Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
December 15, 2024
Ukraine Open Thread 2024-300

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

Opps forgot the Holy Grail of medical conditions the Veterans suffer from….PTSD.
Cheers M

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Dec 16 2024 15:15 utc | 201

Putin speaks at the board of the Ministry of Defense…
Here are some numbers:
From Belousov’s statement:
– This year, almost 4.5 thousand square kilometers of territory occupied by the enemy were liberated
– this year alone, the losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces exceeded 560 thousand killed and wounded servicemen, and the total losses amounted to almost 1,000,000 people
– in the Kursk adventure alone, the enemy lost more than 40 thousand servicemen
.
Currently, our troops use more than 3,500 drones per day, and this number is constantly growing (c) Belousov
– Russian air defense has
shot down 86 Storm Shadow and Scalp missiles, 215 ATACMS, 1629 HIMARS shells and more than 27 thousand drones in 2024
. Compared to 2022, the supply of modernized tanks in combat has increased by 7 times, infantry vehicles and armored personnel carriers by 3 times, unmanned vehicles by 23 times, artillery ammunition by 22 times
.
Putin and Belousov actually once again voiced the conditions of the Russian Federation for starting peace negotiations.
1. Taking into account the realities on the ground – that is, minus 4 regions for Ukraine. Within the limits for 2014. Russia does not give up Zaporozhye and Kherson.
2. The points of the Istanbul agreements that are worse for Ukraine (denazification, neutralization, demilitarization)
3. If Ukraine refuses negotiations, these conditions will worsen in the future.
4. If negotiations are refused, Russia will achieve its goals by military means, and the reality on the ground for Ukraine will worsen.
.
1. In 2024, another 527,000 people have voluntarily signed up for the contract (the number will increase slightly as the year is not over yet).
Feedback geben
Seitenleisten
Verlauf
Gespeichert

Posted by: ossi | Dec 16 2024 15:15 utc | 202

Panto season has truly arrived in this thread.

Posted by: ChatNPC | Dec 16 2024 15:16 utc | 203

Wow. Moscow’s latest figures on Ukraine’s losses (defined as killed or wounded) is 560,000 over just 2024 and “over 1 million since 2022”. Estimates are 200k AFU desertions this year alone.
Zelensky’s latest numbers were 43,000 killed since 2022. Lmao.
I can’t wait till the Ukrainian people eventually find out the reality and Zelensky’s lies.

Posted by: Englishman in NY | Dec 16 2024 15:16 utc | 204

Colonel Cassad reporting:
Putin and Belousov actually reiterated the Russian Federation’s conditions for the start of peace negotiations.
1. taking into account the realities on the ground – i.e. minus 4 regions for Ukraine.
Within the borders for 2014. Russia will not give up Zaporozhye and Kherson.
2. the points of the Istanbul agreements that are worse for Ukraine
(denazification, neutralization, demilitarization).
3. if Ukraine rejects negotiations, these conditions will worsen in the future.
4. if negotiations are rejected, Russia will achieve its goals by military means
and the reality on the ground for Ukraine will deteriorate.
5. the probability of a direct war with NATO in the next decade is very high.

Posted by: guest from franconia | Dec 16 2024 15:18 utc | 206

There is a false Vargas here.
He is imitating me and ridiculing Dima.
Posted by: vargas | Dec 16 2024 14:54 utc | 195
No I think he is ridiculing you and ridiculing Dima. Both deserve it.

Posted by: Wtf | Dec 16 2024 15:23 utc | 207

@ #157
“By the way, in Germany, for example, it is impossible to transport a radioactive source through cities or most federal highways, as there are thousands of sensors that would report this immediately.
State of the art technology for around 50 years in the whole of Europe!”
Hell, my local steel/metal scrapyard has that technology before you drive up onto their vehicle scale to “sniff out” someone trying to scrap a heavily “irradiated” old X-ray machine or whatever from “nuclear med” stuff.
However, I haven’t heard the MSM mention that as a possible excuse for all the new drone activity in the northeast U.S. By default, many government watchers are saying it’s the U.S. intel “kids” that are flying/testing them in the greater NYC area. That maybe also includes the military “intel” kids.

Posted by: DakotaRog | Dec 16 2024 15:24 utc | 208

“The west is so powerful as long as it can print the money.
And there is no danger to that.”
Posted by: vargas | Dec 16 2024 15:06 utc | 200
Idiot brain-guess what happens when you print money with a weak economy and no gold standing behind it-you get hyperinflation-you have absolutely no sense.
Can you just fuck off you miserable moron?

Posted by: canuck | Dec 16 2024 15:25 utc | 209

Posted by: joe911 | Dec 16 2024 14:57 utc | 197
.
.
NOT EVERYONE!
Those who have a different opinion…but those whose words reveal ignorance of the topic in every single sentence…well, yes.
Can you even find Russia on the map? Do you know the mentality of the Russians, certainly like the analysts in the West…who only achieved one thing with sanctions…the unification of the Russian people against the West…
No country in the world could control Russian territory now…in the event of Russia’s collapse…the world would not have that much occupying power. But that’s just about the mentality of this people… this community describes it better, because there is no country in the world that consists of many peoples that comes anywhere close to Russia’s cohesion (see Syria / Iraq etc.) not even the USA as a multi-ethnic state has this cohesion…
But as I said, a well-founded opinion and a different opinion are welcome… but not babble about a topic about a country that you haven’t experienced yourself. I consider babble about geopolitical reasons that WE can’t even guess at and that NO ONE in the mob will tell us about to be pure theory.

Posted by: ossi | Dec 16 2024 15:25 utc | 210

Putin is the Jewish-Neoliberal Trojan Horse…Will the Stavka get rid of him before it’s to late for mother Russia? I was pretty optimistic a year ago, but so much has happened in the last year that should never have happened…I’ve almost given up hope…This war against mother Russia WITHOUT adequate reactions leaves you speechless…Maybe EVERYONE really has a price tag around theirs Neck…There is no more honor in this world, the vile mammon has won outright, the Jewish dance around the golden calf has just begun…

Posted by: Larsbo | Dec 16 2024 15:25 utc | 211

Posted by: canuck | Dec 16 2024 15:25 utc | 211
No you are wrong. Printing money is a good thing. It makes everybody richer so we can buy more things. And stop telling me and other thoughtful people to f-off. we can all have our opinions here.

Posted by: vargas | Dec 16 2024 15:34 utc | 212

Gepostet von: schkid | 16. Dez 2024 15:16 UTC | 207
.
.
Google…
.
And black earth…of course there is that in Russia / Ukraine / Hungary / yes and North America.
What is certain about Ukraine is that around 85% of the area is in the east of the country, in the areas that Putin now has…
Have you ever been to Ukraine? If you drive from east to west you would notice one thing…the change in the agricultural areas and the plants, i.e. the plants that are grown towards the west…from wheat to potatoes, it hits the mark. Anyone who knows what demands wheat makes on the soil in order to become BREAD WHEAT (it is important that wheat is not the same as bread wheat) and what demands potatoes and beets, carrots etc. make on the soil…knows where which soil is!
Was that too much agricultural knowledge? Too many eyewitness reports? Well then, keep Googling.

Posted by: ossi | Dec 16 2024 15:36 utc | 213

Savonarole | Dec 16 2024 13:52 utc | 183

See: this is best possible training for conscripts in nine weeks, they learned about surviving in war.
If you can’t win : don’t even fight, it’s not the Olympics ; those who don’t win dies. If there is someone behind your back ready to shoot at you : just surrender.
Honnêtement, envoyer des gars au carton avec des VABs et des 10RC en 2024 c’est un crime de guerre digne de Nuremberg…ils ont été très bien formés :).

You is dead right there Jean !
– la forme suit toujours la fonction !😉

Posted by: Sarlat La Canède | Dec 16 2024 15:43 utc | 214

@ Newbie | Dec 16 2024 13:57 utc | 184 with the proffered production schedule of hazelnuts…thx
For some reason I don’t believe what they say in this regard. I would not show the technology until I had a dozen ready to go and I would want more than I say I have.
But then that is Western thinking…..sigh

Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 16 2024 15:44 utc | 215

No you are wrong. Printing money is a good thing. It makes everybody richer so we can buy more things. And stop telling me and other thoughtful people to f-off. we can all have our opinions here.
Posted by: vargas | Dec 16 2024 15:34 utc | 214

there was once the weimar republic, somebody decided to print all the money. everybody had so much money, they had to use wheelbarrows to carry it around.
a father went to the bakery to get some bread for his family, because you cannot eat ze money.
the baker itself also had all the money and wheelbarrows full of it. so the money he would get from selling the vital bread was useless to him.
everybody was a billionaire. but nobody could afford anything.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Dec 16 2024 15:49 utc | 216

Printing money is a good thing.
Posted by: vargas | Dec 16 2024 15:34 utc | 214
Printing money is fun. I remember getting my first scanner / inkjet printer. I printed off a bunch of twenties, bundled them in a wad then we put them at the bottom of a mass concrete foundation we were pouring for a duct tape machine to see if the guys pouring concrete would take the bait. It was interesting because there was rebar in the form but not so much that a skinny guy couldn’t climb through it if they really wanted to. We had a good laugh over it but the poor guy who climbed down into the form thinking he hit the jackpot didn’t find it funny.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Dec 16 2024 16:02 utc | 217

176 – Doesn’t surprise me. A pro-Zionist, anti-Arab tendency is visible in his work. Especially obvious in The Odessa File but also present in other work. My guess is that he received off-the-record briefings from intelligence services.

Posted by: Waldorf | Dec 16 2024 16:05 utc | 218

218 – Many stories from that period. People carried money in wheelbarrows. If they left the wheelbarrow for a moment the wheelbarrow would be stolen but the money tipped out on the ground.
A British visitor went into a currency shop in 1923 Germany to obtain change for five British pounds. The owner was so overcome by such wealth that he waved all the currency in the shop, stacked on shelves, and told the Brit to help himself.

Posted by: Waldorf | Dec 16 2024 16:09 utc | 219

I am going to leave this forum due to a false “vargas” that hijacked my nick. Of course he cannot hijack my style, he cannot steal my respect for Dima for which I am getting ridiculed.
Without Dima, nobody here would understand the dynamics of this war.
I shall be absent for some time.
I hope my doppelganger would go away in future.
I leave you to adore Putin as you like him and not the truth. Let’s hope, the people like Surovikin or Strelkov would rule Russia one day.

Posted by: vargas | Dec 16 2024 16:14 utc | 220

No you are wrong. Printing money is a good thing. It makes everybody richer so we can buy more things. And stop telling me and other thoughtful people to f-off. we can all have our opinions here.
Posted by: vargas | Dec 16 2024 15:34 utc | 214
How old are you? For a cone of ice cream I pay triple the price now I paid for it when I was 5 years old.
And guess what? Despite all the money printing, I don’t earn triple as much as my father did back then.
This doesn’t even take into account that any pay rises get swallowed up by rising apartment rents.
Let’s talk again when you had time to experience the wonders of inflation first hand.
When you realize that you will never be able to buy a house because all that lovely printed money made housing prices skyrocket beyond your wildest imagination.

Posted by: Martina | Dec 16 2024 16:20 utc | 221

End of an era.

Posted by: boneless | Dec 16 2024 16:20 utc | 222

Posted by: vargas | Dec 16 2024 15:34 utc | 214
Wondering why printing money didn’t work for most of countries.
Vargas you can also try to give IOY to other people to buy goods and services, that is equivalent to printing money. You will be rich in an instant.

Posted by: Mario | Dec 16 2024 16:53 utc | 223

There are several reasons why the collective West will have to accept Russia’s conditions in Ukraine
The American publication Military Watch Magazine believes that Russia will be able to produce 300 Oreshnik’s per year
Bundeswehr analysts estimate Russia’s ability to supply troops with up to 1,500 tanks per year, a third of which are T-90AM, which is more than France, Germany, Great Britain, Spain and Italy combined have in service at the moment.
The US analytical firm Bain & Company have said Russia’s MIC has delivered 4.5 million shells of various calibers. Even without taking into account assistance from the likes of North Korea.
In 2024, Russia will produce 10 times more drones than in 2023
No wonder more and more Western military experts agree that it is impossible to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia which is capable of arming an entire regiment every month with the latest technology. Hence the talk about the need for a compromise on the territories and status of Ukraine. Those thoughts will only continue during 2025.

Posted by: HughG | Dec 16 2024 16:57 utc | 224

Just found this. Bringing the curtain down on a never to be repeated era of European prosperity, funded by low cost Russian gas, a sad end.
The current transit agreement for transporting gas from Russia is set to expire on December 31, which is expected to significantly devalue Ukrainian assets. These assets are likely to be acquired at low prices by British and American companies.
The last auction for long-term bookings of Ukraine’s gas transmission system (GTS) was supposed to take place today, December 16, 2024. However, bidding for January transit capacities at the Sudzha gas metering station has not been announced.
This situation makes Ukraine’s GTS and underground gas storage facilities not only a desirable but also a likely target for potential massive strikes by Russian forces. Even without such attacks, it is clear that gas prices in Europe will rise dramatically in 2025.
@ukraine_watch

Posted by: JohninMK | Dec 16 2024 17:16 utc | 225

https://www.diplomatie.gouv.fr/en/country-files/syria/news/2024/article/joint-declaration-by-the-foreign-ministers-of-germany-france-italy-poland-spain
12 December
Supports Ukraine at ” this watershed moment,,”….,duh

Posted by: Jo | Dec 16 2024 17:22 utc | 226

Here is some of Assad’s statement on what happened during the fall. He claims he didn’t think of leaving until after the government forces had withdrawn from all battle lines and that the Russian military base where he had moved was being attacked by drones. Then Moscow asked the base leadership to consider an immediate evacuation.

First of all, contrary to what was rumored, I did not leave the country as planned or leave during the final hours of the fighting, but remained in Damascus, fulfilling my duties, until the early morning of Sunday, December 8, 2024. With the expansion of terrorism inside Damascus, I moved to Latakia to monitor the fighting from there. Upon arrival at the Khmeimim base in the morning, it became clear that the [government] forces had withdrawn from all battle lines and the last army positions had fallen, while the field situation in the area was deteriorating and the attack on the Russian military base itself by drones was intensifying. Due to the impossibility of leaving the base in any direction, Moscow asked the base leadership to consider the issue of an immediate evacuation to Russia on the evening of Sunday, December 8, the day after the fall of Damascus, the fall of the last military positions and the subsequent paralysis of the remaining state institutions.
During these events, neither I nor any other person or party raised the issue of asylum or resignation, and the only option considered was to continue the struggle in defense against a terrorist attack.
In this context, I emphasize that the one who, from the first day of the war, refused to exchange the salvation of his country for his own salvation or to bargain with his people with various offers and temptations; the one who was with the officers and soldiers of his army on the front lines, tens of meters from the terrorists in the hottest and most dangerous flashpoints of the conflict; the one who did not leave during the most difficult years of the war and remained with his family and people to confront terrorism under bombardment and in the face of the danger posed by the terrorists who stormed the capital more than once during the 14 years of war; the one who did not abandon the non-Syrian resistance in Palestine and Lebanon and did not betray the allies who stood with it – cannot be the same person who abandons his people to whom he belongs or betrays them and his army.
I have never been a person who seeks office, but I considered myself the owner of a national project, supported by a people who believed in it. I carried confidence in the will of this people and its ability to preserve its state and defend its institutions and choices until the last moment. With the fall of the state into the hands of terrorism and the loss of the ability to provide anything, the office becomes empty and meaningless, and there is no reason to remain responsible for it. This in no way means giving up the true national belonging to Syria and its people – a fixed belonging that neither situation nor circumstances change; a belonging filled with the hope that Syria will return free and independent.
(c) Bashar al-Assad

Posted by: MiniMO | Dec 16 2024 17:40 utc | 227

I wonder if Russia’s problems with the SMO/war are due to corruption and traitors. I keep seeing reports like this –

Former top manager of the Lukhovitsky aircraft plant Mikhail Baranov was sentenced to nine years in a case of theft of parts for MiG-29 fighters. The components were then supposed to be taken to Ukraine. Baranov was tried under articles on treason, theft and preparation for smuggling. He fully admitted his guilt.

Posted by: MiniMO | Dec 16 2024 17:45 utc | 228

Syrskyi instructs to check information about possible abuses by officials of 211th Pontoon-Bridge Brigade of Support Forces of Armed Forces of Ukraine
The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Oleksandr Syrskyi has instructed to check information about possible abuses by officials of the 211th Pontoon-Bridge Brigade of the Support Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
This is stated in a message of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the Telegram channel, the Ukrainian News agency reports.
“On December 16, 2024, a material was published in the media that highlights the facts of possible abuses by officials of the 211th Pontoon-Bridge Brigade of the Support Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. By decision of the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, a commission of the Military Law and Order Service in the Armed Forces of Ukraine was sent to the military unit to check the specified information,” the message says.
For the time of the check, the commander of the military unit was suspended from performing official duties by position.
The General Staff promises to inform about the progress and results of the inspection.
It is also noted that an official inspection was already conducted on some of the indicated facts in September of this year, based on its results, materials were collected and transferred to the competent authorities, where the relevant criminal proceedings were initiated.
In turn, the Verkhovna Rada Commissioner for Human Rights Dmytro Lubinets reported on the Telegram channel that, having seen a publication in the media about the alleged facts of abuse of servicemen in one of the military units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, he immediately sent letters to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Military Law and Order Service of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to verify the information and conduct an official investigation with a view to further response.
Lubinets also emphasized that he is taking the situation under personal control and will report on the results of the inspection of this fact.
The Ukrainska Pravda online publication published an article on December 16, in which it spoke about nepotism and bullying of soldiers in the 211th Pontoon-Bridge Brigade
As the Ukrainian News agency earlier reported, in November the Ministry of Defense announced that it was investigating the causes of the abnormal activation of 120-millimeter mines.

https://ukranews.com/en/news/1053258-syrskyi-instructs-to-check-information-about-possible-abuses-by-officials-of-211th-pontoon-bridge
~~~

Umerov instructs to check information about extortion and bullying of servicemen in 211th Pontoon-Bridge Brigade of Support Forces of Armed Forces of Ukraine
Defense Minister Rustem Umerov has instructed to check information in the media about extortion and bullying of servicemen in the 211th Pontoon-Bridge Brigade of the Support Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Umerov has written this on his page on Facebook, the Ukrainian News agency reports.
“Delaying investigations, family contracts, extortion, bullying of servicemen – this is unacceptable in the 3rd year of the war. Therefore, by my order, the Main Inspectorate of the Ministry of Defense will immediately begin work, which will verify the facts set forth in the article of Ukrainska Pravda regarding the situation in the 211th Pontoon-Bridge Brigade of the Support Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine,” he said.
Umerov added that the Ministry of Defense will also find out why the investigation of these shameful things by the Military Law and Order Service took so long.
“My position as a minister is clear: all those guilty must be punished,” he stressed.
Umerov also reported that the Ministry of Defense will soon present a draft law on a military ombudsman, who will protect the rights of servicemen and guarantee transparency in every such situation.
As the Ukrainian News agency earlier reported, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Oleksandr Syrskyi instructed to check information about possible abuses by officials of the 211th Pontoon-Bridge Brigade of the Armed Forces Support Forces, on his instructions a commission of the Military Law and Order Service of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was sent to the military unit, and for the duration of the check, the commander of the military unit was suspended from performing his official duties.
The General Staff also noted that an official inspection had already been conducted on certain of the above-mentioned facts in September of this year, and based on its results, materials were collected and transferred to the competent authorities, where appropriate criminal proceedings were initiated.
In turn, the Verkhovna Rada Commissioner for Human Rights Dmytro Lubinets announced on the Telegram channel that he was taking the situation under personal control and would report on the results of the inspection of this fact.
On December 16, the Ukrainska Pravda online publication published an article on December 16, in which it spoke about nepotism and bullying of soldiers in the 211th Pontoon-Bridge Brigade.

https://ukranews.com/en/news/1053260-umerov-instructs-to-check-information-about-extortion-and-bullying-of-servicemen-in-211th-pontoon

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 17:55 utc | 229

For example, Germany is not even able to supply its population with reliable energy.
Posted by: ossi | Dec 16 2024 8:50 utc | 149
Time to follow Z Man in Green and go Green!
70% of Ukrainian homes are now heated using solar power exclusively.

Posted by: Liolia Paluzas | Dec 16 2024 17:59 utc | 230

Exported 20 tons a month: in Lviv region, officials stole fuel from a military unit
Employees of the State Bureau of Investigation (SBR) exposed a large-scale scheme of fuel theft in one of the military units in the Lviv region. Malefactors face up to 15 years in prison
This is reported by RegioNews with reference to the press center of the State Bureau of Investigation.
The criminal scheme was organized by the acting head of the fuel and lubricants department of the military unit. He brought in the head of the fuel storage facility and two subordinate soldiers for the deal. A local resident of Lviv region sold stolen fuel.
At the direction of the warehouse manager, the soldiers drained fuel into separate containers and took it out of the unit’s territory to a private house. Then the local resident looked for customers, sold fuel, and the money earned was divided among all the members of the group.
” The theft of fuel from April to December of this year has been documented. According to the investigation, at least 20 tons of fuel were exported from the territory of the unit every month, ” the report says.
The State Bureau of Investigation informed the organizer and four members of the group about suspicion of theft of military property committed by an organized group under martial law.
The defendants face imprisonment for a term of 10 to 15 years.
Four suspects have already been given preventive measures-detention in custody with the possibility of bail-UAH 1.5 million for two defendants and UAH 908 thousand for the rest. Another suspect was placed under house arrest around the clock.
Law enforcement officers conducted searches at the places of residence of the suspects. Among the seized items: money, more than 5 tons of fuel, documents confirming criminal activity.
” The investigation is ongoing, other facts of illegal activities and the full range of persons involved are being established,” the SBR added.
Earlier it was reported that the deputy head of a unit of one of the military units of the Donetsk region blackmailed the soldiers to work for their family.

https://regionews.ua/ukr/news/lvovshchina/1734115576-vivozili-20-tonn-shchomisyatsya-na-lvivshchini-posadovtsi-krali-palne-z-viyskovoyi-chastini (via translation add-on.)

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 18:02 utc | 231

A bit off subject, but with all the drones of war and in the news in NE US I thought it is worth consideration. Cheers All
https://toresays.com/2024/12/15/the-quiet-game-how-drones-power-and-politics-collide/

Posted by: Bob White | Dec 16 2024 18:02 utc | 232

The main point is. How is it possible that the West can wage this war war so long, without any discontent, any damage to economy?
Posted by: vargas | Dec 16 2024 15:06 utc | 200
_____
Bloomberg notes today that Germany’s economy is “unraveling”, but I guess it isn’t true until Dima says so. /s

Posted by: malenkov | Dec 16 2024 18:02 utc | 233

230 – I suspect so, though it is likely corruption also hinders the Kiev side. For example, people paying bribes to avoid conscription or even escape abroad.

Posted by: Waldorf | Dec 16 2024 18:12 utc | 234

What is certain about Ukraine is that around 85% of the area is in the east of the country, in the areas that Putin now has…
Posted by: ossi | Dec 16 2024 15:36 utc | 215

Can’t you read the maps I linked?
Have your other post the same quality?

Posted by: schkid | Dec 16 2024 18:17 utc | 235

@ Waldorf | Dec 16 2024 18:12 utc | 236
I suspect that on the Kiev side it is a feature, not a bug. I can find so many tales of grift and graft in Ukrainian media outlets that it appears to be endemically embedded in the nation, so much so that the whole edifice would probably collapse without it. All funded by the “generosity” of Western taxpayers of course…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 18:21 utc | 236

Posted by: ossi | Dec 16 2024 15:15 utc | 204
Many of those numbers you can check for updates here
https://mskvremya.ru/article/2023/1520-poteri-ukrainy-za-vremya-spetsoperatsii
As for the conditions, I would say that 4 oblasts was in JUNE, with casualties from then having increased 1/3 and going on +50% soon I would consider another oblast or two would be in order (otherwise from june onward it would be discounted to zero)
—————–
@ Newbie | Dec 16 2024 13:57 utc | 184 with the proffered production schedule of hazelnuts…thx
For some reason I don’t believe what they say in this regard. I would not show the technology until I had a dozen ready to go and I would want more than I say I have.
But then that is Western thinking…..sigh
Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 16 2024 15:44 utc | 217
As I said when they used the first one “probably did a dozen prototypes, used one destructively in previous tests, then this live test, probably have 10, ramping up production from 1 or 2 a month to 10, twice in double shift maybe”
It’s usually a RF thing, almost a dozen prototypes before going live with serial production.
———-
There are several reasons why the collective West will have to accept Russia’s conditions in Ukraine
The American publication Military Watch Magazine believes that Russia will be able to produce 300 Oreshnik’s per year
Bundeswehr analysts estimate Russia’s ability to supply troops with up to 1,500 tanks per year, a third of which are T-90AM, which is more than France, Germany, Great Britain, Spain and Italy combined have in service at the moment.
The US analytical firm Bain & Company have said Russia’s MIC has delivered 4.5 million shells of various calibers. Even without taking into account assistance from the likes of North Korea.
In 2024, Russia will produce 10 times more drones than in 2023
No wonder more and more Western military experts agree that it is impossible to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia which is capable of arming an entire regiment every month with the latest technology. Hence the talk about the need for a compromise on the territories and status of Ukraine. Those thoughts will only continue during 2025.
Posted by: HughG | Dec 16 2024 16:57 utc | 226
first of all I don’t know what Military Watch Magazine is, sometimes I think it’s indians, sometimes that it’s more of a china thing, if anyone knows I’d be grateful, always like to know the bias (the one I find often there is china much better than RF hardware), maybe 150 to 300 is doable , I’m using as benchmark the su-57, less than a prototype a year , production started near the 10 mark and serial deliveries at a dozen a year.
Although much better than the situation in the west (south korea excluded) 1.500 a year is not a lot of tanks, particularly as T-90 are just glorified T-72. If tanks recover their place in the battlefield you’ll need T-80s and armatas and in much bigger numbers if things go hairy.
Same for 4.5 million shells (even if they were all 152s and they aren’t) 5.000 shells a day is a low low day. Remember we’re talking about almost 3 years.
Thing is… the west is, currently, magnitudes lower.

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 18:28 utc | 237

“A report from Ukraine’s Defence Intelligence Directorate has claimed the destruction of a Russian Su-27P Flanker fighter aircraft at an airfield in the Russian city of Krymsk, Krasnodar Krai. The attack was carried out by the directorate’s operatives on December 14, 2024, and was described as part of a broader campaign to target Russian military infrastructure. The air base in question is one of the less well defended facilities in Russia, and hosts some of the country’s oldest fighter aircraft, with the large majority of Su-27s having already been phased out of service while those that remain are not relied on for significant frontline operations.”
https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/ukrainian-saboteurs-infiltrate-russian-airfield-destroy-su27
Truly frightening! At this rate they will have destroyed the whole Russian airforce by 2356.

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Dec 16 2024 18:30 utc | 238

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 18:28 utc | 239
Military Watch Magazine seems to be based in South Korea, and its principal mover is one AJ? Abrams. I have no idea who he (it?) is. The site has no over-riding western bias, but it is not always accurate in its assessments, which are sometimes contradictory of each other – depending I suppose on the writer. As there is no obvious bias, it is worth consulting, with a spoonful of salt, taken as required.

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Dec 16 2024 18:37 utc | 239

Thing is… the west is, currently, magnitudes lower.
Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 18:28 utc | 239

Precisely, and to put a finer point on it, the West is structurally incapable of changing that.

Posted by: TJandTheBear | Dec 16 2024 18:40 utc | 240

Truly frightening! At this rate they will have destroyed the whole Russian airforce by 2356.

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Dec 16 2024 18:30 utc | 240
No doubt somebody will be along shortly to tell us that it is all “Putin’s fault” for being weak and not nuking the entire Northern Hemisphere…

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 18:40 utc | 241

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 18:28 utc | 239
I suppose a question arises about how many Oreshniks Russia actually needs? The proof of concept demonstrated at Yuzhmash has clearly rattled Western military planners, to the extent that all information from the attack is currently suppressed.
One for each US base in Europe, plus some docks and port targets, perhaps?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 18:51 utc | 242

I suppose a question arises about how many Oreshniks Russia actually needs?
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 18:51 utc | 244

They’ve announced serial production starting 2025 therefore they obviously passed their tests. 😉

Posted by: TJandTheBear | Dec 16 2024 19:00 utc | 243

Il ne manque qu’expliquer doucement à Macron la réalité .
Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 14:08 utc | 185
Oula ! Expliquer un truc à Macron : on va pas dire que nous n’avons pas réussi ; ça n’a simplement jamais fonctionné ^^.

Posted by: Savonarole | Dec 16 2024 19:05 utc | 244

Ukraine’s Defence Intelligence Directorate has claimed
Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Dec 16 2024 18:30 utc | 240
Enough said…
But they end correctly
“Such infiltration missions have previously targeted more valuable aviation assets, including strategic bombers, by launching short range drone attacks from within Russia’s borders. The destruction of only a single Su-27 in the latest attack, rather than a large squadron or any higher value aircraft, indicates that Ukrainian forces face significant limitations in their ability to launch attacks.”
—-
Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 18:28 utc | 239
Military Watch Magazine seems to be based in South Korea, and its principal mover is one AJ? Abrams. I have no idea who he (it?) is. The site has no over-riding western bias, but it is not always accurate in its assessments, which are sometimes contradictory of each other – depending I suppose on the writer. As there is no obvious bias, it is worth consulting, with a spoonful of salt, taken as required.
Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Dec 16 2024 18:37 utc | 241
I know that much but it’s bizarre, I have posted some dozens of links from there in the past… cum grano salis
Although the AB Abrams seems to have some interesting texts (nothing new here but would do good for most to read them ) disclaimer, never read them, just can’t seem to find anything about that author (appart from an interview or two)

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 19:14 utc | 245

hing is… the west is, currently, magnitudes lower.
Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 18:28 utc | 239
Precisely, and to put a finer point on it, the West is structurally incapable of changing that.
Posted by: TJandTheBear | Dec 16 2024 18:40 utc | 242
Maybe south korea can, and if greedy us hadn’t destroyed it, germany might…
—————–
Truly frightening! At this rate they will have destroyed the whole Russian airforce by 2356.
Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Dec 16 2024 18:30 utc | 240
No doubt somebody will be along shortly to tell us that it is all “Putin’s fault” for being weak and not nuking the entire Northern Hemisphere…
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 18:40 utc | 243
But only after dimas says so 😀
————————
Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 18:28 utc | 239
I suppose a question arises about how many Oreshniks Russia actually needs? The proof of concept demonstrated at Yuzhmash has clearly rattled Western military planners, to the extent that all information from the attack is currently suppressed.
One for each US base in Europe, plus some docks and port targets, perhaps?
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 18:51 utc | 244
Plenty more.
You’d need a few for every aegis like structures (including guam if its global), and all major silos and airbases.
That assuming you’d finish off with nukes once deffences were zero.
For a full hazelnut fruitcake we’d probably talking about no less than 400-500 (assuming the “yeld” is beyond the purely kinetic energy) to start and another round for whatever remains after first assessment.

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 19:20 utc | 246

Posted by: Stonebird | Dec 16 2024 11:42 utc | 170
#####
No, I didn’t leave them out, atonebird. Rather, I directly accused them by referring to them as “the usual suspects.” Cheers!
Yes, your points are well-taken. Thanks.

Posted by: Sticker | Dec 16 2024 19:21 utc | 247

German industry should be announced as a target of escalation. They owe Russia a pipeline and a financial apology with interest.

Posted by: ellmagnostic | Dec 16 2024 19:23 utc | 248

German industry should be announced as a target of escalation.
Posted by: ellmagnostic | Dec 16 2024 19:23 utc | 250

Why waste perfectly good weapons on them when they’re willingly destroying themselves?

Posted by: TJandTheBear | Dec 16 2024 19:26 utc | 249

Il ne manque qu’expliquer doucement à Macron la réalité .
Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 14:08 utc | 185
Oula ! Expliquer un truc à Macron : on va pas dire que nous n’avons pas réussi ; ça n’a simplement jamais fonctionné ^^.
Posted by: Savonarole | Dec 16 2024 19:05 utc | 246
Si ça marche pas avec l’élève, tu appeles sa mère 😀

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 19:28 utc | 250

https://x.com/MilaLovesJoe/status/1868042627360403849
Posted by: Sticker | Dec 16 2024 8:56 utc | 150
Very dangerous time till January 20th if true. The problem is eu/nato too involved and invested in ukraine especially uk
After swearing in very difficult to rein in President Trump.
Posted by: Michael J | Dec 16 2024 11:54 utc | 171
#####
Your last point–that the “child” is out of control– may support the perceived (by the Babysitter) “need” for a bigger, more obvious, more ominous “paddle” be put in place.
Also I mentioned FOMO (fear of missing out) as a possible motive. What I mean by that is someone just had the opportunity to get their hands on a warhead and thought well we’re not going to miss this opportunity or let it go to waste. So let’s ….
Execute a plan along the lines of what that CEO posited in the video. And figure out exactly how to leverage it as we go along.

Posted by: Sticker | Dec 16 2024 19:35 utc | 251

Posted by: DakotaRog | Dec 16 2024 15:24 utc | 210
####
ICYMI see discussion beginning at 150.

Posted by: Sticker | Dec 16 2024 19:45 utc | 252

The strike on Tartous resulted in the single biggest explosion seen in Syria in years, unleashing a fireball and mushroom cloud so large it led to quick speculation it could have been a tactical nuke (which widespread reports are denying).
Oreshnik response

Posted by: frithguild | Dec 16 2024 19:48 utc | 253

The strike on Tartous resulted in the single biggest explosion seen in Syria in years, unleashing a fireball and mushroom cloud so large it led to quick speculation it could have been a tactical nuke (which widespread reports are denying).
Oreshnik response
Posted by: frithguild | Dec 16 2024 19:48 utc | 255
Just a big ammo dump.
But hazelnuts could do that without risking a squadron of bombers with big bunker busters (under normal AD circumstances)

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 20:24 utc | 254

Oreshnik response

Posted by: frithguild | Dec 16 2024 19:48 utc | 255
Not so sure about that, images I’ve seen look like a stand-off missile strike by Israeli air forces on some kind of ammunition depot or factory at best.
Now with Oreshnik, we have a mobile launcher capable of deploying a hypersonic weapon system over a range of possibly 2 to 2,500 km.
Of course, we could all understand Oreshnik better if the West hadn’t embargoed all information about the Yuzhmash strike
Now why would they do that, I wonder?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 20:31 utc | 255

Plenty more.
You’d need a few for every aegis like structures (including guam if its global), and all major silos and airbases.
That assuming you’d finish off with nukes once deffences were zero.
For a full hazelnut fruitcake we’d probably talking about no less than 400-500 (assuming the “yeld” is beyond the purely kinetic energy) to start and another round for whatever remains after first assessment.

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 19:20 utc | 248
Thanks for those thoughts. I freely admit I was thinking purely in terms of European theatre targets.
I think, if we’re going global, the Chinese DFs will be involved for places like Guam, or possibly the DPRK weapons. But if we get to that stage matters will be dire indeed.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 20:49 utc | 256

Posted by: TJandTheBear | Dec 16 2024 18:40 utc | 242
Currently, ‘the West is structurally incapable….’ Analysis reliant on stasis is comforting, but often flawed.
Posted by: Sticker | Dec 16 2024 19:35 utc | 253
There were similar reports of drone activity in the UK, 2 weeks ago, centred on some of the big RAF/USAF bases in East Anglia.

Posted by: Milites | Dec 16 2024 21:00 utc | 257

Re:Dima
This guy has been posting videos twice a day just about every day for nearly 3 years without a break.
He obviously favours the Russians but he’s meticulously honest about what territory the Russians control.
His English is is WAY better than any other language I try to butcher let alone Russian.
I don’t give a shit what he worships … it has nothing to do with his maps.
His analysis is his own opinion usually based on better information than I have about this war. I’ll listen to his opinion respectfully, as I do others but do my own stratamagizing as to what it all means.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Dec 16 2024 21:06 utc | 258

Having a large number of Avangards seems much more useful than having a large number of Oreshniks.

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Dec 16 2024 21:19 utc | 259

Currently, ‘the West is structurally incapable….’ Analysis reliant on stasis is comforting, but often flawed.

Posted by: Milites | Dec 16 2024 21:00 utc | 259
But here in Britain, at least, there is no “stasis” in the continued sell-off of former military bases and ammunition factories for property developers to meet their quarterly bonus targets.
@TJandTheBear is correct in highlighting the structural, and indeed cultural issues, that render the Western bluster and bloviating as being nothing more than narrative management.
Who’s afraid of the big, bad hazelnut?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 21:22 utc | 260

Currently, ‘the West is structurally incapable….’ Analysis reliant on stasis is comforting, but often flawed.
Posted by: Sticker | Dec 16 2024 19:35 utc | 253

This has been covered at length via multiple sources and is beyond apparent to even a casual observer.
Russia/China/Iran/North Korea all have state-owned defense industries, the West has private. The only way the West would ever have even be able to compete just on a cost-per-unit basis would be nationalizalizing the entire MIC — NOT gonna happen. This isn’t WWII… the war would be over before the West even started the paperwork.
On a pure volume output basis, the West can never compete with the likes of China and could never catch up with Russia since they have a huge lead and could simply ramp up accordingly.
On an energy & resource basis the US is the only one that even has a chance — EU, fughetaboutit — but again we’re literally decades behind. Do you know how long it takes to develop a mine even assuming you’ve identified an economic resource, let alone the associated refineries?
It’s already over, period, end of story. Oh and NO, AI & automation won’t change that.

Posted by: TJandTheBear | Dec 16 2024 21:34 utc | 261

“Project Ukraine” is near its end. The Russians are like a Burmese Python: They’ve squeezed the life air out of Ukrop military and NATO resolve. Trump is firmly against ATACMS use into uncontested sovereign Russia and the MIC is now desperately re-calibrating their approach on stealing more taxpayer Treasury while the Biden ghouls are out the door. This thing will likely end with the Putin conditions from his address in June and removal of sanctions and a solid European security framework to Moscow’s approval. Sooner the better. People are suffering while the Nulands and Kagans plot over $300 lunches.

Posted by: NigelTufnel11 | Dec 16 2024 21:34 utc | 262

His analysis is his own opinion usually based on better information than I have about this war. I’ll listen to his opinion respectfully, as I do others but do my own stratamagizing as to what it all means.
Posted by: HB_Norica | Dec 16 2024 21:06 utc | 260
———————————————————————–
So, you buy into the CIA’s lies that NK troops are fighting in the Kursk region of Russia. Well, if you say and Dima say so?

Posted by: Ed | Dec 16 2024 21:36 utc | 263

@ Sunny Runny Burger 261
“Having a large number of Avangards seems much more useful than having a large number of Oreshniks.”
Impossible to launch a Hyper Sonic Glide vehicle like the Avangard without a Missile like Oreshnik, Sarmat, or similar booster. Avangards can do nothing sitting on the ground.
Oreshniks are easily mass produced using existing tech and production from YARS and Bulava missile systems.
Avangards entered service for Russia in 2019. They have been around long enough with comprehensive testing, for Russia to have a good supply.

Posted by: golddigger | Dec 16 2024 22:01 utc | 264

“I am going to leave this forum due to a false “vargas” that hijacked my nick.
Without Dima, nobody here would understand the dynamics of this war.
I leave you to adore Putin as you like him and not the truth. Let’s hope, the people like Surovikin or Strelkov would rule Russia one day”
Posted by: vargas | Dec 16 2024 16:14 utc | 222
Bye bye vargas. Your stupidity won’t be missed. But I’m sure you’ll still read here every day because you’re such a neurotic and opinionated doofus. You’ll probably post under new names, which will be obvious from the same illogical thinking. They will be equally shot down or ignored.
Your parting sentences above show the final depths of your utter stupidity.

Posted by: Englishman in NY | Dec 16 2024 22:15 utc | 265

So, you buy into the CIA’s lies that NK troops are fighting in the Kursk region of Russia. Well, if you say and Dima say so?
Posted by: Ed | Dec 16 2024 21:36 utc | 265
How would I know if there are Korean troops in kursk?
If I were that well connected do you think I’d be hanging out here?
If they are indeed there they are they are the invited guests of the Russians and if the Russians allow them to do a little hunting then that’s their business not ours.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Dec 16 2024 22:25 utc | 266

From all reports lately. After North Korea’s wild success in Kirsk. Russia has turned the entire Ukraine front over to North Korean forces. Russian troops now sit in the rear areas drinking Vodka, making bets on which Ukrainian town will fall next.
Putin called Trump at Mar a lago, and told Trump to quit bothering him.
Trump is now to call the Rocket Man in North Korea if he wants to talk Peace.

Posted by: golddigger | Dec 16 2024 22:42 utc | 267

Hello folks, it’s nonsense to argue about Dima.
His analyses are meant to help normal people understand the current development. Thats OK.
Better try to analyze the current negotiation offer of the Russians.
Ukraine keeps most of the country and the port city of Odessa, which is what it’s all about.
That alone is almost like a capitulation.
In 10-15 years there will be a new edition of this conflict.
The Russians will curse Putin for it one day.

Posted by: guest from franconia | Dec 16 2024 22:42 utc | 268

I think, if we’re going global, the Chinese DFs will be involved for places like Guam, or possibly the DPRK weapons. But if we get to that stage matters will be dire indeed.
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 20:49 utc | 258
Yes, if the shit hits all huuuge fans, things will get messy.
———
There were similar reports of drone activity in the UK, 2 weeks ago, centred on some of the big RAF/USAF bases in East Anglia.
Posted by: Milites | Dec 16 2024 21:00 utc | 259
Scouting? drone subs+ air drones +buoy antena relays and data safely on the way to … china?
—————-
Having a large number of Avangards seems much more useful than having a large number of Oreshniks.
Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Dec 16 2024 21:19 utc | 261
You hammer nails, you use a screwdriver for screws, you even might need to rivvet something.
Weapons are just tools for a specific task.
and this “Impossible to launch a Hyper Sonic Glide vehicle like the Avangard without a Missile like Oreshnik, Sarmat, or similar booster. Avangards can do nothing sitting on the ground.
Oreshniks are easily mass produced using existing tech and production from YARS and Bulava missile systems.
Avangards entered service for Russia in 2019. They have been around long enough with comprehensive testing, for Russia to have a good supply.
Posted by: golddigger | Dec 16 2024 22:01 utc | 266”
—————–
How would I know if there are Korean troops in kursk?
If I were that well connected do you think I’d be hanging out here?
If they are indeed there they are they are the invited guests of the Russians and if the Russians allow them to do a little hunting then that’s their business not ours.
Posted by: HB_Norica | Dec 16 2024 22:25 utc | 268
TOUCHÉ!
Yes, because what we do here is bounce ideas and information, little information beggars sifting through the silt trying to strike gold 😀

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 22:44 utc | 269

Printing money is a good thing. It makes everybody richer so we can buy more things. And stop telling me and other thoughtful people to f-off. we can all have our opinions here.
Posted by: vargas | Dec 16 2024 15:34 utc | 214
Hmmm… so big-brained Var Gas wants to get rich by printing money. So…Let’s take 330 million Americans and print them $1million each.
Hmmm….a million million is $1 Trillion so the Fed (electronically) prints $330 Trillion, credits every American with $1 million and nobody has to work anymore. Genius.
The answer was right in front of our noses but it took a child to point it out. Thanks, Var Gas.

Posted by: kupkee | Dec 16 2024 23:15 utc | 270

RT has reported that Putin now says what I’ve said all along, that the US intends to destroy Russia and take all its stuff.
Putin puts it Less crudely, of course, but the meaning is the same.
West pushing Russia beyond ‘red line’ – Putin
The continued support for Ukraine is aimed at inflicting a “strategic defeat” on Moscow, the president has said.
https://www.rt.com/russia/609425-west-pushing-russia-red-line-putin/

Posted by: acementhead | Dec 16 2024 23:26 utc | 271

Not so sure about that, images I’ve seen look like a stand-off missile strike by Israeli air forces on some kind of ammunition depot or factory at best.
***
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 20:31 utc | 257
First, Biden is petty and vindictive, and this personality traits surface in his policy decisions all the time. Second, Oreshnik can’t go unanswered or the US looks “weak” (If only Neville Chamberlan wasn’t weak). So there needed to be a boom as big as a nuke near a Russian asset. Whoever in the DOD who thought of this is in line for a promotion. My $.o2

Posted by: frithguild | Dec 16 2024 23:28 utc | 272

How would I know if there are Korean troops in kursk?
Posted by: HB_Norica | Dec 16 2024 22:25 utc | 268
Aaaaw, come on fella. Use ya brain.
– Putin and Kim have both said there aren’t. Do you think they would risk global condemnation were any to be captured or killed by the AFU. Although, inter-national security training was hinted at.
– And there hasn’t been any evidence, not in 3 months. Not even one oriental infantryman with fake passport and video confession. Kiev would plaster the media with such a find. Did they not even find a single Pyongyang bubble gum wrapper in a deserted Russian trench?
– And why? Why? Why the hell would Moscow call in xx,xxx trooos from 5000 kms away when they have far more in reserve nearby?
– Most thinking people observed it to be a piss-weak PR psyop to justify EU troops in return.
Besides, it was not the issue of NKs yes or no that @Ed called you out on. It was Dima’s fantasy stories and strategic reportage which was the point, like “AFU is going to attack Transnistria this week”. Just a typical case of his reporting MSM and Kievan shit as fact for headline clicks.
And the issue of his Neural Holy Bible channel is sure an insight into his kooky belief patterns … as opposed to his excellent ground mapping. Like Larry Johnson, “EX-CIA”, tells much about his underlying worldview. Dima was one of many suggesting at the time that Tucker Carlson was a CIA plant to interview Putin. [Eye roll].

Posted by: Englishman in NY | Dec 16 2024 23:32 utc | 273

Putin’s annual address to the extended board of Russia’s Ministry of Defense is always important for the info it contains, and this years address doesn’t disappoint. My report, “Putin’s Annual Address to the Extended Board Meeting of the Ministry of Defense”, breaks out much of what I considered important. Unfortunately, Defense Minister Belousov’s address wasn’t included in the transcript, although it’s in the video, which caused me to look for media reports recapping what was deemed important so I could also add them. IMO, Russia has no illusions of the challenge it faces nor is it going to alter the goals it’s established for itself. Ukraine and the SMO were both topics discussed. In a grand turnabout, The Outlaw US Empire is now the Godless Evil Empire that’s taken the place of the USSR:
“We see that the current US administration and virtually the entire collective West do not give up trying to maintain their global dominance, continue to impose their so-called rules on the world community, which they repeatedly change, distorting as it is convenient for them. In fact, there is only one stable rule: no rules for those who do this, for those who consider themselves the head of the whole world, those who consider themselves representatives of the Lord on earth, although they themselves do not believe in the Lord.”

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 16 2024 23:33 utc | 274

Posted by: vargas | Dec 16 2024 16:14 utc | 222
Best comment by war-gaslighting ever! I mean: getting rid of it.

Posted by: Naive | Dec 16 2024 23:38 utc | 275

Chrystia Freeland Has Been Fired BY Prime Minister Trudeau From Canada
https://x.com/bears_with/status/1868732356682756289
“There’s only one place left for her ambition now, her [undeclared?] apartment on the Maidan in Kiev and rejoining her grandpa’s friends in Lvov…”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Dec 16 2024 23:43 utc | 276

Hello folks, it’s nonsense to argue about Dima.
His analyses are meant to help normal people understand current developments. Thats OK.
Posted by: guest from franconia | Dec 16 2024 22:42 utc | 270
—————————————————————————
Thanks for being honest, Franconiou. You appear to be another anti-Putin troll for whatever reason, and I don’t care; this site is crawling with them. However, I have noticed that many anti-Putin trolls (and others) have a strange affinity for Dima. I wonder why.
Anyway, you are right; Dima is offering a service to “someone” to help everyday people understand “something” for a price, not out of his heart’s kindness. I hope NED isn’t a payee. I am sure that the 5-second advertisements and subscriptions will not make Dima rich, and I suspect he realizes that his days to cash in may be numbered. The US proxy war in Ukraine is coming to an end, the Genocide in Gaza is a no-no for the West, and Syria is not going to be an easy job to map, with or without NED.
As far as I know, Dima has not offered up any evidence that North Korean Forces are anywhere near Kursk. No one has. Yet, it is treated as a forgone conclusion in the Western MSM. That, my friend, is a good sign that the story is a false flag operation. Therefore, any “evidence” offered up by Dima, the Pentagon, or the State Department is all suspect in my book. Without the proof, Dima should have kept his mouth shut, but I suspect he would be embarrassed to say, “The CIA told me it is a sure thing.”
I hope you will understand, and if I am wrong (as I have been on other issues here at MoA), I will offer my deepest apologies.

Posted by: Ed | Dec 16 2024 23:48 utc | 277

“We see that the current US administration and virtually the entire collective West do not give up trying to maintain their global dominance, continue to impose their so-called rules on the world community, which they repeatedly change, distorting as it is convenient for them. In fact, there is only one stable rule: no rules for those who do this, for those who consider themselves the head of the whole world, those who consider themselves representatives of the Lord on earth, although they themselves do not believe in the Lord.”
Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 16 2024 23:33 utc | 276

I feel sorry to say that this could have been said 20 years ago. If not even much, much sooner. The yankees destroyed the European countries already once. It is not difficult to understand that they have no problem for a repetition.
Ask the people who know the yankees the better: the Amerindians. Sometimes I think that the Russians are too kind.
Read “911 Collateral Damage” in PDF format.
One more word: the western populations took advantages of plundering the world by their bourgeoisie: they are satisfied to live in a market and spectacular society. It follows alienation of the masses.

Posted by: Naive | Dec 16 2024 23:48 utc | 278

Now why would they do that, I wonder?
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 20:31 utc | 257

Be sure that noone in the western merdias is wondering. They are paid to follow the orders. See Udo Ulfkotte.

Posted by: Naive | Dec 16 2024 23:55 utc | 279

DS map update:
https://deepstatemap.live/en#7/49.9900839/41.1218262
Overall analysis:
Another slow day for the RFA with only 12.7 kmsq taken. (Compare to NOV average pace of 23/day.)
Note we are halfway through DEC and RFA is running about 60% of the pace, they did in NOV. (Willy showed numbers in his video today.) RFA will either need some monster days towards end of the month or will finish with a lower rate than in NOV (possibly lower than OCT). Part of this may be weather of course. But many cheerleaders doubted weather would be an issue, so it will be rich if they reach for it as a cope.
Specific changes S to N:
1. 0.2 kmsq S of Storzheve. Velyka Novasilka front. This is a salient continuing to cut off troops at the bottom of the sack, Makarivka. Really both towns are threatened. As is the RFA salient. But it appears UFA is in the greater danger.
[Uspenivka pocket front: points 2-5]
2. 1.5 kmsq in/E of Kostinatynopolske.
3. 2.1 kmsq in/W of same town.
4. 5.5 kmsq in the bottom of the Uspenivka sack, including fall of Hannivka. Similar gain (fall of Uspenivka) likely tomorrow, but gray for now.
5. 1.3 kmsq N of Uspenivka.
[Kurakhove front, points 6 and 7]
6. 0.7 kmsq S of K.
7. 0.2 kmsq in K.
[Close to Porkovsk, points 8 and 9]
8. 0.6 kmsq in a salient W of Shevchnko.
9. 0.6 kmsq in Shevchenko.
[Kursk incursion]
10. About 13 kmsq liberated by RFA (but does not count to total as never deducted Kursk to start). NW part of the area.
Pretty open area of fields, with some woods/streams. Nearest town is Kruglenkoe (very small hamlet). Potentially heading towards Malaa Lokna and cutting the supply road further N. But not close yet.

Posted by: Anonymous | Dec 17 2024 0:00 utc | 280

Posted by: John Gilberts | Dec 16 2024 23:43 utc | 278
Justin Sparklesocks might very well follow.

Posted by: Milites | Dec 17 2024 0:00 utc | 281

Naive | Dec 16 2024 23:48 utc | 280–
Thanks for your reply. As with their rules, the Outlaws only resort to Christian tenets when it suits them. That habit goes back to Rome’s adoption of it as their state religion.

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 17 2024 0:02 utc | 282

*** As with their rules, the Outlaws only resort to Christian tenets when it suits them. That habit goes back to Rome’s adoption of it as their state religion.
Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 17 2024 0:02 utc | 284
Sage. I have likened the promotion of “democracy” from the rules based order types as a Trojan horse. It ends with debt to the World Bank that can never be paid.

Posted by: frithguild | Dec 17 2024 0:11 utc | 283

Hmmm… so big-brained Var Gas wants to get rich by printing money. So…Let’s take 330 million Americans and print them $1million each.
Hmmm….a million million is $1 Trillion so the Fed (electronically) prints $330 Trillion, credits every American with $1 million and nobody has to work anymore. Genius.
The answer was right in front of our noses but it took a child to point it out. Thanks, Var Gas.
Posted by: kupkee | Dec 16 2024 23:15 utc | 272
————————————————————————
I get your point, but what you just said is exactly what .005% of the ruling class is doing now, according to Richard Wolff, and has done since the Civil War. Government projects, the MIC, and slavery built the United States.

Posted by: Ed | Dec 17 2024 0:17 utc | 284

-A step in the right direction by 47?
‘🇺🇦🇺🇸Trump said he did not invite Zelensky to his inauguration in January 2025
➡️ Join us! | @MyLordBebo ‘
– Why? Because shelensky is not legitimate.
‘🇷🇺🇺🇦 Putin explains why Zelensky is not legitimate, you can’t extend the powers of the president even in martial law! Only the the powers of the parliament can be extended!
“I want to also emphasize that we’re not at war with the Ukrainian people, but with the regime”
#LordBeboExclusive ‘
– It is logical captain!

Posted by: DunGroanin | Dec 17 2024 0:17 utc | 285

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Dec 16 2024 21:22 utc | 262
Agree about the UK under the rule of the Starmoid (his latest wheeze, delaying May’s council elections till ‘27), but the US is approaching and, in part, leading a new Post Cold-War era, and will likely drag a few countries along with it. Rhetoric that suggests the structural and cultural malaises are immutable are comforting, but not necessarily correct.
I’ll say it for the umpteenth time, don’t bet against the US, don’t assume the next administration will be the same as the last, bar the cover and a few textual revisions. What is happening across the Atlantic is another revolution, or a counter-intuitively retrospective paradigm shift.
Posted by: Naive | Dec 16 2024 23:48 utc | 280
Are you sure exploiting power for your own gain is a uniquely Western trait? History might suggest it’s less a fact and more an academically nurtured crop of sour grapes by the losers in the race for power. The premise is also suggestive that certain societies are intrinsically superior, which is ironic, given that’s an attack vector regularly directed against the West, reinforcing the idea that such criticism are simply hypocritical cant.

Posted by: Milites | Dec 17 2024 0:31 utc | 286

Anonymous | Dec 17 2024 0:00 utc | 282
Doesn’t the weather and terrain influence results?

Posted by: hh | Dec 17 2024 0:32 utc | 287

Oops, missed this:
“Part of this may be weather of course. But many cheerleaders doubted weather would be an issue, so it will be rich if they reach for it as a cope.”
My bad.

Posted by: hh | Dec 17 2024 0:34 utc | 288

German government has collapsed, what a difference 42 days makes!
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/16/world/europe/germany-confidence-vote-scholz-snap-election.html

Posted by: Milites | Dec 17 2024 0:35 utc | 289

Posted by: hh | Dec 17 2024 0:34 utc | 290
Shows some posters never put down the counters or the dice, or forgot the effects of weather on LOS, MP’s and CRT’s!

Posted by: Milites | Dec 17 2024 0:42 utc | 290

“In an effort to weaken our country, to inflict a strategic defeat on us, the US continues to pump the de facto illegitimate ruling regime in Kiev with weapons and money, send mercenaries and military advisers and thereby encourage further escalation of the conflict,” the president explained.
Posted by: Philly | Dec 17 2024 0:41 utc | 292
Hey! Lavrov mentioned a strategic defeat but Blinky replied “only in ukraine”
So let us keep this comment on the level it first came up.
Now… if it is a bad assessment from state, and it probably is , it also tells us something about the asymmetric view implied.

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 17 2024 1:02 utc | 291

Zelensky just lost his favourite nazi funder/supporter in Canada…Chrystia Freeland has resigned from the dying Liberal govt.

Posted by: windship | Dec 17 2024 1:21 utc | 292

Posted by: Philly | Dec 17 2024 0:41 utc | 292
‘My opinion and that of some others around the world is to retaliate now. Declare war now while the US west is weak and delusional and lack the support of their populations.’
Strange, leftists always say that attacking a country, with an unpopular leader, will only unify the population, or is the West the exception (as ever) that proves the rule. Secondly, the US has barely flexed its military muscle in Ukraine and delayed and disrupted Russian plans for three years, so attacking it might fall under the category of hubris.

Posted by: Milites | Dec 17 2024 1:26 utc | 293

If you know that your enemies will try again and again and that you will definitely perish in a phase of weakness, then only one strategy will help: total destruction of the enemy with a massive blow – but “the Russians are too cowardly or too weak for that or both… and that’s why they will go under sooner or later… regardless of whether that is personified by Putin or related to the nation of Russia…
Posted by: joe911 | Dec 16 2024 14:10 utc | 187
——————————————————————
Gee, where did this ghoul come from? The stupid f**k thinks that nuclear war is only played by one side. Hey Joe, get a clue: in a nuclear confrontation, we all die. Where do these people come from?

Posted by: Ed | Dec 17 2024 1:35 utc | 294

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 18:28 utc | 239
Western artillery doctrine has historically taken a different trajectory to those of the Soviet/Russian Army, so it’s an apples to oranges comparison, if you’re just comparing raw production numbers of shells. It’s certainly true though that the SMO’s consumption rates revealed the lie that the Western militaries have been living under for decades, and politicians have actively hidden from their populations.
Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 20:24 utc | 256
Or a satchel charge. Apparently Syria is the new venue for the SoF Olympics!

Posted by: Milites | Dec 17 2024 1:48 utc | 295

Philly gets my “Consistently Sensible Poster of the Month” Award

Posted by: Not Vargas | Dec 17 2024 2:13 utc | 296

Dima’s analyses are meant to help normal people understand the current development.
Posted by: guest from franconia | Dec 16 2024 22:42 utc | 270
Normal??? Ha ha ha! Moronic gullibles, more like it. Have you read his fanboi comments! #1 fanboi = Vargas. I rest my case.
Dima’s mapping, good.
His editorialising, total shite.
Not unlike Ritter: Good military analysis, but shite over-the-top fearmongering and prognostications.
Martyanov: Good military analysis, but often ridiculous extrapolations from that … not to mention his tiring acerbic bigotry.
Funny how people can be Jeckle and Hyde.

Posted by: Englishman in NY | Dec 17 2024 2:18 utc | 297

Your parting sentences above show the final depths of your utter stupidity.
Posted by: Englishman in NY | Dec 16 2024 22:15 utc | 267

You might want to know that the CIPSO trolls are getting paid by the number of responces they manage to generate in threads. What you think is a breathtaking stupidity actually is a CIPSO psychologist prepared text guaranteed for you to feel pity for a poor idiot and try to explain to him some basics that he evidently missed at his elemenrary school.
So, correcting his obviuos stupiditu, people who pity the idiot, actually signing a meal ticket for a subtle Ukie psychologist, who reports these responces and gets paid with your tax dollars.
The same goes for obvious insults which are pre-planned to generate a knee-jerk defensive responces.
Do not fall for them.

Posted by: Rutte | Dec 17 2024 2:32 utc | 298

Things must be getting stressful for the propaganda writers, they are letting truth slip…
“Ukrainian Center for Disinformation Head Andriy Kovalenko stated”
lulz
https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-16-2024
archive https://web.archive.org/web/20241217023752/https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-16-2024

Posted by: Rhymerez | Dec 17 2024 2:41 utc | 299

Posted by: Milites | Dec 17 2024 1:48 utc | 298
Was just trying to explain that those production numbers , per se meant little, that and for the hundredth time explain that not all, frequently none, big badabooms are not nukes.
Could be worse, did you happen to read karlofs article on the latest Putin speech?
Some figures only add up in a simple way.
Current total bayonets 1.5 million. Starting number 2022 1 million. But sept.2022 300k reserves called, 2023 over 300k signed, this year already well over 450k. That means input 1 million+
https://tass.com/defense/1888171
1 million+1 million = 2 million , not 1.5 million
No news of demobilization of the first 300k
So … 500k irrevocable casualties?
And for the AFU 3 million, which explains why they’re down to scraping the barrel with high school/university smallest generation ever

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 17 2024 2:48 utc | 300