News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
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August 18, 2024
Ukraine Open Thread 2024-197
News & views related to the war in Ukraine …
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unimperator | Aug 19 2024 8:51 utc | 374 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 19 2024 8:56 utc | 301 unimperator | Aug 19 2024 8:51 utc | 374 Posted by: Melaleuca | Aug 19 2024 8:57 utc | 302 The fat lady is still in rehearsal….. so, we wait for the final performance… Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 19 2024 9:00 utc | 303 Posted by: HEL | Aug 19 2024 8:24 utc | 310 Posted by: Wisco | Aug 19 2024 9:03 utc | 304 Posted by: Melaleuca | Aug 19 2024 8:57 utc | 316 Posted by: unimperator | Aug 19 2024 9:07 utc | 305 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 19 2024 8:03 utc | 366
*** I’m not sure this will happen, though this Sirus report channel is usually pretty good on the big picture.
https://x.com/thesiriusreport/status/1825457540919869645 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 19 2024 9:12 utc | 307 This site still offers a heckuva lot of good technical info by very well-informed posters, but let’s face it: lately it has become a lot more like American partisan election-year politics or fútbol team cheerleading. Yes, Bevin said the comments section had become a “cesspool” and abandoned MoA. And that was long before Kursk. It’s unfortunate, but it is a fact, proven by the posting dynamics: many Western posters care much more about website social dynamics than about military facts and strategies, etc. Human nature. Posted by: Wisco | Aug 19 2024 9:25 utc | 308 Stonebird | Aug 19 2024 9:09 utc | 312 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 19 2024 9:29 utc | 309
https://t.me/Taynaya_kantselyariya/10880
https://t.me/rezident_ua/23980 Posted by: Down South | Aug 19 2024 9:33 utc | 310 C’mon, people. It’s not that hard. While scrolling, you check the name first. If it’s Disiderata, Napolean, Vargas, Ed4, etc, you scroll past. You don’t read it and you SURE AS FUCK don’t give these narcissists any attention by RESPONDING. Rule #1, as old as the Interwebs: Don’t feed the trolls. Let them whither from a lack of attention. Posted by: Zippy the Pinhead | Aug 19 2024 9:41 utc | 311 I’m just as guilty as the lot of you. I often sroll past Deep South’s or Milites’s excellent technical updates to see the next phase in the flane war. It proves to me we haven’t seen the horrors of real war since 1865 or so. Still just a game. Posted by: Wisco | Aug 19 2024 9:44 utc | 312 “Moon Of Alabama was opened as an independent, open forum for members of the Whiskey Bar community.” Posted by: Zippy the Pinhead | Aug 19 2024 9:52 utc | 313 “Rule #1, as old as the Interwebs: Don’t feed the trolls. Let them whither from a lack of attention.” Posted by: Wisco | Aug 19 2024 9:53 utc | 314 Wisco | Aug 19 2024 9:44 utc | 319 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 19 2024 9:54 utc | 315 Yes. With the US more or less pulling out, the Brits look to be getting desperate now. Hard to tell how far they will go. Hitting the Kerch bridge, they either still want to gain control of Sevastopol or think hitting the bridge will help topple Putin and the Russian leadership. Posted by: Zippy the Pinhead | Aug 19 2024 9:58 utc | 316 Armchair Warlord has an excellent X thread on Ukraine’s loss of multiple HIMARS launchers and a strike aircraft to take down one bridge that was replaced with a pontoon bridge within hours. The old joke of “I’ve got a bridge to sell you” is best directed at the AFU as they’re obviously willing to pay a huge price for nothing. Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 19 2024 10:00 utc | 317 Anatomy of a Fiasco: The Bridge at Glushkovo
Posted by: unimperator | Aug 19 2024 10:01 utc | 318 Posted by: unimperator | Aug 19 2024 10:01 utc | 326 Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 19 2024 10:03 utc | 319 @ Posted by: Victor | Aug 18 202416:08 utc Posted by: Another thing | Aug 19 2024 10:05 utc | 320 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 19 2024 9:54 utc | 322 Posted by: Wisco | Aug 19 2024 10:10 utc | 321 Peter AU1 | Aug 19 2024 9:29 utc | 316
I reckon that the primary aim is the cash and transfer of assets to the US. I am not conviced that they will really want a “war” with China in the traditional manner. All those shipshape targets! So selling arms, moving troops and forces onto others territory in a newish form of colonialism (Empire building) are to allow the US/Zio mainline owners to continue to plunder as before. It is the THREAT of war, not the reality, that they want. Fred | Aug 19 2024 10:05 utc | 329 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 19 2024 10:14 utc | 323 2022: “We’re waging an all-out economic and financial war on Russia. We will cause the collapse of the Russian economy.”
Those who think Germany has money still live in the 1980’s. I’d like to ask a question to those who remember what the last years of the USSR looked like. When you walk around in your city, do you sometimes get the feeling that you have seen this before? Posted by: Passerby | Aug 19 2024 10:17 utc | 324 Ukraine Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 19 2024 10:18 utc | 325 Forgive me if this has been posted already. Posted by: The Accountant | Aug 19 2024 10:19 utc | 326 Posted by: Stonebird | Aug 19 2024 10:13 utc | 332 Posted by: Mario | Aug 19 2024 10:23 utc | 327 336 – Clicked on it but it is over an hour long. In summary, what conclusions does he draw? Posted by: Wielgus | Aug 19 2024 10:24 utc | 328 We need to get back to basics. Who is the “aggressor”? I think ot is US and NATO, not Russia. Posted by: Wisco | Aug 19 2024 10:28 utc | 329
When it starts, you will hear from Russian officials: no one could have expected this surprise assault… Posted by: Greg Galloway | Aug 19 2024 10:33 utc | 330 Who is the “aggressor”? Who is the “underdog”. Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 19 2024 10:34 utc | 331 Anyone who can read a map can clearly see that the US is the world’s biggest aggressor. Look how many military bases USA has around the world. Not rocket science. Posted by: Wisco | Aug 19 2024 10:35 utc | 332 Passerby | Aug 19 2024 10:17 utc | 334 Mario | Aug 19 2024 10:23 utc | 337
So many flashbacks of the late 80s! Lack of care in mundane matters (dirty streets, neglected infrastructure), ramped up ideology, total disconnect between leaders/functionaries and populace, tight control over media (mainstream at least), militarisation of society, leaders that are either octogenarian wrecks — yup, it’s all there! Posted by: Konami | Aug 19 2024 10:52 utc | 335 I havw this gut feeling that many posters here are unable to read maps. Posted by: Wisco | Aug 19 2024 10:54 utc | 336 On Germany pulling out of the war on Russia in line with US
https://www.reuters.com/world/german-warships-await-orders-crossing-disputed-taiwan-strait-2024-08-19/ Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 19 2024 10:58 utc | 337 PETER AU1: Posted by: Wisco | Aug 19 2024 10:59 utc | 338 Wisco | Aug 19 2024 10:59 utc | 349 Posted by: Peter AU1 | Aug 19 2024 11:01 utc | 339 >> I think it is a possibility that Russia may hit a non-NATO country’s landing fields, ie Romania, where F’16’s are stationed. This would not engage the NATO grouping, but could be educational for the US and UK. Posted by: ivanislav | Aug 19 2024 11:04 utc | 340 While Russia have apparently taken Novgorod (“New York”), the last bridge over the Seym has reportedly been destroyed. Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Aug 19 2024 11:09 utc | 341 @The Accountant | Aug 19 2024 10:19 utc | 336 Posted by: Roland | Aug 19 2024 11:10 utc | 342 Posted by: Roland | Aug 19 2024 11:10 utc | 353 Posted by: unimperator | Aug 19 2024 11:23 utc | 343 @unimperator | Aug 19 2024 11:23 utc | 354 Posted by: Roland | Aug 19 2024 11:38 utc | 344 Posted by: unimperator | Aug 19 2024 10:01 utc | 326 Posted by: Johan Kaspar | Aug 19 2024 11:55 utc | 345 19.08.2024 (13:25) Posted by: Rhymerez | Aug 19 2024 11:57 utc | 346 Stonebird @ 332
What in the ex-Warsaw Pact is still non-NATO, Moldova? At this point, post Kursk, NATO or Non NATO does it matter? I’m totally serious. Article 5 isn’t automatic nor obligatory, it has to be called, then deliberated, then voted. Let them deliberate and vote, and live with the consequences. Bet a round of beers NATO’s red lines fall back as practically as Russia’s. Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Aug 19 2024 11:58 utc | 347 guess we somehow should be thankful for how deluded these freaks are in their analyses. It leads to all kinds of miscalculations down the line often to the detriment of the West economically and militarily. Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 19 2024 12:06 utc | 348 Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Aug 19 2024 11:58 utc | 360 Posted by: Mario | Aug 19 2024 12:08 utc | 349
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/106432 Posted by: Down South | Aug 19 2024 12:08 utc | 350
https://t.me/rybar_in_english/17095 Posted by: Down South | Aug 19 2024 12:10 utc | 351 19.08.2024 (14:30) Posted by: Rhymerez | Aug 19 2024 12:13 utc | 352 For any Metallica fans: Posted by: LightYearsFromHome | Aug 19 2024 12:19 utc | 353 Sorry about my 367, but I’m having problems posting I think is fairly sesible. Suspect troll activity. Posted by: Barrel Brown | Aug 19 2024 12:36 utc | 354 LightYearsFromHome | Aug 19 2024 11:58 utc | 360 NATO fighting hard to win the troll war. Too bad that’s all they can fucking do, other than drag the world down into nuclear fire. Honestly I think the constant ridicule here of the idiocy emanating from NATO generals and capitals might just be pricking the egos of the peacocks, unused to having their vainglorious idiocy mocked and derided. There’s also the whole imagineering angle which, as I have expounded on in the past, NATO places much stock in. You see, the mighty narrative is important to them, so important it trumps good decision making.
Fellow humans, good luck. The stupids are in charge. Posted by: Doctor Eleven | Aug 19 2024 13:07 utc | 356 In a 15 Aug article titled US has Ukraine’s back in Kursk incursion M.K. Bhadrakumar writes: Posted by: Mark Mosby | Aug 19 2024 13:34 utc | 357 Fellow humans, good luck. The stupids are in charge. Posted by: Barrel Brown | Aug 19 2024 13:39 utc | 358 Posted by: Mario | Aug 19 2024 12:08 utc | 362 Posted by: HB_Norica | Aug 19 2024 13:42 utc | 359 Re #365 Posted by: Barrel Brown | Aug 19 2024 13:43 utc | 360 Posted by: Mark Mosby | Aug 19 2024 13:34 utc | 365 Posted by: unimperator | Aug 19 2024 13:45 utc | 361 “Let us not forget: The majority of the Bible and doctrinal Christianity is straight up stolen from Pagan and other previous religions and customs. Everything from The Christ to Christmas Day. It’s a totally cribbed religion with a bunch of evil shit thrown in (OT) for good measure. Name me any canonical Christian precept or practice and I can easily point to a preceding religion from which it was almost assuredly “borrowed”…” Mark Mosby | Aug 19 2024 13:34 utc | 365 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Aug 19 2024 13:59 utc | 363 PS – any chance of staying on Ukraine and not bringing personal hobbies here? Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Aug 19 2024 14:01 utc | 364 I havw this gut feeling that many posters here are unable to read maps. Posted by: Napoleon | Aug 19 2024 14:11 utc | 365 If I was stavka, I would send the minimum of troops to Sudzha, and double down on Pokrovsk. Posted by: Passerby | Aug 19 2024 14:17 utc | 366 That’s the essential kernel of Christianity right there. Posted by: Johnny Guitarman | Aug 19 2024 14:19 utc | 367 “The American Worker replaced by outsourcing/freetrade to keep the Favored Few skimming and Capital crushing Labor. Basic economics, the reason behind money-printing/counterfeiting, borrowing and interest suppression. When the end comes will all the Private Jets get out?” Posted by: unimperator | Aug 19 2024 13:45 utc | 368 Posted by: anon2020 | Aug 19 2024 14:29 utc | 369 Maps show us that Ukraine has halted the Russian offensive for years now, and barflies are still whistling Dixie. Posted by: Johnny Guitarman | Aug 19 2024 14:40 utc | 370 History is always instructive as to the merits of invading Russia. Napoleon along with his 750,000 man army made it all the way to Moscow. In between murdering and looting the locals, the great man offered Czar Alexander the chance to negotiate. Alexander’s answer was to set Moscow on fire and retreat. Napolean foolishly stayed in Moscow for a few more weeks of looting then pulled out with the arrival of winter. The Russian cossacks and peasants then went to work on Napolean’s loot laden 750,000 man army with the help of the full onset of winter. The end result? Napolean had to sneak out dressed as a woman with his 1500 person personal entourage. Eventually 30,000 others straggled, emaciated and defeated. 95% of his army and most their camp followers ended up as wolf food out on the steppes of Russia. Posted by: 24ouncer | Aug 19 2024 14:40 utc | 371 Tom_Q_Collins | Aug 19 2024 4:23 utc | 259 Posted by: Jerr | Aug 19 2024 14:43 utc | 372 “That’s the essential kernel of Christianity right there.” Peter AU1 | 305 Posted by: Moonraker | Aug 19 2024 14:45 utc | 374 You must be looking at them backwards then, since Russia has recently advanced quite rapidly on the eastern front. Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 19 2024 15:00 utc | 375 Who controls the west and would be interested in a second home like that? Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 19 2024 15:04 utc | 376 @379, @380. Posted by: paddy | Aug 19 2024 15:10 utc | 377 Niu York is taken by the Russians, plus all of the 2014-era fortifications to its east (the last of the 2014 defensive line), and Russian troops are already storming Neplivka – just south of Toretsk. At the same time both coal mines and related slag heaps just east of Toretsk that form the two ends of the Toretsk defensive line have been taken by the Russians and they are now advancing into Toretsk itself. Then we have the defences in front of Pokrovsk starting to give way, both to the west and to the south. And the southern Konstyantynivka is already half taken by the Russians, who are now at the main road (the one to Ugledar) in the middle of the town. While Zelensky pours more troops and equipment into the Kursk firebag. Only one of 2 possibilities I see. Posted by: Trubind1 | Aug 19 2024 15:29 utc | 379 @Posted by: TJandTheBear | Aug 19 2024 15:00 utc | 382 As far a I know nobody got to heaven until after Jesus died-with the notable exceptions of Enoch and Elijah . Posted by: Jerr | Aug 19 2024 15:33 utc | 381 Looks like Russia is denuclearizing itself. Posted by: Pâte | Aug 19 2024 15:34 utc | 382 @Posted by: Trubind1 | Aug 19 2024 15:29 utc | 386 At least there is some good news. Pokrovsk on the brink of falling. Posted by: Night Tripper | Aug 19 2024 16:04 utc | 384 Posted by: aristodemos | Aug 19 2024 3:36 utc Posted by: NemesisCalling | Aug 19 2024 16:14 utc | 385 @392 Posted by: paddy | Aug 19 2024 16:15 utc | 386 RE: “Seriously, no other explanation for this than Vladimir Putin and Valery Gerasimov being CIA’s agents.” Posted by: Trubind1 | Aug 19 2024 16:17 utc | 387 Posted by: Roger | Aug 19 2024 15:27 utc | 385 Posted by: Ghost of Zanon | Aug 19 2024 16:33 utc | 388 Only one of 2 possibilities I see. … Posted by: HB_Norica | Aug 19 2024 16:46 utc | 389 Watching the SMO for the last 2 1/2 years has been enlightening, and scary. Posted by: wagelaborer | Aug 19 2024 16:47 utc | 390 Dima seems to think that the next target of the US/UKR/NATO will be Transnistria. That is an easy target, so it seems possible. Posted by: wagelaborer | Aug 19 2024 16:51 utc | 391 ..The taming of the ex global hegemon and all of its vassals will take decades, not years. A timeframe that the Chinese, Russians and Iranians are comfortable with. Posted by: Ново З | Aug 19 2024 16:53 utc | 392 A Russian FPV drone ruins a Nazi attempt to engage in propaganda. Posted by: LoveDonbass | Aug 19 2024 16:55 utc | 393 In Feb 1943 the newly formed U.S. Army chased a few German tanks into a preset kessel a favored tactic of the German armor leaders. It got smashed, and removed armor that could have counter attacked at Kasserine pass. Posted by: paddy | Aug 19 2024 17:00 utc | 394 Posted by: Ahenobarbus | Aug 19 2024 1:41 utc | 227 Posted by: Naive | Aug 19 2024 17:01 utc | 395 400 – Fascinating that planting a flag is considered a good enough reason to use a drone. Not for recon, not blasting an enemy aircraft, vehicle or position, but planting a flag. Seems like a rather screwed-up sense of priorities to me. Posted by: Waldorf | Aug 19 2024 17:11 utc | 396 Pâte | Aug 19 2024 15:34 utc | 389 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Aug 19 2024 17:16 utc | 397 Interesting this commentator, from the ‘Military and Foreign Affairs Network’ channel, also sees the possibility of a Little-Saturn style operation, attempting to trap the entire Ukrainian Kursk incursion force. He also brings in the idea of air-mobile operations, in support of the armoured pincers, classic Soviet doctrine. Posted by: Milites | Aug 19 2024 17:16 utc | 398 RE: Posted by: HB_Norica | Aug 19 2024 16:46 utc | 396 Posted by: Trubind1 | Aug 19 2024 17:20 utc | 399 Milites | Aug 19 2024 17:16 utc | 405 Posted by: YetAnotherAnon | Aug 19 2024 17:25 utc | 400 |
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