Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
May 29, 2025
Ukraine Open Thread 2025-117

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

Putin Seeks Broad Security Agreement, + Oreshnik to Berlin?
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/putin-seeks-broad-security-agreement

Posted by: Apollyon | May 29 2025 15:55 utc | 1

Putin’s demands for peace include an end to NATO enlargement, sources say
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-ukraine-peace-wants-pledge-halt-nato-enlargement-sources-say-2025-05-28/

Posted by: Apollyon | May 29 2025 15:57 utc | 2

https://www.flightradar24.com/data/aircraft/es-nsn
This Estonian airline, Nyxair, delivers quite a bit of stuff to Rzsezow from Varna (Bulgarian Navy HQ), Frankfurt, Tblisi, Ostrava (Czech).

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | May 29 2025 16:12 utc | 3

The Old Nazi’s ancestors, rob their citizens of more, much needed public funds – to keep aiding the Neo-Nazi’s in Ukraine. The good people of Germany need to rise up.
“Berlin will provide Kiev with another €5 billion ($5.6 billion) in military aid on top of the €28 billion it has given since the escalation of the Ukraine conflict in early 2022, the German Defense Ministry has announced. Moscow has stated in response that further assistance to Ukraine could precipitate the “collapse” of Germany.
The funds promised by Berlin would principally be used to “finance the production of long-range weapon systems in Ukraine,” the ministry said in a statement on Wednesday.
Earlier in the day, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius and his Ukrainian counterpart Rustem Umerov, who arrived in Berlin together with Vladimir Zelensky, signed a defense cooperation deal between the two countries.
“A significant number” of long-range weapon systems can be manufactured inside Ukraine this year, the statement read without specifying the types of arms.”

Posted by: Republicofscotland | May 29 2025 16:31 utc | 4

Posted by: Republicofscotland | May 29 2025 16:31 utc | 4
No way that a significant number of long range of rockets can be manufactured in 6 months starting today.
It’s a coverage for ‘rebranding’ already transferred or soon to be transferred taurus or just plain kabuki.

Posted by: Mario | May 29 2025 16:41 utc | 5

Ze meltdown…
The US has no right to watch us being killed and do nothing – Zelensky.
The US is one of the few countries that can put Russia in its place. Yes, the Americans may not want to give us weapons.
But they have an obligation to stop Russia’s weapons. They have the right not to help us with electronic warfare or not to provide air defense systems.
They can say they have Patriot systems, but they do not give them to us.
However, they do not have the right not to respond, when missiles fly at us and kill us.

Posted by: Gipas | May 29 2025 16:49 utc | 6

US wing of the Western media continues to slowly, painfully, shift the narrative to acknowledge that Russia, in fact, isn’t an insane evil hive mind. They have a government. They have opinions. They have plans. Wow.
Truly, the genius of Western propaganda is how it makes the basic common sense sound insane after such a titanic barrage of bullshit.

Posted by: boneless | May 29 2025 16:51 utc | 7

Without fully conceding the cauldron, nevertheless DS had to concede a little over 28km2 (after yesterday’s 32km2) and that on a slow (sub 1.300) casualties day.
More than encircling prokovsk on the NE, RF seems to be building a wide wall…

Posted by: Newbie | May 29 2025 17:15 utc | 8

Newbie | May 29 2025 17:15 utc | 8
Good to see the front moving after so long.

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | May 29 2025 17:20 utc | 9

To all these people, who love the war… an excerpt from a book, visiting the Vietnam war Memorial in Washington…
“They are dead. They are eliminated. They no longer exist.” He reached forward and touched a name he could not read. “The person who was named this.” He touched another. “And the person who was named this.” And he touched a third. “And the person who had this name. They are no more. Surely facing that is the real lesson of this wall. One cannot come here to speak with the dead, for the dead are dead. One cannot come here to beg forgiveness from the dead, for the dead are dead. One cannot come here to be touched by the dead, for the dead are dead. These names, these characters carved in stone—that is all that is left of them. Surely that is the message of this wall, the lesson to be learned. As long as your people keep thinking that this life is a prologue, that more is to come after it, that those wronged here will be rewarded in some there yet to come, you will continue to undervalue life, and you will continue to send young people off to die.”
The belief that you’d be rewarded in the “afterlife” is the most foolish thought ever was in the planet Earth!

Posted by: ostrr | May 29 2025 17:39 utc | 10

There’s no man with a white beard in the sky, there’s no heaven in the sky, there’s no hell…when you are dead you are dead!

Posted by: ostrr | May 29 2025 17:41 utc | 11

Combat/drone footage on the obvious Telegram channels has become rare. Any known reasons why? Better control over soldiers smartphones? Rare combat itself?

Posted by: Tollkein | May 29 2025 17:44 utc | 12

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O2ej0yAMA1o
The German journalist, Patrik Baab, is the guest on the Russo-Ukrainian War.

Posted by: azeclecticdog | May 29 2025 17:45 utc | 13

The Germans who never met a genocide they didn’t like (Namibia, WWII, now Gaza) host Neo-Nazi’s in the Bundestag.
“Members of Germany’s pro-war Green Party hosted Hitler-admiring Ukrainian Azov militants in the Bundestag
Germany’s powerful Israel lobby, which demands prison for anyone protesting the Holocaust in Gaza, presumably said nothing.”
https://nitter.poast.org/MaxBlumenthal/status/1927387874002968672#m

Posted by: Republicofscotland | May 29 2025 18:21 utc | 14

Newbie | May 29 2025 17:15 utc | 8
Good to see the front moving after so long.
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | May 29 2025 17:20 utc | 9
Not fair, that would be fair october 2023 with Avdeevka
What we have now are significant collapses along the LOC

Posted by: Newbie | May 29 2025 18:26 utc | 15

The lewngths they’ll go to lol. Trying to get the negotaions meeting at the Vatican to try to win over the catholic world of south america (Brazil) and the Mediteranean.

Posted by: HERMIUS | May 29 2025 18:54 utc | 16

Meanwhile, the kiev regime are demanding Russia give them their memorandum for the negotiation which start on June 2nd. Of course, they’ll complain they haven’t had enough time to digest Russia’s proposals. They keep on creating triggers on purpose.

Posted by: HERMIUS | May 29 2025 18:59 utc | 17

t.me/DDGeopolitics/149359
“The Red Cross reports that it has already received 400 000 requests from Ukrainian families who are looking for their missing relatives. This figure is as of April.”

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | May 29 2025 19:23 utc | 18

Telegram just made a big, beautiful dzal with Musk. Of all people.

Posted by: Tom | May 29 2025 19:34 utc | 19

🇵🇱🇺🇦 Polish President Outraged: Ukraine Still Glorifies Those Behind the Volyn Massacre
“It’s absurd — I come to Ukraine and people hug me, thank me, all while wearing armbands in Bandera’s colors. I say we cannot accept this, and they throw up their hands and ask, ‘What do you mean?'” — said Polish President Andrzej Duda.
Duda emphasized that Poland will never accept Ukrainian laws that glorify the criminals responsible for the mass murder of Poles during the Volyn massacre.

“We will never accept that you consider them heroes. Yes, we know you see them as fighters for a free Ukraine. But for us, they are nothing more than war criminals, murderers, and genocidaires — and that’s what we will always call them. We will never come to terms with it.”

polands russophobia makes them side with nazis, and they still dont see the problem. talk is cheap duda.

Posted by: Justpassinby | May 29 2025 20:21 utc | 20

ostrr 10,11:
That is the one great hope of atheism…that people would come to realize the one life we have and not waste it. Religion is a major cause of war for many reasons. The belief in an afterlife assists greatly when it comes to convincing people that dying for your king is alright and good.
I recall my old man telling his brother-in-law that he made his peace with god in a foxhole back in 1943. He was not a religious man, he said…but just in case.
Some say there are no atheists in foxholes, but truly there are…they fight to defend their nation and because they would be jailed or shot if they did not cooperate.
Dying to fight a war for your king is truly the ultimate sacrifice. The war takes all the soldier has and all he ever will have…those poor Ukrainian conscripts know the score, but once they’re in it, it becomes a quest for survival…because the will to live is innate and very powerful.
It’s truly awful how kings get their subjects to fight in war. I’m not sure if we got rid of the belief in a god and an afterlife that wars would end, but getting rid of religion is a fantasy anyway. Realizing that when you’re dead you’re dead would help mankind avoid war, but the kings will still have their ways of forcing men to the front.
We are a likely the most advanced form of life for lightyears around. Too bad we can’t worship ourselves.

Posted by: A rope leash | May 29 2025 20:24 utc | 21

https://www.rt.com/russia/618334-zakharova-ukraine-talks-delegation-makeup/
Russia is pushing for negotiations?
Very strange.

Posted by: vargas | May 29 2025 20:27 utc | 22

@ Posted by: vargas | May 29 2025 20:27 utc | 22
Not that strange when you consider that losing even 100 men a day to war makes Russia’s shortage of military and work age men that much worse. And that’s just from a utilitarian perspective, not a humanistic one. Russia simply can’t afford an endless war in which it receives so many casualties and creates so many broken men.

Posted by: fnord | May 29 2025 21:20 utc | 23

You might want to wait longer than a single minute next time vargas. Don’t exhaust yourself so.

Posted by: boneless | May 29 2025 21:24 utc | 24

^ hour

Posted by: boneless | May 29 2025 21:26 utc | 25

Western warmongers and merchants of death are on a roll…aided and abetted by MICIMATT [the ‘C’ can stand for Canada’s Carney]
MICIMATT
https://en.prolewiki.org/wiki/MICIMATT
“MICIMATT is an extension of the concept of the Military-Industrial complex..”
Cabinet Ministers Watch Their Words As Pressure Builds on Defence File
https://nationalnewswatch.com/2025/05/29/carneys-cabinet-ministers-evade-journalists-questions-at-defence-industry-show
“…The prime minister has committed to shelling out billions of dollars to rapidly build out the armed forces and completely retool how Canada purchases military weaponry. Behind the scenes, he has worked to get Canada into a major European defence procurement pact.
NATO member nations are expected to increase their benchmark [defence spending] to five per cent at the summit later this month – at Trump’s behest.”

CFPI
https://s http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VAJnweN54jI
“Carney Backs Trump’s Golden Don.” Canadians had better wake up and smell the coffee. But they won’t. Never did and never will.

Posted by: JohnGilberts | May 29 2025 21:32 utc | 26

Carney Backs Trump’s Golden Dome
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VAJnweN54jI
corrected url from above

Posted by: JohnGilberts | May 29 2025 21:36 utc | 27

Russia simply can’t afford an endless war in which it receives so many casualties and creates so many broken men.
Posted by: fnord | May 29 2025 21:20 utc | 23
Well, Mr FNordstream, if Russia can’t afford such losses, then Ukriane, who are losing at least three times more men and have a population just a quarter the size of Russia, definately cannot afford another couple of months of this war,let alone endless.

Posted by: HERMIUS | May 29 2025 21:37 utc | 28

@28 HERMIUS
Russia has gained close to 5 million people from Ukraine since 2013. There is no way the war can even come close to depleting even 10% of that.
Thanks to the war Russia overcame its negative population growth problem. Warming global temperatures will increase Russian population growth in years to come. This is a good start.
Ukraine has lost 15 million people since 2013. The moment the war ends and borders open Ukraine will lose another 10 million men as they know what comes next.
Former Ukraine born ethnic Russians will have their hands full repopulating Ukraine. Both a responsibility and a reward for victory. NATO is acutely aware of this fact.

Posted by: Jason | May 29 2025 21:57 utc | 29

Posted by: Jason | May 29 2025 21:57 utc | 29
👍👍👍👍👍👍

Posted by: HERMIUS | May 29 2025 22:02 utc | 30

@ Posted by: HERMIUS | May 29 2025 21:37 utc | 28
I agree, believe it or not. Ukraine’s in a losing position, but that gives Russia even more impetus to get this over and done and squeeze out what concessions they can. Russia will outlast Ukraine in the numbers game, but at a considerable human and material cost the longer things go on. At some point, the victory becomes Pyrrhic.
Regardless of the war’s outcome it seems like the real victors are the Polish, who will subjugate rump Ukraine and command more pull with other nations bordering Russia because of their relatively large military industrial capacity.

Posted by: fnord | May 29 2025 22:11 utc | 31

Posted by: Tollkein | May 29 2025 17:44 utc | 12
Because it’s probably an Opsec risk now. the Ukrainians became so desperate to create the narrative of victory, 2 years ago, that they published footage that more than likely killed hundreds of their own soldiers.

Posted by: Milites | May 29 2025 22:34 utc | 32

Posted by: ostrr | May 29 2025 17:41 utc | 11
Unless you’re wrong, then what’s plan B, laugh?

Posted by: Milites | May 29 2025 22:38 utc | 33

from
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/world/562591/new-zealander-killed-in-ukraine-died-trying-to-save-fellow-soldiers-rnz-understands
Shan-le Kearns, 26, is the fourth New Zealander known to have died in Ukraine.Shan-le Kearns, 26, is the fourth New Zealander known to have died in Ukraine.
A Christchurch man who died in Ukraine while helping the country’s war efforts had earlier said he was living the dream.
Twenty-six-year-old Shan-Le Kearns, from Christchurch, died in the past few weeks.
He had posted on social media a slogan that translated to ‘Glory to Ukraine! Glory to the heroes’.
A source in Ukraine told RNZ he had been trying to rescue wounded comrades when his group was hit by drones and explosives.
Kearns died attempting to save fellow soldiers, and a Finnish soldier was killed alongside him, the source said.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade said it had not yet received any confirmation from Ukraine authorities and was urgently seeking information.
However, it said the process may take some time given the situation on the ground in Ukraine.
It said no further information could be shared, citing privacy reasons.
Elis Kearns told 1News that her son was not on the front line but had been trained in combat so he could help rescue injured soldiers.
He had been in Ukraine for two years and was intending to stay for another to fulfil his three-year contract, she said.
Kearns is the fourth New Zealander known to have died in Ukraine. Dominic Abelen, 28, was killed on 23 August 2022; Andrew Bagshaw, 47, on 6 January 2023; and Kane Te Tai, 38, on 20 March 2023.
The Weatherman Foundation is an American NGO which has been in Ukraine since the start of Russia’s full scale invasion of the country.
Kyiv-based Lauren Guillaume who is from the foundation’s missing-in-action programme said the programme started out delivering humanitarian aid but had developed “to really cover the life of a soldier – all the way from treating the wounded in action both their physical wounds and mental PTSD wounds”.
The programme also supports the families of the missing in action and killed in action, she said.
“Unfortunately these days the difference often between a missing in action and killed in action soldier is whether or not their body can be recovered from the battlefield,” she said.
“What our team does is investigate to identify their body and we also pursue a court case to help the family try to receive a death certificate in the terrible circumstance if a body cannot be recovered.”
The only way a family such as Sharn-Le Kearns’ family can obtain a death certificate “is either through his physical repatriation or through a court case”, she said.
“So we are helping them in this process all the way from collecting DNA back in New Zealand, helping them to navigate the Ukrainian judicial system by helping them to collect witness testimonies and submit a case to the Ukrainian court, all the way to eventually helping them apply for the compensation that they’re owed.”
The foundation’s team also visits morgues all around Ukraine to look at unidentified remains on the chance that it could be him, she said.

Posted by: tucenz | May 29 2025 22:46 utc | 34

So it’s not just Western military platforms that the Russians copy.
https://store.steampowered.com/app/3573040/Squad_22_ZOV/
Given that the games industry here is infected with the Sweetbaby Inc virus then good luck to this venture. I know a UK drone operator fighting in Ukraine has produced a solo board game ‘Game of Drones’, but did not know, beyond the obvious mods, and scenario creators, for existing games if anyone had produced an SMO specific product.

Posted by: Milites | May 29 2025 22:50 utc | 35

“Russia simply can’t afford an endless war in which it receives so many casualties and creates so many broken men.”
Posted by: fnord | May 29 2025 21:20 utc | 23
But Ukraine can with 1/7 of Russia’s population and losing their men 5-1 against the Russians?
Take this personally, you are a retard or a troll.

Posted by: canuck | May 29 2025 23:07 utc | 36

Posted by: fnord | May 29 2025 22:11 utc | 31
Unless this IS the only alternative that generates the best outcome for the least risk. The Allies in ‘’44-45 were in a similar position, they could not speed up the conflict, because the processes that dictated the tempo were themselves a product of the conflict. It took the use of ground-breaking weapons to break this imposed cycle in the Pacific and I doubt the Russians would consider that game-changer as a viable option.

Posted by: Milites | May 29 2025 23:14 utc | 37

Posted by: fnord | May 29 2025 21:20 utc | 23
Fuck off nazi troll who wants to make believe he is concerned by the loss of Russian soldiers. The volunteers are signing contracts by thousands every week.
400’000 Ukrainian families are looking for news about father, brother or son who disappeared altogether.
+ 1 million at least of ukronazis and their involuntary victims killed.

Posted by: dies irae! | May 29 2025 23:34 utc | 38

Russia is mulching the AFU & territory bigly in the the Sumy Region along edge-positions. Tree-lines and villages are falling. The names of these villages will not trigger much in the way of recognition among elites in the U.S.: keep in mind—-this is Flyover Country. Elites in the U.S. will merely flutter their eyelids in response.
But guys are standing and guys are dying. The Russian Forces are rationally & robustly executing their objectives.
While this is happening, excited German technicians are excitedly setting their super-excited AFU proxies up w/ Taurus missiles to launch into Russia’s hinterlands. These excited German technicians don’t care about the Sumy Region or Flyover Country. All they want is to press the button that allows hyped=up *Ukraine* to deal out long-range death & destruction on Muscovite civilians.
Extraordinarily, almost as a footnote if you only receive your info from Regime Media in the West, Russian Forces are deboning the AFU & NATO mercs in *every* LOC sector. Look @ Limon. Look @ Siviersk. Look @ the area south of Konstantynivka.
The warzone region is ripening in Russia’s favor at just the right time. It’s not even summer yet, but Russia’s resources and know-how are coalescing amazingly.
What’s obvious is that the AFU’s support from the West has handicapped them massively.
Historians will never stop writing about this war.
The map of the world will shift notably as a result of it.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | May 29 2025 23:37 utc | 39

Russia will have a great country going forward if they agree on The Document, according to DJT—whatever The Document might be.
The Document is the ultimate Memorandum for Peace in Ukraine. The bummer of course is that DJT has no leverage in this matter.
Stiil, DJT says he needs just two weeks.
He needs just two weeks to figure out if Russia tapping him along (TM).
C’mon, Russia, c’mon—leak the contents of your Memorandum to Reuters-! Let the Regime Media take some pot-shots.
Russia no doubt understands that dealing w/ Ukraine means dealing of course w/ the U.S. ultimately, because the U.S. is Ukraine’s paymaster—-but right now the theatrics require all parties to pretend that the neo-Nazi government in Ukraine is large and in-charge, which of course it is not.
In the midst of this craziness, Russia naturally retains sufficient good-fellow feeling and political etiquette. Even Aleksandr Dugin is praying for DJT and for MAGA. Recall: the Kremlin Major Players endured Russiagate from 2017 through 2020. This is not their first rodeo.
BTW: China has stopped the export of drone sales to the West but has continued supplying the same drones to Russia. Moreover, China has stopped exporting parts for prior drones to the West.
Battle-lines getting drawn. The situation is tightening.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | May 29 2025 23:42 utc | 40

Merz says (well msm breathlessly reported) Germany will provide Taurus and Ukraine can directly target the Kremlin.
Russia (Lavrov et al) says “nyet” and FAFO Berlin will eat an oreshnik…
So now Merz once again visits the kokaine klown in Kiev (we now know what takes the edge off the boredom of that hours-long train journey).
Merz says Ukraine will now manufacture “long range weapons” (and msm fills in the blanks and say these will Ukraine versions of the Taurus.)
The same with the F-16s that fly in, do a touchdown in Ukraine – thus “transition” into Ukrainian fighters, and then on to the front.
Fools no one.
Russia tolerated the Storm Shadows, and now Britain has few left
Will Russia deplete the Taurus inventory?

Posted by: Melaleuca | May 30 2025 0:11 utc | 41

Posted by: steel_porcupine | May 29 2025 23:37 utc | 39
‘What’s obvious is that the AFU’s support from the West has handicapped them massively.’ How so? Without the support they’d have collapsed in weeks, who else would/could have supported them? If you’re trying to extrapolate some method of determining the effectiveness of comparative systems this isn’t the conflict to use, or if you do any analysis it has to be caveat heavy. If they were supported by Russian ISR capabilities and logistics the war would have been over in months.
Doctrinally, it’s a non-starter because the Ukrainians never followed Western doctrine, albeit at the tactical level, as they were never able to operate above brigade level, never practiced combined arms warfare and their TO&E was often a gypsy caravan of hand-me-downs or a Kobblekampfgruppe of limited capabilities.
Historians never stop writing about any wars, but this one is for the hardcore readers and/or the scenario designers for simulations. It probably will be seen for drones as WW2 was seen for the tank and aeroplane, where subsequent conflicts will never or rarely allow the quad-copter the freedom of action it had during the SMO, for the same reasons as any weapon system, its effectiveness.
If any shifting happens it will probably be that Russia pulls her chair closer to the table she was pushed away from, but I doubt any great tectonic shifts will occur, unless Ukraine’s neighbours want to bring their chairs in closer. China is facing economic uncertainty and increasing under-currents of political instability, whilst facing an America leadership whose less inclined to take the default paths of self-enrichment that have benifited the PRC so well in the past.
I don’t think there’s anything amazing about Russia’s progress or know how, just the inevitable process of years of bloody instruction slowly disseminating, by osmotic and authorised methods and Darwin’s laws enforced kinetically and consequentially.
Like most wars its supporters, on both sides, have generated a huge amount of hyperbolic commentary and analysis which artificially elevates events and capabilities beyond their dull reality. It also will have the tendency, like most conflicts, to create and populate an environment that encourages an ego-driven weaponisation of any analytical examination, especially as it entails a clash of ideologies. This in turn can warp the general perception held, in the future, of the conflict. So really, the SMO will follow a similar post-conflict route of established narrative, then revisionism and counter-revisionism that all conflicts and their component parts endure.

Posted by: Milites | May 30 2025 0:25 utc | 42

Ukraine has lost 15 million people since 2013. The moment the war ends and borders open Ukraine will lose another 10 million men as they know what comes next.
Former Ukraine born ethnic Russians will have their hands full repopulating Ukraine. Both a responsibility and a reward for victory. NATO is acutely aware of this fact.
Posted by: Jason | May 29 2025 21:57 utc | 29
===================
The Ukraine started losing population immediately after “independence,” in 1991.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Ukraine#/media/File:Population_of_Ukraine_from_1950z.svg

Posted by: Jane | May 30 2025 0:31 utc | 43

Can anyone here comment on this story, sent to me by a friend:
“Someone Leaked Russia’s Nuclear and Missile Defense Specs to NATO
Another day, another catastrophic mistake by the Kremlin.”
https://substack.com/home/post/p-164736530

Posted by: Jane | May 30 2025 0:40 utc | 44

“Good to see the front moving after so long”.
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | May 29 2025 17:20 utc | 9
You sound a bit like the story of the frog that sits in a pot of water as the temperature raises to boiling point, yet doesn’t notice what is going on until it is cooked.
The front line has been increasing for a very long time now to anyone who looks at the daily map changes and draws comparisons over a period of time. Just check out where Vuhledar, Avdivka and Marinka are now, some of the most difficult nuts to crack. To ad to that there are new Russian penetrations toward Sumy in the north and the Ukrainians have been decimated in the Kursk region where they had invaded Russia. Places that are now being evacuated near Zaporhizhia, Kramatorsk, and Petrovsk as well. I don’t think I’d be feeling very secure if I lived an any of those towns or cities.

Posted by: George | May 30 2025 0:47 utc | 45

Interesting that temporary worker Musk says he’s ‘done his job’ now for DOGE and saved $175 billion for the average American, while Trump signals that the ‘Golden Dome’ (of populist sound bites) will cost $175 billion. 175-175 = 0 for the average American, $175 billion for the Military Industrial Congressional Complex.
Le plus ça change the plus c’est la même chose. The more things change the more they are the same thing.

Posted by: George | May 30 2025 1:01 utc | 46

Will Russia deplete the Taurus inventory?
Posted by: Melaleuca | May 30 2025 0:11 utc | 41
From what I have read last night Russia could very likely destroy Taurus manufacturing factories in Germany if they go ahead with Merz’s folly. Some also reported that many Germans on social media were even cheering for that to happen.

Posted by: George | May 30 2025 1:13 utc | 47

Posted by: Milites | May 30 2025 0:25 utc | 42
I agree with what you say. What has been interesting is that if NATO or the US had actually backed Ukraine with a solid show of combined and powerful force they could have knocked Russia out a long time ago (from my point of view). Instead they have been supplying Ukraine in dribs and drabs and using that to generate publicity that ‘wonder weapons’ would be the new game changers, and often that somehow Ukraine was winning or going to win with its next surge of force.
This makes me think that the idea has only ever been to hopefully weaken Russia by death of a thousand cuts, but it didn’t work due to Putin et. al.’s extraordinary military-industrial preparedness and ability to respond economically in finding new markets, fostering organisations like BRICS, and making new allies that were similarly targeted by the US as well. From the beginning, it has been obvious that the US was never going to risk putting its own boots on the ground (apart from technical advisors) since there would have been far too many Americans killed and that is anathema in modern America. Ukrainians were happy to die until the last one anyway, we were told by people like Lindsay Graham – repeatably.

Posted by: George | May 30 2025 1:31 utc | 48

Posted by: Jane | May 30 2025 0:40 utc | 44
#########
It is possible, but I don’t believe Russia has FOIA like the West.
I heard about firms scraping Russian public records, but it is being “sold” in the West like NAFO cope from what I have seen.
So what if they understand how the S-600 works? NATO doesn’t have an agile manufacturing base to exploit that information this year. It’s not like the West can pump out new fighters or bombers anytime soon.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | May 30 2025 1:32 utc | 49

Posted by: Jane | May 30 2025 0:40 utc | 44
Just cut and paste it into search engine (I used Duck & Go) and you’ll find every main stream media on the planet is putting out the same meme, including some from Kiev and Ukraine. Without having a way to ascertain the truth here, I would say that the wave of the same meme being pushed out by the usual propaganda sources indicates that it is probably fictional nonsense or a massive exaggeration for the same reasons fake reports are usually disseminated.

Posted by: George | May 30 2025 1:39 utc | 50

Posted by: Melaleuca | May 30 2025 0:11 utc | 41
“Russia prepared to strike Germany if Taurus missiles are used – senior MP”
https://www.rt.com/news/618324-germany-ukraine-taurus-kartapolov/

Posted by: George | May 30 2025 1:48 utc | 51

Posted by: Jane | May 30 2025 0:40 utc | 44
Can anyone here comment on this story, sent to me by a friend:
“Someone Leaked Russia’s Nuclear and Missile Defense Specs to NATO
Another day, another catastrophic mistake by the Kremlin.”

To me, this looks like an inverse of Nazi Germany’s Wunderwaffen obsession. So instead of some miracle weapon saving Ukraine –and a bunch were announced over the years, as you’ll remember– we now have people miracle intelligence calming everyone pro-Ukraine that at least strategically the Russians lost it.

Posted by: George | May 30 2025 1:13 utc | 47
From what I have read last night Russia could very likely destroy Taurus manufacturing factories in Germany if they go ahead with Merz’s folly. Some also reported that many Germans on social media were even cheering for that to happen.

I wouldn’t bloat about it on any social media but as a German, I agree that an Oreshnik hitting Rheinmetall would be a good thing. I believe the Russians could get away with it for three reasons:
1. Germany cannot escalate in turn, unlike USA, UK, France.
2. It’d possible to explain this to enemies and friends all over with history.
3. The West would make noises but on the quiet cherish a hit on their competitor.
I am afraid it’s highly unlikely the Russians actually would go that far although there is the argument that domestic pressure might have them do *something* about a German rocket hitting Moscow (which is the scenario mentioned by RT head Simonjan). The “Oreshnik on Berlin” thrown about has 0% credibility IMO.

Posted by: George | May 30 2025 1:31 utc | 48
What has been interesting is that if NATO or the US had actually backed Ukraine with a solid show of combined and powerful force they could have knocked Russia out a long time ago

How do you knock out a country that has a nuclear doctrine?
I agree that the Western plan was never for Ukraine to win but rather for Russia to lose, e.g. by domestic unrest or a coup taking out the government. But that was the job of the “sanctions from hell”. You seem to speak of a military knockout — how should what have worked?

Posted by: Konami | May 30 2025 1:53 utc | 52

@ Posted by: canuck | May 29 2025 23:07 utc | 36
Not the claim, my Canadian friend. Ukraine will lose this war, sure enough, but Russia is paying a human cost that puts it at a massive future disadvantage against more serious (at this point) regional rivals like Poland and Turkey whose reactionary ruling classes are also engaged in imperialist competition with Russia and who have the backing of the US.
@ Posted by: dies irae! | May 29 2025 23:34 utc | 38
The only nazis are the ones who put “their” nation above their class and their own selves. I have long believed that Ukrainian workers would be wise to resist conscription, and if conscripted, be prepared to turn their guns the other way, or otherwise to flee. Let the nationalists kill each other off. But I think the same should be true of the Russian workers, but they, as a result of the sheer luck of having a greater population, do not have to worry so much about getting sent to be killed by a quadcopter with some explosives attached to it, plenty of dumb suckers signing up to do that voluntarily, as you mention.
I’ll quote one nazi out of western self-indulgence: “Life is too short and too beautiful to sacrifice for an idea” (Junger).

Posted by: fnord | May 30 2025 2:07 utc | 53

vargas@22….,Lavrov’s latest peace plan bid is trying to head the Ukies off at the pass….the ‘pass’ being the rather wide air corridor 404 opened up by using cheap drones to deplete Russian air defences on the Road to Moscow. A bit lame, but at this point who wants to see Moscow get SCALPed, or heaven forbid, a Taurus comes to visit…..Germany, France and the UK are not bound by any agreements and are free to have proxies attack Russia….all of the day and all of the night…..should they chose….I suspect they shall….oh, goody, the blood letting continues…..
Cheers M

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | May 30 2025 2:11 utc | 54

At some point, the victory becomes Pyrrhic.
capacity.
Posted by: fnord | May 29 2025 22:11 utc | 31
The at “at what cost” brigade is back…
Let me explain the worst case scenario . RF spent a levée, a year of men, to wipe out anything with the ability to bear arms in the AFU, and drain empty nato European arsenals.
And if Europe plays coy it will NOT have time to pretend it wants to create an army.
And the us will NOT backstop crazy lemmings unless they want to see a fine country glowing.
Simple enough?
Even the us don’t have enough conventional means to win a land war in Europe. Not mentioning going east
General Bernard Montgomery, a prominent British commander, famously stated two “laws of war”: “Never march on Moscow” and “Never go fighting with your land army in Asia.”
Sweden tried and had a house call, France tried and had a house call, German tried, you know how it ended and it’s getting boring
What has Russia ever bothered the Europeans unless dully invited to return an unwanted visit?
The Chinese could have more reasons to complaint, hell the Martian’s have more basis .
And make no mistake, RF endures because it’s a federation, as a group loses dynamics, another takes the helm.
And a final point , often forgotten , when times get rough, empires crumble, but families endure.
As all human groups must, RF will probably have rough times, but properly managed it can be a counterpoint to the us for a millennia .

Posted by: Newbie | May 30 2025 2:14 utc | 55

Konami | May 30 2025 1:53 utc | 52
Russia was expected to lose within weeks.
Remember the SanctionsFromHell™️.
USNATO never planned for this kinetic conflict.
And. For three years they’ve completely failed to understand the Russians and their sloSMO.
U$A…. No Shock and Awe? No big arrows carving half the country in two weeks?
That ain’t a real war… Russia is too pussy to fight a Real War™️.
And yet, here we are.
Ukraine collapsing. EU energy prices destroying industry, and the NATO weapons stash depleted.
And Russian economy not only surviving but thriving.
Western companies that left with such fanfare, now trying to slyly sneak back in to grab some of those profits….
The SanctionsFromHell™️ worked. Just not the way RAND and the stink tankers expected.

Posted by: Melaleuca | May 30 2025 2:32 utc | 56

Seems like Zlielinsky *really* wants to lose, and lose Bigly
He wants U$ troops on the Ukrainian frontlines !
And not chilling out (safe?) in some city centre … on the frontlines.
Because this “offers security” {he thinks Russia won’t attack U$ troops on the Ukrainian front line? I think there’s plenty of NATO bodybags – including U$ chancers – that say otherwise.}
https://x.com/TRUMP_ARMY_/status/1928136414052376759

Posted by: Melaleuca | May 30 2025 2:43 utc | 57

Posted by: Konami | May 30 2025 1:53 utc | 52
Thanks for your comments and your views.
“How do you knock out a country that has a nuclear doctrine?”
I meant simply on the battle front in Ukraine, and that may have acted as a solid deterrent to Russia in the first place, rather than taking the dribs and drabs approach. It could have impacted Russia in ways that would make it rethink just how far it could go and advanced any diplomatic process. Don’t forget it was also at the request of helping the Donbas people protect themselves from the Ukrainian shelling that had gone on for many years which augmented just before Russia started its ‘SMO’ that got Russia moving. It’s never really been a full out war in that sense, although getting closer to it now.
Nuclear? Well that’s the ultimate step and I don’t think any rational country wants to overstep the line there, we are all possibly done for if that starts. MAD would be hard to stop. A lot of comment makers cheer nuclear strikes on but most have no idea of the power of modern nuclear weapons nor the potential impact of a nuclear Winter. They think of Hiroshima or Nagasaki and that is kindergarten by comparison. The possibility of nuclear has not gone away however since it lingers around even now whether the dribs and drabs approach or any other way was taken.
I guess in the long run Russia was never going to let NATO move into Ukraine or move further to the east. It has always reminded me of the Cuban missile crisis. At that time (1962)the US had put Jupiter missiles (I think they were called) along the northern border of Turkey facing the USSR. Such events can only be solved by diplomacy and tense stand offs in the end.

Posted by: George | May 30 2025 2:46 utc | 58

George: I understand but the West forced Russia’s hand in Ukraine. The Russian government waited very long (many say: too long) before it stepped in and even then not with full force.
Because Ukrainians decisions are not made in Kiev, for decades now, we must assume that the Western sponsors judged that what you call “solid deterrent” against Russia was not good enough. You mention the Donbass shelling and the 14.000 casualties — that was on purpose to force Russian involvement.
We don’t have to speculate here: what has happened in (not just) Ukraine is a pretty faithful execution of RAND’s Overextending and Unbalancing Russia from April 2024. If you believe that RAND is an important source of later US policies (I do) then these two follow-ups are interesting too: Avoiding a long war from January 2023 and the recent It’s time to rethink U.S. defense strategy (this month).
If you have the time, I suggest to browse some titles and key findings on the RAND homepage.

Posted by: Konami | May 30 2025 3:06 utc | 59

Britain will increase cyberattacks against Russia and China
John Healey, the defence minister, admitted the UK was engaged in cyberwarfare as he announced a new cyber-command that will help co-ordinate attacks
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/defence/article/britain-increase-cyberattacks-russia-china-zg5jrn3hv
[paywall, but headline is enough ]
Extra sauce: “The creation of a cyber command is part of the effort to eliminate duplication, set new standards, and empower offensive and defensive cyber attacks,” Healy said when asked if this meant an increase in cyber attacks on states such as Russia and China.
According to him, Moscow has allegedly significantly increased the number of such attacks, so London must respond to such actions.”

Posted by: Melaleuca | May 30 2025 3:13 utc | 60

Sorry for wrong date: “Overextending Russia” is of course from April 2019.

Posted by: Konami | May 30 2025 3:17 utc | 61

You mention the Donbass shelling and the 14.000 casualties — that was on purpose to force Russian involvement.
Posted by: Konami | May 30 2025 3:06 utc | 59
And that was an order to escalate the carnage and shelling by the west, Canada’s uprising against the blob needed to be buried. Same day the world raised those flags in protest. They were more quickly dropped for the Ukes

Posted by: Merv Ritchie | May 30 2025 3:34 utc | 63

Posted by: Konami | May 30 2025 3:06 utc | 59
I’m aware of the Rand report, but it is not a bible of established fact concerning their predictions and advice either. It was a plan and they were wrong – they also deal in hypotheticals and counterfactuals as I have. None of what they suggested actually weakened Russia, yet we have only ever heard a barrage of reports from the US that Russia could not sustain its defence, nor its economy, nor its numbers in the military, nor Putin’s popularity etc., etc. US administrations have constantly underestimated Russia, and still do. They also don’t seem to see that when you target a number of states in similar ways, like Russia and China, and even Iran, that it is likely that they will become allies. I think they still deny the importance and growing power of BRICS even though BRICS is about trade rather than defence allegiances.

Posted by: George | May 30 2025 3:58 utc | 64

George: I am not linking RAND because I think they were right. But this is IMO the best access we have to the plans of “the West”. They tried to break up Russia and make it as accessible to Western exploitation as it was during the Yeltsin years, and we get glimpses at their plan for that, from the Overextending Russia report.
They got some results, for example making a fully anti-Russian Ukraine (this is about the leaders, not the people) or the NATO extension or the effective brainwashing of the Western population. The last point is important because it will allow them to cling to power, although with power base reduced to the West itself — at the cost of massively ramped up authoritarian states.
Ultimately, as you say, the breaking up of Russia did not work out — and RAND (part of the planners in the USA) adapted.

George: None of what they suggested actually weakened Russia, yet we have only ever heard a barrage of reports from the US that Russia could not sustain its defence, nor its economy, nor its numbers in the military, nor Putin’s popularity etc., etc. US administrations have constantly underestimated Russia, and still do.

The first part (“None…weakened Russia”) is hyperbole, in my opinion. Yes, the sanctions ultimately strengthened Russia’s economy and the Ruble did hold up. But it’s pretty clear that Russia (=government and companies) wouldn’t mind unobstructed trading and it is obvious that the loss of humans on the order of hundreds of thousands (civilians and soldiers) makes Russia weaker, not stronger.
The barrage you mention does exist but is just propaganda. We could argue for hours if (a) the politicians in power believe that propaganda and (b) if the persons behind those politicians do. I think yes for (a) and no clue for (b). It doesn’t really matter because propaganda, “the cognitive battlefield”, is important but does not win wars. You are also correct that Russia is consistently underestimated but that’s actually a good thing. One could argue that Trump’s Russia policy is an attempt to be a bit more realist in this regard.

Posted by: Konami | May 30 2025 4:32 utc | 65

Posted by: pasta | May 30 2025 3:22 utc | 62
Garbage in, garbage out when your analysis relies on claims like the following.
“They’ve gone down this road because they’ve lost over 20,000 armored troop carriers.”
Sourced straight from the Ukrainian MoD’s kill sheet which is as of now up to 985,000 men, 10,900 tanks, 22,600 armoured fighting vehicles, 28,400 artillery pieces, 1400 MLRS and 50,000 assorted support vehicles. They’re fantasy figures. If Russian losses were even half of that, the Ukrainian Army would likely be halfway to Moscow not retreating on all fronts and demanding a ceasefire.

Posted by: OnceWere | May 30 2025 4:37 utc | 66

Posted by: Konami | May 30 2025 4:32 utc | 65
Look I welcome your views, and of course there are many interpretations and also ways to measure what a success truly is. I enjoy the discussion and arguments you put forth, I have long understood that more than one mind is better than just one mind in ascertaining or evaluating any situation or prediction. I have also understood that whatever I think I know, I will always remain ignorant of so many variables and factors – so what I say may not be the truth at all, it is simply another opinion gleaned from one perspective (mine) among many. So I don’t subscribe to whether you or I are the correct party, right or wrong, and it is good to engage with someone that knows how to argue in the academic sense of the word and not just resort to being be righteousness and employing diatribe and ad hominem. If it goes that way then it’s a little like the same kind of thinking that can cause hatred and wars.
I like to think of the 19th Century Japanese woodblock printer who made 36 views of Mt Fuji. All views were valid, yet all could be argued as though they were the only correct view or the ‘truth’, even if they only showed half of the mountain.

Posted by: George | May 30 2025 5:25 utc | 67

@ Jane | May 30 2025 0:40 utc | 44
If any of that was true, nobody would’ve been told.

Posted by: boneless | May 30 2025 5:39 utc | 68

I repost this video:
“Why Russia’s Economy is Finally Stalling”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ejrpZrLawyM
Corporate debt is up by 40% since early 2022 (think: russia’s war economy).

Posted by: WMG | May 30 2025 6:46 utc | 69

Once again….
And a little longer…
There’s a rumor that the Taurus is just a placebo for deterrence and has NEVER served any other purpose, possibly also the reason why ONLY, ONLY South Korea has it in its arsenal. DETERRENCE against North Korea!
Taurus… a system over 50 years old! Which may have once had a “deterrent” effect in the 1980s with its alleged properties. Today, with almost 95% probability, the system would be classified completely differently thanks to new radar technology, new satellite detection, and not least the BEST air defense Russia currently has.
As I said, there’s a rumor that the Taurus might be able to fly and hit a target, but that’s it.
What confirms this assumption?
The Taurus has NEVER been tested over unknown territory; the Taurus has only flown in promotional videos to date. EVERY German Chancellor has sometimes even avoided mentioning the weapon system in any way. NATO, including the USA, does not own this system itself or has any kind of control over it (which actually does NOT exist for such “powerful” weapon systems).
Not even co-developer and sponsor Sweden actually has Taurus in its inventory, or, like the USA, influence over its OWN weapon in every long-range system!
Brought to the public via promotional videos during the Cold War, the system dates back to the depths of the Cold War, the time when DETERRENCE was the principle and considered the solution.
.
A Merz… until his election as Chancellor, who babbled about the Taurus in almost every one of his speeches!
But even BEFORE his election, he was a complete asshole when it came to state secrets!
Then, as Chancellor, he probably had his FIRST OPPORTUNITY to learn about the actual condition of a TAURUS.
But now, to save face, he couldn’t simply back down…other excuses were needed to save the TAURUS THREAT IMAGE and avoid appearing completely embarrassed in the world.
His predecessor, Chancellor Scholz, became downright aggressive when it came to Taurus…but never mentioned the topic in his speeches…back then, a mere MP had to believe what everyone believes today…
TAURUS MAY BE A FOREIGN WEAPON, but without wings, it seems.
And as for those generals whose conversation was intercepted…when Taurus was born, some of these generals weren’t even born yet…I’ve probably never seen a Taurus live, and if I did, NEVER seen it fly, because its last known flight dates back to the time of the ONLY known promotional video.
But as I said…new radar technology, new missile systems, new satellites, all of this together makes for DEFENSE.
.
By the way…South Korea has Taurus, South Korea supplies weapons to Ukraine, why not Taurus…the necessary geo-maps are supposedly easy to create these days…
Why does NO NATO state have Taurus, not even operational capabilities…as a French pilot revealed in a conversation, apart from the Eurofighter, no NATO jet is capable of picking one up…he said he doesn’t know of any aircraft type from the 80s or 90s, but the reception technology is standard…but then Ukraine’s F16s wouldn’t have to be converted…contradiction.
Was Taurus a NATO weapon or a deterrent placebo for states with immediate communist neighbors…Germany/South Korea?
.

Posted by: Leipziger | May 30 2025 7:04 utc | 70

Posted by: Leipziger | May 30 2025 7:04 utc | 70
Well, maybe Taurus is the stick Merz is holding out to the Russians and tells them to jump.
Jump, send your hazelnut. During the first deployment, we were too surprised to direct all our observers and equipment at it.
And since you’re Putin, you’ll surely warn us of the impact so we can prepare everything.
In connection with the aforementioned placebo Taurus… two birds with one stone.
We’re gaining knowledge about the function of your hazelnut, and our sooo dangerous weapon is destroyed. We don’t need to provide practical proof on the front lines… we’ve saved ourselves the laughter.
Jump, Putin… the Taurus bait is waiting.

Posted by: Leipziger | May 30 2025 7:31 utc | 71

Not a news story until the files are shared as-is so we can all download and look at them. Right now there is nothing to back up the claim. I will not take them at their word; they are known liars and propagandists.
There is some stuff that seems odd and some other stuff that would be far more important than anything I saw mentioned which makes me suspect this is all made up by someone who doesn’t really know what they should have made up 🙂
A single server or system for so many different kinds of documents is also very suspicious.
I think some of the claimed documents/topics are very unlikely to ever have been digitized in any form both due to age and due to security.
But I could be wrong, as always, only my thoughts. Time might tell.
(And btw the Texeira stuff was nonsense for internal consumption afaik; never heard or seen anything of interest about/from it. He went to jail for sharing internal classified bullshit/propaganda that he bought into).
Willing to be corrected!

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | May 30 2025 7:50 utc | 72

My comment was meant as a reply to Jane ( May 30 2025 0:40 utc | 44 ).

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | May 30 2025 7:56 utc | 73

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | May 30 2025 7:50 utc | 72
RE: Texeira was a patsy
<< The files "shared" on the Discord gamechat & then "leaked" via Donbass Devushka were a Bellingcat/CIA/MI6 extravaganza designed specifically for the WaPo, which ran *exclusives* for many months about the "leaked intel." What you're responding to, via Jane #44, has a similar 'feel.'

Posted by: steel_porcupine | May 30 2025 8:23 utc | 74

In important ways, DJT is tapping himself along. He’s giving himself 10 days, maybe two weeks to figure out if VVP “is serious” in making a deal.
But he already knows what VVP is serious about, because VVP has told him in their phone conversations, including their most recent on 19 May: The Call. He knows what VVP has seriously told Witkoff for many months. He knows what Foreign Minister Lavrov has seriously reiterated to Sec Rubio, including after the drone-barrage from Ukraine over the weekend. He knows what back-channel entities have seriously gleaned from what their counterparts in Russia have told them.
Nothing has changed, in other words, in the messaging coming out of Moscow or its seriousness.
What has changed is the calendar.
14 June is DJT’s birthday (pause as everyone acknowledges the gravity of this event) and also the date of a grand war parade in D.C. to celebrate Flag Day, a long forgotten old-fashioned relic-proclamation from the mid-20th Century which DJT is now elevating to a major status because—-lookit, Flag Day has always been DJT’s birthday.
When DJT was yet a boy in Queens, he saw the boulevards lined w/ the Stars & Stripes waving in the breeze, and he felt a kind of extra pride because it was his birthday, and the flags seemed to be rippling for him.
DJT will not suffer anyone tapping him along during a grand military parade on 14 June, because he needs to position himself heroically as a victor by then.
The arbitrary deadline is nearly as arbitrary as the long-forgotten Flag Day.
But VVP is not tapping DJT along. At every juncture and through every possible means VVP et al—-Lavrov, Ushakov, Dmetriev—-have laid the situation exactly on the line. It’s just simply that DJT cannot abide what they have told him.
They are not tapping him along: he is tapping himself along, faced w/
A] accepting what the Russian military intends to do—go *heavy* for a military victory in Ukraine, which DJT cannot accept
—or
B] committing himself further to a losing venture: more U.S. involvement in Project Ukraine, more money-pit, more withering losses—-“beautiful young men”—because the U.S. & its proxy cannot beat Russia.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | May 30 2025 8:26 utc | 75

Jane @ 44

Can anyone here comment on this story, sent to me by a friend: “Someone Leaked Russia’s Nuclear and Missile Defense Specs to NATO

Manufactured nonsense, fear mongering yellow journalism of the Evelyn Waugh “Scoop” sort. Imagine the Brits get Enigma and the next day they run it in the newspaper headlines!
Re Taurus: Can’t recall who but one but one of the usual YouTube pundits maybe Doctorow or Sleboda noted that Taurus have been out of production for a while, and there is only a mothballed factory to hit. That doesn’t man the Russians are lacking targets in Germany if it comes to that.
The opposite of Napoleon’s remark, “don’t interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake” is, “always interrupt your enemy when he is succeeding,” seeing that the Russians are steadily advancing my guess is they won’t disturb their success with the impulsive act of striking Germany, when it comes to redlines and escalation NATO always has the Russians over a barrel, that’s why the west repeatedly attacks Russia, the Russians as always just have to eat it and slog forward.
The Taurus redline is bait and the Russians enabled it, and as Berletic correctly noted the order emmanates from the Pentagon (and from Trump the Commander in Chief) but laundered through Germany, IMO to send NATO troops to reinforce faltering AFU front lines, call into play some sort of semi-art. 5, about the only hope NATO has left. The Russians as always through their history of war w/ the west are between the hammer and anvil, so it goes.
It’s why from the start I thought the Russians shouldn’t play the west’s propaganda game, they should shut up and go dark, even reigning in the pro RF TG channels, Medvedev, Peskov, Zakharova, should only speak internally to the Russian people, the west should be in the dark till the light of an Oreshnik conventional or nuke hits them. Putin made a mistake saying he would give timely warning if and when any NATO facilities are to be hit, that gives the west the escalatory option of also giving a gentlemanly warning and launching a retaliatory strike, the Russians if they strike at NATO should do it unannounced and suddenly, let the west calculate in the dark what comes next if they dare escalate. The west’s problem is lack of proper fear, playing by their rules doesn’t help instill fear, rather the exact opposite.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | May 30 2025 8:28 utc | 76

keep in mind that this latest german escalation simply comes with the territory.
our german regime has all those other nations between them and russia, so, just like the french and the british, its easy for those cowards to posture. pathetic nazis love to hide behind other childrens lifes.

Posted by: Justpassinby | May 30 2025 8:35 utc | 77

Posted by: steel_porcupine | May 30 2025 8:26 utc | 75
I think Trump is just buying himself more time and just found another way to step up to a microphone and announce something to make it look like he is in control and the one calling the shots. He’s been doing that all along with most situations even with other countries unrelated to Ukraine.
Putin hasn’t budged from the same things he has wanted since the operation started, I think it is already written in stone. If he doesn’t get that then there was no point in the SMO in the first place.

Posted by: George | May 30 2025 8:42 utc | 78

“The Russians as always through their history of war w/ the west are between the hammer and anvil, so it goes.
(…)
The west’s problem is lack of proper fear, playing by their rules doesn’t help instill fear, rather the exact opposite.”

The West can do whatever it wants.
The Russian ruling class decided to leave itself without any bargaining chip.
Remember. Because of ‘the entity’, a Russian plane was shot down, killing 12 Russian army technicians.
Question: What did Vladimir Vladimirovich do?
Answer: He cordially welcomed the head of ‘the bloody entity’ and renewed his permit to bomb Syria twice a week.
The Russians got what they wanted.
And of course, and for reasons that are easy to understand, the leaders of the West despise the Ukrainians even more than the Russians.
The Ukrainian Gambit (1997-, 2008-) is a spherical monstrosity no matter how you look at it:
The cynicism and disregard for human life of the leaders of the West, the Ukrainian pawns led to the slaughter by a regime awash in Western money, and the servility, slave mentality, and lack of patriotism of the Russian ruling class.

Posted by: Simon | May 30 2025 8:45 utc | 79

Too bad we can’t worship ourselves.
Posted by: A rope leash | May 29 2025 20:24 utc | 21

Many people do.

Posted by: Avtonom | May 30 2025 8:46 utc | 80

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | May 30 2025 7:50 utc | 72
Posted by: steel_porcupine | May 30 2025 8:23 utc | 74
RE: Project Ukraine ephemera
<< There's a 6-guys-and-a-gal-on-the-Andromeda-yacht 'feel' to what you're addressing, a psy-ops feel. It's like other ephemera of Project Ukraine, of which the Teixeira/Discord extravaganza was an example. Why is it happening now-? The Teixeira/Discord info dropped on 6 April 2023, right as the Wagnerians were routing the AFU in Bakhmut, which became a backbreaking event in the SMO, something from which the AFU never really recovered. The Greatest Summer Counteroffensive Ever commenced two months after 6 April, and it was a resounding flop. In the case of the Teixeira "leak" on 6 April, we learned that details of the airman's childhood home, posted on social media in family photos, matched details on the image-margins of some of the photos of the documents Teixeira purportedly "leaked" on Discord. Who posts photos of their family home *and* social media profiles *and* leaks from Top Secret documents on a gaming-server-? Nobody does something like that. Teixeira was a cross between Lee Harvey Oswald and Reality Winner. When the story of the Discord "leaks" broke, Ellen Nakashima, David Sanger, Nicole Perlroth aand Julian Barnes were the bylined authors for the nytimes's coverage of the story. All four of them deeply bylined Russiagate stories and stories about the Solar Winds hack too, if you remember the accusations of Russia's cyberwarfare from late 2020.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | May 30 2025 8:55 utc | 81

“A massive tranche of over 2 million documents found in a public database sheds light on Russia’s expansion and modernization of its highly sensitive nuclear weapons complex, the Danish investigative outlet Danwatch and Germany’s Der Spiegel reported on 29 May.
“The files include detailed blueprints of the Strategic Missile Forces bases near the Orenburg region town of Yasny. The two bases are equipped with the Avangard hypersonic glide vehicle, one of Russia’s most advanced nuclear delivery systems.
““Until now, we have only been able to monitor these bases from above using satellite imagery,” Hans M. Kristensen, director of the Nuclear Information Project at the Federation of American Scientists, told Danwatch and Der Spiegel. “Now, with the help of these unique drawings, we can for the first time get inside the buildings and all the way underground. It’s completely unprecedented.”
My thoughts: A couple buzzwords which are a tell: “tranche,” “unprecedented.”
Neither WaPo nor nytimes are biting on this yet.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | May 30 2025 9:13 utc | 82

Someone might say that Western leaders, or more precisely, the Mental Software in their heads, subcontracted the killing of Russians to the Ukrainians, and subcontracted the killing of Ukrainians to the Russians. Western leaders will die laughing.

Posted by: Simon | May 30 2025 9:20 utc | 83

“Satellite images obtained by Greenpeace show new power lines being built across fields near Mariupol, as well as the distinctive triangular shape of transmission towers. The latest imagery, from May 11 to May 22, shows these lines expanding east of the village of Shevchenko, about seven miles from a substation linked to the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant.”
This is from the nytimes—but note that the nuclear-related focus for the nytimes is the ZNPP not purported leaks in a public database about Russia’s nuclear facilities in the Orenberg region.
What’s notable is the sudden uptick in nuclear-adjacent topics occurring right now.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | May 30 2025 9:22 utc | 84

I once read something that really surprised me:
If there are two fish in a fishbowl fighting, it means the British Empire has moved closer to the fishbowl or has passed through there

Posted by: Simon | May 30 2025 9:24 utc | 85

A massive tranche of over 2 million documents found in a public database…
Yes, leaks occur, but so do counter-intelligence “leaks” to throw off the scent. How difficult is it to fake the relevant subset of docs? Seems like basic 101 to have multiple versions, and commonly actual industrial blueprints can go through numerous iterations, before finality.

Posted by: Call it what u will | May 30 2025 9:36 utc | 86

I see that despite the general positive moves along the fronts, Ukraine are still in Tetkino (i.e. Russia) and apparently sending more troops in.
https://t.me/llordofwar/454351
“The situation in the Tetkino-Novy Put direction remains tense. The enemy continues grueling offensive actions with small infantry groups, sending new and new detachments to various sections of the state border on a daily basis. At the moment, the enemy holds the sewage treatment facilities in the Tetkino area and from there is trying to develop an offensive to the north with the aim of cutting off the settlement from supplies. At the same time, he is attacking on the southern outskirts of the village in the cemetery area. At least three reinforcement groups arrived at the strongholds of the 24th separate assault battalion “Aidar” in the Ryzhevka area. The battalion’s engineering units also carried out work to equip positions and make passages in minefields northwest of this village. To the north along the Seim River is actually a gray zone. It is difficult for our troops to defend these areas near the river without proper supplies, and it is also difficult for the enemy to get through the water obstacle under fire from our troops. However, sabotage and reconnaissance groups on boats are periodically observed. In the area of ​​the New Way, the enemy has also partially clung to the southern side of the railway and is trying to move, relying on the railway track. Some time ago, the ShGr 425 OShP attacked 3 km north of Pavlovka. They did not achieve success, they were hit and the assault troops retreated. Because of this, reinforcements from the 225th separate assault regiment were transferred, which took up positions northwest of Iskriskovshchina. Additional firing points and strong points were set up there, and minefields were installed. Overall, the situation remains difficult, as the Ukrainian Armed Forces are attacking in small groups almost without stopping. Drones are striking at the rear. And judging by the reinforcements being transferred, it is clear that the enemy is not going to stop.”

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | May 30 2025 10:21 utc | 87

Ukraine and World Affairs: Weekly Update, 30th May 2025: May be useful to some: https://robcampbell.substack.com/p/ukraine-and-world-affairs-weekly-266

Posted by: The Busker | May 30 2025 10:21 utc | 88

Why is that green aphid seeking direct negotiations with the presidents of the USA and Russia? The answer seems obvious: a three-person conversation means powerful legitimization of the insect due to the authority of those present.
But there are other, related tasks.
1. Postpone the elections: “See, even they communicate with me, and despite our Constitution, it means that my powers are recognized by the older dangerous uncles!”
2. Send a signal to their nationalist elites: it is not the time to change horses in midstream (not the time to fight aphids). Moreover, aphids have established special relations (myrmecophilia) with Europeans (see below).
3. Obtain the right to continue stealing the military budget. It is known that aphids have not only enemies, but also patrons. Its symbiosis with ants (macrons, mertz, starmers and other hymenoptera) is well known. They protect (“herd”) aphids, receiving honeydew from them in return – secretions containing cocaine.
4. To reinforce the idea that even an insignificant aphid has the right to sign papers on the results of military events, which means that it is untouchable in the future, by the fact of the meeting.
The green arthropod is wrong about the last conclusion. Although Jodl and Keitel participated in the signing of the capitulation on behalf of Hitler’s Germany, they were nevertheless hanged by the verdict of the Nuremberg Tribunal. History is a merciless pest control specialist.
— Dmitry Medvedev

Posted by: ostro | May 30 2025 10:24 utc | 89

Posted by: Simon | May 30 2025 9:24 utc | 86
‘British Empire’ my ass, the shithole has-been English nation weigh less than a bag of popcorn.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | May 30 2025 10:39 utc | 90

In response to A rope leash@21,
There are those who care only to enrich themselves, no matter the cost to others. Those that cause mayhem and destruction, kill civilians, torture prisoners, for their own amusement. Those who play games using people as pawns, whether in fomenting wars, or spinning false narratives beneficial to their own agendas. Do you think they have a higher calling, a belief in something greater than themselves? Wouldn’t it be better for their victims if these people were instead certain about having to face divine retribution, whether it be delusion or reality? I believe atheism fundamentally absolves immorality on an internal level, to where the sole concern becomes strategy for avoiding human justice, and this perspective then gets reflected socially, as ruthlessness and self-preservation provides a competitive edge over compassion and honesty in the short term, but ultimately eroding the social fabric in the long term. Ukraine as a society post 1990’s until today is a good illustrative example.
Had religion remained a significant guiding force in Ukraine, represented in the spiritual awareness of both leadership and electorate, people would never have permitted themselves to trade the lives of their compatriots and brothers for ephemeral “Euro-integration” and the underlying conflict would never have gotten this far. Conflict resolution mechanisms were proposed, albeit innocent victims already numbered in the hundreds, not counting thousands of dead troops, and subsequently adopted by the UN security council, becoming international law — which with the assistance of European diplomats was turned on its head, stalled for the express purpose of war preparation in the most transparent and cynical way. If these middling bureaucrats were ever made to confront the moral implications of what they were doing, as they were doing it, there would have been no war.
Vladimir Putin does sometimes put forth the idea that Russia is in a war against satanism, which in this context is a catch-all term for those entities who reject and act against Christian ethical and societal principles, which presumably could include self-identifying enlightened atheists as well. In this he may well be echoing Chechen troops, who in referring to their opponents as a collective use the word “shaitan.” Russian troops, meanwhile, have their weapons blessed with holy water, carry icons into battle and priests perform their duties as active servicemen. One side of this conflict clearly believes in something, while the other has so far only demonstrated complete faithlessness, moral, spiritual and political.

Posted by: Skiffer | May 30 2025 10:39 utc | 91

🇺🇦🇵🇱 Polish President Duda awarded Budanov the Golden Officer’s Cross of the Order of Merit for Poland.
This is one of the highest state awards for citizens of foreign countries.
Budanov and other Ukrainian intelligence officers received orders “for services to Poland.”
The head of the GUR was presented by Polish President Duda with one of the highest state awards for foreigners – the Golden Officer’s Cross of the Order of Merit for Poland.
The GUR statement said that it was awarded “for outstanding contribution to the development of international cooperation and interaction linking the Republic of Poland with other states and nations.”
Budanov’s deputy Vadim Skibitsky was awarded the Knight’s Cross of the Order of Merit for Poland.
And Ukrainian intelligence officers were awarded badges of distinction for their “contribution to the collective security of the continent.”

just a reminder, a few days ago polish president duda was angy because he witnessed how the “ukrainians” that he visits (lvov, ivano etc) are openly celebrating bandera and other nazi-adjecant individuals etc, and he could not undrstand why the “ukrainians” did not understand his outrage about it.
but here he is, awarding those same people the highest award.
poland was happy siding with adolf, until they got stabbed in the back. nothing learned from history. or maybe the poles are also just like the “ukrainians”, loving nazism, as long as its against those evil russkies.

Posted by: Justpassinby | May 30 2025 10:43 utc | 92

Posted by: Justpassinby | May 30 2025 10:43 utc | 93
Eastern euros fear both the Nazies and the Russians but today the Nazies are just miserable ukrop detritus while Russia is strong and getting stronger. So Poles prefer to hate Russia although now and then they have to complain a bit about the Nazies that killed their grandads.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | May 30 2025 10:50 utc | 93

A massive tranche of over 2 million documents found in a public database…
Yes, leaks occur, but so do counter-intelligence “leaks” to throw off the scent. How difficult is it to fake the relevant subset of docs? Seems like basic 101 to have multiple versions, and commonly actual industrial blueprints can go through numerous iterations, before finality.
Posted by: Call it what u will | May 30 2025 9:36 utc | 87
Furthermore, if western intelligence had it, not letting RF know would be the better option.
Propaganda play…

Posted by: Newbie | May 30 2025 11:05 utc | 94

95 – I suspect so. If you have such a card, you hold onto it, you don’t show it.

Posted by: Waldorf | May 30 2025 11:13 utc | 95

Ursula Von Der Leyen has received the Charlemagne prize. In her acceptance speech, she wishes Ukraine, Moldavia, the West Balkan – Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Serbia – Moldavia, and Georgia to join the EU.

I am deeply convinced that history is calling on us now. Just like back in 1989, when the winds of change swept through Europe (speech in German)

The prize is called after Charlemagne, a 9th century European king. None of the countries Ursula wishes to add were part of Charlemagne’s empire. The empire of Charlemagne was France, Germany, the low countries, Switzerland, parts of Austria and Italy. Charlemagne’s empire did not even include Bautzen.

Posted by: Passerby | May 30 2025 11:22 utc | 96

91
What mental rigidity!
I quoted a 19th-century saying that is very appropriate today.

Roman Empire 1.0 (Rome)
Big Imperial Crisis (250-300)
Roman Empire 2.0 (Constantinople)
Anglo-Empire 1.0 (London)
Big Imperial Crisis (1914-1949)
Anglo-Empire 2.0 (Washington)

Posted by: Simon | May 30 2025 12:16 utc | 97

Posted by: Passerby | May 30 2025 11:22 utc | 97
Should be renamed “Charlemagne division prize” …
Ursula is practicing wishful thinking (as all the retards of her kind.). The thing is, all the countries in her list are, one way or another, a death-pill for the EU as an institution for various reasons.
So, if Ursula wanna take that pill, let her do. Treaties can be burned faster than ratified.
EU is like NATO ; as all individual member countries weakens under it’s rule, it’s only survivable option is endless extension and the more extended it is ; the more vulnerable it become. The well known “imperial paradox”.

Posted by: Savonarole | May 30 2025 12:18 utc | 98

But let’s not stray from the main issue.
A lot of atomic weapons, a lot of chest-beating…
and Russia, in its impotence (reduced to killing Ukrainians despised by the Western ruling class), is the laughingstock of the West.
And, on the other hand, if Russia had shot down two or three or ten or twelve planes of ‘the bloody entity’ … they would have instantly respected Russia.

Posted by: Simon | May 30 2025 12:25 utc | 99

Zelensky wants a meeting with Putin and Trump. Kellogg is talking about a meeting between Trump, Putin and Zelensky. Trump stated that he is ready for a trilateral meeting.
Why the need to put Zelensky at the table with Trump and Putin? This is a proxy war between the US and Russia, that can be solved only between US and Russia.
One possible reason, it gives Zelensky real legitimacy. Putin meeting with Zelensky in this format, with Trump present, means that Russia recognises Zelensky’s Presidency.
Zelensky wants to use the meeting as visual proof that he is the best option to lead Ukraine with or without elections. It solidifies his rule, and safeguards his future.
Political competitors and powerful forces in Ukraine will hesitate to push for a removal or coup after seeing Zelensky at the table with Trump and Putin.
As always, for Churchill No. 2, it’s a PR media performance. No peace is meant to come from this, I hope I am wrong.
Side note: Even after the dressing down he received at the White House, Zelensky and the MSM presented a picture where he stood up bravely to Trump, and defended Ukraine’s honour.

Posted by: Alex Christoforou | May 30 2025 12:26 utc | 100