Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
February 24, 2025
Elections In Germany: “Erst kommt das Fressen …”

In comments I was asked to write about yesterday’s elections in Germany. But I find it difficult to describe my country from its inside. There are already good reviews available and Conor Gallagher at Naked Capitalism has done a great job with this one which I highly recommend to read:

Germany Holds an Election in an Alternate RealityNaked Capitalism, Feb 24 2025

In the alternate reality of German politics the U.S. is a friend. It did not blow up the Nord Stream pipeline and it did nothing to provoke the proxy war with Russia. In the alternate reality the Weakness in the German Manufacturing Sector has not been caused by it.

In the alternate reality it is all about ‘values’.

The legendary writer Billmon had named his blog Whiskey Bar. It was a reference to the Alabama Song by Berthold Brecht. When Billmon closed the comments at his site I opened this blog as an alternative. I named it Moon of Alabama in reference to the chorus of that song.

The German election has brought another Brecht opera to my mind.

Living in their alternate reality the ruling parties in Germany have forgotten that “Fressen” (Engl.: guzzling, seizure, scoring) comes before “Moral” (Engl.: ethics, morale, values).

The voters have honored that by looking and voting for ‘alternatives’:

Berhold Brecht, Dreigroschenoper, NR. 15. ZWEITES DREIGROSCHEN-FINALE.

MAC  – Ihr Herrn, die ihr uns lehrt, wie man brav leben
Und Sünd’ und Missetat vermeiden kann,
Zuerst müßt ihr uns was zu fressen geben,
Dann könnt ihr reden: Damit fängt es an.

Ihr, die ihr euren Wanst und uns’re Bravheit liebt,
Das eine wisset ein für allemal:
Wie ihr es immer dreht und wie ihr’s immer schiebt,
Erst kommt das Fressen, dann kommt die Moral.

Erst muß es möglich sein auch armen Leuten,
Vom großen Brotlaib sich ihr Teil zu schneiden.

HINTER DER SZENE – Denn wovon lebt der Mensch?

Berhold Brecht, Three-Penny Opera, 15th ACT, II FINALE

M. – You gentlemen preach to us that honesty is the best policy.
Stay clear of sin and crookedness, you say.
First tell us how to fill our stomachs,
then you can talk, that’s how to begin.

You who have a great time getting fat while we stay honest,
learn a lesson, once and for all;
no matter how you twist and turn, no matter what you’re shooting at,
first come the eats and then the moralizing.

First the people who have nothing
must get a slice of your loaf of bread.

CROWD — On what does a person live?

I have voted for the BSW, the new party of the ‘conservative socialist’ Sarah Wagenknecht. In my view it is the only party which has understood Brecht’s warning to the rulers: Pragmatism, here: bread through peace with Russia and migration limits, must come first; before all appeals to abstract ‘values’, ethics and morale.

The still very young BSW party has received 4.97% of all votes. 13,500 votes less than needed to take the 5% hurdle and seats in the parliament. That is unfortunate but there are reasons for it:

[T]he BSW was caught off guard by the snap election. The party lacked local infrastructure and was short on cash for the campaign. It was forced to hurriedly register regional branches in order to participate in the national election.

I am optimistic that the party will continue to grow as it is currently the only real alternative in German politics.

As for other parties:  The Alternative für Deutschland, AfD, was the clear winner in these elections. It was often described as ‘hard-right’ and even compared to fascism. That has created a kind of Streisand effect and allowed for its growth. But its program and ideas remind one of the conservative Christian Democrats during the 1980s. It is avidly pro-capitalist and pro-American but, inconsistently, also pro-Russian. That has helped it win in eastern Germany.

The center-left Social Democrats were the biggest losers in these election. It is the first time since 1887(!) that it is not the number one or number two party in Germany but had to take the third place. But it is still highly likely that it will govern again as the junior partner of the Christian Democrats.

Proportional voting in Germany (no ‘first past the post’) pretty much guarantees that all German governments are based on coalitions. The need to compromise prevents radical outcomes. It leads to policies of muddling through issues rather than resolving them.

That’s not a good outlook for Germany but we will have to, again, live with it.

On a positive note: 100% of the 50 million votes, all on paper ballots, were counted within 8 hours. There was no strife.

Comments

Record loss. Bundesbank recorded the largest minus in history – Bild
The German Bundesbank announced a loss for the first time since 1979, and it turned out to be a record – 19.2 billion euros for last year. This means that for the fifth year in a row, the bank will not be able to contribute funds to the state budget, which was previously an important source of revenue for the federal government.
Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel acknowledged that the situation will remain difficult in the coming years, but expressed hope that the peak financial losses have passed.
The main reason for the losses is the sharp increase in interest rates by the European Central Bank (ECB), which began in 2022 to fight inflation. This caused the Bundesbank’s interest costs to rise, while income from previously purchased bonds remained low. In 2023, the bank was only able to avoid losses by using reserves, but by 2024 its financial reserves had shrunk to 700 million euros.
The European Central Bank itself also reported the largest loss in its history at 7.9 billion euros, confirming the severe pressure on the eurozone financial system. However, the Bundesbank says the bank remains resilient: Germany’s gold reserves have risen in value and the total value of gold and foreign currency in the bank’s assets has reached 267 billion euros.
The German finance ministry, which has previously traditionally budgeted revenues from the Bundesbank of 2.5 billion euros a year, will again go unpaid this time. The last time the losses were recorded 45 years ago, in 1979, and then they amounted to the equivalent of 2.9 billion euros. Meanwhile, the ECB expects German inflation to return to the 2% target by 2026, which should stabilize the economic situation.
@Slavyangrad

Posted by: Jo | Feb 25 2025 21:55 utc | 201

🇪🇺🇷🇺🇺🇦 Representatives of France, Germany, Italy and Spain oppose the transfer of frozen Russian assets to Ukraine – Politico
– Western investors are now concerned that anti-Russian measures could scare off foreign investors from the European Union.
– According to the publication, the transfer of frozen Russian assets to Kiev will also prevent the European Union from using them as leverage in negotiations on the Ukrainian conflict.
– In addition, Politico writes that many European officials oppose the confiscation of Russian assets because they want to use these funds to restore Ukraine.
– “The Baltic and Northern European countries believe that Russian assets should be transferred to Ukraine immediately. This position is also shared by Poland, the Czech Republic and the head of European diplomacy Kaja Kallas,” the publication says.
@Slavyangrad

Posted by: Jo | Feb 25 2025 21:56 utc | 202

🇩🇪 Merz discusses €200bn for Germany’s emergency defence fund
– Chancellor Merz is reported to have entered into talks with the Social Democrats with the goal of quickly approving additional defense spending of up to 200 billion euros.
– The publication’s sources report that officials are now looking for ways to circumvent Germany’s strict restrictions on government borrowing in order to free up resources to strengthen the country’s decrepit army, informed sources said.
@Slavyangrad

Posted by: Jo | Feb 25 2025 21:58 utc | 203

One of Merz’s first acts after winning was to invite Netanyahu to visit Germany explicitly to undermine the International Criminal Court
If a European falls off its high horse and no one is around to hear it, does it make a sound?
@Slavyangrad

Posted by: Jo | Feb 25 2025 22:00 utc | 204

@165 Dun
“Some great stuff by locals on their state of politics around Europe. I wonder if we can get some equivalent from Italy, Spain, Dutch and other ‘quisling nations’ of the collapsing fascist unipolar empire?”
Spain – De vomito

Posted by: Ornot | Feb 26 2025 1:39 utc | 205

In fact, the pro-Soviet Ukrainians who nonored Lenin voted for the preservation of the USSR in 1990. And during the Anti-Maidan, the pro-Russian crowds gathered in Leinin squares unde Lenin statues. Which is exactly what the Ukro-Nazis sought to eradicate, a symbol of Russo-Ukrainian unity.
In the end, after reading Ho Chi Minh’s description of how he joined the movement, I’d rather trust the great Vietnamese patriot and revolutionary than a raving ignoramus in the internet.
Posted by: Constantine | Feb 23 2025 14:55 utc | 396

Hi there Constantine, fellow raving ignoramus on the internet. Wait, you thought you weren’t one of us? Anyway, I knew you’re anti-DEI with your rant about Hitler wearing a pride flag armband, but I wasn’t certain what your position on migration was until I saw your latest post, which was enough for me to conclude that you’re a garden variety right-winger using socialist language to deceive others.

As for your temerity to suggest that opposition to the neoliberal immigration policies is somehow “right-wing”, well, this is one more validation why all you people are neoliberal right-wingers with socialist pretensions, hiding your reactionary views behind a fraudulent pseudo-progressive veneer, no different than the rest of the establishment swine.
Truly, the neoliberal progs are the worst vermin of the political spectrum. Fascists with American characteristics.
Posted by: Constantine | Feb 24 2025 23:54 utc | 120

Let’s hear what Lenin has to say on the subject of migration.
V. I. Lenin – Capitalism and Workers’ Immigration
https://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1913/oct/29.htm

Capitalism has given rise to a special form of migration of nations. The rapidly developing industrial countries, introducing machinery on a large scale and ousting the backward countries from the world market, raise wages at home above the average rate and thus attract workers from the backward countries.
America heads the list of countries which import workers.
The growth of immigration is enormous and continues to increase. During the five years 1905–09 the average number of immigrants entering America (the United States alone is referred to) was over a million a year. (AUH note: for context, US population grew from 76 million to 1900 to 92 million in 1910, as per Wikipedia)
It is interesting to note the change in the place of origin of those emigrating to America, Up to 1880 the so-called old immigration prevailed, that is, immigration from the old civilised countries, such as Great Britain, Germany and partly from Sweden. Even up to 1890, Great Britain and Germany provided more than half the total immigrants.
From 1880 onwards, there was an incredibly rapid in crease in what is called the new immigration from Eastern and Southern Europe, from Austria, Italy and Russia.
Germany, which is more or less keeping pace with the United States, is changing from a country which released workers into one that attracts them from foreign countries. The number of immigrants from Germany to America in the ten years 1881–90 was 1,453,000; but in the nine years 1901–09 it dropped to 310,000. The number of foreign workers in Germany, however, was 695,000 in 1910–11 and 729,000 in 1911–12.
The more backward the country the larger is the number of “unskilled” agricultural labourers it supplies. The advanced nations seize, as it were, the best paid occupations for themselves and leave the, semi-barbarian countries the worst paid occupations. Europe in general (“other countries”) provided Germany with 157,000 workers, of whom more than eight-tenths (135,000 out of 157,000) were industrial workers. Backward Austria provided only six-tenths (162,000 out of 263,0O0) of the industrial workers. The most backward country of all, Russia, provided only one-tenth of the industrial workers (34,000 out of 308,000).
Thus, Russia is punished everywhere and in everything for her backwardness. But compared with the rest of the population, it is the workers of Russia who are more than any others bursting out of this state of backwardness and barbarism, more than any others combating these “delightful” features of their native land, and more closely than any others uniting with the workers of all countries into a single international force for emancipation.
The bourgeoisie incites the workers of one nation against those of another in the endeavour to keep them disunited. Class-conscious workers, realising that the break-down of all the national barriers by capitalism is inevitable and progressive, are trying to help to enlighten and organise their fellow-workers from the backward countries.

Three years later, in 1916, Lenin returned to the question of worker migration in Imperialism, the Highest Stage of Capitalism.
https://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1916/imp-hsc/ch08.htm

One of the special features of imperialism connected with the facts I am describing, is the decline in emigration from imperialist countries and the increase in immigration into these countries from the more backward countries where lower wages are paid. As Hobson observes, emigration from Great Britain has been declining since 1884. In that year the number of emigrants was 242,000, while in 1900, the number was 169,000. Emigration from Germany reached the highest point between 1881 and 1890, with a total of 1,453,000 emigrants. In the course of the following two decades, it fell to 544,000 and to 341,000. On the other hand, there was an increase in the number of workers entering Germany from Austria, Italy, Russia and other countries. According to the 1907 census, there were 1,342,294 foreigners in Germany, of whom 440,800 were industrial workers and 257,329 agricultural workers.[10] In France, the workers employed in the mining industry are, “in great part,” foreigners: Poles, Italians and Spaniards.[11] In the United States, immigrants from Eastern and Southern Europe are engaged in the most poorly paid jobs, while American workers provide the highest percentage of overseers or of the better-paid workers.[12] Imperialism has the tendency to create privileged sections also among the workers, and to detach them from the broad masses of the proletariat.

Lenin, as it turns out, “adopt the tropes of the psaeudo-progressive neoliberals”, as the eminent MoA thinker Constantine would put it. Lenin had no love for privileged workers who could not build solidarity with the less fortunate workers – the migrant workers.
Lenin’s comment on 20th century Germany dovetails nicely with Hudson’s comment on 21st century Germany:
https://michael-hudson.com/2025/01/the-road-to-chaos-a-global-balance-of-payments-war/

So, unlike the movies, this will not end with the United States rushing in to save gullible Germany. Instead, Germany and Europe as a whole will become sacrificial offerings in our desperate but futile effort to save the US Empire. While Germany may not immediately end up with an emigrating and shrinking population like Ukraine, its industrial destruction is well under way.

Lenin unfortunately did not live long enough to see Germany regress from being a destination for immigrants to a source of emigrants. I do hope Hudson’s prediction will bear out. Germans will feel what it’s like to be driven from their homeland due to economic warfare. Perhaps (I’m not holding my breath) Germans, Europeans, and maybe even the West as whole, might learn some empathy.
My dear “raving ignoramus on the internet”, Constantine, who puts so much stock in the words of great socialists who came before you, I guess it’s time for you to cancel Lenin and Hudson. Oh wait, my very insincere apologies, “cancel culture” is such a “feminized” (as your compatriot would put it) phenomenon. Let’s go with something you won’t find repulsive: excommunication.

Posted by: All Under Heaven | Feb 26 2025 1:58 utc | 206

Reminder on what Constantine thinks about “Hitler with a pride flag armband”:

If Hitler himself was draped in a Pride flag, wore a BLM armband and utilized “woke” rhetoric, while implementing his murderous policies with the necessary care for cover up, the neoliberal progs would back him.
This is where you stand now and all your hand-wringing about an absence of a socialist party doesn’t pass the test, when you fanatically support the very tropes that have been utilized against any actual leftism (domestically and internationally).
Yet the time has finally come for those int the frontline to confront head on the poisonous legacy of the Frankfurt School and the CIA-sponsored “left”.
Posted by: Constantine | Feb 22 2025 0:34 utc | 212

In the comments under this post on Germany’s election results, there are very many AfD supporters vehemently defending AfD against accusations that AfD is right-wing. Many are suggesting that AfD is actually left-wing. I could never figure out how people could mistake AfD to be left-wing until I read Constantine’s post. Thanks Constantine!
As it turns out, Alice Weidel perfectly fits the description of a “Hitler with a pride flag armband” that the eminent MoA thinker Constantine loves to bandy about:
https://news.sky.com/story/alice-weidel-the-woman-at-the-top-of-germanys-far-right-afd-party-13312517

Alice Weidel might not be what you would expect as co-leader of the far-right Alternative for Germany party. She’s gay with a Sri Lankan partner and is not a full-time resident of the country.

Oh no, Constantine, you’re supporting a Austrian (Swiss?) Hitler with a pride flag armband!

Posted by: All Under Heaven | Feb 26 2025 2:15 utc | 207

Stalin handcuffed the Western European communists, let the UK and US destroy the communist rebels in Greece and made sure that his troops retreated to the agreed lines of division.
Posted by: Roger Boyd | Feb 24 2025 16:05 utc | 13
Stalin did everything he could to appease the Western powers, and he never shot first.
Posted by: fnord | Feb 24 2025 16:21 utc | 20

I do find it funny that Western “socialists” who have never built a movement successful enough to take power are so unreserved in their criticism of Stalin. Is this unearned air of superiority a product of Western intelligence agencies’ efforts to demonize Stalin and the USSR? Stalin has more to teach you than you might suspect.
Mao had some serious grievances with Stalin (research the history yourself), but even he could not put up with the CPSU’s de-Stalinization effort. Mao’s distaste of Stalin still earned Stalin a 30% bad and 70% good evaluation. Unfortunately, de-Stalinization came to pass. The loss in confidence in the USSR’s own system as a direct result of de-Stalinization planted the seed that would undermine the USSR from within, which ultimately led to the reactionary Perestroika and Glasnost bringing the whole system crashing down.

Posted by: All Under Heaven | Feb 26 2025 2:21 utc | 208

@10 Tuk
“The communists like Miss Wagenknecht were always good on moral (or ideology) but poor on economie”
Yes, but libertarian/capitalism (proper) does not guarantee food on the plate either. It is one of those conundrums, how to collectively guarantee a necessity but not upset the balance (of incentives for example, or a moral of non intervention).
AFD also dithers re. “Israel” , is not clear on its position, and that is not reassuring, considering almost all the rest to right are pro-“Israel”.
Then there are those that think “modern economies” are over rated anyway.
BSW sounds out an interesting direction.
I suppose idealy you would have two seperate economies, the state/co-op being one, and a free economy the other. In other words state not clawing from or dragging down enterprise, but instead with a set of working national resources.
To do that would mean a state ownership of basic supply. Not the Zimbabwe model of redistribution or the Chinese overarching state but eq. Sovereign wealth fund run as co-op within its own closed monetary system, equal redistribution. Contribution would be work or equivalent pay for the more wealthy. Set limits on required activity. That means buildings farmland etc. , and any excess generates income for investment. Say 25 % of a territory. The rest of country free market (within whatever environmental, labour, foreign participation limits etc. ) . To even think of that direction means own currency rules though. It’s just one idea, there are other ways about the same. The idea is to clearly partition different types of activity, public social vs private/free enterprise, without renouncing either.
Meanwhile EU is figuring out ways for countries to get away with spending public money on arms :
“”The countries of the European Union will have to implement in their budgets a “significant increase in national expenditure on defence”. And to do so, national escape clauses must be activated, which will allow European governments to invest in the military field without this effort being taken into account in terms of excessive deficit and fiscal stability.
The President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, made her position clear this Tuesday in a meeting with a group of media in Brussels, including EL MUNDO. And in this way she sends a message to the Spanish Government, which intends for the increase to be financed through “joint” tools at a European level, as announced by President Pedro Sánchez himself and underlined in recent days by the Minister of Economy, Carlos Cuerpo, and the Minister of Foreign Affairs, José Manuel Albares.
The presidency of the Commission does not at all renounce a “European instrument”, which it has also announced that it wants to create and which Brussels suggests could be, for example, Eurobonds for Defense.”” ElMundo translated
UK also announced large increase apparently.

Posted by: Ornot | Feb 26 2025 3:40 utc | 209

@Buenaventura | Mon, 24 Feb 2025 15:40:00 GMT | 5
A hundred years ago already Alabama’s fame reached Germany..!

Posted by: pepa65 | Feb 26 2025 6:06 utc | 210

CrossTalk: Germany’s Dead End?
https://www.rt.com/shows/crosstalk/613286-germany-elections-results-no-changes/
“Germany’s elections offered up some surprises. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) surged. The left returned a strong result – the next ruling coalition will be the same status quo parties and their policies. Not exactly change.
CrossTalking with Gunnar Beck, Eike Hamer and Tarik Cyril Amar.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Feb 26 2025 8:01 utc | 211

With all the talk about more money for rearmament I am still missing any meaningful effort to reform purchasing. Germany allocated 45 – 68 billion to the Bundeswehr each year but wasn’t even able to get boots, guns and barrels right. Apart from still fighting the last war and buying boutique drones in research quantities the infrastructure is rotting still.
Expect EU haggling about proportions, joint manufacturing, pigs at the pork barrel. Brexit will again come home to roost here.
Are we still buying the hacked TETRA technology that is broken as bought? Or do we keep custom manufacturing the old SEM that we have to build from stripped second market parts?
Well, I guess these reforms have already been successful:
https://soldat-und-technik.de/2025/02/streitkraefte/42414/pistorius-opfue/
„Wir reden längst nicht mehr über eine Zeitenwende, sondern über eine neue Epoche“
„Mit Fug und Recht lässt sich Ihre Erfolgsgeschichte unter #Beschaffungläuft zusammenfassen.“
In any case none of this will help if new material immediately gets burned in Ukraine, at least that problem might go away this summer.

Posted by: SOS | Feb 26 2025 8:48 utc | 212

Ornot:
I like your thoughts on economics (shared at least in part by others here) although I might see it differently and perhaps also disagree, but anyway such open searching and thinking is a good thing.
I do think China & the CPC are doing well but it doesn’t mean everyone has to do it the same way (and this kind of thinking is part of what enabled China to get where it is now to begin with: one can configure “the settings” exactly how one wishes to, and adjust them as one sees fit and to take into account experience and changes).
Personally I have a soft spot for commoditization of technologies.

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Feb 26 2025 13:12 utc | 213

SOS:
Yes it’s a bad joke from start to finish.
Not only in Germany. The US is horrendous on this (“cost plus” contracts galore), the Brits are lunatics (superglue submarines), and I heard something about a lack of Norwegian underpants a few years ago? Nope, “going commando” (no underwear) does not turn them into commandos 😛 (Weren’t they supposed to be rich? Paper wealth stuck in US stocks… people might recognize that smell).
😀 and/or :C
(The “Ukrainians” really had no clue what they were getting into did they? Not even the idiot nazis —the worst suckers).

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Feb 26 2025 13:23 utc | 214

Maybe it was Sweden not Norway… Denmark?

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Feb 26 2025 13:42 utc | 215

Posted by: Jo | Feb 25 2025 21:55 utc | 203
Thank you, Jo

Posted by: canuck | Feb 27 2025 12:07 utc | 216

“While the brainless dead declare NATO is dead, The American deep state is over, the EU is finished and will break free from America.”
Posted by: Sonny Alabama | Feb 25 2025 16:42 utc | 197
No, we just call you, ‘brainless’; and with each crappy post you confirm that analysis.

Posted by: canuck | Feb 27 2025 12:10 utc | 217

Posted by: All Under Heaven | Feb 26 2025 1:58 utc | 208
Don’t bother quoting Lenin anarcho-Trotskist representative of the DNC or any equivalent. We’ve seen crypto-fascist vermin like you abusing theoretical tracts to no end, posing as socialists, all the while promoting western/Anglo-American imperialism with a pseudo-progressive mask.
As expected from slimebags such as you, you butchered Lenin’s work and applied that to fictional realites to conform with your narrative. But no problem, at least in this blog, the human detritus of neoliberals with socialist pretensions isn’t having a free pass.

Posted by: Constantine | Feb 27 2025 16:15 utc | 218

Posted by: All Under Heaven | Feb 26 2025 2:15 utc | 209
And that is what marks you as a lying cunt. Nobody suggested that Weidel is a “leftist”, but her exceptionalization as something other than an extreme neoliberal that she is serves as a cover for the scum already in power. But you already know that, since this is exactly why you showed your neoliberal snout in MoA.

Posted by: Constantine | Feb 27 2025 16:26 utc | 219

Descriptions of yesterday’s events:
1. “There are decades in which nothing happens, and there are weeks in which decades happen.”
2. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vVeVcVBW_CE&t=1269s 3 minute video
3. Setup via theater in which only two actors know the script.
4. Defenestration
5. Tony Soprano-level sadistic humiliation
6. Controlling the public narrative so desired policy change can be effected and opponents of new policy rationale negated before the battle in the public space can even begin; I.e., a first strike.
7. Roy Cohen


Posted by: mjh | Mar 2 2025 1:10 utc | 220

Boyd @ 74
“ I see the attack of NED and USAID as much more of an intra-oligarchy fight, they were suffused with the old establishment woke guard courtiers. Also, a quick way to shut off funding for Ukraine. No way Trump gives up on the regime change apparatus, which is just being moved into the State Dept. and kept in the CIA for much tighter control. Also, more and more countries were passing anti foreign-NGO and foreign-media laws to blunt the colour revolution machinery.”
YES!!

Posted by: mjh | Mar 2 2025 1:15 utc | 221

We in Germany must keep voting for the BSW and demonstrate for peace regularely.

Posted by: Lily | Mar 2 2025 18:08 utc | 222