Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
March 11, 2025
The Pipeline Raid Of Sudzha

Throughout the war in Ukraine natural gas was still pumped through the Brotherhood (Druzhba) pipeline system from Russia via Ukraine to Hungary and Slovakia.


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At the beginning of the year the government of Ukraine decided to close the connection. It shut off the valves on Ukrainian ground. That event will be marked the end of the Ukrainian incursion into the Kursk region of Russia.

The map shows the Ukrainian held ground in Russia as of January 1 2025. It includes the city of Sudzha and some 20 Russian hamlets and villages.

Situation on January 1 2025

bigger via LiveUAmap

The Brotherhood pipeline system consists of five parallel tubes with a diameter of 1.4 meters (4'8"). These run roughly parallel to the 34k-004 road (H-07 in Ukraine) from Kursk southwest-wards passing north of Sudzah on towards Sumy in Ukraine.

The pipes are buried in the ground. Due to vegetation disturbances the buried pipelines are visible in satellite pictures.

Pipeline bundle (from upper right to lower left) near the exit point of the raid

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Sometime after January 1 the Russian command responsible for the area developed a plan to use the pipeline system to attack the Ukrainian enemy from behind.

Natural gas was drained from one of the pipes of the Brotherhood pipeline system. Oxygen was pumped into it. Some 15 kilometer (~10 miles) north-east of Sudzha, near Bol'shoye Soldatskoye, an access hole was cut into the pipeline. Soldiers were sent into the pipeline to reconnaissance it. But there was still some natural gas and too little oxygen in the pipeline. The first soldiers fainted and had to be rescued. After weeks of work the pipeline was usable as a covered passageway towards Sudzha.

Drawn from five different military units a force of 800 men was assembled and prepared for the mission.

During the first two month of the year the Ukrainian forces had already lost ground on the western side of their incursion area. The general situation had gotten worse after the Russian forces gained fire control via drones over the only larger supply route from Sumy to Sudzha. Videos from that road showed dozens of wreaked and burned out vehicles. But the Ukrainian lines, and Sudzha, were still holding.

Situation on March 1 2025

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In early March Russia commandos entered the pipeline (along the arrow above). They used it to get to the north of the industrial zone of Sudzha, started to cut exit-holes and dug through the ground covering the pipeline. Some 800 soldiers followed and settled down within the pipeline.

On March 8, when the command was given, the Russian commandos exited the pipeline and entered nearby woods. They moved on to blockade the 34k-004 road, crossed it and entered the northern part of the industrial zone of Sudzha. There they could dug in. No larger Ukrainian units were in the immediate area. No one could stop the move.

Exit point and attack route

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Hearing reports on their radios of enemies in their back the Ukrainian soldiers panicked. Every unit north-east and east of Sudzha was cut off from supplies. There was no way to retreat. At the same time the Russian army attacked in the west and north of the Ukrainian held area. Resistance soon collapsed. Those who could retreated to Sudzha did so. From there they tried to move back to Ukraine.

Situation on March 11 2025

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Within one day the Ukrainian held area had shrunk by half. The Russian re-captured and cleared a total of 12 settlements. Current reports say that the Ukrainian forces within Russia are in full retreat along roads under permanent fire. Some will survive.

Meanwhile Russian forces are entering Sudzha.

This operation is a wonderful demonstration of what the Russians call 'Operational Art'. It connects the details of tactics with the goals of the strategy.

The move through the pipeline, behind Ukrainian lines and the cut through major Ukrainian supply lines achieved within days more than months of bloody fighting. The commander of this operation has surely earned some high honors.

Dima of the Military Summary Channel discussed some of the above in yesterday's summary.

A Russian news channel provided an excellent five minute video (with English subtitles) which shows the operation. It includes takes from within the pipeline.

This operation is one for the books.

Comments

From Karlof1’s Geoploitical Gymnasium
Today
Lavrov and OSCE Finally Talk
on the Q & A Lavrov answered a question about peace proposals.
In general, the settlement process has not yet begun. Mr Zelensky publicly declares that he does not want any truce until the Americans give him guarantees that if something happens, they will “bomb” Russia with nuclear weapons. This is how he puts this issue. Therefore, all this is not serious yet. We talked about this today.
There are many proposals to declare a truce and deploy peacekeepers. And then to decide where the boundaries are, how to live further. Peacekeepers are on everyone’s lips now. They are already discussing whether 10 thousand will be enough, or maybe 50 or 100. Australia has already volunteered to join, Canada, of course, where without it. But our question is simple (we talked about it today): what will these peacekeepers protect? The remnants of the Kiev Nazi regime, which adopted a series of laws exterminating Russian culture, language, and the media, and banned the canonical Ukrainian Orthodox Church? Or will we first seek an end to this racist practice by the Kiev regime? This must first be sorted out. Otherwise, it all looks like an attempt to save the remnants of this regime from popular anger through the deployment of peacekeepers.

Posted by: Tundra Tide | Mar 11 2025 20:50 utc | 101

Not many of you understand negotiating or mediating a case.
Posted by: CullenBaker | Mar 11 2025 20:48 utc | 99

Many of us understand that the USA/Ukraine have got bupkis.
Russia will drive on until its interests are satisfied, or until USA/Ukraine gives them satisfaction.

Posted by: too scents | Mar 11 2025 20:52 utc | 102

@98 two scents
It was a while ago presumably still good.
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/putin-offers-cease-fire-if-ukraine-exits-russian-claimed-areas-and-drops-nato-bid-kyiv-calls-proposal-absurd

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Mar 11 2025 20:56 utc | 103

Reportedly bombers in the air and stuff launched to Ukraine again… will Russia send its top negotiator ‘Nick Oresh’ to the negotiation table?

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 11 2025 20:56 utc | 104

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 11 2025 20:56 utc | 104
Rusdia needs to stockpile its oreshniks for NATO. It can hit Ukraine with its more standard equipment.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 20:58 utc | 105

There is no bargain overlap between Russia and the criminal, Nazi Kiev regime.
Therefore, Trump is pissing into the wind. I am highly confident that in May we will still have Dima, Weeb Union, Willy, and DPA giving us daily updates on the latest changes on the LoC.
(90% of what Trump says is BS, the rest is waffling and changing his mind every 5 mins.)

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Mar 11 2025 20:58 utc | 106

The Russians have stated that there will be no cease fire until at the least the Ukrainians remove themselves from all of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson oblasts; which is a no-go with Zelensky.
So the facts on the ground keep getting changed by the Russians, with the Russians already well inside Sudzha (Kursk Cauldron). The Ukrainians are desperately counter-attacking across the whole front to try to keep the line of combat stable during the negotiations, but the Russians are still making gains while destroying the Ukrainian offensive troops and recapturing any lost ground. A good case is that of Toretsk, where like Niu York before it, the Ukrainians were successful with an incursion for a few days but are now being beaten back successfully. Ukraine will have lost yet more men and equipment in the counter-offensive, making it easier for the Russians to advance in the. future.

Posted by: Roger Boyd | Mar 11 2025 20:59 utc | 107

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 20:19 utc | 80
The empire of lies does not change and will not change. Their cries are pro domo propaganda. The hate of Russia, Russians and Poutine is so high that they are stuck within their own lies. It is more than 20 years that they prepared their public opinion to a war with Russia. Meanwhile Russia got ready for a WW3. But the crazy and stupid western elites are not ready, because they do not have the right weapons, and because they are cowards.
So we are back to the last Ukrainian.
The western elites should understand that Russia is currently not waging a war, but only a special military operation. They should be very afraid of a war led by Russia.
But they are crazy and stupid. So be it.

Posted by: Naive | Mar 11 2025 21:01 utc | 108

Trump will go back and get Zelensky to agree to most if not all of that and Zelensky will be allowed to go live with much of his stolen billions and the Euros will cry in the corner.
Posted by: CullenBaker | Mar 11 2025 20:48
Colour me skeptical: the way they are messaging it is basically an ultimatum to Russia.
Watching them raise more money for Ukraine once Biden leftovers dry up will be entertaining if anything else…

Posted by: Satepestage | Mar 11 2025 21:03 utc | 109

Dima says that Ukro army is collapsing.
So, I realize it is going much better for Russia then I thought.
I am panicking too much.

Posted by: vargas | Mar 11 2025 21:03 utc | 110

Ukraine have been raped by tribe oligarcs since 91, as russia was until Putin got rid of the most violent and powerhungry trobal oligarcs, Berezovsky and his gang.
Ukraine was the most corrupt country in europe, and led by these gentlemen.
Kutcma tribe
Yuchenko tribe
Januchovich- russian/ukrainian – Maidaned
Arsenchuk 1 and 2 tribe
Porochenko tribe
Zelinskhy tribe. Supported by this man:
https://www.haaretz.com/2014-10-18/ty-article/.premium/the-most-powerful-jew-in-the-world/0000017f-ea28-d639-af7f-ebffe41b0000
Has anybody seen a tribeleader been applauded 56 times in the US congress?
So are Trump calling the shots?

Posted by: Paul from Norway | Mar 11 2025 21:04 utc | 111

So, according to Dima we have the first massive defeat of Ukrainians.
For me the first good sign in this war.

Posted by: vargas | Mar 11 2025 21:04 utc | 112

Not many of you understand negotiating or mediating a case.
Posted by: CullenBaker | Mar 11 2025 20:48 utc | 99
And another one who does not understand what denazification and demilitarisation mean.
Further not all Russian territory has been liberated.

Posted by: Naive | Mar 11 2025 21:05 utc | 113

dontflayme | Mar 11 2025 19:39 utc | 56–
Part of the prep was to set-up latrines, water and food stations. The operation was planned down to the last possible need. What kept the exit area clear of Ukie troops was the use of FABs on the entire area to depopulate it. Not all 800 were at the spearhead end. The strike force was reported to be 100 soldiers.
A very different Great Escape!
Great report B!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 11 2025 21:05 utc | 114

It was a while ago presumably still good.
Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Mar 11 2025 20:56 utc | 103

From Jun 14, 2024. And with multiple conditions beyond mere territorial claims.
Why do you make such misleading claims as in your post #95? It reflects poorly on you.

Posted by: too scents | Mar 11 2025 21:05 utc | 115

Posted by: vargas | Mar 11 2025 21:03 utc | 110
You are too stupid. Once again.

Posted by: Naive | Mar 11 2025 21:05 utc | 116

Putin will have all the famous commanders assassinated, like he did after 2014 in Novorussia. He is a zionst asset after all, just pretending to save Christianity. The only thing interesting is how Jews can select any race to be born behind. Putin looked somehow blond Russian, but later more and more mongoloid. Strange …

Posted by: Gabriel | Mar 11 2025 21:06 utc | 117

Posted by: vargas | Mar 11 2025 21:04 utc | 112
When will you stop showing how stupid you are? It is worse with everyone of your “comments”.

Posted by: Naive | Mar 11 2025 21:07 utc | 118

Posted by: Gabriel | Mar 11 2025 21:06 utc | 117
Fuck off moron!

Posted by: Naive | Mar 11 2025 21:09 utc | 119

Breaking news
is currently running through the tickers.
“Ukraine supports a 30-day ceasefire”
Will Putin accept it?
And if he does, he has to be careful that nothing is frozen so that there is a REMNANT UKRAINE to arm.
.
And the USA is lifting the stop on arms deliveries with IMMEDIATE EFFECT!
Posted by: berthold | Mar 11 2025 18:19 utc | 11
I highlighted the U turn a week ago. Then the western press will blame Putin when he rejects it. The U turn was always coming.
Andrei Martyanov posted the video..
Here
https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/
Read the comments they are all Brian Berletic fans and know what time of day it is.

Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Mar 11 2025 21:09 utc | 120

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Mar 11 2025 20:58 utc | 106
I forgot the most important one – Anonymous will still be giving his daily territorial gain numbers in May, anybody want to take the other side of that bet?

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Mar 11 2025 21:10 utc | 121

This is beyond incredible. I would go crazy inside such a tube, maybe not even survive from panic – and I’d guess a majority of people would witness the joys of claustrophobia.

Posted by: Tapio | Mar 11 2025 21:12 utc | 122

BS, @120 Scum of ALabama. Trump is a LIAR and you know it!
Nothing of the sort will happen …USA is broke and going out of business. There are no more weapons to send. Besides, even if there were, they’re crap out-of-stock relics. Are you really that stupid to think that Trump is going to go down the “wunderwaffen” road that the senile pants-shitter who he beat did?

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Mar 11 2025 21:12 utc | 123

what i would advice anyone that remains in the eu is to get yourself something to be able to defend yourself and your loved ones with. not against any russian “agression”, but just incase some grey van with a group of masked brave men shows up, like in the ukraine.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Mar 11 2025 21:15 utc | 124

Thanks for the posting b
Reuters has the following up
Russia Ukraine Live: Ukraine agrees to accept US 30-day ceasefire proposal

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said he would now take the offer to the Russians, and that the ball is now in Moscow’s court. The US will also resume sharing intelligence with Kyiv.

So much BS that Rubio knows will be rejected

Posted by: psychohistorian | Mar 11 2025 21:17 utc | 125

Neofeudalfuture @ 103

It was a while ago presumably still good.

Interesting, it was a while ago, maybe he was talking shit, or to the peanut gallery, he might as well, shit is all the west understands at this point, it’ll keep the west busy reading tea leaves while the Russian army marches on.
Without Odessa and Nikolaev the Black Sea fleet will be bottled up in Rostov on Dom for the next few centuries, might as well convert the ships and the subs into tourist attractions. The only way to handle that in a peace agreement is to give the Russia the comprehensive security agreements it asked for from 1997-2022, in some iron clad way. Now why don’t I see that happening?
unimperator @ 94

Another Nato weapon shipment along with the cargo ship just went bada boom in Odessa port.

Can someone explain, I thought under the Montreux Convention, once Turkiye shuts down military traffic through the Bosporus, it becomes their job to inspect ships going in and out for weapons? How come so many great big weapon systems are routinely shipped in?

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 21:17 utc | 126

How can Putin negotiating with the US administration when they change their direction daily?

Posted by: vargas | Mar 11 2025 21:18 utc | 127

https://www.rt.com/news/614046-ukraine-us-ceasefire-proposal/
US resumes intelligence and military aid to Ukraine
Support was unblocked after Kiev agreed to Washington’s idea for an “immediate” 30-day ceasefire with Russia
There is no sense in negotiating.
Only if Putin is mad or a traitor should he negotiate?

Posted by: vargas | Mar 11 2025 21:21 utc | 128

I never thought anything stopped flowing into Ukraine from USA.
Nor did I expect it to.
In fact, I never saw any official proclamation, just “sources say”.
As I said a few times, regardless of what USA says or does, Russia will press on, and ignore any claims of no more ISR or supplies. To take anything NATO says in a war with NATO is folly.
And Zelensky’s defenestration was still a huge win.
And nobody takes a ceasefire plan that only includes one side of the warting parties. Its been done so mamy times in history anybody acting like this will be some kind of geopolitical gotcha on Putin are just hyperventilating.
Next headline, “Putin agrees to negotiations on ceasefire talk”
OMG, PUTINS GONNA SURRENDER
No, he is going to stall on the diplomatic front, just like he has been doing since the Maidan.
The SMO will continue until all objectives are met.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 21:24 utc | 129

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 21:17 utc | 126
Can someone explain, I thought under the Montreux Convention, once Turkiye shuts down military traffic through the Bosporus, it becomes their job to inspect ships going in and out for weapons? How come so many great big weapon systems are routinely shipped in?
Do you think that there would be no zionist in the turkish elite- when they are everwhere else. Tribal oligarc’s and the elite are allways protecting each other. Look up the “turkish” Genozider of Armenia, Talaat Pasha he did what is being done in Gaza, WestBank and Syria now. Same tribe.
Thanks b- great stuff

Posted by: Paul from Norway | Mar 11 2025 21:24 utc | 130

Can someone explain, I thought under the Montreux Convention, once Turkiye shuts down military traffic through the Bosporus, it becomes their job to inspect ships going in and out for weapons? How come so many great big weapon systems are routinely shipped in?

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 21:17 utc | 126
Fairly straightforward, civilian vessels (especially those registered to Black Sea littoral states) pass through the Bosporus either empty or carrying legit civilian cargo, head towards a port inside the Black Sea (likely Romanian), load up with weapons that have been airlifted, shipped overland or even floated down the Danube, then head towards Odessa.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Mar 11 2025 21:28 utc | 131

And the USA is lifting the stop on arms deliveries with IMMEDIATE EFFECT!
“If Russia refuses the freeze the war will continue.”
Trumpian Phoneyfarts words not mine.
But I thought the rabid right wingers on here told everybody Trumpian Phoneyfart wanted to stop the war and leave NATO and Europe ?
The truth is If this was Israel everybody would tell the truth. They continue to give arms to Israel everybody would be on the same page and highlighting this grifter for what he is.
But with Russia the rabid right wingers can’t see anything due to having Trumps baws in their mouths.
The fun is going to be watching the Duran boys, Ritter, Larry and the Judge trying to walk it all back.
If Putin accepts this offer which is what the Biden administration wanted with bells and whistles attached.
The Duran boys, Ritter, Larry and the Judge whilst trying to walk it all back. Will need to rely on George Orwell’s group speak to try and get out of the hole they have dug for themselves. That’s what happens when you jump into bed with a charlitan like Trump.
They’ll try and convince people this is a good deal if Putin accepts it.

Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Mar 11 2025 21:31 utc | 132

Are you really that stupid to think that Trump is going to go down the “wunderwaffen” road that the senile pants-shitter who he beat did?
Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Mar 11 2025 21:12 utc | 123
As things stand, why not?
47 has pissed off Ukraine supporters only to go back to support Ukraine.
Business as usual but with fireworks seems a reasonably likely outcome.

Posted by: Satepestage | Mar 11 2025 21:33 utc | 133

I think by starting to rearm Ukraine Trump made a huge mistake.
I do not understand how can they be so stupid.
How can Russia ever trust them?
A am not the brightest one, but US administration is just stupid.

Posted by: vargas | Mar 11 2025 21:34 utc | 134

To travel inside a tube 1,4 m high for 15 km has nothing similar in history, sentiment or not.
Posted by: Naive | Mar 11 2025 20:00 utc | 68

There were similar (though not quite so large as this one in length) during WW1, most notably the Vimy Ridge, where competitive mining and underground fighting occurred. Eventually, the Brits dug under the German position and built enormous explosive charges…
I’ve been there – most of the ride is roped off due to the amount of unexploded ordinance and bullet cases and lead shot (presumably from shells) are still lying around on the surface.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Mar 11 2025 21:35 utc | 135

They’ll try and convince people this is a good deal if Putin accepts it.
Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Mar 11 2025 21:31 utc | 132
Not gonna happen.
Always shit tier trolling when people make shit predictions, then shittier predictions about how others will react to those shit predictions, and then try to demonize those people based on their own shit predictions of their reactions to their shit predictions.
Also, there will be no war with China under Trump.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 21:36 utc | 136

Russia will keep on squeezing, undeterred.
Rightly so.

Posted by: g wiltek | Mar 11 2025 21:36 utc | 137

Jeremy Rhymings-Lang @ 131
Makes sense, I was wondering why Russia wasn’t calling out Turkiye for violating the Convention. But now I have another question, instead of all the loading and unloading probably in sight of Russian satellites and spies, why not just keep moving the weapons on land from Romania to Ukraine, maybe they just haven’t adapted to all the Russian missile strikes yet.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 21:38 utc | 138

Many of us understand that the USA/Ukraine have got bupkis.
Russia will drive on until its interests are satisfied, or until USA/Ukraine gives them satisfaction.
—————————
Did you miss the part where I said Trump would go back and force Ukraine to submit to most, if not all of what Russia wanted for a ceasefire. Obviously you were too busy making your “Well akshully” incel point to notice.
This isn’t hard. Trump doesn’t give a fuck about Ukraine. He simply wants the war over. He is very happy to strong arm them into a settlement and move on to the next item on the agenda.
As for Russia a settlement with 99% of what they want is better than outright victory. Victory has responsibilities settlements don’t and creates resentments that settlements don’t. And not even Putin wants to explain to Russian mothers why their sons were killed fighting six months after a peace could have been negotiated that would have been substantially the same as victory.
Russia has won. Everyone knows that. They just need to be careful and not fuck up their victory.

Posted by: CullenBaker | Mar 11 2025 21:39 utc | 139

Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Mar 11 2025 21:31 utc | 132
You are a concern troll and I claim my 5lb of .993 sterling silver, as promised to me by the Chief Cashier of the Bank of England; I even have a signed IOU from him…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Mar 11 2025 21:39 utc | 140

@115 too scents
I just assume a higher degree of awareness here. I hate long posts too, brevity is the soul of wit. I feel it’s enough to get my two cents in without trying to write an essay.

Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Mar 11 2025 21:40 utc | 141

Here
https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/
Read the comments they are all Brian Berletic fans and know what time of day it is.
Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Mar 11 2025 21:09 utc | 120

Excellent.
It is all for the show with the methods of crooks and gangsters. Fucking liars.

Posted by: Naive | Mar 11 2025 21:43 utc | 142

The system must be overloaded as my comment refuses to post.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 11 2025 21:44 utc | 143

On the doings in Riyadh, Zelensky prostrated himself, licked the boot and said what he needed to get Trump back on-side. What didn’t happen was more important–no agreement on the need for elections so negotiations can commence. Elections are a prerequisite for any ceasefire, although there are other points needing to be solved too. The big one as Lavrov has mentioned many times since the first meeting is the need to resume relations, which has hundreds of assorted small details that must be satisfied. So far on that front, there are no complaints. My cue from Lavrov is that process will consume most of March.
Here’s Lavrov from his interview yesterday, “Lavrov: Outlaw US Empire Relations Still Tenuous”:

Sergey Lavrov: I would not like to get too far ahead. As President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly said, we are always ready for talks. But at the same time, our national interests must be guaranteed. The root causes of the conflict in Ukraine must be eradicated, as the head of state emphasized in his telephone conversation with US President Donald Trump on February 12. Let me remind you that we are primarily talking about the need to eliminate threats to Russia’s security from the Ukrainian and western directions as a whole, which have arisen as a result of NATO’s eastward expansion, as well as the need to stop the Kiev regime’s practice of exterminating everything that is in one way or another connected with Russia and the Russian world – the Russian language, culture, canonical Orthodoxy and the Russian-language media.
It is too early to draw far-reaching conclusions, but what we have heard so far from representatives of the Trump administration is generally encouraging. [My Emphasis]

I see no official response to any of today’s outcomes in Riyadh. As I recall, Putin’s position was a ceasefire will only occur once the negotiations have reached their conclusion and Russia’s security issues are satisfied.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 11 2025 21:45 utc | 144

vargas @ 134

I think by starting to rearm Ukraine Trump made a huge mistake. I do not understand how can they be so stupid.
How can Russia ever trust them? A am not the brightest one, but US administration is just stupid.

Trump never stopped ISR and weapons transfer to Ukraine, so he never restarted it, so you can relax.
Next step on your journey to wisdom is to learn to separate fact from fiction. A clue, in today’s world, even more so in Trumpland, it’s 90% fiction so you can’t go very wrong choosing fiction.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 21:45 utc | 145

Posted by: Naive | Mar 11 2025 21:43 utc | 142
I thought Berletics big deal was “division of labor” and trump is only “pulling away from Ukraine to focus on China, and let Europe take on Ukraine”
Now if USA continues in status quo, Berletic comes out wrong.
Which I think he is. And as I have said before, I like Berletic, and watched him alot a couple years ago when i wasted more time on youtube predictors.
But Berletic is wrong about USA war with China. If you look at USA culture, manufacturing of consent starts at least five years before actual blatant war propaganda, and in culture, (fiction movies and tv), china is not being demonized, it is still Rusdoans and Muslims, and most of all, straight white males.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 21:49 utc | 146

I have to second CullenBaker: The sales technique is called “getting to the first yes”: ie the auto salesman said “if you could get the GT performance package but for $300/month less, you’d do that?” “sure”. And now the psychological bridge from “not gonna happen” to “might happen shifts”. I think the trendy term is the Overton Window.
Zelensky went from no cease fire and no talks to agreeing to both in principle/should a series of highly unlikely events occur.
Seriously not literally, you can’t act like each round of cards is the end of the game.
I hope this finds you well

Posted by: ockham | Mar 11 2025 21:50 utc | 147

@ LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 21:38 utc | 138
Depends how much has to be moved. Even 2,000 tonnes isn’t a lot in the grand scheme of military logistics, so the choice is between putting it all into one coastal freighter or finding 100 trucks of 40t GLW/20t payload, needing 100+ drivers (depending on schedule length), maintenance fitters, fuel etc, plus the risk of punctures or other breakdowns upsetting the convoy.
It surprises people just how many trucks-worth of kit one coastal tramper can carry.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Mar 11 2025 21:51 utc | 148

If my memory serves me correctly, there has already been a similar action in this SMO.
Russian soldiers went through evacuation pipes to surprise Ukrainian forces.
I can’t remember the place or the date, but I know that b himself and karlof commented on it.
Maybe karlof1 can find the incident for us?

Posted by: Sebgo | Mar 11 2025 21:55 utc | 149

Posted by: CullenBaker | Mar 11 2025 20:26 utc | 85
But it was important to make Ukraine bend the knee and agree to/ask for one.

But they didn’t bend the knee. They attacked civilians with hundreds of drones, largest ever such attack, making it much more difficult for Russia to consider any ceasefire, of which there was slim chance anyway.
So any of two choices: Door Number 1 ukrops sent the drones behind the back of Trump to derail his ceasefire initiative, or Door Number 2 it is all a ruse and Trump is not negotiating in good faith instead seeking an excuse to blame Russia for the failure of his initiative.
I’m inclined to pick (1): Trump is being played by ukrops.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 11 2025 21:55 utc | 150

You think they’re gonna grab that tiger by the tail?
I think they’re losing their grip.
Posted by: too scents | Mar 11 2025 20:38 utc | 93
I do for two reasons. The first one is that the election was stage managed and clearly thrown by the Democrats suggesting that Trump is in place for a significant reason. The second is that they have no choice: it’s completely unfeasible to continue this level of deficit spending indefinitely without serious consequences. I expect to see mass looting on the scale of the USSR break up with American Oligarchs exchanging their printed billions for assets currently owned by the federal government before a Great Depression financial collapse.They will also have to default on their external debt.
All the signals from the administration are pointing to a new monetary system and, unfortunately, using nuclear weapons on Iran.

Posted by: SB | Mar 11 2025 21:55 utc | 151

UWDude @ 146
China is building three nuclear submarines a year, that’s one every four months, and equipping them, quite the effort for a country that otherwise doesn’t seem focused on white elephants. Seems to me, the ones that really matter in all this, the Chinese, don’t agree with you.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 21:56 utc | 152

Posted by: Sebgo | Mar 11 2025 21:55 utc | 149
Avdiivka.
Went through a frozen water pipe. Spent weeks with blow torches melting the ice. Just as Amazing.
There was another pipe surprise, a couole months after, but smaller scale.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 21:57 utc | 153

Looks like Sudzha is to all intents and purposes liberated, that happened fast! The Russians need to build on this momentum and not let the Ukrainians regroup – onwards to Sumy!

Posted by: Roger Boyd | Mar 11 2025 21:57 utc | 154

China is building three nuclear submarines a year, that’s one every four months, and equipping them, quite the effort for a country that otherwise doesn’t seem focused on white elephants. Seems to me, the ones that really matter in all this, the Chinese, don’t agree with you.
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 21:56 utc | 152
Non-Sequitor
By your logic, USA should be pumping out ships too, getting ready for the big naval war they are going to start.
China is just getting some gainz so it wont be pushed around so much anymore. And it is always good to have a strong military, as USA or even Russian or Indian leadership can flip one day, unlikely, but netter to be prepared than unprepared.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 22:01 utc | 155

Posted by: vargas | Mar 11 2025 21:21 utc | 128
Trump’s come good with the first part of the deal, allowing Russia to recover sovereign territory in Kursk, why should Putin not trust him again? Or did you think the intel cut off wasn’t part of the sequential conditions for a lasting peace treaty, which is quietly being discussed between the US and Russia, whilst the world’s press is focused on the discussions in SA?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xNSgmm9FX2s
Did you see the Bear? Be honest! Same principle as to what’s happening now, using the 24/7 interweb coverage as the perfect tool for misdirection and leveraging ego-driven analysis.

Posted by: Milites | Mar 11 2025 22:04 utc | 156

china is not being demonized, i
UWDude | Mar 11 2025 21:49 utc | 146
You must be living under a rock the size of Uluru to post that nonsense.

Posted by: Melaleuca | Mar 11 2025 22:05 utc | 157

Posted by: Milites | Mar 11 2025 22:04 utc | 156
I could not believe my eyes the first time I watched thatany years ago. I dont even have to click the link to know what video that is.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 22:06 utc | 158

LightYearsFromHome @ 87:
Thanks, I stand corrected.
Operation Potok involved soldiers from several units, one of which is the Akhmat unit and Lieutenant General Apti Alaudinov is the head of that unit.
Soldiers from the Russian Naval Infantry (the Russian marines) also participated in Operation Potok.

Posted by: Refinnejenna | Mar 11 2025 22:09 utc | 159

Did you miss the part where I said Trump would go back and force Ukraine to submit to most, if not all of what Russia wanted for a ceasefire. Obviously you were too busy making your “Well akshully” incel point to notice.
Posted by: CullenBaker | Mar 11 2025 21:39 utc | 139
Do you see Ukraine and its backers giving up Kherson without being ejected from it for example? Or accepting strong arms controls?
As things stand the gap between bare minimum russian victory conditions and what anybody of consequence in the West but Trump might be willing to concede in the short term is still canyon wide.

Posted by: Satepestage | Mar 11 2025 22:10 utc | 160

Posted by: Melaleuca | Mar 11 2025 22:05 utc | 157
name some movies or television shows where the evil characters are chinese, or chinese-ish Asians.
This is not about cable news show punditry, that is not where consent is manufactured. That is where is is congealed. To get broad support, the culture needs to be massaged for it first. That takes time and suntle propaganda infused into their non-political entertainment. I noticed it on the late 90’s, as more and more movies and shows had terrorist muslims, so much so that Muslim watchdog groups began to sound the alarm.
Only 5 – 10% of Americans even watch cable news, and then foreign policy is far from most of their minds, as most of them care about the domestic outrage du jour than anything else.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 22:12 utc | 161

Humor/fantasy.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lv30CRlJ5ug

Posted by: Npins | Mar 11 2025 22:14 utc | 162

Posted by: CullenBaker | Mar 11 2025 21:39 utc | 139
This isn’t hard. Trump doesn’t give a fuck about Ukraine.

For not giving a fuck about the Ukraines, he certainly is trying very hard to get his way. How much time is he spending on this shit, how many people of his team embroiled in these tasks?

Russia has won. Everyone knows that. They just need to be careful and not fuck up their victory.

The winner chooses the manner of his winning and it looks like the winner prefers some bigger winning. Anyways, why the fuck is that war between former commies unleashed by the incompetence of American and European liberals any concern for the current admin? Just walk the fuck away and leave it to go to its ultimate conclusion.

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 11 2025 22:14 utc | 163

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 21:49 utc | 146
I try not to make predictions as they are way too often wrong. It is enough to analyse the current situation. For instance the economies of Germany, France and England are crumbling. And it is enough tp make me happy. I would be happier if the people will revolt, but they are anesthetized, netflixed, smartphoned, fucked… and they like it. In the majority. Totally unable to organise themselves to change anything.

Posted by: Naive | Mar 11 2025 22:15 utc | 164

To the johnny-come-later know it alls who think they could plan this better then the “stupid” Russians…..
As ever, Karl is correct. All logistics – all- transporting, storing food, water, and disposing poop, all thought thru and prepped, in weeks of planning.

interview with former senior Wagner commander “Zombie”.
-operation planning alone took 3 weeks
-pipe is 15km long
-pumped out the gas, pumped the oxygen in
-made a special holes in a pipe along the way for aeration
-loaded a special points(warehouses) along the pipe with water, food, “toilets”, ammo,
This preparaton took another 3 weeks
-over 4 days before operation start 800 soldiers, in small groups, gradually moved into the pipe
-after operation start they swiftly took industrial area in Sudja(south area in map) and later village at north part of map.
-this caused panic among hohols which led to collapse of the front next day
“>https://files.catbox.moe/bm9tpo.mp4

Posted by: Melaleuca | Mar 11 2025 22:17 utc | 165

Just walk the fuck away and leave it to go to its ultimate conclusion.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 11 2025 22:14 utc | 163
It teally is never that easy.
There was once a great youtube vodeo on “Power”, that broke down the idealistic illusions of power, and showed what power is really like.
I think many here offering fanciful quick fixes should find it and watch it.
And rule #1 of power is, you cant do anything about anything if you are not in.power, so your first objective is maintaining your power.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 22:17 utc | 166

Tapio@122…..the majority if not all of those men would be volunteers, all modern Professional Army’s ask for volunteers first, especially on extremely dangerous life threatening missions. Most would be Jr and Sr NCOs, maybe a few officers mixed in. The fact that the first unit listed that I seen at least, was the Chechen Leprechauns, short stocky fellows, capable of great feats of strength and daring….. especially under enemy fire.
Cheers M
…..I have seen the mythical 800, I doubt it was more than 100 well trained commandos…..800 would be a logistical nightmare, and if they were detected and engaged in that quantity…..well, bit of a PR disaster, as bad a Ukie getting caught again with their panties down……kudos to the planners….

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Mar 11 2025 22:18 utc | 167

It was much smarter to use carts and electric scoters with small seats to advance. next time, maybe the generals will read this comment.
Posted by: Gabriel | Mar 11 2025 20:10 utc | 74

They did use electric carts:
Stormtrooper tells how the paratroopers passed through the gas pipe into AFU’s rear (RIA Novosti, March 11, 2025 — in Russian)

Posted by: S | Mar 11 2025 22:20 utc | 169

Posted by: UWDude @ 161
There’s a flood of Chinese leaving the USA for China, some have been there for decades, there’s even a name for them, sea turtles, ie, they return to the land where they hatched. The Chinese in the west don’t seen to be feeling the love.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 22:20 utc | 170

Posted by: Melaleuca | Mar 11 2025 22:17 utc | 165
It’s also proof that Russians are planning and carrying out their strategies, and that Kursk was to be recaptured in March 2025, and that plan set and implemented months ago, AND of course, it had nothing to do with supposed USA withdrawal of ISR or equipment.
Right now, Russia is setting the ground work for other victories and surprised, and all this talk of ceasefire and negotiations will not change that one bit.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 22:22 utc | 171

Posted by: Milites | Mar 11 2025 22:04 utc | 156
I am not sure any sort of mutually satysfing deal can be worked out at this stage. Bear in mind Russia actually needs quite a lot as a bare minimum and Trump cannot committ a democratic successor to respect any concession made.

Posted by: Satepestage | Mar 11 2025 22:23 utc | 172

Interesting times !
How to take the fight to the even dumber enemy of country 404.. In the smart way. :O lol
Here in the West. Due to the poor habits of all Western based war reporters. The idiots have made us numb to the mass civilian and non combatants by the US military armed forces. By literally carpet bombing everything in their path to mass destruction post WW2.
The late George Orwell did warn us in 1949. All Western Media and governments will tell lies and propaganda unchecked.

Posted by: BadDealMotorsOn | Mar 11 2025 22:27 utc | 173

There’s a flood of Chinese leaving the USA for China, some have been there for decades, there’s even a name for them, sea turtles, ie, they return to the land where they hatched. The Chinese in the west don’t seen to be feeling the love.
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 22:20 utc | 170
Another non-sequitor. Some Chinese are returning because China is quickly becoming the better place to live, not because they are feeling some kind of war is on the horizon.
I could use my own non sequitor, the “lay flat” movement is necause chinese dont think there is a ything to worry about.
I told you to tell me where in pop-culture Chinese are demonized like Muslims, Russians, or straight white males, and you come at me with some serious BULLSHIT.
Even online, in the political commentariat; on the right, China is a distant third on lists of enemies, second to “libruls” and Mooslims.
on the left, China is not even on the radar. Go look on reddit or skyblu, and finde a single trending article about evil China.
Manufacturing consent requires a low level, demonization campaign that appeals to left and right audiences, and that simply is not happening.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 22:30 utc | 174

Melaleuca | Mar 11 2025 22:17 utc | 165–
Thanks for finding that. That’s the source I saw earlier, yesterday. I see that some of the assault force has already been rotated out and have talked to media. What infantry now need to do is mimic the pipe as they move above ground–portable shelters that are FPV-proof. I’ve seen far too many troops blown up by a grenade dropped from an FPV that such a shelter would’ve negated. Back in the day, those pushing the massive siege engine to break down city gates covered themselves with their shields for protection. Something light and very strong like kevlar stretched over an aluminum or pvc frame with an attached EW device.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 11 2025 22:39 utc | 175

Modern war, each world war gets worse by an order of magnitude, I need to move off of the cursed Eurasian continent:

The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense plans to purchase 4.5 million drones in 2025. This is 2.5 times more than they purchased in 2024. If in 2024 the enemy had 5.5 thousand drones on each day of combat, then in 2025 it will have 12.3 thousand drones for each day of combat.
“>https://t.me/two_majors/45250

Seems drones has replaced artillery, the heavy use of it by the Russians after the Kherson pullback saved their ass, another debt they owe to their wise soviet ancestors who stockpiled a mountain of it, but I think it was the last hurray for artillery.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 22:39 utc | 176

The AFU attack in and around Toretsk has been turned into a major ambush. This was another gamble using best assets Zelensky/Syrsky lost.

Bloodbath: The Enemy Launched a Three-Sided Assault on Dzerzhinsk—But the 150th Division Was Waiting 🔞
▪️ Ukrainian forces attacked Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk) from three directions, attempting to seize the city. However, thanks to the skillful and coordinated actions of Russian troops, the assault turned into a massacre for the AFU.
▪️ As the attack was repelled, enemy infantry units aboard NATO armored vehicles—including MaxxPro MRAPs, M-113s, and Kozak APCs—were swiftly detected and destroyed. FPV drone operators, Lancet UAVs, the 381st Artillery Regiment, as well as the 102nd, 103rd, and 163rd artillery regiments, together with the 174th Recon Battalion of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division, unleashed devastating firepower on enemy forces at the city’s outskirts.
▪️ As a result, the AFU counterattack was completely thwarted, with heavy losses in personnel and up to seven armored vehicles destroyed.
▪️ This section of the front has become a graveyard of shattered hopes for the Ukrainian occupation forces.
-RVvoenkor
https://x.com/Zlatti_71/status/1899496303123673498

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 11 2025 22:39 utc | 177

“Only 5 – 10% of Americans even watch cable news, and then foreign policy is far from most of their minds, as most of them care about the domestic outrage du jour than anything else.
Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 22:12 utc | 161”
Spot on. War is a complete abstract to everybody except Veterans and their families. Everyone lives in their little echo chamber. Nowadays no controversial issues are discussed. People have their goals and discussing controversial issues is considered self sabotage. The youth with angst are fed the appropriate issues to get worked up about based on a spoon fed version of heros and villains and of course what gets them laid. I would maybe 1-2% of the public understand The USAs role in the maidan or even what the Maidan happened. Most just take it at face value. Putin is a brutal dictator who invaded poor Ukraine for conquest. I would guess he percentage of Americans who have ever heard Putin speak at under 1%. Its sort of regarded as quasi wrong/wierd like having a hidden copy of mein kampf or the like. There is very little difference between how Putin is Regarded and how Hitler is regarded and the supreme irony of that is lost on most also.
The sole consideration seems to be a understanding that Russia is a Christian nation. The liberals largly view this as another item of suspicion. The MAGA grudgingly regard it as a plus to the degree that they are able to go against team affiliation. Everyone still thinks Russia is communist. That the soviet union ended is not widely understood or is understood only as a minor item. The ability to have a opinion about what is a communist nation and a compare and contrast of present day Russia and the USA is not present. Once again this sort of discussion falls into the “self sabotage” category if the capacity is actually present. Ditto for any analysis of present Russian military capabilities that infer that USA is anything other than “top gun”. Most think that its still a shock and awe world.

Posted by: Npins | Mar 11 2025 22:40 utc | 178

but I think it was the last hurray for artillery.
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 22:39 utc | 176
Depends on the type of war being fought, and howuch care is taken in not breaking the spoils.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 22:41 utc | 179

New speak [2025] definition of ceasefire:
One side has agreed to sign a contract they wrote!

Posted by: Melaleuca | Mar 11 2025 22:43 utc | 180

“U.S. to resume military intel to Ukraine as Kiev says it’s open to a ceasefire”—-so spouts the nytimes in its above-the-fold Tuesday evening headline.
Obviously, DJT has assumed ownership of this campaign, so here we go.
It is clear to us that the U.S.’s military intel constituted a very minor role in recent events in Kursk, for instance: the momentum there was already hard-baked into the equation.
Disappointingly, though, we see DJT jump into the echo chamber w/ other EU partners and put the pressure on Moscow to accept the truce or ceasefire as described in Jeddah, allowing everything to hang breathlessly on the decision—yea or nay—on whether Russia assents.
It is weak sauce.
Russia is winning.
The U.S., a co-belligerent, although undeclared, is in no position to dictate terms or to direct them. In fact, the U.S., as an undeclared co-belligerent, has also lost this war. The loser does not dictate terms.
An additional ‘W’ for Russia, however, has been the onset of diplomacy w/ the U.S. after 3 years of no meaningful contact whatsoever, so it is of course important to factor this in to the negotiations going forward—but not to the extent that Russia makes critical concessions.
It would be good to keep the dialogue moving forward, staying in touch w/ U.S. “partners” and to spin things forward. Meanwhile, Russia stays the course.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | Mar 11 2025 22:44 utc | 181

karlof1 @ 175
It’s not just the shrapnel, it’s the shock wave if it’s close enough, I think that’s why you no longer see the kevlar capes that had briefly appeared. It’s an ugly future, the space around you mined in three dimensions. Maybe drones will make war too hard to execute. But then the political warmongers and military types will get blue balls and start launching nukes for their wargasms.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 22:46 utc | 182

▪️ This section of the front has become a graveyard of shattered hopes for the Ukrainian occupation forces.
-RVvoenkor
Posted by: unimperator | Mar 11 2025 22:39 utc | 177
This right here is a reason a lot of intelligent Russians are against the war.
If Russia were more honest in their wording, the dullards would not support, so they use terms like calling Ukrainians “occupation army”, thos brongs aboard the midwits and dullards, nut alienates a lot of the intelligent, who feel lied to.
Russians should just drop the propaganda terms altogether, and try to report the war in a passive tone.
It is fine to do so, because they are winning and will win, AND, unlike Americans, geopolitics and understanding of the world is part of Russian Culture.
Only Russia could have a writer like Dugin be popular.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 22:50 utc | 183

Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Mar 11 2025 22:14 utc | 163
too many promises and money spent since 1991
would be hard to drop all that (especially germany)

Posted by: Macpott | Mar 11 2025 22:51 utc | 184

Kremlin Crushes Ceasefire Lies: Russia Will Dictate Peace on Its Terms
“There is a lot of incorrect information in Western media now, a lot of rumors that do not correspond to reality.” – Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov
The latest Western media psyop? Peddling the fantasy that Moscow is somehow agreeable to a six-month truce. Peskov didn’t just deny it, he eviscerated it, as disinformation. Russia has never spoken of a temporary ceasefire. The only precondition for ending this war? A permanent, enforceable peace, on Moscow’s terms.
The West, exhausted and humiliated, is now scrambling to manufacture an off-ramp that makes it seem like Ukraine still has a say. But let’s be clear: the battlefield is dictating the outcome, and Russia has already won. The only ones talking about a “truce” are the same Anglo-American operatives who spent two years funding this bloodbath, now desperate to save face.
This is what collapse looks like. Washington is forcing Kiev to swallow reality, massive territorial concessions, political restructuring, and the slow dismantling of the Bandera regime. The question isn’t whether Ukraine will surrender; it’s how long it takes before they accept the inevitable.

https://t.me/European_dissident/66697

Posted by: Norwegian | Mar 11 2025 22:52 utc | 185

“There’s a flood of Chinese leaving the USA “, the time came for unrelated news, so I will latch to themes related to water and Far East: “Kawasaki Heavy Industries deliver $470 M submarine to Japanese navy”, part of the program to build 8 such by 2030 (this one is 2nd, construction lasted 3 years). Given the drop of exchange rate of yen, this is perhaps like 600 M, so the entire program will cost 5 billion. Are those Japanese insane?
Australians, with their program of ca. 5 boats for 250 billion USD (350 Australian dollars) showed how to think big and strategically. Something Japanese are unable to do. As any reader of Wuxia novels knows, one super-weapon is worth a gazillion of inferior ones, so well read Australians chose wisely. Would China ever pose a threat, Australian leviathans will lay waste from Nankin to Chongjin, smashing 3 gorges dam on the way (at least, this is what I imagine based on the price tag). In the meantime, Japan will be able to defend Senkoku islands.

Posted by: Piotr Berman | Mar 11 2025 22:52 utc | 186

Gabriel #74
Couldn’t agree more with your idea. To expand it, consider a train with a batt power tractor on either end and 100 carts between. Probably transport 150 soldiers per 15 km trip, Estimate round trip six hours, so four trips a day. Includes supplies, can remove the odd mentally overstressed soldier, also remove urine/feces. Probably a quieter option than soldiers walking. Allows heavier and more plentiful ammunition supply.
This maneuver deserves an absolute “hat’s off” respect to the Rus soldiers. Likewise to the staff people who thought it up.
JPS

Posted by: JP | Mar 11 2025 22:54 utc | 187

Here’re Dr. Doctorow’s thoughts:
“Dear Messrs Trump and Rubio: please note that your cutoff of this or that to Ukraine plays no role in the steady and accelerating advance of Russian troops. Do what you will now to ‘punish’ Russia and you will neither stop them nor even slow them down. You only will gamble away the chance for a global settlement with Russia on decent terms for the USA in its plans for a new world order.
“The Ukrainians are not capable of negotiating an end to the war on loser’s terms. The consequence can only be their complete destruction, as Trump himself has foretold.” [My Emphasis]
Cold, bloodless, matter-of-fact. Like a movie shown to an empty house. The only people impressed by that outcome in Saudi Arabia today were the participants.

Posted by: karlof1 | Mar 11 2025 22:54 utc | 188

Posted by: vargas | Mar 11 2025 21:18 utc | 127
Great comment. You’re being unfairly picked on by some posters. Brevity is your superpower.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Mar 11 2025 22:56 utc | 189

Pipe dream… after months of occupation in Kursk , we got to this pipe genius ideea…………….pffffssssss

Posted by: Innuendo | Mar 11 2025 22:57 utc | 190

“If the Russians say no,” Sec Rubio stated in regard to the 30-day ceasefire—“we will know what the impediment is here.“
Uttered scoldingly, as if the U.S.—a co-belligerent on the *losing* side of this war—has *cards* to play. The only cards the U.S. can play have to do w/ military aid & intel—and also in the sphere of public opinion, by which I mean public opinion (Regime Media) in the West: if Russia accepts the terms of the Jeddah ceasefire it will be seen as a team player. If not, it will be seen as, to use Sec Rubio’s term, “an impediment.”
If U.S. military aid and intel had been able to turn the tide of the conflict, which tilts decisively toward Russia, it would have happened long before now. If the narratives of Regime Media had mattered a damn before now, then Russia would already have been defeated.
Strangely, the U.S.—-a co-belligerent who lost this war—-believes it can A) moderate the end to the war and B) dictate terms.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | Mar 11 2025 22:57 utc | 191

I don’t think Stalin would be proud of this after 7 months of occupation.

Posted by: Innuendo | Mar 11 2025 22:59 utc | 192

Melaleuca @ 180

New speak [2025] definition of ceasefire: One side has agreed to sign a contract they wrote!

I wonder if it was always this way, so utterly insulting and over achingly stupid. You see footage of Hitler and Mussolini posing and gesticulating and you think so, I’m sure living in Japan in the 1930s must have been a real mind fuck, but probably UK and USA were little better with the nonsense, having learned more though the years Churchill seems only a few grams of grey matter above Boris Johnson. My mother lived deep in the bowls of fascism and WW2, A-Z, soup to nuts, the whole shebang of the human condition, if she was around I’d ask her if it was always this stupid. Somehow, in the west, I think we are breaking new ground.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 23:01 utc | 193

“I think it was the last hurray for artillery.
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Mar 11 2025 22:39 utc | 176”
Militarys would be dropping everything to create stockpiles of drones except everyone is waiting for AI so this EW and fiber optic nonsense can be eliminated. Then its sheer killfest. That things change so quickly is understood. Flexibility to innovate and quickly bring to production ever evolving kill capability is more valuable than large stocks of yesterdays models. War will be a different thing when the AI shoe drops. Its truly the race to destruction of our time.
The breakthrough will be when you can ask AI how to best use AI to create military capability.
Who wins the race? Not sure. China has a good shot. High end semiconductor is a area where they dont have complete dominance. Its a area where qualitative degree is still relevant and cost so minor as to be less relevent. Things will change when AI becomes the focus of militarys.

Posted by: Npins | Mar 11 2025 23:02 utc | 194

I don’t think Stalin would be proud of this after 7 months of occupation.
Posted by: Innuendo | Mar 11 2025 22:59 utc | 192
cool story, bro.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 23:02 utc | 195

The popping of the financial asset bubble that the USA clearly intends to enact is so obvious that markets are beginning to crash earlier than scheduled. More war will take attention away from the evaporation of wealth.
Posted by: SB | Mar 11 2025 20:12 utc | 76

There appears to be a method behind the madness of the Trump Trade/Tariff gambit.
A recession is a guaranteed outcome, which will;
a) reduce asset prices dramatically
b) require the Fed to lower rates to almost zero again
c) require more QE.
The US Global Mega-cap vultures, Blackrock, Vanguard, KKR, Brookfield (US, say thanks to Canada), etc., will use the recession and newly printed cheap money to buy key strategic assets at discount prices.
Subsequent inflation will reduce the cost of repaying the debt and there will be tons of free cash flow to line the pockets of investors.
The wash, rinse, spin, dry, repeat cycle of hyper-financialization. Trump is doing his bit to help out.

Posted by: Fool Me Twice | Mar 11 2025 23:02 utc | 196

Harry 5 | Mar 11 2025 19:26 utc | 49
*** Reports on Telegram of British and US regulars and Intel types caught behind the new lines.
So serious is the situation that Trump has resumed arms and intel to Ukraine to enable them to get out.
We shall see…….***
So-called “ceasefire” proposed so Kiev can rescue and re-use their own trapped forces (including the Aidar regiment) and for US/EU/UK to re-supply the Ukrainian / NATO forces in general.
Just how glaringly obvious can it get?
If the Kremlin agrees to even a shred of the crap that Trump is pimping, it would confirm the worst fears about Putin and his far too Atlanticist/WEF orientated gang.

Posted by: Cynic | Mar 11 2025 23:03 utc | 197

@Posted by: Innuendo | Mar 11 2025 22:59 utc | 192
In January 1942 (seven months after the start of Barbarossa) the Germans were at the gates of Moscow and the Soviets were yet to have their first victory! At least Putin attacked before the enemy were able to launch their own operation (the Ukie invasion of the Donbass planned for early 2022).

Posted by: Roger Boyd | Mar 11 2025 23:05 utc | 198

The breakthrough will be when you can ask AI how to best use AI to create military capability.
Posted by: Npins | Mar 11 2025 23:02 utc | 194
The breakthrough will be when AI is used to destroy enemy AI. Then AI will become untrustworthy, and relying on it exposing your entire campaign to a strategic ambush set by an enemy AI.

Posted by: UWDude | Mar 11 2025 23:05 utc | 199

Let’s be candid & frank: Russian Forces just collapsed the Kursk Incursion on a world-beating gadget trick by using a 16km-long pipeline.
No country agrees to a ceasefire after such an event.

Posted by: steel_porcupine | Mar 11 2025 23:07 utc | 200