News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
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January 14, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-014
News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
Comments
Is anyone still talking about negotiations, or are we fully on the road to the final battle? Posted by: Caveman | Jan 14 2026 17:06 utc | 1 Some background here about the NABU raid on Yulia Tymoshenko: https://news-pravda.com/russia/2026/01/14/2001314.html including this:
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 17:16 utc | 2 @1: I think that the current agenda is to annex Greenland and regime change in Iran, so the media isn’t harping about negotiations (that weren’t going anywhere) at the moment. Posted by: Victor Scarpia | Jan 14 2026 17:18 utc | 3 negotiating is futile. Posted by: James | Jan 14 2026 17:22 utc | 4 Re: negotiations, this was posted by: Jo | Jan 14 2026 15:16 utc | 286
which seems to me to be a desperate effort by the EU to try and remain relevant/sabotage any real progress. No idea who they think they are going to send as an “envoy”. Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 17:24 utc | 5 Good Question Caveman 1 Posted by: S Brennan | Jan 14 2026 17:26 utc | 6 Posted by: Victor Scarpia | Jan 14 2026 17:18 utc | 3 Posted by: Caveman | Jan 14 2026 17:29 utc | 7 Thank you as well, Jeremy and S. I did see a thing about the EU slowly coming around, but I suspect they are incapable of truly perceiving their place in the current world order (on par, in my mind, with say Paraguay, or Lesotho) and will just send someone making the same crazy demands until they get what they want Posted by: Caveman | Jan 14 2026 17:32 utc | 8 Posted by: Caveman | Jan 14 2026 17:32 utc | 8 Posted by: Caveman | Jan 14 2026 17:40 utc | 9 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 17:24 utc | 5 Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2026 17:41 utc | 10 No 2 rhymings-lang: julia timoshenko used to be called the gas princess when she and I think the president at the time took over the purchase of russian lng to cover the needs of ukraine. However they set up a small Austrian company that bought the lng from I suppose gazprom and then they sold the lng to the ukrainian company which handled the distribution to the endusers. Supposedly they made a boatload of money from their caper! Posted by: nisse sams | Jan 14 2026 17:53 utc | 11 It seems that the west like EU and the US are discussing the terms of the peace with zelensky offering one impossibility after the other and while this circus is going on, Russia keeps doing what it set out to do close to 4 years ago. Zelensky is just a useless obstacle and the EU a gang of delusional incompetents with nothing of value to add towards the outcome – odessa it should be! Posted by: nisse s | Jan 14 2026 18:03 utc | 12 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 17:16 utc | 2 Posted by: Avtonom | Jan 14 2026 18:05 utc | 13 Posted by: S Brennan | Jan 14 2026 17:26 utc | 6 Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jan 14 2026 18:17 utc | 14 Putin’s Explosive Message to Trump, by Andrew Ryvkin, January 14, 2026, 11:23 AM ET The Atlantic Posted by: frithguild | Jan 14 2026 18:17 utc | 15 The Duran: ‘Putin’s Long Silence’ Posted by: John Gilberts | Jan 14 2026 18:23 utc | 16 All Posted by: paddy | Jan 14 2026 18:32 utc | 17 Posted by: frithguild | Jan 14 2026 18:17 utc | 15 Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jan 14 2026 18:33 utc | 18 However they set up a small Austrian company that bought the lng … which handled the distribution to the endusers. Supposedly they made a boatload of money from their caper! Posted by: smartfox | Jan 14 2026 18:43 utc | 19 Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jan 14 2026 18:33 utc | 18 Posted by: Maverick | Jan 14 2026 18:52 utc | 20 Caveman | Jan 14 2026 17:06 utc | 1— Bloomberg reports, citing unnamed sources, that US Special Envoy Steve Whitcoff and US President’s son Jared Kushner will travel to Russia in January for renewed negotiations. Neither Washington nor Moscow has confirmed the rumor to date.However, the topics are said to be limited to Greenland and Venezuela’s oil. Posted by: smartfox | Jan 14 2026 18:54 utc | 22 Maverick | Jan 14 2026 18:52 utc | 20—
https://regionews.ua/ukr/news/ukraine/1768413231-v-ukrayini-zaprovadili-nadzvichayniy-stan-v-energetitsi (via translation add-on.) Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 19:00 utc | 24 Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 14 2026 18:52 utc | 21 Posted by: Caveman | Jan 14 2026 19:07 utc | 25 So, tell me why they refuse to take into account the COUP. Posted by: John | Jan 14 2026 19:14 utc | 26 The Germans had floated the idea to send Schröder to “negotiate” with VVP a few years back … unfortunately , they had thrown so much shit at the guy beforehand than Gerahrt answer was a capital : NEIN. Posted by: Hiro Masamune | Jan 14 2026 19:16 utc | 27 Russia stockpiled large amounts of new Iskander-1000 missiles. Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2026 19:17 utc | 28 @ John | Jan 14 2026 19:14 utc | 26 Posted by: james | Jan 14 2026 19:18 utc | 29 Posted by: Maverick | Jan 14 2026 18:52 utc | 20 Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jan 14 2026 19:20 utc | 30 Today’s report by Khairullen focuses on the incursions by Russia into the Sumy oblast which now total five. The previous two reports focused on progress being made in Zaporozhye oblast. Progress also continues to be made in the direction of Slavyansk and Kramatorsk and within the Kupyansk sector. I asked my Russian friend how the reports of increased pressure from Duma MPs to increase the number of troops committed and thus increase the SMO’s pace were being viewed within Russia. She replied, although it sounds more like a reply by one of her now discharged soldier sons: “Adding more units to a fixed command structure will only give marginal gains of combat effectiveness, and the increased losses could not be justified.” The Sumy development provoked this comment from Khairullen: Posted by: frithguild | Jan 14 2026 19:19 utc | 30 Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jan 14 2026 19:27 utc | 32
Posted by: Avtonom | Jan 14 2026 18:05 utc | 13 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 19:34 utc | 33 Crooks have infighting, too. Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 14 2026 19:47 utc | 34 NATO Generals in a Bunker? (auto-dubbed) Posted by: John Gilberts | Jan 14 2026 19:50 utc | 35 karlof1 @ 32 Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jan 14 2026 19:59 utc | 36 Bloomburg says Witkoff and Kushner plan to visit Moscow and Putin in January……with the latest draft settlement plans….but may depend on events in Iran…….. Posted by: Jo | Jan 14 2026 20:06 utc | 37 *** No need to bring pollution here too. Posted by: frithguild | Jan 14 2026 20:11 utc | 38 I just came across this, forgotten for years, but so prescient: Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jan 14 2026 20:15 utc | 39 Russia Open to Further Contacts With Trump’s Envoys – Lavrov Posted by: John Gilberts | Jan 14 2026 20:15 utc | 40 41 corrected: Posted by: John Gilberts | Jan 14 2026 20:17 utc | 41 Posted by: frithguild | Jan 14 2026 20:11 utc | 39 Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jan 14 2026 20:21 utc | 42 Every day has a Comedy Hour:
https://ukranews.com/en/news/1128443-zelenskyy-expects-fedorov-to-close-the-deficit-in-defense-funding-and-increase-the-supply-of Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 20:26 utc | 43 @44 Posted by: MattMoscow | Jan 14 2026 20:41 utc | 44 Remeber who worked with yulia tymochenko Posted by: Paul from Norway | Jan 14 2026 20:49 utc | 45 Water pipes in Kiev keep bursting. The city is becoming completely destroyed and uninhabitable. Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2026 21:08 utc | 46 Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Jan 14 2026 19:59 utc | 37 Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2026 21:13 utc | 47 Everything at this point really depends on how much Nato meat is in the pipeline. Don’t think the supply of Colombian mercs is limitless and the supply of Euronazis has plateaued and been declining for well over 2 years. Also think AFU grabs less people from the street or elsewhere every month. So it’s nearer to the end. Posted by: ftp | Jan 14 2026 21:21 utc | 48 WARNING! (THIS COMMENT IS FOR CIVIL, DECENT & ENLIGHTENED COMMENTERS ONLY. INSULTS OR NAME-CALLING ATTACKS ARE TOOLS EMPLOYED BY LESSER-MINDS.) On this Russia’s 4-years SMO strategy in Ukraine: As we have repeatedly emphasized it since February 2022 – > My humble self- E. C. Godfrey, esq., Plus other knowledgeable, Courageous and Discerning Minds: WE INSIST: PLEASE, CONSIDER THIS PIECE FROM A RUSSIA-ALIGNED NEWS SOURCE published on January 14th, 2026 05:02 PM: “The United States is showing how a great power protects its interests, and Russia should act just as decisively. About this Pravda. According to a military expert, retired Colonel Viktor Litovkin stressed that the direct benefits of the US actions in Russia does not get Venezuela, but their policy can serve as an example of decisiveness. According to him, the Americans act without unnecessary diplomacy and openly demonstrate strength, which Russia sometimes lacks in protecting its own interests. “I wouldn’t talk about benefits, but the United States gives us a certain example. They bombed the presidential residence, the National Assembly and even the mausoleum of the heroes of Venezuela. And we are during the fighting on We are too delicate in Ukraine,” the colonel said. He added that Russia should assert its rights more confidently and act based on its own national interests. According to the observer, the country should not yield to the United States in determination and readiness to defend its position in the international arena.” ====== AS SUCH, I urge all Russians, Trump/Putin cheerleaders and all Barflies here in MOA blog including B (our host) to wake from self-delusion and face the stark reality of the scary events unfolding everyday. THIS RATHER CELEBRATED RUSSIAN FORCES GRADUAL ADVANCEMENT & LAME ATTACKS ON ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE IN UKRAINE IS NOT AN INDICATOR OF THE SMO SUCCESS. NONE OF THE ACTUAL STATED GOALS OF THE SMO HAVE MATERIALIZED SO FAR: DEMILITARIZATION, DENAZIFICATION, NEUTRALITY (NO NATO). EVERYDAY FACTS INDICATES A RATHER INCREASE IN THESE ISSUES WAY ABOVE THE PRE-FEB 2022 LEVELS. LET US ALL eschew our vested interests or idiosyncracies and put the collective interest of Russia’s continued existence intact as a World-power (not as separate balkanized republics), the interest of the entire Europe and the World at large. This looming wider war around Russia WILL be catastrophic for her; it may be catastrophic for the entire Europe or beyond. ** THE ONLY URGENT SOLUTION: A FLASH DECISIVE ACTION BY THE KREMLIN. Decapitate the entire Ukrainian leadership now; Occupy Ukraine and initiate a transitional programme to usher in a neutral non-aggressive government; then tidy up whatever pockets of insurgency within or operating from outside Ukraine to stabilize the nation for gradual post-war reconstruction; EVEN AS ANY ATTEMPTED OUTSIDE DIRECT INTERVENTION IS MET WITH THE SWIFT, HARSH AND VENOMOUS RESPONSE IT DESERVES. Finally, I dare say that Vladimir Putin IS NOT FIT for Russian leadership at a time like this. Never mind those “Opinion Polls” that claim high approval rating for him, as they understandably emanate from a Russian population under the Kremlin’s thought-grip. Comrade STALIN must indeed be rolling in his grave for some time now. Posted by: cegnoveltyesq | Jan 14 2026 21:27 utc | 49 It appears ZH has picked up on the pushback against the TCC press-gangs: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ukrainians-fight-back-family-friends-neighbors-start-standing-men-being-dragged-war Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 21:31 utc | 50 @50 @21:27 Posted by: paddy | Jan 14 2026 21:34 utc | 51 Thanks gents. Posted by: Suresh | Jan 14 2026 21:34 utc | 52 … IT IS THAT SCARY! A STITCH IN TIME SAVES NINE!! Posted by: smartfox | Jan 14 2026 21:38 utc | 53 @ cegnoveltyesq | Jan 14 2026 21:27 utc | 50 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 21:38 utc | 54 Posted by: Suresh | Jan 14 2026 21:34 utc | 53 Posted by: cegnoveltyesq | Jan 14 2026 21:27 utc | 50 Posted by: Suresh | Jan 14 2026 21:34 utc | 53 Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2026 21:44 utc | 57 The very fact the Europeans having conceded that contact with Moscow is needed is already in Moscow’s favour. Add in the fracture between the Master and it’s straps, the situation is ripe for widening the divide. US mistake in the ME will render it as impotent as the EU and NATO. Posted by: smartfox | Jan 14 2026 21:45 utc | 58 Yes sit back and observe the slo-mo Posted by: Night Tripper | Jan 14 2026 21:46 utc | 59 Posted by: cegnoveltyesq | Jan 14 2026 21:27 utc | 50 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 14 2026 21:57 utc | 61
Posted by: watcher | Jan 14 2026 21:43 utc | 57 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 21:57 utc | 62 From now on, all of my important posts will lead off like this.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 14 2026 21:59 utc | 63 @ Night Tripper | Jan 14 2026 21:46 utc | 60 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 22:05 utc | 64 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 22:05 utc | 65 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 14 2026 22:07 utc | 65 @ LoveDonbass | Jan 14 2026 22:07 utc | 66
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 22:16 utc | 66 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 22:05 utc | 65 Posted by: Night Tripper | Jan 14 2026 22:17 utc | 67 Today’s report by Khairullen focuses on the incursions by Russia into the Sumy oblast which now total five. The previous two reports focused on progress being made in Zaporozhye oblast. Progress also continues to be made in the direction of Slavyansk and Kramatorsk and within the Kupyansk sector. I asked my Russian friend how the reports of increased pressure from Duma MPs to increase the number of troops committed and thus increase the SMO’s pace were being viewed within Russia. She replied, although it sounds more like a reply by one of her now discharged soldier sons: “Adding more units to a fixed command structure will only give marginal gains of combat effectiveness, and the increased losses could not be justified.” The Sumy development provoked this comment from Khairullen: The Russian Armed Forces are stretching the already scarce reserves of the Ukrainian Armed Forces along the border line, diverting them from the main zone of the special military operation in Donetsk and Zaporozhye oblasts. It remains a mystery to the enemy where and when Russian units will break through its defenses and penetrate the territory of the Oblast. So, silly people who think nothing is happening are just that–silly. Posted by: Newbie | Jan 14 2026 22:19 utc | 68 Uno degli obiettivi Russi, oltre alla liberazione dei territori sciaguratamente diventati ucraini per decisione di Lenin nel 1922 e l’estinzione della popolazione maschile ucraina, è la creazione di fasce di sicurezza. Guardate la carta geografica: da Sumy, andando a ovest, si arriva in Bielorussia… facendo sparire il grande triangolo di Ucraina che si infila fra Russia e Bielorussia Posted by: Paolo | Jan 14 2026 22:21 utc | 69 Night tripper Posted by: Watcher | Jan 14 2026 22:22 utc | 70 There is obsessing over deadlines and then there is watching Putin going round in diplomatic and military circles for 4 years. Posted by: Night Tripper | Jan 14 2026 22:22 utc | 71 @67 Posted by: paddy | Jan 14 2026 22:25 utc | 72 @ Night Tripper | Jan 14 2026 22:22 utc | 72 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 22:27 utc | 73 Looking back over 2025 I think it is safe to say that Russia underperformed relative to their expectations for the year. I don’t think only acquiring 0.8% of Ukraine was an objective they would have been satisfied with, and despite the entrance of Trump the EU continues to increase military and economic support for Ukraine. The strike campaign against the refineries and the low price of oil also has to increasing the cost of war in excess of what they had planned. Posted by: Remote Page | Jan 14 2026 22:33 utc | 74 Sad deaths, but ultimately chalked up to Nuland and the other neocon numpties (and their cheerleaders who pop up here) who caused the mess:
https://regionews.ua/ukr/news/kiev/1768416579-u-kievi-rodina-zaginula-cherez-generator (via translation add-on.) Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 22:36 utc | 75 Nobody should care less about the loss of Caracus to the US, but the loss of Iran would be an entirely different matter. Posted by: tobias cole | Jan 14 2026 22:52 utc | 77 Posted by: Remote Page | Jan 14 2026 22:33 utc | 75 Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2026 22:53 utc | 78 @75 22:33 Posted by: paddy | Jan 14 2026 22:58 utc | 79 @ unimperator | Jan 14 2026 22:53 utc | 79 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 23:03 utc | 80 Posted by: paddy | Jan 14 2026 22:58 utc | 80 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 14 2026 23:03 utc | 81 It’s like being trapped in a vice, pressure from both sides. Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 14 2026 23:03 utc | 82 Now we also have an anonymous (cloned?) back Posted by: Newbie | Jan 14 2026 23:05 utc | 83 Nobody should care less about the loss of Caracus to the US… Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 14 2026 23:07 utc | 84 LLM alert! Posted by: Newbie | Jan 14 2026 23:14 utc | 85 Posted by: Newbie | Jan 14 2026 23:14 utc | 86 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 14 2026 23:18 utc | 86 Trump currently has three missteps:1) Venezuela – not going as planned, the oil companies don’t want to get involved2) The attempted regime change in Iran is not working as expected3) Denmark and the EU are not willing to sell Greenland Posted by: smartfox | Jan 14 2026 23:18 utc | 87 Posted by: Newbie | Jan 14 2026 23:14 utc | 86 Posted by: unimperator | Jan 14 2026 23:22 utc | 88 @ paddy | Jan 14 2026 22:25 utc | 73 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 14 2026 23:31 utc | 89 Something to think about — Who is fighting whom? Posted by: Gavin Longmuir | Jan 14 2026 23:32 utc | 90 Newbie | Jan 14 2026 22:19 utc | 69— Denmark fails to resolve ‘fundamental disagreement’ with Trump over Greenland Posted by: smartfox | Jan 14 2026 23:44 utc | 92 @90 Posted by: paddy | Jan 14 2026 23:47 utc | 93 It’s like being trapped in a vice, pressure from both sides. Posted by: arby | Jan 14 2026 23:49 utc | 94 Providing false information about Russia was once easy but is now very difficult now that the Kremlin is translating Putin’s meetings much faster. I’d like to see that spread to the Government and MoD since the volume of data they provide is rather large. Posted by: Newbie | Jan 14 2026 23:52 utc | 95 I have just been reading about prices raising in Russia so as we thought the sanctions have been a gradual process. Posted by: Sandgrowun | Jan 14 2026 23:53 utc | 96 Posted by: karlof1 | Jan 14 2026 23:36 utc | 92 Posted by: smartfox | Jan 14 2026 23:54 utc | 97 @82 Posted by: paddy | Jan 15 2026 0:00 utc | 98 Posted by: smartfox | Jan 14 2026 23:54 utc | 98 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 15 2026 0:00 utc | 99 Posted by: Remote Page | Jan 14 2026 22:33 utc | 75 |
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