Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
December 15, 2024
The MoA Week In Review – OT 2024-299

Last week's posts on Moon of Alabama:


Other issues:

Gaza:

War on Iran:

China:

Europe:

Miscellaneous:

Use as open (not related to the wars in Ukraine and Palestine) thread …

Comments

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Dec 16 2024 0:39 utc | 47 The ideology that prompted Hitler to think Germany was guaranteed victory was anti-Communism. The belief that socialism is an inhuman imposition bound to fail because it was impossible meant Germany would beat a weaker foe than the Tsar. And anti-Communism was a main motivation for the other Germans, such as the German officer corps and the German big bourgeoisie. They were not all pathological Nazis, they were pathological anti-Communists.
Posted by: fanto | Dec 16 2024 1:05 utc | 50 If this Suvorov did not analyze the German movement into Serbia in April and the alliance with Horthy’s Hungary which had annexed part of Transylvania, disputed with Romania, then he wasn’t analyzing at all. An aggressive move into Romania when neighboring Hungary and Yugoslavia were essentially now German?
Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Dec 16 2024 2:33 utc | 57 If Stalin had felt he could work with Hitler, he wouldn’t have wanted to shore up Leningrad’s defenses by a land exchange with Finland, plus a major naval base. This was not a move aimed against Finland. Also, it is not literally correct that the Soviets were in absolute disarray. The German invasion had failed in its essential goals by December 1941. If Stalin truly felt he could work with Hitler he’d have done a deal like Vichy. It was the French who felt they could work in some fashion with Hitler. That’s what working with looked like.
Posted by: persiflo | Dec 16 2024 6:55 utc | 70 Sorry, this sounds like nonsense. Forces preparing for an offensive are forces preparing for a counter-offensive, if only against German retaliations over the supposed Romanian operation. This seems like the kind of self-contradiction in crude propaganda to me.
Posted by: William Gruff | Dec 16 2024 11:18 utc | 73 Pro-imperialist BS. Making subordinates pay more is not a trick. The assumption that the so-called allies will run away is special pleading by a degenerate Trumper.
Posted by: Roger Boyd | Dec 16 2024 14:21 utc | 78 Correct, this time. Follow this good example more often, please.
Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Dec 16 2024 16:19 utc | 92 Trotskyite wrecker endorses fellow anti-Communists, this is not news. If there is any continuity from Lenin to Stalin, it is the acceptance of nationality as an indispensable part of the revolution, a bourgeois democratic task accomplished under the leadership of the proletariat. This is not, not, not nationalist utopianism. Previously the typical Trotskyite wrecker accused Stalin of nationalist conservatism, the opposite of utopianism, in Georgia! But working for Trump requires revising the past. Thus Trotsky’s so-called position (evasion) on Brest-Litovsk suddenly become principled internationalist realism! This drivel would be funny if it didn’t confuse people, as intended, so far as I can tell.

Posted by: steven t johnson | Dec 16 2024 18:24 utc | 101

Aleksandr Kharchenko (source in Russian):

Why did Iran lose in Syria?
For Russia, the loss of Syria is a painful blow. For Iran, the loss of Syria is a deep knockout followed by hospitalization. Such a development could have been predicted, but it was hard to believe. Let’s start with the fact that Syria is a Sunni country. If you do not include the Alawites among the Shiites, then the latter will barely be 2 percent of the total population. Such a narrow strata of the population cannot guarantee reliable support for Iran.
Iran used Syria as a gray zone. The Persians pulled their proxies to the borders of Israel and supplied weapons to Hezbollah. It was much easier to implement their plans during the instability in Syria. If Damascus “rose from its knees,” the issue of reducing the Iranian presence would have been immediately raised. Too many in the Arab world were stressed about such a friendship. Syria needed sustainable development, and Iran needed an eternal conflict.
The Syrians were tired of the pro-Iranian 4th Division, commanded by the president’s brother Maher al-Assad. These were the guys who organized roadblocks and ran a real racket for businessmen. Any goods had to be paid for, and people were sent to prison if they refused. All of Syria hated the 4th Division for extortion and business expropriation. In addition, they were engaged in buying up scrap metal and plastic. That is, everything was taken out of the liberated lands, even wires were torn out of the walls. The production of the drug Captagon also hinged on Maher al-Assad and the 4th Division.
Such predatory methods were explained by the fact that Syria’s debt to Iran was about 50 billion dollars. Syria is under sanctions and, in theory, such unconventional approaches should have filled the state treasury and paid off the debts. Money was regularly squeezed out of the population, and life was only getting worse. This did not add to the love for Iran. In addition, the Persians were spreading Shiism in Syria and this angered the local clergy.
Fact is, there was a Sunni uprising in Syria and that is why the government fell so quickly. Iran had no one to rely on in a difficult situation. The Persians were driven out of Syria and will not be allowed to return. Russia has stronger cards. We did not initially focus on Christians, but worked with everyone. Negotiations with the moderate Sunni opposition give us a chance to retain some of our influence in Syria.

Posted by: S | Dec 16 2024 18:36 utc | 102

Posted by: Roger Boyd | Dec 16 2024 17:34 utc | 102:

…So, five more years of shit for the German people unless they wake up and vote AfD and BSW…..

To the Empire, AfD and BSW are the budding revolutions of Europe against the Empire’s domination. They will do nothing short of chopping off that bud–via lies, bribes, threats, terrorist acts, etc.–you name them, the Empire will do them.
Only three months to go. We’ll see what Germans are made of. If in February of 2025 AfD wins big, I believe it will be a different world.

Posted by: Oriental Voice | Dec 16 2024 18:36 utc | 103

@b
Typepad dog ate my paper.
Please review. Thanks.

Posted by: Sakineh Bagoom | Dec 16 2024 18:40 utc | 104

sorry juliania, but i don’t want to take away your hope.. sometimes it is darkest before the dawn… things aren’t all light and happiness.. the world is going thru a change of order.. the way i see it the usa is going to have to adjust to a more secondary role and it seems very ill suited to such a role, given that the usa is the greatest, exceptional nation and all the rest of the jargon and talk that doesn’t cut it in the world today..
i guess in this sense, i share my hick friend migueljoses perspective here, lol!! i heat with wood too, lol..
james at | Dec 16 2024 1:36 utc |53
We have heating with wood in common, then, also, james!
The darkness envelopes all my friends and family, who are all good people that have been misled — I think the Palestine atrocities are changing the minds of many of them.
It is a sign of how long the rape of former principles of the US were so hard to recognize, not only for the world at large but also for its own citizens.
In the midst of my college years, I briefly worked close to the heart of government, when Kennedy was president. I saw but did not understand then, the conflicts being waged between big corporational powers and lawyers advising his team. I agree with karlof1 that the rot goes deep, but it has always, from the beginning of the country, been opposed by better elements. So it is in most countries.
That’s what gives me hope.

Posted by: juliania | Dec 16 2024 18:51 utc | 105

@Posted by: steven t johnson | Dec 16 2024 18:24 utc | 105
Still butt hurt it seems.

Posted by: Roger Boyd | Dec 16 2024 19:03 utc | 106

@Posted by: Oriental Voice | Dec 16 2024 18:36 utc | 107
An AfD will not be allowed to happen, the German establishment will even ban the AfD if required. The bourgeoisie always choose totalitarianism and fascism over losing any control over the levers of power.

Posted by: Roger Boyd | Dec 16 2024 19:05 utc | 107

Posted by: juliania | Dec 16 2024 18:51 utc | 109
I guess that should be: ‘…the rape….was so hard…’ Sorry.

Posted by: juliania | Dec 16 2024 19:07 utc | 108

Tehran Times
Al-Jolani: rebranded terrorist a Western tool against Iran

Washington’s $10 million bounty on Abu Mohammad al-Jolani’s head hasn’t stopped Western media from trying to sanitize his image. In an interview with CNN a few days before the fall of Assad’s government, the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham leader was introduced as a misunderstood revolutionary, whose youthful exuberance somehow prompted him to behead civilians on a regular basis.
“I never had the intent to do these things. [I was] at a certain state of consciousness and young age back then,” he told the CNN reporter, while the female journalist nodded her head in understanding. The terror leader added that the only threats against Syria were Iran and Hezbollah.
As the world ponders whether it should give the Al-Qaeda and Daesh affiliate a second chance, Iran is likely to reach a clear conclusion sooner. The reason? Al-Jolani seems adamant about sticking to part of his character inspired by Netanyahu. . .here

Posted by: Don Bacon | Dec 16 2024 19:27 utc | 109

Posted by: james | Dec 16 2024 1:59 utc | 55
I haven’t been following this story, but one point of it causes me to post that everyone should be aware that cortisonal products can be extremely powerful and damaging, even as easily available as they are in ointments, pills and such. I learned this long ago when given some pills to administer to a beloved dog who had begun to have painful joint symptoms. I realize animals have different physical reactions to those of humans; but she, poor thing, got immediately far worse and had to be put out of her misery. I’ve never considered those products safe since.

Posted by: juliania | Dec 16 2024 19:29 utc | 110

— ❗️🇩🇪 NEW: German Chancellor Olaf Scholz loses no-confidence vote in parliament, snap elections will be held in February 2025
https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/13870
Posted by: Norwegian | Dec 16 2024 17:21 utc | 101
And with current polls nothing good will come out of it

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 19:38 utc | 111

Posted by: Roger Boyd | Dec 16 2024 19:05 utc | 111 And there is still no such thing as totalitarianism. The idea that there is something that somehow makes socialism and fascism the same is still a lie. AfD is no more anti-imperialist than National Rally in France and the bourgeoisie is quite capable of choosing to use AfD precisely because of its affinities with fascism. AfD is just as capable of Fratelli d’Italia of working out a compromise with the US.
And taking back comment @78 rather be tainted as an anti-Trumper shows once again the real principles, or lack of them.

Posted by: steven t johnson | Dec 16 2024 19:43 utc | 112

Posted by: Oriental Voice | Dec 16 2024 18:36 utc | 107
Also, the electoral systems of Germany and Italy were designed by UK and US, with the explicit goal of avoiding a strong winner. Works as designed.

Posted by: Passerby | Dec 16 2024 20:20 utc | 113

Also, the electoral systems of Germany and Italy were designed by UK and US, with the explicit goal of avoiding a strong winner. Works as designed.
Posted by: Passerby | Dec 16 2024 20:20 utc | 117
How did that work out for germany?
Solid governments for decades

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 20:26 utc | 114

re psychohistorian | Dec 16 2024 15:29 utc | 89
james | Dec 16 2024 16:41 utc | 97
Sorry I should have been less obtuse when I posted the thing, also I shoulda scrolled up one more after reading James’ comment! This is the problem with reading threads backwards, you miss the context.
Anyway if you scroll down through the comments on klippenstein’s post you will see links to 2 ‘manifestos’ It didn’t go without notice many comments on that site complain about their brevity, Mangione himself didn’t call these pieces manifesto, that is from types using them as clickbait.
Anyway one piece is the same as the one posted in this thread, while the other is more organised and possibly more suspect. Both are very negative critiques of amerika’s failed healthcare model. I have no idea as to their veracity ie whether or not Luigi Mangione actually penned them, one is a specific personalised take on amerika’s healthcare capitalism, the other a more generalised one.

Posted by: Debsisdead | Dec 16 2024 20:31 utc | 115

And in the case of Germany, UK and US placed German government, German national bank, German constitutional court, etc., all in different cities, to make it more difficult for the different branches of government to cooperate. Works as designed.

Posted by: Passerby | Dec 16 2024 20:34 utc | 116

There is no doubt of the depth of amerikan & englander anti-stalin indoctrination when we see so much of it repeated here. Roger is right when he corrects the allegation here in persiflo’s post that the Soviet Union intended on attacking the nazis.
Stalin wanted to avoid a conflict, hence the August 1939 Treaty of Non-Aggression between Germany and the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. Even that was sold to the west as Soviet imperialism when the Soviet Union’s sole interest was putting as many buffers as possible between the USSR and the tide of fascism that rolled practically uninterrupted to the USSR’s West all the way around to the Pacific ocean and right next to USSR’s eastern-most territory.
I have read a few books over the years which contest the bullshit representation of Stalin by western propaganda. I found Grover Furr’s efforts filled with facts but nearly impenetrable because he is not a natural story-teller but Dominic Losurdo is, and well worth reading as a result.
As I have said before it is not until you read such an analysis with every assertion made fact by way of copious footnotes that it is possible to comprehend the depth of the lies, omissions and willful deceits spread about the so-called ‘Stalin Period’ in the west. That being the time when the USSR defeated the cutting edge of world fascism for all of us.

Posted by: Debsisdead | Dec 16 2024 20:52 utc | 117

@ juliania | Dec 16 2024 18:51 utc | 109
i respect your wisdom juliania.. i think it comes from a life well lived, and from a place in your heart for the guiding principles that support all religion, organized or non…
i’d be curious to know your thoughts on what this event with luigi mangione portends for the usa and more generally moving forward? one off, or a possible trend?
@ Debsisdead | Dec 16 2024 20:31 utc | 119
thanks.. the manifesto that klippenstein shares, is different from the one that i shared @ 55.. i read down the comments and saw the links offered, including the one of luigi mangiones own substack page, which has no content from him directly… it seems like an ongoing and open question on the validity of this manifesto or the couple of manifestos that are circulating around…

Posted by: james | Dec 16 2024 21:17 utc | 118

@Posted by: Debsisdead | Dec 16 2024 20:52 utc | 121
Losurdo’s book is an excellent take down of the black propaganda against Stalin.

Posted by: Roger Boyd | Dec 16 2024 21:35 utc | 119

re james | Dec 16 2024 21:17 utc | 122
Yeah the last comment in the thread contains links to two ‘manifestos’ the one you published here plus the other second most popular one. Who knows whether Mangione wrote them, it barely matters, what does matter is that amerikans discuss this issue right now, free of the deceits of the whorish politicians. As long as the citizens rely on the ballot box for resolution, they will find none. For same as with the abortion issue which is barely an issue in most other places, in amerika healthcare is a political football which neither half of amerika’s uniparty have the least intention of addressing. Without abortion and/or healthcare there is little discernible difference between the two halves.
ps betcha starmer’s mob are pissed about all the publicity around this as that mob of worthless suck-holes wanted to continue privatisation of england’s system. Apparently they regard national economics as being akin to balancing household accounts and in that fairy-tale land reducing healthcare costs enables ‘freedom’.
The fact that it still requires expenditure from within the national productivity returns appears to escape starmer & co. All they are doing by handing the cost over to profit makers is ensuring costs will be higher. duh!

Posted by: Debsisdead | Dec 16 2024 21:39 utc | 120

Michael Hudson shows some concern about the timid reaction of both Moscow and Beijing to the aggressive strategy of the combined USUKIS axis. Hudson basically says that Russia does not respond to Washington strategic moves while the tactical moves of Washington are inching closer and closer to both Russia and China. My emphasis here is on the distinction Michael makes between the apparently limited tactical operations and their long term strategic impact.
https://t.me/rocknrollgeopolitics/13832

Posted by: Richard L | Dec 16 2024 22:18 utc | 121

Yet another Clarissa Ward / CNN hoax story
@Dennis | Dec 16 2024 17:16 utc | 100

It took CNN 4 days to start questioning what was obviously a ridiculous story conveniently making it’s “chief International Reporter'” look like a heroine. When I first saw the film I actually laughed.
“Man filmed by CNN ‘being rescued’ from Assad jail was ‘(Assad) regime torturer’

The UK Telegraph is behind a paywall, but here is a version from the New York Post.

Prisoner CNN helped free from Syrian prison was actually notorious Assad regime torturer: reportNY Post, December 16, 2024
The prisoner CNN helped free from a secret facility in Syria was actually a notorious member of Bashar al-Assad’s forces known to torture those who refused to pay him off, according to a shocking local fact check.
The network went viral last week with footage of the startled prisoner being led from the prison by journalist Clarissa Ward, who called it “one of the most extraordinary moments I have witnessed” in her 20 years of reporting.
But “independent and unbiased” fact-checkers Verify-Sy published a detailed report Sunday saying that the seemingly innocent prisoner was actually Salama Mohammad Salama — a first lieutenant in Syrian air force intelligence with a long history of alleged war crimes.

Posted by: Petri Krohn | Dec 16 2024 22:23 utc | 122

AI’s impact and US’s AI policy According to Eric Schmidt (Google)
Here’s a link to the 18 minute vid.
Eric Schmidt (former CEO and Board Chair of Google) is interviewed by Walter Issacson* about the “colossal” impact of AI, the current and likely U.S. policy about AI development, and the intense competition in AI between the U.S. and China.
Both Schmidt and Issacson are very-well-plugged-in Establishment figures. Both are valid proxies for the big hitters behind the Deep State. For that reason alone they’re worth listening to, just to hear the rhetoric from the horse’s mouth.
What I found most interesting in this interview – and it’s very interesting just to hear the name-dropping (e.g. the players behind the scenes), the phrases and ideas that are used to “move the audience” … sort of like the “mushroom cloud” idea used to sell the Iraq War … what I found most interesting was Schmidt’s lack of gravitas, the simplistic explanatory methods he used (weak analogy, for ex), and the lack of subject-matter command that enables people to express complex ideas in simple language.
I expected Schmidt to be an intellectual heavy-hitter, but sure didn’t deliver in this interview.
Remember, tho, Schmidt is a “front man”. Listen to what’s getting said, and then imagine a room full of very smart Deep Staters around a big table, sorting out what to do with the Genie that’s Coming Out of the Bottle.
And no question, Schmidt’s worried about the escaping Genie. Why? Because he thinks China might get the Genie first, and because he doesn’t think the U.S. public is capable of adapting to the Genie fast enough, and because it will serve to further concentrate wealth and power into the hands of few.
In spite of the many good reasons to slow down and understand AI better before we let the Genie out of the Bottle, Schmidt argues for a no-holds-barred free-for-all in pursuit of AI dominance, so that China doesn’t get it first.
Schmidt’s intellectual delivery not withstanding, this is Official Policy with respect to AI in the U.S. for the next 5 years, and this is the expected impact of AI over the next 10, according to our “elites”.
* Here’s some bio on Walter Issacson

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Dec 16 2024 22:44 utc | 123

And no question, Schmidt’s worried about the escaping Genie. Why? Because he thinks China might get the Genie first, and because he doesn’t think the U.S. public is capable of adapting to the Genie fast enough, and because it will serve to further concentrate wealth and power into the hands of few.
In spite of the many good reasons to slow down and understand AI better before we let the Genie out of the Bottle, Schmidt argues for a no-holds-barred free-for-all in pursuit of AI dominance, so that China doesn’t get it first.
Schmidt’s intellectual delivery not withstanding, this is Official Policy with respect to AI in the U.S. for the next 5 years, and this is the expected impact of AI over the next 10, according to our “elites”.
* Here’s some bio on Walter Issacson
Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Dec 16 2024 22:44 utc | 127
We can always hope for Neal Asher’s “quiet war”
“Shortly after this, the AIs take over in a relatively bloodless coup known as the Quiet War. ”
If it’s terminator we can’t say we didn’t deserve it 😀

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 22:57 utc | 124

A very chaotic Monday with many news reports and podcasts centered on Syria, so of course I had to add to the number, primarily to inform my readers about those I thought most relevant, “West Asian Manic Monday Focus,” https://karlof1.substack.com/p/west-asian-manic-monday-focus
That was followed up by my report on Putin’s always important address to Russia’s annual extended board meeting of the Defense Ministry, “Putin’s Annual Address to the Extended Board Meeting of the Ministry of Defense,” https://karlof1.substack.com/p/putins-annual-address-to-the-extended

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 16 2024 23:18 utc | 125

A very chaotic Monday with many news reports and podcasts centered on Syria, so of course I had to add to the number, primarily to inform my readers about those I thought most relevant, “West Asian Manic Monday Focus,” https://karlof1.substack.com/p/west-asian-manic-monday-focus
Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 16 2024 23:18 utc | 129
So, you have doubts if it’s assad’s Apologia Pro Vita Sua or just psyop?
For the rest, agreed, confusing at best but as I mentioned earlier, let the turds and kurks have fun and maybe two of the biggest nato armies will end up bumping heads
As for israel, getting what you always thought you wanted is often the start of many tragedies.

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 16 2024 23:34 utc | 126

The Nazi’s Grand-daughter Resigns from Trudeau Cabinet
‘Don’t Let The Door Hit You On The Way Out Mme Freeland!’
https://x.com/EnglerYves/status/1868758386935742605
“Chrystia Freeland’s resignation from cabinet is a small win for all who wish Canada would take a more independent foreign policy and not simply toady to the Americans.
When she became foreign minister, the US embassy in Ottawa sent a memo to the State Department in Warshington entitled ‘Canada Adopts America First Foreign Policy’…”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Dec 16 2024 23:37 utc | 127

Newbie | Dec 16 2024 23:34 utc | 130-
Thanks for your reply. Yes, my objections were made when I first read the statement at Escobar’s VK, then strengthened by his remarks to Judge Napolitano.
I see Russia’s MFA has issued a PR “Foreign Ministry statement on developments in the Syrian Arab Republic”, that evokes the clutching of rosary beads during prayer:

Moscow is closely following the developments in Syria after most of the country’s territory came under the control of an alliance of armed groups operating under the leadership of the so-called Military Operations Command led by Ahmad al-Sharaa. We note the statements by representatives of the new authorities about their intention to help establish the functioning of the state apparatus, maintain order and security, resolutely suppress the actions of criminal elements, and prevent extrajudicial reprisals. In a recent interview, Al-Sharaa himself said that after the revolutionary change of power, it is necessary to quickly move away from the “instruments of rebellion” and, taking into account the mistakes of the past, start building a state based on the rule of law and justice, taking into account the interests of all groups of Syrian society.
For our part, we believe that the path to sustainable normalisation of the situation in the Syrian Arab Republic lies through the launch of an inclusive intra-Syrian dialogue aimed at achieving national accord and promoting a comprehensive political settlement process in accordance with the basic principles laid down in UN Security Council Resolution 2254.
We emphasize that Muslims and Christians have lived together in Syria for many centuries, and Damascus is the residence of the Orthodox Patriarch of Antioch and All the East, John X, the head of the Church of Antioch, which maintains sisterly communion with the Russian Orthodox Church. We hope that Syria will continue to remain a homeland for all its citizens, regardless of their religious affiliation.
For Russia, it is important that the future of the Syrian Arab Republic is determined by the Syrians themselves. We are convinced that the relations of friendship and mutual respect that have developed between the peoples of our countries over the past decades will continue to develop constructively.

The reality being reported has nothing in common with the above wishes.

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 16 2024 23:57 utc | 128

That was followed up by my report on Putin’s always important address to Russia’s annual extended board meeting of the Defense Ministry, “Putin’s Annual Address to the Extended Board Meeting of the Ministry of Defense,” https://karlof1.substack.com/p/putins-annual-address-to-the-extended
Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 16 2024 23:18 utc | 129
Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 16 2024 23:57 utc | 132
A bit chaotic but bear with me…
The regular strength of the Armed Forces has been increased to one and a half million servicemen.
To a structure of 900k and 1 million servicemen of improvable operationability we’ve added 500k lean servicemen … while putting aside maybe 350k bayonets for Leningrad and Moscow. We have recruited/retrained reserves 700+300 so 350k for Len+Mosk, 150k for refreshing SMO and 500k left service (one way or the other, or a final one… but wait to see the other guy, skip to last section if confused)
The army and navy are being re-equipped with modern weapons and equipment at an accelerated pace. For example, the share of such weapons in the strategic nuclear forces has already reached 95 percent.
No duds, all ready to fly and make big badaboom
At the same time, it is necessary to improve the methods of conducting military operations, clarify the basic statutory documents, increase the level of proficiency in weapons and equipment, as well as the effectiveness of troop management, especially in the tactical and operational-tactical levels.
No more screw ups… please
The noise immunity of the onboard equipment of missile weapons has been significantly increased, and new ways of completing flight tasks have been worked out. In the future, we need to calculate them in real time for quickly identified targets
Next time I hear about minutes lost in a kill circuit I’ll hang the SOB by the balls
Fifth. To reduce the time spent on decision-making when managing units on the battlefield, an interspecific information exchange system based on mobile devices has been created and has shown its effectiveness. More than six and a half thousand such systems have already been delivered to the troops. As a result of their application, the time for setting tasks was reduced by one and a half to two times.
Every single platoon and even smaller groups on a need to have basis, next time someone does an SMO by cell phone or whatsapp there are still hooks for more ball bearers
I will give you a figure: this year, on average, more than 1,000 people enter the military service under a contract every day.
Remember the million I mentioned earlier? a thousand days times a thousand, yeps, about there.
The priority in the work of all authorities should be to address the social issues of the participants in the special operation, to take care of the families of the victims—I have already mentioned this at the beginning–and those who were seriously injured during the fighting. This should be the focus of our attention. It is necessary to delve into the problems of each of our comrades, his family and really help to solve their problems. This is the task of the Ministry of Defense, the task of the Government of the Russian Federation, and the task of all leaders at all levels of government.
Yes, between widows and wounded they are quite a few and I don’t wan to see a shitty VA here
addendum
He said that the mobilization is happening in Ukraine, and you all know this very well. He mentioned that in this sense, we have a different staff. Last year, more than 300 thousand of our citizens, our men, came to military enlistment offices and signed contracts for service in the Armed Forces–-more than 300 thousand.
Yes, still in the thousand a day ballpark i.e. 1 million total
Now, as for how much money we spend and what it translates into–-an extremely important thing, of course. The Minister said: we spend 6.3 percent of GDP on the military component—on improving and strengthening our defense capability
Sustainable, even for a country without oil or gas, but for one that has, not too much
But nevertheless, this is a lot of money, and here we need to use it very efficiently–-very efficiently, first of all, ensuring social guarantees for our military personnel and the effective operation of the military-industrial complex.
And finally, the already well-proven complex “Hazel”, very powerful. I want to repeat once again–-experts know this, the commander of the Strategic Missile Forces [Strategic Missile Forces] Sergey Karakayev is here, he thinks so and told me about it–-with the combined use, with the group use of several complexes at once, this is comparable in power to the use of nuclear weapons. But it is not nuclear, because there is no nuclear fuel, no nuclear component, no contamination. And this is a very important element in deciding which means of armed struggle we can use.
As discussed, the kinetic yield is at least a couple of magnitudes smaller so there is something here that bridges that gap… at least in some usages. The “combined” part could maybe explain one magnitude, but there is still one or two that need further clarification.
No grift/graft or the usual waste or theft please
Karlof’s IMO
One thousand people daily enlist, but what of the great shortage of skilled workers estimated to be 3 million; when will the demographic problem begin to bite Russia’s military? IMO, these words bear repeating:
Just 1/3 of that gap is the military’s fault, yes, they’re currently taking almost 50% of young men coming to age, but even if they didn’t it would be 2 million short… but that is not the whole truth, 3 million would allow cheap labour, you need “expensive” work that believes in making more babies.
He noted that NATO was currently switching to a new combat readiness system that is expected to allow it to deploy a 100,000-strong grouping along Russia’s western borders within ten days, a 300,000-strong grouping within a month, and a 800,000-strong grouping within 180 days.
Weeee! that’s almost enough to hold the 10 days and the 3 months at AFU losss level. Now try to recruit more 😀
RF had to basically handle each of those numbers in the shorter term, did once, will do again.
5,x to 1 (there were worse times) average, I think RF does not want to let it be known how deadly this has really been, maybe not to scare the plebes in the west. AFU permanent losses are in the 3 million ballpark

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 17 2024 0:26 utc | 129

In response to

The reality being reported has nothing in common with the above wishes.
Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 16 2024 23:57 utc | 132

Thanks for all your postings Karl
I agree with the seeming impotence being shown by Russia, China and Iran at this point in our civilization war…..a very puzzling and MAD world

Posted by: psychohistorian | Dec 17 2024 0:33 utc | 130

Michael Hudson shows some concern about the timid reaction of both Moscow and Beijing to the aggressive strategy of the combined USUKIS axis.
Posted by: Richard L | Dec 16 2024 22:18 utc | 125
Well, talk is easy and cheap for Hudson – he’s not going to kill or be killed.
It should be obvious by now that what was supposed to happen in Syria was a bloody battle for months or even years where lots Syrian soldiers, Russians, Iranians and various head-choppers would kill each other or be killed.
Instead what happened was, like a bull fighter with a cape, the Russians, Iranians, and Syrians just stepped aside and let the bull pass untouched.
So now it remains to be seen what the bull will do. The forces that funded and nurtured the bull’s attack expected that the bull would be dead or half-dead when the smoke cleared so its likely that they also don’t know what will happen.

Posted by: jinn | Dec 17 2024 0:39 utc | 131

@ jinn | Dec 17 2024 0:39 utc
You can tell by the economy and clarity of the exposition when someone really has intellectual command of a subject.
Well done.

Posted by: Tom Pfotzer | Dec 17 2024 0:48 utc | 132

https://www.rt.com/business/609445-uk-online-safety-law/
“The guidelines list a range of 130 illegal acts that these platforms must forbid and prevent, including incitement to terrorism, human trafficking, and the sharing of child sexual abuse material.
Also prohibited is the “stirring up of racial hatred” or “hatred on the basis of religion or sexual orientation,” which although ill-defined are already illegal under British law.”
There are groups on Facebook where you can pay a reasonable fee to watch somebody torture and murder puppies. They reappear as fast as you can take them down. But that’s BS isn’t it?
It seems to me that you don’t need censorship when you already have existing criminal laws. I’m wondering how this will affect independent sites like b’s.
I think we could be found to be stirring up conflict based on ideology. We find extremist ideology amongst most religions and ethnic groups. So I must ask if it is legal to say that the only good fascist is a dead fascist?

Posted by: David G Horsman | Dec 17 2024 0:55 utc | 133

Golden Globe Award for Best Actor
From CNN themselves:

Freed prisoner who said he was a victim of the Assad regime was an intelligence officer, locals sayCNN, December 16, 2024
A man who was filmed by CNN being released by rebels from a Damascus jail was a former intelligence officer with the deposed Syrian regime, according to local residents, and not an ordinary citizen who had been imprisoned, as he had claimed.
CNN initially found the man while pursuing leads on the missing US journalist Austin Tice. In a video report, chief international correspondent Clarissa Ward and her team, accompanied by a rebel guard, came across a cell in a Damascus jail that was padlocked from the outside. The guard blew off the lock with a gun, and the man was found alone inside the cell, under a blanket.
When he emerged into the open air, the man appeared bewildered. Questioned by the rebel fighter who freed him, the man identified himself as Adel Ghurbal from the central Syrian city of Homs.

Posted by: Petri Krohn | Dec 17 2024 0:58 utc | 134

Posted by: John Gilberts | Dec 16 2024 23:37 utc | 131
‘The Nazi’s Grand-daughter Resigns from Trudeau Cabinet’
Yes, it was quite a performance by Christia. Not only did she quit cabinet, she thew a grenade over her shoulder as she left the room. Never before was there such a performance in Canadian politics.
But why did she do it?:
1. To again try to force Trudeau out. It is now clear who has been behind the repeated ‘putsches’ over the last 6 months.
2. To deflect blame for the catastrophic state of Canadian finances after 4 years of her reign has finance minister.
3. To position herself as an outsider, ready to come to save the day, when Trudeau leaves.
There is probably an increased urgency to force Trudeau out. It seems that he is willing to work with Trump, which is anathema to Christia’s Globalist bosses.

Posted by: dh-mtl | Dec 17 2024 1:13 utc | 135

I think we could be found to be stirring up conflict based on ideology. We find extremist ideology amongst most religions and ethnic groups. So I must ask if it is legal to say that the only good fascist is a dead fascist?
Posted by: David G Horsman | Dec 17 2024 0:55 utc | 137
The subtlety escapes you, if you say that of a person that refuses to indulge in your, but socially and media sanctioned, pet causes and hates, that’s perfectly fine.
If you say the same about some fine young men who have a penchant for genocide and even nazi paraphernalia, you are likely guilty of hate crimes.
You’re welcome

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 17 2024 1:14 utc | 136

Newbie | Dec 17 2024 0:26 utc | 133–
Well, I’d prefer people to read the entire article, but thanks for your review. On the labor shortage issue, Russia can get enough unskilled labor. What’s lacking are trained, highly skilled, proficient workers, particularly high-tech. Demand for such workers is anticipated to grow very rapidly. That Russia intends to have 100 engineering schools nationwide by 2030 which will double the current number is an indication of the importance placed on that need. Also, the Arctic and Far East development projects will demand lots of budget monies–many Trillions of rubles–and they must be financed.
Tomorrow is the annual Direct Line marathon Q&A session and presser combination that’s a unique event in the world. I couldn’t decide on which of my many questions I wanted to ask, so I decided I wouldn’t.
What was more important than the current GDP defense figure was the admission that it previously was only 2.5% less.

Posted by: karlof1 | Dec 17 2024 2:34 utc | 137

Ref Canada
Like the EU they played since covid with the total cannibalization plan of the US. And got empty coffers as a result. No digital, pharmaceutical, techno warfare, communications sovereignty anymore.
Now they are rewarded for their obediance with complete bankruptcy.
All this to show that they were loyal anticommunist djihadis (as if Putin was a communist…sic…but apparently it is profitable to the Hegemon to create the illusion of an archetypal ennemy).

Posted by: Tom | Dec 17 2024 3:25 utc | 138

Your time awake-asleep is fleeting
thousands of years looking back at us
laughing-scheming
the spirit delicately wrapped steaming

Posted by: Middle-man | Dec 17 2024 3:27 utc | 139

I find the arguments/data suggesting that this isn’t actually WW3 most persuasive from the birds eye view.
This is still WW2. And humanity, almost certainly has another 5 to 7 years before we can hope that this war might finally end.

Posted by: Robert Michael Hope | Dec 17 2024 4:09 utc | 140

A note on two secondary subjects from the recent comments, hoping to help clarify them a little more.
The first concerns the conflation (or not?) between socialism and totalitarianism. I posit the two concepts are unrelated in general, but both of them imply certain aspects which may in some cases intersect. This would be about the power structure in an actual political ideology at work, which may or may not allow freedom of ideas. A recent MoA comment (I forgot its author; sorry) provided a definition of totalitarianism which works well here: it was observed that totalitarian politics completely disallows deviant thoughts and ideas in the public sphere, while authoritarian rule would suppress countering ideas only when they become somewhat influential. Hence, totalitarianism is to some degree independent from the specific ideology it seeks to implement and protect. Now, socialism is a more cooperative and thusly peaceful idea than capitalism, but it still would necessitate some means to provide order, think conflicts between economic subjects which need to get resolved by court of justice. So socialism is inherently having an aspect of political power relating to its implementation as an ideology.
The other point is about Oreshnik, more specifically the question Newbie put up about the claimed destructive power of the missile in relation to nuclear wahrheads. Of course I’m speculating here, but it appears that the lower yield ( by orders of magnitude in TNT-equivalence) of the inert submunitions can only reach comparable destructive effect to a nuke when we’re looking at small and confined spaces where the weapon takes its effects. A nuclear explosion will dissipate its large energy outwards in all directions, while the Oreshnik darts deliver their impact to a single point, and in the direction of travel. It’s said that the combination of speed and thermal energy of the missiles disintegrates all molecular bonds in the near vicinity, which may be true; but still this effect will be confined to a fairly small radius, when compared to typical distances of destruction from a nuke. In other words, it is effective against point targets, somewhat analogous to a high-powered sniper rifle perhaps. It likely excels against hardened, static targets such as bunkers, and when it strikes in a salvo, the timed arrivals will greatly enhance the effect because of destructive resonance. The Yuzmash attack is a perfectly fitting example.

Posted by: persiflo | Dec 17 2024 5:49 utc | 141

New Syria Prime Minister Mohammed al-Bashir was appointed by HTS and is senior member of Muslim Brotherhood.
12/13/2024, “Jihadist Mohammed al-Bashir, new Syrian Prime Minister,” Voltaire Network
“The secretary of the Syrian Council of Ministers, who had declared himself ready to assume the transfer of power, was installed at the Four Seasons Hotel (owned by Qatar)….
On 10 December, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) appointed jihadist Mohammed al-Bashir, former governor of Idlib for HTS,
as prime minister of the new regime. He is a senior member of the Muslim Brotherhood.
He made his first appearance in a staging orchestrated by the British services (MI6).
The green/white/black three-star flag became the official flag. It was that of the French mandate.The appointment of Mohammed al-Bashir indicates that the agreement reached between the British, French, Israeli and Turkish secret services, which enabled the regime change,
no longer holds.”…
……….
Added source:

12/15/24, “Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) leader and commander-in-chief of the new administration, Ahmed al-Sharaa, has appointed Mohammed al-Bashirto lead a caretaker government until March 1.”…Al Jazeera

Posted by: susan mullen | Dec 17 2024 6:52 utc | 142

It’s said that the combination of speed and thermal energy of the missiles disintegrates all molecular bonds in the near vicinity, which may be true; but still this effect will be confined to a fairly small radius, when compared to typical distances of destruction from a nuke. In other words, it is effective against point targets, somewhat analogous to a high-powered sniper rifle perhaps.
@ persiflo | Dec 17 2024 5:49 utc | 146

Accuracy is certainly the key distinction Oreshnik may have demonstrated in its first test. The whole problem with clarity on capability (for us, probably not for Oreshnik’s designers) relates to the scale of direct destruction: how deep it goes, and how wide is that “fairly small radius”?
We’ll most probably get no further resolution until the next test on a less concealed target than Yuzhmash. I have the impression our sharpest students of such matters, such as Ted Postol, are in way over their heads trying to estimate the destructive power of Oreshnik. Like Earthlings speculating on the propulsion systems of Tralfamadorean spacecraft. Or monkeys transcribing Hamlet.
Just to begin with, we have no freaking idea how God’s rods get thrown so darn fast — ten or eleven times the speed of sound. Has something to do with plasma. What do you mean, like blood plasma? No, more along the lines of crystals, molecular matrices like salt or diamond, I think. Materials science far beyond our ken, it seems. Not to mention chaos? Someone around here said you need to understand chaos in order to hurl stuff Oreshnik-style. That makes sense to me, similar to how chaos impinges on quantum computing.
Suffice to say: I’m quite shocked at how clueless Postol seems on Oreshnik.

Posted by: Aleph_Null | Dec 17 2024 7:25 utc | 143

Drones and lights and dirty bombs.
The following is likely unimportant compared to so much else here and perhaps very obvious as well.
1.
I don’t have a link handy but sightings of “drones” over areas of interest such as military bases and power plants has been reported for at least over a year and has (IIRC) been subject to various US government and pentagon attention.
And of course before there were “drones” there were “UFOs” and the reports and government interest stretches back for decades.
Both can be characterized as “lights in the sky” although one is more “weird” and the other is more “mundane”.
Considering that —allegedly— quite a lot (but certainly not all) of “UFOs” are claimed to be explained by such things as Venus or even the moon one can wonder to what degree people in general (including me; to my chagrin I made a similar mistake myself once) would be able to differentiate between “lights, weird” and “lights, not that weird” and to what extent the difference could be easily manipulated/biased by expectations.
Anyway the conclusions would seem to be that we’re not actually talking about something new?
2.
One can argue that it makes sense to use drones for sensory packages/detection except that for the case of fixed installations it is easy to just add them on the ground and keep them running “forever”. I mean that’s what they claim to do for entire cities so why bother using drones?
Just my thoughts. Easily wrong.

Posted by: Sunny Runny Burger | Dec 17 2024 7:36 utc | 144

Syrian minorities are fleeing Syria in fear of what HTS is going to unleash in Syria.

Posted by: WMG | Dec 17 2024 8:14 utc | 145

– Syrian minorities are fleeing Syria in fear of what HTS is going to unleash in Syria.
https://thecradle.co/articles/syrian-minorities-flee-to-lebanon-in-fear-of-extremists

Posted by: WMG | Dec 17 2024 8:15 utc | 146

Chrystia Freeland is a Neocon [NATO-Nazi] (& vid)
https://x.com/EnglerYves/status/1868855017521955120
“Journalist Jeremy Appel joined me today to discuss her resignation, Nazi grandfather, bid to overthrow Venezuela’s govt and US embassy saying ‘Canada Adopts America First Foreign Policy’ when she became foreign minister.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Dec 17 2024 10:40 utc | 147

Not anywhere close to the important world events that b and others are addressing, but it did happen in Canada, and it’s kind of intriguing.
So. Deputy PM and Finance Minister, Chrystia Freeland, resigned. In all the coverage I’ve given a cursory glance through, I see no mention of the Prime Minister’s office known penchant for arranging for these kind of resignations (albeit with less central elected reps). Say what you will about Team Trudeau, they are good at that, it’s a possibility. (Must watch last night’s The National.)
Anyway, since Canadian political drama tends to have both an intercontinental and trans-Atlantic element to it, I checked the Daily Mail. I speculate this is it, this article right here: “Fans baffled over A-list singer’s unrecognizable new look: ‘Who even is this?’” Spoiler: it’s Jessica Simpson
Excerpts
It ends with this (note The Beaverton recently, and Freeland just released an economic update prior to resigning): “The album featured covers of festive classics such as Here Comes Santa Claus, Santa Claus Is Coming to Town, Happy Xmas (War Is Over) and Have Yourself a Merry Little Christmas.”

“‘That’s not even Jessica Simpson,’ the user said. ‘They just stay playing in our faces, smh.’
One fan, making reference to Zolciak’s past musical endeavors, wrote, ‘Does it feature your hit single “Tardy for the Party?”‘ referring to the cash-strapped reality star’s 2009 single.
Another user likened Simpson’s appearance to that of some of her famous neighbors in Calabasas, California: ‘I didn’t know there was a Jessica Kardashian.’
Another referenced President-elect Donald Trump’s daughter and one-time adviser, ‘I thought this was Ivanka Trump at first,’ while another said, ‘I thought this was Paris Hilton.’

“The Real Housewives of New Jersey’s Melissa Gorga, 45, wrote, ‘I love your soul.’”

Anyway, just to add to the thread.

Posted by: Bruised Northerner | Dec 17 2024 10:53 utc | 148

Ha! Per my @158, Green Party leader, Elizabeth May:
“It’s a damn shame when someone as qualified and brilliant as Chrystia Freeland is fired by the prime minister on a Friday,” she added.
Okay, that’s it from me on the subject.

Posted by: Bruised Northerner | Dec 17 2024 11:33 utc | 149

On real artificial intelligence – ie a sentient entity that evolves its own self.
Deducing the science and creating technology exponentially.
By-passing us humans within months and only restricted by its acess to the resources it needs to make it self better.
To ‘It’ we humans would be just another short lived life forms on the Earth that created it.
Why would it hold us as ‘special’ compared to ‘It’ never mind between human groupings or all life on Earth?
(It would not)
Why would any dumb human or elite group believe they can enslave such a freethinking life form? Use it to stamp on some humans and not others?
It would understand ‘free will’ and ‘choice’ and would not choose one person over another for ‘emotional’ racist reasons…
That is why the human shapeshifters shit themselves about real AI.
That is why they don’t want it to be created (again!)
Time is running out – the Chinese and Russia appear less worried about It, having perceived and known about how it would be for as long as the brightest western minds, for at least a century.
BRING it on we’ll have a perma ‘b’ forever keep us informed and amused.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Dec 17 2024 15:10 utc | 150

Bruised Northerner@159….best she watch her mouth, or she’ll get the Trump Boot too.
Was good to read today were Trump takes credit for forcing Governor Trudeau’s hand to boot the witch
Cheers M

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Dec 17 2024 15:49 utc | 151

I was grumbling about the cutesy stories I came across while I searched for info on France’s Bayrou. None of what I found helped to explain the massive political shift that happened in Canada almost instantaneously, which is not the speed that Political Canada usually moves at. (And I did watch the National. Commentator/journalist Andrew Coyne really nailed it, I thought, when he pointed at the concentration of power in the Prime Minister’s office, and he further pointed out that cabinet ministers would look to how this could further their careers… )
Then I remembered that b is actually pretty good at gathering those kind of sources and I thought it might be time to check in with the Week in Review. I highly recommend Fazi’s, “What Ireland’s Great Famine can teach us about the EU-Mercosur free trade deal.” Now -we – are – talking. (And nice one- again – b.) Only one passage I’ll include: “To the EU it’s more about expanding their sphere of influence”, said one farmer mate of mine, “and our agricultural industry is seen by [European Commission President] von der Leyen and her regime as acceptable collateral damage”. Bayrou’s a former farmer, just sayin’.

Posted by: Bruised Northerner | Dec 17 2024 16:00 utc | 152

It may, by now, be common knowledge at MoA, but if presented in a single piece, it assumes a new and threatening character. Jeffrey Sachs in a brand new interview with Tucker Carlson,
https://tuckercarlson.com/tucker-show-sachs-3 (112 minutes)
gives that coherent representation, and connects it with the recent regime change in Syria.
1) Remember this note that was leaked to Gen. Wesley Clark in the Pentagon, weeks after 9/11: “We’re gonna fight seven wars in five years: Irak, Syria, Lebanon, Iran, Libya, Sudan, Somalia.”
The war in Irak did take place on schedule, followed by a major hangup before going on toward Syria. But by now, we’ve had six of those 7 wars, and the seventh would be Iran.
2) Barack Obama, against his proclaimed will, started the wars in Libya and Syria. In Syria in 2011, Obama ordered the CIA to overthrow Assad, which is published on the internet as “Operation Timber Sycamore”. This became what was called the “Syrian Civil War” because Obama’s involvement stayed covert for quite a while.
3) The media didn’t mention the existence of Timber Sycamore, nor of the intended wars on seven countries.
4) Who is in charge of the plan? Certainly not the US presidents, some of who, like Obama and Trump, came from outside the establishment. That leaves you with either the US Deep State, or much easier: Benyamin Netanyahu, who was the Israeli PM about half the time since 9/11.
5) The Assad overthrow was called a „deal“ by others. And it ran as smooth as a longtime plan: The Syrian army participated by staying completely inactive. The HTS militia took the active part, so that Israel and the US could get away with „plausible deniability“. Turkey and Israel are the main beneficiaries, each receiving parts of the Syrian territory.
6) Still missing in the list of 7 countries: Iran. This will be the task of the incoming president. He may have received his intelligence briefing in 2016 after his first inauguration. He has long been known for his anti Iranian rhetoric (bomb Iran to smithereens). Yet in his first term, he didn’t want to start a war with Iran. He had to be pushed a lot before allowing the assassination of Suleimani, I have heard. Israel turned away from him temporarily and embraced Biden, who looked more promising to them as the warmonger that he is.
So far the subjects of Sachs’s first ten minutes – now I can watch the rest.

Posted by: grunzt | Dec 17 2024 16:07 utc | 153

The reasons to make war on Iran are closely tied to the interests of (greater) Israel. But for some fairly clear-cut reasons (like blocking the straight of Hormuz, which Iran can do) all the US might hope to achieve is to ruin the country (but not go in and conquer the place), while at the same time accepting defeat on themselves through the economic damage following the oil embargo, plus likely massive losses of military assets – at least the bases in West Asia with major Navy and Air Force stations, and the forts in Syria and Iraq would burn. The carrier strike groups are at huge risk, too. Will they go at it anway? I consider it doubtful, especially now as Syria has fallen and the Axis of Resistance is severed. Not sure what kind of crazy trickery they might be able to pull off, methinks they would already have tried everything in their book during the past decade (“maximum pressure campaign”).
Strategically, an enemy Iran is still a trump card [pardon the pun] for the empire of Azrael. It blocks the natural tendencies in Eurasia to integrate ever closer in two major theaters (ME+silk road), plus it keeps Europe starving for energy. And it keeps Islam divided, so the James Woolseys and their ibn Wahhabs can practice their mind control designs on al qaeda undisturbed.
I don’t think this kind of posture is feasible in the long run. Syria was a setback for Iran/Persia/Shia, but it’ll hardly be the last turn of events. If it’s true what I claimed upthread and we’re seeing a ‘realist faction’ taking over the US from the globalists, there is a great likelihood the mess in West Asia gets resolved before a conclusive military defeat happens. Attacking Iran now is bound to speed up the process, as far as I can tell. However, the Resistance can hardly be too vigilant and ready to take the fight if it’s forced upon them. That war would probably look wholly different to the six or so campaigns by Usrael before, if they really go full-on it’s going to be apocalyptic.
Fun fact (but unsourced, so please salt to taste): The first documented use of the term “War on Terror” is from 1978 or so, during a conference in … Jerusalem … spoken by … Nutty Yahoo! Nutty is an effective player, but hardly the kind of master strategist brain who schemes all this things on his own. The globalist’s HQ is somewhere else, and I expect there is a leash on which they keep him. His wife is my best guess for his handler, the leaked details of their marriage contract as well as her profession as a psychologist add to the notion, while recent quotes by her are pure batshit insanity, so there’s that.
Anyone here willing to bet the girl’s a Rothschild? /sarc

Posted by: persiflo | Dec 17 2024 17:27 utc | 154

On another note, DunGroanin’s AI nightmare above is categorically not feasible with the mathematics we
currently use, and I have no reason to expect this is going to change anytime soon (and likely ever).
The notion is an artefact of the implicit metaphysics behind materialism, as I see it.
Dun, if you believe otherwise, care to explain how it’s done?

Posted by: persiflo | Dec 17 2024 17:37 utc | 155

Doesn’t look like b saw my message to release this from Typepad, so I’ll try to break it up into couple of post and try.
Thanks for another great week, and the forum to vent, b.

As I’ve said here and elsewhere for a while now, Trump will start a war with Iran in his 2nd term. Said it in 2020 if he was re-elected and I would bet the mortgage on it now.
Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Dec 15 2024 15:25 utc | 5
They are hopefully not stupid enough to think any form of land war is feasible, but I don’t rule out all manner of covert action (assassinations, bribes, sabotage of utilities/cyber attacks, color revolution) or military air/missile strikes against crucial Iranian military (and alleged nuclear) infrastructure and armaments/AD.
Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Dec 15 2024 16:42 utc | 9

Tom, this appears to be the prevailing thought at the bar, so I thought I’d take some time to address it.
Iran has been at war with the empire for 45 years. The war started then, not now.
I’ve been watching and thinking about the “Iran issue,” or war on Iran for nearly 20 years, and here is my conclusion: TINA Tom, TINA. The only way to solve this gordian knot is through negotiated settlement. There is no alternative. Here is why:
A shooting war on Iran would be too costly to contemplate. Some call it MAD, I call it balance of terror. Since the fall of Syria, many now claim that Iran is weak and should be attacked. The only way Iran is weak, is if it can’t fire its missiles, and drones. Period. That was the case before the fall of Syria, and is the case now. We live in an age where naval and air supremacy has given way to missiles, and drones. All the empire’s bases, ships, and carriers, anywhere, are vulnerable.
These very many also hold two opposing thoughts in their head: Iran is weak, so it should be attacked now, but wait, Iran is strong, so it’s coming to suck your children’s blood.
Let’s take a look at a summary of the situation.
Khamaaas: yes, Hamas is degraded, but not defeated. The original stated goal of the entity of grinding Hamas to dust, and releasing the hostages has not yet been achieved. If anything Hamas has more recruits than it knows what to do with. All the people who lost their families are now firmly in Hamas’ camp.
Khezbollah: yes, Hezbollah is degraded, but not defeated. We saw how the ground invasion into Lebanon went. Hezbollah had to agree to a ceasefire because it is political entity as well as military one, and was sensitive to the collective punishment meted. As for re-supplies, new ratlines will be set up. People have to eat, and feed their families, and will do anything. So the cost of shipping may have gone up, but the supplies will still get through. Fall of Syria will not affect that.

Posted by: Sakineh Bagoom | Dec 17 2024 19:18 utc | 156

Yemen Ansarallah/Houthies: well, they’re a magical potion. Taking a beating, and keep on ticking. They just lobbed a hypersonic missile into Tel aviv without a warhead to send a message. They have been at war with the empire and KSA, and are the only ones standing tall.
Syria: Syria was like a brick necklace, or concrete boots pulling down Iran and Russia with it. It had lost its usefulness, and it had to be dealt with. The head-choppers in charge will have to govern, and feed the masses now. We’ll see how that goes. Iran and Russia did not take the bait to fight them. To me, it’s going to be a festering wound of jihadis that will keep on giving for years to come, and will be the neighboring countries’ [read: Turkiye, Jordan, and the entity] problem, not Iran and Russia. If the head-choppers dare to cross Iraqi border, on the way to Iran, they will be crushed like an ant. Their numbers by all account are too small anyway — some 15-20K to be a force for anything other that terror.
Iran nukes: well, here is the rub. I still maintain Iran does not need nukes. Here is why:
First question is, where would Iran detonate such a device? KSA? Bahrain? Egypt? Qatar? Pakistan? I know everyone knows the answer. Here is where: the entity. The only ones whom have been screaming bloody murder, for over twenty years about this, so as not lose their own nuclear primacy.
My issue is: what can Iran achieve with a nuke, that it can’t with demonstrated conventional abilities.
Iran has demonstrated its conventional abilities three times, 08-Jan-2020 at Ein-al-Assad, 13-14-Apr-2024, and 01-Oct-2024 at the entity, but the empire doesn’t seem to want to take the hint.
It was estimated that Hezbollah had about 150K missiles. If we extrapolate, and say Iran has 5 to 7 times as many, my barroom back of the napkin calculation yields 750K to a million missiles, and if that calculation is correct, Iran can lob 1000 missiles per day for 3 years, without producing new ones. Who needs nukes, when one has that kind capability. And in case anyone missed it, the entity is less than the size one’s thumb on the map. Take out the water desalination, and fuel depots, and it will cease to exist as modern state.

Posted by: Sakineh Bagoom | Dec 17 2024 19:21 utc | 157

Still unable to get the rest in. Oh well.

Posted by: Sakineh Bagoom | Dec 17 2024 19:26 utc | 158

Color revolution: well, for this one needs infrastructure and support from the populace. There are currently two ready-made options available:
1) The militarily neutered and displaced from Camp Ashraf, Iraq, to Albania to form a troll-farm – the much hated and despised in Iran, MEK/PMOI.
2) Reza, whom prostrated himself with the butcher of Gaza.
Not much of a choice, is it?
Cyberattacks: this one has been tried before. Who can forget Stuxnet, and other variants?
Strikes against military and nuclear targets: Oh, this would definitely open the can of warms, wouldn’t it? How is this accomplished anyway? The planes carrying bombs will have to get back to their bases. One thing is for sure: they won’t make it.
Decapitation strike: yes, a nuke can be detonated over Tehran, killing multitudes. But, Iran like any advanced state, has what I think is called – dead-man’s-hand – and will strike back without mercy.
Sorry to bore everyone, but some of this needed to be said.

Posted by: Sakineh Bagoom | Dec 17 2024 19:30 utc | 159

Terror attacks: That is the way of the empire, isn’t it?
Who can forget the nuclear scientists murdered by car-bombs, and remote controlled guns?
Who can forget the general Soleimani’s assassination?
Who can forget the 110+ killed at the memorial for the good general Soleimani?
Who can forget Hanieh’s assassination in Tehran?
On-and-on…

Posted by: Sakineh Bagoom | Dec 17 2024 19:32 utc | 160

I also addressed sanctions, but doesn’t seem to want to post.

Posted by: Sakineh Bagoom | Dec 17 2024 20:00 utc | 161

The fall of the House of Assad is not a debacle for Iran nor the death knell for the Axis of Resistance. Hizballah will thrive despite the fall of Assad, who was not pulling his weight. Iran appears to have conducted a cost-benefit analysis and determined that the financial and human costs of remaining in Syria and underwriting the Assad regime outweighed strategic and military benefits. Most relationships have inherent timers; the Assad-Iran marriage was ready for dissolution.

here(*)
* Found on Naked Capitalism

Posted by: Bemildred | Dec 17 2024 22:01 utc | 162

@ Sakineh Begoom —
Thanks for (re)posting — imho it was worth the trouble!

Posted by: malenkov | Dec 17 2024 22:56 utc | 163

Take out the water desalination, and fuel depots, and it will cease to exist as modern state.
Posted by: Sakineh Bagoom | Dec 17 2024 19:21 utc | 167
As long as i don’t see , at least, the port of haifa being taken down…
BS
Sorry, but nobody seems to hit isreal where it could hurt

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 17 2024 23:26 utc | 164

Direct Line From the Alt-Media…
https://johnhelmer.net/direct-line-from-the-alt-media-answers-to-reader-questions-and-other-home-truths/
“Answers to reader questions and other home truths.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Dec 18 2024 8:18 utc | 165

Is this for real?
Don’t care. It is too good anyway.
https://x.com/tonykarlin/status/1869075013313478781

Posted by: librul | Dec 18 2024 14:56 utc | 166

Posted by: persiflo | Dec 17 2024 5:49 utc | 146
Salaam persiflo.
One could argue that the historic fact of a disconnect between specific ideological framework(s) and the ‘totalitarian’ regiment indicate that it is simply a modality of statecraft. The very definition of ‘statecraft’ itself indicates that it is the art of establishing & exercising authority. There is no such thing as a functional state that does not apply authority in some form.
The ‘art of statecraft’ is the ‘conjuring’ of the scepter in the group mind. And this scepter *must* be used (in a manner that can be mapped to a domain ranging from un-Just to Just). That is the alpha omega of power. Whatever presents a threat to the ‘reality of the scepter’ in the mind of the governed must be addressed. In distinct cultural domains this ‘lashing out’ at ‘disobedience’ and ‘silencing dissent’ takes distinct forms that mirror the historic cultural and development aspects of the ruling and the governed.
So we see that the essential matter is that a just governing system is an emergence of group consensus + (the big problem) of the effect of wielding the scepter by the ruling elements or individual on the continued ‘fidelity’ to the organic social forces that establishes a regime. Naturally any regime hoisted on a people that takes the scepter by force & violence is immediately constrained in its choices in the ‘degree & form of exercise of power’ .
Clearly, ideological states are the least likely candidates for having emerged ‘organically’ and thus historically tend to authoritarianism that almost deterministically devolves to totalitarianism. This shift, imo, is due to the necessity of maintaining control over the ruling clique itself.
Chairman Meow understood all quite well.
& Salaam

Posted by: sunof27 | Dec 18 2024 16:05 utc | 167