News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
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January 8, 2026
Ukraine Open Thread 2026-008
News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
Comments
Even though the European Commission has published the plans for raising the 90b in various bond tranches and periods….is really really anyone going to buy into these? Posted by: Jo | Jan 9 2026 18:24 utc | 201 Remote Page… Posted by: Jo | Jan 9 2026 18:38 utc | 202 Posted by: Republicofscotland | Jan 9 2026 18:50 utc | 203 This time the media reaction is a lot faster. policy seems to have been set: Posted by: MAKK | Jan 9 2026 19:00 utc | 204 If it really was a giant underground gas storage facility that was hit then it doesn’t seem like something that anyone will be able to hide no matter what the MSM says. Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Jan 9 2026 19:28 utc | 205 In terms of FPV usage, both sides are estimated to deploy around 4-5k daily sorties of FPV drones. Both armies continue to scale their production and use of them, but the difference is a matter of single digit %, it is not clear that either side is having a decisive advantage in overall production. Both sides produced around 2.5-3 millions FPV drones in 2025, and both are aiming to double that number in 2026. Largely on the battlefield it comes down to a choice of concentration of forces. Posted by: Remote Page | Jan 9 2026 20:43 utc | 206 The purple glow in the sky near Lvov indicates that the entire underground gas storage facility is now alight. And with it 30% of all EU gas storage capacity. Please buy gas futures………… Posted by: tobias cole | Jan 9 2026 21:15 utc | 207 @ Sunny Runny Burger | Jan 9 2026 19:28 utc | 214 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 9 2026 21:20 utc | 208 Nobody Special 205 – thank you for this post. Yes this is an existential war against the forces of evil…….evil emobodied in the form of Volo, Biden, Nuland, Blinkenskyy, Yermak, Budanov, Freeland, Sir Keir, Macron, Merz and company. Atheistic fascists all, godless advocates for pure evil. Posted by: tobias cole | Jan 9 2026 21:24 utc | 209 Counted at least six strikes from the Hazel on the Lvov gas storage facility………. Posted by: tobias cole | Jan 9 2026 21:25 utc | 210 Addendum: I’ve been having a look at the NASA FIRMS (Fire Information for Resource Management Service) website and it raise more questions than it answers; there is not one single hotspot across the entirety of Ukraine or Western Russia. It also shows a few puffs of high-level summer-type cloud which, considering the snowfall blanketing much of Europe in the last few days, doesn’t suggest the satellites have overflown recently. Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 9 2026 21:28 utc | 211 NATO membership is still envisioned ;Article 23 NATO Summit of Bucharest 2008 is still in force,you can look it up right now on the NATO website. Posted by: George Kennan disciple | Jan 9 2026 21:37 utc | 212 Posted by: Nobody Special | Jan 9 2026 18:02 utc | 205 Posted by: acementhead | Jan 9 2026 23:19 utc | 213 Posted by: tobias cole | Jan 9 2026 21:15 utc | 216 Posted by: unimperator | Jan 9 2026 23:21 utc | 214 What stops Ukrainians from rebelling? Posted by: acementhead | Jan 9 2026 23:30 utc | 215 ‘They’ won, we lost. Posted by: arby | Jan 9 2026 23:41 utc | 216 ho ho ho– Posted by: arby | Jan 10 2026 0:03 utc | 217 What’s your point? The primary objective of Ukraine is to continue existing as an independent country where they can be free to integrate with the EU. Posted by: Remote Page | Jan 10 2026 0:14 utc | 218 Remote Page | Jan 10 2026 0:14 utc | 227 Posted by: Cynic | Jan 10 2026 0:59 utc | 219 The primary objective of Ukraine is to continue existing as an independent country where they can be free to integrate with the EU. Posted by: arby | Jan 10 2026 1:02 utc | 220 Also IIRC Putin said that Russia did not care if Ukraine joined the EU. Posted by: arby | Jan 10 2026 1:06 utc | 221 The Russians don’t want NATO in Ukraine,just as the US didn’t want Soviet missile bases in Cuba in 1962. Posted by: George Kennan disciple | Jan 10 2026 1:07 utc | 222 “All of these ‘rapid advancements’ that you mention still amount to taking only 0.8% of Ukraine in 2025. That’s not very much at all, and basically allows Ukraine plenty of time to fortify the rear to further make Russian advances slow.” Posted by: James M. | Jan 10 2026 2:10 utc | 223 Of course Ukraine would also like to join NATO since this is the best way to guarantee it’s security from future Russian aggression. Posted by: James M. | Jan 10 2026 2:15 utc | 224 Why don’t you take your religious lunacy and FO to somewhere where people care about it? There is ZERO evidence for the existence of a “Lord”, otherwise known’ as The Gaseous Vertebrate Up In The Sky’ Posted by: James M. | Jan 10 2026 2:19 utc | 225 Lmao, Soros, CIA, Colour Revolutions, you name it. You know millions of Ukranians protested in 2014 and 2004 right? Also Belarus would have overthrown it’s dictator if Russia didn’t send it its police forces to repress the population in 2018. Is it any wonder that people don’t want to live under the kleptocratic pro-Russian regimes but would rather join Europe? Posted by: Remote Page | Jan 10 2026 2:34 utc | 226 Ref. Remote Page Posted by: Richard Hrad | Jan 10 2026 6:51 utc | 227 Russia wants to play a great power and have a sphere of influence, but Russia is only 1.8% of the global economy while the EU is 19% of the global economy. Posted by: James M. | Jan 10 2026 8:40 utc | 228 In regards to the economy, you bring data to the conversation, however you make no analysis on what that data means, or why the data is like it is.
Russia’s government spending has been frozen since Q4 2024, which accounting for inflation, effectively means they are lowering the stimulus to the economy. That joined together by the high interest rates, which have just recently been going down, means that the Russian government has been purposefully cooling down the economy. The corporate tax rate increase is also another tool used to cool down the economy.
This is kind of hilarious honestly. You do realize that a >20 % inflation rate together with an interest rate of 16 % would mean that the government is basically lowering their real debt by selling bonds?
Real cope is hiding behind a fraction, while ignoring the underlying trend that is developing. You affirmed that Ukrainians were able to stabilize the frontline, but the examples i provided prove that they are in fact not able to do that in many situations.
Yes, the number of drones used in Russian attacks seem to have plateaued, but it has plateaued at a number way higher than what Ukraine can muster, which confirms that Russia is not pear to Ukraine in this aspect, but far superior, unlike what you said.
Again, taking those production numbers at face value, that would still mean that Russia has superiority over Ukraine in terms of FPV drones, simply because they were able to widely adopt a new technology (fiber optic control) which is superior to what the Ukrainians can currently muster. Posted by: Leoraig | Jan 10 2026 12:45 utc | 229 “Jeremy Rhymings-Lang” ( Jan 9 2026 21:28 utc | 220 ): Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Jan 10 2026 13:51 utc | 230 Remote Page | Jan 10 2026 2:34 utc | 235 ……. Posted by: Cynic | Jan 10 2026 14:22 utc | 231 Unstoppable by the looks of it. Posted by: Republicofscotland | Jan 10 2026 15:07 utc | 232 Your claim that this is a purposeful cooling of the economy is simply you taking the narrative spin of the Russian government at face value as their explanation for a situation that they cannot control. Government spending has stopped increasing because they ran out of liquid assets in the NWF and now have to fund the war with deficit spending, and there are limits to how much the country can actually purchase/produce. Posted by: Remote Page | Jan 10 2026 15:27 utc | 233 The rate of advance could go to 1.2% of Ukraine in 2026 from 0.8% and it would mean a whopping 50% increase and still do absolutely nothing for Russia’s strategic situation. It has also sped up in the past, to decrease again, to increase. I suspect the fights for the fortress cities will be long and slow. It is cope to imagine that these marginal increases of marginal gains are heralding the long await collapse that Russia needs to actually win. Posted by: Remote Page | Jan 10 2026 16:47 utc | 235 Obvious LLM is obvious. Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 10 2026 18:14 utc | 236
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https://news-pravda.com/world/2026/01/10/1989803.html Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 10 2026 19:35 utc | 238 Ukrainian losses for the week January 3rd to January 9th, as reported by the Russian defence ministry: Posted by: Roger Boyd | Jan 10 2026 22:28 utc | 239 Russian drone strikes have plateaued, and Ukrainian interception has increased with the deployment of their new technologies. Meanwhile the rate of increase for long range Ukrainian drone strikes in Russia has increased by 900% in 2026 and unlike the stagnating Russian long range drone production Ukraine is going to double their FP drone production in 2026. Posted by: Remote Page | Jan 10 2026 23:40 utc | 240 Yup, this sure looks like a nation united enough to sustain an insurgency: https://news-pravda.com/world/2026/01/10/1991344.html Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jan 10 2026 23:51 utc | 241 @ Remote Page | Jan 10 2026 23:40 utc | 249 with the sketchy comment Posted by: psychohistorian | Jan 10 2026 23:53 utc | 242 Likewise with above Ukraine is now scaling the use of fiber optics. Posted by: Remote Page | Jan 11 2026 0:04 utc | 243 The EU entering Ukraine in the form of some coalition of the willing would be the best move because whatever happens in the war, there is two more years of fighting minimum, Russia will have not taken Eastern Ukraine and they will not be able to do anything in this case except start a large conflict which, after years of this expensive war, they might not want to do. I actually think that this is the plan. Put Russia in a situation where they are with tied hands plus all the expenses and debt, then enter with a coalition of the willing, basically denying them victory and baiting them to start a big war. Posted by: 3367 | Jan 11 2026 17:51 utc | 244 Leave a Comment |
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