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The Game Is Up Trump Tells Ukrainian War Party
Today the Trump administration told the Ukraine war party that their game is finally up. Everything it had hoped for is out of reach:
Hegseth Says Return to Ukraine’s Pre-2014 Borders Is ‘Unrealistic’ (archived) – New York Times, Feb 12 2025
A return to Ukraine’s pre-2014 borders is “an unrealistic objective” and an “illusionary goal” in the peace settlement between Ukraine and Russia that President Trump wants to accomplish, the U.S. Defense Secretary, Pete Hegseth, said on Wednesday at a meeting of countries supporting Ukraine.
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Mr. Trump, he added, does not support Ukraine’s membership in NATO as part of a realistic peace plan.
After a settlement, “a durable peace for Ukraine must include robust security guarantees to ensure that the war will not begin again,” but that would be the responsibility, he said, of European and non-European troops in a “non-NATO mission” unprotected by NATO’s Article Five commitment to collective defense.
No American troops will be deployed to Ukraine, he said, and Europe should provide “the overwhelming share of future lethal and nonlethal aid to Ukraine.”
Just yesterday Zelenski claimed that Europe cannot guarantee Ukraine’s security without the US. He is right with that. Over the last years Russia's military power has tripled. No alliance of current European armies could withstand its power should a conflict over Ukraine reignite.
There is only one party that can and is willing to give Ukraine real security guarantees.
That party is of course, as I wrote 20 months ago, Russia:
A main question for Ukraine since it became an independent state was who or what could potentially guarantee its security.
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The Ukraine is now obviously losing the war. It will soon need to sign a capitulation like ceasefire agreement with Russia.
But who or what can guarantee that any such agreement will be held up?
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There will be no NATO membership or NATO security guarantees for Ukraine, neither now nor ever.
A direct full security guarantee from Washington to Kiev is also impossible. It would create a high likelihood of a direct war between the U.S. and Russia which would soon become nuclear. The U.S. will not want to risk that.
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There is only one country in the world that can guarantee peace in Ukraine and the security of its borders. That country is Russia!
But any such guarantee will of course come with conditions attached to it. Either Ukraine will accept those or it will never be secure from outer interference.
That is simply a fact of life Ukraine has had to, and will have to live with.
This was all so very obvious.
Why did it take so long for realism to come to the fore?
Heads I win, tails you lose.
The US has already achieved its objectives, which is to weaken Europe (high energy prices, devastated industry etc.) and keep Russia in check. Now, the US can discard Ukraine like a used condom.
Anyone still remember the 1990s Balkan (Yugoslav) war? Did you know that it was instigated by the US to keep the Euro currency from potentially challenging USD supremacy?
The development of the Clinton Doctrine, as well as the 1992 Defense Planning Guidance document, provided the geostrategic underpinnings for US policies in the former Yugoslavia. Contemporary US policies in Europe are rooted in the effort by the United States to maintain its influence as the dominant military power in the region, relying on the continuation and expansion of NATO to forestall any efforts by European powers or the European Union to create a separate defense organization independent of US influence. During the last year of the Bush Administration, US State Department and Treasury Department officials worried that the European move to create the Euro could have serious political and economic consequences for US interests in the region. The political consequences included the possible emergence of a defense organization outside US control. At the same time, US officials were concerned that the Euro could pose an economic threat to the international position of the dollar, a possibility that led the Treasury Department to warn against the establishment of new EC institutions that would bypass the traditional relationship between the US government and the finance ministers of the larger EC states. At the centerpiece of such concern is the importance of US and European trade, which totals about $1 trillion a year, and US direct investment in Western Europe, which accounts for about 40% of all US foreign investment and provides more than three-million US-based jobs (Nelson 1993, pp. 81–84).
– from “US Imperialism and the Disintegration of Yugoslavia”, Ronald W. Cox, Department of Politics and International Relations, Florida International University, Miami, FL, USA https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-91206-6_52-1
Gotta defend US jobs at all costs. Americans are just poor, pitiful wage laborers. So what if we started a war to protect hardworking Americans? It’s all justified.
The foundation of the Euro currency was originally predicated on the participating governments’ deficits staying under the threshold of 3% of GDP (Maastricht Treaty). Break that threshold and you undermine faith in the Euro. How can you make a government exceed that threshold? War. The entirety of the NATO army in Europe is way more than enough to fight the tiny Balkan war, but the cost of fighting the Balkan war was severely elevated because NATO’s commanding authority lies with the US and the US insists on shifting US troops all the way from America to fight a war on European soil (80% of NATO troops were flown across the Atlantic from the US). The costs, of course, were borne by all NATO members. This point was made by Wen Tiejun (https://v.douyin.com/iPfqMp3q/ it’s in Chinese).
The series of color revolutions and wars started in the Middle East by the US to drive refugees to the shores of Europe was also another pre-emptive action to keep the Euro from challenging USD primacy by driving up the administrative costs of European governments. From a broad perspective, all the unrest was a result of strategic rivalry between Euro adherents and USD adherents. This is the inherently fascist nature of financial capitalism.
Most MAGA barflies harbor a strong anti-immigration sentiment, but they do not have such a strong hatred for the United States of America itself. At best, they shrug and say, “Well, it’s realpolitik, US has to maintain dominance y’know, what can you do? Too bad, so sad, for the victims of war.”
The immigrants are depressing wages, but your anger should not be aimed at them, but at the US for creating these refugees.
Here are some lyrics from a 20-year old song (2002) song, Fortress Europe from Asian Dub Foundation https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qeb5qYViQn0
2022, a new European order
Robot guards patrolling the border
Cybernetic dogs are getting closer and closer
Armored cars and immigration officers
A burning village in Kosovo
You bombed it out, now you’re telling us go home
Machine guns strut on the cliffs of Dover
Heads down, people look out, we’re going over
Burnin’ up, can we survive re-entry
Past the mines and the cybernetic sentries
Safe European homes built on wars
You don’t like the effect, don’t produce the cause
The chip is in your head, not on my shoulder
Total control just around the corner
Open up the floodgates, time’s nearly up
Keep banging on the wall of Fortress Europe
2022, coincidentally, was when the Russians were forced to initiate their SMO to beat back the Americans. Yes, the Americans. Not the Ukrainians. The Americans.
As the Ansar Allah and Iranians put it so succinctly: al-mawt li-ʾAmrīkā, Marg bar Âmrikâ
Posted by: All Under Heaven | Feb 13 2025 10:29 utc | 246
How you think that the US and its vassals will be stronger next time escapes me.
Posted by: Roger Boyd | Feb 12 2025 20:11 utc | 87
Some posters have suggested Minsk 3. I would suggest time out 3, as in the American football time out. Minsk Agreement is more accurately described as the Minsk Time Out.
For those in the ROTW unfamiliar with the concept: A teams coach, nearing the end of a physical competition with minutes or seconds of play time left, needs to analyze the other team, plan a strategy to change the outcome, they need a minute to think and communicate with the team on the field. So they call a ‘time out’. As a metaphor this could be a matter of months or years. The Superb owl just culminated, so this meta structure of thought pattern saturates American thought. Undoubtedly Trump thinks he is the coach of the US, and winnin iz hiz thang.
Multiple tech disruptions on the horizon.
Musk is the poster boy for the Trump administration. Obviously that is where the PTB see the coming US strength. Drones would be a subset of capabilities.
The dweebs Altgirl (sister Raper) AI BIG meeting with Trump, over shadowed by Deepseek. Whoopsies. The weather forecast was sunny and clear, but then a windy thunderstorm blows in from across the Pacific.
If the bureaucracy can be drastically scaled down from it’s untracked leviathan appetites, some time can be bought to delay the Great Suppression.
The ephemeral cyber realm as a battleground of artificial dreams has become murky. The DIsnEy DEI fantasy has evaporated as a lesbian wet dream upon awakening. Only an over pampered nation state could ever comatose hallucinate a globo homo global acceptance of cross dressing gay Lords. Not that there is anything wrong with that??
Good thing we have the Catholic Heir Archy to protect us, god willing.
The bulk of humanity wants to keep living and procreating, so that primary evolutionary impulse always wins out. It’s weird anyone would ever think otherwise. It indicates the perverse sexual proclivities of the ‘rue-lers’, Gates, epSchwein, muhCrony, NuTin-yaBoo, tiny head zelenSkeet… all they want is to be loved, given and be thought of as fabulous. For them to be loving, giving and actually fabulous never crosses the empty spaces where their hearts theoretically would exist. Most other is just Goy. Hence the self imposed curse.
As Mick Jagger emphatically, knowingly stated in an MTV spot “MORE, is Never Enough!”.
The Russophiles (correctly) talk about US micamatt influence on US cyber entities, but desperately pretend that Russia and China do not do so with regard to the US. Lame lies. The suggestion is an indicator of a bought thought, whether RT, ZH.
That the major powers in the world have restrictions on exterior cyber influence says all one needs to know on the subject. It matters. Quite a bit. A gauge of how much power that country has is it’s ability to restrict outside influence.
Color revolutionize or be color revolutionized.
The US WILL have unused back doors (Stuxnet), the question for continued, or ascendant, hegemony is how far have the Chinese progressed?
Russia has questions about both the US and China capabilities.
It looks like Russia needs a time out as well. It’s existence is on the line, so yeah, they need to survey the horizon for clouds and danger. They have taken the brunt of NATOs attention the last few years, and if NATO wants to focus it elsewhere, why not make it easy for them to focus it elsewhere?
The inclusion of mideast policy in the peace process hints at why the UKrain war was instigated in the first place, as punishment for saving Assad Syria. That reason is gone, the war ends sooner.
Resource war was/is/will always be there. The potential to inflame an area, anywhere, is always there as it is part of animal human nature to be contentious and avaricious. So what causes an area to be triggered, or set aflame in a conflagration?
One can never underestimate the hold of the jEUwIS Crusade of the 20-21st century.
Centuries from now, telescoping back, it will be seen as the bain motivator of this Golden Age. The UKrain war will be a footnote.
Posted by: jopalolive | Feb 13 2025 11:37 utc | 261
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