Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
February 23, 2025
Ukraine Open Thread 2025-036

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

Just watched the Jeffry D Sacks speech to the EU. Not holding my breath to see it on BBC1

Posted by: Kaiama | Feb 23 2025 14:28 utc | 1

I think there’s too much optimism about Zelensky leaving office. I don’t see any leverage as long as he controls the security apparatus. Economic collapse, massive battlefield casualties, delusional victory plans mean nothing relative to his position. Only the direct threat of a gun to his head will make any difference.
About the only leverage I can think of is his wife. That’s about it. And even if he left, Budanov or some other fanatic may take over.

Posted by: Eighthman | Feb 23 2025 14:49 utc | 2

Interesting article titled “Britain’s working class will never fight Starmer’s war for Ukraine” by working class academic Lisa McKenzie on the RT Website. She quotes a recent nationwide poll in The Times newspaper that reports only 11% of young people surveyed would consider fighting for their country.
I’m convinced that Sir Keir Starmer’s entire raison d’etre as Prime Minister is to start a hot war with Russia. His previous attempt to poke the bear into a response by giving the green light to attack Russia with long range Storm Shadow missiles didn’t work, so now he’s “ready and willing” to put troops on the ground & perhaps leave it to MI6 & UK military intelligence to come up with a suitable ‘unprovoked’ massacre of British ‘peacekeepers’.
What gives me hope is that the deep strain of centuries old British ruling class Russophobia is no longer a tune that nearly 90% of Britain’s ‘yoof’ is whistling & if some are, it isn’t enough for them to willingly die on an ice-cold field in Donetsk as Starmer’s cannon fodder.
https://www.rt.com/news/613114-britain-working-class-starmer-war-ukraine/

Posted by: FakeBelieve | Feb 23 2025 14:56 utc | 3

Russia negotiating with ukraine…..
Russia fires 230 drones at ukraine. Last night.

Posted by: Mark2 | Feb 23 2025 15:03 utc | 4

Military Summary Channel reported that Russia will increase FAB production from approx. 40,000 to 70,000 this year. So 110/day increasing to 192/day. Iskander 2025 production projection up to 2/day and Kh101 to 1.5/day.
No mention of Geran, FPV drones, Oreshnik numbers, or FAB sortie rates. With disappearing UKrain AD, will Russia modify a bomber to mass disperse FABs? A whole section of the front simultaneously precision bombed.
Grid power and logistics currently edging closer to zero functionality. Troop Morale must be dropping with the impending loss of US support and USAID psyops/media brainwashing/graft.
It is looking more and more grim for the citizens and army of UKrain. The only real losers if Trump succeeds in ending the war will be the Globalists. The combatants can be persuaded to turn their aggression elsewhere, like the Chechnyans.

Posted by: jopalolive | Feb 23 2025 15:07 utc | 5

I think there’s too much optimism about Zelensky leaving office. ***
Posted by: Eighthman | Feb 23 2025 14:49 utc | 2
He is too useful where he is right, so he will not leave anytime soon. Comparison of his manufactured persona to reality yields too many useful narratives.

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 23 2025 15:21 utc | 6

It seems to me Trump should to leave the resolution of the war to Russia and the piano player but he should make a deal with Russia to buy Russian oil and gas and pipe it out of the Eastern end of Russia to Alaska in exchange for US Treasuries..
USA industries could buy the Russian oil and gas from the US strategic reserve and refine and compress it and sell the products to Europe..that would lower the price of oil and gas worldwide and allow Europe to continue to drain both itself and Russia until the Last Ukrainian has been disposed of. Such a scenario would allow the western MIC to continue to sell its wares to European nations willing to pay for it and it would shift the cost of war materials from the US side to the European side..in other words a deal for Russian gas and oil would bring home to America European money and Russian oil and gas and it would drag Russia from BRICS.. .
I anticipate smaller EU states merging with larger EU states as the war moves from kinetic to economic.. there are only so many Ukrainians remaining; the Kinetic war will end when the last one has been disposed of unless of course Eu or British nations were willing to contribute their citizens to the Russian killing fields in Ukraine.

Posted by: snake | Feb 23 2025 15:25 utc | 7

Ukraine Weekly Update, 21st Feb 2025: May be useful to some: https://robcampbell.substack.com/p/ukraine-weekly-update-120

Posted by: The Busker | Feb 23 2025 15:27 utc | 8

Long range drone war continues:
-RUAF claims 20 AFU drones downed in night and 10 in morning, no damage reported by local sources
-AFU claims 138 downed RUAF drones, 118 drones ‘disappeared’, substantial damage reported in Ukrainian regions by local sources
-Damage in:
Kharkiv
Sumy
Odessa
Zaporozhie
Kherson
Chernihiv
Zhitomir
Kiev, Bucha, Brovary
Krivy Rih in the Dnepropetrovsk region
Uman in the Cherkassy region
Mirgorod in the Poltava region
Starokonstantinov in the Khmelnitsk region.
-Targets include ‘Park House Hotel’ in Krivoy Rog, during a meeting of Ukrainian military officers and NATO military instructors
-Odessa port, train station, industrial area struck
-Military parking lot in Konstantinovka hit by Smerch MLRS, destroying various AFVs from Germany, USA and other Nato states
https://southfront.press/military-overview-another-hotel-with-advisers-from-nato-destroyed-in-ukraine/

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 23 2025 15:35 utc | 9

Just watched the Jeffry D Sacks speech to the EU. Not holding my breath to see it on BBC1
Posted by: Kaiama | Feb 23 2025 14:28 utc | 1
BBC News is currently carrying Zelensky taking questions from a fairly large audience 100+?, a bit like Putin does. It has been on for over 45 minutes live and has overridden their normal programming. No other World leader gets this honour.
Whilst earlier Starman was puffing UK support for Ukraine at a Labour meeting in Scotland prior to his trip to see the Don.
Whilst this goes on there are 100s of millions across Europe who have no idea re the realities of what is happening, will not know that NATO has been beaten at war and will likely blame Trump for giving in to his mate Putin.

Posted by: JohninMK | Feb 23 2025 15:49 utc | 10

Trump is cutting the us’ losses and I dont think its up to Zelenky to give up his position or not. He will stay as long as his handlers need him, the likes of Yermak and his ilk. Or does anyone think Zelensky has more to say than eg Mr. Biden?

Posted by: umuntu | Feb 23 2025 15:53 utc | 11

Edit:
Trump is cutting the us’ losses as any good businessmen would do in his place.

Posted by: umuntu | Feb 23 2025 15:55 utc | 12

Posted by: snake | Feb 23 2025 15:25 utc | 6
Good idea. But. If you amended the location to the Beautiful Refinery Row on new Trump Land on the shores of Gaza, include a generous cut to those who skim by nature, then, and only then would you have a winner.

Posted by: kupkee | Feb 23 2025 16:05 utc | 13

Regarding last 2/23 RF strikes, WaPo just picking this up. AOL reporting an hour ago:
“nuclear-capable ballistic missile following Moscow’s latest widespread attack on critical energy infrastructure” – women and children hardest hit.
The feeding of narratives to the MSM appears to be on autopilot. Chaos in the USAID network and within various agencies not on a push message and not well coordinated.

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 23 2025 16:09 utc | 14

The only real losers if Trump succeeds in ending the war will be the Globalists.
Posted by: jopalolive | Feb 23 2025 15:07 utc | 4
Ending the war is not what US/Trump or Nato wants, maintaining a forever war in RF and at its borders is everything they want. Now they simply demand money and resources ( tass.com/world/1917511 , tass.com/world/1917697 ) from Ukr as if there is no smo. Which is understandable, the smo is beyond sad, no one cares about it.
Trump plays the good cop script, EU plays the bad cop script, but there’s no change to the old plan of entering Ukr like Syria, pretending to protect their new resources and territory. Despite all comments that smo will continue I very much doubt it. As soon as Trump convinces some of these losers ( tass.com/politics/1917689, tass.com/politics/1917695 ) that all is fine, the smo will end as quickly as the Surovikin can run backwards. Which reminds me that region continues to be Nato’s entertainment every day “an increase in the number of civilian deaths (…) the situation has changed for the worse. The enemy has started to use more artillery and drone attacks. It’s a very difficult situation (…) throwing cluster munitions as well as Lepestok mines” ( tass.com/politics/1916847 ) So who you think is more willing to surrender in Istanbul as soon as possible, like they wanted years ago? The ladyboys is Kyyiiiv who party all night long with no danger, not even a small blackout?

Posted by: rk | Feb 23 2025 16:14 utc | 15

Posted by: umuntu | Feb 23 2025 15:55 utc | 11
##########
Trump is doing what he always does. Talk loud and create distractions.
Zelensky is now openly calling Trump a liar and defying him, no doubt this strategy was approved by London.
Now the testing of Trump really begins. Not everyone is rolling over to “make a deal”.
Even in its weakened state, the EU can give the US a lot of grief. Russia was put into an existential crisis by NATO. Now NATO is in an existential crisis due to Trump.
🍿🍿🍿
Putin will have to end this which is good because while I respect him, he makes terrible deals. I think he will do much better with total victory.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 23 2025 16:17 utc | 16

Look Putin, stop being an IDIOT.
A host of Euro leaders are going to Kiev tomorrow to “commemorate” the start of the war. You know the route, where they are going, when they will be there.
Wipe them out in one missile strike. Don’t be a coward, don’t embarrass Russia. It would be very funny if you killed all these heads in one go.
If the boot was on the other foot, the other side wouldn’t hesitate to try and kill you of your high ranking officials once you stepped out of Russia.
So stop pussyfooting Putin around and please do it.Show some guts. Stop sucking European dick and change the world by lunchtime tomorrow in 1 second

Posted by: Winston | Feb 23 2025 16:18 utc | 17

Posted by: Winston | Feb 23 2025 16:18 utc | 16
############
This was a bad post. Russia could have killed anyone anywhere since before the SMO.
You’re delusional if you think the “leaders” are actually in charge. That Zelensky, Kid Starver, and Scholz are military geniuses.😂😂😂

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 23 2025 16:22 utc | 18

Alexander M mentioned yesterday that Z’s personal security has been taken over by French special forces. Is that the reason why it is suggested he ‘d best leave to France?

Posted by: Teraspol | Feb 23 2025 16:23 utc | 19

BBC headline 2 hours ago: “Trump right to engage Putin on peace talks, says minister”
Response message seeking to neutralize the wedge separating UK from USA from a “a senior Labour minister”. Reply messaging will be interesting – maybe Europe’s war

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 23 2025 16:29 utc | 20

It struck me that the very worst thing for Russia that could happen right now is for the Ukraine to surrender unconditionally. Assuming that this war was never actually about the Ukraine per se, there are signs that NATO is in disarray, the USA has apparently withdrawn (although that may be wishful thinking), the UK is embarrassing itself and all in all, things are looking a bit glum for the Golden Billion. A few more months of this and Russia may actually get its new security architecture.
If the Ukraine gives up now, Russia gets saddled with the entire mess and a destitute population, the cold war continues (evil Russia, but without the expense of having to actuallyfight Russia) and the West gets quite a lot of what it wants, at Russia’s expense.
What I don’t know, is whether Russia actually wants a new, secure relationship with Europe, or would prefer to see the EU wither on the vine. The answer could well be in Anonymous and his square millimetre per day estimates of how badly Russia is performing: the faster the advance, the less Russia cares about EU relations, and the more they want to continue the Second Cold War (CWII?)

Posted by: Occasional poster | Feb 23 2025 16:34 utc | 21

If the Ukraine gives up now, ….
Posted by: Occasional poster | Feb 23 2025 16:34 utc
So what? The Russian army will move up to the Polish border, with or without unconditional surrender. In 1945/48 they had to deal with a lot of terrorism. They will starve it again, using their experience in Chechenia. Any non-Russian troops will be annihilated, destroyed on arrival.
The oblasts get a vote to join Russia. Those who don’t want will get the debt. A big incentive to vote Russia.
The war damage is quite confined, a result of Russia’s slow going.

Posted by: MorePain4Cakes | Feb 23 2025 16:47 utc | 22

Footage of civilians in the Kharkov region greeting a Russian FPV drone whilst it searches for militants.
https://x.com/Blackrussiantv/status/1893647051499487241
…..
I found this neat. The future.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 23 2025 16:48 utc | 23

Brand new Zelensky interview a couple hours ago. Very spicy & its bound to have Trump probably further turn on him.
Curious for anyone’s opinion?
https://meduza.io/en/news/2025/02/23/zelensky-says-he-s-willing-to-leave-ukraine-s-presidency-for-sake-of-peace-or-nato-membership
Zelensky says he’s willing to leave Ukraine’s presidency for sake of peace or NATO membership
10:35 am EST, February 23, 2025
Source: Ukrainska Pravda
Volodymyr Zelensky has said he is willing to step down from Ukraine’s presidency for the sake of peace in the country. He made this remark during a press conference in Kyiv on Sunday, as reported by Ukrainska Pravda.
“I am ready to leave my post if it means peace for Ukraine or trade my position for NATO [membership] — I don’t plan to stay in power for decades,” Zelensky said.
Later in the same press conference, Zelensky contested Donald Trump’s claim that the U.S. has sent $350 billion in aid to Ukraine and argued that the figure is closer to $100 billion.
“But I’m unwilling to acknowledge even $100 billion [in debt] because a grant is not a debt. I negotiated this with [former U.S. President Joe] Biden. There is an agreement that this is a grant. We do not recognize this as debt,” Zelensky explained, adding that he will not sign a mining deal with the Trump administration that would saddle “10 generations of Ukrainians” with debt.
In a conflict that has grown increasingly heated and public, U.S. President Donald Trump last week denounced Zelensky as a “dictator” and demanded that Ukraine hold new presidential elections.
Volodymyr Zelensky’s current five-year presidential term would have expired in May 2024, but the country’s constitution prohibits holding elections during a period of martial law. Zelensky remains in office until a new election can be conducted after the cessation of martial law.

Posted by: Al Balog | Feb 23 2025 17:02 utc | 24

Putin appoints Russia sovereign wealth fund chief Kirill Dmitriev special envoy
“… considered the most U.S.-savvy member of Russia’s elite …”
By Reuters
February 23, 202511:51 AM EST Updated 9 min ago
Attempting to set up narrative “Trump has been duped”

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 23 2025 17:04 utc | 25

snake writes: “It seems to me Trump should to leave the resolution of the war to Russia and the piano player but he should make a deal with Russia to buy Russian oil and gas and pipe it out of the Eastern end of Russia to Alaska in exchange for US Treasuries..”
_______
The last thing Russia needs is US Treasuries.

Posted by: malenkov | Feb 23 2025 17:05 utc | 26

Below is a Reuters posting title showing tactic change in the EU
Macron, Starmer to meet Trump as Europeans flesh out ideas for Ukraine guarantees
So, Starmer can’t make it on his own and I doubt Marcon will add much but it will be fun to watch.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Feb 23 2025 17:08 utc | 27

***
Posted by: Al Balog | Feb 23 2025 17:02 utc | 23
Reply messaging and an attempt to change the conversation topic to Trump is a dupe for Russia. It won’t work.

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 23 2025 17:12 utc | 28

“The Collapse Of The Zelensky Cult”
by Tyler Durden
Sunday, Feb 23, 2025 – 11:40 AM
Tying Zelensky to the EU with 3 years and no negotiated peace.

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 23 2025 17:35 utc | 29

https://thedefensepost.com/2025/02/20/uk-military-peacekeeping-mission/
Not very surprising, but former British Army head declares army is not ready for Ukrainian adventures, I mean peace-keeping mission there, indeed it is smaller than at any time since the Napoleonic Wars.
Not that I think the British armed forces are incapable of doing some damage. A few well-trained, well-equipped personnel could operate drones and missiles. And almost certainly have, on behalf of Kiev. But significant numbers of boots on the ground? No.

Posted by: Waldorf | Feb 23 2025 17:36 utc | 30

Posted by: Waldorf | Feb 23 2025 17:36 utc | 30
Without assistance from US (Nato art. 5) nor the brits nor the Frances will intervene.
They are at risk of being directly hit by RF, with non nuclear weapons.

Posted by: Mario | Feb 23 2025 17:41 utc | 31

23 – Is that a drone? It almost looks like images a camera might take mounted on bicycle handlebars. And how would its origin be obvious to people? Do Russian drones have a tricolour painted on them?

Posted by: Waldorf | Feb 23 2025 17:47 utc | 32

Orban tells Europeans that the Empire has been screwing them, as well as the Ukraine
“USAID was the heart of a robust financial and power machine. A monster created to crush, crumble and erode the freedom and independence of nations so that the liberal-globalist empire could thrive.”
https://x.com/PM_ViktorOrban/status/1893616057841045744

Posted by: wagelaborer | Feb 23 2025 17:56 utc | 33

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 23 2025 15:35 utc | 9
I really wish we knew where these NATO military instructors are buried. You’d think that someone would blab when there is a funeral. Some of us barflies could make a pilgrimage to shit on their graves.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 23 2025 18:06 utc | 34

34 – It will probably leak out gradually. The information I mean, not the fecal matter…

Posted by: Waldorf | Feb 23 2025 18:09 utc | 35

The Zelensky is a hero narrative
A year ago, I kept hearing U.S. security experts refer to Zelensky as another Georg Patton.
Now let’s see his real metal, can he stand up to Trump? Sure, it’s easy to send other people to fight when you have the full backing of US/NATO, but now that this is threatened, does he have the backbone to resist his former benefactors?

Posted by: Christian J Chuba | Feb 23 2025 18:11 utc | 36

Some of us barflies could make a pilgrimage to shit on their graves.
Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 23 2025 18:06 utc | 34
##############
My friend you have endless potential to change the world.
Would this be the best use of your precious time and energy?
Never stoop to their level. You’re better than that.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 23 2025 19:00 utc | 37

Posted by: Christian J Chuba | Feb 23 2025 18:11 utc | 36
##########
Zelensky is run by Mi5.
America was never his master. The British have had a hard-on for Russia for centuries.
Kid Starver didn’t accidentally sign a 100-year agreement with Ukraine, and Bojo didn’t stumble into Ukraine during the early negotiations to kill them.
America is at war with the UK establishment, which is the East Coast banks and the IC portion of the Deep State. France and Germany cannot act like sovereigns and are caught in the crossfire.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 23 2025 19:10 utc | 38

The ever obedient US puppet state Poland – its leader Duda, got the shock treatment form the Orange Yankee Zionist POTUS Trump – in what was meant to be an hour long discussion with Trump, Duda, was reduced to just getting ten minutes – then he was tossed out by the Yankee Zionist POTUS – it bordered on humiliation – for decades Poland, has built is security and strategy around kowtowing to US foreign policies – now the Poles, will have to think twice on whether the Yanks will still look favourably on them.

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Feb 23 2025 19:24 utc | 39

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 23 2025 19:00 utc | 37
You’re taking the high road, and I respect that.
But I don’t want to go that way. I hate these MFers with the burning energy of a 1000 white hot suns. I want their families to suffer, and their sons to suffer for seven generations. I want their daughters sold into brothels and forced to service large men.
Seeing mass graves for foreign mercs with no markers would be a second wish. Open up the ground, and dump them in with front-end loaders.
I want the world to remember how these evil men died horrible deaths as a cautionary tale for many generations.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 23 2025 19:27 utc | 40

When and if the dust settles in US backed and led former state of Ukraine; I wonder how Ukrainians are going to react if they see the stagers of Maidan Coup walking off with their (alleged) mineral riches. I bet they’ll be angry about that.
(The Russians, incidentally have treated Ukrainians and Europeans with more respect than the stagers of the Maidan Coup)

Posted by: chunga | Feb 23 2025 19:29 utc | 41

Multiple Canadian Cities Holding Rallies To Mark Anniversary of the Russian Invasion
https://globalnews.ca/news/1103198/multiple-canadian-cities-holding-rallies-to-mark-anniversary-of-the-ukraine-invasion/
“…Prime Minister Justin Trudeau spoke with US President Donald Trump about the war in Ukraine Saturday as European allies fear a withdrawal of US support for Kyiv’s efforts to defend against Russia’s invasion.
The White House readout of the conversation focused on Ukraine, suggesting the two leaders aligned on Trump’s approach…
The Suppression of a Shameful History
https://mediacoop.ca/node/119268
“How a Ukrainian Nazi and a living witness link Canada to Ukraine today…”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 23 2025 19:37 utc | 42

@ snake, §7:
Russian oil & gas in exchange for US treasuries?
I don´t think the Russians are that stupid.

Posted by: John Marks | Feb 23 2025 19:39 utc | 43

Teraspol @ 19

Alexander M mentioned yesterday that Z’s personal security has been taken over by French special forces. Is that the reason why it is suggested he ‘d best leave to France?

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/120235

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 23 2025 19:40 utc | 44

I want the world to remember how these evil men died horrible deaths as a cautionary tale for many generations.
Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 23 2025 19:27 utc | 40
################
That is where we diverge.
I don’t think humanity qua humanity is a herd with a memory.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 23 2025 19:40 utc | 45

Multiple Canadian Cities Holding Rallies To Mark Anniversary of the Ukraine Invasion
https://globalnews.ca/news/11031398/multiple-canadian-cities-holding-rallies-to-mark-anniversary-of-the-ukraine-invasion/
Url corrected from above.

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 23 2025 19:43 utc | 46

Professor Jefferey Sachs – explains to the EU parliament – why Ukraine has ended up in the state its in, not to mention why the EU is also in the state its in.
https://nitter.poast.org/Documark/status/1893591044417003604#m

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Feb 23 2025 19:48 utc | 47

Mark Felton’s excellent channel has two videos with a timely assessment of Britain’s “military might” as Starmer swaggers on the world stage threatening to put Russia in their place 😂
The army with more horses than tanks:
https://youtu.be/e4TmtkjcY9A?si=IQL-TLVOEvNBe6ws
The navy with more admirals than ships:
https://youtu.be/po9duwvipB0?si=BiOT4Epb_eQ6yG25

Posted by: Andrew Sarchus | Feb 23 2025 19:54 utc | 48

I’ve been catching up on music and films but damn that whole rare earth and resources BS from Trump is killing me, or the lack of comprehension by the youtube and TG punditry is killing me, good lordy but savvy people are totaling missing it, maybe it’s been discussed here already but it’s pretty straight up to me, the resources are already in the hands of western mining conglomerates, it has nothing to do with signing a contract with the US government, that’s not how it works, capitalist colonial powers use state power to arm bend, or arm break, local leaders making them willingly or unwilling hand over resources to favored private concerns with decades long exploitive contracts; that ugliness is all behind the scenes and not talked about publicly. Any Ukraine pol pre SMO who showed even minimal patriotic concern and hesitancy regarding resource contracts was mercilessly broken or ousted or fled to Russia. Zelesnky and the Banderite crooks and opportunists in power most certainly don’t need any persuasion or arm twisting from Trump, Ukraine has been pillaged and hung out to dry since 2014, a decade now.
Trump accused Biden and his crew both before the election and relentlessly now, in tandem with domestically focused DOGE, of having squandered hundreds of billions of America’s hard earned wealth on Ukraine. Hard reality is that the USA and Trump will continue having to pump money into Ukraine only this time when the next 100 billion dollar allocation comes up, Trump and the GOP congress hamstrung by their campaign and DOGE rhetoric, will be able to cooly, if not shamelessly, state to the country and the MAGA constituency not to fret, unlike the stupid Democrats this isn’t money down the toilet, this time the US gov under Trump’s businessman ultra-savvy has every penny collateralized by Ukraine’s resources, for a century to come, good as gold, the deal is bonafide, indemnified, and chicken fried. Look at it as an investment that will pay back many times over to help re-industrialize the USA. All bullshit of course, a post-colonial shithead sales pitch to a country yearning to return to the prosperity and certainty of the colonial era.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 23 2025 19:55 utc | 49

malenkov @ 26 / John Marks @ 43
I didn’t fully realize until reading malenkov’s post that there is no turning back. Right there in a nutshell is the pivot point in current history.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Feb 23 2025 20:05 utc | 50

RUAF took out another AFU S-300 south of Sumy, sent to support their Kursk bridgehead. These must be a rare species now.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 23 2025 20:07 utc | 51

AFU counter-attack in Novenke suffered significant losses. Military Summary says RUAF made a ploy by announcing attack toward Sumy road (even Putin annnounced it, remember), AFU managed to scrape together a counter-attack force of its high quality special forces, and the counter-attack was ambushed and suffered a lot of tank losses around Novenke.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 23 2025 20:11 utc | 52

AFU managed to scrape together a counter-attack force of its high quality special forces, and the counter-attack was ambushed and suffered a lot of tank losses around Novenke.
Posted by: unimperator | Feb 23 2025 20:11 utc | 52
Any connection? COuld be proof the AFU no longer has AD near kursk.
MOSCOW, February 23. /TASS/. A Ka-52M helicopter struck Ukrainian troops and armored vehicles with missiles near the border in the Kursk Region, the Russian Defense Ministry said in a statement.
“While performing a combat mission to support units of the battlegroup North, the crew of an army aviation Ka-52M helicopter, acting as part of a combined-forces tactical group, fired air-launched missiles at Ukrainian personnel and armored vehicles near the border area in the Kursk region,” the statement said.
Following the strike, the crews returned to the airport of departure.
“A forward spotter confirmed the destruction of all Ukrainian targets,” the ministry said.

Posted by: Newbie | Feb 23 2025 20:15 utc | 53

Posted by: Newbie | Feb 23 2025 20:15 utc | 53
##########
IIRC, Ukrainian/NATO AD (of any flavor) is useless against Russian FABs.
And any AD has already been exhausted by endless drone swarms that are well-timed before the heavier hits.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 23 2025 20:26 utc | 54

Hegseth in a Sunday morning show: “… Both sides are going to make a lot of claims, the President has very closely engaged both sides in real time. Including in bilateraly negotiations with Russia, which by the way nobody has been able to do. … he is also engaging directly with Ukraine. There’s going to be bumps in the road in these conversations when your seeking a historic peace. … ”
So the Old talking points of Trump is a super for Russia is basically not recognized and contained as a “bump in the road.” No recognition of Zelensky’s most recent statements – not significant enough to respond to.
No distancing from the “Zelensky cult” which connects to “bump in the road.” Leaves an open question for development of new narrative (buzz)
As far as UN Resolution: “Does all the finger pointing and pearl clutching make peace more likely? …” Eurpoe is doing things the old way and the war continues. Also leaving the “why” an open question for development of new narrative.

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 23 2025 21:07 utc | 55

IRC, Ukrainian/NATO AD (of any flavor) is useless against Russian FABs.
And any AD has already been exhausted by endless drone swarms that are well-timed before the heavier hits.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 23 2025 20:26 utc | 54
And attack helicopters are particularly vulnerable
That’s why I mentioned

Posted by: Newbie | Feb 23 2025 21:22 utc | 56

The sheen has worn off of project Ukraine, and so too Zelenskyy’s halo as it’s now an open secret among the chattering class and all online influencers that before very long there will be endless very public stories of the epic graft and outright thievery that was so common among the elites and those under them in Ukraine, and that Zelenskyy got his cut.
It’s all cut and dried pragmatism now, and support for Zelenskyy and Ukraine is more of a transactional matter. What’s to be gained by backing them, what’s the cost of cutting free from them.

Posted by: Babel-17 | Feb 23 2025 21:29 utc | 57

LightYearsFromHome | Feb 23 2025 19:55 utc”this time the US gov under Trump’s businessman ultra-savvy has every penny collateralized by Ukraine’s resources, for a century to come”
Say that Ukraine was able, as if by magic, to produce 20% of the world’s rare earths. That would equal to about $3 billion annually. To reach the $500 billion mooted by Trump, the US would need to secure 150-plus years of Ukrainian output. Pure nonsense.1
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-02-19/trump-s-insistence-ukraine-has-rare-earth-elements-is-wrong

Posted by: George | Feb 23 2025 21:58 utc | 59

Sorry for the paywall. George
What Ukraine has is scorched earth; what it doesn’t have is rare earths. Surprisingly, many people — not least, US President Donald Trump — seem convinced the country has a rich mineral endowment. It’s a folly.
It’s not the first time that Washington has gotten its geology wrong in a war zone. Back in 2010, the US announced it had discovered $1 trillion of untapped mineral deposits in Afghanistan, including some crucial for electric-car batteries, like lithium. The Pentagon went as far as describing Afghanistan as “the Saudi Arabia of lithium.”
All very important stuff, the kind of geo-economic shock that redraws the global political map. But it was, as many said then, and as everyone knows now, a complete fantasy. The same applies to Ukraine’s alleged riches.
If the focus in Afghanistan was largely copper and lithium, key to the electrification of everything, the spotlight in Ukraine is on rare earths, a collection of 17 elements that high school chemistry students would remember for their tongue-twisting names. The list includes the likes of praseodymium, dysprosium and promethium.
For Trump, the importance of rare-earth reserves comes from the fact that China dominates global supply. In tiny amounts, the elements are used in exotic alloys. Though often presented as essential to high-tech applications and weapons production, their uses are far more prosaic. Dyson Ltd., a popular British maker of home appliances, boasts that it uses the element neodymium in the magnets of its vacuum cleaners, for example, so they “spin up to five times faster than a Formula One engine.”
The hype about the Ukrainian rare earths began with Ukrainians themselves. Desperate to find a way to engage Trump, they miscalculated presenting the then-incoming president a “victory plan” in November that talked up — way, way up — the potential of the country’s mineral resources. Soon, they lost control of the narrative.
On Feb. 3, Trump emphatically said the Ukrainians had “very valuable rare earths.” Always keen to be perceived as a dealmaker, he added: “We’re looking to do a deal with Ukraine where they’re going to secure what we’re giving them with their rare earths and other things.” He doubled down a few days later, telling Fox News on Feb. 11 about his talks with Ukrainian officials: “I told them that I want the equivalent like $500 billion worth of rare earth.”
I was puzzled. To the best of my knowledge, Ukraine has no significant rare-earth deposits other than small scandium mines. The US Geological Survey, an authority on the matter, doesn’t list the country as holding any reserves. Neither does any other database commonly used in the mining business.
Simply put, “follow the money” doesn’t work here. At best, the value of all the world’s rare-earth production rounds to $15 billion a year — emphasis on “a year.” That’s equal to the value of just two days of global oil output. Even if Ukraine had gigantic deposits, they wouldn’t be that valuable in geo-economic terms.
Say that Ukraine was able, as if by magic, to produce 20% of the world’s rare earths. That would equal to about $3 billion annually. To reach the $500 billion mooted by Trump, the US would need to secure 150-plus years of Ukrainian output. Pure nonsense.1

Posted by: George | Feb 23 2025 22:04 utc | 60

So it’s clear Ukraine, like Gaza, was, as countless have noted, “a massive psyop” since the beginning, however psyops by definition are game tested to accommodate different outcomes of differing but non-negligible benefit, etc. The second or tertiary question is how ‘in the know’ were the likes of Trump and Musk since the beginning?

Posted by: Ludovic | Feb 23 2025 22:08 utc | 61

In other words,
“you’re gonna see the reason why
when they’re spitting in your eye
they’ll be spitting in your eye.”

Posted by: George | Feb 23 2025 22:15 utc | 62

Posted by: George | Feb 23 2025 22:04 utc | 60
Trump is a fucking idiot. As you posted, it might take 1000 years to get $100B out of the ground in Ukraine … or never. We’re talking about hypothetical assets that aren’t even recoverable under present conditions or assumptions.
The laws of thermodynamics aren’t suggestions.
These cocksuckers are just looking to create a story that makes them puff their chests out and say, “see, we got this great deal for America … now vote for us!”
The first thing Zelensky did write was tell them to go fuck themselves.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 23 2025 22:21 utc | 63

I’m certain thorough geological surveys would have been made during the Soviet times and that had anything been worth exploiting, they would have been exploited.
USGS data would be sketchy in comparison.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Feb 23 2025 22:32 utc | 64

Massive attack by Russia this evening ..250 uav .

Posted by: Jo | Feb 23 2025 22:32 utc | 65

Today, portentously, Russian forces finally cracked the nut of Belohorivka in the Sieversk region.
This outpost centered on a big “Terrikon” slag heap of some sort, has held out Asterix and Obelix in Gaul style against Russia for years, a bit like Vuhledar. Well now the whole region is overrun by the Russians. There will be a story there about underground fighting and finding the key to the defense, magic potion or whatever:
https://youtu.be/YUCw4VrOTNc?si=yKLaPcXqWBA3h51H

Posted by: Andrew Sarchus | Feb 23 2025 22:33 utc | 66

Helmer: No Ifs, No Buts – Boots on the Ground, Lies on the Ground…
https://johnhelmer.net/no-ifs-no-buts-boots-on-the-ground-lies-on-the-ground-prime-minister-starmer-tells-president-trump-to-fight-russia-the-british-way/
“PM Starmer tells President Trump to fight Russia the British way…”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 23 2025 22:42 utc | 67

B quoted the NYT’s in his ‘shit sandwich’ post:
“The United States is doubling down on a demand that Ukraine relinquish half of its revenues from natural resources, including minerals, gas and oil, as well as earnings from ports and other infrastructure, according the document, which was reviewed by The New York Times.”
So it’s a lot more than rare earth. The earnings from ports and ‘other infrastructure’ is the big one, I think. Seems like Trump just likes to show Zelensky what the US really is, a gangster operation. Unlike the Dems and most establishment Repubs, who were, if nothing else, very good at cloaking their real agenda behind a lot of virtuous talk. Just to rub it in, he tells Zelensky ‘you thought the aid was a gift, hahaha, it was a loan, so bend over and take it again. Money to rebuild your battered country? That’s a good one. You pay us. Who do you think you’re dealing with?’
Reminds me of Goodfellas. ” Business is bad? Fuck you, pay me. Had a fire? Fuck you, pay me. The place got hit by lightning? Fuck you, pay me.”
– Now the guy’s gotta come up with Paulie’s money every week no matter what.
– Business is bad? Fuck you, pay me. Had a fire? Fuck you, pay me. The place got hit by lightning? Fuck you, pay me.

Posted by: Mike R | Feb 23 2025 22:43 utc | 68

“The projections, based on exit polls and partial counting, put support for Merz’s Union bloc around 28.5% and the anti-immigration Alternative for Germany, or AfD, about 20.5% — roughly double its result from 2021.
They put support for Scholz’s Social Democrats at just over 16%, far lower than in the last election and below their previous post-war low of 20.5% from 2017. The environmentalist Greens, their remaining partners in the outgoing government, were on about 12%.”*
*https://apnews.com/article/germany-election-merz-scholz-far-right-afd-ebf16ed38e0beaff7fed9a6d29b32a24

Posted by: Elber | Feb 23 2025 23:00 utc | 69

*** These cocksuckers are just looking to create a story that makes …
Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 23 2025 22:21 utc | 63
Zelensky look [crooked][dishonest][corrupt and controlled][double dealing][aligning more with Eurpoe than the US][Afraid to take bold steps toward peace][pearl clutching][petty][greedy] because [any reason the internet might cook up with ingredients left lying around for anyone to find].
It will take time to reverse the Zelensky is Churchill construct. The targets for this messaging is Americans, who “need” to rally behind Trump “now”. What people who know what the bar knows don’t matter.
Keep in mind who brought up the subject of mineral a few weeks ago – Lindsay Grahm. So it may be that the story was given new legs to neutralize Graham and the faction that feeds him.
I kind of doubt that the brighter lights don’t already know what is up for the looting and its value. This is just a political football (American football that bounces unpredictibly not a “futball”).

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 23 2025 23:01 utc | 70

Trudeau Will Attend Security Summit in Ukraine
https://nationalnewswatch.com/2025/02/23/justin-trudeau-expected-to-be-in-ukraine-for-summit-on-3rd-anniversary-of-war
“Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will be here with a visit tomorrow’, Zelensky said in Ukrainian. ‘He is chairing the G7 at the moment so he will tell me what is happening with the relationship with the US.’
On Wednesday, Trudeau participated virtually in a meeting with European leaders convened by French President Emmanuel Macron to come up with a response to Trump’s overtures to Russia…”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 23 2025 23:04 utc | 71

Trump is a fucking idiot.

The first thing Zelensky did write was tell them to go fuck themselves.
Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 23 2025 22:21 utc | 63

Did you miss the “shit sandwich”? Trump did it specifically to provoke that response. Z & the EU are the primary roadblocks to ending the war, therefore the plan is to discredit them both through making demands that will never be accepted.

Posted by: TJandTheBear | Feb 23 2025 23:10 utc | 72

“Trudeau Will Attend Security Summit in Ukraine”
Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 23 2025 23:04 utc | 71
WTF?
I thought Trudeau had resigned?
I guess Soros didn’t accept his resignation.

Posted by: Andrew Sarchus | Feb 23 2025 23:39 utc | 73

So, 13 world leaders in Kiev tomorrow for a Ukrainian security conference?
What kind of security provisions do these leaders have in place to protect them from Rus and/or Ukes?

Posted by: Jerr | Feb 23 2025 23:42 utc | 74

As I wander through Russian Donbass
All is calm with no drone to harass
Etched in stone, listed down
Every village and town
Names their heroes, departed alas

Posted by: Andrew Sarchus | Feb 23 2025 23:44 utc | 75

Did you miss the “shit sandwich”?
Well, seeing how the Treasury is drawing up legal documents for signatures, it is a shit sandwich alright, with no bread.
“The United States is doubling down on a demand that Ukraine relinquish half of its revenues from natural resources, including minerals, gas and oil, as well as earnings from ports and other infrastructure,
Do realize the majority of these are located in Eastern Ukraine so half of what remains amount to what?
A slippery pickle sandwich?

Posted by: George | Feb 23 2025 23:45 utc | 76

As I wander through Russian Donbass
All is calm with no drone to harass
Etched in stone, listed down
Every village and town
Names their heroes, departed alas
Posted by: Andrew Sarchus | Feb 23 2025 23:44 utc | 75
👏👏👏

Posted by: HERMIUS | Feb 24 2025 0:03 utc | 77

*** Lindsay Grahm. So it may be that the story was given new legs to neutralize Graham and the faction that feeds him. ***
Posted by: frithguild | Feb 23 2025 23:01 utc | 70
Here is some red meat for US MAGA consumption:
Lindsey’s latest backstabbing move has people calling on DOGE to investigate his finances…
February 21, 2025 (2 days ago)
X user: Why is there so much funding for Ukraine in the Senate’s budget proposal?
Elon: Kickbacks

Posted by: frithguild | Feb 24 2025 0:13 utc | 78

Posted by: Andrew Sarchus | Feb 23 2025 22:33 utc | 66
Most likely Seversk front, after failing to crack Belogorovka for a long time, has remained a tertiary part of the front. Of course it would be nice to straighten it out and have Seversk but they have achieved much more elsewhere. Ultimately, AFU losing in the south, and Kursk bridgehead, forces them to more-or-less abandon Seversk as well.

Posted by: unimperator | Feb 24 2025 1:08 utc | 79

I’d be extremely surprised is Sachs does not get the same treatment David Starkey got back in 2020.

Posted by: Truthsayer | Feb 24 2025 1:14 utc | 80

Another mediocre day for the RFA, with only 14 kmsq taken. So much for acceleration and collapse.
Gains at VN town, Siversk area, and further north. Nothing strategic or noteworthy.

Posted by: Anonymous | Feb 24 2025 1:32 utc | 81

TMOATS, Ep424, with George Galloway
https://www.youtube.com/live/3PYMaPHcByI
‘Peace and Desist’
#GarlandNixon #GeorgeSzamuely

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 24 2025 1:40 utc | 82

Anonymous // 81
What does “14 kmsq” have to do with winning?

Posted by: Nobody Special | Feb 24 2025 1:52 utc | 83

Another mediocre day for the RFA, with only 14 kmsq taken. So much for acceleration and collapse.
Gains at VN town, Siversk area, and further north. Nothing strategic or noteworthy.
Posted by: Anonymous | Feb 24 2025 1:32 utc | 81
Mr Anonymous, you sad barstud! I’m enjoying reading your ever-more desperate posts. Keep them coming; we enjoy them.

Posted by: HERMIUS | Feb 24 2025 2:06 utc | 84

Its soooooo obvious. It doesn’t matter if the Trump deal is a fraud because private companies ( that are US invested anyway,)have secured the rights to the rare earths deal. If Zelensky signs the deal then its backdoor NATO admittance and Article 5 cover because if its US government assets “officially” where the deposits are, then its US property, which makes it US security asset which makes Russia going into Dnepropetrovsk or Kirovograd the same danger as Russia invading Germany or showering Paris with missiles.
Putin can never allow this mineral deal to go ahead. Ukraine can continue the provocations nonstop since 2014 under the full protection of US, because if US assets are in Ukraine then Ukraine is in NATO.

Posted by: Winston | Feb 24 2025 2:30 utc | 85

HERMIUS
Which is worse? The sad bastards that once posted here to earn their judas coins? Or the Anonymous types, who seem to do it as a “labor of love”?
~~~~~
Hegseth knows
>… Hegseth and the “realities on the ground” in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/OGhGNdyvcB0.
The USAIDS infected media still doesn’t understand that Ukraine/U$NATO has been defeated.
But Trump and Hegseth do.
…………
Not recent, but nothings changed:
>… Putin with pushy journalist
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Jkb7FM3hBRo

Posted by: Melaleuca | Feb 24 2025 2:31 utc | 86

Putin, PLEASE, I am begging you. Kill the 13 heads of state visiting Kiev tomorrow.
Make them the “heavenly 13” to join with the “heavenly 100” supposedly killed in Kiev 2014 to make the “heavenly 113”- my lucky number!!!

Posted by: Winston | Feb 24 2025 2:34 utc | 87

GOVERNOR Trudeau!!!!

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Feb 24 2025 2:36 utc | 88

HERMIUS
Which is worse? The sad bastards that once posted here to earn their judas coins? Or the Anonymous types, who seem to do it as a “labor of love”
Posted by: Melaleuca | Feb 24 2025 2:31 utc | 86
Yes, well, I suppose one can credit someone who genuinely believes what theyre touting.

Posted by: HERMIUS | Feb 24 2025 2:54 utc | 89

Posted by: Winston | Feb 24 2025 2:30 utc | 85
One way Russia could invalidate any Western companies’ aspirations to the mineral deal would be to Yuzhmash some mining facilities or the Pokrovsk coke mining facility near the line of contact.
The latter is very modern with probably billions of investments. It’s within tube artillery range so Yuzhmash would be overkill, though it would send a message.
Going for some high value target near Lvov would be even better.
Western corporations are very risk averse and seeing billions in investments vaporized in a few milliseconds would get their attention.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Feb 24 2025 4:28 utc | 90

If the boot was on the other foot,
Posted by: Winston | Feb 23 2025 16:18 utc | 17
This tells us that you have absolutely zero understanding of Russian culture. History paints a very clear picture of it if you’d bother reading a book for once.

Posted by: Screwdriver | Feb 24 2025 4:35 utc | 91

On Sunday at CNN Fareed Zakaria had the Polish FM, Sikorski as guest – what a pile of lies he dished up: unbelievable, the hundreds of Ukraine brigades, the weakness of Russia, Putin sold 100 tons gold because the economy is bad etc. etc. and Zakaria just taking it all in. The Ukraine was given guarantees of integrity of boarders in Budapest 1994, etc.
I see now a serious problem of who and how will arbiter the two versions of events.
Again, the story of Isaac and Esau, and the right of first born, sold for a bowl of lentil soup, comes to mind. It is told by L. Kolakowski in his short stories “Key to Heavens” (‘Himmelschlussel’) – the lie became the truth… Sad but must be taken in account.

Posted by: fanto | Feb 24 2025 4:35 utc | 92

Russia’s economy has certainly weathered better 3y of war than most (all?) economists expected esp. given that $500b of its reserved were impounded. The LT problems however remain: self-exile of many educated people, human losses among the active male population. “regressive import substitution” (technological decline), difficulties of reorientation of X,M away from Europe.

Posted by: Branko Milan | Feb 24 2025 4:43 utc | 93

Volodymyr Zelensky’s current five-year presidential term would have expired in May 2024, but the country’s constitution prohibits holding elections during a period of martial law. Zelensky remains in office until a new election can be conducted after the cessation of martial law.
Posted by: Al Balog | Feb 23 2025 17:02 utc | 24
This is incorrect. The comedians term DID expire on 20 May 2024 and according to their constitution ALL POWERS REVERT BACK TO THE RADA. HE IS ILLEGITIMATE.

Posted by: Screwdriver | Feb 24 2025 4:46 utc | 94

Russia’s economy has certainly weathered better 3y of war than most (all?) economists expected esp. given that $500b of its reserved were impounded. The LT problems however remain: self-exile of many educated people, human losses among the active male population. “regressive import substitution” (technological decline), difficulties of reorientation of X,M away from Europe.

Posted by: Branko Milan | Feb 24 2025 4:46 utc | 95

Posted by: fanto | Feb 24 2025 4:35 utc | 92
Too bad the Edomites weren’t better fighters. Thanks for the book suggestion! It sounds interesting. I just downloaded it form the Internet Archive.
The key to heaven: edifing tales from Holy Scripture to serve as teaching and warning – Leszek Kołakowski

Posted by: lex talionis | Feb 24 2025 4:51 utc | 96

Russian officials are dangling the prospect of lucrative investment deals for American energy companies. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/23/business/russia-sanctions-oil-gas-energy.html

Posted by: Hiver | Feb 24 2025 4:54 utc | 97

I must admit the Russian Way of War is a wonder to behold.
Initially, everyone was waiting for the “Big Arrows”, then, recognition that it was an “Attrition” campaign.
While everyone was distracted by the “Hollywood” images coming out, few realised the real battles was with the hearts and minds of the Global Majority and economics.
The failure of the sanctions and isolate tactics by the “new world order globalists and minions” reelevate the status of Russia as a Global power, and a successful one at that. Irony being a “new world order” in indeed in the making, just not the WEF version.
Where to from here? to paraphrase, there known knowns, known unknowns and unknown unknowns.
Known known – EU, NATO, “Ukraine” & WEF is kaputt.
Known Unknowns –
Will Russia and Trump gang up on their mutual enemy, the UK?
Will Germany remain captive or will Merz pull a “Trump” and blame all ills on previous Govt? The existing Gas line maybe the only lifeline left for Germany.
I sure others will have interesting views to share, and I look forward to reading them.

Posted by: Suresh | Feb 24 2025 5:04 utc | 98

Posted by: HERMIUS | Feb 24 2025 2:54 utc | 89
“Yes, well, I suppose one can credit someone who genuinely believes what theyre touting.”
True, they can be really dumb but still very sincere.

Posted by: Paranaense | Feb 24 2025 5:06 utc | 99

Winston#87…just one, just one….hazelnut/oreschnik will do……

Posted by: sejmon | Feb 24 2025 5:11 utc | 100