Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
June 16, 2025
Tic-Toc Thread On The War On Iran – 2

Machine translated from Hebrew:

Yossi Melman @yossi_melman – 5:50 UTC · Jun 15, 2025

The euphoria was brief. On Friday morning, I asked if it was even necessary to start a war with the Iranians. Shiites are historically willing to suffer. I mentioned their willingness to sacrifice as demonstrated in the 8 years of attrition with Iraq. I recommend that we cut our losses. Ask Trump to stop the scramble for a reasonable agreement. Otherwise, we’ll end up begging for a cease-fire and Iran will refuse.

Yossi Melman @yossi_melman – 6:22 UTC · Jun 16, 2025

There is no one to stop the madness. Ariel Kahana, political commentator for Israel Hayom, writes about Israel’s response plan to attack population centers: The IDF will announce in the coming hours an evacuation order for neighborhoods in Tehran. After that, the air force will bring down buildings, similar to what Israel did in Beirut.

Comments

I think that nathanyahu is already feeling that he and the jews are in a glass-roofed house. Israel is too congested.
When will Iraq and Syria joins in the attacks is another question.

Posted by: ostro | Jun 16 2025 13:08 utc | 101

If this true – it lets the Iranian’s plot their targets – the Zionists probably have something similar.
“Iran has a 3D model of the city of Tel Aviv, including all target banks with the smallest and critical details that will be hit in the coming days.”
https://nitter.poast.org/MonitorX99800/status/1934330584634909161#m

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Jun 16 2025 13:09 utc | 102

Posted by: laguerre | Jun 16 2025 12:46 utc | 86
The Israeli myth is busted.

Good line. Most of Israel’s posture vis-a-vis neighbors and the world is MYTH. Mythological nukes, mythological ‘Sampson’ option, mythological ‘Iron dome’, mythological Jewish intelligence, all of it chutzpah!

His general line was that the Israel/US plan was to use what used to be called ‘shock and awe’ to regime change Iran, but it was poorly thought out, and Iranian national resistance has only been increased.

Why has the Cuban communist government survived 6 decades despite widespread poverty and sustained aggression by a giant neighbor? Because of nationalism. Nationalism is the strongest political force. Liberals want to destroy it of course. The Iranians are held together by the same glue, nationalism, which is a force that is grossly under-estimated.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Jun 16 2025 13:10 utc | 103

Calling others cowards while typing self-righteous admonitions on internet fora.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Jun 16 2025 12:58 utc | 93
Speaking of…how many Gulf Monarchy states have lifted a finger for Gaza?

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 16 2025 13:11 utc | 104

If true its unbelievable – well its the Zionists we’re talking about – I guess we can’t put anything past these monsters.
https://nitter.poast.org/MonitorX99800/status/1934565843842769021#m

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Jun 16 2025 13:12 utc | 105

tobias cole | Jun 16 2025 12:47 utc | 87
The Americans like their hangar queens. They also like manicured runways. All Iran has to do is make the manicured runways a little messy and the hangar queens dont come out to play.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jun 16 2025 13:13 utc | 106

https://x.com/MenchOsint/status/1934576462130024914
MenchOsint @MenchOsint
How many Anti-Ballistic Missile Systems’ interceptor did Israel use in the past 3 days to try counter Iranian Ballistic missiles ?
1 x THAAD missile costs around $12.6 million.
1 x Arrow-3 missile costs around $6 million.
500 would be a low estimate.
https://x.com/AJEnglish/status/1934543976490553585
Al Jazeera English @AJEnglish
Iran’s air defence batteries have been firing overnight in the capital Tehran to counter a fourth night of Israeli strikes. Iranian officials say Israeli attacks have killed more than 224 people, including 70 women and children.
https://x.com/tparsi/status/1934460196421804239
Trita Parsi @tparsi
Western pundits for the past 1.5 years: Hamas started the war & therefore bears the responsibility for civilian deaths.
Western pundits for the past 1.5 days: Israel started the war with Iran, and if Iran retaliates, they bear responsibility for civilian deaths.

Posted by: michaelj72 | Jun 16 2025 13:13 utc | 107

Vile cowardly Zionists – who fled Zio-Land (occupied Palestine) – landed in Paris – and were met with Free Palestine chants, this is what happened next.
https://nitter.poast.org/MonitorX99800/status/1934565033192616143#m

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Jun 16 2025 13:16 utc | 108

Where to go? Maybe the masterplan is to depopulate a place (Ukraine) to make room for some unwanted religious freaks… Hey, look, a squirrel!! Oh, in the meantime we found some very old religious scrolls in a cave in Odessa!

Posted by: Asian Frog | Jun 16 2025 13:19 utc | 109

Attacks on Haifa; the reservoirs of which represent the location of 80% of the fuel used by IOF warplanes, shows that these hits could also be one of the reasons for Israel blocking all civil excape flights from Ben Gurion airport. (to save fuel) The incoming US (and UK, French?) and other tanker fleets, by flying out of Akrotiri most probably are for IOF warplane support. Are the IOF still flying out of Cyprus?
***
AD. It is now confirmed that the Israeli’s have been supplying AD and mercenaries to Ukraine. I wonder what the Russians think of Israel actively supporting Zelensky against them? I also think that Russian aid to Iran may now be a bit more forthcoming, because of that.

Posted by: Stonebird | Jun 16 2025 13:19 utc | 110

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 16 2025 13:11 utc | 104
6.
While you have done nothing for Gaza except type messages for internet fora.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Jun 16 2025 13:22 utc | 111

Can’t confirm – but if true no more visits from the IAEA and the Israeli puppet Rafael Grossi
“Iranian Parliament have just voted to withdraw from Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.”

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Jun 16 2025 13:22 utc | 112

@DunGroanin | Jun 16 2025 10:27 utc | 7
You claim that the angloamericans lost their control of Persia etc
have you ever considered the fact that the same anglosaxons, with their Muslim Brotherhood middlemen actually brought about the islamist revolution in Iran.
The shah was too independent and was opting for industrial development and aiming to have ties to both east and west.
While the shah was heavily dependent on the anglosaxons and their Mossad assistants he was less blind to the opportunities with win-win, than the liberal governments in the west.
I dont see any anglosaxons ever mention that and when other posters bring it up anglosaxons mostly look the other way dont they?
The leftist’s do so for ideological reasons. The shah has to be a bad stooge of the capitalist side.
But many who post here dont seem to be genuine leftists.
There was also the Collaboration between west germany France the USSR and Japan with a new financial system on condition of development where the anglosaxons always prevent it.
I never hear the very active anglosaxons ever mention that either.
I dont know if it is because of ignorance or because you have to admit that your empire is the universal cause of all things that have gone wrong with the world.
None of which may be blamed on the jewish partner who is now continuing what comes naturally for anglosaxons. Killing the indigineous host and taking its land.
Rich jews would not be able to fund anything important if it was against the imperial interests.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Jun 16 2025 13:24 utc | 113

“Vile cowardly Zionists – who fled Zio-Land (occupied Palestine) – landed in Paris – and were met with Free Palestine chants, this is what happened next.”
Political indoctrination has made good Nazis of all and sundry it seems.
I feel no empathy at all. If anyone has deserved a good licking, it is these contemptible people.

Posted by: g wiltek | Jun 16 2025 13:25 utc | 114

Apollyon #11. I translate that to: Russia won’t lift a finger. Too many dual Izzy-Ruskies and perhaps some Rottchild grip on Russian banks shorties. Alas.

Posted by: Formerly Miss Lacy | Jun 16 2025 13:28 utc | 115

#2
Israel can’t do to Tehran what was done to Beirut without significant inside infiltration. This will be a test of Iranian society and solidarity.And a chance to root out some traitors.
It’s already started, see:
https://t.me/NewEasternOutlook_EU/952
🇮🇱🚀🇮🇷 Israeli Spike anti-tank missiles discovered in Iran
🔴 These armed launchers were used by Mossad agents to attack Iranian air defense systems and radars.
🔴 These launchers were apparently controlled remotely via the internet.
and:
🇮🇱📦🇮🇷The discovery of a workshop for the production of drones and explosives, organized by Mossad agents, is reported.
https://t.me/NewEasternOutlook_EU/953

Posted by: Barofsky | Jun 16 2025 13:29 utc | 116

“Iranian Parliament have just voted to withdraw from Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.”
Posted by: Republicofscotland | Jun 16 2025 13:22 utc | 112
If true, they’re moving far faster than I thought they’d move:

We’re getting closer to the point where israel will be desperate enough to try a nuclear attack on Teheran.
It’s crucial that Iran now:
1. Announce that if israel doesn’t stop all attacks on Iran, Iran will withdraw from the npt.
2. Withdraw from the JCPOA.
3. Withdraw from the Additional Voluntary safeguards it agreed to as part of the npt.
4. Withdraw from the NPT and expel the IAEA.
5. Revoke the Fatwa
6. Perform an underground test of a nuclear device.
7. Announce the test of a delivery vehicle.
Preferably in that order and at intervals of three days …
Posted by: Arch Bungle | Jun 14 2025 12:42 utc | 30

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Jun 16 2025 13:30 utc | 117

Posted by: Eighthman | Jun 16 2025 13:00 utc | 96 “How many missiles does Iran have and how many can they produce in what timeframe?”
I looked back at information more than 3 months or so old and the number for what the estimate of what they have was somewhere about 2,000 to 3,000 but nothing broke out how many had the capability to reach Israel.
As to what their production is, it’s less than it was a week ago, but given what the Houthis are doing, clearly will stay above 0.
Those numbers given for Hezbollah were fantasy.

Posted by: ed4 | Jun 16 2025 13:31 utc | 118

According to this the US has sent 24 aerial refuelling tankers to West Asia, why so many? is the US getting ready to fully get involved in the illegal war against Iran?
https://nitter.poast.org/MonitorX99800/status/1934434765169455366#m

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Jun 16 2025 13:32 utc | 119

Not seeing too many satellite photos from the “commercial” providers showing Israeli airfields, or Haifa port facilities, or the IDF headquarters in Tel Aviv.
For some strange reason Maxar and their ilk don’t appear interested in taking anyone’s money for those photos.
Can’t imagine why…..

Posted by: Yeah, Right | Jun 16 2025 13:32 utc | 120

Stonebird | Jun 16 2025 13:19 utc | 110
Russian intel would have been aware of that for sometime. Publicly, little will change. Many visits to the Islamic republic by Shoigu in the past year or so.
Little Iran is both the bait and the trap.
According to Reuters, the mighty German battleships are now steaming towards their destination and destiny.
Just a matter of waiting a few days.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jun 16 2025 13:33 utc | 121

How will Israel, the West, react when Iran starts issuing evacuation orders for cities in Israel so they can destroy them?

Posted by: Marvin | Jun 16 2025 13:37 utc | 122

I wonder what Israeli scientists and dual citizen jewish scientists in the west think about the recurrent murders of their Iranian counterparts.
It would seem to me that they ought to very much fear retribution.
I dont know if they have critisized this phenomenon.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Jun 16 2025 13:37 utc | 123

While you have done nothing for Gaza except type messages for internet fora.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Jun 16 2025 13:22 utc | 111
And attended some protests. Which is a hell of a lot more than Gulf Kingdoms with billions of dollars and a regional presence have done.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 16 2025 13:38 utc | 124

Iran shouldn’t cave. Keep hitting them. Only stop when they agree to a Two State solution!
Posted by: Trew | Jun 16 2025 10:26 utc | 6
As of yesterday, Per IRGC aerospace force, Iran won’t stop until Israel is annihilated.
God willing, Israel soon to be Wasrael.

Posted by: Mary | Jun 16 2025 13:38 utc | 125

Israel Attacks Farabi Hospital in Kermanshah Iran
https://x.com/ayshaahmeds/status/1934524294379217319
“Israel’s actions mirror those of terrorist organizations like ISIS. Bombing hospitals, schools and residential buildings – the same crimes we witnessed in Gaza and Lebanon – are now being carried out in Iran.”
A Modest Proposal From Yemen’s Military
https://x.com/Yemenimilitary/status/1934572083826377174
“The End.”

Posted by: JohnGilberts | Jun 16 2025 13:39 utc | 126

petergrfstrm | Jun 16 2025 13:24 utc | 113
The petro-dollar. Irainian rvolution was a made in America project. Kicked off just a week or two after the first drops of oil came through the tans alaska pipeline. similar to the earlier oil crisis. Building the pipeline was being blocked by green challenges in the courts. Drama and crisis was required to push through legislation that bypassed court challenges. Lineups of yank tanks at the petrol bowsers with no petrol did the trick.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jun 16 2025 13:39 utc | 127

Looks like the Zionists don’t like a taste of their won medicine – I say tough – Iran should not be fooled into letting its guard down – if this is true, their defence of Iran – via missile and drone attacks on the Zionists, appears to be taking its toll, on the Zionists and their infrastructure, who are so used to dishing it out – but not receiving it back.
“Israel has asked Iran, through western mediators, to stop its retaliatory attacks and return to nuclear negotiations with the United States, American media report.
The Israeli regime is openly threatening Tehran, while secretly reaches out to the Islamic Republic to stop the war, according to the American broadcast television network NBC that quoted a senior Iranian source in Tehran as saying on Monday that Tel Aviv has made the demand through Western countries as intermediaries.
A representative for Israel’s prime minister refused to immediately respond to a request for comment on the matter.
Using his social media platform Truth Social, US President Donald Trump suggested on Sunday that Iran and Israel will end their violent conflict by “making a deal” through his mediation.
“We will have peace, soon, between Israel and Iran. Many calls and meetings now taking place,” he said.”

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Jun 16 2025 13:39 utc | 128

@119 Republicofscotland “why so many? ”
Haifa port was attacked, and that’s where Israel stores its jet fuel.
If the damage was more than they are admitting then the quickest way to overcome that problem is to bring in as many flying petrol bowsers as the West can scrape together.

Posted by: Yeah, Right | Jun 16 2025 13:40 utc | 129

From this morning:
Israeli attack on ‘Farabi’ Hospital in Kermanshah. [This is Israel bombing a military target, I guess.]
🇮🇷 — Iran’s defense forces reportedly shot down an Israeli MQ-9 near Dehloran.
An Israeli AD battery, likely Arrow-3, misfires and destroys its own launcher in the Negev.
Iranian ballistic missiles struck an Israeli army barracks in the Galilee, causing a fire, and impacts were also recorded at closed military installations in the Negev – Al Mayadeen
Burning power plant in Haifa
Large scale destruction in Tel Aviv due to Iranian ballistics
Journalist and analyst Raviv Drucker:
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has taken an unreasonable risk, the kind no leader should risk with his country’s fate.
Israel is unable to prevent the extensive damage caused by Iranian ballistic missiles. So far, we have not succeeded in intercepting them, as state propaganda claims. Iran is achieving hits with an accuracy unparalleled by any previous enemy.
Much of the damage is not reported in the media, under the pretext of not revealing the information to the enemy. However, this prevents the public from realizing the magnitude of the price it is paying, and will pay later.
The Israeli military also releases numerous statements about striking Iranian missile launchers and reducing their missile capabilities, but experts in the field doubt Israel’s ability to accomplish this task against a country measuring 1.6 million square kilometers. It may be legitimate to pay a heavy price to eliminate the Iranian nuclear program, but the problem is that all experts agree that this is an impossible outcome. Netanyahu knows this, and his advisor, Tzachi Hanegbi, has publicly acknowledged it.
All the above from: https://t.me/s/Middle_East_Spectator/
———————–

Posted by: teri | Jun 16 2025 13:41 utc | 130

Dont forget Israel’s ‘Samson Option’
Posted by: Red Star | Jun 16 2025 11:51 utc | 53
Posted by: Konami | Jun 16 2025 11:56 utc | 56

At this point, most Israeli dual-citizens are only interested in exercising their “Samsonite Option;” but the women & children genociders have blocked them!

Posted by: nudge | Jun 16 2025 13:42 utc | 131

Russia hopes Iranian-Israeli conflict will not impact SPIEF — Kremlin spokesman
Dmitry Peskov said that Russia would keep an eye on the development of the situation
MOSCOW, June 16. /TASS/. Moscow hopes that air traffic restrictions imposed amid the Iranian-Israeli conflict will not be a problem for senior officials from Arab countries who plan to attend the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF), Russian presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov told reporters.
“We hope that this [problems with flights from Arab countries amid the conflict between Iran and Israel] will not happen. High guests, as a rule, arrive by special flights. But nevertheless, there is a reality we are living in. We will keep an eye on the development of the situation,” he said when asked about the presence of high guests from Arab countries at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum amid flight restrictions.
– No comment !

Posted by: JB | Jun 16 2025 13:43 utc | 132

as many flying petrol bowsers as the West can scrape together.
Posted by: Yeah, Right | Jun 16 2025 13:40 utc | 129

i hope some of them get shot down over iraq or syria.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Jun 16 2025 13:43 utc | 133

Barofsky@116…..the Russians must tread lightly, with the Aparthied State using remote drones for their attack against Iran, someone might do that to Russia….actually the Russian will turn a blind eye, because they really do know who planed the Trailer Drone Attack and it’s was their wee cousins squatting in Palestine…..
Cheers M
Iraq, gone, Lebanon, gone, Syria, gone, Jordan….hahaha….some fools here think pocking a runway will save Iran….the fuckers fly out of many countries….could someone point that out to Iran cause if they think just bombing the Apartheid State will save them…..Iran, gone. Next up, Russia.

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Jun 16 2025 13:43 utc | 134

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Jun 16 2025 13:22 utc | 111
Qatar covert funder of Hamas.

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 16 2025 13:44 utc | 135

Hitler’s plans for Germany’s self-destruction were not executed in full. A lot of nazis showed intent to survive. You can brainwash an entire group (think Jim Jones) but as soon as interests diverge even slightly, it’s hard.
Mark Lane (Levin) – faux civil rights activist – was the ‘deep state’ Jewish Supremacist point person for the Jonestown op. He goes back to FDR days (good friends and possible lover of Eleanor) and after he absconded with the $ from Jonestown he later infiltrated the US ‘Liberty’ circles because these folks would tend towards antiwar and America First positions from ‘the right’ and would surely be critical of all the ‘Israel’ love…and wary of 9/11 false flag events.
https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Mark_Lane
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Lane_(author)
Trotskyists are Ayn Randians are ‘neocons.’
‘Economic Libertarianm’ is led by the same psychos who lead the commies by the nose.
Too bad Ron Paul et al never figured this out. Probably why his son – next generation – is essentially worthless.
https://bollyn.com/
http://www.maskofzion.com/2010/09/911-israels-grand-deception.html
https://biblehub.com/topical/a/azaziah.htm

Posted by: Dan Kelly | Jun 16 2025 13:44 utc | 136

a UN protectorate, with a UN appointed care-taker govt to restore Israel to the rue of law.
Posted by: Tim Glover | Jun 16 2025 10:51 utc | 24
The UN?!? Seriously?!? Toothless, ignored by Israel for decades. Dream on.
One Palestinian state is the only viable solution.

Posted by: Mary | Jun 16 2025 13:49 utc | 137

@Peter AU1 | Jun 16 2025 13:39 utc | 127
In addition to the petrodollar the americans also sabotaged their own nuclear power plant in tune with Hollywoods China Syndrom two weeks before. And the obedient stooge Khomeini went along with the angloamerican malthusians and closed the nuclear power project first thing as he rose to power.
The development project the angoamericans wanted to prevent was very much connected to building that kind of power source to aid poorer countries to industrialise.

Posted by: petergrfstrm | Jun 16 2025 13:49 utc | 138

Republicofscotland@119….watch some Monkey Werx, he called the attack a week before it happened. He tracks all military flights that have their transponders on, right up to where they turn them off. Yes, he’s a yank, but the info he compiles is worth the 30 mins.
Cheers M

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Jun 16 2025 13:50 utc | 139

Yeah, Right (129).
Yes good point – I saw that their jet fuel plant suffered significant damage, so I guess that would make sense.
This is said to be that jet fuel plant, fully ablaze.
https://nitter.poast.org/MonitorX99800/status/1934588234446823880#m

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Jun 16 2025 13:51 utc | 140

“While you have done nothing for Gaza except type messages for internet fora.”
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Jun 16 2025 13:22 utc | 111
“And attended some protests. Which is a hell of a lot more than Gulf Kingdoms with billions of dollars and a regional presence have done.”
Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 16 2025 13:38 utc | 124
What The Fuck Have You Done Kaspar?
Tom has been instrumental on this board educating people.
Shut The Fuck Up!!

Posted by: canuk | Jun 16 2025 13:52 utc | 141

Open Skies – Europe Stations USAF Tanker Fleet

MAKING NATO AND EUROPE COMPLICIT
Boeing KC-46A Pegasus Reg. 18-46049
Flight RCH024 Wichita to Germany Ramstein Air Base – home NATO Allied Air Command (AIRCOM).
“>https://www.flightradar24.com/data/flights/rch24#3ad168ae

Posted by: Oui | Jun 16 2025 13:58 utc | 142

djia seems unconcerned. Up 1%. Leads me to believe real damage done to Israel relatively light.

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 16 2025 13:59 utc | 143

When any country outside the West is attacked, it is left to the sharks.
If this continues the world will only ever know one Dharma:
Posted by: Arch Bungle | Jun 16 2025 12:44 utc | 85
That is the problem for the people fantasizing about a “global south” rising up as one to cast off the West, isn’t it? But it was always just white tankies dreaming of rescue from abroad. India is helping Israel, and Pakistan is not breaking out the nukes to defend Iran. Imagine relying on the dramatics of Pakistan for your defense!
Of course, one major result of Israeli nukes going off would be a sharp end to Jewish influence in many countries. A lot of Russian and American Jews would hurry back to their passport stops, but that wouldn’t make them more popular.

Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Jun 16 2025 14:01 utc | 144

Posted by: Eighthman | Jun 16 2025 13:00 utc | 96
Irans lack of missiles?
https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/iranian-revolutionary-guards-success-turning-israeli-air-defences
“Iran not only has a medium range missile arsenal estimated to be an order of magnitude larger than the number of suitable surface-to-air missiles deployed in Israel, but its missiles cost significantly less than Israeli and American interceptors to produce, and in most cases just a fraction as much. This combined with the fact that multiple interceptors are usually required to shoot down a single missile places the Revolutionary Guard Corps in a strong position to cause massive damage to Israeli targets by sustaining missile barrages, and depleting Israel’s missile defences arsenal to exhaustion.”

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jun 16 2025 14:01 utc | 145

petergrfstrm | Jun 16 2025 13:49 utc | 138
I looked into it a quite a bit. Used rather than stooge I think.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jun 16 2025 14:04 utc | 146

@143
The markets are betting that this thing goes hot, US declare nation building in Iran and readdress leaving Iraq to Sadrists.
Then JPowell prints $4 trillion is wet ink greenbacks to hyperinflation so called equities.
Trump talking deal is like he fiddled while cia attacked RF long range bombers.
It is betting on quick money and hyperinflation

Posted by: paddy | Jun 16 2025 14:06 utc | 147

……am intimately familiar with KFOR.
Posted by: too scents….
Then you are also intimately familar with UNSCR 1244
🤣

Posted by: Exile | Jun 16 2025 14:07 utc | 148

djia seems unconcerned.
Posted by: UWDude | Jun 16 2025 13:59 utc | 143

US Equity indices are priced in US$.
The dollar is trading down ==> https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/dxy
The 10Y is selling off ==> https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmubmusd10y

Posted by: too scents | Jun 16 2025 14:07 utc | 149

Dan Kelly@1344
Waaay back in the 70’s/earliest 80’s I actually voted Libertarian. Somewhere along the line the “come to Jesus” moment hit me and realization dawned that although okay on most social issues; the “Tarians” just happened to be soft on corporatism and in general, the entire nexus of capitalism. Yes, even the redoubtable Ron Paul remained soft-headed on that score.
Ayn Rand was very much of a Pied Piper who managed to ensorcel a bevy of partial idealists, particularly in the Shady Eighties.

Posted by: aristodemos | Jun 16 2025 14:11 utc | 150

The Anti-Empire Report: Israel-Iran War Day 3
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Swj57dtCkKw
“Jon Elmer joins and we review all the active fronts: Israelis are still invading the West Bank and the genocide advances in Gaza, Yemen still launches a missile a day at least.
On the developing Iran war we discuss the remarkable recovery of Iran after the first devastating 12 hours and dispel the fake notion of Trump-Netanyahu controversy among other things…”

Posted by: JohnGilberts | Jun 16 2025 14:12 utc | 151

UNSCR 1244
Posted by: Exile | Jun 16 2025 14:07 utc | 148

My commitment said “Partnership for Peace” on the label.

Posted by: too scents | Jun 16 2025 14:12 utc | 152

Vile cowardly Zionists – who fled Zio-Land (occupied Palestine) – landed in Paris – and were met with Free Palestine chants, this is what happened next.
https://nitter.poast.org/MonitorX99800/status/1934565033192616143#m
Posted by: Republicofscotland

Blocked in occupied europe. Can anyone describe ? Were these IDF on vacation ?

Posted by: Exile | Jun 16 2025 14:13 utc | 153

@michaelj72 somewhere upthread (forgive, bad eyesight, early morning, can’t spot your q atm)
re: “…Why not Intel?” I commented last year, either here or at TAE (both?), Intel was bleeding staff, exodus from Tel Aviv had begun. It still does stuff there, and a deserving target. I simply note it only hastens the demise.
@yanks in general re: 1500kg warhead – That’s roughly the same mass as a 1992 Ford F-150 4×4 pickup truck. 3750lbs GVWR, if I recall correctly.

Posted by: thomasjkenney | Jun 16 2025 14:14 utc | 154

UWdude@1359
The “light” damage in Izzystan was primarily the relative dearth of civilian deaths as compared with what the evil ones did to the populace of Iran. Now, they threaten major attacks on innocent people…shades of the Gaza genocide.

Posted by: aristodemos | Jun 16 2025 14:14 utc | 155

Posted by: aristodemos | Jun 16 2025 14:11 utc | 150
Correction: Ayn Rand was a narcissistic c***.

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jun 16 2025 14:15 utc | 156

too scents | Jun 16 2025 14:07 utc | 149
Right now the markets dont care. They will care when and if Irans export terminals are hit. Oil and gold are significantly down. The markets are up.
For them, its just another day in the region. Normalized murder and mayhem.

Posted by: circumspect | Jun 16 2025 14:17 utc | 157

I love Thomas Sowell’s rejoinder in situations that look bad: “And then what happens?”
So, Iran threatens to build nukes. Meanwhile, the markets don’t know or care about escalation (500 points up, oil dropping). Does the US give permission for Israel to use nuclear weapons on Iran? As crazy radical as this sounds, how is this process derailed?

Posted by: Eighthman | Jun 16 2025 14:19 utc | 158

@ Posted by: Arch Bungle | Jun 16 2025 12:44 utc | 85
I agree in spirit – I started to say the same thing.
And I wondered to myself why this that seems so obvious to me, is not realized by the smart people running the big powers.
Consider exactly as you say the example of the west – certain powers and up carrying the others to some extent and the others take advantage of this to be lax in ensuring their own (and maybe others) security and this powerful conglomerate can become difficult to manage (particularly barring a hegemon) and it may lead to risky behavior (moral hazard as the finance industry ironically likes to say). So the result is something of an every nation for itself or they might form security alliances where the is an alignment of interests and such. I get he impression would like to develop an agreement with Iran, but the there seems to be an impediment.
Separately, I wonder if the nation of Iran might not benefit from something of a regime change – separating the religious from the military and administrative.

Posted by: jared | Jun 16 2025 14:19 utc | 159

petergrfstrm
A rew thoughts – he british and French used divide and conquer to take the region from the Ottoman empire and carve it up. Those in the region are easily used with their petty conflicts.
This term – the shia cresent. The leaders that have emerged in just the last decades. To listen to them speak, secular and very worldly savy rather than living in the small and petty world of the region.
Many can only see black and white. I guess I also study the shades of grey.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Jun 16 2025 14:19 utc | 160

Israel-Iran Sit Rep Day 3 – June 15/25
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SwjS7dtCkKw
Corrected url from #151. Jon Elmer & Justin Podur review all active fronts.

Posted by: JohnGilberts | Jun 16 2025 14:21 utc | 161

Yeah, Right | Jun 16 2025 13:32 utc | 120
When all that satellite imagery craze started begin of the millennium circa, there were detailed photos from Beijing, Moscow, but also London, NYC etc., but the area of Dharamsalah was blurred. Weird as there was zero indication that the Chinese wanted to bomb the Dulleye Lamer.

Posted by: aquadraht | Jun 16 2025 14:21 utc | 162

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Jun 16 2025 13:38 utc | 124
And attended some protests. Which is a hell of a lot more than Gulf Kingdoms with billions of dollars and a regional presence have done.

Lol! So much ignorance, arrogance and feelings of self-importance.
Attending “some protests”, and you’ve contributed more than Gulf monarchies to Gaza.
It’s astonishing, how much you think of yourselves, so full of yourselves, while doing nothing but type messages and “attend some protests”.
Gulf monarchies provide the largest humanitarian help for Gaza, both thru their own organizations as well as thru UNRWA, hundreds million US$ per year, raised to half a billion after Oct. 22.
But your presence in “some protests” is more important of course.
You and your little banners, your self-righteousness, oh so important.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Jun 16 2025 14:26 utc | 163

“Russia hopes Iranian-Israeli conflict will not impact SPIEF — Kremlin spokesman
Dmitry Peskov said that Russia would keep an eye on the development of the situation”
Gee, thanks Dmitiri.
Russia is a joke. Didn’t Putin grow up in a small cottage on a larger property…owned by Jews?
Get ’em when they’re young.
——
Wilkerson should be in the stockades or before a firing squad for all his bloody lies. He said on one of those judge nap/nima cirucuit shows that he still lies for the Jewish Supremacists.
It was in fact Napolitano’s show when goldbug Andrew asked him something specific..he said he can’t say because he’s still under occupied US govt muzzle.
Well F you then Wilkie. You’re a waste of our time and, as I said, you ought to be before a firing squad.
Condi, Colin, and the Colonel.
https://archive.ph/k7kre#selection-4493.1-4509.73
—-
“one of those judge nap/nima cirucuit shows”
They can all go to hell.
https://youtu.be/ZQDxTVlQqVk?t=27

Posted by: Dan Kelly | Jun 16 2025 14:33 utc | 164

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Jun 16 2025 14:26 utc | 163
Didn’t I tell you to Go FUCK YOURSELF you myopic idiot!

Posted by: canuk | Jun 16 2025 14:33 utc | 165

ed4 94 – Is the IDF really using F4’s due to losses in the air and ground maintenance issues as has been speculated ?

Posted by: tobias cole | Jun 16 2025 14:34 utc | 166

Have the claims of Chinese involvement been verified? I’ve read that they sent some air defense equipment, and separately, that Xi Jinping said that Israel must stop, is there any truth to either of that?
North Korea has offered help to Iran, what can they provide?
Pakistan has extended their nuclear umbrella to Iran. When did they stop being a US vassal state? Didn’t they remove their President as recently as a few years ago due to US demands?

Posted by: Afro | Jun 16 2025 14:36 utc | 167

Looking back, democrats were not that bad compared to Don Zion. If nuclear was still in place, ME could now be a quite peacefull place.
I dont believe at all US will make peace in Ukraine, its not in the interest of trump, he may pull off money but will continue other support.

Posted by: Lubomir | Jun 16 2025 14:36 utc | 168

DDN: Why Israel Really Attacked Iran?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tHamTgq7dXU
“The chilling truth behind Israel’s dark agenda, with Lowkey.”

Posted by: JohnGilberts | Jun 16 2025 14:36 utc | 169

1. Analysts say that Iran wins by continuing to survive.
2. This can be accomplished one of two ways:
(a) achieving de-escalation through restraint in response
(b) achieving decisive victory over Israel through aggressive response.
If (a), then US and Israel will not allow this. They will continue to push Iran to HAVE to escalate via their own bombing of civilians and their own increased aggression.
If (b), then Israel will (with US approval and coordination) use nuclear weapons against Iran.
So I don’t see how Iran can win.

Posted by: WJ | Jun 16 2025 14:37 utc | 170

Odd thing I noticed on FlightRadar24 this morning. Two Qatari jet fighters (Typhoons?) very close to Irans coast line. Plus a third one on the other side of the (only) stream for civil planes left for Eu <-> Asia flights. There was a helicopter much lower down, literally just on the coast line. Then transponders all went off one after the other.
Either this was a radar “bluff” (false image) or somebody went from Qatar to Iran unannounced to the world. My money is on the latter, but no way to know at the moment. wait and see?

Posted by: Stonebird | Jun 16 2025 14:38 utc | 171

Posted by: aristodemos | Jun 16 2025 14:14 utc | 155
ill spell out my logic
they have family in high idf ranks that know the true damage, and trust their family to not tell anyone but dont condemn using the information for a little edge.
its shaky, but meh. Nothing else going on for now….

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 16 2025 14:38 utc | 172

Unfortunately, war (elsewhere) is generally good for the US stock market.
In fact it seems that that and finance are the most lucrative US export products.
Leaving aside that it is bankrupting the country.
The interests of the population, the nation and of the merchants do not always align – to put it mildly.
US rep Marjorie Greene is raising this issue as we speak.

Posted by: jared | Jun 16 2025 14:43 utc | 173

Given the hangar queen status of western aviation, a good tactic might seem just to launch repeated smallish salvos of cheap Shahed drones, say once an hour. Western planes and pilots would quickly get exhausted and the Izzies would likewise tire of running to the shelters.
If they could muster the number of Shaheds that RF does of Gerans, a week long campaign could ground all of the collective wastes aviation, disarm all Iron Domes and give the Izzies a collective nervous breakdown.
Just thinking out loud…

Posted by: ChatNPC | Jun 16 2025 14:43 utc | 174

“ed4 94 – Is the IDF really using F4’s due to losses in the air and ground maintenance issues as has been speculated ?”
Posted by: tobias cole | Jun 16 2025 14:34 utc | 166
I think it is typical to use your old lines of military equipment first as they are under the most liability, then after the firs few waves bring in the heavier newer and more expensive equipment.
Russian did the same thing in their current war.

Posted by: canuk | Jun 16 2025 14:44 utc | 175

Another slat on things here from Indian Diplomat
https://www.indianpunchline.com/middle-east-in-crisis-1/
https://www.indianpunchline.com/middle-east-in-crisis-2/
” . . . the rise of Iran is inevitable — with a population base 10 times bigger than Israel’s, vast mineral resources, a self-sufficient agricultural sector and broad-based industry, innovative progress in technology, big domestic market, highly strategic location and trained manpower.
Iran’s stamina is of a long distance runner, as Iran-Iraq war showed, whereas, Israel’s forte is as sprinter on a 100 metre track. Make no mistake, Israel, a small country with a population of 8 million people will get hollowed out in a protracted war. ”

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jun 16 2025 14:44 utc | 176

DDW: Why Israel Really Attacked Iran
https://www.doubledown.news/watch/2025/june/16/why-israel-really-attacked-iran
“The chilling truth behind Israel’s dark agenda – with Lowkey.”

Posted by: JohnGilberts | Jun 16 2025 14:45 utc | 177

If (b), then Israel will (with US approval and coordination) use nuclear weapons against Iran.
So I don’t see how Iran can win.
Posted by: WJ | Jun 16 2025 14:37 utc | 170
I keep seeing this argument:
Iran cant win, because they cant attack hard anough to destroy Israel without getting noted by Israel, einer via Samson or USA.
This assumes Russia and China and rest of world would just let that happen…
…as well as that Israel has nukes.
maybe that’s what all that documentation on Israels nuke program told Iran…how they pulled off a big bluff.
But, win if they do have nukes, doesn’t mean they can use them, either threat of Russian retaliation, or Russian shoot down, or Israe I might not have enough to actually destroy Iran anyway.

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 16 2025 14:49 utc | 178

rely to 170
Exactly. That’s pretty much what I see and I don’t see how it ends well for Iran. About the only good thing here is that Trump doesn’t seem all that eager for yet another pointless war – but that’s unstable. At this point, Iran should built out nukes sometime ago and prevented this mess. Going that way now is dangerous for them because it will be expected. The lesson from North Korea and Pakistan is a sad one but Western warmongering is a constant.

Posted by: Eighthman | Jun 16 2025 14:49 utc | 179

Alon Mizrahi’s counterargument against the Samson option is that they’d be too cowardly to use it.

Posted by: Afro | Jun 16 2025 14:51 utc | 180

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 16 2025 14:49 utc | 178
You’re deeply mistaken in thinking that either China or Russia will respond to a nuclear strike against Iran. They won’t–and the U.S. knows they won’t–because that would mean Armageddon. Neither will become directly involved militarily.

Posted by: WJ | Jun 16 2025 14:53 utc | 181

If (a), then US and Israel will not allow this. They will continue to push Iran to HAVE to escalate via their own bombing of civilians and their own increased aggression.
If (b), then Israel will (with US approval and coordination) use nuclear weapons against Iran.
So I don’t see how Iran can win.
Posted by: WJ | Jun 16 2025 14:37 utc | 170
a) Depends on israel’s pain threshold. At some point, the damage inflicted by Iran will lead to a collapse.
The West must then make a call on whether they want to lose their aircraft carrier in the middle east or make Netanyahu stand down.
b) The risks of nuking a country so close to Russia are high. While Iran will suffer, the entire geopolitical order will change: a geopolitical pole shift the consequences of which will be totally out of the west’s control.
The UN would have failed it’s primary reason for existing.
Moreover, there’s no guarantee nuking Iran once will yield the results they want. Nuking it multiple times will impact the entire region and risk retaliatory strike from Russia if Russia believes it’s the target.
If Iran recovers quickly and retaliates with a nuclear strike of its own – it’s goodbye world.
For this reason the “superpowers” had better be working diligently behind the scenes to either make sure neither israel nor Iran uses nukes.
Hence: b) may not even be on the menu.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Jun 16 2025 14:56 utc | 182

Didn’t Putin grow up in a small cottage on a larger property…owned by Jews?
Posted by: Dan Kelly | Jun 16 2025 14:33 utc | 164
No, and no. And stupid to imply stupid shit even if he did.
……….
1) Have the claims of Chinese involvement been verified? I’ve read that they sent some air defense equipment, and separately, that Xi Jinping said that Israel must stop, is there any truth to either of that?
2) North Korea has offered help to Iran, what can they provide?
3) Pakistan has extended their nuclear umbrella to Iran. When did they stop being a US vassal state? Didn’t they remove their President as recently as a few years ago due to US demands?
Posted by: Afro | Jun 16 2025 14:36 utc | 167
1) No, and not Xi but his foreign minister condemned Israel.
2) missiles….counter nuke Warheads to make sure Israel doesn’t get cute.
3) No, that rumor has been denied. Pakistan so far has just condemned and called for pan-Muslim unity.

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 16 2025 14:57 utc | 183

Given the hangar queen status of western aviation, a good tactic might seem just to launch repeated smallish salvos of cheap Shahed drones, say once an hour. Western planes and pilots would quickly get exhausted and the Izzies would likewise tire of running to the shelters.
Posted by: ChatNPC | Jun 16 2025 14:43 utc | 174
That’s exactly what they’ve been doing from the first salvo of ~200 drones.
A trick they tested in True Promise I.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Jun 16 2025 15:02 utc | 184

At this point, most Israeli dual-citizens are only interested in exercising their “Samsonite Option;” but the women & children genociders have blocked them!
Posted by: nudge | Jun 16 2025 13:42 utc | 131

Oh, snap. Here is me from last night. A bit OTT, but it has a certain ring:
What if the whole point was for Israel to bitch slap Iran, with the intent they would savage Israel. The ultimate Hannibal Directive sacrifice. With massive media coverage of children being pulled from rubble, Israel will be assured of US taxpayer dollars for rebuilding, plus at least southern Syria and south of the Litani annexed to them.
Posted by: freedom fritos | Jun 16 2025 4:52 utc | 655

Posted by: freedom fritos | Jun 16 2025 15:04 utc | 185

You’re deeply mistaken in thinking that either China or Russia will respond to a nuclear strike against Iran. They won’t–and the U.S. knows they won’t–because that would mean Armageddon. Neither will become directly involved militarily.
Posted by: WJ | Jun 16 2025 14:53 utc | 181
will U.S.A. become directly involved?
how for do we branch down hypotheticals and estimates before we admit we can not be absolutely sure of outcome?
Plus, they don’t have to nike, they can just threaten, or, maybe best korea kim can let Iran “borrow a couple dozen ”

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 16 2025 15:05 utc | 186

There are reports Iran is asking for a ceasefire before the US gets involved. Game over, Israel pretty much wins. Please tell me I’m wrong and why. Best Iran can do is sneak development of nukes very quickly. Russia/China will end up looking rather impotent but can’t really blame them because it’s not their war.

Posted by: Eighthman | Jun 16 2025 15:05 utc | 187

Iran issues an evacuation order for a large area in Tel Aviv: ‘We will soon take action — being in the presence of military and security sites puts your life at risk’
https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/20077

Posted by: Apollyon | Jun 16 2025 15:07 utc | 188

Iran can’t “win” in the traditional military sense. But what did the entity was expecting ? Iran letting them bomb bomb bomb without any reaction ?
Best they can do is sparking a “regime change” in Tel-Aviv… and a “freeze” of the conflict. For how long ? Who knows ?
But it might be enough to develop the means to not be threaten like that ever again.

Posted by: Savonarole | Jun 16 2025 15:08 utc | 189

Iran is preparing to deliver a “very large strike” against Israel, according to a report from Iran’s Fars News Agency.
DDGeopolitics

Posted by: Apollyon | Jun 16 2025 15:09 utc | 190

There are reports…. Please tell me I’m wrong and why.
Posted by: Eighthman | Jun 16 2025 15:05 utc | 187
because you are building your entire premise on reports and hypothetical based on those baseless rumors.

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 16 2025 15:09 utc | 191

Arch Bungle | Jun 16 2025 14:56 utc | 182–
Do recall that Pakistan vowed to nuke the Zionists if they nuked Iran. It’s Pakistan, Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Turkmenistan, Georgia, and potentially Turkey who would suffer fallout from any Zionist nuke attack, as well as all other regional Gulf states depending on which way the winds are blowing at the time and after.

Posted by: karlof1 | Jun 16 2025 15:11 utc | 192

What do we know about F-35s shot down over Iran? Any confirmation?
It seems that it is being covered up in the West.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Jun 16 2025 15:12 utc | 193

@ChatNPC | Jun 16 2025 14:43 utc | 174

Given the hangar queen status of western aviation, a good tactic might seem just to launch repeated smallish salvos of cheap Shahed drones, say once an hour. Western planes and pilots would quickly get exhausted and the Izzies would likewise tire of running to the shelters.

Indeed, make the F35s take down cheap drones until maintenance requirements remove them (the F35s) from the ‘theater’. At the same time lob a few missiles every 3 hours or so into Tel Aviv, Haifa etc. Don’t let them sleep. When they are properly exhausted, bring out the big guns.

Posted by: Norwegian | Jun 16 2025 15:13 utc | 194

Scrolled through a few live feeds – didn’t see anything about a ceasefire offer only that
Iranian gov’t advised Israelis to leave Tel Aviv in a tit-for-tat matching the Likuds earlier threat against Teheran.
Methinks Iran has escalation dominance here

Posted by: Exile | Jun 16 2025 15:13 utc | 195

Do recall that Pakistan vowed to nuke the Zionists if they nuked Iran.
Posted by: karlof1 | Jun 16 2025 15:11 utc | 192
who said that, and when?

Posted by: UWDude | Jun 16 2025 15:14 utc | 196

The question this morning is not whether Iran can defeat Israel, it is whether the Zionists gangsters running DC have complete control of our “Democracy” and can override the few sane voices in the Pentagon.

Posted by: Deniz | Jun 16 2025 15:14 utc | 197

djia seems unconcerned. Up 1%. Leads me to believe real damage done to Israel relatively light.
Posted by: UWDude | Jun 16 2025 13:59 utc | 143
It’s been heavily manipulated at least since 2008. Certain hedge funds can make it move all by themselves. Gravity still kicks in eventually. I’d give it a day or two.

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Jun 16 2025 15:16 utc | 198

Dear b., please forgive for what i am going to say.
Critical moments on this Earth, big schism coming, and this thread ( like the previous ones) contains nearly no useful information at all.
Just because few old drunken hags spread their verbal feces all over it, and are quarreling and distracting from what matters.
You know who you are.
For the sober and intelligent barflies- I find a lot of info on latest Apocalipse thread in Globalsouth.co.( Amarynth).
This here is now unreadable, and waste of time.
Apologies to b. and normal barflies.

Posted by: stranger | Jun 16 2025 15:17 utc | 199

Funny how brave zionist warrior Netanyahu got himself safely to Greece before the shooting even started. Such inspirational leadership.

Posted by: Fred777 | Jun 16 2025 15:18 utc | 200