Ukraine SitRep: The Collapse Of The Donbas Front
The former advisor to the former Ukrainian President Zelenski, Alexey Arestovich, posted this map:
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Arestovich expects two Russian operations to envelope the Ukrainian troops on the frontline.
Here is the same area as seen on the Ukraine friendly LiveUAmap:
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Over the last weeks the Russian operation west of Avdivka towards Pokrovsk has been accelerating. Currently the Russian forces are taking three or more towns per day. Cities with some 15,000 pre-war inhabitants, like Novogrodivka, are falling within 24 hours.
The Ukrainian parliament member Mariana Bezuglaya had recently visited Novogrodivka and complained that the trenches which had been build to defend the town were empty (machine translation):
The city was captured because " the trenches in front of Novogrodovka were empty." In the city, too, "there were no signs of preparation for defense and the presence of our military.""In the once twenty-thousandth city, there was practically no Ukrainian army. The 31st brigade in front of the city was removed, the brigade commander for whom the team asked was removed, and criminal proceedings were opened against him (I remind you, there are still no cases against Sodol). Instead, an inexperienced unit was sent here, " Bezuglaya wrote.
...
"A week ago, I went out on the outskirts of Selidovo in the direction of Novogrodovka and saw fortifications in front of the city. There was nothing in the city, just an ordinary civilian settlement. I went into the trenches, no one was guarding them, no one was there. I went underground and went out into the field. The Russians were already behind the field. There was no one else. I didn't get blown up by land mines, I didn't meet any territorial defense fighters – only single insects were the only life in the prepared fortifications around Selidovo, which the Russians had been striving for for ten years. Any civilian could have done what I did, " the MP said and posted a photo of empty trenches near Selidovo.
The Ukrainian army in the Donbas region, or whatever is left of it, is currently on the run. There is little fighting - and damage - in the settlements. The Ukrainian artillery seems to be out of ammunition.
The Ukrainian casualties are still high. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported today of 2,345 Ukrainian casualties (within Ukraine and the Kursk region of Russia.) Since the Ukrainian attack on Kursk the number of casualties has generally exceeded 2,000 per day, a number that was rarely seen previously.
The Ukraine leadership had sent its best troops, pulled from the Donbas frontline, and reserves to attack within Russia into the direction of the Kursk nuclear power plant. Some 15 kilometer into Russia the troops got stuck. They are now on the defense and will slowly be eradicated. Such an operation against Russia, which likely knew what was coming, never had a chance to develop into something bigger.
Arestovich commented the map (machine translation):
Well, the Kursk holiday is slowly fading into the background:
- the enemy cut off the Pokrovsk-Karlovka highway.His intentions are obvious:
- that is why the Pokrovsky ledge is being driven in, in order to cut off Kurakhovsky and Toretsky with flank attacks.Thus (if he succeeds) the enemy will seize the central regions of the Donetsk region, which are also the southern ones that are still under our control.
Unclear at this time:
- Will the enemy have enough strength to carry out these plans without additional mobilization?
- Do we have enough strength to counter these plans with our own, with or without mobilization?..However, the pace of its advance in the Pokrovsky direction can no longer be described as anything other than an “operational crisis.”
The state of affairs is such that even the top headquarters in the Donetsk direction have a poor understanding of what:
a) is happening?..
b) Is Headquarters going to do anything about this?..
Zelenski has asked for an emergency meeting with NATO. He will get the meeting but no results. I doubt that any NATO country is willing to fight for him.
The U.S. is not allowing Ukraine to use long range weapons against Russia. Terrorizing the Russian population is Petersburg and Moscow is what Zelenski would like to do.
The U.S. is well advised to refrain from that.
Posted by b on August 28, 2024 at 13:14 UTC | Permalink
next page »It's just " a reverse counter offensive , now gimme money."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DGt0E7GYvSQ
Posted by: Savonarole | Aug 28 2024 13:23 utc | 2
Imagine you are a country being bullied by america. You want to say no, but you can't.
With Russia winning in Ukraine, the possibility of saying no to america is one phone call away.
You obviously must make a deal with Russia in one way or another but its actually an option now.
And for for this reason the quality of life inside the USA is going to fall dramatically.
Posted by: ryanggg | Aug 28 2024 13:34 utc | 4
Two separate RF pincers aiming to trap a significant portion of Uaf land forces and either destroy them or force them to surrender........
Volo played the guts poker game in Kursk and has lost badly.
I am staying with my October 1st prediction for a full and comprehensive collapse of the Nazi regime in Kieve.
The only real question is how is NATO and the US/UK going to react in this near panic situation. The Nazi house of cards is now falling and will NATO and company go quietly into the night, or will there be a reaction that will bring the world to the brink of WWIII?
Posted by: Tobias Cole | Aug 28 2024 13:37 utc | 5
Posted by: laguerre | Aug 28 2024 13:22 utc | 1
And what have we in the UK got instead of the fascist Johnson? Fascist Starmer and his acolytes? Progress? I doubt it.
Posted by: Vragtes | Aug 28 2024 13:40 utc | 6
Posted by: laguerre | Aug 28 2024 13:22 utc | 1
S has two recent posts dealing with this parallel collapse of the two Western-financed satraps of far away dependencies.
From:
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/israels-path-of-peril
I’ve stated before that Netanyahu and Zelensky are two birds of a feather with the same desperate goals: they need to drag the US into a wider global war to save their regimes and their country.
In the most recent post, after the above, S reproduces a tape of a Russian pilot evading Patriot missiles over Mariupol in coordination with air or land based controllers. It's fascinating.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Aug 28 2024 13:40 utc | 7
Meanwhile, the real pressing issue that needs addressing is the uninhibited, mentally deranged desire to escalate things by the fucking bored Napoleonic leprechauns in london and wash.d.c. TG channel pintofmind mulls over the announcement by Lavrov about the update to the Russian nuclear doctrine:
According to the latest statements by Sergey Lavrov, Russia is currently refining its nuclear doctrine . It is clear that this was said in response to the information circulating about the current negotiations between the US and Ukraine regarding Washington's permission to strike Russian territory at strategic depth .There is only one unpleasant thing here: how could Moscow have gotten to the point where such American-Ukrainian negotiations became possible? This simply should not have happened if Russia had responded adequately to the escalation by Ukraine's Western allies . But Moscow has chosen the tactics of the notorious "red lines," which are now gradually turning into an incomprehensible vinaigrette. That is, they are gradually being crossed and moved on.
The only way to change the situation now is through an escalation that is ahead of schedule. That is, the stakes will have to be raised sharply, unilaterally, and higher than the US and EU countries have done . Of course, we are talking about nuclear weapons. What is needed now is not just vague statements that Russia reserves the right to attack some NATO facilities in the event of long-range weapons strikes on its strategic facilities.
It is now necessary to state that in the event of such attacks, Russia will immediately and without fail strike military facilities of countries supplying weapons to Ukraine . And if the North Atlantic Alliance reacts in response, it will respond with nuclear weapons (initially limited, in tactical execution).
That is, the Biden administration and the Brussels bureaucracy must be clearly presented with a choice: either a limited nuclear war in Europe (with a possible expansion of the theater of military operations), or a refusal to use NATO weapons against Russia at strategic depth .
As a result, the "red lines" of the collective West will be tested: will they agree to a limited nuclear war? Are the US and its European allies ready to risk their existence for the sake of Ukraine? Let us recall that Washington faced a similar dilemma (of course, in relation to the European members of NATO, not Ukraine) in the distant 1960s, and then the answer to the answer was unambiguous: no, not at all. Now, little has changed.
Posted by: Boo | Aug 28 2024 13:42 utc | 8
My fear is that in a "godderdamerung" moment, Volo and his crazed company of fanatics will attempt to destroy the ZNPP or the KNPP and or unleash a dirty bomb somewhere in the RF.
The current near panic in Kieve could very well engender a catastrophic decision to go down in Valhalla!
Posted by: Tobias Cole | Aug 28 2024 13:43 utc | 9
Posted by: Tobias Cole | Aug 28 2024 13:37 utc | 5
The only real question is how is NATO and the US/UK going to react in this near panic situation.
To help them deal with this new and major defeat, we have to blame it all on the Jewish comedian and its incompetent Russian general.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Aug 28 2024 13:47 utc | 10
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Aug 28 2024 13:40 utc | 7
Patriot, in my opinion, is just good on a marketing dépliant, such as irom dome.
Posted by: Mario | Aug 28 2024 13:47 utc | 11
Posted by: Tobias Cole | Aug 28 2024 13:43 utc | 9
The current near panic in Kieve could very well engender a catastrophic decision to go down in Valhalla!
Nah, relying on my superb character assessment skills, me thinks the Jewish comedian will do the Ashraf Ghani and many others around him will do the same.
Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Aug 28 2024 13:50 utc | 12
@#4 - This is why the Empire of Lies has put so many of it's eggs in the US backed and led former state of Ukraine basket. What you describe will be contagious.
Posted by: chunga | Aug 28 2024 13:54 utc | 13
After 2.5 years of slug crawl🐌, ukrainian forces are spent, as the fortifications/equipment become scarce, it's harder to advance a heavily defended meter than 1 empty mile, moves go by faster. same with population, not everyone makes a good soldier (as Ukraine is now finding out). Germany had 70 million people in 1939, lost only 8% 5,5m collapsed, Ukraine had some 22m by late 2022 (many old pensioners unlike Germany in 39) so 1.6m is what Russia needs to kill, not the whole population. Should be over by late 2025. 🔮
Posted by: Phariah | Aug 28 2024 13:55 utc | 14
Posted by: Tobias Cole | Aug 28 2024 13:37 utc | 5
October would be very inconvenient for Empress Kamala and the zombified corpse still nominally CiC.
A full on collapse with scenes of Russian troops overrunning cities all the way to the Dnipr and seizing trophy NATO gear would make Afghanistan look like a minor setback.
Of course, the Wurlitzer can be called into action along with the censorship-industrial complex at SitOnMyFaceBook, Screw-gle, and Microsnot. I will observe that the Bing search engine is now blocking any search queries related to Telegram. When I try to search for "Lord of War Telegram" I get a bunch of irrelevant results, not the Telegram channel of @LordOfWar. For now, Google still gives the correct result.
Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Aug 28 2024 13:56 utc | 15
Soon there will be more vehicles than Ukrainian soldiers, and everyone will have his own Humvee. I envy them!
Posted by: CIROC | Aug 28 2024 13:58 utc | 16
Sounds exactly as if they do not have any ammunition left at all. This is enough to oblige the Ukes either to flee or surrender. It is NOT now a question of "more troops", but what can you do with them even if there are more?
****
Saw this a couple of days ago;
Blackrock has demanded that Ukraine stop setting up cemeteries on it's land, "as this reduces it's value". Not only do the poor suckers die for Blackrock's "land", they cannot even be buried on land that is no longer theirs.
**
(and although it is somewhat OT. Arms companies are celebrating superb profits)
ISW agrees. . .
Russian forces have made significant tactical advances in the Pokrovsk direction amid reports that Ukrainian forces have withdrawn from select areas southeast of Pokrovsk. Geolocated footage published on August 27 confirms that Russian forces have advanced over two kilometers from their last confirmed position into northwestern Novohrodivka (southeast of Pokrovsk) along Dubinina Street, suggesting that Russian forces additionally hold positions within the central part of the town. . . .here
Posted by: Don Bacon | Aug 28 2024 14:08 utc | 18
Even the fall of Donbas is not going to stop Ukrainians and the West.
They just love this war and are ready to fight to the last Ukrainian.
Posted by: vargas | Aug 28 2024 14:08 utc | 19
Zelensky's Kursk adventure or a deliberate surrender of Donbass to Russia?More and more military personnel and commanders on the Eastern Front are convinced that Russia deliberately opened a window in the Kursk region to lure the Ukrainian Armed Forces there, and Syrsky, unlike Zaluzhny, decided to earn himself a new rank instead of defending the interests of the army. The front has collapsed in Donbass and now it cannot be extinguished by simply transferring reserves or withdrawing the Ukrainian Armed Forces from the Kursk region, which means we are losing an entire region and the scenario of 2014 and 2015 is repeating itself, when we were forced to sign the Minsk agreements.
Do we continue to rejoice at the capture of villages in the Kursk region while we are losing entire cities and front lines?
https://t.me/rezident_ua/24128
🔥 Yesterday we wrote that the Ukrainian Armed Forces simply retreat at night at this level, without getting involved in fighting.Today Maryana writes that everything is simply being surrendered. We decided to check again.
That's right, the Ukrainian Armed Forces simply left the two waste heaps in front of Selidovo, and the authorities and security forces simply abandoned the city. There are even fewer attacks on the city. There are simply no targets.
https://t.me/ZeRada1/21228
🔥 SelidovoAt the moment, the city is coming under the control of the Russian Armed Forces, one might say, live.
The Korotchenko mine and its truly huge waste heap came under the control of the Russian Armed Forces yesterday. The waste heap is so big that it could have been defended for a month, but it was surrendered without a fight.
Now the Russian Armed Forces are in the northwestern part of the city: they have secured a foothold at the stadium and are moving to the West and South.
In the city center (highlighted in green) there are 3 blocks of multi-story buildings. These are the only multi-story buildings in the city. Their loss is the loss of the city.
Information about an operational-tactical crisis in the direction as a result of betrayal is spreading through chats. Few people believe that the main trump card of the Ukrainian Armed Forces - FPV drones - simply ran out on one specific section of the front.
https://t.me/ZeRada1/21229
Posted by: Down South | Aug 28 2024 14:11 utc | 20
Disturbing trends at the frontThe enemy occupied Novogrodivka. And this is very bad news. Do you remember that in the spring I showed you how the fortifications were built, so it was all 10 kilometers from Novogrodivka, and it itself was also well entrenched. This entire territory could be held for a very, very long time. And now the enemy not only captured it very quickly, he also captured our fortifications, from which it will be difficult to knock him out.
Now there is a great danger to the Karlov fortified district, which could have held out for a very long time if the enemy had not bypassed it... In fact, in a few weeks the enemy covered the distance, which sometimes took 9 months. Moreover, two more regiments of orcs are now being transferred there to support the offensive. Why did all this happen?
From conversations with my own, there are two reasons: physical - lack of people and shells. There is such a shortage of people that fpv pilots are holding the trenches. Similarly with projectiles, if before it was possible to destroy half of the orcs at the time of landing, now they don't shoot anything at all. The second reason is management. I will not write anything here, you yourself will remember where and with whom there were public conflicts. I would like to add that at the beginning of spring, combat brigades were removed for one lost village, and here there is already an operational crisis and nothing.
Against this background, another very bad trend is unfolding - in the brigades of the Donetsk region, the belief that there is an agreement on which region to surrender is gaining momentum. I first heard it somewhere once, and now I hear it from almost everyone I talk to. And this trend leads to the fact that positions are really simply abandoned.
Do not believe that the top do not know about the crisis. It is absolutely not true that they deliver only good news, the combrigs deliver everything without embellishments.
It remains to be believed that the management has a certain plan. I will not present the idea of what it could be, but I will remind you that the rapid advance of the orcs in the Kyiv region led to their disaster, not us.
https://t.me/rezident_ua/24127
Our source supplements the information of colleagues, indicating that the entire story with the Kursk adventure and the retreat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Pokrovsk direction, the military calls the Donbass leak.There is an opinion that Zelensky, specifically under the cover of the Kursk adventure, began preparing for previously agreed behind-the-scenes agreements, where Zelensky accepted the proposal for territorial renunciation (it is easier for him to leak territories than to give away lands with a stroke of the pen).
An interesting opinion that is developing among the Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers against the backdrop of the leak of Donbass.
https://t.me/legitimniy/18601
Posted by: Down South | Aug 28 2024 14:15 utc | 21
I’ll nip in here and make a prediction you might hear being repeated, namely, that the seeds of this catastrophe were planted during the Ukrainian offensive in ‘22. Far from being a resounding success, as portrayed, they failed to achieve their main operational aims (to recapture most of the territory lost that year,) being prematurely halted by far stronger resistance than that predicted, whilst suffering operationally crippling casualties.
Any successes achieved came at a far higher loss rate than predicted, and a far lower one for the Russians, two critical factors that derailed the new NATO plan, after the silver bullet of sanctions failed and the Russian went for a war of attrition not manoeuvre. These two factors meant the scheduled reinforcement of Western armour and equipment did not grow the UAF, as planned, only maintained it at its current level, worse, the army it was fighting had not been attrited as badly. Less troops available, v’s more troops expected derailed the ‘23 offensive, which should have been the coup-de gras, recovering Crimea and resetting the pre-SMO borders.
Pulling my thinking cap down a bit more, was the current Kursk operation planned to take part in ‘23, and the current iteration of a Kobblekampfgruppe just a pale shadow? The original plan would then have stretched the Russians to breaking point, forcing them to deploy hastily trained reservists, v’s veteran brigades, exactly the problem facing Ukraine now.
Which then begs the question, did the probable fate of the SMO rest in the hands of determined para-military police, some SF guys and the paratroops who formed the rearguard, in the dark days of Autumn of ‘22. Or, less romantically, was it simply a pre-destined outcome driven by the institutional evolution of the RuAF?
Posted by: Milites | Aug 28 2024 14:18 utc | 22
Maskirovka at its best from Russia. Putin is a strategist beyond compare.
Posted by: MerkinScot | Aug 28 2024 14:21 utc | 23
Hopefully the beginning of the end, and hopefully it goes quickly.
Just remember guys, muh attrition never works! /s
Posted by: Ezzie | Aug 28 2024 14:26 utc | 24
Today’s Washington Post has a story about Zelenski’s plans, which mentions inter alia that the Ukraine has captured about 600 Russian soldiers in the Kursk incursion: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/08/27/ukraine-russia-zelensky-syrsky-kursk/ . It’s behind a pay wall, but you can see a bit of the headline at the bottom saying 594 captured. (The article is mostly about Zelensky’s plans, where he implies he intends to trade the Kursk territory for territory lost elsewhere, rather than hang onto it.)
I’m surprised that many soldiers were captured: either it’s new news, or false news, or I haven’t been paying close attention (true). If true, IMHO they’re most likely border-patrol or Russian Guard members, the latter of which included young one-year conscripts, with at most 4-to-6 months of training. Can anyone shed any light on this ??
Posted by: DSeward | Aug 28 2024 14:26 utc | 25
What worries me, is the collapse into chaos that might occur if eastern world decides to take out wall street, the city of London, the federal reserve banks, important other western banks and the offshore tax havens etc. in one relatively short go?
Traditional military targets present a problem quite different from chaos and economic collapse.
Economic and social chaos are problems that requires leadership the west has not yet revealed. It takes years of adequate leadership, hard work and a committed society to recover from Chaos? Military weapons are useless against weapons that create chaos and nations in chaos are subject to private exploitation by villians. Physical assets can be easily replaced..but chaos is long term and subjects organized anything to outside infiltration, manipulation and control. The question in my mind does the East really need nuclear weapons to create social and economic Chaos throughout the west, i.e. is BRICS strong enough to collapse the institutions that serve as the base of western power?
I think, the west maybe concentrating on defending physical assets when the real risk is loss of institutional long-arm control and the chaos such a loss will impose on western societies.
Posted by: snake | Aug 28 2024 14:37 utc | 26
Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Aug 28 2024 13:30 utc | 3
Indeed, работайте, братья!
It also applies to all the barflies who want to see the demise of the neonaziliberal empire of lies within their lifetimes...
Posted by: ThirdWorldDude | Aug 28 2024 14:43 utc | 27
Pat Travers covered an old blues tune where the chorus line is "Boom-boom, out go the lights" and that's what's happening to the Ukies. Massive corruption resulted in no defense in depth and shit for weapons from the West, which is just as corrupted. What ought to be done by the Ukies from a defensive POV isn't allowed to be done--falling back to points where the FEBA is much shorter and behind a topographical barrier. How many Ukies are sitting in forests and being bypassed because their orders are to stand their ground? Many thousands is my estimate. There are some large urban complexes that will soon be faced with Russian forces. How they fare will signal what we might expect for the next several months.
We are approaching the point at which there is maximum risk of Ukraine / NATO using tactical nukes to halt the Russian advance.
The Russians need to pre-emptively and publicly announce their response and make it instant and automatic.
There are 5000 men on aircraft carrier; America might lose all of them if it does something stupid.
Posted by: CitizenSmith | Aug 28 2024 14:53 utc | 29
Posted by: vargas | Aug 28 2024 14:08 utc | 19
Even the German nazists fought to the last German but, in the end they sourrended.
Posted by: Mario | Aug 28 2024 14:58 utc | 30
thanks b...
it is so sad all the innocent lives lost here and in israel - as laguerre notes @ 1....
why is the west pushing this on ukraine? it is complete bullshit and the little people suffer the most.. i have no respect for my leadership here in canada who go along with this nato stupidity without question...
Posted by: james | Aug 28 2024 14:58 utc | 31
The Donbass leak will go down in Ukrainian history as the most senseless move in the war with Russia, when the Kremlin played the Kursk gambit and lured our best reserves into a trap.Does anyone really think that the GRU didn't know about Syrsky's plans to launch an attack on the Kursk region?
They spent two months gathering reserves in Sumy, and UAVs have been circling over our territories for days.
https://t.me/rezident_ua/24130
Posted by: Down South | Aug 28 2024 14:59 utc | 32
@ karlof1 | Aug 28 2024 14:51 utc | 28
that is an older blues musicians song that travers did.. can't remember the author - little walter did it..
Posted by: james | Aug 28 2024 15:01 utc | 33
The big difference, as I mentioned some weeks ago, is that (unlike most of the SMO) RF is reaching parity, troopswise, and AFU is running out of meat refills .
There is one, just one and socially risky, last recruitment drive (but would empty universities and high schools) that wouldn’t last 2025.
November 1 will be fun!
Posted by: Newbie | Aug 28 2024 15:11 utc | 34
Milites | Aug 28 2024 14:18 utc | 22
...which should have been the coup-de gras, ...
Coup de grace, gras means fat !
Posted by: Sarlat La Canède | Aug 28 2024 15:13 utc | 35
@Tobias Cole | Aug 28 2024 13:37 utc | 5
I am staying with my October 1st prediction for a full and comprehensive collapse of the Nazi regime in Kieve.I hope you are right so the collapse happens on Stoltenberg's watch. He is a puppet Quisling, but he needs to be punished severely according to law.
Posted by: Norwegian | Aug 28 2024 15:18 utc | 36
@ Posted by: Sarlat La Canède | Aug 28 2024 15:13 utc | 35
In Louisiana I've heard "coup de gras" a lot, but I think that's just us simple-minded Anglo-Loozeeannes getting confused.
Posted by: fnord | Aug 28 2024 15:21 utc | 37
Such an operation against Russia, which likely knew what was coming, never had a chance to develop into something bigger.I called it a trap early on, as the usual suspects howled about the failure of Russia.
Granted, the civilian casualties are terrible, but the element of LIHOP was there for sure.
Posted by: Norwegian | Aug 28 2024 15:28 utc | 38
Posted by: Sarlat La Canède | Aug 28 2024 15:13 utc | 35
I’m aware, I blame, in the following order, my iPad, my cat, and last on the list, myselfI Thanks for the correction, the cat has been suitably punished.
Posted by: Milites | Aug 28 2024 15:28 utc | 39
Оперштаб принял решение ограничить въезд в Курчатов, сообщил врио главы региона Смирнов.
Жители города с местной регистрацией смогут въехать свободно, остальным нужно будет получить пропуска.
Кроме того, все сотрудники Курской атомной станции и стройки АЭС-2 по поводу пропускного режима должны обратиться к руководству.
Такие меры приняты в связи с тем, что ВСУ не оставляют попыток проникнуть в город, уточнил врио губернатора.
The operational headquarters decided to restrict entry to Kurchatov, said the acting head of the region Smirnov.
Residents of the city with local registration will be able to enter freely, the rest will need to obtain passes.
In addition, all employees of the Kursk nuclear power plant and the construction of NPP-2 should contact the management regarding the access regime.
Such measures were taken due to the fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not abandon attempts to enter the city, the acting governor specified.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin/135264
Posted by: guest | Aug 28 2024 15:28 utc | 40
We are approaching the point at which there is maximum risk of Ukraine / NATO using tactical nukes to halt the Russian advance.
The Russians need to pre-emptively and publicly announce their response and make it instant and automatic.
There are 5000 men on aircraft carrier; America might lose all of them if it does something stupid.
Posted by: CitizenSmith | Aug 28 2024 14:53 utc | 29
very good post
Posted by: vargas | Aug 28 2024 15:29 utc | 41
Cette région de Koursk , près de la frontière,est une région vallonnée et boisée. Elle ne permet pas de grands déploiement de blindés et est plutôt propice aux combats d'infanterie. Les russes ,deux semaines avant l'assaut ukrainien avaient prępositionné 2 brigades d'élite dont Akmat ,près de la centrale atomique de Koursk . Il est donc fort possible qu'ils savaient que les ukrainiens allaient attaquer dans cet oblast..
Les russes disposent de suffisamment de troupes territoriales et de troupes du FSB pour résoudre le problème de cette incursion.
Pour l'instant, les ukrainiens profitent du couvert végétal qui ne va pas tarder à disparaitre mettant à découvert positions et matériels. L'automne ne permettra plus aux blindés d'avancer et l'hiver qui sera probablement rude, pourrait être fatal à ces ukrainiens. De plus les russes ont coupé un pont sur la principale voie logistique des ukrainiens,ce qui va considérablement compliquer la tâche de ces petits envahisseurs.
Il faut remarquer que Zelensky concentre tous les efforts sur Koursk au détriment du Donbass qui verra bientôt Pokrosk tomber avant que les russes se dirigent vers Slaviansk et Kramatorsk.
Zelensky veut-il poursuivre encore son offensive en territoire russe? Il semble clair que oui même s'il perd le Donbass. Il pense aussi, à tort, que Poutine va négocier. En fait cet abruti sort de son chapeau un plan pour la victoire !!! Il faut bien réaliser que cet homme est soit fou soit drogué car , manifestement, la réalité lui échappe. Comment peut-il croire un seul instant, que lui, le khazar, va battre la grande Russie ?
Posted by: Hares | Aug 28 2024 15:35 utc | 42
Milites | Aug 28 2024 14:18 utc | 22
...which should have been the coup-de gras, ...
Coup de grace, gras means fat !
Posted by: Sarlat La Canède | Aug 28 2024 15:13 utc | 35
To be precise-"Coup de grace' with a circumflex over the, 'a'(not available on my computer)(1)
1.coup de grâce
noun
ˌkü-də-ˈgräs
variants or coup de grace
Definition of coup de grâce
as in determinant
something (as a fact or argument) that is decisive or overwhelming
the prosecutor presented his coupe de grâce—a videotape of the beating
The Neo-Nazi regime running Ukraine - made a huge blunder invading the Russian region of Kursk - and it now looks as though they'll pay a heavy price for it.
Posted by: Republicofscotland | Aug 28 2024 15:38 utc | 44
Doctorow can sometimes be middle of the road academic boring but this is a very timely and comprehensive analysis and worth the bar's time:
Dr. Gilbert Doctorow Russia's Kursk Recovery The Mission No One Saw Coming?
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Aug 28 2024 15:44 utc | 45
CitizenSmith @ 29
There are 5000 men on aircraft carrier; America might lose all of them if it does something stupid.
Doctorow above link made this point, whatever the stated purpose (support Israel) any USA aircraft carrier in the Mediterranean is a first strike treat to Russia, there are now two, ~100 planes. Doctorow also links the seemingly purposeless "AFU" attack on the strategic early warning antennas in Russia a while back to this, and to the F16s being nuclear capable, covering all bases to put first strike pressure on Russia. Is it serious, deal leverage, bluff? Hope we don't find out.
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Aug 28 2024 15:54 utc | 46
Ukrainians still advancing in Kursk. So who is telling the truth?
Posted by: Flash | Aug 28 2024 15:55 utc | 47
>Mariana Bezuglaya had recently visited Novogrodivka
Talking out her ass, as usual. Yet another propaganda narrative (the only thing Zelensky and team are really good at is propaganda that the stupid Ukrainian people swallow whole without thinking, Zelensky and team all have background in television and other show business) cooked up to shift the blame away from Zelensky and onto Syrsky.
Posted by: anonposter | Aug 28 2024 16:02 utc | 48
Posted by: Flash | Aug 28 2024 15:55 utc | 47
According to what source? 🤔
Posted by: Mario | Aug 28 2024 16:06 utc | 49
Posted by: Flash | Aug 28 2024 15:55 utc
Any ideea where they might go? :)
Posted by: Innuendo | Aug 28 2024 16:16 utc | 50
Western media in the UK and EU are making claims such as "Ukraine puts Moscow and St Petersburg on notice following long range drone attacks on Russian oil facilities".
This is because a Squadron of heavy Drones launched from Kharkov region travelled over 700 miles (1120KM) inside Russia to destroy Russian oil facilities. Only a few of the drones were shot down / intercepted.
Experts state this was a demonstrative "Deep Strike" to show Russia that Ukraine now has long range heavy drones that are not only capable on penetrating Russian layered air-defence systems, but with the range to rain down fire on both Moscow and St Petersberg, and aby strategic target of their choosing.
Western experts also state that: "These drones, together with the new Ukrainian made (western designed, Ed) ballistic missiles and new Ukrainian made (western designed, Ed) stealth air launched missiles and extended range cruise-missiles will ensure that Russia can now be economically brought to its knees through the destruction of its energy infrasture, including power generating capacity and manufacturing capacity".
As many people have said since last year, and even earlier, the longer this war continues the more likely it will be that the West / NATO will be able to organise itself to attack Russia directly - yet retain palusible deniability under the cover of "Ukraine doing it".
Putin is now in very serious danger of snatching a strategic defeat from the jaws of a tactical victory by allowing NATO to not only invade Russia proper, but now conduct almost unstopable "Deep Strikes" - all of which will now increase.
Posted by: Joy of Joys | Aug 28 2024 16:16 utc | 51
Almost unstoppable deep strikes...
Stealth air launched missiles...
Russia can be brought economically on its knees...
🤣🤣🤣🤣
Posted by: Mario | Aug 28 2024 16:21 utc | 52
Posted by: Joy of Joys | Aug 28 2024 16:16 utc | 51
Kamala?
Posted by: Poslan1 | Aug 28 2024 16:24 utc | 53
Picked this up just now. Courtesy of Keith Harbaugh on Colonel Lang's old site:-
Ukraine wants to broaden the war yet farther:
“Ukraine to present Biden admin with targets it could hit in Russia, given the chance”
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/26/ukraine-biden-targets-russia-restrictions-00176377
“Ukrainian officials are preparing to present a list of long-range targets in Russia to top U.S. national security officials that they think Kyiv’s military can hit if Washington were to lift its restrictions on U.S. weapons.”
...................
Politico is being somewhat mealy-mouthed. It'd need more than "lifting restrictions". It'd need American ISR and target selection for Ukraine to hit targets within Russia with "US weapons". Also the targeting package. The Russians would therefore see such attacks as direct American attacks. So too with Storm Shadow - that would need similar involvement on the part of the UK.
Were these weapons to hit Russian NPP's or Russian military installations the Russians would therefore not be fooled. They would know that these attacks were mounted by the US or UK. The potential here for further escalation is very real.
Posted by: English Outsider | Aug 28 2024 16:25 utc | 54
RE: “Doctorow can sometimes be middle of the road academic boring but this is a very timely and comprehensive analysis and worth the bar's time:
Dr. Gilbert Doctorow Russia's Kursk Recovery The Mission No One Saw Coming?”
Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Aug 28 2024 15:44 utc | 45
Agreed, a well reasoned and insightful interview. I’m seeing a combination of provocative accelerated warfare. Chemical weapons usage, transfer of Bio Weapons to Moldova for possible Transnistria usage, increased presence of RQ 4s, talk of prepared “dirty bomb”, the alleged Ukrainian homemade long range missiles, recent multiple 2/3 party sanctions, rapid deployment of NATO equipment and manpower
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/us-steps-up-border-patrols-near-russia-as-finland-forms-nato-brigade/ar-AA1pyGhd
Artic uptic, submarine deployment under the guise of Iran.
The Israelis continued ME kerfukle and genocide is making more sense when the backdrop and motion is preparation of a decapitating strike direct against Russia is the real aim of all the maneuvers .
Guessing in their “strategic” approach, take Russia out, all the rest of the dominoes will fall instantly under the weight of the rest of your nuclear arsenal.
US has decided to drag Russia back to the UNSC, about Kursk? No idea. Was supposed to be 8/28? Russia decided to haul US back to discuss weapons transfer to Ukraine 8/30. Not sure what the ploy about the useless UNSC “condemnations” or whatever are for.
Posted by: Trubind1 | Aug 28 2024 16:26 utc | 55
🤣🤣🤣🤣
Posted by: Mario | Aug 28 2024 16:21 utc | 52
Yep, comedy hour. Somebody started drinking early.
Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 28 2024 16:29 utc | 56
Posted by: canuck | Aug 28 2024 15:37 utc | 43
Hence the misericorde, which morphed approx 800 years later into the morphine syrette.
Posted by: Flash | Aug 28 2024 15:55 utc | 47
The inherent value of any advance is not the advance itself, but what happens afterwards. A fact often overlooked by many.
Posted by: Milites | Aug 28 2024 16:34 utc | 57
Since Americans are involved, coup de gras might not be inappropriate.
Posted by: William Gruff | Aug 28 2024 16:37 utc | 58
All we need to do is read Reuters headlines and all will be good/s
Russia faces "difficult fight" to retake Ukraine-held area, says top US spy
If you can't believe a spy, who can you believe.....LOL!
Posted by: psychohistorian | Aug 28 2024 16:37 utc | 59
Karlof@1451
Situation in Donbas: Highly motivated Neo-Nazi fascists...mostly horizontal. Well-trained veteran NCO's and junior-grade officers, mostly kaput. Veteran suck it up soldiers...down to the drips and the dregs. Reserve forces with some punch...stuck with minimal logistical support in the Kursk Salient vol.II. Support from Germany...flailing along with the base of the German economy. Support from Perfidious Albion...still going but approaching need for life-support due to domestic chaos between underclass anti-migrants and institutionalized paradigms. Support from the U$$A: Now focused primarily on bolstering the Rottenchild pet entity in Occupied Palestine...and then there's the looming election which may or may not be maneuvered into yet another stolen (s)election.
Chances for Kiev coup regime survival into 2025...around a 25% probability factor. Frog-boiling strategy in the Western Med: Highly dependent upon a false-flag attack on one of the U$N Carriers in order to not face accelerating metasttiitazation.
Possibility of a truce without meeting R.U. demands...virtually zero.
Future of the Zionist $tate...those with the means and the dual citizenships currently swarming the Ben Gurion airport where the only possible exit strategy now totally dependent on El-Al.
Do the math.
Posted by: aristodemos | Aug 28 2024 16:40 utc | 60
The only real question is how is NATO and the US/UK going to react in this near panic situation. The Nazi house of cards is now falling and will NATO and company go quietly into the night, or will there be a reaction that will bring the world to the brink of WWIII?
Posted by: Tobias Cole | Aug 28 2024 13:37 utc | 5
It wont end there Tobias. They cant afford to lose. Expect a new madcap idea in the making at the NATO meeting today and, knowing their desperation, i wouldnt be surprised if they go for the big one and try to wipe out tbe russian leadership with one of those new "ukrainian" missiles
Posted by: HERMIUS | Aug 28 2024 16:41 utc | 61
Today according to Russian sources Peskov said this:
"The head of the Russian Presidential Press Service, Dmitry Peskov, emphasized that there are currently no prerequisites for starting negotiations on a peaceful settlement of the Ukrainian crisis."
Not too long ago - a few days or week ago, Medvedev and Peskov were saying "negotiations are now impossible".
The Ukrainians seems to be making better progress that thought impressing it's will on Russian leadership.
The Donbas is being surrendered in a slow retreat - trading space for time it appears and the time is being used to increase attacks on Russian infrastructure. These attacks cannot be decisive, but they are multiplied by the media focus and do have the effect of increasing gasoline costs in Russia.
The Russian people are probably solid, but it seems increasingly clear that the west has taken the measure of Russian leadership and identified it as the weak link.
It appears that the Russian MOD either does not have the capacity or will to achieve "victory" quickly or - perhaps more likey - Putin is not ready to change his thinking and recognize that Russia can only achieve victory on the battlefield and not in "negotiations".
Posted by: danf51 | Aug 28 2024 16:42 utc | 62
Posted by: snake
You maybe interested in reading this. The west is fd
https://open.substack.com/pub/alexkrainer/p/the-coming-collapse-of-britain?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=222w5y
Posted by: Feck | Aug 28 2024 16:48 utc | 64
canuck@1537
Expanding the amusement just a tiddle...a "coup de gras" would evoke Mardi Gras (Fat Tuesday) where a good time was held by all...perhaps excepting significant hangovers.
Posted by: aristodemos | Aug 28 2024 16:49 utc | 65
So in the opinion of the prople here.
Is there going to be a rapid disintegration of the Ukraine army effectiveness at maintaining a coherent defensive line?
Is a Russian advanced in kilometres a day plausible?
Or another winter stuck in mud and ice
? When is a visible undeniable breakdown going to be apparent.?
A long time into this conflict and the butchers bill is still to be tallied.
Posted by: jpc | Aug 28 2024 16:50 utc | 66
The Russian Army has never in this war been successful at enveloping and destroying entire AFU units. The AFU is always able to escape more or less intact. Maybe this time will be different. However given the nature of Russian Army operations, it may be that most of the important AFU cadre in the Pockets have already been evacuated and only expendables are left manning positions.
It's likely that eventually Donbass will fall, but it will consume the remainder of the summer and Ukraine will get some kind of breather to replenish and reorganize it's defenses on the Dnieper. Thus Ukraine lives for another year while stepping up its admittedly pinprick attacks on Russia - perhaps not doing much real damage but demonstrating Russias inability to bring the war to a conclusion.
The one thing Ukraine can count on is that the Russians will never do anything surprising or imaginative or risky. For Ukraine the goal now is simply time. The Ukrainian advantage is time and determination.
Posted by: danf51 | Aug 28 2024 16:52 utc | 68
English Outsider @1625
Astute insights. Well stated.
Posted by: aristodemos | Aug 28 2024 16:54 utc | 69
Posted by: danf51 | Aug 28 2024 16:42 utc | 62 according to Russian sources Peskov said this:
Wich sources?
Posted by: Roberto | Aug 28 2024 16:58 utc | 70
Posted by: danf51 | Aug 28 2024 16:52 utc | 68
@60000 allegedly neutralized each month Ukraine have simply the time to disappear in a few months, maybe a year.
Posted by: Mario | Aug 28 2024 16:59 utc | 71
Yep, it's apparently NAFO happy hour, all over yet another wunderwaffen that'll have zero effect on the conflict.
Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 28 2024 17:02 utc | 72
For Ukraine the goal now is simply time. The Ukrainian advantage is time and determination.
Posted by: danf51 | Aug 28 2024 16:52 utc | 68
I would say timme is completely against them. Why else would they be calling for decapitation strikes towards Moscow as a next step?
Posted by: Night Tripper | Aug 28 2024 17:04 utc | 73
“Ukrainians still advancing in Kursk. So who is telling the truth?”
Which direction?
Posted by: Fred777 | Aug 28 2024 17:04 utc | 74
Posted by: Joy of Joys | Aug 28 2024 16:16 utc | 51
Same thing Germany said about the V-1’s and 2’s, the drones might cause damage, but at a strategic level, I remain somewhat doubtful. Russia has never lost its escalation superiority, so Ukraine can go down that route (though I seem to remember they supposedly had this capability last year) but it will be over-matched. Around about 2005-6 the US undertook feasibility studies into the arming its ballistic nuclear missiles with conventional warheads, I very much doubt the Russians ignored this avenue of research, and even if they saw it as a dead end they have plenty of ways to escalate the conflict.
Posted by: danf51 | Aug 28 2024 16:42 utc | 62
Trouble is, it’s not a slow retreat anymore, as the Ukrainians are now without their decade old fortifications that allowed them to somewhat mitigate the weaknesses that majority of their army have.
Posted by: Milites | Aug 28 2024 17:08 utc | 75
Big Serge on X: "There's a Ukrainian obituary reporting one of their F-16 pilots "killed in the line of duty" - unclear if this means that the F-16 was shot down or if he was killed in the Russian strike on the airbase in Ivano-Frankivsk."
That would appear to be confirmation that the first of the 16's were in fact destroyed on the ground.
Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 28 2024 17:09 utc | 76
❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Kursk Direction: Fighting in Korenevo and Sudzha DistrictsWhat is known as of 7:00 PM August 28, 2024
In Kursk Region, no significant changes to the front line were recorded during the day, and the intensity of the opponent's attacks remains relatively low compared to the previous week.
▪️In Glushkovo District, the situation remains stable, the opponent is equipping positions in the occupied territories and, presumably, preparing for an offensive in the southeastern part of the district.
▪️In Korenevo District, Russian troops repelled several attacks by AFU assault groups towards Korenevo, Olhovka and Kremyanoye during the day. Despite the efforts, the opponent suffers daily losses of armored vehicles and personnel.
▪️In Sudzha District, Ukrainian formations also attempted to advance in several villages. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported the repulsion of attacks in the areas of the villages of Russkaya Konopelka, Borki and Spalnoye.
▪️In Kursk Region, active work continues to search for and destroy enemy sabotage and reconnaissance groups hiding in forest areas with the aim of further penetrating into Russian territory.
https://t.me/rybar_in_english/17314
Posted by: Down South | Aug 28 2024 17:09 utc | 77
danf51@1652
Situation in Donbas is fast achieving crescendo. The heavily fortified strongpoints are now crumbling...or being bypassed as those "expendables" dissolve into rapid retreat and/or mass surrenders (their only chance of likely futures). All of these developments opens up the Donbas. Have a look at a topographical map.
ONLY reason why the Ukes have been able to hold on this long is that Donbas region is hilly and fairly well forested and is chockablock with mining and industrial communities, many of which featured high-rise buildings, the capture of which long involved well-trained assault units.
If you check your maps closely you will notice that almost nothing but open steppelands are west of the Donbas. The R.U. missile and air units have so degraded arms and munitions depots, now along with transportation facilities, what with the electrified rail systems massively degraded...there will be no stopping Russian advances to the Dnieper.
Somewhere between the dams of the mid-lower Dneiper, it is probable that Russian combat engineering units, initially helicoptered in and latterly supplied by a nearby captured airfield with facilities for large transport planes...will combine river assault boats ferrying in infantry assault troops, followed by the construction of pontoon bridges...to launch forces southwestwards towards Nicolaev and Odessa and thence into Transnistria.
That scenario would likely induce clearheaded ranking officers of the Ukrainian forces to request terms. Meanwhile, the Piano Dick Player along with his closest kleptomaniac's-cronies would high-tail it for parts unknown.
Posted by: aristodemos | Aug 28 2024 17:14 utc | 78
Re: the Kursk nonsense, something that is puzzling me is who, in the planning team, thought that Russia would transfer large numbers of forces from Donbass? Did they not have any intel or insight about the existing Russian reinforcements and reserves in and nearby to Kursk?
To me this is the biggest blooper in the whole miscalculated Kursk farce. Why think that the opponent is going to move stuff around when they’ve already got parts of an entire military district standing reasonably close by?
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Aug 28 2024 17:14 utc | 79
Posted by: danf51 | Aug 28 2024 16:52 utc | 68
Russia’s never relinquished the clock, and their aversion to encirclements is historical and practical (killing retreating troops is more cost effective than having to assault them).
Posted by: Milites | Aug 28 2024 17:17 utc | 80
To me this is the biggest blooper in the whole miscalculated Kursk farce. Why think that the opponent is going to move stuff around when they’ve already got parts of an entire military district standing reasonably close by?
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Aug 28 2024 17:14 utc | 79
On the Simplicius substack comments I posited that Kursk was necessary as purely a morale move. Z may have realized that those troops wouldn't change the tide on Donbass and he needed some kind of victory to stave off mass defections / surrenders.
As it stands it'll be a very fleeting boost, and just goes to show the heightening desperation in Kiev.
p.s.: Syrski just promoted, now rumors of firing... yet another "last days in the bunker" indicator.
Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 28 2024 17:21 utc | 81
Russia is still seeing a threat of major escalation in the US. I was hoping tha with Kusk adventure well and truly past is prime, that the threat of major escalation had passed.
Sergey Lavrov: This is blackmail, an attempt to pretend that the West seeks to avoid any excessive escalation. In reality, they are full of mischief. Avoiding escalation is not what the West is after. To put it into plain language, they are simply picking a fight.I think that this has become obvious to everyone. I have recently cited John Kirby, who is the White House National Security Communications Advisor. A couple of months ago, he said that escalation would be dangerous, since it would be extremely ill-advised to let the situation slide into a world war and that Europe would be the one to suffer in the process. Recently, John Kirby said this again. For Americans, any talk about the third world war comes down to something that would affect Europe alone, and God forbid if it ever happened. This is quite telling, since this idea reflects the mindset of the American planners and geostrategy experts who believe that they can simply sit the whole thing out. I think that it is important to understand in this situation that we have our own doctrine, including the one governing the use of nuclear weapons. An effort to update it is underway. Moreover, these Americans are well aware of the provisions it sets forth. This fact transpires from the Freudian slips they make when they say that having a third world war would be a bad thing because they do not want Europe to suffer. This is what this American mindset comes down to. They have a mindset of a master sitting somewhere out there overseas and believing to be totally safe and secure, thinking that not only Ukrainians, but also, as it turns out, Europeans would be willing to do the dirty work and die for them.
We have long been hearing speculation about authorising Ukraine to use not only the Storm Shadow missiles, but also US-made long-range missiles. There was an anonymous source in Washington who said that they were working on it. This source purported that their overall view of Ukraine’s request is quite positive. I will stop at that. President Vladimir Putin said all about it quite a while ago.
Now, all we can do is confirm once again that playing with fire is a dangerous thing for the men and women in charge of nuclear weapons across the Western world, but they are playing with matches as if they never grew up.
https://www.mid.ru/en/press_service/minister_speeches/1966772/
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 28 2024 17:27 utc | 82
Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 28 2024 17:21 utc | 81
As you say, the whole thing has the distinct feeling of a re-make of the “Downfall” movie.
Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Aug 28 2024 17:28 utc | 83
A couple of paragraphs from a longer post on the Legitimate channel about five Ukrainian brigades still unused and in reserve. F16's still unused as well.
He writes that the Armed Forces of Ukraine have about five combat-ready brigades in reserve, which, for some reason, are not being sent to the Pokrovskoe direction in the Donbass. From which he concludes that a "remake of Suji" is being prepared. At the same time, this blow, according to his logic, should occur before the Ukrainian front in the Donbas "collapses completely"."In any case, if they do not use operational reserves in the Donbas, it means that they are saving them for something else. And whether our people are ready for this something-I don't know. In short, I want to shout "Goida!" (about the rapid advance of the Russian Federation in the Donbass-Ed.), but if the enemy is obviously not an idiot, and at the same time he behaves inexplicably strange (without throwing reserves to stop the Russian offensive in the Pokrovsky direction-Ed.), then there is some explanation, he just doesn't want it to be on the surface," Norin writes. https://t.me/s/rezident_ua
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 28 2024 17:40 utc | 84
This won't end till the Fat Lady sings, i.e. Germany, the most US-occupied country in Europe. Under Merkel, but also before, the country (needless to say a major economic rival of the US's) had started getting uppity, precisely because the Cold War was officially over, ergo Nordstream, etc. This Germany thought it could have its cake and eat it too, though for how long and to what ultimate end, vis a vis Russia, was an open question. The US outflanked Germany in Ukraine, just as it did prior, during the Balkan Wars, and Germany found itself with its back against the wall—resistance against active US hegemony in its own backyard was futile. Germany could not afford to be on the official (Anglo-American) "bad guys" list again, not to mention it was still an occupied country. The consequences perforce, however way you diced it, meant little mercy for the German economy, even by its "own side."
To wit, it found itself in an economic pincer movement between the US-led NATO and the "evil" Russian "aggressor." If anything, the latter was the one willing to show more mercy and less vengefulness, than for example those that destroyed Nordstream. The destruction of Ukraine is meant to result in at least two carcasses: Ukraine and Germany's. Of course if Germany had not complied it itself would have been subject likewise to the destruction of Nordstream, but also to all manner of mysterious attacks directed at the undermining of its infrastructure, quite probably even "dirty bombs" by the usual suspects. So this war will likely proceed apace until Germany itself has been sufficiently zombified, by methods distinct to those to which Japan was subject in the 1990s, but largely for the same hegemonic ends.
Posted by: Ludovic | Aug 28 2024 17:44 utc | 85
@ psychohistorian | Aug 28 2024 16:37 utc | 59
re: . . . says top US spy
He/she the "top US spy" must have been an 'expert' acting 'anonymously' because of the 'sensitivity of the subject.'
We're seeing more and more of that 'news' recently.
And what stops a 'journalist' from making it all up? ....nothing, that's what.
Posted by: Don Bacon | Aug 28 2024 17:45 utc | 86
Resident
⚡️⚡️⚡️#Insider information
Our source in the OP said that the President's Office took into account the information of the General Staff about the difficulties for the Armed Forces of Ukraine in a protracted war and decided to launch the Kursk operation in order to draw NATO into the conflict in Ukraine. The first step will be missile strikes on Russian territory, followed by the use of F-16s in the Kursk operation, which is why there are no reserves to protect Pokrovsk.
Previous quote was from Resident channel rather that the Legitimate channel.
If there are five brigades of cannon fodder still in reserve without being sent to Kursk, then couple it to what Lavrov saying about US still planning escalation...
Still more to come before the fat lady sings in the Ukraine theater.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 28 2024 17:47 utc | 87
If there are five brigades of cannon fodder still in reserve without being sent to Kursk, then couple it to what Lavrov saying about US still planning escalation...
Still more to come before the fat lady sings in the Ukraine theater.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 28 2024 17:47 utc | 87
The RF wants those committed; once they are they'll blow all the bridges behind them and mop up.
Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 28 2024 17:53 utc | 88
As the panic in the Ukraine now begins RF needs to take some real precautions:
- Make sure that VV and the Supreme General Staff are in protective quarters at all times
- Make sure that all NPP's especially ZNPP and KNPP have robust defenses against attack
- Make sure all major naval assets are at sea, and combat ready and all strategic air bases are on fly now now full 24/7 alert status
- Disperse the Duma and Senate, do not allow a decapitation strike from the UAF (NATO or UK).
NATO and Volo are in desperate straights now.....expect the unexpected...and soon too.....and pour the coal into the boiler get this war done by October 1st.......no delays, the longer the war goes on the more time for cataclysmic events.....remember the Brits are now fully insane and capable of any type of crazy provocation.........
Posted by: Tobias Cole | Aug 28 2024 18:01 utc | 89
Posted by: Tobias Cole | Aug 28 2024 13:43 utc | 9:
....Volo and his crazed company of fanatics will attempt to destroy the ZNPP or the KNPP and or unleash a dirty bomb somewhere in the RF.
Bombing ZNPP or KNPP would create a nasty mess that Russians wouldn't want to see but wouldn't cause debilitating damages. It would be something that stirs emotional anger no worse than the Moskow concert attack a few months ago, but no strategic/economic damages that would deteriorate the national strength of Russia. The consequence of such an attack would cement the resolve among Russians to strike back at Europe/USA, with equal disregard for consequences. It may or may not initiate WWIII, but it would certainly change psychologies in all European capitals/big cities, and across the Atlantic pond to include cities that the Empire cares about. Common folks in the Western World will be living in a different world. It will change politics in the so-called western world.
The same applies to the game the Empire is playing at Taiwan Strait/SCS. When China/Russia have had enough and decides to change their strategic premises, life in the western world will change to something that their people will regret for centuries if not a millennium. By launching SMO, Russia sort of had already made such a change. Judging from China's behavior over the past two years, China is on the very edge of making a similar change. We are heading into some very different geopolitics. Clowns such as Trump/Biden/Johnson had overplayed their dirty hands. Karma is around the corner.
Posted by: Oriental Voice | Aug 28 2024 18:03 utc | 90
What would be the next major provocation on Mr. Ze's end?
Posted by: Ali | Aug 28 2024 18:07 utc | 91
TJandTheBear | Aug 28 2024 17:53 utc | 88
If those Brigades do exist, then, as they have not being used in Kurst to date, are being saved for another operation that has already been planned.
I believe the main aspect of the Kursk foray was to get the powers that be in the US to agree to long range weapons being used against Russia. To attack recognized Russia and be able to say - look, no repercussions.
As per Lavrov, there appears to be opinion in the US that they can escalate the war against Russia, yet keep it contained within Europe.
Essentaily US staying safe and fighting Russia to the last European.
Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 28 2024 18:17 utc | 92
PeterAu!@1740
As for those "fearsome" five brigades "on hold" we hafta remind ourselves to evaluate the possible makeup of these units in terms of the proportion of veterans vs conscripts and also in total numbers of effectives. In some armies in fairly recent past, brigades could be as immense as 8,000 well-trained men, many of them veterans of combat conditions. That, however, is a total outlier amongst the AFU.
Can those brigades actually possess 5,000 men contingents, for a grand total of a force of 25k? Extremely doubtful. In the current situation with Ukie brigades, 3,000 men is a pretty full unit. More likely is a brigade comprised of 2,000 to 2.5k.
Thus at most, the total force at maximum would be around 12,500 effectives.
Does "maskirovka" remain a tenet of the AFU? Can they actually supply and then transport and unite a force of 10k or slightly larger without Russian intel catching on and preparing sufficiently to block any possible effectiveness?
Thus, even if such an accumulation of reserve forces actually exists, it would hardly be capable of launching a devastating hammer-blow on ANY front.
Posted by: aristodemos | Aug 28 2024 18:24 utc | 93
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BARS-SARMAT! No compromises
Posted by: anon2020 | Aug 28 2024 18:37 utc | 95
Milites //80//
Growing up, American TV and movies taught me you never shoot a man in the back. Imagine my shock when in university a professor explained the immense disparity in dead soldiers between the winners and the losers in ancient battles. Casualties remained nearly level as long as both sides had their shields, swords, and spears facing the enemy. As soon as one side broke turned to run, this exposed their unprotected backs to the other side. The wining side then did everything it could to stab, spear, or shoot arrows into the backs of the fleeing troops. It made the end of the battle a slaughter. The professor, a former soldier, concluded with this off hand comment, "The best place to shoot an enemy soldier is in the back, preferably while he's running away. That way he isn't shooting back at you."
This might make naive idiots raised on American westerns cry, but soldiers know, "You don't win by dying for your country. You win by making the other poor bastard die for his country." And the best way to do that is by shooting the other poor bastard in his back as he tries to run out of your partial encirclement.
Posted by: Nobody Special | Aug 28 2024 18:38 utc | 96
One reason for keeping a Ukrainian reserve force intact is to protect the Ukrainian politicians from an enraged mob and safeguard the rear while they escape with the loot.
The hallmark of the Ukrainian politician is to completely ignore the needs and wishes of the Ukrainian people while they fill their pockets with loot; hence the “Praetorian Guard” held in reserve.
Posted by: CitizenSmith | Aug 28 2024 18:39 utc | 97
A note on 'gras'/'grace': The former is pronounced 'grâh' in French, the latter pronounced 'grâs'.
Posted by: Dr Wellington Yueh | Aug 28 2024 18:39 utc | 98
@ Peter AU1 | Aug 28 2024 17:27 utc | 82 with the Lavrov quote
Now, all we can do is confirm once again that playing with fire is a dangerous thing for the men and women in charge of nuclear weapons across the Western world, but they are playing with matches as if they never grew up.
Yep! These folks were allowed to get out of grade school without learning the basics of sharing and getting along with others without bullying.
Thanks for all the updates.
Posted by: psychohistorian | Aug 28 2024 18:41 utc | 99
https://t.me/bayraktar1070/2636
We cannot remain silent about this problem. The enemy is increasing its efforts to destroy our reconnaissance UAVs. I will not give figures, but even within the framework of one unit they can be significant. Previously, a drone could operate for several months, but now...Remember how in winter the enemy complained about the lack of anti-aircraft missiles? Our drones felt at ease in the sky. So now the enemy has started to perform the role of interceptors with FPV drones. There is no magic here. The Ukrainians have deployed radars, landed crews, created a unified system and started to shoot down our drones.
This problem must be taken extremely seriously. Without reconnaissance UAVs, our reconnaissance and strike contours will not work. Artillery, Iskanders and FABs will sharply reduce their effectiveness if the enemy clears its skies. The Ukrainians are increasing their efforts, and we are lagging far behind them in the matter of destroying UAVs with FPV drones. The main advantages of such air defense systems are the low cost of the interceptor, mobility, stealth and high survivability of the crews.
The whole point is that neither we nor the enemy can protect the reconnaissance aircraft in the sky. And all we can do is overtake the enemy in the numbers of destroyed UAVs. Since our drones are falling, the enemy's "wings" should not fly either. This way we will maintain the status quo and will not allow the enemy to break ahead in the technological race.
Alexander Kharchenko
Posted by: anon2020 | Aug 28 2024 18:46 utc | 100
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It's the case in both countries, Ukraine and Israel, that they are both led by completely irresponsible figures, Zelensky and Netanyahu, who have no restraints on letting loose the worst on their enemies, just for private advantage.
At least we got rid of the one like that in UK, Boris Johnson.
Posted by: laguerre | Aug 28 2024 13:22 utc | 1