News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
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October 27, 2024
Ukraine Open Thread 2024-258
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Lots of hints, talk, phat air over at S, seems even the boss uttered the ‘negotiation’ word…..”on our terms”….alrighty then. A demilitarized zone, 150/200k, that’ll do it I suppose…..in the world of faerie tales.
Cheers M
Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Oct 27 2024 14:19 utc | 1
Medvedev promises Rheinmetall “Russian fireworks” in Ukraine
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Former Russian President Dmitri Medvedev has said he expects “fireworks” at the German Rheinmetall arms factory in Ukraine. The arms company said on Saturday that one of the production facilities it is building in Ukraine to support the Kiev government’s war effort is already in operation.
Germany’s largest arms company had finalized plans earlier this year to set up a joint venture with the Ukrainian state-owned arms company Ukroboronprom to produce artillery ammunition, armored vehicles and air defense systems. As part of this partnership agreement, Rheinmetall announced the construction of four factories on Ukrainian soil.
Medvedev: “Russia must weaken the West until the USA collapses”
Medvedev: “Russia must weaken the West until the USA collapses”
Moscow reacted to the announcement by warning that such facilities would be viewed as “legitimate targets” for Russian attacks.
On Saturday, Rheinmetall boss Armin Papperger confirmed that things are “moving forward” in Ukraine and that “the first facility is already ready.” In an interview with the Ukrainian news channel TSN, Papperger explained:
“We have many good plans. The first facility is already in operation. The Ukrainian arms industry is our partner.”
“We currently have a production facility and a maintenance facility. By the end of the year, we will have the first state-of-the-art Lynx infantry fighting vehicle in Ukraine. At the moment, we are servicing both infantry fighting vehicles and battle tanks.”
The joint venture has already proven to be productive.
Medvedev, currently deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council, commented on the development on social media, suggesting that the newly built factory is being targeted by the Russian military. In a message shared on X and Telegram, Medvedev wrote:
“The German company Rheinmetall has launched the first of four military factories in Ukraine. As previously promised, we are eagerly awaiting a celebratory Russian ‘fireworks’ right at the production site.”
.
.
https://rtde.live/europa/223750-medwedew-verspricht-rheinmetall-in-ukraine/
Posted by: ossi | Oct 27 2024 15:14 utc | 2
New Simplicius up this morning:
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-102624-zelensky-begs-grid
The pace of mobilization in Ukraine has decreased, – said the representative of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Vasyl Rumak.
According to him, several months ago, 35 thousand mobilized people were simultaneously undergoing training in training centers, now this figure has dropped to 20 thousand.
Posted by: CT | Oct 27 2024 15:16 utc | 3
Our source in the OP said that Zelensky is preparing a bet on the situation on the eastern front and the Kursk region, Bankova is very unhappy with the Commander-in-Chief and wants to hear his new defensive strategy. Syrsky is becoming very toxic for the President, as he is losing control over field commanders and dragging Zelensky’s rating down.
https://t.me/rezident_ua/24737
The number of deserters (SZCh) is growing in the Ukrainian army. According to sources, more than 60% of newly mobilized soldiers go to the SZCh within the first three weeks. While still in the “training camp”. 97% of all mobilized soldiers are not motivated and do not want to fight.
“Nobody wants to join the army. The brigades tell us that they cannot rotate, that they are exhausted. Soon there will be no people to fight with,” an anonymous representative of the Ministry of Defense told El Pais.
Ukrainian military personnel openly tell journalists the same thing. In particular, representatives of all four brigades defending Kurakhovo said this. They predict the imminent fall of the city and generally have a gloomy assessment of the future prospects of military action due to the lack of reinforcements. “Why are we going back? Because we have no rotations, we do not rest, we are demoralized,” says Officer Skoda from the 46th Brigade.
The military talks about the problem of the SZCh and desertion. For example, in Kurakhovo, the 116th TRO brigade refused to carry out an order and was transferred to Sumy. The soldiers also criticize forced mobilization, which, in their opinion, scares off potential volunteers who do not want to end up on the front lines without sufficient training.
According to them, many forcibly mobilized people refuse to carry out orders or die very quickly. Meanwhile, Ukraine is seeing a decrease in the rate of mobilization – another confirmation of the depletion of human resources (for clarity – there are now half as many people in training camps as there were several months ago).
https://t.me/rezident_ua/24738
Posted by: Down South | Oct 27 2024 15:31 utc | 4
Kurakhovskoye direction at 12:00 10/27/24: Bogoyavlenka is ours…
Our fighters posted a video of the raising of the Russian flag in the center of Bogoyavlenka (the exact location is indicated on map 2).
Moreover, the video shows that our guys are not hiding and are calmly standing on the roof of one of the buildings (the tallest in the village). Thus, they are not afraid of enemy snipers or vehicles.
And this means that the entire area around has been cleared of the enemy.
Apparently, our offensive on the Shakhtarskoye-Novoukrainska-Bljavlenka line literally stunned the enemy. His defense here is falling apart.
I think that videos from the Shakhtarskoye and Novoukrainka area will soon appear. Thus, it turns out that the most important lines of defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which were built for more than two years, fell in just a couple of days of powerful pressure.
And judging by the chronology of the battles, the main reason here is the lack of personnel.
Let’s keep our fingers crossed and pray for the guys.
In the Kurakhovsky direction, the Russian army finally captured Gornyak and attacked Kurakhovka
A Ukrainian soldier with the call sign “Muchnoy” confirms the loss of Gornyak in the Donetsk region.
“The enemy was able to take Gornyak completely under its control, our Cossacks are still in the city in the basement. The fate of some will be unknown, others who were able to, retreated to Kurakhovka, for which fighting is already beginning,” he said.
According to him, “if this pace continues, then Kurakhovka will be taken in a couple of days.” He sees the “dismotivation” of personnel and the incompetence of commanders as the main reason for the retreats.
https://t.me/the_military_analytics/21351
The largest advance of the Russian Armed Forces continues in the Ugledar direction.
Over the past 24 hours, Russian units have consolidated their positions in Shakhtarskoye, where they advanced the day before. Then they attacked a little further east – the village of Novoukrainka, advancing almost four kilometers.
North of Ugledar, Russian units entered Bogoyavlenka
In addition, the Russian army has advances south of Velyka Novosyolka
In total, in all areas, Russian troops are advancing on a front about 20-25 kilometers wide.
An offensive by the Russian Armed Forces from the south with simultaneous strikes from the north could pose a threat to all Ukrainian Armed Forces southwest of Donetsk, and especially to Kurakhovo.
https://t.me/the_military_analytics/21352
In the Ugledar direction, Russian troops captured most of Bogoyavlenka.
The Russian Armed Forces posted a video online of the raising of the Russian flag in the center of Bogoyavlenka; the fighting has gradually moved to the northern part of the village, which is almost entirely in the gray zone.
Ukrainian troops retreated to this village from Ugledar. It was believed that Bogoyavlenka would be the new line of defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Ukrainian military confirms fighting in Bogoyavlenka. A video has also appeared, allegedly filmed in Bogoyavlenka by a Ukrainian soldier, in which a Russian drone drops a speaker from which a call for Ukrainian soldiers to surrender is heard.
https://t.me/the_military_analytics/21356
The Ukrainian front in the south of Donetsk Oblast is “falling apart,” writes Bild military analyst Julian Röpke.
He also says that the town of Selydove has been captured.
“The front in the south of Donetsk Oblast is falling apart. On a regional scale, we are talking about a loss of 2 to 5 kilometers per day. At this rate, Russia will need another six months to reach the Dnipro Oblast,” he wrote in H.
Röpke reports that over the past three days, the Russian army has captured eight settlements – Bogoyavlenka, Katerynivka, Izmailovka, Alexandropol, Gornik, Selydove, Shakhtarskoye and Vyshneve.
He blames the situation on Western allies, who are sending little weapons.
“We can admit that our current “support” is leading to Ukraine losing this war before our eyes and that the Ukrainian leadership cannot find any means or ways to stop Russia’s advance,” Röpke writes.
https://t.me/the_military_analytics/21359
Posted by: Down South | Oct 27 2024 15:42 utc | 5
Off topic:
Assassination attempt on Morales: https://t.me/myLordBebo/48790
Posted by: Apollyon | Oct 27 2024 15:42 utc | 6
🇷🇺🇺🇦Why did we take Selidovo and Gornyak?
In order to roll up an even larger section of the front. Which one? It is clearly visible on the map (its borders are marked with red dots). The main goal of the offensive is still Pokrovsk. But the importance of the task does not mean changing the methods that work well. Judging by the actions of the Russian army, we can assume that instead of encircling individual cities, they may try to practice encircling entire districts/pockets. For example, the territories around Kurakhovka – Kurakhovo, which are already de facto encircled from both the north and the south, and we should cautiously expect that the retreat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces units from there is only a matter of time (if it has not already happened).
It is also worth noting that as soon as the “Center” group closes the issue with Kurakhovo, “East” will follow with movement in the South Donetsk direction. Most likely, the two groups of troops act synchronously and fully implement the idea of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation about the tactics of a thousand cuts.
If everything is implemented as planned, then two goals will be achieved simultaneously: the control of the Ukrainian Armed Forces over the South Donetsk sector will be effectively eliminated, and Pokrovsk and the Ukrainian Armed Forces group in it risk being operationally encircled.
Posted by: Down South | Oct 27 2024 15:44 utc | 7
Posted by: CT | Oct 27 2024 15:16 utc | 3
Decreasing pace of mobilization is visible as posted by Jeremy Rhymings-Lang in the last Ukraine thread.
Note, this is coinciding at the same time when Selidove has fallen, with high probability leading to cutting off Kurakhovivka and Kurakhove, potentially leading to collapse of Velyka-Novosilka line further west (i.e. rolling up of the entire Zaporozhye / Dnepropetrovsk southern front of Ukraine). By that time Pokrovsk will already be in a large cauldron itself from far south-west and west-south-west and it will be ripe to just pick off.
More fighting against mobilization just means less reinforcements/place holders and should accelerate things and/or reduce complications for RUAF moves a bit.
And pushback continues against the Ukrainian military press-gangs:
In Odessa, civilians kicked out employees of the [TCC] from the Seventh Kilometer market – – Mass media
This morning, on October 26, employees of the [TCC] and joint venture visited the Seventh Kilometer market in Odessa. After allegedly detaining a group of men, civilians pushed military commissars out of the market
This is reported by RegioNews with reference to local Telegram channels.
It is reported that a crowd of Odessa residents forced out the servicemen who were forced to leave it. Officially, this information has not been confirmed by law enforcement officers.
Also in the public pages it is reported that the allegedly detained men were released. In the social network , information appeared that the administration of the” Seventh Kilometer ” confirmed that there was indeed a conflict between visitors and employees of the [TCC] and the joint venture on the territory of the market.
“At the moment, the conflict is settled, an official arrived at the scene after communicating with whom people dispersed. The detained people were released. No one went to the medical center with injuries, ” the report says.
Irina Tkach, Deputy director of the administration of the Seventh Kilometer market, said in a comment Суспільномуto Suspilny that employees of the [TCC] really came to the territory in the morning. People-entrepreneurs or market visitors, the administration doesn’t know for sure — have started to drive them away. According to her, after a police official arrived at the scene, the conflict was resolved, everyone was released and people dispersed.
https://regionews.ua/ukr/news/odesskaya/1729942308-v-odesi-z-rinku-somiy-kilometr-tsivilni-vignali-spivrobitnikiv-ttsk-zmi (via translation add-on, with “shopping center” corrected to [TCC]; h/t @Moscow Exile)
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Oct 26 2024 14:43 utc | 4
Posted by: unimperator | Oct 27 2024 15:44 utc | 8
DS 4:
For any other knuckleheads like me. I Googled and found out that SZch means “AWOL” in Ukrop. (Makes perfect sense in context. Just sharing.)
Posted by: Anonymous | Oct 27 2024 16:01 utc | 9
Ukraine Weekly Update (BRICS of Hope), 25th October 2024: May be useful to some: https://robcampbell.substack.com/p/ukraine-weekly-update-brics-of-hope
Posted by: Dr. Rob Campbell | Oct 27 2024 16:15 utc | 10
We can see now the results of russia not storming povrosk, but rather cutting the supply lines that sprout from it. Southern donetsk is now poorly supplied and it can be increased from secondary and tertiary routes. The 40000 plus reinforcements sent to kursk is also showing its inevitable results.
Latest intel show ukraine is preparing the dnipro region and the capital city of zaporihzia for defense so clearly they feel they’ll need to step back quite a bit to overextend and force the culmination of the russia offensive for the winter.
They also seem to keep bridge heads in toretsk to keep slovianks and kramatorsk in operation.
Posted by: Neofeudalfuture | Oct 27 2024 16:54 utc | 11
Старше Эдды:
Once Helmuth von Moltke (Moltke the Elder) wrote: “The goal of any operation should not be the territory, but the enemy army. When the army runs out, the territory will come by itself.”
These simple, but very important words, are once again confirmed during the SMO. Combat operations are a communicating vessel, the mass loss of the hohol in one direction leads to the fact that in another, the territory begins to fall away.
The most difficult “Northern Battle”, that is, the military operations on the Belgorod-Kursk border, which have been actively going on since March of this year, mowed down a colossal amount of manpower and especially equipment from the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Sooner or later, all this had to affect the army of Ukraine as a whole and finally did.
The enemy is forced to continue to keep large forces in the north, constantly feeding them with reinforcements. In any other case, the enemy will not only be driven out of the Kursk region, but will also get an operational crisis near Kharkov and Sumy. On the other hand, the losses of almost three years of war have led to the fact that even being in numerical parity with us, the enemy cannot hold the front line along its entire length. If we add to this a very strong drawdown in the quality of the current enemy personnel, then we get a picture when the Ukros could have defended for a very long time, he is running away from the cities.
Yes, there is no collapse of the entire front, near the same Kupyansk the enemy will hold out to the last, even simply based on the fact that the DPR will have to be given up to him anyway, but there have been no talks about the Kharkov region yet (I think they will start soon).
It is impossible not to mention once again the command and personnel of the Brave, as well as the Southerners and Easterners, who are now extremely competent in finding the enemy’s weak points and hitting them almost like textbooks.
The enemy is still strong, he has many troops, the West is still giving money, so the main struggle for the liberation of Russian lands is still ahead, but the mortal wound to the Armed Forces of Ukraine has already been inflicted, what will follow will be a long, difficult, terrible, but agony.
Posted by: Down South | Oct 27 2024 17:00 utc | 12
As a matter of principle, Rheinmetall’s new factory should be obliterated, with all there is in it.
Better yesterday than tomorrow. Let them build and stock the next factory, and when it is ready and operating with all equipment and staff and advisors, level it with the floor. And again and again.
It can’t be that difficult to find the places. There must be many Russian ears all over Ukraine.
I would love to see the German politicians explain that to the German public.
And to see NATO wriggling like a worm on a hook!
Posted by: g wiltek | Oct 27 2024 17:01 utc | 13
Land, land, land!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JhwCC53THV8
Posted by: Anonymous | Oct 27 2024 17:12 utc | 15
I was originally thinking the feeble attack on Iran by Israel the other day would somehow leave it unnecessary to respond. But it looks like I was wrong:
— ❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 Iran’s Foreign Minister, Abbas Araqchi: ‘Despite the fact that Israel’s attack was minor and much weaker than they had advertised, the blood of our martyrs will not go in vain. We will respond.’
https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/11574
Posted by: Norwegian | Oct 27 2024 17:22 utc | 16
He blames the situation on Western allies, who are sending little weapons.
“We can admit that our current “support” is leading to Ukraine losing this war before our eyes and that the Ukrainian leadership cannot find any means or ways to stop Russia’s advance,” Röpke writes.
https://t.me/the_military_analytics/21359
Posted by: Down South | Oct 27 2024 15:42 utc | 5
What’s left to send?
Posted by: jpc | Oct 27 2024 17:39 utc | 18
Posted by: jpc | Oct 27 2024 17:39 utc | 17
Showels and washing machines. They make the base for outstanding weapons.
Posted by: Mario | Oct 27 2024 17:47 utc | 19
Posted by: jpc | Oct 27 2024 17:39 utc | 17
#######
The Ukrainians, being lesser Zionists, like to complain and blame when they can’t succeed. The lack of accountability is endemic to people with mal-intent.
It’s never their fault, and they shoot down every incoming missile because any admission of struggle undermines their toxic self-image of being chosen or elite.
I don’t know how many caught Zelensky trying to promote the Nazi regiments for elite NATO service on behalf of Europe post-war.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Oct 27 2024 17:47 utc | 20
🤔 States no “new report”…
If so, why did Putin himself issue a re-warning today?
https://tass.com/politics/1862977
MILITARY OPERATION IN UKRAINE
27 OCT, 05:15
“Putin hopes West heard his warnings on attacks deep into Russia”
MOSCOW, October 27. /TASS/. “Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed hope that the West heard his warnings on consequences of the permission to attack deep into the country.”
“They have not reported anything to me, but I hope that they heard, since we will surely have to take some decisions for ourselves as well,” he said when asked a respective question by VGTRK journalist Pavel Zarubin.
Posted by: Trubind1 | Oct 27 2024 17:59 utc | 21
I have been trying to write that I think RM’s factories should be taken out as a rule.
It says it has been posted and it has not, I wonder what triggers this?
What is the reason? The name of the group? or what?
Posted by: g wiltek | Oct 27 2024 18:06 utc | 22
WTF is wrong with Telegram?
Some links open fine (https://t.me/the_military_analytics/21359) , others just give the generic “view in channel”/”view in Telegram”(https://t.me/intelslava/69009 , https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/11574) that do nothing but refresh the same utterly useless page no matter which button you hit.
If you are posting Telegram links, be aware that about half are entirely useless to many of us.
Posted by: saner | Oct 27 2024 18:09 utc | 23
How many years was US in Afghanistan? What was the result?
How long will it take before US elites realize they’ll never make a positive ROI in Ukraine?
In any case, this ends only 1 way. And not in the way US elites want. They should take Alex Jones’ offer of a peaceful retirement to enjoy their ill-gotten gains, but they won’t. They’ll keep going until they throw that last pick, just like Brett Favre in ‘09. Lousy way to end a career. Favre should’ve taken a lesson from Elway. But then again, Favre ain’t that smart…
Posted by: OldFart | Oct 27 2024 18:12 utc | 24
Can I write Rheinmetall? and not getting censored?
Can I write obliterate?
Can I write German politicians?
Just testing.
Posted by: g wiltek | Oct 27 2024 18:14 utc | 25
I’ve been wondering how they would get rid off or undermine the ICC charges – now we know … dirty tricks are a go … I really shouldn’t be surprised.
ICC prosecutor allegedly tried to suppress sexual misconduct claims against him
Exclusive: Karim Khan denies claims he repeatedly urged alleged victim to disavow allegations against him
…
Sources who know the alleged victim said she has been left traumatised by the situation and is “experiencing severe emotional distress”.
“She never wanted any of this,” one person close to her said. “But the complaint filed against her wishes, followed by Khan’s denials and attempts to suppress the allegations, have forced her into a very difficult position.”
…
https://www.theguardian.com/law/2024/oct/27/icc-prosecutor-karim-khan-allegedly-tried-suppress-sexual-misconduct-claims
Posted by: SattaMAssaGana | Oct 27 2024 18:20 utc | 26
(Two Majors) … Yes, there is no collapse of the entire front, near the same Kupyansk the enemy will hold out to the last, even simply based on the fact that the DPR will have to be given up to him anyway, but there have been no talks about the Kharkov region yet (I think they will start soon). …
Posted by: Down South | Oct 27 2024 17:00 utc | 12
I wonder if that’s an imprecise translation or if the suggestion is that DPR will later be given up in some kind of settlement?
Posted by: anon2020 | Oct 27 2024 18:26 utc | 27
Khimari is Himars (plural), obviously,
https://t.me/pionergrupa/3810
The situation in the Kherson direction has become quite tense lately. The enemy lost quite a lot of personnel while they were unsuccessfully trying to land on the spits, so now they have dragged a considerable number of Khimari from somewhere to their shore, as well as birds of all sizes.
They have temporarily started to create difficulties for us at this line, but I repeat that this is only temporary. Now we are focusing all our efforts on identifying these firing points of the khokhols, and I hope that soon there will be many shots online with the destruction of Khimari!)
Reserve pioneer🇷🇺
Posted by: anon2020 | Oct 27 2024 18:30 utc | 28
Showels and washing machines. They make the base for outstanding weapons.
Posted by: Mario | Oct 27 2024 17:47 utc | 18
You couldn’t make enough money I’d say doing that.
Posted by: jpc | Oct 27 2024 18:33 utc | 30
DS 4:
For any other knuckleheads like me. I Googled and found out that SZch means “AWOL” in Ukrop. (Makes perfect sense in context. Just sharing.)
Posted by: Anonymous | Oct 27 2024 16:01 utc | 9
As a Canadian in Ontario in the 60’s and 70’s you had to take French from grade 4 to grade 12; I passed every grade but I still can’t speak French, only English and it’s not exactly Shakespearean…
That’s true linguistic knuckle headedness……-
https://t.me/Alekhin_Telega/12042
Dear Yana, they will not understand (https://t.me/the_yana_poplavskaya/7526 ), but rather will start looking for a scapegoat even more actively to blame all the mistakes and their consequences on. All reasonable people already understand that trenches/fortifications do not shoot on their own if there are no soldiers there or if the soldiers do not have weapons to adequately respond to the enemy, but military officials continue to try to shift the command’s mistakes onto civilians. By the way, an answer to the question has not been received: where were the engineering troops that were supposed to build fortifications? After all, defense is a federal level and the regional Charter says nothing about it or fortifications.
I think that it is not far off when famous experts will start telling for money that all this is a brilliant plan of great modern commanders, and the lies to the Sudzhans will be compared with the legend of Coventry (wasn’t it necessary to give the idea?).
No one will take responsibility from the General Staff and districts, because, as the work of the DVKR on deputy ministers shows, everyone is connected one way or another.
And in general, at this level, almost no one thinks about responsibility, but thinks about how to avoid it and create conditions in advance so that no one is responsible for anything. And for this, we must also learn to manage in such a way as not to make real decisions, as with the same crimes against civilians, which were kept silent for a long time until I began to actively raise these issues myself and through comrades, because I understood the significance of this.
But if we had commanders who looked at least one step ahead, then many more facts of crimes by Ukronazis would have been recorded. And in this we need to learn from the enemy. And we are learning. But do those who should do this by virtue of their position and state salary learn?!
In order to begin to learn from your own mistakes, you must first admit them. But no one learns from the mistakes of others, especially those who cannot even correctly copy someone else’s experience.
As for Yura Podolyaka , the two majors and me, we didn’t care about the haters, because we knew the truth and we told it. And not to hype it up and because we didn’t care how the truth would affect the state, but precisely because it was then that the truth, which many are so afraid of, was useful for the Motherland and saved a huge number of lives of residents of my native region – my fellow countrymen.
And if some paid “experts” and journalists had not contradicted us and written lies, then there might have been more lives saved.
But all this is a lesson for those who choose who to believe and who not to.
https://t.me/the_yana_poplavskaya/7526
Today, the evening news on Channel One featured a long report on the atrocities of the Ukrainian Nazis in the Kursk region, eyewitness accounts, and civilians.
I remember, as if it were yesterday, how it all began: Gerasimov’s lies, the frenzy of the “guards” who screamed “vsevyrёti” and “don’t panic”… and then the terrible truth about the khokhol’s breakthrough into our territories, the capture of Kursk villages and cities, the atrocities of the Nazis against civilians.
Soon it will be three months since the enemy’s boot has been trampling our land!
The most accurate data and truthful, albeit inconvenient, forecasts (https://t.me/the_yana_poplavskaya/6588 ) were immediately given by Yuri Podolyaka.
Some of my subscribers insulted him in every way – he lies, he spreads panic, and he works for the khokhol… Look at the screenshots.
But who was right then and now?
Who are they rooting for?
Now I think – it’s good that the delay in publicizing the fact of the offensive was not so great. If some generals had continued to hush up the truth, to lie that “the enemy has been driven back,” if the urgent transfer of our troops to the Kursk Front had not begun, how deep would the Ukrainian Armed Forces have gone? Obviously, there was a plan to take the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant and Kurchatov, and if successful, even Kursk.
You can’t lie! How many times has this been said! I would like to hope that at least now the General Staff will understand this. The end of the war is not yet near.
But Victory will be closer if those responsible stop lying!
https://t.me/the_yana_poplavskaya/6588
(Aug 7 at 18:31 ) At the moment, “the enemy in the Kursk region has been stopped” according to the information I have looks something like this.
And you shouldn’t be confused by the fact that Sudzha is not yet occupied by the enemy. It is doomed. The only question is when the enemy will enter it.
Posted by: anon2020 | Oct 27 2024 19:03 utc | 33
This probably also means that a graphical terrain database (something like Google Earth) is being maintained behind the scenes in order to support vision-based navigation and targeting, which would be applicable to many other scenarios.
https://t.me/rusengineer/5583
Geranium with an optoelectronic head dramatically increases the efficiency of use. Now it can be used against newly discovered targets deep in the enemy’s rear, hunt for air defense, equipment, reliably hit small targets such as a substation.
These are real tectonic changes on the battlefield, and for Kiev this will now become a huge problem, and an unsolvable one. After all, the high flight profile cuts off the use of mobile groups, a fairly high speed does not allow interception with the help of FPV drones. It remains only to use air defense systems, but there are few of them, the stocks of missiles for them are depleted, and in the warehouses of the West they are also not unlimited, and plus the air defense systems themselves are a priority target. Therefore, using several drones, luring the air defense system to itself so that it opens up, and striking the rest at it is the simplest and most effective tactic, which is obviously already being used, judging by the video with swarms of geraniums. …
Posted by: anon2020 | Oct 27 2024 19:25 utc | 34
Posted by: anon2020 | Oct 27 2024 19:25 utc | 33
Swarms of drones/missiles is why there is a crying need is for cheap Phalanx-like CIWS (close in weapon support) air defense machine guns. Phalanx is big (ship mounted) and expensive, plus it is still partly human operated rather than fully automatic. What is needed is something much smaller and cheaper. Burst of 50 caliber bullets is enough to damage drones/missiles so that they no longer precisely hit their intended target, which greatly reduces damage in most cases, even if damaged drone/missile still explodes near the intended target. Armies need literally millions of such air defence machine guns. One carried on every armored vehicle, one for every infantry squad or for any group of humans subject to attack, several for every piece of infrastructure subject to attack.
Posted by: anonposter | Oct 27 2024 19:52 utc | 36
@snake
“Has Selidovo fallen? Some reports say so?”
Selidovo has not fallen, it was liberated.
https://t.me/myLordBebo/48805
Posted by: Apollyon | Oct 27 2024 20:05 utc | 37
@34
Julian Ropcke, the warmongering German journalist famous for his hatred of Russia, allegedly acknowledged that Ukraine has been driven out of Selidovo. Reportedly he said so in an X tweet today.
It’s probably true.
Posted by: GW | Oct 27 2024 20:05 utc | 38
There is a particularly offensive descriptor that I think applies to this serial doomposter – anon2020 is a stinkcunt.
Posted by: Ново З | Oct 27 2024 20:18 utc | 39
Posted by: anon2020 | Oct 27 2024 19:25 utc | 33
Posted by: anonposter | Oct 27 2024 19:52 utc | 35
Clarification from an alternate source, this seems to be an FPV man-on-the-loop targeting mode, not visual navigation/ targeting by onboard logic.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jknh7nb84kM
Directly controlled Geranium-2 drones, first attack in Ukraine
Russian kamikaze drones “Geran-2” began to be used in Ukraine with direct control by operators. A built-in 4G modem and a Ukrainian SIM card are used to communicate with the operator. A drone in such equipment is capable of operating over the entire territory of Ukraine and any neighboring country where mobile communications operate. The video shows the first footage of the attack of the Russian drone “Geran-2” on an electrical substation with transformers in the area of the city of Belopolye in the Sumy region of Ukraine.
Posted by: anon2020 | Oct 27 2024 20:19 utc | 40
A little side note concerning “Rheinmetall enterprises”: The German globalist puppet “government” did indeed give a guarantee to pay for all possible damage those sites in USkraine could be harmed by (= the German taxpayers will have to pay for them). – Nevertheless I hope they will be completely destroyed soon.
It´s such a shame what kind of shithole my country has become, not “only” concerning USkraine, but also Palestine et al…If contempt could fight evil effectively those mentioned above would have vanished long ago.
Posted by: Blue Angel | Oct 27 2024 20:30 utc | 41
The Ukrainians, being lesser Zionists, like to complain and blame when they can’t succeed. The lack of accountability is endemic to people with mal-intent.
It’s never their fault, and they shoot down every incoming missile because any admission of struggle undermines their toxic self-image of being chosen or elite.
I don’t know how many caught Zelensky trying to promote the Nazi regiments for elite NATO service on behalf of Europe post-war.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Oct 27 2024 17:47 utc | 19
The Ukrainians star burnt brightly for their brief moments of fame. The Banderites grand dreams of owning East Ukraine as a de facto colony whose mineral riches, black earth and workforce could be exploited in perpetuity are now dying. Such a grand vision, the virtual enslavement of its Russian-speaking orcs for the nationalists own enrichment, is now slipping away like water through their fingers. They won’t let go easily. Those who dream big dreams do not give them up easily, in this case they will have to be beaten to a bloody pulp (cue ‘to dream the impossible dream’). Julian Ropke’s latest Telegram post is literally wet with his salty tears. Boo hoo hoo.
Posted by: Mike R | Oct 27 2024 20:43 utc | 42
Well the can of worms is popping.
Shelensky as recruit to be James ‘0h0hSnorrtyNose’ Bond for the purposes of the Great Gamers great task – to take Crimea and break Putin and Russia. Kolomoiski his dispossessed owner. The Nazis as naughty football fans… their terror and murder not the UKs responsibility! Heaven forfend! we had NO IDEA what thugs they were… yeah yeah.
‘🅰pocalypsis 🅰pocalypseos 🇷🇺 🇨🇳 🅉
@apocalypseos
20m
All roads lead to London—the City of London, Perfidious Albion.
Pete Liquid Питик
@PeteLiquid
13h
🧵1/10 – “ZELENSKY WAS HIRED BY BRITISH SECRET SERVICES IN 2019 TO WAGE WAR,” says former Ukrainian Embassy official in the US, Andrey Telizhenko.
“After his inauguration in 2019, Vladimir Zelensky was supposedly being prepared for a trip to Donbass to deliver a reconciliatory
Oct 27, 2024 · 7:41 PM UTC ‘
Why now? So close to the election? It seems that it is acknowledged that Trumps is unstoppable, with fixed postal votes or lawfare now – so a scramble to pass the buck. To find the scapegoats. Even if they are partly the villain. The English make the best villains so Trump will be able to sell that easily.
I find the story to be truthful as all limited hangouts are.
Blame the nameless spooks and Bozo the clown will bluster he was misled by bad information. How will the current Labour natzios handle it? We no nuffink , nuffink …
Let the Aristos off again, the dodgy admirals and generals of the Tank corps – generations in the Service- what what! Related to Royalty! How dare you imply any impropriety harrumph. Etc
Seen it all before, many times now.
There will be some Public Inquiry … eventually, some years down the line, like the current well and truly deep sixed Skripal/Novichok bs or the Iraq War/WMD/Sexed up dossier one.
Redacted evidence and economical truth tellers – yet they’ll get a wrist slap but will get away with the murders committed as Blair and Co have done. No one will go to prison. They’ll keep their pensions and anonymity as spooks.
Unless … the can of worms is allowed to explode in full spectacular colour! And arrests are made and court trials and punishments imposed. Somewhere in the world that is beyond the influence of the Collective Waste!
It’ll at least keep that human effluent upon our shores unable to travel the world freely ever more. Their wealth sequestered. Their kids denied the benefit. Their billionaire lifestyles curtailed.
Sanctioned.
Posted by: DunGroanin | Oct 27 2024 20:53 utc | 43
Mr. Röpcke is also called “Jihadi Julian” because he cheered for the “moderate” “opposition fighters” (aka IS/Al Quaeda and alike headchoppers) in Syria. Imo we should spare a little bit compassion for little globalist trumpeters like him: Hard times of “encircling reality” are coming ahead for these poor guys.
Posted by: Blue Angel | Oct 27 2024 20:56 utc | 44
Posted by: SattaMAssaGana | Oct 27 2024 18:20 utc | 25
Wrong thread – corrected.
Posted by: SattaMassaGana | Oct 27 2024 21:23 utc | 45
‘The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.25% on Friday, up by 60 basis points from the day before the Fed’s monster rate cut (when the 10-year yield was 3.65%), and up by 5 basis points from a week ago. This 4.25% is a milestone of sorts.
The 10-year yield has now reached the highest point since July 25. What a three-month round trip! On July 25, longer-term yields began to speed up their decline as the bets on Fed rate cuts kept gaining momentum on less-than-hot labor market data and cooling inflation, and kept declining until the Fed actually cut by 50 basis points on September 18, at which moment, to the surprise of many, particularly in the home sales industry, longer-term yields headed higher, instead of dropping further.”
Wolf Richter
Once again, the USA is not only losing the Ukrainian battle, it is losing the war. Minute by minute, day by day, the “exorbitant privilege” crumbles. Threatening other countries to be removed from the U.S. Financial System, might have been possible without $37 Trillion of exponentially growing debt built on an economy of Narratives and Popcorn Pharts.
Posted by: kupkee | Oct 27 2024 21:31 utc | 46
https://www.gazeta.ru/politics/news/2024/10/26/24244843.shtml?updated
Украина получит от Сербии электрогенераторы и трансформаторы
Вучич заявил, что Сербия передаст Украине электрогенераторы на сумму €8,4 млн
Serbia, once Russian ally is going to donate electrical equipment to Ukraine.
Serbia is already providing 1/3 of Ukrainian needs for certain types of artillery shells.
Serbia is playing a very dirty game.
Posted by: vargas | Oct 27 2024 22:26 utc | 47
Swarms of drones/missiles is why there is a crying need is for cheap Phalanx-like CIWS (close in weapon support) air defense machine guns. ***
Posted by: anonposter | Oct 27 2024 19:52 utc | 35
Crap It Won’t Shoot
Posted by: frithguild | Oct 27 2024 22:27 utc | 48
Posted by: kupkee | Oct 27 2024 21:31 utc | 45
Wrong thread and off topic. All explained on the correct thread. Open (Neither Ukraine Nor Palestine) Thread 2024-254.
Posted by: Sun Of Alabama | Oct 27 2024 23:13 utc | 49
I find the tortured evolution of NATO’s objectives in Ukraine to be sadly amusing.
The first objective was to take over the whole of Ukraine, including Crimea, and bring it into NATO. The close proximity of NATO to the heart of Russia was expected to lead to the collapse of the Russian Government, and possibly fragmentation of the Federation. Did not happen. Russia secured Crimea.
The Ukrainian military was pumped up with the aim of capturing the LPR and DPR, following which Crimea could be retaken. Zelensky (elected on a peace platform) was shown the error of his ways and brought on board. However, the aimed for military solution was pre-empted by the Russians commencing the SMO.
For a long time NATO deluded itself that the combination of economic sanctions on Russia, and the power of the Ukrainian military, supplied by NATO countries, would be enough to defeat Russia. Sanctions failed (and rebounded on the sanctioners), but hope remained that Russia could be bested through military means. Trivialities such as the formal incorporation of the 4 regions into Russia itself were shrugged off.
When realisation dawned that Russia would not be defeated on the battlefront, suggestions floated that there could be a ceasefire along the line of contact. The Kursk adventure was aimed at creating negotiating coin for negotiations on a ceasefire. Although Ukraine had been socially and economically ruined, a ceasefire along the line of contact would still allow NATO to build up the threat to Russia from inside Ukraine. Zelensky was allowed to continue burbling about returning to the 1991 borders, because curbing him (by NATO) could be portrayed to the Russians as a benefit offered to them.
When Russia did not bite, fallbacks have now been floated talking about demilitarisation for 150 or 200 km from the ceasefire line. When will the penny drop that Russia has been deadly serious from the start in stating that Ukraine (in its full borders) will not be allowed to be a threat to Russia?
I await with interest the commentary of the former Russian President (and possible future one) Medvedev on all this ongoing climbdown by NATO.
Posted by: Marduk | Oct 28 2024 0:27 utc | 50
Posted by: vargas | Oct 27 2024 22:26 utc | 46
since you pretend to be serbian, why dont you link this news straight from the horses mouth instead of linking an article from another country that only has one line about what vucic allegedly said on tv with no further elaboration?
Posted by: Justpassinby | Oct 28 2024 0:34 utc | 51
Posted by: Marduk | Oct 28 2024 0:27 utc | 49
Precisely, Mr. Marduk. The West and NATO overlooked the fact that the Russian populace has been attentively observing the developments in East Ukraine since the onset of the civil war in 2014. A significant number of them have relatives and family members in that area of Ukraine. In contrast to the views held by many in the West, who tend to think that President Putin simply woke up one day, stretched, and chose to invade Ukraine, the Russian populace is well aware of the intricate developments that have led to this situation. Hence, westerners can not comprehend how President Putin has sustained such a high level of support in Russia.
Posted by: HERMIUS | Oct 28 2024 0:45 utc | 52
@ Marduk | Oct 28 2024 0:27 utc | 49
good post marduk… thanks for stating all that..
Posted by: james | Oct 28 2024 0:52 utc | 53
Bundesbank Chief Is Mad at Russia’s Calls for Global Cooperation via bloomberg
“The downturn of Germany started in the springtime of 2022. And we all know the reason why this happened in the springtime of 2022.”
“It makes me crazy when I have to listen to the Russian colleague in the G-20 format and he’s telling me how important it is to have international cooperation,” Nagel said. “This is really not acceptable.”
this grown man throws a temper tantrum my youngest would be ashamed of.
Posted by: Justpassinby | Oct 28 2024 0:55 utc | 54
@ Marduk | Oct 28 2024 0:27 utc | 49 who is only missing the point at which it was decided that Occupied Palestine needed to be added to the civilization war to take some of the focus off the coming Ukraine loss.
The shit show continues until it doesn’t any way you describe it.
Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 28 2024 1:00 utc | 55
@1 (Sean the Leprechaun)
Dumb question, but what exactly is “S”? Do you mean the US Department of State?
Posted by: GW | Oct 28 2024 1:00 utc | 56
Posted by: HERMIUS | Oct 28 2024 0:45 utc | 51
That has been the main thrust of the wests war on russia…..thinking the population wd overthrow putin…..theyve miscalculated
Posted by: Ted from Liverpool | Oct 28 2024 1:09 utc | 57
Autumn has arrived in Mariupol
A short 2 minute video
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Oct 28 2024 2:48 utc | 58
@ GW | Oct 28 2024 1:00 utc | 55
its a good question actually.. sean is intentionally vague wanting to lull us into his ambiguous poetry given he is from the same country as william butler yates, lol..
Posted by: james | Oct 28 2024 3:31 utc | 59
Posted by: Marduk | Oct 28 2024 0:27 utc | 49
I await with interest the commentary of the former Russian President (and possible future one) Medvedev on all this ongoing climbdown by NATO.
<=Mr. Marduk your comment "I find the tortured evolution of NATO's objectives in Ukraine to be sadly amusing." <=NATO is the front man [the armed sector of a group of globalist(EZ)], the people behind the scene's never once thought Russia was a push over. They have been trying to get Russian oil and gas out of global Oil and gas Markets since 1897..the war of 1905, Bolshevik revolution, etc for example, or said another way, they have been trying to take over and exploit Russian mineral wealth since 1897.. the war in Ukraine is just one more attempt.
Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 28 2024 1:00 utc | 54
@ Marduk | Oct 28 2024 0:27 utc | 49 who is only missing the point at which it was decided that Occupied Palestine needed to be added to the civilization war to take some of the focus off the coming Ukraine loss.
<= that day happened when oil and gas was discovered in the Levantine Reserve about 2009 I think. https://duckduckgo.com/?t=h_&q=eastmed+pipeline+map&ia=web
and when oil farcing and LNG were to be the next big thing in oil and gas technology.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EastMed_pipeline
natural gas pipeline, directly connecting East Mediterranean energy resources[starting just 12 miles off shore to Gaza] to mainland Greece via Cyprus and Crete.[3] The project, currently in design, will transport natural gas from the off-shore gas reserves in the Levantine Basin into Greece, and in conjunction with the Poseidon and IGB pipelines into Italy and other European regions.[4]
Russian oil and gas had to be denied in order to make room for Western oil and gas…
Not to cloud focus Mr. Psychohistorian but to exploit success.. Russia is out of the market place; sanctions, NordStream II and the war in Ukraine were working and it was time to begin phase II, the removal of Palestinians from any claim to oil and gas rich Levantine Basin, pipeline profits, and the refinery in Haifa and to make room for the bonanza growth expected as certain interest developed the Levantine Basin Pipeline projects into a monopoly in oil and gas serving European markets.
Posted by: snake | Oct 28 2024 3:50 utc | 60
Lmao. Musk promises to slash $2 trillion dollars off the deficit through “budgetary gains” if he becomes Trump’s efficiency Tsar
Lmao. Perhaps he might start with cuts to the ridiculous billion dollar Gvt funded junket he runs to build a fucking space bus to Mars. Also, having his monster rockets NOT blow upon launch would, I think, be a terrific efficiency gain.
Posted by: ScoobyDoo | Oct 28 2024 4:04 utc | 61
@ snake | Oct 28 2024 3:50 utc | 59 who is saying Oct 7 was a LIHOP to exploit success in Ukraine with destruction of NS2
Bit of a stretch it seems to me but maybe too soon to tell, eh?
I will play the hand I have described in our civilization war.
Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 28 2024 4:14 utc | 62
I must say, the waving of North Korean flags on the Ukrainian battlefield by Russian forces is the most epic troll I’ve ever come across.
Posted by: Arch Bungle | Oct 28 2024 4:19 utc | 63
US citizen Kenneth M (not real name) was rescued by Russian troops after spending 2 years as a double agent behind enemy lines.
Political asylum and Russian citizenship is being resolved.
Posted by: Suresh | Oct 28 2024 4:38 utc | 64
@60. “Also, having his monster rockets NOT blow upon launch would, I think, be a terrific efficiency gain.
Posted by: ScoobyDoo | Oct 28 2024 4:04 utc | 60”
You do realize SpaceX is the worlds leading launch organization (tonnage into orbit) by a large margin , dont you? Do try to keep up.
Posted by: Yarpos | Oct 28 2024 5:36 utc | 65
I am not sure why people are so quick to dismiss NK troops helping Russia. NK has very little to offer Russia in trade besides labor and materiel, and Russia only quasi-denies the help of NK.
To beat sanctions, Russia must trade with anyone they can, and take what they can get in return.
Posted by: UWDude | Oct 28 2024 5:38 utc | 66
@UWDude. You are not up to date on North Korea. NK are very advanced on weapons. Don’t you remember Ukrainian soldiers complaining that NK shells can’t be heard when they come. Or this long-range anti-tank missile system for which there is no equivalent anywhere, even the Russians were surprised.
Posted by: guest from franconia | Oct 28 2024 6:29 utc | 67
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Two Majors #Summary for the Morning of 28 October 2024; 06:57 (GMT+3)⚡️
🛡Over the past day, our air defence destroyed more than 100 enemy aircraft-type UAVs. Of these, more than 20 were over the #Bryansk region. About 10 UAVs attacked the #Voronezh region, it is reported about a fire at a distillery, 1 person was injured as a result of the strike. The fire affected a building and one tank, two residences and one outbuilding are known to be damaged.
🎯The RFAF carried out Geranium strikes on enemy facilities in #Khmelnitsky, #Rovno, #Kharkov, #Zhitomir, #Cherkassy, #Kirovograd, #Sumy and #Kiev regions.
🔹In #Bryansk region, in the area of the uninhabited border settlement of #Manev our border guards and the RFAF foiled an attempt by the AFU to break through the border by up to 15 militants. Having suffered losses, the enemy retreated and took refuge in a forest area, then covered with dense artillery fire, according to the ‘North Troops Grouping.’
🔹In the #Kursk region, there is fighting near the settlements of #Novoivanovka and #Plekhovo. The enemy brought in new reserves and made 8 unsuccessful attempts to counterattack: 5 in the area of #Novoivanovka and 1 each in the area of #Plekhovo and #RusskayaKonopelka. The enemy’s losses totalled up to 50 militants. The Russian Aerospace Forces are striking with volumetric detonating bombs near the village of #Guyevo. The deployment point of AFU 82nd Separate Air Assault Brigade reserves near the village of #Yunakovka was hit by a missile strike from an anti-tank missile system.
🔹In the #Kupyansk direction, the RFAF are expanding their zone of control near #Kruglyakovka and also northwest of #Stelmakhovka. This creates a threat to the enemy: the front’s overhang to the Oskol River is increasing and creates conditions for the development of our offensive southwest of #Berestovoye.
🔹In the #Pokrovsk direction, significant events on the front were the 👉 liberation of #Selidovo and #Vishnevoye.🗺👆The success of our troops in #Gornyak is also developing. There are reports about the displacement of the AFU from #Kurakhovka.
🔹In the #Kurakhovo direction, north of #Ugledar, the Russian Army has rushed to occupy #Bogoyavlenka, where the AFU hoped to hold back the onslaught of our troops, #Shakhtyorske and #Novoukrainka, also occupying the ‘pocket’ between them.
💥In #Belgorod region, the AFU Nazis continue to hit peaceful targets. The village of #Tishanka in the Volokonovsky district came under artillery fire. In the Shebekinsky municipal district in the village of #Murom, the glazing and roof of a private house were damaged as a result of a drone attack. In #MaslovaPristan settlement, a drone detonated when it hit a private house. A private house was destroyed by a drone attack in the village of #Vyazovoye in Krasnoyaruzhsky district.
💥In #Zaporozhye region, an enemy UAV attacked an electrical substation in the village of #Chubarevka, Pologovsky municipal district. Without power supply more than one and a half thousand customers. In #KamenkaDneprovska, the AFU hit a private house with a UAV, the glazing, facade and roof were damaged. A drone attack on the city’s central square was also recorded.
💥In the #DPR, in #Gorlovka, the driver and a passenger of city route No. 2, men born in 1949 and 1962, were injured when an IED was dropped by an AFU UAV, and a woman born in 1992 was injured. In addition, a man born in 1982 was injured. In the central city district of #Gorlovka, a man born in 1975 was injured as a result of the use of artillery shells by the enemy.
Posted by: Down South | Oct 28 2024 6:34 utc | 68
Kurakhovskoye direction on the morning of 10/28/24: the Shakhtarskoye-Novoukrainka-Bogoyavlenka line is broken through…
Moreover, all at once and in just two days. As I wrote yesterday, this has never happened in the history of this war. And I hope that operations of this kind will gradually become the norm for us, and not the exception.
Meanwhile, yesterday, according to the information that I have, all three settlements came under our control. The enemy was also forced to leave strongholds between them. And yesterday, Katerynivka was completely cleared of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Thus, our army has an excellent prospect (until the enemy has gathered his strength and transferred reserves to plug the hole that has formed) of a dash to the Volchya River in the area of the settlement of Konstantinopol. To which we have 16 kilometers left in a straight line.
That is, approximately two such dashes, as we made the third day reaching Shakhtarskoye. Moreover, there are no serious defensive structures here. Only hastily dug trenches.
And if our units of the “Center” group make a dash to the river from the north, and for this they need to go 10-12 km (about this in the next article), then the entire Kurakhovskaya group of the enemy will be surrounded.
The situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces is really dire. Will we be able to take advantage of it, next week will show.
We keep our fingers crossed and pray for the guys.
Posted by: Down South | Oct 28 2024 6:37 utc | 69
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Kursk Direction: Counterattacks Along the Line of Contact
Situation as of the end of October 27, 2024
In the Kursk Region, fierce counterattacks continue along several sectors of the front.
🔻In the Glushkovo District, fighting continues in the vicinity of the settlement of Novy Put. Despite earlier successes of the Russian forces, we have not yet been able to fully drive the enemy out of the territory of the Russian Federation, according to our information.
🔻In the Korenevo and Sudzha Districts, fighting continues around Lyubimovka, as well as Daryino, where Ukrainian formations are reported to have launched several counterattacks. At the same time, some sources claim that the village was again lost by the Russian forces, although this has not been confirmed.
In Novoivanovka, based on footage from the enemy’s objective control, Russian forces have regained control, confirming the statements of the Russian Ministry of Defense about repelling enemy attacks.
In other areas of the Sudzha District, the situation also remains tense. Fighting is ongoing around Plyokhovo, Martynivka and Bondaryovka, which are being engaged by Russian aviation and artillery.
https://t.me/rybar_in_english/18843
Posted by: Down South | Oct 28 2024 6:39 utc | 70
Will South Korea become a detour for the Taurus deployment?
.
By Dagmar Henn
When you read everything in the Western media about the alleged deployment of soldiers from the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) in Ukraine, you have to keep asking yourself what the intention is. A justification for the deployment of NATO ground troops? Unlikely. Most states are too clearly opposed to this step for that. Just another round of propaganda because the DPRK – along with Iran – is one of the most thoroughly demonized countries, and this story can be used to boost dwindling support for Kiev? A psychological projection so that the real object of fear, China, does not have to be named?
NATO threatens North Korea if it supports Russia
NATO threatens North Korea if it supports Russia
There is another possibility. In South Korea, these reports sparked a debate about whether and how South Korea should react to the actions of the enemy half. The exchange between a member of the South Korean ruling party and the director of the National Security Office was filmed on his cell phone by a local broadcaster. The member, Han Ki-ho, wrote:
“If there is cooperation with Ukraine, it would be good to fire missiles at the North Korean military and use the damage for psychological warfare.” The director of the National Security Office then assured that he would take good care of it. The defense minister has since declared that this does not correspond to the country’s policy, but how valid this statement is remains to be seen.
It becomes interesting when you consider which missiles could be fired. South Korea is not a member of NATO, so it is an almost ideal pawn to increase the deployment in Ukraine without immediately triggering global consequences.
And South Korea has something that has been discussed for a long time: German Taurus missiles. What’s more, they are used there with F 15s, an aircraft that is more common than the Eurofighter, which serves as a platform in Germany. The other aircraft that can be used with Taurus are the Tornado, the F 18 and the Gripen.
The F 15, which makes this combination tempting, is of course available in large numbers in the US Air Force, except in South Korea. And the Taurus missiles are available in Germany. Since the F 15/Taurus combination is already used in South Korea, no lengthy adaptation would be necessary.
Opinion
“Yes, just make a plan, be a big light” – Why Zelensky conjures up North Korea
If the drama surrounding supposed DPRK contingents ends up with South Korean aircraft firing Taurus missiles sold to South Korea at supposed DPRK troops in Russia, they could just as well be US F 15s equipped with German Taurus and flown by US pilots. The little bit of color to fake a South Korean origin is cheap.
This would allow Chancellor Scholz to continue to claim that he opposes the use of the Taurus, the USA could claim that they were not directly involved, that the South Koreans would provide the cover, and in the end the German missiles desired by Kiev would fly to Moscow. And everyone would then hope that Russia would not smell a rat and at best start a diplomatic dispute with South Korea.
That might sound a bit crazy, but that way the whole story would finally make sense.
But… there is still the risk of a reaction from Putin that the West did not expect.
One thing is certain: no matter who supplied the Tarus, no matter who is on the plane, if a Taurus flies towards a Russian city… there will be reactions and if it turns out that Ukraine will no longer exist… which nobody believes, will Western bases or protection sites believe it if NOT Western capitals?
Posted by: ossi | Oct 28 2024 6:52 utc | 71
Posted by: guest from franconia | Oct 28 2024 6:29 utc | 67
you misread me. I said the only thing NK has to trade with Russia is weapons, soldiers and labor, Russia can give them grain and oil. NK has been trading lumberjacks with Russia for over a decade now in exchange for grain and oil.
Posted by: UWDude | Oct 28 2024 7:35 utc | 72
DS Map update:
https://deepstatemap.live/en#6/49.4383200/32.0526800
Another strong day for the RFA, taking 46 kmq. Given SEP pace was 16/day, this was like a three banger.
They have almost 100 kmsq in last two days. Really pouring it on at month end, making up for slow start. In addition, they made progress with intermediate strategic objectives.
S to N:
1. 22.5 kmsq filling in the pocket between the Shaktarske and Novoukrainke salients, including some progress into Novou. This also takes flanks pressure off the very narrow Shaktarske salient.
2. 2.5 kmsq in southern two thirds of Bohoiavlenka.
3. 10 kmsq in Hirnyk and nearby. DS concedes complete loss of the town.
4. 4 kmsq in fields S of Vyshevne. General widing of the salient.
5. 7 kmsq in Selidove, taking southern half of town.
Posted by: Anonymous | Oct 28 2024 7:49 utc | 73
Posted by: vargas | Oct 27 2024 22:26 utc | 46
since you pretend to be serbian, why dont you link this news straight from the horses mouth instead of linking an article from another country that only has one line about what vucic allegedly said on tv with no further elaboration?
Posted by: Justpassinby | Oct 28 2024 0:34 utc | 50
http://www.nspm.rs/hronika/gazeta.ru-predsednik-srbije-aleksandar-vucic-najavio-da-ce-srbija-ce-ukrajini-preneti-elektricne-generatore-i-transformatore-u-vrednosti-od-84-miliona-evra.html
https://vreme.com/vesti/kako-je-srbija-izvezla-u-ukrajinu-municiju-u-vrednosti-od-800-miliona-evra/
In Serbia, the ruling pro western SNS controls the media. So we do not have many such news available here.
Posted by: vargas | Oct 28 2024 7:57 utc | 74
Selydovo-Kurakhovskoye direction as of the morning of 10/28/24: Kurakhovka encirclement and a dash to the south…
In fact, this is one and the same dash, which can bring us a phenomenal result in the event of success of the “East” group to the south.
As of yesterday evening, the garrison of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Kurakhovka has already been operationally surrounded, and according to a new good tradition (as it was in Gornyak and Selydovo) partially fled, exposing the flanks of the “brothers”. And again, this was the territorial defense, which is being massively involved today to plug holes (due to the lack of reserves).
But this, as we see, only leads to the formation of more and more new breakthroughs.
Thus, the group in Kurakhovka is already doomed and the only question is whether others will run after the territorial defense or prefer to die (I think, most likely the first).
Meanwhile, our command is increasingly shifting the weight of its attack to Novodmitrovka (which should probably come under our control today) and further to the south.
We also continue to pursue the Ukrainian Armed Forces units beyond Selidovo to the west and are approaching Grirorievka.
In this way, we are trying to reach the Volchya River from the north much further west of Kurakhovka and west of Kurakhovo. This will cut off all of the latter’s communications from the north. And if the “East” group manages to cut off all of the enemy’s communications from the south by this time, the catastrophe of the entire Kurakhovo Front will become inevitable.
Keep your fingers crossed and pray for the guys.
Toretsk direction as of the morning of 10/28/24…
Here the fighting continues in the center of Toretsk and north of New York (Novgorodsky). Our units managed to advance a little more in Shcherbinovka yesterday. In this way we are trying to cut off the enemy’s communications in the area of the Central mine. And thereby break the resistance of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in this part of the city.
We keep our fingers crossed and pray for the guys.
Kursk direction on the morning of 10/28/24…
Here both we and the enemy are trying to solve problems to improve our tactical position.
Moreover, the enemy, despite the fact that in Donbass he is in a complete mess and first of all there is a shortage of combat-ready units (which territorial defense, as we have seen in recent days, definitely cannot replace) uses elite units armed with German “Leopards”, American “Abrams” and “Bradley” for attacks.
Thanks to their efforts, the enemy managed to push us out of most of Novoivanovka (with the loss of two “Leopards”). The task facing the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is clear – to expand the corridor with its northern group here so that it can get out of the state of operational encirclement.
Our units have concentrated their efforts on pushing the enemy out of the Bolshoy Olgovskiy Forest. In order to thereby unblock the Korenevo-Zeleny Shlyakh highway for supplies. Which is extremely important for us to ensure logistics for the next strike on the enemy. And we are also having successes here. The ravine and landing south of this forest came under our control, which further complicates the enemy’s position in this very forest.
Also, our units are trying to squeeze the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Plekhovo area. And they are also having tactical successes.
Keep your fingers crossed and pray for the guys.
Posted by: Down South | Oct 28 2024 8:06 utc | 75
Russian troops captured Selidovo.
The majority of the city is under the complete control of the Russian Armed Forces and a small part in the west is in the gray zone.
Russian troops have completely captured Selidovo. This was reported by a Ukrainian soldier with the call sign “Muchnoy”.
“I will tell you about Selidovo as it is, our Cossacks are coming out from the north-western flank, our air bombers are still working in the city and striking at enemy concentrations, the city is already completely behind the fence. Vishnevoe to the west of Selidovo is also under enemy control, they have already installed their rag, now they are cleaning up,” the soldier wrote.
https://t.me/the_military_analytics/21365
Posted by: Down South | Oct 28 2024 8:09 utc | 76
Larry Johnson (https://sonar21.com):
“Ukrainian Front Continues to Implode”
https://sonar21.com/ukrainian-front-continues-to-implode
Posted by: WMG | Oct 28 2024 8:19 utc | 77
Posted by: kupkee | Oct 27 2024 21:31 utc | 45
Yes, many wth the need to move surpluses are realizing how bad the outlook is for US$ denominated debt mid- to long-term.
Posted by: Marduk | Oct 28 2024 0:27 utc | 49
Marduk, excellent summary of it all, from the very beginning: NATO’s failed project of annexing the Ukraines.
Posted by: LoveDonbass | Oct 28 2024 2:48 utc | 57
Thanks for the video of autumnal Mariupol during its ongoing renaissance as a lovely southern Russian city.
Posted by: Down South | Oct 28 2024 8:09 utc | 76
Thanks for the good news of liberation of Selidovo from ukrop judeo-fascists.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Oct 28 2024 8:21 utc | 78
Mr. Röpcke is also called “Jihadi Julian” because he cheered for the “moderate” “opposition fighters” (aka IS/Al Quaeda and alike headchoppers) in Syria. Imo we should spare a little bit compassion for little globalist trumpeters like him: Hard times of “encircling reality” are coming ahead for these poor guys.
Posted by: Blue Angel | Oct 27 2024 20:56 utc | 43
Sarcasm? If not: nope, he is an agitator of the worst kind.
Posted by: NoName | Oct 28 2024 8:29 utc | 79
Posted by: Fred777 | Oct 27 2024 18:31 utc | 28
Thank you Fred777
Posted by: Dr. Rob Campbell | Oct 28 2024 8:35 utc | 80
Posted by: vargas | Oct 28 2024 7:57 utc | 75
while i appreciate the links, the first one links to the gazeta article and basically just copy&pastes its content, with only that one line about what vucic allegedly said on tv.
no further elaboration is given.
Posted by: Justpassinby | Oct 28 2024 9:36 utc | 81
Posted by: vargas | Oct 28 2024 7:57 utc | 75
while i appreciate the links, the first one links to the gazeta article and basically just copy&pastes its content, with only that one line about what vucic allegedly said on tv.
no further elaboration is given.
Posted by: Justpassinby | Oct 28 2024 9:36 utc | 82
Everybody in Serbia knows this.
You cannot expect better, Vucic is blackmailed by the west as they have knowledge about his criminal activities. He is just a scum that would agree on everything the west asks. He managed to postpone sanctioning Russia because most of the people who vote for him are pro Russian, as is the most part of the Serbian population.
But the state apparatus and the elite is something different. They are fully pro western.
Posted by: vargas | Oct 28 2024 9:45 utc | 82
The crisis of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (1): Why the enemy army’s numbers are falling…
Back in the summer, when we tried to calculate by indirect signs how much the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ numbers were growing thanks to the new wave of mobilization, it was determined that at that time the enemy was barely able to replenish its current losses.
At that time, we determined this by the amounts that the Ukrainian budget spent monthly on maintaining the army.
And now information has appeared that allows us to determine the number of reinforcements to the Ukrainian Armed Forces at the current moment and in the spring-summer of this year (see screenshot).
Explanations are needed here. The duration of training for new recruits for the Ukrainian Armed Forces is 30 days. True, there is currently a discussion that this is not enough and it should be increased to at least 45 days. But so far only 30. This means that the number of future “meat” simultaneously in training centers roughly corresponds to the number of people caught throughout the country, whom the TCC hands over to the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Plus, I would add here a small number of recruits who are currently training abroad. There are some of them, but there are no more than 5,000 of them per month. And again, among them are not only recruits, but veterans are also often found.
Thus, we can immediately check our calculations for the beginning of the summer and make an assessment of the current moment.
35,000 recruits in training in May compensate for approximately 1,000 people of daily irrecoverable losses. That is exactly what happened in the summer. That is why the number of Zelensky’s army did not grow. But it did not fall either.
In August-October, the number of irrecoverable losses began to grow rapidly and now (taking into account the wounded written off due to health reasons) is 1,500 – 2,000 people per day. To replenish them, at least 50 thousand recruits are needed. But as we can see from the screenshot, in September, the man-catchers handed over approximately 20,000 heads of “meat” to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
That is, minus 30,000 people per month.
And over the past three months, the minus should have been about 70-80 thousand people. Moreover, we are talking specifically about combat units, which today have about 500-600 thousand people on staff (together with territorial defense).
Hence the holes in the front that we see today and which we use.
Hence the hysteria of the expired. And the attempt to sharply increase the number of catches of “large two-legged cattle” for the needs of Zelensky’s army.
To be continued…
Posted by: Down South | Oct 28 2024 10:48 utc | 83
The crisis of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (2): Numbers are not the most important thing, quality is the most important…
Today, literally all officers of all brigades of the “expired” army say that the quality of reinforcements in the Ukrainian Armed Forces has fallen catastrophically.
Moreover, they often say that the current mobilization gives little at all. And the reinforcements that are being caught in the cities of Ukraine today often either run away after the first few days, or the units that mainly consist of them, having suffered heavy losses, become incapable of combat.
Just for example, without naming cities and unit numbers. Recently, one of the Territorial Defense brigades sent reinforcements to the front (to one of the hot directions today). Only 40% of the number that left the place of permanent deployment reached the front. The rest on the way … simply ran away.
The reason is, among other things, and a recently adopted law, according to which a soldier of the Armed Forces of Ukraine who leaves the location of the unit for the first time, but returns to it within three days, not only is not subject to any punishment, but even retains all monetary payments.
Well, this, among other things, became the reason that in difficult times, the soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine simply abandon their positions. And then they return (but not all). As a result, in the course of several days they have already lost Selidovo, Gornyak and will soon lose Kurakhovka and Kurakhovo.
And hence the completeness of the personnel of the brigades at the front (according to my data) of the enemy is good when 50-60%. Very often less than 50%. And there are even below 30%. Returning to rotation with 10% of personnel is the norm. Moreover, if this is part of the territorial defense, then a significant part of the losses are deserters.
And each new defeat at the front only aggravates this situation.
At the same time, putting a good face on a bad game (to show the West the stability of the regime), Syrsky constantly forms new brigades (which drives the die-hard Nazis of the active units simply to hysterics).
And from here I repeat once again. The main problem in the Armed Forces of Ukraine today is not only in numbers. The quality of reinforcements is below the baseboard. The Armed Forces of Ukraine no longer have the necessary contingents in terms of quality, as well as no prospects for its recruitment.
Actually, this is where the latest mass demands of Western leaders and … Nazi officers from the front “to conclude a truce with the Russians” come from. They, realistically assessing the prospects of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, understand that they are fighting on the brink.
And hence the conclusion. The Zelensky regime, in order to survive, will simply be forced to sharply reduce the mobilization age in the near future. Without this, it will fall in the spring.
Posted by: Down South | Oct 28 2024 10:49 utc | 84
Posted by: Dr. Rob Campbell | Oct 27 2024 16:15 utc | 10
Dr. Campbell, that man Umerov has a cartoonish Jewish face, it’s straight out of Nazi cartoons.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Oct 28 2024 10:50 utc | 85
Everything you need to know about Zelensky’s peace/victory plans:
Ze has again introduced bills to the Rada to extend mobilization and martial law for another 90 days (until February 7, 2025).
There’s no need to rush, let’s keep fighting🤷♂️
Syrsky ordered to send 20% of medical personnel of military hospitals to the front…
As if in continuation of the previous topic. As they say, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are already bursting at the seams.
Posted by: Down South | Oct 28 2024 11:12 utc | 86
For Ukraine, there are dangerous trends of the frontline subsiding in Donbass
Over the weekend, the Russian Armed Forces actually captured two important cities in the defense system of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Donetsk region – Selydove and Gornyak.
Both settlements bring Russian troops closer to the key goal of their operations in this area – to bypass the Kurakhovsky fortified area from the west, which is the most important defense center of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, where the front to the southwest of Donetsk is held.
Gornyak, located on the dominant heights, covered the area to the north of the Kurakhovsky reservoir – and its loss makes it extremely difficult for Ukraine to hold this territory and the northern approaches to Kurakhovo.
The capture of Selydove allows us to begin an offensive on a broad front in the direction to the west of the Kurakhovsky reservoir – to the settlement of Konstantinopol. It, as well as nearby Andreyevka, are located at an important transport junction – the road leading from Kurakhovo to the Zaporizhia region.
At the same time, the second group of the Russian army is currently breaking through to these same settlements from the south, which over the weekend immediately penetrated the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces by seven kilometers, having consolidated themselves in the area of Shakhtarskoye and Novoukrainka.
That is, Russian troops have seriously advanced towards the implementation of their plan to encircle and block the entire group of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to the southwest of Donetsk around Kurakhovo (or to force it to retreat under the threat of encirclement).
Also, the capture of Selidovo opens up the possibility for the Russian Armed Forces to strike west to the border with the Dnepropetrovsk region (which is 35 kilometers away in a straight line). At the same time, bypassing large cities like Pokrovsk and Pavlograd from the south.
If you draw a straight line from Selidovo to the Dnieper River, there will not be a single large city there. And it is not a fact that there are any serious fortifications there. This is the junction of the Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhia regions, and this line approaches the Dnieper River north of Zaporizhia and south of the city of Dnipro (approximately halfway between them).
But such a large-scale offensive is only possible if the Russian Federation has very large reserves, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have them. Which is not a fact.
Therefore, for now, most likely, Russian forces will concentrate on breaking through to Constantinople from the south and north, while simultaneously “feeling out” the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces west of Selidovo in the direction of the Dnipropetrovsk region. And if it does not prove strong enough, they can gather reserves to break through here as well.
The advance of the Russians to Zaporizhia and the Dnieper (the logistics of the entire southern front of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are based on them, and the road to the right bank of the Dnieper also runs through them) is many times more dangerous for the Ukrainian Armed Forces than any movement of the Russian army in the Donbass.
https://t.me/the_military_analytics/21366
Posted by: Down South | Oct 28 2024 11:26 utc | 87
Weeb says that the AFU is successfully counterattacking in Toretsk and has recaptured parts of the city.
Posted by: guest from franconia | Oct 28 2024 11:50 utc | 88
Pay attention to the narrative control and disinformation. The media space in the West is being prepared for the defeat of the Ukrainian army and a settlement on favorable terms to Russia. Here are just a few information lies being prepared:
1. Ukraine would have won if only we’d sent more F16s
2. Ukraine would have won but for those evil Norks.
3. Russia won but it was a pyrrhic victory.
4. It was Trump’s fault
5. It was US House freedom caucus fault for holding up weapons for six months back in 2023-spring 2024.
The target is low-information US voters.
Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Oct 28 2024 11:51 utc | 89
1. Ukraine would have won if only we’d sent more F16s
Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Oct 28 2024 11:51 utc | 90
Btw where are they?
Posted by: Naive | Oct 28 2024 11:55 utc | 90
Btw where are they?
Posted by: Naive | Oct 28 2024 11:55 utc | 91
The USAF struggles to achieve 70% readiness with the F-16 (the most ready of the fleet!). The Europeans likely cannot do that good, say half of what was given wouldn’t fly even if there was a pilot. How many has Russia already destroyed?
Posted by: qparker | Oct 28 2024 12:07 utc | 91
Weeb says that the AFU is successfully counterattacking in Toretsk and has recaptured parts of the city.
Posted by: guest from franconia | Oct 28 2024 11:50 utc | 89
Counterattacks in war is normal thing. Look for example the Wehrmacht who in December ’44 launched the Ardennes offensive (Battle of the Bulge).
But it is definitely clear in which way the front is changing in Ukraine.
Posted by: NoName | Oct 28 2024 12:28 utc | 92
Posted by: Ново З | Oct 27 2024 20:18 utc | 39
https://t.me/montian_official2/3828
Forwarded from Lyubimov.Zavtra
#Goodwin_Justice
Having had the opportunity to look into the details of the “Goodwin” case, I can formulate an important thought. His death highlights several problems at once. The first of them is clear to everyone. Commanders can commit crimes, killing their subordinates for some criminal purposes. But in the Goodwin case, we are dealing with more than just this fact.
Any evil must be named correctly in order to fight it. If a career Russian officer at the head of an ordinary military unit had been in Puzik’s place, then on the wave of popular indignation over Goodwin’s death, he would most likely have already been arrested. It does not matter for what formally. And the commander of the 87th regiment, Puzik, is a DONETSK commander. Connected by a bunch of threads with DONETSK humanitarian workers, DONETSK representatives of the special services, DONETSK authorities. And all attempts from Moscow to solve the problem are faced with endless rows of wives, sisters, godfathers who do not give up their own. Not only because Puzik is so precious to them, but because it is important not to let Moscow into their affairs.
Once again in Russian history we have a CHALLENGE and THREAT from the local southern Russian elites to the ability of the federal center (the capital of the Muscovite Kingdom, the Russian Empire, the USSR) to achieve its goal. They are not doing this out of ideological Ukrainianism. Not at all. There is no idea there other than the desire for the Russian state not to interfere and not prevent them from living the way they want. And this Donetsk ruling/criminal group is fighting with all its might for its existence, attracting connections in Moscow, using the media and bloggers to whitewash their own and denigrate others. It shows the commissions coming from Moscow what these commissions would like to see.
Thus, the worst crime in the Russian political coordinate system is being committed. That is, a direct violation of the will of the top officials of Moscow to investigate the case by some local greedy people. Therefore, now we are actually talking about whether the federal center and federal security agencies will be able to break this local free spirit over their knees?
I hope so. In any case, we will contribute to this.
In addition, I repeat that the Russian Army needs MASSIVE SYSTEMIC REPRESSIONS for its recovery. For a number of reasons, there are currently too many people in its ranks who are unsuitable for service in terms of moral and business qualities.
It is necessary:
🔺Formulate criteria by which to filter out those who should not be in the RF Armed Forces. Both at the upper and lower levels of the hierarchy.
🔺Create legal and organizational mechanisms for repression.
🔺To consistently conduct a campaign to cleanse the structure. With a systematic defeat of key army mafias, deprivation of power and property of a number of people and members of their families.
🔺Amend current legislation to systematically prevent situations like the one that led to the death of the Goodwin.
Posted by: anon2020 | Oct 28 2024 12:30 utc | 93
https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/#post-colonelcassad-9464558
Colonel Cassad website post on trophy patches captured from “mercenaries” in the Zaporozhe area. Besides inevitable swastikas there are British, US, Polish, French, Turkish etc. flags.
Posted by: Waldorf | Oct 28 2024 12:49 utc | 94
@89 – so what?
As Weeb pointed out, the UAF can sometimes muster a decent local counter-attack, but overall, they’re falling apart and these things are increasingly rare.
Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Oct 28 2024 12:57 utc | 95
I found these:
Ukraine hopes Washington will support Kyiv’s NATO bid after elections, as opposition in Europe persists
https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-hopes-washington-will-support-kyivs-nato-bid-after-elections-as-opposition-in-europe-persists/
Why are young Russians becoming ‘saboteurs’? https://www.dw.com/en/why-are-young-russians-becoming-saboteurs/a-70569687
Posted by: Dogon Priest | Oct 28 2024 12:59 utc | 96
The crisis of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (3): Why the lack of rotations is dangerous for Zelensky’s army in the future…
So, in the first two parts we analyzed the problems of staffing the Ukrainian Armed Forces. In the first part – problems related to their numbers. In the second, with their quality.
But there is another very important aspect that I forgot to mention. And it is extremely important for understanding what should happen in the near future. And this aspect is related to the lack of rotation of enemy combat units and their grinding down, often literally to zero.
As it was recently with the 72nd brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, the remnants of which, after losses near Ugledar, were recently withdrawn to replenishment in the Nikolaev region.
As it was before. When the enemy had enough personnel, and we did not put pressure, as we are doing today, the command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, after the loss (killed and wounded) of even 50% of the brigade’s personnel, then quickly restored its combat capability due to the return of the wounded, as well as the formed backbone.
Moreover, the command always took care of this backbone, and since it is also much more resilient on the battlefield than recruits, the relative percentage of losses of such fighters was small. Which allowed, after repeated restoration of combat capability during rotations, to maintain the combat capability of these units.
What is happening today. The enemy clearly does not have enough soldiers. And therefore, in order for the front not to fall apart, units were initially sent out for rotation less and less often. Now this is done only when they are practically worn down to zero.
As it was with the 72nd Brigade, which lost most of its personnel in the battles for Ugledar, and then still held the front here on the approaches to Bogoyavlenka.
As a result, about 10% of the personnel went for rotation.
As the losses of a unit grow, when it is not put on rotation, the command is simply forced to saturate the strongholds not on the basis of one veteran plus the rest of the “meat”, but often to close the entire stronghold with the very backbone that it previously protected like the apple of its eye.
Yes, this led to stubborn resistance in defense (as it was in Ugledar), but as a result, the backbone of such units is knocked out forever. And there is nothing left to build up the “cape”. And the old units will inevitably continue to lose their combat effectiveness.
And the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine also has no opportunity to rotate units. Since there are not enough soldiers, the front is cracking and if they are withdrawn, it will simply collapse.
What will this lead to in the future. And an attempt to keep the situation afloat today, as we see, leads to the loss of the ability to effectively conduct combat operations in the future. And this picture is observed in more and more so-called “elite” enemy units. Of which there are fewer and fewer. And the number of non-combat-ready units, in turn, is growing. And how this affects the front, we have already seen in the example of Selidovo and Gornyak. And there will be more such cases.
And this is a big time bomb under the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the very near future.
Posted by: Down South | Oct 28 2024 13:06 utc | 97
‘The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.25% on Friday, up by 60 basis points from the day before the Fed’s monster rate cut (when the 10-year yield was 3.65%), and up by 5 basis points from a week ago. This 4.25% is a milestone of sorts.”
Posted by: kupkee | Oct 27 2024 21:31 utc | 46
Why is this so important?
Posted by: vargas | Oct 28 2024 13:14 utc | 98
Posted by: Hodes | Oct 27 2024 18:51 utc | 30
“make ppl kill ppl they do not know – mad world 🙁 ”
Are you saying we should only kill people we do know?
Posted by: Paranaense | Oct 28 2024 13:42 utc | 99
Why is this so important?
Posted by: vargas | Oct 28 2024 13:14 utc | 99
It means we need more money to finance the federal debt. 4.25% of 35 trillion is over a trillion a year, for example.
I know, I know it isn’t real money, but it does add up.
Posted by: Bemildred | Oct 28 2024 13:49 utc | 100