Ukraine Open Thread 2024-273

November 14, 2024

News & views related to the war in Ukraine …

Posted by b on November 14, 2024 at 15:00 UTC | Permalink

Comments

Waltz in 2022:-
“In an interview with The News-Journal on Thursday and with other media outlets since Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s address to Congress a day earlier, Waltz has been making the case that the United States should support Poland supplying its neighbor with MiG-29 fighter planes to counter Russia’s aerial assault on Ukraine’s cities and civilians. “Send the damn MiGs,” Waltz tweeted on Wednesday. “
“We must unite our NATO and other European partners around the policy of continuing to support Ukraine’s defenders. We must continue the flow of food, medical supplies, small armaments, stinger missiles, night vision, secure communications, body armor, and deployable radar systems to stall Russian armor in the cities and cut off their supply lines.”
“Ukraine has shown the world freedom from the evils of authoritarianism is worth fighting for. As you watch ordinary citizens attacks tanks with Molotov cocktails, they’ve shown the world they will die for their homeland. Insurgencies can last for years and the world must stand shoulder-to-shoulder with Ukraine for the long haul.”
But the practicalities! They simply don’t add up. Not then. Not now.
Waltz should know that, for all the posturing. What is Trump doing anyway, putting a standard issue neocon in that position? Maybe doing a Bolton? Bad cop Waltz so he can do the good cop?
Have to wait and see. I had thought Trump was of the opinion that this war is a bust.
So it is. The Russians have good enough Intel to attack Ukrainian arms factories, energy facilities, supply dumps, and gatherings of troops anywhere within the country. There’s little Ukrainian AD left so it’s now merely a question of the Russians choosing the most effective targets.
That’s now getting down to the micro level. The Ukrainians have drone workshops in civilian buildings. The Russians have an Intel network within Ukraine that enables them to identify those: the population mix is such that many Ukrainians are actively working for the resistance and can give the Russians real time information. If the Russians don’t get the targeting information that way they get it another. However they get it, even the little drone workshops in the basements or apartments of civilian buildings can get attacked and destroyed.
Same goes for equipment the Ukrainians store in civilian buildings. Same goes for troop concentrations or military conferences in civilian buildings, hotels and the like. That’s especially the case where our mercs or advisers are gathered. They stick out like a sore thumb because they speak in English or Polish or whatever so all around know they’re there. That Intel goes to the Russians and then it’s the missile.
For the Russians it’s open season on any military or dual use facilities anywhere in Ukraine. If Waltz doesn’t know that someone should tell him and stop him making a fool of himself.
…………………………….
Then this. “Insurgencies can last for years and the world must stand shoulder-to-shoulder with Ukraine for the long haul.”
There speaks the true neocon. Dead from the neck up and the attention span of a hen. He’s assuming the Russians will have to occupy remnant Ukraine – that’s mostly the more western part of the country – in order to stop the drone and missile attacks out of Ukraine.
So Waltz is cheerfully condemning the western Ukrainians to – he hopes – years of messy and brutal insurgency. Cheering every time a Russian soldier gets knifed in the back – we’ve already seen instances of that because that population mix works both ways. Cheering every time someone gets an RPG out from where it’s hidden in the barn and attacks a Russian convoy with it. And of course Ukraine is littered with explosives so plenty of scope for bomb exploits to cheer on as well.
And since the pro-Russian resistance in Ukraine is everywhere, even as far west as Lvov, there’d be informers all over the place telling the secret police who to go for.
It’d be a hell on earth ten times worse that Northern Ireland, and that, from a military point of view as well as a political and PR point of view, was itself messy as hell. And the Nationalist and Loyalist terrorists in Northern Ireland were pussycats compared to such as Budanov or Yermak when it comes to internecine warfare. That’s what Waltz is wishing on our proxies.
The man’s a fool. That’s exactly the scenario we were hoping the Russians would get themselves tangled up in in February 2022. Partisan warfare. The hope back then was that Ukraine would turn into “Russia’s Afghanistan”. The Russians sidestepped that scenario in 2022 and left us flat footed. Does he think they won’t again?
That’s aside from the fact that the ultras or neo-Nazis, that would have been the backbone of any partisan resistance, will be dead or will have cleared out to Poland or Germany. They are not going to stick around to face the war crimes trials or the gulags. Waltz is living in chickenhawk fantasy land if he thinks otherwise.
Chickenhawk, like all the neocons, because he’d never have the guts to put American lives on the line in any quantity to defeat the Russians. Just throw the proxies at the enemy, as per usual. The body bags don’t matter, as long as they’re not coming home to the States. This isn’t “true Green Beret” thinking. This is psycho thinking.
…………………………….
More dumb talk. “We have leverage, like taking the handcuffs off of the long-range weapons we provided Ukraine as well.”
The Pentagon’s OK with that? Thought they wanted to preserve what they have in that line for the ME or China. I doubt the Europeans are OK with it. Scholz has been warned off supplying Taurus, though the more hawkish Russian generals would like it if he did. They have enough of the fancy missiles to spare a few for Rheinmetall.
The Europeans are as chickenhawk as Waltz. They have no intention of allowing their own countries to become a war zone. As with Waltz, big talk is their metier.
It’s all they’re good for. We’re no longer living in the ’60’s or ’70’s. Well, we are in our minds, and that’s where we go wrong, but not in reality. Even RUSI gets that. The reality is that the Americans don’t have the men or equipment to fight the Russians in Ukraine, by proxy or directly. The Europeans never did. The Ukrainians, for all the heroism we’re seeing from them even now, have run out of both.
There’s been no real attempt to gear up Western war production and force numbers over the last three years. This has been a phoney war from the start and remains so. Much of what the Ukrainians have been given is old stock and we’re running out of that. The newer equipment we give them has turned out to be inferior.
For the neocons this was never a serious war. A country of one hundred and fifty million has therefore defeated more than a billion. That’s why the Americans have been walking away from this war almost from the start. Waltz must know it’s too late now to remedy that. Negotiate with the Russians from a position of strength? The only strength we have to negotiate from is in the chickenhawk’s imagination. It’s not there in reality.
It’s time both the American and the European neocons got to grips with the fact that when it comes to putting real money on the table, economically and militarily speaking they don’t have any. Gamblers with empty pockets and they’ve been called.
And though I don’t at all approve of the use we put the Ukrainians to, and think it was dumb fighting the Russians like this, I cannot but feel a sense of shame at what we’ve done. The Ukrainian regulars have fought like wild cats. It was a devil’s bargain they struck with us but those regulars carried out their part in full. And as usual we’ve cut and run.
Those regulars didn’t. And they now know that such as Waltz have taken them for a ride and dumped them.

Posted by: English Outsider | Nov 14 2024 15:28 utc | 1

New article by S on his substack.
Apart from starting with the z is losing and his downfall in order, some reflections seem to confirm what I mentioned earlier about the vovcha river as the possible line for the AFU.
And now (finally) he talks of an attack on Zaporozhye city, he only goes so far as that being the objective, I personally think it is a necessary condition for securing the opposite bank of the ZNPP and a safer way for Odessa.
That and creating a massive cauldron for troops south of the vovcha, though it would have worked better when AFU troops were further east. Speaking of which, he also mentions that the Kurakhove dam was destroyed by the AFU to avoid retreat by their troops.

Posted by: Newbie | Nov 14 2024 15:33 utc | 2

Constant pincer attacks by R.U. forces are enclosing one Ukrainian strongpoint after another. Yes, they are taking their sweet time to reduce casualties rather than directly assaulting those urban and villages fortified sites. With overwhelming numbers, armor, FTD drones, artillery and missilry, the Russians are steadily degrading the UAF units. Worst news for the Ukies is that the season of General Mud has yet to develop. Thus, the Russian advances march onwards.

Posted by: aristodemos | Nov 14 2024 15:35 utc | 3

Posted by b on November 14, 2024 at 15:00 UTC | Permalink
Sorry if my post was in anyway not fit. Was an honest opinion on things previously discussed.
The Zaporozhye once considered as a possible axis for an AFU advance, now for an RF advance.
Other sources mention it …
https://news-pravda.com/world/2024/11/11/845197.html
The Kurakhove dam destruction being done by the AFU to avoid retreat by their troops.
Also mentioned even by tass, while the focus is on the destruction caused (was it just that, to leave nothing behind as in the flooding of coal mines, or something more? not sure but it was a reasonable reason to avoid a routing)
https://tass.com/emergencies/1871693
If, in spite of not linking and not even a full name it’s a question of source just let this one and I’ll abstain from future references however slight.
If not please let me know why, I try to share news and also my own opinions in what I hope are useful posts.
On a lighter note, or in case you had doubts about being me, there is now a very significant probability that the RF defense minister numbers will reach a round million before the end of the year, not a reason to be happy per se , but a significantly tragic milestone.
https://mskvremya.ru/article/2023/1520-poteri-ukrainy-za-vremya-spetsoperatsii
Still no update for september from the economist excess mortality. That should allow a further assessment of how expensive (or not) the recent advances have proved to be.
Still have some hope of doing a better modeling than before (though I’m surely I can ignore the AFU saying they only need 160k for february)
And B, best wishes

Posted by: Newbie | Nov 14 2024 16:25 utc | 4

To # 1
Good synopsis of the situation on Ukraine and Waltz. He was a Green Beenie and in my personal experience with them {50+ years ago – lol } they are all into using the local folks and the huckleberries in the country next door. Our two man US Army advisory non coms, were also in charge of doing the same thing in Cambodia and Laos.
I’m glad that you respect those Ukrainians that fought well, since I knew them too when I lived there – Mr. Karloff explains this political mess in Kiev better than I, but I saw it up front and personal and all I will say is the poor Ukies were looking to rid their country of the BS corruption, but got sucker punched by the CIA, Mossad and the other cut throats. спасибо

Posted by: GMC | Nov 14 2024 16:29 utc | 5

Posted by: English Outsider | Nov 14 2024 15:28 utc | 1
Astute observations, I agree that NATO intent was for Russia to sweep in and get bogged down in a long term insurgency. Provoked In retaliation for their resuscitation of Syria being A reason.
The Russians have not obliged, and instead of just a one sided attrition with low level production of equipment that the west has the capacity, it has turned into a larger attrition of both sides more conventional arms. With the help of China and others, and their own striving to survive, the Russians are winning this morphed conflict.
Harping on a particular topic, the east needs to be aware that the US focus is not on conventional arms. The morphing of warfare will go into other tech. Chip making equipment backdoors should be assumed. There was a room temperature silicon based quantum computing chip reported a few years back by a company called Xanadu, no news since. And the elephant in the world, Space X and it’s launch rate, capacity and cost will enable space based artillery among other things.
Strategically, if those are possibilities, why would my country focus on conventional arms manufacturing? Yes, Russia with backing is out producing the west. Their current liberal usage of Iskanders compared to the beginning of the war reflects their rapid production. Combined with the glide bombs it is staggering to the UKrainians, and the possibility of using the same techniques to conquer all of Europe is there, though imo not the Russian plan. They would rather have Europe on their side as partners rather than a smoldering ruin. Same goes for UKrain, but they have the will to destroy if needed. Russia seems to be molding the Chechnya model for UKrain.
There are reasons the US is half halfheartedly ramping the traditional MIC. Why is there no urgency if the demise of the west is so imminent? Because it does not perceive it that way.

Posted by: jopalolive | Nov 14 2024 16:38 utc | 6

Sorry to everyone for post 4, for a while the site deleted all 3 posts and I wanted to apologize if B had taken offense on anything I said, justify the content insomuch as possible and prove that it was not an handle hijack.
So as not to be a total loss, adding something that might be interesting
This one made me wonder if the supposed call from trump to putin was instead a signaling for nato not to escalate (as it still tries)
https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/france-uk-lobbying-deep-missile-strikes
On another subject, instead of wonder weapons, good old solid chassis and plain long range artillery is still a thing and ignoring the 65KM (rocket assisted) we’re still talking about 40 km and roughly twice the distance compared with 152mm rounds. Rocket range at shell price.
https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/nkorean-koksan-170mm-ukraine

Posted by: Newbie | Nov 14 2024 16:46 utc | 7

Harping on a particular topic, the east needs to be aware that the US focus is not on conventional arms. The morphing of warfare will go into other tech. Chip making equipment backdoors should be assumed. There was a room temperature silicon based quantum computing chip reported a few years back by a company called Xanadu, no news since. And the elephant in the world, Space X and it’s launch rate, capacity and cost will enable space based artillery among other things.
There are reasons the US is half halfheartedly ramping the traditional MIC. Why is there no urgency if the demise of the west is so imminent? Because it does not perceive it that way.
Posted by: jopalolive | Nov 14 2024 16:38 utc | 6
Yes, if Musk’s law becomes the new moore law the space issue can become paramount.
the USSR was once a leader and china has been taking strides, maybe the lead that the west thinks it has can prove to be much smaller. Anyway, nothing that should show up before the SMO is over.

Posted by: Newbie | Nov 14 2024 16:50 utc | 8

Things finally looking promising in Kupyansk!

Posted by: Gerry Bell | Nov 14 2024 16:56 utc | 9

NATO officially aknowledges importance of nuclear weapons for sovereignty:
https://www.sofx.com/nato-military-chief-says-troops-would-be-deployed-in-ukraine-if-not-for-russian-nuclear-threat/
If you don’t want to be subjugated by NATO you will have to have nuclear weapons or else they will come for you.
But luckily Russia does have those nasty buggers and NATO now is sad. It can’t bully Russia like it wants to. Military Comittee officially sites hypothetical situation as an excuse for failure. Holy clownshow!

Posted by: Hamburger | Nov 14 2024 17:04 utc | 10

@ Newbie | Nov 14 2024 16:25 utc | 4
I suspect that Typepad is having fits and seizures as of late. Over the past few days I’ve seen lots of comments post, then disappear (while remaining in the “latest comments list with, of course, broken hyperlinks), then reappear.

Posted by: malenkov | Nov 14 2024 17:04 utc | 11

I’m guessing Trump is telling the banderas that it’s time to wrap this thing up. He’ll probably say the same to the Russians, eventually. The retribution in Ukraine will be awful. But that’s what they get for being a merc nation. If the banderas eat some crow, a ceasefire could come soon. Trump’s likely telling them that, and that they’re best to settle now. The handwriting is on the wall, and probably Z’s brains soon, too.

Posted by: seer | Nov 14 2024 17:17 utc | 12

Incidentally, I am now convinced that Russia cannot win the SMO. Time is running out. The 5D chess masters have miscalculated.

Posted by: guest from franconia | Nov 14 2024 17:19 utc | 13

For some reason the Deputy Prime Minister in Canada, – who is an individual with too much invested in Ukraine feels she is ‘home free’ now – the Trudeau govt WONT release the names of about 900 alleged Nazi war criminals! To remain secret! Ah, that’s why, among others, she can breathe easier. Yes, the shame of what her own family were part of should have led her to a life that was a rejection of high nationalistic pride ! Because this is the factor which produces racial hatred, blind patriotism and fanatascism, and that is hell on earth – which should not be! My criticism of her, does not rest solely at her feet – this is something Trudeau has done – and her constituents voted for her. So, only promoting this news story, may imprint on someone who did not know, so i wanted to re-affirm this here.
Names of Nazis in Canada To Remain Secret – Who’s On the List? at esprit de corps dot ca
AND “From 1996: Steve Rombom- the Nazi Hunter on the cbc player (Archives)

Posted by: Same sun | Nov 14 2024 17:24 utc | 14

My last comment was from my cellphone, and I think I got kicked off for sock puppeting???
Interesting indeed, as the Prince of Rosh, Meshech and Tubal is slapping the western elites who have run their systems for generations. He will continue to show the global south the hypocrasy of the so called elites running the WEF/NWO charge into fantasy land.
I believe Trump is the one listed as Joash the son of Jeroboam, who shall save the “kingdom for a time” and the attacks against the name of Israel (Manasseh – USA) just before the eventual crash stemming from the curses for rejecting the truth laid out to them.
The jigsaw continues to rotate, as now Germany is in chaos and may erupt possibly after the defeat of NATO in Ukraine. Not sure which will happen earlier, the election in Germany or the defeat of the remnants of the Ukraine army supported by NATO. Lots of fun trying to compare all of the old historical, modern and current analysis of empires falling and rising.

Posted by: Arcticman | Nov 14 2024 17:24 utc | 15

Looks like b’s predictions right from the onset of the SMO are coming to fruition. The ukes are in complete collapse mode and no amount of money or new weapon supply is going to stop the momentum. Almost at the end finally. See how the MSM spins this total failure into a win.

Posted by: Watzov | Nov 14 2024 17:28 utc | 16

Russia already lost by fighting. That was the point. And this SMO will just as soon be followed by another and another. This is the Spain, of World War. The boundaries are marked, the contestants are named, the rules are written clear —there are none.

Posted by: Nothingburgers | Nov 14 2024 17:37 utc | 17

#13
Droll post. The SMO has already been won. The only issue is how much more winning will take place.

Posted by: Zakukommander | Nov 14 2024 17:39 utc | 18

Enhanced evacuation announced from 28 settlements in Kharkiv Region
The Defense Council of the Kharkiv Region has adopted a decision on the compulsory evacuation of children and their families from 28 settlements of the Borova settlement territorial community.
Oleh Syniehubov, the head of the Kharkiv Regional Military Administration, announced this on his Telegram channel on Wednesday, November 13.
According to him, 93 children and their families are subject to evacuation from the villages of the Borova community.
“Also, a decision was made on the mandatory evacuation of the entire adult population from settlements where active hostilities are taking place: the village of Borova and the villages of Novoplatonivka, the villages of Shyikivka, Pidlyman, Nyzhnia Zhuravka, Borivska Andriivka, the villages of Nyzhche Solone, Vyshche Solone, Maliivka and Pisky-Radkivski”, the message says.
All evacuees will receive material assistance, temporary accommodation, as well as support from international partners, in particular the UN, including humanitarian, psychological and legal assistance, said the head of the Kharkiv Regional Military Administration. Currently, 2,443 people still remain in the specified settlements.
~~~
As the Ukrainian News agency earlier reported, residents of the village of Kurylivka, the village of Kivsharivka and the city of Kupiansk were evacuated in the Kharkiv Region.
On November 8, Syniehubov reported that 8,000 residents are subject to evacuation on the Kupiansk axis of the Kharkiv Region.

https://ukranews.com/en/news/1047191-enhanced-evacuation-announced-from-28-settlements-in-kharkiv-region

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Nov 14 2024 17:42 utc | 19

Posted by: Newbie | Nov 14 2024 15:33 utc | 2
My guesstimate on the number of Ukrainian troops that are in current cauldrons was approx. 50,000 including Kursk. I counted the number of brigade markers on a military blog site, and WAG 1,500 humans per brigade due to suffering casualties. That is an astounding number to be supply restricted with winter around the corner. Other, and potentially larger, cauldrons appear to be forming. It is looking grim for UKrain.
Posted by: Newbie | Nov 14 2024 16:50 utc | 8
Agree with your timeline, 2026 at the latest. The UKrainians have been imo exceptionally stout and brave, but morale seems to be breaking. That will accelerate when the Kursk gambit is perceived as a Russian trap. You never know, some new war tech could change the balance. The Russian adaption of drones, EW and glide bombs sure has worked in their favor.

Posted by: jopalolive | Nov 14 2024 17:44 utc | 20

Posted by: seer | Nov 14 2024 17:17 utc | 12
If the banderas eat some crow, a ceasefire could come soon.
Nonsense. The declared goals are demilitarization and denazification. So – no place for any Bandera yuengling. Russia’s main point is the security issue vs NATO. The Russian troops will go up to the Polish border, with or without an Ukrainian unconditional surrender.

Posted by: MorePain4Cakes | Nov 14 2024 17:44 utc | 21

Posted by: MorePain4Cakes | Nov 14 2024 17:44 utc | 22

Marat’s latest sitrep: https://maratkhairullin.substack.com/p/brief-report-from-the-front-on-november-754
Seems to be pincers and cauldrons forming at various locations along the Donbass front.

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Nov 14 2024 17:56 utc | 23

Waltz should know that, for all the posturing. What is Trump doing anyway, putting a standard issue neocon in that position? Maybe doing a Bolton? Bad cop Waltz so he can do the good cop?
Have to wait and see. I had thought Trump was of the opinion that this war is a bust.
What did you expect? I too hoped he would be true to his word but grifters gotta grift and I’m sure the neocons and Israel lobby have more to offer Trump than the adoring shlubs who put him in office.
That being said he was always the better choice because there was always a chance he’s keep his word. The sad thing is most Americans who voted for him will like his choice of cabinet … or at least they won’t give a shit until the economy dumps on them.
The sad thing is he did exactly the same thing last time and they fell for it again.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Nov 14 2024 18:00 utc | 24

War chronicle up to date:
Yuri Podolyaka in today’s reviews of the front escalates the situation near Pogrebki. According to him, reports are circulating that the Russian army controls Orlovka, Погребки and New as well as Starje Sorochiny. In reality, however, according to him, the 810th Brigade is bleeding there. One of the surrounded assault divisions, which had landed on November 7 and 8, was completely destroyed by the enemy. The second held out. There is no talk of control south of Pogrebkov.
Podolyak sounds the alarm: “If you don’t cover the real situation to the extreme, there will be trouble. Developments in the area include several forest belts between Pogrebki and Kremyana. Daryino in the south remains unchanged – the enemy is sitting on the southern farms. Our attacks on the Sverdlikovo or Leonidovka area are still unsuccessful.

Posted by: guest from franconia | Nov 14 2024 18:02 utc | 25

” Russia’s main point is the security issue vs NATO. The Russian troops will go up to the Polish border… ”
Posted by: MorePain4Cakes | Nov 14 2024 17:44 utc | 21
.
.
Your 2 points may be in conflict. They can get the 1st without the 2nd. If they’d wanted the 2nd, they’d have blitzkrieged the country in 2022. Instead, attrition is being used to get the 1st. The nazis will always exist in rump Ukraine, unless you Carthage them. Why pay for that? The nazis will be as big a problem for the neighbors as Russia, once isolated. Russia will soon have partners on the nazi kettling. And that helps them fragment NATO.

Posted by: seer | Nov 14 2024 18:05 utc | 26

NBU’s net international reserves down 12.1% to USD 22.5 billion in October
Net international reserves of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) in October decreased by 12.1% month over month to USD 22.462 billion.
This follows from the NBU data, the Ukrainian News agency reports.
Since the beginning of the year, they have decreased by 20.9% from USD 28.381 billion.
Official reserve assets of the NBU decreased by 6% to USD 36.575 billion in October, and since the beginning of the year, they have decreased by 9.7% from USD 40.514 billion.
At the same time, gross reserve liabilities in October decreased by 5.7% to USD 14.113 billion, and since the beginning of the year, they have increased by 16.3% from USD 12.133 billion.

https://ukranews.com/en/news/1047183-nbu-s-net-international-reserves-down-12-1-to-usd-22-5-billion-in-october

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Nov 14 2024 18:10 utc | 27

Posted by: Hamburger | Nov 14 2024 17:04 utc | 10
The West is acknowledging that NATO’s main existing purpose and essence is the destruction of Russia, be it a tsarist, communist or capitalist country. As simple as that. That’s the reason why comrades Beria and Stalin are the devil incarnate in the west, they certainly inherited Russia with the necessary means to confront a billion with only hundred and fifty million inhabitants. I’m thinking about Bob Hoskins film The Inner Circle -the film’s name brings to mind a Solzhenitsyn book-, good actor but a very degrading picture of Lavrenty. The ironies of history, two Georgians provided Russia with a very good insurance policy.

Posted by: Paco | Nov 14 2024 18:17 utc | 28

Posted by: HB_Norica | Nov 14 2024 18:19 utc | 29

Posted by: guest from franconia | Nov 14 2024 17:19 utc | 13
Why…?

Posted by: Larsbo | Nov 14 2024 18:25 utc | 30

The AFU is clearly an equal opportunities employer, with no discrimination against those with chronic illnesses:

The Ministry of Defense explained under what conditions people with HIV or tuberculosis are suitable for military service
For people with HIV or tuberculosis, fitness for service is assessed based on how much the disease affects their ability to perform military tasks. In each case, the decision is made individually
This was stated by the speaker of the Ministry of Defense Dmitry Lazutkin on the air of the telethon, reports RegioNews .
The representative of the Defense Ministry stressed that the main criterion of fitness for military service is the functionality of a person. This means that each case is evaluated separately depending on the state of health and the specifics of diseases.
For people with HIV, According to Lazutkin, it depends on the stage of the disease. If a person has an asymptomatic or stable medical condition, they are eligible for military service.
At the same time, as the speaker of the Ministry of Defense explained, if a person has active tuberculosis, with secretions of mycobacteria or the presence of decay of lung tissue, this makes a person unfit for military service.
Earlier, a member of the Verkhovna Rada Committee on National Security, Alexander Fedienko, said that now people with terrible illnesses are entering the troops through the Komsomol.

https://regionews.ua/ukr/news/ukraine/1731590450-u-minoboroni-poyasnili-za-yakih-umov-lyudi-z-vil-chi-tuberkulozom-pridatni-do-sluzhbi-v-armiyi (via translation add-on.)
Wonder if the British DWP Work Capability Assessors are taking notes???

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Nov 14 2024 18:30 utc | 31

Posted by: seer | Nov 14 2024 18:05 utc | 26
No conflict. SU needed 8/9 (?) years after WW II to extinguish the Nazi terrorism (funded by the west even then?) Russia today knows how to deal with terrorists, take a look at Chenya. Main point: terrorists are not taken prisoner. Ask Kadyrov.

Posted by: MorePain4Cakes | Nov 14 2024 18:38 utc | 32

And Russia knows how to build a multicultural nation. I look forward for Lemberg once again being a peaceful multiethnic town. Which it was before Habsburg started sowing their pus.

Posted by: MorePain4Cakes | Nov 14 2024 18:43 utc | 33

@ Hamburger, §10:
You mean NATO didn´t know Russia had nukes back in 2014?

Posted by: John Marks | Nov 14 2024 18:50 utc | 34

@34 John Marks
All irony aside, Bauer’s statement seems quite significant to me. NATO officially asserts that nuclear arms are keeping it out of the conflict. This makes nuclear arms a necessity for anyone who does not want to be subject to NATO military threat. The importance here lies in the fact that this is an official statement, not some unspoken assumption.
Also there is a palpable loss of dignity in this statement. To say that if things were different than they are, NATO would be lot stronger and more dominant, is like daydreaming, but doing it in public and with a larmoyant composure.

Posted by: Hamburger | Nov 14 2024 19:11 utc | 35

There are reasons the US is half halfheartedly ramping the traditional MIC. Why is there no urgency if the demise of the west is so imminent? Because it does not perceive it that way.
Posted by: jopalolive | Nov 14 2024 16:38 utc |
Urgency for military production in the West requires austerity, rationing, and very hard work from an industrial populace. There is absolutely zero way even President Trump could get that kind of blind support from his own supporters. Macron, Trudeau, Starmer, and Scholz would be lynched with chicken wire if they tried it. South Korea might have been bullied into a major commitment, but not if President Trump is obviously disinterested.
It’s not going to happen unless VVP uses nukes, and even then it would need sustained attacks against NATO countries.

Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Nov 14 2024 19:33 utc | 36

North Korean Koksan Superheavy Artillery Arrives in Russia.
https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/nkorean-koksan-170mm-ukraine
“The Koksan is the second largest howitzer in the world, exceeded in size only by the Soviet 2S7M Malka currently fielded by both Russia and Ukraine. Unlike the Soviet system, however, which has a relatively short range and was only ever fielded in a small number of units, the Koksan is very widely deployed by the Korean People’s Army and has one of the world’s longest ranges.”

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Nov 14 2024 19:34 utc | 37

Posted by: guest from franconia | Nov 14 2024 17:19 utc | 13
Posted by: Nothingburgers | Nov 14 2024 17:37 utc | 17
These posts would be marginally more interesting if there were some evidence or even reasoning attached, but as it is, they are just ‘nothingburgers’, and really just a waste of good pixels.

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Nov 14 2024 19:39 utc | 38

@MorePain4Cakes – “The Russian troops will go up to the Polish border”
No, they can’t. I know the area. That would take at least another year, assuming Russia has enough units and material.
The best they can achieve at the moment, but that will also take more time than until Trump’s inauguration, is to take the area up to the Dnieper and then a strip to Odessa and further to Moldova, so that Ukraine is landlocked, but Odessa will be very, very difficult, so I’m not optimistic.

Posted by: wp007 | Nov 14 2024 19:42 utc | 39

German paper https://www.n-tv.de/politik/17-58-Die-Ukraine-plant-eigene-Atombombe-Aussenminister-weist-Times-Bericht-zurueck–article23143824.html
The Ukrainian armed forces killed 1,690 soldiers during the course of Wednesday, the Ukrainian General Staff reported this morning. In addition, 19 battle tanks and 51 infantry fighting vehicles or armored personnel carriers as well as 64 artillery systems from Putin’s army were destroyed. In addition, 54 attack drones and 124 vehicles and fuel tanks were also rendered unusable, according to the information.
TASS https://tass.com/politics/1872369
– Over the day, the enemy lost more than 430 troops, ten tanks, two infantry fighting vehicles, 19 armored combat vehicles, 33 motor vehicles, one Anklav-N electronic warfare station, seven field artillery guns, including two 155mm Bogdana self-propelled artillery guns, two 122mm D-30 howitzers and one 105mm M101 artillery gun of US manufacture.

Posted by: wp007 | Nov 14 2024 19:48 utc | 40

Posted by: wp007 | Nov 14 2024 19:42 utc | 39
You may know the area, but do you know the present state of the Ukrainian Amed Forces, their troop numbers, state of morale, reserves of ammunition, etc. etc.?
Reports are that desertions are large and increasing, casualties are similar, morale is plummeting and no substantial fall-back fortifications have been constructed. When the Ukrainian Army collapses, as it inevitably will, then all bets are off as to what Russia can do in 404.

Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Nov 14 2024 19:50 utc | 41

Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Nov 14 2024 19:33 utc | 36
It’s not going to happen unless VVP uses nukes
Sorry to interrupt your deep sleep. The other side of Putin’s saintly patience is – there is only one escalation step. No nuke will go to Kiev. But be sure, Russian subs are less than 5 minutes away from Washington, DC. Any time, every day, 24/7/53 .
My guess for now: some NATO poodle/chihuahua will eventually trip the wire. At some point even the supervisor needs a nap.

Posted by: MorePain4Cakes | Nov 14 2024 19:55 utc | 42

Posted by: Nothingburgers | Nov 14 2024 17:37 utc | 17
“Russia already lost by fighting.”
So are you suggesting that Russia would have won by not fighting? Should she have sat and waited to see what NATO had in mind?

Posted by: Paranaense | Nov 14 2024 19:58 utc | 43

Incidentally, I am now convinced that Russia cannot win the SMO. Time is running out. The 5D chess masters have miscalculated.
Posted by: guest from franconia | Nov 14 2024 17:19 utc | 13

Incidentally, why would any one care? In my admittedly limited experience, I have never seen you do anything but regurgitate Western propaganda, nary an original thought to be had. Id love to hear you regale us with stories of Ukraines winning, it’s bound to be interesting.
Do wake me if you figure something out. With apologies to all.

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Nov 14 2024 20:06 utc | 44

29 HB_Norica
You mean that you are aware you worked with war criminals?
I actually regret noting the item of Steve Rombom, bc i finished watching the full video – and the condition now – of these offenders – they lead this life of denial – and now senility seems be the fate of these old men. All things appear so flawed; the dark cold heart of man who can kill his brother!
– But underline this; – it’s the initial policy Canada had – which created this very pressured situation – which led to further build up of tensions – emboldening the new super power who emerged fr WWII.. and so Canada embarks with the US on their new mission – and Britain – to sort of erase the fact of these displaced, refugees and war criminals have resettled now with us here.. Do not worry about this . . – And then immediately, with speed – this Alliance begin efforts to contain USSR !
Marc Miller, I see released the report by Alti Rodal – which was in support of the Commission of Inquiry on War Criminals in Canada (the Deschenes Commission /which was fairly a whitewash). Her report is called “Nazi War Criminals in Canada: the Historical and Policy from the 1940s to the Present” This is a long report -618 pages
I wish everyone here is doing ok, always

Posted by: Same sun | Nov 14 2024 20:09 utc | 45

Posted by: wp007 | Nov 14 2024 19:48 utc | 40
M’kay, so according to your numbers, Russia is taking four times the casualties of Ukraine, yet it is Russia that continues to advance, while Ukraine recruits TB and HIV patients into its armed forces, not to mention draining its central bank reserves.
So, who do you think is really closer to achieving their objectives? In your view, when does Crimea return to Ukraine?
Oh, nearly forgot, always like to ask this question of screen names I’m not familiar with: do you happen to know the current whereabouts of Ukraine’s national gold reserves?

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Nov 14 2024 20:11 utc | 46

No conflict. SU needed 8/9 (?) years after WW II to extinguish the Nazi terrorism (funded by the west even then?)
Posted by: MorePain4Cakes | Nov 14 2024 18:38 utc | 32
Indeed they did. Operation Anyface and Operation Red Sox for starters.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Nov 14 2024 20:15 utc | 47

Posted by: GMC | Nov 14 2024 16:29 utc | 5
Waltz was a beret? LOL I didn’t know that. Maybe they could switch him and Pete’s new assignments.

Posted by: Tom_Q_Collins | Nov 14 2024 20:19 utc | 48

When the Ukrainian Army collapses, as it inevitably will, then all bets are off as to what Russia can do in 404.
Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Nov 14 2024 19:50 utc | 41
No we can be quite certain that Russia can just walk across the rump of if unopposed waving at little old ladies right up to the western border.
When the UKR .mil collapses there won’t be anyone or anything in the way of a walk in the park.

Posted by: PalmaSailor | Nov 14 2024 20:25 utc | 49

” extinguish the Nazi terrorism (funded by the west even then?) Russia today knows how to deal with terrorists, take a look at Chenya. Main point: terrorists are not taken prisoner. Ask Kadyrov. ”
Posted by: MorePain4Cakes | Nov 14 2024 18:38 utc | 32
.
.
Yeah, the US paid for Chechens to kill people. Russia annihilated them, but won’t want want to do that here. It was costly then, moreso now. If they occupy Ukraine, they’ll be playing into globohomo’s hands, and face 10 years of blood, with easy weapons coming over the border from NATO. Better to stand off and kill banderas ’til they say uncle.

Posted by: seer | Nov 14 2024 20:33 utc | 50

I managed to get an ear on the far-right German völkische nationalists/ Neonazis to hear what the scene thinks about the Ukrainian ultra-nationalists and their Nazi batallions. It might surprise you, but apparently most of this spectrum is supporting Russia and Putin. Apart from the mercenaries, which I suspect have their own lines to the front which probably extend into the Bundeswehr, very few of the genuine Neonazis went to Ukraine. I heard about just one person, and he was reported to be there mostly busy with the beautiful Ukrainian blondes, rather than doing much political work.
To add information, there is a very popular MSM trope in Germany which is somewhat analogous to the Russiagate narrative. It states that ‘Putin’ supports far-right outfits to sow conflict in Germany (and throughout the West more generally). The usual aim of this attack is the national-conservative AfD party, but it extends into the fringe corners and out to where the spectrum rim borders on hyperspace. I would assume this not fully without a base in some facts, but certainly the trope is overblown and heavily used as a proaganda vehicle.
Cross-posted on the OT.

Posted by: persiflo | Nov 14 2024 20:36 utc | 51

General Mud has yet to develop. Thus, the Russian advances march onwards.
Posted by: aristodemos | Nov 14 2024 15:35 utc | 3
Is General Mud a thing of the past due to climate change?
As we enter December surely it will be General ice ?

Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Nov 14 2024 20:50 utc | 52

Incidentally, I am now convinced that Russia cannot win the SMO. Time is running out. The 5D chess masters have miscalculated.
Posted by: guest from franconia | Nov 14 2024 17:19 utc | 13
Incidentally, you’re an idiot.
Posted by: Vargas | Nov 14 2024 20:19 utc | 49
Damn, Vargas. Spicing it up!

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Nov 14 2024 21:00 utc | 53

Oh, nearly forgot, always like to ask this question of screen names I’m not familiar with: do you happen to know the current whereabouts of Ukraine’s national gold reserves?
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Nov 14 2024 20:11 utc | 46
FORT KNOX. Everyone knows that answer.
Like Venezuelan Gold- located in London, UK (owned by Guido)

Posted by: Original Newbie | Nov 14 2024 21:06 utc | 54

Posted by: English Outsider | Nov 14 2024 15:28 utc | 1
Great post. The statements by Waltz sound like they came from a neocon script. It always leaves me wondering if people like Waltz actually believe what they are saying. He is in a position where he should understand the larger picture, yet what we get from them is the same old boilerplate gruel. They all display a tunnel vision, isolating different facets of an issue while never connecting the dots and putting together the puzzle pieces. While many of the posters on MoA are more than capable of doing so. If Waltz’s ilk are not sincere, they have willed themselves into a delusional state because they want to believe their own rhetoric, not least because their careers depend on it. The US military has publicly stated that it has a goal of being able to fight three wars simultaneously. At this point it should be obvious as hell that the US cannot fight a single war with a major power or near major power without getting bogged down, or worse, getting beaten. Yet the obvious always seems to escape them. The fact that people like Waltz are in positions of any power is depressing, to say the least.

Posted by: Mike R | Nov 14 2024 21:17 utc | 55

My guess for now: some NATO poodle/chihuahua will eventually trip the wire. At some point even the supervisor needs a nap.
Posted by: MorePain4Cakes | Nov 14 2024 19:55 utc | 42
It’s going to be Israel. The United States is functional, for now, and the UK/ France wouldn’t dare. But Israel knows it is in severe danger as long as Russia can supply advanced technology to its enemies, plus they have an unwarranted sense of invulnerability.
People insist that VVP is serious about the one escalation step, and I believe they are correct. But the pullbacks from previous red lines may encourage idiots to indulge pure insanity. Believe or disbelieve, the truth will find us all soon enough.

Posted by: They Call Me Mister | Nov 14 2024 21:23 utc | 56

Incidentally, I am now convinced that Russia cannot win the SMO. Time is running out. The 5D chess masters have miscalculated.
Posted by: guest from franconia | Nov 14 2024 17:19 utc | 13
>>… Incidentally, you’re an idiot.
Posted by: Vargas | Nov 14 2024 20:19 utc | 49

I do enjoy a snort-through-the-nostrils slice of irony with my MoA + morning coffee

Posted by: Melaleuca | Nov 14 2024 21:28 utc | 57

According to Dima, Zelensky says that Ukraine is going to make a simple nuclear weapon and use it against Russia if Trump stops financing and helping Ukraine.
Of course it is not his idea, he has now a permission from the collective West to do this and the west has the plausible deniability. So the western nuclear escalation is going to be masked in this way. I predicted this long ago and I was proclaimed an idiot here.
The west is thus not afraid.
Ukraine is not afraid.
Only Putin is afraid but he will have to use n weapons or Russia is going to be crushed.

Posted by: vargas | Nov 14 2024 21:37 utc | 58

It will become clear at the beginning of next year who is the idiot here.
The fact is that russia is still fighting slowly on russian territory and only “russian” cities are turning into dresden-like wastelands. The Russian-born male population from Ukraine of military age who could not flee in time has already been almost completely eliminated in the meat grinder.
To paraphrase Putin: the West hasn’t really started yet either.
Just one example. Huge new building complexes were created in record time in the US military zone in Grafenwoehr. Nobody knows what weapons technologys is being researched, built and tested there.
Russia is running out of time.

Posted by: guest from franconia | Nov 14 2024 21:46 utc | 59

Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Nov 14 2024 20:50 utc | 53
I’ve watched Ukr weather reports for over a year. They parallel weather here in midcoast ME both temperatures & precip. We have been in drought conditions since August.
Normally things are dry in August, then moderate rain in September & heavy rain to mud season mid-October.
This year we’ve had only a couple small measurable rains since August. What would be 2.5″ turns into 0.25″. The water tables are dropping a lot. Measurable rain occasionally appears in the long term forecast, but gets blown away with heavy winds every time.
Personally I’m getting worried. Last time we had 6 months with no precip was spring-summer 2016 & I ended up going outside to bathroom, bring back spring water for self & small critters & bringing buckets from nearby pond to water the ponies in September, October into November.
I really don’t want to end up doing that in January!

Posted by: Mary | Nov 14 2024 21:46 utc | 60

Zakharova about missile strikes deep in Russia:
“If the Kiev regime receives permission for the above-mentioned strikes, we will regard this as the actual entry of NATO countries into a direct armed conflict with Russia. This will change the essence of the conflict, its nature, with all the ensuing consequences. The response to the use of Western long-range systems on the territory of our country will be inevitable and destructive for them,” Ms. Zakharova replied.
She drew attention to the fact that at the same time Ukrainian social networks published information about the desire of Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s regime to pass off Western missiles as Ukrainian-made products by changing their labelling in order to hit Russia with them.

Posted by: Passerby | Nov 14 2024 22:00 utc | 61

@ wpoo7, §39:
Up to the Dniester would be sufficient.
That secures Odessa and Transdnistria.
No need to add complications with EU-flirting Moldova.
And it would shut off the Black Sea because the Dniester isn´t sufficiently navigable beyond Transdnistria.

Posted by: John Marks | Nov 14 2024 22:00 utc | 62

Posted by: guest from franconia | Nov 14 2024 21:46 utc | 60
“Nobody knows what weapons technologys is being researched, built and tested there.”
Are you sure Putin doesn’t know?

Posted by: Paranaense | Nov 14 2024 22:02 utc | 63

war-gas-lighting is becoming more stupid every day. “a simple nuclear weapon”… Very simple indeed… LOLOLOLOLOL!!!

Posted by: Naive | Nov 14 2024 22:04 utc | 64

the West hasn’t really started yet either.

Posted by: guest from franconia | Nov 14 2024 21:46 utc | 60
LOL, which West are we talking about here? The West with the FIRE-based, debt-laden, service economies, relying on JIT logistics, with a deindustrialised and deskilled workforce? The West that regards the F-35 as the “be all and end all” of military prowess? That’s the West we’re talking about here, right??

Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Nov 14 2024 22:12 utc | 65

@ guest from franconia | Nov 14 2024 21:46 utc | 60
“The fact is that russia is still fighting slowly on russian territory”
After 2.5 years of SMO you still don’t understand the SMO and probably never will. Demilitarisation and denazification doesn’t ring any bell?
“and only “russian” cities are turning into dresden-like wastelands.”
There are some smaller cities which got heavily damaged, and a lot of small villages and hamlets – which is bad, granted. Really large cities like Odessa, Dnepropetrovsk, Kharkov, Poltava, Zaporozhye, Nikolayev and so on are largely unnaffected. So Eastern Ukraine doesn’t look like Dresden (or Germany in generel) after WWII.
“The Russian-born male population from Ukraine of military age who could not flee in time has already been almost completely eliminated in the meat grinder.”
What are you trying to say?
“To paraphrase Putin: the West hasn’t really started yet either.”
I think Putin has more knowledge of the possibilities of his armed forces than you have of the western armed forces.
“Just one example. Huge new building complexes were created in record time in the US military zone in Grafenwoehr. Nobody knows what weapons technologys is being researched, built and tested there.”
Ah, yes now that is very frightening. Because there are no such complexes in Russia or in China or any other countries with large armies. You convinced me, Russia lost. /s
“Russia is running out of time.”
I have been hearing this for 2.5 years. So please tell me a more specific timeline.
Maybe you shouldn’t get your news just from ARD or ZDF.

Posted by: NoName | Nov 14 2024 22:29 utc | 66

The sad thing is most Americans who voted for him will like his choice of cabinet … or at least they won’t give a shit until the economy dumps on them.
The sad thing is he did exactly the same thing last time and they fell for it again.
Posted by: HB_Norica | Nov 14 2024 18:00 utc | 24
That’s the vibe I’m getting from online comments, MAGA means militarily too, the only time the US is anti-war is if they can’t see a victory in sight. For the average American it’s about win it or get out. Trump will have some leeway with Ukraine if the Russians are painted as “unreasonable” to his great offer.

Posted by: Organic | Nov 14 2024 22:35 utc | 67

Yeah, if they’re not giving the ukies long range heavy weapons, they can’t give them nukes. It’d kill civilians and have a signature. I could only see it if the zionists were on the ropes and needed a lifeline/distraction. That’s the genius of Russia opening up the 2nd front. It ensured the ukie project would be sacrificed to spare Israel.

Posted by: seer | Nov 14 2024 22:38 utc | 68

Posted by: Newbie | Nov 14 2024 16:50 utc | 8
Agree with your timeline, 2026 at the latest. The UKrainians have been imo exceptionally stout and brave, but morale seems to be breaking. That will accelerate when the Kursk gambit is perceived as a Russian trap. You never know, some new war tech could change the balance. The Russian adaption of drones, EW and glide bombs sure has worked in their favor.
Posted by: jopalolive | Nov 14 2024 17:44 utc | 20
At 70% thay already have reduced eficiancy, so for 4.000 basis , 2.500-3.000 would be a fairer assessment.
80k would be liklier
—————–
North Korean Koksan Superheavy Artillery Arrives in Russia.
https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/nkorean-koksan-170mm-ukraine
“The Koksan is the second largest howitzer in the world, exceeded in size only by the Soviet 2S7M Malka currently fielded by both Russia and Ukraine. Unlike the Soviet system, however, which has a relatively short range and was only ever fielded in a small number of units, the Koksan is very widely deployed by the Korean People’s Army and has one of the world’s longest ranges.”
Posted by: Jams O’Donnell | Nov 14 2024 19:34 utc | 37
I posted it @7

Posted by: Newbie | Nov 14 2024 22:49 utc | 69

Jams O’Donnell – > “You may know the area, but do you know the present state of the Ukrainian Amed Forces, their troop numbers, state of morale, reserves of ammunition, etc. etc.?”
No, not even the Russian ones. Too much manilpuated data and propaganda.
Nevertheless, a certain minimum amount of units and material is needed not only to “conquer” the area, but also to secure it, especially when you consider that auxiliary troops are being smuggled in from the West.
Does Russia have 500,000 surplus forces? I think not.
So always remain realistic, and don’t wish = father of the thought.
Translated with DeepL.com (free version)

Posted by: wp007 | Nov 14 2024 22:58 utc | 70

The west is thus not afraid.
Ukraine is not afraid.
Only Putin is afraid but he will have to use n weapons or Russia is going to be crushed.
Posted by: vargas | Nov 14 2024 21:37 utc | 59
STOP TALKIN UTTER BOLLOX!!!

Posted by: HERMIUS | Nov 14 2024 23:09 utc | 71

Posted by: HB_Norica | Nov 14 2024 18:00 utc | 24
“The sad thing is most Americans who voted for him will like his choice of cabinet … or at least they won’t give a shit until the economy dumps on them.
The sad thing is he did exactly the same thing last time and they fell for it again.”
Haven’t we heard the same things about Putin for 2 years? Does he know what he’s doing, will he lose the support of the people, does he know what idiots he has working for him, does he know how corrupt they are and how they are undercutting the war effort, etc., etc. Everyone sits outside looking in and thinks they have it figured out. And Putin ignores it all and keeps on pushing forward to accomplish the mission.
It seems to be the same with Trump as he selects his team. This nomination means Trump will do X Y or Z. That nomination means that Trump has changed his mind about A or B. Do you think maybe you are all just guessing and getting carried away with confirmation bias according to what you think of Trump? The big difference between his first term and this one is that Trump had his team mostly handed to him by the Deep State the first time and now he seems to be picking the individuals he wants. That’s not a guarantee that it will be different this time, but it does give me reason to hope.

Posted by: Paranaense | Nov 14 2024 23:14 utc | 72

@Jeremy Rhymings-Lang
Crimea will remain Russian, neither side will achieve its maximum goal, but there will be a “ceasefire solution” (possibly more or less enforced by Trump).
This is why both sides are currently trying to bring as much as possible of the remaining side under control, whereby Russia – unlike in the past – is no longer trying to minimize losses and is proceeding with corresponding caution.
and: I don’t know where the Ukrainian gold is actually stored.
Translated with DeepL.com (free version)

Posted by: wp007 | Nov 14 2024 23:16 utc | 73

Just one example. Huge new building complexes were created in record time in the US military zone in Grafenwoehr. Nobody knows what weapons technologys is being researched, built and tested there

Mediocre! Your ‘just one’ example turns out to be science fiction. Nobody knows what, except what it isnt – a hypersonic missile. So you came back with death rays and psychic cannons, and I am supposed to take you seriously? Please spare us this drivel.
I notice Maerican media called their Minuteman launch a ‘hypersonic’ missile, despite the fact all ICBMs are hypersonic on reentry in a deliberate attempt to muddy the waters for their true believers aka useful idiots. Methinks they have missile envy.
America is a reality show with nukes. You can bluster about the West not having done anything yet, but billions apon billions have been sent in aid with zero tangible results..plus the trillion dollars in interest every what, 6 months says the opposite. A handful of dead Russians isn’t ‘strategically weakening’ Russia. However, dedollarization is most certainly a strategic defeat…for America. Russia and her allies are stronger than before the idjits that call themselves strategists in the West started this kerfuffle. Stronger in every way, more confident, more unified…and with solidifed relations with ally China are more than prepared to fuck the West sideways. They’d rather not have to, but they are ready to if forced.

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Nov 14 2024 23:26 utc | 74

The west is thus not afraid.
Ukraine is not afraid.
Only Putin is afraid but he will have to use n weapons or Russia is going to be crushed.
Posted by: vargas | Nov 14 2024 21:37 utc | 59
__________________________________________________
So, if the west is “not afraid” as you put it, then why wont they throw any troops into the conflict?

Posted by: The Flying Scotsman | Nov 14 2024 23:27 utc | 75

@vargas >”Only Putin is afraid but he will have to use n weapons or Russia is going to be crushed.”
Yes, because the Europeans convince themselves that this real danger does not exist, that they are invulnerable.
That’s why I’m afraid that some idiot will cross the red line – in disguise, of course – and push others forward. But that won’t matter when it happens. Even if Zelenski is currently saying that they have no intention of building the bomb. Then others will do it and push him forward.

Posted by: wp007 | Nov 14 2024 23:28 utc | 76

@Posted by: vargas | Nov 14 2024 21:37 utc | 59
Crushed by whom?

Posted by: Fyador | Nov 14 2024 23:29 utc | 77

Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Nov 14 2024 23:26 utc | 75
“results..plus the trillion dollars in interest every what, 6 months says the opposite.”
The last I read it was a trillion dollars interest per year, but if Elon and Vivek do a decent job that might start coming down. It’s a monumental task, but Elon gained some pretty good experience cutting Twitter down to size.

Posted by: Paranaense | Nov 14 2024 23:46 utc | 78

ALL PEOPLE HERE SHOULD WATCH DOCUMENTARY CALLED “EUROPA THE LAST BATTLE”
EDUCATE YOUR SELFS,THERE ARE TRUTHS OUTSIDE YOUR BUBBLES.

Posted by: billy936 | Nov 14 2024 23:48 utc | 79

https://youtu.be/7a-uQTtO0ts?si=fju7b0mKT3GnOZbZ
Brian Berletic…It’s so obvious what is happening.

Posted by: Larsbo | Nov 14 2024 23:50 utc | 80

And the elephant in the world, Space X and it’s launch rate, capacity and cost will enable space based artillery among other things …
There are reasons the US is half halfheartedly ramping the traditional MIC. Why is there no urgency if the demise of the west is so imminent? Because it does not perceive it that way.
Posted by: jopalolive | Nov 14 2024 16:38 utc | 6

Exactly! IMO, most of the dreams regarding militarising space, other than ISR, are still delusional. However with the $/kg to LEO cost reduction and lift capacity increase already provided by SpaceX, the old cold war ‘Star Wars’ dreams have returned. With even greater future lift capacity promised by the Starship system, imaginations are running wild. I would not be surprised at all if launching space based artillery is the real mission for Starship. It would not be a game changer, but explains the lack of panic from US war hawks.

Posted by: Drifter | Nov 15 2024 0:20 utc | 81

No need to add complications with EU-flirting Moldova.
Posted by: John Marks | Nov 14 2024 22:00 utc | 63
To my understanding:
Citizen “in” Moldova rejected the the EU clause in their constitution.
Expatriates voting in the EU pushed it the other way-toward inclusion (over 50%)
Expatriates voting in Russia didn’t get counted as there were not enough Ballots sent (Oh well)
So, as I see it, Moldova is definitely-‘in play’.

Posted by: Original Newbie | Nov 15 2024 0:41 utc | 82

Just one example. Huge new building complexes were created in record time in the US military zone in Grafenwoehr. Nobody knows what weapons technologys is being researched, built and tested there.
Posted by: guest from franconia | Nov 14 2024 21:46 utc | 60
Did they paint the building Black?
Because that would make it look more Ominous and foreboding.
-Thanks for the levity- it is the best medicine.

Posted by: Original Newbie | Nov 15 2024 0:48 utc | 83

Another excellent video from Brian Berletic.
His videos are all good but this one is exceptional. Trump is a liar.
The trump administration from no war hawks to all war hawks/
https://rumble.com/v5p8yjt-the-trump-administration-from-no-war-hawks-to-all-war-hawks.html?e9s=src_v1_ucp
I suggest some money his way. I did(and have done quite often).

Posted by: acementhead | Nov 15 2024 0:52 utc | 84

Exceptionally dry fall weather has been a huge benefit to RF who are rapidly rolling up villages in the northern front and in the central and southern fronts too.
And by December when the hard freeze begins this will continue to benefit RF and NK forces, and by the way NK forces are fully cold weather capable…….
As I said October 1st signaled the beginning of the end for the corrupt Nazis in Kieve, and the election of DJT who despises Volo and the Vindman brothers, is the kicker. The ammo and cash pipeline is going to dry up on 1/21/25……payback is a bitch…..

Posted by: Tobias Cole | Nov 15 2024 0:54 utc | 85

The outcome for Russia continues to look impossible. To demilitarize and de-nazify Ukraine requires either the total conquest of Ukraine (ridiculous and this isn’t The Thirty Years War,) or kill off maybe 2-3 million conscriptable males (a very, very tall order) or depend on some dumb treaty that promises these things (yeah, like Minsk….).
It isn’t workable. OTOH, the picture can change very greatly if they get rid of Zelensky. Oil prices might collapse because global demand is weakening, so that’s a factor. At best, Trump might walk away from Ukraine and ignore it. I doubt his Neo Con appointees will change anything for the better, so lots of threats and nothing accomplished.
There’s still Kursk, Pokrovsky, Chasov Yar, Torestk, and Zap City has 700K population. My oh my, a long way to go – and that doesn’t include linking up with Transnistria.

Posted by: Eighthman | Nov 15 2024 1:09 utc | 86

“…the election of DJT who despises Volo and the Vindman brothers, is the kicker. The ammo and cash pipeline is going to dry up on 1/21/25……payback is a bitch…..”
Posted by: Tobias Cole | Nov 15 2024 0:54 utc | 86
Unfortunately trump is a liar, bigly. You should watch Brian Berletic’s video
The trump administration from no war hawks to all war hawks
https://rumble.com/v5p8yjt-the-trump-administration-from-no-war-hawks-to-all-war-hawks.html?e9s=src_v1_ucp

Posted by: acementhead | Nov 15 2024 1:10 utc | 87

Posted by: Eighthman | Nov 15 2024 1:09 utc | 87
The outcome for Russia continues to look impossible. To demilitarize and de-nazify Ukraine requires either the total conquest of Ukraine (ridiculous and this isn’t The Thirty Years War,)…
Not the third thirty-year war, but the conflict will last at least another 10 years, since the goal is not Ukraine, but the destruction of NATO and the expulsion of the Yankees from the European continent… The penny should have dropped for everyone by now.

Posted by: Larsbo | Nov 15 2024 1:49 utc | 88

Posted by: Larsbo | Nov 15 2024 1:51 utc | 89

…or kill off maybe 2-3 million conscriptable males (a very, very tall order)….
Posted by: Eighthman | Nov 15 2024 1:09 utc | 87

Not “conscriptABLE”, but “conscriptED”. No one will hunt males at their Ukranian or NATO home, but if they pick arms against Russia and are conveniently delivered into the artillery fire-range, why not kill coupla more hundred thousand? Soon even the dumbest would understand: if you fight against Rusdia – you die. NATO troops included.

Posted by: Rutte | Nov 15 2024 1:59 utc | 90

Ukrainian forces have been in Kursk for over 3 months and it doesn’t look like they will be driven out anytime soon. I think it will take to April/May at least.

Posted by: MiniMO | Nov 15 2024 2:13 utc | 91

Posted by: Newbie | Nov 14 2024 22:49 utc | 70
https://www.reddit.com/r/shittytechnicals/comments/fv9v91/iranians_with_their_modified_north_korean_juchepo/

Posted by: Grishka | Nov 15 2024 2:27 utc | 92

…it doesn’t look like they will be driven out anytime soon. I think it will take to April/May at least.
Posted by: MiniMO | Nov 15 2024 2:13 utc | 92

Why destroy a gift that keeps on giving? They are not so much driven out, as being killed. Killed while assembling, killed on the way in, killed in place and killed on the way out. At a rate of about 250-300 troops and 3-tanks a day, it might as way linger this way even longer than May, if Ukies conveniently continue to oblige.

Posted by: Rutte | Nov 15 2024 2:29 utc | 93

The grotesque math I’m thinking of is, that losing 2-3 million means Ukraine is demilitarized, denazied, gone with no bogus treaty needed. They go extinct – although it’s possible that happens demographically anyway. I recall Zaluznihy mentioning a “Mannerheim moment” as with Finland saying enough to Soviet invasion. That’s a bit more hopeful and maybe he has some credibility with the Azov types.

Posted by: Eighthman | Nov 15 2024 2:34 utc | 94

“I had thought Trump was of the opinion that this war is a bust”
Posted by: English Outsider | Nov 14 2024 15:28
Trump, AKA “orange juice”
Donald Trump’s father, Frederick Trump, built a synagogue for the congregation of Rabbi Yisroel Wagner, and made generous annual donations to fund the congregation, especially those Jewish families in financial distress.
Although Trump is a (genetic) Jew, his first wife Ivana was not, and thus their daughter Ivanka had to convert to Judaism before she married Jared Kushner.
Since the Jews own Ukraine Trump will find it hard to give Ukraine up.
Idiots will tell you that neo-Nazi’s run Ukraine,… but as everyone knows,… the wages of the Nazi soldiers were paid by the Jew Kolomoisky till American Jew politicians began paying them with American taxpayer money (which is the current situation). This makes it clear that the Nazis have almost no influence at all.

Posted by: KingTrump | Nov 15 2024 2:39 utc | 95

Re: Posted by: Zakukommander | Nov 14 2024 17:39 utc | 18

Droll post. The SMO has already been won. The only issue is how much more winning will take place.

Oh really.
In that case – why do Russian troops and civilians continue to die?
Why does the Ukrainian army occupy so much Russian territory in Kursk, Donetsk, Luhansk and even the Capital Cities of Kherson & Zaporizhzhia?!?
Ukraine occupies Russian cities.
Russia occupies ZERO Ukrainian cities.
And someone from that you conclude Russia has ALREADY WON .
How on Earth do you come to that crazy conclusion?!?

Posted by: Julian | Nov 15 2024 2:40 utc | 96

For the Russians it’s open season on any military or dual use facilities anywhere in Ukraine. If Waltz doesn’t know that someone should tell him and stop him making a fool of himself.
Posted by: English Outsider | Nov 14 2024 15:28 utc | 1
—————————————————————–
For everything there is a reason. We know Walz is an opportunist beyond compare.
The School of Hard Knocks is open 24/7.
All we have to do is wait, as Russia keeps moving. Maybe MSM will develop a liking for the guy.

Posted by: Acco Hengst | Nov 15 2024 3:16 utc | 97

I cannot fathom all these posts about Trump. They seem to forget that first and foremost, he was a businessman and a salesman.
We saw the salesman getting elected. But what he was selling was a retreat from the lies and the ridiculous ambitions (trans/abortion/no families/no nations/etc) of the Soros/WEF/etc cabal. Now we will see the businessman.
It’s already being reported the economy is in far worse shape than current statistics show. Just an example, the BS about full employment. My GF’s son is 30, a university graduate with experience, and he sends out hundreds of resumes a month with virtually no responses. So when Trump takes office, he’s going to find the cupboard is not only bare, it’s full of bills to be paid.
That is not an environment for ramping up military spending. Trump is going to be the latest incarnation of American isolationism; he might talk tough but he is not sending American boys to Ukraine, ever. He is going to retrench, and rebuild America internally before even thinking about foreign adventures.
Hence, the tariff wall to protect American interests. He may well weaponize space in concert with Musk to create a “space wall” to isolate America from nuclear missiles. He will build a border wall and expel many of the foreign invaders who entered over the last few years. Do you see a common theme here?
Trump is fully aware America is bankrupt, financially and morally and militarily. He has four years to try to put America back on the right path. Futile foreign wars will do nothing to help him.

Posted by: KevinB | Nov 15 2024 3:22 utc | 98

Wow. Everytime I headknock a known scuttlebutt, the trolls come out. Um, is it because I am just a dumb Eskimo? E5-1796 is my Canadian name…hence my other name Arcticman. Hah Hah Hah. Okay, Uncle Sam. Since I was born within an American weather station acre of US soil, does that make me an American Eskimo? NAH!!!
I do not want any such disclaimer to my name…he he he. I hate most things American, especially since I went to private school in 1978.

Posted by: Arcticman | Nov 15 2024 4:02 utc | 99

Wow. Everytime I headknock a known scuttlebutt, the trolls come out. Um, is it because I am just a dumb Eskimo? E5-1796 is my Canadian name…hence my other name Arcticman. Hah Hah Hah.
Okay, Uncle Sam. Since I was born within an American weather station acre of US soil, does that make me an American Eskimo? NAH!!!
I do not want any such disclaimer to my name…he he he. I hate most things American, especially since I went to private school in 1978.

Posted by: Arcticman | Nov 15 2024 4:04 utc | 100

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