News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
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September 24, 2025
Ukraine Open Thread 2025-222
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That is, once launched from the naval drones, a ground team.
Posted by: Orson Cart | Sep 25 2025 9:50 utc | 201
Louis (88 and 91), whoever or whatever Louis may be, deserves to be read more carefully because Louis may well be the horses mouth, laying out the logic of the current US and West power-holders regarding their war tagainst Russia which war, apparently, those power-holders believe they can win and once again control all of Ukraine, not just a part.
Their method, as Louis writes, is to exhaust Russia in every way and destabilize it in order to ultimately make use of its resources for solving their own problems. Nothing new there, but Louis is confirming that the logic and the goal have not changed.
The counter-factual elements in Louis I take to be a basic ingredient of how the US+W power-holders view and understand the evolving battlefield and overall situation for Russia, which motivates them to press on militarily and with devising ways to achieve the benefits they set when they decided to wage this war, namely
“systematically neutralising the regime’s capacity to project power, confiscating Russia’s assets through coordinated legal action, severing the financial channels that sustain its war effort and forcing China, Iran and India to understand who holds the leverage. By securing access to Russian resources through legal and economic mechanisms, whether by enforcing asset freezes that lead to sanctioned sales, facilitating transparent privatisations akin to those seen in the Yeltsin era, and using international arbitration to transfer control of strategically important supplies, the West could relieve energy and raw material shortages and materially ease its fiscal and industrial pressures.”
Posted by: JB | Sep 25 2025 9:54 utc | 202
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Sep 25 2025 9:44 utc | 198
“Any Australian government that does not declassify and make public the secret agreement with Ukraine on MH17 is just as guilty of shooting it down as the Abbot government”.
Agreed. Puppets either side of the fence.
Posted by: George | Sep 25 2025 10:03 utc | 203
Either way there are no notable fuel shortages in most of Russia. There are however more-than-notable fuel shortages all across Ukraine.
EU does not have very good oil refining capacity either, and their fuel is relatively much more expensive. Furthermore, any fuel donated to Ukraine through EU is mostly Russian oil, refined in India with hefty premium price.
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2025 9:42 utc | 197
.
There are 32 large refineries in Russia, 14 of which were attacked, four of which operated at only about 50% of their capacity for more than two weeks.
In addition, there are 80 smaller ones, although “smaller” ones are relatively insignificant. Germany, for example, has 13 refineries, of which only two are actually known in Germany by reputation.
In Russia, purely military refineries are not mentioned, e.g., those that primarily produce kerosene or specialty fuels.
For Western Europe, the problem will not ONLY be the refineries, but rather the oil or oil quantity and transport.
Side note: Everyone here is talking about the alleged gasoline shortage…no one mentions that 85-95% of the army’s vehicles run on diesel.
And everyone is forgetting the three really large refineries in Belarus. Before the sanctions, Belarus supplied almost exclusively diesel to the EU and also to Russia.
Where will they export their diesel now, since the EU no longer wants or is allowed to have it, according to Brussels?
Posted by: Genesis | Sep 25 2025 10:07 utc | 204
Posted by: Genesis | Sep 25 2025 10:07 utc | 204
Ukraine may not have any functional refineries at all. Where does the fuel for AFU come from?
See on the front. There is little-to-no mobility for AFU. The forces are where they were before fuel ended. They can move around on foot, but on local (20km or less) fronts they are quite immobile. They are having less problems for towns and cities, but large problems defending open areas. The Zaporozhye front, Gulyapole-Orekhov seem to be unraveling quickly for AFU being encircled and unable to use mobile reinforcements, while Pokrovsk and Konstantinovka, being urban areas, slower.
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2025 10:12 utc | 205
Larry Johnson (Snar21): “NATO rampd up for war”
https://sonar21.com/who-killed-charlie-kirk-nato-ramps-up-for-war-with-russia
Posted by: WMG | Sep 25 2025 10:28 utc | 206
George | Sep 25 2025 9:03 utc | 196
Have to agree George.
The leadership of Australia seem very comfortable with being the Imperial lapdog and all round arsewhipes. None of them seem to have any sense of their own safety, let alone that of the nation that they have been elected to represent.
They are letting us down something horrific. How Ukraine has anything to do with Australia is beyond me, but the idiots running the place here have gone in the whole hog.
Hardly anyone in Australia sees the US as a vehicle for peace, yet our clowns swallow that nonsense hook line and sinker. The tragedy is that the opposition is much, much worse.
Posted by: ZimZum | Sep 25 2025 11:03 utc | 207
Posted by: ZimZum | Sep 25 2025 11:03 utc | 207
.
.
It’s not just Oz, the Blob controls all western governments. Trump is a black swan event, but he’s only one guy, with limited lines of action as the Blob controls the Congress, bureaucracy, courts and media. And he may not live long.
The Blob must be knocked back, and be seen as having been so. Thus, Ukraine.
Posted by: seer | Sep 25 2025 11:16 utc | 208
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2025 9:42 utc | 197
Either way there are no notable fuel shortages in most of Russia. There are however more-than-notable fuel shortages all across Ukraine.
I can report one real inconvenience that Russians are experiencing due to this war, from sources in Russia: on some days, passengers suffer delays of a few hours to board airplanes due to drones close to airports in St. Pete and Moscow.
So there is that.
In the Ukraines, on the other hand, passengers are still waiting to board their airplanes due for departure in February 2022.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Sep 25 2025 11:25 utc | 209
On another level, I can’t comprehend the thinking of the leaders of the West. The Zapad exercises have recently finished which involved something around 100,000 Russian troops, yet Ukraine and the West seems to think that Russia is on it’s last legs.
Here are 100 thousand troops, well trained but not currently involved in the conflict in Ukraine but their very existence is not even commented on by the western media, while Ukraine kidnaps men off the streets who run away when they get to the front.
This can’t end well for the west and Ukraine, yet it is obvious to a casual observer such as myself. Fuck!! These idiots run countries. Do they actually know anything?? I would suspect not.
Posted by: ZimZum | Sep 25 2025 11:38 utc | 210
Everyone is missing the point. Let’s be very clear on what he said. Taking back all of Ukraine would also include Crimea but now the other Donbass Republics are also officially part of RF. This means WW3.
Posted by: Parfum | Sep 25 2025 11:48 utc | 211
Posted by: ZimZum | Sep 25 2025 11:38 utc | 210
.
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They know that they receive wealth and power if they follow Blob dogma. They’ve long been groomed to do so. They are publicly untouchable. But the people are restive, and some of them do get removed. That’s why the Blob detests nationalism. They seek total control.
Posted by: seer | Sep 25 2025 11:53 utc | 212
Posted by: ZimZum | Sep 25 2025 11:38 utc | 210
I can’t comprehend the thinking of the leaders of the West.
It looks insane but it’s important that we try to understand that thinking. It is neither random nor stupid.
This can’t end well for the west and Ukraine, yet it is obvious to a casual observer such as myself.
So why do you assume it is not obvious to them either? It ain’t what they tell us but the writings are on the wall, and you can see it in some mainstream exposition too.
So let’s dig deeper: the Ukraine war is clearly lost but they’re feeding it nonetheless. Why?
These idiots run countries. Do they actually know anything?? I would suspect not.
They know *exactly* what they’re doing.
Don’t underestimate your enemy. Don’t expect any functionary (and they all are functionaries) to say they truth when they speak in their official position: the institution/organisation almost always trumps the man. (There are exceptions but they’re rare.)
(I have my own answers and occasionally post them here. But not now. It’s important to get beyond the “they’re stupid” level.)
Posted by: Konami | Sep 25 2025 11:54 utc | 213
Posted by: ZimZum | Sep 25 2025 11:38 utc | 210
EU/Nato media narratives are on auto-pilot. Anything that happens on ground will never change their pre-scripted narratives.
The pre-scripted narratives are designed to scare the Europoodel population, while at the same time promote the idea of Russia being defeated – just another 800 billion Euro investment away (latest variant of ‘ReArm EU’, air defense and ‘drone wall program’).
So give up your pensions and social benefits so we can kick Russia’s a$$. Well, if it doesn’t work we will take your wealth and pensions anyway while introducing a digital slave money called ‘digital Euro’ and a digital ID with a single point of access to everyones bank accounts, controlled by us.
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2025 11:56 utc | 214
ed4 | Sep 25 2025 2:01 utc | 166
*** The F-35’s have had plenty of problems and is very expensive, but they worked pretty well in the 12 day war between Israel and Iran. ***
As would a Sopwith Camel, if unopposed.
Posted by: Cynic | Sep 25 2025 12:09 utc | 215
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Sep 24 2025 18:56 utc | 79
https://rumble.com/v6ze9ku-marat-khairullin-and-eastcalling.html
That took me back! Thanks for finding it. The crucial early period of the war. I hope some time Khairullin does a full history of that time. As Jelena says, the rest of us saw it only on the video screens. But Khairullin was there.
I found the only way to get the video playing past the times when it froze was to note the time, cancel, and re-open the video at the correct time from the link provided. Perhaps the more IT savvy found a less cumbersome way past the blockage.
At that time there were very few sources. You mentioned the Saker earlier. Was that site stored anywhere before it ceased? Most of my links from that time are now dead and some of them I collected from the Saker.
The internet is such an unreliable historical record. SST’s gone and that had a vast amount of material on the war. Copious links from Patrick Armstrong and Larry Johnson on the later period. A lot of valuable material from TTG on the war in Syria. All now gone and a vast amount of other material with them. Some of it preserved on Wayback but not that much.
For a while I was worried that “b’s” site might go the same way. But I went back to check the February 2022 entries and they’re still there, or what I was looking for. So that’s a key set of records saved.
If the English and German electorates had the faintest idea of what happened in that early period and later this war would stop tomorrow. But they haven’t so it won’t. Nor have most in either electorate grasped the military situation now. I came across this cheerful remark on an English site. “American troops would wipe out the Russians in days if they got involved.”
A lot of people still believe that. Truth is, most know nothing of how the war started. Nothing of how it’s going. Nothing of how it will end. Makes us fair game for the politicians, as they shepherd us into Cold War II.
Posted by: English Outsider | Sep 25 2025 12:19 utc | 216
In response to William Gruff@100,
The “support of Europe” part is really key to Trump’s whole post. It is open-ended. How much support does Trump recommend?
There’s that, and there’s wishing both Ukraine and Russia well, and there’s referring to NATO as an “other” which, for me, is perhaps the biggest upset, preceded by a very different kind of sentiment as expressed by Waltz at the UN. In Trump’s post, we’re not talking about US acting as part of NATO, or mutual support and defense, or a US-led alliance, but of NATO as an independent organization doing “whatever it wants” with US supplied weapons. The way Trump phrased it, it sounds like the question of dropping NATO was given serious consideration, but ultimately settled on honoring pre-existing commitments in a minimalist fashion. To restate what I said before, the post strikes me as one of exasperation with being ignored and undermined. Even the quip about Russia being a paper tiger, coming on the heels of consecutive Trump statements regarding Russia as a warfighting civilization, sound to me like Trump repeating someone else’s counterarguments — and of course, powerful Europe and plucky Ukraine shouldn’t need US help dealing with a paper tiger.
However, I also think that this is Trump venting, and in doing so reflecting the discussions which are occurring behind the scenes, but not necessarily representing any finalized decisions. I can’t help but agree with many of the posters here about Trump being “unreliable”, although I think that phenomenon involves many more moving parts than just Trump, as there is always a vast gap between leverage, strategies, desired outcomes and the various agendas pursued by underlings and opponents. I’m not at all tempted to make any future predictions based on this post, but I am surprised by how linearly so many people seem to be interpreting its contents.
Posted by: Skiffer | Sep 25 2025 12:46 utc | 217
Russian intelligence SVR says Nato countries are preparing to occupy Moldova and Odessa.
I doubt this will have any impact on what’s going on in Ukraine. I think Nato will attack Transnistria under the Ukrainian flag. The purpose of this is to persuade RUAF to make rash, non-thought moves in a bid to accelerate the fronts. This is probably not to Russia’s advantage.
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2025 13:06 utc | 218
I can report one real inconvenience that Russians are experiencing due to this war, from sources in Russia: on some days, passengers suffer delays of a few hours to board airplanes due to drones close to airports in St. Pete and Moscow.
So there is that.
In the Ukraines, on the other hand, passengers are still waiting to board their airplanes due for departure in February 2022.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Sep 25 2025 11:25 utc | 209
I’ve already reported on this from my own sources, and Röber from Anti-Spiegel covered it in his weekly “Tacheles” broadcasts.
In more detail, and with the comment that in Russia itself, at least as far as St. Petersburg Airport is concerned, these drone attacks did NOT make headlines; they were initially even kept completely silent by the Russian leadership; in St. Petersburg itself, it was only noticed through hours of flight cancellations.
Röber speaks out loud about what a member of parliament said about this live on Russian regional TV… they don’t want to make a NATO case out of this, because everyone in St. Petersburg’s leadership knows where these drones are coming from. The nearest NATO country is one of the vicious Baltic states and only about 80 km away as the crow flies.
Initially only suspected, this 80 km area was then closely covered by observers who were then able to prove that these drones came from exactly there.
Once again, Russia (Putin) is not responding to the desired provocation. As has been seen so often, it is being concealed or reinterpreted. It is now being claimed that these drones were launched from the surrounding area. A launch within Ukraine is impossible given the distance and the number of drones. It would also be impossible if that were the case, that they had remained undetected on this route and were only discovered outside of St. Petersburg. In short, Russia is once again prudently avoiding the NATO CASE.
Posted by: Genesis | Sep 25 2025 13:17 utc | 219
Posted by: Genesis | Sep 25 2025 13:17 utc | 219
So once again ‘mystery drones in Poland and Denmark’ are actually projection for drones launched against Russia from the Baltic states. In that sense, Nato/EU media are beating to the punch if RUAF sends drones back.
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2025 13:23 utc | 220
unimperator | Sep 25 2025 13:06 utc | 218 re Transnistria
I though there was a few Russian peacekeepers or perhaps guarding the big Soviet ammo dump. I believe I read something about it quite a few years back
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Sep 25 2025 13:28 utc | 221
Lease has expired. Russia needs to demand the return of Alaska. You see my point?
Posted by: Parfum | Sep 25 2025 13:32 utc | 222
Strictly speaking, a Ukrainian attack on Transnistria would be a Ukrainian act of war against Moldova, because Transnistria is regarded by Ukraine, Moldova, and all of the NATO countries as Moldovan territory. But perhaps Moldova will “invite” Ukraine to attack “its own territory”, and anyway the West has little need for logic or legality in such matters.
Posted by: malenkov | Sep 25 2025 13:33 utc | 223
At least 5 F-35s were shot down during the 12 day unprovoked attack by Israel last June
Posted by: Exile | Sep 25 2025 13:40 utc | 224
Posted by: Exile | Sep 25 2025 13:40 utc | 224
——————————————-
Did you find any convincing proof that this statement is true?
Posted by: scc | Sep 25 2025 13:47 utc | 225
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Sep 25 2025 13:28 utc | 221
There are a peacekeeper contingent but realistically you can’t expect them to do too much if nato attacks Transnistria under Ukrainian flag. Transnistria is simply not even defensible, if you look at the map, it can be sliced and diced quickly from every latitude and direction from Ukraine and Moldova.
RUAF will eventually get it back, even if Nato takes it but I don’t see how they could defend it right now. The best way to defend it is to keep mass attrition of AFU up and try to hit some Nato troops in Odessa.
It’s Nato’s chess move to make.
Posted by: unimperator | Sep 25 2025 13:56 utc | 226
Posted by: Genesis | Sep 25 2025 13:17 utc | 219
By the way,maybe that the drones in Denmark or Norway are Russian or maybe not, but similar disruption of civil flights is happening in the west.
Posted by: Mario | Sep 25 2025 13:58 utc | 227
I though there was a few Russian peacekeepers or perhaps guarding the big Soviet ammo dump. I believe I read something about it quite a few years back
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Sep 25 2025 13:28 utc | 221
I wrote about this a while ago, around the beginning of 2024.
I was in the camp in question twice during my active service, but that was back in Soviet times.
In this ammunition depot, incidentally, to this day the largest of its kind in Europe. As a German, you first shake your head when you see the quantities of crates and containers that were there (at the time) in free storage. According to information from 1996, this depot was supposed to store ammunition for an entire army. During the Iron Curtain era, this depot was intended to supply the entire Red Army for at least three months in the event of an attack on the Oder-Naise line! Just to get an idea of the quantities required. We only saw the above-ground parts, and there was all the equipment for a division…from trucks and armored personnel carriers to bridge-layers, tanks, quads, and flag tanks, all in a row…we were completely stunned and amazed when we counted about 85 tanks above ground. In conversations with Russian officers, we learned that there were three shafts and seven levels underground.
At the time, we estimated the troops there to be about a regiment…we only saw the accommodations, including the barracks, from a distance, but the number of officers present was very high.
In later conversations, we were told: if this camp were to explode with what was stored there at the time, the sound of the explosion would be heard in Berlin, and within a radius of about 30 km, nothing would be left standing due to the shock wave?
After the Russians were relieved of Ukraine, they transported a lot of things away, mostly by rail, across Ukraine. Until Ukraine actually sabotaged and obstructed these transports. I think SS20s aren’t being camped there anymore…but a Russian officer I knew from back then once said, “If Sylenski gets to this camp, he can wage war for about three more years without the West.”
I hope I’ve given you some insight.
Whether and how the current Russian leadership has already reinforced the occupation remains to be seen, but in any case, I don’t think they will allow this camp to fall into the enemy’s hands.
Posted by: Genesis | Sep 25 2025 14:01 utc | 228
Genesis | Sep 25 2025 14:01 utc | 228
Thanks. With what you wrote, I had a look for a wikipedia article
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_military_presence_in_Transnistria
It seems in Soviet times, the military formations there had Russian officers like you said, and the ordinary soldiers were mostly local. That is still the same.
Russia calls them peacekeepers and they will stay until all weapons and ammo stored there has been safely returned to Russia.
unimperator | Sep 25 2025 13:56 utc | 226
I was thinking of them attacking as a Nato or coalition of the willing from Moldova. To date, Russia has been content to classify rebadged Nato troops as mercenaries or terrorists. I assume Russia could change that definition in a flash if it chooses to do so.
I suspect if a major force consisting of rebadged Nato attacked their forces in Transnistria, Russia may well choose to change the designation to a combined European/Nato force attacking Russia.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Sep 25 2025 14:49 utc | 229
NATO won’t be quick to formally deploy foreign units in Ukraine. They’d have a target on their backs, and they know it, even if Russia never says a word.
Posted by: seer | Sep 25 2025 15:18 utc | 230
This looks as though it might escalate.
“Poland is preparing to amend its law on military deployments abroad to allow its forces to shoot down hostile objects launched by Russia, such as drones and missiles, over Ukraine without prior approval from NATO or the European Union,” – Euractiv, Belgian outlet.
“If NATO shoots down a Russian plane, it will be war,” – Aleksey Meshkov, Russian Ambassador to France”
Posted by: Republicofscotland | Sep 25 2025 15:55 utc | 231
‼️‼️🇷🇺🇺🇳👉🏁🏴☠️🇪🇺 NATO and the EU, through Ukraine, have declared war on Russia and are directly participating in it — Lavrov.
https://t.me/ZandVchannel/164828
Posted by: Norwegian | Sep 25 2025 16:26 utc | 232
Not really surprised by this.
“Only 36 countries condemn Russia in key UN vote against Putin’s SMO.
The joint statement was only endorsed by EU member states (minus Hungary) and by Albania, Andorra, Australia, Bosnia, Canada, Japan, Monaco, New Zealand, Norway, and the UK.”
Posted by: Republicofscotland | Sep 25 2025 16:41 utc | 233
Erdogan looks shocked when Trump says this – watch the 15 second clip.
“President Trump in the Oval Office:
Rigged election. *points to Erdogan*
He knows about rigged elections better than anybody.”
https://nitter.poast.org/DD_Geopolitics/status/1971243627461607691#m
Posted by: Republicofscotland | Sep 25 2025 16:51 utc | 234
If NATO shoots down a Russian plane, it will be war,” – Aleksey Meshkov, Russian Ambassador to France”
Posted by: Republicofscotland | Sep 25 2025 15:55 utc | 231
Uneducated this Aleks guy. Nato has shot down a Russian plane from Turkey and nothing has happened, friendship was even better after. Aleks should be sent to artillery duel in Donbass
Posted by: rk | Sep 25 2025 17:21 utc | 235
The F-35’s have had plenty of problems and is very expensive, but they worked pretty well in the 12 day war between Israel and Iran.
Posted by: ed4 | Sep 25 2025 2:01 utc | 166
##########
Good point. Those Israeli pedophile rapists were very effective until Israel had to beg Trump to get a cessation of the conflict they started.
If you have decades to prepare and can barely go 12 days, you’re weak. Easy to bomb hospitals and tent encampments, useless against ballistic missile barrages.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Sep 25 2025 17:50 utc | 236
You mentioned the Saker earlier. Was that site stored anywhere before it ceased?
Posted by: English Outsider | Sep 25 2025 12:19 utc | 216
Sadly I don’t know of any way to access the content of the Saker website. I have tried the Internet Archive but it’s very hit-and-miss, often only showing the home page as saved. I agree with your lament about how much valuable insight and information gets lost irretrievably in all too many cases; it seems the Internet is forever, except when it isn’t.
As for the video freezing, it played without problems for me, but there can be many issues that cause things to go wrong like that. Have you tried it again at all, to see if there was just a temporary glitch somewhere?
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Sep 25 2025 18:18 utc | 237
Re: F-35s, I’ve just ordered a copy of a book called Trillion Dollar Trainwreck; How The F-35 Hollowed Out The US Air Force, looking forward to receiving it for some light weekend reading.
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Trillion-Dollar-Trainwreck-Hollowed-Force/dp/B0D47PD1PS
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Sep 25 2025 18:27 utc | 238
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Sep 25 2025 18:27 utc | 238
This is one of the very few times I wish there was a “like” button here.
That book might very well become the typical Christmas reading this year.
Posted by: Avtonom | Sep 25 2025 18:48 utc | 239
Moldova: The Next Fight in the West’s Confrontation with Russia?
“Moldova’s September 28, 2025 parliamentary elections are shaping up to be another highly contentious struggle between pro-Russia and anti-Russia factions.
Both the European Union and Moscow are accusing each other of illicit meddling to put their respective Moldovan clients in power.
The situation also has the potential to become another prominent arena for the ongoing, dangerous geopolitical struggle between the West and Russia.
Moldova shares a 1,222-kilometer border with Ukraine and the Kremlin currently stations some 1,500 troops in Moldova’s secessionist region of Transnistria…”
Posted by: John Gilberts | Sep 25 2025 20:00 utc | 240
Those troops are guarding the largest ex Soviet stockpile of atms outside of Russia, a rather massive arsenal that would no doubt go some way to solving the Ukranazis logistics woes at least for shells…however im sure that its long since been setup for demolition in such an event.
Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Sep 25 2025 20:08 utc | 241
Breaking: Thousands of Moldovans Report Receiving Military Summons
https://x.com/DD_Geopolitics/status/1971228149712404573
“The sudden mobilization alerts are sparking widespread concern across the country, with questions mounting over Moldova’s security situation and potential escalation in the region.”
Posted by: John Gilberts | Sep 25 2025 20:28 utc | 242
Breaking: Thousands of Moldovans Report Receiving Military Summons
Posted by: John Gilberts | Sep 25 2025 20:28 utc | 242
Hmm… not sure how well that will work out. Ukraine stands as an awful warning of what can happen when trying to go to war without a united population.
Unless the idea is to agitate such a level of civil disturbance that EU/NATO can say they have “no option but to intervene, under a Responsibility To Protect”.
Wheels within wheels…
Who is the Moldovan equivalent of “Yats is our man, eff the EU”?
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Sep 25 2025 21:45 utc | 243
RE: “Those troops are guarding the largest ex Soviet stockpile of atms outside of Russia, a rather massive arsenal that would no doubt go some way to solving the Ukranazis logistics woes at least for shells…however im sure that its long since been setup for demolition in such an event.”
Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Sep 25 2025 20:08 utc | 241
If Russia over the last 10 years (since at least 2014 overthrow) haven’t moved that stockpile to a secure location in Russia proper, then they’re just plain stupid and deserve seeing it all go up in a bang…
Posted by: Trubind1 | Sep 26 2025 1:08 utc | 244
RE: Posted by: Norwegian | Sep 25 2025 16:26 utc | 232
Yeah, sure Lavrov. US declared war with Nuland cookies.
But, let’s forget about US.
Posted by: Trubind1 | Sep 26 2025 1:17 utc | 245
At least there is one person in the Kremlin that remembers US accountability:
25 SEP, 07:06
“Bomb shelters won’t protect against Russian arsenal — Medvedev”
“The Americans should remember this, too,” the Russian politician stated”
“MOSCOW, September 25. /TASS/. Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council Dmitry Medvedev, firing back at Vladimir Zelensky, warned that if Russia unleashes the fury of its weapons arsenal, it won’t do any good to hide in a bomb shelter.
“The junkie in Kiev said that the Kremlin needs to know where the bomb shelter is so they can hide when he uses long-range American weapons. What that freak needs to understand is this: Russia has weapons that no bomb shelter can protect against. The Americans should remember this, too,” Medvedev wrote on his Max channel.”
Posted by: Trubind1 | Sep 26 2025 1:25 utc | 246
If Russia over the last 10 years (since at least 2014 overthrow) haven’t moved that stockpile to a secure location in Russia proper, then they’re just plain stupid and deserve seeing it all go up in a bang…
Posted by: Trubind1 | Sep 26 2025 1:08 utc | 244
________
Somebody is in bad need of a geography lesson . . .
Posted by: malenkov | Sep 26 2025 1:47 utc | 247
RE: Somebody is in bad need of a geography lesson . . .
Posted by: malenkov | Sep 26 2025 1:47 utc | 247
Lame. Russia has resupplied Transnistria for years.
It’s called smuggling.
Posted by: Trubind1 | Sep 26 2025 2:21 utc | 248
@ Trubind1 | Sep 26 2025 2:21 utc | 248
Smuggling in exactly what, compared to what would need to be smuggled out? Be specific.
Posted by: malenkov | Sep 26 2025 2:40 utc | 249
Posted by: Genesis | Sep 25 2025 13:17 utc | 219
Röber speaks out loud about what a member of parliament said about this live on Russian regional TV… they don’t want to make a NATO case out of this, because everyone in St. Petersburg’s leadership knows where these drones are coming from. The nearest NATO country is one of the vicious Baltic states and only about 80 km away as the crow flies.
Initially only suspected, this 80 km area was then closely covered by observers who were then able to prove that these drones came from exactly there.
Nah, that’s not it. And to say “observers have proved it” is a silly giveaway, to use a football expression.
Of course some are speculating about these drones coming the Baltic statelet nearby but it is more credible that they were launched from the surrounding area by Russian losers on the pay by the SBU (there are many captured every week), making it appear as if they are coming from outside Russia.
This is more credible because the only way in which ukrops may delay their defeat is by involving NATO so they have strong incentives to make it appear as if a NATO state is directly attacking Russia.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Sep 26 2025 8:03 utc | 250
“The sudden mobilization alerts are sparking widespread concern across the country, with questions mounting over Moldova’s security situation and potential escalation in the region.”
Posted by: John Gilberts | Sep 25 2025 20:28 utc | 242
Douglas Macgregor not long ago posted on twitter that Poland has told its citizens in Belarus to get out urgently by any means possible.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Sep 26 2025 8:18 utc | 251
Trubind1 | Sep 26 2025 1:08 utc | 244
How to you smuggle large cargo ships up and down a river or smuggle many long freight trains through Ukraine?
Russia had begun shipping to stockpile out by train through Ukraine but that came to a stop after the US/UK coup. The would be many hundreds of thousands of tons of equipment and munitions there.
The battle of Kursk in WWII. The soviets railed in and incredible amount of stuff just for that one battle. I think it was around 300,000 is a number I rember and I think that was rail wagons, not tons. I was a bit stunned when I saw the amount of equipment and ammo they had railed in.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Sep 26 2025 8:33 utc | 252
Looks like rather than attack Russia directly, the Europeans will attack Belarus and Transnistria and I think that will be simultaneous with the Americans attacking Venezuela.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Sep 26 2025 8:50 utc | 253
English Outsider | Sep 25 2025 12:19 utc | 216
Sadly I don’t know of any way to access the content of the Saker website….
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Sep 25 2025 18:18 utc | 237
The sakerLATAM community has a 2023 remnant of the moveable feast comment section, maybe a reach out to the blog owners can take you further?
https://sakerlatam.blog/the-saker-files/moveable-feast-cafe-2023-02-27/
Posted by: Mercury | Sep 26 2025 9:41 utc | 254
RE: Posted by: malenkov | Sep 26 2025 2:40 utc | 249
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Sep 26 2025 8:33 utc | 252
Thx for comment. I would be more specific if I knew more of the exact inventory. If ammo shells, which is what I assumed was the bulk of the inventory, then it could be parsed out via delivery truck smuggling.
My main point was Russia had plenty of years of hostilities, knowing war was coming during Minsk, to remove what they wanted in subversive ways. Hopefully what’s left are unusable. I think the troops there are more for protection of Russians there more than anything else.
A tripwire force to protect Russian interests. Also guessing as you stated, what’s left is rigged, however, that seems dangerous civilians & troops stationed there.
In addition, we keep seeing old pipelines and tunnels left over from the Soviet Union being utilized by Russian forces here and there in Ukraine, since Moldova was once Soviet state, hard to know what’s under all that area.
Posted by: Trubind1 | Sep 26 2025 12:36 utc | 255
Regarding the American pow-wow amongst military upper crust:
Most likely Trump will announce to them, that effective immediately, they will have new Red, White & Blue Uniforms. With Gold embroidery at the cuffs & collars. They will no longer be called “Uniforms”, the new name will be “Trumpwear” , and then, thank them for their attention to this matter.
Posted by: Trubind1 | Sep 26 2025 12:44 utc | 256
Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update, 26th September 2025: May be Useful to Some: https://robcampbell.substack.com/p/ukraine-and-world-affairs-weekly-6f3
Posted by: The Busker | Sep 26 2025 12:51 utc | 257
Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update, 26th Sept 2025: https://robcampbell.substack.com/p/ukraine-and-world-affairs-weekly-6f3
Posted by: The Busker | Sep 26 2025 12:53 utc | 258
Putins cuckery knows no bounds these days:
https://tass.com/politics/2021457
25 SEP, 15:27
“Putin receives IAEA chief Grossi at Kremlin”
Highlights:
“Earlier on Thursday, Putin and Grossi had a brief conversation on the sidelines of the World Atomic Week forum at the Atom pavilion of the All-Russian Exhibition Center.”
“Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov had previously told reporters that Putin and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko welcomed the **IAEA chief’s readiness to run for the** post of UN secretary-general.“••
“Welcomed”?? Based on what? What qualifies Grossi for UN Secretariat position exactly?
All this Kremlin yapping about IAEA turning a blind eye to blatant violations of the ZNPP, complains for 2 years about not calling out Ukraines shelling. The obvious collaboration with USReal to attack Iran plants.
Yet, one has to wonder, every time Putin meets with Grossi, all smiles and good times… and what a coincidence!! … Iran plants are destroyed and suddenly, Russia ends up with a contract for 6-8 new smaller ones.
It’s a miracle.
Posted by: Trubind1 | Sep 26 2025 12:57 utc | 259
Trubind1 | Sep 26 2025 12:57 utc | 259
*** All this Kremlin yapping about IAEA turning a blind eye to blatant violations of the ZNPP, complains for 2 years about not calling out Ukraines shelling. The obvious collaboration with USReal to attack Iran plants.
Yet, one has to wonder, every time Putin meets with Grossi, all smiles and good times… ***
Putin the closet kike playing his pantomime role in the WEF reset agenda … while the Oligarchs of East and West alike play musical chairs (via political proxies) to establish their aristocratic rankings in the coming global totalitarian-rentier order.
Posted by: Cynic | Sep 26 2025 15:29 utc | 260
Alexander Mercouris
https://www.youtube.com/@AlexMercouris/videos
“Angry Russia rejects Europe threats – tense Moscow talks| US calls military chiefs| Kiev fronts crisis
Posted by: John Gilberts | Sep 26 2025 18:00 utc | 261
Kremlin Slams ‘Reckless’ NATO Threats To Shoot Down Russian Planes
https://www.rt.com/russia/625314-kremlin-responds-nato-threats-shoot-down-russian-planes/
“Bellicose rhetoric from Western officials is ‘irresponsible’ in the absence of proof to back up airspace violation claims, Dmitry Peskov has said.
According to the publication [TASS] Western diplomats warned that NATO was prepared to shoot down Russian warplanes in the event of airspace violations.
In an interview with France’s RTL radio on Thursday, Moscow’s ambassador to Paris, Aleksey Meshkov cautioned that such an incident could trigger a ‘war’ between NATO and Russia.”
Posted by: John Gilberts | Sep 26 2025 18:20 utc | 262
If the Moldavians move against Transnistria expect an RF land, airborne and seaborne invasion of the Odessa region almost immediately.
It will be the largest land attack, air drop and amphibious invasion since Inchon………
The RF will have none of this NATO nonsense, they will get moving and quickly too…
Posted by: tobias cole | Sep 26 2025 18:59 utc | 263
I’m reading the posts and supposed “new” news, in reality, same trope threats against Russia since start of SMO, and same trope Russian responses.
So far, a very tidy, managed “war”, where the tri-polar power, and E.U. elite , sacrifices E.U. and make billions , if not trillions and all proceed to new contracts well into the future.
As the ME shenanigans are turning out the same.
Brilliant moves by the WEF resetters and the new multipolar global order.
One of them should use a “tactical nuke”… just to add some spice and color to the well worn tale of “conflict”…
Posted by: Trubind1 | Sep 26 2025 19:38 utc | 264
Andrei M. is on good form tonight, particularly his take on the the latest US Government Accountability Office report on the mission readiness of US armed forces.
[Spoiler alert the word “catastrophic” is heard more than once…]
https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2025/09/the-answer-i-very-simple.html
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Sep 26 2025 20:38 utc | 265
RE: “The RF will have none of this NATO nonsense, they will get moving and quickly too…”
Posted by: tobias cole | Sep 26 2025 18:59 utc | 263
To date, see no evidence that “RF” “will have none” of whatever …
But I’m open to future surprises. I’d of thought hitting their nuclear triad might have raised an eyebrow, but guessing their waiting on a full fledge decapitation strike to go to the UNSC to complain and ask for a UN Resolution like Iran did. SMOs are a tricky thing.
Posted by: Trubind1 | Sep 26 2025 21:29 utc | 266
Osina
Remember the name.
Oreshnik’s big brother.
Russia’s new “Osina” missile is a strategic intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) system, developed as a priority by Russia’s Strategic Missile Forces, with plans for maximum-range test launches and introduction into combat. This new ICBM is derived from the RS-24 Yars ICBM, first tested in 2022, and is expected to enter service later in the decade.
Apparently, it has a massive thermobaric warhead.
This is a total-destruction weapon without leaving radioactive contamination.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Sep 26 2025 21:38 utc | 267
RE: Apparently, it has a massive thermobaric warhead.
This is a total-destruction weapon without leaving radioactive contamination.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Sep 26 2025 21:38 utc | 267
Sure. And sometime in the next decade or so it will be operational. Unless it’s prohibited in a hashed out New START treaty.
Posted by: Trubind1 | Sep 27 2025 14:17 utc | 268
***
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Sep 26 2025 21:38 utc | 267
Tyler Durden getting it wrong in favor of the escalation narrative:
Former Russian president and current top national security official Dmitry Medvedev also responded, by saying:
“The freak should understand something else: Russia can use weapons that no bomb shelter will save you from. And the Americans should remember this too.”
This appeared to be another veiled nuclear threat, and hint at runaway escalation if American long-range weapons are used to attack government buildings in Moscow.
Posted by: frithguild | Sep 27 2025 14:24 utc | 269
The Neo-Nazi dictator – says the Zio-Monsters helped him out.
“Volodymyr Zelensky says Ukraine has received a ‘Patriot’ air defense system from Israel.”
Posted by: Republicofscotland | Sep 27 2025 14:40 utc | 270
JN: Johnson & McGovern
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FXH_rCkdDHk
“Intel roundtable: weekly recap 26-Sept.”
Germany to seize frozen Russian assets?
Posted by: John Gilberts | Sep 27 2025 15:11 utc | 271
FULL SPEECH: Russia Exposes Western Hypocrisy, Condemns Israel, Calls for Multipolar World | AC1G
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ff5eDcSGPeI [ 20 mins
Posted by: Don Firineach | Sep 27 2025 16:45 utc | 272
LoveDonbass@267….you can keep the death cult stuff to yourself, big bombs, bigger bombs, biggest bombs….more death you say….totally mental….
Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Sep 27 2025 22:43 utc | 273
Osina
Remember the name.
Oreshnik’s big brother.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Sep 26 2025 21:38 utc | 267
Russia needs something that is a game-changer because so far nothing really has been.
Posted by: MiniMO | Sep 28 2025 0:35 utc | 274
What are the best guesses for when General Mud will show up this fall, in the Ukraine?
Posted by: Blind Bridge Troll | Sep 28 2025 2:43 utc | 275
“Andrei M. is on good form tonight…”
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Sep 26 2025 20:38 utc | 265
I used to respect Andrei more, but now I have lost some of that respect, really. Andrei dishes out a lot of shit, but he can’t take any honest criticism.
Posted by: ThouShalt | Sep 28 2025 3:38 utc | 276
Let’s talk honestly about Andrei M. for a minute. He left Russia in a big hurry to move to the cold-war winner USA in the early 1990s after the USSR collapsed. Andrei went to work for Boeing, one of the biggest MIC contractors in the world. Face it, Andrei simply abandoned his beloved country for a bigger paycheck.
Posted by: ThouShalt | Sep 28 2025 3:51 utc | 277
Andrei has a big, moon-shaped face and he loves to shit on other people because it makes him feel like a winner. But he abandoned Russia in their time of need to go to work for Boeing.
Posted by: ThouShalt | Sep 28 2025 4:17 utc | 278
Poslan1@23
F16 has 1 flight hour to 33 service hours ratio.
3000 planes is less than 100 flight capable planes.
For F35 the ratio is likely worse, up to infinity.
The plane is engineered beyond the available materials properties, it breaks down and needs to be rebuilt as a part of its ordinary use.
These might provide the decisive edge in an initial blitzkrieg, but are not sustainable in a long term conflict.
I don’t think the goal is to actually defeat RF but to cultivate the conflict between it and the EU.
The US is 4% of the world.
That is pretty much nothing, barely more than the number of people who died due to COVID.
The only way to maintain its hegemony is to plant disorder and division in the 96%, so it can tackle any piece 1 on 1.
That is a lost cause, but it will go on for some time due to inertia.
Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Sep 28 2025 12:17 utc | 279
Posted by: boneless | Sep 25 2025 3:14 utc | 173 “OSINT evidence suggest neither Israel operated F-35 over Iranian land, nor Iran shot down any F-35s.”
OSINT evidence indicates Israel operated F-15’s over Iran (drop tanks found on the ground) and F-35’s over some some Iranian cities (videos of what appear to be JDAMs). The US also operated B-2, F-22’s and F-35’s over Iran.
Posted by: ed4 | Sep 28 2025 19:09 utc | 280