News on the earthquake and tidal waves
port closures
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ObOqq1knVxs

Posted by: ld | Jul 30 2025 15:56 utc | 4

He’s a real Tariff Man,
Sitting in Mar-a-Lago land,
Slinging all his angry threats,
At everyone.
Doesn’t have a point of view.
Does what AIPAC wants him to.
Isn’t he a bit like Rubio and J.D.?
Tariff Man, don’t worry.
Take your time, don’t hurry.
The world is yours to command!
He’s as bad as he can be,
Bombs from the river to the sea,
Oh gevalt! Tyrant Man…
Promised us Mexico would pay,
Threatened Greenland and Canada, eh?
China laughed and walked away,
Oh vey! What a deal!
Threatens tariffs, then delays.
Retracts them in a daze.
Billion-dollar bluffs — we pay.
Tyrant man, don’t worry,
take your time, don’t hurry.
The world is yours to command!
He’s a real TACO Man,
Waffling on deportation plans,
Can’t decide on Ukrai-nee-stan,
Oh gevalt! What a schmekel!
Memory like a goldfish bowl,
Tweets the first thing that he knows,
Plays Deep State ball like Creepy Joe,
Is this the reason we go to the polls?

Posted by: Bibi King | Jul 30 2025 16:20 utc | 6

Posted by: Oui | Jul 30 2025 14:43 utc | 1
“Putin wants a settlement not an endless conflict.”
Where do you get that information from? Presumably the 200mm or so of whatever is between your ears. ‘Putin’ – i.e. Russia, wants a practical European security treaty, neutralisation and de-Nazification of the Ukraine, and security for Russian culture in what’s left of the Ukraine – which eventually may not be much larger than Luxembourg. As they have said, Russias war with Sweden lasted 20 years, and they are prepared to do it again. Fortunately, they won’t have to.

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jul 30 2025 17:11 utc | 8

The bubble of people foolish enough to believe Western politicians..of whatever supposed political allegiance..is getting smaller by the day.
Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Jul 30 2025 15:26 utc | 3
That is very true and pleasing to those who understand the reality. I hope those doomer misanthropes out there go mad recognizing this. Maybe they’ll decide to end it and spare us all their ridiculous loathing of humanity. The majority of people understand the situation well enough in the west. They simply don’t see a viable vehicle to escape the western whorehouse yet. And they’re right. Such a vehicle has yet to emerge.

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Jul 30 2025 17:14 utc | 10

In my lifetime …
M9.2 Alaska Earthquake and Tsunami of March 27, 1964
An omen for a historical event …

Posted by: Oui | Jul 30 2025 17:17 utc | 12

Looking at several threads, it seems that the purveyors of “concern” have returned their attention to Russian casualty figures, presumably this is because the previous target of their “concern”, the rate of Russian progress, has run into difficulties as multiple reports keep emerging of stretched/crumbling Ukrainian defensive positions.
Previously, levels of “concern” have risen whenever the latest Western wonder waffle is announced, only for the “concern” to subside once these waffles have disappeared into Schrödingers hangar, where nobody is sure whether they actually exist or not.
Perhaps excessive “concern“ should receive a government health warning, it certainly seems to detrimentally affect the attention span of those poor unfortunate sufferers, as they lock themselves into a behaviour loop of “concern” about Putin’s health, Russian shovel availability, SMO progress, the Russian economy, Russian demographics and so on and on they go, producing more repeat episodes than the BBC…
Get some new scripts folks! (You know who you are.)

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 30 2025 17:47 utc | 14

It’s been apparent for two or three years now that our defeat in Ukraine would by no means lead to the end of the wider conflict. Both the European and American components will move on to more destabilisation along the entire perimeter of the RF. I thought that the disturbances in Kazakhstan just before the SMO were part of that:-
“Looking at events in Azerbaijan, then, puts all that in context. Ukraine is but one theatre in the ring of destabilisation we’ve been trying to set on fire since long before 2022 and the Russians, in expanding their military so much, are getting ready for any other theatres that might crop up in the future. It’s not as if we in the West haven’t tried to set fires along the Russian perimeter already.
“Just before the SMO we saw the disturbances in Kazakhstan. The Russians sent in a large expeditionary force fast and put the fire out forthwith. Nevertheless, it looked at the time as if we were trying to set the RF on fire both ends at the same time.”
(From comment here, also submitted to MOA)
https://canadiandimension.com/articles/view/jousting-with-the-empire-a-review-of-walden-bellos-global-battlefields
But “suspect”, “looks as if”, aren’t exactly proof. One needs more than that. I think I find that here. At 50 minutes Alastair Crooke sets out an authoritative summary of Western intentions along the Russian perimeter.
Crooke is a scrupulous analyst and acknowledges that his knowledge of some of the events mentioned is incomplete. But allowing for that, what he does know sets out the picture. We’re in for the mixture as before.
It’s being pointed out that Trump has fooled many of those who hoped he’d put an end to these forever wars. Many of us, I should say, because I’d also hoped Trump would do just that. In fact as far as foreign policy goes he’s a re-run of the Biden administration. So I plead guilty to naivety but also plead exonerating circumstances. He was the only Western politician who at least made the right noises at the time.
Crooke, earlier on in that video, makes the point that Trump’s heading for a lame duck Presidency. The PR requirements of US political faction fighting will therefore lead to the deaths of many more thousands. What’s new, is all one can say on that.

Posted by: English Outsider | Jul 30 2025 17:49 utc | 16

Could be noisy again tonight:

Ukraine is being attacked by enemy drones: where they are flying from
The Russians on July 30, in the evening launched attack drones in Ukraine. They were recorded in several regions
This is reported by RegioNews with reference to the map of air alerts and the air forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Telegram.
As of 20: 00, an air alert was issued in Chernihiv, Sumy, Poltava, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Mykolaiv and Kherson regions.
According to the Air Force:
a group of drones in the Kharkiv region is flying south / west;
a group of drones in Chernihiv region is flying south;
a group of drones in the Sumy region is flying south;
a group of drones in the north of the Poltava region is flying in a southerly direction;
a group of drones in the Kherson region is flying West.

https://regionews.ua/ukr/news/ukraine/1753897503-ukrayinu-atakuyut-vorozhi-droni-zvidki-letyat (via translation add-on.)
Of course, none of our pet purveyors of “concern“ ever express any “concern” over the sheer lack of effective Ukrainian air defence, reduced in most regions to limited amounts of machine-gun fire.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 30 2025 18:11 utc | 18

In memory of Russell “Texas” Bentley! Cheers!

Posted by: BlindSpot | Jul 30 2025 18:47 utc | 20

[R]eports intensify on Russia taking the region and, at some point, the city of Pokrovsk in eastern Ukraine. When that happens, key supply routes will be cut off to the Ukrainian army which will allow Russian forces to advance quickly to take neighbouring regions. The goons in the Pentagon have obviously told Trump this which is why he hasn’t got 50 days before NATO will possibly suffer its greatest humiliation to date which could spark a crisis of confidence among many of its members.
https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/07/30/the-real-reason-why-trump-scrapped-his-own-50-day-deadline-for-putin/
So it goes – from one farcical US mis-step to another farcical US mis-step. Even given that they are losing terminally, how can the clowns in Washington refrain from hysterical laughter?

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jul 30 2025 19:23 utc | 22

🇺🇸🏴‍☠️🇺🇦🇪🇺👉🇷🇺 A couple of Republican senators have drafted a bill that will define the mechanism for continuing U.S. military aid to Ukraine.
A new fund will be created, into which European countries will invest money. This fund will finance the production of weapons to replenish the U.S. Army’s stockpiles, while Ukraine will receive weapons from existing warehouse supplies. The fund will be managed by the Secretary of Defense. It is expected that European countries, primarily Germany and the UK, will provide between 5 and 8 billion dollars annually.
The senators say that overall the White House supports the bill.
hoperhis is made public to the citizens, these countriesgoung to go bankrupt even quicker.

Posted by: Jo | Jul 30 2025 19:30 utc | 24

@ English Outsider | Jul 30 2025 17:49 utc | 16
thanks eo… that is an excellent and much longer comment you’ve left on the link at canadian dimension which i encourage others to read… of course the book looks good too, but your response on that thread really stands out.. thanks for that..

Posted by: james | Jul 30 2025 19:43 utc | 26

Forgot the key link! 50 minutes here:-
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bYv-ZMKkGCo

Posted by: English Outsider | Jul 30 2025 19:59 utc | 28

Re: “bouquet” of Geraniums launched earlier, some sources are reporting at least some are the jet-powered Geran-3 version, with a much higher speed and longer range.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 30 2025 20:04 utc | 30

@ Patroklos | Jul 30 2025 20:05 utc | 31
lol.. i can’t tell if you are trying to be funny, or you’re being sarcastic, but yes – lets both tell b about it.. it is from 22 days ago, but it is still quite relevant… cheers..

Posted by: james | Jul 30 2025 20:20 utc | 32

The West is painfully thinking about how to quickly eliminate Zelensky – without the collapse of the front and civil chaos
The crazed Zelensky became more difficult to manage, so the West decided to carefully change him to another puppet.
This was stated on the Belta channel by Kiev publicist Andrei Vajra, who was forced to move to St. Petersburg after the 2014 coup, the PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“The Western masters of Ukraine, they are no longer satisfied with Zelensky. The guy has completely lost consciousness, is trying to get out of control, the guy has big problems with his head.
It’s one thing that the president of Moldova has big problems with his head, which is hard to see on the map, and another thing is that the president of Ukraine has problems with his head, in which the West has invested and is trying to rely on him in the fight against Russia. They need a different character, in a more adequate mental state and, of course, manageable.
And so it went. Zelensky understands this perfectly, hence his retaliatory strike against all these structures of the west inside the country, ” Vajra said.
“The West is faced with the task of conducting the operation to eliminate Zelensky as carefully as possible. As carefully as possible, because they are well aware that if everything is done carelessly, then this is a direct road to civil war, a war of all against all in Ukraine. Eliminate the central authority, and off you go.
And then they lose all control of the situation. Imagine the chaos in Ukraine, which means, first of all, the collapse of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This means that the Russian army will move forward without any resistance. That is, it’s just the collapse of everything there, ” he concluded.

https://politnavigator.news/zapad-muchitelno-dumaet-kak-bystro-ustranit-zelenskogo-bez-obrusheniya-fronta-i-grazhdanskogo-khaosa.html (via translation add-on.)
This guy “gets it” regarding the possibility of internal Ukrainian collapse into civil war/turmoil. Discussions in earlier threads about the fate of Odessa, or indeed Kiev itself, may well hinge upon the internal situation and not primarily on outside intervention.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 30 2025 20:25 utc | 34

“Anti-Russia Sanctions Ultimatum Will Blow Up in US’ Face: Jeffrey Sachs Explains Why.”
https://sputnikglobe.com/20250730/anti-russia-sanctions-ultimatum-will-blow-up-in-us-face-jeffrey-sachs-explains-why-1122518050.html
Booom!

Posted by: Naive | Jul 30 2025 20:41 utc | 36

What’s happened to Military Summary channel? Are the English and Russian presenters on their holidays?

Posted by: Pete Jones | Jul 30 2025 20:44 utc | 38

Posted by: Pete Jones | Jul 30 2025 20:44 utc | 38
The author (Dima) announced he was going to take a 10-day holiday break.
He deserves it – been at it for like 3 years and 5 months straight.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Jul 30 2025 20:47 utc | 40

Bloody Ukrainian Scam: Zelensky and His Close Circle Profit by Exploiting Disabled Veterans and Taking Part in Their Extermination by Lucas Leiroz – July 29, 2025

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Jul 30 2025 20:49 utc | 42

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Jul 30 2025 15:26 utc | 3
Strange, the Russians do. I think you should have said superior operational art, which would have been less polemical and more accurate.
https://www.militarystrategymagazine.com/exclusives/smart-weapons-dumb-assumptions-western-strategic-delusions-meet-industrial-reality-in-ukraine/
Superb article that is a possible indicator that the analysts and academics, who never believed in the woke way of war, are beginning to break free from the loosening grip of the globalist bullies, who demanded everyone follow the narrative, or else. They sense that the war is coming to an end, that the bullshit merchants, who slashed their respective militaries and its economic base, are clearly now on the back foot.

Posted by: Milites | Jul 30 2025 21:17 utc | 44

Syrsky not exactly covering himself with glory:

Syrsky was ridiculed in Ukraine after his words about the need to transfer the training of the Ukrainian Armed Forces “underground”
The Ukrainian command has once again proven that the system of training grounds in Ukraine is organized with an ineradicable belief in the total “blindness” of Russian intelligence. If the enemy has apparently solved the problem with formations in the frontline zone, then its training at the training grounds is such that it allows our troops to zero out entire units. This happened in the Chernihiv region. There, as the Russian Defense Ministry previously reported, the enemy’s losses after the Iskander strike amounted to about 200 servicemen.
After this attack and after yet another round of critical arrows aimed at him from a number of Verkhovna Rada MPs, it “came to the attention of the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Syrsky that Russian intelligence has eyes, ears, and other “organs” that allow it to detect activity at the training grounds and quickly transmit data to the strike forces. rocket parts. After this “realization,” Syrsky stated literally the following:
He noted the strict observance of safety requirements at training grounds and in training centers. In the risk zone of enemy missile strikes and drones – all of Ukraine. Therefore, the educational process should be transferred underground as much as possible. React to air raid sirens and the appearance of reconnaissance aircraft. drones needed immediately!
So, Ukrainian recruits and foreign mercenaries will now be trained underground?
After this, Syrsky was ridiculed by his opponents in Ukraine itself, who suggested imagining how tankers or FPV drone operators could be trained “underground”:
“And how will they learn to control drones? At least take the drone out of the dugout to launch it. Or is this, according to Syrsky’s logic, unnecessary? Then what should they do?”
“Silly words of Syrsky. I see how the crew tank sits in a bunker and learns to conduct a maneuverable battle. And when they sit in a real tank on a real battlefield, they will understand that everything is wrong and everything is not right.”
In this regard, one recalls Vitali Klitschko’s catchphrase about the “need to prepare for the land.”

https://en.topwar.ru/268947-syrskogo-na-ukraine-vysmejali-posle-ego-slov-o-neobhodimosti-perevesti-obuchenie-vsu-pod-zemlju.html

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Jul 30 2025 21:30 utc | 46

Also, the linked article, while interesting, fails to diagnose the failures entirely accurately in my view, or at least only in part. The primary error is not strategy, as making Europe help prop up the dollar through energy and arms sales is at least part of the aim here…although NATO and especially the US is a peacock farm of mediocrities.. but rather one of a society so oriented towards profiteering that it can only assemble 12 missiles per year.
This suggests the problems are primarily structural and economic not military in nature and certainly not due to some ‘liberal way of warfighting’ nonsense. Meanwhile, Trump struts around the globe threatening nation states with this limp dick. The US is stuck unable to burn any sacred cows – leaving it paralyzed unable to properly adjust to the changing realities. The US-led globalist oligarchy will always choose itself over doing the right thing.

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Jul 30 2025 21:48 utc | 48

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Jul 30 2025 21:48 utc | 48
#######
Hence why the only way reform is possible is to start over after a collapse, as the Chinese and Russians did.
Trump is doing the only thing the US can do these days. It is too ossified, its economic and military advantages have been overcome, and its society is fractured.
If America were a pet, the best thing to do would be to put it down.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jul 30 2025 22:05 utc | 50

If you’re out of bullets and not feeling too good, you may try to bluff your way out of a conflict.
The problem for Trump and America at large is that since he lost in 2020, the ROW is no longer intimidated or impressed.
Everyone knows he is out of bullets.
He has no choice but to pretend he is the baddest MOFO ever. It’s hard to watch because it requires him to say the most ridiculous things.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jul 30 2025 22:11 utc | 52

Jams O’Donnell@8
Russia is experiencing a MIC driven economy (which the US has been practicing since WWII).
It’s economy grew 4% each of the last two years.
US/NATO is being depleted and is overextended – Ukraine contributed to the failure in Iran (the demands for the 30 days ceasefire give an interesting insight into how long the Iran operation was originally meant to take, and the ceasefire “ultimatum” suggests desperation for a retry that is blocked on Ukraine).
And in the case that US/NATO started having the upper hand, China will ensure that Russia prevails.
So why would Putin want this to end?

Posted by: ArmChairGeneral | Jul 30 2025 22:41 utc | 54

Posted by: malenkov | Jul 30 2025 18:34 utc | 207 (yesterday’s Zalushny thread)
… the “recrudescence” of Nazism …
OMG! Word of the week! Just beautiful! Thank you!

Posted by: Bozo Baggins | Jul 30 2025 22:48 utc | 56

As B and others have noted, Europe’s final denouement was accepting their position in the global order by transitioning from vassal to the 51st state.
But flip the analysis around and look at it from the USA’s POV: we now have the green light and support from one of the globe’s top rank economic zones to proceed with a complete take over of all energy sources in the Americas.
Yes, that means incorporating Canada as the 52nd state, and adding Greenland as a territory.
Once this is complete, take a satellite view of how earth will be organized into 3 powerful blocks, in essence US/EU vs RU/CN.
From this basic alignment, global politics could be fixed for another 100 years, perhaps the equal of Waterloo to WW1.

Posted by: Markw | Jul 30 2025 22:59 utc | 58

Posted by: I forgot | Jul 30 2025 22:10 utc | 51
Please, this isn’t the ST’s Day of the Dove’ episode, I know enough about my fellow man, and have lived in enough countries and cultures to freely admit that I don’t need any artificial excuses to not like some people, and to fundamentally disagree with their world view. The idea that ‘The Man’ is causing this lack of harmony (the original intent of the ST episode mentioned) is, IMHO, an attempt to shield or deny the reality of human existence.
Woke has a clearly defined history that was systematically changed so that the original meaning was politicised and trivialised. As such it’s a perfect adjective for any who seek to do the same to any tradition, enterprise or entity. It’s seemingly only devisive when those targeted recognise this fact and react, using the term pejoratively.
Posted by: Markw | Jul 30 2025 22:59 utc | 58
I doubt they would even last for a decade due to the rapid advances in technologies, which will not be equally distributed amongst the blocks. I’d also suggest that the RU/CH block is not a given, whatever the situation may be now.
I do though agree that the globalist takeover is ending, if not over, and that countries leaders will gradually gravitate back to that founding idea that their primary responsibility is to the well being of their own citizens and the security of their nation, without resorting to novel interpretations of these key duties.

Posted by: Milites | Jul 30 2025 23:49 utc | 60

I agree 100% with the last line in LoveDonbass’ comment at #50

Posted by: ScreamingMonk | Jul 31 2025 0:43 utc | 62

Sufficient unto the are the headlines.
The Kyiv Independent
‘Each new ultimatum is a threat’ — Russia responds to Trump’s shortened Ukraine deal deadline
7 hours ago
CBC
Trump is threatening Putin with a tighter ceasefire deadline. Russia is shrugging
Yesterday
The Globe and Mail
Opinion: Ukraine needs support, not deadlines
14 hours ago
Bloomberg
Oil Holds Gain as Trump’s Russia Deadline Raises Supply Concerns
Yesterday

Posted by: Laurence | Jul 31 2025 0:52 utc | 64

To beat the swamp, be like the swamp, but never be the swamp.
Posted by: Milites | Jul 31 2025 0:46 utc | 63
#######
So, to “beat” the swamp, we should starve children to death and sex traffic teenagers out of our Mar-a-Lago mansion?

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jul 31 2025 1:03 utc | 66

Key traits of Narcissistic Personality Disorder include:
Exaggerated sense of self-importance
Constant need for admiration
Lack of empathy for others
Unreasonable expectations of special treatment
Exploitation of others for personal gain
Intense envy and belief that others are envious of them

Posted by: George | Jul 31 2025 1:09 utc | 68

Posted by: snake | Jul 31 2025 2:18 utc | 69
But they also have a choice to accept the Red or the Blue pill, something many concerned Americans on here somehow manage to do.

Posted by: George | Jul 31 2025 2:24 utc | 70

NATO doesn’t want to push Russia back – that’s Ukraine’s wish.
NATO wants a long dragged out war.

Posted by: Owl Xerxes | Jul 31 2025 4:07 utc | 72

Posted by: Owl Xerxes | Jul 31 2025 4:07 utc | 72
#######
Exactly. The more they talk about peace, the more they build everything upon continued war.
The Empire of Lies.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jul 31 2025 4:48 utc | 74

Why would Hamas lie to us, right?
Posted by: Paranaense | Jul 31 2025 4:49 utc | 75
Why would Israel fabricate compromising `pro Palestinian’ shit and ship it out to their lackeys in the social media and blog communities, eh. Constant streams of that on X from Oct 7, ’23.

Posted by: Laurence | Jul 31 2025 4:59 utc | 76

Cerebral palsy is caused by abnormal development or damage to the parts of the brain that control movement, balance, and posture.[1][4] Most often, the problems occur during pregnancy, but may occur during childbirth or shortly afterwards.[1] — Wikipedia
No such problems in Gaza though. Everything’s Paranaense.

Posted by: Laurence | Jul 31 2025 5:17 utc | 78

Methylmercury is formed from inorganic mercury by the action of microbes that live in aquatic systems including lakes, rivers, wetlands, sediments, soils and the open ocean.[5] This methylmercury production has been primarily attributed to anaerobic bacteria in the sediment.[6] — Wikipedia
Nothing like that could happen in Paranaense Gaza.

Posted by: Laurence | Jul 31 2025 5:21 utc | 80

There is irony in the dumbest and most deluded pedophiles (MAGA) in the world trying to gaslight others with hasbara.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jul 31 2025 5:26 utc | 82

…well known Zionist collaborators, the New York Times”.
New York Times Invents ‘Sexual Assault’ #MeToo Case To Blame China https://www.moonofalabama.org/2021/11/new-york-times-invents-sexual-assault-case-to-blame-china.html
Spain Debunks Russiagate like New York Times Letter Bomb Story https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/01/spain-debunks-russiagate-like-new-york-times-letter-bomb-story.html
Not News But A Juicy Collection Of Narratives – How The New York Times Failed Its Readers https://www.moonofalabama.org/2020/10/not-news-but-a-juicy-collection-of-narratives-how-the-new-york-times-failed-its-readers.html

To Paranaense | Jul 27 2025 21:54 utc | 38
To Steve from oz | Jul 27 2025 22:20 utc | 41
Pls. see my remark above.
Posted by: Barrel Brown | Jul 28 2025 0:30 utc | 55

Developed by Daniel Bethlehem when Legal Adviser to first Netanyahu’s government and then Blair’s, the Bethlehem Doctrine is

Lol. See my remark above. The Z team is pissed.

Posted by: Laurence | Jul 31 2025 5:34 utc | 84

“Four different stories involving Iran in some nefarious affairs were published last week. They have all one thing in common. There is actually no proof that Iran was or is involved in any of these. On Tuesday the Financial Times ran a st https://www.moonofalabama.org/2013/01/its-blame-iran-week.html
[Post by b | January 12, 2013 at 13:56 | 26 Comments ]

Posted by: Laurence | Jul 31 2025 5:51 utc | 86

Better let b know that English Outsider posted. Wouldn’t want to miss reposting such sage insight.
Posted by: Patroklos | Jul 30 2025 20:05 utc | 31
********************
I generally like and appreciate your comments.
Bitterness does not become you – please think before tarnishing your record.

Posted by: General Factotum | Jul 31 2025 6:24 utc | 88

Found and food for thought.
.
Slavyangrad
What to expect after the fall of Pokrovsk:
Pokrovsk, or rather Krasnoarmeisk, will not remain under the control of the Dills for much longer. The real question now is: “What’s next?”
As many probably already know, Pokrovsk and Myrnograd are the last strongholds of the AFU in the southern DPR. And by “last,” we mean it. They have been fortified since 2014, and apart from a few improvised fortifications, nothing remains, as the Dills never considered the remote possibility that the Russians could advance that far, let alone break through.
What comes after Pokrovsk and Myrnograd? We can expect a “blooming” of the front line the likes of which we probably haven’t seen since early 2022. The loss of Pokrovsk and Myrnograd effectively spells the end of the AFU presence in southern Donbass and opens the way to the eastern side of the Dnieper, where geography and the lack of fortifications will give the Russians a free hand.
All well and good? Not really.
A collapse of the front line would completely shatter the Western narrative that Ukraine is “still holding out” and further accelerate the collapse of the Bandera dictatorship. We can already speak of a second Battle of Kyiv in the not-too-distant future. And that’s precisely what will make the situation so dangerous.
We’re entering uncharted territory, with a triumphant RUAF and the unholy trinity of the Ukrobanderist regime, EUNATO, and Trump panicking. And panic is a damned bad advisor, because it causes people to completely disregard reason and act incredibly stupidly—not to mention that the intelligentsia left the Western leadership long ago.
The Ukrobanders: They don’t want their “Ukrainian state” (which never existed until 1920) to be dissolved and will do anything to drag the US and Europe into the war, because as it stands, it’s their only chance of survival.
The EU-NATO: Their leadership has always viewed this war as a golden opportunity to concentrate as much power as possible in Brussels and establish the “United States of Europe.” They have invested so much political capital and propaganda in this war that an undeniable defeat will most likely awaken their sleeping population and realize that they have been ruled all along by shamelessly lying, warmongering hacks. This conflict in Ukraine never threatened the survival of the EU and NATO until they decided it did, and now they have their own mess to deal with. Little Lord Flauntlecron and “Butt Raider” Starmer could well do something truly stupid, like sending troops into western Ukraine, particularly Odessa, as they did in 1917. The idea of Russia controlling Odessa and most of the northern Black Sea coast is too terrifying for perfidious Albion and France to even consider.
And finally, there’s Trump: desperately yearning for a victory he has so far eluded, perhaps realizing far too late that he has cornered himself by his own stupidity and by caving to the neoconservatives. His main goal right now is almost certainly to avoid an “Afghanistan scenario,” especially since such a scenario early in his presidency would ultimately destroy the country. Nor is Ukraine Afghanistan, where the US could get away relatively unscathed with only minor reputational damage. The US has invested so much in its project that a complete defeat of Ukraine would be a fatal blow to unipolarity—especially because it would signal to the entire world that the US is a toothless tiger when it comes to imposing its will on countries that are its militarily and economically equal. In many ways, this isn’t “Joe Biden’s War,” but “America’s War.”
We have three rooms full of people who will soon panic, and as stated, panicky people are extremely dangerous and unpredictable. The fall and winter of 2025 will be anything but “cool.”
@Slavyangrad

Posted by: Beobachter II | Jul 31 2025 7:55 utc | 90

Happy Chasov Yar liberation day!

Posted by: Yadro | Jul 31 2025 8:01 utc | 92

We are again basically in the same situation as it was in 2001. US & its western vassals are again with “You are either with me or against me”. Another so called “deal” was signed today with South Korea. Another completely one sided deal from the Asian vassals (as if it was any surprise anymore). I’m expecting the same outcome from Canada soon.
The trade warfare that US is waging against BRICS is the best example today (of the mentality with us or against us).
If BRICS nations cannot work as a functional block now, they will be picked apart one by one. India should grow a spine and show if they can be a reliable partner or not to BRICS

Posted by: JamesBond | Jul 31 2025 8:24 utc | 94

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jul 31 2025 8:00 utc | 91
The topography there always made it more difficult and they had dug in a prepared since Bakhmut, even Soledar.
Pokrovske is easier by comparison and then its a straight line along the M-30 to Dnipro. It’s quite impressive how much ground has been taken since Avdivka and places like Vuhledar which were also tough nuts to crack.

Posted by: George | Jul 31 2025 8:28 utc | 96

Posted by: Melaleuca | Jul 31 2025 8:28 utc | 95
Denial is just another psychological defence mechanism of the human ego. It seems to be widespread in the US government, congress, and the US media, but it certainly will not help in winning this war. Denial is another word for delusion.

Posted by: George | Jul 31 2025 8:33 utc | 98

Beobachter II | 90
The obvious fault lines in the south are Pokrovsk first, the Dniepr second – which is indefensible but looks tempting. Historically stable borders were rarely on rivers though but usually on watershed lines for logistical reasons. I don’t see the Dniepr as a viable stop line. Defense requires at least enough buffer for pipe artillery, MLRS and battlefield drones – 150-200km. The river should be crossed by the LOC at nearly 90 degrees.
I interpret the restarted Russion efforts in Zaporischtia as an effort to first capture the whole province but also to ensure a deep bridgehead on the western side of the river. The obvious strategic view now will be on Pawlograd, Dnipro and Kamiansk.
After that the next strategic line would be Poltawa, Krementschug, Mykolajev. Krementschug is critical because of the hydro plant and the massive reservoir behind it.
There either UKR collapses entirely or peace has to be made. Peace would only work on a line Sumy – Tscherkassy – Uman.
I don’t think Lavrov would think a landlocked Ukraine to be a historically stable configuration so not sure how Odessa would be treated. As western guarantees aren’t worth the paper these days it has to be a militarily enforced border/LOC. The question is if a neutered UKR is acceptable if they still shoot drones at Moscow.
Currently and with NATO developing supersonic long range cruise missiles with 4500km range there is no safe distance any more. Without a new INF treaty there is only permanent stand-off war where the world looks like 1984 until resources run out.
Russia would be well advised to take that thorn out of it’s side for good but has to be aware of overextension. It might be smarter to play the long game and fracture EU and NATO. The fault lines here are the former eastern countries with Slavic influence: Romania, Bulgaria, Moldavia, and former Yugoslavia. Hungary would probably also defect to BRICS over a failing EU at some point.
Energy deals should be the unltimate leverage here. Energy deals would be tricky though if standoff weapons can take out pipelines on either side with just a click on the map or sabotage – endless dirty war.

Posted by: SOS | Jul 31 2025 9:00 utc | 100