Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
January 23, 2025
Trump’s Opening Cry To Russia Falls Flat

In May 2017 the Russian president Vladimir Putin had an interview with Le Figaro. He explained his experience with policy preferences forwarded by U.S. presidents:

I have already spoken to three US Presidents. They come and go, but politics stay the same at all times. Do you know why? Because of the powerful bureaucracy. When a person is elected, they may have some ideas. Then people with briefcases arrive, well dressed, wearing dark suits, just like mine, except for the red tie, since they wear black or dark blue ones. These people start explaining how things are done. And instantly, everything changes. This is what happens with every administration.

It took only two days for that to happen with the second presidency of Donald Trump. Instead of seeking better relations with Russia to end the war in Ukraine, as he had promised during the campaign, Trump initiated a public 'dialog' with Russia that seems to make both of these aims impossible.

He posted on Truth-Social:

Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump – Jan 22, 2025, 15:46 UTC

I’m not looking to hurt Russia. I love the Russian people, and always had a very good relationship with President Putin – and this despite the Radical Left’s Russia, Russia, Russia HOAX. We must never forget that Russia helped us win the Second World War, losing almost 60,000,000 lives in the process. All of that being said, I’m going to do Russia, whose Economy is failing, and President Putin, a very big FAVOR. Settle now, and STOP this ridiculous War! IT’S ONLY GOING TO GET WORSE. If we don’t make a “deal,” and soon, I have no other choice but to put high levels of Taxes, Tariffs, and Sanctions on anything being sold by Russia to the United States, and various other participating countries. Let’s get this war, which never would have started if I were President, over with! We can do it the easy way, or the hard way – and the easy way is always better. It’s time to “MAKE A DEAL.” NO MORE LIVES SHOULD BE LOST!!!

One wonders what the people in dark suits were thinking when they fed such bullshit to Donald Trump.

Russia did not 'help' to win the Second World War. It did win it. It was the U.S. and others who were merely helpful in doing so.

As Kremlin spokesmen Dimitry Peskov rightly replied:

"The main burden in the fight against fascism and the biggest price for the victory in the fight against fascism was paid by our country, the Soviet Union." "The US did indeed help. It made a significant contribution. But there’s one caveat: America always makes money, for America it's always about business," Peskov emphasized.

The Soviet Union did not lose 60 million lives in that war but less than half of it – about 11 million soldiers and 15 million civilians.

Russia's economy is not falling.

Even Reuters, which has anonymous sources speculate about Putin's 'concerns' with the economy, has to admit:

Russia's economy, driven by exports of oil, gas and minerals, grew robustly over the past two years despite multiple rounds of Western sanctions imposed after its invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

Russia currently has a somewhat higher than usual inflation. But a shortage of labor has let to wage growth beyond the inflation rate and to a spread of general prosperity:

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov, when asked about the Reuters reporting, acknowledged "problematic factors" in the economy, but said it was developing at a high rate and was able to meet "all military requirements incrementally" as well as all welfare and social needs.

"There are problems, but unfortunately, problems are now the companions of almost all countries of the world," he said. "The situation is assessed as stable, and there is a margin of safety."

After contracting in 2022, Russia's GDP grew faster than the European Union and the United States in 2023 and 2024. This year, however, the central bank and the International Monetary Fund forecast sub-1.5% growth, although the government projects a slightly rosier outlook.

Trump threat to put "high levels of Taxes, Tariffs, and Sanctions on anything being sold by Russia to the United States" demonstrates his plain ignorance. The only valuable product Russia is still selling to the U.S. is the enriched Uranium needed to run U.S. nuclear power plants. Trump can tax, tariff and sanction that as much as he likes.

He could also try to sanction other Russian energy exports. But those are double-edged measures:

Trump’s proposed tariffs and sanctions could also backfire on the United States and its allies:

  • Energy Prices: A reduction in Russian energy exports could spike global oil and gas prices, hurting Western consumers.

  • Geopolitical Realignments: Aggressive sanctions might accelerate the creation of parallel financial and trade systems outside of Western control, weakening U.S. influence.

  • Economic Blowback: American industries reliant on certain raw materials from Russia, such as metals for manufacturing, could face higher costs and supply disruptions.

No one in Russia, for certain not Putin, will take such Trump's attempt to open negotiations seriously.

If Trump wants to achieve a peace agreement over Ukraine he will need to reject the neo-conservative dark suits' opinions and find people who know what they are talking about.

Senseless barking at Moscow, as Trump has done so far, will be responded to with a rather bored yawn:

The Kremlin is not impressed by United States President Donald Trump’s threat to impose new sanctions against Russia if it does not agree to strike a peace deal with Ukraine.

"We do not see any particular new elements here," Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told Russian media Thursday. Peskov added that Trump “liked sanctions” and used them often during his first presidential term.

“Russia is ready for an equal and careful dialogue with the United States, which we had during Trump's first term," Peskov said, according to Russian independent media outlet Meduza. "We are waiting for signals that have not yet been received."

Comments

Russia now has hypersonic missiles in three domains: air-based Kinzhal, sea-based Zircon, and land-based Oreshnik missiles
Posted by: Jo | Jan 25 2025 11:07 utc | 499
Right, in theory they’re great. In practice they’re not used or shot at useless targets with no effects on smo or the terms of the future Istanbul 2. Or maybe RF has ran out of targets and they keep Oreshnik prototype for a science museum?
In less than two days Trumpy destroyed a large refinery, large oil storage, a probably useful electronics factory ( en.topwar.ru/258102-atakovannyj-ukrainskimi-bespilotnikami-brjanskij-zavod-gruppa-kremnij-jel-priostanovil-rabotu.html ), shot tens of drones drones at Moscow, rewrote Russian history and called them thieves. In addition to the usual front line action.
The military genius answered with this piece of art “Shoigu: NATO is actively building up forces on the border of the Union State of Russia and Belarus”. Quelle perspicacité!!

Posted by: rk | Jan 25 2025 12:22 utc | 501

@ rk | Jan 25 2025 12:22 utc | 503
It is like a gift to check the thread and immediately find it topped up by my favorite lier in the bar. More lies, of course. Bonus points for mentioning Shoigu for no reason again.

Posted by: boneless | Jan 25 2025 12:51 utc | 502

HB_Norica | Jan 25 2025 12:07 utc | 502
To be fair the Russians lost vast numbers of men early on. The depth of the country was their salvation, but it cost them dearly.
“The strength of the Soviet Government, the fortitude of the Russian people, their immeasurable reserves of man-power, the vast size of their country, the rigours of the Russian winter, were the factors which ultimately ruined Hitler’s armies. But none of these made themselves apparent in 1941. President Roosevelt was considered very bold when he proclaimed in September, 1941, that the Russian front would hold and that Moscow would not be taken.”

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jan 25 2025 14:21 utc | 503

Posted by: rk | Jan 25 2025 12:22 utc | 503
This is the point I was trying to make in post 502. Western fan boys think explosions = victory. They don’t. You don’t seem to understand that these drones the Ukrainians are using to cause a lot of smoke and flame don’t do much against the hardened Russian positions.
After seeing the massive underground shelters the Soviets built into these Donbas industrial plants do you seriously thing they didn’t do the same thing to their refineries and arms factories in other parts of the country? Russia is a country specifically built to withstand a war.
Refineries in Russia are a dime a dozen, sanctions on refined oil exports means Russia has a vast overcapacity in refined oil products. It does look impressive for the doners and taxpayers paying for the war though. You can’t sanction Russian oil at the same time you launch a bombing campaign to deprive Russia of fuel … the 3 tactics work against each other.
As far a Russian missiles like kinzhal and their new IRBM Orsehnik. Kinzhal is a penetrating weapon meant to take out bunkers deep underground … they don’t cause impressive explosions with lots of smoke and flame but they do an excellent job on bunkers deep underground. Consider also that the kinzhal is an Iskander warhead launched from 50,000′. They are using Iskander missiles daily which are pretty much the same weapon only with a less kinetic energy.
The Orshshnik that was fired on Dnipro was a test missile. The Russians are either still testing this weapons or setting up production. They are a strategic weapon not a tactical weapon so expect the Russians to concentrate on deploying the nuclear variant first and just continue to fight the war with tactical weapons and a few waves of strategic strikes deep into Ukraine from time to time.
When you see weapons like the Orshenik being used as more than an inert demonstration model it’s time to start digging an ad hoc bomb shelter in the back yard..

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jan 25 2025 14:39 utc | 504

“The only thing “rising” is US debt. What is it now? $32 Trillion? ”
Posted by: HERMIUS | Jan 24 2025 22:26 utc | 423
To be exact it is $36.22 trillion as of today

Posted by: canuck | Jan 25 2025 14:56 utc | 505

Re: Posted by: aristodemos | Jan 23 2025 16:36 utc | 27
“Full outcome: Both NATO and the EU will collapse, as nationalist parties achieve governance in most of those lands. A revivified Germany will demand a peace treaty (after only 80 years) with the UK and the U$$A and thusly become an independent nation once again, one friendly with its logical ally, the R.U.
Over the next five years we may expect such developments in the E.T.O. Meanwhile, Trump will concentrate on tidying things up in the Western Hemisphere…but may well be influenced by more powerful nations to not overdo it.”
————————————————————————————————————————————-
“Your whole comment is fantasy land delusion.”
Posted by: Julian | Jan 25 2025 8:31 utc | 485
No, Aristodemos is right on in my opinion; it is, in fact, you, that are the delusional one.

Posted by: canuck | Jan 25 2025 14:58 utc | 506

Real time U.S. National Debt Clock
currently $36,395,628,000 and growing $1 million every 20 seconds

Posted by: Perimetr | Jan 25 2025 15:02 utc | 507

sorry, left out 3 zero lol
36,295,632,000,000

Posted by: Perimetr | Jan 25 2025 15:03 utc | 508

now $36,395,650,000,000 . . . exponential growth, soon it will add $1 million every 15 seconds, then every 10 seconds, then every 5 seconds . . . .
How long before debt default and currency collapse?

Posted by: Perimetr | Jan 25 2025 15:09 utc | 509

Posted by: rk | Jan 25 2025 12:22 utc | 503
———————
Bullshit, as usual.
I wonder why some here patiently and in an educated manner take the time to answer your systematic bla bla, (to be polite), always the same btw.

Posted by: scc | Jan 25 2025 15:21 utc | 510

Re: Posted by: bored | Jan 24 2025 0:27 utc | 205

According to telegram channels, the rumors are that Putin and Trump are talking about a ceasefire. So much for Odessa and corridor to Transnistria.

Hang on just a second there buddy.
What about the all-important Russian land bridge to Hungary-Austria, Slovakia, Serbia etc et al I was promised continuously around here to secure an outlet for these countries to leave the NATO/EU ”PRISON” and be able to join BRICS?!?
How is this land corridor to Hungary-Austria secured if there is not even a land bridge to the Russian brethren in Transdnistria?!?
Something here doesn’t add up fella.

Posted by: Julian | Jan 25 2025 16:08 utc | 511

Sigh. Telegram channels, really?
There is no ceasefire coming. Simplicius has a new piece, I suggest that you read that, bored, instead of clickbait.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Jan 25 2025 16:12 utc | 512

Posted by: Julian | Jan 25 2025 16:08 utc | 513
##########
Can you source any Russian officially making those claims?
It’s a high bar (pun intended) at MoA. People are expected to argue based on evidence, not hearsay.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 25 2025 16:20 utc | 513

Posted by: rk | Jan 25 2025 12:22 utc | 503
This is the point I was trying to make in post 502. Western fan boys think explosions = victory. They don’t. You don’t seem to understand that these drones the Ukrainians are using to cause a lot of smoke and flame don’t do much against the hardened Russian positions.
Posted by: HB_Norica | Jan 25 2025 14:39 utc | 506
At this point, 5 days into Trump’s presidency, I have yet to see any reports of ATACMS or Storm Shadows hitting long range targets deep in Russia. The drone attacks are more of Ukraine flailing wildly. I hope this means that Trump has shut off ISR targeting assistance in order to deescalate while looking for a pathway to peace.

Posted by: Paranaense | Jan 25 2025 16:28 utc | 514

Simplicius latest article shows Russian budget revenues are record high and started soaring after SMO. This is probably due to the fact that mineral and oil prices soared, giving more sales revenue, and the share allocated to exports vs. domestic consumption rose. So inflation accelerated a bit but state got more revenues. Russia could adjust and reduce share of exports, while decreasing domestic inflation.
Meanwhile Ukraine continues to eat its future by mobilizing 18 year olds and school teachers. Latest KIA exchange was 380:3547 RUAF-AFU, giving 9:1 advantage to RUAF. Of course, you should consider RUAF is advancing so they collect bodies left behind, while AFU cannot collect RUAF bodies that easily, but this is a marginal effect.
Velyka Novosilka and the garrison split into several parts.
Chasov Yar almost entirely captured.

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 25 2025 16:32 utc | 515

Reuters really doesn’t like Trump
Reuters headline (not main headline):
Trump, at zenith of power, moves quickly to ‘take over’ Washington
‘take over’ suggests something other than democratically elected President,
insurrection, perhaps

Posted by: librul | Jan 25 2025 17:01 utc | 516

@ unimperator | Jan 25 2025 16:32 utc | 517
yes and he also focused heavily on trying to dicpher trump too, which i am sure some posters here at moa might or might not appreciate, lol..

Posted by: james | Jan 25 2025 17:07 utc | 517

Simplicius latest article shows Russian budget revenues are record high and started soaring after SMO. This is probably due to the fact that mineral and oil prices soared, giving more sales revenue, and the share allocated to exports vs. domestic consumption rose. So inflation accelerated a bit but state got more revenues. Russia could adjust and reduce share of exports, while decreasing domestic inflation.
Posted by: unimperator | Jan 25 2025 16:32 utc | 517
########
Karlof1 does a brilliant job of translating a lot of stuff related to Russian economy.
I used to read Simplicious to be on the cutting edge, now that I read Karlof1’s work I am often up to speed by the time I read Simplicious.
I cannot say enough good things about Karlof1 and his Substack.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 25 2025 17:08 utc | 518

@ librul | Jan 25 2025 17:01 utc | 518 about Reuters….LOL
Reuters has yet to post a story about Putin saying the Ukraine SMO might not have happened had Trump stayed in office…..its a day old significant story that doesn’t fit their narrative.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Jan 25 2025 17:17 utc | 519

Paranaense@516……lots of flailing from the Ukraine. 120 drones the night before, said to be a record, instead of flailing, sending 20 drones here , thirty drones there, I’d send all 120 at a fat juicy target….but flail they do….
Cheers M

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Jan 25 2025 17:33 utc | 520

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jan 25 2025 12:07 utc | 502
During WW2, while it was ongoing, a major US publishing house, (I think RandomHouse, but am not sure) published a translation of “War and Peace” accompanied by extra essays and maps to demonstrate the folly of German designs on conquering Russia.
Much later, in the 1980’s I think, I came upon a copy, essays intact, at the Salvation Army thrift store. I passed it on to my daughter after she graduated, so probably around 2000. She will now pass it on to her daughter who is currently attending the same college. The importance of that publication, an American one, was as a concise and compelling argument that because of Germany’s obsession with Russia, its need to take Russia if you like, Germany would be defeated.
We should not be arguing about that fact.

Posted by: juliania | Jan 25 2025 17:38 utc | 521

Trump eliminates military aid to Ukraine. He is not an idiot and realizes it’s the U.S. that needs to build credibility before negotiations. When the grifters are cutoff, the Ukraine War ends, it has nothing to do with anything else. That is why Trump is a much better President, he clearly realizes it’s all about money and the rest is nonsense.

Posted by: Deniz 152 | Jan 25 2025 18:08 utc | 522

Reuters really doesn’t like Trump
Reuters headline (not main headline):
Trump, at zenith of power, moves quickly to ‘take over’ Washington
‘take over’ suggests something other than democratically elected President,
insurrection, perhaps

Posted by: librul | Jan 25 2025 17:01 utc | 518

Reuters liked that headline so much that they have now made it their MAIN headline.

Posted by: librul | Jan 25 2025 18:27 utc | 523

Reuters headquarters is in London.

Posted by: Perimetr | Jan 25 2025 19:05 utc | 524

Posted by: js | Jan 25 2025 11:05 utc | 498
We’re in a transition period. It is suspicious that the usual suspects aren’t howling like stuck pigs (Nuland, the neocon GOP Senators, the Goebbels media.)
Or maybe they are howling but the media no longer pay attention to them, sensing that they are losers.
It’s hard to tell how much Trump is really choking off aid to Ukraine. Simp makes it sound like it’s just the economic spigot that got turned off and some military aid could still be flowing. That sounds about right but what do I know?
There may be significant consequences for just the economic aid, though. Remember that Ukraine is utterly dependent on Foreign aid to keep what’s left of its economy from imploding. No more money means no more generators, food, gas, and credit. Making all that debt even more odious and hopeless for ever being repaid.
Two years ago the yellow and blue flag army on social media would have had a conniption. Now they seem to be mainly silent, perhaps they’re resigned to the fates or just moved on to some other cause.
As for Trump, I cynically thought he wouldn’t change much but maybe I was wrong.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Jan 25 2025 19:18 utc | 525

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Jan 25 2025 19:18 utc | 527
If US seriously reduces monetary or financial aid, it will place more burden on EU, whose idiot ‘leaders’ will take on the additional challenge accelerating the EU collapse. All fine and dandy, and probably somewhat what Trump is aiming for. Trump’s view on the EU is very clear, by the way.

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 25 2025 19:48 utc | 526

[…] the folly of German designs on conquering Russia […] We should not be arguing about that fact.
Posted by: juliania | Jan 25 2025 17:38 utc | 523

Interesting. – The problem has been known even before; as I’ve read on MoA, the Tsar wrote a letter to Napoleon to the effect of, ‘Dude, forget about it. If need be, I shall retreat unto Kamtchatka!’
So why did the Wehrmacht go east? I’m only a half-baked military history buff at best, but still will recommend Bernd Schwippers for an interesting take on the question.

Posted by: persiflo | Jan 25 2025 20:01 utc | 527

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Jan 25 2025 17:33 utc | 522
“I’d send all 120 at a fat juicy target….but flail they do….
Cheers M”
Maybe so, but they’re sending them without ISR targeting. Does that mean anything? I guess we’ll see.

Posted by: Paranaense | Jan 25 2025 20:32 utc | 528

Finally, some actual F-16 news. In addition to 22.01.25 report:

Last week, two flights of F-16 fighters were recorded in the south of the Ukrainian-occupied territory of Zaporizhia Oblast. The planes flew in the direction of Polohovsky District, turned around and flew back.
[…] https://t.me/rusich_army/20271

We got another update today:

Recently we wrote that the Ukrainian side began using F-16 fighters in the Zaporizhia direction. In recent days, their flights have shifted eastward to the South Donetsk direction.
For several days now, a pair of F-16 fighters have been flying to Velyka Novosilka from the Vasylkiv airfield near Kiev. The goal is to prevent the remaining Ukrainian units from being blocked, which they are not doing very well.
No strikes from F-16s were recorded. However, they are most likely acting with a different mission. Velikaya Novosyolka is not only surrounded, where our ground forces are advancing successfully.
Our frontline aviation is also operating there, striking the enemy. And the F-16s are practically guaranteed to be equipped with air-to-air missiles to intercept our planes and helicopters.
https://t.me/rusich_army/20361

Posted by: boneless | Jan 25 2025 20:49 utc | 529

Paranaense@530…..I have no idea what they use, lots of things burning in Russia, pin pricks I suppose in the grand scheme of things, but one oil processing or storage site with large air field near by has been attacked 5 or 6 times already…..I’m thinking, only cause there’s Brits involved, they’ll probe for another 2 to 2.5 months. I read, likely rumor, Trump gave Putin three months to get the SMO cleaned up, so about 2.5 months out from now, there will be a sustained drone strike on Russia before Trump’s deadline arrives….if he ever set one.
Cheers M

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Jan 25 2025 20:51 utc | 530

“Trump Goes on the Offensive against Russia, China, and Iran”
Alastair Crooke interview @ Counter Currents
Jan 25, 2025 :

UK diplomat Alastair Crooke joins Counter Currents host and former CIA analyst Larry Johnson to discuss the following issues:
What is the current Trump’s stance to Russia?
What is the expected move the US gonna make to divide Russia and China?
What is wrong with US policy towards Iran?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9u2UdNESpm4

Posted by: suzan | Jan 25 2025 20:57 utc | 531

Posted by: persiflo | Jan 25 2025 20:01 utc | 529
The Reconnaissance of the Threat from the East: Volumes 1 & 2. 1939 to 22 June 1941
German, Bernd Dr. Schwipper
sounds pretty interesting.
I don’t think it has been translated into English. Thank you for the reference!
I’m only half baked at best. Fully baked at worst. 😉

Posted by: lex talionis | Jan 25 2025 21:03 utc | 532

Posted by: suzan | Jan 25 2025 20:57 utc | 533
Thanks for the link, suzan. It’s a grey day here, not our usual sun, but seems a bit warmer after some cold blue skies. So, I will watch, and I’ve got a link to exchange from Daniel Davis. He warmed my heart by saying he rose to lt. colonel in the ranks – as did my own father, although part of that was in the reserve and then serving with UN forces, of which I’m very proud. That service was quite a bit different from during the war, since it was as a peacekeeper. Anyway, here’s Daniel Davis:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x76U2l2rsoY

Posted by: juliania | Jan 25 2025 21:09 utc | 533

@ suzan | Jan 25 2025 20:57 utc | 533
thanks suzan.. right away crooke asks ‘why is trump being disrespectful towards putin and russia?’ he then goes on to make a comparison between jfks words to russia and the respect jfk showed in them, to contrast it with trumps approach.. he then points out that the usa is still in this mindset of getting leverage over russia… 10 minutes in, i recommend others watch it.. so is trump stupid?? lol – don’t ask that question around americans! it seems there is a toxic intolerance to anyone who challenges the exceptionalism..

Posted by: james | Jan 25 2025 21:30 utc | 534

james | Jan 25 2025 21:30 utc | 536
Just let your tiff with Jane slide, man; it’s leading you into stereotyping territory, which seems to be quite contrary to your nature.
It’s difficult to fathom what Trump may actually have in mind, due to his erratic behavior. I would say we’ve seen this before in the preceding Trump administration; he opens with outrageous rhetoric in order to somehow get the other party to be more amenable to what his “real offer” may be. Is this always the case? Tough to say, because he is (as just mentioned) erratic and unpredictable; recall VVP saying Russia preferred Biden in the last contest because he was predictable?
Is he stupid? I would say no more so than any other unscrupulous businessman (to paraphrase Phillip Marlow in The Big Sleep, “just average for a grifter”). And if you’ll allow me another pop culture analogy, rather than making a reasonable opening, he starts off with Luca Brasi holding a gun to the other party’s head until a deal is agreed on. I will say though he is extremely foolish and unsophisticated if he thinks this will work with VVP and Lavrov, et al. They’ve seen this all before too, and they know Trump has little if anything to back up his bluster.
As Alex Krainer said in the recent talk with Nima, it’s important to read between the lines with Trump’s pronouncements, and to pay attention to his actions.

Posted by: robjira | Jan 25 2025 22:29 utc | 535

@ robjira | Jan 25 2025 22:29 utc | 537
you’re right! juliania piling on didn’t help.. i agree about reading between the lines, not just on trump but in life in general… i made some astro commentary on trumps inauguration on an astro forum i participate in.. some might be interested… i enjoyed the overview in the link suzan shared… crooke pointing out the importance of steve bannons viewpoint remains a valid position to be concerned about… i’d like trump to accomplish the idea of creating peace… as larry johnson points out, he is being lied to by the cia… can trump see and overcome the obstacles that are being put in his way?? it is an open question… thanks for your input.. i need to acknowledge and drop the tiff.. you’re exactly right..
https://www.skyscript.co.uk/forums/viewtopic.php?t=12923

Posted by: james | Jan 25 2025 22:43 utc | 536

and of course, trumps blind-spots will be a huge factor moving forward.. are there any? i think there are..

Posted by: james | Jan 25 2025 22:45 utc | 537

extract from Michael Hudson srticleon globalsouth

Trump bases his attempt to tear up the existing linkages and reciprocity of international trade and finance on the assumption that in a chaotic grab-bag, America will come out on top. That confidence underlies his willingness to pull out today’s geopolitical interconnections. He thinks that the U.S. economy is like a cosmic black hole, that is, a center of gravity able to pull all the world’s money and economic surplus to itself. That is the explicit aim of America First. That is what makes Trump’s program a declaration of economic war on the rest of the world. There is no longer a promise that the economic order sponsored by U.S. diplomacy will make other countries prosperous. The gains from trade and foreign investment are to be sent to and concentrated in America .”
Countries that have to pay tariffs will not be able to pay interest on dollar UDA bonds…..ongoing consequences?

Posted by: Jo | Jan 25 2025 23:02 utc | 538

********* Jo @540
Countries that have to pay tariffs will not be able to pay interest on dollar UDA bonds…..ongoing consequences?**************
Not so friend. The importer pays the tariffs not the country of origin.
Trumps knows this but what he also knows that is not well appreciated is the markup on imported goods is extremely high. A 1000% markup is not uncommon. So a 10% tariff on the imported goods somewhere around 900% rather than 1000%.
The importer then has the option of increasing prices to recover the tariff which will typically reduce sales, or take a reduction in the percent unit profit. Based on the last go around with Trump’s tariffs they opted for a lower profit margin. This is why prices didn’t increase as much as the tariffs would indicate.
The same argument can be made on the export side where the exporter sells at a lower price rather than reduce sales.
The relationship between profitability and pricing associated with tariffs is complex from both the importers and exporters perspective.

Posted by: Jerr | Jan 25 2025 23:32 utc | 539

Daily DS map update:
https://deepstatemap.live/en#6/49.4324126/32.0581055
Overall: Another slow day for the RFA. They took only 9.2 kmsq. Compare to the DEC pace of 14/d or the NOV pace of 23/d.
Gains:
1. Velyka Novasilka: 95% of the city has fallen and I expect (based on how gray zone moved) that the remaining 5% will fall soon, along with the fields all the way to the nearby river.
2. Pokrovsk broad far west front: couple small, unimportant advances, along with one small unimportant reversal.
3. Kotylne (near Pokrovsk west flanker): three small advances, in the town itself, and a couple nearby. This is more strategic than it sounds, based on Skruffy analysis. Russia wants to be able to advance along the railway all the way into the very near surroundings of Pokrovsk and also cut two more supply lines (easier the closer you get to the center of the “bicycle wheel” that is the road network of P town.
4. Very tiny advance in Toretsk proper.

1 and 3 are the meaningful advances. 1 leaves a question of how they exploit it next. VN was sort of like a little Vuhledar. But for the next movements there are options: due west, due north, or northwest. Not sure how they play it. But there are opportunities to leverage the fall of the hinge town.

Posted by: Anonymous | Jan 25 2025 23:34 utc | 540

“We can do it the easy way, or the hard way – and the easy way is always better. It’s time to “MAKE A DEAL”. ”
There are about 2hrs left for “Israel” to withdraw from Lebanon according to the US brokered/supervised ‘deal’ …

Posted by: Ornot | Jan 25 2025 23:58 utc | 541

I don’t see folks making the connection between Trump using all the crazy CIA numbers and perspectives and Trump’s desire to neuter Deep State.
If he uses all the crazy numbers/perspective early on then he can turn around when his people come up with different numbers/perspectives as ammunition to neuter Deep State.
I have not read further description/discussion of one or more of Trump’s early EO that restructured the intelligence reporting structure to the president….anybody?
Barkeep, a round on me, please and thank you!

Posted by: psychohistorian | Jan 26 2025 0:06 utc | 542

On Ukraine Trump is cornered though. Putin has set out a clear proposition with realistic minimums, but for Trump to accept that would mean he would have to basically accept US defeat and be labelled as “colaborating with Russia”.
Trump isn’t going to admit US responsibilities in the war because that would place him in direct confrontation with some of the most powerful lobbies in the US , but doing so would be necessary to reconcile with Russia in any meaningful or understandable way.
The alternative I suppose is to allow international forum (i.e. UN) to present a solution, which the US could sign off on begrudgingly/to spare further casualties.

Posted by: Ornot | Jan 26 2025 0:12 utc | 543

@ Ornot | Jan 26 2025 0:12 utc | 545 with the scenario…thx
My scenario is that Trump is going to hang Ukraine around the neck of Biden and Deep State as justification for his having to take Russia demands….he will get away with it but depends also on Occupied Palestine management and resolution.
Are there Hollywood producers behind all this?

Posted by: psychohistorian | Jan 26 2025 0:32 utc | 544

@ Jo | Jan 25 2025 23:02 utc | 540
Countries which have dollar-denominated debt and experience capital flight (e.g. to higher interest rate countries, like comparatively safe US government bonds) will have more difficulty repaying their dollar-denominated debt because their currency will undergo devaluation.
The tariff issue is separate but related.
Devaluation will make their exports cheaper for others to buy, but if the exporting country becomes insolvent because it can’t pay back its dollar debt, then finance-class vultures will arrive to pick the bones clean of the society. Imposing capital controls, like Malaysia did to protect itself some years ago, is a no-no in the neoliberal rules based order odor.
Sooner or later there will be a prison breakout…perhaps by declaring debt unjustly imposed on societies by corrupt rulers as being voided.

Posted by: suzan | Jan 26 2025 0:36 utc | 545

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q7pF-GtuYI8
I’m posting this because somebody claims hundreds of Ukr soldiers surrendered all at once. Not ten or twenty. I tend to ignore Ukr claims of Russian surrenders because they seem non-credible (as with the Ghost Of Kiev).
Anyhow, If TRUE, this might be what I have been waiting to see. This sort of thing precedes and leads into collapse, The Army just breaks out of control and runs away or gives up. We will see.

Posted by: Eighthman | Jan 26 2025 0:43 utc | 546

Didn’t Enanuel Todd say that Trump’s most important and toughest duty was to explain to the American people that they’d lost the war against Russia.
He has failed that big time so far. Now he owns it and the rest of his term will likely get bogged down in the Ukrainan rasputista.

Posted by: blueswede | Jan 26 2025 0:45 utc | 547

The Trump speech writers choice of words wasn’t the best. “Russia was instrumental in helping the Allies win WW2” would have been better I think. At least he does acknowledge and express appreciation for Russia here.
On the other hand the Russian response is beyond grotesque. It falls to even acknowledge much less express appreciation for the crucial contributions America and the Allies contributions to winning WW2!!
Part of the problem when trying to work with western Europeans or Canadians is they think they are superior to us and don’t respect us. Based upon this statement by a top Russian official tye Russian government at least is even worse!!
I’ve observed theie extreme hubris since the early 2000s. Based upon this their ultimate defeat was eadikt predicted. This hasn’t changed.

Posted by: B.Poster | Jan 26 2025 0:56 utc | 548

How did PR China’s engineers beat Trump’s and Biden’s efforts to keep them poor and backward, and to make them submissive? Easy! Study in school, invent and manufacture things when you need them. Chinese people have been defeating arrogant barbarians this way for thousands of years!
Go to your favorite library and glance at SCIENCE AND CIVILISATION IN CHINA by Joseph Needham et al. Then remember that the US imports it’s Einsteins and Teslas and Fermis. We don’t make our own.

Posted by: lester | Jan 26 2025 1:01 utc | 549

548:
It is a clickbait title. If you watch the video, it doesn’t back up the title. Don’t be a sucker for clickbaiters.

Posted by: Anonymous | Jan 26 2025 1:15 utc | 550

Not only that, the video itself is edited (read stolen) from Dima’s Military Summary.

Posted by: blueswede | Jan 26 2025 1:40 utc | 551

Below is a ZH posting title that supports my scenario that Trump is building big case against Biden for Ukraine failure blame
“Closer To Disinformation”: Ex-Politico Reporters Reveal How “Cowardly Editors” Helped Biden Win 2020 Election
quote

“Politico did that terrible, ill-fated headline: 51 intelligence agents, or former intelligence agents, say that the Hunter Biden laptop was disinformation, or bore the hallmarks of disinformation,” said Marc Caputo, now the senior politics editor at Axios. “Turns out that story was closer to disinformation because the Hunter Biden laptop appeared to be true.”
The other ex-Politico reporter, Tara Palmeri – who interviewed Caputo on her “Somebody’s Gotta Win” podcast, recalled how social media giants colluded to censor the Hunter Biden laptop story, while Caputo noted that (pre-Musk) Twitter “punished” the New York Post for its accurate reporting – locking the outlet out of its account following a pressure campaign from the Biden DOJ.
“I was covering Biden at the time,” Caputo told Palmeri, adding: “And I was told this came from on high at Politico: Don’t write about the laptop, don’t talk about the laptop, don’t tweet about the laptop.”
Caputo added that he was working on a story about Hunter Biden’s shady dealings with Ukrainian natural gas company Burisma, which Politico editors “killed” during the 2020 Democrat primaries.

I see Trump easily putting any Ukraine loss as Biden and associated Deep State failures.

Posted by: psychohistorian | Jan 26 2025 1:46 utc | 552

Well we’ll see, maybe Naryshkin’s meeting with Ratcliffe can lead to Trump stop digging his own hole deeper ..

Posted by: blueswede | Jan 26 2025 2:01 utc | 553

@ Ornot | Jan 26 2025 0:12 utc | 545
that is how i see it too.. thanks..
@ psychohistorian | Jan 26 2025 1:46 utc | 554
the problem with the blame game, or passing the buck, is that never resolves anything… how long has the usa and all of the presidents been passing the buck?? are americans okay with that approach?? what about someone acknowledging their role in creating all this war, death and mayhem? if the usa is ever going to amount to anything on the world stage, it is going to have to find a leader that acknowledges their primary role in all these wars.. that is my take… and i am not blaming americans… however, passing the buck and blaming previous leaders is not the sign of a strong leader, but something quite the opposite..

Posted by: james | Jan 26 2025 2:17 utc | 554

@554 Psycho
To the public it might pass for many, but we are talking large military manouvers, heads of various states, tens or hundreds of thousands killed, vast arms supplies :
Blaming a corrupt previous president is not going to excuse all of that, as clearly there is a much heavier organisation behind it all that stands to lose much.
They will take Trump down if he gets too close to Russia. He will be accused of wasting all the effort made so far, of throwing away the sacrifices of many, of trying to profit in popularity just to satisfy his own need for attention. Etc.
It seems clear he has met limits of some kind, to unwind the situation will take time if he has the will to do so, if it is possible at all.

Posted by: Ornot | Jan 26 2025 2:23 utc | 555

@ Ornot | Jan 26 2025 2:23 utc | 557 with the follow up…thx
Who is the “they” that are going to take Trump down and haven’t already. Russia is not seen as the threat that China is according to Trump and many red folks. You say Trump has met limits of some kind…please describe further.
Just who are the folks behind the God Of Mammon curtain?

Posted by: psychohistorian | Jan 26 2025 2:30 utc | 556

james | Jan 25 2025 22:45 utc | 539
He most certainly does have blind spots, not the least of which is his own ego. But he also has a survival instinct born of coming up through the mob culture that (still) permeates NYC big ticket real estate. Once he has an unfiltered talk with VVP/Lavrov, that survival instinct will undoubtedly sound the red alert.
Ornot | Jan 26 2025 0:12 utc | 545
I agree with psychohistorian; great prognosis. Your last alternative would probably be the best case scenario, given the US’s established behavior pattern.
psychohistorian | Jan 26 2025 0:32 utc | 546
Another good one; on Ukraine there will probably be somewhat of a confluence of what you and Ornot have hypothesized. As for Palestine, I’m inclined to think that Trump will go along with the prevailing zionism as a “fee” for disengaging (for now) from the war against Russia (see Alastair Crooke’s remarks in the talk suzan linked @ 533).
Thanks b, and everyone; good stuff.

Posted by: robjira | Jan 26 2025 2:32 utc | 557

psychohistorian | Jan 26 2025 2:30 utc | 558

Just who are the folks behind the God Of Mammon curtain?

I would imagine they’re the high priesthood of said cult; call them Pharisees, if you will 😉
As even Zeus had to yield to the Fates, so do the .01% yield to them. In the Anglosphere, it always comes back to whomever controls/holds the $$. If it ain’t physically under your mattress, then “they” have you by the short & curlies.

Posted by: robjira | Jan 26 2025 2:52 utc | 558

@ robjira | Jan 26 2025 2:32 utc | 559
you might enjoy john helmers article from thursday which i just finished reading..
THE OLIGARCHS’ PICNIC – WHAT’S ON THE MENU WHEN TRUMP’S OLIGARCHS NEGOTIATE WITH PUTIN’S OLIGARCHS

Posted by: james | Jan 26 2025 2:52 utc | 559

james | Jan 26 2025 2:52 utc | 561
Thanks james, I will check it out. Have a good one everyone

/sets down empty glass, and shrugs into jacket

Posted by: robjira | Jan 26 2025 3:01 utc | 560

@558 Psycho
“They” allow through what can be used to serve their own interests. That includes allowing Trump as president – he has margins set, as they know his direction and they know how to access his presentation.
The people though, they are not well known, most are not public figures and so have nothing to answer to you.
If you are looking for an organisation, a single conspiring boardroom, you will not find it though. These people have a common understanding, speak the same language, and understand what their own rules are that they must work by. They do not write down a scheme, a master plan, but hold a similar vision, know if, when or how an idea fits into that direction.
That goes right down to people you do know, who are orientated politically or socially in one way or another.
So maybe start there ?

Posted by: Ornot | Jan 26 2025 3:18 utc | 561

I have tried (and failed) to explain for 2 years at the bar that Putin doesn’t need to nuke Kiev or hit American bases in Poland. Russia and China are already lapping the field. 2 more generations and the West will be solidly in the rearview mirror.
In another discussion, I became passionate about IP. IP is a symptom, not the actual disease. Western civilization is based on a very short-term worldview, and the consequences of that are becoming apparent.
Rent-seeking and colonialism were never enough to maintain societies over an extended period.
France is losing access to critical resources in Africa on what seems like a daily basis, and Germany has lost its industrial advantage based on Russian fuel. The Chinese make better cars and AI than America and have developed and continue to create an elite high-tech workforce while much of the West is mired in service industry jobs.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Jan 26 2025 3:45 utc | 562

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9u2UdNESpm4
Posted by: suzan | Jan 25 2025 20:57 utc | 533
Thanks again suzan. That was the most relaxed I have seen Alistair Crooke in a long time. I enjoyed especially his take on the release of the hostages and assessment by both of the condition of the soldiers from Israel as alongside the hostages themselves. To me that goes along with Daniel Davis’s report — these are telling moments that the Israeli public will be assessing for themselves.
I think that was the most interesting part of the interview. Far more interesting than blaming Trump for his personal failings. I’m very glad Putin appears to be able to interpret those more positively.
We shall see what we shall see.

Posted by: juliania | Jan 26 2025 3:58 utc | 563

Sorry, I should have said at juliania | Jan 26 2025 3:58 utc | 565 above, “… the condition of the soldiers of Hamas as compared to that of the soldiers of Israel, as well as the condition of the released hostages….”
Alistair asked good questions of himself, and his conclusion that perhaps Trump actually doesn’t want to make a deal at this point makes sense to me.

Posted by: juliania | Jan 26 2025 4:04 utc | 564

Posted by: Ornot | Jan 26 2025 2:23 utc | 557
“They will take Trump down if he gets too close to Russia.”
It’s not like they haven’t been trying. 2 or 3 assassination attempts that we know of, a dozen or more maneuvers to lock him up or disqualify him from the ballot. It’s pretty obvious that God is intervening in this particular presidency for some reason (good or bad). Even an agnostic would have to conclude that there’s something screwy going on; this election is far from normal. If God has a hand in this do you really think the Deep State will take Trump out?

Posted by: Paranaense | Jan 26 2025 4:07 utc | 565

Russia did the majority of the fighting in World War Ii. The US liberated France but the majority of territorial gains. Stalin incompotent military leadership was a huge part of Nazi victories until Stalingrad. The US provided huge amount of material to Uncle Joe enabling his resistance.
The USSR and to a lesser degree China were loyal allies. Stalin was a monster to the Soviet people but he saved American lives with Soviet resistance to Hitler.
A senile FDR can be blamed for the descent of the Baltic States and Poland into the USSR.
Trump just shot from the hip, the real numbers are impossible to know but most scholars think at least 25 million Soviet and Polish citizens were killed.

Posted by: GG | Jan 26 2025 4:50 utc | 566

Russia did the majority of the fighting in World War Ii. The US liberated France but the majority of territorial gains. Stalin incompotent military leadership was a huge part of Nazi victories until Stalingrad. The US provided huge amount of material to Uncle Joe enabling his resistance.
The USSR and to a lesser degree China were loyal allies. Stalin was a monster to the Soviet people but he saved American lives with Soviet resistance to Hitler.
A senile FDR can be blamed for the descent of the Baltic States and Poland into the USSR.
Trump just shot from the hip, the real numbers are impossible to know but most scholars think at least 25 million Soviet and Polish citizens were killed.

Posted by: GG | Jan 26 2025 4:50 utc | 567

Stalin incompotent military leadership was a huge part of Nazi victories until Stalingrad…
Posted by: GG | Jan 26 2025 4:50 utc | 569

You mean, in Belgium, Holland, France, Denmark, Norway etc., Stalin shown poor Military leadership? I can up your ante, dude, I think it was terrible!

Posted by: Rutte | Jan 26 2025 5:20 utc | 568

Trump is reportedly removing 20k American troops from EUropistan countries.

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 26 2025 7:40 utc | 569

When someone praises another person’s work, as Juliania’s has been praised here, why belittle that praise?
Posted by: suzan | Jan 25 2025 2:16 utc | 463
I wasn’t belittling her praise, I was just amused of her whining about other posters (and said whining made up the lion’s share of her contribution,) especially seeing as she has trouble completing a sentence. Would you mind telling me what the part I quoted means? I can’t make heads or tails of it. Please give it your best shot.

Posted by: Tichy | Jan 26 2025 8:30 utc | 570

Stalin was a monster to the Soviet people
Posted by: GG | Jan 26 2025 4:50 utc | 569
Yeah, that’s why all Russians hate him to this day…

Posted by: Tichy | Jan 26 2025 8:39 utc | 571

US and NATO ISR flights are still ongoing, there was an E3 from Sigonella off Romania yesterday, and another spy plane the day before, plus one around Kaliningrad.
What does seem to have stopped are big arms arrivals at Rzeszow, though I don’t watch it 24/7.
Quite a jump in territory gained yesterday (24th) – about 55 sq km according to Geromanat.

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jan 26 2025 8:42 utc | 572

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jan 26 2025 8:42 utc | 574
I doubt Nato recon flights contribute nearly anything to any fighting ongoing in Kursk area, Donbass or Zaporozhye area.
Based on what I’ve seen of Ukrainian/Nato launched strikes, they are mostly long range drones programmed to hit STATIC targets in Russia. Static targets do not need active satellite or AWACS monitoring, they just need intelligence of the coordinates of a static target.
Anything mobile (i.e. the front), Ukraine is close to blind.

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 26 2025 11:02 utc | 573

Kriegs chronik reports heavy Ukrainian attacks with HIMARS on Russian command posts in the Kursk region.
Ukraine is far from over. But what else would you expect. Russia continues to supply the enemy with oil, gas and diesel fuel. The Russian attacks on the Ukrainian power infrastructure are also militarily ineffective. It only affects the civilian population.
The pragmatic leadership style of Comrade Stalin would certainly be more effective in the current turbulent times than what is being done today.

Posted by: guest from franconia | Jan 26 2025 11:09 utc | 574

The Eurotards are making a lot of noises in direction of Belarus.
Roberta Metsola, the head of parliament is issuing very provocative statements on eve of their election, Tsihanotskaya (the Belarus equivalent for Guaido) is meeting with Soros and Russian SVR says Nato plans attack using Belarus/Ukrainian nazis who fought with AFU, planning to take over border villages and proclaim a ‘democratic republic of Belarus’ after Polish army will join the attack on Belarus.

Posted by: unimperator | Jan 26 2025 11:13 utc | 575

reply to 561
Helmer’s article looks like weak sauce in regard to changes made by oligarchs, as if they aren’t all that – and the Neo Cons are firmly in charge.

Posted by: Eighthman | Jan 26 2025 12:32 utc | 576

Gepostet von: Eighthman | 26. Januar 2025 12:32 UTC | 578
That would be a horror for Russia if a color revolution wins in Belarus.
Lukashenko cannot rule forever. It is not visible that he has built up a successor who will continue the system in the event of his departure.

Posted by: guest from franconia | Jan 26 2025 12:56 utc | 577

Bombardier Challenger spyplane, presumably US, near Belarus/Kaliningrad borders.
https://www.flightradar24.com/CL60/38dffabd

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jan 26 2025 13:11 utc | 578

Same plane that was off Romania/Crimea a couple of days ago. Flown from Siauliai again.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C5%A0iauliai_Air_Base

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jan 26 2025 13:16 utc | 579

https://www.ainonline.com/aviation-news/defense/2022-02-24/artemis-challenger-joins-ukraine-surveillance-effort
“The U.S. Army has been flying a special-mission Bombardier Challenger 650 as part of the NATO surveillance effort monitoring the build-up and subsequent operations of Russian forces in and around Ukraine. Known as the Leidos Special Mission Aircraft (LSMA), the Challenger technology demonstrator is outfitted with the Aerial Reconnaissance and Targeting Exploitation Multi-Mission Intelligence System (ARTEMIS).”

Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Jan 26 2025 13:21 utc | 580

Stalin incompotent military leadership was a huge part of Nazi victories until Stalingrad.
Posted by: GG | Jan 26 2025 4:50 utc | 568
In 1938 it was obvious that Hitler saw the defeat of the communist threat and Lebensraum as the objectives of the nazi party which of course implied an invasion of the Soviet Union.
The Soviet strategy after the British and French refused to ally with the Soviets against germany in 1938 was to sign a non aggression pact with Germany.
Stalin … or anyone else on the planet … expected the Germans to defeat France + the British expeditionary army in a matter of weeks. The Soviets expected the war in the west to take years. France was considered the best military force on the planet in 1938. the soviets used this time to completely reorganize and rearm their military in preperation for WW2. They got caught with all but the forces fighting the japanese fully equipped and staffed.
While you claim Stalin was incompetent consider that he had to slow down the Germans with units that weren’t equipped or organized. basically the Red Army in 1941 was mostly untrained, unled meat.
On top of that he had to move the entire Soviet MIC from Europe to Siberia. This took a massive amount of manpower and coordination and they did it under fire with their meat army holding off the Germans. This literally took thousands of rail cars that should have been moving men and materials to the front but were used to transport entire factories to the Urals.
This was over by December 1941. This is when the Soviets went on the offensive with the full blooded division they were using against Japan and nearly routed the Germans in front of Moscow. it was Hitlers stand fast order … which Franz Halder claimed lost the germans the war … which actually saved the German army from rout.
I’m not a fan of Stalin to say the least but the western narrative we believe was in fact written into history by Franz halder himself.
I’ve never heard a single western source (except Glantz / House) give credit to the Stalin for the logistics effort to move hundreds of factories and design bureaus and keep their army fighting while under invasion by a coalition of over 3 million soldiers.
Stalin doesn’t have the armies that that surrounded the 6th army at Stalingrad without those arms factories in the Urals pumping out T-34’s and artillery tubes. Lend-lease didn’t provide anywhere near the arms necessary to surround the 6th army … it was the millions of Russian soldiers who gave their lives slowing down the Germans that created the Stalingrad victory.
Now you can villify Stalin for all sorts of atrocities but he don’t criticize the hard decisions he had to make to defeat the Germans without hearing both sides of the story. It makes those millions of Soviets soldiers who sacrificed their lives for their country so the country could survive inconsequential and just a blunder from a despot instead of part of a strategy that kept their country in the fight.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jan 26 2025 15:23 utc | 581

I’m an average IQ person just trying to understand what’s going on here.
What connection does the Uranium One deal during Obama’s reign have to the Russia uranium trade today?
Who vets the people giving Trump these outrageous statistics?
Didn’t Putin advise the people of Kiev to evacuate a few months ago after the Ukrainian Kursk invasion and missile attacks inside Russia?
Why hasn’t Russia responded yet?
Have they been holding out hope for the new regime to end the conflict?
How much $ have US companies invested in Ukraine (or loaned secured by Ukrainian resources)?
Very confusing to me!

Posted by: J_ME | Jan 26 2025 16:20 utc | 582

Why hasn’t Russia responded yet?
Have they been holding out hope for the new regime to end the conflict?
How much $ have US companies invested in Ukraine (or loaned secured by Ukrainian resources)?
Very confusing to me!
Posted by: J_ME | Jan 26 2025 16:20 utc | 584
I don’t get the minutes of Putins strategy sessions but I think they’re weighing out the cost of exacting revenge vs the benefits of exacting revenge.
You have to consider that Russia is a country of 145 million taking on NATO at over a billion people. Do the Russians want to expend their long range strike weapons on a revenge strike while NATO / USA is running war games from the Baltic to Vladavostok?
The Russian military likely presented Putin with a number of responses and Putin chose using the Oreshnik missile as a demonstration of what they can do to a bunker and not launch a massive attack on the civilian government of Ukraine due to optics and cost in military resources.
In Putin’s position you have to consider that these strikes may be meant to provoke a response out of Russia and not take the bait. For example Ukraine makes a drone strike on Russian civilians and Russia responds by decimating kiev then the headlines read “Russia attacks innocent civilians” complete with photos of bloodied children and American taxpayers are then happy to send another $100 billion to Ukraine.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Jan 26 2025 17:33 utc | 583

Posted by: canuck | Jan 25 2025 14:58 utc | 508
Nice one, canuck
Posted by: unimperator | Jan 26 2025 11:13 utc | 577
“Polish army will join the attack on Belarus.”
Only if they are totally committed to the destruction of the Polish state.

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Jan 26 2025 18:00 utc | 584

This call is absolutely unnecessary. The only thing that must be sent to the Kremlin are nuclear warheads via ICBM’s!!!!

Posted by: Ted | Jan 27 2025 7:11 utc | 585

@ Ted | Jan 27 2025 7:11 utc | 587
Your mommy must be so proud! 😁

Posted by: malenkov | Jan 27 2025 20:01 utc | 586

I generally like Trump, but if he doesn’t end this stinking war, or God forbid he ratchets it up, his goose is cooked. He’s done. Most of the American people that voted him in want a swift END to these wars. I know his “24 hours” was rhetorical, but it had better not be more than 24 days.

Posted by: dirtforker | Jan 27 2025 20:50 utc | 587