Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
May 2, 2025
Trump Tops Tariffs On China With Sanctions

This will be fun:


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President Trump has announced to put secondary sanctions, i.e. prohibition of any commerce exchange with the U.S., on any country that imports oil or oil products from Iran.

This is just another click on the sanction ratchet. The last ones, six or so weeks ago, had no serious impact:

The tightened U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil flows under the Trump Administration’s renewed maximum pressure campaign have created chaos in Iran’s oil exports to its single biggest buyer, China.

However, Iranian exports to China, which buys around 90% of the Islamic Republic’s oil, continue as traders and middlemen rearrange tanker flows and increase ship-to-ship transfers, especially offshore Malaysia, vessel-tracking analysts say.

The latest U.S. sanctions have managed to disrupt trade as the number of non-sanctioned tankers is steadily falling. But exports from Iran to China continue at a rate similar to those of the past few months …

The original 'maximum pressure' sanctions were solely aimed at Iran:

The Trump Administration .. is actively seeking to collapse these exports – currently estimated at 1.5 million bpd-1.6 million bpd – by ratcheting up pressure on the financial system and governments in the region, which aid Iran’s oil export efforts and oil revenue collection.

“We will close off Iran's access to the international financial system by targeting regional parties that facilitate the transfer of its revenues. Treasury is prepared to engage in frank discussions with these countries,” Secretary Bessent said at the Economic Club of New York last week.

“We are going to shut down Iran's oil sector and drone manufacturing capabilities.”

That did not work as expected. The new secondary sanctions are targeting Iran's best customer – China.

I have no doubt that China, despite the threat of secondary sanctions, will continue to buy oil from Iran.

Trump already had to make carve-outs for automobile parts and other irreplaceable stuff from the sky-high tariffs he had imposed on products from China. There are also exemptions for pharmaceutical precursors and products. U.S. healthcare depends on those products from China.

As China is unlikely to give in the secondary sanctions related to Iran will make these exemptions irrelevant.

The fun part of this will come when Trump will have to retreat from it as soon as the results of his bluster threaten to hurt the U.S. economy.

Comments

Roger Boyd
About Stalin
In the light of what I now know about the political-intelligence-media communities of the U.K. and USA, revealed by the Ukraine and Gaza wars, I am beginning to question history of, for instance, the Soviet Union, that we have accepted as canonical. Should anything arising from angloworld state media be taken at face value, even retrospectively?
Take the great Soviet “purges” for example. It is part of our western Nicean creed that tens of millions of people were disappeared and died horrible deaths in a Siberian gulag, in the late thirties just before WW2, based on waves of Stalin’s paranoia. This belief architecture can be seen in the (very entertaining) recent movie “The Death of Stalin”.
Belief in the horror-movie enormity of the Soviet purges can be traced to a single book – “The Great Terror” by English historian Robert Conquest (subtle clue in his name??) published in 1968. This book caused what academics like to call a “sea change” in opinion about the USSR. Before it, belief in Soviet communism was fashionable among western academics. But “The Great Terror” changed all that. Suddenly we were exposed to a dark story of millions being arbitrarily abducted and spirited away to Siberia. The belief system about the essential evil of Soviet communism was largely formed by Conquest’s book. Fast forward to today, the maniacal neurosis about communism or even socialism in the USA, and much of the Fourth Reich, can largely be traced to this single historian.
Was Conquest’s literary conquest true – about the horrors of the purges? Well they certainly happened. We know anecdotal accounts such as the interrogation endured by Soviet general (of Polish descent) Rokossovsky who lost his front teeth in the process but went on to be one of the most important generals in WW2, a rival to Zhukov.
But what of the tens of millions unjustly disappeared? Condemned to a horrid fate?Well for some western and especially British readers tales of a holocaust of Russians would be a form of intellectual self-pleasuring, an end in itself. And up to recently I have believed this to be true.
However about 30 years ago I had a discussion with someone in Minsk, Belarus who had written a book about the purges of the 1930’s. I didn’t fully understand all that he said due to limitations in my Russian. But the gist of it was that the Soviet purges were largely an operation of “maskirovka”. Essentially in the 1930’s as Germany and – eventually – the allies also rearmed massively, the USSR did the same. But it was desirable to conceal the extent of their armament program. So indeed millions of critical workers were forcibly moved to the Urals to create the massive Soviet armament industry. But that big movement of people was, at least partly, disguised as a political/criminal purge.
Such a duality would persist in the USSR after the war. As late as the 1980s people would joke that if there was a big construction project in the far east, then it would coincide with a crackdown on crime or corruption, or just alcoholism.
I would be interested in your thoughts on this.

Posted by: Andrew Sarchus | May 4 2025 21:19 utc | 301

Posted by: Andrew Sarchus | May 4 2025 21:19 utc | 319
Interesting book written from the details uncovered from the Soviet archives called Khrushchev lied. It corrects the record about Stalin and details the 1953 coup that occurred upon Stalin’s death. Don’t have my copy anymore as my house burned down in March but it should be easy to find from the title.
You can also read some of the declassified CIA documents about Stalin at George Washington Universities national security archives. No he was not a ‘dictator’ no he did not conduct massive purges. Yes the 3LA in the US have been lying since their inception.

Posted by: Badjoke | May 4 2025 22:02 utc | 302

Andrew Sarchus | May 4 2025 21:19 utc | 319
re about Stalin
Stalin lived history [he participated from his teens and thru the Russian Revolution to create the new Soviet Union], and was a voracious reader of history. As such, how could he not know that another World War was both in the planning and the Soviet Union was the prime target. Its resources and people stood directly in the path of royal claims seeking global control..
To the extent the above paragraph is true, it would serve as a workable explanation of much history, an aide to sorting-out bewildering current-events and a predictor of true intentions of government-sponsored activities.
As for aforementioned “royal claims”, they are unspeakable, daunting and untouchable by their nature…a helluva and hellish fairytale…and Stalin certainly knew it!` How else to explain that Russia still has 11 time-zones.

Posted by: Chu-Teh | May 4 2025 23:45 utc | 303