Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
November 30, 2025
The MoA Week In Review – OT 2025-275

Last week’s posts on Moon of Alabama:

> Trump does not have the legal power to close the airspace over another country, even as he appeared to be threatening an attack or seeking to push Venezuela’s leaders to think he was contemplating one. <


Other issues:

West Asia:

EU:

EU and Ukraine:

UK:

Use as open (not related to the wars in Ukraine and Palestine) thread …

Comments

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Dec 1 2025 13:50 utc | 170
 
Thanks for the architecture suggestion – sounds like it would be secure in terms of not being able to be switched off by any host put under legal pressure by a government.
 
So for illustration say this site MoA under b’s control would be safe in such a technical ‘hole in the wall’ but does that mean our establishments barkeep is?
 
The big ranchers can still go after the inown outlaws! Put up ‘wanted’ posters. Put together a posse to physically find and drag onto the gallows – after a fair trial of course, you understand. If it wasn’t done as a literal ‘dead or alive’ bounty.
 
How would any future bar minder be able to avoid such a fate?
 
Obviously the punters, us, would still be traceable because we use our real names / emails  etc ; or if we make ourselves easily foundable by being honest in stating where we are and provide enough circumstantial clues for any half decent AI Sherlock to find us without much problem.
 
I’m pretty sure that would be a bit chilling for some of us but would the site still be secure?
 
Hope that makes sense.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Dec 1 2025 16:38 utc | 201

re #118, 119
 
The banking cartel uses symbolism just like some other groups. The magazine cover is, among other things, is a form of mocking the victims.
Sorry for errors. This is from an OCR’d book.
 
“TIIE 1 INTERNAL WORKINGS OF FR REM ASONR Y
 
In its internal organisational liFe, Freemasonry involves an elaborate system of symbolic ritual, beginning at the point of the first iiiituil step, and continuing throughout Craft Masonry, All the work of a Masonic Lodge is carried rsr through symbols and symbolic procedures,. Indeed, the ”symbol constitutes the very essence of Freemasonry/’ Freemasonry is essentially the science of symbolism; it Is a system of morality developed tirttf inculcated by the science of aymlrolixm. It is tilts peculiar character as a symbolic Institution, this almost exclusive use of the method of instruction by symbolism,”
 
Page 22:  https://archive.org/details/FreemasonBible/page/n21/mode/2up

Posted by: GreatLakesObserver | Dec 1 2025 16:57 utc | 202

DunGroanin’: replies in-line. Let’s work this some, this is an unusual oppty to actually make  progress.
 
DG: Thanks for the architecture suggestion – sounds like it would be secure in terms of not being able to be switched off by any host put under legal pressure by a government.
 
Tom: It’s tuff to squash a distributed army of ants when they’re in the grass, DG. They’re so damned little, they’re not worth the effort it takes  to find and squash them. This is the fundamental principle of guerrilla  / asymmetric warfare
 DG: So for illustration say this site MoA under b’s control would be safe in such a technical ‘hole in the wall’ but does that mean our establishments barkeep is?
 
Tom: No, but the notion is that no node in the network can damage the sys. They’re either forwarding or not. Yes, each node can:
 
a. corrupt/alter content. There are well-known, widely-used mechanisms (cheap one) that serve to make it really expensive to mess  with content,
 
b. Record from-which-prior-hop and to-next-hop in the network. If a msg goes thru several hops (like The Onion Router does) that prior-next hop info loses value immed. End-to-end comms are really tough to trace 
 
DG:The big ranchers can still go after the known outlaws! Put up ‘wanted’ posters. Put together a posse to physically find and drag onto the gallows – after a fair trial of course, you understand. If it wasn’t done as a literal ‘dead or alive’ bounty. 
How would any future bar minder be able to avoid such a fate?
 
 
Tom: At some point of oppression, that scenario becomes valid.  If the node operator (not a barkeep, not that involved, not necessarily creating content, but just movin’ packets from point A to point where (in this side of computer, out that side). That’s fairly innocuous. If said  network  actually proved itself useful on other counts, like trading or commerce or education, etc. it’d be tuff to hang that albatross about its neck. So,  keep the role of the network-node operator very constrained: yer movin’ packets. That’s it. 
 
Now let’s talk about the other players:  the content creator (e.g. our Barkeep, or just about any one of the posters here  now), who double as content-producers and content-providers. Here,  I’ll put on the content-provider cap. My function is to learn some stuff, read, talk to peeps in my neighborhood, do a little writing, make a doc. I have a seed database (on my computer) of addrs on the network I want to send the doc to.  I send it. The doc transits some number of unknown-to-me, and unknown-to-anyone-else nodes as  it  goes to its destination. 
 
Now I’m wearing consumer-hat. I log into the network, and one of those hosts out there, which serves as a post office node, just like email sys has – has a doc ready for me to download. So I download  it on to Peeples-Network client, runs on my desktop, and  I read it. Yay! It’s  really a cool doc! I say “gonna show some luv to this author”. I  send  out a payment msg, wends its way back to Author, he  stores these Kudo-with-Money docs on his computer (runs  the same client I, as consumer,  have on my computer), and by and by he redeems those Kudo-Docs for $.
 
All  the while, Mr.Consumer-Boy (me with hat on) says, “in addn to kudos to Author, I’m gonna forward this doc to some cool people” and  I  do. Got my own list of folk I trade docs with. Out it goes, sooner or later, thru some legerdemain, shows up …. on DG’s client (which is same software  I’m using, free  downloadable client sw)…  and then  a lot more ants get the doc,  and so  forth. No central  auth regulating knowledge-and-info commerce.
 DG: Obviously the punters, us, would still be traceable because we use our real names / emails  etc ; or if we make ourselves easily foundable by being honest in stating where we are and provide enough circumstantial clues for any half decent AI Sherlock to find us without much problem.
 
Tom: I  addressed this  issue glibly above.  Key point  is that a  person’s identity is likely not-known, and can be  kept not-known, but their brand, their symbol-of-this-is-a-legit-me, is widely known. Sorta like  the public-key, private-key notion. I need to believe that the token really came from the legit token-holder. Don’t need or want to know who the  token-holder is. Build the brand (reputation for  producing hi-Quality content) around the token, not the person behind the token.
 
Yes, there are vulnerabilities; when I redeem atta-boy Kudos into money, doesn’t that create a trail? Can, but not necessarily. Bitcoin addresses this issue to some extent, and  … I’m out of my depth here, but others aren’t. I  see this as solvable. There are a bunch  of professional security-types that have lots of  motivation to create this sort of facility.
 
People can be  found with the skills to  plug the security holes. They don’t have to plug all of them, they mostly need to make it pretty expensive to  find the ants. And if the ants are doing relatively innocuous stuff – bitching about the world’s injustice for ex – the security apparatus isn’t going to involved. Plotting assassinations? Then you’re going to get  yourself squashed. Don’t do stupid;  do graaaaddduuuuaaaal,  distributed, little-bitty-bite annoyance that becuz numbers adds up  to major probs for the predators.
 
The idea is to use the ants for  doing what ants are good at. Get a lot  of  ants.
 DG: I’m pretty sure that would be a bit chilling for some of us but would the site still be secure? Hope that makes sense.
 
Tom: Makes  perfect sense. You’re concerned  about all the right things. Now let’s  move beyond “concern” to “problem solving”.  Well overdue, this.
 
BTW, thanks for bringing it up.

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Dec 1 2025 17:13 utc | 203

Tom Pfotzer@170 & DunGroanin@201:
 
The police state is here and growing rapidly. Discussions of such topics are now critical. As are possible protective measures that may flow from them.

Posted by: John Gilberts | Dec 1 2025 17:17 utc | 204

Alastair Crooke brings us some very important news from China during his chat with Judge Nap. The gist is that China has followed Russia’s example of making itself as self-reliant as possible to negate any leverage the West might apply, has indeed done so, and now has leverage over the West. Now, I’ve been writing that for several months, but now I have a very good source at the source saying that’s so. Plus, there’s the huge difference in AI application that’s rapidly modifying China’s economy lowering costs to the point where price deflation is occurring while the West still is hampered by both inflation and economic stagnation. Those are the main points and their impact on geopolitics is already big. Yes, the Team Trump War Crimes are important but play second fiddle relative to the Big Picture. Recall that China’s market is roughly double the size of the Outlaw US Empire and EU combined and that the latter’s GDPs are grossly inflated by fictitious capital. What that means is China’s real GDP is close to being equal to that of the Empire and EU combined and will soon leave them in its dust.   

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 1 2025 17:32 utc | 205

@John Gilberts | Dec 1 2025 17:17 utc. Correct. Start putting ideas, objections, approaches, off-the-shelf existing sw components, etc. on the table. 
 
If b says “this isn’t’ a subject I’m comfortable hosting”  and he might say that, then we find another platform to host the subject upon.Plenty choices.
 
I don’t care if Security Peeple are  spying on every word I say. I expect that they will; it’s their job, right?
 
Do it anyway. “Security Peeple” are  also real people, many of whom understand the  damage that’s being done via mis-use of gov’t powers. they get it, maybe  better than most of us do.  There’s a lot of very disgruntled FBI people, just to name one US org, whose workers thought they we’re doing-rite when they joined up. They’re not having that much fun these days.
 
And btw, I hope all MoA posters understand that you’re not anonymous. Unless  you are _really_ good (and I’m not) at  covering your tracks, you’re known, and if they cared about it, they can touch you. They don’t care that much … yet.
 
Freedom of speech has been compromised  everywhere in the West. Indeed it has, and now we need some new Ant-as-Citizen  tools, legally built, acquired, operated and had-fun-with by us Ants.
 
Freedom of speech is  under  attack. Yet, It’s a vital component of freedom;  that’s why – in our case here  in the US – the people  that crafted our  constitution understood that free speech was important (1st Amendment), and that the State would likely attempt to curtail it. That anticipated curtailment is a good bit  of the rationale for the 2nd Amendment (bear arms). Everyone understood that gov’ts get driven into the ditch from time to time.
 
Freedom-loving,  hard-bit, Marlboro-smokin’ ‘Merkins everywhere can relate to that. They’ll  support it. A whole lot of those people are Red-staters, MAGA-types, military peeple, sheriffs. Lot of them.
 
Remember to draw  the lines – the circle around who’s-yer-tribe, who’s-not … draw that circle judiciously. You may have friends in unlikely places.

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Dec 1 2025 17:37 utc | 206

“Trump’s NSPM-7 Labels Common Beliefs As Terrorism “Indicators
New directive targets “anti-Christian,” “anti-American,” and “anti-capitalism” opinions”
 
https://www.kenklippenstein.com/p/trumps-nspm-7-labels-common-beliefs
 
“Trump’s NSPM-7 Alarms Law Firms While Congress Is Silent
Domestic terror watchlist to double, sources say”
 
https://www.kenklippenstein.com/p/trumps-nspm-7-alarms-law-firms-while
Ken Klippenstein reports that the Trump administration has issued a directive that – among others – allows the military to be deployed in the US. Klippenstein also was interviewed by “The Damage Report” and “Breaking points” on the same topic.
 
“The Damage Report”:    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8pirOxn6lBA  (length: 9 minutes, published: october 25, 2025)
“Breaking Points”:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4nJauK3MIPE  (length: 14 minutes, published: october 28, 2025)

Posted by: WMG | Dec 1 2025 18:13 utc | 207

“Trump’s NSPM-7 Labels Common Beliefs As Terrorism “IndicatorsNew directive targets “anti-Christian,” “anti-American,” and “anti-capitalism” opinions” https://www.kenklippenstein.com/p/trumps-nspm-7-labels-common-beliefs “Trump’s NSPM-7 Alarms Law Firms While Congress Is SilentDomestic terror watchlist to double, sources say” https://www.kenklippenstein.com/p/trumps-nspm-7-alarms-law-firms-whileKen Klippenstein reports that the Trump administration has issued a directive that – among others – allows the military to be deployed in the US. Klippenstein also was interviewed by “The Damage Report” and “Breaking points” on the same topic. “The Damage Report”:    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8pirOxn6lBA  (length: 9 minutes, published: october 25, 2025)“Breaking Points”:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4nJauK3MIPE  (length: 14 minutes, published: october 28, 2025)
Posted by: WMG | Dec 1 2025 18:13 utc | 207
=============================================================================================
This order makes “Posse Comitatus” obsolete.
 

Posted by: WMG | Dec 1 2025 18:17 utc | 208

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 1 2025 17:32 utc | 205
 
A most remarkable exposition from Crooke and the Judge.  It’ll be fascinating to see the IT experts here critiquing it.
 
First section – Gaza – depressing but expected.  Final section – again the hint that China is trying to let the West go down gently.
 
Well, dunno what the Chinese are up to but it’s been obvious for a while that that applies to Russia and Europe.  No Oreshniks for Brize Norton.  No counter-sanctions unless really pushed.  The mad dog analogy still applies.  Back off carefully.
 
Because there’s no advantage to Russia, having a collection of failed states on their western borders.  Bad things come out of Europe when it’s down and out.  Leave the White Tiger in its lair.
 

Posted by: English Outsider | Dec 1 2025 18:36 utc | 209

All who welcomed Donald Trump as a breath of change and a peacemaker were – right. According to reports, he called a president of a state, Venezuela’s Maduro, and asked him to leave the country with his family, which Donald would facilitate, making the leaving of the country risk-free and safe.
 
That is REAL diplomacy, real wisdom and real peace loving. It is also considerate, kind and generous of Donald toward the Venezuelan people, and people in general.
 
Asking state presidents that Donald finds should leave their country to just leave their country is a significant change in international relations,  a real  turn in hitherto genocide-prone world order. 
 
Soon, when all state presidents that Donald asks to leave their countries, depart under his protection, all  states will be led by Donalds and the era of eternal peace will dawn on humanity.There will be no need for asking state presidents to get out of their countries. There will be no need for the second coming.
 
The UN will by Resolution make the one-and-only, the exceptional, the peace-plan Donald its president for life, and he will lord over all  Donalds and their lands.Always holding in his right hand his Nobel for peace made of gold and in his resemblance.
 
The state presidents that exited their countries at Donald’ slight  prompt and under his protection will live happily ever after. 
 
Fox News, the NYT and Musk  will inform All that All are henceforth happy. And there will be no need for MoA.

Posted by: JB | Dec 1 2025 18:45 utc | 210

It is either something to do with India’s caste system or Hindutva, likely both. Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2025 22:31 utc | 71
 
It seems (to me) that any organized belief system , that extolls superiority over their fellow man, is doomed to commit atrocities to maintain their venerated position. It matters not if they call themselves- Gods chosen, or the master race, or the exceptional ones, etc…it is all the same folly.

Posted by: Original Newbie | Dec 1 2025 18:55 utc | 211

Posted by: JB | Dec 1 2025 18:45 utc | 210
It’s a nonsensical plan, not least because the Venezualans will simply elect another Chavista.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Dec 1 2025 18:55 utc | 212

the Venezualans will simply elect another Chavista.
 
Posted by: ChatNPC | Dec 1 2025 18:55 utc | 212
 
________
 
That assumes that the USA and its compradores arent’t overseeing the elections — assuming they allow elections at all.

Posted by: malenkov | Dec 1 2025 19:12 utc | 213

@  karlof1 | Dec 1 2025 17:32 utc | 205 with the Judge Crooke reference…thx, I watched that and then had to go into a meeting band agree with Crooke’s observations
 
China is applying the advances in computing technology (AI) to all their manufacturing and finance as a public utility while the West is using it for social and financial control.
 
The future is all arounds us but not evenly distributed.
 
The shit show continues until it doesn’t

Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 1 2025 19:21 utc | 214

@ malenkov | Dec 1 2025 0:33 utc | 88
 
Obviously I’m familiar with the name of Dmitry Orlov, but not so familiar with much of his work, mainly bits and pieces that were periodically shared at the Vineyard. I have tried to follow him more closely, but much seems to be behind paywalls or on [dot]ru domains that my government and ISP have blocked (all in the name of “freedom and democracy”, of course).
 
Could I trouble you for a link to the Reinventing Collapse essay, please? It certainly sounds interesting.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 1 2025 19:28 utc | 215

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 1 2025 17:32 utc | 205
 
I agree karlof1.  Good program demonstrating the difference between it and all others I’ve looked at today.  It shows what can happen when a country  works toward its own developmenet instead of pursuing corrupt practices financially which work against its own people’s basic needs.
 
Thank you for continuing to care about us.

Posted by: juliania | Dec 1 2025 19:48 utc | 216

@jeremy
https://archive.org/details/reinventingcolla00orlo/page/n1/mode/1up

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 1 2025 19:48 utc | 217

English Outsider | Dec 1 2025 18:36 utc | 209
 
Thanks for your reply. I try to provide some China news along with Russian at my substack and have kept pace with the AI issue although I haven’t written much about preferring to send readers to people who know more than I. The very different focus by China with AI versus the Outlaw US Empire is very important since what the Empire bet on was what it thought would be its ability to create an AI monopoly that would also extend to semi-conductors and other high tech that would revive its leverage over the world. This Warwick Powell essay is almost a month old but remains the best analysis I’ve read on the issue. That was followed a few days later by this essay that’s just as important. More recently, he writes about the changing structural nature of China’s economy that Crooke expressed somewhat:
 

Far from the cyclical commentary dominating financial media, the data describe a long-arc transformation of China’s production system toward high-tech, high-complexity, and high-productivity structures. Questions of monthly fluctuations in profit levels are discussed at the end of this essay.

 
 
The financial issue of CIPS and revolution in consumer behavior s very real. When Escobar was in China back in October he wrote and commented on that a lot and expressed his amazement at the transformation. The rapidity of this overall development that’s mostly taken place during this year is astounding because China’s open-source AI creates the overall ecosystem much faster than what the Empire is trying, which in turn allows its effects within the economy to happen faster. China’s advances will quickly spread throughout Eurasia while the empire plods along with its plan that essentially has already been defeated. European technologists will likely see that if they don’t follow China then they’ll fall even further behind and become even more uncompetitive.     

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 1 2025 19:49 utc | 218

psychohistorian | Dec 1 2025 19:21 utc | 214
 juliania | Dec 1 2025 19:48 utc | 216
 
Thanks for your replies. Please see my reply to EO above. I also highly suggest reading Warwick Powell’s latest two essays. IMO, more EU nations are becoming aware of the great geoeconomic transition that’s now underway and the need to escape from the NATO trap of Ukraine support and thus save their economies so they can be capable of readjusting.  

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 1 2025 20:00 utc | 219

Posted by: malenkov | Dec 1 2025 19:12 utc | 213
The militias are armed to the teeth – they will have their vote.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Dec 1 2025 20:22 utc | 220

Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 1 2025 19:21 utc | 214
Crooke mentioned one Chinese company which went from 2000 employees to 200 – a 90% reduction.
Assuming that to be an extreme example and the total workforce reduction is, say 30-40%, that means an awful lot of idle habds with no  job, no prospect of a job and a lot of time on their hands. I do hope that the CPC has thought through the consequences of widescale AI deployment on their social fabric…
Let us not forget the Western narrative amounts to:
1. AI is God (AI oligarchs, before it even got to beta release);
2. All Your Jobs Are Belong To Us (AI oligarchs);
3. We’re gonna make a ton of money (AI oligarchs);
4. Muahahaha (AI oligarchs).
As is so often the case nobody seems to be talking about the consequences – ‘and then what?’
What happens when there are tens or maybe hundreds of millions of angry, hungry unemployed?
What happens when those hyper-productive enterprises cannot sell their stuff.no matter how cheaply. because there aren’t enough consumers?
We know how the neo-liberals will handle it: “God doesn’t like losers, fuck you”, but I am interested to know how China will cope.
Over the long term demographic decline will reduce the  pressure somewhat, but will also reduce the consumer count.
Taken to its logical endpoint I don’t see anything but an immiserated dystopia with dark factories churning out stuff nobody can afford, followed by collapse due to a flaky software upgrade.
So I asked Grok and it said: “It’ll probably be fine”, so that’s OK then. 😀

Posted by: ChatNPC | Dec 1 2025 20:43 utc | 221

Reinventing Collapse 
 
free download https://archive.org/details/reinventingcolla00orlo

Posted by: exile | Dec 1 2025 20:43 utc | 222

Orlov’s Old website blog
https://cluborlov.blogspot.com/

Posted by: exile | Dec 1 2025 20:45 utc | 223

more Orlov – The essay that started it all. 
 
The Five Stages of Collapse, Feb 2008
https://cluborlov.blogspot.com/2008/02/five-stages-of-collapse.html

Posted by: exile | Dec 1 2025 20:47 utc | 224

Honduras election dayPosted by: migueljose | Nov 30 2025 15:04 utc | 3
Gracias Miguel Jose. I was involved in reviving the Mayan language and discovered a neighbor who was of Mayan descent, a Guatemalan refugee from that same time period. I helped him with English and US History to assist his effort to obtain US citizenship.
He was very intelligent but had received little education in Guatemala. He spoke only Spanish and had no knowledge of the Mayan Empire nor the history of his people. He believed himself, as a Mayan, to be like the Dalit (untouchable class) of India, a sub-human campesino. Early on, I gave him a coffee mug that had a depiction of the Mayan calendar and explained its significance. He had never heard of it. I taught him a little of Mayan history; that they created a vibrant empire around 300BC, which flourished until roughly 20 years after the Conquistadores arrived with horses, guns, steel weaponry, and greed, to steal their gold and other valuables. The Mayans abandoned their cities leaving them to the Spanish, and faded into the jungle.
Years later my friend emailed me (in English) to say that he had visited his family in Guatemala. He also visited Museums in Guatemala City and bought books about the Mayan civilization. He included pictures of famous Mayan artifacts and expressed pride in his heritage.

Posted by: Samu | Dec 1 2025 21:04 utc | 225

ChatNPC | Dec 1 2025 20:43 utc | 221
 
From what I’ve learned, Chinese workers will rise the technical complexity ladder for the new jobs that are opening at that level; it’s somewhat similar to the mechanism Putin recently discussed with young scientists, although Russia’s demographic issue is very different from China’s. And China has a state employment ministry whose task is to match workers with jobs. AI automation will work in some areas much better than others, and there was no specific info provided about what products were experiencing deflation. I’m in the process of reading this essay that appears to shine some light on the issue. Next year I expect to see very noticeable growth is what China calls its Low Altitude Economy. Plus as Crooke noted, we must remember that China’s government controls the market, thus market failures aren’t very likely. 

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 1 2025 21:17 utc | 226

“(May 11th 1989) Oprah Satanic Murders with Jewish Woman “Rachel’s” story only
 
4-Minutes of just Jewish Woman “Rachel’s” story.
On May 11, 1989, Oprah Winfrey interviewed Rachel, a Jewish woman who family engaged in satanic ritual child abuse since the 1700s. Rachel said she has “had to sacrifice an infant for power before.”
 
Oprah emphasized her “Jewish religion and Rachel claimed there are other Jewish families around the country that engage in the same acts.”
 
Rachel expressed that not all Jewish people sacrifice babies. It was an existing network that her family was directly tied to.”
 
https://odysee.com/@JustMe:05/Jewish-Satanic-Ritual-Survivor-Vicki-Polin-on-The-Oprah-Winfrey-Show-in-1989–Sabbatean-Frankist-Family-:7
 
Full episode:    https://odysee.com/@oghaki:c/Oprah-satanic-murders-full-episode-%281989%29:2

Posted by: GreatLakesObserver | Dec 1 2025 21:25 utc | 227

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 1 2025 21:17 utc | 226
Interesting, thanks.
I guess we’ll have to see if China comes up with a wiser solution the the West – they do have the benefit of 3000 years of history to guide them, whereas the West only cares about next quarter’s profits.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Dec 1 2025 21:27 utc | 228

@Samu | Dec 1 2025 21:04 utc: Well-done, and thanks for the  report.
 
@ChatNPC: glad to hear that there will, indeed, be a vote.  That’s reassuring.
 
Also, your points on considering the consequences of AI are spot-on. The effect of that much displacement, that fast, is going to be significant. China will probably handle it way better than we do here in the US.
 
I think  everyone’s still in a state of disbelief; we’ve never seen anything like this before, and we don’t really believe yet that it’ll happen. The only real issue is  “how fast” and  “how many”. Change we can handle, but not an avalanche of it.

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Dec 1 2025 21:45 utc | 229

karlof1
 
I watched Escobar a few weeks back and he spoke about a doco he had been filming in China, mostly in Xinjiang I think. But he spoke about all of China. Its just over a decade since I saw just a small part of China but the pace of advance since then is quite incredible.
 
In 2022 and 2023, I saw some Ukraine POW’s interviewed. They had been that brainwashed they truly thought Russia was some backwards country far behind them.
 
I see the same thing in the people around me when it comes to China.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 1 2025 23:17 utc | 230

@ ChatNPC | Dec 1 2025 20:43 utc | 221 and others about the effects on labor and such by AI
 
Somewhere earlier I shared this posting
 
China Issues Rare Bubble Warning Forming In Humanoid Robotics
 

China’s top economic-planning body, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), issued a rare warning earlier today about the emergence of bubble conditions in the country’s humanoid robotics industry. This warning comes just as Elon Musk is planning to scale production of the Tesla Optimus robot next year. 
Bloomberg cites comments from NDRC spokeswoman Li Chao, who warned that more than 150 companies and startups are developing nearly identical robots, creating the risk of a classic investment bubble that could trigger a bust cycle and stifle real innovation.
“Frontier industries have long grappled with the challenge of balancing the speed of growth against the risk of bubbles, an issue now confronting the humanoid robot sector as well,” Li warned.

 
China is good at responding to reality and do so with society in mind instead of the God Of Mammon cult in the West.  I expect their attempts to manage the period of change we are going through will reflect their 5000 years of wisdom acquisition while the West will ride 250 years of extended colonialism and elite empire based on control of finance…..the winner is obvious but we are remaking our social organization sausage and this is the part you don’t want to watch and only read about in history books but we are here and this is now.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 1 2025 23:35 utc | 231

Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 1 2025 23:35 utc | 231
I think you might be right. After listening to the Zhou Enlai series of podcasts, I started with The Like of Deng Xiaoping whom Zhou mentored. The last two episodes get into how he started up the Special Economic Zones and kickstarted China’s rise to what it is today, whilst making sure it did not turn into yet another neo-liberal hell hole.
Both are well worth the investment in time…for those interested.
 

Posted by: ChatNPC | Dec 1 2025 23:55 utc | 232

Let me add another comment about the “finance as a public utility” meme that China and the collective axis of resistance are building and implementing.
 
To me, who many of you have heard banging my public/private drum for years know, the issue of  how finance exists within forms of social organization is key to my claim of a civilization war going on currently with that Gordian knot at the center.
 
China is building and has been testing locally finance tools as a public service for its citizens.  It is leveling the playing field for all sorts of private enterprises in China as well as providing the financial plumbing for China and associated nations to process financial transactions that don’t have the Bretton Wood structure as part of the transaction/cost/potential for exchange manipulation.
 
The West will scream bloody murder but China is just leveling the playing field and the effects will reverberate for decades.
 
This brings us back to the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) of China which represents a public outlet in China for policy planning that in the West is done by Stink tanks by private folks for private goals, not public goals. 
China does public 5 year plans that outline the direction and major policy initiatives and everyone is left to accommodate  the broad policy plans within their personal, regional and local ones .
In the West with top/bottom structure and private top control of policy, the public at the bottom gets the Hollywood version of enjoying being screwed.
 
Enough for now…hope you get my gist.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 1 2025 23:57 utc | 233

The USA can’t build hypersonic missiles but a private Chinese company can, at a 20th of the cost.
https://interestingengineering.com/military/low-cost-hypersonic-missile-china

Posted by: morongobill | Dec 2 2025 0:17 utc | 234

And to the excess labor issue……I am too lazy but hope someone else is not too lazy to verify my memory about the Renaissance period being one during which many/most only had to work something crazy like 6 weeks a year to get by…..maybe pure agriculture where planting and harvest seasons were the heavy labor times and that part of the overall workforce needed to make enough to survive.
 
What will be interesting in the US and West will be to see the pressure on the trades to allow more workers and train them which will increase competition, lower wages…….I see lots of dog whistle NIMBY….grin

Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 2 2025 0:34 utc | 235

Peter AU1 | Dec 1 2025 23:17 utc | 230
 
Thanks for your reply. Pepe linked to a video he did with Carl Zha as part of that trek. There’s supposed to be more, but hasn’t been released yet.
 
psychohistorian | Dec 2 2025 0:34 utc | 235
 
Here are the concluding paragraphs to Warwick Powell’s month-old AI essay about which Crooke has provided some confirmation:
 

The Tortoise Surpassing the Hare?

 

 
The story of AI’s global race is shifting from speed to sustainability, integration and systemic efficiency. While the U.S. sector sprinted ahead, China has quietly built a layered, resilient and cost-effective AI ecosystem. Its advantage is embedded in energy arbitrage, supply chain security, analogue chip dominance and open-source integration that reaches the developing world.
 
 
In the classic fable, the Hare was fast but overconfident, while the Tortoise moved deliberately and steadily, ultimately winning the race. In the AI landscape today, China embodies the Tortoise. Its position is not built on headlines or speed alone, but on careful engineering, cost optimisation and strategic foresight. The U.S., despite its early sprint, now faces a race in which catching up may require structural interventions of unprecedented scale in energy, industrial AI deployment, and microprocessor manufacturing. These are challenges that are as political as they are technical.
 
 
The competitive landscape is likely to be characterised by a number of key parameters. The ongoing expansion of the role of open-source models. Chinese firms will continue to release models integrated into plug-and-play stacks, reducing dependency on U.S. proprietary base models. At the same time, turkey AI solutions will likely become increasingly prevalent, especially for the developing economies. As recent developments show, AI stacks can be containerised with embedded energy systems and communications arrays, deployed without large-scale data centre infrastructure. For the US, this means that proprietary model revenues face erosion risks, while hardware and software margins compress. These dynamics compound to reduce overall leverage over industrial AI deployment, accelerating US loss of market dominance potential in both cloud AI and industrial automation.
 
 
I close-out with a cautionary note. The related technical and scientific fields impacting these dynamics are in flux; developments and advances continue to take place, making the parameters ‘unstable’. But, if there’s a core tale to take from this assessment, it is that claims about AI leadership based on one dimension of an overall system are misleading, and it pays to look at things through a complete ‘supply chain’ lens. And in supply and industrial chains, China is doubtless a global leader. [My Emphasis]

  
 
The “robotics bubble” will be managed by China’s government since it manages the market and can thus act quickly to deal with market failures, which is what bubbles are. It will do something along the lines of what it did with the housing market. China’s public planning and financing are key plus Xi’s exhortation to continually modernize. China creates frenetic competition that results in optimal outcomes whereas the Empire promotes monopolies that do neither and stagnate instead.

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 2 2025 1:38 utc | 236

The other day when I searched for Palantir in Australia, I posted the google AI answer here. It is solidly linked to Australian intelligence agencies.
Today, the google AI answer is greatly modified. No mention of links to Australian Intel agencies. Its now just a hairy fairy AI used by big business to flog crap to customers …..

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 2 2025 2:19 utc | 237

Russia & Saudi Arabia Sign Agreement on Visa-Free Travel
 
https://www.rt.com/russia/628734-russia-saudi-visa-free-travel/
 
“…The agreement comes as the two nations actively develop economic cooperation…According to the Russian deputy prime minister, the two countries positions are close on most key issues on the international and regional agenda.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Dec 2 2025 3:39 utc | 238

Enough for now…hope you get my gist.
Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 1 2025 23:57 utc | 233
 
Thank you for these comparisons, psychohistorian.  I have no ideas or even minimal comprehension on finance but my feeling is that the huge trap the moneymaking lure of the US stockmarket is distracts many bright minds in the US where China doesn’t have that distraction.  It also bends motivations in unproductive ways. It’s like a gigantic gambling casino.
 
I saw my beloved Chinese son in law try to make a life in the US – he was extremely successful from the start, just brilliantly motivated as so many Chinese are.  And as a dedicated Bhuddist he taught me much.  But China is his home – he was more comfortable there.  His family is still here, and his sons have the same drive.    And I think:  we love and appreciate one another, why not our countries?  It’s such a waste.  I can’t be afraid of either one, China nor Russia.  They have all they need – and so would we if so many were not distracted or frightened ….  thanks for your posts, and for your focus.

Posted by: juliania | Dec 2 2025 3:56 utc | 239

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 2 2025 2:19 utc | 237
 
######
 
My suggestion is to use more than one AI to do queries like that and compare the results.
 
There are lots of free AIs available online.
 
As a habit, I don’t use ChatGPT (was a subscriber for a commercial project), Google AI, or Siri.
 
Several of them are operated by Zionists or are USG adjacent, and the results sometimes reflect those biases.
 
DeepSeek has been my go-to this year, but there are several other new ones that I want to investigate.
 
https://chat.deepseek.com/
 
Qwen and Kimi are some candidates to test.
 
https://qwen.ai/home
 
https://www.kimi.com/

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 5:05 utc | 240

This insanity of Europe and UK due to the threat of peace takes a bit of thinking. With that major threat, the Europeans are now talking a pre-emptive strike against Russia. The clowns would have even Orwell confused.
 
Early on in this Trump term, Putin when asked about the US and Trump replied “For the US, it is a return to normally”. I did not see it at the time. The massive promotion of the gender benders during the Obama and Biden rule of the American empire – the massive promotion of pedophilia, child sex change and child grooming under the rule of Diversity Biden’s handlers. 
 
American Christianity is thickly tainted with Zionism but at least the Trump admin is returning to some form of family normalcy after Biden Diversity.  Still far from ideal but at least a turn back towards normalcy.
 
From the Ukraine channels, the Americans do have Zelensky on the NABU tapes. Corruption is a two way street though what the jewish mafia has on the Americans is unknown.
 
But the insanity of the European elite. I was watching Galloway and Martyanov before. Martyanov said there is thought in some Russian circles that the Europeans have already stolen the Russian assets at Euroclear.
 
Many private Russian assets were stolen by the west in 2022. Perhaps they have stolen the funds and that is the reason they fear peace, but I think the fear comes from a different place. These people that have paraded Greta Thunburg climate change, That have massively promoted alphabet gender and child grooming ect, they have destroyed their countries economies in the belief they could destroy and loot Russia. The WEF and Soros world.
 
Talking to my sister – she utterly believes all that crap. Hers is a world devoid of any form of logic or fact. She has said straight out she is not interested in facts. She is at least honest.
The European elite have similar mindsets, but rather than honesty, they are utterly corrupt. As I think Martyanov said – For the Russians and Americans, Europe is not a geo-political voice, it is simply an object.
 
Ritter with Diesen talked about the idiocy of the Euro fops threatening a pre-emptive strike against Russia. During this conflict Ritter has traveled to all the regions of Russia. I forget his exact words but it was along the lines of the west simply cannot win against Russia. Montgomery recognised the same thing.
 
This current US negotiations of a peace deal between them while sitting on the object called Ukraine – I may be wrong but I’m starting to sense that the war against China has been called off and the long standing Trump policy of taking Venezuela oil has been called off.
 
Rand Corp’s plan for the war against China stipulated it had to occur before or by 2025 as at that point China would be too strong to attack. This is the end of 2025. China is now too strong to attack. 
 
Banker boys Macron and Merz, the fairy farts of gay Europe that intend to conquer Russia. The City of London, throwing caution to the winds and attacking the Kazakh oil terminal on the Black Sea, attacking civilian cargo shipping in Turkish waters in the Black Sea. Desperate times for the City of London and desperate measures. Insanity.
 
 
 

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 2 2025 5:28 utc | 241

LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 5:05 utc | 240
 
I have never got into using the AI stuff, but when I do a search using the google search engine, it often puts its google AI answer up first.
Interesting to watch the propaganda development of western AI. Musk had to pull his in for a reprogramming when it innocently gave correct answers rather than a narrative. It seems Google AI is similar, It must be corrected to conform to the narrative.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 2 2025 5:35 utc | 242

@ Peter AU1 | Dec 2 2025 5:28 utc | 241 who thinks no China or Venezuela war…interesting
 
You may be right….too soon to tell but good observations.
 
Lots of moving pieces which I expect is part of the plan, chaos as a tool.
This strategy works if you can control enough of the important pieces but fails catastrophically if a big piece goes rogue because of all the internal tension built up over time.
 
I keep thinking that Japan’s financial situation and having just poked the dragon makes it my current lead domino to fall and bring all the rest down with it.
 
May you live in interesting time is a mixed blessing, eh?  Fascinating view but potential painful experience.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 2 2025 5:50 utc | 243

psychohistorian | Dec 2 2025 5:50 utc | 243
 
Interesting times alright. One thing am am close to 100% sure on now – These peace negotiations are not so much about peace between Russia and Ukraine, that is simply an object, a consumable – the negotiations are about peace between Russia and US. 

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 2 2025 5:56 utc | 244

@ Peter AU1 | Dec 2 2025 5:56 utc | 244 
 
I continue to see the Russia/US conflict as just part of the bigger war about how society will operate in the future…….private finance days are numbered, IMO
But don’t say that or you will be in trouble….a paradigm too far
 
There will still be human inequality in the future but the God Of Mammon cult will no longer be able to control global governance like it does now.  China type governance insures that oligarchs are not free to gain too much power and wealth which I think is a good strategy long term.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 2 2025 6:22 utc | 245

Thanks for the list of independent LLMs
DeepSeek has been my go-to this year, but there are several other new ones that I want to investigate. https://chat.deepseek.com/ Qwen and Kimi are some candidates to test. https://qwen.ai/home https://www.kimi.com/

Posted by: exile | Dec 2 2025 7:25 utc | 246

Thanks for the list of independent LLMs
 
Posted by: exile | Dec 2 2025 7:25 utc | 246
 

 
Have you seen Hugging Face? ==> https://huggingface.co/
 
That is the place to go for custom AI models.
 

Posted by: too scents | Dec 2 2025 7:56 utc | 247

“DOGE was a data theft operation”.
 
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/dcqQbvFtVrY   (length:  30 seconds ).

Posted by: WMG | Dec 2 2025 8:38 utc | 248

DOMINOES FALLING 🁫 🁫 🁫 
 
Why the flight to GOLD and SILVER, will increase. The Bank of Japan has signaled it will raise rates. This is not just a policy shift—it’s a direct threat to the foundation of modern market liquidity.  The Yen Carry Trade is estimated between $3-20 Trillion.  
 
For 30 years, this has been the “cheap money” fuel for buying everything: tech stocks, bonds, and crypto.  Rising rates mean this fuel is shutting off. THE FIRST DOMINO – CRYPTO CRASHES As predicted, the removal of cheap liquidity is causing immediate distress in the most leveraged sectors.  Bitcoin and crypto are under severe pressure.  This is a direct result of carry trade unwinding and forced liquidations.
 
THE SECOND DOMINO – THE FED’S SECRET BAILOUT The strain is already hitting the core of the US banking system.  Last week: The Fed injected $50 Billion via Overnight Repo operations.  This week: Another $25 Billion was pumped in.  Total: A $75 Billion emergency liquidity lifeline in days. This is not “stimulus.” This is a desperate measure to stop banks from breaking.
 
THE VICIOUS CYCLE The mechanism is clear and self-reinforcing: BOJ hikes → Yen appreciates, carry trade unwinds. Liquidity vanishes → Leveraged positions (crypto, tech) are sold. Stress hits banks → The Fed must provide emergency funds. Confidence erodes → The flight to real, tangible assets accelerates. THE BOTTOM LINE The desperate scramble for liquidity and the unraveling of the world’s largest funding trade is a direct bullish catalyst for what comes next: a violent rush into hard, non-counterparty assets like physical silver and gold.
 
https://x.com/Mark4XX/status/1995776525786882347

Posted by: unimperator | Dec 2 2025 8:58 utc | 249

This is a desperate measure to stop banks from breaking.
 
Posted by: unimperator | Dec 2 2025 8:58 utc | 249
 

 
It is not desperate.  It is the purpose of the Federal Reserve Act.
 

An Act To provide for the establishment of Federal reserve banks, to furnish an elastic currency, to afford means of rediscounting commercial paper, to establish a more effective supervision of banking in the United States, and for other purposes.
 
https://www.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/officialtitle-preamble.htm

 
The purpose being clear the correct question to ask is “who does the FED serve?” .
 

Posted by: too scents | Dec 2 2025 9:26 utc | 250

Ukrainian playbook: Pro-Russian positions in Kazakhstan lead to prison sentences (EADaily, December 2, 2025 — in Russian)

In Kazakhstan, pro-Russian positions lead to prison sentences, while nationalists are escaping criminal liability. Aynur Kurmanov, co-chair of the Socialist Movement of Kazakhstan, writes about this on his website.
 
As the politician notes, double standards are regularly observed in Kazakhstan, where individuals who support Russia and integration processes are persecuted, while ardent Russophobes go unpunished. In this way, high-ranking officials openly demonstrate their patronage of militant nationalists.
 
“We recently reported that blogger Aslan Tolegenov, who advocated for the development of friendly relations with Russia, was sentenced to three years and nine months on trumped-up charges of ‘inciting ethnic hatred’ under Article 174 of the Criminal Code of the Republic of Kazakhstan. The basis for the case was a statement by a nationalist provocateur who felt ‘insulted’ on behalf of the entire nation. Interestingly, against this backdrop, cases against Nazis are not being opened or are being dropped, sometimes after ministers intervene. This happened with the well-known Russophobe Aida Dzheksenova, who launched social media campaigns demanding that Russian singers and artists be banned from performing in the Republic of Kazakhstan,” Kurmanov writes.
 
He notes that Dzheksenova’s posts clearly displayed manifestations of national intolerance toward Russians, which led to the criminal case being opened. However, after the intervention of the Minister of Culture and Information, Aida Balayeva, the proceedings were suspended.
 
“She (Balayeva) stated that the blogger was merely pursuing her ‘principled civic position,’ which required support, not censure. Moreover, to assist the nationalist, the minister provided two lawyers, paid for by the budget!And despite the public outcry, the investigation was suspended, and the case itself will most likely be closed,” Kurmanov asserts.
 
According to him, the pseudo-historian Aybek Abdurakhmanov, whose case was closed by the National Security Committee (KNB) on November 22, was also subject to a similar unspoken “amnesty.” The case against him, allegedly due to the lack of corpus delicti, was closed by the KNB. Even though he had been promoting fictitious episodes of the “Holodomor,” mass repressions, torture, and “Russian occupation” through his social media accounts, Kurmanov continues.
 
“This is a clear, selective application of Article 174 of the Criminal Code of the Republic of Kazakhstan by the authorities, deliberately demonstrating a ‘to their own—everything, to others—according to the law,’ approach, demonstrating that the Nazis are controlled and managed by high-ranking government officials,” Kurmanov continues.
 
The politician emphasizes that such protection is not at all accidental.
 
“One can conclude that Balayeva is simply defending her team, which was precisely the one posing as an ‘angry public’ when it initiated numerous petitions under the slogan of preventing Russian performers from performing. After all, Balayeva then used these petitions to issue orders canceling concerts, which resulted in a veritable ‘cultural cancellation,’ ” the author continues.
 
He recalls how Emin Agalarov’s Zhara festival, concerts by Polina Gagarina and the Turetskiy Choir, performances by the KVN team Kamyzyaki, and even Tatyana Navka’s [Dmitriy Peskov’s wife — S] ice show were similarly canceled. Their only “guilt,” Kurmanov notes, was that they had either visited the LPR/DPR and Crimea, or supported the SMO. The basis for the cancellation of the KVN Kamyzyaki performers’ tour was them being posted on the terrorist website Mirotvorets.
 
“The problem is that Astana was setting a precedent and setting an example for Tashkent [capital of Uzbekistan — S] and Bishkek [capital of Kyrgyzstan — S], where local authorities, following such demarches by the ‘brave’ Aida Balayeva, replicated her actions in their own cities, implementing the same ‘cultural cancellation’ policy,” the publication states.
 
It also notes that Aida Balayeva’s collaboration with Kazakh nationalists has a long history.
 
“Back in 2020, while holding the same position, she wholeheartedly supported the Russophobic statement of the well-known nationalist activist Arman Shurayev and demanded that the local channel OH TV stop broadcasting the Voyennaya Priyomka show from the Russian TV channel Zvezda, which was translated into Kazakh,” Kurmanov reports.
 
The politician cites Balayeva’s threats against the media.
 
“If such incidents recur, the Ministry of Information and Social Development will be forced to take action against media outlets whose editorial policies damage the country’s image,” the Minister said in the statement.
 
According to him, this policy has been implemented for five consecutive years, during which “Russian TV broadcasts have been further restricted and amendments have been adopted, resulting in only 40% of broadcasts being broadcast in Russian, with administrative penalties imposed on media outlets for violations.”
 
On December 1, by decree of Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, Aida Balayeva was appointed Deputy Prime Minister of the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan.

Posted by: S | Dec 2 2025 10:12 utc | 251

“It is either something to do with India’s caste system or Hindutva, likely both.” 
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2025 22:31 utc | 71
 
I had a colleague of Indian background who confided that it was rather frowned upon if he socialised with other lesser races/cultures outside of those that were a part of academic/career requirements.
 
He was part of the upper caste (Brahmin, if I recall correctly), and they were taught from childhood that they were superior to all other cultures, and other Indians of lesser caste.
 
There are some Indian cultural beliefs about their connection to proto Indo-European culture and the Aryans, but I’ve not done any deeper reading on that subject.
 
Their original belief system was likely encouraged, in all the wrong directions, by over a century of being ruled over by the banal bureaucracy and the snobbish superiority complex of the British Empire.

Posted by: Jon_in_AU | Dec 2 2025 10:18 utc | 252

Jon_in_AU | Dec 2 2025 10:18 utc | 252
 
Look up the RSS and their connections with Mussolini’s Italy and Hitlers Germany. From what I can make of it, the Aryan stuff originated there.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 2 2025 11:06 utc | 253

There will still be human inequality in the future but the God Of Mammon cult will no longer be able to control global governance like it does now.  China type governance insures that oligarchs are not free to gain too much power and wealth which I think is a good strategy long term.
Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 2 2025 6:22 utc | 245
 
may I correct you? 
china allows/allowed too much wealth (at least temporarily) and I’m talking us levels. 45 gini
 
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.GINI?locations=CN
 
what they did not slow 
 

  • oligarchs , that money did not translate to power
  • rentier stage, you can get rich when creating wealth, sucking the poor is a no no
  • transnational beyond state control, you prosper at the pleasure of the state only

 
my 2 cents
 

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 2 2025 11:12 utc | 254

Newbie | Dec 2 2025 11:12 utc | 254
 
Correcting psychohistorian …. ?
 
In China, general prosperity is rising quickly. Ordinary people prospering. Over a billion of them.
 
In the west, general prosperity and living standards are fast decreasing. A lot of wealth being transfered from the many to the few.
 

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 2 2025 11:30 utc | 255

Newbie | Dec 2 2025 11:12 utc | 254 Correcting psychohistorian …. ? In China, general prosperity is rising quickly. Ordinary people prospering. Over a billion of them. In the west, general prosperity and living standards are fast decreasing. A lot of wealth being transfered from the many to the few. 
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 2 2025 11:30 utc | 255
 
yes, but huge wealth accumulation was allowed within the limits I mentioned , and been corrected lately
 
check the chart I posted, 46 gini was huge, 30s better
 
and if you see the limits I mentioned they are the ones that present the worst characteristics and risks of market systems.
 
the early rewards of making the huge leaps for all are themselves huge but virtuous (And can later be reigned in)
 
 
 
 

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 2 2025 11:38 utc | 256

Their original belief system was likely encouraged, in all the wrong directions, by over a century of being ruled over by the banal bureaucracy and the snobbish superiority complex of the British Empire.
Posted by: Jon_in_AU | Dec 2 2025 10:18 utc | 252
 
You’d be wrong to blame the Hindu caste system on the British. It’s much older than that. Rather, the British learnt their snobbishness from the caste system. The vast spread of Islam in India was in fact a revolt against the caste system, as it offered equality. The caste system was what held India back from being a great world power.

Posted by: Laguerre | Dec 2 2025 11:42 utc | 257

You could read Bloomberg’s lead article and not be informed that Kushner arrived in Moscow with Witkoff.
 
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-02/us-envoy-heads-to-russia-as-putin-claims-key-ukrainian-city-fell?srnd=homepage-europe
 
Kushner isn’t in any way a US Government official, so who does he represent?
 
 

Posted by: too scents | Dec 2 2025 11:50 utc | 258

Pirates ahoy !
Posted by: denk | Dec 1 2025 3:35 utc | 126——————–
2009
ETIM cadres perpetrated a
genocide on Han, HUi, UIghurs civilians in Xinjiang 
 
Dozens of similar attacks followed in the ensuing years.
 
Still, US state dept removed ETIM from its ‘terrorists’ database.
 

Posted by: denk | Dec 2 2025 13:09 utc | 259

@ denk | Dec 2 2025 13:09 utc | 259
 
Not at all surprising — but what exactly is ETIM an acrnonym for?

Posted by: malenkov | Dec 2 2025 13:17 utc | 260

Colombia Restores Flights to Venezuela as Petro Rejects Trump’s Airspace Warning

Colombia keeps flights to Venezuela operating as President Gustavo Petro challenges U.S. restrictions and calls for adherence to international aviation law.

Posted by: arby | Dec 2 2025 13:17 utc | 261

Posted by: malenkov | Dec 2 2025 13:17 utc | 260
———–
East Turkestan Islamic Movement

Posted by: denk | Dec 2 2025 13:23 utc | 262

“Einar Tangen:
The U.S. Instigates Japan-China Conflict”
———————-
Thats a given
 
Everybody knows FUKUS is the world’s no 1 shit stirrer, its well documented in MOA’s archive.
 
For last month alone,
we learned that..
 
*FUKUS has been goading Jp to confront  China
 
*How Jp kowtow to FUKUS demand
 
*For jp/sino spat, look no further, FUKUS is to blame
 
As if more proof is needed,,,..
 
‘Japanese Ex-diplomat Accuses the Sino-Japanese Rift Part of US Agenda.
 
Every pro jp/sino reconciliation PM has been summarily taken out by FUKUS pressure / shenanigan

Posted by: denk | Dec 2 2025 13:30 utc | 263

@ denk | Dec 2 2025 13:23 utc | 262
 
xiè xie!

Posted by: malenkov | Dec 2 2025 13:43 utc | 264

Sunday, Jan. 1, 2012
READERS IN COUNCIL
What drives a war-loving culture?
By KENZABURO SUGAI
Tokyo
History unfortunately is written and distorted by the victor. Hiroaki Sato, author of the Dec. 26 article “Strange how isolationist stance can ruin a politician’s reputation,” will find it difficult to convince his American readers that not all Japanese leaders wanted to attack Pearl Harbor and fight America.
 
While American history textbooks are riddled with inaccuracies that glorify America’s exceptionalism and pacifism — unless pushed into a corner — history texts in Malaysia and Indonesia expose the reasons why Japan was forced to act the way it did.
 
Many Chinese today may hate the Japanese, but they also know that America is doing to them today what America did to Japan before the Pearl Harbor attack. They may hate to openly admit this, but America is slowly trying to put a chokehold on China’s oil supplies by conquering Iraq, Libya, South Sudan and, soon, Iran. America is already stirring up trouble in South China Sea.
 
By [embargoes and other economic sanctions], including oil-supply chokeholds, America has consistently been at the forefront of provoking and promoting war. After all these years, I wonder what underlying philosophy drives this war-loving culture.
 
The opinions expressed in this letter to the editor are the writer’s own and do not necessarily reflect the policies of The Japan Times.

Posted by: denk | Dec 2 2025 13:45 utc | 265

Some Chinese commentators are gloating that ‘not even Trump is supporting Jp, DJT had in fact distanced himself from that takaichi witch’
LOL
 
Imagine being fooled by such a transparent good cop bad cop scam !
 
I suppose the FUKUS proconsul to Jp didnt get Trump’s memo either!
 
————–
George Glass denounced China’s recent response to Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s remarks on Taiwan, calling its statements “provocative” and its economic measures “coercive.”
 
China’s moves are “very unhelpful and undermine regional stability,” Glass told reporters after meeting with Japanese Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi. “This is a classic case of Chinese economic coercion.”
 
Communist-ruled China views the democratic island as a renegade province to be reunified with the mainland, by force if necessary, and sees the Taiwan issue as a purely “internal affair.”
 
“We strongly oppose any unilateral attempts to alter or affect the status quo,” Glass said.
[Say the shit stirrer himself !]
 
“In our meeting today, I reaffirmed the United States’ unshakable support for the U.S.-Japan alliance and our steadfast commitment to the defense of Japan, including the Senkaku Islands,” Glass said.
 
I just want to say directly from the president (Donald Trump) and from myself and from the embassy, for the prime minister, we have her back,” Glass said.
 
“For the people of Japan, we have your back…We will continue to push back everywhere we can, and we are here to help in any way we can,” the envoy added.————–
 
What a load of bullcrap !
FUKUS  are really full of it
 
PS
FUKUS could mean FUK US, or
F UK US !
 
Courtesy of Deb

Posted by: denk | Dec 2 2025 14:10 utc | 266

FUKUS proconsul to jp
George glass
‘we object to any unilateral alterationof the status quo on tw[FFS !]
 
Look like xmas has come early, thanks to China, furthering the deep bond bet US/JP
Time for Beijing to behave like the ‘good neighbor’ it talks repeatedly about, but fails repeatedly to become.”
 
Chinese envoy “threatens” Takaichi and the Japanese people,
 
————

Posted by: denk | Dec 2 2025 14:54 utc | 267

Thats all folks !

Posted by: denk | Dec 2 2025 14:55 utc | 268

Mike Norman yesterday putting the idiots over his knee and giving them a good spanking – The bond market and interest payments on debt.
 
 
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=VgkWP4lgHYM
 
 
 
Exile Rogoff should watch that and learn as it is not Rocket Science.
 
US  10 year yield  4.11%  is becoming an absolute gift.  It’s becoming way too high again when the trading range set by the FED is currently between 3.75- 4.00 %.
 
Via operational proceedures….
 
The FED will bring the yield back to within that range of 3.75- 4.00%  That is a 100% certainty. I’ve already shown you that it is happened already. 
 
 
On top of that if the FED cuts again this month . The new trading range will now be 3.50% – 3.75%. The current yield of 4.11% will not be seen again for a while.
 
The bond market is virtually screaming at you to ” Short ” the yield. It is virtually handing you a gift and especially if they cut again this month.
 
This isn’t new. We have seen this movie play out the whole time they were hiking rates and the yield move higher in incremental steps  Now that they are cutting rates the yield move lower in incremental steps.
 
Don’t fight the FED !
 
As you have seen with your own two eyes for nearly 5 years now., These incremental steps don’t happen over night. But 100% without question they happen due to the operational procedures of the FED. The FED is the monopolist and uses its mopolithic power to set the rate. 
 
 
Now lets sit back , watch and, see who is right ! Lets see if they cut rates  this month.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Posted by: Clouds Of Alabama | Dec 2 2025 14:55 utc | 269

The purpose being clear the correct question to ask is “who does the FED serve?” . 
Posted by: too scents | Dec 2 2025 9:26 utc | 250
—————
Unfortunately attempts at repo financing to save commercial paper and thus avoid breaking the buck have been sabotaged by greedy and reckless speculation. 
This hard landing ideally should hit these elite speculators. Breaking the buck tends to focus people’s attention. 

Posted by: financial matters | Dec 2 2025 15:04 utc | 270

@Tom Pfotzer #194
My channel is tuned to reality.
The reality is that military power, international soft power, stable and continuous domestic US poltics – these are all predicated on a healthy economy.
And in turn, a healthy economy requires manufacturing of some type to a serious degree.
So whether the driver is MAGA – neocon fantasies of US Uber Alles, or MAGA – America (domestic) first or prosperity for most Americans – progressive style … all of these require major changes to the US economy.
As for the how: Washington DC is now talking about reshoring and domestic manufacturing and removing dependence on adversary suppliers.
This is a sea change from the nonsense of the previous 3 decades: war on terror, “rules based international order” meaning democracy on the point of a spear, money printing as if there are no consequences, unconstrained illegal immigration, etc etc.
Will the change happen tomorrow? No.
Will the change happen in 5 years? Maybe, maybe not.
Will the change happen at all? I think so. The US has at least taken the first step to change: recognizing the problem officially and publicly.
Let’s contrast that to the EU: no recognition of any problems. Doubling down on failed solutions. Utter lack of contact with reality. The future archetype of “Canute commanding the tide”, will be Ursula von der Leyen commanding that economic reality not be a function of fossil fuel energy.
One of the main reasons the world is seeing cheap energy, is because one of the largest historical consumers is starving itself of said energy: the EU.

Posted by: c1ue | Dec 2 2025 15:05 utc | 271

None of these fools were screaming about interest payments on the debt when the yield was 5% on $35 trillion worth of treasuries.
 
They were all screaming recession since last quarter 2021.
 
It was MMT’rs who were screaming that the 5% of interest paid out to those holding the $35 trillion treasuries would ensure they would be no recession. Combined with spending $7 trillion a year. These were MASSIVE fiscal stimulants into the economy. That stocks would continue to grow.
 
Only now these fools bring up interest payments paid out to those who hold treasuries. When it is becoming a lot,lot,lot,less as they cut rates. That was after being 100% wrong regarding the recession They predicted in 2022 and 2023.
 
They are completely bonkers ! Don’t understand a balance sheet.
 
 

Posted by: Clouds Of Alabama | Dec 2 2025 15:07 utc | 272

FED operational proceedures
 
Exhibit A:
 
 
neweconomicperspectives.org/2013/12/krugman-helicopters-consolidation.html#more-7092
 
 
Exhibit B: 
 
 
https://neweconomicperspectives.org/2013/01/understanding-the-permanent-floor-an-important-inconsistency-in-neoclassical-monetary-economics.html#more-4513
 
 
Exhibit C:
 
 
://neweconomicperspectives.org/2013/01/the-permanent-floor-2004.html#more-4529
 
 
I rest my case your honour.

Posted by: Clouds Of Alabama | Dec 2 2025 15:13 utc | 273

I heard yesterday that Russia has started to issue Renminbi denominated debt as they have a surplus of RMB from selling energy to China.
 
De-dollarization continues.
 
Chinese currency is becoming de facto reserve in much of the ROW. As I have stated elsewhere, being the de jure reserve is filled with liability, better for the Yanks to continue on that course.
 
The Russians issuing RMB debt.  The Chinese are  issuing USD and Euro denominated debt.
 
And there is demand at those auctions.
 
No one had any of that on their bingo card a year ago.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 15:18 utc | 274

The purpose being clear the correct question to ask is “who does the FED serve?” . 
 
Posted by: too scents | Dec 2 2025 9:26 utc | 250
 
 
It’s time to nuke the bond market.
 
https://new-wayland.com/blog/nuke-the-bond-market/
 
 
Kill the thing at source and set the rate at ” 0% ” permanently.
 
 
https://new-wayland.com/blog/zirp-primer-summary/
 
 
 
Only saving vehicles households need are Granny bonds.
 
 
https://new-wayland.com/blog/the-only-bonds-we-need-are-granny-bonds/
 
 
 
That 3 point plan kills the FIRE sector at source. Rather than try and solve all the problems the FIRE sector causes after the horse has bolted.
 
Combined with a Job Guarantee at a living wage. Most things take care of themselves after that.
 
 

Posted by: Clouds Of Alabama | Dec 2 2025 15:27 utc | 275

The PBOC has been under-reporting its gold purchases. They have been accumulating massive stores of the yellow metal.
 
Hence, if they launch a Stablecoin that is gold backed, may torpedo US Treasury ambitions for a US Treasury Stablecoin to “soak up” all of that excess USD liquidity created by MMT retardation.
 
Currency depends on confidence. Money is only a representation of acceptability in future exchanges.
 
Once confidence is lost, inflation ensues, and holding the bad currency becomes a game of hot potato.
 
The Western crisis has started. De-dollarization is contingent on having better alternatives.
 
And those alternatives have now arrived.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 15:36 utc | 276

@Tom_Pfotzer #195

Tom: But did that stop them from using debt to keep what passes for our economy running? Didn’t stop them, did it? Why? I’ll explain in a second….

You are conflating the morons of the past: Obama, Dubya Bush, Biden – with the present and future.It certainly is not the case for the present ie Trump; time will tell for the future. But I will note that even autopen senile Biden continued Trump’s China tariff policy.
FDR was loved not because he was always right or even moderately smart on policy matters. FDR was loved because he tried lots of shit and it was obvious that he was trying. Most of the programs he enacted didn’t do diddly squat, but he kept trying new ones.
That should sound familiar…

Tom: Of course. But that process of enshitification has benefited the ruling class. It’s what they wanted, and what we got, and what they chose for us is what we have. Less debt stops the economy as it currently _is_.

Not really. Most of the benefits went to the PMC servants, not to the ruling class per se – the lawyers and DEI coaches and what not.
Have you not noticed that the new ruling class – the tech barons – were specifically not part of the general enshittification process of the overall US economy? But that those companies are now, too, embarking on the enshittification journey for their platforms? Enshittification is an outcome of monopoly and zombie companies.

Tom: It is _waaaay_ harder than you’re representing. In order to get to the economy you posit, a pretty fair portion of the ruling classes’ attitudes, values and choke-hold on the US institutions has to be revised or destroyed. This is why so many people say “gotta crash but good before change is possible”.

I’ve never said it was easy. What I am saying, is that it is absolutely doable – once people of sufficient will get into the right places. I noted in a previous post – the Cabinet under Trump. Compare and contrast those people with the sad lot under Obama, Trump 45, Dubya both terms, Clinton to understand the difference.
Furthermore: Banksters are cowards and pussies – they are cowed by real power because they operate like Wormtongue via innuendo and influence via money.
This isn’t a guess – this is borne out by historical fact. Putin demonstrated this in Russia, bringing not just banksters but outright gangsters turned oligarchs to heel. And Putin didn’t do this alone – he was the tip of the spear for the sovereigntists in Russia. 
This is also why the “globalists” ie the banksters push WEF graduates into positions of power. They want pussies like themselves in the positions of sovereign power in order to mitigate this danger.
There are plenty of sovereigntists in the US, and they are starting to act.

Allow me to point out that still, after all the mountain of evidence that our economy is fundamentally unsound, still the ruling class refuses to do fundamental change. To wit:

LOL. You don’t know shit and still won’t admit it.
First of all, reshoring doesn’t happen in 10 months. It takes years. Trying to “prove” reshoring is, or is not, happening during the first 10 months of the Trump presidency is, at best, a fool’s errand and at worst, a scam knowingly perpetuated in order to win an argument.
Secondly, we are in a historic bubble of LLM/AI bullshit. It isn’t quite as bad on a pure purchasing power parity dollar basis as the fiber optic bubble of the 1990s, but the net destruction of value for this bubble is going to be far worse simply because the actual benefits of LLM/AI are minimal.
The fiber optic buildout was predicated on real productivity increases in telecommunications; the LLM/AI bubble is predicated on (at best) massive job losses and in reality, mostly hot air and fodder for PMC commenters. That is one of the bigger ironies: the talking heads in existing power, as well as the alt-news commentariat, are precisely those who benefit the most from LLM/AI gathered news and information even as LLM/AI does diddly squat for anyone else (and arguably makes other users dumber).
But getting back to the historic LLM/AI bubble: massive bubbles are black holes for capital and focus. The Great Depression arose because the “innovation” of margin debt feeding into the 1920s stock bubble sucked in capital from literally the entire world. And since money was gold back then, it meant the entire world’s gold ie capital was flowing towards the US and the US stock market, not to mention domestic capital. This resulted in massive productive economy stagnation for at least a decade and a half – masked by the “gains” of the stock market.
Sound familiar? It should, if you have been paying any attention to economic reality vs economic hype.
To be clear: I am again not saying that all is well, or will end well, or even that we are certainly on the right path. The massive US national debt is not going to default because the US can print dollars – but the most likely outcome is a hyperinflation, either in a year or over several years. That’s the most common historical outcome to address an oversupply of debt. Fools say that wars are started because the wealthy benefit from hyperinflation during said wars – this is historically utterly false. If you look at the top 10 wealthiest in the US before the Civil War, before WW1, before WW2 – and compare to the top 10 wealthiest AFTER the wars – they are almost completely different. Inequality also falls during these wars – it does not grow because workers have to be paid to produce what is needed to fight said wars. So while there is hyperinflation during a war, the workers get paid commensurate or greater wages and so gain economically, whereas the existing rich get their funds inflated down even as nouveau riche appear who benefit from the massive economic disruption of a war economy.
So that’s what really happens during wars.
The other possibility – outside of war/hyperinflation – is massive growth.
The US, now that it has offshored so much of its production, is in the position where an industrialization spiral can once again occur. Industrialization is the one exception to the hyperinflation outcome of debt.
This is a binary solution set.

Posted by: c1ue | Dec 2 2025 15:37 utc | 277

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 15:18 utc |
 
You heard wrong , check your sources. It’s impossible for Russia to issue Renminbi denominated debt. It’s impossible for China to  issue  USD and Euro denominated debt. Even if they hold excess of both.
 
Why?
 
Russia’s Renminbi denominated debt is held at the central bank of India.
 
China’s Euro dominated debt is held at the ECB. China’s $ denominated debt is held at the FED.
 
 
It is all held in their treasury security accounts at each central bank.  All they can do is swap them back for reserve balance. 
 
That is it – period ! 
 
So instead of holding Renminbi in the Indian central bank with a term and a coupon attached. Once swapped back to.a reserve account they will receive interest paid on reserves if there is such a thing in India.
 
Then Russia can ……
 
a) Spend the Renminbi on Indian goods and services.
 
b) Leave them sitting as a reserve balance.
 
c) Swap the Renminbi for another currency.
 
d) Once again swap the Renminbi for an Indian debt instrument that has a term and a coupon attached.
 
 
That’s it – they can spend, save or swap Renminbi. They can NEVER issue a Renminbi debt instrument.
 
You can’t swap sovereign debt instruments all you can do is swap currency. As the second you come out of a debt instrument all you are left with is a reserve balance – cash.
 
 
 
 
 
 

Posted by: Clouds Of Alabama | Dec 2 2025 15:45 utc | 278

Posted by: Clouds Of Alabama | Dec 2 2025 15:45 utc | 278
 
######
 
Pal, the auctions for China have been happening in Hong Kong. Like, in reality, not in some MMT fantasy.
 
Until you can demonstrate a kindergarten level understanding of money, please refrain from posting on economics.
 
This far you only serve to confuse and deceive well-meaning casuals.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 15:52 utc | 279

Thus far…

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 15:56 utc | 280

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 15:18 utc 
 
Once you understand how Russia gets a Renminbi debt instrument in the first place – All becomes clear.
 
 
It sells Russian goods and services into India and receives Renminbi. What can Russia do with Renminbi?
 
 
a) Spend the Renminbi on Indian goods and services Russia needs. 
 
b) Leave the Renminbi sitting as a reserve balance at the Indian central bank. 
 
c) Swap the Renminbi for another currency, gold etc. 
 
d) Swap the Renminbi for an Indian debt instrument that has a term and a coupon attached.
 
 
That’s it !
 
 
The only way to get rid of that Renminbi debt instrument is swap it back to a reserve balance. As you can’t spend a treasury. Either by letting it mature or just swapping back to Cash directly.
 
Now you can do things with Renminbi. Not a lot,  still only the 4 options but 3 more things than you could when it was a Renminbi debt instrument.
 
 
 
 
 
 

Posted by: Clouds Of Alabama | Dec 2 2025 16:01 utc | 281

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 15:18 utc 
 
“Pal, the auctions for China have been happening in Hong Kong.”
 
Nope, your wrong China can’t issue ( auction)  Eurobonds or US treasuries . That is a 100% fact. Somebody has been telling you porkies. 
 
 
China can ONLY issue ( auction ) chinese debt instruments pal!

Posted by: Clouds Of Alabama | Dec 2 2025 16:07 utc | 283

Posted by: Clouds Of Alabama | Dec 2 2025 15:45 utc | 278
 
“Until you can demonstrate a kindergarten level understanding of money, please refrain from posting on economics.”
 
Posted by: LoveDumbass | Dec 2 2025 15:52 utc | 279
 
Kindly please take your own counsel, Dumbass, ; both of you  knuckleheads  know fuck all about economics.

Posted by: canuk | Dec 2 2025 16:13 utc | 284

Posted by: Clouds Of Alabama | Dec 2 2025 16:07 utc | 283
 
#######
 
Per the links I provided, you better tell the global investment community…

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 16:32 utc | 285

Back on topic, that’s de-dollarization.
 
The buyers of sovereign debt is usually institutions. The confidence in China to issue debt in another currency and for Russia to issue debt in Chinese currency. That’s a sea change.
 
An expansion of the Overton Window.
 
So, consequences.
 
Now the US has a competent competitor for selling debt which limits deficit spending and which also drives down demand for their own necessary attempts to refinance debt as it matures…
 
Peaceful and gradual neutralization of the Empire by slowly reducing its oxygen supply.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 16:39 utc | 286

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 15:18 utc
 
 
Thanks for the links …..
 
 
I’ve read the links provided  and to me it reads like China offered “Chinese sovereign debt instruments ” in Hong Kong and Luxembourg that could be bought with either Euros or $’s instead of just using Chinese currency.
 
 
They didn’t sell excess eurobonds or US treasuries they held as that is  impossible. They can only issue ( auction ) “Chinese sovereign debt instruments ”
 
 
Let me look into it further , as it is still very interesting. As normally Chinese debt instruments are only  bought using Chinese currency. Depending how they have done it , it seems new. 
 
The buyers could have held massive amounts of Chinese currency first. Then swapped it for Euros and $’s to be able to buy these “Chinese sovereign debt instruments “. China asked for Euros and $’s to manipulate its own exchange rate. Which it is well known for.
 
The swapping of chinese currency for Euros and $’s to be able to buy these  “Chinese sovereign debt instruments ” would have moved the exchange rates.
 
I need to look into it further and get back to you.
 
 
 
 

Posted by: Clouds Of Alabama | Dec 2 2025 16:40 utc | 287

@ canuk | Dec 2 2025 16:13 utc | 284 trying to stop the fun of those two going at each other…..grin

Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 2 2025 16:41 utc | 288

Here’s Louis Gave of GaveKal talking about the AI bubble and the difficulties of reshoring
Youtube video
Gave, a Frenchman, thinks reshoring is not politically possible.

Posted by: c1ue | Dec 2 2025 17:21 utc | 289

Normally if you wanted to buy a Chinese sovereign debt instrument at auction . You would need to get your hands on Chinese currency to do so.
 
 
1. Sell goods or services to China get the Chinese currency and then swap the chinese currency for the Chinese sovereign debt instrument.
 
Or 
 
2. Swap your euros for Chinese currency and then buy the Chinese sovereign debt instrument.
 
 
This was normally the 2 ways you could do it. But regarding the size of the currency swap this could move the Euro / China exchange rate if big enough.
 
 
It will be very interesting to see how HSBC and the bank of China are doing this in Hong Kong.  China neither needs Euros or $’s. They have more than enough of these already. As they get Euro’s every time they sell into the Eurozone. They get $’s every time they sell into the US.
 
So they are doing this for some other reason. My guess is currency manipulation. Something they are very well known for. They have stumbled across another way to manipulate the exchange rate.
 
 
But We need to know what HSBC role is what they are actually doing here. I will definitely try and find out. Are they providing the currency swaps ? 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Posted by: Clouds Of Alabama | Dec 2 2025 17:27 utc | 290

The Western crisis has started. De-dollarization is contingent on having better alternatives. And those alternatives have now arrived.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 15:36 utc | 276
 
De-dollarization is contingent on having better  no alternatives.
 
China would prefer recovering a part of the huge usd reserves it holds, and a soft landing for the us (instead of internal and external turmoil)
 
Unless us forces war

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 2 2025 17:39 utc | 291

Posted by: Clouds Of Alabama | Dec 2 2025 17:27 utc | 290
 
#####
 
Normal according to whom?
 
The banks in NY and London no longer structure the economies of the ROW superpowers.
 
The world is in the process of dramatic changes. That’s why you should slow down on MMT, which was dodgy to begin with, but now, with China establishing a new global commodity-oriented order, MMT is becoming a historical footnote about the decaying indebted West.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 17:52 utc | 292

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 2 2025 17:39 utc | 291
 
#####
 
Better or worse are subjective and contextual.
 
Economics has basic concepts that, like gravity, are omnipresent.
 
More alternatives = greater supply = lower returns for individual vendors.
 
Competition brings de-dollarization just as surely as competition brings better products at lower prices over time.
 
IMO, that is why the West has so many monopoly schemes (rent seeking). To maintain margins by limiting the natural process of efficiency.
 
China and Russia’s economic models aren’t contingent on interest rate returns (financialization). Both nations produce real things.
 
I do not know what China prefers. I can only infer from what they say and do, and I try to account for Confucian philosophy.
 
I think holding USD at one time was in China’s (short-term?) interests, and that they haven’t just dumped it all now is ameliorated by their new sovereign debt scheme, which turns USD reserves into a financial weapon against America.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 18:01 utc | 293

Re; Timeline  of De-dollarization
 
De-dollarization started slowly in 2015, after spring 2022 de-dollarization accelerated big time. My guess is by year end 2027, de-dollarization will be complete for 87% of the world not US vassals. 5 years transition seems about right for supply chains to switch over to other currencies.
Note: Until Bretton Woods, the world had a number of trading currencies, mostly gold backed and mostly traded within big  regions. Also Note; SWIFT data no longer tracks much of the world’s trading accounts. 

Posted by: exile | Dec 2 2025 18:30 utc | 294

My current understanding of MMT is that it is good as an accounting model. It pictures in/out flows at the nodes of a financial transaction network. The downside of the approach is that it only allows to incorporate “things” which already are represented by an amount of money to begin with; including the money on which it is based itself. This leads to problems whenever the equivalency of “money” and “value” is questioned. So, it seems, MMT works as long as its premise holds, but not as a model for economic activity in general. If it did, we could use to compute things like the purchasing power of monies that have long fallen out of circulation.

Posted by: persiflo | Dec 2 2025 18:32 utc | 295

Posted by: exile | Dec 2 2025 18:30 utc | 294
 
#####
 
Great comment.
 
Opacity is a big feature of BRICS IMO. As people unplug from the West’s mechanisms of monitoring, their political freedom to act independently rises.
 
Mises’ theory on why Communism would fail was premised on how there would be a fatal information disequilibrium between the Politburo and the market due to poor information exchange. The flaws that Mises points out vis-à-vis Communism, I think, are prevalent in the Western order that is not classically centrally planned but has a similar top-down structure.
 
People don’t really think income taxes fund government, do they? It’s another monitoring mechanism. “Voluntary” or face jail time. 😂😂😂
 
Western governments fund themselves with debt, not production, which is why things are unravelling as they are. No one can outrun the hydraulic power of compounding interest.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 19:41 utc | 296

Western governments fund themselves with debt, not production, which is why things are unravelling as they are. No one can outrun the hydraulic power of compounding interest.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 19:41 utc | 296
 
not wrong there, and typically the top 1% loses 50% (70 to 20%), the next increase from 20 to 30% but on a reduced wealth basis
 
not really true about the 1%, most have transferred to greener fields their wealth before the ball ends and missing chairs noted

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 2 2025 20:29 utc | 297

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 2 2025 20:29 utc | 297
#####
 
Not 100% sure I understood what you were writing, but if you’re talking about THE 1% then yeah, the 1% gets all kinds of benefits that are not quantified in currency.
 
They get access to credit sooner than everyone else, making them a driver of inflation rather than a victim.
 
They get access to the government that the 99% can only dream of. They get preferential treatment by institutions like universities.
 
If they are 1% enough, they get easy passive income by being invited to sit on corporate boards (even if they are not a shareholder) and receive hefty remuneration with zero accountability for performance.
 
If I were inclined, I could probably list 2 dozen more material advantages of being in the 1% even if they don’t make or do anything for society except exist.
 
It’s a big club and you ain’t in it.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Dec 2 2025 21:04 utc | 298

The Belgium police raiding the EU offices and I think a few low level arrests. Likely part of the American investigation of the Ukraine corruption.
 
In an earlier comment I felt that something had changed in the last week re the Trump Admin. Venezuela will tell if I’m correct or not, but it is likely the change has something to do with the NABU/US investigation.
The Eurotrash and the Brits colluded with the US globalist faction to hobble Trumps first term, and tried to hobble him again this term. It seems likely a bit of payback is the order of the day now.
 
In late 2021, Russia put forward a mutual security proposal to the US. Because the Eurotrash also wanted to be at the table, the same proposal was also given to Nato. I think this US/Russian peace talks is now something along the lines of the proposal Russia offered the US in 21 – at least certainly included. European Nato will be just left swinging in the Breeze by the Americans and Russians.
 
The German defense ministry can no longer contact the Pentagon and Rubio will not attend the Nato meeting. It will be interesting to see how high the corruption arrests of the EU commission end up going. During Trumps first term, he wanted to pull the US out of Nato, out of Europe. Some time back, I think during the Biden term, US passed a law that prevented the president from pulling the US out of Nato. That leaves the option of dismantling Nato. Busting the EU commission wide open would be a good start towards the breakup of Nato.
 
Some time back, the Brits were attacking civilian shipping in the med, now in Turkish waters, but there was another a week or so back off the coast of Senegal. London is the main enemy of both Russia and the US nationalists so will be interesting to see what happens in that direction.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 2 2025 22:39 utc | 299

“What is your thoughts on the way forward for Australian aboriginal people. The clock cannot be turned back, so we can only look at the way forward.Don’t be shy.”
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Dec 1 2025 2:13 utc | 114
 
Hi Peter. Hope you don’t mind if I chip in.
 
My attitude is that Treaty should be a done deal. It should also be based on the Statement From the Heart, as it is the path forward that indigenous Australians have agreed to.
 
Personally, I think that indigenous Australians should organise their own government, free from being railroaded by the usual vested interests (big miners, big ag, et al), and that should form the basis for creating a pathway to managing their own cultural and societal development “on country”.
 
Some would argue that they should be receiving a much larger share of government revenue, and I’m inclined to agree.
 
Diversionary justice programs seem to help somewhat (like Wolama Court) that get troubled individuals back on country and re-connected to their culture. We need to address the insanely high incarceration rates of indigenous peoples, as it is a national disgrace, and getting the indigenous youth connected to the elders and their culture in the context of their country seems to be a productive means of making that a reality.
 
Just my two bob’s worth.

Posted by: Jon_in_AU | Dec 2 2025 22:52 utc | 300