Moon of Alabama Brecht quote
October 01, 2024

Israel - Invading Lebanon To Prolong And Expand Its Supremacists War

Is it a trap?

That is the question the Zionists should ask themselves. To me the answer seems to be 'Yes!'

The Zionist entity is invading Lebanon - again. All earlier such invasions have ended in failure. Zionist troops had to retreat under fire. The current invasion is unlikely to see a better fate.

The Izzies, and their U.S. sponsors, are delirious over their perceived success in killing a number of Hizbullah officials including its leader, Sayed Hassan Nasrallah.

Don't they understand that Hizbullah has explicitly been built in ways that allow it to sustain such losses? All the murdered officials have already been replaced. If these new ones get killed their replacements are ready.

Before last week the war between the resistance was restricted to an (unequal) exchange of missiles. Israel fired many more than the resistance but not to more effect. The nature of that slow walking war of attrition will now change.

An Israeli ground invasion is exactly what Hizbullah has prepared for. It has readied its ambush sites. Its weapons and the people need to launch them are down in their well prepared bunkers.

The invading forces will be subjected to all kind of surprises. The ground troops are expected to proceed only after heavy preparatory bombing. But the mountainous grounds will allow the defenders to survive the bombing and to attack when and where they are least suspected. I do expect heavy military casualties but mostly on the attacker's  side.

This war will likely go on for several months. It could easily extend into a years long and much larger conflict.

The Biden administrations is in full support of the invasion. It may even have urged Netanyahoo to proceed with it:

Senior White House figures privately told Israel that the U.S. would support its decision to ramp up military pressure against Hezbollah — even as the Biden administration publicly urged the Israeli government in recent weeks to curtail its strikes, according to American and Israeli officials.

Presidential adviser Amos Hochstein and Brett McGurk, the White House coordinator for the Middle East, told top Israeli officials in recent weeks that the U.S. agreed with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s broad strategy to shift Israel’s military focus to the north against Hezbollah in order to convince the group to engage in diplomatic talks to end the conflict, the officials told POLITICO.

The Pentagon though is not convinced that this operation will be a success. It fears that, at some point, the U.S. forces will be sent in to rescue the Izzies from a severe defeat.

The Netanyahoo government will try its best to expand the war into Syria or, even further, into an all out war on Iran. It will need the full military support from the U.S. to do so. Its political maneuvering towards the U.S. will thus be done with the intent to further drag it into the war.

Without the full support of the U.S. Israel will fail to become the regional superpower it is striving to be.

With full U.S. support their might be a chance, a small one though, for Israel to win this round.

When the European crusaders tried to colonialize the Levant they built some 37 large castles to hold to their gains. Some 150 years later the crusaders had left. The castles though still exist. They are a reminder that those lands are not easy to take and - moreover - to keep.

Posted by b on October 1, 2024 at 10:34 UTC | Permalink

Comments
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"With full U.S. support their might be a chance, a small one though, for Israel to win this round."

Do Israel seriously have the demography allowing them to invade and keep extra land ?
And will the US/EU society accept to send their own troops to fill the gaps ?
Will China/Russia watch this quietly waiting for their turn to come ?

I'm quite not sure that even with US full support Israel will achieve its goals. But yes, they will end up using nukes against their neighbour out of rage / desperation.

Posted by: W | Oct 1 2024 10:42 utc | 1

thanks b.. it looks messy and some folks have a very different concept of evil then me..

Posted by: james | Oct 1 2024 10:49 utc | 2

I don't have a clue what or who this Tanya is about but I Know what John 8~44 says about jews and I follow Apostle Paul

Posted by: Pilgrim | Oct 1 2024 10:52 utc | 3

Just common knowledge:

There are people who consider themselves superior in all aspects, tending to undervalue others. An unpleasant and harmful behavior, which fits into the superiority complex.

If you have a posture that tends to bother everyone around you, it's people with an air of petulance and superiority. They consider themselves real know-it-alls and have the need to constantly talk about their routine and achievements.

Did you know that this type of behavior can fit into the so-called superiority complex? And, contrary to what many people imagine, reacting like this is usually an attempt to cover up low self-esteem problems.

Complexo de superioridade: principais sintomas e como tratá-los

Posted by: António Ferrão | Oct 1 2024 10:55 utc | 4

From previous Palestine thread...

386. Englishman. "All that Israeli armour building up on the border should have been attacked with missiles."

Yes! I don't know much about how to fight a war, but if they had even looked at the example of Russia's pre-emption of a coming NATO attack by watching the buildup of military all around its borders, why would Hez not have done so. The videos of the conglomeration of tanks and other military vehicles were there for everybody to see. And as a poster on MOA has pointed out, even the protection wasn't much for Izzy soldiers inside the tanks -- a perfect opportunity for missile strikes? Or even the example of Hamas striking Israel's buildup at a checkpoint (cant remember name, but north of Rafah) in preparation for IOF invasion of Rafah. So far Hamas appears the best in how to resist the invading occupier under incredible odds.

Posted by: Lavieja | Oct 1 2024 10:56 utc | 5

@ Posted by: boba | Oct 1 2024 10:39 utc | 1

The schism of Zionism will force the Hebrews to re-write their eschatology.

Posted by: too scents | Oct 1 2024 11:09 utc | 6

I can foresee possible scenarios in which Hezbollah may allow Israeli soldiers - even entire units of soldiers - to enter and penetrate quite deeply into southern Lebanon, especially into its valleys, before Hezbollah and allied forces cut them off from one another and their supply lines. Israeli soldiers will find themselves separated from one another and trapped in places - they will be cauldroned, in effect - where the enemy can fire down on and at them.

Hezbollah should try to do all they can to create traps that the Israelis are sure to rush into. Moreover they should try to make it difficult for the Israelis to recover their dead or wounded soldiers.

MoA barflies should not despair too much if Israeli forces manage to get far into southern Lebanon. Are Israeli troops likely to know the physical geography well compared to their enemy? I should imagine they will be at a disadvantage, surrounded by hostile fighters and civilians alike, in areas they do not know well, and with fighters hiding in underground tunnels as well. The much vaunted Iron Dome will not protect Israeli soldiers once they are far from their country's northern borders.

Posted by: Refinnejenna | Oct 1 2024 11:12 utc | 7

The Israeli air force is the nation's premier fighting arm, with well trained pilots and overwhelming technological superiority vs. Hamas, Hezbollah and even Syria. I am a little stunned that there have not been drone attacks on the parked planes and airfields given how small Israel is, and that Hezbollah does not seem to have basic SAM capabilities - we will see.

The Israeli army hasn't fought a real war since its bloody nose in Lebanon in 2006, and the quality of the Israeli youth has only deteriorated since then. More soft weekend warriors than the committed and hardened warriors of 1948, 1967 etc., used to bullying Palestinians. The army is the Achilles Heel of Israel, if this opens up into a larger ground conflict the weakness will be rapidly seen and the body bags hard to hide in a nation as small as Israel. There is a big difference between "playing soldier" and ending up in a body bag, and as more of the latter are produced (and missiles hitting Israeli cities) I can see a new wave of exits by especially liberal Zionists. Israel is not used to fighting long wars.

Posted by: Roger | Oct 1 2024 11:14 utc | 8

At some point, each gentile will wake up to the fact that EVERY Jew is trying to either enslave them or kill them.

That is the reality so bluntly stated in the article Tanya provides us the link to.

When that happens, woe betide the Jews.

The only question for us gentiles is: “What will it take to wake us up?”

To my goy Brothers and Sisters - We have already lost what we once had, and now that we have nothing left, why would we not take up arms, both of the mind and the sword, and be willing to die for our posterity’s sake? Is this mortal life so precious that Slavery is preferable? You already know that a life spent under Jewish domination is no life at all. The first task: make sure ALL of us awake to the demonic Jewish threat. May God strengthen you. 🙏

Posted by: OldFart | Oct 1 2024 11:31 utc | 9

I agree -B-

“The Netanyahoo government will try its best to expand the war into Syria or, even further, ”

News today from TASS:
https://tass.com/politics/1850253

CONFLICT IN SYRIA
1 OCT, 03:13
“West set to stage chemical weapons use by Syria and Russia in Arab republic — SVR”

“According to the SVR data, "under the plan of the operation, militants will drop a mined chlorine canister from a UAV at the time of strikes by the Syrian army and Russia’s Aerospace Forces against the positions of terrorist groups in the Idlib de-escalation zone. Areas east of the city of Idlib are considered as the most probable place to stage the provocation“

A White Helmets video redux.
As they use their Idlib & Kurd terror proxies to creat international incident to shield terror attacks


Posted by: Trubind1 | Oct 1 2024 11:32 utc | 10

Posted by: Roger | Oct 1 2024 11:14 utc | 14

It is not only Israel that cannot fight a long war.

All the us/Nato wars go the same path.

Bomb everything you can from air superiority, the more civilians you kill, the best it is.

Ground action, if required, only with outstanding weapon superiority.

Kill some leader and declare victory, leave rubble behind.

Posted by: Mario | Oct 1 2024 11:32 utc | 11

At some point, each gentile will wake up to the fact that EVERY Jew is trying to either enslave them or kill them.

That is the reality so bluntly stated in the article Tanya provides us the link to.

When that happens, woe betide the Jews.

The only question for us gentiles is: “What will it take to wake us up?”

To my goy Brothers and Sisters - We have already lost what we once had, and now that we have nothing left, why would we not take up arms, both of the mind and the sword, and be willing to die for our posterity’s sake? Is this mortal life so precious that Slavery is preferable? You already know that a life spent under Jewish domination is no life at all. The first task: make sure ALL of us awake to the demonic Jewish threat. May God strengthen you. 🙏

Posted by: OldFart | Oct 1 2024 11:33 utc | 12

As Rodger @14 has pointed out, there is a few dogs not barking here.

The Nato or Nato trained army in Ukraine 2022 was not the same as the Ukraine army in 2014. Israel has likely learned a few lessons from its mistakes and does appear to have good intel.
But still early days yet.
Gaza kicked off with the defeat of the great southern offensive in Ukraine, Lebanon with the defeat of the Kursk offensive in Ukraine. This is not the izzies running amok but part of a US plan for the region.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 1 2024 11:36 utc | 13

Posted by: Lavieja | Oct 1 2024 10:56 utc | 11 "All that Israeli armour building up on the border should have been attacked with missiles"

We saw the video. When was it taken? How far from the border are the sites? Is the stuff still there?

After you know the above, of all the types of missiles Hezbollah has, which would you suggest Hezbollah uses? Remember, most of their missiles are unguided.

Posted by: Ed4 | Oct 1 2024 11:36 utc | 14


There is a video circulating of Israeli soldiers singing a prayer, upon the faces of these young soldiers is the imprinted impression of never returning alive.

Something to ponder…

Posted by: Mr.Ass | Oct 1 2024 11:39 utc | 15

In the end. This is still about the West vs Russia/China.

The West would rather move theatre out of EU and blow up ME instead. Besides, there’s no resources, oil, waterways like ME. I’m sure they figure total domination of ME means total global domination.

On another note:

“UAE President orders $100 million in aid for Lebanese people”

https://gulfnews.com/uae/government/uae-president-orders-100-million-in-aid-for-lebanese-people-1.104247626

No comment.

Posted by: Trubind1 | Oct 1 2024 11:43 utc | 16

When non-people believe as much of their own bullshit/Chutzpah as the jews do, a Great Unravelling is an ever-present danger.

The last time they ignored the warning signs they got holocausted, which they 'cleverly' re-wrote in pursuit of an uniquely Jewish version of "History."

Gilad Atzmon explains this cultural shortcoming in hilarious and exhaustive detail in his essay titled "Judea Declares War On Obama" from circa 2010.

Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Oct 1 2024 11:44 utc | 17

Posted by: Roger | Oct 1 2024 11:14 utc | 14 "The Israeli army hasn't fought a real war since its bloody nose in Lebanon in 2006"

I suspect that Israel has spent the last year training up for this operation (on top of what they have done over the past 18 years) and a bunch of the soldiers have months fighting experience in Gaza.

As to a long war, gaming this out, the historical records shows that the UN will likely demand a ceasefire in Lebanon not long after Israel enters in force. After a short delay Israel accepts, what does Hezbollah do?

Posted by: Ed4 | Oct 1 2024 11:45 utc | 18

Posted by: Roger | Oct 1 2024 11:14 utc | 14

SAM is an usefull defensive tools but are quite expansive and vulnerable targets as demonstrated in 404, not a long lasting asset against a foe with good ISR/EW capability as most systems require a radar tracking and very good mobility. Hence the BUK/S300 used by the kokhols relative longevity compared to patriot complexes : better mobility and semi-autonomous platforms.
Manpads don't have those vulnerabilities but most of "big bombs" drops are made beyond the usual mandpads range (>30000ft). The classic Igla/Strella/Stinger/Mistral are realy good at shooting mid/low flying heli/planes/cruise missiles. Unfortunately, those are available in limited quantities and are also quite expansive.
Plus there is another way to stop the bombing requiring "cheaper" missiles : bombing the airfields, a plane spend 5~10% of its life in the air at best ... everybody does it this way for numerous reasons , even the VKS :).

Posted by: Savonarole | Oct 1 2024 11:46 utc | 19

Like I said. Israel= Ukraine.

Posted by: SO | Oct 1 2024 11:51 utc | 20

RE: Posted by: Roger | Oct 1 2024 11:14 utc | 14

The “Israel Air Force” is hardly the only AF flying around atm. Laith Marouf, stated he was a fighter jet pilot and stated the number of sorties per plane per day, do not equate to the campaign currently being conducted by “Israel” and their air contingent.

US AF is neck high in assisting, with air campaign.
From Jordan & Bahrain.

Posted by: Trubind1 | Oct 1 2024 11:52 utc | 21

RE: “As to a long war, gaming this out, the historical records shows that the UN will likely demand a ceasefire in Lebanon not long after Israel enters in force. After a short delay Israel accepts, what does Hezbollah do?”

Posted by: Ed4 | Oct 1 2024 11:45 utc | 26

Adding to that, the “brave” UNFIL Peacekeepers are refusing to leave their posts, which means they don’t expect Zios to fire on them.
I’m certain that the calculation, as you stated, was for Israel to secure the “buffer zone” it seeks and have hand pick UNFIL troops stationed there while they call for peace.
The UAE money is probably pay off to get Lebanon Army to assist.

As far as a response to “what will Hezbollah do”…
Unknown.
But they are as capable of ignoring UNSC BS as USReal, so why not? Their homes and stuff are being blown to smithereens. They’d be fool to stop. IMO.

Posted by: Trubind1 | Oct 1 2024 12:01 utc | 22

ADAM
@AdameMedia
BREAKING:

57 Arab and Muslim countries offer Israel a PEACE DEAL.

Guaranteed security in exchange for a Palestinian state and an end of occupation.

The Jordanian FM expresses the Arab world is ready for peace but Israel refuses.


https://x.com/AdameMedia/status/1840655378452807750
Video at the link.

Posted by: Peter AU1 | Oct 1 2024 12:01 utc | 23

RANT
Western leaders are completly dum,
They distroy peoples country useing tax payers money, then they complain about refugees. And the tax payers money to look after them.
Starmer says his support for israel is "iron clad"
Starmer says get "tough on refugees" by "pulling out of the council of human rights"
Get tough on pensioners by stoping ther winter heating payment.
Oh and lets all be green. Exept with our mass murder and pillage.
Rant over.
I say time for a chainge of Labour party leadership already.

Posted by: Mark2 | Oct 1 2024 12:07 utc | 24

The spot and future oil prices indicate market belief that there is exactly zero chance of an interruption to the supply.
Go figure…

Posted by: necromancer | Oct 1 2024 12:16 utc | 25

future oil prices indicate

Posted by: necromancer | Oct 1 2024 12:16 utc | 35

---

Future prices reflect expected demand as much as they do supply.

Posted by: too scents | Oct 1 2024 12:21 utc | 26

"The spot and future oil prices indicate market belief that there is exactly zero chance of an interruption to the supply.
Go figure…"

Posted by: necromancer | Oct 1 2024 12:16 utc | 35

Don't be fooled by the spot prices they are being manipulated lower by the Fed till election time to help Kamala.

Spot prices are poor predicters of future events-for example in April of 2020 oil was trading at NEGATIVE $40 a barrel(1) -so, obviously, futures are not a good indicators of future prices of any commodity.


1. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=46336

Posted by: canuck | Oct 1 2024 12:24 utc | 27

regarding the amassing of IDF tanks close to the border... ready to go...propaganda of couse as part of Project-ef Fear.Perhaps not attacked yet by Hez as then their operatives andtunnels become exposed and IDF has a further excuse to cross the border(how dare they threaten us in our own land hysteria whipped up)and a reason to have a permanent buffer zone.

But maybe more morale boosting for Lebanon if the tanks are destroyed more within their own country.

Posted by: Jo | Oct 1 2024 12:30 utc | 28

Off topic, but I have to ask.

"When the European crusaders tried to colonialize the Levant they built some 37 large castles to hold to their gains."

Did they? I have a lot doubts about most of the history we have been given. To me, the history of castles worldwide often does not add up. For example, there are a lot of old castles on Okinawa, far more than that tiny island would seem to need.

https://japaninsides.com/exploring-okinawa-castles-15-must-visit-locations-44681

Posted by: Matt | Oct 1 2024 12:32 utc | 29

"UN will likely demand a ceasefire in Lebanon not long after Israel enters in force. After a short delay Israel accepts, what does Hezbollah do?” "

This is the scenario Norman Finkelstein postulated a couple of weeks ago based on what happened in 2006 war; Israel may demand a ceasefire after a lot of bombing and a short ground invasion, because, although Izzy soldiers find it fun to shoot Palestinian children in the head, they don't like fighting directly with Arab soldiers.

Other people have said IOF may get trapped inside Lebanon and may not be able to retreat so easily.

Posted by: Lavieja | Oct 1 2024 12:32 utc | 30

I can foresee possible scenarios in which Hezbollah may allow Israeli soldiers - even entire units of soldiers - to enter and penetrate quite deeply into southern Lebanon, especially into its valleys, before Hezbollah and allied forces cut them off from one another and their supply lines. Israeli soldiers will find themselves separated from one another and trapped in places - they will be cauldroned, in effect - where the enemy can fire down on and at them.

Posted by: Refinnejenna | Oct 1 2024 11:12 utc | 13

Why even do that when the IDF had very conveniently parked hundreds of units of armor literally touching each other right next to the border, i.e. the absolute perfect arrangement for them to be destroyed all at once with rockets and drones.

Had that been done in Ukraine by either side, all that force would have been a smoldering pile of rusted iron within minutes.

And yet Hezbollah didn't touch them? We all saw the pictures.

What the hell is going on here?

Then there is the other even bigger such issue:

The Israeli air force is the nation's premier fighting arm, with well trained pilots and overwhelming technological superiority vs. Hamas, Hezbollah and even Syria. I am a little stunned that there have not been drone attacks on the parked planes and airfields given how small Israel is, and that Hezbollah does not seem to have basic SAM capabilities - we will see.

Posted by: Roger | Oct 1 2024 11:14 utc | 14

Many people expected that on October 7th Hamas would make a beeline to within FPV range the airbases in southern Israel and destroy the planes on the ground with drones. Ukrainians would have done that immediately if they were ever so close to Russian airfields. That didn't happen though.

Then the next thing everyone expected was Hezbollah flying drone swarms and large missile salvos towards Israeli airfields and destroying the planes on the ground. And the mythical 358 missile doing what it is supposed to, i.e. taking out the US transport planes bringing in the JDAMs that were used to destroy Gaza. Unlike Russia, Israel has absolutely no strategic depth so it is extremely vulnerable to such attacks.

But none of that happened.

What did happen? Gaza was completely leveled, hundreds of thousands were killed, Hezbollah was decapitated, now Lebanon is being leveled too.

Also, one would have expect Hezbollah to sink the whole Israeli fleet. Now it is taking part of the attack on Lebanon too. And it too is not being attacked, although Hezbollah is supposed to have good anti-ship missiles.

One would have thought that after it became clear the Israeli agenda in Gaza is total genocide, there would be nothing left to lose and the full arsenal would finally be unleashed. And yet...

Can anyone explain why?

I see several possibilities:

1) The Resistance is seriously scared the nukes will come out soon. But what difference does that make when you look at what happened to Gaza? You are dead anyway. And Israel does not have sufficiently many nukes to kill all Muslims in the region - enough of their arsenal could be destroyed in a pre-emptive strike, then they might destroy some cities, but there will be a more than a sufficient force left to then march into the now defenseless Israel and slaughter everyone, and put an end to Israel. What is the alternative? The same but with an opposite sign being done by Israel.

2) Iranian elites decided to make some kind of a deal with the West and told everyone to stay in "restraint" mode regardless of them taking more and more serious punches.

3) The Kremlin ordered the Iranians to do it because the Kremlin is under the control of Russian oligarchs and most of those oligarchs are of you know what origin, plus internal Russian security is likely totally compromised along that line in a way that makes Hezbollah look like North Korea or the USSR under Stalin. And the Iranians can't do anything without Russia's backing, which they don't have.

What else is left?

In any case, it is clear where this is going.

It is very different this time - this is not one of the many "regular" wars that flared up repeatedly throughout the decades, i.e. Israel kills a bunch of people, the Arabs fire back a bit, there is some back-and-forth movement, then they go back to "peace", until the next time. What was done to Gaza is unprecedented and clearly demonstrates a radical shift of intent - from permanent low-intensity war to a final solution, those last two words being very deliberately chosen.

So again, what is there to lose at this point?

P.S. If you were Jewish and cared about Israel, you would be absolutely against what the current government is doing, because first, you would never want to become a blue-on-white star-of-David-wearing version of Nazi Germany as that will eventually degenerate into an absolute hellhole internally, yet this is exactly what is happening right now, and second, as outlined above, even if you shoot your full nuclear load, there will be enough very angry Muslims left to come and hunt you down to the last man. But 95% of Israelis are supporting current policies...


SAM is an usefull defensive tools but are quite expansive and vulnerable targets as demonstrated in 404, not a long lasting asset against a foe with good ISR/EW capability as most systems require a radar tracking and very good mobility. Hence the BUK/S300 used by the kokhols relative longevity compared to patriot complexes : better mobility and semi-autonomous platforms.
Manpads don't have those vulnerabilities but most of "big bombs" drops are made beyond the usual mandpads range (>30000ft). The classic Igla/Strella/Stinger/Mistral are realy good at shooting mid/low flying heli/planes/cruise missiles. Unfortunately, those are available in limited quantities and are also quite expansive.
Plus there is another way to stop the bombing requiring "cheaper" missiles : bombing the airfields, a plane spend 5~10% of its life in the air at best ... everybody does it this way for numerous reasons , even the VKS :).

Posted by: Savonarole | Oct 1 2024 11:46 utc | 27

That doesn't change the fact that Hezbollah was not provided any air defense. Iran has systems with sufficiently long range that can stop most of the JDAMs. Sure, they are not going to last forever, but at least have them there. No Russian planes are daring to fly over Ukraine for a third year in a row now, even after hundreds of AD systems were destroyed. But Lebanon is completely defenseless...

Posted by: 1917 | Oct 1 2024 12:34 utc | 31

Lavieja 31 above is referring back to posts 19 and 23.

Posted by: Lavieja | Oct 1 2024 12:36 utc | 32

"An Israeli ground invasion is exactly what Hizbullah has prepared for. It has readied its ambush sites. Its weapons and the people need to launch them are down in their well prepared bunkers."

I sincerely hope you're right. The recent weeks' set-back both for Iran and Hezbollah is not giving me much optimism that the Zionist would not win in the short term. The treachery or naivete that seems to bedevil both the Iranian authority and Hezbollah is taking a toll on my confidence.

Of course, the resistance would prevail in the long-run. But for now the only hope is that the Houthis would intensify their campaigns.

Posted by: Steve | Oct 1 2024 12:37 utc | 33

One wonders just how many US, UK, German etc satellites (deployed) - weapons and bombing sorties will be supplied to the Zionists to try and soften up Hezbollah.

The West is ugly place now - backing a genocide in Gaza - and aiding and abetting in the invasion of a sovereign nation Lebanon - I doubt they'll be deep and widespread sanctions placed on Israel, for invading a sovereign nation - like there has been on Russia.

I doubt Instagram or Facebook - will suspend their hate laws, to call for the deaths of Israeli's as they did with Russians - I doubt that Nato will blow up Israeli fuel pipelines.

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Oct 1 2024 12:40 utc | 34

"future oil prices indicate"

Posted by: necromancer | Oct 1 2024 12:16 utc | 35

---

"Future prices reflect expected demand as much as they do supply."

Posted by: too scents | Oct 1 2024 12:21 utc | 37

You guy don't understand the oil market.

The real trading is done in medium to long term contracts-the actual production versus the spot market illustrates that most spot market action is speculative not actual market making:

For example in 2011 there was ,3,250 in oil production, where 40,194 contracts were traded in oil contracts- 13 TIMES the production-speculation and manipulation--its called 'financialization' which the West is employing to its demise

Table 1: Physical and Financial Market Size of Major Commodities
2011, US$ billion
Physical market(a) Financial market (exchange-traded)
Annual
production
Annual
exports
Annual
turnover
Open
interest(b)
Oil 3 250 2 211 40 194 288
Natural gas 1 578 530 3 160 38
Coal 1 203 187 40 3
Iron ore 318 164 8(d) 1(d)
Rice(c) 285 22 58 1
Corn(c) 245 27 2 865 48
Wheat(c) 200 43 1 257 27
Copper 173 51(e) 13 726 93
Gold 139 156(e) 9 362 85
Soybeans(c) 119 45 6 540 70
Sugar(c) 93 32 3 614 28
(a) RBA estimates based on volumes and indicative world prices (1)

1.https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2012/sep/pdf/bu-0912-8.pdf


Posted by: canuck | Oct 1 2024 12:40 utc | 35

Iraq is to send thousand of fighters - to aid Hezbollah in Lebanon in the fight against the IOF's ground invasion.

https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2024/09/20/733639/Kata-ib-Sayyid-al-Shuhada-says-ready-to-send-fighters-from-Iraq-to-Lebanon#:~:text=The%20secretary%20general%20of%20Iraq's%20Kata'ib%20Sayyid%20al-Shuhada%20says%20the

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Oct 1 2024 12:45 utc | 36

Posted by: António Ferrão | Oct 1 2024 10:55 utc | 4

Bullshit citation and you know it. The izzies does not suffer from superiority complex, they know they are quite physically ugly as people, it's rather control and propagate nepotistically at all cost mentality while running the world - AIPAC/ADL/Jewlliwood entertainment complex in US and the friends of israel parliamentary groups in UK (80-90% membership in all parties) in UK - and damn the consequences.

Posted by: Boo | Oct 1 2024 12:48 utc | 37

Posted by: Trubind1 | Oct 1 2024 11:32 utc | 11
\
RE: White Helmets/fake gas attack

Are they still running the stupid playbook from 2012? The one that didn't work back when Obama and HRC were roaming the Beltway?

That shit won't even make page 6 of Business Insider. Bibi's gone ground and sucked all the oxygen out of the room.

Just gas those astroturfed CIA/Mossad assets already. Do it for realz.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Oct 1 2024 12:48 utc | 38

"When the European crusaders tried to colonialize the Levant they built some 37 large castles to hold to their gains."

Did they? I have a lot doubts about most of the history we have been given.

Posted by: Matt | Oct 1 2024 12:32 utc | 30

I haven't checked whether b has the figure precisely right, but it's approximately so. The crusaders built a lot of new castles, mainly occupied by one or another of the military orders, precisely because they lacked sufficient demographic manpower to protect the territory, a strategy that didn't work in the end. But their aspect was largely transformed by new additions after the reconquest. All were reused and transformed under the Mamluks, e.g. Crac des Chevaliers.

Posted by: laguerre | Oct 1 2024 12:49 utc | 39

29 Jo. "Perhaps not attacked yet by Hez as then their operatives and tunnels become exposed and IDF has a further excuse to cross the border(how dare they threaten us in our own land hysteria whipped up)and a reason to have a permanent buffer zone."

But...

Except that Hez has been firing missiles into the Israeli settlements for some time causing the displacement of 10s of 1000s of settlers?

Posted by: Lavieja | Oct 1 2024 12:49 utc | 40

same modus operandi ...."proposals" of peace talks designed to get Hez thinking so they called for a meeting of Nasrullah and senior staff.. a technique like the pagers to identify Hez operatives coming together then target. Nasrullah was found at the bottom of the bombed crater 40 metres deep.

Posted by: Jo | Oct 1 2024 12:53 utc | 41

Retaliatory strikes against the Zionists - for those who like to read this kind of info.

"The major operations carried out by the Palestinian and regional resistance groups on Monday, September 30, are as follows:

Al-Qassam Brigades’ operations on Sept. 30:

Detonated a minefield prepared in advance against an Israeli military engineering force in the Al-Fakhari area, east of Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip.
Targeted and destroyed two Israeli military personnel carriers, a Merkava tank, and two D9 military bulldozers with explosive devices and Al-Yassin 105 shells in the Al-Fakhari area east of Khan Younis city in the southern Gaza Strip.
Al-Quds Brigades’ operations on Sept. 30:

Targeted a concentration of Israeli soldiers in the vicinity of the Palace of Justice building on the "Netzarim" axis with 107mm rockets.
Targeted the positions of Israeli military commanders in the "Abu Oriban” site and the vicinity of the Turkish Hospital in the "Netzarim" axis with 107mm rockets and heavy-caliber mortar shells.
Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades’ operations on Sept. 30:

Shelled a position of Israeli soldiers on the supply line in the "Netzarim" axis with a short-range barrage of 107mm rockets.
Hezbollah's operations on Sept. 30:

Targeted an Israeli infantry force at the "Al-Sadah" site with artillery shells.
Targeted the "Naoura" base with a salvo of Fadi 2 rockets.
Targeted the occupied city of "Safad" with a rocket barrage.
Targeted the settlement of "Gesher Haziv" with a rocket barrage.
Targeted the "Sa’ar* settlement with a rocket barrage.
Targeted the settlement of "Kabri" with a rocket salvo.
Targeted the "Kfar Giladi" settlement with a Noor missile.
Targeted a gathering of Israeli soldiers in "Beit Sida" with rockets.
Targeted a gathering of Israeli soldiers in the "Yiftah" settlement with rockets.
Targeted a gathering of Israeli soldiers in the "Al-Zaourah" military base with a rocket salvo.
Targeted northeast of occupied Haifa with a salvo of Fadi 1 rockets.
Targeted the movements of Israeli soldiers in the orchards opposite the towns of Adaisseh and Kfar Kila with appropriate weapons.
Yemeni military’s operations on Sept. 30:

Shot down An American MQ09 drone in Saada governorate with air defenses, 11th such drone downed since the start of pro-Gaza operations by Lebanon.
Islamic Resistance in Iraq’s operations on Sept. 30:

Launched an Al-Arqab missile and drones at vital Israeli military targets in occupied Palestinian territories.
Targeted a vital Israeli military target in occupied Haifa with a barrage of drones.
Targeted a vital Israeli military target in the port of occupied Haifa with a barrage of drones.
Targeted a vital Israeli military target in the heart of occupied territories with drones."

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Oct 1 2024 12:54 utc | 42

If Ukraine war was built on a million lies, this one will be a million million.

If Ukraine war utilized terror and hypocrisy, this war will surpass it.

If Ukraine prepared us for future war, this war will demonstrate it.

Posted by: Nothingburgers | Oct 1 2024 12:55 utc | 43

Other than outright threatening to stop the flow of ammunition and money to Israel, it is highly doubtful whether the Biden Administration ever had much say in any IDF escalation into Lebanese for this latest Middle East war..

For the present time, Israel has temporarily decapitated both the Hezbollah and Hamas leadership. It would only make strategic sense for the IDF to now take advantage of their enemy’s predicament and attack both Gaza and Lebanon.

So, Netanyahu can safely ignore the age addled & blowhard Joe Biden’s belated calls for any ceasefires. Israel should instead attack now, attack vigorously, and most importantly, attack while the entire Islamic world is still in disarray. Their window of opportunity will soon close.

Let both sides in the new war without mercy each get what they and their families most deserve.

Posted by: Packard | Oct 1 2024 13:04 utc | 44

Lebanon is a US ally.
State--
. . .Since 2006, the United States has provided more than $5.5 billion in total foreign assistance to Lebanon. Specifically, the United States has provided more than $3 billion in assistance since 2006 to address both economic support and security needs. This assistance aims to strengthen strategic partners such as Lebanon’s security forces; ensure key services reach the Lebanese people; preserve the multi-sectarian character of Lebanon; and counter Hizballah’s narrative and influence. Support for Lebanon’s security agencies and other strategic partners remains at the core of our efforts to preserve stability while countering and delegitimizing Hizballah’s false narrative and justification for retaining its arms in Lebanon and in the region.. . .here

Posted by: Don Bacon | Oct 1 2024 13:05 utc | 45

Posted by: Packard | Oct 1 2024 13:04 utc | 45

Moishe, you need a thorough fumigation. The first time not enough of your brethren were killed, second time will be a nuclear one.

Posted by: Boo | Oct 1 2024 13:07 utc | 46

The Apartheid State has many friends in the Muslim Arab world....yes, bought and paid for with Palestinian Blood. Peace deal? Fucking cowards!

Cheers M

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Oct 1 2024 13:10 utc | 47

I am really surprised that Sachs, Ritter and others dont discuss the religious influence on the fundamentalists forming the Isr gov...and for that matter those in the US too.
Sects represent a lot of money and identity politics is entirely based on how to attract certain voters.

Posted by: Minaa | Oct 1 2024 13:13 utc | 48

Lebanon is being fumigated of Hezbollah cockroaches. They are scattering to the wind. Nothing stopping Israel. The juden win.

Posted by: Bob | Oct 1 2024 13:13 utc | 49

Frontline reporting is going to be sketchy for obvious reasons.

At present I make out occupation positioned near border and under sporadic rocket attack.

Incursions were tested and were repelled.

Lebanese army present, coordinating with UNIFIL.

Residents up to Litani advised to secure themselves by Lebanese govt.


As noted, the declared aim is to force Hezballah into a ceasefire monitored by UNIFIL and Lebanese govt. , and if not to clear a buffer zone to Litani.


As the first is not likely at all, is known to be unworkable, the real aim is to clear up to Litani and remove Hezballah from Lebanese politics.

Killed by "Israel"

https://t.me/youseffares19/51814

Posted by: Ornot | Oct 1 2024 13:18 utc | 50

Posted by: sean the leprechaun | Oct 1 2024 13:10 utc | 48

Yes, many disgusting sellouts and weak leaders. They are groveling like simps for a peace deal. Fight, you cowards!

The only ones with any balls seem to be Erdogan and MBS, but the former is duplicitous and triangulates. The latter is famous for the "bone saw" treatment of a US journalist.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Oct 1 2024 13:19 utc | 51

Lebanon doesn't hit that parked armor because they want Israel to do a ground invasion.

Once that happens the gloves can come off. Everything Lebanon does will be self-defense.

The Axis will always try to observe international law because it gives them the moral and rhetorical high ground which is a brilliant counter to Western Infowar that transcends all language barriers.

I get it. Just hit the troops!!!!

And become a prisoner of the moment exactly as the Zionists want them to.

Restraint is also a weapon.

As PeterAU1 has written, this is a complex scheme cooked up with the Americans, not a casual skirmish. America has gone all in for Middle Eastern dominance in the latest colonial resource grab.

America is hollowed out and losing financial dominance. Desperate creatures are the most dangerous.

The scope and magnitude of what is occurring is closer to the invasion of Iraq than to the non-stop bombing of Gaza.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Oct 1 2024 13:20 utc | 52

Hezbolla (like Hamas) has had years to prepare for this war. What is clear is that both have failed absolutely. The first and primary purpose of any legitimate armed force is the PROTECTION of its citizens from death and destruction.
Israel has demonstrated that the Axis of resistance is nothing more than paper tigers.

Where are the pre-supplied shelters, safe zones and other obvious examples of caring for the needs of the civilian populations the Axis of Resistance pretends to defend. The populations know that nothing 0 zilch has been done to provide anything for their survival.

B’s reliance on the history of the crusades is about as relevant as the Khazar fantasies of the anti-semites.

Posted by: Zargp | Oct 1 2024 13:22 utc | 53

"Lebanon doesn't hit that parked armor because they want Israel to do a ground invasion.

Once that happens the gloves can come off. Everything Lebanon does will be self-defense.

The Axis will always try to observe international law because it gives them the moral and rhetorical high ground which is a brilliant counter to Western Infowar that transcends all language barriers."

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Oct 1 2024 13:20 utc | 53

You hit the nail on the head.

Posted by: canuck | Oct 1 2024 13:22 utc | 54

Posted by: Packard | Oct 1 2024 13:04 utc | 45

Moishe, you need a thorough fumigation. The first time not enough of your brethren were killed, second time will be a nuclear one.

Posted by: Boo | Oct 1 2024 13:07 utc | 47

--------------------------------------------

It is so disgusting what is going on here.

My harmless inquiries about what is happening in the Kursk region are immediately deleted and I am insulted and abused in the worst possible way by the MOA-BLOCKWART Peter AO 01.

Posted by: guest from franconia | Oct 1 2024 13:27 utc | 55

Oh, wow! The hasbarists are coming out in the droves to try to convince us that Hizbullah is defeated, a narrative which is far from obvious. Tactical victory from 160 tons of bombs yes, strategic victory, nowhere near.

Posted by: laguerre | Oct 1 2024 13:30 utc | 56

If I was Hezbollah, I'd try to find a dud HARM missile and copy its guidance system. Then, build long range drones with cameras and small beacon transmitters. Land them on various targets visually and switch on the beacons. Fire the missiles calibrated for the precision and frequency. No more dumb Katyushas.

Posted by: Eighthman | Oct 1 2024 13:32 utc | 57

Posted by: canuck | Oct 1 2024 12:24 utc | 28 "Don't be fooled by the spot prices they are being manipulated lower by the Fed till election time to help Kamala."

How does the Fed do that?


Posted by: Ed4 | Oct 1 2024 13:33 utc | 58

"When the European crusaders tried to colonialize the Levant they built some 37 large castles to hold to their gains."

"Did they? I have a lot doubts about most of the history we have been given."

Posted by: Matt | Oct 1 2024 12:32 utc | 30

"I haven't checked whether b has the figure precisely right, but it's approximately so. The crusaders built a lot of new castles, mainly occupied by one or another of the military orders, precisely because they lacked sufficient demographic manpower to protect the territory, a strategy that didn't work in the end. But their aspect was largely transformed by new additions after the reconquest. All were reused and transformed under the Mamluks, e.g. Crac des Chevaliers."

Posted by: laguerre | Oct 1 2024 12:49 utc | 40

In 2010 I visited Krak de Chevaliers with my friend and his mother. As you know alcohol in Suria is not really available except in tourist spots.

We were travelling all day and I and my friend got real thirsty. I told John, my friend, that I know there is alcohol somewhere in this castle-he laughed at me.

I took some steps and climbed up to the very, very top of the castle and, guess what was there ...a bar!! Soon my buddy and I, were happy once more.

On the same trip I was in Aleppo and got a tour of a small Catholic Church by a priest. The beautiful church was financed by Theodosius the Great - in 380 AD. The priest told me that they had held mass continually every Sunday since tyhen-85,000 Sundays.

Two years later I saw that the Church had been destroyed by US led insurgents as I was watching CNN.

Posted by: canuck | Oct 1 2024 13:35 utc | 59

1917@32

The existential question, the one which explains much of what has gone before the last twenty plus years, is whether Vladimir Putin is a partially Jewish Russian, or a partially Russian Jew. He seems to want to be the latter.

The only Air Defense Lebanon needs is in Syria operated by the Russians. The Russians are unable or unwilling to use this against their masters in Israel. Syria itself has paid the price.

Putin and Russia struggle against Western intrigue - the victory over the West would have been won if Putin had simple shot down ONE Israeli F35 carrying on an airstrike against Damascus... chew over the implications that would have had.

Posted by: Simpleton | Oct 1 2024 13:35 utc | 60

I am insulted and abused
Posted by: guest from franconia | Oct 1 2024 13:27 utc | 56

The concern troll cries as he strikes you, lmao. Weeb union and Dima says nut up or shut up.

Posted by: 2TonCat | Oct 1 2024 13:35 utc | 61

@54 You are declaring victory, that would seem very stupid.

The history of today will be written well into the future, including of who were the aggressors and who the defenders.

The history of the Crusades, the history of colonialism, the history of Arab conquest in europe, they all say the same thing.

Only in regions where the entire local population were decimated (the US or Australia for example) did colonialism succeed.

The middle east is a large place, the US is a long way away, and globalism is nowhere.

Posted by: Ornot | Oct 1 2024 13:38 utc | 62

Lebanon is a US ally.
State--
. . .Since 2006, the United States has provided more than $5.5 billion in total foreign assistance to Lebanon.

Posted by: Don Bacon | Oct 1 2024 13:05 utc | 46

You haven't quite got the point, Don. The aid was intended to hobble the Lebanese armed forces, not to supply them, so that they could never stand up to an Israeli attack. Only light reconnaissance planes were supplied to the airforce, of the style of Cessnas which private pilots fly, nothing which could face Israel. No AA missiles. No heavy artillery. That's why the armed wing of Hizbullah has nothing to do with state's military.

Posted by: laguerre | Oct 1 2024 13:38 utc | 63

US has indications that Iran is preparing missile attack against Israel - report

Barak Ravid
@BarakRavid

Senior White House Official:“We are actively supporting defensive preparations to defend Israel against this attack. A direct military attack from Iran against Israel will carry severe consequences for Iran

Posted by: grid5 | Oct 1 2024 13:42 utc | 64

https://www.youtube.com/@DanielDavisDeepDive/streams

I can highly recommend the neutral and profound analysis of Lt. Col. Daniel Davies. Honest work by a highly decorated officer and fighter.

Posted by: guest from franconia | Oct 1 2024 13:43 utc | 65

Posted by: Ornot | Oct 1 2024 13:18 utc | 51 "Incursions were tested and were repelled."

Looks like Israel has been in and out of South Lebanon for months according the videos just released by the IDF.

here is one posting: https://x.com/i/status/1841089759898149203 and another: https://x.com/Doron_Kadosh/status/1841089424068624616

Then this says, well, the IDF is in Lebanon in a much bigger way.

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1841087314660864236

but that is a big claim and I haven't seen anything else to back it up yet.

Posted by: Ed4 | Oct 1 2024 13:43 utc | 66

Yes! I don't know much about how to fight a war,

Posted by: Lavieja | Oct 1 2024 10:56 utc | 5

You should have stopped there. Not only that, you clearly lack understanding of geopolitical realities and economics.
Russia is the largest nuclear power on earth and arguably has the highest current level of military technology. It is not just integrated into an expanding network of economic allies opposed to the Hegemon, it is one of the leaders of that network. Time is entirely on Russia's side, because their defenses have global depth, and their retaliatory abilities have global reach. The meta-processes of economic change grind on in Russia's favor, regardless of battlefield events.

Hezbollah is not in the same position. It is a relatively small group within a small nation. It is not a nuclear power and its access to weapons even two or three generations behind Russia's is very limited. They have a 'deep rear' in international support, but the logistical problems make this unable to support a protracted all-out war. The Zionist occupation force has nukes, and a significantly greater logistical rear that can only be interdicted a few miles from Israel's zone of control.

Comparing the tactical opportunities of Hezbollah to the tactical opportunities of Russia is just absurd, they take place in completely different operational and strategic environments with completely different means and correlation of forces.

As yourself this: What would be the consequences of a pre-emptive mass missile attack on Israeli armor in its forward staging areas? Either it would be very effective vis a vis the formations seen, or not. If it was very effective, it's very likely that the US would openly operate against Hezbollah. It's well within the realm of possibility that Israel would reply with nukes, especially if the US did not enter the war.

If the attack was ineffective- which is likely, given the specific means Hezbollah is known to have- it might still invoke either of the responses above, and it would advertise a 'weakness' to the world. Hezbollah's strategy has been developed with realistic attention to their own capabilities and that of Israel and its potential allies. They have been poking at Israel with very small escalations that scare the Israelis, but don't activate the US. They have done this because they WANT Israel to invade on the ground, where Hezbollah has defeated them before and has been preparing to defeat them again. Why would they pre-empt their own plans?

Posted by: Honzo | Oct 1 2024 13:45 utc | 67

Posted by: Ed4 | Oct 1 2024 13:33 utc | 59

The Fed doesn't need to do anything. The owners of the Fed, private banks like JP Morgan and Bank of America, can naked short the futures.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Oct 1 2024 13:49 utc | 68

@ laguerre | Oct 1 2024 13:38 utc | 64
Again, my point was that Lebanon is a US ally. Hobbled armed forces are a US standard.

Posted by: Don Bacon | Oct 1 2024 13:55 utc | 69

Has Israel been bombing Syrian radar sites so they can more easily operate over Syria in case Iran attacks them before long? Iranian drones transiting Syrian airspace before getting to the Israeli border or first crossing Lebanon's airspace and then crossing into Israel?

Posted by: Ed4 | Oct 1 2024 14:03 utc | 70

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Oct 1 2024 13:49 utc | 69

Shorting futures, expecially naked is a wise move if you know where the price will go.

If the price go the wrong side you will loose and, depending of the number of contracts, you will loose big.

By the way there is always the other side of the trade.

Posted by: Mario | Oct 1 2024 14:04 utc | 71

I wouldn't count the Zios out so easliy. Its a different world and warfare has changed. Hiding in bunkers, fighting from bunkers in this age of technoglogy may not be as sustainable as in the past conflict. You can do some damage and draw blood but in the long term it does not look so good IMHO

The zios will be happy bombing them for decades or as long as they hold power. Look at the list of countries that have been smashed up in the region in the last 20 years. Look at Syria for an example of what South Lebanaon will look like. Take a look at Gaza. That is what South Lebanon will look like in the future. Demolished infrastruture, unlivable in any sence of modern civilization. Scrabbling around for some fresh water and food. They are taking it all out.

Always waiting for the next drone or air strike. Unending layers of munitions laid down from the air. Sleeping outside as they use their AI to target specific families supporting Hezbollah.

Besides that who is backing them? The blowhard Perians? The blowhard Turks? The Sunnis? Jordan? Egypt? Its all talk, its all bullshit. Yemen, well seasoned and at a vital chokehold is their only real help. Their infrastruture will suffer as well and more than it already has.

Too much blood has been spilled by them for there every to be a reconciliation in our lifetimes. Too much money spread around, too much well organized intrigue, to much dependance on yankee dollars. What a fucking useless tragedy.

Plomo O Plata as we say south of the border. The powers in the region always ask themselves this question always - Who can make war against the BEAST?

Posted by: circumpsect | Oct 1 2024 14:07 utc | 72

@ b who wrote
"
Without the full support of the U.S. Israel will fail to become the regional superpower it is striving to be.

With full U.S. support their might be a chance, a small one though, for Israel to win this round.
"

I see the US and Occupied Palestine as parts of the same empire. If there is the failure of Occupied Palestine, empire collapses along with it. Maybe not immediately but quickly.

I am not sure what more full US support would look like except for US planes and pilots dropping the US bombs instead of Occupied Palestine pilots in US supplied planes.

Otherwise we are in MAD land
Iran is under Russia/China nuke umbrella and I expect Syria is there as well.
Occupied Palestine INVASION of Lebanon give the axis of resistance all out right to destroy the invading forces.....are those invading forces going to expand to be US?

We are seeing limited boots in Ukraine. Will we see more here? And what difference will it make?....none, except dig the death hole of empire deeper.

The shit show continues until it doesn't and I am happy to see little glints of reality peaking through the fog.....humanity is now over 8 billion and the idea of a God Of Mammon cult continuing to maintain a jackboot over all is delusional. We are now seeing that delusion, which mankind has lived for centuries, come to an end.....multipolarity already exists and won't go back in any genie bottle.

Lets hear it for progress in the art of remaking social organization sausage!

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 1 2024 14:09 utc | 73

"Posted by: Ed4 | Oct 1 2024 13:33 utc | 59

The Fed doesn't need to do anything. The owners of the Fed, private banks like JP Morgan and Bank of America, can naked short the futures.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Oct 1 2024 13:49 utc | 69"

I get lost on spot & futures & other stock terms, so don't know if this fits, but...

...my understanding is that the FEDeral government (ie, the Biden group) has been manipulating retail prices lower by selling off our strategic national reserve. Once the sElection is over, the selloff will end & prices jump.

Posted by: Mary | Oct 1 2024 14:10 utc | 74

@ Mario | Oct 1 2024 14:04 utc | 72

If the banks lose really big, they’ll either be made whole by confiscating the assets of their unsecured creditors — that is, you and me — or by being bailed out yet again by the US government — that is, you and me, but less directly.

The former became an option thanks to the Dodd-Frank “banking reform”.

So really, there’s no risk for the banks.

Posted by: malenkov | Oct 1 2024 14:14 utc | 75

globalsouth.co has an article by Elijah J Magnier how Nasrullah was targeted...Pepe Escobar has an article up at Strategic Culture Foundation written Saturday-Sunday..

Posted by: Jo | Oct 1 2024 14:18 utc | 76

@Mary

A naked short means you are short-selling something you don't own. To short a stock, or commodity, normally you have to 1. borrow it first, then 2. sell it, and 3. buy to cover when the price (hopefully) goes lower.

Big banks get away with skipping the first step. It is illegal for you and me, but they have different rules.

The Fed's job is to debase the currency.

The metals' (gold, silver) job is to be a barometer for how badly the debasement is going. Right now, metal are telling us that inflation is coming and the Fed screwed the pooch with their simpering appeasement of Wall St.

The big banks try to suppress the price of metals to run interference for the Fed and bamboozle the common man.

Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Oct 1 2024 14:21 utc | 77

Al Manar has this posted 41 minutes ago

Hezbollah Media Relations Officer Mohammad Afif said on Tuesday that the strike near Tel Aviv was “just the beginning”, refuting claims that arms are hidden under civilian structures.

In an interview with Al-Jazeera, Afif commented on Tuesday strike Hezbollah’s Islamic Resistance fighters carried out, targeting Galilot Base belonging to the Israeli Military Intelligence Unit 8200 and the Mossad headquarters located in the suburb of Tel Aviv with Fadi-4 missiles.

“The strike on Unit 8200 and the Mossad HQ is just the beginning,” he said.

The media officer, meanwhile, denied all claims of Israeli incursion into Lebanon.

“All Zionist claims that enemy forces have allegedly crossed the border are lies. There has been no direct ground engagement yet between the resistance fighters and the occupation forces.”

In this context, Afif stressed that the Islamic Resistance fighters “are fully ready to engage with the enemy and inflict heavy losses upon them.” [my bold]

Invasion or not? Too soon to tell?

Posted by: psychohistorian | Oct 1 2024 14:22 utc | 78

"The Biden administrations is in full support of the invasion."

A better and accurate statement would be: "The administrations is in full support of the invasion." This some Hunger games shit.

Posted by: Dogon Priest | Oct 1 2024 14:22 utc | 79

Again innocent Lebanonese civilians will be shot on sight in Southern Lebanon, you can bet your lunch on it.

The same fascists who murdered UN relief workers, doctors, nurses, EMT's, ambulance drivers, firefighters, civil police officers, civil servants and foreign medical volunteers in Gaza are now invading Lebanon. It will be the same result, the destruction of Catholic Churches and Muslim Mosques, destruction of schools and shelters, sniper killings of farmers in their own fields and orchards.

All the work of the psychopathic murderer Bibi and his blood thirty War Cabinet and the war criminals in the IDF, enabled by the now totally senile Joe Biden...............and his SOS Toni Blinken-sky.......

This will be a far more difficult fight than in Gaza, this terrain is rough and mountainous, a perfect setting for ambushes with ATGM Kornet missiles and Lancet drones and plenty of mines and bobby traps............comeuppance is on the way....

Posted by: Tobias Cole | Oct 1 2024 14:23 utc | 80

Jeez folks … lmy opinion is that it still seems to be a ‘feint’ - a false move to attract a response. All reports since yesterday evening claiming they had invaded - the US state claimed it, then changed its mind. Are there any confirmations?

Or is It is just the huffing and puffing by the big bad entity wolf threatening to blow down the houses of the Semetic peoples of the Levant that it invaded last century?

Why? I think two reasons.

First being to divert attention from the inevitable defeat of the natzios in their epic and long planned Ukropian adventures- which has failed to even return the jewel of the khazar empire - Crimea ; let alone the collapse of the RF and it’s largest land mass and resources in EurAsia. Again.

The Bankers are going to loose it all along with our deluded westerners pension funds and savings ; they will try to escape and shapeshift and pass the blame. Always look for a scapegoat!

Second. They need a military attack by the Iranians or Syrians or anyone-for-gods-sakes so that the dying , hollowed out , Anglo European nations and any dumb satraps can be forced to put their boots on the ground and retain that ziofascist dream at the crossroads of the worlds main land masses.

The western leaderships and media are wholly controlled and ready to do their part, but the populations will not go to war easily without being ‘attacked’. An excuse is needed to unleash the only weapons that they possess with any strategic value. And put body bag fodder on the ground.

Followed by a new iron curtain stretching across the world and managed by digital chains and walls for a Golden Billion deluded Collective Wasters hiding from the 85% of humanity supposedly in the Jungle!

The historic failures of the wars from the last century to take Russia and Win The Great Game , ownership of Mackinders World Island, led to the dumbest imperialist colonisation at the end of WW2 as a consolation prize - The Levant.

Imposing a brutal ziofascist mindset and barbarism from day one, an extermination of the ancient Semetic peoples and history; by the white supremacist Anglo European imposing the illegal Apartheid Entity in The Levant for their khazar masters.

The expansion of the ersatz khazar empire in the Levant is their last chance of glory and imperial retention.

That ersatz Great Game too, has failed in the last decade. After two and half decades of trying to take the seven countries (initially in 5 years). Thanks to the mindfulness , support and friendship of the multipolarists.

So the feint to get the ancient civilised peoples to make a move first, attack, invade …to claim some moral high ground of self defence…The murders the brutality the assassinations…

All provocation has been resisted professionally, thanks to the steady Will of the rising multipolar new world order - a Law based one. Not a made up Rules one that the last half a millennia has made the Human Condition what it was.

If the Collective West Invades the Lebanon, or Iran or Syria then STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP treaties between the multipolarists take immediate effect.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Oct 1 2024 14:25 utc | 81

6 months ago today, the first of April, Israel bombed Iranian embassy in Damascus. Look how much has transpired since then, with continued escalation and provocations. Today’s start of a ground campaign is at the new moon which is the beginning of the New Year (rosh-hashana).

Posted by: Nothingburgers | Oct 1 2024 14:25 utc | 82

SHELTER IN PLACE BY US STATE DEPARTMENT IN ISRAEL

As a result of the current security situation, the U.S. Embassy has directed all U.S. government employees and their family members to shelter in place until further notice

Posted by: grid5 | Oct 1 2024 14:29 utc | 83

October seventeenth is the Hunters” Moon, the full moon after the equinox.

How will the USA enter this war openly and directly?
One possibility could follow the recent Ukraine proposal that called for Nato to shootdown Russian weapons, but this was called untenable, as Russia might counterstrike, broadening the conflict. Here the circumstances are not the same as Iran will only defend itself from attack, and will not counterstrike should the Empire act as flyswatter for Israel. What do you think?

Posted by: Nothingburgers | Oct 1 2024 14:41 utc | 84

Here is the truth

"Netanyahu holds situation assessment session following warnings of imminent Iranian attack

Israeli official says they may launch preemptive attack on Iran"

Posted by: Ornot | Oct 1 2024 14:41 utc | 85

Where are the FPV drones of Hezbollah?, have them not seen the thousands of videos in internet with the efficacy of these little machines to wreak havoc on modern tanks, armor columns and concentrations of trucks and troops after almost 3 years from the start of the SMO in Ukraine?

They should be sending dozens or hundreds of small FPV drones to the child-murderers concentrations of armor and troops just in the other side of the fence and destroying them at will, for sure most on them must be in open terrain, and this method is much more effective than blind katyusha and guns.

I do not know what the heck the Hezb fighters have been making last 2,5 years or even las 11 months if they don't have a huge arsenal of cheap and effective FPV drones.

Or may ne is one of the surprises they are keeping for a real invasion in full force.

Posted by: Dave | Oct 1 2024 14:41 utc | 86

Canuck 60 - great post. Yes the US actively allows the IDF to destroy Catholic Churches just like they did Kurds in Iraq.

The IDF used US ordinance to strike and destroy the Holy Name Church, school and community center in Gaza City, after the IDF murdered parishioners on their way to mass. A clear war crime.

Later they allowed the destruction of St. Porphryius Greek Cathedral in Gaza City also, that Cathedral was over 1200 years old. They also destroyed the school and community center. Yet another clear war crime. Dozens in the church were killed in the attack.

The same actions will occur in Lebanon......count on it........the IDF dropped 160 tons of US M84 bunker buster bombs on one South Beirut neighborhood, destroying it, murdering thousands of civilians, without any protest from the WH.

No IDF personnel have ever been charged in these horrendous attacks..........

Posted by: Tobias Cole | Oct 1 2024 14:41 utc | 87

A few words about the traitorous ‘Arabs’

The only success the Collective West ziofascists had was the Saudis and emirates ; the tiny population of ancient slave owners, breeders & traders and their desert transportation camel trains - the only function those ‘Arabs’ ever had - brutal, venal , land pirates - the equivalent of the khazar land pirates that dominated the Silk Road since Roman Times!

The capture of the Muslim religion as a mask to control the MENA. Well mostly the Sunni deluded.

Those Arabs made rich beyond any measure by being put in charge of the Oil and Gas reserves by the Seven Sisters over a hundred years ago , through Sykes-Picot abracadabra which has allowed the ownership and exploitation of these stole resources and the impoverishment of the actual local ancient civilisations. The Persians, The Golden Crescent.

Those traitorous Arab sheiks know they are next - they are the ‘banderists’ in the region to the khazarian Anglo European ‘nazios’ !

They too will suffer the punishment for their crimes over the century. They are unable to jump to the multipolar knowing they are mere pawns and have no such agency.

Everything they say and do must therefore be taken with a pinch of salt and in no way relied upon. If you let them they will stab you in your sleep rape your wives and daughters and sons - they like that.

Then enslave whoever lives, your boys and girls. They will steal all your possessions - most of all your goats and camels - really the only ‘livestock ’ that only ever interested these ancient bastard rootless sand dwellers.

Grrr.

Posted by: DunGroanin | Oct 1 2024 14:42 utc | 88

At the very least these Zionazis will get a taste of real combat. I'm sick of watching these zios doing touchdown dances after killing babies and women with the touch of a button.

Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Oct 1 2024 14:45 utc | 90

Hunters’ Moon will fall one month after the Apollo terror attack of September seventeen, and ten days after the one-year anniversary of 7/10 (10/7), should we anticipate a conclusion to the Pager attack, like a falseflag or worse?

Posted by: Nothingburgers | Oct 1 2024 14:47 utc | 91

I commented in an earlier thread on the reasons why it is does not fit the strategic plans of Russia, China or Iran to become embroiled in a Middle Eastern war, and how their lack of direct action is a sign of strategic focus and institutional maturity rather than of any "weakness". The tactically successful, but strategically self-defeating, actions of the US and its vassal Israel are signs of real weakness and relative decline.

I expanded on this in an article on my substack, Russia, Chinese and Iranian Strategy: The RIC alliance practices strategic patience: time is on their side.

The RIC (Russia, Iran, China) are the centre of resistance to the Western Empire, and must not be undermined; with BRINCISSTAN (Belarus, Russia, Iran, North Korea, China, Iraq, Syria and the Stans) as its extended hinterland.

Posted by: Roger | Oct 1 2024 14:51 utc | 92

@ DunGroanin | Oct 1 2024 14:42 utc | 89

This is all true, but you’re forgetting the US-UK satrap that runs Jordan and the thug who couped Egypt’s democratically elected president. For that matter, you could toss the kapo quisling at the head of the PA onto the pile too.

All of them successes of the ziofascist Collective West.

Posted by: malenkov | Oct 1 2024 14:51 utc | 93

DunGroanin@1425

Yes, the enemies of humanity are failing economically and flailing militarily. They are following some kinda satanic pact where they appear to call their shots before they fire them off. Object lesson: Hilltlery's recent statement which was presented by Rense in today's pizza menu.

The Wicked Witch of the We$t basically PROMISED that an October $urprise would happen (likely by means of false-flag attacks) before the (s)election would even take place. So she's telegraphing the punches. Most probable of such an assault on sanity would be the sinking of one of those intrusive U$$A naval vessels being employed as backups for the Izzies in the eastern Mediterranean.

My surmise is that the targeted vessel would be the U$N ABRAHAM LINCOLN, A huge carrier crewed by some 5,000 men (and women). Such a false-flag massacre would wrap "Remember the Maine"; Remember the Lusitania; Remember Pearl Harbor; Remember the Tonkin Gulf "attack"; Remember the 911 Inside Job; Remember those Weapons of Mass Distraction, yada, yada yada.

The symbological perfection of the Abraham Lincoln would be calculated to rupture the heartstrings of Boobtoob Noose addicts and most particularly the religious freaks who follow the Abrahamic mythology in their impositional belief systems.

This could be the means by which the enemies of humanity would regain the support of those terminally deluded folks who would promptly forget the genocidal massacres by the Talmudist "Chosen" with the full assistance of those who control the dispensation of American taxpayer dollars to the "Chosen" Ukronazis and of course, "Our Greatest Ally"...the evil Zionist Entity in Occupied Palestine.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 1 2024 14:53 utc | 94

According to this Palestiniansource Israel has not started a ground offensive: https://www.palestinechronicle.com/zionist-claims-are-false-hezbollah-rejects-reports-of-ground-operations-in-lebanon/

Posted by: Dr. Rob Campbell | Oct 1 2024 14:59 utc | 95

If .....

If full war engulfs the middle east and the oil infrastructure is destroyed ,
US and the rest of north and South America will still have oil,
Russia will have oil ,
China will have oil from Russia
Europe will be out of oil and out of luck .
The E.U. should get behind a two state solution or get ready for a major depression.

Posted by: Bartholomew Cubbins | Oct 1 2024 15:00 utc | 96

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 1 2024 14:53 utc | 95

A well crafted piece.

Yes, for some reason the Demons always telegraph their intentions-maybe its a hypnotic suggestion of some sort-I can't figure it out, then I'm not that clever.

Further in your Abraham Lincoln scenario I would suggest that the purpose of the 'false flag' is two fold 1. Get the Peasants fired up so the Wars can inflame and, and more importantly. 2 Cancel, postpose the election because of Emergency.

Posted by: canuck | Oct 1 2024 15:01 utc | 97

Read the least little bit about Brett McGurk, cited in top post. A nasty little gremlin. No particular accomplishments, no credentials. Best known as author of "The Surge" in Iraq. Real qualification is bloodlust. And being without a soul.

Posted by: oldhippie | Oct 1 2024 15:02 utc | 98

Mary@1410

You nailed it. The strategic petroleum reserve is rapidly being squandered pre-election in order to confuse those terminally deluded sub-urbanites with their lengthy commutes, that gas prices are not unreasonable right now, so things are not so bad. By November 6 or soon thereafter the "aides" acting for the $enile One will massively increase gasoline prices to reflect actual market values.

It would be wise to fill up every tank and gas-can you possess by November 4th. Prices will skyrocket...maybe not immediately, but over a short course of time. For those who heat with fuel-oil, the recommendation is to top that off as well.

Posted by: aristodemos | Oct 1 2024 15:05 utc | 99

Breaking news from Axios:-

Iran preparing imminent missile attack against Israel.

https://www.axios.com/2024/10/01/iran-missile-attack-israel

Posted by: Siddhartha | Oct 1 2024 15:05 utc | 100

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