that it’s got to be very tough with little heat and water. It’s 14 F here in north Texas today with several inches of ice on the ground… but the grid is ok. 

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Jan 25 2026 16:12 utc | 27

If Putin is begging for a peace treaty, why cant he get one?
If Putin is begging for a peace treaty, why doesn’t he just give up Donbass and Crimea and get his peace treaty?
 
Its been four years, and still nobody knows what Putin is doing!  Clearly he has no plan!
 
Sun Tzu Says:
Chapter XI, 36
 
“He must be able to mystify his officers and men by false reports and appearances, and thus keep them in total ignorance.”
 
People love the “keep your plans dark fall like a thunderbolt” quote, but XI 36 is never quoted, because frankly, most do not understand why Sun Tzu says a skillful general MUST be able to mystify HIS officers and men. (not the enemy’s).
In Romance of the Three Kingdoms, there is a little parable, where Cao Cao, (one of the three Kings, leaves three little notes), and a new scholar in his ranks, figures out his riddles.  For the first two, Cao Cao does nothing, but the third, he has the man executed for figuring out his riddles.
 
He can not trust a man that can see through his plans.
 
 
 
 
 
 

Posted by: UWDude | Jan 25 2026 16:15 utc | 28

Consider the possibility the whole drive up tot the Kiev zoo without sufficient manpower was done to maximize the element of surprise, and to hide the true intentions of the SMO.
 
NATO’s AI’s are still guarded against a repeat of Feb 2022, still wasting resources on fronts that will never be.  Still holding its fist up guarding its broken nose, exposing its ribs and lower jaw.

Posted by: UWDude | Jan 25 2026 16:18 utc | 29

President Trump has not issued specific public statements directly addressing Kyiv’s energy shortages in January 2026. 

Posted by: Princess Bodica | Jan 25 2026 16:19 utc | 30

Zelenskyy blames Russia for deliberate winter attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure to demoralize civilians. Trump faults Zelenskyy for blocking peace talks that could end the strikes.

Posted by: Princess Bodica | Jan 25 2026 16:23 utc | 31

European leaders’ posture on Ukraine’s deepening energy crisis and the faltering peace process has hardened into a familiar EU muddle: loud moralism paired with strategic paralysis. Brussels and major capitals thunder against Russia’s winter bombardment of Ukraine’s power grid, ship generators and emergency aid for optics, and ritualistically reaffirm loyalty to Zelenskyy — yet studiously avoid any public friction with Washington as U.S.-led talks grind on without results. The result is a politics of gesture rather than leverage. EU heavyweights like Macron and von der Leyen issue grand statements about European resolve while privately cautioning Kyiv on “realism,” all the while refusing to negotiate directly with Moscow (politically radioactive since Minsk) or to challenge American framing, even when it veers into blaming Ukraine itself. This produces a characteristically European contradiction: maximalist rhetoric about values and sovereignty combined with a deep reluctance to assume strategic responsibility. The Union talks like a geopolitical actor but behaves like a risk-averse committee, leaving Ukraine dependent on U.S. decisions and publicly prodding Europe for backbone it still seems unwilling to grow.

Posted by: Princess Bodica | Jan 25 2026 16:33 utc | 32

Posted by: Avtonom | Jan 25 2026 14:31 utc | 7

The Nuclear provide 3/4 of whats left of Production AFTER Russia started/did the Destruciton… And they are getting shut down too….

Posted by: Nobody | Jan 25 2026 16:33 utc | 33

@31
 
Trump could end Kiev’s masochism with one call to Hegseth, that is shut off all Intel to sheepdipped US controllers in Kiev.
 
That should have been done as promised on 21/1/2025

Posted by: paddy | Jan 25 2026 16:48 utc | 34

In response to unimperator@6,
 
That was Sharii’s instant reaction to Klitchko’s call for people to leave the city. That there were roadblocks on all exists out, with recruiters hauling people off — i.e a trap. Reasonable assumption, but don’t know how true it is. Probably true to some extent.

Posted by: Skiffer | Jan 25 2026 17:07 utc | 35

EU muddle: loud moralism paired with strategic paralysis
 
Posted by: Princess Bodica | Jan 25 2026 16:33 utc | 32
 
Loud moralism fools the proles. Strategic paralysis occurs because they are selfish, ignorant, and short-sighted.
 

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Jan 25 2026 17:09 utc | 36

  1. Salaam,LoveDonbass@22.Do recall -“In most civilised society murder is abhorrent and thus punishable,except if it’s done in large quantities accompanied by trumpets.Thus the western chorus on Minnesota and the west deafening silence in occupied Palestine and the EU statement on human rights with reference  to the riots and terrorism exhibited against the Iranian nation and it peoples,this  January . Now that’s western morality and hypocrisy. Thanks.

Posted by: 4q8 | Jan 25 2026 17:23 utc | 37

he ‘Ukrainian people’ have constantly thrown their lot in with regime and are continuing to do so. In the centre and the west and Kiev particularly. Which is where the aggression clearly stems from.
Posted by: Night Tripper | Jan 25 2026 15:45 utc | 21
 
You can claim the Russians are misguided however you can’t deny their strategy. It’s also obvious in they way when they talk to the media or make speeches their demands are maximalist however when negotiating behind closed doors they make concessions. It’s negotiation 101 … you can always settle for less than your demands but you can never ask for more without offering something more in return. 
 
The main objective for the Russians in Ukraine is security on their western border not aquiring real estate … you don’t get security by starving and freezing the the grannies and children of your adversaries … at least not in a form that won’t bankrupt you defending against all the revenge you’re going to get.
 
The Russians have gone broke once attempting to govern people who don’t want to be governed by them … I don’t see them stepping on that rake again. 

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jan 25 2026 17:25 utc | 38

Lots of continued posturing about war motivations here and elsewhere. Amidst the endless bloviation by Trump are common refrains it is Bidens war, NATO, the EU, a facile argument if you can even call it that, as if these are not instruments of American policy.
The Ukraine war was planned by, for the benefit of, and initiated by America, and was as much an attack against the EU as against Russia. The traitorous politicians that have been installed or coerced in the EU have acted as proxies of the US.  The United States destroyed Nordstream with the complicity of NATO allies. It will thus be properly written in history books.

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Jan 25 2026 17:58 utc | 39

Posted by: UWDude | Jan 25 2026 16:15 utc | 28
thank you, exactly.  Anyone here or out there, with their “analysis” channels, claiming to “know” what the “plans” are, is/are deluded and/or conceited.
Maybe , as I hypothesized repeatedly, this SMO is simply a diversion distraction (who cares how many die) for the complete implementation of full digital monitoring and control.  Drone prototypes examined and tested for well roadside surveillance is now all but completed.
 
The worldwide coup is all but completed. The media takeover 10 to 15 years ago was a clear first objective.
 
 

Posted by: Merv Ritchie | Jan 25 2026 18:02 utc | 40

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jan 25 2026 17:25 utc | 38
I understand they are only interested in securing the western border 
 
 
but how is that achieved when the actual Banderism/Nazism emanates  from further west ?

Posted by: Night Tripper | Jan 25 2026 18:02 utc | 41

The general perspective that strategic bombing of the power grid will force Ukraine’s surrender I think is wrong, because strategic bombing simply does not work the way it’s alleged to. The best verdict on this is the famous (or should be) Strategic Bombing Survey studying the effects of strategic bombing in WWII. The fact that the north of Korea wasn’t defeated should confirm this as well. Given the physical problem that aircraft simply are not going to be able to deliver as much weight of explosives to target as a ground force that isn’t fighting gravity, the ability of the economy and population to recuperate is generally underestimated and the impact on the morale of the population is generally overestimated, as if the people were responsible for the war in the first place.
 
In addition to this, although it appears to be true that US satellite and signals intelligence throughout the world is indeed very important, coming up on four years of war, the Ukrainians do have their own local intelligence capabilities, not least those famous drones. At this point, it seems to me likely that this intelligence capacity can easily support tactical air war. The conclusion is that tactical air war is the one that matters and the US cannot simply pull the plug and end the war in a day. If I was forced to bet, I would bet that it’s the close working relationships between Ukrainian fascists in their military and sympathizers in the US officer corps doing a lot to support the Ukrainians and the US support for their part in the war on Russia. 

Posted by: steven t johnson | Jan 25 2026 18:05 utc | 42

He can not trust a man that can see through his plans.
Posted by: UWDude | Jan 25 2026 16:15 utc | 28

Unfortunately that means he cannot take counsel, for strategy requires articulation. While wisdom may spring from the mouths of babes on occasion, I prefer the advantage of additional perspectives from equals. Else youre in a hall of mirrors reflecting your glory, no? And motive and plan can be inferrred by enemies, this deduction being the primary means, before the modern era of surveillance, for anticipating the moves of opponents. 

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Jan 25 2026 18:06 utc | 43

For all opinion holders in the EU
 
“Law on the adjustment of criminal offenses and sanctions for violations of restrictive measures of the European Union” 
 
https://www.bundestag.de/dokumente/textarchiv/2026/kw03-de-eu-massnahmen-1134338
  
From https://dert.tech/meinung/268363-buerokratische-todesstrafe-wer-eu-sanktionierten/
 
“What sounds like a normal, democratic legal framework, euphemistically referred to by the Bundestag as ‘harmonization’ (with EU law), can also affect any private individual who helps someone affected. This is stated in the draft law: According to it, contracts of any kind with sanctioned persons, as well as fees, donations, monetary gifts, essential goods, or services to affected persons such as Droĝru are punishable by law. Anyone who violates this law can expect to spend up to five years in prison, or up to ten years in “particularly serious cases.”
 
Murderers and rapists do not lose their assets, have legal representation, and traditionally receive a lot of encouragement from women with optimism.
But it is better not to have an opinion in the EU anymore.
 
 

Posted by: BlindSpot | Jan 25 2026 18:11 utc | 44

Viva Las Davos!
 
Davos: Eyewitness to a Burning Empire – by Pascal Lottaz

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Jan 25 2026 18:21 utc | 45

but how is that achieved when the actual Banderism/Nazism emanates  from further west ?
Posted by: Night Tripper | Jan 25 2026 18:02 utc | 41
 
 
There has ALWAYS been Ukrainian nationalism … if a war was the cure it would have disappeared centuries ago.
 
It’s a bad neighborhood. If it ain’t the Ukrainians it’s the Poles or the Lithuanians or tartars … . The real disgrace is the west risking another vast European war by lighting a match under Ukraine. I doubt very much it’s going to end with a clean settlement to the Ukraine war. 
 
From the Russian perspective at least the Ukrainians speak the same language … if Ukraine is turned into a failed state then there is a good chance the Russians will end up sharing a border with the Poles and relations between the poles and Russians is much worse than between Ukraine and Russians. What the Russians want is a weak, docile Ukraine between them and the more belligerant Europeans to the west … which is another reason to avoid an outright defeat of Ukraine.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jan 25 2026 18:45 utc | 46

Unfortunately that means he cannot take counsel, for strategy requires articulation. While wisdom may spring from the mouths of babes on occasion, I prefer the advantage of additional perspectives from equals. Else youre in a hall of mirrors reflecting your glory, no? And motive and plan can be inferrred by enemies, this deduction being the primary means, before the modern era of surveillance, for anticipating the moves of opponents. 
Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Jan 25 2026 18:06 utc | 43
 
surveillance is still too tactical in scope.
 
What the overall reason for the SMO is, I don’t believe is spelled out clearly.  it goes beyond demilitarization and denazification.  Those are the domestic sales pitches, but not the true motive.
 
There comes a point where one person is the true genius, the true master of war and deception.  Cao Cao would only ask the counsel of his main advisor, Xun Yu, to see if Xun yu could decipher his strategy.  
 
Later he brought on Sima Yi, who he never fully trusted, and advised his son, Cao Pi, to keep in check.  Cao Pi wisely did, even persecuting and spying on Sima Yi, never truly trusting him.  For good reason… The Sima clan eventually deposed the Cao clan to start the Jin Dynasty.  
 
Russia has a lot of divided loyalties, a lot of oligarchs, a lot of generals, a lot of shadowbanned’s and rk’s who think they are the true geniuses worthy of rulership of Russia.

Posted by: UWDude | Jan 25 2026 18:58 utc | 47

Trump could end Kiev’s masochism with one call to Hegseth, that is shut off all Intel to sheepdipped US controllers in Kiev.
 
That should have been done as promised on 21/1/2025
 
Posted by: paddy | Jan 25 2026 16:48 utc | 34
 
#####
 
I wrote last year that it was not possible, despite the campaign rhetoric.
 
Trump is a Walmart Greeter for America, not the CEO. The elites, the Oligarchs, BlackRock, etc. would never allow Trump to end the conflict
 
In his heart of hearts, he could love Orthodox Jesus and cry for the babies in basements of the Donbass, but he cannot effect such a policy change.
 
The Senate would remove him. The FBI would frame him. The CIA would kill him.
 
Too many rice bowls are dependent on continued destruction and human suffering.
 
I believe any illusions Russia once had about negotiating with the West have been weakened beyond repair.
It’s not for lack of the Russians trying to avoid conflict with the Minsk deals, negotiating in Istanbul, and not killing Zelensky years ago.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 25 2026 19:11 utc | 48

when negotiating behind closed doors they make concessions.
Posted by: HB_Norica | Jan 25 2026 17:25 utc | 38
 
Russia’s only “concessions” ever has been to exchange corpses and POW’s.
 
Concessions, and words indicating a willingness to concede something, are far different, one is real, the other is nothing but soundwaves and ink.

Posted by: UWDude | Jan 25 2026 19:11 utc | 49

when negotiating behind closed doors they make concessions.
 
Posted by: HB_Norica | Jan 25 2026 17:25 utc | 38
 

 
Its all for show.  The negotiators have neither the authority to concede nor to agree.
 

Posted by: too scents | Jan 25 2026 19:20 utc | 50

The general perspective that strategic bombing of the power grid will force Ukraine’s surrender I think is wrong, because strategic bombing simply does not work the way it’s alleged to. The best verdict on this is the famous (or should be) Strategic Bombing Survey studying the effects of strategic bombing in WWII.
Posted by: steven t johnson | Jan 25 2026 18:05 utc | 42
Read the section “Electric Power”, pp 33–34, and you will find that the Survey’s authors  believed quite the opposite: “The German power system, except for isolated raids, was never a target during the air war…. Had electric generating plants and substations been made primary targets as soon as they could have been brought within range of Allied attacks, the evidence indicates that their destruction would have had serious effects on Germany’ war production.”

Posted by: johnf | Jan 25 2026 19:44 utc | 51

According to a NATO sailor,  saboteurs were dropped, by helicopter, on a ship in the Baltic during the annual Baltops exercises in 2022.  From the ship they took a submersible and were gone  all day, coming back in the evening to be picked up by helicopter.  The sailors were not told anything about who they were or what they were doing.  He only figured it out a couple of months later when the pipelines were blown up.
It is absurd to think that amateurs could plant the explosives unseen.  It is almost as absurd to think that Ukraine or Poland could do it.   A Polish official even tweeted “thank you, USA” until the uproar forced him to delete it.
 
Quit falling for propaganda.  The US did it, end of story.   They are the only ones with motives, means and opportunity, not to mention the oblique confessions before and after the dirty deed was done.
And no way that Germany would have sucked it up unless it was the USA.   No way they believe that Zaluzhny did it, but no hard feelings.   

Posted by: wagelaborer | Jan 25 2026 19:49 utc | 52

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 25 2026 19:11 utc | 48
 
Dependent rice bowls? The wars and imperialism don’t really benefit most Americans, at all, anymore. 

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Jan 25 2026 19:58 utc | 53

HBN @ 46
 
There has not always been Ukrainian nationalism. First breath of a notion that Ukraine might be a nation was in 1880s. Mainly funded by Habsburgs as a tool against Russia.

Posted by: oldhippie | Jan 25 2026 20:07 utc | 54

Posted by: johnf | Jan 25 2026 19:44 utc | 51  And I suppose that not bombing all the dams was the only reason the US was stalemated in the Korean war? And knocking out the power for Baghdad was how the US won the war in Iraq?  I agree that military men commonly believe that attacking the enemy population is the road to victory. It certainly is a road to lower casualties  than assaulting the enemy’s armed forces. It will be a great day for the generals when strategic bombing works the way Billy Mitchell and Giulio Douhet said it would. Perhaps the excerpts from the survey I read so many decades ago were misleading, but the notion that the strategic bombing is both precise and devastating with a regularity that is beyond repair and  the effects on the population will be decisive were not well supported, regardless of what they speculated about if the bombing had followed the correct strategy. I will confess that I can believe the chair force can think over well of itself, and its powers. So perhaps I’m wrong and Ukraine will surrender shortly. 

Posted by: steven t johnson | Jan 25 2026 20:13 utc | 55

Posted by: wagelaborer | Jan 25 2026 19:49 utc | 52

 
I think you are dead right.

Posted by: Avtonom | Jan 25 2026 20:21 utc | 56

Posted by: Avtonom | Jan 25 2026 14:31 utc | 7
Ukraine is 7th worldwide in nuclear energy production.
55% of their electric power is nuclear.

Posted by: Archetypex | Jan 25 2026 20:26 utc | 57

Ukraine has intensified mobilization efforts. Also evident on videos released with kidnapper TCC being more aggressive than before.

To me, Ukraine’s current huge mobilisation indicates that Kiev will start offensive actions probably sooner rather than later. I have heard many first hand accounts from various cities of serious mobilisation efforts. I may be wrong but the current scale is unprecedented.

 
 

https://x.com/NovichokRossiya/status/2015508106013208715

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 25 2026 20:32 utc | 58

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Jan 25 2026 19:58 utc | 53
 
#####
 
The Americans aren’t stakeholders in anything, certainly not America.
 
It’s been that way since Washington’s first term with the Whiskey Rebellion.
 
The rice bowls are those who can molest and murder children, not the local Little League coach.
 
A sad part of human nature, but white culture in particular, is that self-interest overrides social and spiritual values.
 
The better societies try to control and eliminate these tendencies which threaten the groups survival.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 25 2026 20:34 utc | 59

Scott Ritter: Trump HUMILIATED, Putin’s Oreshnik Missile Destroys CIA Coup

Scott Ritter unleashes on Trump for his role in attempting the coup of Vladimir Putin and explains why the Oreshnik strike on Lviv Ukraine has changed everything when no one noticed.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iWaXb2OJj9M

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 25 2026 20:35 utc | 60

Zelensky today in his ramblings was talking about Oreshnik. They seem to be scared of it, it’s demonstrated to be very effective against hitting and destroying any strategic target and sub-targets within any strategic target area.

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 25 2026 20:45 utc | 61

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 25 2026 20:34 utc | 59
 
We benefitted for a while… specifically from about 1946 to 2000, or so. I lived it. That only happened, though, because capitalism gone wild laid a giant turd and crapped out in 1929 and the early ’30s and the fuckers had to make concessions. 

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Jan 25 2026 20:45 utc | 62

Western Military Units in Ukraine to Be Seen as Intervention – Russian Foreign Ministry https://sputnikglobe.com/20260125/western-military-units-in-ukraine-to-be-seen-as-intervention—russian-foreign-ministry-1123522943.html

Posted by: Laurence | Jan 25 2026 20:51 utc | 63

Ritter has and interesting take he articulated in a discussion with Danny Haiphong
 
The chips recovered from the drones that attacked the Valdai residence establish conclusively that the strike was solely a CIA operation. This is what precipitated the use of Oreshnik.
 
Technically, the Valdai strike would have been known and ordered by him before he met with Zelensky at Mar-A-Lago. By Trump’s demeanor, I dont think he did. So one possibility was a CIA attempt to false flag Russia into a major escalation while the CIA had the goods to pin it all on Trump. This makes sense to me – narrative messaging during this period of time was unfocused and discontinuous during this period of time. 

Posted by: frithguild | Jan 25 2026 21:15 utc | 64

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Jan 25 2026 20:45 utc | 62
 
#####
 
While you benefited (I also benefited growing up in the West), it was always at the expense of someone else, far away, sleeping on the ground with an empty belly, and no clean water.
 
So yeah, what goes up must come down.
 
Let The Good Times Roll.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 25 2026 21:33 utc | 65

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 25 2026 21:33 utc | 65
 
Sure. I have little doubt. That’s always true under a capitalist system. 
 
Rush-A Farewell To Kings (Lyrics)

Posted by: Saint Jimmy | Jan 25 2026 21:49 utc | 66

Not only is the ‘peace president’ a moron, but he is also an oxymoron, even in his own country. Get rid of him America

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Jan 25 2026 21:49 utc | 67

@16 Yet another Anon.
Yes Germany has done absolutely enormous damage to itself. The Greens (who IMHO are mostly responsible) are in many ways victorious. Deluded, irresponsible and dangerous, but victorious…..

Posted by: Judge Barbier | Jan 25 2026 21:56 utc | 68

Alexander Mercouris: ‘No Concessions’
 
https://www.youtube.com/@AlexMercouris/videos
 
“Moscow no concessions US as conflict party – Abu Dhabi talks; Oreshnik capability; Kiev strikes.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Jan 25 2026 22:05 utc | 69

So: Two characters; which one is really a cold blooded psychopath?
 
Posted by: Laurence | Jan 25 2026 21:36 utc | 66

 
Why should we have to choose only one of them?

Posted by: malenkov | Jan 25 2026 22:17 utc | 70

@ frithguild | Jan 25 2026 21:15 utc | 64
 
Meh, and a thousand timed meh. Trump is president of the USA, and therefore he is responsible even if he knew nothing about it. With power comes responsibility, after all.

Posted by: malenkov | Jan 25 2026 22:19 utc | 71

Our dear Johnny on the Spot, Marat thinks Azerbaijan is just begging to be bombed. Apparently his wife is an exact copy of Zelensky and an Isreali asset.
 
There appears to be prove that drone attacks are either coming directly or controlled from Isrealis bases in Azerbaijan. 
 
Meanwhile,  Armenia is doing a rehash of the recent Romanian “election” where the strongest opposition candidate is persecuted in court. 

Posted by: Suresh | Jan 25 2026 22:22 utc | 72

Posted by: John Gilberts | Jan 25 2026 22:05 utc | 70

What would you expect. The US is never going to be of use in any settlement concerning Ukraine and Russia. It’s only ever about Trump taking all the credit while Russia nows fully about US duplicity. They act politely and follow diplomatic protocols but know fully that the US is a liar that only seeks the phony cedit for whatever it does.

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Jan 25 2026 22:25 utc | 73

@ fruitloop 64.
 
Sure, the CIA/Deep State is working to sabotage TACO. 
 
Cool story bro. Some of us think the Epstein treasure trove made him approved the attempted hit. But you do you.

Posted by: Suresh | Jan 25 2026 22:27 utc | 74

@ 73. Addendum. 
 
Aliyev’s wife.

Posted by: Suresh | Jan 25 2026 22:30 utc | 75

Posted by: Judge Barbier | Jan 25 2026 21:56 utc | 69

They are not Greens and have not been for many years. They are imposters pretending they are Greens and there to destroy what Greens ever stood for. The real Greens were slaughtered in a made to look double suicide. That was the end.

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Jan 25 2026 22:46 utc | 76

Posted by: wagelaborer | Jan 25 2026 19:49 utc | 52
Please don’t make me laugh so hard.
“According to a NATO sailor…”. Almost as authentic as “an annonymous source in the XXX Dept”. /sarc.
Cite sources for this loose lipped ragamuffin who “figured it all out a couple of months later” before YOU get sucked into the possible propoganda of it all . Lol 
>>>It is absurd to think that amateurs could plant the explosives unseen.<<<
I did not say they were amateurs. I said Ukrainians. They could easily have been Ukrainian SEALS operating from off a US ship and/or in combo with the weirdo DOCUMENTED and foresnsic explosive yacht trip. You clearly don’t think things through very deeply. You just blurt out thought-bubbles from your arse. 
 

Posted by: Indulis Kradzins | Jan 25 2026 22:46 utc | 77

Meh, and a thousand timed meh. Trump is president of the USA, and therefore he is responsible even if he knew nothing about it. With power comes responsibility, after all.
Posted by: malenkov | Jan 25 2026 22:19 utc | 72
 
True. A system that is effective as it is in destroying other countries to achieve the goals of some elements within it will also at times destroy parts of itself. These days some call it lawmakers but it can be JFK  type stuff as well. 

Posted by: frithguild | Jan 25 2026 22:57 utc | 78

@ fruitloop 64.  ***
Posted by: Suresh | Jan 25 2026 22:27 utc | 75
 
Nice!

Posted by: frithguild | Jan 25 2026 23:00 utc | 79

Posted by: Suresh | Jan 25 2026 22:22 utc | 73
 
Azerbaijan (or Aberbaijan, per Trump) has been long been speculated as being a source of attacks on Iran. Being used as a place to launch drones or insert Mossad terrorists to Iran.

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 25 2026 23:02 utc | 80

some call it lawmakers but it can be JFK  type stuff as well. 
Posted by: frithguild | Jan 25 2026 22:57 utc | 80
 
Lawfare not lawmakers 

Posted by: frithguild | Jan 25 2026 23:10 utc | 81

The excuses and rationalizations for Trump are truly ridiculous now.
 
It’s Iran. It’s Putin. It’s Zelensky. It’s the CIA.
 
It is anyone but Trump who is supposedly in charge and all-powerful.
 
If something looks good. Trump did it.
 
If it is a failure, Trump is the victim.
 
We’re overdue for some posts about the 3LA and Deep State.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 25 2026 23:13 utc | 82

Sounds like the usual confusion trying to lead events as a participant of value rather than the dust on the table he is.
‼️🇺🇦🏴‍☠️Ukraine “under no circumstances” will cede its territory to Russia, – Zelensky following talks in Abu Dhabi.▪️He announced the readiness of a draft bilateral security guarantee treaty between Kiev and Washington.➖”We are waiting for our partners to specify the date and location where this document will be signed. Then this document should be ratified in the US Congress and the Verkhovna Rada”, – said Zelensky.▪️The second security guarantee, according to him, is membership in the EU and assistance from the “Coalition of the Willing”. Zelensky said nothing about the readiness of these agreements.▪️He stated that Ukraine will never cede its territory to Russia: it is necessary to seek a compromise.▪️It was previously reported that the US, at the talks in Abu Dhabi, refused to provide military guarantees to European troops in the event of their deployment to Ukraine after the end of the war.@Slavyangrad

Posted by: Jo | Jan 25 2026 23:21 utc | 83

‼️🇺🇦🇷🇸Ukraine demands the inclusion in the EU as a condition for signing a peace agreement from January 1, 2027, — Vučić▪️Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Slovakia are categorically against this, — added the President of Serbia.@Slavyangrad

Posted by: Jo | Jan 25 2026 23:23 utc | 84

Some .mil porn:
Iskander v Patriot.
Fun to watch.
https://youtu.be/MU2OCfhRcW0?si=Ex_eTB-8Q3TkfLZH

Posted by: jared | Jan 25 2026 23:32 utc | 85

I wonder, if Europe were going to participate in negotiations, who would they send? Would they have any legitemacy?
Well, it seems it’s a moot point, but what if it mattered?

Posted by: jared | Jan 25 2026 23:36 utc | 86

They are not Greens and have not been for many years. They are imposters pretending they are Greens and there to destroy what Greens ever stood for. The real Greens were slaughtered in a made to look double suicide. That was the end.
 
Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Jan 25 2026 22:46 utc | 78

 
Exactly. The Greens became just another corporatist-imperialist party —environment be damned — when Joschka Fischer’s “Realos” vanquished the party’s “Fundis”. 

Posted by: malenkov | Jan 25 2026 23:39 utc | 87

Has Trumps traveling circus run out of steam?
He has until November to do as much damage as possible.

Posted by: jared | Jan 25 2026 23:40 utc | 88

🇺🇦Kiev without electricity and heat: a power shortage is raging in the capital of Ukraine– As of yesterday evening, about 800,000 subscribers in Kiev were left without electricity. The Ukrainian Energy Ministry stated that “the power shortage still persists”.- The Gauleiter of Kiev reported that as of today, 1,676 houses remain without heating.@Slavyangrad

Posted by: Jo | Jan 25 2026 23:41 utc | 89

The excuses and rationalizations for Trump are truly ridiculous now. *** 
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 25 2026 23:13 utc | 84
 
I post a postulation that can easily be interpreted to support the narrative that “Trup is too inept and stupid the know how to manage his security services (CIA)” or too afraid to confront them. But all the people in the bar leap to the conclusion I am “for” Trump, excusing Trump or whatever. How about pillorying me for something I have actually written rather than all this strawman stuff? 
 
If someone has a better explanation than mine 64 for the narrative discontinuities from Zelensky’s fun in the sun until after Oreshnik in Liviv, I’m all ears.   

Posted by: frithguild | Jan 25 2026 23:52 utc | 90

and Posted by: Indulis Kradzins | Jan 25 2026 15:56 utc | 24
As President Johnson said ” Lone Gunman “

Posted by: steve | Jan 26 2026 0:06 utc | 91

The greatest progress was recorded in the military subgroup. The disengagement of forces, monitoring of the ceasefire, and the creation of a control center were discussed. As a result, the parties agreed on a monitoring format with the participation of mainly Ukraine, the USA, and Russia. Within a week, the delegations will exchange definitions of key terms and agreed to continue negotiations in the same format approximately in a week.Doubt it@Slavyangrad

Posted by: Jo | Jan 26 2026 0:10 utc | 92

The Trump circus is just that a circus match as a real circus its purpose is to distract and entertain a general audience. The negotiation with Russia continues behind the scenes, the CIA attack on Putin/family was ill conceived , that did trip some sort of line in the sand and we have seen Russia perform an Oreshnik strike on something undefined as well as upping the electric/infrastructure war. 
I expect we are getting close to some type of detente in Ukraine in the not too distant future, Putin/Russia proved they will respond to any attempted strikes on the Russian leadership which was perhaps one of the last cards that could be played. 
Russia has remained unified throughout this whole mess which was not what was predicted, it has also shown it will respond in a limited manners to token attacks but may take the gloves off on any real attack on Russian leadership, failure to do so would all but ensure the destruction of the Russian state via internal coup. The play was always an internal coup, via pressure in Ukraine/other areas.

Posted by: silverfoxes | Jan 26 2026 0:13 utc | 93

Posted by: frithguild | Jan 25 2026 23:52 utc | 95
 
#####
 
I was speaking in general. Usually, I would cite your post if I were referring to you. There are at least a half dozen who shamelessly Trumpsplain.
 
Speaking for myself, my mind is too busy to spend much time on Trump (or any man). I’m more interested in the big political and economic movements. American politics is very boring to me.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 26 2026 0:14 utc | 94

Posted by: Merv Ritchie | Jan 25 2026 18:02 utc | 40
<
The worldwide coup is all but completed. The media takeover 10 to 15 years ago was a clear first objective.
<
<= it began in Washington DC when MIT backed Truman replaced America first Roosevelt, 1946..
<
Truman claimed the WWII oil and gas companies and Military Industrial complex that supported the Atomic Bomb project owned all of the land under the sea and twenty miles inland, Truman recognized Israel as a nation state IOT legitimize the force needed to control the oil and gas under the then defeated Ottoman empire(now Palestine)/  The continental shelf act 1954 forced the American tax payer to pay to locate all of the oil and gas reserves under the sea and twenty miles inland..
<
The next step to global control was to de-industrialize America (to eliminate domestic competition against the too big to fail MIC and oil and gas people) that was accomplished with the EPA act 1973..(permits became so costly small independent producers could not stay in business). In 1973 retail gas prices were less than $.30 cents a gallon, shortly after prices were pushing $2 a gallon.  Simultaneously (1974) the oil for U. S Treasuries swap with Saudi Arabia allowed to weaponize the US dollar.
<
Independent Journalism exposed the corruption and meaningless value to the Viet Nam war (Life Magazine); so independent journalism delayed  and threatened the creditability needed to proceed with globalization.  Authority to Use force and  a weaponized dollar were prerequisites to the activities needed to achieve globalization. Independent, uncontrolled Journalism had to go. Thus a few wealthy people took control of the entire digital platform :Microsoft (took from IBM control over the OS, The government paid private companies like ATT, et al to lay the Internet Lines and to establish secret data collection sites that Internet data could be routed through.  America On line used its unending source of capital to destroy the hundreds of thousands of small independent ISPs. 
<
Disney worked on strengthening the monopoly powers in copyright and patents Google found the capital to employ most of the Academic Talent in Universities in order to develop technology that would once again bring profit making advertising lost to print back into the digital enterprises owned by wealthy capitalist.  User access to the information on Internet had to be controlled both to make a profit and to control the thinking of populations.  Gannett used public money and estate tax laws to acquire control of the nations newspapers. A football scandal was used to  bankrupt truths being reported by Life Magazine. Revealing Truth often interferes with propaganda important to manufacturing consent.
<
Then control and ownership of the radio and TV broadcast outlets (in nearly every nation in the world were suddenly in the hands of wealthy capitalist),

Posted by: snake | Jan 26 2026 0:37 utc | 95

*** I was speaking in general. Usually, I would cite your post if I were referring to you. There are at least a half dozen who shamelessly Trumpsplain. ***
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 26 2026 0:14 utc | 99
 
I appreciate that. If I come accross as a Trumpsplainer I need to revamp my image. 
 
The Ritter discussion with Danny Haiphong also covered how the CIA Valdai attack – literally a design by the nameless and faceless inviting literally more of a toehold for hell on earth – has been viewed in the RF as a betrayal and correctly so. So my intention is to call attention to this, so maybe there will be more attent drawing contentiousness between that faction and DJT and less of an opportunity for either to cause more harm. I hate them all really. 

Posted by: frithguild | Jan 26 2026 0:38 utc | 96

The play was always an internal coup, via pressure in Ukraine/other areas.
Posted by: silverfoxes | Jan 26 2026 0:13 utc | 98

If THAT was the goal, they sure acted stupid about reaching it. I don’t know any group of oligarhs or inner forces capable of leading any opposition mass movement in Russia or staging a coup.
 
But if there were such forces, with the beginning of the SMO it would be wise to start separating “Good” Russians from “Bad” Russians, promoting the “Good” ones, showing them at least some hope to become a true part of the Europe.  Instead, TPTB started painting all the Russians with the same black brush, arresting the means of the said possible opposition oligarhs to make any difference at all and so making them powerless or corralling them into the loyal camp.

Posted by: Rutte | Jan 26 2026 0:42 utc | 97

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 25 2026 23:13 utc | 84
 
I appears that many in his administration have gone rather suspiciously quiet lately. Do you have any thoughts on that?

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Jan 26 2026 1:00 utc | 98

Rutte,
Don’t discount it, they got Prigozhin to react and stage some type of action, it failed but it was the most visible result within Russia of high level dissension, the Russian leadership can never be deposed by the outside due to their nuke capability, internally however is a much more possible manner.
It is a factor in the human condition, there is always someone who wants to be the boss and call the shots better than the current guy. We just saw the strategy work in Venezuela and previously Syria where many sold out. The strategy is currently being applied in Iran yielding mixed results. 

Posted by: silverfoxes | Jan 26 2026 1:00 utc | 99

Posted by: frithguild | Jan 26 2026 0:38 utc | 101
 
####
 
It’s a tricky situation. Trump would not be President without the blessing of the Praetorians (CIA/FBI), and he cannot do even minor reforms if he wanted to.
 
I see no evidence that he has any interest in draining the swamp or helping Americans be safe or healthy.
 
Don’t get me wrong, there is nothing he is doing that is different from what Biden, or Kamala if she was elected, would be doing.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 26 2026 1:02 utc | 100