Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
April 17, 2025
Ukraine Open Thread 2025-081

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

Newest report from my friend from the front: Russians switched now from attacking Energy infrastructure to hunting drone teams, he moved from the quadcoper team to the fixed wing regiment to feel more safe. (Fixed wing = longer range = more distant from front)

Posted by: Rudi Ruessel | Apr 17 2025 10:42 utc | 1

Volkssturm defend the fatherland starter pack.
https://x.com/MK_Foxbat/status/1912621523250397331

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 17 2025 11:57 utc | 2

Not surprised Germany doesn’t want anyone going to the May 9th Victory parade in Moscow. After all, it’s a celebration of the defeat of the Germans, who killed millions…..

Posted by: HERMIUS | Apr 17 2025 12:19 utc | 3

According to sources in the General Staff, preparations for mobilization from the age of 18 are currently in full swing, and this is precisely what the new strict rules for registration are connected with.
If 17-year-old boys do not register before July 31, they face a fine of 17,000 to 25,000 UAH.
Young men can do this through the Reserve+ application , by specifying personal data in the conscript’s electronic account; or at the district TCC , by submitting the necessary documents.
As sources specify, the General Staff needs the information to plan reserves for a protracted war with Russia, which could last until 2030, and then we will need another 2 million men.
https://x.com/GeromanAT/status/1912840744093516287

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 17 2025 12:27 utc | 4

translated:

Bundestag excludes Russia from World War II commemorations
The participation of the Russian ambassador in the World War II commemoration on the Seelow Heights has caused a stir. He is unwelcome at the central commemoration of the end of the war in the Bundestag.
Berlin: The Bundestag is excluding the ambassadors of Russia and Belarus from the central commemoration of the 80th anniversary of the end of the Second World War on May 8.
The parliamentary administration is referring to a recommendation by the Federal Foreign Office, which advises against inviting representatives of these two countries to such commemorative events. The diplomatic corps, to which all ambassadors accredited in Berlin belong, had been invited, the Bundestag press office told the German Press Agency on request.
However, as usual, “the Federal Government’s assessment of the invitation of representatives” had been taken into account. “As a result of this assessment, the ambassadors of the Russian Federation and Belarus, among others, were not invited.”

if you look up the word “petty” in a dictionary, the german flag is hoisted besides it.
i am simply ashamed about our german regime.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Apr 17 2025 13:07 utc | 5

Regarding Project Ukraine, Lt. Col Daniel Davis says it is time for DJT to take “the best, ugly deal.”
Writing in “1945,” an online magazine, he said, “It is time to shed the fantasy held by so many in the West,” “that even after three horrific years of military failure on the Ukraine side, there is still a military solution that can compel Russia to surrender the territory it has seized in war. There isn’t. Ignoring that reality, continuing to fight, holding out for a ‘good deal’ that no longer exists, will only result in more pointless deaths. The only path that holds any hope of mitigating the failure now is to take the best, ugly deal Trump can get from Putin, ending the war and stopping the pointless slaughter of Ukrainian troops.”
Meanwhile, the Ukrainian National Guard has announced that Col Denis Protopenko, notoriously the leader of Azov’s siege of Mariupol, will be promoted significantly to lead five National Guard units, magnifying his troop command.
What looks like the “best, ugly deal” on any given Wednesday is merely *ugly* by Thursday.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | Apr 17 2025 13:08 utc | 6

UKR’s Volkssturm strategy now seems certain to be pursued to the end–which means boys and women–until collapse, or folly, or false-flag brings Euros or NATO in.
Whatever the merits of having undertrained striplings in trenches, as the bulk of combat breaks then move beyond the heavy fortifications, one wonders how the preponderance of new soldiers will perform in more mobile, combined arms encounters.
We’re now on the brink of having battlefield tactical drones operated far behind the lines, so this would be an opportunity to bring NATO in as drone operators.
I appreciate RF Gen Staff’s lava-flow, pressure everywhere along a long, shifting line of contact, but we seem to be a approaching a moment when a shift of strategy is in order.
I get that RF is fighting in such a way as to facilitate the strategic-level maskirovka that the West seems to be inflicting on itself, by underestimating Russia, overestimating themselves, and dithering–why blow the bridges, for example, when Russia can fight NATO close to its own logistics against equipment and crews sent into the kill zone at a pace almost ideal for Russian military-industrial capacity, rather than panic UkroNATO into a retreat and fortifications across the Dniepr, closer to NATO logistics and range of air operations?
Will not be surprised however, if this summer the French & UK precipitate a sprint from Romania to Odessa, and Russia surges to isolate it.

Posted by: Paul Damascene | Apr 17 2025 13:09 utc | 7

Ursula Von Der Leyen: The West as we knew it no longer exists. (zeit)
That is one great achievement.

Posted by: Passerby | Apr 17 2025 13:39 utc | 8

https://www.flightradar24.com/HFM413/39efad93
Hi-Fly Malta A332 at Rzeszow, from RAF Brize Norton
https://www.flightradar24.com/data/aircraft/9h-hfl
17 Apr 2025 Brize Norton (BZZ) Rzeszow (RZE) 3L412 2:18 9:00 AM 9:38 AM 12:55 PM
Landed 12:55 PM
14 Apr 2025 Rzeszow (RZE) Brize Norton (BZZ) 3L411 2:27 3:53 PM 3:53 PM 5:21 PM
Landed 5:21 PM
13 Apr 2025 Faro (FAO) Rzeszow (RZE) (HFM670P) 3:20 4:40 PM 4:45 PM 9:12 PM
Landed 9:05 PM
13 Apr 2025 Beja (BYJ) Faro (FAO) (HFM670P) 0:22 3:00 PM 3:10 PM 3:23 PM
Landed 3:32 PM
What’s happening here, I wonder?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hi_Fly_Malta

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Apr 17 2025 14:15 utc | 9

Posted by: steel_porcupine | Apr 17 2025 13:08 utc | 6
###########
Col. Davis has just started his awakening the last 2 weeks.
Col. McGregor had to explain to him that Iran is a regional superpower and not to be trifled with. Danny Davis thought the Persians were the Houthis or Palestinians.
The older generations have so much to unlearn that is based in decades of propaganda and herd thinking.
Peace ain’t happening. America doesn’t want peace. Until America breaks, it will never accept anything other than supremacy.
A lot of money, momentum, and ego are invested in how Americans see themselves vis-a-vis the world.
People don’t typically reform until they are out of options.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Apr 17 2025 14:29 utc | 10

It’s left Rzeszow heading west, 361 economy class seats was the last config I saw for it. So not doing medevac. Is Starmer sending troops to Ukraine?

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Apr 17 2025 14:38 utc | 11

11 YetAnotherAnon – yup the UK is now desparate…..billions and billions in London bank loans to the Ukronazis now in serious jeopardy………..
So UK RA and RM “volunteers” are now heading into the Ukraine to operate long range missile systems. This is going to go sideways really fast…………..

Posted by: tobias cole | Apr 17 2025 14:45 utc | 12

Mud season has just about run its course along that long, long battlefront. The R.U. forces are likely in an intense preparation stage. A break-through/break-out could occur most anywhere along that series of face-offs. Russian intel will be following the developments most keenly.
Just a matter of time. Question is, whether several fronts will be engaged simultaneously, or whether a single or double set of assaults will be the pattern.

Posted by: aristodemos | Apr 17 2025 14:47 utc | 13

Paul Damascene @1309 Apr 17
Yes, Odessa, an ethnic Russian plurality if not majority city…is the Grand Prize.
Russia will not relent. The Collective Wa$te is desperate to control that city as a toehold for all those major corporate investments in Ukrainian land and resources.
The people of Romania may not take their land’s assigned role as jump-off central for the Last Chance $aloon based in Brussels, but orchestrated in City of London.
Would the R.U. have the stones to deploy a hypersonic to that little bank in The Square Mile if the minions of the financial rulers decide to make a move on Odessa? It would be a logical riposte.

Posted by: aristodemos | Apr 17 2025 14:56 utc | 14

A meeting of EU leaders and Ukrainians are meeting with Witkoff and Rubio in Paris.
I think this will prove to be the end of any ceasefire/peace deal hopes Trump may or may not have had.
Witkoff looks to be the only one with even a small amount of time for Putin other than Trump – who himself appears handcuffed by the neo-cons.

Posted by: Night Tripper | Apr 17 2025 14:56 utc | 15

MiG-31 and S-300/400 are reportedly engaging Ukrainian F-16 in Sumy region, which continue fly high-risk bombing delivery attempts near the border.
https://x.com/squatsons/status/1912879775917523176

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 17 2025 14:58 utc | 16

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hi_Fly_Malta
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Apr 17 2025 14:15 utc | 9
It’s left Rzeszow heading west, 361 economy class seats was the last config I saw for it. So not doing medevac. Is Starmer sending troops to Ukraine?
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Apr 17 2025 14:38 utc | 11
Kind of shady characters, half portuguese half indian, their first airline went bust after it got caught in a major drug bust and got dumped…
The second airline started working for the belgian army so in 2013, and in 2021, Hi Fly was one of the airlines used to deport asylum seekers from the United Kingdom.
So anything is possible.

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 17 2025 15:01 utc | 17

tobias cole | Apr 17 2025 14:45 utc | 12
I suppose it could just be moves of UKR troops finished UK training, they train oop North. We’ll see if it does another run, but what’s odd is that the first trip to Rzeszow was from Faro in Portugal. I guess they could be taking new UKR recruits for training, AND returning trained ones.
https://www.flightradar24.com/HFM413/39efad93

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Apr 17 2025 15:04 utc | 18

justpassinby@1307 Apr 17
Isn’t it amazin, Grace, that the Sour Krauts are retaining their status of being World Champs at shooting themselves in the foot?… And this was the land which once produced the likes of Otto von Bismarck.
Of course, as an OCCUPIED COUNTRY after eight decades under the thumb of the Washington Dis$trict of Corruption and its status as designated attack dog…the Berlin regime cannot even develop a peace treaty with the Collective Wa$te. Eighty years of enemy occupation can stress the souls of even the most stout and stolid Krauts.
The Rottenchild Crime Clan and A$$ociates must be laughing their collective asses off over Germany’s dilemma under the somewhat revised Morgenthau Plan.

Posted by: aristodemos | Apr 17 2025 15:04 utc | 19

Mud season has just about run its course along that long, long battlefront. The R.U. forces are likely in an intense preparation stage. A break-through/break-out could occur most anywhere along that series of face-offs. Russian intel will be following the developments most keenly.
Just a matter of time. Question is, whether several fronts will be engaged simultaneously, or whether a single or double set of assaults will be the pattern.
Posted by: aristodemos | Apr 17 2025 14:47 utc | 13
Maybe, but not today, 1.400 again…
Summary of the last day
During the day, the Armed Forces of Ukraine defeated manpower and military equipment in 143 districts. There are no reports of militant counterattacks in any of the areas.
Destroyed during the day: 25 tanks and other armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (8 of them in the Sumy direction), 43 vehicles (12 in the Sumy direction), 204 drones. It was also reported that 26 artillery installations and probably mortars were destroyed (3 in Sumy).
The daily losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine amounted to 1,400 soldiers, of which 385 in the Pokrovsky direction (Center), 320 in Donetsk (South), 240 in Kupyansk (West), 130 in South Donetsk (East), 90 in Kherson (Dnieper), 65 in Kharkov (North, including Belgorod). The department could not determine the losses in the Sumy direction – 165 were declared, however, 5 more were added to the total losses in the direction – 170 (we add the difference in total losses to the table).

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 17 2025 15:09 utc | 20

MiG-31 and S-300/400 are reportedly engaging Ukrainian F-16 in Sumy region, which continue fly high-risk bombing delivery attempts near the border.
https://x.com/squatsons/status/1912879775917523176
Posted by: unimperator | Apr 17 2025 14:58 utc | 16
AFU must be desperate to stop the attacks trying to field f-16 against superior RF AD and fighters
Suicide alley…

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 17 2025 15:16 utc | 21

I suppose it could just be moves of UKR troops finished UK training, they train oop North. We’ll see if it does another run, but what’s odd is that the first trip to Rzeszow was from Faro in Portugal. I guess they could be taking new UKR recruits for training, AND returning trained ones.
https://www.flightradar24.com/HFM413/39efad93
Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Apr 17 2025 15:04 utc | 18
Probably stationed in faro (as it is un-officiallly portugal based) so the flight was to get things/people from Rzeszow and take them somewhere else.
If things turn hot, Rzeszow might become dangerous, so it could be an evac back to the uk…
my 2 cents

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 17 2025 15:18 utc | 22

These abhorrent daily losses for the AFU are a real eyesore.
———
The daily losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine amounted to 1,400 soldiers, of which 385 in the Pokrovsky direction (Center), 320 in Donetsk (South), 240 in Kupyansk (West), 130 in South Donetsk (East), 90 in Kherson (Dnieper), 65 in Kharkov (North, including Belgorod). The department could not determine the losses in the Sumy direction – 165 were declared, however, 5 more were added to the total losses in the direction – 170 (we add the difference in total losses to the table).
Posted by: Newbie | Apr 17 2025 15:09 utc | 20
——-
And I don’t buy the claim that its because Z is nuts or because the junta needs the occasional “success” in order to convince western donors not to pull out.
They want to empty the land, get rid of the Slavs and prep it for more easily dominated western asians or for the “greater israel” project.
This level of losses is then not a bug but a feature…sickening…

Posted by: Aivazovsky | Apr 17 2025 15:31 utc | 23

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Apr 17 2025 14:29 utc | 10
RE: Col Davis is waking to the reality
<< In a Deep Dive on Tuesday w/ Col Davis, Col Macgregor had to read him the riot act about Iran, which was uncharacteristic for Col Macgregor in these podcasts, but necessary in my view. Sounds like you may have caught that exchange. Macgregor and Danny served together during Desert Storm, so I can believe they have an unshakeable bond. It was important to see Macgregor's candor at that point.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | Apr 17 2025 15:44 utc | 24

Speaking at the Harvard/Kennedy Institute this week, Jake “the slim reaper” Sullivan addressed the weaponry Collective Biden provided Ukraine: “The idea that ATACMS made a major difference in the war has not been borne out operationally on the battlefield. So this notion that, ‘Oh, if only you’d given Ukraine ATACMS sooner, they might have won’ isn’t true. The experience of the use of ATACMS by Ukraine suggests that is not in fact the case.”
Elsewhere, Bild reported that Zelensky offered to buy $50 billion dollars’ worth of Patriot Air Defense systems and missiles from DJT—and DJT turned the offer down.
Christoforou: for DJT to reject a $50 billion dollar deal for the MIC *says* a lot.
The math, however, never mathed: it was not clear how Zelensky could scrape together two nickles let alone $50 billion.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | Apr 17 2025 15:54 utc | 25

Posted by: steel_porcupine | Apr 17 2025 15:54 utc | 25
The Patriot rocket engine manufacturing plant in Utah just blew up. EU and Zelensky might need to wait for a wee bit longer for more Patriot PAC missiles. Luckily the EU is allocating a trillion Euro budget to build more weapons and stuff… oh wait, never mind.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 17 2025 16:05 utc | 26

Posted by: steel_porcupine | Apr 17 2025 15:54 utc | 25
There are not 50 billions worth of patriots and pac for Ukraine.
What’s available is required in other war theatre’s.

Posted by: Mario | Apr 17 2025 16:18 utc | 27

This level of losses is then not a bug but a feature…sickening…
Posted by: Aivazovsky | Apr 17 2025 15:31 utc | 23
This level of loses is quite low compared with the end of last year, but still 66% above 2024 for the same period (according to RF MoD numbers).
But modelwise it looks the other way around…
Guess we’ll only know for sure when it finishes (if it ever gets out)
Are we at two million KIA or just half that? I sometimes remind that trump mentioned millionS several times, but then again he mentions many things.

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 17 2025 16:25 utc | 28

zelensky trying to badmouth china again:

‘Important information. It is very unpleasant. China supplies weapons to the Russian Federation. We have intelligence information about gunpowder and artillery. Later we will say in more detail that representatives of China are engaged in the production of weapons on the territory of Russia.’

well, if its “on the territory of russia”, then its russian production. just as you always say about your “own” production centers on the territory of the ukraine.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Apr 17 2025 16:25 utc | 29

People don’t typically reform until they are out of options.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Apr 17 2025 14:29 utc | 10
As they say in AA, the drunk has to hit “rock bottom” before there is any chance of reforming themselves. Works for those drunk on power too.

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Apr 17 2025 16:29 utc | 30

steel_porcupine @25: ”Christoforou: for DJT to reject a $50 billion dollar deal for the MIC *says* a lot.”
Yeah, it says the US doesn’t have them to sell. I’m sure if they were willing to take delivery in 2040, then Trump would have happily sealed the deal. What the US has left at this point is not for sale at any price.

Posted by: William Gruff | Apr 17 2025 16:30 utc | 31

At 17:15:05 GMT, 12 disciples gathered at a large U-shape table in the French Republic (FER) for a bilateral meeting of the coalition of the willing.
But there is a catch:-
4 sit on the right –> Ukrainian side
5 sit on the left –> Outlaw US of A (2) + the British Empire (3)
3 sit in between –> French legion led by Mr. Emmanuel Jean-Michel Frédéric Macron (EJM)
This is the first time the Oulaw US of A has entered the coalition of the willing through the front-door.
After a short intro, journalists were told to leave the room.
Rest assured that the rest is a distraction.

Posted by: pepe | Apr 17 2025 16:30 utc | 32

https://www.flightradar24.com/HFM413/39efad93
Just landing at Brize Norton from Rzeszow. Wonder where the next stop is?

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Apr 17 2025 16:34 utc | 33

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 17 2025 16:05 utc | 26
RE: obsolescence stalks Northrup-Grumman plant in Utah
<< First of all, as unimperator reports above, the Northrup-Grumman plant suffered an explosion this morning. The six mile-long plant, which was originally constructed in 1957, is closely watched by nuclear weapons observers since it is the final assembly plant for the new Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile. Once manufactured, the Air Force intends to load hundreds of those ICBMs with warheads and drop them into silos across the American West, where they will be on continuous alert for launch orders to shoot over the North Pole and reach Russia or China in about 30 minutes. The future of the Sentinel program may be in doubt. The Air Force in February officially stopped work on designing new silos for the ICBM and announced that it was preparing to life-extend the existing Minuteman III missile until 2050. In 2020, the Pentagon estimated that the Sentinel missile would cost $78 billion; just four years later, the cost estimate had jumped 81%, to $141 billion. The Trump administration recently named Sentinel among a list of weapons programs to be “scrutinized” for potential cancellation.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | Apr 17 2025 16:41 utc | 34

Zelensky – accused Witkoff of “taking Russia’s position”:
“Today we are discussing an unconditional ceasefire. And before the ceasefire, we are not talking about territories. You know my position and where our red lines are. We will never recognize the temporarily occupied territories, Ukrainian lands as Russian.
I believe that Mr. Witkoff has taken over the strategy of the Russian side. I think this is extremely dangerous because he is – consciously or not, I don’t know – spreading Russian narratives. In any case, this is not conducive to peace.
And besides, I don’t see him having a mandate to dispose of Ukrainian territories. These lands belong to our people – not only to us, but also to future generations of Ukrainians.

the lands this little naziclown (and his precedessors) tried to steal from the people that live there and their future generations? those lands?

Posted by: Justpassinby | Apr 17 2025 16:43 utc | 35

sjelensskjyi:

‘The Russians are hitting our factories. And not just like that. We started producing artillery shells ourselves’

Posted by: Justpassinby | Apr 17 2025 16:51 utc | 36

that translation in @36 is a little off. the “not just like that” should be more like they are not hitting those factories because they can. he complains that they are hitting them because they make shells in them. go figure.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Apr 17 2025 16:54 utc | 37

@ Justpassinby | Apr 17 2025 13:07 utc | 5
“Bundestag excludes Russia from World War II commemorations.”
Well it is just another validation of the thesis, that this war is the “last battle of WW2.”
(John Helmer made this point some years ago. )
“We have liberated Europe from fascism, but they will never forgive us for it.” (Marshal Zhukov)
Both statements are great openers / enders for discussions on the issue.

Posted by: El Lissitzky | Apr 17 2025 17:05 utc | 38

Posted by: Justpassinby | Apr 17 2025 16:54 utc | 37
Often truth slips out of propaganda mouths.
Afu is indeed targeting what it can RUAF targets what must be hit.

Posted by: Mario | Apr 17 2025 17:11 utc | 39

I haven’t posted in a while, but I’ll pop in to the link this youtube “Military Schedule” channel I came across, Youtube actually yacked up something useful for a change:
Inside Russian Villages Freed from Ukrainian Troops – ‘Don’t Touch Anything Here’
6 Miles Through War-Torn Sudzha: Inside the Plan to Liberate the City from Ukrainian Forces
This is a better than the spazzy Patrick Lancaster. The ‘6 Miles’ video covers much of the same terrain in Sudzha as the recent vid from the Cafe Revolution guy, also good, but I like the calm slow rambling style of these videos, much more of a “you are there” post apocalypse experience, and that they are from a Russian perspective, the translation overdubbing is very well done too, they didn’t just run it through a machine translator. I’ve only watched these two but so far so good.
Kursk is a hell of a mess, I’m not so sure Russia prepared this as a trap for UKR and NATO anymore, the rest of Novorussia looks even worse, I have a feeling that Russia to regain and the super power respect and fear the USSR had it will have to enact some in kind payback on the EU, as long as it’s far away from me.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Apr 17 2025 17:16 utc | 40

Posted by: Mario | Apr 17 2025 17:11 utc | 39
AFU doesn’t need detailed targeting information to hit civilian buildings inside towns and cities with drones, even deep in Russia. They can set a drown to fly toward a high-rise building area at a height below rooftops, guaranteeing a hit to something.
These constitutes the majority of their long range drone attacks (sponsored mainly by Germany, UK and France). Sometimes they may be able to hit a production or oil or gas facility, which also do not need time-sensitive, real time data. Very few to none of the Ukrainian/Nato long range drone strikes benefit Ukraine’s war effort or the survival of the state.
These are terror attacks comparable to V1 rockets, plain and simple.

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 17 2025 17:18 utc | 41

Posted by: unimperator | Apr 17 2025 17:18 utc | 41
That is why I stated that afu hits what it can not what it should.
Shure there is a terroristic design behind, you can see the same design in usa/Nato previous wars and in idf.

Posted by: Mario | Apr 17 2025 17:23 utc | 42

Trump says mineral deal to be signed next week.
So there we have it. If it does get signed, there is no way weapons supply to Ukraine wont continue.

Posted by: Night Tripper | Apr 17 2025 18:04 utc | 43

Today’s top news on RT DE, which is RT’s German language website:
– Germany’s upcoming chancellor Friedrich Merz is still considering to supply the Taurus cruise missile to Ukraine, provided that other European governments agree. He has since received go-ahead signals from several countries including France and UK. Some voices from his prospective coalition partner SPD, including designated minister of defense Boris Pistorius, are discouraging him, saying that there are several reasons against such deployment. Merz has been contemplating letting Ukraine destroy the Kerch bridge, but to do so is not possible without active German participation – and Moscow knows this.
– Consequently, Moscow has announced that any Taurus strike on Russian territory will be looked upon as Germany entering the war, and treated as such with all its consequences.
– Trump changed his mind on strikes against Iran’s nuclear sites recently, after counseling with Vance, Hegseth and Tulsi Gabbard. He will not order such strikes or allow Netanyahu to conduct them.

Posted by: grunzt | Apr 17 2025 18:12 utc | 44

Blazing article from MOA yeasterday. I linked to it on Colonel Lang’s old site with what I fear might not be too gloomy a prediction.
On the “Ultras” who shot into prominence in 2014:-
For me Ishchenko’s the main authority on those. The best study I’ve seen from the West is one from Stanford University but that’s no longer available to the general public. No matter. There are plenty of others more up to date.
Diana Panchenko, who is linked to in my reply to you above, is from Eastern Ukraine. A Ukrainian from the West of the country, Marta Havryshko, is an academic also focusing on the same subject. So that’s a view from both sides.
https://x.com/havryshkomarta?lang=en
Two interviews with her here, both required listening, I’d say, to anyone wanting to find out what’s happening right now in that tormented country.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MJ8nyy4LHGU&ab_channel=TheBurningArchive
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d0Y43amCeac&ab_channel=TheBurningArchive
The second interview a passionate attack on anti-Semitism and on the academics and others who go along with it, and then further views on the conflict. A grenade for every dugout, I thought, when I listened to that second interview just now.
……………………………..
But that brief look at this side of the conflict is sketchy compared with what I’ve just come across from “b”. “b’s” done a comprehensive piece on the enlargement of the Azov brigades, or Corps as they seem to be hoping.
My own tentative view and I advance it with diffidence :- this looks like the Heavenly Hundred becoming the Heavenly Hundred Thousand. They’ll leave for Europe taking their Dolchstoßlegende with them and be a thoroughly destabilising influence in European politics. If Cold War II develops as it looks like doing at present they’ll also be useful as a modern day Gehlen Organisation. Shall we in Europe ever escape that old and savage history? There’s plenty of us would like to, I think.
“Growth Of Ukraine’s Azov Units Follow Path Of The Waffen-SS”
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/04/growth-of-ukraines-azov-units-follow-path-of-the-waffen-ss.html#more

Posted by: English Outsider | Apr 17 2025 18:14 utc | 45

New post by S, most is paid, but couple of interesting points (namely the absence of AD in major cities) and the combined approach of RF attacks.
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/growing-focus-on-russian-tactical

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 17 2025 18:33 utc | 46

The math, however, never mathed: it was not clear how Zelensky could scrape together two nickles let alone $50 billion.
Posted by: steel_porcupine | Apr 17 2025 15:54 utc | 25
Z again dreams the impossible dream. A futile attempt to buy missiles that the US doesn’t have to spare, with money he doesn’t have. ‘I will gladly pay you tuesday for a hamburger today.’ Maybe his attempt to perform the art of the deal.

Posted by: Mike R | Apr 17 2025 20:03 utc | 47

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 17 2025 15:16 utc | 21
Looking at the published footage they seem to using them to bridge the PGM gap (strikes against critical point targets) that has noticeably opened up since The US ISR support has been noticeably scaled back, rendering existing LR systems largely redundant.
The F-16’s are possibly also being used because they are one of the better systems for exploiting the Euro-replacement ISR support network and possible pilot-replacement, which was common practice in CW proxy conflicts.
As for The Mig-31’s, the F-16’s would have to run a similar ‘rat-trap’ gauntlet that the Me-262’s had to fly, which will lead to either rapid pilot burn-out, or literally pilots burnt out!

Posted by: Milites | Apr 17 2025 20:13 utc | 48

Posted by: Night Tripper | Apr 17 2025 18:04 utc | 43
What weapons? Not anything big or clanky, or remotely a maintenance hog.
https://www.forcesnews.com/usa/us-withdraw-troops-polish-logistics-hub-used-supply-ukraine
Seems to me that both the US and Ru are initiating a series of coordinated pre-planned moves to kill off this DS op.

Posted by: Milites | Apr 17 2025 20:24 utc | 49

The former governor of Kursk has been arrested on charges of fraud. 200 million rubles were misappropriated from the funds set aside for the construction of barriers and defensive fortification. Several contractors are already awaiting trials.
Shame Russia is not in a state of war, maybe they would have brought back the death sentence for Nazism, terrorism and treason.
Still think they should regardless.
Denazification, right?

Posted by: Suresh | Apr 17 2025 20:29 utc | 50

Looking at the published footage they seem to using them to bridge the PGM gap (strikes against critical point targets) that has noticeably opened up since The US ISR support has been noticeably scaled back, rendering existing LR systems largely redundant.
The F-16’s are possibly also being used because they are one of the better systems for exploiting the Euro-replacement ISR support network and possible pilot-replacement, which was common practice in CW proxy conflicts.
As for The Mig-31’s, the F-16’s would have to run a similar ‘rat-trap’ gauntlet that the Me-262’s had to fly, which will lead to either rapid pilot burn-out, or literally pilots burnt out!
Posted by: Milites | Apr 17 2025 20:13 utc | 48
And as most times when you don’t have a choice, the choice is a a bad choice.
Figures…

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 17 2025 20:56 utc | 51

Okay, so news comes out that

Incoming German Chancellor Friedrich Merz will be swayed from delivering Taurus cruise missiles to Ukraine once he begins to receive classified intelligence briefings on the matter, Matthias Miersch, the leader of the Social Democrats (SPD), has said.

Speaking to the n-tv news channel on Wednesday, Miersch criticized Merz’s readiness to deliver the Taurus and risk open confrontation with Russia.
“We have always been against it,” Miersch said. “I assume that Friedrich Merz, once fully informed by [intelligence] agencies, will reassess the issue clearly. We will then make the decision together,” he added.
“I assume that we do not want to contribute to an escalation or become a party to the war – the very reason we chose not to deliver the Taurus [to Ukraine]. And I assume it will remain that way,” Miersch said.

https://www.rt.com/news/615867-german-chancellor-taurus-debate/
I look in the comments and have yet to see anyone there mention Miersch by name, let alone praise him for apparently expressing restraint. What details are there in the background that I may not know about? Anyone?

Posted by: joey_n | Apr 17 2025 21:57 utc | 52

DS daily update: https://deepstatemap.live/en#6/49.4324126/32.0581055
Overall: Another single digit day, with only 8.0 kmsq taken.
Specific changes, S to N:
1. Filling in fields S of Rozlyv.
2. Kostiantianople and vicinity.
[Both locations close to each other, and gray conversion.]

Posted by: Anonymous | Apr 17 2025 22:45 utc | 53

@52, 21:57
as has been discussed in ‘conspiracy interested circles’ 🙂 as soon as the taurus came onto the table a year or longer ago, it’s probably capable of carrying a nuclear warhead. at the same time it flies extremely low, thereby hard to detect by standard radar, and has enough range to strike moscow from ukrainian territory. which means it really is a serious threat and the response would have to be serious as well. russia, not being able to make certain if it’s nuclear or not when approaching, would have to assume that it is a first strike or intended as a beheading one and respond accordingly, which would mean to send nuclear missiles back, either to the ukries or directly to berlin. i thought that would be widely known amongst german military and politicians alike, but apparently mr. blackrock never heard of it and so has to be briefed by german “intelligence” about it. that’s at least my take, i could be wrong of course or miss something else. I just read today that the brits think it’s a great idea and approve of it, which means they happily send the stupid germans into the risk of nuclear apocalypse. didn’t expect anything less.

Posted by: xorexo | Apr 17 2025 23:06 utc | 54

What details are there in the background that I may not know about? Anyone?
Posted by: joey_n | Apr 17 2025 21:57 utc | 52
Taurus needs up to date and very precise geospatial data which only the Germans have (via tandem-x). They operate on an elaborate 3D model of the flightpath and you can’t just program them with a couple of GPS coordinates (like the Storm Shadow) in the field. The model has to be built upfront and only Germany can do this (and it takes a while)… Russia knows this and afaik communicated this to the German freaks.
There’s another reason: since German soldiers would have to actively build the model, the German Bundestag would have to agree in a big public vote. That’s then basically answering the question “Do you want our soldiers to operate this weapon?” for the whole world to witness live on TV. Sure, they will probably find a way around that but the above still holds…

Posted by: Zet | Apr 17 2025 23:10 utc | 55

Posted by: xorexo | Apr 17 2025 23:06 utc | 54
Excellent point, I completely forgot about that one!

Posted by: Zet | Apr 17 2025 23:12 utc | 56

i couldn’t really forget about it after reading it first, since i probably would get blinded by the response blast. but only for a second or two, then the firestorm will take away the blindness.

Posted by: xorexo | Apr 17 2025 23:32 utc | 57

Not surprised Germany doesn’t want anyone going to the May 9th Victory parade in Moscow. After all, it’s a celebration of the defeat of the Germans, who killed millions….. – HERMIUS | 3

Ugh, that’s stupid. I would go, and I would feel proud about it. I’d be moved, which includes regret, and therefore shame, even if it’s not mine because it’s about the past. It’s still shame. It’s good to face it, and it’s good to remember. I would be humble, sincere, grateful, and yes – proud to be there.

Posted by: persiflo | Apr 17 2025 23:40 utc | 58

https://www.globalresearch.ca/young-ukrainian-pilots-dying-nato-jets/5884546
The F-16 is a 100% death trap. Just amazing to witness young Ukrainian men throwing their lives away hopelessly.

Posted by: Eighthman | Apr 17 2025 23:40 utc | 59

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 17 2025 20:56 utc | 51
True, Mr Zugzwang, Hobson, Murphy and Fubar are never far away in war, especially if you are losing.

Posted by: Milites | Apr 17 2025 23:45 utc | 60

if you look up the word “petty” in a dictionary, the german flag is hoisted besides it.
i am simply ashamed about our german regime. – Justpassinby | 5

And that’s what happens when “we” don’t face the past and the shame that comes with it. I wonder how many Germans realize how serious the Russians, and Putin chiefly among them, have extended their hands to us over all of this. Have you ever talked to a Russian about the war, and looked them in the eye?!
The utter lack of decency on the part of the German state is beyond words.

Posted by: persiflo | Apr 17 2025 23:47 utc | 61

Martin Armstrong April 17, 2025
Trump is fulfilling the cyclical forecast. We have been expecting a sell-off “of USA Dollars” into 2025, which has been the biggest target identified by our computer for the past few years. I have conveyed my concerns to people in Congress. I am not so sure this does not just go over everyone’s head. The volatility will rise even further next year. If we penetrate the 2025 low next year, then this selling of US debt will continue into 2030, if not into 2032. That will be because NATO launches its contrived war against Russia and utterly destroys the European economy and extinguishes the EU.

Posted by: Skip59 | Apr 18 2025 0:05 utc | 62

Posted by: Night Tripper | Apr 17 2025 18:04 utc | 43
>>>
Memorandum of intent to reach an agreement does not equal a deal, two different things.
Good luck with the real thing by the way.
Ukraine will never sign a deal without meeting certain conditions such as security guarantees. Why would they?

Posted by: pepe | Apr 18 2025 0:33 utc | 63

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 17 2025 20:56 utc | 51
True, Mr Zugzwang, Hobson, Murphy and Fubar are never far away in war, especially if you are losing.
Posted by: Milites | Apr 17 2025 23:45 utc | 60
Changing subject, could you take a look in open thread about big serge’s latest article and my doubt about PLAN?
Thank you

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 18 2025 0:55 utc | 64

Would you think they spend more time on coming up with a new series of posts or a new handle name?

Posted by: boneless | Apr 18 2025 1:06 utc | 65

Posted by: Anonymous | Apr 17 2025 22:45 utc | 53
Posted by: Kosta | Apr 18 2025 0:53 utc | 64
Maybe take a look at pleshchivka, just north of toretsk, some maps have red there and in some parts heading there
Also some interesting moves east of niu-york
In both cases penetration of important fortified lines.
Yes, chasiv yar still underwhelming but some attacks further south might bypass the problem.
And in sumy i’d say yunakivka is the clear minimum target for the next days…
As I mentioned earlier, AFU casualties are still low, but that can change any day
For those wanting alternative maps, I already posted another one quite often, this time take tthis one.
https://militarysummary.com/#/map

Posted by: Newbie | Apr 18 2025 1:08 utc | 66

Posted by: Kosta | Apr 18 2025 1:01 utc | 66
This forum is run by and infested with unstable delusional anti-social mental cases and rank fools
Which one are you?
I personally lean towards the rank fool some days but am mostly an anti-social mental case (ask my wife lol)

Posted by: ctiger | Apr 18 2025 1:13 utc | 67

Only a rank idiot – or western patsy – would be negotiating a peace agreement or a relationship with Trump, the USA and Ukraine rather than taking the War to them.
Posted by: Kosta | Apr 18 2025 0:53 utc | 64
Perhaps there was a silver lining in the electricity/utility agreement, even though Ukraine never stopped the attacks, as it made Russia concentrate on other, perhaps more strategic targets. It didn’t seem like the targeting of the electric grid did anything for the front lines.

Posted by: MiniMO | Apr 18 2025 2:38 utc | 68

[…] The utter lack of decency on the part of the German state is beyond words.
Posted by: persiflo | Apr 17 2025 23:47 utc | 61

Friendly reminder: “German state” is shorthand for ‘majority of German people’. Just like the majority of Americans lack decency, and therefore elect one psycho mass murderer after another. Or Brits, Australians, Canadians, EU countries, same story. The fact they collectively stand behind their governments’ support for the brutal wipe out of tens of thousands of children in Gaza is all one needs to know about where they are at on the decency spectrum. And I’m afraid to say, Russians, Chinese or Arabs are no better. Silent, maybe a little murmur, but that’s it. A sorry reflection of where most of the world’s population is at when it comes to character and humanity.
Not inviting Russian representatives to commemorate the end of WW2 is minute as an issue. Letting the West and its zionist attack dog getting away with a horrendous genocide, children ripped to shreds, head shots into toddlers, is where its at.

Posted by: Juan Moment | Apr 18 2025 2:42 utc | 69

Friendly reminder: “German state” is shorthand for ‘majority of German people’. Just like the majority of Americans lack decency, and therefore elect one psycho mass murderer after another. Or Brits, Australians, Canadians, EU countries, same story. The fact they collectively stand behind their governments’ support for the brutal wipe out of tens of thousands of children in Gaza is all one needs to know about where they are at on the decency spectrum. And I’m afraid to say, Russians, Chinese or Arabs are no better. Silent, maybe a little murmur, but that’s it. A sorry reflection of where most of the world’s population is at when it comes to character and humanity.
Not inviting Russian representatives to commemorate the end of WW2 is minute as an issue. Letting the West and its zionist attack dog getting away with a horrendous genocide, children ripped to shreds, head shots into toddlers, is where its at.
Posted by: Juan Moment | Apr 18 2025 2:42 utc | 71
Fuck yourself, Juan. You’re a house slave, Imperialist whore.

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Apr 18 2025 3:13 utc | 70

Meanwhile….
News from the enemy camp: disbandment of the Air Force training center, the brigade is “not on the lists” and prove that your deceased husband is not a deserter
To date, there is practically no information in the Ukrainian media about the events developing on the border of the Sumy region with the Belgorod and Kursk borders. But social networks are full of extremely interesting information…
Our contacts in the Kyiv region reported that the 38th Joint Training Center of the Ukrainian Air Force actually stopped working for its intended purpose. First, all graduates were assigned to assault units, and then a similar fate befell the teaching staff. Today, this information is confirmed by obituaries about the Armed Forces of Ukraine who took part in hostilities as part of the 225th Separate Regiment in the Sumy and Krasnopillia directions.
The 38th Training Center of the Ukrainian Air Force – junior specialists for aviation, air defense and radio engineering units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were trained there. It is located in the city of Vasylkiv, Kyiv region.
In the 80th Air Assault Brigade, the command continues to mock relatives. If earlier all the destroyed Armed Forces of Ukraine were simply recorded as “missing”, today it is necessary to prove that the occupier is really a “prisoner”, and not a deserter. This is done solely to save on payments to relatives and friends.
In the 1st Rifle Brigade of the Ukrainian Air Force, the situation is completely comical. Ukrainians mobilized into this unit are not formally servicemen of the Ukrainian army. Thus, relatives of the Armed Forces of Ukraine report that after receiving a notification of death, they cannot obtain any payments from the TCC, since this Air Force brigade does not officially exist. As for the 225th Separate Brigade, to which they were seconded, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are also not on the lists of this unit.
Also, relatives of Ukrainian servicemen share statistics: out of 108 people seconded to the 225th separate assault regiment, only 18 people survived.
Relatives and friends of the servicemen of the media 47th separate mechanized brigade continue to look for their relatives in hysterics. However, we wrote a couple of days ago, their fate is known – they were destroyed in the Demidovka area. The evacuation of bodies will be possible when a sanitary zone is created in the Sumy region.
In conclusion, we repeat that the Ukrainian media do not write about this, stubbornly ignoring the news from the brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as the events in the Krasnoyaruzhskoye border area, where the confirmed losses of the Ukrainian army have already exceeded 1600 people.
@warriorofnorth

Posted by: Suresh | Apr 18 2025 3:16 utc | 71

[…] the Ukrainian invasion of Kursk will be over in a matter of days – is it now 6 or 7 months since then […]
Posted by: Kosta | Apr 18 2025 0:53 utc | 64

When the yellow & blue sunshine band started their performance in Kursk, and got a rather frosty reception, any sane observer assumed they’ll soon leave and find more worthy spots to amuse themselves. Only experts like you expected those NATO geniuses to sacrifice another gazillion of their men and top notch gear on the altar of folly, to predictably end up where they started, whilst having lost everything they went in with. Slow clap.
Spitting in the wind comes back twice as hard.

[…] Neonazi thugs and AZOV are of zero consequence. […]

“zero”, hey? If I want to hear the opinion of someone who thinks entire brigades of armed to the teeth Forth Reich Hitler fanbois with a penchant for exterminating anyone they deem a subhuman are nothing to worry about, I make sure to call you.
Tune in again tomorrow when Kosta will have us know that the Waffen SS and fellow Nazi formations were an unimportant aspect, worth a footnote perhaps, back when the Third Reich came for the Russians.

[…] Russia’s continued incompetent failures cannot win in Ukraine-this war will run for decades more-it already has!
Only a rank idiot – or western patsy – would be negotiating a peace agreement or a relationship with Trump, the USA and Ukraine rather than taking the War to them.

Lolz. The Kremlin is as much negotiating a peace agreement as you are. Difference being you underestimate the West, ready to die in a nuclear furnace, while the Russian government is somewhat more realistic in their assessment. Thank f’n Christ. Who they tell us, died on this day a little under 2 millennia ago.

Posted by: Juan Moment | Apr 18 2025 3:26 utc | 72

Fuck yourself, Juan. You’re a house slave, Imperialist whore.
Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Apr 18 2025 3:13 utc | 72

Aaaargh, I’m deeply wounded. Your expletives are so well thought out, and most pertinently flung at anyone criticizing the shameful reaction the world is able to muster in the face of the West and its zionazi enforcers committing the worst crime against humanity in our life time.
But hey, appreciate your outburst. This infantile and incoherent response for pointing out that people passively going along with a genocide, mass murder of children, puts them on the wrong side of the ‘decency spectrum’, give us, or perhaps just me, a pretty good insight into your psychological condition.

Posted by: Juan Moment | Apr 18 2025 3:47 utc | 73

Posted by: Kosta | Apr 18 2025 3:46 utc | 76

Bravo. Barging into a bar, declaring everyone present with the exception of your intelligent self has no idea, incl the barkeep himself, is a superb way of introducing yourself. Quivering in anticipation of the next mental nugget you’ll share with us.

[…] I am no NATO or Ukr neonazi fanboi you fucking tool.

Comprehending the written word, it seems, is not your thing. I wrote you are someone who downplays the threat “Neonazi thugs and AZOV” pose in this conflict, for whatever reason you choose to do so. A threat as much to Ukrainians, as the many brutally killed by these fascist wannabe Herrenmenschen would attest to if they’d be still alive, as they are a threat to Russian speakers or anyone else they see a hindrance to their ascent.
To find an audience applauding your advocating for all out war between major global powers, perhaps check out Ukie chat rooms. But then again, you are likely to encounter NATO or Ukr neonazi fanbois sharing your lust for millions of dead. Damn.

Posted by: Juan Moment | Apr 18 2025 4:31 utc | 74

Posted by: Juan Moment | Apr 18 2025 3:47 utc | 77
We see you, Juan. And you’re faggit Imperialist sidekick “Kosta”.
Keep doing you’re thing. It ain’t working.
Look at the scoreboard, Imperialist. Ya’ll are losing.

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Apr 18 2025 4:52 utc | 75

We see you, Juan. […]
Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Apr 18 2025 4:52 utc | 80

“We see you”, lol. Sure. Its the whole point of posting on a public forum.
Who is we? You and fellow snowflakes offended by someone calling out the disgraceful lack of action worldwide to stop the slaughter of kids in Gaza? Is that who I’m supposed to cower from, lest a brain dwarf on MoA declares me a house slave?

[…] you’re faggit Imperialist sidekick “Kosta”. […]

Okay. If you say so, Sherlock.

[…] Look at the scoreboard, Imperialist. Ya’ll are losing.

Childish gibberish.
The Anglo colonial outpost in the ME, with the help of the entire West, and by that I mean not just Western governments, but the majority of the electorates which put these psychos into office time and time again, has just killed god knows how many Palestinians, many of whom children. Losing their lives, losing their land, losing their everything. So spare me your ‘scoreboard’ and terms like ‘losing’.
And as far as Russians, Chinese, and Arab nations are concerned, what exactly have they done to stop this madness? Where is the people power in those countries trying to get their governments to kneecap the zionists and support the Palestinians. Most of them shrug their shoulders, don’t give a shit.

Posted by: Juan Moment | Apr 18 2025 5:25 utc | 76

Posted by: Juan Moment | Apr 18 2025 3:26 utc | 72
Well, given that the Waffen SS units were in the rear on the eastern front acting as death squads and prison guards it is probably a fair assessment to say they had little impact directly on the red army. They did do front line deployment on the western front including the 14th Waffen SS that mowed down Canadians on Juno beach. One of them even got a standing ovation from the Canadian parliament for his war efforts a couple years back.

Posted by: Badjoke | Apr 18 2025 7:09 utc | 77

Break news
Marc Rubio has just a few momments ago given a statement to the effect.
If a peace deal is’nt made within a few days in Ukraine.
America will walk away from the conflict.
My take….
The implications are massive.
Game over for ukraine.
Game over for europe.
Ect ect.

Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 18 2025 7:16 utc | 78

Breaking news
Quote
“We need to move on” meaning America.

Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 18 2025 7:22 utc | 79

####
I just read today that the brits think it’s a great idea and approve of it, which means they happily send the stupid germans into the risk of nuclear apocalypse. didn’t expect anything less.
Posted by: xorexo | Apr 17 2025 23:06 utc | 54
Russia perfectly knows that Germany has no nuke warheads.
If taurus should be equipped with nukes only three countries can provide the warheads, France, USA or UK.
Brits will not escape the same destinity of Germany.

Posted by: Mario | Apr 18 2025 7:35 utc | 80

Ect ect ie
What a smart move…
If this can be taken at face value (?)
Then it enables Trump to dump the whole sorry ukrain mess cleanly where it belongs..
On the prior biden democrat US govenment.
Ukraine is bidens failure not trumps !
Reality.

Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 18 2025 7:37 utc | 81

Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 18 2025 7:16 utc | 78
He said they will walk away from trying to broker peace, nothing about abandoning support for the conflict itself.

Posted by: Night Tripper | Apr 18 2025 7:40 utc | 82

Mario @ 80
Liked 👍

Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 18 2025 7:41 utc | 83

Night Tripper @ 82
Agreed, but amounts to exactly the same thing.
By implication.
Para phrasing…. “America has other things to deal with”
I think that makes it abundently clear.
Its over.
Sanctions anyone ? As in lifting ?

Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 18 2025 7:46 utc | 84

Game over for ukraine.
Game over for europe.
Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 18 2025 7:16 utc | 79

Game over for Ukraine is game on for Europe.
Tighten your chin strap!

Posted by: too scents | Apr 18 2025 7:48 utc | 85

Too scents @ 85
Nah europes a spent force, they got attritioned. Its all talk the talk, they’v got nothing.
The military cuboard is empty, same as the bank accounts.
The carpet baggers left town already.
Stick a fork in it.
Respect.

Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 18 2025 7:55 utc | 86

Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 18 2025 7:46 utc | 84
The full clip reveals he also says that ‘the war cannot be decided on the battlefield because neither side has the strategic advantage’
Surely he wouldn’t be saying that if they were about to end any and all support?
As for sanctions he tried to pass the buck back to the EU. When actually if the US removed their own sanctions they could render very many all of those EU sanctions ineffective , particularly with regard to banking.

Posted by: Night Tripper | Apr 18 2025 7:59 utc | 87

The carpet baggers left town already.
Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 18 2025 7:55 utc | 86

The carpet baggers are erecting barricades.
The European Commission and NATO won’t go down without spitefully spoiling all that they can.

Posted by: too scents | Apr 18 2025 7:59 utc | 88

He say’s “were not going to continue for weeks or months on end”
Thats pretty conclusive.☺

Posted by: Mark2 | Apr 18 2025 8:06 utc | 89

The usa will flip flop anyways, as usual.
And the eu wont back down. Their vile russophobic nazism wont allow any human decency.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Apr 18 2025 8:09 utc | 90

Posted by: Justpassinby | Apr 18 2025 8:09 utc | 90
The EU and the US are like co-dependant drug addicts unable to tear themselves away from the very obviously abusive relationship that they share

Posted by: Night Tripper | Apr 18 2025 8:16 utc | 91

Well, given that the Waffen SS units were in the rear on the eastern front acting as death squads and prison guards it is probably a fair assessment to say they had little impact directly on the red army. They did do front line deployment on the western front including the 14th Waffen SS that mowed down Canadians on Juno beach. One of them even got a standing ovation from the Canadian parliament for his war efforts a couple years back.
Posted by: Badjoke | Apr 18 2025 7:09 utc | 77

True. To the extend that the Waffen SS and its eastern offspring, ie. Ukraine neo-Nazis’s beloved 14th Waffen SS Grenadier Division (1st Galician), was used to police and terrorize people in conquered areas.
But they also had a Panzer Division, 2nd SS Panzer Division “Das Reich”, give or take about 10’000 strong. During Operation Barbarossa, the “Das Reich” division took part in countless battles on the Eastern Front, incl Operation Typhoon, Hitler’s reach for Moscow in late 1941. Russians gave them a less than friendly welcome, costing the division more than 50% loss in combat strength, to the point it had to be withdrawn in the spring of 42. Then a year later, they returned, fighting near Kharkov and the Kursk salient. Mind you, in line with your “little impact directly on the red army”, in the scheme of things this Panzer Division was only a small component of the combined Wehrmacht contingent of around 3 million tasked with conquering the East.
There is a lengthy but interesting video montage of pictures and footage showing their battle involvement: Memoirs of a Waffen SS General. SS-Panzer-Divisions „Leibstandarte“ and „Hitlerjugend“.Eastern Front

Posted by: Juan Moment | Apr 18 2025 8:41 utc | 92

Minerals deal signed, to be ratified on 26th
Huge escalation if true

Posted by: Night Tripper | Apr 18 2025 8:43 utc | 93

~…only three countries can provide the warheads, France, USA or UK.”
You forgot the +1 (plus one)….. it’s a “Dimona-sia” that afflicts almost everyone.
Posted by: Mario | Apr 18 2025 7:35 utc | 80

Posted by: Melaleuca | Apr 18 2025 9:05 utc | 94

Posted by: Juan Moment | Apr 18 2025 8:41 utc | 92
Waffen SS units were foreign volunteer units placed under special command of the SS and did not have either the training or equipment of the standard formations that engaged on the eastern front. 2 SS panzers were a German SS unit not a Waffen unit. They were considered to be crap only useful for fighting Anglophones and murdering civilians.

Posted by: Badjoke | Apr 18 2025 9:11 utc | 95

Night Tripper @ Apr 18 2025 8:43 utc | 93

Huge escalation if true

Signing that agreement doesn’t change Trumps calculus in any way.
He needs a paper to wave around to show success and have a claim on resources, a “big win, biggest ever”.
He is known for stiffing his counterparties and he did not want to commit to any acual support. He will alow US companies to pillage Ukraine and pass that off as support that hypothetically provides protection by placing American citizens on the ground.
The military support will fall on NATO .. well EU-rump NATO.
Trump counts on calling Article 5 if Russia kills American workers.

Posted by: SOS | Apr 18 2025 9:28 utc | 96

Trump counts on calling Article 5 if Russia kills American workers.
Posted by: SOS | Apr 18 2025 9:28 utc | 96
So you say he wont do anything himself if US workers are killed, but anticipate the EU to do the dirty work for him? Interesting point of view, however I dont think even Trump would go that far. He would be forced to enter the conflict directly at that point. He would likely be removed if he did nothing about it. except palming it off to the EU.

Posted by: Night Tripper | Apr 18 2025 9:32 utc | 97

Posted by: Melaleuca | Apr 18 2025 9:05 utc | 94
The plus one is not likely, or less likely, than the other three to provide the nuke.
By the way, it will not change anything for RF in the case of a fast revenge strike.
It would be really hilarious, provided that maybe no one will be wanting to laugh, to see the brits complaining that they wasn’t their nukes but they was of the plus one.

Posted by: Mario | Apr 18 2025 9:34 utc | 98

I think there is a broad agreement on the course of the SMO among the three sides waging this war.
Russia wants to destroy the Ukraines in order to demilitarize, denazify and restore what is left as a Russian dependency.
Western elites want to destroy the Ukraines as a tool to harm Russia and slow down her capitalist development.
Ukrop elites want to destroy the Ukraines as a tool to harm Russia and get away with it while enriching themselves beyond dreams.
The common ground is all three want to destroy the Ukraines, although for different purposes of course.
Success will be of those that achieve the sure destruction of the Ukraines for their side’s purposes.
So according to Game Theory and the Second Law of Thermodynamics, the SMO will end with the destruction of the Ukraines.
The new US admin is trying to end the game of the destruction of the Ukraines before its natural conclusion but its desires crash against the motivations of Russian, EU and Ukrainian elites, so it will fail.
Future AI-historians will write of how the destruction of the Ukraines (and later the defeat of the pseudo-Nordic Baltic statelets) were long-tailed events downstream from the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Apr 18 2025 9:58 utc | 99

[…] 2 SS panzers were a German SS unit not a Waffen unit. […]
Posted by: Badjoke | Apr 18 2025 9:11 utc | 95

Are you sure about that? Waffen in German is weapon. Waffen SS was the moniker given to the weaponized, or more aptly, heavily armed units of the SS, the Nazi’s paramilitary SchutzStaffel. Any armored SS tank division was by definition part of the Waffen SS.
Its besides the point though, semantics if anything. The Waffen SS, like many in the Wehrmacht, were devout Nazis and believers in Deutschland uber Alles, their manifest right to kill or subjugate anyone standing in their way to glory. Today’s Ukrainian version, neo-Nazis, Azovs and Bandera worshipers, like their role models from back then, are certainly not “of zero consequence”, but the visible outgrowth of a fascist cancer running through ‘Slava Ukraini!’.

Posted by: Juan Moment | Apr 18 2025 10:29 utc | 100