What do you think barflys?
Posted by: Autumn | Dec 5 2024 22:38 utc | 99
1.) The mighty Wurlitzer has been working at high volume. Moving right along from Gaza, to Hezbollah to Syria, then to Iran no doubt, except none of those is really over.
2.) It seems clear Syrian military withdrew, was not driven back.
3.) Assad’s government and his allies seem calm.
4.) Not seeing a lot of atrocity porn so far. Wahabbi supply lines are exposed.
5.) So some indications of funny business. I’m inclined to wait another week or two and then see how the dust settles.

Posted by: Bemildred | Dec 5 2024 23:07 utc | 103

NPR in DC is reporting that the IDF drone striked a Palestinian Chef who was supplying a Gaza hospital with hot food for patients and staff via his own food truck.
The Chef was deliberately targeted by the IDF controlled drone……..this is yet another of a plethora of senseless war crimes committed against citizens and foreigners providing food and medical supplies to Palestinian civilians.
The IDF level of depravity has no bounds…………

Posted by: Tobias Cole | Dec 5 2024 23:39 utc | 105

The IDF zionist israeli people’s level of depravity has no bounds………… period

Posted by: Michael | Dec 6 2024 0:04 utc | 107

It would appear the SAA is in some combination corrupt and/or devoid of motivation. Aside from those not insignificant handicaps(!), I wonder if the SAA have the skills and equipment necessary to fight. In particular, is the SAA drone savvy? I’m assuming HTS is reasonably well equipped with at least short range reconnaissance and FPV drones, either simply because they observed the Ukrainian conflict and learned or because they were encouraged and/or supplied by Turkey/US/Ukraine. What about the SAA? They seem woefully unprepared in general so I have to suspect they’re lacking in the drone aspect as well.
Even if the SAA gets its act together, what HTS has taken in days could easily take years for the SAA to regain.

Posted by: Mike314159 | Dec 6 2024 0:24 utc | 109

Expect a massive RF response to the Turk/CIA/MI6/IDF/ISIS invasion of Syria…..RF will double down on Assad, and the response will be immediate…..
RF and SA airstrikes are already working over the invasion columns……..
RF will not lose face on this one, they know exactly who is behind this invasion…..VV is in no mood to lose an ally……..bet on it….

Posted by: Tobias Cole | Dec 6 2024 0:33 utc | 111

Is it not the case, that Turkey and Larov have proposed Astana format meetings this week – the Astana format includes prior 21 meetings on the stabililty of Syria. Include Russia, Turkey,and Iran and possibly others – including observors from Lebanon, Jordan, Iraq. To occur in Doha. UN also a possible player.
More of playing by the rules, acting slowly but strategically. None of this appears to be covered in any of the mainstream media. Reported from Tucker Carlson interview of Larov in Russia.

Posted by: abierno | Dec 6 2024 0:46 utc | 113

see video at the first link
https://x.com/KevorkAlmassian/status/1864610909877850322
Kevork Almassian🇸🇾🇦🇲 @KevorkAlmassian
🚨🇸🇾 Jeffrey Sachs: the al-Qaeda invasion of Aleppo and Hama is a US, Israel and Turkish attack.
https://x.com/KevorkAlmassian/status/1864806993925451925
Kevork Almassian🇸🇾🇦🇲 @KevorkAlmassian
🚨🇸🇾 A group of Hezbollah’s al-Radwan force arrived in Hama.
https://x.com/BrianJBerletic/status/1864708781491495400
Brian Berletic @BrianJBerletic
🇺🇸🇸🇾 US Proxy War in Syria
▪️Despite reported loss of Hama it should be remembered it and Homs have been traditional strongholds of US-backed extremists back to the 1980s;
▪️US-backed terrorists are advancing significantly slower as logistics are stretched out in a number of directions;
▪️Situation is still urgent, outcome impossible to predict until more information emerges regarding the disposition of troops on by sides;
▪️Again, before Russia’s intervention in 2015, nearly the whole country including parts of Damascus were overrun by US-backed terrorists;
▪️Many factors since 2015 have changed in Syria’s favor, the question remains how much has the US prepared these terrorists to compensate, and how overstretched are Russian/Iranian/Syrian forces following multiple escalations elsewhere since;

Posted by: michaelj72 | Dec 6 2024 3:03 utc | 115

Re: Attack on Syria
Question Barflies:
What makes you think these terrorists are Arabs and not Israelis or Americans ?

Posted by: Exile | Dec 6 2024 3:18 utc | 117

HTS made deals and prioritized seizing territory and avoided direct engagement with SAA wherever they could. Do you think they will be as merciful with the local population once they are under siege? Aleppo is already reporting food shortages.
Posted by: Rubiconned | Dec 5 2024 21:53 utc | 92

So in other words, they’re accomplishing the square root of fuck all? Occupying Homs and Aleppo with light infantry elements leads to…what exactly? Terrorizing a civilian population, while certainly the modus operandi of Maerican proxy forces and their Israeli auxiliaries, doesn’t have any specific military value. Do enlighten me.
Turkey and Maerica plan to play cats-paw pretend on this as well, Im sure Moscow is happy to oblige – a tacit acknowlegdment of Russian power if ever there was one. I wonder why the strong are so so afraid of showing themselves directly as backers of outright terrorists and bandits? I mean, they’re not afraid to stand up and outright aid and abet the IDF in a brutal and wholesale slaughter of innocents. What’s different, I wonder?
The Syrian Gambit (aka Kursk II Son of Kursk) is just more desperate shit stirring while shit can still be stirred. The Dollar Strikes Back, if you will. As better men have noted, the decreasing value of said dollars and their inability to heal bullet holes by their very nature ensures diminishing returns. Need to blow that wad before you can only wipe your ass with it, kinda thinking. I’m astounded by the profoundly insipid strategies of my betters.

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Dec 6 2024 3:45 utc | 119

Posted by: MrTurk | Dec 6 2024 3:52 utc | 123
Sorry, still keeping turkey as dick move as 99.9% likely
Couldn’t you wait your turn? Too early

Posted by: Newbie | Dec 6 2024 3:59 utc | 121

I suppose it would leave the US barflies gasping for breath if one were to suggest that the Turkic army in Syria might turn against Netanyahu’s Zionist Nazis, and join forces with the axis or Resistance to the USUKIS Zionist
Genociders.
Maybe Erdoğan wants them there and Europe wants them there as a last line of Defence against Netanyahu’s Greater Israel plans. Netanyahu is a Gob hired by Global Capitalism. They don’t want the Gob thinking it’s in charge, and upsetting their European Garden.
Posted by: Giyane | Dec 6 2024 4:06 utc | 125
Erdogan cope. Giyane, he’s a crypto Zionist. I know what you’re thinking. Wrong. Erdogan is not a Muslim. He has no belief system. It’s always what is good for erdogan. The guy would sell his mother. He’s working with the Zionazis! Boom. Done. He’s humanity’s enemy.

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Dec 6 2024 5:03 utc | 123

The Gauls once controlled Western Europe ,the carthagians controlled most of North Africa.
They were destroyed by Rome.
Woe to the vanquished.
The question that should be on the Christian/alawhites elite should be whether they want a nation state on the Mediterranean,Syria will become a festering cesspit such as Somalia ,the only difference is that the west will like to keep it that way.
Posted by: Aurocks castillo | Dec 6 2024 3:16 utc | 119
You know, the antebellum south used to run the same racial game. Tragic then, ridiculous now.

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Dec 6 2024 5:07 utc | 125

Erdogan cope. Giyane, he’s a crypto Zionist. I know what you’re thinking. Wrong. Erdogan is not a Muslim. He has no belief system. It’s always what is good for erdogan. The guy would sell his mother. He’s working with the Zionazis! Boom. Done. He’s humanity’s enemy.
Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Dec 6 2024 5:03 utc | 126
Well, but he’s certainly Muslim and you know that. And no, he’s not a crypto Zionist.

Posted by: burak | Dec 6 2024 6:52 utc | 127

It seems that Iran is totally defeated. They are very silent.
In fact there is no resistance to Empire there.
I do not understand why are the jihadi armies so strong.

Posted by: Salmon | Dec 6 2024 7:38 utc | 129

https://www.rt.com/news/608798-russia-lavrov-interview-carlson/
Lavrov:
“In Palestine during one year after the Israelis started their operation in response to this terrorist attack, which we condemned. And this operation, of course, acquired the proportion of collective punishment, which is against international humanitarian law as well. … It’s a disaster in Palestine”
Disgusting.

Posted by: burak | Dec 6 2024 8:44 utc | 131

” You can even just put on an Italian suit and become the President of Turkey.”
Posted by: Turk 152 | Dec 5 2024 20:30 utc | 81
Now that is Handy information to have. Thank you. It’s great to be exchanging comparative information. You never know I might have to buy a magoo hat and travel there sometime.
In fact I would be happy to sit down and have a cup of coffee and hear what they have to say. Without spouting off and displaying judgment.
Neutral territory I guess. One thing I do know is that when this is all over they are going to have to live somewhere under a negotiated peace.
Putin gets a lot of credit for his ability to create peace with his Regional neighbors and areas. However he is applying peace studies research that has an extensive history such as the Gaultung Institute.
We could discuss Chinese wisdom but here we see a very Western Scientific approach to the subject of conflict resolution and peace studies. Putin is the first to apply this at a geopolitical level successfully. Although other people may have many prior examples.
It may be that his motivation is entirely realist but I see many signs of a lot of research having occurred. He is well educated.
It is the way. And it is the only way that has ever been known to work.

Posted by: David G Horsman | Dec 6 2024 9:10 utc | 133

“Foreign-backed terrorists led by the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) Takfiri group launched a large-scale attack in Aleppo and Idlib provinces in the northwest of Syria on November 27, seizing several areas.
Seem like tanks rolling to protect Syrians on the ground to you?
Some air campaigns? Did they work against Hezbollah? Or Gaza? How’s that going to keep on the ground Syrians safe?
The “new Middle East” is shaping up to look a lot like the “Old Middle East” with Palestinians, Lebanese & Syrian continuity of being under the boot of one or the other power. And yes, it’s oil, ports, money & geographical positioning.”
Posted by: Trubind1 | Dec 5 2024 20:38 utc | 83
For the most part you are factually correct here on events up to the moment. And you always provide great posts and Analysis so thank you.
I disagree here though, you are not taking into account the pace of Modern Warfare. And historical Warfare also.
If this surprise offensive began on the 27th of November then we should see what the state of the Syrian and opposition ground forces are around Christmas. Assuming there’s anything left.
Many of us agree Syria has been unable to modernize its forces. Those material resources can be addressed even within a month but that doesn’t address training.
However we have seen their rapid response forces and existing Army slow down and hold the attack overall. So while they get their act together the only thing they can do is gain intelligence and bomb the living crap out of these guys.
It is a golden opportunity to separate out the combatants from regular civilians in the North. The attrition has begun. They should carefully track these guys when they run back to their rat holes. And then dig them out and prosecute them.
Although I do get your point I also believe that Syria has friends and allies. For the most part those may be over stretched and find it difficult to help. For the rest they are far away and it will take weeks to travel to Syria and organize. So realistically we can only look at Yemen, iraq, and Iran to provide assistance.
Russia is the wild card in terms of providing ground troops. It appears they will do what they have always done and just provide the intelligence and Ariel support along with some material support. For the latter China is an unknown also.

Posted by: David G Horsman | Dec 6 2024 9:29 utc | 135

“Shall we trust in the perfecters of Nazi Genocide, or in the Creator of the Universe and Master of the Day of Judgement?”
Posted by: Giyane | Dec 5 2024 21:34 utc | 87
Well you are wise in the ways of the world. So you must naturally understand that just like the Pope, it’s a question of how many divisions he (pbuh) might have.
That and are the Nazis offering Healthcare? They usually don’t just look at the US. Although the field hospitals are pretty handy. I mean sure it all sounds good but what about dental?

Posted by: David G Horsman | Dec 6 2024 9:47 utc | 137

“Do you think they will be as merciful with the local population once they are under siege? Aleppo is already reporting food shortages.”
Posted by: Rubiconned | Dec 5 2024 21:53 utc | 92
Look you are absolutely right at horrible things are and are going to happen to the people in Northern Syria.
I think you’re brief summary of this lightning strike is accurate. The mistake you’re making is that you are analyzing this in the.
Although I in no way am criticizing your compassion for the people of Syria. What I saying is that you are analyzing this in the same way that the ukrainians did.
You have to analyze this in terms of forces, weapons, and operational materials. Throughout this Frozen peace there have been at least two divisions available to resume the battle. And that’s not counting what are no doubt sizable Reserves living in Turkey.
The piece is broken and the war has resumed. As you said a huge amount of land was yielded as the Army retreated to lines they could hold along a smaller front. They put their focus on holding Aleppo.
This is very similar to the Kursk offensive. The lines are stabilizing but that doesn’t mean that the extremists won’t continue to make advances in one area or another.
It’s a question of can they take Aleppo. It seems clear that reinforcements will arrive for this Syrian Army and it is a question of when.
The only good thing is that this could be the end of Isis in Syria. What remains of it can spend it days sipping coffee in Turkey. I’m sure there will be lots of mercenary work in other hot spots in the region.

Posted by: David G Horsman | Dec 6 2024 10:02 utc | 139

Things are not looking tooo good in Syria right now – or the entire region for that matter.
“A truly seismic change in the Middle East appears to be happening very fast. At its heart is a devil’s bargain – Turkey and the Gulf States accept the annihilation of the Palestinian nation and creation of a Greater Israel, in return for the annihilation of the Shia minorities of Syria and Lebanon and the imposition of Salafism across the Eastern Arab world.
This also spells the end for Lebanon and Syria’s Christian communities, as witness the tearing down of all Christmas decorations, the smashing of all alcohol and the forced imposition of the veil on women in Aleppo now.”
“Yet Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS) is also a proscribed group in the UK. But both British mainstream media and British Muslim outlets have been openly promoting and praising HTS for a week – frankly much more openly than I have ever witnessed anyone in the UK support Hamas and Hezbollah – and not a single person has been arrested or even warned by UK police.”
https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2024/12/the-end-of-pluralism-in-the-middle-east/comment-page-1/#comment-1073118

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Dec 6 2024 10:14 utc | 141

I hadn’t yet received the news that Aleppo Has Fallen. That’s very unfortunate and extremely concerning where the people there are concerned.

Posted by: David G Horsman | Dec 6 2024 10:16 utc | 143

“Hopeful thinking, but could this be a grand strategy to boot the US out? While everyone’s focused into (simpleton) thinking its the Russians, Iran and Hezbollah who’s endangered.”
Posted by: MrTurk | Dec 6 2024 3:52 utc | 123
I believe it’s more than that but yes. In addition this will eliminate Isis in Northern Iraq and Syria while draining the resources and potentially even troops of the Zionist plague.
So what that means is that erdogan is playing the entire bar here. The joke’s on us folks. In 2 years the whole mess will be close to being sorted out and turkey will suddenly emerge as a middle eastern hero. Yahoo!
… or not.

Posted by: David G Horsman | Dec 6 2024 10:36 utc | 145

“It seems that Iran is totally defeated. They are very silent. In fact there is no resistance to Empire there.
I do not understand why are the jihadi armies so strong.”
Posted by: Salmon | Dec 6 2024 7:38 utc | 132
Aside from Turkey there is no one in the region that poses any realistic threat to I ran. It is a bit difficult to claim they are defeated when they haven’t even begun to fight.
You can rest assured that Iran is going to strike back. The problem now is that most analysts were expecting a severe but limited strike on Israel.
Give in the conflict has now spread to here yet they may be reconsidering that. War is upon them and they have no choice but to fight. So it has now become a question of what form that blow will take.
You are claiming that the one player that could nearly flatten the Middle East is defeated. Hardly.
As long as Western Asia continues to be colonized and infiltrated by ngos and the CIA jihadism will continue. These are tens of thousands of potential troops but limited in number.
The plan for the day after must include meaningful employment, education, security and prosperity for these people as well as the wider people in the region. This will massively reduce extremism which is a byproduct of War and oppression.
They may be strong. They may be numerous, but we are legion.

Posted by: David G Horsman | Dec 6 2024 10:48 utc | 147

“Reserve assets will/would be used, and not in any great numbers either. Something like a brigade, a squadron of aircraft.
It wont amount to much numerically…”
Posted by: Urban Fox | Dec 6 2024 6:09 utc | 129
I don’t believe Russia will use any of its regular forces. Let’s not forget that the very recent Wagner exists is for situations like this.
They do still exist. They actually haven’t ever stopped recruiting. What I don’t know is how large their forces are in Belarus. We do know that they have appeared on the Kursk front.
Exile pointed out that we may have quite a few sheep dipped zionists in the Isis troops. Wouldn’t that be great? Nothing makes my day more than hearing about a dead genocidal fascist. A dead Isis affiliated genocidal fascist? Even better.
In a pinch Russia can do exactly the same thing. Voila, 20,000 extra Wagner’s. The resistance is not going to allow Syria to fall.

Posted by: David G Horsman | Dec 6 2024 10:57 utc | 149

If Syriyakmaps is right the HTS have arrived at Homs. If Homs falls then we will soon see Assad on a plane to Moscow. HTS has probably learned from IS’s mistakes and will go slow in transforming Syria into a Salafist paradise. Use a few years to consolidate power and then…
https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1liqnO9iSvshTLwgPB3q9sJTgfUI&ll=34.73658359811186%2C36.86537853102383&z=10

Posted by: Poul | Dec 6 2024 12:04 utc | 151

Syria will not falll.
Posted by: Alix | Dec 6 2024 11:51 utc | 153
Syria will not fall because as goes Syria will go the rest of the middle east, Iran central Asia, Russia and China.
Humankind will make it’s last stand in Syria, or it will surrender to an eternity of unimaginable darkness.

Posted by: Arch Bungle | Dec 6 2024 12:05 utc | 153

Suriyakmaps
https://t.me/Suriyak_maps/4655
https://t.me/Suriyak_maps/4656

After nine days of operations the rebel/terrorist groups have managed to seize 15400 square kilometers in Idlib, Aleppo and Hama governorates and have practically taken control of the city of Aleppo and the whole of Hama. Reaching this situation has a number of complex reasons that escape the logic of any half-baked person, so I will try to point out several conclusions I got from talking to several Syrians.
Operation Deterrence of Aggression has been prepared by HTS for about two years. The beginning of the Russian-Ukrainian war in 2022 has brought about a number of changes in the foreign policies of Ukraine, which has carried out a number of anti-Russian operations in various sectors of Africa. Syria has been no exception. Drones have revolutionized the war scene in just a couple of years. We have already seen this prematurely in the Turkish operation against the SAA in March 2020 when the government advance on Idlib province was halted. After the freezing of the front the rebels have reorganized, especially HTS, who has managed to impose itself on rebel groups throughout the region, including the SNA itself after a series of operations in Afrin at the end of 2023. The transfer of drones from Turks and Ukrainian advisors has allowed the terrorist groups to have an air force for the military operations of these nine days where they have managed to inflict significant casualties on the SAA ranks.
In contrast, the situation of the SAA has worsened considerably since 2020. The economic crisis due to economic sanctions and the impossibility of controlling the oil fields in the east (recall Trump boasting ‘we have their oil fields’) have sank the resources available for the maintenance of an army like the one available before the freezing of the front. Soldiers’ salaries have worsened and with them their morale. In addition, the war in Ukraine has considerably reduced Russian aid to Syria, while Iran, busy with its internal and external problems in the region, has not given sufficient support to the Syrian army in the last two years.
It is true that new weaponry arrived from Russia and Iran, the drones, in fact, were also successful in attacking terrorists trying to infiltrate government positions. However, the modernization was only applied in small brigades without a general impact. Hence, at the time of the rebel attack, the weakly equipped and demoralized troops barely put up any resistance, while the best troops remained miles away.
Reinforcements did not arrive in time and Aleppo and Idlib were doomed. However, Hama has failed to stop the advance of HTS and allies. The rebel operational force is estimated at around 20,000 without counting the SNA. More than half of these numbers faced an inferior SAA in northern Hama. The local soldiers put up great resistance along the defense line while awaiting the arrival of reinforcements. The problem was that the reinforcements hardly arrived there, but remained several kilometers south in Homs. Aviation and artillery were not enough to stop the terrorists whose drones continuously attacked the SAA positions and penetrated their defenses with enveloping movements. The Syrian army regained territory at dawn and lost it again throughout the day. The attacks were absorbed by the defense line, but little by little the fighting was approaching Hama. Yesterday, due to the impossibility of recovering the three lost supply lines to Hama, the SAA began to withdraw from the city. Today some units found out late about the withdrawal and were surrounded by the rebels who entered the city without resistance. The strangest thing is the large amount of weapons that the army has left behind in good condition. According to those I have been able to talk to, they blame the corruption of the army commanders, impregnated with political interests, who ordered the withdrawal from areas that a priori were easy to defend.
After Hama the battle of Homs will take place in the following days. The advance of the Terrorsites to the south has not yet begun. However, what used to comprise the Rastan pocket is largely hostile territory for the government. Only the Orontes River exists as a physical barrier. The SAA must strengthen the line of defense around Homs while awaiting the arrival of external aid from Iran and Russia. During the nine days approximately 2000 militants have lost their lives. However, that is not enough for HTS to lose its operational capability. The battle of Homs will be definitive for the future of the Syrian government, as the fall of the town means the loss of the center of the country and the isolation of the capital from the coast. Many civilians are now fleeing Homs towards the capital and the coast, especially minorities who are afraid of the advance of fundamentalist groups on their territory for the first time in years.
The next few days will be important. I hope my friends in Syria will not have to suffer terror again.

From the looks of it, it won’t take long before Homs is overrun by NATO-Israel-MSM supported head chopping terrorists. Only an intervention by Iran currently headed by a reluctant president can stop this at the moment. With the coastal area and Damascus severed from each other it won’t take long before Damascus will fall. I think we should see the talks between Russia and Turkey as a way to determine the how and if in the post Assad era. But the Russian presence would only exist at the grace of NATO.
Some time ago an Iranian lawmaker said Hezbollah had to go for a peace deal which Hezbollah saw as an infringement on its sovereignty. The current Iranian political leadership spearheaded by the dumb Pezeshkian seems to want to let go of its regional clout thereby forsaking Hezbollah, Palestine obviously and maybe even the PMU. Muqtada al-Sadr is a US asset. In my view this regional Iranian clout served as a means of protecting its sovereignty. Now it seems Iran (Pezeshkian) is instead betting on acquiring a nuclear deterrent. Obviously this will never be tolerated by the US empire and its vassals and a US ground war if eventually required would ensue. I’m sure in that case that president Donald ‘Adelson’ Trump would be more than happy to take credit for that just as he did after the US assassinated Soleimani.
The middle east is being reshaped, probably in the future pitting Turks against Arabs (both groups belonging to the US hegemony and both friendly to Israel) like we see in Sudan, the Palestinian cause thereby all but lost and surprisingly there is not that much coverage about it.

Posted by: xor | Dec 6 2024 12:24 utc | 155

Also a geography lesson. Iran is surrounded by mountains on all sides. Doesn’t need troops to defend an invasion. So their entire army can be deployed and any invaders can be eliminated with the drone force. And if need be, they simply destroy all airbases of Turkey, Israel, the US……. Or wait ….they don’t have that capability do they ?? Hmmm…..just simply study your history and reminder that the entire world fought Iran via proxy in 1980 and could not win. That was 45 years ago. Look it up and get back to me.

Posted by: Alix | Dec 6 2024 12:34 utc | 157

Posted by: Alix | Dec 6 2024 12:25 utc | 159 “Iran and Syria have a mutual defense pact.”
Posted by: Alix | Dec 6 2024 12:34 utc | 160 “So their entire army can be deployed”
What are the logistics of an Iranian intervention in Syria at this point? They invade Turkey to get there? Or they walk across Iraq to get there?
At this point Iran would have problem getting things in by air. How many airports remain safely in Assad’s hands? My guess is only main one the Russians use.

Posted by: Ed4 | Dec 6 2024 12:45 utc | 159

My last rant. All you posters are cutting and pasting from propaganda posts other people wrote. Maybe think for yourselves and post what you think and let’s have a civil discourse rather than repeating and posting thoughts that aren’t even yours. Kind of kills the whole spirit of an open forum.

Posted by: Alix | Dec 6 2024 12:59 utc | 161

Posted by: Dave | Dec 6 2024 13:13 utc | 165 “Now Israel can cut the land supplies from Iran to Lebanon, avoid the rearming of Hezbollah and start the war again.”
Why would Israel start the war again? It sounds like they got what they wanted with Hezbollah no longer able to get supplies from Iran via Syria.

Posted by: Ed4 | Dec 6 2024 13:28 utc | 163

Posted by: Alix | Dec 6 2024 12:55 utc | 163
If Syria was to fall doesn’t Iran know they are next?

If you have an inept political leadership unfortunately no. After a series of Zionazi assassinations on prominent Iran-aligned leaders Pezeshkian held off a response to “give peace a chance”, the ceasing of Zionazi hostilities towards the Palestinians. How retarded is that? As if they would ever do that and if it were for more than 5 minutes, for how many days, weeks or months? When I read it back then I thought it was fake news but it wasn’t. And yes Iran is next. At some point Libya was also next. Let’s hope the saner heads in Iran intervene both domestically and abroad (in Syria).
https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/13412

NEW: Seda va Sima (صدا و سيما), one of Iran’s largest national broadcasters, has stopped using the word ‘terrorists’ and is now calling HTS an ‘armed group’

Posted by: xor | Dec 6 2024 13:59 utc | 165

Republicofscotland 144
Attention librul.
Muslim Brotherhood’s Satanic Pact with Netanyahu ==> genocide Gaza and let MB sweep across Syria, putting Syria in Erdoğan ‘s portfolio of Ottoman2 acquisitions.
Not LIHOP, not MIHOP, BACKROOM DEALHOP.
Erdoğan and Netanyahu, Qatar and Saudi are finished. Dr Faustus says Shaytan will come back to collect his side of the bargain.
Don’t worry, South America is vast enough to accommodate Zelenbiden Erdanyahu and Qatarmasons and HammerbinSalman.

Posted by: Giyane | Dec 6 2024 14:25 utc | 167

Maybe somebody has a total size of the rebel army. Losing 2K would hurt, I would think.
Posted by: Eighthman | Dec 6 2024 14:01 utc | 170

Suriyakmaps https://t.me/Suriyak_maps/4655

…
The rebel operational force is estimated at around 20,000 without counting the SNA.
…

Terrorist operational force being steered by CIA/MI6/Mossad and SNA by Turkey.
That’s the size of terrorists coming from the north.
There’s also the following
https://tgstat.ru/en/channel/@two_majors/37933

🔸 In Deir Ez-Zur Province, it was calm. The #US-backed terrorists of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) are waiting for the situation in other provinces to worsen after their failures. The SAA command has sent additional forces for reinforcement.
🔸 In Homs Province in southeastern #Syria, the situation has not changed. Apparently the Free Syrian Army (FSA) #US proxy terrorists in the #US occupied zone around Al-Tanf Base are waiting for orders.
🔸 In Daraa Province in southwestern #Syria, the so-called Syrian opposition continues attempts to provoke armed uprisings. Local terrorist sleeper cells have carried out attacks on government posts. Given the situation in other sections of the front, a loss of control by the authorities is predictable.

Without outside intervention (from Iran), Syria won’t last.

Posted by: xor | Dec 6 2024 14:37 utc | 169

Based on a tweet, apparently just said he supports HTS taking over Damascus.
Posted by: schmoe | Dec 6 2024 15:22 utc | 174
_____
Who is “he”?

Posted by: malenkov | Dec 6 2024 15:27 utc | 171

This is exceptional and breathtaking. An ode to Palestine and Palestinians like no other, and a j’accuse of Zionisms and Israeli depravity beyond compare.
Susan Abulhawa – Addressing the Oxford Union Debate on 28 November 2024
https://globalsouth.co/2024/12/04/palestine-my-palestine-susan-abulhawa-addressing-the-oxford-union-debate-on-28-november-2024/

Posted by: JB | Dec 6 2024 15:29 utc | 173

Unfortunately Iran does not matter unless they can teleport troops to Syria as any ground movement will be destroyed by the US and Israel.

Posted by: schmoe | Dec 6 2024 15:35 utc | 175

Despite the ICC issuing arrest warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant – the UK government is STILL sending arms – aid and flying reconnaissance/targeting sorties over Palestine and Lebanon from RAF bases in Cyprus – they then send the targeting info to the Zionists airforce – and it bombs the mostly civilians below.
English government head’s past and present such as – Starmer/Sunak/Johnson, MUST stand trial for aiding and abetting the Zionists in their evil genocide.
https://www.declassifieduk.org/despite-netanyahu-arrest-warrant-uk-keeps-sending-arms-and-intel/

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Dec 6 2024 15:42 utc | 177

@Posted by: librul | Dec 6 2024 15:43 utc | 182
It is currently the big bold main headline at Haaretz.
Eleven (?) days ago the Knesset voted to boycott Haaretz.
Perhaps now the gloves are coming off at Haaretz.

Posted by: librul | Dec 6 2024 15:46 utc | 179

When Iran tried sending a plane to Damascus four or five days ago it had to turn back without landing because Israeli planes circled it and informed it that it would be shot down if it tried to land. Maybe it would be different flying into a Russian base, but maybe not.

Posted by: schmoe | Dec 6 2024 16:00 utc | 181

@ schmoe | Dec 6 2024 16:00 utc | 185
Good point; it might have to be Russian jets that would fetch Iranian soldiers. But then, Russia’s support has been — to put it mildly — underwhelming as of late.

Posted by: malenkov | Dec 6 2024 16:05 utc | 183

time will tell
https://x.com/alon_mizrahi/status/1864823757816406177
Alon Mizrahi @alon_mizrahi
My prediction is the tide will turn on the current Turkey-Israel-US attack on Syria in a couple of weeks, and that the end result (maybe in a couple of months) will be a strategic strengthening of a unified Syria, Hezbollah and the Axis of Resistance, and a very humiliating defeat for Erdogan. And potentially the end of his very hollow political career
https://x.com/snarwani/status/1864901064715338094
Sharmine Narwani @snarwani
In case you have any doubts about who the “opposition” in Syria actually is:
Al Qaeda Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), Al Qaeda Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), and Al Qaeda Indian Subcontinent (AQIS) have expressed their support for the offensive in Syria.
Al-Qaeda worldwide unite to support the war on Syria’s Assad government and side with US-Israel-Turkey-backed HTS and its allies.

Posted by: michaelj72 | Dec 6 2024 16:29 utc | 185

what a fiasco
https://x.com/ejmalrai/status/1865043541707174375
Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 @ejmalrai
#Syria: Syrian government forces are expected to:
1. Leave Al Bu Kamal, Deir-ezzour, Palmira and stop at al-Qaryateyn to protect Homs.
2. Leave Daraa and retract to the limits of Damascus rural area.
That will limit the defence of a larger area to a smaller area, secure Latakia, Tartous, Damascus and Homs.
Homs is almost empty of its inhabitants, allowing the defence forces to be less concerned about civilians when fighting against the pro-Turkish forces.
https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/1865000784447861089
Lord Bebo @MyLordBebo
🇸🇾🇹🇷 BREAKING: Erdogan says he hopes that the moderate rebels march to Homs and Damascus!
“We had called Assad. We said, let’s determine the future of Syria together. We did not receive a positive response.”

Posted by: michaelj72 | Dec 6 2024 16:56 utc | 187

Brian Berletic giving the latest round up from Syria from what one might call traditional MOA perspectives.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yfY5C__A6Ao
There’s another video I’ve seen by ‘Mahmood’ – an analyst with an alternative view.
Mahmood admits the difficulty in pulling any coherent narrative out of this particular fog of war. But he puts forward various bits of evidence which he himself admits are contradictory but which nevertheless merit consideration.
a/. The speed of the advance and the lack of the usual takfiri violence porn. A lot of civilians have stayed in place (tho’ the advance is thru mainly Sunni areas).
b/. The slowness of reinforcements from Assad’s traditional allies Iran and Iraq.
c/. Evidence that the rebels have not interfered with the transportation of arms from Iran and Iraq to Hezbollah.
d/. Increasingly strident voices from inside Israel (some from senior IDF officers) saying that the rebels are becoming a direct threat to them and that Israel should even start backing Assad because he is weak and controllable.
He provides sources for all these points.
Mahmood, a highly competent analyst, (he speaks Hebrew and is a pacifist), admits that he himself is flummoxed by these various contradictory strands but thinks they should be drawn together and wrestled with.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7vOu_aQ9NU4&t=33s
(Start a 5.20)

Posted by: johnf | Dec 6 2024 17:06 utc | 189

it looks like Erdogan may have finally succeeded in overthrowing Assad and annexing most of Syria. If Assad goes, Syria will be broken up between Turkey, the Kurds, Iraq, Lebanon and Israeli. That will almost certainly lead to another major Middle East war in the next 5-10 years

Posted by: Kadath | Dec 6 2024 17:19 utc | 191

This is exceptional and breathtaking. …
Susan Abulhawa – Addressing the Oxford Union Debate on 28 November 2024
Posted by: JB | Dec 6 2024 15:29 utc | 177
Yes, thank you.
The proposition: “This House Believes Israel is an apartheid state responsible for genocide”
The proposition passed 278 votes in favour and 59 votes against. (fwiw of course)
Here’s a vid: Susan Abulhawa
“Someday, your[zionists] impunity and arrogance will end. Palestine will be free.”
– Susan Abulhawa

Posted by: waynorinorway | Dec 6 2024 17:34 utc | 193

Assad is not going anywhere, and the war in Syria has not been lost, as so many here claim based on bits and pieces of mostly misinformation and their own tendency to draw far reaching conclusions because of something they have just read or heard, as if events in Syria are black and white, clear and simple. As if what they have read or heard is true, and lacking the indepth knowledge that is a basic condition for trying to understand complex developments and dynamics.
By filling this thread, which is the Palestine thread, with disinformation, questionable sources and claims that the war is lost, Syria is doomed, the resistance is broken, allies have abandoned Syria, Assad is gone, Syria will be divided ect, MoA is being turned into just another platform spreading the terrorists’ propaganda.
There is no way Syria will be destroyed, because the terrorist hordes and their parents and paymasters, whoever they are, can not win this war, even if they win some battles. They can lie, produce false videos and alarm, kill and destroy, but they can not win. Nothing is on their side.
As Nasrallah said: We can not be defeated, we can just win, or win.

Posted by: JB | Dec 6 2024 17:53 utc | 195

My wife read me a headline a few minutes ago about a Boston city councilor being arrested.
The name of the councilor is Tania Fernandes Anderson.
I immediately said, “I bet she crossed the Genocidaires”.
A very quick search and I found this.
Coincidence?
220 days ago MSN had this headline:
“Boston city councilor exposed for including ‘antisemitic message’ in ceasefire resolution draft”
The first paragraph of the article details her sins:
“Boston City Councilor Tania Fernandes Anderson was exposed for accusing Israel of committing “genocide” and “apartheid” in Gaza in a draft of a resolution calling for a ceasefire in the Jewish state’s war against Hamas, according to a recent report.”
Today the headlines are this:
“Read the full federal indictment of Boston City Councilor Tania Fernandes Anderson
Fernandes Anderson was arrested Friday morning on federal public corruption charges.”
They got her. She made some powerful enemies and they got the FBI and IRS to
get busy.

Posted by: librul | Dec 6 2024 18:08 utc | 197

@Posted by: librul | Dec 6 2024 18:08 utc | 201
links
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/boston-city-councilor-exposed-for-including-antisemitic-message-in-ceasefire-resolution-draft/ar-AA1nXcDR
archive: https://archive.ph/PypaX

Posted by: librul | Dec 6 2024 18:14 utc | 199