Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
October 19, 2025
The MoA Week In Review – OT 2025-242

Last week’s posts on Moon of Alabama:


Other issues:

Gaza:

Empire:

Ukraine:

Rare Earth / China:

Use as open (not related to the wars in Ukraine and Palestine) thread …

Comments

Autopen Robinette (repeatedly) 
Posted by: steel_porcupine | Oct 21 2025 10:58 utc | 197

 
Right up there with a trump shit dump video. Can we do better? Not funny. Annoying. Try ‘Biden’. 

Posted by: dodger | Oct 21 2025 11:18 utc | 201

Paradoxically, if the shutdown lasts 2 years or so Federal Insolvency Crisis of 2027 might just be avoided.  currently the Feds are running cash-flow neutral. No more new debt. 

Posted by: exile | Oct 21 2025 11:19 utc | 202

I have been rewatching White Tiger on and off through the day. The ending hit me. Russia is going to finish  Kissinger’s Westphalia once and for all this time. Power has now moved from the west back to the east.
 
Th link should be the end part https://youtu.be/qiGDJ5-dXaI?t=5571 Will test it after I post.
 
What they are talking about there is not about a German tank, not about Germany. It is the about Holy Roman Empire of Kissingers Westphalia. 
The Russians will utterly destroy the west this time round, not so much through kinetic means or nukes, but through Lavrov’s hybrid warfare.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 11:21 utc | 203

Posted by: exile | Oct 21 2025 11:19 utc | 202

That seems logical. Maybe the government shutdown is nature force correcting itself (no new debt added, less bureaucracy on private economy).

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 21 2025 11:21 utc | 204

Pot – post. Bloody hell. These typos are driving me nuts.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 10:25 utc | 194

 
Not as much as having to read them. You’ve been at it 18+ hours. when does your shift end today? 

Posted by: dodger | Oct 21 2025 11:24 utc | 205

No more new debt. 
 
Posted by: exile | Oct 21 2025 11:19 utc | 202
 

 
The line goes up and to the right.
 
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SOFRVOL

Posted by: too scents | Oct 21 2025 11:25 utc | 206

 dodger | Oct 21 2025 11:24 utc | 205
 
Fuck off dodger. I sleep several time a day. Fuck with me and I will nail your nuts to the wall.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 11:31 utc | 207

That ending in White Tiger. The Russians knew what was coming and prepared for it. A war that has been ongoing since the great schism.
 
So much history in what we watch now. Putin/Carlson, and Putins short chat about history…..

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 11:42 utc | 208

Apologies for not having going through the whole thread yet and so, this one has perhaps been posted already but I find it so interesting that I take the chance.
 
Here are Andrew Korybko’s thoughts about that almost unbelievable idea of a tunnel under the Bering strait.
 
https://korybko.substack.com/p/the-bering-strait-tunnel-will-likely

Posted by: Avtonom | Oct 21 2025 11:47 utc | 209

Fuck off dodger. I sleep several time a day. Fuck with me and I will nail your nuts to the wall.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 11:31 utc | 207
 

All Class.  A ‘goodnight’ would have been better. The fact remains you’ve been at it 18hours today, non-stop, all day. Typos’n’all. You deserve a medal then. Three cheers for Pete the hero marathon poster.
 
BUT Let us know how the movie ends will ya? Seen it already. i’m no Margaret Pomeranz but I thought it was about a weird esoteric mystical Tank. Not Kissinger. 

Posted by: dodger | Oct 21 2025 11:50 utc | 210

USA is now trying to bail out Argentina through a collective effort through its largest banks, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs and Bank Of America, but they are struggling to put together a $20 billion loan without getting on the hook for the bankrupt South American country.
Guess you have to be more careful when the dollar isn’t as backed as before.
https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1980579061232726067

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 21 2025 11:57 utc | 211

 Avtonom | Oct 21 2025 11:47 utc | 209
 
I haven’t read Korybko for quite some time now. He is good. I have thought about the low amount of trade between US and Russia. They are not natural trade partner except for just a few things. The Russians may well do it though as they are investing heavily in pulling the US away from Europe. And the Americans want access to Russia’s resources.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 11:57 utc | 212

Dodgy dodger, perhaps there is a connection between you and Wisco. I’m a bit soft I guess but was getting to like Wisco. Had a sleep this afternoon and when I woke and checked the threads, I see b had run the cleaner through.
 
Then you hit me. Like a closet faggot. 

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 12:10 utc | 213

Been mentioned before,  Sean foo on yt has a very good daily update of the insane economic war currently being waged. I watch his videos and just shake my head at the total insanity day by day being rolled out. Latest is 
https://youtu.be/S0G6fl7AXi8?si=XdLXjRm25_x7Btzi
Australia to simp its rare earth with a 5-10 year lead up until production , and why usa is bailing out Argentina for its lithium deposits. Lol  imagine tying the country to the lead block called the USD in today’s world economy and thinking that would end well 

Posted by: Hankster | Oct 21 2025 12:44 utc | 214

Been mentioned before,  Sean foo on yt has a very good daily update of the insane economic war currently being waged. I watch his videos and just shake my head at the total insanity day by day being rolled out. Latest is 
https://youtu.be/S0G6fl7AXi8?si=XdLXjRm25_x7Btzi
Australia to simp its rare earth with a 5-10 year lead up until production , and why usa is bailing out Argentina for its lithium deposits. Lol  imagine tying the country to the lead block called the USD in today’s world economy and thinking that would end well 

Posted by: Hankster | Oct 21 2025 12:44 utc | 215

The line goes up and to the right. 
too scents – for last 2 weeks drops 😋 just saying its theoreticslly possible, highly unlikely but still….

Posted by: Exile | Oct 21 2025 12:46 utc | 216

Been mentioned before,  Sean foo on yt has a very good daily update of the insane economic war currently being waged. I watch his videos and just shake my head at the total insanity day by day being rolled out. Latest is 
https://youtu.be/S0G6fl7AXi8?si=XdLXjRm25_x7Btzi
Australia to simp its rare earth with a 5-10 year lead up until production , and why usa is bailing out Argentina for its lithium deposits. Lol  imagine tying the country to the lead block called the USD in today’s world economy and thinking that would end well 

Posted by: Hankster | Oct 21 2025 12:46 utc | 217

Hankster | Oct 21 2025 12:44 utc | 215
 
Yeah. Complete madness, but we are in the dying days of empire.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 12:48 utc | 218

Oops sorry my internet buffering and managed to triple post 

Posted by: Hankster | Oct 21 2025 12:48 utc | 219

The end part of the White Tiger  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qiGDJ5-dXaI&t=5571s
 
Ali coming off the ropes in the eighth round  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AukxGrixOKo

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 12:59 utc | 220

@General Factotum #149

I don’t understand how a ‘spark gap transmitter’ can jam digital transmission systems that use advanced DSP capability.

First of all, there are no “digital transmission systems”. Your cell phone, a military radio, a satellite communicating to earth – they use radio signals. These radio signals are not digital, they are radio waves. You can arbitrarily define a sine or square wave signal’s peaks to be a 1 and valleys to be a 0, but the signal itself is not digital[actual definitions are more complex than that]. Any radio based communication device has an array of analog systems starting with the antenna, going to DA/AD (digital to analog, analog to digital), onwards to a number of other possible processing including signal boosting, noise filtering, etc etc.
Now let’s talk about DSP. A DSP is nothing but a digital signal processor – a generic term for some piece of hardware that executes one or more algorithms on incoming signals in order to extract information from a predetermined transmission code set.These might be filters, they might be decoding algorithms, they might be any of a multiplicity of possibilities. Filters are used to remove noise, for example. Decoding algorithms, in the civilian sense, are both ways to jam more information into less transmission and also error correction. etc etc.
Now let’s add another concept: spread spectrum. This is where both transmitters and receivers are tuned to switch frequencies in tandem according to proprietary schedules, so that it is much harder to find the transmission frequency and jam it.
Jamming a signal, from a radio perspective, simply means injecting so much noise into it that the information is lost ie the DSPs can not extract the data from the corrupted signal.
If you look at modern AM (amplitude modulated) or FM (frequency modulated) radios – they arbitrarily define “frequencies” for the different communication channels. For civilian use, these are the AM or FM “stations” you tune into. The gap between different station frequencies (the increments of the dial) is simply an arbitrarily defined range of frequencies, including separation gaps, so that AM or FM stations won’t interfere with each other. Because in reality, whatever frequency you transmit, the signal will be interfered with by a wide range of potential environmental factors.
As a simple example: anyone who listens to the radio while driving, must have noticed how radio stations – both AM and FM – can experience overlaps between 2 stations when going near electrical transmission power lines, or under bridges, that kind of thing. In the former case, the electric field of the transmission lines distort radio signals including frequencies such that 2 stations on normally different frequencies, one gets distorted in frequency to overlap into the other station’s frequency. In the latter case, reflection off the structure is what is causing the frequency changes because reflection off a non-perfectly reflecting surface is another way to distort a signal.
So why do spark gap transmitters work great at jamming devices? It is because it is extremely efficient, power input to power output wise but very poor at “staying on frequency”.
If you are trying to communicate via spark gap tech – the “frequencies” noted above would have to be A LOT wider because of this relative lack of frequency control. Which was fine in the era where there were a literal handful of radio transmitters in any given area; not so fine today.
And the power differential is because you need a whole lot of extra electronic infrastructure to take the very precise oscillations of a crystal and amplify to an output radio signal. For vacuum tubes, it is not as much infrastructure but also not as good frequency control – although much better than spark gaps.
For a spark gap transmitter – you have any of this infrastructure, you just apply more power. And if you’re just trying to jam somebody, the inherent variability of how the spark gap works, trivially enhanced by easily added power variation, means you get essentially turbocharged noise across a pretty wide frequency range.
In comparison: a jamming signal using crystal based tech has to identify the frequency, switch to the frequency, kick start the crystal or the crystal output frequency modification circuits, kick start the amplification circuits, on towards to antenna. Plus you need to inject noise so you need more circuitry for that. Net net, it introduces a lot of inherent speed handicaps to an attacker/jammer.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 21 2025 13:23 utc | 221

@Peter AU1 #147
I just talked to several people who are regularly going to China – they 100% support what Palmer Luckey said. 
Your experience in 2013 is no longer representative of China’s reality, because the Chinese car industry was likely only just starting to do designs based on Chinese customers own desires, as opposed to copied Western paradigms of car design. The cars people were driving were foreign design/foreign design inspired even if made in China then.
Some concrete examples: While there are “L” versions of Audi 8 series, Mercedes top end, BMW 7 series in the West as well as American equivalents like the big Buicks – these are basically limousines for rich people.
In China, however, there are “L” versions of Audi 3 series. The Audit 3 series in the West is a “starter” Audi and is little different than a Camry or a Taurus, but the Audi 3L cars in China are “starter” limousines. The A3L is not a bigger car – it is basically the same size but the driver and front passenger seats are compressed in order to give a much larger space for the back seat (the owner). This is precisely the same dynamic as Palmer Luckey described with the best selling Tesla in China vs. the equivalent Tesla in the US.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 21 2025 13:33 utc | 222

c1ue | Oct 21 2025 13:33 utc | 222
 
Have you ever lived with a people of completely different culture? Have you ever gone and stayed in a place where nobody speaks your language? Not having a shot at you. I simply don’t know.
 
I have found life a constant learning curve.  Staying/working in the Aboriginal community, I learned to understand and respect another culture even though it was not my own. Same when I went to Bangkok then China.
 
Have you ever been to China?

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 14:18 utc | 223

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 21 2025 2:31 utc | 165
 
“Fentanyl is a US user problem just like opium was for China back in the day and I would hope China will remind or educate Trump on this century of humiliation that China will not repeat.”

I doubt, really hope, the fentanyl problem is made IN China as the Opium addiction was made FOR China.
 
 
The Collective West and the East India Co Opiate oligarchs private armies and marines of their ziofascist created Imperialist nations – forcibly made whole villages consume opium at gun point and with violence.
 
It does not take long for the people to become addicted.
 
 
Opium was highly controlled in Europe as laudanum the dangers being well understood by the producers and shippers.
 
 
There were some Opium houses in major port cities- especially londons docklands, because the sailors that worked in the industry had become addicts and needed to be serviced to keep the trade going.
 
China Towns are ubiquitous in all such great ports.
 
Whole villages! Manufactories of Chinese civilisational goods, men women and children FORCED into addiction so that their industries and expertise could be collapsed having been stolen!
 
‘Horror, horror’

The Potteries (midlands) of England which became the world leading bone china or the steel foundries of Sheffield that turned out the cutlery – ALL – was stolen from China (and other civilisations including many other inventions such as cotton) and then pretended to be invented here in the U.K.!

Both the Reformation and the European Industrial Revolutions were kick started by such EurAsian/African inventions.

I am not saying that didn’t then lead to learning, research innovation and engineering that ‘progressed’ western culture and science in general.

Though whether turning agrarians who had seasonal workloads and cultures into disposable cogs or child labourers in mines and mills living hellish hand to mouth 16 hour days and dying regularly doing so can be celebrated as ‘civilsational progress’ is arguable.

Yes the Chinese have a lot to be vengeful about but as I say I doubt they are taking an eye for an eye. I hope not.

Otherwise we are multiply fucked!
For centuries to come.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Oct 21 2025 15:27 utc | 224

Psychohistorian, this ties in nearly with the previous post on Opium , this is the COPIUM reality now. 😉
 
The City of London centers the zillions made from the Opium trade which resulted in the ‘investment banks’ (now ‘Global Fund Managers’) the global powerhouses – and they are still attempting to remaIn as top dogs – that is the reason for the smooching.
 
If the Chinese trust them – they deserve the shafting that will ensue again.
 
The Ziofascists global robber barons will not give up their grasp on what they consider to be wholly their own thing!
 
The Money the world uses and they make ‘rent’ from. At the very top of that pyramid.
 
Not until it is taken from their cold dead hands – that is their choice. They insist. They have No. Reverse. Gear.
 
It is the bargaining stage by the Great Losers of their own never ending Game.
 
They are begging to be left some crumbs. But as history shows repeatedly give them an inch and they’ll take a Square Mile!
 

Posted by: DunGroanin | Oct 21 2025 15:37 utc | 225

2019
Trump 1.0
Tariff blitzkrieg failed to break China,
they launched the covid genocide.
 
2025
Tariff blitzkrieg , Global CEA backfired, they launched another crime against humanity.
 
Attack on China’s time centre
 
 

Posted by: denk | Oct 21 2025 15:47 utc | 226

China. Will be good if PRC can prevent US using ROC as Ukroid cannon fodder.
 
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 10:23 utc | 192
———————-
In that faux news circus posted earlier, the two karen shrieked,
 

We the civilised world must unite and kick that blackmailer in the gut

 
Turns out their Great White HOax, DJT, was the Racketeer In Chief
 

Trump risks war by turning the One China question into a bargaining chip in trade war

 

Trump used Huawei CFO as ‘bargaining chip’ in trade war with China

 

Posted by: denk | Oct 21 2025 16:11 utc | 227

It started with 8NA,
8 vs 1
 
Western ‘Civilisation’ has progressed…
30 vs 1 now.
 
The Dutch robbed Chinese firm Wintech’s subsidiary in HOlland,
 
The kook giant Hanwha abetted FUKUS attack on Chinese shipping,
 
And…
Just when you thought Oz had learned its lesson, they come back for more..
 

Australia is demanding an explanation from Beijing,
1:19… China Sea. Flares were twice released from a Chinese fighter plane right next to an Australian P8 besideon carrying out maritime surveillance.Facebook · 7NEWS Brisbane · 1 day ago

Posted by: denk | Oct 21 2025 17:02 utc | 228

UK orders sale of microchip factory by China’s Nexperia, citing national security
By Reuters
November 17, 20225:24 AM GMT+8Updated November 17, 2022
 
LONDON, Nov 16 (Reuters) – The British government on Wednesday ordered Chinese-owned technology company Nexperia to sell at least 86% of Britain’s biggest microchip factory, Newport Wafer Fab, following a national security assessment.

Posted by: denk | Oct 21 2025 19:15 utc | 229

Thats all folks !

Posted by: denk | Oct 21 2025 19:25 utc | 230

denk | Oct 21 2025 19:15 utc | 229
 
I had noticed the Brits have been right there with the US on attacks on China in the last few months. Australia is a British colony/proxy and so now there is the plane incident.
 
Europe also has stepped up attacks on China in the last months which perhaps has something to do with their begging for a ceasefire with Russia.
 
The Europeans wrecked their trade with Russia, that alone has tanked their economies, and now they are attacking China as well. If Australia is told to sanction China, and I think that will come at some point, Australia’s economy will be destroyed.
All the people I know believe the American propaganda in all the media so whatever is coming, they probably deserve it. Willing cannon fodder in the wars against Russia and China when they believe the propaganda like that.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 21:08 utc | 231

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 21 2025 13:23 utc | 221
 
Thanks for your detailed explanation. I have trimmed your response (in italics) and interleaved my comments.
 
@General Factotum #149

I don’t understand how a ‘spark gap transmitter’ can jam digital transmission systems that use advanced DSP capability.
 

First of all, there are no “digital transmission systems”.
 
It is true that there is no “digital transmission” – it is all EMR. That is why I included the word systems.
 
Now let’s talk about DSP. A DSP is nothing but a digital signal processor 
 
Again, true. But it is a bit like saying a CPU is ‘nothing but a rather large collection of interconnected logic gates, or OFC is nothing but advanced lantern signaling – just a bit faster… How is that special? It is sufficient here to note that DSP turned the ‘old’ analogue signal-to-noise paradigm on its head with DSP ability to extract information that is far weaker than the noise in the carrier signal. Care to suggest any analogue system that can do that – even though it is ‘nothing but a digital signal processor’?
 
General comment on your treatment of frequency. It is only necessary to observe that frequency is frequency, not “frequency” (a physicist will appreciate the significance of this sentence). You can easily refute this observation by providing just one example where reflection, refraction, attenuation etc of an EM signal is altered in frequency.
So why do spark gap transmitters work great at jamming devices? It is because it is extremely efficient, power input to power output wise but very poor at “staying on frequency”.
 
The Russian Federation military has demonstrated very effective jamming. I have absolutely no idea how they do it, but I’m willing to bet the farm that they do not use spark gap transmitters. You have all the information you need in the explanation you provide in your last three paragraphs regarding bandwidth and frequency control, but the gems are hidden in the mess of dross… Re-read what you have written, and have a hard think about what it actually means.
 
Again, thanks for your response.
 
 

Posted by: General Factotum | Oct 21 2025 21:55 utc | 232

I have been thinking about hypersonics and plasma again.
Mach 5 is a pretty random number.  At mach 1, there was the physical barrier of the shock wave to break through then once though it, different drag or lift drag equations.
 
The next physical barrier to break through is the plasma barrier. I’m not sure when that kicks in , perhaps a bit above mach 8. From what I can make out, the plasma is created both from heat and electricity generated by the flight.
 
The Russians seem to be the only ones with the physics to break through the plasma barrier. I don’t know what the Chinese have, but if they have missiles similar to the Russians then they may have used Russian physics.
 
 I don’t think the Iranians have broken through the plasma barrier, but they certainly have missiles can maneuver at speeds well above mach 5 and that is still a pretty good missile.
There is lot of forces acting on the missile body to maneuver in the atmosphere at speeds up around mach 7, mach 8. plus a lot of heat

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 22:25 utc | 233

If the air-to-air missile that got a kill at nearly 400km really went along with Mach 14, it must[?!] have blown out every single window along its path and then some. If such a powerful rocket motor even exists, it could be reverse computed against the necessary fuel which gives a dimension for the missile (if motor efficiency and energy density of the fuel are known/estimated). Considering this thing was apparently strapped to a SU-57, I’d wager it works by tweaking the plasma shield, to run on lower aerodynamical drag than classically possible.
 
Does it go exo-atmospheric? Is it wire-controlled?

Posted by: persiflo | Oct 21 2025 23:12 utc | 234

I’d wager it works by tweaking the plasma shield, to run on lower aerodynamical drag than classically possible. Does it go exo-atmospheric? Is it wire-controlled?
Posted by: persiflo | Oct 21 2025 23:12 utc | 234
 
I have been thinking along similar lines regarding the drag.  lots of unknowns in what the Russians are doing and they certainly aren’t giving anything away to the west.
 
As for those missiles being launch from an SU aircraft, I think that was mostly a social media guess, but some of those SU’s a big enough to carry it. I forget its SU number, but the big side by side two seater – SU34 or 35 (I think) at 45 tons is a very large long range fighter bomber

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 23:28 utc | 235

The is an equation for velocity/drag for subsonic, I used to knew it – velocity square? bur drag greatly increases as velocity increases.
 
I watched an interview some years back of one of the Boffins that was on the design team for the SR71 Blackbird. He said their wasn’t a large increase in drag from mac 1 through to mach 3 so quite likely there is another change when breaking through the plasma barrier.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 23:36 utc | 236

The deployed the huge long range S-200 missile in 1970 in response the the American Blackbird which could outrun their earlier missiles. That plane was first built for the CIA in 1966 and from what one of the pilots said, the CIA did overfly the Soviet Union until the language S-200 and the Mig 25 where deployed in 1970.
 
That missile ran at mach 7 but the Soviets never termed it hypersonic. The Iskander runs at mach 7 and the Russians don’t term that hypersonic either. The seem to reserve that term for the missiles that run in plasma.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 23:44 utc | 237

Does it go exo-atmospheric?
Posted by: persiflo | Oct 21 2025 23:12 utc | 234
 
My thought is that if it did, it would have lost its plasma stealth and been detected on radar. The Ukraine pilots had no warning when they were hit. That occurred on two separate occasions.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 23:51 utc | 238

posts 233 – 236
 
Interesting discussion around plasma etc. I’m reluctant to respond, but can’t resist!  – I’m like Peter’s ‘little kids with lollies’ when it comes to physics… I feel like I pontificate a bit, and I’ve noticed (after many years…) that audiences generally don’t like that.
 
Complication: My sweet wife has my days ‘organised’ at present with me obediently painting the house. I get into trouble if I ‘waste’ too much time on that wretched computer. We are coming up for our 51st wedding anniversary, and I’d like to get past that milestone. Applying my two remaining brain cells resulted in a cunning plan: I can ‘fill in’ some time while reluctantly waiting for the paint to dry between coats.
 
See you in a while, while the paint dries…

Posted by: General Factotum | Oct 21 2025 23:55 utc | 239

A few typos in that 237. Language long range.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 23:56 utc | 240

General Factotum | Oct 21 2025 23:55 utc | 239
 
Its good to laugh sometime and that one made me laugh. Will be waiting for you unless I’m having a nanna nap. Like persiflo, your brains are worth picking.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 0:01 utc | 241

The is an equation for velocity/drag for subsonic, I used to knew it – velocity square? bur drag greatly increases as velocity increases.

Rough (classical) practical approximation is – drag goes linear with velocity in some range, and squared above that. The actual dynamics are generally only understood in principle (meaning you can write them down), but not computationally wise, so the above is both a heuristic and numerical approximation to the Navier Stokes equations which govern fluid dynamics.  Three regimens of velocity correspond to that, called subsonic (M<0.8), transonic (0.8<M<1.2) and supersonic (M>1.2).

Posted by: persiflo | Oct 22 2025 0:16 utc | 242

Mach 5 is a very random number. From the sound barrier through to at least the plasma barrier, there is a linear narrowing of the shock cone.
 
I see I’m making heaps of typos here. My mind is on this plasma barrier and I haven’t being seeing them. 
 
Bloody Ruskies. They have my mind stumped. “Russia is a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma” as the saying goes.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 0:20 utc | 243

persiflo | Oct 22 2025 0:16 utc | 242
 
Thanks. Had a look at the video, but the sound was very low and my worn out ears had a lot of trouble hearing what he was saying. Besides, I’m hopeless with maths equations.
 
When flying, I did a lot of research on airfoils and had a program for designing them. Used to research them a lot and noted the difference in subsonic, transonic and supersonic airfoils – wings. I was flying rotary wing.
 
Passenger jets tend to have a transonic airfoil. I did not realise transonic went through to 1.2 though, as transonic is a mix of subsonic and supersonic airflow.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 0:49 utc | 244

The transonic regimen numbers are roughly, it depends on the geometry. 
This conversation probably has everyone firmly perched into their seats, me included … just let me say that I am not an actual aerospace engineer or expert on fluid dynamics, okay? I try my best to bring things together with some basic physics and a little maths, that is all I can do. The General Factotum has actually handled some of that stuff, unlike me. 
 
Off for a nap, see you later. 

Posted by: persiflo | Oct 22 2025 0:59 utc | 245

persiflo | Oct 22 2025 0:59 utc | 245
 
Your input is greatly appreciated persiflo as this plasma barrier has me stumped. 

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 1:39 utc | 246

I had noticed the Brits have been right there with the US on attacks on China in the last few months. Australia is a British colony/proxy and so now there is the plane incident.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21
———————————
When Iran nationalised its oild fields, the limey complained to the fixer in Washington, who arranged a coup, BP got back its oil fields overnite.
 
When Oz got stuck over E Timor oil field tussle, Canberra called the fixer in Washington, Cheney got E Timor to ‘stop bullying’ poor Australia !
 
Those were the days
When being a US ‘buddy’ still made sense.
 

Posted by: denk | Oct 22 2025 2:33 utc | 247

Attacking the time source is a 
Crime against HUManities.
 
*Major traffic accidents
 
*Major train accidents
 
*Major power grid breakdown
 
*Major space flight accident
 
May gawd curse USAss

Posted by: denk | Oct 22 2025 3:10 utc | 248

The Russians seem to be the only ones with the physics to break through the plasma barrier. I don’t know what the Chinese have, but if they have missiles similar to the Russians then they may have used Russian physics.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 21 2025 22:25 utc | 233
—————-
 
Not necessarily
 
Firstly, such core technology is not casually passed on.
 
Also, dont forget China has the world’s biggest wind tunnel for studying aerodynamics of planes, missiles etc etc

Posted by: denk | Oct 22 2025 3:26 utc | 249

I heard the Dutch are frantically calling for talk over Chinese chip ban cuz major car manufacturers are breathing down their neck.
 
With this caveat….
 

Nexperia ownership not negotiable !

 
The cheek  !

Posted by: denk | Oct 22 2025 3:33 utc | 250

pOtENTIal rare earth applicants take note…
 
*Only wps file format allowed
 
*Only simplified Chinese allowed

Posted by: denk | Oct 22 2025 3:39 utc | 251

@ denk | Oct 22 2025 3:39 utc | 251 about China rare earths exports
 
It would be interesting to know how much of a bind this puts the military.
 
I think we will hear about the supply chain issues effecting other “approved with application” rare earth exports and may be able to extrapolate from there….hardball trade war tactics and China will not back down because it has become existential for the axis of resistance to militarily neuter the God Of Mammon cult led empire and this rare earth export restrictions may be able to do that.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 22 2025 3:53 utc | 252

denk | Oct 22 2025 3:26 utc | 249
 
Yeah. China has been going forward in leaps and bounds. After the Cultural revolution a lot of Chinese academic types went to the US for higher education. 
 
Russian maths can solve problems western maths cannot solve so I think about a Russian connect. Chinese mathematicians educated in Russian maths and physics?
 
Some years ago I read an article on China working on a satellite based submarine detection system. I have seen nothing more on that. If they have made some break throughs, the submarines will become as obsolete as the aircraft carrier and battleship.
 
I reckon China will be putting a lot of resources into that. This bloody yank nuke submarine base in Fremantle is all about China.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 3:53 utc | 253

The Americans submarines – if China can find them then they can be hit wherever they are. Missiles that dive into the ocean and become tornadoes are now a well known technology.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 3:55 utc | 254

I have written before about how China is screaming ahead of the West in so many areas and robotics is one of them…this Xinhuanet video posting link shows a new robot model that moves as well, if not better, than most humans.
 
China’s Unitree launches new humanoid robot H2

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 22 2025 4:07 utc | 255

Its madness what the west is doing. China will be chip central if not already so. I watch the development of the next gen chips that go past silica. Far far faster and only use a tiny amount of the power. How long before the next gen chips will be in production and usage I dont know but working specimens are being produced in labs so it far more than just a theory. The way China operates, it probably wont be long before some of these are in production.
 
I watched a video on Chinese truckers. When they have delivered a load, they need a back load to head back. Huge trucky stops where they can get a shower, have a feed and have a sleep. When they get there, they get on their smart phones and enter their data into the system then its just a matter of checking the phone from time to time for the back load. 
All that is run through data centers. China now operates on data centers and its production is exceptionally efficient. There will be a massive domestic market for the next gen chips.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 4:10 utc | 256

from my 254
 
Tornadoes Torpedoes.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 4:12 utc | 257

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 22 2025 3:53 utc | 252
—————
Hanwha of SK are major contractors for the USN.
China’s sanction on Hanwha subsidiaries in US had effectively crippled Trump’s made USN great again ambition
 
nOt TO MEntion what rare earth ban have done to major MIC projects already
 
If the Nobel committee has any sense, China should’ve been given the Peace prize !

Posted by: denk | Oct 22 2025 4:17 utc | 258

Yeah. China has been going forward in leaps and bounds. After the Cultural revolution a lot of Chinese academic types went to the US for higher education.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 3:53 utc | 253
————————
I bet you had heard about Chien Xue Shen, a pioneer of the US jet propulson lab ?
 
He suffered greatly under the McCarthy persecution and decided to go back to China.
 
According to Chien’s mentor the great Von Braun, he’s worth at least three divisions !
 
Chien went on to become the pioneer of Chinese space and missile program,

Posted by: denk | Oct 22 2025 4:25 utc | 259

@ Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 4:10 utc | 256 about truckers getting backhaul loads online in China
 
That capability has been evolving in the US for decades and similar tools are available as those in China.  The same is true with the growth of multimodal loads which China is now perfecting in its belt and road systems moving products through multiple countries using ships, trains and trucks interchangeably.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 22 2025 4:25 utc | 260

psychohistorian | Oct 22 2025 4:25 utc | 260
 
Thanks. My thought is China has taken all this digital world to a far far higher level. Everything I am seeing coming out of China now, it is just another world.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 4:39 utc | 261

I have written before about how China is screaming ahead of the West in so many areas
 
Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 22 2025 4:07 utc | 255
————–
 
The US HAd actually pioneered many tech but left it at PPT stage, eventually its up to the Chinese to realise it !
 
Exhibit AUHV power
 
The yanks experimented on it decades ago on a very small scale, eventually gave it up
 
Today China is the standard bearer for UHV  transmission, many critical eqpt interface are in simplified Chinese !

Posted by: denk | Oct 22 2025 4:43 utc | 262

I reckon China will be putting a lot of resources into that. This bloody yank nuke submarine base in Fremantle is all about China.
 
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 3:53 utc | 253
—————–
 
You had prolly heard about the navy officer Ma Wei Ming, who pioneered the use of DC power supply on Chinese sub.
 
MUch like electric cars are much quieter than the petrol type, Chinese subs are very much more difficult to detect, thanks to Ma’s pioneering work .

Posted by: denk | Oct 22 2025 4:51 utc | 263

 denk | Oct 22 2025 4:25 utc | 259
 
Thanks. I had not heard of him. I forget the blokes name now but he is a Chinese american. A really good youtube channel. His father went to US for higher education after the cultural revolution but his mother stayed in China.
 
The father got a job as a professor at some American lab and stayed instead of going home. Apparently after about 2000, the Chinese students began returning home as there was more opportunity there than in America. China successfully reversed the brain drain, then the US, as it normally does, shot itself in both feet when it did the McCarthy on the Chinese professors in universities and labs.
 
That Chinese American bloke, I haven’t watched his channel for a long time now, but he was very good as he knew both China and America. I think I have a link to his channel somewhere but my pickled brain cells cannot remember his name.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 4:52 utc | 264

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 4:52 utc | 264
—————
 
Many times I got teary eyes when reading the sacrifice and struggle of early Chinese scientists working on critical projects.
 
Under total embargo and sanction from the west, the early pioneers used abacus/slide rule  in their nuclear and missile  projects, those who worked on top secret program often stayed in their desert facilities for decades without going home !
 
Some literally worked themselves to death. !
 
All we heard today is., ‘those chicom stole all our tech !’
 
Thats all folks !

Posted by: denk | Oct 22 2025 5:12 utc | 265

From the BBC
 

Ecuador releases survivor of US strike on ‘drug sub’ in Caribbean

Ecuadorian officials say they found no evidence the man had committed a crime, and so had freed him.

 
It sounds like the US blew up a drug sub that wasn’t a drug sub…..Hmmmmm

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 22 2025 5:14 utc | 266

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 22 2025 5:14 utc | 266
——————
 
One more for the road.
 
Clinton blew up Sudan’s chemical weapon factory only Penicillin factory, !
 
The banality of Evil !
 
Signing off…..

Posted by: denk | Oct 22 2025 5:26 utc | 267

denk | Oct 22 2025 5:12 utc | 265
 
Yeah. They have gone through some tears and sweat to get to where they are and aren’t about to let the US take that from them.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 5:39 utc | 268

persiflo | Oct 22 2025 0:59 utc | 245 Your input is greatly appreciated persiflo as this plasma barrier has me stumped. 
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 1:39 utc | 246
 
**************
 
Paint drying… so I’ll start here.
 
Maybe the reason that “the plasma barrier has you stumped’ is because, as far as I am aware, such a thing does not exist in the parameter space of objects flying in an air plasma… But there are nuances!
 
Taking the simplest, generic case (exceptions always exist) plasma is basically just a special sort of gas (although some solids or liquids can fit with the simple definition). It is a collection of charged particles in the gaseous state, usually +ve atoms (ions) and -ve particles (electrons). It is quasi-neutral, which means beyond a very local region the charge balances. It conducts sound and heat, just like a gas – but usually better, sometimes very much better, because the electrons are very mobile and can transmit/carry/distribute energy. Where it differs from an ordinary gas is that it can conduct electricity, and under the right conditions it is an excellent electrical and thermal conductor. It is also influenced by electric fields – but because the particles are charged, the movement caused by the field rearranges the charge to cancel the imposed electric field. Obviously, this takes time, so if the field varies slowly in strength or direction, the particles of plasma will ‘dance to the tune’ of the imposed oscillating field. For frequencies up to the ‘plasma frequency’ this ‘induced dance’ absorbs the energy and the field (now think oscillating electric field of an EM wave – radio signal – wave will not propagate through the plasma. For fields oscillating above the plasma frequency, and the electrons cannot move fast enough to cancel the field and the wave (radio signal) propagates. This cut-off frequency is quite sharp. This should provide some insight into the possibility of radio transmission through a plasma – a common misunderstanding is that it is a ‘shield’ – yes, but not always!
 
[ASIDE: This presents an interesting opportunity. A non-conductive gas can be ionised to produce a very good conductor. A radio antenna is usually a high-conductor metal. That structure is visible to radar. If you have a glass or plastic tube with a ‘nice’ gas at the ‘right’ pressure you have something pretty useless, but it is not visible to radar. Ionise the gas, and almost instantly you have something very useful – a good conductor that designed correctly can be used as a radio antenna. This antenna pops up and disappears to conventional detection without physically moving. Hmm.. now I wonder where that could be useful… Your imagination will quickly fill in the rest of the story.
 
Going back to the ‘plasma barrier’… Breaking the sound barrier is when an object travels faster than the speed of sound in that medium. Sound is a longitudinal wave, which means that it is a mechanical wave in which the particles of the medium vibrate parallel to the direction of wave energy. EM waves (light, radio, TV, radar, X-rays…) are transverse progressive waves where the mutually orthogonal E and H fields oscillate at right angles to the direction of motion. No mechanism for shock waves exist, and relativistic effects are way outside our operating parameters.
 
So, back to “sound” barrier. The speed of sound in a plasma varies over a very wide range and depends heavily on the temperature, density, component material/s gases, and is generally very very much faster than in air. Think or sound in air where – simplistically – sound is carried by neutral atoms/molecules bumping into each other. In a plasma, the mechanism is a (tiny tiny!!) bit similar, with the added dimension that the particles are charged, so their action on adjacent particles is mediated by the field, rather than physical proximity like bouncing balls. The field propagates at the speed of light, so in certain conditions with highly ionised plasmas this also sets an upper limit to the speed of sound in the plasma. The lower limit seems to merge with classic sound propagation in gas.
 
There is a complex equation that incorporates most of the plasma parameters (electron temperature, ion temperature, respective masses and charges and plasma density). I don’t know, but I feel that until the degree of ionisation in the plasma surrounding the rocket is high that the effect of the speed of sound in the plasma would be small compared with the bulk air. This ‘feel’ is also possibly a trap, since these effects can often be highly non-linear.
 
Summary: I don’t know. I don’t think so. On reflection, it seems a bit of a dog’s breakfast.
 
If we rename the plasma barrier to be the ‘plasma sound barrier’ my feeling is that objects are flying much below that speed. More work required in the transition region. The degree of plasma ionisation is influenced by much more than simply speed. Plasma problems are much more than simply heat and drag. Reactive ionic plasma elements can be highly chemically reactive/corrosive/…

Posted by: General Factotum | Oct 22 2025 5:39 utc | 269

General Factotum | Oct 22 2025 5:39 utc | 269
 
Thanks. Throughout my life, I have looked at more and more complex things. Technology and science has always greatly interested me.
Nearly time for my next nanna nap and have soaked up a bit of grog since my last nap, but I think I absorbed what you wrote.
 
The change of the speed of sound in ionised air/plasma. That is something that will keep me thinking.
 
I just used the term barrier as it took a bit for the boffins of the day to break through mach 1. Now the American appear to have been stumped by the plasma zone, so I refer to that as the plasma barrier. That they cannot break through it infers to me something in flight characteristics and equations changes when hitting that speed.
 
Trans plasma. Something occurs in that zone. The Americans have not been able to break through it. I suspect there is an answer in what you posted so will likely re read it a number of times in the next few days.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 6:13 utc | 271

If the Nobel committee has any sense
 
Posted by: denk | Oct 22 2025 4:17 utc | 258
 

 
That committee, formed to wash away the sins of dynamite, has more kinks than the Winchester Mystery Mansion.
 

Posted by: too scents | Oct 22 2025 6:21 utc | 272

I have been watching the Rasputin Putin video again and thinking about it.
The Americans earlier on were calling for Putins assassination. Putin is the man that pulled the Russian Federation out of the ashes of the Soviet Union. He is the man that gave all the peoples of Russia back their lives.
 
If we the west were to kill Putin, the Russians would launch. Russia has the power to destroy all life on earth. The so called west would simply cease to exist.
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uw_czggrtk

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 7:24 utc | 273

Interesting clip of a FAB explosion. Play back at 0.25 normal speed to see the time development of the shockwave:
 
 
http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2025/10/transportation-hub.html

 
 

Discussion

 
 

Destructive power is usually measured in terms of TNT-equivalence. This is a useful guide, but neither definitive nor absolute. Destructive power is a very strong function of detonation rate, as well as the directionality,  charge shape, and the shape of the blast front. Think about the differences in blast shape and direction required to effectively  blast a stump out of the ground, blast a rock face in a quarry, or blast a hole in the armour plate of a tank. One size does not fit all.
 
Detonation rate is critical to explosive effectiveness, which can be uite different to raw yield. Most bulk explosives ‘burn’ at (or less than) the speed of sound in that material. That is, the shock front (speed of sound) detonates (triggers the chemical reaction) and the explosive material ‘burns’ at the propagating shock front.  Some explosives work on the basis of a very rapid re-organisation of the chemical structure of the explosive (which can also include combustive materials if the oxidative material is in the explosive chemical compound, like TNT and ANFO etc…).
 
The fundamentals of the thermodynamics and kinetics of explosive reactions, which include combustion, deflagration, and detonation, as well as initiation mechanisms is non-trivial… and I leave the space for experts.
 
FAB bombs are very destructive because they use the oxygen in the surrounding air, so the most or the entirety of the payload is ‘fuel’. Detonation is very rapid, and over a much larger volume than a conventional bomb. The shockwave does the damage – you can see the shockwave progressing outwards by the condensation of water vapour in the atmosphere. Dew Point is a function of temperature and pressure, so you can visualise the actual pressure front by the instantaneous condensation or dew-point transition, at the shock front. For unfortunate humans in the lethal shock zone, the shock wave damages the cardio-vascular system, capillaries in the lungs for example, while leaving the brain largely intact, being protected in the cranium. So the victim is usually ‘alive’ and conscious for a few seconds after the rest of his body is ‘tenderised’.
 
Fuck, war is awful!

Posted by: General Factotum | Oct 22 2025 7:44 utc | 274

Stress continues in the Repo market ==> https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1Njxb

Posted by: too scents | Oct 22 2025 8:15 utc | 275

General Factotum | Oct 22 2025 7:44 utc | 274
 
You put up some good stuff. I’m getting on toward nanna nap time, now but my mind will be functioning on this for a few days.
 
The Russians cook up some bloody potent brews, both for warheads and hypersonics. There was a report a few years back, I think before the start of the SMO, about some Russian scientists getting blown up. The sort of witches brews they have been cooking up are exceptionally potent.
 
The dogs of war. They study the absolute destruction of the enemy. The SMO, the dogs of war are under tight control. Let them loose…..
 
Military technology has always been the leading edge and it is that cutting edge of technology I am drawn to. I never comment on the Palestine thread because what is occurring there sickens me. The Palestinians have no big brother.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 8:20 utc | 276

Fuck war is awful.
 
Hence my absolute anger at the wester elite. I wanted a peaceful world where my children and grand children could travel if they wished. Just Jump on a plane and goe somewhere. Respect different cultures. These bastards that rule over us have really fucked that.
 
That broken young woman in Donetsk with her dead baby still in her arms. That is picture of destruction we launch on the world in these proxy wars.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 8:36 utc | 277

Much of what is occuring in Ukraine is men in uniform
 
Tough women. A few here make me refrain from excess and my wild ways when I know they are around. 
 
The general getting put on latrine detail 🙂
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3eqmW8lqiEc

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 8:47 utc | 278

That video put up by exile a few days ago. A time when there was no extremism or ideology and the men with balls, not the elites, negotiated a ceasefire for Christmas. Long before the woke western world.
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-cSrqRdlFeo
b the epitome of the officer and a gentleman, a harsh taskmaster at times, has created something unique here.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 9:13 utc | 279

The video put up by Don from Ireland I keep going back to also.
 
I have never been to war but have shot for a living. I would watch through the scope as the top of the skull flew into the air. At skinup, I would look at the blood and brains and think how terrible is war.
 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PFCekeoSTwg

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 9:48 utc | 280

Quiet submarines (thoughts motivated by Peter’s discussion.)
 
Apart from the hydrodynamics, mechanical movement is the most difficult source of noise to suppress. Diesel engines – hopeless, don’t even try. Closed cycle nuclear powered steam turbine – challenging and limited. Conventional electric motors – deep vibration since the rotational force is not uniform. Enter the homopolar electric motor…
 
Some of my early work was based around homopolar generators. I read somewhere a long time ago (when I wasn’t interested in submarines) that there was some work, or actual use of homopolar electric motors in US ships and/or submarines.  I think at the time that it was concluded that this type of motor would not be appropriate for submarine use because it does not have the power density or acoustic performance needed for submarines (and it is bloody hard to make it work well under full power even though the principle is dead simple.  A homopolar motor can provide full torque at zero RPM. While not currently in general or mainstream use, some people see them as a promising future drive technology for naval applications.  Other people think these motors are inappropriate – see this doc at US Congressional Research Office:
 
https://www.congress.gov/crs_external_products/RL/PDF/RL30622/RL30622.3.pdf
 
“… not generally suitable…”  Usually an excuse trotted out when something is too challenging (hypersonics, anyone??)..
 
A homopolar motor is similar to a homopolar generator, using the same physics, but without the mass because it is not required to store the energy. Just a rotating conductive disk in a stationary magnetic field. If you want extreme currents (over 1,500,000 Amps) at low voltage (order of 100 to 200Volts) a homopolar generator is your friend. Invented by Nikola Tesla, Patent 406968, granted 16 July 1889, here:
 
https://www.datamp.org/patents/displayPatent.php?pn=406968&id=22474
 
 
Short video of the remains of the largest homopolar generator ever built:
 
https://youtu.be/ygjmbx4RMWE
 
You would really have enjoyed this, Peter! The description in the video is not entirely correct, but close enough. The generator dimensions were constrained by available lathe machining and fabrication limitations at the time (early 60’s). A huge magnet specially mounted and reinforced so it didn’t explode when releasing the huge current from the generator (the released current generates a magnetic field that opposes the field in the external magnet – producing what could be explosive force, since it acts outwards from within the magnet). Four 20 ton discs of steel, (or earlier two 40 ton discs) counter-rotating in pairs so there was no net torque when dumping the stored energy. The system ran on air bearings, and took around twenty minutes to three hours to get up to speed.
 
The original design had two 40 ton each rotors, spun up over a couple of hours by mains supply at around 1 MW, with the accumulated energy stored in the 80 ton total rotating mass rotors spinning at around 900 rpm as rotational KE. The stored KE was converted to electricity and dumped at around 1GW via a maximum current of 1,600,000 Amps over a time period around one quarter of a second. Challenges were huge – and numerous, including collecting the current without exploding the brushes. The segment in the video regarding spraying around liquid metal is incorrect.  I knew Eric Inall, who helped design the system and worked on building and using it during the 60’s. There is a short paper here describing some aspects:
 
https://openresearch-repository.anu.edu.au/server/api/core/bitstreams/5c2eda89-6f7c-4a10-97f7-799b53dc1d26/content
 
Eric also wrote a book about the machine. If anyone is interested I can try to find an electronic copy to share. The most amazing thing, for me, was stopping 80 ton of steel rotating at around 1,000RPM to a dead stop in quarter of a second – dead quiet, no thump or roar – but you just knew something serious had happened… 
 
This project was a wonderful example of how important the combined skills and talents pf project members are, from theoretical physicist, electrical engineers, materials scientists, fitters and welders, machinists, tool makers – and certainly even the tea-lady! All working together as equals. Something not very common these days…
 
Back to homopolar motors and submarines. I will wager that high-end Chinese submarines are almost certainly powered by homopolar electric motors: quiet, powerful, reliable, designed and built by Chinese engineers and scientists, at least a generation ahead of western subs. I want a Chinese sub and a Russian hypersonic in my shed!
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Posted by: General Factotum | Oct 22 2025 10:46 utc | 281

That broken young woman in Donetsk with her dead baby still in her arms. That is picture of destruction we launch on the world in these proxy wars.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 8:36 utc | 277
 
********
 
I still tear up and can’t talk for hours after even just remembering that picture.
 
That picture alone is the only commentary we ever need.
 
No words.

Posted by: General Factotum | Oct 22 2025 10:51 utc | 282

Wrong time of global day I guess. Threads often go dead in the oz evening. These thoughts I think, I need input on them.
 
Genuine stuff I will not bite. The dodgy bloke the other day did arouse my ire.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 22 2025 10:51 utc | 283

Volkswagen is supposedly in serious trouble, facing massive negative cash flow (€1.4 billion) extending from this year to 2026 (€11 billion).
Increased restructuring costs, luxury brands (Audi, Porsche) losing out, intense EV competition squeezing margins, higher-than-expected US import tariffs, losing out Chinese market. Massive administrative (20%) cost/job cuts, reducing R&D for new models from 50 to 36 months, R&D cost cuts, reducing number of test vehicles by 50% and other product quality costs.
https://x.com/LegitTargets/status/1980929621966155912

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 22 2025 11:25 utc | 284

Volkswagen is supposedly in serious trouble
 
Posted by: unimperator | Oct 22 2025 11:25 utc | 284
 

 
The new VW transporter van is make in Türkiye by Ford.
 
Death of a legend.
 

Posted by: too scents | Oct 22 2025 11:48 utc | 285

Posted by: too scents | Oct 22 2025 11:48 utc | 285
 
Adding : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volkswagen_Transporter_(2024)
 
 

Posted by: too scents | Oct 22 2025 11:49 utc | 286

Yo Peter, I’m currently often busy in the UTC mornings, and I can’t just thrash my sleeping schedule by sitting here in the bar over a bottle of Oirish with y’all through the night, much as I’d love to … well, I guess on some days I might!
 
News from Germany: Hamburg has reinstated the Radikalenerlass in a new form which means applicants for work with the city-state will have to be vouched by the Verfassungsschutz (Gestapo) for right think beginning 2026.

Posted by: persiflo | Oct 22 2025 12:58 utc | 287

@Peter AU1 #223
I was sent to Japan to work when I spoke literally no Japanese. From notice to hitting the ground, it was 2 months over the Thanksgiving/Christmas season.
I have furthermore founded a cybersecurity company in Brazil – and I spoke no Portuguese then although I am moderately fluent in Spanish…which turned out to be a handicap.
As for China: my first visit to China was in 1984. I’ve been there 8 times in my lifetime and I speak Mandarin. I have been to Taiwan – not quite 100 times but not too far from it.
So yes, I can safely say that I have extremely extensive experience living in foreign lands, among foreign cultures. So any attempt to imply that I don’t understand Chinese culture or Chinese people is utterly laughable.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 22 2025 13:27 utc | 288

Posted by: General Factotum | Oct 22 2025 10:46 utc | 281
Very interesting  ,Factotum. We were told ,via newspapers and some reading
 
Many people did that electric/battery/diesel subs were quiet and it was the nuclear subs (Don’t know if closed loop or not) were louder. The logic supposedly was that the nuclear subs didn’t have to refuel so often ; so were safer for the crew, as they were at higher risk of being detected when coming to the surface.
 
Electric /diesel battery subs were good because they were quiet and could get in silently and blow up nuclear aircraft carriers etc Yet they were more easily detected as they had to come to the surface to get fresh air , provisions and recharge their batteries. I remember well how many Collins-class Aussie subs were able to “ sink” many US nuclear aircraft carriers in War-games of yesteryear. 
So I don’t know who to believe. So according to you the closed loop nuclears  are the quietest subs of all present tech you are aware of? So which ones has the US promised us for our AUKUS deal?

Posted by: Recently updated | Oct 22 2025 13:33 utc | 289

@General Factotum #232

Again, true. But it is a bit like saying a CPU is ‘nothing but a rather large collection of interconnected logic gates, or OFC is nothing but advanced lantern signaling – just a bit faster… How is that special?

It is pretty clear that you have no fucking idea what you are talking about. Among other things, I was part of the K5, K6 and K7 AMD processor design teams – so I am intimately familiar with what actually comprises a CPU. A CPU or a DSP are nothing more than logic machines created to execute some specific set of predefined functions in the form of an instruction set. For a CPU, it is an instruction set ie x86. For a DSP, it is a different instruction set – one specifically geared to digital signal processing. Here is an example Texas Instruments DSP manual including the instruction set.

It is sufficient here to note that DSP turned the ‘old’ analogue signal-to-noise paradigm on its head with DSP ability to extract information that is far weaker than the noise in the carrier signal. Care to suggest any analogue system that can do that – even though it is ‘nothing but a digital signal processor’

Do you actually understand how radio signals are generated and processed in order to pass information? It is quite clear you have no fucking idea.
And yes, there are all forms of analog systems that can do what DSPs do – because a DSP is simply a way for dumb digital engineers to work with analog signals ie radio.
The main difference between an analog analysis engine and a DSP, is the DSP works with an instruction set and so has significant reconfigurability capability – but a custom designed analog processing engine is 100s of times faster but is generally not configurable outside of designed parameters.
Analog signal processors are all around you: for sound systems, equalizers, amps and mixers are all analog; Land line telephones that are not explicitly IP based single business systems are analog; radios are analog; televisions prior to relatively recent changes, were analog; Russian military equipment, the older types, are all analog; thermostats, electric motor control systems, etc etc

You can easily refute this observation by providing just one example where reflection, refraction, attenuation etc of an EM signal is altered in frequency.

The example are literally everywhere. While frequency does not change when reflecting off a stationary object to stationary observation point, the same does not hold true if there is relative motion between the two.
An approaching train, its whistle sounds higher than it actually is just as a departing train’s whistle sounds lower.
You are such a dumbfuck as it is only possible to imagine.

The Russian Federation military has demonstrated very effective jamming.

Your utter lack of any grounding in basic electronic or physics principles is not uncommon and therefore understandable, but your seeming belief that you know anything is amazing in its level of idiocy.
The Russians are not “jamming”, for the most part. The backpack and other jamming systems they have attempted to use have been failures. That’s why there are still Ukrainian drones hitting Russian cities, and Russian soldiers on the front have to be wary of incoming Ukrainian drones.
The reasons these backpack systems are not effective is precisely because they are handicapped by trying to use the same crystal-based tech to try and catch up to frequency hopping control signals. It is a fool’s errand.
Traditional ECM consisted of nothing more than broadcasting massively powerful radio waves over all known frequencies to drown out enemy signals. The problem is that this is also very one sided and expensive, and it has the negative effect of also jamming your own communications. The spark gap transmitters do the same thing, but over a much more limited space. They would not be a system to “magically” block just the adversary’s systems while allowing your own – they are a last ditch defense.
As for what has been effective for Russia, is jamming of a different sort: spoofing/blocking GPS signals so that Western GPS dependent munitions don’t work well, or at all in terms of accuracy. This is possible because GPS radio signals are EXTREMELY weak and the protocol is 100% understood. Even if the protocol was not understood, you can still do all sorts of fancy things like time delay or time accelerate the actual GPS signals using retransmitters,
In any case, your uninformed and ignorant attempt to critique what I wrote – is wasting my time. I’m done here with you.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 22 2025 13:59 utc | 290

Jean-Pierre Petit on silent submarines – yt video outtake

Posted by: persiflo | Oct 22 2025 14:02 utc | 291

@ Posted by: Don Firineach | Oct 22 2025 5:50 utc | 270
 
Caveat spectator!  The video is a fake: electronically generated voice and Frankenpasted video.  It does represent fairly closely things Buffet could’ve said, but it’s not Buffet.

Posted by: malenkov | Oct 22 2025 14:13 utc | 292

Latest Zitron
Short summary: Zitron has gotten info on what Anthropic and Cursor are spending on AWS (Amazon Web Services).
Anthrophic is spending more on AWS than it has revenue!
And it isn’t $1 of costs for $0.50 of revenue – it is closer to $1 for $0.33
But wait! AWS is not Anthropic’s only major cloud provider – Anthropic also makes extensive use of Google Cloud. It has said it uses Google Cloud for training its models – which are supposed to be the big expense with LLMs.
So even assuming Anthropic’s Google Cloud spend is only equal to its AWS spend, then Anthropic is selling $1 for $0.167
But it gets better than that: Google “invested” $3 billion in Anthropic
So Google put money into an extreme money losing, cash burning outfit because it is losing this money to…Google.
And Amazon did the same – the above article references $8 billion invested by Amazon into Anthropic.
So what we have here is the latest incarnation of the classic biz scam of round tripping: I give you a dollar so that I get $1 back. We both show $1 each of revenue, $2 overall even though no actual money was made by anybody. Otherwise known as the Chinese laundry fable.

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 22 2025 14:26 utc | 293

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 22 2025 14:26 utc | 293
 
‘The Chinese laundry table ‘ is happening over many industries; AI and First Brands et al-eventually these companies will take the market down

Posted by: canuk | Oct 22 2025 14:32 utc | 294

Posted by: c1ue | Oct 22 2025 13:59 utc | 290
 
You are probably done with me also, c1ue,  and I will put that down to your having spent a good deal of time educating those of us who are most definitely ‘uninformed and ignorant’ while composing this amazing post for which I thank you.  It reveals to us the depth of our ignorance even while we cannot proclaim that we understand the comparison you are making in more than dim fashion.
 
I am sure that it becomes a despair at times to see how far behind you most of us are, and I can only point to General Factotum’s post at 281 as an example of this.  But the ‘far behind’ explanations are equally important in getting us dumb folk up to speed, and I assess GF’s analysis as equally important to your final post last night or early morning .  I found his analysis of vibration as interesting as I found yours.
 
Thanks to you both.

Posted by: juliania | Oct 22 2025 14:40 utc | 295

right on juliania!! 

Posted by: james | Oct 22 2025 15:02 utc | 296

The link to “How Long Can China Play The “Rare Earths” Card” by Arnaud Bertrand is almost clickbait.
Bernard says absolutely nothing of substance in the introduction before the pay wall. 
https://arnaudbertrand.substack.com/p/how-long-can-china-play-the-rare
 
Bertrand wastes time dancing around, avoiding hard facts, and makes the dubious claim that it would cost “trillions” and require rebuilding the empire’s educational system to get rare earths into production.
 
I doubt this article is worth a subscription, and I expect the full article is just more clickbait.  Usually, articles offer one or two hard facts before the paywall goes up.  But essays which start in the clouds usually never reach the ground. 

Posted by: JessDTruth | Oct 22 2025 15:19 utc | 297

It is not ignorance to be uninformed about the grit of the physical matters we’ve been discussing here. These are complex issues which require dedicated study to understand, depending again not just on prolongued hard work but also a bit of talent, because higher maths is not for everyone. To go there is a life decision. On top of that, the points of interest are not simply general matters which everyone with a background in the field would readily know; they have to be worked out. In a team effort. Whatever drove c1ue’s talking down on others here, it is not appropriate. Much as I do welcome c1ue’s unique expertise, I I do not welcome this

Posted by: persiflo | Oct 22 2025 16:00 utc | 298

@ c1ue | Oct 22 2025 13:59 utc | 290
“The Russians are not “jamming”, for the most part. The backpack and other jamming systems they have attempted to use have been failures. … These backpack systems are not effective because they are handicapped by trying to use []single channel system against] frequency hopping control signals. It is a fool’s errand.”
I would be very surprised if the Russians were entirely unable to jam frequency hopping radios, known as FHSS, because FHSS is over 50 years old and every EW specialist knows ingle channel (or “crystal”) has been known to be 100% useless.  The Achilles heel of FHSS  is its pseudo-random frequency hop schedule.  Not an easy nut to crack, but with enough observation, enough fancy equipment and computers, the pseudo-random pattern becomes known and predictable.  This is also true of more modern spread spectrum schemes such as OFDM (the current standard for cell phones) and CDMA before that.  Recall that Iran was able to take control of very modern and expensive Reaper drones, good enough to spoof the controls and land the drones  at Iranian airfields. So whatever fancy spread-spectrum radio system the Reaper drones have, Iran hacked it.  Not just jammed, but spoofed and hacked into it.  Russia has similar capabilities, and I’d be shocked if Russia” and Iran don’t share what they have gleaned.
WHile c1ue’s comment is mostly very good, this item is totally not correct:
“Traditional ECM consisted of nothing more than broadcasting massively powerful radio waves over all known frequencies to drown out enemy signals. The problem is that this is also very one sided and expensive, and it has the negative effect of also jamming your own communications. The spark gap transmitters do the same thing, but over a much more limited space. They would not be a system to “magically” block just the adversary’s systems while allowing your own – they are a last ditch defense.”
 
Not so. It’s practical to jam one or more sslices of spectrum.  Broad slices or narrow, no problem Even in the 1940’s, this was possible with analog filters. Now the exact slices of jamming power can be created in software and changed in microseconds. Like everything else in war, it’s a speed race.
The other issue is jamming range. Lots of gray areas and tradeoffs here, but ultimately jamming is a matter of cost and whether you can afford to let the enemy “see” your jammer.  On roads in the SMO, Russians often don’t turn on their jammers until they hear a drone because the jammer would provide a beacon for the Ukrainians.
 
This is entirely accurate:What has been effective for Russia, is jamming of a different sort: spoofing/blocking GPS signals so that Western GPS dependent munitions don’t work well, or at all in terms of accuracy. This is possible because GPS radio signals are EXTREMELY weak and the protocol is 100% understood. Even if the protocol was not understood, you can still do all sorts of fancy things like time delay or time accelerate the actual GPS signals using retransmitters,
I wonder if time delay is a practical weakness of GPS.  While timing is at the core of GPS, the required delays for spoofing are small.  Maybe retransmission of GPS from one point to re-broadcast over a large area. It’s said that GPS doesn’t work well for a mile or two from Red Square.

Posted by: JessDTruth | Oct 22 2025 16:02 utc | 299

Two newsreels via youtube from, respectively,
 
USA
 
Hamburg

Posted by: persiflo | Oct 22 2025 16:38 utc | 300