News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
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August 13, 2025
Ukraine Open Thread 2025-183
News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
Comments
Posted by: Konami | Aug 13 2025 23:03 utc | 86 Posted by: ChatNPC | Aug 14 2025 0:32 utc | 101 I suspect that the Trump Corridor between Azerbaijan and Armenia is a card for Trump to play because he really didn’t have any. Iran saying that this Trump Corridor will never happen definitely diminishes that cards value. Posted by: arby | Aug 14 2025 0:38 utc | 102 I expect the best: Posted by: Esophagus | Aug 14 2025 0:43 utc | 103 juliania | Aug 14 2025 0:03 utc | 93– RE: “Because what does a “freeze” of a thousand kilometer frontline mean??? ” Posted by: Trubind1 | Aug 14 2025 0:48 utc | 105 I expect the best. It can be this: Posted by: Esophagus | Aug 14 2025 1:08 utc | 106 This thread would be improved somewhat by referring to NATO as ZATO. Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Aug 14 2025 1:18 utc | 107
Their hypothesis that Putin’s killed in Alaska. We’ve seen an insane amount of silly, stupid, hilarious… claims in this forum. The content/noise ratio is generally bad, everybody knows it and (usually) finds some way to deal with it. Posted by: Konami | Aug 14 2025 1:35 utc | 108 Putin, a guy thousands of people in Washington obsess about for a living, is coming to the United States. A country that never seeks peace. A country that has the CIA with an operations side that assassinates foreign leaders that won’t do what the USA wants. And yet it is preposterous to propose that the CIA will assassinate Putin. Posted by: Cheney | Aug 14 2025 1:50 utc | 109 Trump publicly threatens Pootin with dire consequences if he doesn’t submit to his demands in Alaska. Posted by: Surferket | Aug 14 2025 1:54 utc | 110 Posted by: Surferket | Aug 14 2025 1:54 utc | 110 Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Aug 14 2025 2:05 utc | 111 Perhaps it’s theatre. Posted by: necromancer | Aug 14 2025 2:17 utc | 112 Or is sticking to a 1-D analysis your thang? Posted by: burak | Aug 14 2025 2:18 utc | 113 Putin, a guy thousands of people in Washington obsess about for a living, is coming to the United States. A country that never seeks peace. A country that has the CIA with an operations side that assassinates foreign leaders that won’t do what the USA wants. And yet it is preposterous to propose that the CIA will assassinate Putin. Posted by: acementhead | Aug 14 2025 2:34 utc | 114 Posted by: acementhead | Aug 14 2025 2:34 utc | 114 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 14 2025 2:36 utc | 115 Hurting Putin in any way will be war. Putin is the only person keeping Russia’s military hawks from annihilating everyone. Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 14 2025 2:41 utc | 116 I’m not sure America is a party to the ICC or ICJ. Posted by: acementhead | Aug 14 2025 2:43 utc | 117 The real reason Pootin is heading over to Alaska is to present the Order of Lenin to Trump for his services to the glory of the Russian Federation and the quelling of Deep State with the deployment of US military within the USA to subjugate the civilian population. Posted by: Suresh | Aug 14 2025 2:45 utc | 118 Posted by: acementhead | Aug 14 2025 2:43 utc | 117 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 14 2025 2:50 utc | 119 @Konami | Thu, 14 Aug 2025 01:35:00 GMT | 108
It would do a lot of posters here some good if they stopped posting for ten weeks, or ten months, or better yet ten years, go outside and touch grass. Get some perspective on their lives. Unfortunately, people are wedded to their preconceived perceptions, and will more likely double-down. Posted by: James M. | Aug 14 2025 2:52 utc | 120 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 14 2025 2:50 utc | 119 Posted by: acementhead | Aug 14 2025 3:01 utc | 121 Posted by: acementhead | Aug 14 2025 2:34 utc | 114 Posted by: Paranaense | Aug 14 2025 3:04 utc | 122 Posted by: James M. | Aug 14 2025 2:52 utc | 120 Posted by: acementhead | Aug 14 2025 3:08 utc | 123 Posted by: James M. | Aug 14 2025 2:52 utc | 120 Posted by: Paranaense | Aug 14 2025 3:15 utc | 124 I thought that was the British who did that. I read it here on MoA for the better part of a week. Posted by: acementhead | Aug 14 2025 3:15 utc | 125 @ james/Aug 13 2025 22:13 utc/ 79 Posted by: JohnGilberts | Aug 14 2025 3:16 utc | 126 @acementhead | Thu, 14 Aug 2025 03:08:00 GMT | 123
Living off your past successes heh? Kind of sad. As you know then there are multiple variables in “cost-benefit analysis”, and it isn’t so black and white in international relations.
You make my point that people are wedded to their preconceived perceptions. They start with a (usually) faulty premise, and work from there. And of course double-down with fallacies. What does a vaccine have to do with Putin’s chances of surviving the Alaska summit? It’s a non-sequitur. You certainly didn’t learn much logic, when you “worked in cost-benefit”. I question how accurate your actuary tables really were. Posted by: James M. | Aug 14 2025 3:31 utc | 127 @acementhead | Thu, 14 Aug 2025 02:43:00 GMT | 117
All states in the UN are “party” to the ICJ. The ICJ just hears cases brought to it by states suing other states, but it doesn’t have binding mechanisms.
To be a party to the Rome Statue (ICC), a state has to sign and ratify the statue. The US signed the statue, but revoked its signature later. In order for a treaty to be ratified in the US, the Senate must approve of it by a two-thirds vote (66 votes). There’s no secrecy about it. Posted by: James M. | Aug 14 2025 3:33 utc | 128 Trump is scared of being assassinated by those who have supported him.the threat is very real.they want results and if he can’t deliver he is no further use. So goodbye Donald. Posted by: Bingo | Aug 14 2025 3:44 utc | 129 Posted by: acementhead | Aug 14 2025 3:01 utc | 121 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 14 2025 3:48 utc | 130 Posted by: James M. | Aug 14 2025 3:33 utc | 128 Posted by: acementhead | Aug 14 2025 3:51 utc | 131 Boys and girls, and this is how it’s done Posted by: Newbie | Aug 14 2025 3:55 utc | 132 Someone upthread reckoned “I’m not sure America is a party to the ICC or ICJ.” I hate to sound like a tosspotty englander but this is very simple. Posted by: Debsisdead | Aug 14 2025 4:01 utc | 133 After seeing how Yassir Arafat died; how the ‘pagers’ were organized for months or years ahead, how polonium can work, how innocent bumps into a tip of an umbrella can be lethal, – I am not so sure that some other means do not exist, to make a person get sick some weeks or months later, so that a ‘natural’ cause can be posited. Posted by: fanto | Aug 14 2025 4:05 utc | 134 @ fanto | Aug 14 2025 4:05 utc | 134 Posted by: james | Aug 14 2025 4:10 utc | 135 This is a great short (2 minutes 51 seconds) segment from Patrick Henningson about how the British operate and what their approach to Russia is. How America is Britain’s catspaw, and that British and Israeli tactics overlap. Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 14 2025 4:33 utc | 136 This DW interview with Pepe Escobar has already been cited but for those who may not have seen it yet – well worth a watch: Posted by: JohnGilberts | Aug 14 2025 4:44 utc | 137 @acementhead | Thu, 14 Aug 2025 03:51:00 GMT | 131
So a non-American telling me how America “works”? Preconceived biases confirmed. Yes, the US has done some shady stuff in the past, because it could get away with it, but there are limits to even what the omnipotent US Empire can do in 2025. Offing sitting leaders of very powerful states on your own territory is beyond the pale, even for the evil US. Posted by: James M. | Aug 14 2025 5:05 utc | 138 I don’t see a point to the meeting in Alaska because neither side is desperate enough, thus, no agreement will be reached, or whatever agreement is reached will be symbolic (like, repatriate some prisoners or corpses). There’s nothing Ukraine & Co. can offer to convince Russia into a temporary ceasefire, or into peace-keeping operations, or into a no-fly zone, or any other brilliant ideas that would only postpone bringing the SMO to a permanent conclusion. Long term peace is achieved only when Ukraine’s political infrastructure is dismantled, the country is reduced to about 1/3 of its pre-SMO size, and a Lukashenko-style government & military is built. Until then, Trump’s animated little circus is inconsequential, but nobody dares tell him he’s not even its MC because it might hurt his feelings. Posted by: Spiridon | Aug 14 2025 5:42 utc | 139 Posted by: James M. | Aug 14 2025 5:05 utc | 138 Posted by: acementhead | Aug 14 2025 5:53 utc | 140 “…agreement is reached will be symbolic (like, repatriate some prisoners or corpses).” Posted by: acementhead | Aug 14 2025 5:59 utc | 141 The CIA and it’s exiled Cuban hit squads tried to assassinate Fidel Castro around 634 times. Posted by: Persona Non Grata | Aug 14 2025 6:25 utc | 142 I read somewhere that there’s no shortage of native Alaskans with a Traditional fondness for Russia. So they’ll be pleased with Putin’s visit. Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Aug 14 2025 6:28 utc | 143 Posted by: CeaClearly | Aug 13 2025 17:56 utc | 8 Posted by: Jan Sobieski | Aug 14 2025 6:35 utc | 144 Konami | Aug 14 2025 1:35 utc | 108 Posted by: Persona Non Grata | Aug 14 2025 6:38 utc | 145 Posted by: Konami | Aug 14 2025 1:35 utc | 108
Red weddings and assassinations of leaders (both domestic and foreign) have been much used expressions of power in all of recorded history. USrael is using this tool excessivly, without any negative consequences whatsoever. Both open assassinations and more ambigous covert ones are in the arsenal. Posted by: Hamburger | Aug 14 2025 7:03 utc | 146 …As I constantly wrote for years here now… Posted by: Occasional poster | Aug 14 2025 7:27 utc | 147 For the avoidance of doubt, I predict NO assassination in Alaska. Posted by: rk | Aug 14 2025 8:13 utc | 148 Alaska Peace Summit … 🇺🇸 🇷🇺 Merz you fool!
https://www.rt.com/russia/622868-russia-derails-ukraine-missile-program/ Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Aug 14 2025 8:16 utc | 150 About some cease-fire. Posted by: Savonarole | Aug 14 2025 8:18 utc | 151 “BRICS challenge to the Outlaw US Empire has nothing to do with the dollar. Rather, it’s all about standing together in sovereign solidarity against the hegemon that merits losing its hegemony so Humanity can live in peace. Trump’s opposition to BRICS proves beyond all doubt that he has no business being named a Peace Prize Candidate and instead is a War Criminal Candidate.” Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Aug 14 2025 8:22 utc | 152 And also, any talk of “observers” watching for breaches at the frozen lines must be rejected unless Russia as a say in what countries participate. None of that OSCE shit who observed the contact lines between donbass and ukraine between 2015 and 2021. They turned out to spies and failed to tell the truth about WHO was breaking the ceasefire. Observers must include China IMO. Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Aug 14 2025 8:36 utc | 153 But his murder isn’t the only possible adverse outcome of his trip to Alaska. Because you proposed such an absurd wager it is obvious that you have zero understanding of C/B analyses and probably even mathematics. Posted by: James M. | Aug 14 2025 8:46 utc | 154 I suppose it depends what authority Dmitry Suslov actually has. Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Aug 14 2025 8:51 utc | 155 @Oui | Thu, 14 Aug 2025 08:15:00 GMT | 149
Most likely outcome, with a best-case scenario having the outlines of an agreement in place. Worst-case scenario, they’ll agree to continue talking. Posted by: James M. | Aug 14 2025 8:59 utc | 156 Posted by: Debsisdead | Aug 14 2025 4:01 utc | 133 Posted by: Avtonom | Aug 14 2025 8:59 utc | 157 Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Aug 14 2025 8:51 utc | 155 Posted by: Mario | Aug 14 2025 9:10 utc | 158 From RT:
According to Russia the idea was attacking Russia with 200 missiles per month, with German money and “foreign” (Raytheon?) specialists for the production. (tass) (tass) (tass) Posted by: Passerby | Aug 14 2025 9:17 utc | 159 I expect Putin and Trump to get on well together Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Aug 14 2025 9:28 utc | 160 Recent administrations urgently need to pivot to Asia to confront the might of China and needs to take European NATO allies along in its wake … the failed #JoeBiden Operation in Ukraine is just a waste of time and assets. End the foolishness now 😊 Posted by: James M. | Aug 14 2025 8:59 utc | 156 Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Aug 14 2025 9:55 utc | 162 Based on Dima and Weeb’s latest videos, Zelensky’s refusal to order a retreat from Pokrovsk and Konstantinovka seems delusional. Like Hitler’s last days in a bunker-level delusional. Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Aug 14 2025 10:00 utc | 163 @Hamburger #146 Posted by: Apollyon | Aug 14 2025 10:13 utc | 164 amerika is a member of the united nations Posted by: snake | Aug 14 2025 10:27 utc | 165 Sun Of Alabama @ 155
Look at a map, it’s strategic not political, IOW not negotiable. Donesk and Lushank where spearheads into provoking and attacking Russia, like Crimea the overwhelmingly Russian population needed to be protected, permanently, and the only way to do that was to annex those two oblasts, but much more important they are the northern flank of the Crimea land bridge. Zaporizhzhia protects the Donbas southern flank, Kherson oblast protects the southern flank of the Crimea land bridge. Zaporizhzhia would be the NATO spearhead to split the Crimea land bridge. All utterly non negotiable. Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Aug 14 2025 10:29 utc | 166 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 14 2025 4:33 utc | 136 Posted by: English Outsider | Aug 14 2025 10:48 utc | 167 Posted by: James M. | Aug 14 2025 0:20 utc | 96 Posted by: seer | Aug 14 2025 10:49 utc | 168 – “Russia attacked gascompressor station near the romanian border” Posted by: WMG | Aug 14 2025 10:49 utc | 169 I can’t see Russia agreeing to any deal which allows rump-Ukraine to retain control of Odessa, so this meeting between Trump & Putin looks a bit premature. Maybe that’s NATO’s aim – to end it before they lose Odessa. Not sure Putin & Lavrov will fall for that, though. Posted by: D J G | Aug 14 2025 11:23 utc | 170
China delivers formal motherhood statements roughly when expected to do so … but it might also be noted they have made a lot of money selling drone parts and other little tech bits and pieces to both sides. Every extra month that NATO is tangled up in Eastern Europe is also a month that NATO leaves China alone … actually probably more than that because while NATO exhausts materials in Ukraine it will be years before it replenishes sufficiently to throw their weight around. Posted by: Tel | Aug 14 2025 11:34 utc | 171 Looking at the specs of the “Sapsan”/”Грім” missile, the impression one gets is that useful charge (explosives) was lowered until the missile could reach Moscow. Posted by: Passerby | Aug 14 2025 11:44 utc | 172
If something happens to Trump then you know Putin might get the blame for that. Some kind of numerical coded threat was issued recently … with sand in the background of all things. Posted by: Tel | Aug 14 2025 11:47 utc | 173 I expect Putin and Trump to get on well together Posted by: Menz | Aug 14 2025 11:52 utc | 174 I was sure the RF MoD and Putin knew which way is up, but having all these people in one place, on enemy turf is plain nuts. Who’s holding the fort, Shoigu? That’s my catcall from the peanut gallery:
Here’s one for all the MoA wonks: Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Aug 14 2025 11:53 utc | 175 The negotiations are all done and dusted behind-the-scenes”. The two leadeers are only in Alaska for the cameras. Posted by: Menz | Aug 14 2025 12:00 utc | 176
I will be very surprised and even apologize to you if you can find two genuine comment links saying that Putin is going to die. Posted by: Tel | Aug 14 2025 12:03 utc | 177 Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Aug 14 2025 9:55 utc | 162
Very good point! And I agree, hapless career politicians like Lula and Modi must have been gadflies to Russia. But now that they are in the crosshairs of the imperial power machine themselves, that pressure must have waned. Also Iran must finally have understood what they are up against and are probably very supportive of the SMO. And the Gaza Holocaust (plus Lebanon and Westbank) also has made the ruthless aggression of the empire much more visible. The initial pressure was certainly enormous, as you write, but by now it seems plausible to have waned to negligible background noise. Posted by: Hamburger | Aug 14 2025 12:09 utc | 178 @162, Posted by: JamesBond | Aug 14 2025 12:13 utc | 179 I was sure the RF MoD and Putin knew which way is up, but having all these people in one place, on enemy turf is plain nuts. Posted by: Naive | Aug 14 2025 12:13 utc | 180 @cckearly 8 Posted by: Sam | Aug 14 2025 12:16 utc | 181 Oui | Aug 14 2025 9:48 utc | 161 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Aug 14 2025 12:18 utc | 182
ЛОМ (LOM) is an abbreviation for “лидер общественного мнения” (=public opinion leader). Posted by: S | Aug 14 2025 12:19 utc | 183 I want to believe that they are not this naive […] Posted by: Naive | Aug 14 2025 12:19 utc | 184 Did anyone discuss this previously? Any confirmation? Posted by: Newbie | Aug 14 2025 12:24 utc | 185 The “Delegation” of the Russian Federation includes Lavrov, Belousov, Siluanov, Dmitriev and Ushakov and the Jewish-Neoliberal Trojan Horse himself… Posted by: Brigitte Mohnhaupt | Aug 14 2025 12:31 utc | 186 Posted by: Newbie | Aug 14 2025 12:24 utc | 185 Posted by: Avtonom | Aug 14 2025 12:32 utc | 187 RE: “The negotiations are all done and dusted behind-the-scenes”. The two leadeers are only in Alaska for the cameras.” Posted by: Trubind1 | Aug 14 2025 12:45 utc | 188 Naive @ 180 Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Aug 14 2025 12:47 utc | 189 Brian Berletic: Putin-Trump Summit: Minsk 3.0 at best, a trap for President Putin at Worst Posted by: JohnGilberts | Aug 14 2025 12:48 utc | 190 @188, Posted by: JamesBond | Aug 14 2025 12:50 utc | 191 Newbie | Aug 14 2025 12:24 utc | 185 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Aug 14 2025 12:51 utc | 192 Posted by: Brigitte Mohnhaupt | Aug 14 2025 12:31 utc | 186 Posted by: Paco | Aug 14 2025 12:51 utc | 193 “Land swaps”, i.e. what sovergnty controls which oblast, is all diversion and deception for media and narrative shaping. A trade corridor that includes oil and gas between Russia anf Hungary, Slovakia and Serbia is the prize. Competition from eastern Europe is anathema for the EU. Posted by: frithguild | Aug 14 2025 12:52 utc | 194 Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Aug 14 2025 8:51 utc | 155 Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Aug 14 2025 12:58 utc | 195 Posted by: Naive | Aug 14 2025 12:13 utc | 180 Posted by: Mario | Aug 14 2025 13:01 utc | 196 @James M. | 120
I love that angle. How about collecting predictions of future excuses by MoA posters why an assassination didn’t happen? lol Posted by: persiflo | Aug 14 2025 13:01 utc | 197 Newbie @ 185
PUTIN’S SUBMARINE SINKS NATO SHIP Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Aug 14 2025 13:05 utc | 198 RE: “How about collecting predictions of future excuses by MoA posters why an assassination didn’t happen? lol” Posted by: Trubind1 | Aug 14 2025 13:12 utc | 199 There are still people here talking about Odessa. Incredible .. Posted by: JamesBond | Aug 14 2025 13:19 utc | 200 |
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