Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
November 17, 2024
Ukraine Open Thread 2024-276

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Comments

It is perplexing how stupid the NATO fanbois are. They insistently cling to the delusion that Russia will respond to a direct attack from NATO (“long range missiles”) by nuking the Ukraine.
Why are you NAFO types so insistently daft?
The Russians have been perfectly clear and explicit: A direct attack by NATO (“long range missiles”) will elicit a military response directed at NATO. Why can’t you idiot NATO fanbois wrap your flaccid little minds around that?
We don’t know exactly what Russia will target in response to a open NATO attack (“long range missiles”), but we know that aside from destroying the launchers and ammo dumps in the Ukraine, the main response from Russia will be somewhere in NATO territory, and it may be strategic in nature if the Russians choose to try to get ahead of the escalation curve.
I don’t recall Medvedev ever saying Russia would nuke the Ukraine. Could any of the idiot NATO fanbois posting here provide a source for that?

Posted by: William Gruff | Nov 18 2024 11:28 utc | 301

retroflecks @301: “It seems to me that we can no longer rely on the DoD to be the “adults” on the US/NATO team, now that Trump is preparing marching orders, courts martial, and firings.”
The DEI generals (and “rear” admirals like Levine 😅 ) were never the “adults”. They are the exact opposite. Adults do not embrace delusion. Firing and court-martialling them actually strengthens the hand of any realists in the Pentagon, which is needed if we are to step back from Armageddon in the near term.

Posted by: William Gruff | Nov 18 2024 11:43 utc | 302

retroflecks @301
Ah, just read your post again: The crazies might choose ending the world over having their careers ended and their craziness exposed.
Frightening possibility.

Posted by: William Gruff | Nov 18 2024 11:47 utc | 303

I think Biden is breaking the (illegal) sanctions on Russia by allowing export of ATACMS missiles to Russia.

Posted by: Norwegian | Nov 18 2024 11:47 utc | 304

USD is now more than 100 Roubles. If Russia loses, it will be due to economics, not the battlefield. Why Russia isn’t self-sufficient with all its resources and industrial heritage is beyond me, but it is what it is.

Posted by: ivanislav | Nov 18 2024 11:48 utc | 305

There are as many DPKR soldiers engaged in the SMO as there are F16 in the sky of 404. Period.
The Bankova’s scenarist pushed both lies so hard they managed to convince some old and vulnerable peoples it’s true and managed to extort them something out of this. It’s chemically pure con-job. Casual chabad …

Posted by: Savonarole | Nov 18 2024 12:08 utc | 306

Posted by: Larsbo | Nov 18 2024 2:50 utc | 238
What would Biden do if Mr Zirkon visited Ramstein for example? Send the 6th Cavalry???
<= my own opinion is The Neocons would welcome such a visit. They have been using war and conflict since they installed the USA constitution, killed Lincoln, and did 1913. In 1913 [they ratified the 16th Amendment, imposed the income tax law 1913 and formed the privately owned federal reserve and gave America's sovereignty to it ].<= all in 1913. <=shortly after they engaged the world in world war. Before that they were into slavey and colonial imperialism. WWI was limited in scope because technology was not able to connect the whole world to the outcome of the war, WWII was broader in scope because technology to manage the whole world as a single unit was getting better.. As capabilities associated to technology comprehensively reaches new levels, the Neocons will step in and cause a new world war; its in their blood. Digital is a new level and its reach to control the world is much broader than anything WWII era technology could offer? So we will have a new war, if the Neocons are allowed to run things. One of the things the world needs to do (maybe at the UN or as part of BRICS), is to disqualify people from becoming candidates for high level jobs in government if psychological testing identifies 'king of the mountain' pathologies in the mental make up of aspiring candidates. In other words, protect humanity from persons harboring known pathologies, keep "king of the mountain" mentalities out of government. A global rule, no one is eligible to serve in a nation state government that is afflicted with a Neocon or "king of the mountain" pathology as determined by psychological testing and experience resumes. Enforcement of this rule may go a long way toward keeping wars and conflicts that slow human progress down from happening. Conflict is in the blood of the Neocon. The true Neocon will weaponize things useful to winning conflicts. The Neocon seeks to own and control all resources, all wealth, all power. Neocons need control over technology, labor and money resources to satisfy their needs explains why Neocons are often present in high percentages associated with these things . The Neocon seeks to use all available resources to attack someone. Reasons for the attack can be fabricated to satisfy the public but if there is something to own, control or a competitor to be eliminated the attack becomes inevitable. I observe that it matters not to the Neocon what is the reason, who is the target, how many die, or what the destruction is.. the object is to reduce the mental anguish Neocons experience, feel and live with when they are not king of every mountain. Its the same uneasy kind of feeling most people experience from fear. Ownership and control is endemic to the Neocon psychic. They must be or take measures to become "King of the Mountain". These people are dangerous to everyone's life, liberties and pursuit of happiness.. As stated at the beginning the above is my explanation for why governments force the people they govern to face off against the people of the other. Its a mental thing, a human pathology, that causes conflict oriented "king of the mountain" mentalities to seek the most important jobs in government, business, money or finance. The Neocon is a believer in the principles of Economic Zionism. The Neocons are always on the look out for new Mountains to rule and for competition of any kind that challenges Neocon ownership, control and rule. With the Neocon the urge to “own-everything, control-everything, rule-everyone ” is a world view. Gaining access to places in organizations or governments that allow or enable controlling everything to happen is important to the active Neocon. The closer to the top the more control is possible.

Posted by: snake | Nov 18 2024 12:20 utc | 307

…I stuck the print-screen into ChatGPT to translate it….
Posted by: Ed4 | Nov 18 2024 11:02 utc | 303

I asked ChatGPT about it an he said “Enough already! Too many liars are blaming their lies on poor ChatGPT!”
Knowing your Anti-Russian trolling history, I tend to believe him rather than you.

Posted by: Rutte | Nov 18 2024 12:21 utc | 308

Posted by: Santi | November 18, 2024 11:42 utc | 24
https://textosandroides.blogspot.com/2015/04/el-camino-de-vuelta.html
We are a total definition of the world, we are god, we are the god that lives in the forgotten and simple depths of religions, and in our memory, the source and true value of all divinity rests intact.
Since we are born, they have tried to forget us, they have tried to make us forget everything we are, everything the world inhabits within us, reducing us to countries and flags, to sects and proxy wars, to lies, leaders, religions and banalities, but it only takes a second of understanding for the mask of spirituality as a commodity to lose its meaning.
When we make contact, when for a second the infinite surrounds us, death becomes a temptation inherent to our inability to connect, since we cannot return the gift of life in the same way, since we do not find in the devastated daily life any value or point of support to express ourselves at a deeper level.
But life is to experience, and death is only a way of returning us to the earth, which will arrive, almost always without warning, to redeem us from all the days we spend without being aware. In short, the vast majority of us wait until the last second to realize that the only kingdom is that of nature, and in it we are simple guests without privileges, although blessed like everyone else…
Even so, we behave all our lives like the drunken guest at the wedding, breaking and throwing tables to the floor, insulting everyone without knowing why, making our participation such a shameful spectacle that it leaves no other option for others than to look and try to show us the way out as kindly as possible, rather than run the risk of joining in the savagery.
And so rivers and streams die, while plants adapt, change and survive to continue to shelter us, and so forests and deserts die while lizards and scorpions look at us with sadness and disappointment, carrying entire mountains on the shoulders of progress.
But of course, we are part of nature, we are nature, behind the clothes and the telephone, behind the fences and padlocks, behind the planes, the bombs and the metal skyscrapers…
We do nothing but keep open an old and deep wound that questions us about our conduct. “I can’t stand Mondays anymore,” we say to cover up, when we know that what is unbearable is the city, modernity, the enslaving dynamics of modern relationships, the lack of meaning in one hundred percent of our actions.
But we don’t have time to think, not about that, we are bombarded forty-eight hours a day with diaphanous entertainment and other people’s glances, and we don’t even try to think for ourselves anymore, because there is no way to apply it, because it doesn’t sound profitable, because of the fear of appearing different…
Even so, even if we define our lives to the rhythm of the great waves, seeking the peak where everyone else is expendable, disposable and massacred, beneath so much racism and pretended superiority there remains the undeniable reality that there are no people on the planet who don’t have black blood, indigenous blood, and blood from a thousand forgotten civilizations.
And so one day we will realize that we share our historical genetic heritage with every form of life, that everything came from the same egg, even if the hen does not intervene, in its indifferent journey through the Milky Way…
The hen would be the planet Earth, and the sun its eternal celebrant that watches it give birth to satiety without declaring some better than others… until the day we cry hugging the grass (which is infinitely more than just “grass”), however, we will continue to break everything by “our own right”.
The right of “superior beings” even though every form of life on the planet, complex and absolute, continues to wait for the right moment when for a second we lower our guard, rest our weapons on the ground, to communicate a truth that we should never have forgotten…
It is our individual and daily decision to continue consuming the planet until we spit out the core in contempt, or to recognize ourselves, to try to read between the lines the environmental debacle in which we navigate, like on the Titanic, but with so few boats that the seats have already been reserved and sold for some time…

Posted by: Santi | Nov 18 2024 12:23 utc | 309

Now that America has allowed long-range missile strikes, Putin will disappear for a week in Valdai, the State Duma will threaten to destroy the entire world, the former Russian president will destroy another “Finland” and will write drunkenly in Telegram with threats to the West. Then, having creaked his brains, Putin will return and everything will be as before.

Posted by: Diego Global | Nov 18 2024 12:31 utc | 310

Ed4 @ 305

How did they do that? And do the French know this?

Yes, they do. CMIIW Macron or Holland handed over the codes to NATO, which is commanded over by the Pentagon, it’s no longer an independent deterrent. De Gaulle is rolling over in his grave.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 18 2024 12:31 utc | 311

Posted by: ivanislav | Nov 18 2024 11:48 utc | 310 “USD is now more than 100 Roubles”
Posted by: vargas | Nov 18 2024 11:59 utc | 311
The USD has been over 100 Roubles a few times since February 2022. It has not stayed above that rate for long. My opinion is that an exchange rate of 1 to 99 or 1 to 101 doesn’t mean much. If it went to 1 to 200 that would mean something.
I do agree with thee point about economics. Look at those Russian interest rates. They have been messing with the Russian bond market as some corporate bonds reprice to risk adjust. That must be messing with what otherwise would be happening without this war.

Posted by: Ed4 | Nov 18 2024 12:38 utc | 312

Posted by: Rutte | Nov 18 2024 12:21 utc | 314 “I asked ChatGPT about it an he said “Enough already! Too many liars are blaming their lies on poor ChatGPT!”
Nah, that would be GROK 2.0.
Which brings up the question, is there a Russian based AI that is publicly available like Bard, ChatGPT, Claude, GROK, or the Ollama stuff? i am curious to see it’s take some questions.

Posted by: Ed4 | Nov 18 2024 12:43 utc | 313

Ed4 @ 304

The Western support is all about what the cost to Russia will be. So far the direct costs have been enormous. And it will be a continued cost to Russia long after the fighting is over for the care of the wounded and the families of the KIA for decades to come.

27 million dead in WW2, tens of millions wounded, entire cities leveled. They recovered from it, didn’t really lessen their stride, they built the Soviet Union, from all Central Asia to all Eastern Europe and the Caucasus. Being less ambitious this time around I’m pretty confident they can handle what’s coming. The fatal mistake the west, and the trolls make, over and over.

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 18 2024 12:46 utc | 314

So Biden reportedly authorised the use of long range weapons to strike deep into Russia and suddenly Russia is to lose? And all the trolls and Russia doomers that where quiet suddenly wake up?
Russia to lose? Dream on.
Russia will not lose more than they did when all those game changer weapons were sent to Ukraine.

Posted by: scc | Nov 18 2024 12:55 utc | 315

Old Russian proverb (?) “the dogs bark and the caravan moves on” In this case, it’s chihuahuas… I’m surprised by the amount of yapping by the anti-Russian trolls (chihuahuas) .. Much ado about nothing… this is just a pr move, a nothing burger jmho

Posted by: ctiger | Nov 18 2024 13:06 utc | 316

Extended range of the missiles Biden has granted is only most effective when fired from Ukraine eastern borders….ergo stop them getting there IE blowing all road rail transport links…airports for delivery….Odessa docks already targeted and affected…?

Posted by: Jo | Nov 18 2024 13:10 utc | 317

Round and round the social media-msm merrygoround goes. If this latest social media post is true our own Jeremy Rhymings-Lang won the bar betting pool. Pretty good haul too. Probably need a few days for noise to signal ratio to improve, but I still think it’s true, it best explains the N.Korean Boogiemen Fiesta everyone world over was invited too.

The statements about permission to strike deep into Russia are being withdrawn.
Now they all pretend that the news is accidental, they even withdraw it.
That is, it was only intended for PR effect.
Tools of the liberal media.
This is done by the same people who lied about Trump’s calls to Putin.
But let’s note that Zelensky believed the fake and immediately began to threaten with missiles. And Western liberals are playing with him, as well as with everyone else.
“The French publication Le Figaro, which reported that France and Great Britain had allowed Ukraine to strike Russia with long-range SCALP/Storm Shadow missiles, has removed its information from its resources.”
Now the European media are massively cleaning up the traces of this leak. The lack of coordination between the EU politicians and their media has today become the reason for the phones ringing off the hook on the Trump headquarters line.
“>https://t.me/ZandVchannel/134348

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 18 2024 13:26 utc | 318

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 18 2024 12:46 utc | 321 “they built the Soviet Union,”
Which collapsed some 40 years ago.
I am not expecting Russia to collapse from this. Just that they will have enormous costs they will have to bear that will take resources that could have been far better deployed.

Posted by: Ed4 | Nov 18 2024 13:28 utc | 319

Posted by: Krollchem | Nov 18 2024 1:27 utc | 218

North Korea may be providing their long-range artillery to the Russian front. This 170 mm artillery out-ranges all NATO systems. The 65 km range of these systems can be extended by the use of glide munitions.
“>https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/nkorean-koksan-170mm-ukraine

despite all the euphoria/excitement, one should stick to the (sparse) facts
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M-1978_Koksan
Maximum firing range 60 km (with RAP round) –> wp itself only refers to –> auf https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile/koksan-m1978/
“…Range
40 km (standard munition), 60 km (booster munition) …”

Posted by: ghiwen | Nov 18 2024 13:43 utc | 320

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 18 2024 12:46 utc | 321 “they built the Soviet Union,”
Which collapsed some 40 years ago.
Posted by: Ed4 | Nov 18 2024 13:28 utc | 326
______
Unless you mean to argue that the collapse of the USSR was a delayed consequence of losses sustained in WW II, your comment is — at best — irrelevant.

Posted by: malenkov | Nov 18 2024 14:00 utc | 321

The Russian Federation’s sanction against the USA to no longer supply uranium fuel rods for American nuclear power plants has already decided the war…
25% of American nuclear power plants rely on Russian uranium, without it the lights literally go out…The FED will not be able to add Bitcoins to its portfolio to any significant extent and the AI ​​industry will not make any significant progress …If the AI ​​bubble bursts now, God knows the Yankess will have completely different problems than the Ukraine…

Posted by: Larsbo | Nov 18 2024 14:08 utc | 322

Alastair Crooke
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kx4_kXN3To8
“The West lusts for war.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Nov 18 2024 14:11 utc | 323

Posted by: ivanislav | Nov 18 2024 11:48 utc | 310
Usd is now more than 150 Japanese yen so Japan is going to crash?
There is no direct link between absolute exchange rates and economic strength of country, expecially for countries wich currency is practically unused in international market.

Posted by: Mario | Nov 18 2024 14:11 utc | 324

If the AI ​​bubble bursts
Posted by: Larsbo | Nov 18 2024 14:08 utc | 329

There is neither enough power nor sufficient grid infrastructure to continue AI expansion

Analyst firm raises alarm about EUV chipmaking tools — each consumes as much power as a small city, fabs to consume 54,000 Gigawatts by 2030
Are power grids ready?

October 31, 2024
Extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography is vital for modern process technologies and semiconductor manufacturing for years to come. However, at 1,400 kilowatts per EUV tool — enough to power a small city — EUV lithography systems have become a substantial consumer of power that impacts the environment. TechInsights believes that the power consumption of all fabs equipped with EUV tools will exceed 54,000 gigawatts (GW) of power per year by 2030, which is more than what many countries, like Singapore or Greece, consume per year.
Current Low-NA EUV scanners require up to 1,170 kW, and next-gen High-NA tools are projected to need as much as 1,400 kW per unit (according to TechInsights). The number of these machines installed at fabs operated by Intel, Micron, Samsung, SK hynix, and, of course, TSMC, increases every year.
TechInsights believes that by 2030, the number of fabs with EUV scanners will increase from 31 today to 59, and the number of tools in operation will approximately double. As a result, all the installed EUV systems will consume 6,100 GW/year of power, which suggests that hundreds of the machines will be operational by then.
6,100 GW/year — power consumption comparable to Luxemburg’s — is not a lot. However, each advanced chip takes over 4,000 steps to make, and there are hundreds of tools in a fab. EUV equipment accounts for approximately 11% of the total electricity use in a fab, with other tools, HVAC, facility systems, and cooling equipment making up the rest. As a result, the power consumption of all fabs equipped with low-NA and high-NA EUV tools is estimated to increase to 54,000 GW/year.
To put the number into context, 54,000 gigawatts a year of power is around five times more than Meta’s data centers consumed in 2023. It is also more than Singapore, Greece, or Romania consume annually and more than 19 times the power consumed by the Las Vegas Strip per year. However, while this is a substantial amount of power, it is only 0.21% of the global power consumption in 2021 (25,343,000 GW/year), a rather small share.
continues ==> https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/each-euv-chipmaking-tool-consumes-as-much-power-as-a-small-city-euv-fabs-to-consume-54-000-gigawatts-by-2030-more-than-singapore

Posted by: too scents | Nov 18 2024 14:19 utc | 325

140 fancy missiles and drones yesterday and the best Russia could do was turn the lights off for two hours, that was according to Dima, so big bad Russia will do what to NATO countries when the LRWs fly…..what has big bad Russia done in the Kursk, latest offensive stalled out, can’t retake parts of Russia back….just exactly what will Russia do to deter the FUKUS long range weapons…..kill more fodder in Ukraine, maybe if they can find the light switch Ukie will have to fight in the dark.
Cheers M

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Nov 18 2024 14:20 utc | 326

Biden Wants To ‘Corner Trump’
https://www.rt.com/news/607802-biden-trump-ukraine-conflict/
“US President Joe Biden wants to railroad Presidnt-elect Donald Trump to prolong the Ukraine conflict, American political commentator Dan Kovalik has told RT.
‘The Biden administration wants to back Trump into a corner. They know Trump at least promised to end the war in Ukraine, and they want to make it difficult for him to do that,’ said Kovalik, a human and labor rights lawyer, as well as an author.
‘The American people want this over, and in the waning days of this president, they will do everything they can to keep this war going’, he added.
In effect, the outgoing president wants to ensure that he will be remembered as a warmonger ‘to the bitter end.”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Nov 18 2024 14:24 utc | 327

despite all the euphoria/excitement, one should stick to the (sparse) facts
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M-1978_Koksan
Maximum firing range 60 km (with RAP round) –> wp itself only refers to –> auf https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile/koksan-m1978/
“…Range
40 km (standard munition), 60 km (booster munition) …”
Posted by: ghiwen | Nov 18 2024 13:43 utc | 327
If people kept up with comments, this was at the start of the previous Ukraine thread when I first linked to the MWM article…
On another subject, instead of wonder weapons, good old solid chassis and plain long range artillery is still a thing and ignoring the 65KM (rocket assisted) we’re still talking about 40 km and roughly twice the distance compared with 152mm rounds. Rocket range at shell price.
https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/nkorean-koksan-170mm-ukraine
Posted by: Newbie | Nov 14 2024 16:46 utc | 7

Posted by: Newbie | Nov 18 2024 14:25 utc | 328

Jacques Baud
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JlzO02NwSbY
“WW3 on the horizon in Ukraine?”

Posted by: John Gilberts | Nov 18 2024 14:37 utc | 329

Regardless of whether it is true or not it has legs and opens up an interesting opportunity for Russia. A potential blatant escalation that Putin threatened would change the conflict, so he could pretty much do anything he wants to to hurt Kiev and the west. The US seems to be giving him a free hit to the testicles, an opportunity, given the timing between Presidents, that he could take up.
Say next week (or better still this week for maximum confusion when every World leader bar Putin is in Brazil at the G20 so away from their Intel) Russia could claim that they had been hit at long range by an ATACM when it was actually a Ukrainian drone (or even a Russian missile fired east from Ukraine to get a radar track). Stating this in the knowledge that the US would scream blue murder that it wasn’t them even if it had been.
As to targets I am with William Gruff on this, no need for nukes quite the reverse they would be counter productive by giving the US too big a PR stick. No, all that is needed is a limited number of Kinzel type strikes targeting the sites of the information chain (if ATACM hit US sites). Start with a big satellite base station (RAF Croughton?), then the main US Intel site analysing and creating target files (Ramstein?), the cell in the US embassy in Kiev responsible for handing the complied files to the Ukrainians and the main Ukrainian Intel site. Just half a dozen Mig-31 needed.

Posted by: JohninMK | Nov 18 2024 14:38 utc | 330

Russia has proved that the West can’t defeat Russia with conventional land forces. Russia has proved that the West can’t use its airforces against Russia. Russia has proved that the West can’t use short range missiles against Russia. So all the West has left is long range missiles. Therefore the West will use long range missiles against Russia, with conventional explosives in them.
Russia must have factored in the use of long range non-nuclear missiles against Russia, and decided on a response already. Whether that response is to respond in kind or do nothing is known only to Russia. I’m kind of hoping that Russia hits those Dutch dykes and pump stations during a winter storm surge because those Dutch are really trouble makers, even more so than the Poles. Then those dykes and pump stations have to be hit regularly over a period of years to ensure they remain non-functional.
If the West uses long range weapons with nukes in them then Russia will have to respond in kind.

Posted by: gT | Nov 18 2024 14:40 utc | 331

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Nov 18 2024 14:20 utc | 333
Stop making shit up.
I listened to this morning’s Dima video and he stated that:
Odessa is completely dark
Several NPPS are running well below capacity due to the 750kv substations damaged
Nothing “ got restored in 2h” but maybe you should work on restoring your credibility. It may take longer as once shattered, it’s a long road back.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Nov 18 2024 14:44 utc | 332

Posted by: JohninMK | Nov 18 2024 14:38 utc | 337
And for good measure (and a modicum of karma for the Nebo-M ) one of the canadian radars used by the us for the north warning system?
All of that could play into a war powers power play to block trump from being sworn in.
There are so many gray areas that could come into play before that. As mentioned before if the city of london, and wherever they have the disaster recovery/loadbalancing server, was hit by a small non nuclear EMP…

Posted by: Newbie | Nov 18 2024 14:55 utc | 333

So, according to nyt, late on a Sunday afternoon with still no official confirmation,bidong has authorized the use of relatively short range missiles for so called deep strikes, while the similar enthusiastic claims for relatively short range yrope missiles has now been quietly buried. A game changer for sure, huh rah!

Posted by: nook | Nov 18 2024 15:17 utc | 334

Alex Soros, son of billionaire George Soros, has welcomed the news that US President Joe Biden has reportedly granted Ukraine permission to use American-made long-range weapons to strike deep into Russian territory.
Also even if the attacks are kept to the Kursk region which I doubt they will be the Kursk region has a nuclear power station.

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Nov 18 2024 15:19 utc | 335

Another war mongering Nato puppet speaks out.
Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda has praised the reported decision by the US to allow Ukraine launch long-range missile strikes deep into Russian territory, describing it as a “decisive moment.”

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Nov 18 2024 15:21 utc | 336

The French publication Le Figaro, which had previously reported that France and the UK had given Ukraine permission to fire long-range SCALP and Storm Shadow missiles at Russia, has now removed this information.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad/113332

Posted by: Norwegian | Nov 18 2024 15:25 utc | 337

exceed 54,000 gigawatts (GW) of power per year

(Kilo-,Mega-,Giga-)watts are a measure of *power* — or energy per unit time. If you’re speaking of energy consumption, the unit is (Kilo-,Mega-,Giga-)watt-HOURS
That an article about energy consumption can’t get this right, is concerning.

Posted by: CT | Nov 18 2024 15:28 utc | 338

If you’re speaking of energy consumption, the unit is (Kilo-,Mega-,Giga-)watt-HOURS
Posted by: CT | Nov 18 2024 15:28 utc | 345

Yes, the author is confused about “base load” which has no time time unit.

Posted by: too scents | Nov 18 2024 15:33 utc | 339

Informative commentary from Gilbert:

Let us be explicit about what attacking the Kursk region means.
There are only two possible types of targets in Kursk oblast worthy of discussion. One is troop concentrations of Russians and North Koreans performing the mopping up operation in Kursk. ATACMS strikes there probably will not initially force the Russians to respond. The second is the nuclear power plant in the region which was believed to be the prize initially sought by Kiev when it began its incursion.
Let us remember that the Kursk nuclear power plant is an early type plant which has no protective concrete dome over it to contain radioactive leaks and to prevent missile strikes from disabling it. Accordingly, an ATACMS strike on the plant will likely create a big, even devastating leak of radioactive particles across the region, meaning predominantly on Russian territory. Such an eventuality would force the hand of Putin to respond with a nuclear attack, likely on the Continental United States with all that means.

https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2024/11/18/north-korean-troops-in-kursk-pretext-for-american-escalation-or-cause/

Posted by: Aleph_Null | Nov 18 2024 15:50 utc | 340

I will reiterate.
The fact that the US have now authorized deep strikes into Russia’s rear is a significant achievement for NATO. They have now succcessfully created a precedent, which can be used tomorrow by Poland, the Baltic states, or any other neighbouring country against Russia.
They have gamed this extensively. Decisions at this level are not taken in happy-go-lucky, we’ll see what happens mode. It means NATO planners have estimated Russia would not retaliate against NATO. It’s just the latest episode of Russia caving in and letting NATO trample it, limiting itself to just banging on the poodle (Ukraine) while not daring to attack the master (NATO).
Russia does not seem to have identified a proper retaliation mechanism. As usual, it’s some vague mumbo-jumbo which does not impress anyone and will soon be forgotten. Just like Putin’s bluster about retaliating against “massive waves” of drones.
The reality : Russia has not even dared to threaten NATO, after almost 3 years of a conflict in which it’s obvious for the entire world (and NATO doesn’t even hide it) that Ukraine is just a puppet which is holding on only through massive influx of cash and weapons by the collective West.

Posted by: Micron | Nov 18 2024 15:59 utc | 341

Posted by: james | Nov 18 2024 3:15 utc | 248
is shawdowbanned back?? my take – maybe…
YES
in connection with Posted by: ANON2022 | Nov 18 2024 3:22 utc | 254
“….”Significantly” means that the F-16 will be activated too. Not the “Ukrainian” F-16, but as a cover for NATO to bring in its own planes….”
it is worth a short reminder of the “expertise” of sb often mentioned here
sb answer to Posted by: HB_Norica | Jan 29 2024 17:51 utc | 99

I doubt very much that the Ukrainians would keep the few aircraft they have left in such an obvious location. They may fly into Starokonstantinov airbase for fuel and armaments prior to a mission but I suspect they keep their aircraft dispersed and move them often.

Posted by: shаdοwbanned | Jan 29 2024 19:13 utc | 108

They are not kept in Ukraine at all. They fly from Poland and Romania, touch down to refuel, take off immediately, then if they are not shot down by an S-400 or an R-37M, touch down to refuel and go back to Poland/Romania. I would not exclude the possibility they are not even refueling if flying from Romania — it is well within Su-24s range to take off from northeastern Romania and fire Storm Shadows over Nikolaev, then turn around and go back. The Kremlin is keeping quiet about it because if they announce it publicly, they would either have to attack Romania or officially acquiesce to attacks coming directly from NATO territory. But there has been a lot of chatter about this by Russian military experts.

Posted by: ghiwen | Nov 18 2024 16:01 utc | 342

Looks like Russian retaliation against Biden’s folly has begun.
Hearing that the Finland-Germany C-Lion1 submarine cable has been cut in the Baltic Sea.
The cable serves (served, now past tense) as a critical communication link between Finland and Germany. The disruption cuts off key communication pathways, impacting strategic and commercial operations.
My source is an IT bulletin I’m privy to. You’ll just have to trust it for now. As always, it might be disinformation spread by the US.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Nov 18 2024 16:07 utc | 343

@348 micron
Oh please.
Russia is an existential threat to the entity hollowing-out Europe and the U.S. as we speak.
As all the astute posters know here, Putin has been exhaustive in seeking ways to accommodate the psychopaths in the west. Their demand is unacceptable to Russians: the west wants a Russia that is not for Russians.
This demand would not leave in place a country at all. This is not a rational demand for any national that holds a patriotic identity.
For all of us disgustingly-debauched in the west, we gave up on national identity a long time ago (national identity being what Heidegger described as service through arms, service through labor, service through knowledge, with knowledge being the grounding of the former).

Please don’t try to fool us into thinking that Putin has failed.
Putin is the greatest leader of this young century and beyond that even.
Take your criticism of him and leave.

Posted by: NemesisCalling | Nov 18 2024 16:12 utc | 344

https://t.me/soldat_prav/8331

Forwarded from NOTES OF A VETERAN
There was a brief jubilation on the Internet over the removal of the command staff and the conclusions made (apparently) about the total lie (the “capture” of settlements on paper) and the totally failed tactics (assaults without support, electronic warfare and UAVs) in the Seversky direction (Belogorovka – Grigorovka – Serebryanka – Verkhnekamenskoye – Vyemka, etc.). But this problem is systemic and characterizes more than one direction in the SVO zone.
When will conclusions be made in other directions? The third year of the conflict was underway, it was time to understand and confirm the textbook truths and act in accordance with them:
– It is NOT POSSIBLE to storm enemy positions without providing the assault groups with “eyes” and electronic warfare. It gets to the point of absurdity that a stronghold where 2 Troshniks are stationed becomes impregnable due to extremely active actions of enemy FPV and drones with drops, which simply do not allow to approach the positions and “grind down” the assault groups time after time.
— It is NECESSARY to use the entire available range of UAVs, starting from Mavics and ending with FPV, since without them it is simply impossible to conduct combat operations either in defense or in attack. If the tactics of using UAVs and their tactical and technical characteristics are something exorbitant for decision-makers, they can simply repeat and copy after the enemy, there will be more sense than ignoring the need for drones altogether;
— It is NECESSARY to use a wider range of reconnaissance tools, it has long been clear that simply watching landings from a drone is not enough. Only a wide range of SIGINT, ELINT, OSINT, GEOINT can provide an advantage in awareness and ensure success;
— Personnel should NOT act without preparation, without knowledge of the terrain, and rush in a crowd across a field towards an enemy machine gun. The situation should look like this: the assault troops know where a conventional machine gun is, since its position was previously reconnoitred by all available means, then this machine gun is worked out with the help of aviation/artillery/drones, and the drones receive objective control, after which the drones lead the assault group to the target;
— It is NECESSARY to organize stable communications, and this is clearly not only radio stations, but also the Internet, without which it is simply impossible to control units.
If we do not take into account the elementary things that have been on the surface for almost 1000 days of the SVO, the “Seversky problem” will be reproduced over and over again, the army will stagnate and perish.

https://t.me/yozhandcider/1037

Forwarded from Scientific and Production Center “Ushkuynik”
🗣A marketplace for spare parts for robots and drones will appear in Russia
According to Vedomosti, the RuBot marketplace will start working in Russia in early 2025 , where you can buy spare parts for robots and UAVs from domestic vendors. You can buy receivers, motors, frames, flight controllers, FPV cameras, video transmitters, stacks, various modules, microcircuits and microelectronic elements. The working beta version of the marketplace was presented in early November 2024 at the Russian Economic Forum in Chelyabinsk.
The Robotics Consortium plans to launch the service, and potential customers can be developers or operators of ready-made solutions.
At the first stage, the marketplace will feature products that are both fully and partially Russian-made. But domestic products will be marked with a special icon, and in the future, the platform will display information about certified products and the support measures provided.
More details: in the Vedomosti article.
#ushkuynik_news

Posted by: anon2020 | Nov 18 2024 16:17 utc | 345

Why would Russia need a Koksan gun from NK?
Posted by: vargas | Nov 18 2024 16:18 utc | 353

To collaboratively develop 170mm Krasnopol guided shells.

Posted by: too scents | Nov 18 2024 16:21 utc | 346

Because Russia can’t tactically get USA/NATO bases out of western Europe without the risk of a strategic USA response, not to mention a massive use of nukes, but it can out of eastern Europe. Nuking Rammstein doesn’t help Russia tactically, only endangers it strategically and nuking Paris or London is not a tactical option. The USA is very certain that in the upcoming brinksmanship sane Russia will back down.
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 18 2024 9:43 utc | 297

If it wasn’t such a tragic and situation of grave global importance, it would be very funny watching the likes of Mersheimer and Glenn Diesenn squirm about how “realist theory” predicts that states should be doing such and such, but they are doing the opposite, and they can’t understand why.
Of course, if they understood the importance of internal politics, they would immediately see why.
Because there is no such thing as “states”, i.e. abstract entities that exist independently and look out for their own interests. There are state structures, governed by real people, and those people tend to be out for themselves. With some rare exceptions, but mostly that is how it works.
And looking out for themselves rarely aligns with whatever the common interests of most of the people in their state might be.
Up to and including outright treason. Which happens practically every day in most countries around the world — Local elites are readily selling out their lands and people in exchange for a share of the proceeds, because that is the local maximum in their own optimization problems. They can get a lot richer that way. Sure, there is a vague promise that if they play it independently, they might get even richer, but that is highly uncertain, because first, then they would have to fight the external hegemon, and second, it also carries the major risk that in order to carry out independent development, you have to invest in it, and that means internal redistribution, which usually does not fit well within the larger goal of elites enriching themselves as much as possible.
This is the story of Russia since the 1970s too.
And a lot of the abysmal failure of pro-Russian Western pundits to explain what is happening stems from their complete inability to understand how the USSR collapsed. Even though one would think that given how this is a delayed post-USSR collapse war, what happened back then would be kind of relevant. But no, they can neither intellectually grasp it (because it would mean shattering their own worldviews on a lot of topics) nor are they even all that interested in the first place.
For the record, the USSR collapsed because at some point in the late 1960s and 1970s the party nomenklatura completely lost ideological faith in the system and switched into that default out-for-themselves mode of thinking. Then they realized that they sit on the largest cache of real wealth in the world, but they owned none of it, however, if they dismantled the system, they could transform political control into ownership. To achieve that goal, they were more than willing to break up the country and destroy most of what had been built with so much blood, sweat and tears, if that was the price that had to be paid. And they did that.
You cannot understand the actions of the Kremlin right now without understanding that basic fact. Because not all that much in the fundamental calculus outlined above has changed. This is why the “turbo-patriots” as some derisively call them are so angry and fearful of what is coming — they have watched this movie before and they see it being played out again.
And this is where the West has its greatest advantage.
For the West, winning the war and achieving its internal political goals are objectives that fully align. The internal objectives being to kick the can of the completely unsustainable socio-economic system that has Western elites on top down the road for another few decades by robbing Russia of its resources, the way that already happened previously in the 1990s.
For Russia, winning the war and maintaining the current system are largely incompatible objectives. In order to decisively win the war, Putin would have to do a total mobilization of manpower, go back to Stalinism in terms of internal organization of the economy, and institute autarky and wartime austerity. The Russian people of today are not the Russian people of the past, who would not blink before accepting that hardship — thirty years of Western liberal influence preceded by another three decades of trying to build a consumerist, i.e. decadent bourgeois, society under communism have done incalculable damage — but they are still Russian people, and if you explain to them what is stake, they would likely understand. The big problem is that the position of the current Russian elites would be seriously threatened by such measures.
Very directly with respect to some specific things like export of certain commodities to enemy countries, which continues to this day, and indirectly in terms of the overall power structure, which would have to fully invert, with the state firmly on top, them obedient to it, and their wealth and power greatly reduced in order to support the war effort.
This is the West’s bet — once their 2022 bluff was called, Russian elites are looking for some kind of a deal that can be presented as a victory even if it doesn’t solve the fundamental problem at all, as long as they don’t have to change anything internally.
So far it has been a very sound bet, based on well done rational analysis of the opponent’s vulnerabilities. Well done to the analysts in the CIA and the State Department, that is all one can say…

Posted by: ANON2022 | Nov 18 2024 16:27 utc | 347

Expect Martial-Law to be declared after the false-flag attacks. Martial-Law intent is a “hail-mary” attempt at anything to stop Trump from being inaugurated. Not really a legal move, but Generals who might otherwise be prosecuted/fired may not care at this point. And if you think that “legality” is a concern, you haven’t been watching the Deep-State vs Trump show for the last 9 years.
It’s been nice reading most of your comments.
Posted by: retroflecks | Nov 18 2024 10:33 utc | 301
That certainly would have crossed the minds of many in the US, given the manner in which this ‘administration’ is behaving. I would think it a bridge too far, since chaos would definitely ensue. To prevent which, there had better be behind the scenes initiatives being presently considered to bring forward the inaugural process and tamp down the potential uprising. Which to my mind would be a very good thing in the cause of peace, sooner rather than too late.

Posted by: juliania | Nov 18 2024 16:45 utc | 348

according to germanys number one newspaper bild (i am beeing a bit facetious here), the german regime is now sending up “4000 german KI-ller drones against putin”!
thats the propaganda headline, im sure germany doesnt have the balls to do anything against putin directly, as todays brand of nazis in berlin are all talk, but the actual news is that batches of around 100 per month, starting in dezember, will arrive in “ukraine”. those “new drones” are beeing called “mini-taurus”. they are autonomous, no pilot nor gps, and the range is supposed to be up to 4 times larger then that of the “ukrainian” ones.
so the drone coalition to kill russian civilians is continuing beeing supplied by germany. i could add a quip about how germany acts towards slavs just like it acted some 80 years ago, but anal-ena doesnt want to hear that.

Posted by: Justpassinby | Nov 18 2024 16:49 utc | 349

Welcome back, time-waster, don’t let the door hit you on the way out for the fourth time.

Posted by: boneless | Nov 18 2024 16:51 utc | 350

Posted by: ANON2022 | Nov 18 2024 16:27 utc | 355

So many words, and nary a reference to the Macron slash Scholz slash Biden menage a trois. I’m so very disappointed, shadowbanned. I expected more gay sex (on a F16, mayhap) and less histrionic extrapolation to finally reach tedious, predictable conclusions. Still the same sad song.
It’s remarkable how impervious your reasoning is to changing realities. It’s like the stratidjits of the West zombie-like following a plan made by more capable men long ago, that no longer applies. The world has changed.
Threats of more limp dick strikes against Russia aren’t going to change the calculus. And a nuke hitting thr Russian Federation means bye bye everyone, including the cowardly NATO dipshits pretending they’re not sleepwalking their way to global nuclear war.

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Nov 18 2024 16:56 utc | 351

Moscow vehemently rejects the possibility of freezing the Ukraine conflict, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told journalists

Slowly it is dawning upon our dear leaders what mess they have made for themselves.

Posted by: Passerby | Nov 18 2024 17:11 utc | 352

Posted by: ANON2022 | Nov 18 2024 16:27 utc | 355
Sounds true and we expect miracles by choosing to forget this background, hence the frustration which is called concerned throlling by unconcerned throlls.

Posted by: burak | Nov 18 2024 17:23 utc | 353

Well done to the analysts in the CIA and the State Department, that is all one can say…
Posted by: ANON2022 | Nov 18 2024 16:27 utc | 355
A long and self important post, full of inaccuracies, historical factual errors and untruths. Not worthy of correction so blatant is the malignant motive of the poster.
Perhaps you got giddy at the news of Genocide Joe’s latest gaffe.
Those CIA and State Department analysts have proven themselves to be anything but competent. We can only hope that they and their entire organisation are guillotined by the DOGE.

Posted by: Lev Davidovich | Nov 18 2024 17:50 utc | 354

The ruskies suffers from the boiling frog syndrome, they are allowing their advarsaries to Push further and further and ultimately, their country is going to be decapitated one or another.

Posted by: Mendelay | Nov 18 2024 17:59 utc | 355

Anyone see the I believe factual Coca Cola sponsored container morgue fridges sent to Kiev? Logo on the door?
“Mom! I put a nickel in the pop machine and a guy’s head rolled out! I think it’s real, it stinks real bad!”
https://t.me/vicktop55/28872

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 18 2024 18:02 utc | 356

The ruskies suffers from the boiling frog syndrome, they are allowing their advarsaries to Push further and further and ultimately, their country is going to be decapitated one or another.
Posted by: Mendelay | Nov 18 2024 17:59 utc | 363
Your ChatGPT needs more power.
Stick two electrodes into a pickle and connect them to your computer.

Posted by: Liolia Paluzas | Nov 18 2024 18:07 utc | 357

Posted by: Micron | Nov 18 2024 15:59 utc | 348
The fact that the US have now authorized deep strikes into Russia’s rear is a significant achievement for NATO. They have now succcessfully created a precedent, which can be used tomorrow by Poland, the Baltic states, or any other neighbouring country against Russia.
*********
Bollocks.
Poland, Baltic States etc. are in NATO.
If NATO wanted to be directly involved, they wouldn’t need a precedent.

Posted by: scc | Nov 18 2024 18:10 utc | 358

https://t.me/barantchik/21840

Forwarded from The Last Insider
#LatestInsider : Mr. Biden’s “permission” for Ukraine to use ATACMS missiles to strike Russian territory is a ” warm greeting to the future administration ” of Mr. Trump, designed to complicate the process of satisfying Moscow’s demands to end the SVO “without taking Kiev.” Our friend in Washington ” has not heard a single other interpretation .”
The external pretext was ” US intelligence data on North Korean troops in the Kursk region .” Following this, Britain and France allegedly allowed Ukraine to strike with long-range SCALP/Storm Shadow missiles, Le Figaro reports. But the news didn’t last long in this form:
@ivan_preobraz : Le Figaro removed from the news the information that France and Great Britain had allegedly allowed […] it’s unclear, it was a false start […] it was given, but was withdrawn after Putin’s statement…
@barantchik : the enemy in the person of the USA once again demonstrated the fact that it is they who hold the strategic initiative in the conflict, and it is they who decide when and how to escalate […] What we shouldn’t wait for is for Trump to come to the Oval Office […] I don’t think he’s likely to cancel it.
@vatfor : …let’s note Kiev’s strategic successes of sorts in terms of creating conditions for drawing the USA and NATO into direct armed confrontation with Russia…

Let me remind you that, according to Mr. Peskov, the much-publicized “decision to allow” was made by the White House some time ago. However, Kiev was in no hurry to use it – perhaps realizing that the next administration would not only “not pat them on the head” for playing on the “lame weeks of the Democratic Party” – but would also not issue new missiles to replace the spent ones (there are no more than two dozen of them). Now, with the help of a “leak” to the press, Bankova is being pushed to “do what she wanted” and spend this resource on a “farewell salute for support from the USA”.
The Last Insider @LastOfRus is inclined to admit that Mr. Zelensky will not dare to use ATACMS and StormShadow (USA and Great Britain, respectively) – it is more profitable to rush around the UN than to get what is so loudly demanded… and face the consequences of “dreams coming true”. But the TAURUS missiles, which were so “demanded” yesterday ↓ by the deserters in Berlin, seem to be “obliged” to be used – because Mr. Scholz (who not without reason called Mr. Putin) is being pressured to maximally aggravate the “break” between Russia and Germany (and thereby prevent a reversal of the deindustrialization of Europe).

https://t.me/polittemnik/14895

^^^^ Forwarded from Andrey Medvedev
It was funny in Berlin today.
People calling themselves the Russian opposition were walking under the slogans “Tauruses for Ukraine”. Give Kiev missiles so that it can get rid of the Muscovites, we, the fighters for a free Russia, say this. Aha.
One young man came with a Russian tricolor. He did not appreciate the political realities, he decided that those who really did consider themselves Russian at least a little had gathered here. An oppositionist, but Russian.
The young man was immediately given a severe reprimand along party lines. It seems that the fighters against the regime have built the CPSU 2.0 with congress decisions and a general line.

Posted by: anon2020 | Nov 18 2024 18:22 utc | 359

I will reiterate.
The fact that the US have now authorized deep strikes into Russia’s rear..
Posted by: Micron | Nov 18 2024 15:59 utc | 348
It’s not a fact, its a rumor.
As I said, I know it is fake mews because NATO wants Ukraine to win.

Posted by: UWDude | Nov 18 2024 19:23 utc | 360

the Finland-Germany C-Lion1 submarine cable has been cut in the Baltic Sea.
Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Nov 18 2024 16:07 utc | 350
This kind of incident is not uncommon.
If the cable is underwater the likely cause is a ship anchor dragged across the cable.
If the cable is on land the likely cause is a backhoe cutting a trench. (a JCB to the Brits)

Posted by: Passerby | Nov 18 2024 21:35 utc | 361

Posted by: Newbie | Nov 17 2024 15:57 utc | 19
It also occurred to me that they are not using complex flight paths to draw out the AD as in previous launches. The spread out paths cover most of the country, the drones might have a mile wide path of being observed, while the missiles might be dozens of miles wide observable while traversing the length of the country. With electricity out it gets wilderness quiet and people can hear or pay attention to what is flying or buzzing around over head, let alone the explosions at the end of the flight line. I wonder if the paths are partly designed to be a version of those advert banners flown behind planes at beaches or sporting events. If so the Russians would launch in calm weather. Believe the digital propaganda (or your own eyes?) type of demonstration. It could be Quite the hit to collective morale. Sows doubt about the official narrative.
Posted by: Anonymous | Nov 17 2024 19:28 utc | 61
On a scale of 1 – 100, with one hundred being convinced of your territory OCD obssession, every one of your posts changes the collective thinking of the board .00000000….00000001 % with your terrrritorrrreee arrrrrggggggghumentals. And reality not at all. U r weinning!
If only Napoleonz or not’zee had captured just a bit more land… never mind the frozzen armeez. Wut iz hizterree?

Posted by: jopalolive | Nov 18 2024 22:02 utc | 362

“Boiling Frog thing”
IMU the frog is us.
i.e. people in the EU and especially Germany.

Posted by: MAKK | Nov 18 2024 22:05 utc | 363

Posted by: Newbie | Nov 17 2024 15:57 utc | 19
It also occurred to me that they are not using complex flight paths to draw out the AD as in previous launches…
Posted by: jopalolive | Nov 18 2024 22:02 utc | 370
That’s what I thought when I first saw it.
Mind if use this reply for something completely different?
Every timeI go and check the maps I get itchy about all the 10 km, 20 kms drives that could turn things in a jiffy, but then I read the idiot at 355 (wont name the trollish beast that comes he to shit in the woods), and remember what I wrote some months ago.
That in september 2022, with balls of brass (and probably quite a few sleepless nights) putin chose the bare minimum mobilization (and some other ad hoc measures) to hold the line and win years later.
That was when the west’s plan went to the dumpster where it is now fragrantly burning.
No negative disruption to the society and economy, still winning the SMO.
Also no escalation beyond the one he chose, often far away.
And what most cannot understand is that all this time (mainly before but even now) he throws a lifeline for a collapsing europe. No good deed goes unpunished…

Posted by: Newbie | Nov 19 2024 1:24 utc | 364

Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 18 2024 12:31 utc | 317 “CMIIW Macron or Holland handed over the codes to NATO”
That did not happen. What did happen is that Macron “argued that Europe needed its own nuclear defenses. And on that front, he said, France could play a vital role.”
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-nuclear-weapons-sorbonne-emmanuel-macron-russia-ukraine-war-europe-security/

Posted by: Ed4 | Nov 19 2024 1:41 utc | 365

Posted by: malenkov | Nov 18 2024 14:00 utc | 328 “Unless you mean to argue that the collapse of the USSR was a delayed consequence of losses sustained in WW II, your comment is — at best — irrelevant.”
That might be your opinion, it is not mine.
The Soviet Union spent enormous amounts of money on their defense during WW2 and they never really stopped doing that after the war ended. That continued excessive spending in their command economy distorted enough that it played a part in it’s collapse 40 some years after the end of WW2. Which is some 40 years ago.
Now Russian defense spending is heading toward the same proportion. This is distorting the economy and will lead to problems. A 21% central bank interest rate is one example. The longer this goes on the worse it will be.

Posted by: Ed4 | Nov 19 2024 1:49 utc | 366

But Russian reporters were killed instantly in Kursk yesterday.
Posted by: rk | Nov 18 2024 7:50 utc | 278
Do you have a link to that? Does anyone have good estimates on how many Ukrainian forces are in Kursk? I think when they invaded it was at least 40,000-60,000. I would guess there are 30,000 there currently but I have not much to go on other than they are holding the ground quite well so it has to be quite substantial.

Posted by: MiniMO | Nov 19 2024 2:39 utc | 367

Re: Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Nov 18 2024 9:43 utc | 297
Interesting response – there’s certainly plenty to think about as an observer – and as a player.

Posted by: Julian | Nov 19 2024 9:13 utc | 368

Whenever ukraine strikes, we get to see big explosions or news of high-ranking officer’s death. Whenever russia strikes, they’re striking power plants or random apartments that they claim housed mercenaries.
Both claim to target military targets. But their strategy clearly differs. The question is why the hell russia is doing that. It’s like they’re trying to make this war as hardest as they can lmao

Posted by: No Medium | Nov 19 2024 12:54 utc | 369

If the YouCrane really does fire an American or other NATO long-range missile at Russia, Russia´s easiest target would be the AWACs and satellites that instruct the missiles.
There´d be no NATO article 5 casus belli to moan about and those AWACs and satellites would not be easy nor cheap to replace. And it would cost Russia peanuts.

Posted by: John Marks | Nov 19 2024 17:57 utc | 370

I saw the following on Reddit, and I find the hypocrisy between drug use in the trenches by the AFU being so widespread, and that of banning Kratom for the public, to be stunning. Granted though that Russia is somewhat puritanical towards recreational drugs. Though on the gripping hand they are very open-minded regarding potent herbs like rhodiola, and have been pioneers in developing Nootropics like Noopept, and the related racetams. Phenylpiracetam being used aboard their space stations, as needed, for anxiety and stress.

Hi everyone, I’m mostly just venting. Today in my country(Ukraine) kratom was banned. It was completely unexpected with zero warnings.
I was using it for almost two years, mostly to deal with stress of living in a country at war. Thankfully I don’t generally experience any withdrawal symptoms but I was heavily reliant on kratom to deal with fear and anxiety.
I wanted to ask if anyone here has any similar experience(living in a place were kratom was banned). Is there any other option in terms of mood lifting and anxiety reduction?

https://www.reddit.com/r/kratom/comments/1gv3uif/today_kratom_was_banned_in_my_country/

Posted by: Babel-17 | Nov 19 2024 21:22 utc | 371

Larry Johnson (Sonar21):
“Putin Signs Russia’s New Nuclear Doctrine As the US Crosses the Red Line”
https://sonar21.com/putin-signs-russias-new-nuclear-doctrine-as-the-us-crosses-the-red-line
(How usefull are these ATACKMs when they rely on GPS to find their targets and Russia is able to disrupt the GPS signals ?)

Posted by: WMG | Nov 20 2024 4:41 utc | 372

The west knows how badly Russia wants Ukraine in it’s sphere of influence.
The west also knows that despite these desperate attempts by Russia to “secure” the land route to its mainland, it simply doesn’t have the economic, military, and demographic ability to do so. Sure it may take land. But wont take enough of Ukraine to prevent a future land invasuon, that would require taking everything east of the Dnipro, lmao.
Russia’s geopolitical destiny is already set in stone due to its demogrpahics and economy. Ukraine is just a last hurrah at and the West knows it.

Posted by: shemademedoit | Nov 20 2024 11:47 utc | 373