Posted by: Jo | Oct 1 2024 14:26 utc | 162
“Harris’ campaign website includes a clause about allocating $570 billion to Ukraine.”
I couldn’t find it on the campaign website. Can you provide a link?

Posted by: Paranaense | Oct 2 2024 4:20 utc | 204

Our source in the General Staff said that there are no serious defensive structures beyond Ugledar and there will be a repeat of the situation with Avdiivka, when the city fell and the front woke up. The General Staff has no reserves to hold the situation and will soon need to leave Kurakhovo, which was not prepared for defense from the south at all.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/24506

In the Ugledar direction, Russian troops have completely captured Ugledar and are approaching Katerynivka. The capture of Ugledar is evidenced, in particular, by the places where Russian flags are hung. From the captured city, the Russian Armed Forces will obviously continue attacks on the Ukrainian Armed Forces defense line in the Bogoyavlenka-Novoukrainka area. North of Ugledar, Russian units have advanced and are approaching the outskirts of the settlement of Katerynivka.

https://t.me/the_military_analytics/21065

The 72nd Brigade denies the complete capture of Ugledar.
Sources in the 72nd Separate Mechanized Brigade told Suspilny that the information about the complete loss of Ugledar is not true.
“The brigade did not receive an order to leave the city,” the source told the publication.

https://t.me/the_military_analytics/21067

Posted by: Down South | Oct 2 2024 5:42 utc | 206

Posted by: persiflo | Oct 1 2024 10:19 utc | 148
The word “manoeuvre” was crossed out in favor of “maneuver”. Sorry to nitpick, but is there a reason, that I may not know of or have thought about, to favor the latter spelling over the former?

Posted by: joey_n | Oct 2 2024 8:00 utc | 208

Our source reports that the office workers, as usual, forbade everyone to mention that another “fortress” has been lost – this is Ugledar.
Now they will talk for a couple of days that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are still there, and then the people themselves will forget about this negative case for Zelensky and Yermak.
This scheme was used during all previous retreats.
This will not change only one thing – the Ukrainian Armed Forces will continue to retreat, and Bankova will never learn to value the lives of its soldiers.

https://t.me/legitimniy/18793

Posted by: Down South | Oct 2 2024 9:12 utc | 210

The Ukrainian Armed Forces have officially confirmed their withdrawal from Vuhledar.
The Khortytsia Operational Command states that after Russian strikes on the flanks, “which exhausted the defense” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, “there was a threat of cordoning off the city.”
“The Supreme Command has granted permission to carry out a maneuver to withdraw units from Vuhledar in order to preserve personnel and military equipment, and to take up a position for further action,” the statement says.

https://t.me/rezident_ua/24511

Posted by: Down South | Oct 2 2024 10:06 utc | 212

Posted by: Down South | Oct 2 2024 9:11 utc | 209

The Russians have publicly used the FAB-9000 for the first time. The destruction is massive. No one can say how much infantry is left under it.
We wrote that the Russians will drop such bombs on good fortified areas of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and now all these defensive structures cost billions of hryvnias to “one place”.
You can only defend against them with the help of air defense and aviation + high-precision air-to-air missiles. This is very expensive and the Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have enough of them.
When many began to criticize the FAB/KAB-3000 for its low efficiency, we immediately pointed out that such toys are needed to hit command posts and headquarters on the front lines.
At the beginning of the year, we got an insider tip that by the end of 2024, the Russian Armed Forces will drop 6 times more bombs. In fact, everyone already admits this.
They also acknowledged our insider information that it was the bombs that became the trump card that the Russian Federation has in huge quantities and the Ukrainian Armed Forces have in small quantities (the difference is 25 to 1).

https://t.me/legitimniy/18795

Posted by: Down South | Oct 2 2024 10:09 utc | 214

Can someone clear something up for me, are “Ugledar” and “Vuhledar” the same city? Or two different places?

Posted by: Stark | Oct 2 2024 11:19 utc | 216

I’m not buying the 800+ Vuhle POWs until we see photographic evidence. Sounds like Telegram exaggeration.

Posted by: Anonymous | Oct 2 2024 11:31 utc | 218

Ugledar was made possible after Kursk adventure, followed by losing Novogrodovka, Ukrainsk, Selidove put into pincers, losing Tsukuryne, and general weakness of the AFU everywhere following Kursk ‘adventure’.
Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2024 10:07 utc | 213
Yeah. I will not pretend to guess what concoction of drugs the Ukie/NATO command structures were on when they planned the Kursk incursion, but for whatever reason the whole thing has evolved into a monster from which they cannot, or perhaps reuse to, escape. The rolling up of Ugledar and other important fortified bastions in the Donbas by the RF is testament to this. The lack of competent reserves- because they have been sent to Kursk- is apparently the prime cause of this rapid collapse. The capture of Donbas by RF is ultimately far more important than the(temporary) capture of a small part of Russia by the UAF.
However, from what I read (here and in western MSM) the Kursk “offensive” is not going too well either, but the Ukrainian/NATO command seems to insist it keep going, and new brigades are increasingly being thrown into this doomed venture. Is this irrational situation the result of delusion, insanity or something else?? I can only deduce that it is somehow directed at keeping the USA engaged in the Ukraine (aka Crush Russia) project for after the November election.
Given that the USA has now to concentrate intensely on the ME and Israel, and has flagged that it would like to “hand over” management of the Ukraine war to Europe it seems as if the NATO poodles have become very concerned and desperately want some favourable military outcome. I think that the UK in particular must be driving this utterly crazy and militarily nonsensical behaviour- probably because of its historical hatred/fear of Russia.
I really do not know, and further speculation would be pointless. Perhaps some others could suggest why this criminal sacrifice of Ukrainian and RF soldiers is sanctioned and allowed to continue.

Posted by: Barrel Brown | Oct 2 2024 12:54 utc | 220

RUAF claims they captured over 800 POWs from Ugledar. Well, maybe they were just waiting in the basements of these Soviet era strongholds.
Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2024 10:14 utc | 215
I agree that it’s unlikely that the 1000 – 1500 Ukrainians were necessary to garrison Ugledar. That being said the Russians were pushing in 3 directions so I would expect Ukrainian soldiers who were forced out of positions in fields and hedgerows retreated to Ugledar. At least they would have a roof over their heads in Ugledar rather than just high tailing it through the fields hoping the drones don’t see them.

Posted by: HB_Norica | Oct 2 2024 13:38 utc | 222

🇺🇦🇷🇺 30 people out of 350 made it out! The losses of the Ukrainian Army in Ugledar is over 90%!
Ugledar has been captured by Russia. Many Ukrainian soldiers have died there and in the surrounding area over the past week.
But the political regime in Kyiv has placed a Taboo on these losses. Meanwhile, the truth is gradually beginning to leak out through military-affiliated channels.
For example, according to one of the fighters of the 72nd brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, after leaving the city, only 30 people out of 350 on the staff remained in the ranks:
“Out of 350 on the staff, there are up to 30 people left for one platoon. This includes mechanics, drivers, and recently there were 14-18 infantrymen in the unit that held the front line of 2-3 km.”
In other units of this brigade (but not only them), which also fought in the city, the situation is more or less the same, he says.

https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/1841510724960501864

Posted by: unimperator | Oct 2 2024 16:12 utc | 224

In the Ugledar direction, Ugledar has been captured by the Russian army.
Russian troops began to storm Ugledar two years ago. But the assaults were difficult, with heavy losses, but with little result. The main reason is that Ugledar is located on a hill, around which there is mainly steppe territory, extremely vulnerable to drones and artillery. The city itself is built in such a way that it was easy to defend – a minimum of private sector and many capital multi-story buildings, as well as enterprises that were turned into fortified areas. Including two mines on the eastern and north-eastern approaches to Ugledar (they have now been captured).
The situation began to change not in favor of the Ukrainian Armed Forces after the Russian Armed Forces pushed through the defense northeast of Ugledar – in the area of ​​Novomikhaylovka and then Konstantinovka. Later, Vodyanoye fell, and Prechistovka to the west of Ugledar. As a result, the flanks were pushed through, and the city fell – the garrison began to withdraw, fearing encirclement. Moreover, as some military personnel believe, the order to withdraw was given too late, which led to large losses, since the garrison had to fight in operational encirclement.
The Russian offensive on Ugledar occurred synchronously with a relatively rapid advance in the Kurakhovo-Pokrovsk direction and to the south of it. And both of these counter movements are part of a single plan of the Russian command to reach the rear of the main lines of defense of the Ukrainian troops to the west and southwest of Donetsk.
This is an attempt to “encircle” a large section of the front southwest of Donetsk, advancing both from the north (the Pokrovsk-Selidovo area) and from the south (from Ugledar or Velyka Novosyolka), in the direction west of Kurakhovo, in order to thus force the Ukrainian troops to retreat tens of kilometers to the west to the border of the Dnepropetrovsk and Zaporizhia regions. Which, in turn, will create a threat of a broad Russian offensive towards the Dnieper and Zaporozhye.
And on the southern section of the front in the Donetsk region, Ugledar was one of the strongest fortified areas and its capture makes it easier for Russian units to implement their general plan.
And now everything depends on which line the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be able to create a new defense front after the loss of Ugledar. Now the key center of the Ukrainian defense on the way to Kurakhovo is the village of Bogoyavlenka. Apparently, the main battle will now unfold for it, which will determine the further course of events on this section of the front.
But, at least, one important consequence of the loss of Ugledar already exists – the Russian Armed Forces have pushed the Ukrainian Armed Forces away from strategically important logistics in the south of Ukraine.
Approximately 18 kilometers to the east of Ugledar there is a major railway line that connects Donetsk with Mariupol, Crimea, Zaporizhia and Kherson regions.
It was precisely with the desire to secure this road that experts linked Russian attempts to take Ugledar back in 2022. At the same time, in order to establish communication with Mariupol from Donetsk, Russia began to build an alternative road east of Volnovakha, but it has not been completed to this day. And the old railway turned into a fortified area – a “tsar train” was installed there, which served as a barrier in the event of an attempt by the Ukrainian Armed Forces to advance from Ugledar to Volnovakha and Mariupol.
Now, with the cutting off of the Ugledar salient, the Russian Federation will be able to begin using the railway from Donetsk to Mariupol. Which will generally simplify Russian logistics in the south of Ukraine. It will also move the front line away from Mariupol and from the roads along the coast of the Sea of ​​Azov.

https://t.me/the_military_analytics/21076

Posted by: Down South | Oct 2 2024 17:31 utc | 226

🇷🇺🇺🇦 Kursk Direction: Clarification of the Front Line Configuration in Sudzha District
Situation as of 8:00 PM on October 2
In Kursk Region, Russian forces continue to engage in battles in several sectors.
🔻In Glushkovo District, Russian forces have regained some of the positions they had previously lost in the area of the settlement of Vesele. Clashes are currently ongoing on the approaches to the village.
🔻In Korenevo District, Russian Armed Forces units repelled several attacks by the enemy towards Olhovka, and the Russian Aerospace Forces struck AFU positions southwest of Kremyanoye.
🔻In Sudzha District, Russian forces have retaken positions along the line of Kauchuk – Kromskiye Byky. Given that no attack or strike on Ukrainian positions in this sector has been recorded over the past few weeks, this line has recently come under the control of the Russian Armed Forces.
At the moment, battles are taking place in the area of Novoselova, a few kilometers north of Malaya Loknya. In Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, the Russian Aerospace Forces struck with a FAB-3000 bomb with JDAM, hitting enemy shelters near a nitrate warehouse, causing a powerful explosion and secondary detonations.

https://t.me/rybar_in_english/18155

Posted by: Down South | Oct 2 2024 17:36 utc | 228

🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡️In Volchansk, the Russian army used the ODAB-9000 vacuum bomb for the first time, Russian military publics report.

No, not on the RF MOD Telegram channel, a false rumour. Looking at the video, it looks like a common FAB-3000 gliding bomb explosion, no evidence of a fuel/air “vacuum bomb” – there is no hemispheric dome before the mushroom cloud.
There are an Antonov-124 load of other issues arguing against the “Father of All Bombs” being used here. For one thing, it would be too powerful in that the RF troops in Volchansk would be concussion injured by the blast. For another thing, it reportedly requires a strategic bomber as a carrier. While a SU-34 can lift the mass, there would not be enough ground clearance under the fuselage to mount the bomb. Also, there is no gliding kit known for this bomb and no reason to develop one. Supposedly the single explosion video published of the FOAB was the result of a drop by a TU-160, (although western commentators question this and speculate it was dropped out of the rear of a cargo plane by a parachute). Either way, you would need to put a large, expensive aircraft directly over Ukraine to drop the FOAB as a gravity bomb. Not worth the risk.

Posted by: Drifter | Oct 2 2024 20:52 utc | 230

@206
“The brigade did not receive an order to leave the city,” the source told the publication.”
That’s because the brigade doesn’t need such an order. After all, most of its troops have been killed or captured by Russia.

Posted by: GW | Oct 2 2024 21:11 utc | 232

Posted by: Milites | Oct 2 2024 16:44 utc | 225
And if they’re losing say … 70+ per day in Kursk and that’s 15% of the front, then an even 500 on the whole theater.
You suggested 100.000 such troops so… 200 days worth.
Then it is finished. May 2025 for losing the last operational forces?
If 150.000 August?

Posted by: Newbie | Oct 2 2024 22:54 utc | 234

Re: Posted by: Richard L | Oct 2 2024 1:37 utc | 202

Marat has written a very informative summary of the current military situation where he shows the scale of the operation with numbers and he provides comparisons with the Great Patriotic war.
https://maratkhairullin.substack.com/p/october-the-great-offensive-is-inevitable
“October: The great offensive is inevitable”

Inevitable!!
Nah, I doubt that. Right before the US Election! No, not the Russian style – nothing much will happen in October – in fact, I predict the Ukrainians will still be in Kursk in November – not ”routed by the Russians in the next 2-3 days!!!”
Tobias – are you around – weren’t you telling everyone this whole thing would be over by October 1?!?!?

Posted by: Julian | Oct 2 2024 23:51 utc | 236

Posted by: Anonymous | Oct 2 2024 23:59 utc | 237
If you’re honest (and read what was said) you’ll remember that I doubted the 300 incursion from day one and by day two had serious doubts if it was 3.000 or 30.000
As I mentioned several times the involvement of rear units was obvious, as were the reinforcements to keep things going.
Normally I don’t feed trolls but just to put it bluntly, Z has invested maybe 80%+ of the RF initial full SMO, and he has very little to show for that, and already had to throw more troops into the fray.
100.000 for a sliver of rural kursk, not a good deal by anyone’s account.
Now let’s see wht line they’ll be getting, as long ass prokovs kromatorsk, prokovsk hold… just bad, if that falls…Lozovo is the 100 km fulcrum, maybe romny is the second, check for yourself

Posted by: Newbie | Oct 3 2024 0:58 utc | 238

Mike “Pompous” just got pranked!
In other news, cracks appearing in the “Alliance”- Croatia refuses to participate in latest NATO efforts to train “Ukrainians”.

Posted by: Suresh | Oct 3 2024 1:25 utc | 240

anon2020 – 229 – Agreed. A Remington 870 semi auto or pump 12 ga shot guns will do the trick……..especially if you are using double OO buck shot. Should be standard issue in the field for every single infantry squad.
A devastating weapon for use against close in anti personnel drones….

Posted by: Tobias Cole | Oct 3 2024 3:28 utc | 242

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Two Majors #Summary for the Morning of 3 October 2024; 07:02 (GMT+3)⚡️
🎯Overnight strikes on enemy facilities hit the enemy’s capital region, #Kharkov, #Vinnitsa, #Rovno, #Khmelnitsky, #Cherkassy, #IvanoFrankovsk, and #Poltava regions. In #Kharkov, the enemy is trying to pass off the destruction in a high-rise building as a Russian FAB strike with UMPC, but the 👉 footage shows that the damage is very limited for such a powerful type of weapon. In all likelihood, this is the mistaken work of the air defence or the enemy’s own artillery of the Kharkov garrison, as evidenced by data from local residents who recorded the work of AFU artillery on their residential areas.
🔹In the #Kursk region, 4 enemy militants of the 47th Brigade were captured in Glushkovsky district📸👆Heavy fighting continues in the south of the Sudzhansky district. The RFAF advanced in the area of the #Plekhovo settlement and in the adjacent forest areas. The commander of the ‘Aida Group’ of the ‘Akhmat’ Specila Forces and several of his fighters were wounded. ‘Aida’ refused to be hospitalised. The enemy is not abandoning plans to build up its grouping in the region.
🔹In the #Seversk sector, the front has moved. Ours advanced from #Spornoye towards #Verkhnekamenskoye, Belousov at night congratulated the 6th Separate Guards Motorised Rifle Brigade on its liberation. There had been no news from this section of the front for some time, so the news of the capture of this settlement came as a pleasant surprise to the information resources. A new bulge was formed on the map, now in the direction of #Severs
🔹In the #Toretsk (#Dzerzhinsk), fighting continues on the northern outskirts of #NyuYork (#Novgorodskoye), in the area of #Nelepovka and for the western part of #Druzhba. In #Toretsk, shooting battles continue for blocks of high-rise buildings in the central part of the town.
🔹In the #Pokrovsk direction, it is reported that #Tsukurino continues to be covered. Our troops advanced to the north of the settlement by crossing the railway. To the south our troops took the waste heap of Mine No. 40, which is a significant height.
🔹In the #Kurakhovo direction, near #Katerinovka fighting continues. To the south there is a clearing of #Ugledar, regrouping and replenishment of our troops.
💥In #Belgorod region at night our air defence system worked over the town of #StaryOskol, an UAV was downed and a woman was wounded. Earlier in the village of #YasniyeZori, a drone attacked a passenger car, a man was wounded. In the evening also this village of Belgorod district came under AFU fire, hit an agricultural enterprise. One person was killed, various injuries received 13 workers. On a section of the #Belgorod – #Shebekino – #Volokonovka Motorway, 2 FPV drones attacked 2 lorries moving along the road, one driver was killed, the other injured. In the village of #Krapivnoye, Shebekino urban district, a civilian was killed and 4, including 2 children, were wounded. In the Belgorod district, in the village of #Cheremoshnoye yesterday morning, a lorry was attacked by an AFU drone, the driver was wounded.
💥In the #DPR, in #Gorlovka, employees of the State Unitary Enterprise ‘Voda Donbassa’, men born in 1971 and 1978 were injured when an IED was dropped from an AFU UAV on a service vehicle. A woman born in 1945 was also injured as a result of the enemy’s use of artillery.

https://t.me/two_majors/33039

Posted by: Down South | Oct 3 2024 5:47 utc | 244

Latest stupid idea is Ukraine “manufacturing” its own ballistic missile arsenal.
North Korea has released footage showing impact from a missile with a 4500kg warhead.
Russia released a simulation of its newest FAB9000.

Posted by: Suresh | Oct 3 2024 7:20 utc | 246

Are Russia’s and NATO’s ’red lines’ in Ukraine shifting? | Al Jazeera |
NATO new chief makes a fresh push for Ukraine’s membership, while Russia issues a nuclear warning to the west Rutte accuses China of enabling the Russia offensive in Ukraine … Beijing won’t take this favorably. The tone is set.

Posted by: Oui | Oct 3 2024 10:13 utc | 248

With a little onboard autopilot logic to keep the FPV stable and a visual object tracker to keep the FPV on a moving target under EW, FPVs could be operated via a satcom relay by pilots in an office hundreds of km from the front line.
Only the extreme simplicity of most FPVs forces the pilot to have a very low latency connection in order to make all corrective inputs manually and quickly. This has been an unfortunate limitation of hobbyist FPV tech from the outset, as evidenced by the high risk level FPV pilots still operate under.
OVOD (Gadfly) is one of the Russian FPV developers pushing both target tracking algorithms and automated flight control algorithms onto the FPV birds themselves, not just box-shifting and shit-pedalling: https://t.me/tulaovod
https://t.me/dva_majors/54267

Development of FPV technologies
We were surprised to learn that an FPV drone can now be controlled not with glasses and a remote control, but with a laptop and a mouse . Like in a computer game. Callsign Birkin provided such an opportunity, as an example they let us steer the drone “OVOD” . Of course, this type of control will not make your head spin, as it happens with the operator’s glasses, and the output of the image from the drone to a neighbor in the position is already immediately, no matter how you look at it. Extremely interesting technological solutions will still surprise us all during the war. For example, a decisive increase in the distance between the operator and the take-off point of the drone. Callsign Birkin OVOD ❘ Tula Two majors

Posted by: anon2020 | Oct 3 2024 11:39 utc | 250

Allegedly there are not enough electric transformers on the shelf in us to repair the electric network after the hurricane strike.
This is partially due to sending transformers to Ukraine.
Posted by: Mario | Oct 3 2024 11:58 utc | 252

Do US transformers actually fit the Ukraine’s basic voltage level system?
IMU it is 3phase 400V with neutral to 1phase 230V for outlets
not the strange US symmetric phase 110:110 VAC with those Scott-T thingies to go from 3p to 2phase symmetric supply

Posted by: MAKK | Oct 3 2024 12:46 utc | 252

No DS Map intel drop yesterday. Maybe he is sick of the schadenfreude.

Posted by: Anonymous | Oct 3 2024 14:15 utc | 254

Posted by: MAKK | Oct 3 2024 12:46 utc | 253
I suppose, if true, that reference was to high voltage transformers, not the last mile ones.
By the way you can provide 220 volts by distributing 2 phases of 110 volts instead of 1p+n.
This was distributed in my house in Rome until a few month ago, despite Italian system standard is 230 volt p+n.

Posted by: Mario | Oct 3 2024 14:26 utc | 256

Simplicious was reporting 6 hours ago on Twitter that Ukraine continues to pour equipment into Kursk.

Posted by: LoveDonbass | Oct 5 2024 3:44 utc | 258