Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
March 9, 2025
Ukraine Open Thread 2025-048

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

@97 naive
See that’s the kind of response I’m warning against. European military potential is greater than Russias and currently military capabilites if used fully would force complete mobilization of Russia to fend off and hundreds of thousands of casualties including limited nuke strikes on strategic bases.
Fake news? Lol cmon man, whatever. I’m watching this everyday, every announcement, all the war videos and the history as much as I can. I’m thinking naive is some sort of subconscious name you picked because you are naive.

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Mar 9 2025 23:29 utc | 101

How many missile subs does Paki have? How many ICBMs capable of hitting you know who do they have? How many will they have ever? Not a player.
Modi and the BJP are mob south east.
No one pays them any attention outside of Utter Pradesh.

Posted by: Npin | Mar 9 2025 23:31 utc | 102

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Mar 9 2025 23:29 utc | 103
Russia would wipe out Europe in days.
It first would obliterate the first timstand forward. That how you dismantle a mob. I’ve done it in my life more than once, went straight for the leader without hesitation.
Europe, in their little daydreams, think Putin would fight a soft war against them like he is Ukraine.
in their little daydreams.
Note, he just said in an address to Croatia, “we dont want Europe”. He wants Ukraine, therefore, he is not breaking it. He doesn’t want or need Europe, he’ll smash it to sparkling bits if he sees fit.
The whole drone war phenomenon in this particular war, and the pace, in no way means thats how a war between Russia and the EU would look.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 9 2025 23:38 utc | 103

The press gangs wont fly in Europe, There will be difficulties. Especially where elections have been recalled. People are not stupid. Those that wanted in on the party already went.

Posted by: Npin | Mar 9 2025 23:39 utc | 104

As for the Europeans, maybe a last minute wakeup call will enable them to regroup, marshal their potential, and manage, for the first time in modern history, to act as one — as the inheritor of the once powerful Holy Roman Empire of the German Nation. But maybe not. With such traitors as Hungary, always a mercenary nation since the Khazarian times, in the service of whoever pays them more, it is a tall order. The Hungarians were betting on the defeat of the Khazars by the Slavs in the 800s and abandoned their masters in the steppes of Asia. Having become the new Apostolic mercenaries for the Catholic Church, they established their own feudal fiefdom in Panonia. Now, they lick the asses of Russia and China.
But no matter the long term outcome of the Russian threat looming over Europe, the Old Continent has a duty to re-arm itself and consolidate itself on an equal footing with the new contenders on the geopolitical world map. And even if Europe decides to enter into a consortium of sorts with Russia in the long term, it should do it from a solid position as it represents the legacy of humanity’s explosive rise from destitution to the Industrial Age and then the AI Age.
https://www.algora.com/Algora_blog/2025/03/09/europe-at-cross-roads

Posted by: LongTimeObserver | Mar 9 2025 23:39 utc | 105

first would obliterate the first timstand forward.
—-+
The first nation to raise the standard of war and charge forward.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 9 2025 23:39 utc | 106

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Mar 9 2025 23:29 utc | 103
————–
The EU militaries march on paper, have zero experience, limited equipment and are reliant on the USA for critical needs.
That’s *before* you factor in the brittle, largely illegitimate & incompetent governments, low social morale and stagnant economies.
If they could do f*ck all, they would have in 2022.

Posted by: Urban Fox | Mar 9 2025 23:41 utc | 107

It’s difficult to envision Europe getting its shit together enough to battle Russia in Ukraine. The discussion here about Europe building up nuclear deterrence and the development of new armaments including space weapons seems to be far-fetched fantasy.
Russia has a fairly strong advantage with hypersonics and hazelnuts. If they feel threatened by Western militaries it would seem only logical that they would use their advantage preemptively.
The push for WWIII is basically Western profiteers seeking a new orgasm of financial flows. Russia will increase punishment of Ukraine in hopes that Europe will see this reality and back off from their fervent delusions of victory over Russia.
Awful world we have now. If there’s a savior, it’s going to be Russian strength. The human race is quite ill at the moment. It needs a good dose of logical thinking and common sense. The West doesn’t seem to have it.

Posted by: A rope leash | Mar 9 2025 23:55 utc | 108

“The whole drone war phenomenon in this particular war, and the pace, in no way means thats how a war between Russia and the EU would look.
Posted by: UWDude |’
I think your spot on here. I dont think its going to happen. Brussels just has a hard time accepting. Kursk might be the end. Mass surrenders. AFU is tough. Troops can only take so much then they break. AFU has not had proper rotations. There are limits.
AFU knows USA is out. Many of them not fond of z. I say collapse is ahead.
If Europe wants a piece they will get more than they wanted. If one nuke gets used it over. For all of us. I dont think Trump will be able to stay out.

Posted by: Npin | Mar 9 2025 23:56 utc | 109

If Europe wants a piece they will get more than they wanted. If one nuke gets used it over. For all of us. I dont think Trump will be able to stay out.
Posted by: Npin | Mar 9 2025 23:56 utc | 111
Putin would just need to make an example out of a country, France or UK, BECAUSE they have nukes, to let the world know he is not playing games.
All the bluster you see would silence real quick. Even Trump would be unable to get involved, there would be a sudden and unstoppable “peace” movement.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 0:18 utc | 110

The only country that Russia would have a hard time ,”throwing against the wall” IMHO, would be Turkey. If Turkey takes the lead, it would be incredibly difficult for Russia, and the world, to stop full scale, nuclear WW 3.
So, if you see that vector get hotter, (Turkey has said it might send troops), like Bosporus closed, then you might want to start digging a shelter and learning survival.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 0:22 utc | 111

113 sure, turkey has a big standing army , but geography does not favour them versus Russia… what is turkeys air and naval power like ?

Posted by: E | Mar 10 2025 0:37 utc | 112

Posted by: E | Mar 10 2025 0:37 utc | 114
honestly, i dont want to think tank for them. I was hesitant to even write about Turkey.
But if you know me, you know I analyze everything.
I fear, a bit, the general in Syria was patsied to try his uprising.
Also, Russia should not be too concerned about losing Hmeinem, and perhaps even offer taking in Alawites en masse in exchange for the closing of the base. It’s a new base anyway, and its mission is over. The instability of Syria is too much trouble, and could get Russia involved in messes it does not need or want to be involved with, like is happening right now.
Sometimes, you must know when to retreat.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 0:45 utc | 113

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Mar 9 2025 20:05 utc | 68
The human mind wants to create narratives to explain the chaos around us.
Your theory (there is a sort of quid pro quo between Trump and Putin, i.e. no negotiations until the Kursk bed-shitter is finished) is interesting, but lacks evidence.
It is just, if not more likely that the UAF simply collapsed due to time and lack of men/resources/Russia being superior in military tactics.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Mar 10 2025 0:50 utc | 114

Weeb Union with a succinct update.
The Ukrainian excellent Kursk winter adventure coming to a bloody end.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e1xvEsUavKA

Posted by: Melaleuca | Mar 10 2025 0:50 utc | 115

It is just, if not more likely that the UAF simply collapsed due to time and lack of men/resources/Russia being superior in military tactics.
Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Mar 10 2025 0:50 utc | 116
there may be a bit of morale collapse helping with learning USA is gone, but I am betting the incursion was timed to last as long as possible, and to stabe off a Russian fall offensive, and Russia obliged.
Russia was likely perparing its counter offensive for mid spring, and this is step one, nothing to do with Trump.
In fact, Russia would be foolish to directly rely on Trump, and foolish to even believe arms or ISR has stopped, or will stop. If it can be turned off in a day, it can be turned back on in a day, and if thats the plan, then they are waiting for the worst day possible for Russia to turn it back on.
Thats why you still vrawl through the pipes for days, instead of just assuming creep and hide stealth like the old days will kepp you from being spotted because ISR is supposedly off.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 0:57 utc | 116

“The only country that Russia would have a hard time ,”throwing against the wall” IMHO, would be Turkey. If Turkey takes the lead, it would be incredibly difficult for Russia, and the world, to stop full scale, nuclear WW 3.
So, if you see that vector get hotter, (Turkey has said it might send troops), like Bosporus closed, then you might want to start digging a shelter and learning survival.
Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 0:22 utc | 113″
I dont see that. Especially with USA out. Not Erdogons style. He would want all the cards to commit. He flips back and forth dopes not commit fully. Risk it all for a EU that wont even make Turkiye a member? Naw he wont sign to do the heavy lifting. Nor is that a proper ottoman grail search.
Actually for perhaps the first time since 2012 I am optimistic. I think its over. I think Europe finds itself asserts itself now. USA too. It wont be easy. WW3 is humanitys end. Now we find another path. It can only come from respect for other nations and traditions. Not from the fake neoliberal base that is hidden entitlement. Avoiding ww3 is the start. It means is start of understanding that resources can not be controlled with war. WW3 is suicide. No war but business. Trump wants to deal with Russia. Russia is fair minded. Its not much but its something. As the Eu breaks apart some countries will choose to participate. Business. Its why Russia is willing to deal with the USA even after Bidens treachery. They realize this has for the first time the possibility to unfold for a more fair world. Business. You see business is not judgmental. Everyone is a customer nothing more nothing less. You treat a customer good they come back. This is a basis for diplomacy. This is a basis for agreements. This is a basis for starting to end the hate that was fake and created. Trump “putin is just doing what anyone would”. Thats a hell of a start. People understand that Trump was framed. Perhaps they can understand Putin was framed. Regardless ending this senseless war and avoiding ww3 is a a start. Healing can begin. Combatants can pick up the pieces and try to sort things out. People of both nations can live without the dark shadow of war deaths. That would please me.
Too old for a shovel and fury road.

Posted by: Nipins | Mar 10 2025 1:07 utc | 117

The only country that Russia would have a hard time ,”throwing against the wall” IMHO, would be Turkey. If Turkey takes the lead, it would be incredibly difficult for Russia, and the world, to stop full scale, nuclear WW 3.
Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 0:22 utc | 113
I don’t think turkey will last as long as Ukraine being sandwiched between the Russian army and multiple insurgencies from Syria.
They won’t put up a fight on the scale of Ukraine, that’s for sure.
They’re also too tied in to the Russian energy trade to try anything with Russia.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Mar 10 2025 1:07 utc | 118

The Ukrainians are arrogant and delusional, they are more like Poles than like Russians in that regard.
Loud people with mediocre capabilities. I will never forget how weak and servile Duda was during Trump’s first term visit and speech in Poland.
I don’t closely follow Musk but I do enjoy the drama that he causes.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Mar 10 2025 1:10 utc | 119

Melaleuca | Mar 10 2025 0:50 utc | 117–
Russian use of the gas pipeline emptied by Ukraine’s refusal to renew gas transit to assault the Ukie rear in Sudzha is the main story in what’s been a massive advance within the Kursk region. This map shows just how widespread.
Ukie observation drones will help along the LOC, but rear area movement that was tracked by US ISR will now be free to move and allow the concentration of forces for more powerful offensives. Still, cracking the LOC will be hard work as there’re plenty of mines and FPV drones to avoid. I’m sure Russia will do some testing to see if the ISR help is indeed turned off before they use it to their advantage.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 10 2025 1:13 utc | 120

Posted by: Nipins | Mar 10 2025 1:07 utc | 120
I too am, i hate to say it, but “cautiously optimitic”, however…
…hatred burns for a longtime. The DOGE cuts, in my appraisal, are causing a hatred that will burn almost as hit as many who quit or were fired over injections and masks.
Populist power is one of the weakest powers to have, not only is it fickle, but the masses are weak, and easy to divide.
Furthermore, even if peace reigned, and the world joined hands, there would still be people seeking power, and attaining it, believing there is a better world ahead with them in charge. I think Libya proves this. A ton of young men and women in Libya thought life could be better withoyt Ghaddafi, much of it simple youthful rebellion. No system can really tame the spirit of amgry young men, they will always exist, no matter the utopia.
What I am saying is the pendulum always swings.
As for Turkey, yes, somehow getting them to take up the NATO banner and yell “Charge” is *almost* impossible, but Erdogan has no problem doing the dangerous if he sees great advantage in it for him.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 1:19 utc | 121

Turkey’s economy lives thanks to Russia. The two gas pipeline and the nuclear power stations being constructed are just the easy to see components. Lots of Russians vacation in Turkey, and a very significant percentage of Turkey’s exports go to the Russian market. The Turkish elite may be Atlanticists is some fashion, but their economy is dependent on Russia no its, ands or buts.
Do note that Turkey’s been absent from all the NATO confabs regarding Ukraine and was not asked if it would join with France, UK, etc.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 10 2025 1:21 utc | 122

“Turkey’s economy lives thanks to Russia. The two gas pipeline and the nuclear power stations being constructed are just the easy to see components. Lots of Russians vacation in Turkey, and a very significant percentage of Turkey’s exports go to the Russian market.”
Turkey is a major player in the war and destruction of Syria. Turkey laughed when they shot down and killed the Russian pilots. Turkey sends arms to Ukraine and to Azerbaijan. Turkey has stated that Crimea should be Ukraine.
Russians only fuel the theft and terror of Turkey upon other peoples by supporting its economy.

Posted by: MiniMO | Mar 10 2025 1:26 utc | 123

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Mar 10 2025 1:07 utc | 121
The problem is Turkey is the seat of a not so ancient Empire.
It is also the most nationalist country in “Europe”.
And that Empire and Russia have major overlaps, and bad blood.
And hatred like masks or DOGE cuts can last a liftime, but wars and death can last generations.
And there is more than that.
However, convincing Turkey to do it, is highly unlikely, but I don’t think it is impossible.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 1:31 utc | 124

Russians only fuel the theft and terror of Turkey upon other peoples by supporting its economy.
Posted by: MiniMO | Mar 10 2025 1:26 utc | 126
Russia should blow up its oil pipelines to Turkey, and close off all trade to all nations, and sanction itself to death, anything else would be immoral.
Like trying to blame Russia for Syria is peak inversion.
Syria was a country made for fracture, like all the rest of the post-colonial middle east, and Israel just flooding them with war refugees in 1948 didnt help.
On top of that, we get the leadership of Hafez, and you have the beginning of the story of blame for the downfall of Assad.
Russia? Russia to blame?
Language of fork-tongued demons.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 1:45 utc | 125

MiniMO | Mar 10 2025 1:26 utc | 126–
You have evidence that the Turks “laughed when they shot down and killed the Russian pilots”? I have massive evidence to prove my assertions.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 10 2025 1:48 utc | 126

How soon do they forget…Napolean and Hitler had their respective ass handed back to them….Starmar and Macron don’t strike me as being the most intelligent ..maybe third time a charm…..

Posted by: Thedriller | Mar 10 2025 1:58 utc | 127

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Mar 10 2025 1:07 utc | 121
########
I don’t know the history well, but I am certain that the Ottomans had fought the Russians.
No one fighting the Russians now will have much luck. Russia is experienced and the global leader in military technology at this time.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Mar 10 2025 2:02 utc | 128

2012 I am optimistic. I think its over. I think Europe finds itself asserts itself now. USA too. It wont be easy.
Trump “putin is just doing what anyone would”. Thats a hell of a start. People understand that Trump was framed. Perhaps they can understand Putin was framed.
Posted by: Nipins | Mar 10 2025 1:07 utc | 120
__________________________________________
That is my outlook, too, but it might take a while. Thee internal dynamics of the US are in Trump’s way, and he, himself, is also full of contradictions.
Trump and Putin understand each other (seeing eye to eye) and both want to stop warfare and preparing for them while needing to boost their economies. As karlof1 has so well documented in his Substack, Russia has control over its destiny and is doing well, in spite of all the troubles caused by the West.
Trump has a tougher job. Half the US is Russophobic as well as Sinophobic. Getting out of NATO alone is a tough sell and none of his foreign policy team nor he himself have a clue as to what Russia wants. Howsomever, they are trying to move in the right direction uttering contradictory pronouncements all along. The Europeans will do their usual thing, trample all over themselves and accomplish nothing. It will be a troublesome sideshow.
In a few years, the Lord willing, if the creek don’t rise (gotta love those Americanisms), the US might shrink its military footprint and budget, shrink its debt in small steps, and get itself better organized. There a lot of long knives out for Trump but he has survived so far. Funny me, I consider the first assassination attempt in PA an omen.

Posted by: Acco Hengst | Mar 10 2025 2:07 utc | 129

The problem is Turkey is the seat of a not so ancient Empire.
However, convincing Turkey to do it, is highly unlikely, but I don’t think it is impossible.
Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 1:31 utc | 127
Turkey should know that a century’s wait is nothing, their time is not yet come.
Neither as a failed empire (just a little bump on the road for the early conquest phase) nor yet as an empire (if they survive a century it ‘s their time).

Posted by: Newbie | Mar 10 2025 2:08 utc | 130

Post 75. The dickwod Nipins comes out with the delirious screed that the Ukrainians have shown “incredible tenacity and bravery”.
How did the idiot find this blog?
Was it bravery and tenacity when they got their asses whipped in Mariupol? Nobody is starving in Ukraine and their army is supplied with state of the art weapons and technology services by the west, and being in the army for Ukiestan is a pay increase as much as it is a death sentence.
They are getting killed in big numbers and replaced in big numbers. WTF makes you call it ” incredible tenacity and bravery”? It isn’t. Call it brave when they don’t have any weapons, or when they are starving like Stalingrad or Leningrad. Or are getting paid pittance . Or don’t have any other option but to be in battle because the Kiev regime has blocked exiting the country.
Until then STFU

Posted by: Winston | Mar 10 2025 2:10 utc | 131

MASSIVE ADVANCES BY THE RUSSIAN ARMY IN KURSK

Free drinks at the bar, folks. ✌✌✌

Posted by: HERMIUS | Mar 10 2025 2:28 utc | 132

No one fighting the Russians now will have much luck. Russia is experienced and the global leader in military technology at this time.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Mar 10 2025 2:02 utc | 131
Erdoğan has been playing a balancing act as leader of Türkiye for almost as long as Putin has led Russia. Türkiye is a member of NATO and has NATO/US troops stationed in the country. But it is a close neighbor of Russia with good trade relations. Erdoğan has done his best to avoid annoying both the West and Russia. Türks do not want war on Anatolia.
Syria was part of the Ottoman Empire. Türkiye and Syria is similar to Russia and Ukraine. It would be best if they have good relations. And there are complications with Kurds and with Israeli actions in Syria and their intentions against Iran. I do not envy Erdoğan’s position but am impressed that he has held it together for as long as he has.

Posted by: Samu | Mar 10 2025 2:39 utc | 133

Turkey’s strength is not natural, not organic, it comes from UK and later NATO support, because it’s containing Russia. Once most evil p.o.s. England is on it’s knees, getting there very fast, NATO is gone and will be replaced by Christian alliance led by Russia, supported by USA, Turkey will face consequences, will lose all Kurds territories, will lose Constantinople, will lose access to Black Sea!
All stinky rockets around Agia Sofia will be gone and it will be most beautiful church again!

Posted by: Preki | Mar 10 2025 3:09 utc | 134

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 1:19 utc | 124
“I too am, i hate to say it, but “cautiously optimitic”, however…
…hatred burns for a longtime. The DOGE cuts, in my appraisal, are causing a hatred that will burn almost as hit as many who quit or were fired over injections and masks.”
The DOGE cuts might be causing hatred on the left, but those on the right are grateful that finally a Republican president is keeping his promises. Those in the center are finding confirmation in their vote for Trump as they see the unimaginable level of corruption and graft that DOGE is bringing to light. Retirees over 150 years old and Small Business loans given to 10 year olds are just the tip of the iceberg. The pendulum might swing eventually, but as long as DOGE keeps publicizing this level of malfeasance Trump will continue to have the support of the Normals.

Posted by: Paranaense | Mar 10 2025 3:14 utc | 135

Posted by: Paranaense | Mar 10 2025 3:14 utc | 138
maybe so, but what I am saying, (something the left has zero idea about), is how covid affected a segment of the population who will never forgive.
DOGE is big, and it is impacting many. The fired ones, and their politically aligned families, will also never forgive
In the meantime, issues will change, passions will shift, and the hard core hatreds will again have their turn in power.
What then? We saw Owen Shroyer go to jail for three months for being on a sidewalk.
power creates a dynamic, and swinging power creates a hardening polarity where it goes from disagreements on morality, to imperitives for survival. Politics have started to directly affect people in ways they never did before, and this is going to create a hardening of alliances.
What I am saying is if Ds takes white house in 4 years, everything might reverse, and we go into world war 3 just to spite Rs and Rusdia (and jail hundreds of thousands of russophiles for treason).

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 3:42 utc | 136

There you go again, blowing hot air out of your arse/mouth, no different to every other opinionated, macho, teenage armchair general on this site.
Posted by: Bonzo | Mar 10 2025 3:34 utc | 139
How embarassing for you.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 3:44 utc | 137

There you go again, blowing hot air out of your arse/mouth, no different to every other opinionated, macho, teenage armchair general on this site.
Posted by: Jake Blanchard | Mar 10 2025 3:34 utc | 139
Also, not that I regret anything I have ever written, and certainly dont care what some anger addict thinks, but I was being sarcastic in that post.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 3:48 utc | 138

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 3:42 utc | 140
“What I am saying is if Ds takes white house in 4 years, everything might reverse, and we go into world war 3 just to spite Rs and Rusdia (and jail hundreds of thousands of russophiles for treason).”
That is a possibility, but the whole point of DOGE is to cut the legs out from under the Deep State. Once the Deep State is neutralized and defunded (no more USAID credit card for the next color revolution or lawfare campaign) it should be much harder for the Ds to claw back into the White House. Not impossible, but not likely.

Posted by: Paranaense | Mar 10 2025 3:50 utc | 139

I am not European, nor will I ever be. Europe is NOTHING. It never had any glory days “together”. What does together mean in Europe?! WAR.
I can barely stand my own, ideological, empty, “European” nation, let alone all of yours!
What in the hell does my country, which was socialist, have to do with ex.Nazis???? Or Micron?? Who in the f#ck wants to have anything to do with that decadent, rotting continent? Never in its history did it accept my Slavic people of the Balkans as its part. They are just tooo goood for us! They are the MAsters of the Universe, while we were called “morlocs” by the likes of Italian mobsters!
As soon as we are able, we will leave that cesspit far behind as was always our custom.

Posted by: Marija | Mar 10 2025 4:08 utc | 140

How many know about this: “Accelerationism has been conspicuously used to develop defence and surveillance technology. Consider the D3 accelerator which is reportedly “entirely focused on military-related startups.” Initially focusing in Ukraine, the “Dare to Defend Democracy” (D3) accelerator is a public-private partnership that adopts the accelerationist approach to startups focusing exclusively on AI enabled intelligence, cybersecurity, and military technology.
“The D3 accelerator’s leading investors include former Google CEO Eric Schmidt. Together with Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, and other investors in AI solutions, they have combined to use the Ukrainian battlefield as a test bed. In addition, Thiel’s Palantir and Musk’s Starlink experimentation collaborated with the Pentagon to develop Project Maven. The project deploys AI to rapidly analyse vast amounts of data to generate automated targetting. Accelerationism’s influence on public-private AI start-ups in the defence sectors on both sides of the Atlantic is already significant.”
“Meanwhile, American, British and Ukrainian officers, along with some of Silicon Valley’s top military contractors, are exploring new ways of finding and exploiting Russian vulnerabilities, even while US officials try to navigate legal restraints about how deeply they can become involved in targeting and killing Russian troops.”
__________________________________
https://archive.is/6kyff

Posted by: hispanidad | Mar 10 2025 4:29 utc | 141

Just a comment I found hilarious.
“The American learning disability is showing across the board. The kettle is now on the boil in Sumy. The Ukrainians are cut off in Kursk and don’t have much more time left. East of the Dnieper, it’s apparent that Putin’s foot is off the brakes”.-
Unnamed source (Dances with Bears)

Posted by: Suresh | Mar 10 2025 4:51 utc | 142

“… unimaginable level of corruption and graft that DOGE is bringing to light. Retirees over 150 years old…”
Posted by: Paranaense | Mar 10 2025 3:14 utc | 138
hmmmm…can’t tell if serious
https://www.counterpunch.org/2025/03/07/trumps-dead-people-on-social-security-lie/

Posted by: drinky crow | Mar 10 2025 4:52 utc | 143

Posted by: drinky crow | Mar 10 2025 4:52 utc | 147
collecting dead people’s ss is the oldest trick in the book, besides casting a vote for them.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 4:56 utc | 144

but the whole point of DOGE is to cut the legs out from under the Deep State
Yep, the Dems don’t really have a large base, they were just orchestrating the world’s largest grift in order to convincingly manufacture one. Should a good portion of the fraud end and those behind it prosecuted, plus true election reform occur — i.e., national voting holiday, real ID’s, paper ballots, same day returns — the Dems won’t win another election for a long time.

Posted by: TJandTheBear | Mar 10 2025 4:59 utc | 145

European military potential is greater than Russias…
Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Mar 9 2025 23:29 utc | 103

LMAO! If the remaining forces of the AFU simply turned West they could conquer the EU inside a few months. Europe generally has no military to speak of and Ukraine’s effectively drained all their reserve equipment and ammunition.
There is no “potential” either as they’re already de-industrializing. If they can’t build cars they sure as hell can’t build tanks.

Posted by: TJandTheBear | Mar 10 2025 5:05 utc | 146

Orbital delivery systems will become pretty cheap and very effective with sinking cost of tonnage to orbit (think Starship). They can be used with inert rods for precision targeting and kinetic effect, too.
Posted by: persiflo | Mar 9 2025 21:42 utc | 84

Oreshnik rendered the “Rods of God” concept obsolete. Even if we’re now capable of building and stocking such an orbital platform it’d still be ridiculously time-consuming and cost-ineffective by comparison, not to mention a sitting duck.
Oh, and you know why NATO uses depleted uranium slugs whereas Russia uses the safer tungsten? Because we don’t have any!

Posted by: TJandTheBear | Mar 10 2025 5:24 utc | 147

Take a hard look a the AUKUS so called buildout and tell me if that effort is going to provide peer deterent.
Posted by: Nipins | Mar 9 2025 21:15 utc | 79
***************
One does not so much need to look hard, so much as often – the ‘arrangement’ seems to change by the hour, but the cost always escalates. Last I saw, Australia could have 3 (three!!) nuclear powered submarines by 2045 at a cost of some $385 Billion (that is not a typo!) if Australia’s contribution to US submarine building capability actually bears fruit. And one of those three will be deployable at any one time, providing nothing goes wrong.
Meanwhile, China, who our valiant efforts are no doubt providing a fearsome deterrent, is happily building their own nuclear powered submarines at somewhat under $6 Billion apiece. Luckily for Australia, the Chinese cannot innovate, and good luck to them trying to steal the world-leading US technology… The best way the US could sabotage China’s submarine program is to leave details of their own innovative metallurgy testing and certification program lying around for some nosey little denizen of the Heavenly Kingdom to take home.

Posted by: General Factotum | Mar 10 2025 5:57 utc | 148

The EU is dying
Georgescu was denied approval as a candidate for the Romanian presidency

After the news was announced, clashes broke out in front of the Central Electoral Office building, reports the Agerpres news agency
BUCHAREST, March 9./ The Central Electoral Office has refused to approve Calin Georgescu’s candidacy for the Romanian presidential elections on May 4. George Simion, leader of the Alliance for the Unification of Romanians party, reported this on Facebook.
According to the Agerpres news agency, after the news was announced, clashes broke out in front of the Central Electoral Office building between Georgescu supporters waiting for the result and gendarmes.
The demonstrators, who chanted “Down with the dictatorship!” and “Georgescu is president!” chanted, knocked down barriers, and additional gendarmerie forces moved in front of the building and blocked all side streets leading to it. “Against the background of the decision of the Central Election Office, the participants of the unauthorized gathering broke through the gendarmerie cordon to enter the building of the institution,” the gendarmerie report says. “To restore order, the gendarmes used sprayers with tear gas.”

Posted by: berthold | Mar 10 2025 6:31 utc | 149

Posted by: General Factotum | Mar 10 2025 5:57 utc | 152
oh my god, we cant let china get ahold of our embezzlement, fraud and waste technologies. You’ll be able to order bribes on ali-baba

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 6:50 utc | 150

European military potential is greater than Russias…
Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Mar 9 2025 23:29 utc | 103
Like my grandad used to say:
“Potential is nothing. Achievement is everything.”

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Mar 10 2025 7:13 utc | 151

I don’t know the history well, but I am certain that the Ottomans had fought the Russians.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Mar 10 2025 2:02 utc | 131
Indeed they did but my reading of the score sheet makes it clear they came off second best overall.
If we are to judge the Turks on their own merits there’s nothing in their history to indicate they can defeat the Russians.
Of we scored the two civilizations on concrete metrics the Turks come off as a vastly inferior military culture, ottoman heritage notwithstanding.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Mar 10 2025 7:22 utc | 152

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Mar 10 2025 7:22 utc | 156
Turks were real good at killing their own men in desert and snow by the hundreds of thousands during world war I.
An empire destroyed by its nepotism in a terribly shameful way.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 7:34 utc | 153

If we are to judge the Turks on their own merits there’s nothing in their history to indicate they can defeat the Russians.
Posted by: Arch Bungle | Mar 10 2025 7:22 utc | 156
To be clear, I dont think the Tirls could beat the Russians. I just think if the Russians tried to make an example out of them, it would not go as well.
I proposed Russia just pick France or UK level them, knock out power, factories, and military installations, in one barrage, and all Europe would cry uncle, tie up their politicians, and hand them to Putin for public execution.
But I dont think this would work on Turkey, and doing it to Turkey would lead to a difficult third world war.
One which Russia would still win, but the worldwide devastation would be enormous.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 7:40 utc | 154

Ukraine has transferred its elite Aidar nazi forces into Kursk region. It’s claimed that several groups of Aidar have been destroyed already in the bulge.
Is Zelensky again conveniently cleaning up the nazis, contributing to his personal safety?
https://x.com/GeromanAT/status/1898990396480356686

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 10 2025 7:45 utc | 155

Ukraine has transferred its elite Aidar nazi forces into Kursk region. It’s claimed that several groups of Aidar have been destroyed already in the bulge.
Is Zelensky again conveniently cleaning up the nazis, contributing to his personal safety?
https://x.com/GeromanAT/status/1898990396480356686
Posted by: unimperator | Mar 10 2025 7:45 utc | 159
Neonazis sent to their deaths by a jew and under the command of a russian general using soviet tactics, the irony.

Posted by: 5thcolumn | Mar 10 2025 7:51 utc | 156

European military potential is greater than Russias
###
Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Mar 9 2025 23:29 utc | 103
You appear delusional.
NATO, USA included, have no potential at all.
It is not a defensive alliance, maybe it never was.
It’s simply a bunch of terrorist countries with a military organized to bully other countries.
It works well with really sub par countries, you use air domination to bomb everything better civilians targets, than boots on the ground with a limited duration, say a few months, if you need longer operations there are not enough weapons, declare victory and exit leaving rubble behind you.
Once you fight an on par or better country, you loose and loose bad.

Posted by: Mario | Mar 10 2025 8:02 utc | 157

EU has cancelled the Romanian election, and has now prevented the most likely presidential winner Georgescu from running in the new election. There are massive riots on the street.
I think what happens in Romania is very important for what happens in rest of south-eastern Europe. If things turn around, then the EU is ripe for dismantling.

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 10 2025 8:03 utc | 158

After US defacto, not de-jure, withdrawal from Nato, EUrotards have gone b*tshit crazy. Baltic states now demanding general mobilization across EU states.
I think most likely southern Europe will eventually secede from Europe. The Nordic, Baltic states and Poland, and Germany will be left in the EU and form their new Euronato.

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 10 2025 8:07 utc | 159

The Nordic, Baltic states and Poland, and Germany will be left in the EU and form their new Euronato.
Posted by: unimperator | Mar 10 2025 8:07 utc | 163

They can model their economy on Argentina.

Posted by: too scents | Mar 10 2025 8:10 utc | 160

@ UWDude | Mar 10 2025 6:50 utc | 154
LOL

Posted by: I forgot | Mar 10 2025 8:17 utc | 161

Posted by: berthold | Mar 10 2025 6:31 utc | 153
Brussels is using Romania to test lawfare against out-of-center political movements across Europe.
The policy of using the Law to keep out-of-center political movements out of govertnment will expand to all of Europe once it proves effective in Romania.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 10 2025 8:23 utc | 162

Posted by: Mario | Mar 10 2025 8:02 utc | 161
Yes, that commenter is second or third rate. I skip her comments.
Here are two items showing the incompetence of European armaments industry.
https://asiatimes.com/2025/03/investor-beware-of-robust-european-defense-spending/
https://southfront.press/french-italian-air-defense-system-failed-in-ukraine-report/
The first one is from a former high executive of a European armaments company.
The drive to re-arm Europe coming from Brussels means higher valuation of American MIC companies.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 10 2025 8:29 utc | 163

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 10 2025 8:03 utc | 162
I think what happens in Romania is very important for what happens in rest of south-eastern Europe. If things turn around, then the EU is ripe for dismantling.

What happens in Romania is a template for the solidification of the control of centrist parties across European governments, arguably aptly named the dictatorship of the center. It is implemented to prevent a turn around. I think it will succeed in keeping out-of-center, even majority out-of-center forces, out of government.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 10 2025 8:36 utc | 164

European military potential is greater than Russias and currently military capabilites if used fully would force complete mobilization of Russia to fend off and hundreds of thousands of casualties including limited nuke strikes on strategic bases.
Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Mar 9 2025 23:29 utc | 103
There is no “European” military potential as such: it is the military potential of 27 disparate countries which for the most part would rather kiss american boots than take orders from their neighbour.

Posted by: Satepestage | Mar 10 2025 8:50 utc | 165

I think it will succeed in keeping out-of-center, even majority out-of-center forces, out of government.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 10 2025 8:36 utc | 168

It will succeed in fomenting social unrest and elevating a government without a mandate. That is, it will create a deeply divided and dysfunctional nation state, good for neither people nor business.

Posted by: too scents | Mar 10 2025 8:54 utc | 166

@ drinky crow | Mar 10 2025 4:52 utc | 147
Am clueless about the extent of Social Security payments to dead people and read that article earnestly. But the author lost me with the last paragraph when he reveals, with mockery, his *certainty* in his opinion about who started current war in Ukraine.

Posted by: I forgot | Mar 10 2025 8:56 utc | 167

Interesting detail from Sudzha.
AFU had mined a bridge in center of Sudzha. They had planned to blow it up after RUAF break the AFU defense and advancing toward Sudzha.
Instead, RUAF drone flew under the bridge and used the AFU explosives to detonate the bridge. This then cut-off the AFU retreat from NE of Sudzha, leading to the full annihilation of the stuck AFU retreat convoy.

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 10 2025 8:58 utc | 168

Dima says AFU command has lost contact over large groups in Kursk territory trapped in cauldrons, who are code 500 (running away toward the border).

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 10 2025 9:05 utc | 169

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 10 2025 8:36 utc | 168
Agreed but they need much more than that.
They can, more or less, force citizens to accept poverty but it will be harder whith matters as conscription, bags coming back from the Frontline and rockets raining.

Posted by: Mario | Mar 10 2025 9:07 utc | 170

Brussels is using Romania to test lawfare against out-of-center political movements across Europe.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 10 2025 8:23 utc | 166
They’re not testing anything, it’s a working system already and not only in Romania. It’s more visible now, but there’s nothing really different. EU and US directly control that country and many others. US embassy publicly supports some candidates, some laws and that’s it. Also the protests seem to be small. Previous police violence worked wonders and most protests were usually organized by ngos controlled from outside. If ngos don’t organize them then few people go, get seriously beaten first by les gendarmes, then by police and never protest again. Even if that guy is allowed to be in elections and wins, his powers are limited, he can only talk, go to meetings and not much else. But Ursula says no talking. The change will be when EU completely removes local presidents, it’s just a waste of time and money

Posted by: rk | Mar 10 2025 9:17 utc | 171

So, as I and an orchestra of others were preaching from the rooftops of this very forum all those months ago, Kursk turned out to be a trap.
Where does the clown-cart of naysayers who couldn’t see the blindingly obvious stand now?

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Mar 10 2025 9:56 utc | 172

Posted by: too scents | Mar 10 2025 8:54 utc | 170
t will succeed in fomenting social unrest and elevating a government without a mandate.

Exactly. And this is how the European populace, in the mid-term, will wake up from its welfare-induced stupor (its MAGA time) and will send these centrist mediocrities to where they belong: running a small business in some small town, lording over a making miserable a few people instead of whole nations.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 10 2025 10:05 utc | 173

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Mar 10 2025 9:56 utc | 176
You know how it works.
They will say, they are already saying, that Ukraine lost in Kursk because USA stopped weapons, ISR and so on.
I can see it all around.
I’ve speak to people that still belive in washing machines, it was true at the time, by them, but then China stepped in.

Posted by: Mario | Mar 10 2025 10:19 utc | 174

Posted by: rk | Mar 10 2025 9:17 utc | 175
You are borderline worth-reading. So I decided to reply to you this time.

They’re not testing anything, it’s a working system already and not only in Romania.

No, it’s only working in Romania where it is being implemented in tentative fashion, trying things to see what sticks.
If you want to continue with this argument, you need to provide evidence it’s being tried or implemented anywhere else in Europe.
But I see your point as valid because I think lawfare will be tried in France and Germany if necessary, where slightly non-centrist parties enjoy significant support. In Germany the population still supports aggregate mediocrity (CDU/CSU + SPD) and in France the Left voted en masse for the most centrist mediocre candidate. So lawfare to avoid a democratic mandate to turn around in Germany and France is not yet necessary but lawfare has to be ready in case it is needed in the near future.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 10 2025 10:24 utc | 175

https://ua-stena.info/en/an-altercation-has-erupted-over-starlink-for-ukraine/
An altercation has erupted over Starlink for Ukraine
An altercation has erupted between Elon Musk, Marco Rubio and Polish Foreign Minister Sikorski on the X network over Starlink for Ukraine.
After Musk’s post this morning that shutting down Starlink could bring down the frontline in Ukraine, Sikorski responded to him.
He claims that Starlink for Ukraine is funded by Poland for $50 million a year.
‘If SpaceX proves to be an unreliable
provider we will be forced to look for other
suppliers.,’ Sikorski wrote.
Secretary of State Rubio first responded to him.
‘Just making things up. No one has made any threats about cutting Ukraine off from Starlink
And say thank you because without Starlink Ukraine would have lost this war
long ago and Russians would be on the border
with Poland right now,’ he wrote in X.
Musk:
‘Be quiet, small man. You pay a tiny fraction of the cost. And there is no substitute for Starlink’.
later musk wrote:
“To be extremely clear, no matter how much |
disagree with the Ukraine policy, Starlink will never turn off its terminals.
lam simply stating that, without Starlink, the
Ukrainian lines would collapse, as the Russians can jam all other communications!
We would never do such a thing or use it as a bargaining chip”

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 10:30 utc | 176

this is how the European populace, in the mid-term, will wake up from its welfare-induced stupor (its MAGA time) and will send these centrist mediocrities to where they belong: running a small business in some small town, lording over a making miserable a few people instead of whole nations.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 10 2025 10:05 utc | 177

Don’t pin your hopes for rejuvenation on MAGA’s monopolists. They have also run out of road.

Posted by: too scents | Mar 10 2025 10:46 utc | 177

I’ve speak to people that still belive in washing machines, it was true at the time, by them, but then China stepped in.
Posted by: Mario | Mar 10 2025 10:19 utc | 178
I see it now on the “normie” forums – you know the ones I mean, the politically correct “big tech” ones where only pro-Ukrainian voices are allowed (or else!):
MScs, Phds, CTOs, CEOs, ‘experts’ of every stripe and colour claiming that Ukraine is actually winning and that the only reason they’ll now lose is because Orange Jeezus decided to remove his guiding rod from their path and let them wander into the valley of the shadow of death unattended.
You’d think these “highly educated professionals”, these champions of critical thinking, scientists, engineers and financial analysts would be able to read the obvious signs – but no!
And just you say a *single word* to contradict the bullshit – you end up booted off the platform for 24 hours or permanently.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Mar 10 2025 10:48 utc | 178

I thought Germany was ‘de-industrializing’ and slumping into a recession, then how can they do this?

Ukraine Signs Memorandum With IRIS-T Manufacturer, Expects Threefold Increase in Missile, Air Defense System Supplies

Posted by: bored | Mar 10 2025 10:58 utc | 179

then how can they do this?
Posted by: bored | Mar 10 2025 10:58 utc | 183

They can’t. Planned factory expansion doesn’t come online until late ’26.

Posted by: too scents | Mar 10 2025 11:16 utc | 180

DS had another update, this morning (after the Kursk update last night, Boyd):
https://deepstatemap.live/en#6/49.4383200/32.0526800
Overall: Poor performance in UKR, with an actual net loss of 1.1 kmsq. Gains near Kostyiantinople/Ulakly were outweighed by losses at Synkivka (Kupiansk sector) and Burlatske (VN sector).

Posted by: Anonymous | Mar 10 2025 11:28 utc | 181

Posted by: bored | Mar 10 2025 10:58 utc | 183
You sign a memorandum, that means nothing, and in Germany they start feasting on the supposed 800 billions.

Posted by: Mario | Mar 10 2025 11:31 utc | 182

I thought Germany was ‘de-industrializing’ and slumping into a recession, then how can they do this?
Ukraine Signs Memorandum
Posted by: bored | Mar 10 2025 10:58 utc | 183
You dont have to be an industrialized nation to sign memorandums. Making promises, dreaming budgets, and taking out loans is what the EU is all about.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 11:34 utc | 183

The latest Civey poll in Germany:
Should the Europeans increase their support for Ukraine, now that the USA have discontinued theirs?
“yes, definitely” 51%
“no, definitely” 33.7%
Seems like
– the majority of Germans still believes Ukraine has chances of winning
– the majority still believes it is on a messianic mission to punish evil Putin
– they are as uninformed as they can be.

Posted by: grunzt | Mar 10 2025 11:37 utc | 184

Arch Bungle | Mar 10 2025 10:48 utc | 182
“MScs, Phds, CTOs, CEOs, ‘experts’ of every stripe and colour claiming that Ukraine is actually winning and that the only reason they’ll now lose is because Orange Jeezus decided to remove his guiding rod from their path and let them wander into the valley of the shadow of death unattended.”
The TDS elites are preparing their alibi and/or Stab-in-the-Back rallying cry.

Posted by: Flying Dutchman | Mar 10 2025 11:39 utc | 185

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Mar 10 2025 10:48 utc | 182
yup, all over the internet. And they can find all sorts of ways to wedge in all sorts of shit about Russian atrocities and blocking formations, into a discussion about coding… but if you say, “not true”….
banned! With a warning that the forums are for technical support, not politics.
Not to mention they all had Ukro flags bannering their websites, and sending you emails excitedly telling you how they were donating money to Ukraine, and how you were invited to pitch in, when it was en vogue…

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 10 2025 11:39 utc | 186

Oh, and you know why NATO uses depleted uranium slugs whereas Russia uses the safer tungsten? Because we don’t have any!
Posted by: TJandTheBear | Mar 10 2025 5:24 utc | 151
On that one you are wrong. Tank sabots depend on dynamics where only two things count. Length to width ratio and relative densities. U238 beats tungsten in the near 19g/cm3 alloys
Added bonus, pyrophoric, plasma enhances penetration and when in… nasty
Dirty, yes but others have issues as well, but effective …
This one sums it up nicely
https://www.quora.com/What-type-of-tank-ammunition-weapon-system-could-practically-replace-depleted-uranium-sabot-in-the-near-future

Posted by: Newbie | Mar 10 2025 11:41 utc | 187

European military potential is greater than Russias and currently military capabilites if used fully would force complete mobilization of Russia to fend off and hundreds of thousands of casualties including limited nuke strikes on strategic bases.
Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Mar 9 2025 23:29 utc | 103
The Europe you have in mind no longer exists.

Posted by: Passerby | Mar 10 2025 11:53 utc | 188

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 10 2025 8:58 utc | 172
Fascinating how the true implications of drone warfare have still not been recognised, and how doctrinal responses are compartmentalised, not integrated, even by the people who have first hand experience.
Posted by: unimperator | Mar 10 2025 9:05 utc | 173
Shades of the pocket in 2015.
Posted by: Arch Bungle | Mar 10 2025 10:48 utc | 182
They are as intellectually trapped as the UAF are physically in the Kursk pocket, and for similar reasons.
Posted by: bored | Mar 10 2025 10:58 utc | 183
Stop asking how, instead, ask why?

Posted by: Milites | Mar 10 2025 11:57 utc | 189

A nice update on how through the pipe you get the other side down the drain.
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/kursk-collapse-accelerates-as-daring
And did I mention how it is difficult to drag 50 pounds of brass balls through 10 miles of 5 feet pipes?
And now for the post-mortem (correct choice of words) . 7 months ago it was already clear that any serious objective had been failed, 7 months , 10.000 loses per month and endless equipment destroyed later what was foretold 7 months ago is ending as one of the most stupid beginnings and one of the most awesome endings.
Just to spare anonymous his work, low day for RF, not counting Kursk …

Posted by: Newbie | Mar 10 2025 12:11 utc | 190

Stop asking how, instead, ask why?
Posted by: Milites | Mar 10 2025 11:57 utc | 193
I never got an answer from you on this whole affair being an attempt of Germany trying to teach RF who was the junior partner (that then got detoured by uk us for different purposes)
Germany and US trying to make RF and china bend the knee is the only non-insane (though failed) game play I see.

Posted by: Newbie | Mar 10 2025 12:16 utc | 191

Seems RUAF will take control of entire eastern side of the river running through Sudza. AFU may attempt to hold/retreat to the western side, but large parts of their group were already destroyed/surrendered NE/N of Sudzha, caught in cauldrons and without any defenses.
Meanwhile RUAF could continue their offensive further west of Sudzha from Novenke and Kurivka toward the roads. What sort of forces AFU mustered in this perimeter remains to be seen, but reportedly two brigades were already moved to other parts around Pokrovsk and Toretsk.
The main RUAF objective must have been to eliminate as many AFU units as possible, not accelerated terrain/ground capture per se.

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 10 2025 12:22 utc | 192

When the father can’t say directly…

The end of war against Russia means the start of hostilities against Zelensky.
Ukrainians hate him for his corruption and how he has allowed a generation of young men to be butchered
He won’t be safe in his own country once the war ends and he knows it.

Barron Trump

Posted by: ostrr | Mar 10 2025 12:22 utc | 193

Having read Simplicius’ account of the (awe-inspiring) infiltration behind enemy lines of the Russia forces – having gone/crawled through the disused gas pipe – I can only imagine how such a deed of derring-do would be given saturation media coverage in the BBC/similar dishonest media bastards if something a tenth as daring and successful had been completed by troops of the Ukraine.

Posted by: RedStarLancashire | Mar 10 2025 12:23 utc | 194

@TJandTheBear | 151 @UWDude @nipins and others
The discussion of orbital artillery is interesting for me, but barflies be aware that I’m a layman here, and must engage in speculation.
I thought of something like a palletized load container, that goes one-way and might discharge its missiles on the first pass.
Such things could in theory stay in an orbit, but this mode of use would probably be more practical against goatherders. Those from Yemen, who’ve been living under threat from buzzing drones above, went psychotic in large numbers, so the „Rods from God“ may instill less fear than a lawnmower motor.
The pallets are well and truly out in the open up there, and presumably armoring them is unfeasible. But 200 tons in a single launch makes quite the swarm, and they might be effectively camouflaged using decoys and various EM reduction techniques („stealth“).
Oreshnik, OTOH, is presumably road-mobile, and practically can’t be intercepted.

Posted by: persiflo | Mar 10 2025 12:31 utc | 195

America had lost the war. Their super duper military machine got hammered by the Russians. Oreshnik and Oreshnik+ is there. What Oreshnik can do was shown once. Once hit, it can heat up the place to the temperature of the sun.Who would survive? It is not even a nuke.
So, the US wants out, before it would lose buyers for its war products. That’s why all this “peace talks.” Russian president doesn’t even comment on this.

Posted by: ostrr | Mar 10 2025 12:40 utc | 196

It’s from Bild, so take it with a truckload of salt.

Trump will not resume military aid to Ukraine until Zelensky leaves the presidency (c) Bild

Also

Zelensky’s plane left Poland for Saudi Arabia. There will be another round of negotiations there.

New round of Russia-US talks in Saudi Arabia not planned for this week – Zakharova in connection with information from Western media

Posted by: 5thcolumn | Mar 10 2025 12:44 utc | 197

Exactly. And this is how the European populace, in the mid-term, will wake up from its welfare-induced stupor (its MAGA time) and will send these centrist mediocrities to where they belong: running a small business in some small town, lording over a making miserable a few people instead of whole nations.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 10 2025 10:05 utc | 177
Possible but not a given,their political hold is quite tight. That said mantaining it puts pretty hard limits on any european mobilization effort: major economic sacrifices, enforcing conscription upon the “diverse” population etc. would be highly problematic at least in western Europe.

Posted by: Satepestage | Mar 10 2025 12:45 utc | 198

Alastair Crooke
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F6fW0GkkrJI
“European elites in trouble.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Mar 10 2025 13:00 utc | 199

@ Flying Dutchman | Mar 10 2025 11:39 utc | 189
> TDS elites are preparing their alibi and/or Stab-in-the-Back rallying cry.
If “Trump” and “TDS elites” didn’t exist, TPTB would have to create them. … Growing up, I was told “we won every battle but pulled out of Vietnam” because of our own domestic political problems, like lefties and Watergate. Nothing about fragging, honest morality, or mounting economic damage (that we blame on a subsequent administration). TPTB needed some way to mask the loss and reinforce falling support for future war spending and future wars.
“Biden” also serves as a scapegoat. In his case, for future generations that gravitate towards the other controlled opp party. I suspect that’s why TPTB chose that aging vomit in 2020: to serve as a scapegoat.
And now TPTB are scapegoating Z, Ukr oligarchs, and Europe.
The list keeps growing!

Posted by: I forgot | Mar 10 2025 13:03 utc | 200