Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
October 12, 2025
Ukraine Open Thread 2025-237

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

Trump’s shenanigans must upset some Ukrainians. Playing dirty (like how is handling the trade war with China) is what got him into his current position. Then there’s this clear insider trading during the shit coin dip from Friday that got 1 mystery person with foreknowledge raking in 200 million in a couple of minutes with many shit coin holders losing big. Ukrainian Konstantin Galish “investing” dirty money (bribes, NATO handouts, …) of higher echelon Ukrainians thought it would be wiser to kill himself in his Lamborghini than to wait for a horrible death.
 
https://xcancel.com/BonkDaCarnivore/status/1977231680722420188In Galish’s case, the money he was making was by taking money from Ukrainian government and military officials and “investing” it into leveraged crypto trades.
We can all safely conclude 2 things: 1) this money they invested with came from the US taxpayer and was stolen by them and 2) these are people whom you don’t lose all the money of, or else they’ll end your life very painfully.
Him shooting himself in his lambo was the more efficient method, cause his life was over one way or another.

Posted by: xor | Oct 12 2025 12:46 utc | 1

Ei, Ei, Ei…
One of countless who dare to go to the shore!https://youtu.be/hdeWZB4xnZw?si=ds8biNOOikK0yhQH

Posted by: Brigitte Mohnhaupt | Oct 12 2025 13:04 utc | 2

Edit:
Chabad likes that…likes it very much indeed!

Posted by: Brigitte Mohnhaupt | Oct 12 2025 13:05 utc | 3

You know it is funny that even the most brainwashed start to ask what is going on…I wonder how much longer will the Jewish-Neoliberal Trojan horse will fool the Russians…
 

Posted by: Brigitte Mohnhaupt | Oct 12 2025 13:11 utc | 4

Trump’s shenanigans must upset some Ukrainians. Playing dirty
Posted by: Brigitte Mohnhaupt | Oct 12 2025 13:11 utc | 4
Liberal projection. Obama’s color revolution, Hunter joining the board of Burisma, Biden firing the prosecutor investigating his son, and Joe’s general senility (for instance, introducing Zelenskyy as Putin) — these are the dirty shenanigans of  incompetent fascists.
FJB.

Posted by: Pharaoh Trump | Oct 12 2025 13:47 utc | 5

Explosives factory in Tennessee.. exploded. https://edition.cnn.com/2025/10/10/us/hickman-county-explosion-tennessee
Instant karma!

Posted by: Tichy | Oct 12 2025 13:53 utc | 6

Orwellian quote of the day:
‘Ukraine is not losing, but the front is moving in the wrong direction’.
-Mark Rutte, chairman of Nato
https://x.com/ricwe123/status/1977345043837960401

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 12 2025 14:39 utc | 7

“You know it is funny that even the most brainwashed start to ask what is going on…I wonder how much longer will the Jewish-Neoliberal Trojan horse will fool the Russians…”
You never fooled everyone, and now the poor souls that were mind fcked will get on board with what needs to be done.
You Lost. 
Thomas
 

Posted by: Thomas | Oct 12 2025 14:52 utc | 8

Ukraine hit Russian energy sites with US help screams the headlines from today’s Financial Times. Dig a little deeper and you can see the article is the typical British deep state pay-op ‘nudge’ over both the proposed Tomahawk missile deployment & framing the recent strikes on Russian energy infrastructure as a Trump backed escalatory shift in policy while simultaneously admitting “the US has not acknowledged a direct role in Ukraine’s strikes on Russian energy facilities.”
Of course the FT admits that NATO intelligence sharing has been there from the start, but the attacks represent a “new level of specificity” in terms of target selection and satellite data.
My guess is this increased Ukrainian attack on Russian energy sites is less to do with Trump’s ‘frustration with Putin’ & more NATO’s last planning hurrah (along with blaming the mystery drones on Russia), one that will no doubt culminate in a series of Perfidious Albion false flag operations.
Of course the FT in triumphant mode is saying of the recent NATO-Kiev drone strikes.

“The damage forced Moscow to curtail diesel exports and increased its reliance on imported fuel. At least 16 of the country’s 38 oil refineries have been struck, some repeatedly, disrupting more than 1mn barrels a day of refining capacity”

The article ends with (who else) Zelensky’s claim that Russia has lost  20 per cent of fuel production capacity & is reduced to importing petrol from Belarus and China. (How petroleum refining actually works between each country is something I’ll leave to more knowledgeable barflies).
https://www.ft.com/content/f9f42c10-3a30-4ee1-aff7-3368dd831c8c

Posted by: FakeBelieve | Oct 12 2025 15:30 utc | 9

Been brooding.  As ever  (he’s not still on about that!) about the start of the SMO.  But I don’t see why not.  We know how the SMO’s going to end.  We still don’t know exactly how or why it started.
 
Been brooding here:-
 
https://canadiandimension.com/articles/view/war-fever-in-europe#comment-6780675976
 
………………………..
 
“Merkel, Hollande and Poroshenko have now, somewhat late in the day, admitted to the Minsk 2 deception. “
 
Professor Sakwa – should have said one cannot be sure about that. What deception? What was the “Minsk 2 deception?”
 
Concrete was being poured and buildings fortified along the LoC from not long after 2014. Intricate defence lines were being built buttressing that LoC. The Ukrainian forces were being trained in batches by NATO. NATO arms were being fed in. The Ukrainian forces, initially consisting of street fighters and a poorly equipped and unready regular component, were being transformed into by far the largest army in Europe.
 
Russian Intelligence would have been following all that closely, both by direct observation and from their contacts within the Ukrainian army itself. So too the BND, which was very much on the ground at that time. Neither the Russians nor the Germans can claim otherwise. Where was the “deception”?
 
As we saw from the recent Merkel comments on Polish involvement before 2022, Mrs Merkel does have a tendency to re-write history, or at least to re-interpret it. So in this case. Her comments on the “Minsk 2 deception” were made at a time when German war fever was at its height. Any German who’d had previous contact with the Russians was regarded as suspect. Particularly Mrs Merkel, who had been the driving force behind Minsk 2 in the first place.
 
So her claim to have attempted to deliberately deceive the Russians could of course be true. But it could equally well be an attempt to escape censure.
 
So too with Putin. He can’t really claim to have been deceived. He’d have known from early on that an implementation of Minsk 2 was unlikely, given all the NATO preparations for war that were being made.
 
Putin’s “plan”, or the Russian plan, was simple enough. It was two pronged. Attempt to resolve the conflict by negotiation if possible. Prepare for the “Sanctions from Hell” if not.
 
Putin’s feeling a bit of a fool now. He pushed the attempt to resolve by negotiation just as far as he could. He continued with the attempt even after February 24th. All the Russians who thought Putin was on a loser attempting negotiations are now saying “Told you so.” And some silly woman in Germany who’d have done far better to keep her mouth closed, publicly announcing to Putin, “Fooled you!”
 
Me, I don’t think Putin was a fool. Far from it. The longer he put off the fight the better Russia was prepared for it. But no politician likes being called a fool, justified or not. Just as well he has ice water running though his veins. Plenty of Russians around who’d like to play with the Oreshniks given what the Europeans are up to at the moment.
 
Those chats with Putin. Merkel’s Russian is apparently not that serviceable but Putin’s German, though unidiomatic and accented according to native speakers, is fine. They could talk without translators or other officials present and did. We’ll never know what was said unter vier Augen during their long talks together but I doubt either of them deceived the other. Merkel knew what was going forward and she knew that Putin knew.
 
“Was für einen Saustall hat the Merkel uns hinterlassen” said a friend of mine not long after ’22. That was referring to the state of German infrastructure after Merkel’s departure and one or two other domestic issues, but it applies to Merkel’s tenure of office generally. Merkel was too tricky a politician for one to be able to read much into any of her statements so I don’t know that much can be read into her claim to have “deceived” Putin. Except that it obviously wasn’t true.
 
………………………..
 
For all that I believe Putin himself did feel let down by the Europeans. Badly. The Russians do as a whole. Merkel and then Scholz, and Macron, were still regarded as big players before February 2022. They could have made a difference. They didn’t. They are now regarded as scarcely players at all. The loss of standing and influence is dramatic:-
 
“In the main room [in Riyadh on February 18] Lavrov and Ushakov brought no papers and asked Americans [Rubio and Waltz] to dust off the December 2021 treaty draft.
“The Russian positions shocked the Americans. They were told the Ukraine will be demilitarized and its forces will be turned into paramilitary and police. The Americans were also surprised how little Russians cared about Zelensky or his British and Europeans backers.”
https://johnhelmer.net/the-three-steps-which-way-is-forward-which-way-is-backward-in-russias-war-fighting-peace-negotiating-strategy/
That’s an unnamed official and we don’t know how well-informed that official is, or indeed whether he’s just shooting Helmer a line. But that final sentence is entirely consistent with how the Europeans are now treated by the Russians.
 
The Europeans took a gamble in 2022. An all-out gamble with no Plan B for failure. Provoke the Russians to take military action. Use that military action to justify to the European electorates a sanctions war that was explicitly designed to destroy the RF.
 
Didn’t work; and we have no European politicians around big enough to pick up the pieces. Bye, Old Europe, indeed.
 
………………………….
 
Any corrections from “b’s” commenters gratefully received.  Nice to get the brooding dead right, if one can.

Posted by: English Outsider | Oct 12 2025 15:53 utc | 10

Posted by: FakeBelieve | Oct 12 2025 15:30 utc | 9


Ukraine can’t really target anything else than fixed structures and targets without Nato. Theoretically they may be able to hit power plants using Google Map coordinates or something similar, as the coordinate of every fixed structure is known. They can easily just set a drone to fly to that location and it will hit randomly whatever part of the structure comes in the way (dumb drone).
 
When it comes to hitting mobile targets and military bases, they can’t do it without US satellite data.
 
There is nothing new in US/Nato providing targeting data for such targets, it’s been going on since late 2023. FT is just coping old things as new, such is the cycle of BS.
 
Another possibility is British/Ukraine is launching drones against far-behind-the-front targets like refineries from neighboring countries like Kazakhstan. British ‘diplomats’ have reportedly been transporting drones and ordnance in their diplomatic post with immunity protection. Yes, I believe drones are launched from outside Ukraine but no one has acknowledged it.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 12 2025 16:20 utc | 11

“The Europeans took…an all-out gamble with no Plan B for failure. Provoke the Russians to military action. Use that [for] a sanctions war…to destroy the RF.  Didn’t work; and we have no European politicians around big enough to pick up the pieces”
– English Outsider 10

 
Depressing but..not entirely…we have the keys to the lock  Unfortunately, parenting and the education system is so broken that the perpetual-children of the uppermost-crust can not grasp the concept of a key and a lock, much less reach up and open the door. 
 
See if you can spot Mark [NATO’s winning but, the LOC is moving in the wrong direction] Rutte in the following video:
 
Upper Class Twit Of The Year
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=trFPzce-0kI

Posted by: S Brennan | Oct 12 2025 16:29 utc | 12

New revelation. EU paid a reward of $1000 to mercenaries who killed civilians during Kursk invasion.
https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/1977357667065532433

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 12 2025 16:48 utc | 13

“Europeans are getting richer but their income and what’s left of their capital are going in the wrong direction.”
A tragedy in Ukraine and a farce in the EUSSR…

Posted by: Asian Frog | Oct 12 2025 16:50 utc | 14

The Yanks giving the Russians a good reason to push hard to finally crush the Neo-Nazi dictatorship in Ukraine.
 
The Kremlin has warned that a dramatic “escalation” is looming over the Ukraine war if the US provides Kiev with long-range missiles to attack Russia.
Russian President Vladimir Putin warned last week that if the Americans were to provide Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles with a range of 2,500km to strike targets deep inside Russia, it would be the end of the relationship between the two countries.
“The topic of Tomahawks is of extreme concern,” the Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told Russian state television reporter Pavel Zarubin in remarks published on Sunday.
“Now is really a very dramatic moment in terms of the fact that tensions are escalating from all sides.”
 
The Kremlin spokesman said that if Tomahawks were launched at Russian targets, Moscow would have to take into account that some versions of the missile can carry nuclear warheads.
“Just imagine: a long-range missile is launched and is flying, and we know that it could be nuclear. What should the Russian Federation think? Just how should Russia react?” Peskov asked.
 
 

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Oct 12 2025 16:56 utc | 15

The Europeans took…– English Outsider 10
 
Keep trying to do what Marty from Amerika does, but it won’t work with anyone outside US simply because they can read and write.
Europeans have not created the problem, Ukr war is Vicky’s project, as she said it herself many years ago. And it was very cheap too. EU are simple puppets. The source is and always has been US, which is exactly why Putin went to US to surrender and not to Europe or why he shoots down his own drones on Trumpy’s command but ignores the Macaron. He’s so disconnected these days he keeps saying Trumpy is peace but Eu is not, which is an absolutely hilarious thing to say while Trumpy promises to Tomahawk him and starts training to nuke Russia next week.  Trumpy must have skid marks from laughing so much ( en.topwar.ru/272150-prezident-putin-nazval-otvet-rossii-na-vozmozhnoe-pojavlenie-tomahawk-u-ukrainy.html )

Posted by: rk | Oct 12 2025 17:03 utc | 16

The full text of the malformed link posted by @rk | Oct 12 2025 17:03 utc | 16:

The Russian President is holding a press conference following the CIS summit in Dushanbe. One of the questions addressed to the President was about Washington’s possible supply of cruise missiles to Ukraine. missiles Tomahawk. As a reminder, these missiles are capable of carrying nuclear warheads.
Vladimir Putin was asked whether Russia has a response ready in case the Kyiv regime, which has promised to use them on Moscow, acquires Tomahawks.
Vladimir Putin:
Our answer is to strengthen Defense Russian Federation.
So, the calculation is based on a defensive position?
The Russian President noted that “there will be an opportunity to announce a new weapon, the appearance of which was announced.”
The president:
“We’re finalizing it. It’s already undergoing testing. And the testing is going well.”
It is not yet clear what kind of weapon we are talking about.
As a reminder, there were earlier reports that Russia would deploy its latest Oreshnik medium-range ballistic missiles in Belarus. This information was then confirmed by Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko.
The head of state also commented on the Nobel Committee’s decision today to reject the Peace Prize for Donald Trump.
The President noted that Trump “is really doing a lot to achieve peace.”Putin:
 
“With regard to the crisis in Ukraine, he sincerely strives for this. The most striking example is the situation in the Middle East. If everything Donald has strived for, everything he has talked about and everything he is trying to do, can be accomplished—that’s it. historical event.”
Whether Trump will deliver Tomahawks to Kyiv after these words is an important question given current events and their assessments.
Vladimir Putin added that the authority of the Nobel Peace Prize itself has long been lost, given who has been awarded it in recent years.

This was from two days ago, a brief excerpt from a lengthy press conference ; it is not clear what point @ rk is trying to make by referencing it.
 

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 17:18 utc | 17

I’ve come to the conclusion that Kiev’s main objectives for destroying the Kahovka hydro dam were 1) to interfere with normal operation of the Zaporhizhia NPP by disrupting the cooling water supply and 2) to make the use of the re-opened north Crimean irrigation canal impossible and also to de-water a second irrigation canal that provided water to farmland in the Russian portion of Kherson and Zaporhizhia oblasts. I came across this video (turn english subtitles on):
https://yandex.com/video/preview/634679394289537284
produced by Kiev that paints as dismal a picture as possible on the water situation in Crimea and the Kherson region. They claim that portions of the Crimean canal lining have been scavenged and that even if pumps from the Dnipr are used they cannot be secured from attack and that the canal isn’t in condition to successfully transport water as without repairing the lining most of the pumped water would be lost to leakage. They claim that regional drought has impacted both Crimea and Kherson and that groundwater pumping from the Crimean aquifer is both depleting the resource and leading to lower quality water. Both those issues affect all areas that rely on groundwater pumping and likely have some truth to them, however a second Russian produced video shows long sections of the Crimean canal perfectly intact -although essentially dry. (this video has no subtitle options):
https://yandex.com/video/preview/10021683557713836844
No doubt the lining could use some maintenance, but it looks perfectly capable of carrying water. Likely the security of any installed pumps to provide water is a bigger immediate issue.
As for the NPP, as can be seen from the attacks on the power supplied to the cooling systems (generators are now being used to power pumps to provide cooling water), the security situation makes re-starting operations  impossible until the conflict ends. Ideally the Kahovka hydro dam needs to be repaired to restore the reservoir.
For these reasons I believe that Russia will try to capture both Kherson city (on the right bank) and Zaporhizhia city before the end of the conflict in order to secure control of both sides of the lower Dnipr. Leaving Ukraine in control of the right bank would necessitate having a viable management agreement with a friendly government in order to safely and effectively restore the NPP function and resolve the Crimean water issue.
Controlling all of the Donbass will help alleviate the water problems in Donetsk city and those regions, but is not sufficient to secure the rest of the new territories.

Posted by: the pessimist | Oct 12 2025 17:20 utc | 18

And the formatting is temperamental, I thought I’d gone through and manually inserted the necessary paragraph breaks.
Oh well…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 17:21 utc | 19

At 16 ,as usually you are drunk, again. There is no other explanation….

Posted by: voicu | Oct 12 2025 17:31 utc | 20

Nikolai Starikov says Trumps move bringing the Tomahawks is simply a way to bring NATOs infrastructure closer to the border of Russia.
Precisely the reason why Russia started the SMO to prevent. Thus Trump is taking a chance that he will get away with getting closer to the opportunity of placing nuclear weapons close enough for a decapitation strike.
Unless there is a reliable backroom understanding not shown to the public it looks like Russia has to raise the voice and put real fear in our idiot leaders in the west

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Oct 12 2025 17:32 utc | 21

@English Outsider | Oct 12 2025 15:53 utc | 10
The ‘what if’ question regarding Russia’s response to the 2014 coup can’t really be answered, but IMO Russia’s ability to withstand the international backlash from a more forceful intervention was questionable. By waiting and letting the Minsk process play out their eventual claim of justifiable intervention was greatly strengthened – not in the West of course, but globally. Also the preparations for being disconnected from SWIFT payed off. I don’t believe they were ready for this in 2014. I think Putin’s expressed regrets have to to with the loss of life on both sides from the 2022 military intervention – in 2015 they probably could have marched in and reversed the coup with relatively little bloodshed, but what this would have led to would likely have been extremely problematic. Waiting was tragic, but likely the wiser choice I believe.

Posted by: the pessimist | Oct 12 2025 17:50 utc | 22

Nikolai Starikov says Trumps move bringing the Tomahawks is simply a way to bring NATOs infrastructure closer to the border of Russia.Precisely the reason why Russia started the SMO to prevent. Thus Trump is taking a chance that he will get away with getting closer to the opportunity of placing nuclear weapons close enough for a decapitation strike.Unless there is a reliable backroom understanding not shown to the public it looks like Russia has to raise the voice and put real fear in our idiot leaders in the west
Posted by: petergrfstrm | Oct 12 2025 17:32 utc | 21

Exactly this.  The plan has always been nuclear.  GHW ‘Poppy’ Bush was a failed candidate for POTUS in 1980 – before Reagan was forced by David Rockefeller to take him as VP (shadow president).  In large part this was due to a catastrophic LA Times interview in which Poppy said “We could win a nuclear war”.  POTUS 47 is no different, he has been tasked with being superficially pacifist while continuing the preparation for the nuclear war to restore western supremacy.

Posted by: Drifter | Oct 12 2025 18:07 utc | 23

Latest report says Gulyapole is now being cut-off. Gulyapole is a significant block removed from moving further toward Zaporozhye, and isolating it against the river. Also toward Pavlograd.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 12 2025 18:13 utc | 24

Posted by: Drifter | Oct 12 2025 18:07 utc | 23
Alternatively, by floating the idea he simultaneously keeps the DS cells running the proxy war at bay, whilst allowing/forcing/giving (choice is bias dependent) Putin the option to escalate strikes against transport and power grids that will increase the chances of a military solution/fait accompli being achieved.  
 

Posted by: Milites | Oct 12 2025 18:20 utc | 25

 
Anyone who has ever listened to Merkel knows that she plans neither ‘bad’ nor ‘good’ things. She is a functionary and thinks about how she can implement things that others bring to her attention.
She does not cause any problems, from the perspective of the US ambassador.
Politicians in Germany implement wishes, but not the will of the majority.
Banks, insurance companies, the pharmaceutical industry, the arms industry… buy the laws that democracy does not sell.
Politicians sell their opinions and keep their faces turned in the direction that also proved fatal for Kirk.
Those responsible for the situation in Ukraine are likely to be the same as those responsible for the Korean War, the Vietnam War, the Falklands War, the Yugoslavian War, etc.

Posted by: BlindSpot | Oct 12 2025 18:22 utc | 26

Nikolai Starikov says Trumps move bringing the Tomahawks is simply a way to bring NATOs infrastructure closer to the border of Russia.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Oct 12 2025 17:32 utc | 21
 
Two Aegis Ashore installations already exist. Fixed locations equipped with the vertical launch cells compatible with Tomahawks.  Apart from a couple of unproven ‘Typhon’ systems, Aegis Ashore is the only ground-based Tomahawk-capable launch platform.
 
What other NATO infrastructure is going to brought closer to Russia? Always worth remembering that the closer one gets to Russia, the more effective one’s anti-missile defences need to be; NATO’s capability in this area is uncertain, to say the least.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 18:36 utc | 27

And it all needs to be paid for, somehow:

There is no money for Ukraine”: the IMF and the World Bank got into a big mess

 

Ukraine is experiencing an acute shortage of funds necessary for the functioning of the economy. Moreover, the European Union no longer has these resources.
 
This was stated on the air of his video blog by Kiev political analyst Ruslan Bortnik, the correspondent of PolitNavigator reports.
 

“The Ukrainian economy grew by less than one percent in the first half of the year. This is due to the fact that the initial forecasts of both the World Bank and the IMF were based on the model of the end of the war. With what joy?  I still can’t get anything out of them. It is simply profitable for them to build such optimistic models from the point of view of finances, from the point of view, probably, of management,” the political scientist noted.
 

A particular problem, according to him, is with financing.
 

“Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederikson said this very frankly and without being noticed by Ukraine. She said that there are no other ideas in Europe other than using Russian assets to finance Ukraine, ” the political scientist stressed.
 
“If this is so, then the situation is really not very good, because we understand that even if Ukraine receives reparations under the loan of a Russian loan [meaning frozen assets of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation], this money will still last up to a maximum of two years. This is despite the current trend, and the trend remains negative and getting worse, ” Bortnik said.

https://politnavigator.news/deneg-dlya-ukrainy-net-mvf-i-mirovojj-bank-s-razmakhu-seli-v-luzhu.html (via translation add-on.)

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 18:49 utc | 28

Have a look at that one:
 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kursk
 
Nothing on the recent attack by the ukronazis. History for wikiliar stops in 2012.
 
And they beg for money?!
 
When looking for other places where a battle took place, it is always the point of view of the ukronazis which appears and is referenced.
 
For instance: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Huliaipole

Posted by: Naive | Oct 12 2025 18:53 utc | 29

From the  MoA Week in Review , we have an article on China’s recent counter move in its trade war with the U.S.  KT Chong wrote a comment to that article.  He began by quoting from the it: “As an extra fillip, China has also announced that all American ships must pay port fees. (This is symbolic, few ships are flagged American.)”  Chong then continued with an excellent analysis of China’s motives for mandating American ships pay port fees, “This is not symbolic. This is long-term strategic thinking.  The US wants to rebuilding [sic] its shipbuilding industry. By imposing port fees on US ships, China basically prematurely terminates any attempt of the US to rebuild its shipbuilding industry. Trump’s “Restoring America’s Maritime Dominance” Executive Order, SHIPS act, and MARAD initiative are basically DOA.  That is brutal.”
 
Over the last month or two, we have been reading hysterical pronouncements about the destruction of Russia’s merchant marine fleet, sometimes called the “Shadow Fleet.”  Concern trolls and bragging westerners all assume neither Russia, nor China could ever defeat the all powerful EU, NATO, and U.S. on the ocean.  The recent move by China to charge port fees for U.S. ships is a lesson in non-military maritime power.  As China’s export economy grows, ship owners who want a slice of the pie carrying Chinese goods around the globe will refuse to flag their ships in the U.S.  Just wait until Russia joins the game.  I would not be surprised if within a year or two, both Russia and China will begin charging exorbitant port fees on European, Australian, and U.S. ships.
This will cause an even greater decline in the once pre-eminent western navies.  However, that decline will take a few years to become apparent.  Yet again, one more reason for Russia to go slowly in Ukraine.  It ensures the destruction of the European/American maritime industry.  The point is anyone who focuses exclusively on metrics such as ground gained or numbers killed miss the much larger picture of the Ukraine war as a Russian project to economically as well as militarily destroy “International Satanism” – Russia’s words..

Posted by: Nobody Special | Oct 12 2025 18:54 utc | 30

A column of 25 vehicles + some 200 ukronazis were sent to Krasnoarmeisk.
They were exterminated.
 
Please, send more!

Posted by: Naive | Oct 12 2025 18:56 utc | 31

Situational overview from Marat Khairullin: https://maratkhairullin.substack.com/p/an-overview-of-the-military-situation
 
~~~
 
O/T: has anyone heard an update from Dr. Rob Campbell aka “The Busker”? Hope he’s doing OK.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 19:05 utc | 32

This will cause an even greater decline in the once pre-eminent western navies. However, that decline will take a few years to become apparent. Yet again, one more reason for Russia to go slowly in Ukraine. It ensures the destruction of the European/American maritime industry. The point is anyone who focuses exclusively on metrics such as ground gained or numbers killed miss the much larger picture of the Ukraine war as a Russian project to economically as well as militarily destroy “International Satanism” – Russia’s words..

Posted by: Nobody Special | Oct 12 2025 18:54 utc | 30
 
Agree with all this, plus I would add in the destruction of the European/American maritime insurance industry, which has been a highly-lucrative earner for those on the inside, think of the so-called Lloyds Names for one aspect.
 
The Russian “shadow fleet” in reality is just vessels no longer under the purview of the Lloyds Register; now there is a measurable amount of maritime insurance transactions no longer being conducted with US dollars or British sterling.
 
The West tried to weaponise a monopoly position, thinking everybody would just comply. Instead, they incentivised the development of alternatives.
 
Oh dear, how sad, never mind… 

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 19:31 utc | 33

@Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 18:36 utc | 27
I dont think he means any particular installation.
What is the expression – Mission Creep?
Testing how much they may displace Russias red lines without Russia doing something drastic.
 

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Oct 12 2025 19:32 utc | 34

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 19:05 utc | 32
He’s in recovery, pace his substack.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Oct 12 2025 19:37 utc | 35

I dont think he means any particular installation.What is the expression – Mission Creep?Testing how much they may displace Russias red lines without Russia doing something drastic.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Oct 12 2025 19:32 utc | 34
 
Yeah, I dunno, I think too many folks can fall into a trap of over-estimating current capabilities. I think that Russia is well aware that 2025 NATO is not the 1983 ‘Able Archer’ NATO. 
 
A shadow of what something used to be doesn’t need a drastic response, just let them expose their own shortcomings to themselves, the ‘Give ’em Enough Rope’ approach…
 
~~~
 
@ ChatNPC | Oct 12 2025 19:37 utc | 35
 
Thanks for that, reason I asked is because I thought I had bookmarked Dr. Rob’s substack channel, but couldn’t find it, now rectified. Some heart-warming comments there, good to see. 

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 19:59 utc | 36

Kiev regime starts covering up their massive money laundering network as collapse nears.
https://www.rt.com/russia/626232-ukraine-crypto-trader-found-dead-kiev/

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 12 2025 20:05 utc | 37

— GEROMAN — time will tell – 👀 –@GeromanAT·5hAbout paid thugs and scum:
‼️🇬🇧🇺🇦 Boris Johnson lobbied for the continuation of the Ukrainian conflict for bribes — The Guardian
▪️Documents have appeared online about the former British Prime Minister receiving a bribe to continue the Ukrainian conflict.▪️The sponsor turned out to be Christopher Harborne, a shareholder of a British arms manufacturer supplying drones to Ukraine.▪️He gave Johnson a bribe of 1 million pounds sterling to persuade Zelensky to continue the war.▪️Harborne transferred the payment to a private company created by Johnson after he left the post of Prime Minister.▪️Notably, Harborne himself accompanied Johnson during his visit to Kyiv, after which Zelensky refused to sign a peace agreement with Russia.
…………….
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/oct/10/the-1m-man-why-did-boris-johnson-take-his-donor-to-ukraine

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 12 2025 20:08 utc | 38

Well that came out nothing like the deformatted text I posted.
Whatever. Bojo was paid a million pounds by a british arms manufacturer to keep the war against Russia going.
 
Another
After two conversations with Zelensky, Trump called for an investigation into the attempt of his “Ukrainian impeachment” in 2019
➖”The Ukrainian impeachment (against me!) was a much more illegal fraud than Watergate. I sincerely hope that the relevant authorities, including Congress, investigate this! Adam Schiff was so dishonest and corrupt. So many laws and procedures were violated and simply trampled!” – stated the US president.
▪️In the fall of 2019, US Democrats initiated impeachment proceedings against Trump after his phone call with Zelensky.
▪️They claimed that Trump demanded Zelensky to disclose compromising material on the Biden family and their interests in Ukraine. Trump denied this. The impeachment process was not completed.
https://x.com/GeromanAT/status/1977449780813934826
 
A screenshot of Trump’s truth social post at the link. It looks like the tide has turned in the war against Russia

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 12 2025 20:19 utc | 39

For background, the historic Los Angeles Times interview of GHW Bush by Robert Scheer, published on January 24, 1980.  For a moment, the veil was pulled back and much of the public was horrified to learn how the elite actually think.  From that moment, Bush had no chance at winning enough GOP primaries to be the nominee.  The public was not reassured that the elite in their bunkers and a “percentage of citizens” could survive.  Even if the percentage of survivors was “more than” 5%.

… Scheer: Don?t we reach a point with these strategic weapons where we can wipe each other out so many times and no one wants to use them or is willing to use them, that it really doesn’t matter whether we?re ten percent or two percent lower or higher?
Bush: Yes, if you believe there is no such thing as a winner in a nuclear exchange, that argument makes little sense. I don?t believe that.
Scheer: How do you win a nuclear exchange?
Bush: You have a survivability of command in control, survivability of industrial potential, protection of a percentage of your citizens, and you have a capability that inflicts more damage on the opposition than it can inflict upon you. That’s the way you can have a winner, and that Soviets’ planning is based on the ugly concept of a winner in a nuclear exchange.
Scheer: Do you mean like five percent would survive? Two percent?

Bush: More than that, if everybody fired everything they had, you’d have more than that survive.

Posted by: Drifter | Oct 12 2025 20:30 utc | 40

Chinese military transports shuttling back and forth to Moscow.
 
https://t.me/CyberspecNews/92941

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 12 2025 20:33 utc | 41

Chinese military transports shuttling back and forth to Moscow.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 12 2025 20:33 utc | 41
 
Aha! Finally, Ukraine’s national gold reserves being brought into safe custody…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 20:50 utc | 42

@ Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 20:50 utc | 42
 
 
You mean the USA sold that gold to China? 😉😁

Posted by: malenkov | Oct 12 2025 20:54 utc | 43

The encircled AFU troops in Kupyansk are reportedly getting smoked. RUAF now controls 75% of the city.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 12 2025 21:02 utc | 44

@ malenkov | Oct 12 2025 20:54 utc | 43
 
Sssh, you’ll upset the vindictively anti-China commenters in the noisy side of the bar…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 21:03 utc | 45

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 19:05 utc | 32
I got a quick update on Busker in my email feed. He is still not well and has spent some time in hospital.

Posted by: watcher | Oct 12 2025 21:09 utc | 46

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 12 2025 20:08 utc | 38
Peter AU1.  Very surprised by that news.  Sounds a bit unlikely though.  You could buy a Johnson for far less than a million.

Posted by: English Outsider | Oct 12 2025 21:12 utc | 47

Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 18:36 utc | 27
B-b-b-but, I thought those Aegis ashore batteries were only there to defend against an attack on Europe by Iran and/or North Korea…? </sarc>

Posted by: robjira | Oct 12 2025 22:35 utc | 48

Scott Ritter on Dialogue Works.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gXYwp3L-S9w

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 12 2025 22:39 utc | 49

English Outsider | Oct 12 2025 21:12 utc | 47
 
Regardless how much he could be bought for 🙂 the fact that he has now been thrown to the dogs by the big boys of London is quite interesting. They must be panicking.
 
Since the Snowden Greenwald stuff and getting their hard drives drilled, the Guardian only prints the official narrative.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 12 2025 22:44 utc | 50

Link to the million dollar man article in the Guardian.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/oct/10/the-1m-man-why-did-boris-johnson-take-his-donor-to-ukraine

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 12 2025 22:51 utc | 51

Translated from Chinese media.

Good news.

No one survived explosion at a US explosive plant

China News Service

October 12, 2025, 12:29 PM
Beijing

12 people

On October 11 local time, police in Humphreys County, Tennessee, said “no survivors have been found” in an explosion at a local military explosive plant that killed 16 people, AP reported.Photo credit: AP video report screenshotThe cause of the explosion was reportedly unclear. The investigation is ongoing.The explosion was previously reported at around 7: 45 local time on the 10th at the plant located on the border between Humphreys County and Hickman County in Tennessee, about 100 kilometers from the state capital, Nashville. The plant is part of a company called American Precision Energy Systems. The company manufactures a variety of high explosives and specialty products for the U.S. Department of Defense and the U. S. industrial market.Local media television footage showed thick plumes of smoke at the scene of the explosion and debris of cars strewn around it. People living a few kilometres from the site of the blast said they could feel tremors when the explosion occurred.”No one survived” explosion at an explosives factory in Tennessee killed 16 people》

Posted by: Surferket | Oct 12 2025 22:52 utc | 52

Daniel Davis and Douglas Macgregor.  “Trump and Europe playing with fire.” 
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qqmx7nMwe-A
 
……………………
 
We have nothing like these men  in Europe, more’s the pity.  Kujat gets out and about, spreading the word, but I don’t think he gets the traction Davis and Macgregor get.  From the English military prepared to poke their heads above the parapet we’ve got  General Lord Richards and Commodore Jermyn.  Both first class strategists but again, they don’t get the coverage.
 
Macgregor  served in the first Trump administration.  Was to have taken a Cabinet position but that wouldn’t have got past Senate.    Worked out the plan to extricate the US from Afghanistan.  In the chaos of the final months of that administration the plan was not put into effect.  Unfortunate.   The US would have avoided the debacle of the withdrawal under Biden.
 
Both were rumoured to be considered for a position in the new administration.  No chance, it turned out: both have views on Ukraine that were not adopted by the Trump administration.
 
The video ends with an account of one of the worst of the Israeli atrocities.   Most of the video is on Ukraine so I submit it here.  It starts with some observations on Keene.  Scarcely need say, not favourable.  UvdL puts in an appearance at 2 mins 30.  Seems to be attacking Fico and Orban.  Then an MEP attacks her.  Quite effectively I thought.
 
A mention of the Poles blocking the rail route from China.  Well,  I can see that’s dumb in the current circumstances but as a ultra-environmentalist I’d rather not see goods carted halfway round the world when we could just as well make them at home.  Even if it’s no longer fashionable to worry about carbon footprints. 
 
Then a most relevant look at the conflicts in Korea and Vietnam, with some background I doubt many are aware of on the decisions to enter into those conflicts.  I wasn’t anyway.  That background also most relevant to today.  Then clips of Trump telling the sailors that the US still has the best military in the world.   Bar none.  Macgregor examines that point carefully. 
 
“We need to come home,” says Macgregor of that military.  In those few words he encapsulates the sadness and the failure of the Trump Presidency.  Because that was the promise Trump was elected on, the promise that led so many to give him their votes, and the promise he broke.    
 
   
 

Posted by: English Outsider | Oct 12 2025 23:50 utc | 53

Nowhere else to report this today but it is very important since it also involves US and Russia.
 
As I have said before we are getting close to the Cuban Missile Crisis (1962)  2.o (2025)
 
Borzzikman reports:
 
“In this regard, over the past 5 days, Russia’s Advanced Tu-160 Strategic Bombers, armed with nuclear missiles, have conducted several patrols along the east coast of the United States, making it clear to the Trump administration that, if necessary, the oceans will not save Washington from a retaliatory strike”
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hGikHLIdHpw
 
The Russian Ambassador to the UN  Vassily Nebenzia’s comments:
 
At the session on Friday, Nebenzia said Russia “strongly condemned” the US campaign, calling it “a flagrant violation of international law and human rights.”
“We are witnessing a brazen campaign of political, military, and psychological pressure on the government of an independent state with the sole purpose of changing a regime unfavorable to the US,” he stated, noting that the coup plot is being carried out “using the classic tools of color revolutions and hybrid wars” by “artificially fueling an atmosphere of confrontation.”
 
Washington’s justification for its military action “sounds like a perfect plot for a Hollywood blockbuster” in which “Americans once again save the world,” but in reality it is pure fiction, according to Nebenzia. He noted that the UN Office on Drugs and Crime “doesn’t even consider Venezuela a drug trafficking hub,” as 87% of cocaine entering the US comes via the Pacific Ocean, to which Venezuela has no access.
“Washington must immediately stop escalating under false pretexts and avoid the irreparable mistake of military action against Venezuela,” he urged.
 
 
https://www.rt.com/news/626225-russia-us-venezuela-coup/
 
 

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 12 2025 23:57 utc | 54

“Nobel Peace Prize winner supports Israel’s genocide & Trump’s war on Venezuela”
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ks9uDtd7Msc
 

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 13 2025 0:18 utc | 55

Posted by: English Outsider | Oct 12 2025 23:50 utc | 53
 
Apologies.  I typed the name wrong.  Commodore Jermy.
 
Some of his work here:-
 
https://responsiblestatecraft.org/nato-war-with-russia/
 
“NATO cannot do strategy”.  Pity they didn’t work that out before they put the Ukrainians through  the Summer Offensive.   Or maybe the Milley/Cavoli/Radakin trio did study strategy but stopped at the Boer war. 

Posted by: English Outsider | Oct 13 2025 0:32 utc | 56

An article in Reuters
https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/kremlin-warns-west-over-dramatic-escalation-moment-ukraine-war-2025-10-12/
 
Tomahawks, Trump and the Kremlin. When I looked into it the US had only built four mobile ground launchers for the naval Tomahawk. Some of those are deployed in the Asia Pacific pointed at China.
 
The US had standardised the ALCM (Air launched cruise missile) and the naval cruise missile to be the same missile. I assume the naval missile (Tomahawk) has the addition of a booster for launch. The only ALCM’s the US has left all carry nuclear warheads. From what Wilkerson said, I believe some of them have been moved to the middle east for the planned war on Iran.
 
Some tomahawks also are armed with nuclear warheads. I can’t see the US giving the air launched cruise missiles, and the problems around supplying some ground launchers and getting them in undetected…..
 
Trumps talk of Tomahawks is likely nothing more than a bone to placate the neo-cons.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 13 2025 0:43 utc | 57

 English Outsider | Oct 13 2025 0:32 utc | 56
 
The Ukrainians are Russians. Eastern Slav, orthodox and therefore quite expendable.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 13 2025 0:47 utc | 58

“Trumps talk of Tomahawks is likely nothing more than a bone to placate the neo-cons.”
 
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 13 2025 0:43 utc | 57
 
The neocons are off on their next wars of regime change in Venezuela and still playing stupid games with China. I think the talk of  Tomahawks with Zelensky is to get him off Trump’s back and make it look like Trump is still doing something important in Ukraine to suit his ego and for Zelensky to still try to fool his people they are in with a  chance as the country crumbles and blackouts prevail. He also has to enforce his martial rule again next month if he is to survive. Neocons might support Tomahawks as a distraction for Russia if they try their newest madness in Venezuela. As you would know Russia is signaling that the Tomahawks would not be a game changer, but a Putin has signaled it would be a redline in terms of US interference since their services would be needed to launch them and very likely guide them to any Russian target that could include major cities like Moscow and St Petersburg.

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 13 2025 1:14 utc | 59

Apparently a regime change of the type that mimics the Bolshevik revolution is in progress in Madagascar.. 
in typical fashion a weak corrupt leader sells or in debts the public assets so eventually the public services are privatized to foreign controlled investor owned interest,, then the media unleashes havoc on the current regime ,, this is followed up with youth marches and protest to create more chaos.. and suddenly the privately owned utility functions (electric, gas, water, garbage)  quit working or become unreliable this makes it easy to blame the incumbent.. and with military assist presto a new president takes over.. 
What’s important in Madagascar is rare earths and semi precious stones 

Posted by: snake | Oct 13 2025 1:40 utc | 60

Posted by: snake | Oct 13 2025 1:40 utc | 60
 
Exactly the same methods used over and over again as we also see in Venezuela. 

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 13 2025 1:58 utc | 61

Posted by: Milites | Oct 12 2025 18:20 utc | 25
 
Possible. NATO having come this far and thrown everything at Russia can they simply walk away without a last try ie a massive Missile attack on Moscow.
 
 

Posted by: Michael J | Oct 13 2025 1:59 utc | 62

Posted by: BlindSpot | Oct 12 2025 18:22 utc | 26 Anyone who has ever listened to Merkel knows that she plans neither ‘bad’ nor ‘good’ things. She is a functionary and thinks about how she can implement things that others bring to her attention. She does not cause any problems, from the perspective of the US ambassador. Politicians in Germany implement wishes, but not the will of the majority.

I agree with everything you write, especially “Merkel = functionary”, this holds for almost all politicians, more now than ever. I don’t agree with the marked sentence: Merkel was to some extent a tool of German industry capital. She expended much of her political capital on the Northstream pipelines, against the expressed wish of empire central at Washington. This stopped with her successors Scholz and Merz who no longer even try to support German industry capital. The country is broken IMO.

Posted by: Konami | Oct 13 2025 2:31 utc | 63

Posted by: English Outsider | Oct 12 2025 23:50 utc | 53
‘We need to come home’. Don’t seem to remember Trump ever saying that on his campaign rallies, unless that’s the usual transliteration that seemingly afflicts certain commentators. 
Posted by: Michael J | Oct 13 2025 1:59 utc | 62
Even if that were possible it wouldn’t stop the trajectory of the conflict, only alter it to Russia’s favour as Putin would align himself with the more hawkish members of his General staff, and climb several rungs of the escalation ladder. There is nothing Ukraine, or its proxy backers, can do to prevent the hard landing from this singularly stupid endeavour, the product of a returning flood of chickens coming home. 

Posted by: Milites | Oct 13 2025 2:57 utc | 64

Posted by: Milites | Oct 13 2025 2:57 utc | 64
 
Yes it wouldn’t stop the trajectory of the conflict. 
 
But it could test Russian resolve to prevent an article 5 situation with NATO
 

Posted by: Michael J | Oct 13 2025 3:15 utc | 65

Merkel was to some extent a tool of German industry capital. She expended much of her political capital on the Northstream pipelines, against the expressed wish of empire central at Washington. This stopped with her successors Scholz and Merz who no longer even try to support German industry capital. The country is broken IMO.
 
Posted by: Konami | Oct 13 2025 2:31 utc | 63
 

 
She was exceptionally stupid and short-sighted for a physicist with a PhD. On the other hand, people with degrees and doctorates started two world wars. Well, now three.
Higher education can sometimes do strange things to your head. Just like an overly bulging scrotum (figuratively speaking).

Posted by: Nobody | Oct 13 2025 3:25 utc | 66

GeorgeWendell | Oct 13 2025 1:14 utc | 59
 
There is always a bit of iron under Putins diplomatic velvet glove. If tomahawks by chance were launched against Russia, the response I think would be somewhat along the lines of Russia coming under nuclear attack. As Putin has stated, Tomahawks can carry either a conventional warhead or a nuclear warhead so all will be treated as nuclear.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 13 2025 3:39 utc | 67

Was watching a Chinese academic re whether the US dog wags the Israel tail or vice versa. He commented there is plenty of evidence to support either view, but gathered he went more with the US Zionists calling the shots. Perhaps the US establishment tolerates or encourages AIPAC as it simply feeds people from both political parties into its Middle East war support. His fear was more about religious fanatics pushing for the end of times scenario.
This one can be argued back and forth till the cows come in, in the end though the outcome is still the same.
Boris Johnson taking bribes, hardly surprising, of course there will be no repercussions for SOP.

Posted by: Organic | Oct 13 2025 3:53 utc | 68

On the subject of Merkel and herjust being a functionary:
After the capitulation in 1945 Germany ceased to exist as a sovereign nation. In 1948 the BRD was created by the grace and under full control of the US. To this day USA declines a peace contract with Germany, despite all begging and bootlicking. Germany still exists as occupied territory in a state of ceasefire. All chancellors of Germany have tried their very best to slowly move Germany out of that corner towards a sovereign position. Since Willy Brandt it became the habit of the US to remove an replace the german chancellors whenever they got too successful and too cocky. Schröder was the last one who got that treatment when he refused to join the second Iraq war, but even more for his brazen reconciliation with Russia. Schröder wanted Russia as a counterweight to the US. Trade with Russia was booming.
In comes Merkel who publicly stated her full allegiance with the USA. She flew to Washington to pledge Germany’s full subjugation under her rule. This received scathing comments even in transatlanticist leitmedien. But low and behold, a few days later all leitmedien started bashing Schröder and lauding Merkel. She was made Chancellor, certainly not for her Charisma or Charme or any clear political vision. She was made because she had convinced Washington, that there will be no more sovereignty attempts. And she fulfilled her promise. She steered Germany into unquestioning submission, against all german interests, except of course the transatlanticist power elite. This was a political course, that she deliberatly took. She had agency, she is fully responsible for the direction of Germany’s political direction after 2004. Every traitor, every lackey, every vassal bears full responsibility for the damage they inflict on their homeland.
And she played a major role in the preparation of the war against Russia. She was not only one of the main players in the Maidan but also fabricated the second Novichok fairy tale. Also she actively mislead the public about MH17. She was a very deliberate and active part of the imperialist anti Russion front.

Posted by: Hamburger | Oct 13 2025 7:23 utc | 69

O/T: has anyone heard an update from Dr. Rob Campbell aka “The Busker”? Hope he’s doing OK.
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 12 2025 19:05 utc | 32
I’m still not 100% but I’ve started working – that’s why I’m reading the MoA:  Busker’s Blues – by Dr. Rob Campbell – The Busker

Posted by: The Busker | Oct 13 2025 7:43 utc | 70

Peter Thiel: ‘I defer to Israel’
lavender and Palantir’s. AI work in the kill grid kill box is pioneering the new technocratic control systems.
testing testing for  the 15 minute city 2030 projects
 
Look again….I’m not ….I’m not…you know, you know…with… without, without going into all the… you know I’m not on top of all the details of what’s going on in Israel, because my bias is to defer to Israel. It’s not for us to to second-guess every, everything. And I believe that broadly the IDF gets to decide what it wants to do, and that they’re broadly in the right and that’s, that’s sort of the perspective I come back to. And if I, if I fall into the trap of arguing you on every detailed point, I’m actually going to, I would actually be conceding the broader issue that the Middle East should be micromanaged from Cambridge. And I think that’s just simply absurd. And so I’m not, I’m not going to concede that point.
 
“Lavender” relied on sprawling surveillance networks and assigned a 1-100 score to every Gazan based on the likelihood the person was a Hamas militant. This is used by another software program called “Where’s Daddy?” that warned when one of these “militants” were in residence. Voila! Aim and fire. More than 37,000 Palestinians were on this so-called “kill list” in the first months of the war,
Palantir held a board meeting in Tel Aviv for the first time in “solidarity” with Israel, and announced a new “strategic partnership with the Israeli Defense Ministry to supply technology to help the country’s war effort.”
“Both parties have mutually agreed to harness Palantir’s advanced technology in support of war-related missions,” Palantir Executive VP Josh Harris told Bloomberg at the time. “This strategic partnership aims to significantly aid the Israeli Ministry of Defense in addressing the current situation in Israel.”
 
with more than 400 hundred thousand dead missing  this has to be one of the most successful beta testing  tech operations in history thanks to the relentless hard work and dedication of the glorious heroic idf.
 
also thanks must be given to turkey egypt qatar and jordan for joining the one zion oil  gas and water consortium
 

Posted by: normal wisdom | Oct 13 2025 8:37 utc | 71

Trumps talk of Tomahawks is likely nothing more than a bone to placate the neo-cons.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 13 2025 0:43 utc | 57

 
The danger is that the more empty boasting, the bigger the chance that it will one day become reality. I’m really not convinced yet that Tomahawks are out of the question.
 
And I do think when those Tomahawks start to fire the whole world will realize that it’s the US against Russia for real.

Posted by: Avtonom | Oct 13 2025 8:42 utc | 72

Posted by: The Busker | Oct 13 2025 7:43 utc | 70

Thank you so much and wish you a thorough recovery Mr Busker! 

Posted by: Avtonom | Oct 13 2025 8:54 utc | 73

It is possible in a Ukrainian family of four children to have Javelin and Javelina as the older siblings of newborns Tomahawk and Flamingo.
 
Predicted popularity of baby names for Ukraine, circa 2025/2026.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | Oct 13 2025 9:18 utc | 74

Posted by: The Busker | Oct 13 2025 7:43 utc | 70
 
I hope you get well very soon Dr. Campbell.
 
I read all of your updates. I noticed long ago they were very informative and succint, the way I like my reports to be.
 
But before getting back to your reports, take a good rest and recovery.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Oct 13 2025 9:27 utc | 75

Haven’t watched Military Summary today, but the headline states Tomahawks are exchanged for ‘full mobilization in Ukraine’.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 13 2025 9:32 utc | 76

@76
Considering everyone under the age of like 25 has been let out of the country and they’ve been kidnapping people off the streets and the Russians have taken a pregnant woman as a POW once or twice, I wonder what’s left to “fully mobilize”.

Posted by: Stark | Oct 13 2025 9:46 utc | 77

Posted by: Stark | Oct 13 2025 9:46 utc | 77
 
Given the systematic destruction of power plants, oil storage and refineries, and railway infrastructure, I wonder how they can get any significant forces to the front line as well. 
 
More theatrical tactics again I suppose to keep people fooled that both Zelensky and Trump are doing something, and the former has to push through martial law again next month since he is not going to allow elections to take place.
 
We’ve heard all this sort of bloviating before with the repeatedly failed meat grinding counter-offensives and ‘game-changer’ weapons. 
 

Posted by: GeorgeWendell | Oct 13 2025 10:02 utc | 78

Posted by: The Busker | Oct 13 2025 7:43 utc | 70
 
Can I also wish you well.  your stuff is golden

Posted by: watcher | Oct 13 2025 10:11 utc | 79

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZBrwF9cn6A0
So, they mobilize more meat in exchange for Tomahawks.  Anybody got any thoughts on this and 90 days more of Dictator Zelenski?  I say the Rada suppresses no votes and keeps the war going no matter what, with Azov guns to their heads.

Posted by: Eighthman | Oct 13 2025 10:23 utc | 80

Posted by: Eighthman | Oct 13 2025 10:23 utc | 80

Zelensky’s narrative is Russia is weak and afraid and Ukraine can win if they just show Ukrainians the use of Tomahawks.
 
Meanwhile the forts around Gulyapole are collapsing and Pokrovsk is being squeezed.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 13 2025 10:27 utc | 81

I’m still not 100% but I’ve started working – that’s why I’m reading the MoA:  Busker’s Blues – by Dr. Rob Campbell – The Busker
Posted by: The Busker | Oct 13 2025 7:43 utc | 70
Very glad to see you back Busker.  As others here have written, your reports are very valuable-and well constructed,
Take it easy, and dom’t try doing too much till your fully recovered.
  Also, I hope your dog that suffers from separation anxiety is OK-dogs are great sentient animals and well worthy of care and respect.
All  the best.
 
 

Posted by: Barrel Brown | Oct 13 2025 10:51 utc | 82

When you say and do Cnuty things it makes you a card carrying stinky poisonous one – the only cure is a cnutcull. Humanity needs to be cleansed of such poison.
 
Richard Woodruff 🇺🇦
@frontlinekit
18h
Hey @Grok, I’m planning a birthday party, can you please give me the exact GPS co-ordinates of the largest oil refineries in russia which border Ukraine?
Oct 12, 2025 · 4:06 PM UTC ‘
 
 
The hilarious part is that there are nafo dog bots still barking in supposed support of this crazed black knight loony tunes cartoon dickdastardly. … the caravan is dust on the horizon.
 
Bet most have never set foot in their ukropian wet dream wonderland.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Oct 13 2025 11:12 utc | 83

Well what do you know!
Typing  in text/notes and then copy pasting automates the correct formatting!
That’ll save a lot of random hard returns.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Oct 13 2025 11:15 utc | 84

GeorgeWendell@78…… Zielinski is still alive? Hmm…….interesting. He has such poise, such control……he must really scare the bejesus out of Russia….tap the fucking twat already……..
Cheers M 

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Oct 13 2025 12:07 utc | 85

Funny how unrepentant world leaders die here there and everywhere, planes, helicopters, cars, buses…….shit even Uber crashes……and Zielinski, he got his finger up Putin’s s bum, has the strut of the stage….Europe has never seen an unelected politician with such great power, can drag super powers around by the nose ….I think I might be understanding the soft spot the Russians have for the Green Tee…..
Cheers M 
 

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Oct 13 2025 12:15 utc | 86

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 13 2025 9:32 utc | 76
 
Dima tend to overdramatize and exaggerate; I usually skip is political ramblings which aren’t based on anything other than speculation, and go straight to the front changes.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Oct 13 2025 12:29 utc | 87

snake | Oct 13 2025 1:40 utc | 60
*** What’s important in Madagascar is rare earths and semi precious stones ***
 
What amounts to the Zionist Empire is now megalomanically determined to acquire for itself and its Oligarchy everything its agencies  were ever offered, by anyone and anywhere; even if an offer was declined at the time.
Not only determined, but self-appointingly entitled.
 

Posted by: Cynic | Oct 13 2025 12:30 utc | 88

Michael J // 65
NATO Article 5 = NATO war with Russia
The Russian government has stated NATO is at war with Russia  
Why do you think Russia is afraid of starting a war with NATO if they are already at war with NATO?

Posted by: Nobody Special | Oct 13 2025 12:41 utc | 89

If Nato starts article 5 proceedings, it would need to be public. I doubt Russia would be waiting around to see the end of that proceeding before nuking Europe to oblivion.
So far, Nato has not started those proceedings. 
Lavrov is probably talking in the sense that EuroNato provides arms and its own troops as ‘mercenaries’ to Ukraine. But so far no one has acknowledged being at war with each other. This is beneficial to Russia as Ukraine/Nato are disadvantaged in the current front in Ukraine.
But it’s very likely ‘war/article 5’ means nuclear, as there won’t be another ‘soft Ukraine’ with Poland, Baltlets or Finland.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 13 2025 12:50 utc | 90

Tomahawks and their launchers are hard to hide.
Someone in the US-NAZO system might even tip off the untermenschen as to their location and itinerary?

Posted by: Andrew Sarchus | Oct 13 2025 13:03 utc | 91

The depopulation of the Russian population in 404 is accelerating… Who will inhabit this beautiful empty space, full of raw materials, in the future? Questions upon questions… It would be a fantastic question to pose to the Jewish-neoliberal Trojan horse on one of these idiotic “forums”… For example, the forum of the United Russian Proctologists.

Posted by: Brigitte Mohnhaupt | Oct 13 2025 13:04 utc | 92

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Oct 13 2025 12:15 utc | 86
Who else ? Fegelein is to busy F… his English mistress (who do you think he is ? May 1940 Charles de Gaule ?).
Gehlenskyi is perfect for the role. He’s very convenient for everyone : the US have someone to sell their weapons without bodybags back home, the EU are willing to pay (how could it be all Putin’s fault otherwise ?), the Russians will be able to get back all of Novorussia (a feet in EU/NATO doorstep.) without it’s Banderist population (also they have to do the mopping), China has a perfect pretext for a “tradewar”, cheap gas and some marketshares, India makes loads of cash refining, African get some flagged ships, Quatar has high market NatGas prices, the Colombians are happy (such a regular customer.. of mercenaries , of mercenaries ; the hell were thou thinkin’bout ?) … even the “Green Tee” has never been paid so much green(backs) for a role and it has more seasons than Слуга народу. 
See, everyone is happy : it’s a “win-win” deal ! :p Why do you think it lasted (and will continue) for so long ? Everyone has the same “never let a good crisis going to waste” … 

Posted by: Savonarole | Oct 13 2025 13:21 utc | 93

Posted by: Savonarole | Oct 13 2025 13:21 utc | 93

 
Every day it’s increasingly likely, if Novorrossia is implemented in a way it borders Romania and Hungary, Nato and EU will be ripped apart. Considering Brussel’s decision to nationalize the Chinese semiconductor factory (which may not even operate without Chinese inputs), Hungary, Serbia and Slovakia could either break the EU inside or leave or both.

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 13 2025 13:27 utc | 94

Posted by: Eighthman | Oct 13 2025 10:23 utc | 80
 
Tomahawks are not meant to change any situation on the ground. But a bait for Russia to trigger nato article 5 by their reactions. Only card left to play for Ukraine. 

Posted by: Michael J | Oct 13 2025 13:28 utc | 95

““We must not allow Putin to break our resistance before winter.” – shelenskiyv
 
Wait!  did he just say they are fucked but wants to hang on till AFTER winter or IN winter ????
 
I guess they really want those the long lines of evacuees demanding entry into cosy warm western Eurasia! Poor critters got no gas  or electricity … err just like many of us with triple costs buddy. 
 
London now is FULL of those Russian speaking khokols – can’t walk down the pavements or wander into supermarkets without  hearing their lovely singsong chat. Often on a phone back home! Kiddies being taken to and from school … they seem v happy. Not at all upset with all the multiethnicity. 
 
Meanwhile we are squirrel spotted to look at ‘small boats’… its like we are being told to ignore the massive influx of non-EU peoples having told many others to fuck off with the BrexShit bs.
——-
 
‘ NATO Parliamentary Assembly: “NATO & Ukraine are winning!”
 
At the plenary session of NATO Parliamentary Assembly in Slovenia NATO Secretary General/Head of US MIC sales department Mark Rutte again called for raising NATO core defence spending to 3.5 % of GDP, as part of the broader commitment to reach 5 % by 2035.
 
Zelensky addressed the Assembly via video link asking for more air-defence, missiles, and support to withstand Russian aerial attacks.
 
Key Quotes – Mark Rutte:
 
“We live in a dangerous world, and the threat is not something distant.”
 
“We are doing this primarily to defend NATO territory. 3,5 % so that we can keep the Atlantic, the Arctic and Europe, and also the United States, safe.”
 
“NATO must not underestimate the Russian threat, but neither should weoverestimate its military power. Nevertheless, Russia remains very dangerous.”
 
“In this debate (shooting down Russian airplanes) the military must take the lead. They (NATO officers) have authority to take the extreme measure if an aircraft poses a threat. If it does not, they will not shoot it down. (…) I fully agree with this approach, because we are much stronger than the Russians.”
Volodymyr Zelensky:
 
“To cover up its failures on land, Russia has begun a new wave of aerial terror against Ukraine — against our cities and civilian infrastructure. Their main target is our energy system. Every day and every night, Russian missiles and drones hit power plants and distribution networks.”
 
“We must not allow Putin to break our resistance before winter. I call on you to advocate in your parliaments and governments for stronger support with air-defence systems and missiles.”
 
He also called on the participants of the parliamentary assembly and their countries to stop buying Russian oil, specifically pointing to Hungary.
 
“For Putin, every billion matters. You cannot be part of the free world and at the same time finance those who want to destroy it.”
He further advocated tightening sanctions against Russia, as they limit the Russian war machine. Pressure, he said, must also be applied to those who continue to supply Moscow with components for drones and missiles, stressing that besides China and Taiwan, Russia also receives such components from European and other countries.
 
🐻As Sigmund Freud would say:
“The schizophrenic withdraws his interest from the people and things of the external world, without replacing them by others in phantasy. He thus turns away from reality altogether.” … “The megalomania of the patient is the expression of the re-investment of his withdrawn libido in the ego.”
🔴 @DDGeopolitics ’

Posted by: DunGroanin | Oct 13 2025 13:32 utc | 96

NATO Article 5 = NATO war with RussiaThe Russian government has stated NATO is at war with Russia  Why do you think Russia is afraid of starting a war with NATO if they are already at war with NATO?
Posted by: Nobody Special | Oct 13 2025 12:41 utc | 89
 
Yes a proxy war with nato. Feel Russia genuinely want to confine it as smo and within boarders of Ukraine which is the sensible thing to do. It is not a question of being afraid i believe. Once it goes hot with nato it goes out of everyone’s hand. 

Posted by: Michael J | Oct 13 2025 13:38 utc | 97

Posted by: Savonarole | Oct 13 2025 13:21 utc | 93
 
I guess the Columbians are there ’cause they used to work for death squad militias back in Macondo but then Colombia elected a former guerrilla as president so they’ve been out of work lately, need to find new places to use their (lack of) talents to feed their kids with various women. One wonders though, why won’t they just work for the cartels?

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Oct 13 2025 13:41 utc | 98

Comment(s)
 
 
Posted by: S Brennan | Oct 12 2025 16:29 utc | 12
 
S Brennan – the history of the Ukrainian conflict is so unknown to the electorates of the West that those electorates are quite unable to monitor what their governments are doing.
 
I came down this morning and re-read the comment  I submitted.  It was a comment on just one aspect of the Ukrainian conflict and I suddenly realised, show that comment to any of the people I know personally, England or continental Europe or the States, and they wouldn’t know what the hell I was talking about!  It’d be nonsense to them.
 
Different here on this site.  The people here not only know what I was talking about.  Many know a lot more as the comments show.  But those people on this or similar web sites are only a tiny subset of the Western electorates.   So the Western governments get a free pass.  They can tell us whatever they like about the Ukrainian conflict and few know they’re telling us wrong. 
 
All most in the electorates know is that a few years back the Russians suddenly invaded a neighbouring country.  Of the regional and cultural splits in that neighbouring country they know virtually nothing.  The notion that our Western governments took advantage of those splits to instal an anti-Russian administration is therefore nonsense to them.   As is the notion that we used that anti-Russian administration to provoke the Russians to invade.
 
And the notion that the sanctions war was explicitly designed in advance to damage and if possible destabilise the Russian Federation would be an outlandish notion to all.  We are the good guys and we don’t do that sort of thing.
 
There will of course be popular disapproval of the way our governments conducted that sanctions war.   Already is.  But only  because the blowback from that sanctions war is going to be fierce and will hit our pockets.  There’s not going to be any  Come to Jesus moment with the Western electorates, no sudden understanding that we deliberately  used Ukraine in order to damage Russia.  We most of us simply don’t know enough about what happened over there in order to come to that sort of judgement.
 
So we’re heading into Cold War II without knowing why or how.  I was writing to Germans in ’22 saying “Wake up you idiots, you’ve been conned.  You’ve been sold a fake story by your own governments.”  But we shall never wake up and therefore there will be no sensible resolution of our conflict with Russia.  Not right now and probably not for a good long while.
 
Different with Gaza.  There the facts are so obvious that I know none who are not appalled by the atrocities and critical of their own governments who are supporting or going along with them.  Doesn’t matter how they’ve been educated or what their ideological stance is.  There’s a minority, pretty small I think though maybe larger in the States, who support the atrocities or seek to argue them away but “We the People” know an atrocity when it’s happening right in front of our noses.  No problem with our governments feeding us false information there.  We can’t be conned when we’re watching it all in real time on our screens and phones.
 
These two different popular reactions to the events in Ukraine and the events in Gaza do I think disprove the argument that we live in a sick society or that our children are so brainwashed they don’t know right from wrong.  It’s the young in fact who are most repelled by the atrocities in Gaza.    We’re none of us little angels of course.  We all have our prejudices and ideological stances.   And I’d agree with you if you say our education system isn’t what it could be.   But when the information’s there few of us go along with the mayhem the governments of the West are stirring up around the planet.  The problem is not us.  It’s the information we get or fail to get.

Posted by: English Outsider | Oct 13 2025 13:43 utc | 99

Posted by: English Outsider | Oct 13 2025 13:43 utc | 99
Really great comment. Indeed, I know people in the States who are celebrating pregnant Ukrainian women being sent to the front, or ‘going’ to the front (willingly in their minds) because they ‘really want to be free from Russia.’ It’s utterly insane, but logical thinking for people who have swallowed the propaganda hook, line and sinker.

Posted by: Caveman | Oct 13 2025 14:08 utc | 100