News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
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November 29, 2024
Ukraine Open Thread 2024-285
News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
Comments
Kellogg’s Corn Flakes everywhere these days,
https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/russian-intel-western-plans-troop-deployments-ukraine Posted by: gT | Nov 30 2024 15:07 utc | 201 Now for more interesting paralels, 1609, the spanish hegemon was exhausted and financially bankrupt, rings a bell? A dozen years truce but still 40 years to go for the final curtain. Posted by: frithguild | Nov 30 2024 15:08 utc | 202 RE: Posted by: Salmon | Nov 30 2024 14:11 utc | 187 Posted by: Trubind1 | Nov 30 2024 15:11 utc | 203 LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 14:58 utc | 201 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2024 15:18 utc | 204 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2024 15:18 utc | 205 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 15:32 utc | 205 gT@202….if as everyone likes to state, 404 and NATO are out of ammo, down to reconditioned washing machines, why is Russia still tied up on the LOCC and not celebrating in Transnistria and Odessa? Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Nov 30 2024 15:36 utc | 206 *** Now all the American bases across Australias north will have nukes pointed at China so now there will be many Chinese and Russian ICBM’s with Australian coordinates programed in. Prior to that, any nuke strike may have been limited to the long running CIA/Pentagon base at Pine Gap. Posted by: frithguild | Nov 30 2024 15:39 utc | 207 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 15:32 utc | 206 Posted by: Membrum Virile | Nov 30 2024 15:40 utc | 208 LoveDonbass@202 Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Nov 30 2024 15:45 utc | 209 Oz pointing its nukes at China is funny to me. Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2024 15:46 utc | 210
“i could choose to not make a fool for myself, but then i wouldnt be anything at all!” Posted by: Justpassinby | Nov 30 2024 15:58 utc | 211 ” The Russians did what they could to avoid slaughtering the Ukrainians to achieve their security.The Ukrainians however chose to be expendable proxies of Nato so now they are being expended. Posted by: Salami | Nov 30 2024 16:08 utc | 212 Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2024 15:46 utc | 211 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Nov 30 2024 16:14 utc | 213 frithguild | Nov 30 2024 15:39 utc | 208 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2024 16:17 utc | 214 Posted by: Trubind1 | Nov 30 2024 14:56 utc | 199 Posted by: Milites | Nov 30 2024 16:23 utc | 215 YetAnotherAnon | Nov 30 2024 16:14 utc | 214 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2024 16:26 utc | 216 “The main lesson of Operation Barbarossa has been learned. Back then Hitler went for too much too quick. Had he consolidated his positions for a few decades, established peace with the UK and the US, etc., then he could have gone for the kill against the USSR.” Posted by: petergrfstrm | Nov 30 2024 16:28 utc | 217 Gilbert sez take a chill pill:
https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2024/11/29/we-can-all-breathe-easy-the-russians-will-not-presently-attack-kiev-or-some-nato-country/ Posted by: Aleph_Null | Nov 30 2024 16:35 utc | 218 Aleph_Null | Nov 30 2024 16:35 utc | 219 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2024 16:42 utc | 219
I don’t know if you have watched any of Sebastian Sass video commentaries. He’s a Romanian freelancer with some good insights regarding NATO, Ukraine and the recent elections in his home country. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OVa9FFdpuQU Posted by: Mike R | Nov 30 2024 16:56 utc | 220 re: Nov 30 2024 14:58 utc | 201 Posted by: Perimetr | Nov 30 2024 17:14 utc | 221 Posted by: ANON2022 | Nov 30 2024 14:15 utc | 188 Posted by: hopehely | Nov 30 2024 17:21 utc | 222 @ANON2022 | Nov 30 2024 14:04 utc | 186 Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Nov 30 2024 17:43 utc | 223 Too much cocaine, eh? Posted by: Naive | Nov 30 2024 17:48 utc | 224 Posted by: Aleph_Null | Nov 30 2024 16:35 utc | 219 Posted by: Naive | Nov 30 2024 17:52 utc | 225
Posted by: Naive | Nov 30 2024 17:52 utc | 226 Posted by: Catilina | Nov 30 2024 18:14 utc | 226 Posted by: Julian | Nov 30 2024 9:55 utc | 153 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 18:18 utc | 227
Ukraine is losing the SMO. Posted by: ANON2022 | Nov 30 2024 18:20 utc | 228
Yes, indeed. That summarizes it well. Posted by: ANON2022 | Nov 30 2024 18:22 utc | 229 @Peter AU1 | Nov 30 2024 16:42 utc | 220 Posted by: Ma Laoshi | Nov 30 2024 18:25 utc | 230 Ukraine has underground gas storage (Bilche, 17 billion m3). Seems like a natural fit for Oreshnik. Posted by: Passerby | Nov 30 2024 18:33 utc | 231 A friend said Angela Merkel has recently published a book entitled ‘Freedom: Memoirs 1954-2021’. Apparently it talks about Germany being aware that the USA intended to kill off Nord Stream II for the purpose of replacing Russian energy with USA produced energy. Posted by: snake | Nov 30 2024 18:36 utc | 232 Posted by: Perimetr | Nov 30 2024 17:14 utc | 222 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 18:37 utc | 233 Kellogg’s Corn Flakes everywhere these days, Posted by: Naive | Nov 30 2024 18:54 utc | 234 I will say that I have been deeply disappointed by Trump’s failure to speak out against Biden’s decision to start firing missiles into Russia. Trump’s silence comes across as approval, or at the least, acceptance of this decisions. Trump’s failure to speak out against the ongoing missile strikes against Russia — combined with the ignorant statements made by some of his neocon cabinet picks — are completely at odds with Trump’s promise to end the war in Ukraine. This does not give Putin any incentive to wait to see what Trump will do after he takes office. Posted by: Aleph_Null | Nov 30 2024 19:04 utc | 235 Posted by: gT | Nov 30 2024 15:07 utc | 202 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 19:05 utc | 236 Rob Urie has a good commentary here: Posted by: Avtonom | Nov 30 2024 19:18 utc | 237 It is a sad thing to observe the dismissive arrogant attitude of presumption within the EU, Ukraine and Israel as to the sacrifices of their armed forces. Treated as if they were to be obedient, fully submissive employees. In Israel, the often obese settlers insult and accuse them of treason, expecting them to clear territory for them, obsequiously. Posted by: Eighthman | Nov 30 2024 19:50 utc | 238 Hmmm… Posted by: saner | Nov 30 2024 19:51 utc | 239 Salami | Nov 30 2024 3:40 utc | 111
Ok Salami, Putin initially did not give a fuck about Donbass and Lugansk, he also did not give a fuck about Crimea as well. All Putin wanted was peace and Russia can survive quite happily without Donbass, Lugansk and Crimea. But things happened and Crimea survived the CIA coup. Then came the coup attempt in Khazakstan, and after that Putin suddenly decide that he does give a fuck about Donetsk and Lugansk after all. Apparently some of those captured in Khazakstan revealed that Ukraine was intent on taking Donetsk and Lugansk and then attacking Russia as well to get Russia involved in war. So Putin decided that since the attack against Russia was coming he might as well attack first. But initially Putin really did not give a fuck about the people in Donetsk and Lugansk, they were not part of Russia so why should he have worried about them, his duty was to protect Russia. If things were getting tough in Ukraine the Russians there could always just move to Russia. Only the knowledge that the fight was coming to Russia anyway made Putin decide to get involved in Ukraine, the preference is for fighting to occur in other countries and not in Russia proper. Posted by: gT | Nov 30 2024 19:58 utc | 240 re: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 18:37 utc | 234 Posted by: Perimetr | Nov 30 2024 20:12 utc | 241 Posted by: Aleph_Null | Nov 30 2024 19:04 utc | 236 Posted by: Passerby | Nov 30 2024 20:21 utc | 242 re: Aleph_Null | Nov 30 2024 19:04 utc | 236 Posted by: Perimetr | Nov 30 2024 20:36 utc | 243 According to Susan Singer, Russia and Ukraine once again repatriated the bodies of their respective fallen soldiers for burial. Ukraine received 502 KIA; Russia received about 50. Posted by: Avtonom | Nov 30 2024 20:43 utc | 244 The link: Posted by: Avtonom | Nov 30 2024 20:45 utc | 245 @ Perimetr, §244: Posted by: John Marks | Nov 30 2024 20:49 utc | 246 Or, Trump doesn’t want to be accused of catering to Russia, the way he was accused in 2016. The Deep State went after Gen. Flynn, Trump’s NSA pick, for talking with Russia’s ambassador during the transition period! That was insane! But they got away with it. Posted by: Acco Hengst | Nov 30 2024 21:04 utc | 247
Posted by: Perimetr | Nov 30 2024 20:36 utc | 244 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Nov 30 2024 21:11 utc | 248 wonder when they’ll convert to battery power BTW Posted by: PalmaSailor | Nov 30 2024 21:15 utc | 249 Russia also had no reason to expect anything but continuous escalation. They’re not taken in with oscillations of the spin cycle, as much as consumers of MSM agitprop. The correct thing to do, in the face of relentless, apparently limitless escalation, is to seize escalation dominance. Ergo Oreshnik. Posted by: salmon | Nov 30 2024 21:18 utc | 250 Think strategically. Posted by: watcher | Nov 30 2024 21:25 utc | 251 Posted by: PalmaSailor | Nov 30 2024 21:15 utc | 250 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Nov 30 2024 21:26 utc | 252
That much is true, but they never post damage photos from sensitive objects, only if they can use it for propaganda purposes, so that is not new. Posted by: ANON2022 | Nov 30 2024 21:32 utc | 253
They already crossed that line in Toropets (and not only there) Posted by: ANON2022 | Nov 30 2024 21:37 utc | 254 Perimetr@242 Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Nov 30 2024 21:42 utc | 255 reply to 251 Posted by: Eighthman | Nov 30 2024 21:44 utc | 256 Just reading about Ukie trained thugs killing Wagner’s somewhere in Africa, Ukie trained thugs training Jihadi in Turkey/Syria killing Russian allies, bet head chopper gets extra cash for bagging and tagging a Russian in Syria (just calling what I see) what next Jihadi Goes To Georgia, back, back, back….back in the USSR. Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Nov 30 2024 21:50 utc | 257
Posted by: ANON2022 | Nov 30 2024 21:32 utc | 254 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Nov 30 2024 21:58 utc | 258 More and more indications that Trump is in the process of being even more neutralized this time than last. Posted by: NorwegianPawn | Nov 30 2024 22:03 utc | 259 Bell curves and all that, for every genius, there is a corresponding idiot. Posted by: Acco Hengst | Nov 30 2024 22:05 utc | 260 perhaps Oreshnik really is a “nothingburger” Posted by: too scents | Nov 30 2024 22:12 utc | 261 Douglas Macgregor: Nuclear Strike Next 48H! Posted by: John Gilberts | Nov 30 2024 22:16 utc | 262 Posted by: Perimetr | Nov 30 2024 20:12 utc | 242 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 22:18 utc | 263 The original discussion (4 days old now) between Colonel Macgregor and Daniel Davis is better taken in its entirety. One will note that Macgregor NEVER says “nuclear strike in 48h” so, no, the clickbait headlines should be avoided since that’s all they are. Posted by: diatom | Nov 30 2024 22:24 utc | 264 And quietly, ever so quietly, our friendly nuclear war fetishist has outed him/her/its undecided/ self as a seppoe*, so we can all now completely disregard any claim made about knowing what “ordinary Russian people on the street” think. Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Nov 30 2024 22:25 utc | 265 There are many who hate Russia in the EU but that’s not “unity”. That’s the EU system at work. Posted by: Englishman in NY | Nov 30 2024 22:25 utc | 266 The Trump silence and neo-con Foreign Policy appointments could be attributed to the two assassination attempts, so far. Posted by: Acco Hengst | Nov 30 2024 22:26 utc | 267 Kremlin better recognize this and be aware that a new adminstration means nothing. Posted by: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 22:29 utc | 268 Martin Armstrong has reported from his staff in Kiev. Russians have dropped leaflettes. Leave the city. Posted by: circumspect | Nov 30 2024 22:31 utc | 269 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 22:18 utc | 264 Posted by: Hunsdon | Nov 30 2024 22:32 utc | 270 With US and now Germany pushing Ukraine to send their 18 year old children to the Frontline it’s increasingly beginning to look like it’s not Russia, but Ukraine that the West is trying to wipe out. Posted by: eyes wings | Nov 30 2024 22:33 utc | 271 Posted by: Acco Hengst | Nov 30 2024 22:26 utc | 268 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 22:37 utc | 272 Posted by: diatom | Nov 30 2024 22:24 utc | 265 Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Nov 30 2024 22:37 utc | 273 Posted by: Hunsdon | Nov 30 2024 22:32 utc | 271 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 22:39 utc | 274 @ Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Nov 30 2024 21:58 utc | 259 Posted by: malenkov | Nov 30 2024 22:42 utc | 275 There is no way Zelensky doesn’t see this collapse of the Ukraine in real time, pushed entirely by the western nations. Posted by: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 22:42 utc | 276 Posted by: circumspect | Nov 30 2024 22:31 utc | 270 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 22:47 utc | 277 Posted by: LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 22:39 utc | 275 Posted by: Hunsdon | Nov 30 2024 22:51 utc | 278 Ukrainian troops have been given phrasebooks in Korean in case Kim Jong Un’s troops join the fray. Posted by: Oldhand | Nov 30 2024 22:54 utc | 279 @canuck | Sat, 30 Nov 2024 12:10:00 GMT | 177
It depends on degree. Trump goes way overboard. How’s that wall that Mexico paid for coming by the way? Posted by: James M. | Nov 30 2024 22:57 utc | 280 LoveDonbass | Nov 30 2024 22:47 utc | 278 Posted by: circumspect | Nov 30 2024 23:03 utc | 281 @LoveDonbass | Sat, 30 Nov 2024 22:18:00 GMT | 264
Yes, this is absolutely true. With his aims being to enrich himself and his allies. I still think it very likely that the SMO will end in early 2025, but only on terms that favor Russia. Trump will, of course, take credit for it no matter how limited his involvement in the peace process actually is. Posted by: James M. | Nov 30 2024 23:05 utc | 282 Russians have dropped leaflettes. Leave the city. Posted by: Oldhand | Nov 30 2024 23:08 utc | 283 @LoveDonbass | Sat, 30 Nov 2024 22:39:00 GMT | 275
Indeed, Soleimani was on a state visit to Iraq I believe, which means he had diplomatic immunity, which makes his assassination a violation of the 1961 Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations. Posted by: James M. | Nov 30 2024 23:13 utc | 284
Maybe it is older, but Nimzowitsch has it as an essential part of My System. Posted by: Call it what u will | Nov 30 2024 23:16 utc | 285 Sounds like a Tartakowerism but I remember it attributed to Emanuel Lasker. Posted by: Naive | Nov 30 2024 23:26 utc | 286 DS map update analysis: Posted by: Anonymous | Nov 30 2024 23:27 utc | 287 *BANG* Posted by: Naive | Nov 30 2024 23:31 utc | 288 Re Trump vs Putin, US vs RF: Posted by: Englishman in NY | Nov 30 2024 23:36 utc | 289 Posted by: Acco Hengst | Nov 30 2024 22:26 utc | 268 Posted by: Milites | Nov 30 2024 23:39 utc | 290 Americans fighting in Ukraine video from south front Posted by: ld | Nov 30 2024 23:47 utc | 291 Mark2 | Nov 29 2024 23:40 utc | 88 Posted by: Cynic | Dec 1 2024 0:06 utc | 293 Ma Laoshi | Nov 30 2024 0:41 utc | 97 Posted by: Cynic | Dec 1 2024 0:11 utc | 294 ZimZum | Nov 30 2024 3:34 utc | 110 Posted by: Cynic | Dec 1 2024 0:20 utc | 295 Anton Gorbatow | Nov 30 2024 4:25 utc | 117 Posted by: Cynic | Dec 1 2024 0:27 utc | 296 I keep coming back to not believing what people say, instead what they do. The Americans don’t follow any laws, even their own. Putin, being a legalist, recognizes what a bad actor looks like, certainly after the betrayals via the Minsk agreements. Posted by: Acco Hengst | Dec 1 2024 0:30 utc | 297 Which is he — a water-carrier, or a piss-artist? Posted by: Oldhand | Dec 1 2024 0:30 utc | 298 @ Cynic | Dec 1 2024 0:27 utc | 297 Posted by: malenkov | Dec 1 2024 0:31 utc | 299 @Cynic | Sun, 01 Dec 2024 00:27:00 GMT | 297
Indeed, he hasn’t conceded anything. He wants a NATO-like “umbrella” in exchange for temporarily ceding territory which he assumes he will get back through “diplomatic” means at a later date. Posted by: James M. | Dec 1 2024 0:38 utc | 300 |
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